Kump - Ep. 251 The House Always Wins

Episode Date: April 27, 2026

The United States is in free fall and the world is a casino. This week, we cover the Trump ballroom bunker, Special Forces insider trading on Polymarket, and Palantir's terrifying new AI manifesto.Support the show + get bonus episodes every week:https://www.patreon.com/raykump

My thoughts today are with President Trump. And despite the fact that he's an undead vampire who will reign for a thousand years of darkness, I'm very glad he's unhurt. Some people are claiming that the assassination attempt is some kind of false flag to ensure the construction of the White House ballroom with a fully equipped tactical doomsday bunker built underneath. And my response to that is, what are you going to do? If it's true, I can't see how you be surprised. The United States, much like the Twin Towers, has been free fall for quite some time now.

And if you think you're still living in the country you were born in, then you must have been born yesterday. It turns out that the American dream is no longer means working hard, raising a family, and mowing your lawn. It's about enlisting in the military and earning a sufficient rank to glean insider info on, questionable operations and then use net info to place legally questionable bets on legally questionable prediction markets. It may seem on the surface like that's bad for democracy, but the point is probably moot. So go ahead and get that bag. And anyway, who are you really hurting besides the mother ghoul who's betting money that a foreign

president won't be kidnapped? If you didn't realize you were betting against the house on that one, then you need to stay out of the casino. And by casino, I meet every single aspect of this waking nightmare we call life. Alabama Slim once said that if you can't spot the sucker in your first half hour at the table, then I've already sucked you off and stole your wallet. Welcome to poker. Welcome to Kump.

I will say, you know, it's not a particularly secure building. And I didn't want to say this, but... This is why we have to have all of the attributes of what we're planning at the White House. It's actually a larger room, and it's much more secure. It's drone-proof, it's bulletproof glass. We need the ballroom. That's why Secret Service. I mean, God blessed President Trump.

But, you know, God are the days when you could have the president go to a different building and have any, you know, degree of safety. The Secret Service, I know we like to pretend that these myths, like they can protect the president and wherever he goes. But in reality, they can't even put a metal detector at the entrance to the hotel. What I hear it is, it's on the inside of, you know, in your area. I can't even go to the court at Fish Kill. When I got a goddamn ticket on the way upstate New York,

I got a ticket on 87, half a day. between where I was going and I could just pay it I had to go up to fish kill back to fish kill on a separate day like a two hour trip and I did there was metal detectors there just to get to the stupid 40 person court how are you not blocking down this hotel I mean but that's the thing we have these myths about protect we want to feel safe you know we grew I grew up in uh I came of age in the 90s, right? In the inter, the time between the Gulf War and 9-11, and we had this idea that America was the hegemony, that we could dominate the world in peace and safety, and that the president could be protected anywhere but the White House. Now, he can't. He needs a bunker,

and that's just the end of the story. What are you going to do in the bunker? Doesn't matter. What are you doing in your bunker? That's so great. You don't think the president of the United States deserves a tactical bunker where you can retreat to when all his hope is lost, when all his schemes go asunder? If anything, all this clamoring for people to release, oh, release the files, release the files, why are you going to, why are you doing this war we don't want? You see, he keep doing war. You don't think that encourages him to go, I need a bunker now.

But doesn't mean this idea they were staged. No, I don't, I think I'm not a conspiracy theorist. I don't go for that kind of, that kind of low IQ junk, all right? This guy is what, a Caltech graduate engineer? Is that what this guy was? And the mechanical engineer from Caltech, he was a teacher. I don't know. He's some kind of, how could he not, you know, like, outsmart the secret.

This guy went to Caltech, all right? He claims in his manifesto, hey, these idiots didn't think to check the hotel if you check in the day before. So I got my guns in. He wrote this to his students, by the way. I mean, am I wrong about this, this manifesto? He wrote to his students. Ha ha. You know, hey, I know I'm sorry that I gave you, I told you I had an emergency.

But, you know, it was assassin, this would be assassin. but I guess I might need an emergency LOL even though they didn't have to shoot him he opens fire with a shotgun Now I know you're thinking like a shotgun Is not really a great assassination weapon I don't think I mean it doesn't seem like people you know

It doesn't you don't really get distance with a shotgun Typically But you know he's not a tactical Navy seal What does he know he's just some dummy mechanical engineer And oh he's pretty smart What does that mean? You can be pretty good singing opera

you can be pretty good at doing plumbing does that mean you can do the bin Laden raid no all right so he doesn't know he thinks the shotguns a pretty good weapon he plays call duty he brings that he brings some knives another gun you know i thought maybe it was a paper gun or not paper you know plastic gun one of these guns that you can you know 3D print or whatever

but i guess he just stayed at the hotel and stuck it in that way it just you you would have thought the secret service would go through like who who's in the hotel let's see let's see who they check people out they see what they're up to now but you know would they have solved everything no that's why you need to put people in a bunker you need to put the president in the bunker you need to be to bring the people to the bunker and they and they party on top and he can sneak downstairs to his to his to his other bunker his ballroom i guess the ballroom's up top you don't call the bunker you might just call the whole thing a

bunker it doesn't it doesn't have to make sense you you're all grasping it is making sense business like oh like you know why would he be why would he be blurting this out immediately who cares like what do you what do you want and by the way before we go any further you know speaking of people being hunted i am hunted by enemies foreign and domestic i'm hunted like a dog every day in my life. And it really used, you know, your support. If you, if you'd like to support Kump, we have a Patreon. Patreon.com slash Ray Kumb. We get an extra episode every week. It's a very, very reasonable, uh, deal. And you can, you can support me and keep me from being, you know, shot in the street like a dog. Isn't that nice? You also like and subscribe while you hear.

