Judging Freedom - Larry Johnson: Trump and Ukraine
Episode Date: December 16, 2024Larry Johnson: Trump and UkraineSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info. ...
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Thank you. Hi everyone, Judge Andrew Napolitano here for Judging Freedom.
Today is Monday, December 16th, 2024.
Larry Johnson will be here with us in just a moment on Ukraine and Syria and the latest on
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Larry Johnson, welcome here, my dear friend. Always a pleasure. We have a lot to talk about. However, there is some breaking news since we actually finished our interview with Ray McGovern about a half an hour ago. And in that time period, the German government has collapsed. This is, of course, the most significant economy in Europe. What are your thoughts, Larry? Well, it was the most significant economy.
Right.
Schultz, you know, he lost the basically no confidence vote.
So this means early elections scheduled for probably February,
February 23rd is the last date I think I heard.
It's going to be interesting because the perceived front runner right now
is a character named Mertz,
who has been very hard line on supporting Ukraine.
He's more supportive of Zelensky than anything that Schultz
and his coalition have been.
So you see the possibility that if he, in fact, wins,
you could confront a situation where they'd be willing
to supply Taurus missiles and really escalate tensions with Russia.
But, you know, that's still two months off.
But, you know, Schultz brought this upon himself.
He allowed the United States to blow up the Nord Stream pipeline
and to cut off Germany from a reliable source of cheap energy coming from Russia.
And instead of pursuing better ties with Russia,
he joined with the Western campaign to isolate and destroy Russia.
And then the consequence, you've got all these German companies
that are starting to close down.
Volkswagen is shuttering, I think, at least three plants.
And the problem with that is, once you close down Volkswagen,
well, there are other companies below that that supply different material and products that go into building a car.
So all of those sub suppliers, they're going to be out of work.
So it's a cascading effect.
The economy is contracting.
And then you've got a number of the really interesting phenomena. You've got a number of German firms that are closing down there,
moving to the United States to set up operations.
Are they still suffering from the loss of natural gas
because of the destruction of Nord Stream?
If you call paying twice what you were paying before suffering yeah they're
suffering they're having to pay more that's uh they're you know it's been good for some U.S
businesses you know and that's what this is all about uh the you know United States was myth that
the Russians were had were able to provide a product cheaper than the United States could, in part,
because Russia was right next door.
So this is, you know, what's happened to Germany.
It's come full circle.
This is a complete discredit.
The Green Party has been completely discredited,
and it remains to be seen whether the,
there's a sort of, they keep calling it the German right-wing party they're right-wing because they want to limit uh immigration
into Germany but uh it's called afda or AFD but at the same time he wants to increase military exports uh to ukraine yeah wow i don't know
schultz has been trying to stop that i mean he's he's been less reluctant to jump on board but the
the guy that's rumored to be uh his replacement is very hard line over hard over for ukraine do you think that uh president uh zielinski will be
in office and the ukraine military will still be around two months from now on february 23rd
i'm terrible at predictions but uh you know you you know don't don't take my word to the bank on this, but it's certainly a reasonable assumption
that the situation that exists right now is not going to continue
and Zelensky and the military are not going to be in a strong position.
The Ukrainian army is really suffering devastating losses,
and they're accelerating, not decelerating.
Last hour with Ray McGovern, I misquoted you.
You told me over the weekend that the Ukrainian army lost 12,000 men last week.
I inadvertently said 20, so I correct myself.
But 12,000 in one week where they lack, correct me if I'm wrong, Larry, the manpower
to replace them has to be devastating.
Now, the demographics for Ukraine look like an hourglass.
Everybody's ever seen an hourglass where the sand runs through?
It's big at the top, skinny in the middle, big at the bottom.
That's what the demographic image looks like for Ukraine, in that skinny part in the middle.
Those are the people, the men and women, between the ages of 18 and 24.
So they've had what was transpiring with the collapse of the Soviet Union and the corruption in the country,
let's say 24 years ago, meant fewer children were being born.
And so now the people who are in that age group, they're a very small portion. So even if Ukraine lowered the age to 18, hey, we're going to go scoop up some more recruits.
They don't have the manpower.
