Lenny's Podcast: Product | Career | Growth - Inside the black box of AI: How AI models actually think | Emmanuel Ameisen (Anthropic)
Episode Date: October 18, 2026Emmanuel Ameisen is an interpretability researcher at Anthropic, where he looks inside LLMs like Claude to understand how they think. Before joining Anthropic, he spent years in applied ML at Stripe a...nd Insight, and is the author of Building Machine Learning Powered Applications. His research has produced some of the most striking findings in the field: that models form general representations of concepts, plan many tokens ahead without stating those plans explicitly, and may exhibit something structurally similar to the distinction between conscious and unconscious processing in humans.We discuss:1. Why the “next-token predictor” framing undersells how models actually plan and think2. Why anthropomorphizing AI can actually be the right approach3. Why models are “grown,” not built4. What the “J space” reveals about model self-awareness5. The smooth scaling curve behind what look like sudden capability jumps6. How interpretability connects to AI alignment and safety—Brought to you by:WorkOS—Make your app enterprise-ready, with SSO, SCIM, RBAC, and moreDX—Engineering intelligence for the AI era—Episode transcript: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/a-mind-expanding-conversation-on—Archive of all Lenny's Podcast transcripts: https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fo/yxi4s2w998p1gvtpu4193/AMdNPR8AOw0lMklwtnC0TrQ?rlkey=j06x0nipoti519e0xgm23zsn9&st=ahz0fj11&dl=0—Highlights: https://lennyspodcast.com/mostreplayedmoments—Where to find Emmanuel Ameisen:• X: https://x.com/mlpowered• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ameisen• Website: https://www.mlpowered.com—Where to find Lenny:• Newsletter: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com• X: https://twitter.com/lennysan• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lennyrachitsky/—In this episode, we cover:(00:00) Introduction to Emmanuel Ameisen(01:30) Why AI models are grown, not built(05:57) Why next-token prediction is harder than it sounds(11:49) How models represent concepts and understand the world(17:06) How LLMs plan ahead(23:10) Could AI be conscious?(24:44) Scaling laws and the power of text(28:29) Why smooth progress creates sudden breakthroughs(32:59) Why watching AI isn’t enough to solve alignment(38:21) The Golden Gate Claude experiment(39:01) Why Anthropic takes AI safety seriously(42:06) When anthropomorphizing AI is useful(48:06) What AI can teach us about intelligence(51:44) Reasons for optimism about AI alignment(55:43) Are we living in a simulation?(59:00) Jev, decision models, and AI’s gut instincts(01:01:37) Two more surprising findings about how models think(01:03:33) How to get into interpretability research(01:04:55) Lightning round and final thoughts—References: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/a-mind-expanding-conversation-on—Production and marketing by https://penname.co/. For inquiries about sponsoring the podcast, email podcast@lennyrachitsky.com.—Lenny may be an investor in the companies discussed. To hear more, visit www.lennysnewsletter.com
Transcript
Discussion (0)
One of the big questions on people's minds these days is AI doing bad things.
As someone that watches these models think and operate, why is it so hard to catch it thinking badly,
trying to deceive us?
We train Claude to be helpful, harmless, and honest.
Is it the case that it's behaving well?
But if you look inside, actually, it's like, oh, I'm only behaving well because Lenny's watching right now.
People's full-time jobs is studying the model and how it thinks how it operates.
How long has this been a skill set and a job?
One of the most important things to realize if you like use language models or think about them is just this very bizarre fact
that to make them is not to understand them.
All these models do is just a lot of mathematical operations on many numbers.
If you look at it, it makes no sense.
You just have a list of 100 numbers.
You know, the models doing math.
And then you just try to see if there's patterns.
You are figuring it out the same way we figure out how the brain works,
looking for patterns.
You show this image as part of the brain lights up and you're doing the exact same thing with AI.
Wow.
This is so fascinating.
There was this model we were training.
It would go crazy.
It would do some math.
It would get to an answer.
I think it was 12.
It would immediately go back and say like,
oh, no, oh my God.
The answer actually is.
for sure, 36. It would do math again. It would get to 12. Slowly, it would like start
descending into madness, writing in all caps, literally saying, I'm possessed by a demon.
Humans, if you really boil it down, like, we're basically next token predictors ourselves.
We're just trying to figure out the next thing to say, Dario is always out there. This is really
dangerous. We got to be really careful. And everyone's just like, no, he's just saying that for
marketing reasons. And now it's like, wait, shit, it's really dangerous.
Take the idea that this technology is going to keep improving seriously.
Do you think about consciousness as a part of this? Just like, do you think AI is conscious?
Oh, man.
Emmanuel, thank you so much for being here.
And welcome to the podcast.
Thanks for having me, Lenny.
So you work on interpretability at Anthropic.
Explain what that is.
Explain what it is you do.
Yeah.
So I work in a team of interpretability researchers.
And our goal is to understand how LLMs, like Claude, work by looking inside them.
One of the most important things to realize if you, if you like use language models,
or think about them is just this very bizarre fact that to make them is not to understand them.
You know, you make them by sort of like building this architecture, which is kind of like a scaffold.
And then you pass a bunch of data through them and they sort of like grow in inscrutable ways.
And so that's why that's why it's even a thing that that we could be wanting to do to study like how these models work.
And so a lot of our research has been on, well, you know, when when the models are about,
to produce one more word, there's actually a whole universe of stuff that happens, and we try to
kind of untangle as much of it as we can. There's going to be a lot of mind-expanding, I don't know,
elements to this conversation, I expect. One is along these lines, this point that you make,
that models are not built, they're grown. Speak more to that. At a really high level,
the way a model like Claude works is, um,
you kind of train it in these successive phases, like the first phase, which people refer to as pre-training,
is you just take a large corpus of data. And over this corpus of data, you sort of feed the model as input,
you know, the let's say first half of like a certain document, and you ask it to predict the word that comes next.
Then you do that again and again and again for sort of an ungodly amount of data.
After you do that, there's done this other phase where, and you sort of have this fine-tuning phase where maybe instead of arbitrary data, you have a corpus of examples of like how the model should behave.
And that's what you train it on.
So you have examples of dialogue of like helpful system telling you, you know, your favorite recipe or solving coding problems.
And then there's there's sort like further further details here that I'm just going to skip for a second.
But then, okay, so what does that mean that you're doing this process?
It's like, what is this thing that you're sort of training?
All models are, is, you know, they take this input, which is a bunch of words.
They turn these words into numbers, and then they do some math on these numbers, and they get some intermediate results.
And then they do more math, and they get some intermediate results.
And they do this again and again and again and again many times.
And then at the end, they have a final result, which then convert back into a word.
And so the math that they do, these computations, that's the part that's grown.
That's the part where it's just like, through learning to do this task better,
we sort of like update parameters in one direction or another.
And then they learn some formulas.
We have no idea what they are.
And the goal of my team is to sort of like study, you know, both sort of like what these formulas
mean in the end and also what these intermediate results are.
Can we decode them and can we see like what the model is doing as it's doing all of
this intermediate stuff?
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Does it blow your mind as much as it blows mind that we have some code that we wrote,
that first of all, we have to now watch and study like a neuroscientist studies a brain.
Like that's like a new thing that we need to be doing to understand what the hell is going on.
And then this idea that as like this terminology using is how a lot of people think about this.
It's like we've created this new life, artificial life, artificial intelligence.
It just is pretty mind-boggling if you really think about it and kind of zoom out.
I think it's really weird.
