Lex Fridman Podcast - #184 – Katherine de Kleer: Planets, Moons, and Asteroids in Our Solar System

Episode Date: May 17, 2021

Katherine de Kleer is a professor of Planetary Science and Astronomy at Caltech. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors: - Fundrise: https://fundrise.com/lex - Blinkist: https://blin...kist.com/lex and use code LEX to get 25% off premium - ExpressVPN: https://expressvpn.com/lexpod and use code LexPod to get 3 months free - Magic Spoon: https://magicspoon.com/lex and use code LEX to get $5 off EPISODE LINKS: Katherine's Website: http://web.gps.caltech.edu/~dekleer/ PODCAST INFO: Podcast website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8 RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/ YouTube Full Episodes: https://youtube.com/lexfridman YouTube Clips: https://youtube.com/lexclips SUPPORT & CONNECT: - Check out the sponsors above, it's the best way to support this podcast - Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/lexfridman - Twitter: https://twitter.com/lexfridman - Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lexfridman - LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lexfridman - Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lexfridman - Medium: https://medium.com/@lexfridman OUTLINE: Here's the timestamps for the episode. On some podcast players you should be able to click the timestamp to jump to that time. (00:00) - Introduction (07:07) - Pluto (12:14) - Kuiper belt (16:12) - How to study planets and moons (19:54) - Volcanoes on Io - moon of Jupiter (32:25) - Is there life in the oceans of Europa? (41:46) - How unlikely is life on Earth? (52:15) - Life on Venus (54:30) - Mars (1:01:17) - What is interesting about Earth as a planet? (1:11:55) - Weather patterns (1:17:04) - Asteroids (1:26:06) - Will an asteroid hit Earth soon? (1:34:50) - Oumuamua (1:50:00) - Book recommendations (1:56:37) - Advice for young people

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 The following is a conversation with Catherine DeClear, a professor of planetary science and astronomy at Caltech. Her research is on the surface environments, atmospheres, and thermochemical histories of the planets and moons in our solar system. Quick mention of our sponsors, Fund, Rise, Blinkist, ExpressVPN, and Magic Spoon. Check them out in the description to support this podcast. As a side note, let me say that this conversation, and a few others, quite big ones actually, that are coming up or filmed in a studio where I was trying to outsource some of the work.
Starting point is 00:00:36 Like all experiments, it was a learning experience for me. It had some positives and negatives. Ultimately, I decided to return back to doing it the way I was doing before, but hopefully with a team who can help me out and work with me long term. The point is, I will always keep challenging myself, trying stuff out, learning, growing, and hopefully improving over time. My goal is to surround myself with people who love what they do, are amazing at it, and are obsessed with doing the best work of their lives. To me, there's nothing more energizing and fun than that.
Starting point is 00:01:07 In fact, I'm currently hiring, if you folks, to work with me on very small projects. If this is something of interest to you, go to lexfreedman.com slash hiring. That's where I will always post opportunities for working with me. As usual, I'll do a few minutes of ads now. I try to make these interesting, but I give you time stamps, so if you skip, please still check out the sponsors by clicking the links in the description. It's the best way to support this podcast.
Starting point is 00:01:34 I am very picky about the sponsors we take on, so hopefully if you buy their stuff, as you should, you'll find value in it just as I have. This episode is sponsored by Fund Rise, spelled F-U-N-D-R-I-S-E. It sounds like fun, but there's an extra D at the end. Fund Rise. It's a platform that allows you to invest in private real estate. If you're at all paying attention to the internet, or Twitter, especially, the crypto world is just going bananas.
Starting point is 00:02:05 There's a lot of chaos that's really interesting. I've been paying attention to all the different technologies involved, certainly especially Bitcoin, but also Ethereum and yes, those going and all that kind of stuff. But for my kind of big picture, outsider's perspective, I still do think there should be a lot of diversification in your investment portfolio outside of the world of crypto, even if you're playing with crypto. And fund rise, so that's private real estate seems like a really great place to diversify into or at least to explore it as an opportunity. Check them out at fund rise. That's FUND RIS E.com slash Lex 150,000 investors use it. It takes just a few minutes to get started at fundrise.com slash Lex.
Starting point is 00:02:50 That's fundrise.com slash Lex. This episode is also sponsored by Blinkist. My favorite app for learning new things. Blinkist takes the key ideas from thousands of nonfiction books and condenses them down to just 15 minutes that you can read or listen to. I've actually been looking into speed reading, as I've tried many times in the past to increase my reading speed, but what I always run into is that comprehension suffers. I think the idea is with speed reading is you can sacrifice some of the comprehension while still getting a lot of the gist of the content of the text.
Starting point is 00:03:31 And thereby, it's almost like you get to trade off between skimming and understanding the text deeply. And for certain kinds of text, skimming is enough. I really don't think these methods can work at scale for the kind of reading I'm doing, but I'll keep trying. The point is, when somebody does the summarization work for you already, like, Link is does, that's a huge plus. So you should definitely try them out for the kind of the ultra-skimming that they do through the summarization process, but you should also be doing the full-scale deep reading as well. Reading slow, reading carefully and thinking deeply.
Starting point is 00:04:08 Anyway, go to Blinkist.com slash Lex to start your free summer day trial and get 25% off a Blinkist Premium membership that's Blinkist.com slash Lex. This show is also sponsored by ExpressVPN. This time they actually sent me a copy that's pretty upset with Netflix raising their rates. And their pitch here is that you should be getting a lot more for your money if you're going to pay that much. And the way to get a lot more for your money is to use ExpressVPN because it opens up the whole. Different set of locations you can be watching Netflix from because. Every Netflix is different like Netflix UK has a bunch of shows that Netflix US does not. different set of locations you can be watching Netflix from because every
Starting point is 00:04:45 Netflix is different. Like Netflix UK has a bunch of shows that Netflix US does not. In fact, the same applies across all kinds of platforms where you can watch stuff. This was true for YouTube. For example, for the SNL appearance of Elon, there's a live stream on YouTube. For the first time I think, internationally, for SNL, they can watch, but you could not do so in the US. So thanks to services like ExpressVPN you can essentially travel virtually all over the globe in an instant with a big red button. To do so you have to go to ExpressVPN.com slash Lex pod to get an extra three months free. That's expressvpn.com slash LX pod.
Starting point is 00:05:26 This episode is also sponsored by Magic Spoon, low carb, keto friendly cereal. I'm currently doing the 72 hour fast, so this is an especially exciting read. Magic Spoon has zero groundsless sugar, 13 to 14 grounds of protein, only four net grounds of carbs, 140 calories in each serving.
Starting point is 00:05:45 They are releasing a new limited time flavor birthday cake man that sounds delicious. My favorite flavor is still cocoa but birthday cake is pretty good too. Good news for our Canadian friends they know ship to Canada as well. Like I said I'm doing the 72 hour fast which is a great opportunity to reflect on life and how much I love food, how much I love all the basic things of life, and how grateful I am to have those things. And I guess the sad, but the very human thing is that the best way to appreciate the things that make life so amazing to take them away. So fast things that kind of shortcut may be a catalyst
Starting point is 00:06:27 for self-reflection and gratitude. Anyway, go to MagicSpoon.com slash Lex and use code Lex at checkout to save $5 off your order. That's MagicSpoon.com slash Lex and use code Lex. This is the Lex Friedman podcast and here is my conversation with Catherine DeClear. Why is Pluto not a planet anymore? Does this upset you or has justice finally been served? So I get asked this all the time, I think all planetary scientists get asked about Pluto, especially by kids who would just love for Pluto to still be a planet. But the reality is when we first discovered Pluto, it was a unique object in the outer solar system and we thought we were adding a planet to the inventory of planets that we had. And then over time,
Starting point is 00:07:39 it became clear that Pluto was not a unique large object in the outer solar system that there were actually many of these. And as we started discovering more and more of them, we realized that the concept of Pluto being a planet didn't make sense unless maybe we added all the rest of them as planets. So, you know, you could have imagined actually a different direction that this could have gone where all the other objects that were discovered in that belt, or at least all the ones, let's say above a certain size, became planets instead of Pluto being declassified. But we were now aware of many objects out there in the outer solar system and what's called the Kuiper belt that are of the same size, or in some cases even larger than Pluto.
Starting point is 00:08:24 So the declassification was really just a realization that it was not in the same category as the other planets in the solar system and we basically needed to refine our definition in such a way that took into account that there's this belt of debris out there in the outer solar system of things with a range of sizes. Is there a hope for clear categorization of what is a planet and not, or is it all just gray area? When you study planets, when you study moons, satellites, are those planets, is there lines that could be cleanly drawn or is it just a giant mess? This is all like a fluid, not mess, but it's like fluid of what is a planet, what is a moon of a planet,
Starting point is 00:09:08 what is debris, what is asteroids, all that kind of. So there are technically clear definitions that were set down by the IAU, the International Astronomy Union. Is it size related? Like what are the parameters based on what? So the parameters are that it has to orbit the sun, which was essentially to rule out satellites. Of course, this was a not very forward thinking definition because it technically means that all extra solar planets, according to that definition, are not planets.
Starting point is 00:09:37 So it has to order the orbit the sun. It has to be large enough that its gravity has caused it to become spherical in shape, which also applies to satellites and also applies to Pluto. The third part of the definition is the thing that really rolls out everything else, which is that it has to have cleared out its orbital path. And because Pluto orbits in a belt of material, it doesn't satisfy that stipulation. Why didn't you clear out the path?
Starting point is 00:10:02 It's not big enough. It knocked everybody out of the way. And this actually is not the first time it has happened. So, series, when it was discovered, series is the largest asteroid in the asteroid belt, and it was originally considered a planet when it was first discovered, and it went through exactly the same story, history, where people actually realized that it was just one of many asteroids in the asteroid belt region, and then it got declassified to an asteroid, and now it's back to a dwarf planet. So there is a lot of reclassification.
Starting point is 00:10:31 So to me as somebody who studies solar system objects, I just personally don't care my level of interest in something has nothing to do with what it's classified as. So my favorite objects in the solar system are all moons. And frequently when I talk about them, I refer to them as planets because to me, they are planets. They have volcanoes. They have geology. They have atmospheres. They're planet-like worlds. And so the distinction is not super meaningful to me. But I, it is important just for having a general framework for
Starting point is 00:11:04 for understanding and talking about things to have a precise definition. So you don't have a special romantic appreciation of a moon versus a planet versus an asteroid. It's just an object that flies out there and doesn't really matter what the categorization is. Because there's movies about asteroids and stuff. And then there's movies about the moon, whatever is a really good movie. You know, there's something about moons that, that's almost like an outlier, like you think of a moon as a thing that's the secret part. And the planet
Starting point is 00:11:40 is like the more like vanilla regular part. None of that. You don't have any of that. No, I actually do. I really satellites are the moons are my favorite things in the solar system. And I think part of what you're saying, I agree from maybe a slightly different perspective, which is from the perspective of exploration, we've spent a lot of time sending spacecraft missions to planets. We had a mission to Jupiter, we had a mission to Saturn. We have plenty of missions to Mars and missions to Venus. I think the exploration of the moons in the outer solar system is the next frontier of solar system exploration.
