It Could Happen Here - Shadow Banking: The Once and Future Economic Apocalypse

Episode Date: March 26, 2026

Mia teaches Molly what shadow banking is, how it caused the 2008 financial collapse, and how they’re threatening to do it all again Sources: https://www.fsb.org/work-of-the-fsb/financial-innova...tion-and-structural-change/non-bank-financial-intermediation/ https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/11/shadow-banking-is-now-a-52-trillion-industry-and-posing-risks.html https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7992100/ https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2013/06/basics.htm https://insights.som.yale.edu/insights/inside-the-cdo-market-that-catalyzed-the-financial-crisis https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48512#ifn146 https://www.jstor.org/stable/26153238 https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/economists/adrian/1306adri_map.pdf https://tellerwindow.newyorkfed.org/2025/10/17/nbfis-in-focus-the-basics-of-private-credit/ https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/bank-lending-to-private-credit-size-characteristics-and-financial-stability-implications-20250523.html https://libcom.org/article/debt-first-5000-years-david-graeberSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. I'm Lori Siegel, and on my new podcast, Mostly Human, I'll take you to some wild corners of the tech world. I'm about to go on a date with an AI companion at a real-world cafe right here in New York City. There's no playbook for what to do when an AI model hallucinates a story about you.
Starting point is 00:00:24 Mostly Human is your playbook for how tech can work for you. Anyone can now be an entrepreneur, Anyone can build an app. And it's very empowering. Listen to mostly human on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows. I became a millionaire overnight and lost everything that actually mattered. Hold on, Sophia. Did you just say they lost everything after becoming a millionaire?
Starting point is 00:00:48 That's right. And it gets worse. It's inheriting too much drama week on the OK Storytime podcast, so we'll find out soon. This person writes, I just inherited a fortune after losing my mom. And now my girlfriend's entire family is coming out of nowhere with their hands out. and my girlfriend is already giving my money away. So the girl he wants to marry is already sending money out the door.
Starting point is 00:01:07 Find out how it ends. Listen to the OK Storytime podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. 10, 10 shots fired in City Hall building. How could this have happened in City Hall? Somebody tell me that. A shocking public murder. This is one of the most dramatic events that really ever happened in New York City politics.
Starting point is 00:01:29 I scream, get down, get down. down, those are shots. A tragedy that's now forgotten and a mystery that may or may not have been political, that may have been about sex. Listen to Rorschach, murder at City Hall, on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Starting point is 00:01:48 In 2023, Bachelor star Clayton Eckerd was accused of fathering twins, but the pregnancy appeared to be a hoax. You doctored this particular test twice, Ms. Ellen's, correct? I doctored the test once. It took an army of, Internet detectives to uncover a disturbing pattern. Two more men who'd been through the same thing.
Starting point is 00:02:08 Greg, a lesbian, Michael Marantini. My mind was blown. I'm Stephanie Young. This is Love Trapped. Laura, Scottsdale Police. As the season continues, Laura Owens finally faces consequences. Listen to Love Trapped podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Also Media.
Starting point is 00:02:34 Welcome to It Could Happen Here, a podcast where, a bunch of incredibly convoluted and very silly financial instruments destroy the entire world economy. I am your host, Mia Wong. And with me today is someone who does not spend all of her time deep in the bowels of arcane bullshit written by different Federal Reserve boards. And that is Molly Conger, who is the host of the absolutely delightful. I mean, okay, I guess this is a who is really winning here kind of question in terms of The things we research.
Starting point is 00:03:09 You spent a lot of time reading stuff written by Federal Reserve guys. I read a lot of stuff written by guys who want to kill the Federal Reserve guys. Yeah. And you know what? I still don't know what the Federal Reserve is and I'm not going to find out. You know, I don't actually think knowing what the Federal Reserve is somehow. It doesn't change anything. I don't think it's actually relevant to this.
Starting point is 00:03:33 I mean, it's obviously, it's relevant to everything. But it's relevant to everything. But what Mia means to say is the reason I'm here is because I don't know what the economy is, and at this point, I'm afraid to find out. And unfortunately, your worst fears are happening. Oh, don't worry. By the end of this, I will not understand. I am going to attempt to explain the economy, and by the economy, I mean, shadow banking. Yeah. Also, before I go into this, though, you should, you should listen to weird little guys.
Starting point is 00:04:01 It is, it's really good. I like it. All my friends really like it. Thank you. Yeah. It's somehow a nice, comma, kind of relaxing show about neo-Nazis. So. Yeah, it's got very chill vibes for a show about guys who are trying to, like, blow up school buses. Yep. Yep.
Starting point is 00:04:24 So, all right. You know, I'm reading this. I'm looking over this script. Miraculously, this isn't, oh, wait, hold on. I think I cut the part where people. of blow up school buses. There was legitimately a segment in here that I might put back in which I wouldn't close up a school bus.
Starting point is 00:04:40 But um... What a crossover event. Oh boy. Oh boy. The Saudis really good at that shit. Turns out. Oh, okay. But let's get back to the topic at hand, which is, what is shadow banking and why does it matter to all of us people who live in the normal real world and not in fake finance world?
Starting point is 00:05:00 Does it have anything to do with shadow wolves? Unfortunately, no. What about Shadow Fax? Sadly. Actually, there probably is a connection between the financing for the Lord of the Rings movies and Shadow Banking. I'm just too tired to work it right now. I've dragged us off track and we haven't even gotten on track yet. What is Shadow Banking?
Starting point is 00:05:22 Okay. So the good news, the good news, this is the first, it's not the last piece of good news we're going to get this episode. But, comma, the definition used by most non-actors. academics is actually not that bad. There's a pretty good, it's very wishy-washy because it's a congressional report. And so it's specifically not supposed to be taking a stance in either direction on anything because it's, it's the Congressional Review Office and they're supposed to be neutral, etc., etc. Allegedly. Yeah, right. You know, and like obviously they're not. But like, you know, it's like kind of fine congressional report on the subject. And they do the thing that almost everyone does,
Starting point is 00:06:02 which is they go back to the definition created by the Financial Stability Board. And I'm just going to quote that because it's not that bad. Quote, financial activities facilitated by institutions other than central banks, banks, or public financial institutions. So it's banking that doesn't involve a bank. Yes. Cancelled. I'm out. I'm out already. Yes. And they don't mean like me loaning you $20.
Starting point is 00:06:29 No. No, no. Of course not. They just mean unregulated banking. Oh, yeah. Which you can't legally call banking. I mean, you actually can legally call it banking. It's just things get weird really quickly.
Starting point is 00:06:44 I mean, I'm not a bank understander. But I know, at least in Virginia, you can't incorporate a business that has the word bank in the title unless you are legally a bank. Because that's like misleading. Yeah, I don't think they can legally call themselves a bank, but I guess you can call it banking activity. That's stupid and I'm mad already. Yes. Oh, you're going to get so much more mad by the end of this. So the base definition is it's not that complicated, right?
Starting point is 00:07:08 It's something that does banking stuff that is legally not a bank. You know, and so we can talk about what kinds of things is this, right? It's like private equity firms, it's hedge funds, it's venture capital firms. So it's like evil stuff that ruins the world for no reason except for like 10 guys make money? Yeah, but it's also, you know, pension funds. It's like insurance companies, it's sovereign wealth funds, business development companies, repo markets, broker dealers, special investment vehicles, securityization vehicles, money market mutual funds, asset-backed commercial paper conduits. Hey, here's the thing, bud. Most of those things you just said to me are fake and they make me upset.
Starting point is 00:07:48 It's really bad. Sovereign wealth, shut up. That's not. That's not a thing. I still, you know, all these, all these things are just like different ways of saying like, you're poor and you're going to. die. Yeah, I mean, the funny thing is sovereign wealth fund is like kind of a less fake one in that it's like, it's all fake. It's all fake. It's all fake. It's like, well, it's like this is, like, the kingdom of Saudi Arabia has pooled all of the money it's gotten from its like horrific crimes and put them
Starting point is 00:08:15 together into one giant thing and that's a sovereign wealth fund. Oh, so it's good is what you mean. No, I am a notable. There is, by the way, a camp of people who believe that sovereign wealth funds are like a socialist thing and that you could use them to do socialism. I'm going to jump out the window. I think this is so stupid. Yeah, this is, we haven't even gotten into the nightmare stuff. So remember I was talking about the financial stability board definition in that congressional report, right, where it's like, okay, this is a bank that does non-banking stuff or a non-bank that
Starting point is 00:08:47 does banking stuff, sorry. Oh, I guess we should say, I guess we forgot to say at the top, the reason you're explaining shadow banking to me is because we saw an article last week that what those not banks were putting a stop on withdrawals from their not banks. and I didn't know what that meant. Yeah, that's amazingly, this is so convoluted. We're not even going to get to that this week. Right, but like that's why we're explaining.
