Lex Fridman Podcast - #463 – Douglas Murray: Putin, Zelenskyy, Trump, Israel, Netanyahu, Hamas & Gaza
Episode Date: March 30, 2025Douglas Murray is the author of On Democracies and Death Cults, The War on The West, and The Madness of Crowds. Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep46...3-sc See below for timestamps, and to give feedback, submit questions, contact Lex, etc. CONTACT LEX: Feedback - give feedback to Lex: https://lexfridman.com/survey AMA - submit questions, videos or call-in: https://lexfridman.com/ama Hiring - join our team: https://lexfridman.com/hiring Other - other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact EPISODE LINKS: Douglas's X: https://x.com/DouglasKMurray Douglas's YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@douglasmurray Douglas's Instagram: https://instagram.com/douglaskmurray Douglas's Website: https://douglasmurray.net On Democracies and Death Cults (book): https://amzn.to/4jahsxL The War on the West (book): https://amzn.to/38L7B36 SPONSORS: To support this podcast, check out our sponsors & get discounts: Call of Duty: First-person shooter video game. Go to https://callofduty.com/warzone Oracle: Cloud infrastructure. Go to https://oracle.com/lex LMNT: Zero-sugar electrolyte drink mix. Go to https://drinkLMNT.com/lex AG1: All-in-one daily nutrition drink. Go to https://drinkag1.com/lex OUTLINE: (00:00) - Introduction (02:04) - Sponsors, Comments, and Reflections (09:31) - War in Ukraine (13:17) - Trump and Zelenskyy (27:47) - Putin (48:40) - Peace (58:31) - Zelenskyy (1:13:11) - Israel-Palestine (1:23:57) - Hamas (1:38:30) - Corruption (1:41:40) - Gaza (2:02:18) - Benjamin Netanyahu (2:19:29) - Hate (2:43:59) - Iran (2:54:48) - Interview advice (3:09:12) - War PODCAST LINKS: - Podcast Website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast - Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr - Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8 - RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/ - Podcast Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4 - Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/lexclips SOCIAL LINKS: - X: https://x.com/lexfridman - Instagram: https://instagram.com/lexfridman - TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@lexfridman - LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/in/lexfridman - Facebook: https://facebook.com/lexfridman - Patreon: https://patreon.com/lexfridman - Telegram: https://t.me/lexfridman - Reddit: https://reddit.com/r/lexfridman
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The following is a conversation with Douglas Murray, author of The War in the West, The
Madness of Crowds, and his new book on democracies and death cults.
We talk about Russia and Ukraine and about Israel and Gaza.
Douglas has very strong views on these topics and he defends them brilliantly and fearlessly.
As I always try to do for all topics, I will also talk to people who have
different views from Douglas, including on the next episode of this podcast.
We live in an era of online discourse where grifters, drama farmers, liars,
bots, sycophants, and sociopaths roam the vast beautiful dark land of the Internet.
It's hard to know who to trust. sociopaths roam the vast beautiful dark land of the internet.
It's hard to know who to trust.
I believe no one is in possession of the entire truth.
But some are more correct than others.
Some are insightful and some are delusional.
The problem is it's hard to tell which is which, unless you use your mind with intellectual humility and with rigor.
I recommend you listen to many sources who disagree with each other and try to pick up wisdom from each.
Also, I recommend you visit the places in question as Douglas has, as I have, or at least talk face to face with people who have spent most of their lives
living there, whether it's Israel, Palestine, Ukraine, or Russia.
Let's try together to not be cogs in the machine of outrage and instead to reach toward
reason and compassion.
There is no Hitler, Stalin, or Mao on the world stage today. Plus, there are thousands
of nuclear weapons ready to fire. Human civilization hangs in the balance. The 21st century is a new
geopolitical puzzle all of us are tasked with solving. Let's not mess it up. And now ladies and gentlemen, a quick few
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Of course, there's folks like Oracle
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And now, dear friends, here's Douglas Murray. What have you understood about the war in Ukraine from your visits there?
Just looking at the big picture of your understanding of the invasion of February 24, 2022 and the
war in the three years since. Well, I mean, several things.
There's political angles which are forever changing, but on the human level, as you know,
if you visit troops, frontline troops, you have that admiration for people defending
their country, defending their homes, defending their families.
I'm struck by the way in which
that is at a remove from the sort of political noise and the media noise and much more. It's
very easy to get caught up in the twos and throes of today's news, but that to my mind is,
that's the single thing that struck me most in my visits there
is just
the the people I've met
Who are fighting for a cause which at that level is unavoidable?
Undeniable so the thing that struck you is different from the the media turmoil is just the reality of war
Yeah, of course. I mean you know people who you as different from the media turmoil as just the reality of war?
Yeah, of course.
I mean, you know, people who have either lived under Russian occupation from invading armies
and then come back out into the world having been liberated as in late 2022, all the people
now organized most recently there in recent weeks, who were just getting
on with their job as soldiers, whilst the world was talking about them.
When were you there in early on in this escalated war of 22?