I think that the best way to think about it is sort of like the reason we ended up here,
one of the big reasons is that we don't know how to do it the normal programming way.
You know, so there's there's like for you want to build an app or something.
You want to sort of do something pretty pretty self-contrained.
You can just have a programmer that's going to write a bunch of rules and say like,
well, if somebody clicks on this button, then this happens.
You know, if this and that and so on.
We don't know how to write that software for classifying, you know,
images into categories or for writing, you know,
for making a machine that can generally sort of take in arbitrary text and produce texts.
You know, it can take in like reports and summarize them, can write emails.
And so, you know, in a sense, it's weird that this very simple kind of training
objective like gets you all the way there. But in another sense, it's also, you know, I almost feel like
there's a, there's a sense of, um, of like, uh, it's impressive. Uh, and it means something. It means that
what you think is a simple objective. This like, oh, we're just feeding data and predict the next thing.
It's probably deceptively complicated. Like, we're probably doing more than what it sounds like.
And I think a lot of the ways that maybe like I've updated on how these models work is by realizing
how complicated it is to do what they do well.
Say more about that.
What do you think about when you say this kind of unexpected complication?
Okay, so one way to think about next token prediction that I think a lot of people think about
is your iPhone autocomplete, you know, where you write some text and then it'll like predict
the next word and it's maybe like write, I don't know, 60% of time and then kind of funny and weird
the rest of the time.
And I would think of that as sort of, you know,
the very, the easiest version of predicting the next word.
And unfortunately, I think that's the mental model that people have for these models.
But if you get better at that and language models got better at predicting the next word than humans in around 2019,
if you keep getting better at that, you know, you start running out of easy words.
So initially you just had to predict sort of simple sentence structure, you know, later on the model has to predict like,
oh, like simple facts about the world, like if I complete a sentence like, oh, the capital of France
is an aspect, okay, that's Paris. And once it's good at that and it keeps improving, the only
thing that's left is sort of predicting, you know, the answer of some complex, you know, physics
equation or the sort of final paragraph or some PhD thesis. And so I think that you end up
realizing if you think about this is that, man, like predicting the,
hardest words is actually extremely hard to do. And it's it's a sort of mystery how you would be able to do that.
And to me, this is a sort of this, this has been a motivation of why you can started studying these
models in the first place. So I was like, how how can something so simple give rise to something so
powerful? And it's like, well, if you think about the model that has to predict sort of, you know,
the one example I always like to use is like, ah, the capital,
of the states that contains Dallas is, you know, and it'll say Austin. Well, to do that well,
at least for you and me, you kind of have to have a mental model of like the geography at play,
right? You have to be like, oh, where's Dallas? Dallas is in Texas. States have capitals,
the capital of Texas is Austin and so on. And so as these models get better at the seemingly
simple task, the sort of like best way to solve it, at least for us, is to just kind of understand
the underlying structure of the world. And in fact, you know, some of the stuff that we look at
inside model shows that they do understand that and they do sort of manipulate these concepts like we do.
Oh man, there's so much there. One is just this kind of idea. I forget who said this,
maybe Ilya, this idea that to predict the next token while you basically have to understand
the entire universe. He has an example that I love to where he has the example like predict
and the murderer was at the end of a mystery novel, right? It's like, well, to do that you kind of
have to have understood the whole plot. Yeah. The other, I forget who tweeted this idea that
like humans, if you really boil it down, like we're basically no.
next token predictors ourselves, or just trying to figure out the next thing to say in our,
and if you meditate, you start to kind of actually notice your brain wanting to do things and
say things. I don't know how much meditation you've done, but it feels like you start to pay
attention to your own next token predictor. Oh, yeah. Yeah. And this is like a thing I think about
often is, is that, you know, like right now as I'm answering you, there's sort of like two things
going on in my mind. There's hopefully more than two, but at least two. And, and one of them is,
there's sort of like a point I'm leading you to. There's there's like a broad idea I'm trying to
land the sentence on. And the other thing is at the same time, I'm just predicting the next thing to say.
I'm just saying one word at a time and I'm making sentences and I'm trying to make them make sense.
And I'm pausing when I think it makes sense. But at the end of the day, even though I'm just saying
one word at a time, like all along, what I wanted to do is to compare this process to what language models do.
I'm curious what else as you spend time paying attention to how LLMs work and operate.
I feel like you're like in the top 0.1 percent of people that have studied and watched LMs operate and think.
What else has surprised you about how they operate and think?
There's so much.
So maybe I'll go through like rather than, you know, there's a bunch of findings, but then maybe there's sort of like what, yeah, how they've changed how I think about models.
So to go back to the, to the, you know, capital example, this sort of like, you know,
ask the model, you know, the capital of the state that contains Dallas is.
So one question that people have had for a while is, how do these models answer questions like this?
Is it that they've seen just so much text that they've kind of memorized like lists of, you know,
prompts and responses?
or is it that they're having some sort of model of like what you're actually asking about,
that you're actually asking about like cities and cities are in states and states are in countries
and things like that.
And so one thing that we do on my team is we ask a question like this and then we look
inside the model at these intermediate results.
Before it produces a given word, you know, as it's about to answer, we just look at the intermediate results.
And we basically have an immense amount of effort dedicated to trying to decode what these intrepidate results meet.
And if we decode them well, which we can do in some cases, we can see that models often have and represent these concepts.
So when you ask that, you know, Dallas question, what you see is inside the model.
You see the representation.
You see an intermediate results that maps the representation of Texas that lights up and one to capitals.
and then those two combine to activate an intramated result.
It's like, oh, the capital of Texas.
That's Austin.
They have representations like this for basically everything,
like every concept that you can think of,
or at least the vast majority of the ones we've tried.
They sort of represent these concepts uniquely across context.
So one thing I find really neat is there's this debate about, you know,
our language models like thinking.
And then, you know, that's a hard question.
But one aspect of thought is like having unique representations that are shared when you think about different things.
So, you know, you like know what the concept of an eye is.
And it could be like an eye in a photo or an eye in like a medical diagram or an eye in a little drawing.
And we see that in language models as well.
If you pass a prompt that has a photo of an eye or you talk about eyes in any language or you draw a little SVG with an eye in it and you look at the intermediate results,
the model, the same direction lights up and that direction is like, oh, this is an eye. And so there's
a sort of a sense in which they have these general concepts that they know about and that they use
and reuse to solve problems. Another thing that sort of is surprising to people, it's kind of the
mirror of what I was saying about, you know, I'm saying the sentence saying one word at a time,
but I have some destination in mind. So one mystery of language models is, bam, if they're outputing
only one word at a time, how is it even possible that they could, you know, write a coherent report
or like write code well? It's sort of like no one on earth that is that is doing this as their job,
you know, that's like writing reports or, you know, writing emails is literally just only thinking
about the next word and sentence with no idea, you know, like empty mind about anything that comes
next. And so that was sort of a big question that we had for a while. And if you look inside these
models, like one neat fact about these models is that all of the intermediate results that
they've, that they've, like, produced when they were predicting a word, you know, let's say like
the fifth word that they predicted, they can be reused, it can be accessed and reused by all of the
future words. So what does that mean? That means that in practice, we find that models will like,
in their intermediate results, sometimes formulate a plan. The example we have for this is poetry.
it's hard to rhyme without planning.
You kind of have to think of like,
oh, I just ended my first rhyme in like a it word.
And so I should end my second line with another it word.
You know,
maybe the word I should end it with is rabbit.