Starting point is 00:09:10 Yeah, that's why. Right. There's like, yeah, there's like, there was like a mini bank run going on with these like shadow banks. No, it's not banks. Yeah. So we're going to get into how that can happen and why. But before we get there, we need to talk about, all right, to get a sense of the complexity of this, right?
Starting point is 00:09:26 The congressional report, like the accepted terminology for this. is not shadow banks. It is... Right, that can't be their official name. That's not their government name. No. It's non-bank financial intermediation. Now, what the fuck is that?
Starting point is 00:09:41 This is where this episode goes completely off the rails, because the components of what count as intermediation are so complicated. I am not going to try to describe it until literally the end of this. I mean, is it like, what is Venmo officially? Like, Venmo's not a bank, but it provides like financial services. Actually, I... It might. Because that's like a financial intermediary, right?
Starting point is 00:10:04 Yeah, it might technically be a non-bank. I don't know what the regulatory structure is. It's not legally a bank. Yeah, I think that technically is one. Score one for Molly. Yeah. But, okay, so this is going to get really bad. Okay, so what I first started researching his episode, right?
Starting point is 00:10:23 The first thing that I click on is the Federal Reserve's chart of how the shadow banking sector works compared to the normal banking sector. Molly, you have seen this. Because I posted it as a joke in our group chat. This chart, I have like a very, very large, like, it is like a big normal ass-sized monitor that I like do my work on. I had to zoom in to 380% just to make out the letters that label the boxes on this chart. If you want to read it, you have to zoom in to 500%. That doesn't seem like a well-made chart. No, here's the thing. It's actually really good. It's just this complicated. I learned later from a paper by Copenhagen Business School professor Audney Helga Daughter.
Starting point is 00:11:11 We're going to come back to Helga Daughter's work a lot in this episode. But I learned from her because she has also experiencing this same chart and going, what the fuck is this fuck-ass chart? I found out that the Federal Reserve recommends that in order to have the diagram be legible, you're supposed to print this chart as a three foot by four foot poster. Oh, that makes sense. Like meeting style. Put it on an easel. Yeah, right.
Starting point is 00:11:40 But like, again, this is a diagram that he's just labeling the parts of the system and making like a line that shows how stuff moves through it. I guess I still don't know what we're talking about. Yeah. So this is what we're going to get into in a second. But first, we have to talk about something even more bleak, which is it, oh, yeah, by the way, these, like, non-banking bank things, like these, like, all these, like, venture capital firms, all these hedge funds, all these fucking weird, ghoulish banks that are not banks. Yeah, they have twice as many assets than the regular banking system. Oh, that doesn't seem good.
Starting point is 00:12:18 Oh, it's about to get worse. It's about to get worse, Molly. That's like saying I keep 70% of the food in my house outside on the porch. Like, no, it goes in the fridge. Oh, it's so bad. It's so bad. So, okay, there's a pretty good congressional report that I was talking about earlier that has this terrifying quote. Quote, as of 2023, the broad measure total financial assets and narrow measure assets at NBFIs. This is the shadow banks. Reached $85.7 trillion and $22.2 trillion, respectively in the United States. But that's more than our GDP.
Starting point is 00:12:58 That's almost three times our GDP. So that's a fake amount of money. Yes. That's not real at all. But it kind of is, right? These compare to total financial assets of $31.1 trillion at banks in the same period. So again, this is almost three times our GDP in assets that they manage or control. So where does the money live?
Starting point is 00:13:23 in a whole bunch of unbelievably convoluted bullshit, like combinations of like loans and real estate and stuff like that. That's not real money. So like, okay, imagine this is schoolhouse rock and instead of like the singing bill, you're like a dollar bill. Like, where are you? We are about to explain this. Where does the money live? Yeah. So, okay, okay.
Starting point is 00:13:49 We are about one, two paragraphs away from getting to this. or like one paragraph. Okay. So the other thing that's very important about this, and this is something Molly was kind of touching on at the beginning of the episode. Maybe I should have opened with this. Yeah, these people, these are the people who blew up the economy in 2008. Well, yeah, because they're making stuff up.
Starting point is 00:14:08 Yeah. It's so bullshit, Molly. You're going to get so mad. This is Calvin Ball. Fuck you, I win. Yeah, it literally is. It's nonsense. It's gibberish.
Starting point is 00:14:18 They're doing fucking betting markets with the entire world economy. Oh, yeah. We can all do that now. Yeah, it's fun. It's like we now have the power to do the shit that destroyed the entire world economy in 2008. So the thing about shadow banking and the reason why it's complicated to explain is that it's a catch-all term for like a million types of institutions that do different things. Right. The commonality they have is that they're all not regulated by the banking regulations. Right. It's like we found a way to do financial crime that's not illegal because they forgot to make this illegal. Yeah, and, you know, but the thing is, it's so embedded into the system that, like, the U.S. debt working is dependent on the shadow banks buying it. I don't believe in that either, so I'm good. Oh, it's so fake.
Starting point is 00:15:07 Molly, I'm not even going to attempt to explain what an overnight repo purchase is to you because it's the fakesest thing I've ever seen where they make one trillion dollars exist overnight and then it stops existing at the end of the night. It's incredible. I love how much of the economy is based on guys just imagining stuff and agreeing on the thing they imagined and then trading their imaginary tokens. Like, is fucking pogs grow up. Yep. This is, this is, this is, this is unfortunately what our entire world is based on. It's so fun. Oh, God.
Starting point is 00:15:36 Okay. So what is actually shadow banking? I've given you the broadest definition possible, which is like, it again, it's the, it's doing bank shit without being a bank. But let's go back to the beginning of the term. which is where most people tend to start or get to eventually. This is from an IMF paper, quote, the term shadow bank was coined by economist Paul McCulley at a 2007 speech at the annual financial symposium hosted by the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank
Starting point is 00:16:05 in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. And basically, it's institutions that borrow money in the short term through money markets to finance long-term loans, but they aren't banks. so they can't go through the Fed. They're financing loans with other loans. Yeah, we're going to... From a not bank.
Starting point is 00:16:25 Yeah. But the big loan is from a real bank, and then the little loan is from a fake bank? Give me... And none of the money is real. Hold on, hold on. Okay, we're going to get there. We're going to explain this in terms of burgers.
Starting point is 00:16:36 It's going to be okay. I believe in us. Perfect, perfect, yes. But the other thing he describes is, is, and this is from Helga daughter, quote, in the speech, she describes shadow banking as the whole alphabet soup of leveraged up investment conduits, vehicles, and structures.
Starting point is 00:16:51 So what he's talking about specifically is these are the guys who blew up the economy in 2008. Like these specifically, this is what he's talking about, right? These are the people who took a mortgage and then did a bunch of bullshit to it in what's called a securitization chain. They did a bunch of bullshit to it so you could give the loan to someone else. So you could sell it to someone else. And this blew up the entire world economy. That's what he's talking about.
Starting point is 00:17:12 He's talking about the banks that are not banks, the shadow banks, that did all. of this bullshit to turn like someone's mortgage into a fucking thing you could bet on. So selling debt is like selling the idea of future money? Yeah. And then sometimes that future money doesn't come. Yeah. So, so, okay, I will say you do not need to understand this yet because we haven't, we still have not started the actual explanation.
Starting point is 00:17:39 I'm never going to. I believe in us. We can do this. It's, it's not that bad. Okay. I'm not torturing you're on purpose. I'm just numb. It's, okay, I believe in you.
Starting point is 00:17:49 So I want to mention that I'm very indebted here to the paper I mentioned earlier from Copenhagen Business School, Professor Audney Helga Daughter, who wrote a, she wrote a very good simplified explanation of this in her review of international political economy article called Banking Upside Down, the Implicit politics of shadow banking expertise. But, okay, as you can tell by the fact that it's called banking upside down, the implicit politics of shadow banking expertise. This has been, when she's simplifying it, she's simplifying it from like
Starting point is 00:18:20 economists down to like a political scientist or an anthropologist can understand this. I am a throughout to attempt to simplify this down to a regular person can understand this. So I'm drawing on a lot of her stuff
Starting point is 00:18:35 for the first part of this explanation, but I am, I've turned it into burgers. So. I'll do my best. I'm being very brave. Okay, so a shadow bank, right? It's something that does banking shit.
