It Could Happen Here - Thumbs in the Dike

Episode Date: August 19, 2021

Let's look at a few likely climate change 'solutions' the people who got us into this mess will try to push. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.comSee omnystudio.com.../listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 You should probably keep your lights on for Nocturnal Tales from the Shadowbride. Join me, Danny Trejo, and step into the flames of fright. An anthology podcast of modern-day horror stories inspired by the most terrifying legends and lore of Latin America. Listen to Nocturnal on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Episode four, Thumbs in the Dyke. We have had too much anarchy in our city, the mayor says, and with the county sheriff and city police chief behind him, he lays out the city's aggressive plan to sweep the encampments, and strike back at criminals hiding in the guise of a social justice movement. He's talking about you, Tom, Aaron, and a growing group of friends and allies who've
Starting point is 00:00:54 spent most of October and November doing eviction resistance. It all started with the right-wing vigilantes who carried out a series of drive-by attacks on the camps. At first they just lobbed firecrackers, but that soon evolved into emptying handguns in the tents. In response, the camps organized roving defensive teams. There were a couple of gunfights and one death, although you weren't around for any of those. By the time the attacks stopped,
Starting point is 00:01:19 you had a large, organized group of people used to taking direct action. From that point, making the jump to proactively stopping evictions wasn't such a big deal. Half the landlords in your part of town had jumped ship for other cities with less intense climates. Many of their properties were sold to banks or large rental companies. Unemployment in your city hit as high as 30% by some counts, and more people nationwide are out on the street than there have ever been at any point in your life. At least where you live, though, people have options. There are now five camps, hosting more than 5,000 people.
Starting point is 00:01:55 Two of them are based out of large apartment complexes, two are in city parks, and the fifth is made from several square blocks of the city that had an eviction rate topping 80%. Some of the people joining collectives or asking for help are folks who, months ago, surely supported the cops cracking down on encampments. Now they're on your side, driven by desperation. You try not to let that piss you off. What matters is that you're in this together now.
Starting point is 00:02:21 And aggressive eviction defense has kept hundreds of your neighbors in their homes and helped the population in the camps stay manageable. But of course, the landlords aren't happy with that, and local business owners keep blaming the camps for graffiti and hampering the recovery. You spend enough time online to know this shit is happening all around the country. An eviction defense action in Portland turned into a gun battle. Activists in L.A. responded to the tear-gassing of an encampment by bombing an LAPD van. And, worst of all, the NYPD killed three activists while clearing out a squat in Brooklyn. Every day, two different digital collectives allied with the encampments gather not just news of different protests around the country,
Starting point is 00:03:02 but tactical information and after-action reports. You, Tom, and all of the other hundreds of people in the defensive committee have been taking notes. You've welded together caltrops and built vehicle barricades, rigged up paint cannons to coat police car windshields, and experimented with a dozen other tactics to protect the main camps. This is bigger than your hometown and your little movement. The federal government has responded to the absolute societal freefall of the last year by blaming anarchists, anti-government extremists, and an addiction to government entitlements. Disaster funding keeps being slashed, which is where a lot of this started anyway. But the president just announced a raft of emergency police funding,
Starting point is 00:03:42 using money the last administration had earmarked for climate resiliency projects. You've spent the last few days going about your duties with a sense of doom hanging over your head. It's not just the imminent government crackdown. The food situation has gotten increasingly tenuous. Wheat crops saw less than half their normal harvest. Even potatoes dropped significantly. Several of the camps have started permaculture projects and greenhouses, but no one is growing anything like what you need to feed all these people. Donations helped for a while, but everyone's tapped. For the last few weeks, you've been able to close the gap by sending out dumpster diving teams into the neighborhoods with stocked grocery stores and functioning restaurants. One of your neighbors works in an Amazon warehouse,
Starting point is 00:04:23 and he provided Tom with information on how to break in and where to find the dried goods. All this has helped, but the police have grown increasingly aware of your efforts. People in the rich neighborhoods have been using a community defense app to warn the police about criminals stealing food. Mark, a guy you sort of knew from a few past eviction defenses, was shot dead outside of a Safeway two nights back. We can't keep going on like this, Tom says, and he tells you he's been reaching out to an old Marine buddy of his who lives on a farm a couple hours out of town. They've got food, but their grid is still fucked from the summer,
Starting point is 00:04:57 and half the small farms out there have lost so much production that they're on the edge of eviction themselves. We have electricians, we can get equipment, and we've got manpower, people who will help harvest and stand up against the sheriff's department if there's an eviction. You'd be lying if you said Tom's suggestion didn't scare you a little. Bit by bit, the daily grind of survival,
Starting point is 00:05:16 building resiliency, and protecting your community has grown to feel more seditious. That seems a bit strong, but now you're talking about trading fighters for food to defend a farming town against the police. That's nuts. Fuck it, you tell Tom. Let's get the others together and talk about it. Seems like a good idea to me. In 1988, climate scientist James Hansen testified to the Senate and claimed for the first time that human influence on warning was discernible and separate from natural variability.
