Letters from an American - January 13, 2024
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January 13, 2025.
The incoming Trump administration is working to put its agenda into place.
Although experts on the National Security Council usually carry over from one administration to the next. Amer Madani and Zeke Miller of the Associated Press
today reported that incoming officials
for the Trump administration
are interviewing career senior officials
on the National Security Council
about their political contributions,
how they voted in 2024,
and whether they are loyal to Trump.
Most of them are on loan from the State Department,
the Federal Bureau of
Investigation and the Central Intelligence Agency and, understanding that they are about
to be fired, have packed up their desks to head back to their home agencies.
The National Security Council is the main forum for the President to hash out decisions
in national security and foreign policy, and the people on it are picked for their expertise. But Trump's expected pick to
become his national security advisor, his primary advisor on all national
security issues, Representative Mike Waltz, a Republican of Florida, told
right-wing Breitbart News that he wants to staff the NSC with people who are a
hundred percent aligned with the president's agenda. Ranking member of the
House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, Representative Jerry Connolly,
a Democrat of Virginia, warned that the loyalty purge threatens our national
security and our ability to respond quickly and effectively to the ongoing and very real global threats in a dangerous world. But during Trump's
first term it was Alexander Vindman who was detailed to the NSC and his twin
Eugene Vindman who was serving the NSC as an ethics lawyer who reported
concerns about Trump's July 2019 call to Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky
to their superiors. This launched the investigation that became Trump's first impeachment,
and Trump appears anxious to make sure future NSC members will be fiercely loyal to him.
With extraordinary slim majorities in the House and Senate, Republicans are talking about pushing
their entire agenda through Congress as a single bill in the process known as budget reconciliation.
Budget reconciliation, which deals with matters related to spending, revenue, and the debt limit,
is one of the few things that cannot be filibustered, meaning that
Republicans could get a reconciliation bill through the Senate with just 50 votes. If
they could hold their conference together, they could get the package through despite
Democratic opposition. House Speaker Mike Johnson and Republican leaders have said that
the House intends to pass a reconciliation bill that covers border
security, defense spending, the extension of Trump's 2017 tax cuts, spending cuts to
social welfare programs, energy deregulation, and an increase in the national debt limit.
But Lee Zhu of Vox points out that it's not quite as simple as it sounds to get everything
at once, because budget reconciliation measures are not supposed to include anything that doesn't relate to
the budget, and the Senate parliamentarian will advise stripping those things out.
In addition, the budget cuts Republicans are circulating include cuts to popular programs
like Medicaid, the Affordable Care Act, more commonly known as Obamacare,
the inflation reductions investment in combatting climate change, and the
supplemental nutrition programs formerly known as food stamps. Still, a lot can be
done under budget reconciliation. Democrats under Biden passed the 2021
American Rescue Plan and the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act under reconciliation,
and Republicans under Trump passed the 2017 Trump tax cuts the same way.
A wrinkle in those plans is the Republicans' hope to raise the national debt limit.
As soon as they take control of Congress and the White House, Republicans will have to
deal immediately with the Treasury running up against the debt limit, a holdover from World War I
that sets a limit on how much the country can borrow. Although he has
complained bitterly about spending under Biden, Trump has demanded that Congress
either raise or abandon the debt ceiling because the nonpartisan
Congressional Budget Office estimates that
the tax cuts he wants to extend will add $4.6 trillion to the deficit over the next 10 years,
and cost estimates for his deportation plans range from $88 billion to $315 billion a year.
Republicans are backing away from adding a debt increase to the budget reconciliation
package out of concern that members of the far-right Freedom Caucus will kill the entire
bill if they do.
Those members want no part of raising the national debt and have demanded $2 trillion
in budget cuts before they will consider it.
Tonight, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, a Republican of South Dakota,
told Jordan Carney of Politico that Senate Republicans expect the debt limit to be stripped out of the budget reconciliation measure. So Republicans are currently exploring the idea
of leveraging aid to California for the deadly
fires in order to get Democrats to sign on to raising the debt ceiling.
