Judging Freedom - Prof. Gilbert Doctorow: A Secret Ceasefire?
Episode Date: March 13, 2025Prof. Gilbert Doctorow: A Secret Ceasefire?See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info. ...
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you Hi everyone, Judge Andrew Napolitano here for Judging Freedom.
Today is Thursday, March 13th, 2025.
Professor Gilbert Doctorow will be here with us in just a moment.
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Professor Doctorow, good day to you, my friend,
and welcome here.
I wanna speak to you at some length on your views
about the so-called ceasefire,
the secret and unseen agreement Marco Rubio,
the American Secretary of State seems to have extracted from the Ukrainians.
But before we get there, you have some very interesting observations on the attitude of
the Belgian public, you living in Belgium now, both the sort of blue collar, hard working folks and
the elites about the war in Ukraine.
What are those attitudes that those folks have manifested?
Well, for some time I was confident that I had an understanding of where the elites are, because I'm a member of an elite, the elite, royal club
in French speakers in Brussels.
And they have monarchists, they have people
who serve the monarchy.
They have simply successful businessmen, and now women,
because they're admitting 50-50 women presently.
I attend their meetings, and that's my main contact with society, because they're admitting 50-50 women presently.
I attend their meetings. That's my main contact with society
because when you come into a country as I did
of middle age and it's not the time when you make new friends
it's even difficult to acquire acquaintances.
So I judged Belgium by the people I see around me
at the gatherings at Table Talk,
because the biggest thing that the Belgian men do
at a social club is eat.
So we have Table Talk.
And I heard a big change in thinking,
going back to when I joined this club five years ago,
when it was really a center of moderation,
tolerance for all views, and with a backward nostalgia
to the days when Peter the Great visited Spock
when he just re-traveled around the low countries.
That disappeared.
And what I saw in the recent past
was very sharp hostility towards Russia among most of my peers, with a
few exceptions. But the mood had changed dramatically. I remarked that, but I had no feel or I didn't have
any confidence in saying what ordinary people on the street are thinking, because you don't
because you don't just guess at that.
However, I have an additional side to my life here. We have family here, my daughter's here,
my grandchildren are here,
and my daughter is a school teacher in secondary school.
So she has a lot of social concepts,
both as a professional with her peers
and with the parents of students
because they meet the parents of students because they meet the parents
of students as the custom, but also with her children.
She has two teenage kids, 14 and 16.
At that age, they have friends and their friends have parents and they get together.
So her social circle in middle class or lower middle class Belgium is quite broad. And she has been very
disturbed, very troubled in the last few months by the clear feeling of patriotism, cheap patriotism,
wanting to go to war, wanting to send your kids to military training.
Belgium doesn't have much of a military history. I think they lasted about a week or 10 days
in World War II, and they didn't do too much better in World War I. So in a country like this,
with no martial history, with no parade culture, to have parents say that they want to see
there was no parade culture. To have parents say that they want to see training,
paramilitary training for their kids
at the end of secondary school,
and if they do not object to introduction of the draft
or to send their kids to fight against Russia,
this is striking.
Well, how do you account for this,
a peace-loving, non-militaristic country suddenly manifesting
such a degree of animosity towards the Russians that people would talk about a draft?
I mean, do they go to bed at night expecting an invasion the next morning?
Almost so.
Look, there has been nonstop propaganda of the Atlanticist variety on all of the media.
The not to mention the fact that when you tune in Europe's widest viewed
television news, Euro news, you're getting the voice of Worsleaf underlying
24 on 24. It has been a very heavy indoctrination and it has had a result.
The result is what I just described.
There is no parades here, no parades in Belgium, but the attitude has changed and parents,
even speaking about sending their sons off to fight against Russia.
How do the young men feel about this? The human beings that could actually be drafted, sent to the front lines, and as you have written, Professor, in a week be blown to bits by the Russian
military. Oh definitely. Like I had, I said these two
teenage sons, one of them is 16, well in a year he'll be out of secondary school
and he would be facing his traps. I can assure you that he's not enthusiastic about it
but that is a personal matter which I would be unwise to discuss. I only say that what the parents are saying may be
rather different from what the sons are saying. If I recall back in the 1960s, there was such a
division between what my parents' generation was saying about the Vietnam War and what my peers
were saying. Wow, by the way, it's Belgium.