Starting point is 00:12:14 The belt of debris just real quick, that's out there. Is there something incredible to be discovered there? Again, we tend to focus on the planets and the moons, but it feels like there's probably a lot of stuff out there. Again, we tend to focus on the planets and the moons, but it feels like there's probably a lot of stuff out there. And it probably, what is it? It's like a garbage collector from outside of the solar system, isn't it? Like, doesn't it protect from other objects that kind of fly in? And what it just feels like it's a cool, you know, you know, when you walk along the beach and look for stuff and like, look for, it feels like it's a cool You know when you walk along the beach and look for stuff and like look for sure It feels like that's that kind of place where you can find cool cool weird things or it I
Starting point is 00:12:54 Guess in our conversation today when we think about tools and what science is Studying is there something to be studied out there? Or we just don't have maybe the tools yet or there's nothing to be found Is there something to be studied out there or we just don't have maybe the tools yet or there's nothing to be found? There's absolutely a lot to be found. So the material that's out there is remnant material from the formation of our solar system.
Starting point is 00:13:11 We don't think it comes from outside the solar system, at least not most of it. But there are so many fascinating objects out there and I think what you've hit on is exactly right that we just don't have the tools to study them in detail. But we can objects out there, and I think what you've hit on is exactly right that we just don't have the tools to study them in detail. But we can look out there and we can see their different species of ice on their surface that tells us about, you know, the chemical composition of the disc that formed our solar system. Some of these objects are way brighter than they should be, meaning they have some kind of geological activity. People have hypothesized that some of these objects have subsurface oceans. You could even stretch your imagination and say some of those oceans could be habitable.
Starting point is 00:13:51 But we can't get very detailed information about them because they're so far away. So I think if any of those objects were in the inner solar system, it would be studied intently and would be very interesting. So would you be able to design a probe in that like very dense debris field, be able to like hop from one place to another? Is that just outside the realm of like, how would you even design devices or sensors
Starting point is 00:14:17 that go out there and take pictures and land? Do you have to land to truly understand a little piece of rock, or can you understand it remotely, like fly up close and remotely observe? You can learn quite a lot from just a flyby, and that's all we're currently capable of doing in the outer solar system. The new Horizons mission is a recent example, which flew by Pluto, and then they had searched for another object that was out there in the Kuiper Bell, any object that was basically somewhere that they could deflect their trajectory to actually fly by.
Starting point is 00:14:53 And so they did fly by another object out there in the Kuiper Bell, and they take pictures and they do what they can do. And if you've seen the images from that mission of Pluto, you can see just how much detail we have compared to just the sort of reddish dot that we knew of before. You do get an amazing amount of information actually from just essentially a high speed flyby. It always makes me sad to think about flybys that we might be able to fly by a piece of rock, take a picture and think, oh, that looks pretty cool in whatever, and that you could study certain composition of the surface and so on.
Starting point is 00:15:29 But it's actually teaming with life, and we won't be able to see it at first. And it's sad, because you don't like when you're in a desert island, you wave your hands and the thing flies by, and you're trying to get their attention, and they probably do the same well in their own way. Bacteria probably, right? But and we miss it. I don't know. Some reason it makes me it's a it's the foam wall.
Starting point is 00:15:53 It's fear missing out. It makes me sad that there might be a life out there and we don't we're not in touch with it. We're not talking. Yeah. Well, okay. I said pause Russian philosophical pause. Okay. What are the tools available to us to study planets and their moons? Oh my goodness. That is such a big question. So among the fields of astronomy, so planetary science broadly speaking, well, it falls kind of at the border of astronomy,
Starting point is 00:16:29 geology, climate science, chemistry, and even biology. So it's kind of on the border of many things, but part of it falls under the heading of astronomy. And among the things that you can study with telescopes, like solar system and planets, the solar system is really unique and that we can actually send spacecraft missions
Starting point is 00:16:48 to the objects and study them in detail. And so I think that's the type of tool that people are most aware of, this most popularized, these amazing NASA missions that either you fly by the object, you orbit the object, you land on the object, potentially you can talk about digging into a drilling, trying to detect tectonic tremors on its surface. The types of tools that I use are primarily telescopes.
Starting point is 00:17:19 My background is in astrophysics, and so I actually got into solar system science from astronomy, not from a childhood fascination with spacecraft missions, which is actually what a lot of planetary scientists became planetary scientists because of childhood fascination with spacecraft missions, which is kind of interesting for me to talk to people and see that trajectory. I kind of came at it from the fascination
Starting point is 00:17:41 with telescopes angle. She liked telescopes, not rockets, or at least the earth. When I was a kid, it was looking at the stars and playing with telescopes that really fascinated me, and that's how I got into this. But telescopes, it's amazing how much detail and how much information you can get from telescopes today. You can resolve individual cloud features and watch them kind of sheer out
Starting point is 00:18:08 in the atmosphere of Titan. You can literally watch volcanoes on IO change from day to day as the the lava flows expand. So, and then, you know, with spectroscopy, you get compositional information on all these things. And it's, when I started doing solar system astronomy, I was surprised by how much detail and how much information you can get even from Earth, and then as well as from orbit, like the Hubble Space Telescope for the James Webb. So, with the telescope, you can, I mean, how much information can you get about volcanoes, about storms, about sort of weather, just so we kind of get a sense, like what a resolution we're talking about. Well, in terms of resolution, so to, you know, on a given night, if I go and take a picture of I.O.
Starting point is 00:19:00 and it's volcanoes, you can sometimes see at least a dozen different volcanoes. You can see the infrared emission coming off of them and resolve them, separate them from one another on the surface and actually watch how the heat coming off of them changes with time. And I think this time variability aspect is one of the big advantages we get from telescopes. So you send a spacecraft mission there
Starting point is 00:19:23 and you get an incredible amount of information over a very short time period. But for some science questions, you need to observe something for 30 years, 40 years. Like, let's say you want to look at the moon Titan, which has one of the most interesting atmospheres in the solar system. It's orbital period is 29, 30 years. And so if you want to look at how its atmospheric seasons work, you have to observe it over that long of a time period. And you're not going to do that with a spacecraft, but you can do it with telescopes. Can we just zoom in on certain things like a Stalk Barrio, which is the moon of Jupiter. Right.
Starting point is 00:20:01 Okay. It's like epic. It's like volcanoes all over the place. It's from a distance. It's awesome. So can you tell me about this moon and you're sort of a scholar of many planets and moons, but that one kind of stood out to me. So why is that an interesting one? For so many reasons, but I know it is the most volcanically active object in the solar system. It has hundreds of active volcanoes on it. It has volcanic plumes that go hundreds of
Starting point is 00:20:33 kilometers up above its surface. It puts out more volume of magma per volcano than volcanoes on Earth today. But I think to me the reason that it's most interesting is as a laboratory for understanding planetary processes. So one of the broad goals of planetary sciences to put together a sort of more general and coherent framework for how planets work in general, are current framework. It started out very Earth-centric. We start to understand how Earth volcanoes work. But then when you try to transport that to somewhere like I.O.
Starting point is 00:21:13 that doesn't have an atmosphere, which makes a very tenuous atmosphere, which makes a big difference for how the magma-de gases, for something that's really small, for something that has a different heat source, for something that's embedded in another object, magnetic field, the kind of intuition we have from Earth doesn't apply. And so broadly planetary sciences is trying
Starting point is 00:21:33 to broaden that framework so that you have a kind of narrative that all you can understand, how each planet became different from every other planet. And I'm already making mistake. When I say planet, I mean planets and moons. Like I said, I see the moons as planets. That's planets. Yeah. I actually already noticed that you didn't introduce IO as the moon of Jupiter. You completely, you, uh, you kind of ignored the fact that Jupiter exists. It's
Starting point is 00:21:59 like let's focus on the, uh, yeah. Okay. So, uh, and you also didn't mention Europa, which I think is the is that the most famous moon of Jupiter? Is that going to get the tension because they might have life? Exactly. Yeah. But you're, but to you, I was also beautiful. I was the difference between volcanoes on I.O. versus Earth. You said atmosphere makes a difference.
Starting point is 00:22:24 What? Yeah. versus earth. You said atmosphere makes a difference. What the heat source plays a big role. So many of the moons in the outer solar system are heated from gravitationally by tidal heating. And I'm happy to describe what that is. Oh yeah, please. What's tidal? Yes. So tidal heating is, is if you want to understand and contextualize planets and moons, you have to understand their heat sources. So for earth, we have radioactive decay in our interior as well as residual heat or formation. But for satellites, title heating plays a really significant role. And in particular in driving geological activity on satellites, and potentially making those subsurface oceans in places like Europa and Enceladus habitable. And so the way that that works is if you have multiple moons
Starting point is 00:23:14 and their orbital periods are integer multiples of one another, that means that they're always encountering each other at the same point in the orbit. So if they were on just random orbits, they'd be encountering each other at the same point in the orbit. So if they were on just random orbits, they'd be encountering each other at random places and the gravitational effect between the two moons would be canceling out over time. But because they're always meeting each other
Starting point is 00:23:36 at the same point in the orbit, those gravitational interactions add up coherently. And so that tweaks them into eccentric orbits. So eccentric orbit? So eccentric orbit or elliptical orbit, it just means non-circular. So a deviation from a circular orbit. And that means that, you know, for IO or Europa, it's some points in their orbit. They're closer to Jupiter and in some points in their orbit, they're farther away. And so when they're closer, they're stretched out in a sense, but literally just not very stretched out, like a couple hundred meters, something like that.
Starting point is 00:24:11 And then when they're farthest away, they're less stretched out. And so you actually have the shape of the object deforming over the course of the orbit. And these orbits are like just a couple of days. And so that, in the case of I.O. that is literally sufficient friction in its mantle to melt the rock of its mantle. And that's what generates the magma. That's that's the source of the the okay. So why is your so Europa is I thought there's like ice and oceans underneath kind of thing. So why is Europe and I get in a friction? It is. It's just a little bit farther away from Jupiter.
Starting point is 00:24:47 And then Ganymede is also in the orbital resonance. So it's a three object orbital resonance in the Jupiter system. But we have these sorts of orbital resonances all over the solar system and also in exoplanets. So for Europa, basically, because it's farther from Jupiter, the effect is not as extreme, but you do still have heat generated in its interior in this way. And that maybe driving could be driving hydrothermal activity at the base of its ocean, which obviously would be
Starting point is 00:25:16 a really valuable thing for life. Cool. So it's like heating up the ocean a little bit. Yeah, heating up the ocean a little bit bit and specifically in these like hydrothermal vents where we see really interesting life evolve in the bottom of Earth's oceans. That's cool. Okay, so what's what's IO? What else? So we know the source is this friction, but there's no atmosphere. I'm trying to get a sense of what it's, if you and I were to visit IO, like what would that look like? What would it feel like? Is it the entire thing covered in basically volcanoes? So it's interesting because there's very little atmosphere.