Meredith Lee Hill of Politico reported that Trump met with a group of influential House
Republicans over dinner Sunday night at Mar-a-Lago to discuss tying aid for the wildfires to
raising the debt ceiling. Today, House
Speaker Mike Johnson, a Republican of Louisiana, confirmed to Reporter Hill
that this plan is under discussion. Indeed, Republicans have been in the
media suggesting that disaster aid to Democratic states should be tied to
their adopting Republican policies. The
Los Angeles fires have now claimed at least 24 lives. More than 15,000
firefighters are working to extinguish the wildfires, which have been driven by
Santa Ana winds of up to 98 miles or 158 kilometers an hour over grounds
scorched by high temperatures and low rainfall since last May, conditions caused by climate change.
On the Fox News Channel today, Representative Zach Nunn, a Republican of Iowa, said,
We will certainly help those thousands of homes and families who have been devastated, but we also expect you to change bad behavior.
We should look at the same
for those blue states who have run away with a broken tax policy. Those governors
need to change their tune now. Senator Ron Johnson, a Republican of Wisconsin,
blamed Democrats for the fires and said of federal disaster relief, I certainly
wouldn't vote for anything unless we see a dramatic
change in how they're going to be handling these things in the future.
Aside from the morality of demanding concessions for disaster aid after President Joe Biden
responded with full and unconditional support for regions hit by Hurricane Helene, although
Tennessee Governor Bill Lee is still lying that Biden delayed
aid to his state, when in fact he delayed in asking for it, as required by law.
There is a financial problem with this argument.
As economist Paul Krugman noted today in his Krugman Wonks Out, California is literally
subsidizing the rest of the United States,
red states in particular, through the federal budget.
In 2022, the most recent year for which information is available, California paid $83 billion more to
the federal government than it got back. Washington state also subsidized the rest of the country, as did most of the Northeast.
That money flowed to Republican-dominated states, which contributed far less to the federal government than they received in return.
Krugman noted that if West Virginia were a country, it would in effect be receiving foreign aid equal to more than 20 percent of its gross domestic product.
Krugman refers to the federal government as an insurance company with an army, and he notes that
there is nothing either the city or the state could have done to prevent the wildfires.
If the United States of America doesn't take care of its own citizens, wherever they live and whatever their politics,
we should drop United from our name," he writes.
As it happens, however, California, a major driver of U.S. prosperity and power, definitely
has earned the right to receive help during a crisis.
Today Biden announced student loan forgiveness for another 150,000 borrowers, bringing the
total number of people relieved of student debt to more than 5 million borrowers who
have received $183.6 billion in relief.
This has been achieved through making sure existing debt relief programs were followed,
as they had not been in the past.
Establishment Republicans continue to fight MAGA Republicans,
and MAGA fights among itself.
Former Trump ally, Steve Bannon, yesterday called Trump's sidekick,
Elon Musk, truly evil and vowed to take this guy down.
But even as their enablers in the legacy media are normalizing Republican behavior, a reality-based media is stepping up to counter the disinformation. Aside from the many independent outlets that have
held MAGA Republicans to account, MSNBC today announced that progressive
journalist Rachel Maddow will return to hosting a nightly one-hour show for the first 100 days of the Trump presidency.
And today, journalist Jennifer Rubin joined her colleagues who have abandoned the Washington
Post as it swung toward Trump.
She resigned from the Washington Post with the announcement that she and former White
House ethics lawyer Norm Eisen have started a new media outlet called The Contrarian. Joining them is a gold star list of
journalists and commentators who have stood against the rise of Trump and the
MAGA Republicans, many of whom have left publications as those outlets moved
rightward. Corporate and billionaire owners of major media outlets have betrayed their
audience's loyalty and sabotaged journalism's sacred mission defending
protecting and advancing democracy Rubin wrote in a resignation announcement in
contrast the new publication will be a central hub for unvarnished unbowed and
uncompromising reported opinion and analysis
that exists in opposition to the authoritarian threat. The urgency of the task before us cannot
be overstated," the contrarian's mission statement read. We have already entered the era of oligarchy,
ruled by a narrow clique of powerful men, almost exclusively men.
We have little doubt that billionaires will dominate the Trump regime, shape policy, engage in massive self-dealing,
and seek to quash dissent and competition in government and the private sector.
As believers in free markets, subject to reasonable regulation and economic opportunity for all,
we recognize this is a threat not only to our democracy,
but to our dynamic, vibrant economy that remains the envy of the world.
In what appears to be a rebuke to media outlets that are cozying up to Trump,
the contrarian's credo is not owned by anybody.
Letters from an American was produced at Soundscape Productions, This was Michael Moss.