Even if they could find the manpower, they don't have the manpower even if they could find the manpower
they don't have the place to train them and then if you you know project that number out of 12,000
per week that's almost 50,000 a month getting killed well they can't tolerate that number
no when you talk of the hourglass you're talking about population so the population
is substantial for infants and substantial for pensioners but for those age appropriate for the
military it has shrunk radically because of people leaving the country because of deaths in the
military yeah yeah and you know you know just put put that 50,000 number into context. You know, the United States built, you know, we built a memorial to the Vietnam War that over, you know, a 15, 20 year period, we lost 58,000.
Right.
People go to that wall and get all emotional and, you know, and I'm not disparaging that at all, but, you know, for God's sake here, they're doing 50,000 in one month.
Right, right.
Do you think that and again, I'm sort of asking you either to predict or get into somebody else's brain.
Donald Trump knows that he can't resolve this in 24 hours.
No, no.
In fact, you know,
it was really disturbing last week
when Trump came out
in that Time magazine
interview, and basically
he was reporting
on what he was being told
by the intelligence community.
And I'm not disturbed
by the fact that he was reporting
on what he was told by the intelligence community.
I was disturbed by what the intelligence community told him
because he came out and basically said,
oh, we've got to stop the killing.
There have been about a million killed,
and of that number, 600,000 are Russians and 400,000 are Ukrainians.
That's a lie.
It's a bald-faced lie,
and that is evidence that the intelligence community
is lying its ass off to Donald Trump.
That's what they've been doing all along.
They're taking, in my view,
I think they're taking information from the Ukrainians
and they're just passing it on.
They're not doing the kind of critical analysis that needs to take place but here they're telling trump so you give trump this
information he's got to rely upon the intelligence community and theory and so now he's got bad
information and with from bad information you're going to make bad decisions, here's where hopefully Tulsi Gabbard will come into play. If she's going to be
the sole and exclusive debriefer to the president, hopefully she would say to whoever told her,
these numbers are not right, where are you getting them from? Who knows if that's, who knows if
she'll be confirmed? Who knows if once she's confirmed trump will only
listen to her or if he'll allow these people or lying to him now as president-elect to lie to him
in two months when he's the prayer one month when he's the president of the united states
yeah yeah i mean this uh you know you could blame trump if he was told the correct information and then he made up his
own numbers. But that's not what happened here. Because these numbers that are coming out have
been consistently put out across the board by people in the Biden administration as well.
And in the past, you know, I wasn't certain that, you know, was that just them spending
or was this intelligence community? And here, you know, was that just them spending or was this intelligence community?
And here, you know, Trump was very clear.
This is what he was told by his briefers.
So those briefers, there is no, this is as egregious conduct as there can be on the part of an intelligence officer.
An intelligence officer is supposed to look at all source information and particularly when
it comes to trying to assess casualties you don't only listen to what the
Ukrainians are telling you you look at such things as who's been firing more
artillery shells the Ukrainians are the Russians so that answer would be the
Russians who's dropping more bombs the Ukrainians or the Russians? Well, that answer would be the Russians. Who's dropping more bombs? The Ukrainians or the Russians? Well, that would be the Russians.
Well, if that's the case, how in the name of God does Ukraine inflict more casualties
when Russia is dropping, you know, many times by a factor of eight, more artillery shells on
Ukraine than they can fire back, number one. How about looking
at the expansion of cemeteries in Russia and Ukraine? Compare that. Which ones are growing
faster? Which ones have doubled, tripled, quadrupled in size? Look at the notifications
that are printed of obituaries. Those are being published. Look at at so i mean there's a whole host of information out
there that an analyst should be on top of gathering so they can make a sound judgment
so they can give the president the best information whether or not the president wants to hear it
and that's not what's going on here they are lying to donald trump and. But this is consistent, is it not, with behavior of the intelligence community,
probably going back to its creation after World War II,
getting ahead by telling the president what you think he wants to hear.
No, no.
I was part of the crew.
We got in trouble for telling the president what he didn't want to hear
with respect to like the war in Central America.
You know, there were other analysts.
I remember the South African analyst was asked to write a piece
and whether or not the question from the White House was,
is Nelson Mandela a communist?
And when the analyst, his conclusion was
that Nelson Mandela was not a communist,
Bob Gates, later Secretary of Defense,
but at the time he was Director of Intelligence at the CIA,
he changed the analyst's opening sentence.
He took out the word, not.
Yeah, that kind of dishonesty.
I've seen it.
Right.
And so, yeah, so it's there.
But the analysts have tried, you know, for the most part,
if they've got proper management support.