Starting point is 00:25:58 The surface is actually really cold, very far below freezing on the surface when you're away from a volcano, but the volcanoes themselves are over a thousand degrees or the the magma when it comes out is over a thousand degrees and so But it does come to the surface the magma. It does. Yeah In particular places. Whoa, that probably is beautiful. So like so it's frozen not ice like what is Is rock? It's really cold rock. And then you just have this like, what is, what does that look, what would that look like with no atmosphere? What that, would it be
Starting point is 00:26:34 smoke? What does it look like? It's just magma, like just red, yellow, like liquidy things. It's black, it's black and red, I guess. Like think of the type of magma that you see in Hawaii. So different types of magma flow in different ways, for example. So in some way like I.O., the magma is really hot. And so it will flow out in sheets because it has really low viscosity. And I think the lava flows that we've been having in Hawaii over the past couple of years are probably a decent analogy, although Ios, Magnus, Lava's are even more
Starting point is 00:27:12 fluid and faster moving. How fast are you? Like what, how fat? Like if you are, by the way, start through the telescope, are you tracking at wartime scale? Like every frame is how far apart, if you're looking through a telescope. I was talking about seconds, and we're talking about days, months. When you kind of track,
Starting point is 00:27:34 try to get a picture of what the surface might look like, what's the frequency? So it depends a little bit on what you want to do. I ideally every night, but you could take a frame every second and see how things are changing. The problem with that is that for things to change on a one second time scale, you actually see something change that fast.
Starting point is 00:27:57 You have to have super high resolution. The spatial resolution we have is a couple hundred kilometers. And so things are not changing on those scales over one second unless you have something really crazy happening. So if you get, if you get a telescope closer to IO, if you get a, or a camera closer to IO, would you be able to understand something, is that something of interest to you? It, would you be able to understand something deeper about Just to you, would you be able to understand something deeper about these volcanic eruptions and how magma flows and just like the rate of the magma,
Starting point is 00:28:31 or is it basically enough to have the calomer resolution? Do you get something? No way. We want to go there. You want to go, you want to go to IO? I mean, I don't want to go there personally, but I want to send a spacecraft mission there, absolutely. Why?
Starting point is 00:28:43 Why are you scared? Why am I scared? Oh, you mean you don't. Oh, like, you. I don't want to go there as a human. It's a human, I want to send a robot there to look at it. This is again, everybody's discriminating against robots.
Starting point is 00:28:55 This is not, but it's fine. But it's not hospitable to humans anyway, right? Just very cold and very hot. It's very cold. The atmosphere is composed of sulfur dioxide. So you could breathe it. There's no pressure. I mean, it's kind of all the same things you talk about.
Starting point is 00:29:14 One talks about Mars only worse. The atmosphere is still a thousand times less dense than Mars's. And the radiation environment is terrible because you're embedded deep within Jupiter's magnetic field. And Jupiter's magnetic field is full of charged particles that have all come out of IOS volcanoes actually. So Jupiter's magnetic field strips all this material out of IOS atmosphere. And that populates its entire main heat of sphere.
Starting point is 00:29:44 And then that material comes back around and hits I.O. and spreads throughout the system, actually, it's just, it's like I.O. is the massive polluter of the Jupiter system. Okay, cool. So what, what is studying I.O. teach you about volcanoes on earth or vice versa is in the difference of the two. What insights can you mine out? That might be interesting in some way. Yeah, it's, we try to port the tools that we use to study earth volcanism to IO and it works
Starting point is 00:30:20 to some extent, but it is challenging because the situations are so different. And the compositions are really different when you talk about outgassing, you know, earth volcanoes outgassed primarily water and carbon dioxide. And then sulfur dioxide is the the third most abundant gas. And on IO, the water and carbon dioxide are not there. And on IO, the water and carbon dioxide are not there. Either it didn't form with them or it lost them, we don't know. So the chemistry of how the magma outgastis is completely different.
Starting point is 00:30:53 But the kind of one to me, most interesting analogy to earth is that, so IO, as I've said, it has these really low viscosity mangas. The lava spreads really quickly across its surface. It can put out massive volumes of manmen, relatively short periods of time. And that sort of volcanism is not happening anywhere else
Starting point is 00:31:16 in the solar system today. But literally every terrestrial planet and the moon had this, what we we call very effusive volcanism early in their history. Okay, so this is almost like a little glimpse into the early history of earth. Yeah, okay, cool. So what are the chances that a volcano on earth destroys all of human civilization? Maybe I want to sneak in that question. Yeah, a volcano on earth. Um, do you think about that kind of stuff when you just study volcanoes elsewhere? Because in it kind of humbling to see something so powerful and so hot,
Starting point is 00:31:53 like so unpleasant for humans. And then you realize we're sitting on many of them here. Right. Yeah, Yellowstone as a classic example. I don't know what the chances are of that happening. My intuition would be that the chances of that are lower than the chances of us getting wiped out by some other means that maybe it'll happen eventually that there'll be one of these massive volcanoes on Earth, but we'll probably be gone by then by some other means. Not to sound bleak, but by some other means. Not a sound bleak, but it's very confident.
Starting point is 00:32:25 OK, so can we talk about Europa? Is there, so maybe can you talk about the intuition, the hope that people have about life being in Europa? Maybe also, what are the things we know about it? What are things to you there? Interesting about that particular moon of Jupiter. Sure. Yeah, Europa is from many perspectives, one of the really interesting places in the solar
Starting point is 00:32:54 system among the solar system moons. So there are a few. There has, there's a lot of interest in looking for or understanding the potential for life to evolve in the subsurface oceans. I think it's fairly widely accepted that the chances of life evolving on the surfaces of really anything in the solar system is very low. The radiation environment is too harsh and there's just not liquids on the surface of most of these things. And it's canonically accepted that liquids are required for life.
Starting point is 00:33:30 And so the subsurface oceans, in addition to maybe Titan's atmosphere, the subsurface oceans of the icy satellites, are one of the most plausible places in the solar system for life to evolve. Europa and Saladis are interesting because for many of the big satellites, so Ganymede and Callisto, also satellites of Jupiter, also are thought to have sub-suffer's oceans.
Starting point is 00:33:52 But they are, so they have these ice shells, and then there's an ocean underneath the ice shell. But on those moons around Ganymede, we think that there's another ice shell underneath, and then there's rock. And the reason that that is a problem for life is that your ocean on Ganymede, we think that there's another ice shell underneath, and then there's rock. And the reason that that is a problem for life is that your ocean is probably just pure water because it's trapped between two big shells of ice.
Starting point is 00:34:14 So Europa doesn't have this ice shell at the bottom of the ocean, we think. And so the water and rock are in direct interaction, and so that means that you can basically dissolve a lot of material out of the rock. the water and rock are in direct interaction. And so that means that you can basically dissolve a lot of material out of the rock. You potentially have this hydrothermal activity that's injecting energy and nutrients for life to survive. And so this rock water interface is considered really important for the potential habitability.
Starting point is 00:34:41 As a small aside, you kind of said that it's canonically assumed that light water is required for life. Is it possible to have life like in the volcano? I remember people were like in that National Geographic program or something kind of hypothesizing that you can really have life anywhere. So as long as there's a source of heat, a source of energy, do you think it's possible to have life in a volcano like no water?
Starting point is 00:35:14 I think anything's possible. I think it's so water. It doesn't have to be water. That's sort of you can tell, as you identified, I phrased that really carefully. It's canonically accepted that because we recognize of, you can tell, as you identified, I phrased that really carefully. It's canonically accepted that because we recognize that, you know, scientists recognize that we have no idea what broad range of life could be out there and all we really have is our biases of life as we know it. But for life as we know it, it's very helpful to
Starting point is 00:35:39 have, or even necessary to have some kind of liquid and preferably a polar solvent that can actually dissolve molecules, something like water. So the case of liquid methane on Titan is less ideal from that perspective. But you know, liquid magma, if it stays liquid long enough for life to evolve, you have a heat source, you have a liquid, you have nutrients,
Starting point is 00:36:01 and in theory that checks your three classic astrobiology boxes. That'd be fascinating. I'd be fascinating if it's possible to detect it easily. How would we detect if there's life on Europa? Is it possible to do in a non-contact way from a distance to telescopes and so on. Or do we need to send robots and do some drilling? I think realistically you need to do the drilling. So Europa also has these long tectonic features on its surface where it's thought that there's potential for water from the ocean to be somehow making its way up onto the surface. And you could imagine some out there scenario where there's bacteria in the ocean. It's somehow working its way up through the ice shell.
Starting point is 00:36:54 It's spilling out on the surface. It's being killed by the radiation, but your instrument could detect some spectroscopic signature of that dead bacterium. But that's, you know, that's many ifs and assumptions. That's a hope because then you don't have to do that much drilling. You can collect from the surface. Right. Or even I'm thinking even remotely. Oh, remotely.
Starting point is 00:37:15 Yeah. That's sad that there's a single cell civilization living underneath all that ice trying, trying, trying to to get up trying to get out. So Enceladus gives you a slightly better chance of that because Enceladus is a is a moon of Saturn and it's broadly similar to Europe in some ways. It's an icy satellite. It has a subsurface ocean that's probably in touch with the rocky interior, but it has these massive geysers that it's South Pole where it's spewing out material that appears to be originating all the way from the ocean. And so in that case, you could potentially fly through that plume and scoop up
Starting point is 00:37:58 that material and hope that at the velocities, you'd be scooping it up. You're not destroying any signature of the life you're looking for. that at the velocities, you'd be scooping it up. You're not destroying any signature of the life you're looking for. But let's say that you have some ingenuity and can come up with a way to do that. It potentially gives you a more direct opportunity, at least, to try to measure those bacteria directly.
Starting point is 00:38:18 Can you tell me a little more on the Honeyprinalsut salas? Incelitis. Incelitis. Incelitis? Can you tell me a little bit more about insolidus? Like, we've been talking about way too much about Jupiter. Sadness doesn't get enough flow. Not enough.
Starting point is 00:38:37 Sadness doesn't get much love. So what's incelitis? Is that the most exciting moon of Saturn? Depends on your perspective. It's very exciting from an astrobiology perspective. I think in Salad isn't Titan, are the two most unique and interesting moons of Saturn. They definitely both get the most attention
Starting point is 00:38:58 also from the life perspective. So what's more likely Titan or insolidus for life? If you were to bet all your money in terms of like investing, which to investigate, what are the difference between the two that they're interesting to you? Yeah, so the potential for life in each of those two places is very different. So Titan is the the one place in the solar system where you might imagine, again, all of this is so speculative, but you might imagine life evolving in the atmosphere. So the from a biology perspective, Titan is interesting because
Starting point is 00:39:37 it forms complex organic molecules in its atmosphere. It has a dense atmosphere. It's actually denser than Earth. It's the only moon that has an atmosphere denser than Earth. That's cool. It's got tons of methane in it. What happens is that methane gets irradiated. It breaks up and it reforms with other things in the atmosphere. It makes these complex organic molecules. And it's effectively doing prebiotic chemistry in the atmosphere. Well, it's still being freezing cold. Yes.
Starting point is 00:40:06 Okay. What would that be like? Would that be pleasant for humans to hang out there? Is this really cold? There's nowhere in the solar system that would be pleasant for humans. It would be cold. You couldn't breathe the air. What colonization wise, if there's an atmosphere, is not a big plus?
Starting point is 00:40:24 Or still a ton of radiation. Okay, so, okay, so Titan, that's a really nice feature that the life could be in the atmosphere because then it might be remotely observable or certainly is more accessible if you visit. Okay, so what about Enceladus? So that would be still in the ocean. Right, and Enceladus has the advantage, like I said, of spewing material out of its South Pole so you could collect it. But it has the disadvantage of the fact that we don't actually really understand how its ocean could stay, or sorry, could stay globally liquid over the age of the solar system
Starting point is 00:41:07 And so there are some models that say that it's going through this cyclical evolution where the ocean freezes completely and thaws completely and the orbit sort of oscillates in and out of of these eccentricities and in that case the potential for life ever occurring there in the first place is a lot lower because if you only have an ocean for 100 million years, is that enough time?
