Letters from an American - November 13, 2024
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November 13th, 2024. Republican senators today elected John Thune of South Dakota to be the
next Senate Majority Leader. Trump and MAGA Republicans had put a great deal of pressure
on the senators to back Florida Senator Rick Scott, but he marshaled fewer votes than either Thune or John Cornyn of Texas, both of whom were seen
as establishment figures in the mold of the Republican senators current leader,
Mitch McConnell of Kentucky. Scott lost on the first vote. The fact that the vote
was secret likely helped Thune's candidacy. Senators could vote without fear
of retaliation. The rift between the pre-2016 leaders of the Republican Party and the MAGA
Republicans is still obvious, and Trump's reliance on Elon Musk and his stated goal
of deconstructing the American government could make it wider. Republican establishment
leaders have
always wanted to dismantle the New Deal state that began under Democratic
President Franklin Delano Roosevelt and continued under Republican President
Dwight D. Eisenhower and presidents of both parties until 1981. But they have
never wanted to dismantle the rule of law on which the United States is founded or the international
rules-based order on which foreign trade depends.
Aside from moral and intellectual principles, the rule of law is the foundation on which
the security of property rests.
There's a reason that foreign oligarchs park their money in democracies.
And it is the international rules-based order that protects the freedom of the seas
on which the movement of container ships, for example,
depends.
Trump has made it clear that his goal for a second term
is to toss overboard the rule of law
and the international rules-based order,
instead turning the US government into a vehicle
for his own revenge and forging individual alliances with autocratic rulers
like Russian President Vladimir Putin.
He has begun moving to put into power
individuals whose qualifications are their willingness
to do as Trump demands,
like New York representative Elise Stefanik,
whom he has tapped to be the US ambassador
to the United Nations,
or Florida Senator Marco Rubio,
who Trump said today would be his nominee
for Secretary of State.
Alongside his choice of loyalists who will do as he says,
Trump has also tapped people who will push his war
on his cultural enemies forward,
like anti-immigrant ideologue Stephen Miller,
who will become his Deputy Chief of Staff
and a Homeland Security Advisor. Today, Trump added to that list by saying he plans to nominate
Florida Representative Matt Gaetz, who has been an attack dog for Trump, to
become attorney general. Trump's statement tapping Gaetz for attorney general came
after Senate Republicans rejected Scott and appears to be a deliberate
challenge to Republican senators that they get in line.
In his announcement, Trump highlighted that Gates had played a key role in defeating the
Russia Russia Russia hoax.
But establishment Republican leaders understand that some of our core institutions cannot
survive MAGA's desire to turn the government into a vehicle
for culture war vengeance.
Gates is a deeply problematic pick for AG.
A report from the House Ethics Committee
investigating allegations of drug use and sex with a minor
was due to be released in days.
Although he was re-elected just last week,
Gates resigned immediately after Trump said he would
nominate him, thus short-circuiting the release of the report. Last year, Republican Senator Mark
Wayne Mullen of Oklahoma told CNN that, "...we had all seen the videos he was showing on the
House floor, that all of us had walked away, of the girls that he had slept with. He would brag
about how he would crush erectile dysfunction medicine and chase it with an
energy drink so he could go all night.
While South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham said he would be willing to agree to the appointment,
other Republican senators drew a line.
I was shocked by the announcement.
That shows why the advice and consent process is so important, Senator Susan Collins,
a Republican of Maine said.
I'm sure that there will be a lot of questions
raised at his hearing.
Senator Lisa Murkowski, a Republican of Alaska, was blunt.
I don't think he's a serious candidate.
If the idea of putting Gates in charge of the country's laws
alarmed Republicans concerned
about domestic affairs, Trump's pick of the inexperienced and extremist Fox and Friends
host Pete Hegseth to take over the Department of Defense was a clarion call for anyone concerned
about perpetuating the global strength of the U.S.
The Secretary of Defense oversees a budget of more than $800 billion and
about 1.3 million active-duty troops with another 1.4 million in the National
Guard and employed in reserves and civilian positions. The Secretary of
Defense also has access to the nuclear command and control procedure. Over his
nomination, too, Republican senators expressed concern.
