Letters from an American - August 8, 2025
Episode Date: August 9, 2025Get full access to Letters from an American at heathercoxrichardson.substack.com/subscribe...
Transcript
Discussion (0)
August 8th, 2025.
During the 2024 presidential campaign, Donald Trump vowed he could stop Russia's war on Ukraine with a single phone call.
Instead, Matt Murphy and Ned Davies of the BBC report that Russian attacks on Ukraine have doubled since Trump took office.
Today was the deadline the president had announced.
for Russian President Vladimir Putin to agree to a ceasefire in his illegal invasion of Ukraine
or face further sanctions. Instead, Trump announced this afternoon that he intends to meet
with Putin on August 15th in Alaska. Putin generally cannot travel outside Russia because
he has been indicted by the International Criminal Court for war crimes, including the
theft of Ukrainian children. And yet, Trump is welcoming him to the United States.
of America. This welcome gives Putin the huge gift of letting him touch down on U.S. soil after he
invaded Ukraine in defiance of the policy established after World War II to prevent another such
devastating war. In 1945, the United Nations Charter declared that all members shall refrain in their
international relations from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or
independence of any state or in any other manner inconsistent with the purposes of the
United Nations. The United States was the key guarantor of this principle until Trump took
office. The U.S. has stood against Russian invasions into Ukraine not only on this general
principle but because of security guarantees the U.S., along with the United Kingdom and
Russia, gave to Ukraine in 1994.
After the Soviet Union crumbled in 1991,
Ukraine had the third largest stockpile
of nuclear weapons in the world.
In exchange for Ukraine's giving up those weapons,
the United States, the United Kingdom, and Russia
agreed to secure Ukraine's borders.
In the 1994 Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances,
they agreed they would not use military force
or economic coercion against Ukraine.
Russia violated that agreement with its 2014
and 2022 invasions.
Now, Trump will welcome Putin to the United States,
to territory that once belonged to Russia,
reinforcing for Russian nationalists
the dream of recreating Russia's old empire.
That dream has been part of the ideology
of Russia's drive to seize Ukrainian land.
Donatello Paolo Mancini,
Alberto Nardelli and Dorena Krasnalutska of Bloomberg reported this morning that U.S. and Russian officials are planning this summit to hammer out an agreement that will force Ukraine to cede to Russia its land currently occupied by Russian troops, as well as Crimea.
This deal would hand Ukraine's eastern industrial territory to Russia and bless the principle that one country can seize territory from another through force.
Observers note that once his principle is established, as Putin wishes, there will be nothing stopping him from invading Ukraine again as soon as his war-weary country recovers its strength.
The plan revealed by the Bloomberg journalists is still vague, but it excludes Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and European allies and is similar to the one Russia demanded in April 2025.
That plan, in turn, rehashed almost entirely the plan Russian operatives presented to Trump's 2016 campaign manager, Paul Manafort, in exchange for helping Trump win the White House.
Russia had invaded Ukraine in 2014 and was looking for a way to grab the land it wanted without continuing to fight.
Special Counsel Robert Mueller's 2019 report on Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election,
explained that Manafort and his partner,
Russian operative Constantine Kalimnik, in summer 2016,
discussed a plan to resolve the ongoing political problems in Ukraine
by creating an autonomous republic in its more industrialized eastern region of Donbos,
and having Russian-backed Viktor Yanukovych,
the Ukrainian president ousted in 2014, elected to head that republic.
The Mueller report continued,
That plan, Manafort later acknowledged, constituted a backdoor means for Russia to control
eastern Ukraine. The region that Putin wanted was the country's industrial heartland. He was offering
a peace plan that would carve off much of Ukraine and make it subservient to him. This was the
dead opposite of U.S. policy for a free and united Ukraine, and there was no chance that former
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who was running for the presidency against Trump, would stand for
it. But if Trump were elected, the equation changed. According to the Republican-dominated Senate
Intelligence Committee, Kalimnik wrote, all that is required to start the process is a very
minor wink or slight push from Donald Trump, saying he wants peace in Ukraine and Donbos back in Ukraine,
and a decision to be a special representative and manage this process.
