Legal AF by MeidasTouch - Trump Walks Himself into Trap at SCOTUS?!?!

Episode Date: May 3, 2025

Trump is continuing to press his losing hand with the United States Supreme Court, and has filed his 12th phony “emergency” application to convince the Supreme Court that it when it called all Ven...ezuelans “scum” and “dirtbags” it was only kidding before deciding to end their protective status and deport them. Michael Popok explains why filing this particular emergency application that Justice Kagan considers first may backfire for the Trump Administration and its Homeland Secretary Kristi Noem. Get 35% OFF on all orders above $139 @MixTiles with code: LEGALAF at https://mixtiles.com/LEGALAF #mixtilespod Remember to subscribe to ALL the MeidasTouch Network Podcasts: MeidasTouch: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/meidastouch-podcast Legal AF: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/legal-af MissTrial: https://meidasnews.com/tag/miss-trial The PoliticsGirl Podcast: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-politicsgirl-podcast The Influence Continuum: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-influence-continuum-with-dr-steven-hassan Mea Culpa with Michael Cohen: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/mea-culpa-with-michael-cohen The Weekend Show: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-weekend-show Burn the Boats: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/burn-the-boats Majority 54: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/majority-54 Political Beatdown: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/political-beatdown On Democracy with FP Wellman: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/on-democracy-with-fpwellman Uncovered: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/maga-uncovered Coalition of the Sane: https://meidasnews.com/tag/coalition-of-the-sane Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Relax, everybody. Donald Trump heard you. He saw and read the polls. He's got the message and he's turning over a new leaf. You believe that one? No. He just filed his 12th emergency application with the United States Supreme Court, putting him on collision course again with the United States Supreme Court on issues related to immigration. This while they've already issued two major decisions against them in the last three weeks. 9-0 telling him to go get a Briegel Garcia out of that
Starting point is 00:00:30 gulag in El Salvador and 7-2 telling him stop sending people to El Salvador without due process. And now Donald Trump decides now's a good time because you know he's always he has exquisite timing. Now's a good time to take an emergency application that has to first be reviewed by Justice Kagan out of California and a decision by Judge Chen in San Francisco that made sure that Donald Trump and Kristi Noem, having called Venezuelans scum and dirtbags, that they wouldn't be able to revoke their temporary protective status that the prior administration has put in place
Starting point is 00:01:08 and deport all these people back to Venezuela. I'm gonna cover it all right here on Legal AF and the Midas Touch Network on Michael Popak. Let's get into it. In March, Judge Chen, an Obama appointee judge up in San Francisco in the Northern District of California Federal Court issued a temporary restraining order. He looked at the facts. He looked at the law and what he came away with is, I just took a look at the Homeland Security
Starting point is 00:01:36 Director, Kristi Noem, 20 days into her being appointed, going on as her ice Barbie mode, her cosplay, talking about Venezuelans being scum and dirtbags and you need to get them off the street. Let me do a little side moment here. I have many Venezuelan friends. I live in Miami. Venezuela and the Venezuelans in Miami are hardworking, beautiful people that contribute to the economy, that are not criminals, and should be upheld as model citizens. They have large populations. Even around Trump's golf courses in Miami is a lot of Venezuelans.
Starting point is 00:02:22 So to see him go after and attack their friends and families and relatives and claim that they're all criminals and they're all members of the Tren de Aragua criminal gang, just like he claimed that all Haitians were eating pets in Springfield, Ohio, was a bridge too far for Judge Chen. Judge Chen said, "'This decision to cancel the Homeland Security Director Mayorkas from Biden's decision
Starting point is 00:02:46 to extend temporary protective status, which by the way was a Republican policy established by the first George Bush in 1990. That looked like it was motivated by hatred for Venezuelans, calling them scum and some unsubstantiated allegations that they were all gang members. He said, in reality, they contribute mightily to the US economy in the billions of dollars. They commit crimes at much lower rates than Americans. They have higher, this group of people, have higher educational attainment
Starting point is 00:03:20 than the average American, right? We're not, again, we are not talking about criminals, we're talking about human beings that want to be in this country and produce and be productive and pursue the American dream. And so when they canceled 15 days in the temporary protective status for these people and for the Haitian community,
Starting point is 00:03:42 all the lawyers ran to court. And what Judge Chen said is, I understand your argument that there can't be judicial review under the way the statute was created by Congress of certain designations, but I can take a look at it from a constitutional strict scrutiny standpoint and determine that you have violated the law. That's what federal judges do. You know, that's the checks and balance of this system. And if you look carefully at the same statute that they're relying on in order to deport these people, it also says Kristi Noem doesn't have the jurisdiction, doesn't have the power to
Starting point is 00:04:19 reverse the decision of the prior administration. So if they're going to argue a court can't take a look at it, what are you supposed to do when she the decision of the prior administration. So if they're gonna argue, a court can't take a look at it, what are you supposed to do when she violates the statute because she tries to reverse what a prior secretary ruled? So you can make your own decisions, but you can't undo what's already been done the way the statute is structured.