While Trump is claiming a mandate to do as he wishes with the government,
Republicans interested in their own political future are likely noting that he actually won the election by a smaller margin than President Joe Biden won in 2020,
despite a global rejection of incumbents this year.
And he won not by picking up large numbers of new voters,
it appears he lost voters,
but because Democratic voters of color dropped out,
perhaps reflecting the new voter suppression laws
put into place since 2021.
Then, too, Trump remains old and mentally slipping,
and he is increasingly isolated
as people fight over the power
he has brought within their grasp.
Today, his wife, Melania, declined the traditional invitation
from First Lady Jill Biden for tea at the White House
and suggested she will not be returning
to the presidential mansion with her husband.
It is not clear either that Trump will be able
to control the scrabbling for power over
the party by those he has brought into the executive branch, or that he has much to offer
elected Republicans who no longer need his voters, suggesting that Congress could reassert
its power.
Falling into line behind Trump at this point is not necessarily a good move for a Republican
interested in
a future political career. Today the Republicans are projected to take control
of the House of Representatives giving the party control of the House, the
Senate, and the presidency as well as the Supreme Court. But as the down-ballot
races last week show MAGA policies remain unpopular and the Republican
margin in the House will be small. In the last Congress MAGA loyalists were unable
to get the votes they needed from other Republicans to impose Trump's culture war
policies creating gridlock and a deeply divided Republican conference. The gulf
between Trump's promises to slash the government and voters' actual support for government programs is not going to make the Republicans' job easier.
Conservative pundit George Will wrote today that, suggesting Elon Musk, who has emerged as the shadow president, will find his plans to cut the government difficult to enact
as elected officials reject cuts to programs
their constituents like.
Musk's vow to cut at least $2 trillion from federal spending,
Will notes, will run up against reality in a hurry.
Of the $6.75 trillion fiscal 2024 spending, debt service
makes up 13.1 percent. Defense, which Trump wants to increase, is 12.9 percent. Entitlements,
primarily Social Security and Medicare, account for 34.6 percent. And while the Republican
study group has called for cuts to them,
Trump said during the campaign at least that they would not be cut. So, Musk has
said he would cut about 30 percent of the total budget from about 40 percent
of it. Will points out that Trump is hardly the first president to vow
dramatic cuts. Notably, Ronald Reagan appointed J. Peter Grace, an entrepreneur, to make government
more responsive to the wishes of the people, after voters had elected Reagan on a platform
of cutting government. Grace's commission made 2,478 recommendations, but quickly found
that every lawmaker liked cuts to someone else's district, but not their own.
Will notes that a possible outcome of the Trump chaos might be to check the modern movement
toward executive power,
inducing Congress to recapture some of the power
it has ceded to the president
in order to restore the stability businessmen prefer.
Franklin Delano Roosevelt was himself a wealthy man and in the 1930s he tried to explain
to angry critics on the right that his efforts to address the nation's inequalities were not an
attack on American capitalism but rather an attempt to save it from the communism or fascism
that would destroy the rule of law. I want to save our system, the capitalistic system,
FDR wrote to a friend in 1935.
To save it is to give some heed
to world thought of today.
The protections of the system FDR ushered in,
the banking and equities regulation
that killed Crony Finance, for example,
are now under attack by the very sort of movement
he warned against.
Whether today's lawmakers are as willing as their predecessors were to stand
against that movement remains unclear, especially as Trump tries to bring
lawmakers to heel. But Thune's victory in the Senate today and the widespread
Republican outrage over Trump's appointment of Gates and Hegseth are
hopeful signs. and the widespread Republican outrage over Trump's appointment of Gates and Hegseth
are hopeful signs.
["Soundscape Productions," by Devin & The Bunche's, plays.]
Letters from an American was produced
at Soundscape Productions, Dedham, Massachusetts,
recorded with music composed by Michael Moss. Thanks for watching!