Maybe leave a comment. It's good, you know, for, it's just very nice of you. Now, here's the thing. You're living in this fantasy where everything's safe, everything's, oh, oh, we're all fine. We're not fine. There's a lot, there's a lot of drones out there. There's a lot of, you know, what do you think a drone's going to look like in five years, 10 years, right? You think Trump is just, you know, he's always just worried about, you know, himself and locking himself, you know, why is he need a bunker if he's not going to, you know, if he's going to be out of office by the time it's built? He has a good question. He used to be. good question.

Maybe he knows that drones are going to be the size of a pencil. And they can just pop, you know, it's going to like Star Wars the prequel movies

where the robot goes through the window and then Natalie Portman's getting hit by a and they jump through the window. That's going to, if we don't have drone-proof windows, that's what we're looking at here.

Okay? So I'm sticking tired of this backchair quarterback, just nonsense. It's unpatriotic. All right? The guy just wants a bulletproof drone-proof facility that he can launch nukes from if he needs to.

He can have a few cocktails of his friends. He doesn't drink himself, I think. But, you know, he can invite you over. You can have your cocktails. You can enjoy yourself. And, you know, if a few weird inconsistencies have to happen in your life and your media consumption that day, so be it, right? Oh, everything has to make sense for me.

Oh, I need to know the Secret Service is actually protecting the President. Oh, why does it look like, you know, the least equipped secret service you've ever seen in my life? Why are you focusing on the details? You're focused so much on the details you're missing the forest for the trees. China is coming, all right? You don't think Iran's going to want some revenge once we want? I don't even know what's happening over there anymore. It's on, it's off.

I mean, we can't keep track. and that's fine. It's not really our business. What are you going to do? Are you going to, you know, start a company that does business with Iran? Well, you don't have any. What do you got going on? We're all just trying to get oxygen.

You can be worried about oxygen soon enough, all right? You're going to be worried about your place in the camps. All right? We're all going to be in these, and it's going to be fine. I'm not trying to be an alarmist here. But, you know, there's only so much room we're going to have soon. These data centers, these data farms, they're huge.

And they take a lot of space. And space that, you know, you might be, what are you, what is your role here? So, you know, don't get too cute. Now, there's some few things. Sure, there's a few things that seem weird. There's a few odd. Here's Carolyn Levitt, you know. To rumble, is he not?

He is ready to rumble. I will tell you, this speech tonight will be clobled. classic Donald J. Trump. It'll be funny. It'll be entertaining. There will be some shots fired tonight in the road. So everyone should tune in. It's going to be really great. Okay. What does that mean? What does that mean?

So what does she said it? You're going to bring that up. You're going to bring up that she said shots fired. Okay. Like it's some kind of like it's some kind of smoking gun. Oh. Oh. It's what we call coincidence. All right.

And then we have, I mean, I'm not, look, this doesn't prove anything. I just quickly tell you. I was sitting next to Caroline Levitt, the press secretary's husband. He was one of our guests. He was seated right next to me. Her husband, yes. You know, right as the dinner was starting, you know, the national anthem happened. And then he kind of leaned over and said, you know, I watched John TV.

You do a great job. You need to be very safe. And he was very serious when he said that to me. And he kind of looked around the room and he said, you know, there are some. Sounds like we lost Aisha's phone there. This happens, by the way, especially when you have so many people attempting to utilize the same cell service at the same time. Yeah, it does happen, all right? And these people who want to claim it doesn't.

These people want to claim, no, it doesn't, you know, that's actually kind of weird. And like, but what would that actually look like? You know? What would it at? Like, why would he be, why would he say, like, why would the press secretary, the husband's the press secretary? And why is this, like, if it's on Fox News, isn't she being kind of a rat in this case by talking about it? Is that, you know, what happened to her? I don't know.

I mean, look, you go, why, if it was some kind of conspiracy, why would she say shots fired, right? It's silly. It's a silly thing. You think they're just, I mean, no, like, you go, oh, well, to certain extent there are these people who are just kind of incompetent shills. Well, a lot of them seem like, you know, that's the sharpest. It's not the best cabinet that I've ever seen, but I don't think they would say that, right?

It almost seems like you would think you would kind of, if you were going to say it. Now, here's the one, now, some would argue that you, if all you have to do to kind of disway or, you know, if you're going to use that argument, you could just basically say, well, in that case, I'll just say that. And that way, anyone who's claiming it, we're going, well, why would I say it then? and you're going to go that circular logic and you go crazy right you go crazy you think and that is that the point maybe who cares maybe we are crazy what are you going to do about it if if they're going to if look if the president would do this set this up to get a ballroom what do you think it's going to do to you you know it's like that morgan free it's like that's dark night it's like you think your client i'll do a market

kind of do a Morgan and Freeman impression, is that okay? You think you're a client, the richest man in the world. There's a vigilante who beats men criminals up with his bare hands every night, and your plan is to blackmail this man. And the little boy, you know, the accountant goes, ah, and he runs away. Man, he's still rats later on. I mean, like, there's kind of a plow hole to me. You think, you know, you're on board with Morgan Freeman.

He's putting a scare in this guy. And then all of a sudden, he's still ratting. Seems odd, but whatever. That's that's the dark night. I'm talking about real life here. Okay. It's a similar idea. What do you think he's going to do?

How about you just, you know, just keep on. Just keep your head down. All right. You have bills to pay, right? You have ransom to pay. If you don't, well, you know, knock on wood. This is not a real wood table. I can't afford that.

Now, I guess before we move on, let's just, we do have an ad. I know I've had these ads, you know, a few weeks ago, we had some ads. I still haven't gotten paid. There were some questions of, like, promo codes. I believe we have the promo codes. Let's see. Here we go.