Starting point is 00:41:34 And it also means that might be mass extinction events if it does occur. Then it just freezes. Again, very sad, man, this is very depressing. All the slaughter of life elsewhere. How unlikely do you think life is on earth? So when you look, when you study other planets and you study the contents of other planets, does that give you a perspective on the origin of life on earth, which again is full of mystery in itself, not the
Starting point is 00:42:05 evolution, but the origin, the first springing to life, like from nothing to life, from the basic ingredients to life. I guess another way of asking it is how unique are we? Yeah, it's a great question and it's one that just scientifically we don't have an answer to. We don't even know how many times life evolved on Earth if it was only once or if it happened independently a thousand times in different places. We don't know whether it's happened anywhere else in the universe, although it feels absurd to believe that we are the only life that evolves in the entire universe, but it's conceivable. We just have just no real information.
Starting point is 00:42:51 We don't understand really how life came about in the first place on Earth. I mean, so if you look at the Drake equation that tries to estimate how many alien civilizations are out there, planets have a big part to play in that equation. If you were to bet money in terms of the odds of origins of life on Earth, I mean, this all has to do with how special and unique is Earth.
Starting point is 00:43:19 What you land in terms of the number of civilizations has to do with how unique their rare earth hypothesis is how rare special is earth, how rare and special is the solar system. Like if you had to bet all your money on a completely unscientific question, well no actually it's actually a rigorously scientific which is don't know a lot of things in that equation. There's a lot of mysteries about that and it's slowly becoming better and better understood in terms of. There's a lot of mysteries about that. And it's slowly becoming better and better understood in terms of exoplanets, in terms of how many solar systems are out there, where there's planets, there are Earth-like planets, getting better
Starting point is 00:43:54 and better understood. What's your sense from that perspective, how many alien civilizations out there? Zero or one plus? You're right that the equation is being better understood, but you're really only talking about the first three parameters in the equation or something. How many stars are there? How many planets per star? And then we're just barely scratching the surface of what fraction of those planets might be habitable.
Starting point is 00:44:20 The rest of the terms in the equation are like how likely is life to evolve, given habitable conditions, how likely is it to survive all these things. They're all these huge unknowns. Actually, I remember when I first saw that equation, I think I was, I think it was my first year of college and I thought this is ridiculous. This is a common sense that didn't need to give a given name, you know, and be just a bunch of unknowns. It's like putting our ignorance together in one equation, but I've actually, now I understand this equation, you know, it's not something we ever necessarily have the answer to. It's, it just gives us a framework for having the exact conversation we're having right now.
Starting point is 00:45:02 And I think that's how it was intended in the first place when it was put into writing was to give people a language to communicate about the factors that go into the potential for aliens to be out there and for us to find them. I would put money on their being aliens. I would not put money on us having definitive evidence of them in my lifetime. Well, definitive is a funny word. My sense is this is the saddest part for me, is my sense in terms of intelligent alien civilizations, I feel like we're so we're so self obsessed that we literally would not be able
Starting point is 00:45:51 to detect them, even when they're like in front of us. Like like trees could be aliens, but just their intelligence could be realized on a scale, on a time scale or physical scale that we're not appreciating. Like, trees could be way more intelligent than us. I don't know. It's just a dumb example. It could be rocks, or it could be things like, this I love this, this is Dawkins memes. It could be the ideas are the, like ideas we have where do ideas come from where do thoughts come from maybe thoughts
Starting point is 00:46:28 Are the aliens or maybe thoughts is the actual mechanisms of communication in Physics right, there's just like we think of thoughts is something that springs up from neurons firing or the how they come from and Now what about consciousness? Maybe consciousness is the communication. It sounds like ridiculous, but like we're so self-centered on this space time communication and physical space using like written language, like spoken with audio, on a time scale, this very specific kind of physical scale is very specific. So I tend to think that bacteria will probably recognize, like moving organisms will probably recognize, but when that forms itself into intelligence, most
Starting point is 00:47:21 like it'll be robots of some kind, because we won't be making the origins will be meeting the creations of those Intelligence is we just would not be able to appreciate it. That's the saddest thing to me that we Yeah, we were too dumb The C aliens Like we're too we kind of think like look at the progress of science, we accomplished so much. The sad thing, it could be that we're just like in the first 0.001% of understanding anything. It's humbling. I hope that's true because I feel like we're very ignorant as a species.
Starting point is 00:48:00 And I hope that our current level of knowledge only represents the point zero zero one percent of what we will someday achieve That actually feels optimistic to me Well, I feel like that's easier for us to comprehend in the space of biology And not as easy to comprehend in the space of physics for example because we have a sense that like we have It like if you if you talk to theoretical physicists It like if you if you talk to theoretical physicists, they have a sense that we understand the basic laws that form the nature of reality of our universe. But it, but I would be, it'd be fascinating to see if physicists themselves would also be humble, but they're being, like, what the hell is dark matter and dark energy? What the hell is the, not just the origin, not just the big bang, but everything that happens
Starting point is 00:49:01 is the big bang. A lot of things that happen since the big bang, we have no ideas about it except basic models of physics. Right. What happened before the big bang a lot of things that happens is the big bang We have no ideas about except basic models of physics right what happened before the big bang What yeah, yeah, what happened for what what's happening inside of black hole? Why is there a black hole at the center of our galaxy because somebody answered this a super massive black hole Nobody knows how it started and they seem to be like in the middle of all galaxies So that could be a portal for aliens to communicate through consciousness. Okay. All right, back to planets.
Starting point is 00:49:30 How? What's your favorite outside of earth? What's your favorite planet or moon? Maybe outside of the ones? Well, first, have we talked about it already? Or, and then if we did mention it, what's the one outside of that? Oh gosh, I have to come up with another favorite that's not I. Oh, I was the favorite. Oh, absolutely. Why is I the favorite? I mean, basically everything I've I've already said, it's just such an amazing and unique object. But on, I guess, a personal note, it's probably the object that made me become a planetary scientist. It's the first thing in the solar system that really deeply captured my interest.
Starting point is 00:50:13 And when I started my PhD, I wanted to be an astrophysicist working on things like galaxy evolution and sort of slowly I had done some projects in the solar system But IO is the thing that like really caught me in to doing the solar system science Okay, let's let's leave moons aside. What's your favorite planet? It sounds like you like moons better than planets. So it's uh, that's accurate, but the planets are are fascinating. I think You know, I find that the planets in the solar system really fascinating what I like about the moons is that they There's so much less that is known There's still a lot more discovery space and the questions that we can ask are still the the bigger questions Which you know I and
Starting point is 00:51:02 are still the bigger questions. Gotcha. Which, you know, I end maybe I'm being unfair to the planets because we are still trying to understand things like was there ever life on Mars? And that is a huge question and one that we've sent numerous robots to Mars to try to answer. So maybe I'm being unfair to the planets, but there is certainly quite a bit more information that we have about the planets than the moons. But, I mean, Venus is a fascinating object. So I like the objects that lie at the extremes. I think that if we can make a
Starting point is 00:51:36 sort of theory or like I've been saying framework for understanding planets and moons that can incorporate even the most extreme ones, then you, then those are the things that really test your theory and test your understanding. And so they've always really fascinated me. Not so much the nice habitable places like Earth, but these extreme places like Venus that have sulfuric acid clouds and just incredibly hot and dense surfaces.
Starting point is 00:52:02 And Venus, of course, I love volcanism for some reason. And Venus has probably has volcanic activity, definitely has in their recent past, maybe has ongoing today. What do you make of the news? Maybe you can update it in terms of life being discovered in the atmosphere of Venus. Is that, sorry, Okay, you have opinion,
Starting point is 00:52:26 I can already tell you have opinions. Was that fake news? I got excited. I saw that. What's the final, is there a life on Venus? So the detection that was reported was the detection of the molecule phosphine. And they said that they tried every other mechanism they could think of to produce phosphine and they none of no mechanism worked. And then they said, well, we know that life produces phosphine. And so that was sort of the train of logic. And I don't personally believe that phospham was detected in the first place. Okay, so I mean this is just one study, but I as a Lehman, I'm skeptical a little bit,
Starting point is 00:53:14 about tools that sense the contents of an atmosphere, like contents of that atmosphere from remotely, and making conclusive statements about life. Oh, yeah. Well, that connection that you just made, the contents of the atmosphere to the life is a tricky one. And yeah, I know that that claim received a lot of criticism for the lines of logic that went from detection to claim of life. Even the detection itself though, it doesn't meet the sort of historical scientific standards of a detection. It was a very tenuous detection
Starting point is 00:53:57 and only one line of the species was detected and a lot of really complicated data analysis methods had to be applied to even make that weak detection. Yeah. So it could be, it could be noise, it could be polluted data, it could be all those things. And so it doesn't have, it doesn't meet the level of rigor that you would hope.
Starting point is 00:54:17 But of course, I mean, we're doing our best. And it's clear that the human species are hopeful to find life. Clearly. Yes. Everyone is so excited about that possibility. All right. Let's let me ask you about Mars. So, there's a guy named Elon Musk. And he seems to want to take something called dogecoin there.
Starting point is 00:54:47 First of the moon. I'm just kidding about the dogecoin. I even know what the heck is up with that whole, I think humor has power in the 21st century in a way the spread ideas in the most positive way. So I love that kind of humor because it makes people smile but it also kind of sneak it's like a Trojan horse for cool ideas. You open with humor and you like the humor is the appetizer and then the main meal is the science and the engineering. Anyway,
Starting point is 00:55:31 do you think is possible to colonize Mars? Or other planets in the solar system, but we're especially looking to Mars. Is there something about planets that make them very harsh to humans? Is there something in particular you think about and maybe a high, like, picture perspective, do you have a hope we do in fact become a multi-planetary species?
Starting point is 00:55:59 I do think that if our species survives long enough and we don't wipe ourselves out or get wiped out by some other means that we will eventually be able to colonize other planets. I do not expect that to happen in my lifetime. I mean tourists may go to Mars tourists, people who commit years of their life to going to Mars as a tourist may go to Mars. I don't think that we will colonize it. Is there a sense why it is just too harsh on an environment to, I guess, too costly to build something habitable there for a large population?