It's not exactly Alabama.
Would they draft women?
Not to my knowledge.
No.
So far, the gender issue hasn't gone that extreme in Belgium.
And as to the question of what kind of society this is, let me be perfectly clear about
it. When I walk the streets of downtown Brussels, I see 99% heterosexual couples. I see a lot of
little kids. And I see 1% of the sort of the marginals who have been raised to the level of iconic level in the States.
So the country may have fallen out of love for the church, definitely. The feeling here
is anti-clerical, but it hasn't gone to the extremes. And Satanism, which has taken hold of Paris
has not made it in more provincial, shall we say, Belgium.
Okay.
It's switching gears, Professor Doctorow,
to Secretary of State Rubio and his announcements.
Actually, before I ask you about it,
Chris, I want the clip, I don't remember what the number is of it where Secretary Rubio, the one we were viewing a few minutes
ago, Chris, where Secretary Rubio and Mike Walsh are together. Can you run that, please?
Today we made an offer that the Ukrainians have accepted,
which is to enter into a ceasefire and into immediate negotiations to end this conflict in
a way that's enduring and sustainable. We'll take this offer now to the Russians and we hope that
they'll say yes, that they'll say yes to peace. The ball is now in their court. We also got into
substantive details on how this war is going to permanently end. We have a named
delegation in terms of next steps from the Russian side. We have a named
delegation in terms of next steps from the Ukrainian side. I will talk to my
Russian counterpart in the coming days. Secretary Rubio will be with G7
foreign ministers in the next couple of days.
We have the NATO secretary general in the White House on Thursday, and we'll take the process forward from there.
What do we not know about this so-called ceasefire agreement? I mean, have you had an opportunity to read it?
Has anybody except those two folks
had an opportunity to read it?
Well, I don't blame them for keeping the secret.
It would go nowhere.
Who knows to what extent the delegation put together
by Zelensky is of the same opinion as Zelensky himself
that the country will cede no territory to Russia.
He said that in the last couple of days.
If that were the view,
then this peace negotiation is going absolutely nowhere.
So we don't know.
Ruber has been very diplomatic.
I was admiring his language
in the several different times
that he came before the cameras.
The last one, I think, was on his visit to Ireland yesterday.
And he was very careful saying, oh,
but are you going to raise the punish Russia if they say no?
And he was very wise in saying, look,
you don't issue threats before decisions that you don't think? Let me play that clip because my own view
Is the opposite of yours? I thought he seemed tentative and insecure
But let's watch him and let you comment and let our viewers comment Chris cut number one
Are you truly prepared to apply pressure on Russia?
Should it be recalcitrant and not agree
to the terms of the ceasefire?
There's been no concrete action that this administration has taken to punish Russia
since it's come to office.
Well, just a couple points.
To be clear, as far as I am aware, the United States has not provided armaments to Russia.
The United States is not providing assistance to Russia.
Every single sanction
that has been imposed on Russia remains in place. Every single sanction the President inherited
has remained in place. Right, but well, I mean, they're pretty sanctioned up. I mean,
there's a lot of sanctions on already. So my point being is that there's been no steps taken
to relieve any of these things. These things continue to be in place, but we don't think it's constructive for me to
stand here today and begin to issue threats about what we're going to do if Russia says no.
Let's hope they say yes.
What cards does he have to play with my new friend, Sergey Lavrov?
None, none. But I admit, I admire his refusal to say what Trump said a week ago, oh, I'm going to double
down on the sanctions.
We're going to...
No, he was saying what you and I and others have been discussing on this program, but
there's nothing more to sanction than this.
So he was being honest and upfront and not being propagandistic.
That is hopeful, hopeful sign.
He knows which end is up.
He's being cautious in not releasing any content of the agreements with the with with the Ukrainians,
only the procedures that they've named working group and blah, blah, blah.
Let's say what I anticipate is that Putin will say,
yes, but, and the but is important.
He will certainly avoid giving the satisfaction
to Wieselanski and to the Russia bashers
in the States and Europe that he said no,
but he will not say yes.