Leak me. Cut the shit. We all know you're too lazy and too stupid to come up with effective passwords. And you're too preoccupied with beer. and only fans girls dressed as Pikachu to lift a finger for your own data security so Pikachu face face it we're gonna get it all your banking info your medical records pictures of your wife's your wife dressed up as slutty squirrel is this this doesn't seem your wife is that's a that's a Pokemon too right

she doesn't put tape over that webcam LOL no sir, and we're going to sell it to the highest bidder, and you're going to get nothing until now. This seems unscrupulous. I'm going to say, I don't, it doesn't even matter if we're getting the money sometimes. Are we, are we, like, getting, are we getting ads from, like, black pat hackers? I'm not even sure how that works. Cut up the middleman with LeakMe. LeakMe is a web security tool that allows you to profit off of its inevitable failure.

Instead of paying money to have us steal picks of your wife's dirty feet, you can cut out the middleman and get paid for those feet picks. Well, you said cut the middleman twice. I don't think you're the middleman. It sounds like you're the hackers who're stealing it. And you're also, but you're also the people who want the feet picks? I don't know what this is. You just enter all your info into our server,

and we reward you with little trinkets, maybe with a Pokemon card. What's what this Pokemon? Is this like, I mean, is this guy into Pokemon? Is that even relevant? I mean, I know people, some kind of key chain. It's like one of those mystery box services bespoke.

And custom tailored to how dirty your wife's feet picks are. What is, you know what you're really buying is a small sliver of control in a hopeless world that passed you by a long time ago. If you don't give it to us, we're going to take it anyway on our terms. So just pretend like you're okay with it.

With Leak Me. Promote code fist me. I'm glad we have a promo code this time, but I don't, there's still no website. I'm not typing Leak Me into Google. I don't care if I'm not getting paid. I don't know what that does. I feel like it's a dead man switch.

I somehow get, you know, a raid happens as soon as I try that. This just seems like a trap. why are we even reading these this scene i mean this is this the am i i i'm like an accomplice to this i don't know i guess go to the leak try use promo cordless i don't do what you feel support the show if you can anyway uh look there's there's a lot more going on with this um that was caroline levin you know look she's she's gonna do what she's gonna do uh We also have Dana White here.

All the gun, it just started getting noisy. Tables getting flipped over, guys running in with guns, and they were screaming, get down. I didn't get down. It was fucking awesome. I literally took every minute of it in, and it was a pretty crazy, unique experience. Well, that's great. I mean, look, that's, it's good to know that everyone was enjoying the assassination attempt. And, you know, it's a vivid, it's a vivid time.

makes you feel more alive than, you know, being moments away from the president, you know, possibly. But thank God he wasn't slain. But I guess he's just chipper about it. He's like, is he supposed to be friends with Trump? Data White? When is that fight happening? I mean, I can't believe that you're going to have a, you know, this is all going down. You're talking about how secure the white has is going to be. You protect yourself against drones against, you know, water, you know, faced attacks, I assume, you know, they're protected against, are we sure that these, they're not sneaking some crazy fighter in there?

I mean, these are the greatest fighters in the world. The last, I mean, I, oh, Dana White seems very happy. I don't, I think he, I think he's a patriot and he wouldn't do anything wrong. But like, he's seen, if I'm him, I'm going, there's a lot of threats. I got to make sure my, my stable of fighter boys are secure. If I was him, I'd be doing that. I've been making sure that no one, no one's getting in the ear of these fighter boys, these UFC boys.

They're strong. They can move quick. You've seen these secret service. Look, I'm glad they got this guy. This Caltech guy. I don't even want to say his name. Is it because I don't remember him? No, it's because I don't want to honor him.

I don't want to honor this schmuck who thought he could take our president away. Look, when this happens, it's, it's our, it's my president. you're a president, right? Politics goes aside when the president is in danger, all right? You can, you can, you can put the conspiracy cap aside

for one day, you know? You can put it back on, but it was yesterday, so whatever. I'm just saying, like, you don't have to, like, dwell on like, is this real? Is this some kind of scam? Why am I being fed this weird horse? That doesn't matter.

Is Cash Retell actually still getting fired? They say he was getting fired before, but now this happens. Seems very odd. Like, yeah, I don't know. I don't know. Can you imagine getting rid of Cash Patel now while these threats are around? There's no one I want watching my back and watching over my heart and my family more than Cash Patel. The great great man.

It's odd. It's all very odd. Now, we have the White House correspondent. Just over a week ago, a federal judge. escalated the legal standoff over the ballroom by ordering a halt to above ground construction. Saying the president appeared intent on skirting a previous order

by redefining the project as a critical national security upgrade. I didn't even realize, honestly, that this ballroom was like, you know, in jeopardy. You know, when people go, oh, there's a false fight. What do you mean? Like, it's privately funded. I thought he's just doing it.

Now, I'm saying, he should be able to just do that. That's a horse of a different color. I'm just saying that I didn't realize that he was actually like listening to judges. I thought that was over. It's like it's actually comforting to me on some level that he actually, you know, if he cared enough. Now I'm not saying he did, but if he cared enough to do a false flag to circumvent judges,

doesn't that mean that he actually cares what the judge says? It's kind of nice, right? It's not the worst thing in the world as far as I'm concerned. When he stops caring about judges, then he got a real problem. It's like, you know, when the false flags, happen, they, you know they care. You didn't see a big false flag for Iran, did you? No, that was the scary part. This is actually, oh, like you, this makes me feel like you still do care a little bit. That's, that's sweet. It may, I still matter on some level. My manufacturer

consent means something. I appreciate that. Judge Richard J. Leone said that adding features like bulletproof windows and other standard security features that exist throughout the White House did not exempt the Ballroom Project from his directives. Natural Security is not a blank check to proceed with otherwise unlawful activity.

