Judging Freedom - AMB. Charles Freeman: Trump, Russia, and Europe.
Episode Date: February 18, 2025AMB. Charles Freeman: Trump, Russia, and Europe.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info. ...
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Thank you. Hi, everyone. Judge Andrew Napolitano here for Judging Freedom. Today is Tuesday, February 18th,
2025. Ambassador Charles Freeman will be here with us in just a moment on President Trump, Russia and Europe.
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Ambassador Freeman, welcome here, my dear friend. Good day to you. I do want to explore your knowledge about and concerns over Russia, the meetings in Saudi
Arabia, where you were once the U.S. ambassador, and what you expect to happen there with Europe
excluded. But first, a couple of other questions, if I may. On Israel and Gaza. Do you think that Prime Minister Netanyahu really wants the United
States to own Gaza with its offshore natural gas deposits? No, I don't think that's the case at all.
I think he was looking for an excuse to resume the genocide in Gaza. And our president has basically backed him in that,
in the talking about real estate development,
from the International Hotel Tower in Gaza and so forth.
But that's gonna take a long time to happen.
And the immediate problem,
which Mr. Netanyahu has been dealing with,
and is about to resume dealing with,
is how to get rid of the Palestinians.
Either drive them out of Gaza or kill them.
And we're about to see that start over again.
He wants to resume, that is Benjamin Netanyahu wants to resume the war,
no matter what Donald Trump wants or says.
Is that a fair statement of his attitude?
Correct.
But he's just thrilled that he has cover,
that the American president has endorsed ethnic cleansing in Gaza
with a, frankly, fairly preposterous end state in mind,
namely turning Gaza into some kind of a great resort,
not for the Palestinians obviously, for Israelis.
Switching over to Ukraine, Ambassador, if Trump really wants peace in Ukraine, why is the Biden
military supply pipeline still flowing? Well, there's a contradiction here.
You see Marco Rubio, the Secretary of State, accompanied by Mr. Woodcuff and
National Security Advisor Walz in Riyadh declaring that the purpose of their talks
with the Russians is to see whether the Russians want peace or not.
And the flow of weapons is seen by some of those people at least as putting pressure
on the Russians to want peace.
In fact, there have been threats from General Kellogg, the special envoy that Mr. Trump appointed, who is not at the table in Riyadh.
Exactly to that effect, that is that if Russia doesn't come to heel, we will increase the pressure with sanctions, weapons, supplies.
Isn't that allegation, excuse me for interrupting, Ambassador, absurd?
Yes.
And, you know, I think basically what is happening in Riyadh is that the basic parameters for a negotiated settlement, not just of the situation in Ukraine, but European security architecture are being discussed.
So this is a parameter setting meeting.
Europeans who are beside themselves at not being present or included, and Ukraine as well,
will have to be brought into this because the only way you can end a war is by reconciling
the parties to its outcome. And the outcome of the war in Ukraine lets Russia basically set the terms
for ending it. And those terms will include a major reorganization of security system in Europe
to downplay the role of the United States. We've already seen the president of the European Council,
Antonio Costa, come forward and say that Europe is going to have to negotiate
with Russia directly to establish a new security architecture. The United States presumably will
be part of that process, but Europeans now feel they have to take their own fate in their hands
after 80 years of depending almost totally on the United States,
following our lead and inhaling our propaganda.
Chris, put up the photo again, if you could do it full screen. There, of course,
you see Marco Rubio on the left, the Secretary of State of the United States. On his left is Mike Waltz.
On his right is Stephen Witkoff.
And then on the right, you see Sergei Lavrov.
I mean, this is a profound significance because prior to the presidency of Donald Trump,
the Secretary of State, Tony Blinken, arguably one of the worst in the modern era, maybe the worst
ever, refused to sit down at a table, even to take a phone call from Sergei Lavrov, his opposite
number in Moscow. How significant is this? And then I'm going to ask you about who's missing. Yeah, well, I think it is very significant.
And it's amazing to me that the immediate European reaction to the resumption of bilateral dialogue
between the United States and Russia, the Russian Federation, was horror. I mean, somehow they
thought it was a wonderful idea that we would fight a war and not have
any contact with the enemy during that war.
That is a recipe for forever war.
We are now in a war termination phase, and you can only do that by talking to the other
side.
So this is very, very important.
We don't know what the outcome of these discussions will be, but we do know that the Russians are in a position
to control the terms of the war termination,
and those will involve what they said in December 2021,
and frankly, for decades before that.
There needs to be a new European security architecture.
