Legal AF by MeidasTouch - Trump Walks Himself into Trap at SCOTUS?!?!
Episode Date: May 3, 2025Trump is continuing to press his losing hand with the United States Supreme Court, and has filed his 12th phony “emergency” application to convince the Supreme Court that it when it called all Ven...ezuelans “scum” and “dirtbags” it was only kidding before deciding to end their protective status and deport them. Michael Popok explains why filing this particular emergency application that Justice Kagan considers first may backfire for the Trump Administration and its Homeland Secretary Kristi Noem. Get 35% OFF on all orders above $139 @MixTiles with code: LEGALAF at https://mixtiles.com/LEGALAF #mixtilespod Remember to subscribe to ALL the MeidasTouch Network Podcasts: MeidasTouch: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/meidastouch-podcast Legal AF: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/legal-af MissTrial: https://meidasnews.com/tag/miss-trial The PoliticsGirl Podcast: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-politicsgirl-podcast The Influence Continuum: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-influence-continuum-with-dr-steven-hassan Mea Culpa with Michael Cohen: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/mea-culpa-with-michael-cohen The Weekend Show: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-weekend-show Burn the Boats: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/burn-the-boats Majority 54: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/majority-54 Political Beatdown: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/political-beatdown On Democracy with FP Wellman: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/on-democracy-with-fpwellman Uncovered: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/maga-uncovered Coalition of the Sane: https://meidasnews.com/tag/coalition-of-the-sane Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Relax, everybody. Donald Trump heard you. He saw and read the polls.
He's got the message and he's turning over a new leaf.
You believe that one? No.
He just filed his 12th emergency application with the United States Supreme
Court,
putting him on collision course again with the United States Supreme Court on
issues related to immigration.
This while they've already issued two major decisions against them in the last three weeks. 9-0 telling him to go get a Briegel Garcia out of that
gulag in El Salvador and 7-2 telling him stop sending people to El
Salvador without due process. And now Donald Trump decides now's a good time
because you know he's always he has exquisite timing. Now's a good time to
take an emergency application that has to first be reviewed by Justice Kagan out of California
and a decision by Judge Chen in San Francisco that made sure that Donald Trump and Kristi
Noem, having called Venezuelans scum and dirtbags, that they wouldn't be able to revoke their
temporary protective status
that the prior administration has put in place
and deport all these people back to Venezuela.
I'm gonna cover it all right here on Legal AF
and the Midas Touch Network on Michael Popak.
Let's get into it.
In March, Judge Chen, an Obama appointee judge
up in San Francisco in the Northern District of
California Federal Court issued a temporary restraining order. He looked at the facts.
He looked at the law and what he came away with is, I just took a look at the Homeland Security
Director, Kristi Noem, 20 days into her being appointed, going on as her ice Barbie mode, her cosplay,
talking about Venezuelans being scum and
dirtbags and you need to get them off the street. Let me do a little side
moment here. I have many Venezuelan friends. I live in Miami. Venezuela and
the Venezuelans in Miami are hardworking, beautiful people that contribute to the economy, that
are not criminals, and should be upheld as model citizens.
They have large populations.
Even around Trump's golf courses in Miami is a lot of Venezuelans.
So to see him go after and attack their friends and families and relatives
and claim that they're all criminals
and they're all members of the Tren de Aragua criminal gang,
just like he claimed that all Haitians were eating pets
in Springfield, Ohio, was a bridge too far for Judge Chen.
Judge Chen said,
"'This decision to cancel the Homeland Security Director
Mayorkas from Biden's decision
to extend temporary protective status, which by the way was a Republican policy established
by the first George Bush in 1990. That looked like it was motivated by hatred for Venezuelans,
calling them scum and some unsubstantiated allegations that they were all gang members.
He said, in reality, they contribute mightily
to the US economy in the billions of dollars.
They commit crimes at much lower rates than Americans.
They have higher, this group of people,
have higher educational attainment
than the average American, right?
We're not, again, we are not talking about criminals,
we're talking about human beings
that want to be in this country and produce
and be productive and pursue the American dream.
And so when they canceled 15 days in
the temporary protective status for these people
and for the Haitian community,
all the lawyers ran to court.