Starting point is 00:04:41 Now, for the 12th time in this administration, they have filed an application with the United States Supreme Court. It comes up first through an associate justice that's assigned to that particular region of the country. So for California and the Ninth Circuit, it is Justice Elena Kagan, who sits in the moderate Democratic wing of the Supreme Court. She is given the other side off the application, which is the coalition, the national TPS, Temporary Protective Status Alliance. She's given them until the 8th of May, in about six days, to file their responsive brief. With those two pieces of paper in hand, it will then either stay with Kagan for a determination,
Starting point is 00:05:25 or she will refer it over to the full court. We don't know yet. Why is Donald Trump bringing these emergency applications before I read from this one and tell you my thoughts of how this is going to play out? Because the emergency application takes away the normal deliberative process, vote gathering process of a normal appeal. In a normal appeal to the United States Supreme Court, which 99% of the cases occupy that world,
Starting point is 00:05:55 there is a writ of certiorari, or an application to the United States Supreme Court for appeal. They take very few appeals. They take about, there's tens of thousands of lawsuits in this country, they take 60 to 70 cases a year, that's it. Maybe a few more because of Trump. The vast majority of them, there's an opening brief, there's a middle brief, an opposition brief, there's a reply brief. You have three briefs. Then you have oral argument. And it's months between those events. Then the court, after oral argument, starts an
Starting point is 00:06:31 internal process of caucusing, vote gathering, lobbying each other, caucusing with each other, circulating competing orders until they reach a consensus and an opinion is assigned to one of the justices who writes it who's in the majority of the vote that they've taken. That process there's sometimes vote flipping and vote getting and people are able to convince the hearts and minds of their brethren to turn and come over to their side. Donald Trump doesn't want any of that. He already knows that if he takes that process away the Supreme Court doesn't operate well
Starting point is 00:07:05 in an emergency environment. Let's just say my wife and I are accumulating hundreds of baby and family photos every day, but how to display them? And we had this big long wall leading to our bedrooms that we said would be perfect for a gallery wall of a timeline from like the beginning of our relationship and then marriage and pregnancy and birth
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Starting point is 00:09:33 on all orders above $139. Just head to mixstyles.com and use code LegalAF and you're all set. That's code LegalAF at mixstyles.com. And after you buy, do us a favor. When they ask you where you heard about mixediles, tell them it was from our show. The Supreme Court doesn't operate well in an emergency environment. They are a tortoise. They are deliberative. And when you
Starting point is 00:09:57 force them to be a racehorse or a hare, you know, then, you know, you get smoke coming out of their ears and circuit breakers are tripped and so but that's what he wants because He knows there's internally Internally this division we all can see it in the body language in the oral arguments in the opinion writing He knows he's got a reliable four votes in his favor for almost anything that he does Alito and Thomas for sure Gorsuchorsuch, almost always, and Kavanaugh, almost always as well.
Starting point is 00:10:28 That's four votes. You only have to count to five in order to get your ruling in your favor at the Supreme Court, at a nine. He knows that the Democrats and moderates and non-Trump MAGA have only three votes in their pocket. Katanji Brown Jackson, Elena Kagan, and Sonia Sotomayor. So the middle of the court becomes very pressured, whatever that middle is.