Starting point is 00:56:39 I think that we need to do a lot of work in learning how to use the resources that are on the planet already to do the things we need to do a lot of work and learning how to use the resources that are on the planet already to do the things we need. So if you're talking about someone going there for a few months, so I'll back up a little bit. There are many things that make Mars not hospitable, temperature, you can't breathe the air,
Starting point is 00:57:02 you need a pressure suit, even if you're on the surface, the radiation environment is, you know, even in all of those things, the radiation environment is too harsh for the human body. All of those things seem like they could eventually have technological solutions. The challenge, the real significant challenge to me seems to be the creation of a self-sustaining civilization there. You can bring pressure suits, you can bring oxygen to breathe, but those are all unlimited supply. And if we're going to colonize it, we need to find ways to make use of the resources that
Starting point is 00:57:39 are there to do things like produce food, produce the air of the humans, need to keep breathing. Just in order to make it self-sustaining, there's a tremendous amount of work there to be done. And people are working on these problems, but I think that's going to be a major obstacle in going from visiting where we can bring everything we need to survive in the short term, to actually colonizing. Yeah, I find that whole project of the human species quite inspiring. These like huge moonshot projects. Somebody I was reading something in terms of the source of food that that may be the most effective on Mars is
Starting point is 00:58:19 you could farm insects. That's the easiest thing to farm. So we'd be eating like cockroaches before living on Mars because that's the easiest thing to actually as a source of protein. So growing a source of protein is the easiest thing as insects. I just imagine this giant for people who are afraid of insects. This is not a plus. Maybe you're not supposed to even think of it That will be like a cockroach milkshake or something like that. Right. I wonder if people have been working on the genetic engineering of of insects to make them Radiation friendly Resistant to whatever is working possibly go wrong
Starting point is 00:59:01 to whatever. It's not working possibly go wrong. We're going to go to speak in radiation resistant. They're already like survived everything. Plus I took analogy tests in Austin. So there's everybody's like the allergy levels are super high there. And one of the things apparently, I'm not allergic to any insects except cockroaches. It's hilarious. So maybe, well, I'm gonna use that as,
Starting point is 00:59:28 you know, people use an excuse that I'm allergic to cats to not have cats, I'm gonna use that as an excuse to not go to Mars as one of the first batch of people. Other ones. I was gonna ask, if you had the opportunity, would you go? Yeah, I'm joking about the cockroach thing, and I would definitely go, I love challenges. I love things, I'm joking about the cockroach thing is I would definitely go I love challenges. I love I love things
Starting point is 00:59:47 I love doing things where the possibility of death is Is not insignificant Because it makes me appreciate it more debt meditating on death makes me appreciate life. And when the meditation on death is forced on you, because of how difficult the task is, I enjoy those kinds of things. Most people don't, it seems like.
Starting point is 01:00:19 But I love the idea of difficult journeys. For no purpose whatsoever, except exploration, going into the unknown, seeing what the limits of the human mind and the human body are. It's like, what the hell else is this whole journey that we're on for? But it could be because I grew up in the Soviet Union. There's a kind of love for space. Like the space race, the Cold War created, I don't know if still it permeates American culture as much, but especially with the data as a scientist, I think I've, I've loved the idea of humans
Starting point is 01:00:58 striving out towards the stars always. Like from the engineering perspective, it's been really exciting. I don't know if people love that as much in America anymore. I think Elon is Bringing that back a little bit that excitement about rockets and going out there, but So that's that's hopeful for me. I always love that idea from a alien scientist perspective. He were to look back on Earth Is there something interesting you could say about earth like how would you summarize earth? Like in a report, you know like hit trackers guy to the galaxy like if you had to report
Starting point is 01:01:36 Like write a paper on earth like or like a letter like a like a one-pager Summarizing the contents of the surface and the atmosphere. Is there something interesting? Like, do you ever take that kind of perspective on it? I know you like volcanism, so volcanoes, that will probably be in the report. I was going to say that's where I was going to go first. There are a few things to say about the atmosphere,
Starting point is 01:01:58 but in terms of the volcanoes, so one of the really interesting puzzles to me in planetary sciences, so we can look out there and we've been talking about surfaces and volcanoes and atmospheres and things like that. But that is just this tiny little veneer on the outside of the planet and most of the planet is completely inaccessible to telescopes or to spacecraft missions. You can drill a meter into the surface, but you know, that's still really the veneer. And one of the cool puzzles is looking at what's going on on the surface and trying to figure out what's happening underneath or just any kind of indirect means that
Starting point is 01:02:38 you have to study the interior because you can't dig into it directly even on Earth. You can't dig deep into Earth. So from that perspective, looking at Earth, one thing that you would be able to tell from orbit, given enough time, is that Earth has tectonic plates. So you would see that volcanoes follow the edges, if you trace through all the volcanoes on earth, they follow these lines that trace the edges of the plates. And similarly, you would see things like the Hawaiian string of volcanoes that you could infer, just like, you know, we did, as people actually living on earth, that the plates are moving over some plume that's coming up through the mantle. And so you could use that to say, if the aliens could look at where the volcanoes are, are happening on Earth and say something about the fact that Earth has plate tectonics,
Starting point is 01:03:31 which makes it really unique in the solar system. Oh, so the other plants don't have... It's the only one that has plate tectonics, yeah. What about Io and the friction and all that that's not plate tect? What's the difference between... Oh, it's the difference between... Oh, it's plate tectonis, like another layer of solid rock that moves around and there's cracks.
Starting point is 01:03:52 Yeah, so Earth has plates of solid rock sitting on top of a partially molten layer and those plates are kind of shifting around. On IO, it doesn't have that. And the volcanism is what we call heat pipe volcanism. It's the magma just punches a hole through the crust and comes out on the surface. I mean, that's a simplification,
Starting point is 01:04:13 but that's effectively what's happening. Through the freezing cold crust. Yes. Very cold, very rigid crust. Yeah. How does that look like, by the way? I don't think we've mentioned. So the gas that's expelled like forward to look at it. Is it like beautiful? Is it like boring?
Starting point is 01:04:31 The gas? Like the whole thing like the magma punching through the IC. Yes, I'm sure it would be beautiful. And the pictures we've seen of it are beautiful. You have so the the magma will come out of the lava, will come out of these fissures, and you have these curtains of lava that are maybe even a kilometer high. So if you've looked at videos, I don't know how many volcano videos you've looked at on Earth, but you sometimes see a tiny, tiny version of this in Iceland. You see just the sheets of magma coming out of a fissure
Starting point is 01:05:02 when you have this really low viscosity magma sort of water like coming out at these sheets. And the plumes that come out, because there's no atmosphere, all the plume molecules are just plume particles where they end up is just a function of the direction that they left the vent. So they're all following ballistic trajectories. And you end up with these umbrella plumes. You don't get these sort of complicated plumes that you have on earth that are occurring because of how that material is interacting with the
Starting point is 01:05:34 atmosphere that's there. You just have these huge umbrellas. And it's been hypothesized, actually, that so the atmosphere is made of sulfur dioxide and that you could have these kind of ash particles from the volcano and the sulfur dioxide would condense onto these particles and you have sulfur dioxide snow coming out of these volcanic glooms. And there's not much light though, right? So you wouldn't be able to, it would not make a good Instagram photo because you have to would you see the snow sure there's light it depends okay so you could you could you could still okay depends what angle you're looking at it where the sun is all the things like that you know the sunlight is much weaker but it's still there it's still there and how big is
Starting point is 01:06:21 I in terms of gravity is it smaller is a pretty small moon? It's quite a bit smaller than Earth anyway. I smaller than Earth. Okay. Okay. Cool. So they float float out for a little bit Mm-hmm. So the floats wow they yeah, no you're right. That would be that would be gorgeous What else about Earth? It's interesting besides looking so playtech times. I didn't realize that that was the unique element of a planet in the solar system Because that I wonder what I mean we experience that as human beings is quite painful because it earthquakes and all those kinds of things But I wonder if there's nice features to it Yeah, so coming back to habitability again, things like
Starting point is 01:07:06 tectonics and plate tectonics are thought to play an important role in the surface being habitable and that's because you have a way of recycling material. So if you have a stagnant surface, everything, you know, you use up all the free oxygen, everything reacts until you no longer have reactants that life can extract energy from. And so if nothing's changing on your surface, you kind of reach this stagnation point. But something like plate tectonics, recycles material, you bring up new fresh material from the interior, you bring down material that's up on the surface, and that can kind of
Starting point is 01:07:43 refresh your nutrient supply in a sense, or the raw materials that the surface has to work with. So from a kind of astrobiologist perspective, looking at Earth, you would see that recycling of material because of the platechectonics, you would also see how much oxygen is an Earth's atmosphere. And between those two things, you would identify Earth as a reasonable candidate for a habitable environment in addition to, of course, the, you know, pleasant temperature and liquid water. But the abundance of oxygen and the plate tectonics both play a role as well. And also see like tiny, dot satellites flying around. Well, sure. Yes. I wonder if they would be able to, I really think about that. role as well. And also see like tiny dot satellites flying around and rock.
Starting point is 01:08:25 Yes. I wonder if they would be able to really think about that like if they failions were to visit and would they really see humans as the thing they should be focusing on. I think it would take a while. Right? It's so obvious that that should because there's like so much incredible It turns a biomass humans are tiny tiny tiny fraction. There's like ants They would probably detect ants Right or they probably would focus on the water and the fish
Starting point is 01:08:56 Because there's like a lot of what I don't I was surprised to learn that there's more species on land and there is in the sea Like there's 90 I think 90 to 95% of the species are on land. Or on land? On land. Not in the sea. No. I thought there's so much going on in the sea, but no. The variety that the branch is created by evolution, apparently, it's probably a good answer
Starting point is 01:09:21 from evolution in biology perspective, why land created so much diversity, but it did. So like the sea, there's so much not known about the sea, about the oceans, but it's not diversity friendly. What can I say? It needs to improve its diversity. What can you do? Speaking of the aliens would come. I mean, the first thing they would see is I suppose are our cities, assuming that they had some idea of what a natural world looked like,
Starting point is 01:09:49 they would see cities and say these don't belong, which of these many species created these. Yeah, I mean, there's, if I were to guess, it would. It's a good question. I don't know if you do this when you look at the telescope, whether you look at geometric shapes. If it's, uh, good, good, good to me, like hard corners, like what do we think is engineered? Things that are like have kind of straight lines and corners and so on. They would probably detect those in terms of buildings would stand out to them corners and so on, they would probably detect those in terms of buildings would stand out to them,
Starting point is 01:10:34 because that's that goes against the basic natural physics of the world. But I don't know if the electricity and lights and so on, it could be, I honestly could be the play tectonics. It could be like that, they're like the volcanoes, that'd be okay, that's the source of heat, and they would focus, they might literally, I mean, depending on how alien life forms are, they might notice the microorganisms before they notice the big, like notice the ant before the elephant. Because like, there's a lot more of them, depending what they're measuring. We think like size matters, but maybe with their tools of measurement, they would look for quantity versus size. Like why focus on the big thing?
Starting point is 01:11:14 Focus on the thing that there's a lot of. And when they see humans, depending on their measurement devices, they might see we're made up of billions of organisms. The fact that we have, we're very human-centered. We think we're one organism, but that may not be the case. They might see, in fact, they might also see a human city as one organism. What is this thing that, clearly, this organism
Starting point is 01:11:40 gets aroused at night, because the lights go on. And then it sleeps during the day. I don't know, like the what perspective you take on the say, is there something interesting about Earth or other planets in terms of weather patterns? So we talked a lot about volcanic patterns. Is there something else about weather? That's interesting, like storms or variations in temperature, all those kinds of things.