Judge Leon wrote, Judge Leon or Judge Leon, Judge Leon, whatever. Judge Leon has ruled that Mr. Trump lacked the authority to unilaterally rebuild the White House without approval from Congress. A federal appeals court has allowed construction to continue

while it reviews Judge Leon's decision. I mean, it's probably true. It does seem like, you know, if no one cares, if there's no repercussions to like tearing down part of the White House, it seems weird that they be, you know, they wouldn't let you rebuild it.

You know, I don't know how that works legally. I don't know how any of this works on. I don't know if anyone knows how this works. But you would think that if you're allowed just bulldoze an entire, wing of the White House, that's the bigger problem. That would be like, hey, what are you doing? That's the, that's the house that belongs to the people, right?

The people's, as the Andrew Jackson's house. Now, he didn't tear down the mansion, right? But the East Room, it goes back like 100 years, I think, something like that. There was a theater underneath where Kennedy would watch God knows what, I guess, Gidgett or like Breakfast of Tiffany's. did John of Kennedy watch other films in that White House theater? Who's to know? I would imagine if he was going to do dirty things like that.

They'd have like, you know, a room somewhere. Maybe that, hey, Adams or whatever, they'd have a little projector where they project those little nudie films or whatever. If he was into that, you know, he was a, he was a, he was a sexual man. You got a lot, they get a lot done? He wanted to get a lot done. I feel like his heart was in the, you know, Kennedy. regardless

you know the theater I mean a lot of nice things happen there and they tear it down and look that seems to be like and people did get upset but that was a time

for like injunctions I would think I guess you can't really injunct you know if I'm a judge in D.C. I'm injunction to go hey don't you dare

tear it down I would just cut briefs I don't how this judge thing works to be fair these judges just seem to be able to shut everything down

that I don't you know it's a real I do feel like at a certain point, maybe stop so much, even if you should be able to. I do, you know, I'll grant you. Some of these, you know, they call them activist judge. I'll let that gets thrown around a lot, this activist judge thing. And I'll grant you, you know, it gets overused.

But there probably is a lot, you know, a bunch of circumstances where it's like, what, you know, do you even have per view? I think they had to kind of, the Supreme Court had to kind of make something, you know, a decision or something last year where it's like we can't just be completely out of loop you know a guy you know if something happens in Oregon some guy in Kentucky some judge in Kentucky some federal judge can't just you have to have some

which I always start with the case anyway but you know let's just assume that they're not overreaching now is the time to maybe pick your battles you know I wouldn't go trying because what we don't want like before we want the false flags. I'm not saying this was one, but we do want them. All right? You need there needs to be some effort at least. You know, you know, who doesn't have false flags, uh, you know, totalitarian, the emperor Palpatine's, you know, the, the, the Stalin,

that he probably did, but yeah, I don't think they were just kind of round up thousands of people and shoot them, right? They would have these, but a false flag when, like, there's a, there's levels to this. you use like you know right now with false flags like a big deal it requires like you know public outcry and investigation we don't want to get to a point where the when you really when it's when you're into i don't know what you want to call it a dictatorship false flags just become hey here's what happened shut up so it's not like you know they'll have a cover it's a cover story really is what it is that's the thing i think people kind of miss that distinction there's a difference between here's what we said happens, shut your mouth or your next, and a false flag.

And so you want that. You don't want to overstep your authority, I would think. Now, is that sound, it's not coward. It's just picking your bail. Don't make a thing out of everything. You get a need to rebuild the East Wing. You know, you don't want to, you know, you want to make sure, you want to keep Trump, you know, for the president in a situation where he's, feels like he can win the game still.

A little bit. If you just keep telling him, we're going to put you in jail. We're going to arrest you. We're going to do whatever. You know, put you in the stocks. I mean, you just ask, you know, does that seem like, you know,

no, the country shouldn't be in a position where that's an issue? And maybe I'm just, you know, making hay out of hay fever. What the hell does that mean? But, you know, regardless. It's, I, if I'm not being clear enough, it's a time for optimist.

Mr. President, apparently there was a special forces soldier who was involved in the capture of Venezuelan President Maduro, who was arrested by federal authorities today on suspicion of insider trading and betting on polymarket. Are you concerned that federal employees are betting on these prediction markets and potentially getting rich? Well, I don't know about it, but was he betting that they would get him or they wouldn't get him? It sounds like he was betting on his removal from office that Maduro would be removed. It sounds like he was involved in the operation. That's like Pete Rose betting on his own team. It's a little like Pete Rose. No, you're right.

Look, I mean, to be fair, when I first heard what you call a special force of soldier involved in this, I don't know, what's the military term for kidnapping of Maduro? They kidnapped them, right? And his wife, it was impressive. I'm not trying to make a light of it. It's one of the most impressive kidnapping since the Lindberg. baby. But yeah, it's a kidnapping, right? They got them with minimal

damage, right? It was a relatively especially compared to Iran, relatively clean-up. And apparently this guy been on polymarket, which I've been, you know, I've been ahead of the game saying, see, it seems like people are profiting off on prediction markets

and the oil futures market and just, you know, the stock market. Is there a slush fund being created that, you know, based on the whims of the administration I it kind of seems like there might be right I'm not that you know so this is not surprising to me it's an interesting at all I mean that's surprising though the president's reaction though is very interesting he doesn't seem to care as he kept

him out of the Hall of Fame because he bet on his own team right you're right betting that Maduro would be kicked out of office by a guy who was involved in the kidnapping of Maduro is just like Pete Rose in the Hall of Fame is exactly It is exactly the same. He is the point. What you don't want, it's only a problem when the special forces start betting against themselves.