Starting point is 00:06:10 James was not the first expert to warn about what we now call climate change, but he was the first one to get up in front of the country and give a warning in such a clear and unequivocal way at a time when many of his fellows would hymn and haw about natural variability. At the time, there was tremendous debate, fueled by donations from the fossil fuel industry and politicians eager for a culture war about whether or not Hansen was a doomsayer or a prophet. We now know that he was, if anything, too optimistic. The warming trends we have seen put us roughly 30 years ahead of his most dire predictions. It's worth digging into exactly how this happened. Part of the story you already know. Companies like Exxon spent hundreds of millions of dollars over the last 40 years funding think tanks and propaganda campaigns designed to sow doubt over the reality of climate change, or global warming. As a child growing up in the Bible Belt, nearly everything I learned about climate change was filtered through this lens.
Starting point is 00:06:51 The picture, painted by media pundits and best-selling authors like Michael Crichton, was that scientists were, at worst, corrupt shills pushing an environmentalist agenda, and, at best, alarmists ginning up panic over minor fluctuations in climate. Paul Ehrlich came up quite often in this context. In the late 1960s, he was an entomologist at Stanford University who released a book called The Population Bomb. Its first sentence was, The battle to feed all of humanity is over.
Starting point is 00:07:21 Paul predicted that, in the 1970s, hundreds of millions of people were going to starve to death due to overpopulation, and there was nothing anyone could do to prevent it. The population bomb sparked a global panic and an anti-population growth movement that led to repressive laws around the world. It also didn't come true. Thanks in large part to the Green Revolution sparked by agronomist Norman Borlaug's work, there was no mass starvation. Borlaug has been rightfully lauded for creating new hybrid seeds that vastly increased the amount of calories farmers in places like India were able to produce.
Starting point is 00:07:56 His work is credited with saving as many as a billion lives. I first learned about him on Penn & Teller's Bullshit, a libertarian-themed science-y show that was popular in the early aughts for the same reason as South Park. Both shows managed to be anti-liberal without being right-wing in the traditional sense. For kids raised conservative but disillusioned with the Republican Party due to the Iraq War, these shows provided seemingly clever arguments for why both sides were dumb, and the smartest thing to do was make fun of them. This is not a bad thing under all circumstances.
Starting point is 00:08:29 If you reflexively dislike both the Republican and Democratic parties, you will be right more often than you were wrong. But in the early aughts, some prominent Democrats, most significantly Al Gore, did try to warn people about climate change. These folks were framed as alarmists, like Paul Ehrlich. Penn and Teller were one of a number of popular voices that specifically used Borlaug's example to attack environmentalists worried about global warming. We better develop and ever improve science and technology, including the new biotechnology,
Starting point is 00:09:03 to produce the food that's needed for the world today. Unfortunately, the humanitarian efforts of people like Dr. Burlog are undermined by Greenpeace and other assholes. Now, Penn Jillette has somewhat come around on climate change in recent days, but even in 2019, in this interview for the Origins podcast, he stuck to the same line about Al Gore being an alarmist. I think that there's no way you can deny that there's climate change.