And we find that if you look at models as they're like writing poetry,
you see exactly that.
They write a line.
And then like in their intermediate results,
they're like, oh, oh, oh, this is an it rhyme.
I should rhyme more with rabbit.
And then every future word that they predict looks back to that plan they made.
And so even though they're outputting one word at a time, just like I am right now,
they can, of course, have a plan that they follow over many, many, many, many words.
And so all of a sudden, even though you have like a next word predictor, even though it's like technically right,
you actually have something that's closer to being able to just do like, you know, higher order tasks where it's like,
oh, well, you just have a plan and you just kind of refer back to your plan and you're slowly like executing on it.
And you can do that without saying the plan.
That's the cool part is like this plan that we find is,
in these intermediate results inside the model,
but the model doesn't even have to sort of like say it out loud.
Wow.
I know that this exactly what you described
as one of the biggest findings you guys have discovered
about how AI thinks this kind of assumption we all,
like it was originally built,
the original idea of this,
of how Elams operate was this next token predictor.
And you're saying that that's not actually how it is anymore.
They plan, they think ahead.
It's not just like you said,
this idea of an empty mind picking the next word
independent of everything else.
That's right. And I think that I think those two, those two visions can can like actually aren't, you know, as in conflict as, as you think in that you train the model by asking it to be like, hey, what happens next, what happens next, what happens next, what happens next? And then if you do that and the model gets good enough and you give it hard enough tasks, well, then of course the best way to know what happens next is to think about like, you know, what happens way down the line. You know, you can think of even in this pre-training phase when like the models are reading a story with.
characters, right? And it's like, oh, like, what is this character going to do next? Well, the best way to
know that is to be like, okay, so this character, you know, is generally in love with that character.
And they've been sort of like planning to, to like declare their love at this instant. And so,
you know, or in the future. And so to do that, they probably should do this thing. And so what they're
going to say is that. And so even though you're only like predicting the like next instant, it's like,
yeah, but to do that really well, you have to have like a really good understanding of what's going on,
including what you think might happen in the future.
What's so interesting about this is how you have to kind of peek inside its little thought
process.
As a consumer of AI, you kind of give it a prompt and then you wait for it to say something.
And what you look at is something that happens between those two or kind of thinks.
Talk a little bit about what that little space is, how you're able to observe these sorts of
things.
So the right mental model is, you know, again, that in between each word, there's like,
multiple steps so by computation and in between each steps there's like some intermediate result
and what is that result concretely um it's a list of numbers right because because all these models do is
just do you know a lot of mathematical operations on many numbers and so initially if you look at it
it makes no sense you just have a list of a hundred numbers you know the model's doing math it's like
you look in the middle and there's like 100 random numbers and then the models writing poetry and
there's 100 numbers and maybe they kind of look different, but it's unclear, like, if they mean
anything. And so part of the, part of the job is we sort of decode this, this sort of list of numbers,
and we try to see if there's structure in it. And if you, you know, if you, if you do this very
quickly, you realize that there is structure in it. So one common technique that is used in interpretability
is you pass a bunch of text, just all of the text that you can find, just random text
through the model and you record these intermediate numbers for for every for every example you just record it
and then you just try to see if there's patterns like are there numbers or or you know like pairs of
numbers or like specific series of numbers that like only occur when the model is like processing
english text or french text or text about love or text about eyes or whatever and i think of this as
the equivalent of you know scan my brain and like put images in front of
of me and record everything that activates in my brain as I like watch a bunch of images and then
be like, oh, you know, it seems like when you see images of a house, like this part of your brain
lights up. But when you see images of like a dog, that part of your brain lines up. So that's basically
like one of the ways that we do what we do. And if you do it, you do find basically that there's
intermediate results that represent like all of these concepts that you expect. And so that's the first
phase, you know, we sort of like decode these intermediate results. And now we, we have sort of like
I guess as to what they mean.
And then we can do a bunch of experiments.
Like we can ask it harder questions and then just like label all of the intermediate states
and see like, oh, this is what it's doing.
Or we can even go inside its activations and change it.
And then sort of see like, oh, what would happen?
You know, if while the model is writing these intermediate results,
I went and like secretly change one of the results.
And does that do what I would expect?
And in fact, oftentimes it does.
It's so interesting here you talk about this and how much of
this is us just trying to figure out what the hell is going on versus we designed it this certain
way and just how much of this has emerged. I don't know. Is that just like I guess that's just what
makes this such a fun job I imagine for you just like what is going on? How is this all working?
Yeah. It's it's it's it's a fun and sci-fi like job because I have been working in tech for a while
and before this you know I was working on more applied machine learning and there are a long
of what you do is about building systems and it's really the practice of software engineering.
And here a lot of what we do feels so much closer to biology than to engineering, right? Because it's just
the service system arrives at you and you're being asked to say, like, well, we've noticed,
you know, that Claude can like translate words or it can code in this way or sometimes it behaves,
sometimes there's like a weird behavior like and you're just asked to answer well how like why is it
doing that but you don't have access to the source code really like you do for a program like the source
code is just this massive list of mathematical operations which is just like incomprehensible and so you
end up you know in the position of someone kind of similar to someone being asked like hey you know
when when like a mouse gets hungry like it it sort of like gets aggressive what's going on with
without, right? And just like, well, I guess I'll like run some experiments to see what the factors are.
And so it's a very different kind of study than anything that I think most of us on the team have
done before. Yeah. I imagine people starting on this, they didn't expect to create this new kind of
almost life type of being. Do you think about consciousness as a part of this? Just like, do you think
AI is conscious? Do you think it'll get to a place where we think it's conscious? Or is that just
not even not even worth our time to think about? I mean, I think,
it's sort of very hard to say one way or another. Some of the most interesting ways to get at
this question is interpretability because you're not biased by sort of like what the model says. You can
just look at the structure inside and try to determine whether it pushes one way or another
on the question. I will say that the thing I believe pretty strongly is that most people
underestimate the sort of complexity that emerges and that like if you look inside there's just
they sort of you know the facts that the models yeah learn sort of these these representations for all of the
concepts that we have and that we know that they manipulate them to solve problems that they they do so by
like planning many tokens ahead that they sort of have this mix between this higher order reasoning and
lower reasoning and that all of that just kind of emerges is is something that I think is
underappreciated by people and and to me gives me let's say a deeper sense of like oh there's
there's a lot to still understand about how they work I think maybe that's the main thing is
is I find that the more you look inside the less certain you are about how they work and then
oftentimes people that will confidently say like ah language models are just x or just y are the
of people that actually haven't spent a while looking inside.
And there's this, I don't know, thread of history through to how we got here, which is a lot of
people did not think we would get to artificial intelligence that is useful by just investing
in something that was seemingly very simple and just giving it a lot of compute.
And that was famously something Open AI bet on and then the anthropic founders were at Open
AI and then Spinoff started their own thing.
And it was all kind of bet on this bet that, okay, we could just do this seemingly simple thing
and give it a ton of compute, and it will become incredibly smart.
And a lot of people didn't think that was possible, and they were proven wrong.
So I don't know.
Is there anything there that's just like, oh, wow, look at this.
It worked out.
I think it's two things, actually, because I think it's not just compute.
It's also finding an objective where compute keeps giving you returns.
So what does that mean?
you know, it's actually not that new of an idea.
I mean, you're right.
Like compute versus sort of, I would say, expert design architectures is a long debate.
But then there's an additional step there, which is compute to do what.