Starting point is 00:18:47 That's not a bank. So what do I mean by banking shit? That was my next question. Yes. I think we need to start with what is a bank first. So, okay, okay. And this is where we're starting here. What does a bank do?
Starting point is 00:19:00 I put my money in it and they hold it for me. So no, actually. And this is the interesting part. No, they do stuff with it. Oh, yeah. They're holding on to the promise of my money. Yeah. So, okay, let's just look at this for a second.
Starting point is 00:19:13 So, okay, so regular people give them money to store in the bank. This is called a deposit. The bank takes your money and loans it out. Right. And uses that to make more money. This is how it pays you interest, right? It's taking your money and it's loaning it out to other people. It's buying things with it.
Starting point is 00:19:33 That part I understand. Yeah. And this is obviously a cartoon image. And I know there's going to be econ people who are going to be mad at me. Look, if you understand. Why are they listening to this? If you already know what this means, go away. This isn't for you.
Starting point is 00:19:47 I'm not humiliating myself for your entertainment. Like for the political economy, people hear, when I say stuff that might, that's like technically kind of fuzzy. It's for me, the podcast idiot. Yeah, like you understand this. Like, I'm working at the level of hamburgers here. So, like, we have to do some abstractions. So, okay, the important thing for our purposes, right,
Starting point is 00:20:08 is that there's two things here, right? There's, like, the deposit, is the money you give them. and then there's the loans. Right. And these operates on different timelines, right? You can take the deposit out at any time, at least in theory, but they can't get the money from the loan back at any time. Right.
Starting point is 00:20:25 Now, this is like one of the critical things of what a bank is, is this timeline thing, right? It turns your money, which you can take out at any time, into a different kind of thing, this loan, which can't be taken out immediately. right and then they use that to make money so this is called maturity transformation this is a very simple concept they have made very complicated this is one of the core aspects of that definition i was talking about earlier this is one of the four things in it but you now understand this it's not that complicated it's it's take short term make long term and we'll get to doing the reverse in a second oh i don't think it works the other way yeah it's going to go so badly it's going to go so
Starting point is 00:21:10 badly. I don't know about bank, but just generally speaking, like, in terms of time and, like, how material reality works, I don't think it works the other way. It's not great. It's not great, Molly. It's not great. Okay. So, okay, there is, however, a problem here, right? Which is what happens if everyone tries to get their short-term money back at the same time? Oh, you can't. Yeah, right, because-all you have deposit insurance. Yeah, right, because the banks aren't holding short-term cash. What they're holding is long-term loans, and those loans, like, you can't pay someone alone. Well, okay, actually, this entire, the crux of this episode is they found a way to do that.
Starting point is 00:21:49 Yeah. Yes, and it blew up the entire world economy. But if I wanted $40,000 out of my, if I had a checking account with $40,000 in it, and they gave me my neighbor's mortgage as a promise, like, that wouldn't work for me. That wouldn't work for me. No, fuck that. No, no, no. You need, you need something that can buy a burger, and they're not giving you that.
Starting point is 00:22:08 So, okay, this is very, very bad. If people try to do this, it's called a bank run. It is not good. It's bad. Yeah, and so this blew up, this blew up the entire world economy so many goddamn times that eventually we got financial regulation. Now, this regulation requires banks to have money that is like actual cash they can hand you. Like right now, on hand at all times.
Starting point is 00:22:34 And the government gets to, and this is, that's a little bit of someification, but like, yeah, That's how it works, right? And it's insured by the government. Yeah, the government will give you your money back if the bank goes under up to like a certain amount. $250,000. FDIC insured. Yep, this is, this, that's what that means, right?
Starting point is 00:22:50 The government will give you your money back. But also, there's a tradeoff to this. So this is a massive benefit for the banks, right? The fact that if they go under all of their assets will be repaid by the government, it's a massive benefit for them because it means that putting your money in the bank is like safe. Yeah, I love that for me. Right. Yeah, it's good.
Starting point is 00:23:08 Now, the cost to the banks is that the feds get to see their balance sheet, right? The feds get to see what they're doing with their fucking money, and they get to make sure that these banks aren't doing insane shit. Okay, that makes sense because they're insuring it. Yeah. And that, like, they're not doing, like, unbelievably risky, awful shit and also that they're actually holding enough money to be able to pay people out. Right. Okay. So far so good.
Starting point is 00:23:31 I understand bank. Yeah. Now, shadow banking boldly asked the question. Okay, but what if you did all of the banking backwards? No one had access to the books and the government will only pay you back if the entire world economy looks like it's going to die? I feel like at that point, the government should just step back. Here's the thing, here's the thing, right? I, yeah, like, I'm so down with this.
Starting point is 00:24:01 Like, yeah, I don't know. Fuck it. Like every single one of you motherfuckers is going to pay this off by working as a barista for 30 years. Like, fuck you. But the government was like, nah, we want, like, we want capitalism to keep working. Make every hedge fund manager work at a Waffle House. Yeah. Fuck them. Canadian women are looking for more. More to themselves, their businesses, their elected leaders, and the world are out of them. And that's why we're thrilled to introduce the Honest Talk podcast. I'm Jennifer Stewart. And I'm Catherine Clark. And in this podcast, we interview Camel. and it is most inspiring women. Entrepreneurs, artists, athletes, politicians, and newsmakers, all at different stages of their journey. So if you're looking to connect, then we hope you'll join us. Listen to the Honest Talk podcast on IHeartRadio
Starting point is 00:24:50 or wherever you listen to your podcasts. I'm Lori Siegel, a longtime tech journalist. And consider my new podcast, mostly human, your bridge to the future. Anyone can now be an entrepreneur, anyone can build an app, and it's very empowering. Each week, I'll speak to the people building that future, and we're going to break down what all of this innovation actually means for you.
Starting point is 00:25:12 What I come to realize is that when people think that they're dating these AI companion, they're actually dating the companies that create this. We're experiencing one of the greatest tech accelerations in human history. And let's be honest, that can be messy. There's no playbook for what to do when an AI model hallucinates a story about you. But it's my belief that we should all benefit from this moment. Mostly Human will show you how. My goal is to give you the playbook, so you can benefit.
Starting point is 00:25:43 The reason I say agency is because if we can give power back to people, then I think that's probably the best thing we can do for your mental health. Listen to Mostly Human on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows. Why hasn't a woman formally participated in a Formula One race weekend in over a decade? Think about how many skills they have to develop at such a young age. What can we learn from all of the new F1 romance novels suddenly popping up every year? He still smelled of podium champagne and expensive friction. And how did a 2023 event called Wag A Geddon change the paddock forever?
Starting point is 00:26:25 That day is just seared into my memory. I'm culture writer and F1 expert Lily Herman, and these are just a few of the questions I'm tackling on no grip, a Formula One culture podcast that dives into the under-explored pockets of the sport. In each episode, a different guests and I will go deeper into the wacky mishap, scandals, and sagas, both on the track and far away from it, that have made F1 a delightful, decadent dumpster fire for more than 75 years. Listen to No Grip on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. You know, Roald Dahl, the writer who thought up Willie Wonka, Matilda, and the BFG. But did you know he was also a spy?
Starting point is 00:27:06 Was this before he wrote his stories? It must have been. Our new podcast series, The Secret World of Roll Doll, is a wild journey through the hidden chapters of his extraordinary, controversial life. His job was literally to seduce the wives of powerful Americans. And he was really good at it.
Starting point is 00:27:22 You probably won't believe it either. Okay, I don't think that's true. I'm telling you, the guy was a spy. Did you know Dahl got cozy with the Roosevelt's? Played poker with Harry Truman and had a long affair with a congresswoman. And then he took his talents to Hollywood, where he worked alongside Walt Disney and Alfred Hitchman. before writing a hit James Bond film.