And there is a logic to that. The thing about Trump is that, you know, even when you think he's being cavalier and even if it sounds a little corrupt, it does have a logic. And, you know, it would be considerably worse, I think. I don't think I wouldn't argue, if our special forces were taking dives.

Because that's really where the money is. The money in these Like when the mob used to run Boxing And I guess they do Are they out of it? Is a mob? I don't know.

I don't know about the mob. Don't come to me. I got my own problems, all right? I got enough people trying to hunt me down. But, you know, when you run, you know, when you try to, when you rig a fight, the idea is that you don't bet on the guy to win. The idea is that you pay a guy to take a dive

or you, I guess, you know, threaten the guy to take a dive, whatever, you're the mob, you figure it out. And then you bet on the other guy. That's the way you win, right? So the special forces, if they start going, hey, we don't know. Now, look, I'm sure they were confident

they could take Maduro down. But we're going, as we get into bigger fights, right, with bigger enemies, we go against China. You don't want the special forces, you know, taking a dive on the rate of Shanghai. And no, no threat to, China, I got no inside Intel, don't come at me, China, please. But you don't want them taking a dive on the rate, on the, on the, on the, on the, on the, on the, on the, on the, on the, on the, on the, on the, on the, it's just kind of a few bucks on polymarket.

What was the other one, Calci? I don't know. You don't is that, that's bad for business. Now, I do, does this, does this, does Trump seem to be kind of having a, too kind of, it's just kind of a slippery slope? Yeah, what does that even mean? I mean, I know what it means. shut up, I guess. Now, if you bet against his team, that would be no good.

But he'd be on his own team. I'll look into it. We're also been that are being placed as well on the Iran conflict, too, and there have been some trackings where people suspect that there's insider trading happening on these prediction markets around the war. Are you concerned about that? Are you concerned about anything, sir? The whole world, unfortunately, has become somewhat of a casino.

And you look at what's going on all over. the world and Europe and every place they're doing these betting things. I was never much in favor of it. I don't like it. No, I mean, you ran casinos, but you're not for it. But look, it's a fair point. He makes the point that none of the people make. The world is

becoming a casino. Now, is he, you know, doing things that, you know, make it a casino? Yes, to be clear. Probably why, you know, but whatever. You know, there's a lot of times when president, you know, we have this vagueness.

Here's the other thing. Much like it's better to have the false flag, it's better to have a guy who calls it well, even if he's the corrupt one, even if he's doing the dirty deeds, right? Like President Biden was, you know, they seem corrupt. Yeah, I mean, what was going on on, Periscima? Is it as bad? No, I don't think so. But, I mean, it's like, it seems like, you know, you have corruption and you have, you know,

just blanket selling off for parts. But, you know, who am I the judge? uh so the point is it would seem like you would uh you know just it's it's better to have someone kind of commenting on it and like you know going yeah it's a casino you stop worrying about it Biden don't have you know Biden would have you uh if you know worrying about the the ecology of the climate we've had you worrying about you know all sorts of shit you's never gonna fix anyway oh what what happens if the water gets poisoned will we run out of clean water who cares we'll be dead right I mean we won't he'll help Trump will be

dead then that's right I mean I mean I assume that he'll live long enough to not have to be drinking the poison water yeah but he'll probably outlive me so you know where where are we where are we what's the difference is there anything you learn from this article took part in the planning ultimately in the capture the arrest. Special forces soldier who took part in the planning, ultimately in the capture the arrest of Venezuela's president, Nicholas Maduro recently, stands accused today of making some really big money from knowing about what was going to happen before it did. Prosecutors allege that he won over $400,000 from an online prediction platform using

insider information. Here's Nicole Skanga. Skanga. Federal investigators believe this U.S. Army Special Forces soldier involved in the capture of Nicholas Maduro in Venezuela, pocketed nearly half a million dollars after allegedly placing a bet on the top secret raid hours before the president announced it. The dictator and terrorist, Maduro, is finally gone in Venezuela. Master Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke is accused of betting more than $33,000 on Polly Market, a platform where people trade. on the outcomes of future events and netting winnings that topped

$400,000. I mean, to be fair, who is betting against them? Who's like, who's sitting there going? Like, I think Maduro's fine. I mean, that's a real... I guess they have different odds, right? I mean, it just seems like, you know, you better have been getting a sick payout

if Maduro stayed in office. I wouldn't, you know, if that was even like, you know, because the way it was hard has it work. If you bet, usually, if it's even money, you bet $100 and you get $100 back. and then if it's 10 to 1, you bet 100, you get 1,000. You better be getting 1,000. I mean, the way they were talking, I mean, I mean,

that's who got hurt, right? To reiterate what I was saying at the top, it's like, you know, it's the people who are betting against, you know, we're betting that Maduro would be safe. Because the whole idea, the whole rationale with these, with these prediction markets, the people at the prediction market say is that it's beneficial because we get the best knowledge.

Which seems like you wouldn't, like, did they make that point? If you have insider trading, then that information is somehow getting out to the public in a certain way, right? Like the, the, the,

in much the same way where like, you know, when you look at sports betting, if the, if the line suddenly shifts, and you can kind of guess, you know, everyone kind of knows that Vegas is really sharp on the,

on the NBA, most of these major sports. They know stuff. They have guys who, you know, I mean, casino makes it, the movie casino made it seem like, you know, I knew the, the, the, uh, the quarterback's girlfriend had PMS and she was, you know, her dog was, you know, having to have, whatever, you know, and like, um, I don't know, when you extrapolate that to this, it doesn't seem like that's something we'd want as a country. To be fair, I don't want to be a pearl clatcher. I don't be some fucking ding, you know, some dipshit, you know, some dipshit clutching pearls here saying, well, oh, but, you know, dude.