Ukraine needs to fit into that as a neutral,
not as part of an alliance aimed at
Russia. And the Russian speakers in Ukraine, who are about a third of the population originally,
are going to have to have their rights guaranteed. Now we see the Europeans, who are excluded,
meeting in Paris to discuss what? Discuss a preposterous deployment of peacekeepers
in Ukraine. As though the Russians would accept that, as though there are enough European
troops to man such a force. Some military estimates suggest that a peacekeeping force
of any consequence would have to be 500,000 men strong. It's not possible.
None of the European great powers have armed forces that are anywhere near capable of playing
that role, even if the Russians accepted it, which they won't. Sir Keir Starmer was quoted
this morning as saying he's ready to order British troops to Ukraine.
Isn't that ridiculous?
Yes, it is ridiculous.
The British Army is now a shrunken little army.
It's capable in many ways.
It is an auxiliary force for the United States.
It is not capable of playing that sort of role on the European continent.
If General Kellogg is still the president's emissary on matters Ukraine and Russian, it's a mystery that he's not there.
But here is what he said two days ago.
I think this is nonsense.
But, of course, he purports to speak for the president,
and I invite your comments. Chris, cut number one. Can you assure this audience that Ukrainians will
be at the table and Europeans will be at the table? Oh, well, you just changed the whole dynamic.
The answer to that last question, just as you framed it, the answer is no.
The answer to the earlier
part of that question is yes, of course the Ukrainians are going to be at the table. So the
Europeans who have provided as much or more support than the Americans in this process, you don't think
should be at the table directly. You think it should be two protagonists. I said I'm a school
of realism. I think that's not going to happen. But our philosophy is not to continue this war to the death of every last Ukrainian.
There's really, there's two protagonists when you look at it,
and there's one hopefully to be an intermediary.
Okay, who are the protagonists and who's the intermediary?
Well, I'm saying as we do it, notice I'm being very diplomatic about it.
The fact is we're looking at, you can have the Ukrainians, the Russians,
and clearly the Americans at the table talking, but we've got to have specifics to get to it. The fact is, we're looking at, you can have the Ukrainians, the Russian, and clearly the Americans at the table talking, but we've got to have specifics to get to.
Does he know what he's talking about, Ambassador?
I suspect he does, at least in the initial phase. But this is an incredibly complicated situation.
It can't be settled suddenly in talks in Riyadh.
It can't be settled solely between the United States and Russia.
Europeans will have to be involved.
What have the Europeans said so far?
They have continued basically to talk belligerently about Russia.
They're talking about matching Russia on the battlefield in Ukraine, which they're incapable of doing. There have been no significant European ideas about how to end this
war. So they basically followed the United States. Okay, now they're in a position where they have no
choice but to follow the United States.
But eventually, they're going to have to be involved either directly as part of the U.S.-Russian dialogue or on their own.
And I think the chances are very good that this whole exercise is going to encourage them to play their own cards separately from us.
In other words, NATO is being hollowed out.
You understand the Saudi mindset probably better than anyone in the United States.
Tell us about their interests.
Why are they hosting this? What does Mohammed bin Salman, the crown prince and wannabe king, hope to get out of this? Well, one of the changes in the world order that is occurring
is the empowerment of middle-ranking powers. Turkey, for example, Saudi Arabia. The Saudis see themselves as such a power. They want to be
recognized globally as a significant force for peace. So this is putting Saudi Arabia on that
diplomatic map. It also ingratiates the Saudis with our president and performs a service for the United States
on an issue that is not contentious from a Saudi perspective.
They want peace in Ukraine.
So do we.
We claim.
And this is an offset to our total disagreement about Gaza
and the Palestinian issue.
Where is Mohammed bin Salman on Gaza and the Palestinian issue? At one point he was prepared
to normalize relations with Israel, and then after October 7th he said no normalization
without a free and sovereign Palestinian state.
Is he still insisting on the latter?
And are his statements credible or do they change with the wind, depending upon what's going to advance his whims?
No, I think he's been consistent is the Israeli characterization of his position, trying to
erode it by claiming he's prepared to make all sorts of concessions he isn't prepared
to make.
Saudi Arabia in 1982 and again in normalizing relations with Israel. But short of that, they would not. What we were
hearing earlier was a desire on the part of the Saudis and a willingness to deal transactionally,
pragmatically with Israel on specific common interests. Those mainly involved Iran.
Of course, now Saudi Arabia has reconciled itself to Iran.
It's wary of Iran, but it is improving its relations.
And in some respects, we are beginning to see the formation of a Gulf Arab-Iranian coalition aimed at balancing Israel, given Israel's destruction of its neighborhood and establishment of itself as the regional hegemon.
So I think Mohammed bin Salman has been quite consistent.
And his current position has, of course, hardened in response to the president's proposal to turn Gaza into a Palestinian-free resort.
Back to Russia and the United States.
Does the United States,
does Donald Trump have any leverage
with Russia, with Lavrov,
with President Putin?
Very little.