He will say, first of all, they're not moving one inch on any ceasefire until the last Ukrainian
has been killed or driven out of Kursk.
That is 100 percent.
And the fact that Putin was there yesterday, precisely yesterday, wearing military fatigues
and telling the command, telling Gassimov, finish it up
right now.
And they're close to finishing it up right now because of the most extraordinary exploit
of the Russian storm troopers.
In the passing 16 kilometers through an underground gas pipeline to emerge in the middle of Suja, a main settlement or urban conglomeration
in the part of Kursk that was occupied initially
by the Ukrainians.
And they caught everyone unaware.
It was like a modern version of the Trojan horse
only multiplied several times over because
these were 800 troops.
This was an exploit of historic nature, whether it should have been done as another story,
being somewhat claustrophobic, the idea of spending 48 hours in this pipeline, which
could be flooded with gas at any time.
That was not my idea.
Right, right, right.
Your comments about saying yes,
or saying yes, but, or saying no, or no, but,
reminds me of that one-liner from Churchill.
I'm not a fan of Churchill's,
but he did have brilliant one-liners.
The art of diplomacy is not saying yes or no,
it's saying yes and no.
But is the U.S. a neutral, morally capable of being the intermediary here when in reality
it's a co-belligerent financing the war on one of the two sides?
financing the war on one of the two sides? No, I agree completely with what you just said.
It is not neutral. It is not an arms broker in any sense of the word.
So it's a rather peculiar situation.
Yes, financing it and providing what it just demonstrated is of critical importance
by withholding for a couple of days the satellite intelligence, the real-time intelligence
that guides the Ukrainians on battlefield and their air defense. This participation in the war
by the United States makes it impossible to view Trump's position as that of an outside honest
broker. He is a participant in the war. I want to play a little clip for you from
John Bolton who was of course U.S. ambassador to the United Nations but more recently and infamously
Donald Trump's national security advisor and then of course they had a major major falling out and
they still take pot shots at each other.
Here's John.
I call him John. I worked with him for a couple of years.
I know him very well.
Here's John's latest shot at Trump, but it's very interesting.
The observation he makes, it's only about half a minute long.
Chris, cut number three.
Unlike Trump, who thinks that he and Putin are friends, Putin sees Trump as an easy mark
and using his KGB learning and experience,
he has become very successful at manipulating Trump
to the point that Trump doesn't even know it's happening.
I think that was evident after the election
and it's paid off in terms of the Ukraine conflict
because Trump has given, even before negotiations began,
given the Kremlin virtually every one of their major points that they want to
see in a final agreement.
Share that view, Professor Doctorow.
Not anything that he says has a personal animus towards Trump and he's
using anything he can possibly get his hands on
to clobber Trump.
I don't believe what he's saying for a minute.
Trump was not bending to Putin's will.
Trump was simply being a realist without accepting these basic conditions of the victor in the
war.
They will never sit at the table.
So that was not something that Trump was personally
persuaded because of the charm of Putin.
That's rubbish.
It was, I know you want to do this,
you don't want to do this.
If you want to do it, then you accept these basic conditions
of the Russians or you're wasting everybody's time.
If Foreign Minister Lavrov is looking at clips
as recently as six or eight months old
of then Senator Rubio speaking about Vladimir Putin,
Russia and Ukraine,
may he conclude that Rubio himself inwardly,
personally and privately wants Ukraine to prevail in the war.
I can't judge him what goes through Lavrov's mind.
From my observation of Vyugovina, he has been sincere to the mission he's been given.
What his personal views might be about this, I don't know.
Probably as you say, he was sympathetic to Ukraine, why not?
He was saying things of that nature for years.
But he was not hired to pursue his personal vision.
He was hired to pursue the vision of his boss.
So I don't, the question is the Trump team trustworthy?
That is essential and it concerns all elements of it.
In the ways that are easy to do, Trump
has been sending clear signals to Moscow
that he wants a big change in relationship.
This extends in all sorts of things
that are not reported in the mainstream media.
For example, the American veto on language
in a now being prepared collective statement
of the G7 at its next gathering.
The veto was on the notion that Russian shadow fleet
should be monitored and should be stymied, frustrated.
