Letters from an American - November 2, 2024
Episode Date: November 3, 2024Get full access to Letters from an American at heathercoxrichardson.substack.com/subscribe...
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                                         November 2nd, 2024. Yesterday in Time Magazine, Eric Cordelessa explained that the electoral
                                         
                                         strategy of the Trump campaign was to get men who don't usually vote, particularly young ones,
                                         
                                         to turn out for Trump. If they could do that and at the same time hold steady the support of
                                         
                                         white women, Trump could win the election. So Trump has focused on podcasts followed by young men
                                         
                                         and on imitating the patterns of professional wrestling performances. At the same time, he has
                                         
                                         promised to protect women, whether the women like it or not, and lied consistently about crime statistics to
                                         
                                         keep white suburban women on his side by suggesting that he alone can protect them.
                                         
                                         Today in Gastonia, North Carolina, for example, Trump told the audience,
                                         
    
                                         they say the suburban women, well, the suburbs are under attack right now. When you're home in
                                         
                                         your house alone and you have this monster that got out of prison
                                         
                                         and he's got, you know, six charges of murdering six different people,
                                         
                                         I think you'd rather have Trump.
                                         
                                         The crime rate has dropped dramatically in the past year.
                                         
                                         Rather than keeping women in his camp,
                                         
                                         Trump's strategy of reaching out to his base to turn out low-ensity voters, especially young men, has alienated them. That alienation has come on top
                                         
                                         of the Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization decision that overturned Roe v. Wade, the 1973
                                         
    
                                         Supreme Court decision that recognized the constitutional right to abortion.
                                         
                                         that recognized the constitutional right to abortion. Early voting in Pennsylvania showed that women sent in 56% of the early ballots compared to 43% for men. Seniors, people who
                                         
                                         remember a time before Roe v. Wade, also showed a significant split. Although the parties had
                                         
                                         similar numbers of registrants, nearly 59% of those over 65 voting early were Democrats.
                                         
                                         That pattern holds across all the battleground states.
                                         
                                         Women's early voting outpaces men's by about 10 points.
                                         
                                         While those numbers are certainly not definitive, no one knows how those people voted, and much could change over the next few
                                         
                                         days. The enthusiasm of those two groups was notable. This evening, a Des Moines Register
                                         
    
                                         Mediacom Iowa poll conducted by the highly respected Seltzer & Company polling firm
                                         
                                         from October 28th to 31st shows Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris
                                         
                                         leading Trump in Iowa 47% to 44% among likely voters. That outlying polling result is undoubtedly
                                         
                                         at least in part a reflection of the fact that Harris's running mate is the governor of a
                                         
                                         neighboring state. But that's not the whole story. While Trump wins the
                                         
                                         votes of men in Iowa by 52% to 38%, and of evangelicals by 73% to 20%, women, particularly
                                         
                                         older women, are driving the shift to favor Harris in a previously Republican-dominated state.
                                         
                                         previously Republican-dominated state. Independent women back Harris by a 28-point margin,
                                         
    
                                         while senior women support her by a margin of more than 2 to 1, 63% to 28%. Overall, women back Harris by a margin of about 20 points, 56% to 36%. Seniors as a group,
                                         
                                         to 36 percent. Seniors as a group, including men as well as women, are also strongly in Harris's camp, by 55 percent to 36 percent. A 79-year-old poll respondent said,
                                         
                                         I like her policies on reproductive health and having women choosing their own health care,
                                         
                                         and the fact that I think she will save our democracy and follow the rule of law.
                                         
                                         If the Republicans can decide what you do with your body,
                                         
                                         what else are they going to do to limit your choice for women?
                                         
                                         The obvious driver for women and seniors to oppose Trump is the Dobbs decision.
                                         
                                         The loss of abortion care has put women's lives at risk.
                                         
    
                                         Within days after the Supreme Court handed the decision down, we started
                                         
                                         hearing stories of raped children forced to give birth or cross state lines for abortions, as well
                                         
                                         as of women who have suffered or died from a lack of health care after doctors feared intervening
                                         
                                         in miscarriages would put them in legal jeopardy. As ex-user E. Rosalie noted, Iowa's abortion ban also has long-term implications for
                                         
                                         the state. It has forced OBGYNs to leave and has made recruiting more impossible. As people are
                                         
                                         unable to get medical care to have babies, they will choose to live elsewhere, draining talent
                                         
                                         out of the state. That, in turn, will weaken Iowa's economy.
                                         
                                         That same process is playing out in all the states that have banned abortion.
                                         
    
                                         It seems possible that the Dobbs decision ushered in the end of the toxic American individualism
                                         
                                         on which the Reagan revolution was built. When he ran for president in 1980, Ronald Reagan set out to dismantle the
                                         
                                         active government that regulated business, provided a basic social safety net, promoted
                                         
                                         infrastructure, and protected civil rights. Such a government was akin to socialism, he claimed,
                                         
                                         and he insisted it stifled American individualism. In contrast to such a government, Reagan celebrated the
                                         
                                         mythological American cowboy. In his telling, that cowboy wanted nothing from the government
                                         
                                         but to be left alone, to provide for and to protect his family. Good women in the cowboy
                                         
                                         myth were wives and mothers, in contrast to the women who wanted equal rights and jobs outside the home
                                         