Russia is under terribly heavy sanctions.
Adding a few more isn't going to do very much.
The Russians have readjusted their orientation away from Europe toward China, India, West Asia, Africa.
They're not going to give that up, whatever happens.
The weaponry we've supplied to Ukraine has been effectively countered on the battlefield.
We don't have the production capability.
Sometimes we imagine that we are still in the position we were in World War II,
when we were the great arsenal of democracy,
and able to supply weapons to everyone, including the Soviet Union,
to defeat the Nazis and the Japanese Imperial Armed Forces.
We don't have that surge capability anymore.
So we have trouble supplying even our own inventories.
The Russians have had a similar problem, although they seem to have done a lot better
increasing production than we have.
So we've tried to tap South Korean weaponry for the
Ukrainian forces and ourselves. The Russians have done the same with North Korea. And the Russians,
of course, have turned to Iran. Our European allies have supplied lots of things to the
Ukrainians, but they don't have much more to give. So we don't have a lot of leverage.
And I think it's healthy to recognize reality, even if it's extremely painful, because we have been living in a dream world of our own manufacture, claiming that Ukraine is winning.
Russian casualties are astronomical.
Russia's economy is collapsing.
Mr. Putin's about to be overthrown.
The Russian army is incompetent.
All things which are not true.
Now we have to confront reality as it is rather than as we would like it to be.
Here is Foreign Minister Lavrov. I don't know if this is in Riyadh or if it's in Moscow, but it was yesterday.
A little bit of a history lesson, but the Russian understanding of why the Europeans are not at the table.
Cut number 11. The leaders of Russia, France, Germany, and Ukraine spent more than 17 hours fine-tuning every comma in a document aimed at resolving the Ukrainian situation by granting a special status to part of Donbass within a united Ukrainian state.
The UN Security Council unanimously approved this plan.
From the very first days, the Ukrainian side began violating it.
Instead of a ceasefire and
troop withdrawal, there were constant bombings of Donbass. Instead of restoring Ukraine's economic
integrity, there was a water blockade of Crimea, and much more. Later, when Ms. Merkel and Mr.
Hollande retired and started speaking to journalists, they openly and repeatedly
admitted that they never intended to implement what they had signed. They claimed that time was needed to arm Ukraine. Those were their chances.
Now, at the Munich conference, there have been calls. For example, Alexander Stubb,
the president of Finland, our close neighbor, once a neutral state that always stood for all things good and against all things bad, said that, above all, a ceasefire must be agreed upon and used to strengthen Ukraine militarily.
It turns out that the European philosophy has not gone anywhere.
Therefore, I do not know what they would do at the negotiating table. If they intend to haggle over some deceitful ideas about
freezing the conflict while, in their usual manner, they actually plan to continue the war,
then why invite them at all?
Wow, then why invite them at all? What do you think?
Well, his history is absolutely correct. And as I said, the Europeans have not come forward with any idea other than
a military idea, which they're incapable of executing. So for the moment, they have made
themselves irrelevant. And I disagree with General Kellogg. I think in due course, they will have to
be invited to come. But they're going to have to accept the realities
of what happened on the battlefield,
which determine what is possible and what isn't.
The outcomes they are seeking,
like the one that President Stubb mentioned
and was quoted by Foreign Minister Lavrov,
it's just not possible.
I wonder if Secretary of State Rubio,
I guess I should be compassionate,
he's only had the job for two weeks,
is a match for Foreign Minister Lavrov.
But switching gears before we go,
which animated the Europeans more,
the admonition they received
from Vice President Vance last week,
or their exclusion from these talks in Riyadh?
Hard to say.
I think both were deeply offensive to them.
The vice president's speech was an attack
on European cultural norms
and was perceived as arrogant and condescending.
It was also seen as signaling an American turn away from concern about security in Europe toward China and the Pacific.
This has been, of course, a perennial issue in American strategic reasoning.
Should we emphasize the Atlantic or the Pacific?
And we're clearly moving to emphasize the Pacific.
So that was a shock to the Europeans.
But the fact that they are not at the table discussing things that will determine their future
is deeply alarming to them. I don't know which is more alarming, signal of an American reorientation
toward the Pacific and away from them,
or the absence of any participation
in determining Europe's destiny.
Ambassador Freeman, thank you very much for your time.
This has been a great conversation.
Thank you for allowing me to pick your brain.
Much appreciated.
We look forward to seeing you again next week.
Keep raising these issues.
They won't go away.
Right.
There's much for us to talk about.
Thank you, my friend.
Coming up later today at 2 o'clock, Matt Ho at 3 o'clock, Karen Kwiatkowski at 4 o'clock.
Just returned from the front lines in Donbass.
It will be midnight in Moscow.
Pepe Escobar, Judge Napolitano for Judging Freedom.