Following that, Kalimnik suggested that Manafort could start the process and within 10 days visit Russia.
Yanukovych guarantees your reception at the very top level, cutting through all the bullshit and getting down to business.
Ukraine and key EU capitals.
The email also suggested that once then-Ukrainian president Petro Poroshenko,
understood this message from the United States,
the process will go very fast and Donald Trump could have peace in Ukraine
basically within a few months after inauguration.
According to the Senate Intelligence Committee,
the men continued to work on what they called the Mariupo Plan until at least 2018.
After Russia invaded Ukraine again in 2022,
Jim Rutenberg published a terrific and thorough review
of this history in the New York Times Magazine. Once his troops were in Ukraine, Putin claimed
he had annexed Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizha, and Kursan, two of which were specifically named
in the Mariupol Plan and instituted martial law in them, claiming that the people there had voted
to join Russia. On June 14, 2024, as he was wrongfully imprisoning American journalist
Evan Gershkovich, Putin made a peace proposal to Ukraine that sounded much like the Mariupol
plan. He offered a ceasefire if Ukraine would give up Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizia, and Kurson,
including far more territory than Putin's troops occupied and abandoned plans to join NATO.
On June 27, 2024, in a debate during which he insisted that he and he alone could get Gershkovich released,
then talked about Putin's 2022 invasion of Ukraine,
Trump seemed to indicate he knew about the Mariupo plan.
Putin saw that, he said, you know what?
I think we're going to go in and maybe take my,
this was his dream.
I talked to him about it, his dream.
That plan reappeared in April and, once again, is back on the table.
At the same time, officials from this,
the second Trump administration, are working to
rewrite the history of Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. presidential election that led to Trump's
first administration. Although it is well established that Russian operatives work to elect Trump in
2016, Trump has consistently tried to undermine that history by insisting that the many findings of
Russian help for his campaign in 2016 were a hoax. Lately, MAGA loyalists have worked to claim that the
real story of the 2016 campaign was not Russian support for the Trump campaign, but rather a
democratic conspiracy to push the story of the Trump campaign's connections to Russia.
On Wednesday, Warren P. Strobel of the Washington Post reported that Director of National
Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard last month overrode the advice of the Intelligence Committee
when she declassified and released a highly classified report on Russia's interference
in the 2016 election.
The document made reference to sensitive sources and methods,
but Trump supported Gabbard's release of the report.
White House officials appear to be revisiting the story
of Russian interference in the 2016 election
to try to distract voters from the story
of Trump's relationship to convicted pedophile Jeffrey Epstein.
Their pivot to this position has tied the two stories together
in a way that had not previously been suggested.
The surprising association has led Democratic political strategist Simon Rosenberg of Hopium Chronicles
to speculate that Putin might possess some form of the Epstein files
that Trump would prefer to keep from seeing the light of day.
Certainly, Putin is behaving like someone who is holding a strong hand of cards.
Today, Jennifer Jacobs, Margaret Brennan, and Olivia Gazzis of
CBS News reported that Putin needled Trump this week by giving his special envoy Steve Whitkoff
the order of Lenin, a Soviet-era award that commended outstanding service to the state,
to pass on to the mother of 21-year-old American Michael Gloss, who was killed in 24,
fighting in Ukraine on behalf of Russia. The journalists report that Gloss struggled with his
mental health and did not appear to have been recruited by Russia. His family did not know he had enlisted
in the Russian army or that he was in Ukraine. Apparently, after he was killed, Russian officials
learned that his mother, Julianne Galena, serves at the CIA. By giving Whitkoff an award named
for the first head of the Soviet state to pass on to a CIA employee, Putin appeared to suggest
that the Soviet Union had won the Cold War after all.
Letters from an American was written and read by Heather Cox Richardson.
It was produced at Soundscape Productions, Dead of Massachusetts.
Recorded with music composed by Michael Moss.
Thank you.