Starting point is 01:12:17 Yeah, so there's sort of every planet and moon has the kind of interesting and unique weather pattern. And those weather patterns are really, we don't have a good understanding of them. We don't even have a good understanding of the global circulation patterns of many of these atmospheres, why the storm systems occur. So the composition and occurrence of storms and clouds in these objects is another one of these kind of windows into the interior that I was talking about with surfaces, one of these ways that we can get perspective and what the composition is of the interior and
Starting point is 01:12:58 how the circulation is working. So circulation will bring some species up from deeper in the atmosphere of the planet to some altitude that's a little bit colder and that species will condense out and form a cloud at that altitude. And we can detect in some cases what those clouds are composed of. And looking at where those occur can tell you how the circulation cells are, whether the atmospheric circulation is coming up at the equator and going down at the poles or whether you have multiple cells in the atmosphere. And I mean Jupiter's
Starting point is 01:13:34 atmosphere is just insane. There's so much going on. You look at these pictures and there's all these vortices and anti-vortices and you have these different bands that are moving in opposite directions that may be giving you information about the deep, like deep in the atmosphere, physically deep properties of Jupiter's interior and circulation. What are these vortices? What's the basic material of the storms? It's condensed molecules from the atmosphere. So ammonia ice particles in the case of Jupiter, it's methane, ice in the case of, let's say, Uranus and Neptune and other species, you can kind of construct a chemical model for which species can condense wear. And so you see a cloud at a certain
Starting point is 01:14:24 altitude within the atmosphere and you can make a guess at what that cloud condense wear. And so you see a cloud at a certain altitude within the atmosphere. And you can make a guess at what that cloud is made of. And sometimes measure it directly. And you know, different species make different colors as well. Cool. Ice storms. OK. I mean, the climate of Uranus has always
Starting point is 01:14:38 been fascinating to me because it orbits on its side. And it has a 42 year orbital period. And so, you know, with Earth, our seasons are because our equator is tipped just a little bit to the plane that we orbit. And so sometimes the sunlight's a little bit above the equator. And sometimes it's a little bit below the equator. But on Uranus, it's like for 10 years, the sunlight is directly on the North Pole. And then it's directly on the equator and then it's directly on the South Pole. And it's actually directly on the equator, and then it's directly on the South Pole. And it's actually kind of amazing that the atmosphere
Starting point is 01:15:09 doesn't look crazier than it does. But understanding how, taking, again, like one of these extreme examples, if we can understand why that atmosphere behaves in the way it does, it's kind of a test of our understanding of how, how I'm a serious. So like heats up one side of the planet for 10 years and then freezes it the next, like,
Starting point is 01:15:34 and that you're saying should probably lead to some chaos. And it doesn't. The fact that it doesn't tells you something about the atmosphere. So atmospheres have a property that surfaces don't have, which is that they can redistribute heat a lot more effectively. Right. So, they're stabilizing, like, self-regulating aspect to them, that they're able to deal with extreme conditions. But predicting how that complex system unrolls is very difficult as we know about predicting the weather on Earth even.
Starting point is 01:16:08 Oh my goodness. Even with a little variation we have on Earth. You know, people have tried to put together global circulation models. You know, we've done this for Earth. People have tried to do these for other planets as well. And it is a really hard problem. So Titan, for example, like I said,
Starting point is 01:16:22 it's one of the best studied atmospheres in the solar system, and people have tried to make these global circulation models and actually predict what's going to happen moving into sort of the next season of Titan, and those predictions have ended up being wrong. And so then, you know, I don't know, it's always exciting when a prediction is wrong because it means that there's something more to learn. Like your theory wasn't sufficient, and then you get to go back and learn something
Starting point is 01:16:46 by how you have to modify the theory to make it fit. I'm excited by the possibility of one day there'll be for various moons and planets, there'll be like news programs reporting the weather with the fake confidence of, like, as if you can predict the weather. We talked a bit about plants and moons. Can we talk a little bit about asteroids? For sure. What's an asteroid? And what kind of asteroids are there?
Starting point is 01:17:16 So the asteroids, let's talk about just the restricted to the main asteroid belt, which is the region. It's a region of debris, debris basically between Mars and Jupiter. And these sort of belts of debris throughout the solar system, the outer solar system, you know, the Kuiper belt that we talked about, the asteroid belt, as well as certain other populations where they accumulate because they're gravitationally more favored. Our remnant objects from the origin of the solar system and so one of the reasons that we are so interested in them aside from potentially the fact that they could come hit earth, but scientifically it's, it gives us a window into understanding the composition of the material from which Earth and the other planets formed, and how that material was redistributed over the history of the Solar System. Asteroids, one could classify them in two different ways. Some of them are ancient objects,
Starting point is 01:18:25 so they accreted out of the sort of disk of material that the whole solar system formed out of and have kind of remained ever since more or less the same. They've probably collided with each other and we see all these collisional fragments. And you can actually look and based on their orbits, say, these 50 objects originated as the same object. You can see them kind of dynamically moving apart
Starting point is 01:18:57 after some big collision. And so some of them are these ancient objects maybe that have undergone collisions. And then there's this other category of object that is the one that I personally find really interesting, which is remnants of objects that could have been planets. So early on, a bunch of potential planets are created that we call planetesimals and they formed and they formed
Starting point is 01:19:25 with a lot of energy and they had enough time to actually differentiate. So some of these objects differentiated into cores and mantles and crusts and then they were subsequently disrupted in these massive collisions and they now we have these fragments. We think fragments floating around the asteroid belt that are like bits of mantle, bits of core, bits of rest, basically. So it's like puzzle pieces that you might be able to stitch together, or I guess it's all mixed up. So you can't stitch together the original planet, candidates,
Starting point is 01:20:01 or is that possible to try to see if they can us? I mean, there's too many objects in there to... I think that there are cases where people have kind of looked at objects and by looking at their orbits, they say these objects should have originated together, but they have very different compositions. And so then you can hypothesize maybe they were different fragments of differentiated objects. But one of the really cool things about this is, you know, we've been talking about getting clues into the interiors of planets. We've never seen a planetary core or deep mantle directly.
Starting point is 01:20:37 Some mantle material comes up on our surface and then we can see it, but, you know, in, sort of, in bulk. We haven't seen these things directly, and these asteroids potentially give us a chance to like look at what our own core in mantle is like, or at least would be like if it had been also floating through space for a few billion years and getting irradiated and all that. But it's a cool potential window or like analogy into the interior of your own planet?
Starting point is 01:21:05 Well, how do you begin studying some of these asteroids? What if you were to put together a study, like what are the interesting questions to ask that are a little bit more specific? Do you find a favorite asteroid that could be tracked and try to track it through telescopes, or do you, is it has to be, you have to land on those things to study it? So when it comes to the asteroids, there are so many of them, and the big pictures,
Starting point is 01:21:36 or the big questions are answered. So some questions can be answered by zooming in in detail on individual object, but mostly you're trying to do a statistical study. So you want to look at thousands of objects, even hundreds of thousands of objects, and figure out what their composition is and look at, you know, how many big asteroids there are of this composition versus how many small asteroids of this other composition and put together these kind of statistical properties of the asteroid belt.
Starting point is 01:22:13 And those properties can be directly compared with the results of simulations for the formation of the solar system. What do we know about the surfaces of asteroids or the contents of the insides of asteroids and what are still open questions? So I would say that we don't know a whole lot about their compositions. Most of them are small and so you can't study them in such detail with telescopes as you could, you know,
Starting point is 01:22:47 a planet or moon. And at the same time, because there are so many of them, you could send a spacecraft to a few, but you can't really like get a statistical survey with spacecraft. And so a lot of what has been done comes down to sort of classification. You look at how bright they are. You look at whether they're red or blue. Simply, you know, whether their spectrum is sloped towards long wavelengths or short wavelengths. There are certain, if you point a spectrograph at their surfaces, there are certain features you can see, so you can tell that some of them have silicates on them. But these are the sort of, they're pretty basic questions. We're still trying to classify them
Starting point is 01:23:30 based on fairly basic information in combination with our general understanding of the material the solar system formed from. And so you're sort of, you're coming in with prior knowledge, which is that you more or less know what the materials are the solar system formed from and then you're trying to classify them into these categories. There's still a huge amount of room for understanding them better and for understanding how their surfaces are changing in the space environment. Is it hard to land on an asteroid. Is this a dumb question? It feels like it would be quite difficult to actually operate a spacecraft in such a dense field of debris.
Starting point is 01:24:18 Oh, the asteroid belt. There's a ton of material there, but it's actually not that dense. It is mostly open space. So mentally do picture like mostly open space with some rocks. The problem is some of them are not thought to be solid. So some of these asteroids, especially these these core mantle fragments, you can think of as sort of solid like a planet. But some of them are just kind of aggregates of material, we call them rubble piles. And so there's not necessarily my look like a rock.
Starting point is 01:24:50 But do a lot of them have kind of clouds around them, like a dust cloud thing, or like do you know what you're stepping on when you try to land on it? Like what, what are we supposed to be visualizing here? This is like very few of water, right? There's some water in the outer part of the asteroid belt, but they're not quite like comments. Okay. In the sense of having clouds around them, there are some crazy asteroids that do become active like comments that's the whole other category of thing that we don't understand. But their are surfaces, I mean we have visited some, you can find pictures of spacecraft
Starting point is 01:25:29 have taken of them. We've actually scooped up material off of the surface of some of these objects. We're bringing it back to analyze it in the lab. And there's a mission that's launching next year to land on one of these supposedly core fragment objects to try to figure out what the heck it is and what's going on with it. But the surfaces, you know, there are, you can picture a solid surface with some little grains of sand or pebbles on it and occasional boulders, maybe some fine dusty regions,ks kind of collecting in certain places. But... Is there...
Starting point is 01:26:08 Do you worry about this? Is there any chance that one of these fellas destroys all human civilization by an asteroid kind of colliding with something, changing its trajectory and having its way to Earth. That is definitely possible. And it doesn't even have to necessarily colliderously and change its trajectory. We're not tracking all of them. We can't track all of them yet.
Starting point is 01:26:37 You know, there's still a lot of them. People are tracking a lot of them and we are doing our best to track more of them but there are a lot of them out there are tracking a lot of them and we are doing our best to track more of them, but there are a lot of them out there and it would be potentially catastrophic if one of them impact it Earth. Have you, are you aware of this, a Poffice object? So there's an asteroid in your Earth objects called a Poffice that people thought had a
Starting point is 01:27:02 decent probability of hitting Earth in 2029 and then potentially again in 2036. So they did a lot of studies. It's not actually going to hit Earth, but it is going to come very close. It's going to be visible in the sky in a relatively dark. I mean, not even that dark. I'm probably not visible from Los Angeles, but and it's going to come a tenth of the way between the earth and the moon. It's going to come closer apparently than some geosynchronous communication satellites. So that is a close call, but people have studied it and apparently are very confident it's not actually going to hit us, but it wasn't. I'm going to have to look into this because I'm very sure. I'm very sure. What's going to happen
Starting point is 01:27:48 if an asteroid actually hits Earth, that the scientific community and government will confidently say that we have nothing to worry about is going to be a close call. And then last minute, there was a miscalculation. They're not lying, it's just like the space of possibilities, because it's very difficult to track these kinds of things. And there's a lot of complexities involved to this, there's a lot of uncertainties. Something tells me that human civilization will end with, we'll
Starting point is 01:28:27 see it coming. And then last minute, there'll be, oops, we'll see it coming. It'll be like, no, it's threatening, but no problem, no problem. And last minute, it'll be like, oops, there was a miscalculation. And then it's all over. and a matter of like a week We're just very positive and not too mystic today. Is there any chance that Bruce Willis can save us in the sense that From what you know about asteroids is there is something that You can catch them early enough to change volcanic eruptions, sort of drill, put a nuclear weapon inside,
Starting point is 01:29:11 and break up the asteroid or change its trajectory. There is potential for that if you catch it early enough in advance. I think in theory, if you knew five years in advance. I think in theory if you knew five years in advance, depending on the objects and how close to how much you would need to deflect it, you could deflect it a little bit. I don't know that it would be sufficient in all cases and this is definitely not my specific area of expertise, but my understanding is that there is something you could do.