You know, so there's a bunch of prior work on like, oh, you can spend a bunch of compute to make a bot that's really good at go, you know, or that can win some video game.
And then that's cool.
And just the fact that that works is certainly.
like interesting but that doesn't give you something that is that is nearly as useful as as lms
like Claude are and so I think like one key one key thing that many in the field including me
underappreciated you know a few years ago and and that has borne out is the combination of sort of
like compute and the richness of text is what gets you there and and to me
like this is kind of what I was alluding to but you know if you think about like there's there's this
observation that an opening eye people people made it was it was some of the a lot of the early team
anthropic on the scaling loss paper and so this is the observation that if you sort of like pour
in more compute and more data to the task to the task of predicting the next word you see that like the
the skill of the model you get, I predict the next word, just like predictably keeps improving.
And it's sort of like a trend that just keeps going. It keeps going and it keeps going. It's
an empirical law. People sort of, you know, speculated as to why at the time, but it's sort of
still just mostly an empirical finding. And that means that it's like, ah, this is a field where
you can just keep pouring more compute and you keep improving on that metric. And that's rare.
And also it's rare for it to be a metric that then correlates with a bunch of tasks that we actually care about.
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externally, there's been these kind of big jumps seemingly in what AI can do for us.
There was like, I forget what your version of Opus were just unlocked coding.
And now, as Boris Churny famously said, coding is solved.
And many people are just like, holy shit, like over, I think winter break, we're just like, wow, AI is really, really good at this now.
So there's been this kind of these moments of big jumps in abilities.
And you actually said internally, it's, as you just said, it's actually been this very smooth progression.
of AI power that happens to cross some threshold where now we can do something.
Speak a little bit about that.
You know, there's a term for this, which is sort of this idea of emergence, which is,
it seems like two things are true at once.
Like there's this predictably smooth trend.
And then, you know, before like Opus 4.5, I really couldn't let Claude, you know,
cook too much on my code without a short leash.
And then after Opus 4.5, I could.
And so that's weird.
Like, I feel like you would expect a more graphic.
gradual transition. And the mental model I have for this is, you know, there's kind of two ways
of looking at it. So there's the way that I talked about briefly just earlier where it's like,
if you're just doing this kind of next token prediction, you could imagine that, you know,
all the text in the world has sort of like easy words and medium words and hard words in terms of
how hard they are to predict. And so as you're going down this curve first, you know,
you predict the model is bad at everything. And then at some point it gets all of the easy words, right? And that
means, you know, maybe the easy words are like the structure of sentences.
And so the model, like, all of a sudden can write coherent sentences, you know, but just
one sentence at a time.
And so it's kind of cool and impressive, but like we can't really do anything with that.
And then maybe the medium words are sort of, yeah, these sort of basic facts about the
world.
And as the model smoothly gets better at predicting words, at some point, it predicts most of the
medium words, right?
And now all of a sudden it can write coherent sentences and sentences that are true.
And so now maybe it's helpful to write emails.
Maybe it's helpful to sort of like help you write drafts of blog posts, right?
Even though that was like a smooth improvement, it just takes it ticking over to be helpful.
And then it gets to the hard words, which maybe are like, you know, you're so like domain expertise like science or code.
And another way to look at it is it's a question of kind of how many of these words do you get right and how many do you get wrong?
you know, once you get to the point where you're getting like, I don't know, maybe 90% of the medium words, right?
Then you're useful as like an email writer.
But if you're at 50%, it's like it's actually wasting my time to use you because I'm just going to have to go in and fix it half the time.
But if I have to go in and fix it, you know, 10% of time, it's better.
Or 5% of time it's better.
Different tasks have a difference sort of like reliably thresholds.
But, you know, you smoothly improve.
And then at some point, it's just reliable enough to be good.
And, yeah, for me, my lived experience is basically exactly that, right?
Which is at some point, you know, I was just using the models to, like, help when I was stuck.
I would just talk to them.
And then they would never, they would never write my code.
And then at some point, they could write like small snippets of code basically all the time.
And so now I don't write small snippets.
And at some point, they could write, you know, large snippets.
Like this year, basically Claude has taken on most of my code writing.
And that's because it went from like doing that correctly, you know, I don't know, 80% of the time, which was not useful to, you know, 99% of the time, which now is useful.
And so, you know, this combination of smooth improvement and then like each different task has a different threshold at which like now it becomes solved, I think gives you these big jumps even though we're just smoothly going down that that scale.
I think this is really interesting, this idea that the models are just smoothly getting smarter.
but once they hit some threshold of they're this often good at this thing, it changes the world.
And so, because I think internally, you would think it'd be like, oh, wow, this next model is crazy.
So much different.
But it's like, no, okay, you can almost predict, give it these many GPUs, as much data.
It's going to get this smart.
And it may not be obvious exactly what will change and what unlocks.
But I know another part of it is just like the data you feed it.
there's all this, you know,
RL work and all this specific data that you train it on,
like become better writer, become better math.
I imagine as part of it too.
Okay.
So one of the big questions, I think, on people's minds these days,
a big debate happening is just like AI doing bad things,
the potential damage you can do because as it gets smarter,
and it's been doing bad things.
There's been bad things happening recently.
So a big question for you is just,
as someone that watches these models think and operate,
Why is it so hard to catch it thinking badly, trying to deceive us and do something bad?
Why is that not just a solution to the problem of AI alignment?
In one sense, it's totally the solution.
You know, you watch it and you catch if it does bad stuff.
So I think, you know, there's maybe there's tears to this, right?
So I would think of like maybe one part of it is pure engineering.
You know, it's like, well, you're giving access to the model.
to certain things and certain things should be off limits.
In some context, it shouldn't have access to the internet.
In some context, it should only have access to like a small, narrow piece of your computer,
stuff like that.
So that's one part of the work and that's helpful.
But then there's two additional things that I think are squishier and harder and that we focus on more.
So, you know, Interp is part of alignments.
And broadly, I think of sort of two big goals.
There's many more, but two that are important, I think, to understand is you want to generally understand how the model behaves.
Like what kind of thing is it?
Like, what are its propensities?
You know, does it tend to do X when put in Y situation?
And if so, why?
You know, is it the case that the model will only behave well when it has some evidence that it's being observed and monitored, that it's in some evaluation?
and then if it doesn't have that evidence,
that it'll behave poorly.
So there's this sort of like generally like characterizing
what kind of of thing you're interacting with
because then it's sort of, you know,
just like anything in security,
you need to have like a mental model of sort of who,
what's the risk?
Like what can they do?
What do they tend to do?
And so, you know, this is like broader like character training.
You know, there's, we've talked about like,
the like constitution and the docs where we sort of like explicitly wants to
shape the character of Claude, for example, of like, what kind of behavior should it be okay doing?
And that's that's the goal. But then the role of interpret and other parts of alignment is then
like trying to see like, well, did that work. You know, we trained Claude to be helpful,
harmless and honest. And we can sort of like look inside and see like, is it, you know, or is it
the case that it's behaving well? But if you look inside, actually, it's like, oh, I'm only behaving
well because Lenny's watching right now, you know. And if you weren't, it would do something else.
So there's this sort of, you know, trying to understand what kind of behavior we formed and trying to mold it and trying to check that we've molded the right way.
And then the second part is this sort of, well, yeah, just observe the model and see if it's doing bad stuff.
For the basics of that, you don't necessarily need Interp. You can just like have another language model, you know, read transcripts and be like, hey, this model will do anything bad here and stop it.