Do we want people to get the, you know, because this is the thing. Do you want, do you want foreign spy agencies, espionage agencies, you know, intelligence agencies is the proper word. Do you want them surveying Cal sheet and surveying polymarket for large bets? I mean, look, here's a thing. If you're, I don't know what the Venezuelan intelligence services is, I don't know where to help them. But let's say it's China. I don't know what their intelligence services called.

But, you know, again, when you extrapolate to the future things, you don't want the Chinese intelligence to know, hey, we just spend a million, $10 million, bad on, like, you know, the U.S. invades China. Now, whatever. This is that sounds simplistic, but it's just a thought experiment. There we go, oh, that's interesting. You know, and we're entering the age of AI, I guess. So, you know, we think it would be a simple task, you know, some schmuck in the pilot bureau. or whatever they call it. It gets a phone call and goes, hey, the computer says, you know, watch out.

Watch your ass. And all of a sudden, a bunch of guys, a bunch of American boys, soldiers get blown up. Maybe we still win. Maybe we still don't. You know, this is information. It's a war. I mean, information is power and money. But you don't want guys profiting.

The same way, there's that movie Miller's Crossing, right? Where the whole, the whole inciting incident is that Bernie Baumbaum, you know, who was played by Duturo, you know, DeMittorio, John Polito is like, yeah, he's the mob guy. And he's like, hey, look, this guy, I'm laying my bets with him, but he's telling everyone else I'm laying the bets. I'm laying crooked bets. Like I was saying before, he's fixing fights,

but he's telling everyone else. So by the time the fight happens, the line is shifted, and he's just getting even money. And then what the fucking point? That's in the same way, you know, he's not paying. He's paying this guy, and this guy's making money over his book. He's not entitled to, like, you know,

pilfer the mob's take is the mob's fix right and what does the United States if not a mafia if not a mob right we shut the mob down because we're the mob well that me we but you know to the point is you can't have this um but again who cares like it's not my is it oh are you going to be a narc are you going to be a fed are you going to be a rat i'm not trying to take anyone's bag Get your bag. All right. Patreon.com slash rate comp.

Get your bag. You know, get what's yours. Everyone's got to get in. Poor guy. Probably was going to buy a pool or boat. According to an indictment unsealed in the Southern District of New York,

the communication specialist faces a slew of charges, including fraud and unlawful use of confidential government information for personal gain. You know, the government gets to do it. you know the president get i'm not accusing the president of anything but if he gets to profit off this stuff allegedly supposedly why can't you know why can't the soldiers they put a lot of time in you know they shoot a lot of people to get good enough to do this stuff you know it takes a lot out of you to go and like kidnap of the wife of maduro i don't know what his role was but you know

that this is thing you don't want people you know you don't want to just reward the people who like actually grabbed it. You know, it's not important if he was, you know, every piece matters. It's a machine. So it doesn't matter if this guy was actually one of the soldiers who went out there and grabbed, you know, Maduro or his wife or shot all these people, whatever. Or if he's a guy who's in logistics, the people in logistics matter. So if he was probably, everyone has a right to profit, in my opinion.

Everyone has a right to compromise the operation. You know? Now, should he have to spread that around? that's between him and the unit. Maybe there's a gentleman's agreement where you kind of, you know, where you, you know, I get to keep the lying share because I'm not only made the bet, right?

Or maybe it's a pool. A lot of places, you know, have an office pool. Maybe you have an office polymarket pool. And by office, I mean, like, you know, regiment or whatever they call it. And then, you know, it's a little bit fairer that way. Because, you know, that guy, there was that guy who was, you know,

I forget his name, but he was in the Belmonton raid, and he's on Twitter all the time. It just seems like, you know, I always thought these special forces guys were not supposed to say, I'm the guy who shot the guy, right? Like, it's about, you know,

you don't want to incentivize people to go for glory over you, or over mission, whatever, cohesion. You don't want them risking, you know, you don't want some guy showboating trying to take a shot when his job is to like, you know, his job is to hold the rope.

If I'm supposed to be holding the rope, So the guy who takes the shot, you know, jumps off the helicopter and rushes into the building and shoots the guy. You don't want the guy holding the robe to just be like, hey, screw you and just run in with an oozy and just start spraying, right? That doesn't do anyone any good. That doesn't help the mission. So everyone's got their role. Everyone's got their part. And so in the same way, you don't want, you don't want just have one guy profiting off of a polymarket bet.

even though hey we all knew that we were going to kidnap this guy and his wife we all knew what makes you so special because you you use all right you you you went and bought the it's like saying all right i bought the ticket all right just something right maybe you get a little fee maybe you maybe you maybe get a like a bigger cut maybe but not the whole you know it's you know let's just say someone trying to argue like i'm running the office pool and but i go out and buy the tickets right i i have my little method like buy the tickets and they tried to argue why I should get like half. No, no one's going to go for that, especially if the payout comes. But if that person said, hey, you know, I would like an extra share. If it's 15, 20 people,

you know, we say it's 21, I get an extra one. And I still seem, you know, that's between them and that, but that's a little more reasonable. So if you're the one who actually makes the illegal or is it illegal? I mean, I don't even know if the markets are illegal. If you make the bet, maybe you get a bigger share. But you can't just, you know, if you're getting a boat, Everyone should get a boat. That's a thing. Because how's that going to help? Because you got a guy who's got a bow

because he's smart enough to make the bet. Now, am I describing communism? You could argue that. You can argue it's communism. Every soldier should be for himself. Maybe we should run the military like a free market.