Starting point is 01:29:51 But it also, how you would carry that out depends a lot on the properties of the asteroid. If it's a solid object versus a rubble pile, so let's say you planted some bomb in the middle of it and it blew up, but it was just kind of a pile of material anyway. And then that material comes back together and then you kind of just have the same thing. Presumably its trajectory would be altered, but it's, it's like, Termator 2 when it's like the thing that's just like, you shoot it and splashes and then comes back together. It will be very useless.
Starting point is 01:30:24 That's fascinating. But there was fascinating. I've gotten a lot of hope from watching SpaceX rockets that land. There's so much, it's like, oh wow, from my AI perspective, from a robotics perspective, wow, we can do a hell of an amazing job with control.
Starting point is 01:30:48 But then we have an understanding about surfaces here on Earth. We can map a lot of things. I wonder if we can do that some kind of detail of being able to have that same level of precision in landing on surfaces with as wide of our variety as asteroids have. So be able to understand the exact properties of the surface and be able to encode that into whatever rocket that lands. So officially, I presume humans, unlike the movies, humans would likely get in the way. I guess you all be be done by robots. Like land,
Starting point is 01:31:28 drill, place the explosive, that should all be done through control, through robots. And then you should be able to dynamically adjust to the surface. The flip side of that for a robotics person, I don't know if you've seen these, it's been very heartbreaking. Somebody, I know well, Russ Tetrick at MIT, led the DARPA Robotics Challenge team for the humanoid robot challenge, for DARPA, I don't know if you've seen videos of robots on two feet falling, but you're talking about millions, you know, several years of work with some of the most brilliant roboticists in the world Millions of dollars and the final thing is a highlight video on YouTube for robots falling But they had a lot of trouble with uneven surfaces. That's basically what you have to do with the challenge involves You're mostly autonomous with some partial human communication
Starting point is 01:32:20 But that human communication is broken up like you don't get a you get a noisy channel So you can humans can which is very similar to what it would be like and Humans remotely operating a thing on an asteroid and so with that robots really struggle There's some hilarious painful videos of like a robot not able to like open the door and then it tries to open the door without like Mrs. The Handel and in doing so like falls. I mean it's Painful to watch so like that there's that and then there's SpaceX so I have hope from SpaceX And then I have less hope from bipedro robotics
Starting point is 01:33:00 But it's fun to kind of imagine and I think the planetary side of it comes into play in understanding the surfaces of these asteroids more and more that forget sort of destruction of human civilization, it'd be cool to have like spacecraft just landing on all these asteroids to study them at scale and being able to figure out dynamically what, you know, whether it's a rubble pile or whether it's a solid object.
Starting point is 01:33:28 Doug, do you see that kind of future of science, maybe 100, 200, 300 years from now, where there's just robots expanding out through the solar system, like sensors, essentially, some of it taking pictures from a distance, some of them landing, just exploring and giving us data. Because it feels like we're working with very little data right now. Sure, I do see exploration going that way. I think the way that NASA's currently, or historically, has been doing missions, is putting together these really large missions that do a lot of things and are extremely well tested
Starting point is 01:34:08 and have a very low rate of failure. But now that these sort of CubeSat technologies are becoming easier to build, easier to launch, they're very cheap. And NASA is getting involved in this as well. There's a lot of interest in these missions that are relatively small, relatively cheap and just do one thing. So you can really optimize it to just do this one thing and maybe you could build a hundred
Starting point is 01:34:34 of them and send them to different asteroids and they would just collect this one piece of information from each asteroid. It's a different, more distributed way of doing science, I guess. And there's a ton of potential there, I agree. Let me ask you about objects, or one particular object from outside our solar system. We don't get to study many of these, right? They don't get stuff that just flies in out of nowhere from outside the solar system and flies through. Apparently, there's been two recently.
Starting point is 01:35:08 In the past few years, one of them is Amua Moa. What are your thoughts about Amua Moa? So fun to say. Could it be space junk from a distant alien civilization, or is it just a weird shaped comet? I like the way that's raised. So Mu Mu is a fascinating object, just the fact that we have started discovering things that are coming in from outside our solar system is amazing and can start to study them. And now that we have seen some, we can
Starting point is 01:35:41 can start to study them. And now that we have seen some, we can design now kind of thinking in advance. The next time we see one, we will be much more ready for it. We will know which telescope we want to point at it. We will have explored whether we could even launch a fast turnaround mission to actually get to it before it leaves the solar system. In terms of a mu-mu-mu-a, yeah, it's for an object in our solar system. In terms of a mu-amua, yeah, it's
Starting point is 01:36:06 for an object in our solar system, it's really unusual. In two particular ways, one is the dimensions that we don't see natural things in our solar system that are kind of long and skinny. The things we see in our solar system don't deviate from spherical by that much. And then that it showed these strange properties of accelerating as it was leaving the solar system, which was not understood at first. So in terms of the alien space junk, you know, as a scientist, I cannot
Starting point is 01:36:41 rule out that possibility. I have no evidence to the contrary. However, you're saying there's a chance. I cannot, I cannot as a scientist, honestly say that I can rule out that it's aliens face junk. However, I see the kind of alien explanation as following this the Sagan's extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. If you are going to actually claim that something is aliens, you need to carefully evaluate, one needs to carefully evaluate the other options and see whether it could just be something that we know exists that makes sense. In the case of Amua Mua, there are explanations that fit well within our understanding of how things work. So there are a couple, there are two hypotheses for what it could be made of.
Starting point is 01:37:38 They're both basically just ice shards. In one case, it's a nitrogen ice shard that came off of something like Pluto and another solar system. That Pluto got hit with something and broke up into pieces and one of those pieces came through our solar system. In the other scenario it's a bit of a failed solar system. So our solar system formed out of a collapsing molecular cloud. Sometimes those molecular clouds are not massive enough, and they sort of collapse into bits, but they don't actually form a solar system, but you end up with these kind of chunks of hydrogen ice, apparently.
Starting point is 01:38:14 And so one of those chunks of hydrogen ice could have got ejected and passed through our solar system. So both cases explain these properties in about the same way. So those ices will sublimate once they've passed the sun. And so as they're moving away from the sun, you have the hydrogen or nitrogen-ice sublimating off the sunward part of it. And so that is responsible for the acceleration, the shape. Also, because you have all this ice sublimating off the surface. If you take something, the analogy that works pretty well
Starting point is 01:38:48 here is for a bar of soap. Your bar of soap starts out sort of close to spherical, at least from a physicist's perspective. And as you use it, over time, you eventually end up with this long thin shard because it's been just by sort of weathering, as we would call it. because it's been just by sort of weathering, as we would call it. And so in the same way, if you just sublimate material off of one of these ice shards, it ends up long and thin, and it ends up accelerating out of the solar system.
Starting point is 01:39:16 And so given that these properties can be reasonably well explained that way, you know, we should be extremely skeptical about attributing things to aliens. Uh, see, the reason I like to think that it's aliens is because it puts a lot of priority on us not being lazy and ket. We need to catch this thing next time it comes around. I like the idea that there's objects, not like I, it's almost saddens me. They, they come out of the darkness really fast. They just fly by and go and leave. It just seems like a wasted opportunity not to study them.
Starting point is 01:39:52 It's like, it's the easiest way to do space travel outside of the solar system. It's having the things come to us, right? I like that way of putting it. And it would be nice to just land on it. And first of all, really importantly, detect it early. Yes.
Starting point is 01:40:12 And then land on it, with a really nice spacecraft and study the hell out of it. And, you know, if there's a chance that aliens, alien life, it just feels like such a cheap way, inexpensive way to get information about alien life or something interesting that's out there. And I'm not sure if a nice shard from another planetary system will be interesting, but it very well could be. It could be totally new sets of materials. It could be, tell us about composition of planets we don't quite understand.
Starting point is 01:40:55 And it's just nice when, especially in the case of a momoa, I guess it was pretty close to Earth. It would have been nice to, you know, let's say, good don't go there, they come to us, I don't know. That's what makes me quite a sad. It's a missed opportunity. Well, yeah, and whether you think it's aliens or not, it's a missed opportunity, but, you know, we weren't prepared and we will be prepared for the next ones.
Starting point is 01:41:21 And as, so there's been a movement in astronomy more towards what's called time domain astronomy, so kind of monitoring the whole sky all the time at all wavelengths. That's kind of the goal. And so we expect to detect many more of these in the future. Even though these were the first two we saw, our potential to detect them is only increasing with time. And so there will be more opportunities. And based on these two, we now can actually sit and think about what we'll do when the next one shows up. I also, what it made me realize, I know I didn't really think through this, but it made me realize,
Starting point is 01:41:57 if there are alien civilizations out there, the thing we're most likely to see first would be space junk, My stupid understanding of it. The second would be really dumb. Kind of, you could think of maybe like relay nodes or something objects that you need to have a whole lot of for particular purposes of like space travel and so on. Like a speed limit signs or something.
Starting point is 01:42:25 I don't know. Whatever we have on earth a lot of, that's dumb. It's not alien aliens in themselves. It's like artifacts that are useful to the engineering in the systems that are engineered by alien civilizations. So like, it would we would see a lot of stuff in terms of setting, in terms of looking for alien life and trying to communicate with it. Maybe we should be looking not for like smart creatures or systems to communicate with. Maybe we should be looking for artifacts or even as dumb as like space junk. It just kind of refame my perspective of like, what are we looking for as science?
Starting point is 01:43:08 Because there could be a lot of stuff that doesn't have intelligence, but gives us really strong signs that there's somewhere is life or intelligent life. And yeah, that made me kind of, I know it might be dumb to say, but reframe the kind of thing that we should be looking
Starting point is 01:43:25 for. Yeah, it's so the benefit of looking for intelligent life is that we perhaps have a better chance of recognizing it. We couldn't necessarily recognize what an alien stop sign looked like. And maybe the theorists are the people who sort of model and try to understand slow system objects are pretty good at coming up with models for anything. I mean, it may be a MoMo was a stop sign, but we're clever enough that we could come up with some physical explanations for it,
Starting point is 01:43:57 and then we all want to go with the simplest possible, we all want to believe the most skeptical, possible explanation. And so we missed it because we're too good at coming up with alternate explanations for things. And it's such an outlier, such a rare phenomenon that we can't study, you know, 100 or a thousand of these objects. We had just one. And so the science almost destroys the possibility of something special being there.
Starting point is 01:44:23 So, like, Johnny I have this designer of Apple, I don't know if you know who that is, he's the lead designer, he's the person who designed the iPhone and all the major things. And he talked about, he's brilliant on my favorite humans on earth and one of the best designers in the history of earth.