And what Judge Chen said is, I understand your argument that there can't be judicial review
under the way the statute was created by Congress of certain designations, but I can take a look at
it from a constitutional strict scrutiny standpoint and determine that you have violated the law.
That's what federal judges do. You know, that's
the checks and balance of this system. And if you look carefully at the same
statute that they're relying on in order to deport these people, it also says
Kristi Noem doesn't have the jurisdiction, doesn't have the power to
reverse the decision of the prior administration. So if they're going to
argue a court can't take a look at it, what are you supposed to do when she the decision of the prior administration. So if they're gonna argue,
a court can't take a look at it,
what are you supposed to do when she violates the statute
because she tries to reverse what a prior secretary ruled?
So you can make your own decisions,
but you can't undo what's already been done
the way the statute is structured.
Now, for the 12th time in this administration, they have filed an
application with the United States Supreme Court. It comes up first through an associate
justice that's assigned to that particular region of the country. So for California and
the Ninth Circuit, it is Justice Elena Kagan, who sits in the moderate Democratic wing of
the Supreme Court. She is given the other side off the application, which is the coalition,
the national TPS, Temporary Protective Status Alliance. She's given them until the 8th of May,
in about six days, to file their responsive brief. With those two pieces of paper in hand,
it will then either stay with Kagan for a determination,
or she will refer it over to the full court.
We don't know yet.
Why is Donald Trump bringing these emergency applications before I read from this one and
tell you my thoughts of how this is going to play out?
Because the emergency application takes away the normal deliberative process, vote gathering
process of a normal appeal.
In a normal appeal to the United States Supreme Court,
which 99% of the cases occupy that world,
there is a writ of certiorari,
or an application to the United States Supreme Court
for appeal.
They take very few appeals.
They take about, there's tens of thousands of lawsuits
in this country, they take 60 to 70 cases a year, that's it. Maybe a few more because
of Trump. The vast majority of them, there's an opening brief, there's a middle brief,
an opposition brief, there's a reply brief. You have three briefs. Then you have oral argument. And it's months between those events. Then the court, after oral argument, starts an
internal process of caucusing, vote gathering, lobbying each other, caucusing
with each other, circulating competing orders until they reach a consensus and
an opinion is assigned to one of the justices who writes it who's in the
majority of the vote that they've taken. That process there's sometimes
vote flipping and vote getting and people are able to convince the hearts
and minds of their brethren to turn and come over to their side. Donald Trump
doesn't want any of that. He already knows that if he takes that process away
the Supreme Court doesn't operate well
in an emergency environment.
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well in an emergency environment. They are a tortoise. They are deliberative. And when you
force them to be a racehorse or a hare, you know, then, you know, you get smoke coming out of their
ears and circuit breakers are tripped and so but that's what he wants because
He knows there's internally
Internally this division we all can see it in the body language in the oral arguments in the opinion writing
He knows he's got a reliable four votes in
his favor for almost anything that he does
Alito and Thomas for sure Gorsuchorsuch, almost always, and Kavanaugh,
almost always as well.
That's four votes.
You only have to count to five
in order to get your ruling in your favor
at the Supreme Court, at a nine.
He knows that the Democrats and moderates
and non-Trump MAGA have only three votes in their pocket.
Katanji Brown Jackson, Elena Kagan, and Sonia Sotomayor.
So the middle of the court becomes very pressured, whatever that middle is.
It's obviously Amy Coney Barrett right of center and John Roberts right of center.
And so he'd rather Trump fight for one of those two.
He's only got to bat 500 to get his fifth vote.
We, on the other hand, have to bat a thousand.
We have to run the table.
We have to get Amy Coney Barrett and Roberts.
Sure, occasionally Kavanaugh peels away
or Gorsuch peels away in a weird decision
and you see six to threes or seven to twos
or something like that.
But I'm talking about the hard cases like this.
Now, this might not be that hard given the
immigration rulings already, 90 and 72, against Donald Trump. I'm not sure the emergency
application process is going to be of benefit to Donald Trump, but that's why he's doing it.