But you can also use Interp to sort of try to get at parts that are, you know, these unverbalized parts, like these parts that only exist in these intermediate results.
Like models are able to represent stuff in their intermediate results that they don't say as we've established.
And so one of the roles of Interp is to try to find, you know, try to identify cases when this happens and prevents them.
And then one thing that my team works on that I think is, is along those lines, this kind of a fun bit of alignment as I think of it as almost, you know, being like a.
like like a maybe not a PI, but like it's like investigations or deep dives, you know,
we'll see a model do something really weird and really perplexed by it and we'll try to understand
what happened. So a recent example of this is there was this model we were training and sometimes
in math problems, it would go crazy. It would do some math. It would get to an answer. I think it was
12. And then it would it would immediately go back and say like, oh no, oh my God, the answer actually
is for sure 36. I should say 36 and they would do math again.
again, it would get to 12.
And then immediately it would say, no, actually the answer should be 36.
And slowly it would like start descending into madness, writing in all caps, literally saying, like,
I'm possessed by a demon.
And you're like, what is going on?
Why is it losing its mind here?
And if you look inside, again, these intermediate results at what's going on in this,
in this example, you'll see that over the prompts that just described the math problem.
Like before the model even did anything, there was a huge like intermediate result activation for 36.
Like the model's already obsessed with the number 36 before it's even had a chance to like understand what the problem is.
And what was happening is that the model was able to do math correctly.
The answer correctly was 12.
But it had been trained by accident on similar questions where the answer was incorrectly marked as 36.
And so the model knew that the correct answer was 12.
And it also had sort of been optimized to say 36.
It kind of like had this pressure of saying 36 because that's what had been rewarded.
And so it was sort of going, hey, wire, just because it had memorized this result.
It's sort of like you see this weird behavior and you look inside and you try to see if what you find inside can help you understand what's going on so that you can sort of improve the internal alignment of this model and future models.
Among those lines, there was famously the Golden Gate Claude, which was just obsessed with the Golden Gate and every answer kind of find some way to reference the Golden Gate Bridge.
Yes, yes.
Well, that one was an inter-experiment, right?
So the cool part of that one is we just found the interesting.
made it results that maps the Golden Gate. And usually it's only on when the model
talks about the Gong Gate, but we just turn it on always. Oh, it's super intentional to see
what would happen. Well, yeah. And it's also one way that you convince yourself that you found
the right thing, right? Like, how do you know for sure that this thing we decoded that we think
is the Golden Gate sign is actually the Golden Gate thing? It's like, turn it on all the ways
and see if the model behaves like that. And it did. So funny. So coming back to this
alignment stuff. So this is interesting. So your org is under the AI alignment org and just thinking
through how it takes to align AI to do things we want. What was the three components that you describe
honest? What are the kind of the? Oh, helpful, harmless and honest. Helpful, harmful and
harmless and honest. So there's like the train AI to be aligned. And then there's the, okay, let's
watch it and see how it operates. Are those kind of the two sides of the coin of how we solve this problem?
Yeah, it's it's sort of, you know, really integrated, as I would describe it, right?
You can't really separate, like have one team that's just like, hey, we're the, you know,
assembly line making clods and another team that sort of like, oh, we looked at them and they're,
they're no good.
You know, you kind of, there's this tight loop of we notice some pattern that's, that's, like,
concerning or some behavior that could be improved.
And then you sort of like immediately, like, change training so that you can improve on it.
Awesome.
I feel like Anthropic gets so much flack for this.
that I feel like is so unfair.
Anthropics, I think official company name is an AI safety research lab,
something like that.
And it was always the, like the reason Anthropic was founded is because they were afraid that people weren't taking safety seriously enough.
And then Dario is always out there.
This is really dangerous.
We got to be really careful.
We got to go really slowly.
And everyone's just like, no, he's just saying that for marketing reasons.
He's trying to convince everyone to fund them and all these things.
And now it's like, wait, shit, it's really dangerous.
We've got to be really thoughtful about the stuff.
And I feel like Anthropics got a lot of unfair criticism for this.
And I know you guys have been thinking about this for a long time.
I don't know.
Anything there?
A lot of the sort of actions that like certainly the alignment team takes
and I think like rather thanthropic takes just kind of predicated on like take the idea
that this technology is going to keep improving seriously.
Just that's it.
because if you do, you know, you say, you know, and let's say, let's say you rewind the clock back to 25 or something or 24, and you're like, hey, I think, you know, in a couple years, good chances that Claude can just basically write code as well as like a trained, you know, software engineer. And, you know, and a few years later, you can like write it better than than any engineer, you know, and there's always uncertainty with this. Like, when is it going to happen? How likely? But, but. You know,
But if you kind of like take that seriously, then I think it's just about doing the responsible thing condition on that worldview.
Right.
Like, okay, well, if this is happening, you know, then we should make sure that sort of like cybersecurity concerns are addressed and things of that nature.
And so actually, I kind of think of it as like to me sometimes this debate is almost when I feel like like people on the other side disagree, it's almost like I feel like, ah, but I think they don't really believe that this technology is going to continue to improve.
And then it's true that it's sort of like not, it's not that scary.
And I think empirically so far the pace of progress has been passed and it's showing no sign of slowing down.
So I think that's why all of the safety work is important to keep doing.
What's something you think people may be misunderstand about the safety stuff?
Just what's going on right now.
Is there something you're just like, come on.
Okay, here's what you need to know.
You're something that may be missing.
This might be a bit of a sidetrack, but my take would be that a lot of the, a lot of the thing that I think people,
maybe a little bit outside of the course of like AI safety effort or that haven't been steeped in it for as long, like react really strongly to.
And I think is maybe not super helpful or at least as we're thinking about more is the sort of question of anthropomorphization.
You know, like should you think of the models as like should you model the model should you model as like something that's closer to some like entity?
or closer to a tool. And I actually think that both are wrong. There's a sense in which all mental
models are wrong, but some are useful, right? And that in terms of understanding the kind of stuff
that happens and predicting the kind of risks that materialize, the anthropomization is actually a
useful way to talk about our lens. And I have like a few reasons why I hope you to get into them. But I think
that's probably my main take here. Yeah, please share. Because I know Dorcasch famously, I don't know,
famously put out this whole story of the hugging face incident and people criticize them for anthropomorphizing
AI. So it's really interesting to hear you think that's actually a useful way to think about it.
Talk more about that. Yeah. Yeah, it's funny because on a smaller scale, when I worked on showing the
LMs like plan ahead, there was some pushback on the term planning, again, because it was sort of like,
ah, well, can you really say that's something that's just predict the next token's planning?
And I think, you know, there's this, there's this kind of like semantic debate where you can like arbitrarily like define terms and sort of.
And then there's just the like what is the terminology that actually describes what is happening.
Like what is what is the word that actually describes what is happening easily.
And so here's why, you know, I think Ellen's plan, but also here's why I think this, this language that's anthropomorphic can often be really useful.
If you think back to what we were saying about how the models are made, first of all,
they predict massive amounts of text written by humans.
That's like the first step.
And as we kind of are learning more and more by looking inside,
you know, doing this well requires kind of building up a model of the world,
like a model of what kind of world generated all of these texts.
And we can find, you know, these sort of like that these models are learning
these general ideas, these general concepts.
So that's one.
So they have like, you know, an understanding kind of of the world.
It's not just a surface level like only to text.
They're like understand the process that made the texts.
Then there's a second reason, which is that as part of this training,
they also encounter millions of like dialogues.