Starting point is 01:44:41 He talked about like when he had this origins of an idea like in his baby stages, he would about like when he had this origins of an idea like in his baby stages, he would not tell Steve Jobs because Steve would usually like trample all over it. He would say this is dumb idea. So I sometimes think of the scientific community in that sense because the weapon of the scientific method is so strong at its best that it sometimes crushes the out of the box outlier evidence. You know, we don't get a lot of that evidence because we don't have We're not lucky enough to have a lot of evidence. So we have to deal with just special cases and
Starting point is 01:45:18 special cases could present an inkling of something much bigger, but the scientific method user tramples all over. And it's hard to know what to do with that because the scientific method works. But at the same time, every once in a while, it's like a balance. You have to do 99% of the time. You have to do like scientific rigor, but every once in a while, this is not you saying me saying, smokes a weed and sit back and think I wonder You know, it's the Joe Rogan thing. It's entirely possible that it's alien space junk Anyway, yeah, I think so I completely agree and I think that most scientists
Starting point is 01:46:00 Do speculate about these things. It's just at what point do you act on those things? So you're right that the scientific method has inherent skepticism and for the most part, that's a good thing because it means that we're not just believing crazy things all the time. But it's an interesting point that requiring that high level of rigor occasionally means that you will miss something that is truly interesting because you needed to verify it three times and it wasn't verifiable. I also think like when you communicate with the general public, I think there's power in that 1% speculation of just demonstrating authenticity
Starting point is 01:46:48 as a human being, as a curious human being. I think too often the, I think this is changing, but I saw, I've been quite disappointed in my colleagues throughout 2020 with the, with the coronavirus. There's too much speaking from authority as opposed to speaking from curiosity. There's some of the most incredible signs that's been done in 2020, especially on the virology biology side. And the kind of being talked down to by scientists is always really disappointing to me as opposed to inspiring. Like, the things we, there's a lot of uncertainty about the coronavirus, but we know a lot of stuff. And we speak from scientists, from various disciplines, speak from data
Starting point is 01:47:33 in the face of that uncertainty. And we're curious, we don't know what the hell is going on. We don't know if this virus is going to evolve, mutate, we don't know if this virus or the next one might, you know, might destroy all human civilization. You can't speak with certain, in fact, I, you know, I was on a survey paper about masks. Something I don't talk much about because I don't like politics. But we don't know if masks work, but there's a lot of evidence to show that they work
Starting point is 01:48:02 for this particular virus. The transmission of the virus is fascinating actually the the biomechanics of the way viruses spread is fascinating If it wasn't destructive it'll be beautiful and we don't know but it's it's inspiring to apply the scientific method To the best of our ability but also to show that you don't always know everything and to, and perhaps not about the virus as much, but other things speculate, what if, you know, what if it's the worst case and the best case? And because that's ultimately what we are descendants of apes that are just curious about the world around us.
Starting point is 01:48:41 Yeah, I, I'll just add to that not on the topic of masks, but on the topic of curiosity. I mean, I think that's astronomy and planetary sciences field are a little are unique because for better and for worse, they don't directly impact humanity. So, we're not studying biology to prevent transmission of illness amongst humans. We're not characterizing volcanoes on Earth that could destroy cities. And it really is a more curious
Starting point is 01:49:23 and in my opinion, playful, scientific field than many. So for better and worse, we can kind of afford to pursue some of the speculation more because human lives are not in danger if we speculate a little bit too freely and get something wrong. Yeah, definitely. In the space of AI, I am worried
Starting point is 01:49:44 that we're sometimes too eager to speak for myself to like flip the switch to on just to see like what happens. Maybe sometimes we want to be a little bit careful about that because bad things might happen. Is there books or movies in your life long ago or recently that that were inspiring? Can an impact on you that you recommend? Yeah, absolutely. So many that you just don't know where to start with it. So I love reading.
Starting point is 01:50:16 I read obsessively. I've been reading fiction and a little bit of nonfiction, but mostly fiction obsessively since I was a child and just never stopped. So I have some favorite books. None of them are easy readings so I definitely, I mean I recommend them for somebody who likes an intellectual challenge in the books that they read. So maybe I should go chronologically. I have at least three. I'm not going to go through 50 here, but yeah, I'd love to also like maybe ideas that you took away from what you mentioned. Yeah, yeah, why they were so compelling to me.
Starting point is 01:50:59 One of the first books that really captured my fascination was Nabakov's book Pale Fire. first books that really captured my fascination was Nabakov's book, Pale Fire. Oh well. Are you familiar with it? So I read it actually for a class. It's one of the few books I've ever read for a class that I actually really liked. And the book is, it's in some sense a puzzle. He's a brilliant writer, of course. But the book is like, it's formatted like a poem.
Starting point is 01:51:31 So there's an introduction, a very long poem, and footnotes. And you get partway through it before realizing that the whole thing is actually a novel, unless you sort of read up on it going in. But the whole thing is actually a novel, unless you sort of read up on it going in, but the whole thing is a novel and there's a story that slowly reveals itself over the course of all of this and kind of reveals this just fascinating character basically and how how his mind works in this story. The idea of a novel also being a kind of intellectual puzzle and something that slowly reveals itself over the
Starting point is 01:52:10 course of reading was really fascinating to me and I have since found a lot more writers like that. You know contemporary example that comes to mind is Kuzwo Ishiguro who's pretty much all of his books are like slow reveals over the course of the book and like nothing much happens in the books but you keep reading them because you just want to know like what the reality is that he's slowly revealing to you. The kind of discovery oriented reading maybe. What's the second one?
Starting point is 01:52:43 Perhaps my favorite writer is Renier Maria Rilke. Wow. Are you familiar with him? No, also not familiar. You're hitting ones. I mean, I know in a book of well, but I've never had pale fire, but Rilke, I know it's a very difficult read. I don't know that much.
Starting point is 01:53:02 Yeah. Right. All of these are our difficult reads. I think I just, I read for, in part, for an intellectual challenge. But Rilka, so he wrote one thing that might be characterizable as a novel, but he wrote a lot of poetry. I mean, he wrote this series of poems called the Dweenow Elegies that were very impactful for me personally, just emotionally. Which actually kind of ties in with astronomy in that there's a sense in which we're all going through our lives alone. And there's just this sense of kind of profound loneliness in the existence of every
Starting point is 01:53:47 individual human and I think I was drawn to astronomy in part because the sort of vast spaces, the kind of loneliness and desolateness of space made the sort of internal loneliness feel okay. In a sense, it like gave companionship. And that's how I feel about Rokka's poetry. He turns the kind of desolation and loneliness of human existence into something joyful and almost meaningful. Yeah, there's something about Melancholy, I don't know about realking in general, but like contemplating the melancholy nature of our, of the human condition that makes it okay. I got gentle from an engineering perspective, think that there is so much loneliness
Starting point is 01:54:45 we haven't explored within ourselves yet. And that's my hope is to build AI systems that help us explore our own loneliness. I think that's kind of what love is and friendship is is somebody who in a very small way helps us explore our own loneliness, like they listen, we connect like two lonely creatures connect for time. And it's like, oh, like acknowledged that we exist together.
Starting point is 01:55:13 Like, for a brief time. But in a somewhat shallow way, I think relative to how much it's possible to truly connect this to consciousness. So, AI might be able to help on that front. So what's the third one? Actually, you know, I hadn't realized until this moment, but it's yet another one of these kind of slow reveal books.
Starting point is 01:55:36 It's a contemporary Russian, I think Russian-American writer named Olga Grushin, GRUSHIN. And she wrote this just phenomenal book called The Dream Life of Sukhinov that I read this year, maybe it was last year for the first time, and it's just a really beautiful, this one you could call a character study, I think, of a Russian father coming to terms with himself and his own past as he potentially slowly loses his mind. Slow reveal. Slow reveal of a love of a father. Well, that's apparent from the beginning. I hope I don't think it's a spoiler.
Starting point is 01:56:21 Declining to madness, spoiler alert. So all of these are really heavy. I don't know. I just I don't have anything lighter to recommend. Is she grossed the light version of this? Okay. Oh, well, heavy is has a certain kind of beauty to it in itself. Is there advice you would give to a young person today that looks up to the stars and wonders what the heck they want to do with their life. So career, science, life in general, you've for now chosen a certain kind of path of curiosity, what insights do you draw from that that you can give us advice to others? I think for somebody, I would not presume to speak, to giving people advice on life and humanity overall, but for somebody thinking of being a scientist.
Starting point is 01:57:13 So there are a couple of things, one sort of practical thing, which is career wise, I hadn't appreciated this going into science, but you need to, so the questions you're working on and the techniques you use are both of very high importance, maybe equal importance for being happy in your career. If there are questions you're interested in,
Starting point is 01:57:39 but the techniques that you need to use to do them are tedious for you, then your job is gonna be miserable, even if the questions are inspiring. So you have to find, but if the techniques that you use are things that excite you, then your job is fun every day. So for me, I'm fascinated by the solar system, and I love telescopes, and I love doing data analysis,
Starting point is 01:58:02 playing with data from telescopes, coming up with new ways to use telescopes. And so that's where I have found that mesh. But if I was interested in, you know, the dynamical evolution of the solar system, how the orbits of things evolve, then I would need to do a different type of work that I would just not find as appealing, and so it just wouldn't be a good fit. And so it sort of is, seems like an unromantic thing to have to think about the techniques being the thing you want to work on also,
Starting point is 01:58:26 but it really makes a profound difference for I think your happiness and your scientific career. I think that's really profound. It's like the thing the menial tasks. If you enjoy those, that's a really good sign that that's the right path for you. I think David Foster Wallace said that
Starting point is 01:58:42 Keto Life is to be unborable. So basically everything should be exciting. I don't think that's feasible, but you should find an area where everything is exciting. I mean, depending on the day, but you can find the joy in everything, not just the big exciting, corner-cool things that everyone thinks is exciting,
Starting point is 01:59:03 but the details, the repetitive stuff, the meaning of stuff, the stuff that takes years, the stuff that involves a lot of failure and all those kinds of things that you find that enjoyable. That's actually really profound to focus on that. Because people talk about like dreams and passion and goals and so on. The big thing, but that's not actually what takes you there. It takes you there is every single day putting in the hours and That's what actually makes up life is the boring bits and if the boring bits are boring, and that's an exciting life let me
Starting point is 01:59:37 Because when you were talking so romantically and passionately about I.O. I remember the poem by Robert Frost. So let me ask you, let me read the poem and ask what your opinion is. It's called Fire and Ice. Oh yeah, I could almost recite this from memory. Some say the world will end in fire, some say in ice, from what I've tasted of desire, hold with those who favor fire. But if I had to perish twice, I think I know enough of hate to say that for destruction ice is also great and with the fight. So let me ask, if you had to only choose one, would you choose the world to end in fire, fire in volcanic eruptions, in heat and magma or in ice frozen over. Fire, ice. Fire. Excellent choice.
Starting point is 02:00:36 I've always been a fan of chaos and the idea of things just slowly getting cold and stopping and dying is just so depressing to me. So much more depressing than things blowing up or you know burning and they're getting covered by a lot of flow somehow the like activity of it endows it with more like meaning to me maybe. I've just now had this vision of you you know in action films where you're walking away without looking back and there's explosions behind you and you just got and you put on like shades and then it goes to credits so um Katherine this was awesome. I think your work is really inspiring the the kind of things we'll discover about planets in the next few decades is super cool and
Starting point is 02:01:29 I hope. I know you said there's probably not life in one of them, but there might be. I hope we discover just that. Perhaps even on I.O. within the volcanic eruptions, there's a little creature hanging on that will one day discover. Thank you so much for wasting all your valuable time with me today. It was really awesome. Yeah, likewise. Thank you for having me here. Thanks for listening to this conversation with Catherine DeClear, and thank you to Fund Ries, Blinkist, ExpressVPN, and Magic Spoon. Check them out in the description to support this podcast.
Starting point is 02:02:05 And now, let me leave you with some words from Carl Sagan. Untighten the molecules that have been raining down like Mona from heaven for the last four billion years might still be there, largely unaltered, deep frozen, awaiting for the chemists from Earth. Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time. you

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.