And this is where the whole issue of leadership comes in.
And, you know, frankly, if Tulsi Gabbard gets in she's
got some major house cleaning to do getting back to Ukraine do you sense that Western leadership
senses desperation and panic on the part of the Ukraine military? I think the Western leadership itself is desperate and panicked
because they don't have an answer to what's taking place.
They've been continuing pressing Zelensky,
hey, you've got to bring in more, you've got to bring in those 18-year-olds.
We need some more cannon fodder out there.
I think Zelensinski at least understands that
if he does that it's a death death warrant for himself he will not see the light of
the new year but they all they're seeing is the steady progression of the russians
moving steadily to the west taking large swaths of territory, enveloping units of the Ukrainian military
in what are called cauldrons or kettles.
And they're basically surrounded and they're forced to try to break out and get killed
in the process or to surrender and be captured.
Reportedly, the Russians just encircled and captured 700 Ukrainians near the village of Pokrovsk.
And this town of Pokrovsk is considered really as a central logistics hub.
It's the endpoint for the defensive line that the Ukrainians have erected.
So once you break through there, the Russians have basically open terrain all the way to the neeper river
so this is this is turning rapidly against the ukrainians and uh you know the russians i i think
are not relenting they're not looking for a way out larry in the past um our president putin spoke
to the defense establishment r Russian defense establishment in Moscow.
We have a very interesting clip, which we believe is the heart of what he said.
There is, of course, an English translation.
It's about 70 seconds long.
But I'd like to play it for you and hear your thoughts on it.
Today, the military and political situation in the world remains difficult and unstable.
Bloodshed in the Middle East and high conflict potential
remains in a number of other regions of the world.
We see that the current U.S. administration, almost the entire collective West, does not
give up trying to maintain its global dominance and continues to impose its so-called rules
on the world community, which at the same time changes over and over again, distorts
facts because it is convenient for them.
But in fact, there is only one stable rule,
no rules for those who do this, for those who consider themselves at the head of the whole world,
those who are representatives of the Lord on earth, although they themselves do not believe
in the Lord and wage hybrid wars against undesirable states and implement a policy
of containment, including in relation to Russia, the desire to weaken our country to cause a defeat
for us. The United States is send advisors and thereby signaling a future their escalation of the conflict.
The adult in the room, Larry. Yeah, well, no, he's got a realistic grasp upon what the U.S. intent is. And at this point, Putin is not going to make the mistakes that he did
in 2015. You know, Putin is not without fault, and he has made some mistakes in trusting the West.
So what the West got away with in 2015, when the militia in Donetsk basically had the Ukrainian army on the ropes.
They were on the verge of defeat, and Merkel and Hollande,
I believe was the French president at the time, interceded with Russia,
got them signed on to the Minsk agreement.
Basically, they now admit it was just a buy time to rebuild the Ukrainian army,
but Putin took them up on it as a legitimate diplomatic proposal to try to bring about a peace settlement,
which they had absolutely no intention of doing whatsoever.
And so Putin has learned now, I think, that he can't trust the West.
So, you know, Donald Trump's going to come in and try to offer some sort of ceasefire.
I don't see Russia accepting that at all.
There's not going to be a ceasefire.
There's going to be a surrender.
Ukraine is going to lay down its weapons.
It's going to refuse to disavow
any future relationship with NATO.
And the United States is going to move its military bases away from Russia's border.
They can't afford to let, you know, because right now the United States is talking about
putting intermediate range nuclear missiles in Germany next year.
And that's going to, you know, let's cuban the the europe's version of cuban missile
crisis russia is not going to allow that because that represents an existential threat to russia
and the united states better wake up to that because up to this point russia has not created
the existential threat to the united states. And if the U.S.
persists in that, I can see Russia say, okay, two can play at that game.
Before we conclude, Larry, over the weekend, the Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post and the New York Times all crowed that Putin dropped the ball in Syria,
Putin was weak, Putin is overextended.
You have a different view.
Your view is that Putin was dumb like a fox.
Well, let's start with, do you remember all those pictures of those airplanes flying out of Damascus
with people hanging to the wheels and falling off the planes?
Do you remember all the Syrians rushing together and being blown up by a suicide bomber trying to escape at the airport?
Yeah, neither do I.
Because that didn't happen.
Oh, that happened in Afghanistan.
Who was in charge of that?