Starting point is 00:09:31 I have completely changed on that. Although, completely changed is a little bit confusing because I never went beyond, I don't know. What bothers me about the climate change thing was the great disservice done by Al Gore of exaggerating. We now know that not only did Al Gore not exaggerate, but it would actually be fair to attack him for painting far too rosy a picture of what climate change would cause and the adaptations our society would need to adopt in order to mitigate it. I'm harping on Penn & Teller in particular because this exact
Starting point is 00:10:10 line of thinking has led to the most durable sort of climate denial I've seen in my own life. Earlier this year, my father and I endured the most severe snowstorm in Texas history together. When I tried to talk about climate change, he brought up Paul Ehrlich and the fact that, even if climate change is as bad as they say, some Norman Borlaug will come along with a scientific solution that will save us. There is no sign of this so far. Carbon capture technology, which works by capturing carbon before it can reach the atmosphere, has proved to be extremely disappointing. Only about 0.1% of annual global emissions from fossil fuels are captured at present, and 81% of the carbon captured to date has been used to extract more oil from wells by pumping that carbon into the ground to force oil
Starting point is 00:10:56 out. But still, Borlaug's shadow looms large over the climate question. over the climate question. An anthology of modern-day horror stories inspired by the legends of Latin America. From ghastly encounters with shapeshifters to bone-chilling brushes with supernatural creatures. I know you. Take a trip and experience the horrors that have haunted Latin America since the beginning of time. Listen to Nocturnal Tales from the Shadows as part of My Cultura podcast network. Available on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Today's episode is about the different paths to mitigation and adaptation that we might see in the future
Starting point is 00:12:17 as the damage caused by climate change becomes too great to ignore. Wait and hope for a super genius is certainly the path some individuals, and probably some politicians, will continue to take. The myth of the billionaire inventor, and the personality cults around men like Elon Musk and their own little green projects, has made this a popular school of thought over the last decade. The good news is that we've already reached a point of calamity great enough that support for this sort of solution is probably past its peak. On the day I write this chapter, July 24th, The Guardian has just published an article warning that yet another heat dome is set to settle over the entire continental United States.
Starting point is 00:12:57 The article quoted Michael Werner, a senior scientist at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Quote, You expect hotter heat waves with climate change, but the estimates may have been overly conservative. With the Pacific Northwest heat wave, you conclude the event would almost be impossible without climate change. But in a straightforward statistical analysis from before this summer, you'd also include it would be impossible with climate change too. That is problematic because the event happened. with climate change, too. That is problematic because the event happened. For years, climate scientists have been attacked as alarmist, yet the growing consensus is that they were actually
Starting point is 00:13:31 too conservative with their warnings. The situation was more severe than most reports portrayed. Before we go further, it's worth looking at why this was. I found a good Scientific American article from 2019 by the authors of a book called Discerning Experts, which analyzed the methods by which experts had assessed environmental damage in order to provide policy recommendations. They found a consistent tendency by scientists to underestimate the severity of threats and the rapidity with which they might unfold. with which they might unfold. Quote, Among the factors that appear to contribute to underestimation is the perceived need for consensus, or what we might label univocality,
Starting point is 00:14:10 the felt need to speak in a single voice. Many scientists worry that if disagreement is publicly aired, government officials will conflate differences of opinion with ignorance and use this as justification for inaction. Others worry that even if policymakers want to act, they will find it difficult to do so if scientists fail to send an unambiguous message. Therefore, they will actively seek to find their common ground and focus on areas of agreement. In some cases, they will only put forward conclusions on which they can all agree. How does this lead to underestimation?
Starting point is 00:14:41 Consider a case in which most scientists think that the correct answer to a question is in the range of 1 to 10, but some believe that it could be as high as 100. In such a case, everyone will agree that it is at least 1 to 10, but not everyone will agree that it could be as high as 100. Therefore, the area of agreement is 1 to 10, and this is reported as the consensus view. Wherever there is a range of possible outcomes that includes a long high-end tale of probability, the area of overlap will necessarily lie at or near the low end. The other cause of problems, they conclude, was a common mental model practiced by the media as well as by scientists, which tends to unconsciously consider facts to be something which all reasonable people should be able to agree upon. If there is a mass disagreement over the conclusions of a report, then,
Starting point is 00:15:28 it must be because those conclusions are based on opinion rather than facts. And the third reason for underestimation involves a very simple worry over reputation. In good science, being wrong shouldn't be bad for your career, as a large part of the discipline is making hypotheses, which are either proven or disproven by testing. But when we're talking about a field as politicized as climate science, going too far in a prediction gets you labeled an alarmist by media talking heads. This leads to an understandable trend to conservatism in climate predictions. All these factors have already caused huge problems for our society,
Starting point is 00:16:05 and as we move forward towards trying to adapt, these trends will, if not disrupted, cause further calamity. In the 1950s, fighter pilot Colonel John Boyd coined the term ODA loop to describe the cycle by which human beings and organizations make decisions at the operational level during military campaigns. ODA stands for Observe, Orient, Decide, Act, and Colonel Boyd's terminology has been applied in a dizzying variety of situations since, from training troops for combat to training corporations for cybersecurity. The ODA loop helps explain how an agile and creative opponent can disrupt and defeat a seemingly much more powerful enemy.