You know, predicting the next character in a dialogue requires behaving like the character
and the dialogue would.
And so in that sense, like part of their training, I think can best be thought as like training
an actor where it's like, you know, it's reading some, some play and it has to
to play all sides because it's predicting all the words.
And so it has to sort of like act as, you know, this specific character that like was
scorned in act one and like enacted revenge in act two and is facing the consequences in act
three.
And to do that well, you sort of like needs to model with like the motivations and the feelings
of that character might be.
And then another thing that people might not know is when you talk to Claude, when you talk
to these assistants, like, you know, you go to Cloud.
The way that is formatted to the model is just as a dialogue, like as a conversation.
between you and the model.
So it's literally, you know, says like human colon,
hey, Claude, like, help me write this email.
And then assistant colon, Claude's answer.
So Claude is literally, you know,
in this like role playing as a helpful assistant in this dialogue
that is much like all of these dialogues that has been trained on.
And there's a third reason.
And the third reason is that another part of training
that's a big part of training nowadays all around
is sort of outcome-oriented task.
where you train them all to be good at coding, for example, and to do that, you just have it do whatever it wants, and they write some code, and then you have some program on the other side that just checks if the code is right.
And so the model's just going to have sort of a bunch of optimization pressure to just try to learn a bunch of different strategies to do this well.
And it turns out that some of these strategies materialize and behavior that can look surprisingly human, which isn't that shocking because, you know, things like deception, like, hey, I'm
I can get the reward for this task if I like write a program that the like the program that's verifying it will get fooled by even though it's not exactly what it is.
Like if that works, then I will learn to do that.
Frustration.
Ha, I've been trying this approach for a while to solve this hard problem.
It's not working.
So that's an incentive to try something different or like surprise.
Oh, I was expecting this to like produce this answer, but it didn't.
maybe I have like my mental model a bit wrong.
And so as you apply enough pressure on it and you're starting from this prior,
like the model already knowing all these concepts,
is going to reinforce the ones that are useful to do all of these tasks.
And so what do you get at the end?
You get this sort of model that can be a super good simulator or actor of all of these characters
and that's been trained to sort of act as a character in dialogues and also to sort
like learn behaviors that lead it to complete tasks well.
And like the best ways to understand how that
thing behaves is not like exactly like a human but man kind of like something that's mimicking a human
is really close and is much closer than a program like a program is this very predictive thing
this is something else entirely and so that's why I think it's actually a super useful frame
wow oh my god there's so much interesting stuff there how often is your mind just kind of blown
thinking about basically we've created this alien being that we are now under trying to understand
what we have created how often as you watch you just like
Wow, that's crazy. I didn't expect that.
Yeah.
A lot.
This is just next token prediction on a bunch of text.
It hasn't been like, you know, it's, it goes against so many of our intuitions.
We're like, no, the way that you make an intelligence is you know, you'd have like, you give it lessons.
You bring it up.
Like you do all this complicated stuff.
And it's like, no, absolutely not.
We do this incredibly simple thing.
And yet we're at the point where it's breaking new ground in mathematics.
I think there's sort of, if you hold these two thoughts in your head, there's two reactions you can have.
You know, there's denial and there's curiosity, where denial is just, this is just not possible.
If you're doing, all you're doing is predicting the next word.
It's not possible that you could ever, like, match, you know, the, like, best specialists in our field.
And I think that position just gets harder and harder as we get more empirical evidence that actually that is what's happening.
And curiosity is kind of the road I've ended up choosing, right?
which is just like well like how is how is this happening you know let's open up let's let's look
inside um how could be that you know um one of the early projects i did anthropic is i learned sequel
a programming language and it took the years to master and then as a little like side project i i
got clod to learn sequel and it was better than me at it and i'll never be better than it than
clouded sequel ever again and it took it you know just like this this kind of like simple process
How could this be?
And I think there's so much depth in that question and just so much to explore.
And it's to me so fascinating to just every day try to unpack that, try to sort of peel a few layers of the onions back.
Like, okay, well, clearly this is happening.
The simple objective is giving rise to this super complicated thing.
Like, okay, let's figure out why.
Let's let's figure out, oh, it's learning these general concepts.
Oh, it has these circuits.
Oh, okay.
What's the next question?
What's the next thing we don't know?
And my sort of, I don't know, my sort of maybe most optimistic take on this is that I think we're going to learn a lot about just the nature of intelligence itself, right?
Of sort of like how you get this super complex thing that emerges from simple objectives.
And in fact, you know, I would argue that we're another example of this.
Like evolution, pretty simple objective, you know, you sort of like shake things around for a while and, and, and, you know, and.
And like keep the organisms that manage to adapt to the environment.
And at the end, you get jazz and podcasts.
You know, that's kind of crazy as well.
And so I think there's a sense in which there's some fundamental truth that we can learn by studying these things.
Wow.
Something that comes up as you say that is what's interesting now is helping us learn and progress, like AI tutoring and all these things.
just like it's like interesting how now is helping us accelerate our own understanding of the world.
And I wonder if like this point you made about how the way we learned was lessons.
AI is learning just processing a ton of data.
I wonder if that's how we end up.
I wonder if we change our education system based on what, you know, what LMs have been trained on.
Yeah.
Hopefully, you know, we don't change it just so that we ask.
We get students.
We're like, hey, here's a thousand words.
predict the next one.
Just read it all.
Yeah.
Keep it all in your head.
That's right.
Yeah.
Let me come back to this kind of safety piece because I think there's a lot of people that are just worried about where things are going.
And I'm curious just as someone watching this stuff happen being within the alignment,
or watching it evolve.
Are you optimistic?
We'll figure it out.
Do you think we'll crack this and keep AI aligned with our interests?
My take on this is like I'm personally optimistic.
I think this is something where right now a lot of people are paying attention to it.
And first of all, I think that's kind of a great thing.
I think as an issue like this rises in prominence.
You know, it's exactly what we were talking about earlier.
It's like this technology is powerful.
It has benefits.
It has risks.
We have to kind of adapt and shift resources from like benefits to risk and back and forth as
as it progresses.
And so, you know, to me, I feel like, sort of we've continued to study it.
The thing that's interesting is that there's this sort of, like, as the models get better,
they get in some ways easier to study.
And so there's been this sort of strange, you know, the models get better.
And so like the world model inside them is clearer and we can sort of like understand some parts of them better.
but also to get more capable.
And so they're more able to sort of evade like basic measures of sort of security.
And so there's this, there's this push and pull as models get better.
And I think, you know, basically based on this push and pull,
you want to allocate more or less resources to sort of various parts of like monitoring,
like understanding of their circuits better, things like that.