I think it was a guy named Joe Biden.
And it was a U.S. military.
People, these generals that are sitting around wanting to criticize
and celebrate how weak Russia was in this.
So far, Russia's still got its naval base, has its air base it is packing up in a very
methodical manner they've been invited to stick on stick around by Turkey and as well as HTS oh
please stay and the Russians are going a thanks for the invite we're gonna be packing our stuff
up here probably moving out because they recognize that what Turkey and the United States have created in Syria
is something that makes the, you know,
potentially as bad as the collapse of the government of Yugoslavia.
And then the subsequent creation of Croatia, Serbia, Bosnia-Herzegovina,
that you've created three different states
that are now fighting with each other.
And already the United States and Turkey are toe-to-toe
with the United States backing one group of Kurds
and the Turks backing another group of Kurds,
and they're fighting each other.
And so the United States is going to be faced with the choice of
do we support these Kurds that we promised we'd have their back?
Or do we fight Turkey?
You know, that's going on.
There is no Syria intact anymore.
Different people control different parts.
And there are large parts that aren't under anybody's control.
So, yeah, Russia correctly assessed that situation,
and as did Iran.
And they recognized that Assad was not of any mind
to do what was necessary to both enhance the economic welfare of his people
as well as protect them.
So Russia and Iran backed off.
Let the West have it because the West is going to embroil itself in something
they cannot control.
And now we watch the spin patrol at State Department where they take the
picture of the guy who's on their poster for $10 million, Jelani,
and they're dressing him up in a suit.
You know, good God, million dollars Jelani and they're dressing him up in a suit you know good god the the probably having been named the the president of the new Syrian
LGBTQ movement in in my let's not get carried away I mean it's ridiculous it's
ridiculous president Assad issued some statements from Moscow we don't have a
video but we have full screens translated into English.
Here he's talking about the terrorist forces. Chris Assad, number two.
My departure from Syria was neither planned nor did it occur in the final hours of the battles.
As terrorist forces infiltrated Damascus, I moved to Latakia.
That's the air base in coordination with our Russian
allies to oversee combat operations. Number three, Chris. Upon my arrival at the air base that
morning, it became clear that our forces had completely withdrawn from all battle lines
and that the last army positions had fallen. As the field situation in the area continued to deteriorate,
the Russian military base itself came under intensified attack by drone strikes.
With no viable means of leaving the base,
Moscow requested that the base's commander arrange an immediate evacuation to Russia.
And, of course, he said this, Larry, from the safety of his new home in moscow makes sense
the man's a coward no he's lying you know he he left members of his family behind
you know he he took no steps to protect even some members of his family wow this guy this guy makes uh jay leno's car collection look uh cheap uh because he was so
busy collecting luxury automobiles instead of ensuring the welfare of the syrian people
and then he rejected you've got it from both the iranian and russian sources that he'd been
rejecting the you know specific request to to uh step up support to help
train to provide additional aid and he didn't want any part of it right and so but now you know
russia still protected him but but again it highlights the difference between russia and iran
the way the u.s presents them is that they're voracious imperialists who are going to conquer and bring other states under their control.
It's just the opposite.
I've got to put another full screen up because it's almost as if he knew you were going to bring up the issue of the cars.
Full screen number one. I have never sought positions for personal gain, but I've always considered myself as the custodian of a national project supported by the faith of the Syrian people who believed in its vision.
I have carried an unwavering conviction in their will and ability to protect the state defendant's institutions and uphold their choices to the very last moment.
Some of his family members that he failed to protect were butchered in the
streets within hours of his departure.
Yeah, that's it.
That's as Ray McGovern calls it.
That's MBM, male bovine excrement.
That's the cleaned up version for YouTube.
Thank you, Larry.
Great chatting with you, my dear friend.
We'll see you.
We'll see you with that senior member of your team,
Ray McGovern,
uh,
for the,
uh,
uh,
intelligence community round table on Friday,
all the best.
Yeah.
Gray beard Friday.
See you then.
Okay.
Bye-bye.
Coming up,
uh,
later today at noon,
Pepe Escobar at one o'clock, Kirvort Almacian.
You don't want to miss this.
Syrian analyst exiled from Syria who has extraordinary insight in what happened.
Then at four o'clock in the afternoon, one of our old buddies, Chief Dennis Fritz.
Justin Napolitano for Judging Freedom. Thank you.