Starting point is 00:16:47 The basic idea is that if you can break any part of your enemy's Oda Loop, you can stop them from properly reacting in a given situation and, eventually, defeat them. Stop the enemy from observing you, and they can't orient themselves to your attack. Decide how to respond to you or take action. Disrupt the enemy's ability to make decisions, and even if they see the problem, they won't be able to act on it. For years, our ability to properly observe and orient ourselves to the problem of climate change has been hampered by all the things we just discussed. As I type this, wildfires are burning across the width of Canada,
Starting point is 00:17:22 subways in multiple major world cities have become watery tombs. The scope of the issue is finally beyond reasonable doubt in almost everyone's mind. Yet we still find ourselves disrupted when we reach the. There will come a time when the governments of the world will decide, and then act, with much more of a concerted plan
Starting point is 00:17:40 than we've seen before. When it comes to predicting what that decision, or, more realistically, those decisions might be, the best book I've found is Climate Leviathan by Joel Wainwright and Joff Mann. The term Leviathan comes from a book by Hobbes, The Philosopher, Not the Tiger, which argues that peace and unity can only be achieved by the creation of a sovereign power responsible for protecting the commonwealth and given absolute authority to do so. It's essentially an argument for a big, all-powerful state or sovereign to keep everything nice. Wainwright and Mann's book stems from the premise that most people, out of fear or desperation, will probably back some sort of Leviathan as an answer to climate
Starting point is 00:18:20 change. Quote, we contend that the drive to defend capitalist social relations will push the world towards climate leviathan, namely adaptation projects to allow capitalist elites to stabilize their position amidst planetary crises. This scenario, we posit, implies a shift in the character and form of sovereignty, the likely emergence of planetary sovereignty defined by an exception proclaimed in the name of preserving life on Earth. We are not suggesting that sovereignty will be characterized by the quasi-monarchial rule of a single person, but we recognize, as some suggest Hobbes himself and even Carl Schmitt, at least after 1932, also recognized, that it is almost certainly to be exercised by a collection of powers coordinated to save the planet and to determine what measures are necessary and what and who must be sacrificed in the interests of life on Earth. Wainwright and Mann envision a few
Starting point is 00:19:11 different types of possible Leviathan. One, elucidated above, is a neoliberal capitalist Leviathan. Think of it as an extension of the Western states and the attitudes we've seen so far. The smiling face of someone like Joe Biden talking about the importance of using paper bags while giving Exxon tax breaks so they can invest in cloud seeding technology. One of the most frightening things about this possibility is that the very same corporate actors responsible for fighting any action on climate change up until now will surely find a key space for themselves partaking in state-funded mitigation efforts. Think of Jeff Bezos suggesting that polluting industrial buildings be moved into space, or imagine
Starting point is 00:19:50 Chevron using some of their vast fortune to invent Snowpiercer-style technology to blanket the atmosphere and reduce warming. These possibilities are frightening because any solutions dreamed up under this regime are likely to be as selfish and ill-considered as the long campaign to deny the reality of climate change. In this future, the architects of our present misery enshrine themselves forever as our protectors. Wainwright and Mann also envision what they somewhat cheekily call Climate Mao, an anti-capitalist, state-centered leviathan, possibly based around China or a block of Southeast Asian nations. While Climate Leviathan, possibly based around China or a block of Southeast Asian nations. While Climate Leviathan would be an attempt to maintain the present capitalist world order while stabilizing the environment, Climate Mao is a quasi-revolutionary attempt to replace
Starting point is 00:20:34 it with a system just as centralized, but not based around the moneyed interests that got us here. From the book Climate Leviathan. Even today, when an increasingly non-Maoist Chinese state invokes its full regulatory authority, it can achieve political feats unimaginable in liberal democracy. Perhaps the most notable instance of state-coordinated climate authority is the matter in which Beijing's air quality was re-engineered during the 2008 Olympics. Flowers potted all over the city, traffic barred, trees planted in the desert,