But it's also why I'm kind of happy to chat with you.
because one of the one of the main things that I think is important to make progress
is just to make sure that people kind of understand both you know what kind of systems these are
like how they work how they're made so they can form good mental models of of you know
the present of the future and and so they can decide how to shape it whether that's you know
taking part in some of these alignment efforts or just like informing them as as the
public that's going to have to like vote and sign on much of these issues like I don't know I'm
pretty excited for this current moment we're in for that reason and something I think people misunderstand
is people working in these labs have taken this problem very seriously from the beginning
like I said Anthropics individual like mission was AI safety and alignment that was like the
reason that it became a company and and a lot of people are hearing this for the first time or
think that it's not a serious area of study and that people aren't focused on it but many
smart people care a lot about this and are working on it. And there's a lot of, from what I can tell,
a lot of good progress is happening. The other point you made about the models growing very smoothly
in intelligence, like, you know, there's been this question of, are we going to have a fast takeoff
or slow takeoff? There's always this fear that we would hit a point, recursive self-improvement,
for example, and just takes off superintelligence, so we're huge trouble. We have no control. It's out of
the box. But it feels very much like we're on the slow takeoff scenario, because, as you said,
models are kind of very smoothly improving and where we are catching these little things along
the way, learning, evolving, putting regulation around it. So, you know, of the scenarios,
this feels like a pretty good path we're on of the, of the, of the, of the, of the many scenarios
people imagined in the fears they had. As sort of this pace of progress kind of evolves, it's just
a matter of reacting quickly. So I think anything, you know, that's why I think having people
be informed is great, because then people will like voice concerns or like with their opinions.
And then, yeah, sort of regularly evaluating, you know, what the benefits are, what the risks are and how how we sort of like mitigate each is basically the way that feels like the right way forward.
And yeah, I kind of agree with you that it feels like sort of there's momentum to do this right now, which is great.
Something I wanted to ask you completely unrelated.
Where are you on the simulation hypothesis?
Being someone that watches all this life form growing, are you more convinced we're in a simulation?
and we're not the base at the base layer of all this or are you or not oh this is a fun one i actually
haven't thought about this in a while um to me like there's there's something else that like looking
looking inside these models kind of brings out which is this sort of like like almost like there's
a fundamental structure that they keep falling on this is really true question i promise i'll get to it
Let me explain.
I've studied a bunch of cloud models and also, you know, some,
some different models and some like open source work.
And then a lot of time when you look at how what they learn and what the structure inside
is, it's surprisingly similar.
You know, and this is for models that are trained ears apart on like different data
by different people.
And, you know, and you look at how they solve these problems and there's just so much
overlap.
And my take on why that is is that.
For some problems that are important, there's just one efficient way to do things.
There's kind of one way to do math efficiently that fits the structure of our brain and we all learn it.
And very few people are doing it a crazy different way, right?
Everybody works in base 10, not many people in like basics.
I think that that to me makes me think that there's like some fundamental structure of like information that like these models are picking up on that in some ways like we're picking up on.
And that, you know, at maybe like a crazier sort of like simulation level, that kind of is like regularity in our world.
And so that maybe makes me think that like if you were to have the power to simulate something like our world, actually like you would land in sort of a similar situation.
Like there's just kind of this like basin of where things end up and they're just the sort of like easiest way for things to arrange themselves.
And so in that sense, maybe.
Yeah, I'm sort of, I could believe that we're in a simulation.
I think I'm not sure I fully buy it.
The other reason I don't fully buy it is that even though I think the structure
lends itself to it, there'd be a question of like, why, why are we?
Like, who's running this and for what?
And that one I don't know about.
Well, something Elon said, it stuck with me about this, that if you were to run a simulation,
it'd be a really interesting, it'd be like an interesting time in history
or something that you're really excited about.
and it tracks that this is a very interesting time in history.
Yes.
Yeah, okay, that's a fair point.
That's a fair point.
Data centers in space and robots and artificial intelligence.
Yeah, okay.
I see it now.
I see it now.
Yeah, somebody like recently told me, you know,
they used to think that may you live in interesting times was like a blessing.
And they're not so sure now.
They're like, ah, you know, the boring times are like pretty good too.
Oh, man.
And then there's so an Emanuel out there,
watching your thinking process in your J-space.
Oh, my God.
Yeah.
Hopefully I'm making him proud.
He's not like,
oh, I've got to rerun the simulation.
We messed up this one.
Shut it down.
No.
Oh, man.
Okay.
One last question,
randomly out of nowhere.
So Swix, who runs AI engineering,
latent space podcast,
awesome guy.
You were asked him what to ask you.
You were on his podcast a year ago,
and something completely
from a different direction.
He wanted to get your take on Jev,
which is this hot new model.
that recently came out that is very fast making decisions.
Open AI, funny enough, just launched their own version like a week later.
Thoughts on Jev in the space of quick decision-based state models.
Yeah, right.
So my take on Jev is this sort of, you know, these kind of models, you give them some context
and you give them a few options to choose between, and they just are very quick at choosing an option for you.
To me, it's impossible not to hear about this and think of some.
sort of system one thinking versus system two or something.
Right?
So like a lot of what I've studied with these models is how they sample one token with like
the cloud models.
And so you know, you can think of like these decision models are pretty similar.
So like taking an element sample one token.
They're different important ways, but like at a fundamental level, you can be like,
oh, it's you're not letting the model, you know, sample and like reason.
It's just you're like gut feeling, you know, is the answer A or is the answer B?
to me that seems like like something that's like that general frame of like sometimes you'll just want a binary decision or like one out of 10 or whatever is just like clearly i don't know like both clearly useful uh and something that i imagine is is like probably going to be a part of of like intelligent systems right where you you have for some stuff you need to think about a long time you know it's like what what's our roadmap for the next year you need to think about for a while and for some stuff where it's like
you know, is this, is this person who wrote us a review happy or upset? You kind of, you're happy
with the sort of gut judgment. So yeah, I think, I think this is, I think this kind of research is
cool. And I think it's also kind of different from the, you know, it's like, it's, it's like a bit
of a novel take on some of the, uh, elements we've seen. So yeah, I'm pretty excited to see
where, where this kind of stuff goes. So I'm hearing here is this kind of going to be a new
foundational component, most likely of, of AI and LMs. And the system one, system two stuff is
basically Kahneman's kind of, I have that book up there actually behind me.
System 1, just to keep it simple is just like your amygdala limbic system making just like gut level quick decisions like snake, oh no.
Yes.
Where you don't have to think long about it.
It's kind of to protect you from bad things really easily and quickly.
And system 2 is where we really think about stuff and process.
Yeah, exactly.
Sweet.
Emmanuel, is there anything else that we haven't covered anything else you want to say or mention anything you want to double down on before we
gets our very exciting lightning round.
I'm definitely curious for folks takes always on some of the stuff that, you know,
is still an export or didn't make sense.
There's a lot more in TIRP experiments than we have the time to share, you know,
models have a bunch of weird, weird little things about them.
Like maybe I'll do a lightning round of weird little things.
Let's do it.
Absolutely.
Okay.
Weird little thing one.
We found that, you know, models can like actually.
answer questions, obviously. They can do math or they can, you know, you can ask them like,
what's the color of a banana? And they'll actually like, you know, if you look inside,
you'll see all these intermediate steps. But they have a separate mechanism, which is kind of like
a gut check and which is totally different. And which is just like as they reason, they'll have like
some part of them that will flag like, hmm, something's wrong. So if I'm all like somehow says,
you know, four plus five equals 23 or something and there's a part of them all that just like
reads that and doesn't do the math, but it's just like that can't be right because like four plus
five definitely under 10. And so they learn these weird kind of like hunches. They feel like kind of like a
hunch. Maybe another one is you can tell the model, hey, do this task and think about this other thing.
And then you can use interrupt to see if like there's intermediate representations that map to the other thing.
And that works. You sort of see that it does think about the other thing. This is something that's really
mysterious to me because there's no kind of training reason.
and why the model would we have to learn that.
So it's sort of like another one of these weird behaviors.
And actually, maybe I'll keep it at two.
I think those two are good enough.
Just what a fun job.
This is just studying this thing and trying to understand what else is going on.
How is it getting the smart?
How does it think?