Starting point is 00:27:42 How did this secret agent wind up as the most successful children's author ever? And what darkness from his covert past seeped into the stories we read as kids. The true story is stranger than anything he ever wrote. Listen to the secret world of Roll Dahl on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Okay. I'm going to say something and then I'm going to make a disclaimer. So the kind of shadow banks that did 2008 work in the United. the opposite direction. They start with debt. They take that debt and they turn that debt into
Starting point is 00:28:19 like cash, right? Can I do that? No. Does that work for me at my house? No. So, okay, and I also want to mention, there's a bunch of other kinds of shadow banks. The kind of shadow bank that's going under right now is not really this. The kind of shadow bank that's like exploding right now is a kind of shadow bank that's like, what if a bank that wasn't a bank, gave a completely unregulated loan with secret terms to a corporation. And that's the one that's going under right now. But for a long, long time, the kind of shadow bank that was really important to the global economy, and this is still like a massive portion of how all of the economic system works, is these ones where you're trying to take debt and turn it into something you can
Starting point is 00:29:05 trade for cash. So, okay, you take debt, right? You start off with a mortgage. Okay. So these mortgages pay out over the extreme. long term, right? But you want to be able to trade this mortgage for cash. Right. And this is a process called securitization. Turning this mortgage into something you can sell for cash is making it into what's called a security. So now what happens, right, when it's packaged into a security, when there's a securitization process and then like the regular bank, the regular bank sends the mortgage to the shadow bank. And the shadow bank does like, stuff and turns it into a security.
Starting point is 00:29:43 And now what this means is that instead of you who paid the mortgage owning money to the bank, you own it to the shadow bank or whoever the fuck the shadow bank sells it to, right? Okay. So the real bank is involved. The real bank is involved. Yes. Oh, yes.
Starting point is 00:29:58 The real bank is making so much money off of it. This is why 2008 happened. Oh, because Wells Fargo did this with everybody's mortgage. Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. Okay, because I couldn't figure out, because you said this was not 2008. I was like, I thought Wells Fargo did that. That's a real bank.
Starting point is 00:30:10 Oh, no. But the real bank was shadow banking. The real bank figured out a way to sell their mortgages. And it's going to get much worse as we go through this. But that's what causes this, right? Is turning these mortgages into these like securities and like these like collateralized debt obligations and these like special packaged bullshit that you could sell to someone. So the way I would describe this is it's like, do you know how a bond works?
Starting point is 00:30:37 Honestly, Mia, I do not. Okay, let's do this. We can do this. Okay, so the kind of bond that you are normally likely to encounter is a government bond. Yeah. Okay, so you pay the government money to buy the bond. And what the bond says is at a certain point in time, you hand it back to the government and they pay you more money. Right. It's like a promise for later. Yeah, right. So it's basically a loan, but it's a loan in a form where like the government's technically like selling it. and then the other thing about bonds, right, is if you hand the bond to someone else, well, okay, I mean, this is technically bearer bonds. But like, you can then give the bond to someone else. And now if they give it back to the government, they get the money.
Starting point is 00:31:24 In like 10 years, they get the money, right? Right. Okay, that I get that. And you can sell these things. And this is what these people are doing with mortgages. That's not as like secured as like a government bond. Because if I have a $100 government, like if I have $100 bearers bond, I know for a fact that on the date on the bond
Starting point is 00:31:41 it's going to be worth $100. Yeah, they're going to pay out. Right. But if it's just somebody's mortgage, the government's going to pay it. But like the mortgage got the person who has the mortgage, that's not real. That's not money.
Starting point is 00:31:53 Nope. Yep. That's like, that's a promise, but like my hand is behind my back. Yeah, it's a shit show. And this whole process is the largest sort of, I'm not sure if that's actually the largest. I would need to actually like get,
Starting point is 00:32:05 I haven't seen in-death breakdown sectorally. but like... None of this is real. You could just say whatever. This is one of the most important kind of shadow banks because in order to turn this mortgage into a security, the moment you do that, you do this by creating what's called a special purpose vehicle or someone else creates one. It's called a special purpose vehicle. Yeah. It's a nightmare.
Starting point is 00:32:27 I'm going to put this mortgage on a roller coaster. Yeah, it's fucking ridiculous. Right. It's a special purpose vehicle. It does a loop-de-loop. But the moment you create one of these, the moment you create one of these, the moment you create, one of these like security mortgages, right? That's a shadow bank.
Starting point is 00:32:42 You've created a shadow bank. Right, because that's not real banking, that's shadow banking. Yep. Because you're creating another entity that is not a bank that's doing the banking stuff. I thought that the banking and the shadow banking were like separate things, right? Because it's like, no, no, no, no, it's like, oh, they're doing non-bank stuff. Oh, they're all in on it. But if the bank, if the bank is doing shadow banking, I would, I'm stupid, but I would call that a crime.
Starting point is 00:33:06 This is another thing that cost 2008. Because a bunch of what was happening here was... Why isn't that a crime? Because our country is run by the bourgeoisie, Molly. That's why it's not a crime. You're just telling me this for the first time. Yeah, it's bad. So what happened in 2008, one of the things that happened, right, is...
Starting point is 00:33:24 So all of these regulators are supposed to be looking at the balance sheets of these companies. But they're hiding stuff off the books. Yeah, they were hiding these things in these, like, special purpose vehicles, like, in these, like, shadow banks. They didn't open the trunks on the special purpose vehicles. Yeah. So no one could see the fucking dead bodies in the trunks of the vehicles because they weren't on the balance sheet that like the government had access to. What's the point of the balance sheet if you don't put the whole balance on it? I'm fucking, I don't know.
Starting point is 00:33:50 And this is like legitimately when you read the accounts of like why shadow making has exploded, by the way, it's exploded since 2008. It's like way bigger now. Exploded like in popularity or like exploded as in like destroy. There's so much more of it. There's so much more of it. Because it went so well. It went so well. 2008 that now everyone's doing it. Because here's the thing. After 2008, we got like a little tiny
Starting point is 00:34:13 bit of banking regulation. And the banks lost their fucking minds. And so more and more money went into all of these unhinged shadow making things. Okay. But so like when a toddler has a tantrum, you don't give them a billion dollars. When these shadow banks went under, these things were not backed by the government. The government bailed them out anyways. Yeah, they didn't have to do that. Nope. So they really, they learned their lesson. They really learned their lesson this time. Yeah. Like, they bailed out these banks and they fucking sold you out. And, like, you know, like, one of the things that I think people have forgotten was there's this thing called robocalls during the Obama administration, right? Part of how the financial recovery happened was that all these banks would, like, go to courthouses, right?
Starting point is 00:34:53 And they would just repossess mortgages on mass. Oh. And they had, like, a robot that was, like, sign. It would just sign, like a blank check sign off on all these mortgages that were supposedly underwater. and they would just steal people's houses. People who were on top of their payments, people who, like, didn't know money, they would just take their houses. And this happened en masse. And this is, like, how the banks recovered was they stole everyone's houses.
Starting point is 00:35:16 And that's a crime, right? Yes, it should have been a crime. Like, it was illegal. It didn't matter, though, because these people... Everything you're describing to me is a crime. It's so nightmarish. Well, it's your thing, most of the stuff I'm describing is not a crime. This was actually a crime.
Starting point is 00:35:30 But why is nobody in jail? Because Barack Obama was... went up in front of these people and said, I am the only thing standing between you and the guillotine. I'm pretty sure that's a direct quote. And why didn't he bring the guillotine with him? Because he wants the capitalist system to continue. I mean, that's a silly question. I know who Barack Obama is.
Starting point is 00:35:48 I'm just upset. It's not good. Okay. So let's get you another question that you asked, which is why would you do this? Why would you do this thing? Oh, to make money? Yes, but it's actually more complicated than that. Oh.
Starting point is 00:36:01 Okay. So on the one hand, these assets, you know, a mortgage does make more money than just putting your money in the bank, right? That's like the basis of banking, is that they can use your money that's sitting in the bank and getting interest and then they make more money by spending it elsewhere. But so they're just doing this because they hate us, not just to make money. No. There is an actual explanation. There's the third reason. So then why would you ever have your money in a bank or like buy something like, say if government bonds you can sell really quickly, right?
Starting point is 00:36:30 why would you ever want that? And the reason why is something called liquidity. Right, you want to be able to spend the money. Yes. Rather than wait 30 years for it to get paid back. Yes. Liquidity is just how easy is it to turn whatever you own into cash, right? And real money, because most of what we're talking about is not money.