Starting point is 00:21:03 and factories and power plants closed, all to successfully blue the skies for the Games. Another effect of this power is the way in which the Chinese state effectively killed General Motors' gas-guzzling Hummer in early 2010, when it blocked the division's sale to Sichuan-Tenjang heavy industrial machinery due to the vehicle's emissions levels. One might also point to the Great Green Wall against desertification, which, if successfully completed, will cross 4,480 kilometers of northern China in various tree-planting programs that will purportedly give the country 42% forest cover by 2050. And since vowing in the summer of 2010 to apply an iron hand to the task of reducing emissions, the Communist Party closed more than 2,000 steel mills
Starting point is 00:21:46 and other carbon-emitting factories by March 2011. In mid-2016, the government announced new dietary guidelines encouraging people to consume no more than 75 grams of meat per day. Reducing meat consumption was justified on health and environmental grounds and hailed by climate activists. Such policies foretell the possibility of a climate Mao, were China to become a global hegemon and also change under revolutionary pressures. To be clear, that is a very big if.
Starting point is 00:22:21 Welcome, I'm Danny Thrill. Won't you join me at the fire and dare enter? Nocturnum, Tales from the Shadows, presented by iHeart and Sonora. An anthology of modern-day horror stories inspired by the legends of Latin America. From ghastly encounters with shapeshifters to bone-chilling brushes with supernatural creatures. I know you. Take a trip and experience the horrors that have haunted Latin America since the beginning of time.
Starting point is 00:23:08 Listen to Nocturnal Tales from the Shadows as part of my Cultura podcast network, available on the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. If Leviathan is an attempt to maintain the capitalist world order in an ego-friendly manner, Behemoth, by far the darkest potential future, is an acknowledgment that the situation is well and truly fucked. The damage is done, and all that can be done is grab as much power and as many resources as possible and concentrate them in the hands of a chosen few, Now, these are fairly broad categories, and we are likely to see variations of each of these archetypes attempted. You may note my lack of enthusiasm for any of the possibilities. This is a result of my own bias. I am not a statist, and while behemoth is obviously the nightmare solution, I am not excited by either
Starting point is 00:24:15 the neoliberal climate leviathan or climate Mao. Top-down solutions to big problems can work, clearly, but they have a nasty tendency to crush people in order to fit them into a system. An example of why I fear climate Leviathan, in particular, came on June 30th, 2021, when the Los Angeles Police Department raided the home of a man with a significant quantity of illegal fireworks. In the midst of the deadliest fire season in living memory, the boys at the top decided that cops would need to crack down on fireworks fenders. It seems logical enough from a high vantage point, and elected leaders always like to send police in to see shit because then they can say X pounds of substance Y was confiscated, and that makes for an easy soundbite. But on this occasion, the LAPD fucked up. Their technicians
Starting point is 00:25:01 loaded what they thought were 16.5 pounds of explosives into an armored truck in order to safely detonate it. Instead, they set off 42 pounds, which started a chain reaction that turned the entire armored truck into a massive IED. The resulting explosion destroyed multiple homes and led to the deaths of two people, plus numerous injuries. These are the sort of decisions we can expect from climate Leviathan, and the sort of consequences too. In their book, Wainwright and Mann list the least likely but best case scenario as something they call Climate X. This would be a decentralized, ground-up adaptation to the realities of climate change, a reorganization of society,
Starting point is 00:25:41 not around the lines forced on it by some leviathan, but by regular people rejecting both the consumptive, destructive patterns of old and the need for a strong dictatorial power to envision a future for them. This is the least likely scenario, for a number of reasons. For one thing, Climate X requires getting a large number of people to embrace a future radically different and fundamental organization from the world they've known. Climate Mao has to do this too, but within the sort of strong state framework that is at least much more familiar, and thus more comfortable, to billions of people. We can envision the state taking charge and instituting radical change much more easily than we can imagine hundreds of millions of people making the decision to alter their lives for the betterment of billions of strangers.