    
                                         in modern America. That traditional image of American women had gotten legs in 1974,
                                         
                                         when the television show Little House on the Prairie debuted. It would run until 1983. Prairie
                                         
                                         dresses became the rage. Reagan's embrace of the idea of women as wives and mothers brought traditionalist
                                         
                                         white Southern Baptists to his support. Those traditionalists objected to the government's
                                         
                                         recognition of women's equal rights because they believed equality undermined a godly patriarchal
                                         
                                         family structure. They made ending access to abortion their main issue. At the same time that the right wing insisted that women belonged in their homes,
                                         
                                         it socialized young men to believe in a mythological world based on guns and the domination of women.
                                         
                                         In 1980, the previously nonpartisan National Rifle Association endorsed Reagan,
                                         
    
                                         their first ever endorsement of a presidential candidate,
                                         
                                         and the rise of evangelical culture reinforced that dominant men must protect submissive women.
                                         
                                         When federal marshals tried to arrest Randy Weaver at his home in Ruby Ridge, Idaho in August 1992
                                         
                                         for failure to show up in court for a trial on a firearms charge, right-wing activists and neo-Nazis from a nearby
                                         
                                         Aryan Nations compound rushed to Ruby Ridge to protest what right-wing media insisted was simply
                                         
                                         a man protecting his family. The next February, when officers stormed the compound of a religious
                                         
                                         cult in Waco, Texas, whose former members reported that their leader was sexually assaulting children
                                         
                                         and stockpiling weapons, right-wing talk show hosts, notably Rush Limbaugh and Alex Jones,
                                         
    
                                         blamed new President Bill Clinton's Attorney General, Janet Reno, for the ensuing gun battle
                                         
                                         and fire that killed 76 people. Reno was the first female Attorney general, and right-wing media made much of the idea that a
                                         
                                         group of Christians had been killed by a female government official who was unmarried and, as
                                         
                                         opponents made much of, unfeminine. When he ran for office in 2015, Trump appealed to those men
                                         
                                         socialized into violence and dominance. He embraced the performance
                                         
                                         of dominance as it is done in professional wrestling and urged his supporters to beat up
                                         
                                         protesters at his rallies. The Access Hollywood tape in which he boasted of sexual assault did
                                         
                                         not hurt his popularity with his base. He promised to end abortion rights and suggested he would impose criminal punishments
                                         
    
                                         on women seeking abortions. And then, in June 2022, thanks to the votes of the three religious
                                         
                                         extremists Trump put on it, the Supreme Court handed down the Dobbs decision, stripping women
                                         
                                         of a constitutional right that the U.S. government had recognized for almost 50 years.
                                         
                                         Justice Samuel Alito suggested that women could change state laws if they saw fit,
                                         
                                         writing in the decision that women are not without electoral or political power.
                                         
                                         Indeed, since the Dobbs decision, every time abortion rights have been on the ballot,
                                         
                                         voters have approved them, although right-wing state legislators have worked to prevent the voters' wishes from taking effect.
                                         
                                         In this moment, though, it is clear that women have electoral and political power over more than
                                         
    
                                         abortion rights. The 1980 election was the first one in which the proportion of eligible female
                                         
                                         voters who turned out to vote was higher than
                                         
                                         the proportion of eligible men. It was also the first one in which there was a partisan gender
                                         
                                         gap with a higher proportion of women than men favoring the Democrats. That partisan gap is now
                                         
                                         the highest it has ever been. The fear that women can, if they choose, overthrow the patriarchal mythology of cowboy
                                         
                                         individualism that shaped the modern MAGA Republican Party is likely behind the calls
                                         
                                         of certain right-wing influencers and evangelical leaders to stop women from voting. For sure it is
                                         
                                         behind the right-wing freakout over the video voiced by actor Julia Roberts that reassures
                                         
    
                                         women that they do not have to tell their husbands how they voted. The right-wing version of the
                                         
                                         American cowboy was always a myth. Nothing mattered more for success in the American West than the
                                         
                                         kinship networks and community support that provided money, labor, and access to trade outlets.
                                         
                                         support that provided money, labor, and access to trade outlets. When the economic patterns of the American West replicated those of the industrializing East after the Civil War, success during the
                                         
                                         heyday of the cowboy depended on access to lots of capital, giving rise to Western barons and then
                                         
                                         to popular political movements to regulate businesses and give more power to the people.
                                         
                                         popular political movements to regulate businesses and give more power to the people.
                                         
                                         Far from being the homebound wives of myth, women were central to Western life,
                                         
    
                                         just as they have always been to American society.
                                         
                                         In Flagstaff, Arizona today, Democratic presidential candidate and Minnesota governor Tim Walz told a crowd, I kind of have a feeling that women all across this
                                         
                                         country, from every walk of life, from either party, are going to send a loud and clear message
                                         
                                         to Donald Trump next Tuesday, November 5th, whether he likes it or not.
                                         
                                         Letters from an American was produced at Soundscape Productions,
                                         
                                         Denham, Massachusetts.
                                         
                                         Recorded with music composed by Michael Moss.
                                         
                                         Letters from an American was produced at Soundscape Productions,
                                         
    
                                         Denham, Massachusetts.
                                         