Starting point is 00:36:50 It's the idea of money. Yes. So liquidity is literally, it's the burger test, right? Can you buy a burger with this? Can I eat this? money is like the most liquid asset, right? Because you can you can turn this into a burger. Right. So liquidity is the only part of this that's actually money. Everything else is not money. Yeah. Well, liquidity is the measure of how money is it basically? Like how easy is it to turn this into burger?
Starting point is 00:37:14 Is this a special vehicle securitization? It's not real, Mia. No, it's fake as shit, right? This is not that complicated. Right? If you, if it's like like you can, you can buy a burger with $10. Yes. Right? That's liquid. Actually, you kind of can't these days. I know. Look, I... Look, I... Imagine a world where you can buy a burger for $10.
Starting point is 00:37:41 Imagine a burger. Yes. Imagine a burger that's purchasable. Now, what you can't buy a burger with is, like, the $10 that a guy you work with owes you for buying him a burger. Depends on how well you know the burger guy. Yeah, but that's where things get bad. Right? Now, the thing is, right, so the $10, the guy you work with, like, owes you, not liquid. You don't have the money in your hand. And if you want to get it from him, you have to, like, go ask him for the money. And maybe he has $10 and maybe he doesn't. Right? At which point, you can't get your $10 back until he has the money. But that, but that $10 that I am theoretically owed is an asset that I have, not a debt. Yes. Okay. Yes. This is an asset. Right. This is stupid. Now, loans, loans are not liquid.
Starting point is 00:38:29 assets, right? And they're not liquid assets because you can't get the money back, like, immediately. So I don't have $10 I can spend, but on paper, I do have $10 theoretical dollars. Yeah, right. And this is also like most of what billionaire money is. Fake, right. Because, like, most of their money is, like, in, like, a stock or some shit or, like, it's weird fake money. Like, theoretically, they could access this amount of money, but they don't have it. Yeah. It's not real. Now, okay. But there is this question. So why would you keep your money in fake money instead of real money? And the answer is that it gives you more money back. Because say you're an asshole, right, and you're charging interest on your co-worker for that burger loan.
Starting point is 00:39:05 Right. So that $10 is actually worth more than $10. More money. So the $10 that I don't have is theoretically worth $12. You're worth more. Yeah, it's worth more than the money that you do have. I can get cheese on the burger. Yes.
Starting point is 00:39:18 Right. And this is like the fundamental thing of the banking system. Like one of them is that illiquid assets, or like assets that you that aren't money are worth more than money? I guess like when I put a small amount of my savings into a CD, that's what I'm doing except normal style. They're doing it weird. Yeah, basically.
Starting point is 00:39:40 Because that's like an illiquid asset that I'm, I'm trading the ability to access that liquidity for the potential of more money later. Wait, sorry, when you say a CD, do you mean like a physical like a disc, like a CD? No, a CD like at the bank. Oh, like the, yeah, yeah, yeah. Like the investment product. Yeah, sure. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Sorry, I was like... No, I'm not talking about buying compact discs.
Starting point is 00:40:00 I would just sleep at 5 a.m. this morning. It's been a long day. I'm talking about investing Mia ever heard of it? Wow. There's actually a really annoying thing researching this episode because there's like, so CDOs are like a type of loan that we'll kind of get to in a bit, but there's also a tech position called CDO. It's like Chief Something Officer. Chief Duky Officer, who cares? Yeah, whatever the fuck, right? But like, when you're trying to search for stuff, that's like about CDOs, right? The other one keeps
Starting point is 00:40:28 coming up. I hate it. Okay, okay, locking in, locking in, right? Lock and load. Now, what if you both wanted more money and also the ability to buy a burger? I guess I would probably break one of Carl's fingers. This is the guy that owes me the $10, Carl.
Starting point is 00:40:45 Yeah, but even then it's hard to, even that's like, this is too hard for these people. I would go to Carl's house and kick him out of it. Well, yeah, but the other thing is like, You are not very rich. Okay. These people, if you are really, really rich, I am talking like billionaires, maybe like high, high class multi-millionaires.
Starting point is 00:41:05 Well, you can go to a shadow bank. Oh. Right? You can get a loan based on the loan. No. Well, you say, the thing is that you have money, right? But you want to turn your money into more money. Like, you have like actual cash, right?
Starting point is 00:41:20 Like you are, you are, for example, a pension fund. No, I'm not. You have a shit ton of cash. Or imagine a pension fund, right? This is also really hard because it used to be easier to explain this. Because, like, we used to live in a world where people had pension funds and had mortgages. And now we no longer have pension funds or mortgages. I live in an apartment.
Starting point is 00:41:42 And I will always live in an apartment. Yeah. No. And so, okay, so, like, imagine a pension fund, right? You have a shit ton of money from your members paying into the fund. But it's cash. you need to turn that cash into more money, but also you're a pension fund.
Starting point is 00:41:58 So you constantly have to take money back out in order to pay the people who are retiring. To pay old people, yeah. And this is also a thing that, like, if you're just like a rich person, sometimes you want your, a lot of times you want your money in assets that are like you can turn back into real money
Starting point is 00:42:14 but also make you a shit ton of money. Right, they need to sort of revolve a little bit. They need to be like, I don't know, like a jello, like partially liquid. Yeah. And this is what the shadow banks do, right? Because the thing that you can buy is one of those mortgages they've turned into like a security, right? You can go buy someone else's debt.
Starting point is 00:42:34 But because it's a magic security now, and these are called mortgage-backed securities. And again, if you're old enough to remember, yeah, anything about 2008, that's what blew up the whole economy, is these mortgage-back securities. Yeah, I've heard of that because it was bad. Yep. Terrible idea. And so we're still doing that? Oh, yeah. Oh, okay, good.
Starting point is 00:42:53 I mean, it's less, specifically the mortgage-backed ones are less bad. Also, they started doing it with, like, commercial retail loans, which is incredible. Oh, great. So that's really fun. They're also doing with other unhinged shit that we're going to do, like, next episode. And what these people are really buying aren't just these, like, you're not buying, like, one person's mortgage, right? Right, they're, like, pooled and, like, bundled.
Starting point is 00:43:16 Yeah. Yeah, they, like, they bundled them all together, and then you buy the rights to a percentage. of the pool. It's not like when you sponsor like an elephant in Africa or something and they send you a picture of like a specific element. They don't send you.
Starting point is 00:43:29 They don't send you. They don't do a picture of the family you're harming. No. These are the Joneses. You own their fucking house. It's a shit show. No.
Starting point is 00:43:38 Well, I mean, eventually you might have to go figure out who that is because you like own whatever the fuck percentage of like the mortgages or whatever. But like, okay. So these are just like someone else's debt that you're buying.
Starting point is 00:43:51 and the people who can do this are, you know, people who have billions of dollars. It's not you, the listener. And by the way, if you, the listener have billions of dollars lying around for some reason. Can I have some? Please, yes. Please, please give me some of them so I can house, like, literally every trans woman. And, like, trans person, I can do it. Like, please give me your billions of dollars so I can achieve this goal.
Starting point is 00:44:12 But, like, we're talking about, you know, like the pension fund of California. We're talking about mega corporations, insurance companies, the kinds of things I can actually buy these, like, you know. Now, this is where we get to one of the other problems, which is that these things are not insured. So, what do you do in order to try to make it less risky? What do you get if you can't pay the loan back? And this is what's called collateral. I don't know, swift punch in the nuts. Oh, no, they take your house, right? Yeah. That's supposed to be the thing. So, okay, the way that, like, shadow banking loans tend to work is that they have, collateral, right? So you give them something or, or is either you give them something directly or it's like if you promise to give them the thing. Yeah. And giving it to them directly is like a repo market thing. We're not really going to get into those right now. But this does that's like that's
Starting point is 00:45:07 also a kind of shadow bank. But there's a problem, right? Which is what if the thing that you're paying, you're paying as collateral, like what if your house becomes worthless? And what if, What if Molly? Then it's completely uninsured and there's no way to fix it because I don't even have anything to give it. Now, Molly, what if, and this is purely hypothetical, it could never happen in the real world, Molly. But what if somehow, someone decided to use the same house as collateral for multiple different securities? Well, that could never go wrong. What if, Molly, they made a word for this that is so complicated I am not going to attempt to read it.
Starting point is 00:45:48 on the show. What if, Molly? What is it in German or something? No, it's like this, it's just like this. It's like the, it's like the legs of my head. It's like hyper something bullshit. Like, I refuse to say it because it is just like a completely like finance gold bullshit term they made up. So, but the point
Starting point is 00:46:06 of, the point of collateral is that you can use it to pay off the loan if you default on the loan. And so that literally won't work more than once. Because once I eat the burger, Once I eat the burger, it's gone. Yep.