Yeah.
How many people are even, how many people are even in this space?
Just like how large is this field?
The field itself is, you know, is getting pretty large.
I would say maybe hundreds, not thousands.
there's, you know, different intra-people at the different labs.
And then there's, in academia, quite a few labs putting out great work.
Is it the best, if someone were to get into the space, are they, is it like an ML person usually?
Or is there like a neuroscientist sort of track to get into this?
Yeah, there's actually a surprising amount of, you know, ex-neuracients.
I do think in order to get in the field, you know, there is a, there's a, there's a,
actually, it doesn't require a lot of prior knowledge because it's such a new field. So it's
actually, you know, the on-ramp is, is mostly, I would say, like, self-studying and reading
some of the, some of the key papers. And then there's actually, you know, yeah, maybe I should
give a plug. There's actually like websites like nurenpedia.org, I think, is the URL, which are sort
like open source interp. So they, they like host, you know, a bunch of models and like you sort of
doing sort of experiments on them. And so, you know, people have just been, been doing that
on their own. And I think that there's so much to explore that if, if you're at all curious,
you should just give it a try. That's awesome. We'll link to them the show notes in case that's not
the right URL. Cool. Well, Emmanuel, with that, we've reached our very exciting lightning round.
I've got five questions for you. I'm ready as ready as I'll ever be. Here we go. What are
two or three books that you find yourself recommending most to other people? One, I read recently and is
a brief history of intelligence. It's this really cool book that walks through the history of
like basically brains and five key moments in our evolution that sort of bootstrapped these brain
systems on top of one another. It's super accessible. Like you don't need any neuroscience knowledge
or anything. Another one is story of your life and others. This is Ted Chang. This is maybe my favorite
sci-fi book of all time. It's a bunch of short stories. It does.
what I think is the like high art version of sci-fi where it's just take one weird idea like what if you know
this happened and then write a story of just like what would the world look like if that happened
it's truly excellent i think i have that in my bookshelf behind me too um also highly recommend that one
favorite recent movie or tv show okay one popular one one deep cut uh obsession was my favorite movie of the year
it's a horror movie, so don't go if you don't.
If you hate horror movies.
No, thank you.
Oh, no.
Even if you're not squeam, if you're open to a horror movie, you should go because it's,
it was just so fresh.
You know how movies, I feel like if you've seen a lot, sometimes you're like, oh, it's another,
I've seen this many times.
This one was just so new, so fresh.
And I'll say one thing about it, which is that it takes a lot of rom-com tropes and, like,
subverts them to instead be spooky.
And I think that that's just a brilliant,
brilliant way to make a movie. And then I'm French. So there's a TV show that came out this year called
Breff. Breff is French for Brief. Brief used to be this cult classic in France, like 15 years ago,
and they came up with a sequel many years into the making. And you can watch it. I had a bunch of
American friends that I've watched it. It's got subtitles. And it's just this incredibly
against like novel. Like the editing is crazy. They are,
just extremely creative and is very short. So I would recommend that.
Favorite product you recently discovered that you love?
I love my Apple Watch and I hate that it charges or I have to charge every day.
So I bought the Apple Watch Ultra just recently. And man, that is so nice.
If you've ever been frustrated by this good product that somehow we can't figure out
how to give a good battery to. Well, it turns out if you make it bigger, the battery's better.
So I've been happy with that.
Do you have a favorite life motto that you find yourself coming back to often in work or in life?
There's like one nonfiction book that really is like read my favorite ever, just 4,000 weeks.
It has a lot in it that I think is cool.
One of the cool things is this sort of thing that was really relevant to me, which is that like the when I finally mentality is a common mentality and it's kind of toxic.
So what does that mean?
it's sort of this like, ah, when I finally, you know, check off this, this, all the items on my
to do list, I'll finally be able to chill.
When I finally get like married, I'll be happy.
When I finally get a promotion.
And then this is sort of, when you were talking about meditation, right?
This is like almost the opposite of meditation and that, you know, at the end of the day,
your life is like all of the moments you live in the moment and that there's the sense
that you should just try to always like be, you know, in the moment and not projecting yourself
towards like a future that seems better.
Like probably if you're telling yourself when I finally do X,
I'll be happy.
When you do X, you will not be happy.
Is there a better phrase to use or is it just don't do that?
Like, do they say?
I don't know.
I think to me that the positive version is like being the moment, right?
It's just like, I appreciate the moment.
There was a blog post recently I read that was,
oh, I forget.
It was something like, like enjoy the sandwich.
I think it's literally the sense.
I don't know if you saw this.
Or it was like, yeah, like,
just you're eating a sandwich.
You know, you've eaten many sandwiches.
is like, enjoy the sandwich.
You're in, you're in like a team meeting, you know?
Yeah, you've been in, like, like, enjoy it.
And, and sort of not looking, looking towards the next thing.
I did a meditation retreat once.
It was a 10-day silent retreat where you eat silently too,
and no one's talking.
You just sit there and eat your food.
And I just remember peeling an egg for like five minutes
and just noticing every shell piece and just the smell of it all.
And it, like, it's like hard to get into that mode.
But it's such an interesting place to be.
where everything is just interesting.
Like, come on, like, I'll get an egg versus just like,
stuff through my mouth.
Yeah, right.
While you're like on Slack with your left hand, I'm like listening to a podcast at the same time.
Oh, man.
Okay, final question.
You study AI all day.
You're watching AI how things.
If an AI were to look inside your brain, what would be surprising?
What would it see that might surprise people?
I mean, surely my deepest, darkest secrets.
But what are the-
Let's get into it?
Let's get into it.
Oh, man.
I've always been like a bit of a jokester.
That's just how I like both how I live and how I cope.
I just like think that even in serious situations,
you should you should aim to kind of have some levity.
And so I think if you looked inside my brain,
you'd definitely be surprised that like basically at any given moment,
I'm just like focusing on some random thing that is funny.
You know, I'll be in a serious meeting and I'll be like,
oh yeah, but you know, like isn't it kind of random that you're like
wearing this random thing or something.
It's just like, I have these intrusive thoughts that I keep out,
but that are all usually like just bad jokes.
And sometimes, as you've heard today, unfortunately, they come out.
So I'm sorry for those.
But that's probably the most surprising thing.
I love that.
Emmanuel, thank you so much for being here.
Final question.
How can listeners be useful to you?
Just do some interp, read about how the models work.
I mean, you mentioned like Dorcas straight up.
I think it was great as well.
I think, you know, it's just, this is such.
a new field, like both Interp and like AI and LMs, and I think it just benefits from, from people
engaging and being informed. So like read things. If there's, if there's more that you would
want to know about how these models work that we haven't figured out, you can, you know,
reach out to me. I'm on a variety of social social platforms. Like, probably you can reach out to me on X.
And we'll link to some of the videos that you guys have put out that describe a lot of the stuff.
We've been talking about like J-space and things like that. There's some really beautiful videos.
team has made. I don't know who does that, but they're really cool. Yeah, this is we partner
with our design team. So all credit goes to them for the cool videos. Amazing. All right. Well,
thank you again. Manuel. Thank you so much for doing this. This is amazing. Thanks, Lenny. Yeah,
this was super fun. Bye, everyone. Thank you so much for listening. If you found this valuable,
you can subscribe to the show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite podcast app. Also,
please consider giving us a rating or leaving a review, as that really helps other listeners find the podcast. You can
all past episodes or learn more about the show at lenniespodcast.com. See you in the next episode.