Starting point is 00:10:54 It's obviously Amy Coney Barrett right of center and John Roberts right of center. And so he'd rather Trump fight for one of those two. He's only got to bat 500 to get his fifth vote. We, on the other hand, have to bat a thousand. We have to run the table. We have to get Amy Coney Barrett and Roberts. Sure, occasionally Kavanaugh peels away or Gorsuch peels away in a weird decision
Starting point is 00:11:17 and you see six to threes or seven to twos or something like that. But I'm talking about the hard cases like this. Now, this might not be that hard given the immigration rulings already, 90 and 72, against Donald Trump. I'm not sure the emergency application process is going to be of benefit to Donald Trump, but that's why he's doing it. That's why we've seen more emergency applications to the United States Supreme Court by this president than any other in history, especially at this moment in time in the first administration. John Sauer, who is the former appellate criminal
Starting point is 00:11:51 lawyer for Donald Trump, is now our Solicitor General, the number four in the Department of Justice and the head of the Solicitor General's office. They are, that role, which is to advocate on behalf of the United States of America before the Supreme Court is often referred to as the 10th Justice. We just heard him argue, we had it here, we had it over on Legal AF, the YouTube channel, because we're doing all the oral arguments of the United States Supreme Court there. He just argued in a case involving the separation of church and state concerning an Oklahoma ruling about whether there's going to be religious, there's going to be funding for religious charter schools or not from taxpayer
Starting point is 00:12:29 dollars or does that violate the establishment clause? Now he's filed his brief, which I have right here, which is arguing to the United States Supreme Court, picking and choosing from the temporary protective status program established by Republicans in 1990, that there's a provision that says that the designation issues can't be reviewed by anyone. And no court. It's a non-reviewable position. I'm not sure that's constitutional, by the way, for Congress to say a court cannot review something in our delicate checks and balance system.
Starting point is 00:13:04 We'll leave that for aside for a minute. That's one challenge. But also if you read deeper in the statute, which of course is ignored by John Sauer, it also says that there's no power of the next administration's secretary of Homeland Security to flip the switch and throw over the game board and rule differently than the prior, that she has to let it ride for the next 15 or 16 months for the decision to give further extended temporary protective status to Venezuelans. And so this is what they say in their brief. I'll just read you a little bit of it here. It says, the temporary protective status program implicates particularly discretionary, sensitive,
Starting point is 00:13:43 and foreign policy-laden judgments of the executive branch regarding immigration policy, Congress has expressly authorized the Secretary to provide temporary relief to aliens who cannot safely return to their home nation due to a natural disaster, armed conflict, or other extraordinary and temporary conditions in the foreign state. It commits to the Secretary's role, discretion, soul discretion, such judgments as to whether the conditions in a particular country are extraordinary." And then he quotes from one aspect of it that says, there is no judicial review of any determination of the
Starting point is 00:14:17 secretary with respect to the designation or termination or extension of a designation of a foreign state. I'm not even sure that provision actually applies to what he's talking about. This isn't about designation or termination or extension of a foreign state. It's also completely inconsistent and I'm sure it'll come up in the record. Donald Trump spends a considerable amount of time claiming that Venezuela is an enemy combatant and at war with the United States, and it's been taken over by the Tren de Aragua criminal gang, and therefore they are enemy combatants, that he can use the Alien Enemies Act to deport people without due process to a gulag
Starting point is 00:14:56 in El Salvador. Well, how does that square? How can you say on one hand that Venezuela is corrupt, has been co-opted by a criminal terrorist, narco drug gang, and then send people back there and claim everything's fine and idyllic in Venezuela. It's all good now, you can go home. That, their inability to even touch that or reconcile that, I'm sure it's going to be front and center in the decision-making. Here's my prediction. I mean, could Kagan take this on herself given the last two decisions of the Supreme Court against
Starting point is 00:15:34 the administration 9-0 and 7-2? She could. I think there's a 50% chance that Kagan is going to just make this ruling on herself and reject the application and start putting an end and sending the message back to the Trump administration. Stop bringing us phony emergencies. This is not an emergency application. This is going to continue. Take your normal appeal. If you want to file a writ of certiorari and bring it up the right way, we'll take a look at it in the future, but this is not an emergency. Your calling it so doesn't make it so. I think she does that. Maybe it's even 60% chance. But because of all the public perception about the shadow docket, she may feel she has to turn it over to the other eight, and then after the full briefing,
Starting point is 00:16:20 we're going to get an order. We're going to know relatively soon. After the eighth, she's either gonna issue an order that she kept it herself and denied it, or she sent it over to the full eight. Follow us here on Midas Touch Network on Unlegal AF. While you're here, come over to Legal AF, the YouTube channel, and hit the free subscribe button there, and we have an amazing new Legal AF sub stack, five or six things.
Starting point is 00:16:42 I just posted in the Legal AF sub stack, this six things. I just posted in the Legal AF sub stack this particular filing that I just talked about About John Sauer for those that are interested. So it's all my next reporting I'm Michael Pope five in collaboration with the Midas Touch Network. We just launched the Legal AF YouTube channel help us build this pro-democracy channel where I'll be curating the top stories the intersection of law and politics Go to YouTube now and free subscribe at Legal AF of the world.

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