You know, just like like mercenaries. That's the benefit of having mercenaries. is that, you know, you could actually sue them for this and kind of get, and maybe get some of that money. Now the money has to go into, like, a coffer somewhere. But, you know, if you hired Blackwater or whatever, I mean, I don't know if they still do that. You know, these, these, they do, you know,

who are the companies you hire in vague countries now? If it's, maybe it's still blackwater, maybe they've changed to, like, you know, they protect pharmaceuticals and CEOs or whatever, and then other people do the wars. I don't know how anything works. I'm not on the inside. Do I seem like a next soldier to you?

No. You know, I'd love to, I'd love to talk to a next, an ex guy like that. But, you know, anything they would tell you that's interesting, you probably get you killed for me. Well, they probably just kill me. I'd probably say something wrong. I'd be like, you know, don't you feel a little guilty?

What do you mean for guilty? You would have you to judge me, you fat traitor? I'm like, traitor. And they would just start choking me out. I want a pool, motherfucker. You're trying to, you know, and like, you know, why'd you even come for the interview then? We're getting a little head of wrong.

you know, away from the point. Oh, it's, it's so much craziness. There's this, uh, very odd. Before we go, let's, there is this Palantir thing I saw earlier this week. So this is from the people of Palantir. They posted this on X, right? This, uh, because we get asked a lot. That's a weird, I mean, it's a weird way to start this.

Hey, because, you know, it's like, it's like releasing a bunch of, a bunch of threats. like you know we're gonna kid that'd be great kids and we're gonna beat you uh grandma and like you know make it make a big spit and you know but because we get asked a lot and that's your intro the technological republic in brief the technological republic i mean that in of itself sounds threatening to me palatier if you don't know i mean you should know that's the company that's run by amongst other people uh peter teal who's very uh an expert on the Antichrist, which is great. It's great.

It's awesome. And their whole thing is using AI to target people and to pick the targets and, you know, in war. And I guess use that to feed drones. Like it's like I feel like, and I will stand corrected. But they seem like they're the thing in Avengers, Age of Ultron. No, no, no. The Captain America's winter soldier.

where it's like, you know, those ships that they were trying to prevent from launching. They'll just start shooting people based on like these lists. Like I think they make the lists or they make AI that makes the lists. Anyway, here's the republic they intend to make. Number one, Silicon Valley owes a moral debt to the country that made its rise possible.

Well, that's actually promising. That's actually a promising intro. It's like, all right, so you owe, they're not just out for themselves. The engineering elite of Silicon Valley has an affirmative obligation to participate in the defense of the nation. All right. I mean, I don't know if that was what we asked.

But sure, I mean, moral debt to the country. I mean, I was more, just please don't, just please don't launch Terminators and winter soldier ships out of us. But if you want to participate in the defense, I guess that's good. Two, we must rebel against the tyranny of the apps.

Like Tinder? Is this an insult thing? This is like, you know, hey, these women, You before Tinder, women didn't have as many options. And that is like a big refrain. And I'm not even saying it's nothing wrong. I mean, practically speaking, it might be an issue because women by the nature of, I don't know, sex, get more options. And then they've overvalued themselves in the short term. And then they don't end up getting together with these guys who aren't, you know, the six-pack ab guys and, you know, or the tall guys.

And that's not, I mean, it's probably not the best for society. So maybe is Palantir going to use? drone strikes to correct that? That's interesting. Is the iPhone our greatest creative, our greatest creative, if not crowning achievement of the civilization? The object has changed our lives,

but it may also now be limiting and constraining our sense of the possible. I mean, I would argue maybe it's just, it's a soul, I mean, the iPhone plus the social media, might be if it's soul crushing and driving us apart. into useless, you know, kind of divides that, you know, that enable third parties to, you know, benefit from the strife.

But yeah, I guess also it makes us not able to go to Mars, I guess, too, if that's what they're saying. Free, free email is not enough. Sure, I didn't realize that was even on the table. That's aimed at Google, I guess. I mean, I also use, you know, some other Google stuff. It was like Google Labs they had, but you could do, I mean, I don't actually use it. They had those things like Google, like research and you want, and like, it was like, oh, you could do college level.

I think it's gone now, but you could do college level stuff with Google, a college level research. And it seemed like I should utilize this stuff. I never did. The decadence of our culture or civilization and indeed its ruling class will be forgiven only if that culture is capable of delivering economic growth and security for the public. this doesn't I mean all right I mean I this doesn't seem like you're this seems like you want more

than than you were letting on power more power I don't know the limits of soft power of soaring rhetoric alone have been exposed again it seems this seems like this debt you owe is more of a math you know it's like hey like you know it's like that's like St. Mussolini say hey

hey, I owe you a debt. I'm going to make good. I don't know. Hey, I owe you a debt for not having already, you know, put you against a wall. The ability of free and democratic societies to prevail require something more

than moral appeal. Are you doing moral appeal? You make killer robots. Am I wrong here? It requires hard power and hard power in this century will be built on software. This is, okay, so you just,

This is sky net. This is just sky net. Five, the question is not whether AI weapons will be built. It is who will build them and for what purpose. Here's the thing. Here's how you phrase that. The question is not whether AI weapons will be built. We're building them.

Fuck you. That's what they're saying. Our adversaries will not pause to indulge the theatrical debates about the merits of development technologies with critical military and national security applications. Neither did you. You've already built these things. Am I wrong?

When did this debate happen here? I know it seems like we rushed to build the killer machine. But if we didn't, then our enemies surely would have. And did they? Well, maybe. They were planning on. They wouldn't have debated it. I'll tell you that much.