Starting point is 00:46:20 And this is one of the things that happened in 2008. I can't promise 10 guys my burger. Now, Molly, here's the amazing thing here, right? But the advantage for these companies, right? It's like if you're the bank that has the mortgage, suddenly you can spin your mortgage off into like multiple securities that you can sell. Right.
Starting point is 00:46:37 It's worth 10 times more and that's great for you. Yes. And comma, comma, we haven't even. Again, I just described the system where these people are promising the same house to most old people. This isn't even the extremely unfathomably reckless and greedy shit. No, it is. Oh, it is.
Starting point is 00:46:55 But it's not the worst of it. Oh, good. Canadian women are looking for more. More into themselves, their businesses, their elected leaders, and the world are out of them. And that's why we're thrilled to introduce the Honest Talk podcast. I'm Jennifer Stewart. And I'm Catherine Clark. And in this podcast, we interview Canada's most inspiring women.
Starting point is 00:47:20 Entrepreneurs, artists, athletes, politicians. and newsmakers, all at different stages of their journey. So if you're looking to connect, then we hope you'll join us. Listen to the Honest Talk podcast on IHartRadio or wherever you listen to your podcasts. I'm Lori Siegel, a longtime tech journalist. And consider my new podcast, mostly human, your bridge to the future. Anyone can now be an entrepreneur. Anyone can build an app.
Starting point is 00:47:45 And it's very empowering. Each week, I'll speak to the people building that future. And we're going to break down what all of this innovation actually means for you. What I come to realize is that when people think that they're dating these AI companion, they're actually dating the companies that create this. We're experiencing one of the greatest tech accelerations in human history. And let's be honest, that can be messy. There's no playbook for what to do when an AI model hallucinates a story about you.
Starting point is 00:48:15 But it's my belief that we should all benefit from this moment. Mostly human will show you how. My goal is to give you the playbook, so you can be able to. benefit. The reason I say agency is because if we can give power back to people, then I think that's probably the best thing we can do for your mental health. Listen to mostly human on the IHeart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to your favorite shows. Why hasn't a woman formally participated in a Formula One race weekend in over a decade? Think about how many skills they have to develop at such a young age. What can we learn from all of the new F1 romance novels
Starting point is 00:48:54 suddenly popping up every year? He still smelled of podium champagne and expensive friction. And how did a 2023 event called Wag Agetten change the paddock forever? That day is just seared into my memory. I'm culture writer and F1 expert Lily Herman, and these are just a few of the questions I'm tackling on no grip, a Formula One culture podcast that dives into the under-explored pockets of the sport. In each episode, a different guests and I will go deeper into the wacky mishaps,
Starting point is 00:49:25 scandals, and sagas, both on the track, and far away from it, that have made F1 a delightful, decadent dumpster fire for more than 75 years. Listen to No Grip on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. You know Roll Doll, the writer who thought up Willie Wonka, Matilda, and the BFG. But did you know he was also a spy? Was this before he wrote his stories? It must have been. Our new podcast series, The Secret World of Roll Doll, is a wild journey through the hidden chapters of his extraordinary, controversial life.
Starting point is 00:49:58 His job was literally to seduce the wives of powerful Americans. What? And he was really good at it. You probably won't believe it either. Okay, I don't think that's true. I'm telling you. I was a spy. Did you know Dahl got cozy with the Roosevelt's?
Starting point is 00:50:13 Played poker with Harry Truman and had a long affair with a congresswoman. And then he took his talents to Hollywood, where he worked alongside Walt Disney and Alfred Hitchcock, before writing a hit James Bond film. How did this secret agent wind up as the most successful children's author ever? and what darkness from his covert past seeped into the stories we read as kids. The true story is stranger than anything he ever wrote. Listen to the secret world of Roll Dahl on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.
Starting point is 00:50:42 Okay, so do you remember that quote from when I was giving the first definition of shadow banking, right? Like I gave, I gave this quote from the guy who invented the term where he called it, quote, the whole alphabet soup of leveraged up investment conduits vehicles and structures. Right. So we've kind of talked about the conduits vehicles and structures, right? Those are all of the shadow banks that like make the things, right. I love the conduits vehicles and structures. Yeah, all the acronyms.
Starting point is 00:51:12 But what does leveraged up mean? Oh. Now, okay, in this case, it means that a bunch of these banks have taken out a shit ton of like risky high interest loans in order to buy more of these fucking, mortgages because they think they can make more money off of it. So they took out they took out loans to buy these unsecured securities. The regular ass banks were doing this. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:51:41 They they went into debt to buy more of these shitty mortgages. So they took out loans to buy what are essentially unsecured loans. Yep. Because I thought it would make them more money. But there's no money involved. Oh, oh, oh, Molly. Negative hypothetical money. It is about to get so much worse, right?
Starting point is 00:52:00 So sticking with leveraging for a second, right? You might have actually heard of something called a leveraged buyout. I have heard those words, and then I stop listening. Yeah, so here's the thing. Leveraged buyouts are something that actually happens in the real world that does fuck you directly, which is a whole bunch of companies that used to be like normalized companies, like died because venture capital firms. You, by the way, are also shadow banks. Oh.
Starting point is 00:52:25 did this, right? They came in, technically speaking, they did it through like risky bond purchases, but basically they did a bunch of high interest loans and then they go buy a company. And then they like strip it for parts. And then they try to raise the stock price of the company. Yeah. And then they trip for parts, sell everything and get out, right? That's what a leverage buyout is. These people are sort of are doing kind of a version of that, but like they're taking on this debt in order to like buy fucking shitty underwater mortgages. Because they look like they're making so much money. They're taking on real debt to buy hypothetical debt.
Starting point is 00:52:59 Oh, it's about to get so much worse. That doesn't seem like a good idea. It's about to get so much worse. So that's what like the leveraged part of that. I don't even know how you do that in burgers. I don't know. You're going into debt to like buy the promise of burgers in the future so you can sell those future burgers. Yeah, but burgers are real.
Starting point is 00:53:22 We're not talking about a real thing at all. Well, technically, technically speaking somewhere at the bottom of this is mortgages. However, comma, we're about to get into a kind of asset where there isn't anything behind it. And this is where the really, really, truly unhinged shit starts. It hasn't yet? Which is that these companies figured out a way to bet on whether these mortgages were going to fail or not. That's so tight, Mia. I fucking love that.
Starting point is 00:53:48 I love it. Yes. Yep. Yeah. This, by the way, I can't emphasize enough how unhinged this is. the mechanism they're using to do this is called a credit default swap oh I've heard that phrase
Starting point is 00:54:00 this was supposed to be how they did insurance their mechanism for doing insurance on all of these insane loans they were doing was originally like okay I'm gonna you're so you have a bank right the bank has given out a risky loan so this bank goes to another bank
Starting point is 00:54:16 they shouldn't do that and they say hey if this person actually pays a loan back I will pay you money okay so the other so the other bank is like taking a gamble here. Yeah. So the other bank that's giving out the loan, right, gets money if the loan goes under. So in theory, they're sort of like insured against the risk. They call it like hedging. So like so like theoretically it's less bad from them because now even if the loan goes under, they still get money back from that other bank. So the other bank is just a bookie.
Starting point is 00:54:44 Yeah. And the other bank is betting that they are going to get it. So then and if the loan does get paid, then that bank makes money. And this is the, legal for everyone to do. Yep. This is real banking or shadow bank? This is real bank. No, this is technically... Actually, no.