Starting point is 00:26:26 Climate Leviathan offers a very plausible set of predictions for the different paths that are most likely, but of course it is still not guaranteed that our nation, or other large blocks of nations, will ever complete their climate Oda loop. Mike Davis is a historian and a social critic with an enviable reputation for predicting the future. is a historian and a social critic with an enviable reputation for predicting the future. In 1990, he published City of Quartz, an analysis of Los Angeles that many saw as predicting the epic riots that convulsed the city in 1992. His work was respected enough within Los Angeles that the Crips and the Bloods brought him on as an advisor to help negotiate peacemaking deals.
Starting point is 00:27:02 In 1998, Davis wrote Cataclysm of Fear, which predicted the next 20-plus years of life in Southern California with the line, Cataclysm has become virtually routine. In 2005, he published a book on the avian flu as a plague of capitalism, titled The Monster Enters. Davis quoted the influencer researcher Robert Webster, saying, If a pandemic happened today, hospital facilities would be overwhelmed and understaffed the monster enters. Davis quoted the influenza researcher Robert Webster saying, if a pandemic happened today, hospital facilities would be overwhelmed and understaffed because many medical personnel would be afflicted with the disease. Vaccine production would be slow. Critical community services would be immobilized. Reserves of existing vaccines and medical equipment would be quickly depleted, leaving most people vulnerable to infection.
Starting point is 00:27:44 Sounds familiar. Permanent bioprotection against new plagues, Davis added, would require more than vaccines. It would need the suppression of these structures of disease emergence, the revolutionary reforms in agriculture and urban living that no capitalist or state capitalist country would ever willingly undertake. Also, by the way, Mike Davis predicted the 2008 economic crash in an article for the Los Angeles Times. The point is, he's the kind of guy you should listen to when he makes predictions. In 2010, Mike looked at the utter failure of international efforts to mitigate climate change and imagined a not improbable scenario in which mitigation
Starting point is 00:28:22 would be quietly abandoned, in favor of accelerated investment and selective adaptation for Earth's first-class passengers. And it's here I might bring us briefly back to the subject of Jeff Bezos' flight to space. An analysis by Media Matters found that the NBC, ABC, and CBS morning shows devoted 212 minutes to Bezos' flight. By contrast, those same shows spent 267 minutes covering climate in all of 2020. Now, rich people flee to space isn't the likeliest solution the elites will shoot for. It's more probable that they'd continue what they've been doing for decades,
Starting point is 00:28:58 diverting more resources towards creating permanent safe zones, shielded from the worst of climate change and isolated enough from population centers that their security forces can protect them from interlopers. There will be token efforts, carbon taxes and famine relief, but on the whole, the world's poor and much of the middle class will be abandoned to misery and death. The only public field the powerful will invest in is law enforcement. We've seen shades of this already. Last spring, when the coronavirus started its deadly rampage through the Western democracies, the internet filled with a flurry of near-identical articles. From Bloomberg, coronavirus escape, rich Americans head to New Zealand. The New Yorker, doomsday prep for the super rich. Vanity Fair, inside the survivalist bunker where some wealthy
Starting point is 00:29:42 people hope to ride out coronavirus. And from The Guardian, super-rich jet-off-to-disaster bunkers amid coronavirus outbreak. The gist of all these articles is that the ultra-wealthy have built a global system of safe houses and bunkers in places they deem secure in the event of a wide variety of catastrophes. What I find interesting about this is that their preparations are not particularly focused in what we know does not suggest any sort of collapse the wealthy see coming due to the special knowledge they have as members of the elite. Rather, the evidence suggests they've simply fallen into the same assumption as millions of regular people. Something terrible is on the horizon. In 2017, LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman told The New Yorker that he estimated 50% of Silicon Valley billionaires had already purchased some sort of apocalypse escape plan.
