Letters from an American - October 30, 2024

Episode Date: October 31, 2024

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October 30th, 2024. On Friday, October 25th, at a town hall held on his social media platform X, Elon Musk told the audience that if Trump wins, he expects to work in a cabinet-level position to cut the federal government. He told people to expect temporary hardship, but that cuts would ensure long-term prosperity. At the Trump rally at New York City's Madison Square Garden on Sunday, Musk said he plans to cut $2 trillion from the government. Economists point out that current discretionary spending in the budget is

$1.7 trillion, meaning his promise would eliminate virtually all discretionary spending, which includes transportation, education, housing, and environmental programs. Economists agree that Trump's plans to place a high tariff wall around the U.S., replacing income taxes on high earners with tariffs paid for by middle class Americans, and to deport as many as 20 million immigrants would crash the booming economy. Now, Trump's financial backer, Musk, is factoring in the loss of entire sectors of the government to the economy under Trump. Trump has promised to appoint Musk to be the government's chief efficiency officer. Everyone's going to have to take a haircut. We can't be a wastrel. We need to live honestly, Musk said on Friday. Rob Weil and Laura Kolodny of CNBC point out that Musk's SpaceX aerospace venture has received $19 billion from the government

since 2008. An ex-user wrote, if Trump succeeds in forcing through mass deportations, combined with Elon hacking away at the government, firing people and reducing the deficit, there will be an initial severe overreaction in the economy. Markets will tumble. But when the storm passes and everyone realizes we are on sounder footing, there will be a rapid recovery to a healthier, sustainable economy. History could be made in the coming two years. Musk commented, sounds about right. This exchange echoes the prescription of Treasury Secretary Andrew Mellon, whose theories had done much to create the great crash of 1929 for restoring a healthy economy. Liquidate labor, liquidate stocks, liquidate the farmers, liquidate real estate, he told President Herbert Hoover.

It will purge the rottenness out of the system. High costs of living and high living will come down. People will work harder, live a more moral life. Values will be adjusted and enterprising people will pick up the wrecks from less competent people. Mellon at least was reacting to an economic crisis thrust upon an administration. Trump is seeking to create one. Today, the Commerce Department reported that from July through September, the nation's economy grew at a solid 2.8%. Consumer spending is up, as is investment in business. The country added 254,000 jobs in September, and inflation has fallen back almost to the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. It is extraordinarily rare for a country to be able to reduce inflation without

creating a recession, but the Biden administration has managed to do so, producing what economists call a soft landing, rather like catching an egg on a plate. As Brian Mina of CNN wrote today, the US economy seems to have pulled off a remarkable and historic achievement. Both President Joe Biden and Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris have called for reducing the deficit,

not by slashing the government as Musk proposes, but by restoring taxes on the wealthy and corporations. As part of the Republicans' plan to take the country back to the era before the 1930s ushered in a government that regulated business and provided a basic social safety net, House Speaker Mike Johnson, a Republican of Louisiana, expects to get rid of the Affordable Care Act. Republican of Louisiana, expects to get rid of the Affordable Care Act. At a closed-door campaign event on Monday in Pennsylvania for a Republican House candidate, Johnson told supporters that

Republicans will propose massive reform to the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, if they take control of both the House and the Senate in November. Healthcare reform is going to be a big part of the agenda, Johnson said. Their plan is to take a blowtorch to the regulatory state, which he says is crushing the free market. Trump's going to go big, he said. When an attendee asked, no Obamacare, he laughed and agreed, no Obamacare. The ACA is so deeply ingrained, we need massive reform to make this work. And we got a lot of ideas on how to do that. Ending a campaign with a promise to crash a booming economy and end the Affordable Care Act,

today he posted, Pennsylvania is cheating and getting caught at large-scale levels rarely seen before. Report cheating to authorities. Law enforcement must act now. Trump appears to be setting up the argument he used in 2020, that he could lose only if he has been cheated, but it is increasingly apparent that the get-out-the-vote, or GOTV, efforts of the Trump campaign have been weak. When Trump's daughter-in-law, Laura Trump, and loyalist Michael Watley became the co-chairs of the Republican National Committee in March 2024, they stopped the GOTV efforts underway and used the money instead for litigation. They outsourced GOTV efforts to super PACs, including Musk's America PAC.

In Wired today, Jake LaHutt reported that door knockers for Musk's PAC were driven around in the back of a U-Haul without seats and threatened with having to pay their own hotel bills if they didn't meet high canvassing quotas. One of the canvassers told LaHutt that they thought they were being hired to ask people who they would be voting for when they flew into Michigan and were surprised to learn their actual role. The workers spoke to Lahut anonymously because they had signed a nondisclosure agreement, a practice the Biden administration has tried to stop. Dobbs boasts that he is responsible for the Supreme Court's overturning of the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision recognizing the constitutional right to abortion is one of the reasons his support is soft. In addition to popular dislike of the idea that the state, rather than a woman and her doctor,

should make decisions about her health care, the Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization decision is now over two years old, and state examinations of maternal deaths are showing that women are dying from lack of reproductive health care. Cassandra Jaramillo and Kavithia Serrana of ProPublica reported today that at least two pregnant women have died in Texas when doctors delayed emergency care after a miscarriage until the fetal heartbeat stopped. The woman they highlighted today, Josele Barnica, left behind a husband and a toddler. At a rally this evening near Green Bay, Wisconsin, Trump said his team had advised him to stop talking about how he was going to protect women by ending crime and making sure they don't have to be thinking about abortion. But Trump, who has boasted of sexual assault and

been found liable for it, did not stop there. He went on to say that he had told his advisors, I'm going to do it whether the women like it or not. I am going to protect them. The Trump campaign remains concerned about the damage caused by the extraordinarily racist, sexist, and violent Sunday night rally at Madison Square Garden. Today, the campaign seized on a misstatement President Biden made when condemning the statement from the Madison Square Garden event that referred to Puerto Rico as a floating island of garbage. They tried to turn the tables to suggest that Biden was calling Trump supporters garbage, although the president has always been very careful to focus his condemnation on Trump alone.

In Wisconsin today, when he disembarked from his plane, Trump put on an orange reflective vest and had someone drive him around the tarmac in a garbage truck with Trump painted on the side. He complained about Biden to reporters from the cab of the truck, but still refused to apologize for Sunday's slur of Puerto Rico, saying he knew nothing about the comedian who appeared at his rally. This too was an unusual strategy. Like his visit to McDonald's, where he wore an apron, the image of Trump in a sanitation truck was likely intended to show him as a man of the people, but his power has always rested not in his promise to be one of the people, but rather to lead them. His pictures of him in a bright orange vest and unusually dark makeup

are quite different from his usual portrayal of himself. Indeed, media captured a video of Trump's stunt, and it did not convey strength. MSNBC's Katie Fang watched him try to get into the truck and noted, Trump stumbles, drags his right leg, almost falls over, and tries at least three times to open the door. Some transparency with Trump's medical records would be nice. The Las Vegas Sun today ran an editorial that detailed Trump's increasingly obvious mental lapses and concluded that Trump is crippled cognitively and showing clear signs of mental illness. It noted that Trump now depends on enablers who show a disturbing willingness to indulge his delusions, amplify his paranoia, or steer his feeble mind toward their own goals.

It noted that if Trump cannot fill the duties of the presidency, they would fall to his running mate, Massachusetts. Recorded with music composed by Michael Moss.