Starting point is 00:55:02 This is actually both. Both of you do this. Technically speaking, the instrument, like the actual credit default swap or whatever is named by the shadow banks, but then they're brought by the regular banks. I'm starting to think that the bank starts with the shadow banks
Starting point is 00:55:15 and that all of this is just fake and bad. Like, here's the thing about these systems, right? Is it like a lot of the original literature on it was considering them separate, but it's like, no, like, the regular banks are making their own shadow banks to do these things. They're all involved in these assets. They're also investing in the shadow banks, which is the problem we're having right now. Right, it's like, it's the same guy. He just, like, turns his chair around at his desk and he's like, now I'm shadow bank Todd. Yeah, but sometimes it's that. Sometimes it legitimately is just other entities they work
Starting point is 00:55:43 with. But yeah, but there's still, it's still the bank engaging. So it's like, oh, these are non-banking practices. Yeah, but the bank is doing it. But here's the thing. The important part for that, though, is that, like, the non-bank also can do this with other non-banks. Even better. Yeah, right? I just feel like, once we're talking about shadow banking, like, the real bank should not be in the room. Like, go home, Wells Fargo. You don't belong here. You're drunk. No, but, like, they're funding all of this, right? Like, if the real bank is involved with the shadow banking, that means, like, I can't opt out of being involved in this. Because they have my money. Yeah. You know what we were talking about
Starting point is 00:56:16 that at the top that, like, so some of these, like, thank banks had to, like, stop their withdrawals. Oh, yeah. One of those, by the way, was J. P. Morgan. But that's a a real bank. Yep, but they're involved in the shadow banking shit. So they are exposed to when they're like fucking $700 million loan to like a fucking, actually, which one was the $700 million? I think a $700 million loan that went under was the one that was to a subprime auto loan company. That's a bad investment. It's like, what? Yeah, it's so evil. It's so evil. Why am I trusting all of my money that I have in this world? I'm letting this guy hold on to it who's obviously not good with fucking money. Well, because the FDIC is insuring it.
Starting point is 00:56:54 Right, but it's like, why are you in charge of having the money? You obviously don't make great financial decisions because you invested $700 million in subprime auto loans. So, Molly, this is the point where we need to bring debt the first 5,000 years back into this and emphasize the extent to which the financial class has always been deeply connected to the military and why it's always been deeply connected to war financing. I'm starting to realize that this is. all very bad. It's very bad. It's all very bad. And this is to some extent why, right, like,
Starting point is 00:57:27 part, part of what right-wing conspiracyism about the financial system is, is that, like, these people are, like, like, the right-wagers, like, these people are, there's, like, a baseline level of anti-Semitism, like, in the U.S., right? Because it is a, it is a Christian society that is just, like, what fucking happens there. And these people are like, okay, we can channel all of the anger at, like, oh, my God, by fucking how Scott's stolen by the bank because they were betting on the mortgage to fail. I still understand
Starting point is 00:57:57 why that's legal. Yeah. What all of these right wing conspiracies do is they look at that shit and they go, oh, well, it was the Jews. And it's like, but no, like, fuck off. Like, these are all... No, it was the bank. Yeah, and the other thing, and this is actually a really important thing that's not well understood here is that, like, the actual people who run these fucking banks, and people
Starting point is 00:58:13 who work at them are all fucking white Christian dipshits. This is like a really, like, persistent issue that everyone fucking has, which is that, like, One of the great successes of anti-Semitism was, like, creating the image of the banker as a Jewish person. And no, they're not. The bank, like, I fucking went to school with these people. They're all a bunch of fucking white frat bros.
Starting point is 00:58:32 They're fucking white Christian frat bros. Oh, right? University of Chicago. You have a degree in the University of Chicago. Not frankly. I have an anthropology degree, thank you very much. I took a real degree, not a fucking fake degree like the stupid econ bullshit. I was to say, that's actually so evil to study economics.
Starting point is 00:58:49 No, it's so hideous. You probably met some of the most. evil people on this plane. I was just like in a dorm with them. Okay. So, but you saw them. I know all these people. Yeah. And like, it is not, it is not a bunch of Jewish people. It's a, it's a bunch of Christian frat pros. Like, that's like the thing that's actually going on. There's actually a whole one day I will write behind the bastards episode about leverage buyouts and about how like there was like a Jewish guy who kind of like did a lot of the inventing stuff. But him breaking into the banking thing was like a whole thing because there was so much
Starting point is 00:59:19 anti-Semitism because all of the banking sector was run by all of the fucking, like, weird dip shit, like CIA, like, wasp motherfuckers. I mean, the Mormons have a huge hedge fund. Yep, yep, yep, yep. Yeah, so, like, what is it? I read an article about it. The hedge fund that the Mormons operate, like, they have their, like, best and brightest finance bros.
Starting point is 00:59:41 Like, you know, Mormons do their, to your mission. If you're really good at finance, your mission, you don't have to go to South America and, like, tell people about the book of Mormon. you can work at the hedge fund as a mission. It's a nightmare. I'm doing hedge funds for God. Yep, that's a shadow bank, by the way. Yep.
Starting point is 00:59:57 It's great. So, okay, okay. Coming back to this again, right? So we're talking about like what causes 2008 and how do these shadow banks like do this? And the answer is that they've turned all of these mortgages into these like fake securities they can trade. Right. They package them all together. and they find out something really crucial,
Starting point is 01:00:20 which is that if they throw a bunch of loans that they obviously know are going to fail together and send them to a regulatory agency, and by the way, all of these bonds that they're issuing have, like, grades based on supposedly, like, how safe they are. And they figure out... I know about that. Yeah, and they figure out that they can send a bunch of really shitty bonds,
Starting point is 01:00:37 but if they package enough shitty bonds together, they could send them to the regulators, and the regulators would evaluate some of them as being good, and then you could sell the good ones to your pension fund? because I thought it was a good bond and it made money. That's just lying. And then, yes, and yes.
Starting point is 01:00:56 And then, and then behind the scenes, right? All of these fucking companies, all these shadow banks, all the regular banks, they're all doing these credit default swaps, right? So they're all betting on which ones of these are going to fail. I'm putting all of these boys in timeout. Like, I'm going to put them in the bottom of a pit.
Starting point is 01:01:11 It's so evil. And they start doing these, making these like even more complicated instruments. where now what they're selling to you isn't just the package of mortgages. They're also selling you the credit default swaps with the loan. So theoretically what's happening is like they've created an instrument that regardless of what happens to the loan you make money. That's not how anything works.
Starting point is 01:01:32 No, it's bullshit. It's so obviously bullshit. I made up this fake thing where no matter what happens I get rich. That's cool. I would love to do that. Yeah. And nobody was like, well, I mean, a couple some people were. But like, like, people didn't just be like, wait, hold on.
Starting point is 01:01:48 No, obviously you can't make an asset that makes money regardless of whether the thing fails or not. I invented a money machine. Like, that's fucking ridiculous. And then eventually, yeah, it was like, no, they ran out of fucking mortgages. You know, one of the ways that the blame for this was deflected onto regular people was that they blamed the banks or like they blamed regular people for like not being able to pay the mortgages. But the thing is, by the time you get to the point where you're like packaging all the, you're betting on the mortgages, right? if you're a bank, even if you're the regular bank, you don't make money off of like someone paying their mortgage back.
Starting point is 01:02:20 You make money on betting on the mortgages. So you're incentivized to just keep giving out loans you know won't happen because you can sell those loans off of some other dips shit and then you can bet on those loans that they're going to fail. And you can make money and that's how you make your money. Because you're not a bank anymore. You're a bookie who's cheating. Yep.
Starting point is 01:02:40 I don't think that's good, Mia. No. This was the entire fucking financial system. And we just let these people stay in power. And I'm just supposed to just continue living my life like this? I don't know. Looking at this and then learning that all of these people got fucking bailed up by the government and none of them went to prison. Do they know they're cheating liars who are faking and making it up?
Starting point is 01:03:04 Or are they like so high on their own supply? They're like, no, bro, no, but this is totally going to work. It's totally going to work. Well, here's the thing. Some of them know and some of them don't. Because some of them believe that this is cool. Yeah. Like some of them legitimately thought that this was just going to work forever.
Starting point is 01:03:19 Like, do they believe their negative money backed by other fake money, backed by the idea of promises of fake money? They think that's money? Yeah. Yep. I thought I was going to work. It's not. It's not. Nope.
Starting point is 01:03:30 And it turned out to not be any fucking money. And it blew up again, like, entire countries, countries were buying these. They went bankrupt. So, like, this is less real than a board ape NFT. And that's really saying something. It's astonishing. Because at least I can look at least I can look at the picture of the monkey. I can't look at this.
Starting point is 01:03:52 No, like you can't look at the bet you're making on whether monkey go down. Like it's like like all my apes gone. Yeah, but it's depression because the entire world is just this now. It's the shit the banks we're doing where you're betting on whether the mortgage would fail. But now it's you're betting on whether like what day we're going to drop a bomb on a run. Like nothing is real and everything is gamble. Yeah, yeah. And this is, you know, what I would call a sort of terminal crisis stage of capitalism where like... Because everything is so divorced from any material reality, from any good or service.