The United States vetoed that.
The United States has done many of these little things which are sending quiet
signals to Moscow, hey, we want to go along. Oh yes, in Syria. Cooperates in Syria.
I agree that Trump in his heart wants a great reset. I just spent a week, nearly a week in Moscow, and rubbed shoulders and engaged in small talk as well as video recorded serious talk with Foreign Minister Lavrov himself.
There's no question in my mind that they want a great reset.
They want an amicable, cultural, social, and commercial relationship with Russia to resume. The
reason I ask you about what they really think about Rubio is do they trust the
Americans? Do they trust him? And of course that remains to be seen. Let's
look at the other side of this coin. In your view, is Vladimir Zelensky free to engage in negotiations and sign a ceasefire or does
he know he's a dead man, literally a dead man if he does so?
Well, I think he has been very wise to put, to stand aside from the actual negotiations.
He's put up his, Yermak, the man who everyone says
has been running the show from behind the throne.
He's put up these people and they're the ones
who will have to accept or reject the real world terms
of the peace treaty.
Therefore he may be saving his neck
by passing it along to others. That's not something we're
approaching with. It's simply a statement of fact. They have a delegation, the delegation will either
proceed to a peace with the Russians or not, but if they proceed, they'll have to accept terms,
which will be quite painful for Ukraine. And if anyone gets lynched, they'll be the ones
who are lynched, not Mr. Zydenko. He's not that stupid.
What incentive do the Russians have to negotiate?
I mean, five hours after I left a residential neighborhood in Moscow, it was attacked by drones.
Why would the Ukrainian military be doing that at the same time the American Secretary of State is metaphorically on his knee begging the Russians to come to the table?
Well, a lot of things are going on simultaneously. It was also the day of the gathering of Ramstein under the chairmanship of the Brits, but with Hegsef present.
So in a typical way that Ukraine has used its arms for public relations purposes rather
than for actual military purposes, that's what they did with raining down 300 drones
on Russia, 100 of them being in the Moscow city
and Moscow oblast area and creating the kind of havoc that was reported when you were there.
Now the Russians were being, as Putin was being put under pressure by hardliners, by by real super patriots to respond immediately by sending Russian missiles down on Kiev.
And I don't mean little drones or something, no, no, to use the Areshnik and to smash up
and probably kill everybody around in the Ukrainian parliament and government offices.
It didn't do that, though I don't think
it can be taken off the table
if the Russians do not proceed,
decide not to proceed with peace talks.
Then they'll be under no obligation to be nice
and they may just do what the patriots want
as a proper revenge for what happened while you were there in that drone attack on Moscow.
There's a lot that can go on. But as I said, the bottom line is that until the mopping up operation in Kursk is completed, the Russians will stall for time.
Professor Doctorow, it's a pleasure, my dear friend.
Thank you for all of your insight,
particularly that from your daughter and her colleagues,
very, very telling to understand the pervasive level
of propaganda on the streets in a place like Brussels,
but very courageous of you to reveal it and
generous of you to share it with us. We hope you'll come back and join us again next week.
Okay, I'll just tell you that Denmark is even worse. We have friends in Denmark and the level
of propaganda in the general population is even higher than here. Well, or then before we go, whose propaganda and for what?
That they should vote to join the United States or that they should fear a Russian invasion
and institute a military draft?
Well, in a sense of their prime minister, we said that for Ukraine now, the peace would
be worse than considering the war.
It is viciously anti-Russia.
And she was shaken totally by Trump and his bid to take over Greenland like it or not.
She lost her moorings and now she's railing out at Russia. So the general feeling in Denmark, which is a very calm country, much like Belgium,
very happily taking care of by social benefits,
but the feeling now is very hostile, very warlike.
Very interesting.
Professor Doctor, thank you, my dear friend.
Have a good day.
We'll see you next week.
All right, bye-bye.
Sure.
Coming up at 11 o'clock this morning on all of this, Colonel Douglas McGregor, at 3 o'clock
this afternoon on all of this, Professor John Mearsheimer, and at 4 o'clock this afternoon
on all of this, Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson, Judge Napolitano for Judging Freedom. for judging freedom. You