That's why we've seen more emergency applications to the United States Supreme Court by this
president than any other in history, especially at this moment in time in the first administration. John Sauer, who is the former appellate criminal
lawyer for Donald Trump, is now our Solicitor General, the number four in the Department of
Justice and the head of the Solicitor General's office. They are, that role, which is to advocate
on behalf of the United States of America before the Supreme Court is often referred to as the 10th Justice. We
just heard him argue, we had it here, we had it over on Legal AF, the YouTube
channel, because we're doing all the oral arguments of the United States Supreme
Court there. He just argued in a case involving the separation of church and
state concerning an Oklahoma ruling about whether there's going
to be religious, there's going to be funding for religious charter schools or not from taxpayer
dollars or does that violate the establishment clause? Now he's filed his brief, which I have
right here, which is arguing to the United States Supreme Court, picking and choosing from the
temporary protective status program established by Republicans in 1990, that there's a provision
that says that the designation issues can't be reviewed by anyone.
And no court.
It's a non-reviewable position.
I'm not sure that's constitutional, by the way, for Congress to say a court cannot review
something in our delicate checks and balance system.
We'll leave that for aside for a minute. That's one challenge.
But also if you read deeper in the statute, which of course is ignored by John Sauer,
it also says that there's no power of the next administration's secretary of Homeland Security
to flip the switch and throw over the game board and rule differently than the prior,
that she has to let it ride for the next 15 or 16 months
for the decision to give further extended temporary protective status to Venezuelans.
And so this is what they say in their brief. I'll just read you a little bit of it here. It says,
the temporary protective status program implicates particularly discretionary, sensitive,
and foreign policy-laden judgments of the
executive branch regarding immigration policy, Congress has expressly authorized the Secretary
to provide temporary relief to aliens who cannot safely return to their home nation
due to a natural disaster, armed conflict, or other extraordinary and temporary conditions
in the foreign state.
It commits to the Secretary's role, discretion, soul discretion, such judgments
as to whether the conditions in a particular country are extraordinary." And then he quotes
from one aspect of it that says, there is no judicial review of any determination of the
secretary with respect to the designation or termination or extension of a designation
of a foreign state. I'm not even sure that provision actually applies to what he's talking about.
This isn't about designation or termination or extension of a foreign state.
It's also completely inconsistent and I'm sure it'll come up in the record. Donald Trump spends a considerable amount of time claiming that
Venezuela is
an enemy combatant and at war with the United States,
and it's been taken over by the Tren de Aragua criminal gang, and therefore they are enemy
combatants, that he can use the Alien Enemies Act to deport people without due process to a gulag
in El Salvador. Well, how does that square? How can you say on one hand that Venezuela is corrupt, has been co-opted by a criminal terrorist, narco drug gang,
and then send people back there and claim everything's fine
and idyllic in Venezuela.
It's all good now, you can go home.
That, their inability to even touch that or reconcile that,
I'm sure it's going to be
front and center in the decision-making. Here's my prediction. I mean, could Kagan
take this on herself given the last two decisions of the Supreme Court against
the administration 9-0 and 7-2? She could. I think there's a 50%
chance that Kagan is going to just make this ruling on herself and reject the application
and start putting an end and sending the message back to the Trump administration. Stop bringing
us phony emergencies. This is not an emergency application. This is going to continue. Take your
normal appeal. If you want to file a writ of certiorari and bring it up the right way, we'll
take a look at it in the future, but this is not an emergency. Your calling it so doesn't make it so. I think she does that.
Maybe it's even 60% chance. But because of all the public perception about the shadow docket,
she may feel she has to turn it over to the other eight, and then after the full briefing,
we're going to get an order. We're going to know relatively soon. After the eighth, she's either gonna issue an order
that she kept it herself and denied it,
or she sent it over to the full eight.
Follow us here on Midas Touch Network on Unlegal AF.
While you're here, come over to Legal AF,
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five or six things.
I just posted in the Legal AF sub stack, this six things. I just posted in the Legal AF sub stack this particular filing that I just talked about
About John Sauer for those that are interested. So it's all my next reporting
I'm Michael Pope five in collaboration with the Midas Touch Network. We just launched the Legal AF
YouTube channel help us build this pro-democracy channel where I'll be curating the top stories the intersection of law and politics
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