Starting point is 01:04:25 Like, there is a limit to which you can run an entire economy that is purely based on gambling. Like, there's just, there's a limit and we're going to hit it really soon. That's got, that's going to break, right? Yeah, yeah, it's going to break. It's going to break spectacularly. However, comma, I do have good news for you. I don't. I do. I have good news. You now actually understand what non-bank financial intermediation is.
Starting point is 01:04:49 No, I don't. I'm going to walk you through it. You actually do. So I'm going to quote the IMF's definition of non-bank financial intermediation. Quote, all entities outside the regulated banking system that perform the core banking functions credit intermediation. That is, taking money from savers and letting it to borrowers. The four key aspects of intermediation are maturity transformation. We know this one.
Starting point is 01:05:18 Right. This is what the bank does. The loan gets older. Yeah, yeah. And then it gets paid back over time. Yeah. Well, it's you turn your short-term thing into a long-term investment or you do the opposite.
Starting point is 01:05:29 Opposites not good. They're both kind of a disaster, but like, yeah, yeah. The opposite is kind of how we got into this mess. There's liquidity transformation, which we know this too. It's turning money into a thing that's not money. Yeah. Or turning not money into a thing you can buy burger with. Okay.
Starting point is 01:05:47 Yeah. We got this. Leverage. We also know this, which is you go into a bunch of debt to buy something else. And then there's credit risk transfer, which we know that one too. It's the betting market. We're supposedly swapping the risk by both of you two are now betting on whether this thing is going to fail. So it sounds like even just like regular bank.
Starting point is 01:06:10 is kind of just gambling now. Yep. Yep. Yep. And it's fun too. So this is a thing that used to be talked about more and isn't now, but like most of like like the world's corporations are also basically this now. Like, and this has been a thing for a while, but it's like the auto manufacturers don't make their money off of cars. I mean, they sort of do. They make some money off cars. Or like most of what they make their money off of is like the Ford Finance Company, which is like the auto loans thing. And then the auto loans thing trades a bunch of like does all of this other financial bullshit to make money.
Starting point is 01:06:43 So like... I don't think that's a good idea. That's what capitalism is. So everything, everything is fully reliant on this like... Stupid gambling bullshit. Emberers wearing no clothes economy. Yep. And if anybody points out that none of this is connected to a material reality,
Starting point is 01:07:03 everything falls apart. Well, here's a thing. The thing that stops everything for falling apart is that the one thing you can do with your money is turn it into gun. Now I'm listening. And that's what stops falling apart, right? Because now I'm listening.
Starting point is 01:07:15 And this is also a sort of graperism, but it's like behind every like bank is a man with a gun. Because the reason that this money is even sort of real is that the bank can like, like the police will come get you, right? Like men with guns will appear and coerce you to pay shit. Right. But what if what if instead of burger, we bought guns? You know, like this is what.
Starting point is 01:07:40 what is broadly referred to as the social revolution. It is broadly considered a negative by the financial sector. It is broadly considered a positive by everyone the fuck else. That's not true. It's not considered a positive by, like, I guess, the people who own regular businesses. And this is like this shit that, like, you know, it was kind of less unhinged back then. But like, if you go read the people who were, like, doing this shit in like the early 1900s, if you read their writing, it's all them being like, oh, yeah, no, by the way, like a bunch of banks just like,
Starting point is 01:08:10 turned the entire Ottoman Empire into like a debt peon and now their entire economy is just dedicated to paying off these fucking loans and this is like hideously fucking evil. Like they're, they're all complaining about the same shit. And the important lesson we learned from that. The important lesson we learned from that was to do it more. More. Oh yeah, yeah. Yeah. To invent increasingly more complicated ways of doing that. Yep. And like this is this is why the term third world is a slur. Because instead of a political movement because those the countries in the political movement that was called the third world movement all of their economies got fucking annihilated because they had these like loans whose interest rate could
Starting point is 01:08:50 change and the u.s jacked up all the interest rates and so suddenly their loans were like like the amount you had to like pay on the loans it went from like 20% or something to like 50 or 100 or some shit and you know and like in these countries have never recovered like Nigeria has never really economically recovered from the shit that happened to them this this is why a whole bunch of Latin America is like this too, like, why there's so much sort of like riding systemic poverty is that the economies were entirely transformed into machines to like pay back these fucking debts taken out by these dictators. This is the whole fucking economy now. And, you know, there's other shadow banks that do other kind of completely unhinged shit, right? And I've
Starting point is 01:09:30 been focusing this week on like specifically the kind that blew up the economy in 2008. But there's another kind that's like blowing up the economy right now, which is called private credit, which is I mentioned this briefly earlier, but private credit is when these like unregulated companies that are not banks give out unregulated loans with unknown terms to other companies. And then those loans go to shit. And there's a whole bunch of ways that
Starting point is 01:09:52 can blow up, including by the way, these companies are funding a bunch of the AI bubble. Oh, and that's a great investment. It's great. You know, because much, much like a mortgage there's a real physical thing, like a house involved, right? It's not just vibes. Oh, yeah. Oh, Molly, Molly, those motherfuckers, I'm going to talk about this a bit. I might have Ed Ditchron on for this part of it too, just because, like, Ed does this all the time, but, like, those motherfuckers out there selling securities that are backed by fucking graphics cards.
Starting point is 01:10:20 Like, at least the more, I can't believe I'm fucking saying this, but, like, at least the mortgage-backed securities, like, there was a house you could steal to get your money back. Graphics cards, Molly. All my apes are gone. My graphics got on. All my apes are gone. I was like, there's other ones that I, like, it's so bad. It's just
Starting point is 01:10:41 But that's for another time Because it is late as fuck And we are out of here. Molly, thank you, thank you for sitting And then during an hour of You knowing what a shadow bank is now. I almost know what a bank is.
Starting point is 01:10:59 I'm still working on the rest of it. But I think I'm getting closer. I believe in you. I think we've made real progress today. I don't know. Now you can kind of understand what's going on when this thing sector explains. loads again in like two weeks.
Starting point is 01:11:12 You'll have to explain it to me again then. I will be happy to. It Could Happen Here is a production of Cool Zone Media. For more podcasts from Cool Zone Media, visit our website, coolzonemedia.com, or check us out on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen to podcasts. You can now find sources for It Could Happen here
Starting point is 01:11:35 listed directly in episode descriptions. Thanks for listening. I became a millionaire overnight and lost everything that actually mattered. Hold on, Sophia. Did you just say they lost every everything after becoming a millionaire. That's right. And it gets worse. It's inheriting too much drama week on the OK Storytime podcast, so we'll find out soon.
Starting point is 01:11:51 This person writes, I just inherited a fortune after losing my mom. And now my girlfriend's entire family is coming out of nowhere with her hands out. And my girlfriend is already giving my money away. So the girl he wants to marry is already sending money out the door. Find out how it ends. Listen to the OK Storytime podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Lori Siegel, and on my new podcast, Mostly Human, I'll take you to some wild corners of the tech world.
Starting point is 01:12:19 I'm about to go on a date with an AI companion at a real world cafe right here in New York City. There's no playbook for what to do when an AI model hallucinates a story about you. Mostly Human is your playbook for how tech can work for you. Anyone can now be an entrepreneur. Anyone can build an app. And it's very empowering. Listen to Mostly Human on the IHeart Radio. Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to your favorite shows. How could this have happened in City Hall?
Starting point is 01:12:53 Somebody tell me that. A shocking public murder. This is one of the most dramatic events that really ever happened in New York City politics. I scream, get down, get down. Those are shots. A tragedy that's now forgotten. End of mystery that may or may not have been political. That may have been about sex.
Starting point is 01:13:14 Listen to Roershack, murder at City Hall on the I-Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. In 2023, Bachelor star Clayton Eckerd was accused of fathering twins. But the pregnancy appeared to be a hoax. You doctored this particular test twice, Ms. Owens, correct? I doctored the test ones. It took an army of internet detectives to uncover a disturbing pattern. Two more men who'd been through the same thing.
Starting point is 01:13:42 Greg Gillespie and Michael Mancini. My mind was blown. I'm Stephanie Young. This is love trapped. Laura, Scottsdale Police. As the season continues, Laura Owens finally faces consequences. Listen to Love Trapped podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. This is an IHeart podcast.
Starting point is 01:14:05 Guaranteed human.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.