They wouldn't debate it. National Six. National Service should be a universal duty. we should as a society seriously consider moving away from an all-volunteer force and only fight the next war if everyone shares in the risk and the car

so they want to draft here and I just don't when I first started reading this document I was like this seems nice they're actually kind of you know maybe showing a little humility but now they're declaring a draft

should happen and almost that it will that's cool I mean look that's cool oh do we also get free email is palate you're gonna give like have his own gmail at least seven if a US Marine asked for a better rifle we should build it and the same

goes for software can we give him the better rifle first I feel they do want a better rifle it's like remember in the M6 in Vietnam when the M16s are all jamming is like hey look we should we should fix that but also let's build let's build Pong well first let's build a rifle for the

Marine. What do you, why are you, who are you, why are these people involved? Who is Palantir? Like where there should be a pretense here of like, hey, this is just a suggestion. There's just an idea. It seems if a U.S. Marine asks for a better rifle, that should be between Congress and the people and the Marine, right? Not between Palantir. We should as a country be capable of continuing a debate about the appropriateness of military action abroad while remaining unflinching in our commitment to those we have asked to step into harm's way. Well, sure. Again, are you, are you giving them a rifle or are you just saying, giving them software? Are you saying we building software? And so just stick with your shitty rifle. Eight, public servants need not be our priests.

Any business that compensated his employees in the way the federal government compensates public servants would struggle to survive. I don't even know where to start here. Where does the Constitution come into play here. It just doesn't, this, this is like a veil-off kind of thing, right? This should be getting a little more out of traction, I feel like. This is actually, I didn't even read this whole thing. This is bad. Nine, we should show far more grace towards those who have subjected themselves to public

life. The eradication of any space for forgiveness, a jettisoning of tolerance for the complexity. Are you just willing, are you saying you won't necessarily gun down people in Congress? What are you saying? 10, the psychologicalization of modern politics is, leading us astray, those who look into the political arena to nourish their soul and sense of self who rely too heavily on the internal life, finding expression in people they may never meet, will be left disappointed.

I guess what they're saying is the culture of personality of politics is dangerous, which would be a more compelling argument if it didn't come from the Antichrist expert, whatever, you know, the people who make the lists that shoot the people. It doesn't see... I think it matters who the mess. sometimes that might be a fair point but when you're like hey I mean they were we using the palate what the Palantir target that school I don't know where those targets come from are they involved where they involved with I don't know any of these questions

please don't kill me 12 the atomic age is ending one age of deterrence the atomic age is ending in a new era of deterrence built on AI set them begin this is I mean this seems like Look, best case, this is marketing, I guess. That's the only, all you can hope for. Look at that in a second. 13. No other country in the history of the world has advanced progressive values more than this one.

Which one are you referring to? The United States is far from perfect, but it's easy to forget how much more opportunity exists in this country for those who are not on the hereditary elites and any other nation on the planet. I feel like they're just mad that they're not hereditary. I don't think hereditary elites really. I feel like, you know, I think the tech guys do okay.

I think they're doing fine, if you ask me. 14. American power has made possible an extraordinary. How many steps are these? We must resist the shallow temperament of a vacant and hollow pluralism. Look, I mean, if you, the pervasive intolerance of religion, religious belief in certain circles must be resisted, the caution in public life that we are unwillingly encouraged is corrosive,

the ruthless exposure of the private lives of public figures, drivers far too much talent away from government service. Stop worrying about why we're doing what we're doing and who we're doing it too. Shut up, or we'll stop, we'll just, you know, but we won't, we won't profit from killing people. Is that what you're saying? Like our best and brightest would love to take part in killing and fleecing the country. They would love to help sell out the country and sell it for parts

to the highest bidder. But they don't want to necessarily get, you know, but they have a few piccadillos, a few foibles, a few skeletons in the closet. They don't want to get, you know, they don't want to get exposed. Well, that's a shame. They should be able to profit too.

I mean, look, here's the thing. Best case, I'll say it's best case, this is hype, this is marketing. And they're just trying to seem more imposing because they know, an imminent AI collapse is coming and which will also probably be, you know, if not the, you know, I don't want to be a doomsayer, but a real problem for the country. We got, you know, our whole country seems to be propped up on like, you know, trillions of

dollars of AI companies feeding each other the same 20 trillion back and forth. So, I mean, you know, best case that they're just kind of gasping to stay relevant to their shareholders in the wake of that. That's the good, that's the good version. The bad version is, you know, this is, this is like basically, I mean, what they released it on X and not, you know, that, it's a nice democratic, uh, place, X.com. Well, well, look, should you be concerned if you want to be?

This, I mean, that's the thing. What are we, what are you going to do? You know, it's like, what are we going to do? Fight this? Yeah. that seems you know daunting why not just have a nice a nice coffee culotta that seems you know that that has got that's got that's never hurt us no i mean it's it's a little it's a little daunting it's a little you know uh it gives you pause but you know just just take it one foot in front of the

other you know i do i have do i have a plan here for how to resist, you know, what these people who were giving us their declarations are threatening us with? No, I don't have a plan yet. I won't. Don't come from me. I'm not the guy who makes plans.

Look at me. That being said, you know, just try to keep a positive outlook. Try not to hurt your neighbor. Be good to your neighbor, right? Be good to your fellow man. Invite him to a barbecue. Get to know each other. You know, liberal, conservative, Democrat, Republican,

what does that mean in the face of an AI monolith declaring that, you know, basically every construct of freedom and democracy in the republic and the republic is basically an outdated model, you know, meant to, you know, be discarded like, like, you know, like Windows 3.1. Just be nice. You know, invite each other. Have a nice summer together. get to know each other this summer that's all i can tell you it'll all be fine hopefully have a good week all right thanks so much