Starting point is 00:30:31 And honestly, if you had that kind of money, why wouldn't you? This is bleak as hell, of course, the individuals most responsible for encouraging and profiting from the reckless consumption that has endangered us all, abandoning society via the most literal application of fuck you money in history. But when you dig into the whole story here, it's actually somewhat optimistic. Because the thing is, these people are clearly just as terrified as the rest of us. That's why they do things like spend $1.5 million apiece for a 920 square foot room in a survival condo built into an underground missile silo in Kansas. The best thing many of them can think to do is build isolated miniatures of the outside world, staff it with former Navy SEALs, and hope for the best. These are not people who have a plan.
Starting point is 00:31:17 This was really driven home to me in a 2018 article by Douglas Rushkoff, a media theorist and writer whose work has been extremely influential among tech elites. In 2017, he was invited to what he described as a super deluxe private resort to deliver a keynote speech on the future of technology. Quote, After I arrived, I was ushered into what I thought was the green room. But instead of being wired with a microphone or taken to a stage, I sat around a playing round table as my audience was brought to me. Five super wealthy guys, yes, all men from the upper echelon of the hedge fund world. After a bit of small talk, I realized they had no interest in the information I had prepared about the future of technology. They had come with questions of their own.
Starting point is 00:31:59 Those questions quickly led to the climate crisis, and they wanted to know if New Zealand or Alaska was a safer escape bet. One of these CEOs had just finished building his own underground bunker system and wanted to know, how do I maintain authority over my security force after the event? Quote, the event, that was their euphemism for the environmental collapse, social unrest, nuclear explosion, unstoppable virus, or Mr. Robot hack that takes everything down. The single question occupied us for the rest of the hour. They knew armed guards would be required to protect their compounds from the angry mobs, but how would they pay the guards once money was worthless? What would stop the guards from choosing their own leader? The billionaires considered using
Starting point is 00:32:37 special combination locks on the food supply that only they knew, or making guards wear disciplinary collars of some kind in return for their survival, or maybe building robots to serve as guards and workers, if that technology could be developed in time. That's when it hit me, at least as far as these gentlemen were concerned, this was a talk about the future of technology. Taking their cue from Elon Musk colonizing Mars, Peter Thiel reversing the aging process, or Sam Altman and Ray Kurzweil uploading their minds into supercomputers, they were preparing for a digital future that had a whole lot less to do with making the world a better place than it did with transcending the human condition altogether and insulating themselves from a very real and present danger of climate change,
Starting point is 00:33:17 rising sea levels, mass migrations, global pandemics, nativist panic, and resource depletion. For them, the future of technology is really about just one thing, escape. At one point, Rushkoff suggested that, if these billionaires were really concerned about the loyalty of their hired security long-term, their best bet would be to start treating those people like family now. Money loses value after the event. Love does not. He also noted that if they were to use their power and influence to extend this ethos of inclusivity more broadly in their business practices, it might make such an event less likely to occur. Quote, they were amused by my optimism,
Starting point is 00:33:56 but they didn't really buy it. They were not interested in how to avoid a calamity. They're convinced we are too far gone. For all their wealth and power, they don't believe they And that right there is why I am actually optimistic. Because these people are the enemy. We are at present engaged in a battle to determine how the future of our species and life on Earth will look. We, and by we I mean people who want a better, freer, healthier future for all, have a few different enemies. But our most powerful foes are the people currently standing atop the pyramid, fighting tooth and nail against any change to society that reduces their privilege and power.
Starting point is 00:34:32 These men and women will go to their graves to preserve the present power structure, as long as the rest of us go first. For decades, the enemy has had the upper hand. Using disinformation, propaganda, the violence of the state, and an arsenal of lesser weapons, they disrupted every attempt to build a less extractive, more sustainable society. But now that the fires are at everyone's back door, they have no plan beyond locking themselves away from the consequences of the world they insisted on building.
Starting point is 00:34:59 Reality can no longer be denied. And that's disrupted their Oda loop. This means those of us on Team Better World finally have a chance to get the upper hand. To do that, though, we're going to have to make some decisions of our own. You should probably keep your lights on for Nocturnal Tales from the Shadow. Join me, Danny Trails, and step into the flames of fright. An anthology podcast of modern day horror stories inspired by the most terrifying legends and lore of Latin America. Listen to Nocturno on the iHeartRadio app,
Starting point is 00:35:51 Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

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