Yes, first time was in, I was with the Ukrainian armed forces when they retook Kherson, and I was back in recent
weeks and was there when the Trump-Solensky blowup happened.
In fact, I was in a Ukrainian dugout at the front lines when I was watching it.
How was the morale?
How was the content of the conversations you've heard different from the two visits
separated by, I guess, two years?
One level, nothing has changed much.
It's not a total standoff because intermittently each side gains territory from the others. But it's, it's not, I mean, there'd be no very significant military gains
by either side in the interim period.
I think, uh, my experience of the, the soldiers, the people of Ukraine early
on in the war, there's a intense optimism about the outcomes of the war.
There's a sense that they're going to win.
And the definition of what win means was like,
all the territory is going to be won back.
Yeah, I certainly, on the front lines facing Crimea,
was became quite familiar with people who thought
that the Ukrainians in late 2022
would even be able to get Crimea back and that
struck me even at the time and I said I thought that that was an overreach and
Now I think
The people the soldiers at least in my experience when I visited second time are more exhausted
the morale
mmm, the dreams the certainty of victory has,
has maybe faded from the forefront of their minds.
Well three years of war will tire out anyone.
What did you think of the blow up between Zelensky and Trump as you're sitting there
in the dugout?
Well it is, it was a very disturbing place to watch it from perhaps anywhere would have been.
Um, and, I mean, obviously it was a meeting that shouldn't have happened.
It was far too early.
Why do you think so?
There's not enough actual pathways to peace on the table.
Well, I think the mineral deal, I mean,
I love the fact that everyone's now an expert
in Eastern Ukrainian mineral deposits, but.
I think as I've learned,
and we'll talk about Israel and Palestine,
I'm learning that everybody's an expert on geopolitics
and history of war on the internet.
And now mineral deposits, obviously.
Yes.
The, I'm really speaking at the edge
of my mineral deposit knowledge here.
No, what I could see the deal that the American administration was trying to get the Ukrainian
government to sign was sort of too early, too forced.
The Ukrainians weren't, were ready to sign a deal, but were obviously under intense pressure.
And I think certainly Zelensky wasn't expecting to, actually wasn't expecting to go until
pretty much the day before.
Was obviously visibly tired and exhausted again as you are after that amount of pressure
for that long a time.
And no, I mean, the thing that struck me,
and I said this in my column in the New York Post from there, that the thing that struck me was I
said to some of the soldiers I was with, you know, what do you make of this? And, you know,
one of them just said to me, well, you know, we're advised not to get too close to Libyans and out of the politics
of this, you know, and, um, but of course everyone has Instagram or scrolls and among
dog pictures and the, you know, the hot women or whatever is, um, you know, what happened
in the oval and, uh, but what struck me was the same guy and saying, I've got a job to
do. Right.
And, uh, there's a clarity and a wisdom to that, but, uh, your job is, is, is bigger than that, right?
This to understand the politics as well.
And what do you think about the politics of that moment?
Because that was a real opportunity to come together
and make progress on peace, right? And it from by all accounts was not a successful
step forward.
I don't think by any account it was a successful step forward unless to some extent it was
a play but from DC to say to Putin, look, we've daft off Zelensky and now give us something. That's the only
remedial idea I have about what might have been behind it. But I think it was just one of those political moments. Zelensky was obviously deeply irritated by the interpretation of
the war that he was hearing from Washington. It was only a week after the Trump comments
about Zelensky being a dictator and people in the administration implying that Ukraine has started the war.
I think that must be, for Zelensky, a pretty Alice in Wonderland situation to be in.
I had significant sympathy for him in finding it bewildering because it would be bewildering.
I think the sad thing to me also on the mundane details of that meeting and just
the unfortunate way that meetings happen I think it's true that he was also
exhausted. Yes. There was a dickhead of a reporter that was asked a question about
outfit in a way that,
listen, Zelensky, everybody has their strengths and weaknesses.
He's an emotional being, for better or for worse.
And there's a dumb dickhead of a reporter.
Marjorie Taylor Greene's boyfriend.
To his.
The things you know.
See, you're a real journalist.
He's from one of the new, I'm all for opening up
the White House press pool and all that sort of thing,
but it means that you get some people in who are sort of,
yeah, from a blog land, there's nothing wrong with that,
but it means that you get somebody
who will do something like that.
The problem with that interaction as I saw it
was that guy asked that, well, disrespectful question.
And I think it was disrespectful. I'll very quickly say why. I think that when a man comes from the realm of war into the realm of peace,
the people in the realm of peace should have some respect or at least concession that the other man has come from the realm of war. And that
if you're sitting in a political environment where you talk about people being destroyed
and decimated and defenestrated and much more to a man for whom none of that is metaphorical. I think that's extremely hard to accept. And I think
that probably also at that moment, there was a sort of sense of Zelensky being disrespected
by being asked about what he's wearing.
When as everyone knows, you know, Churchill during World War II used to wear his fatigues
on foreign visits.
And it's just that, it's to remind people that you're coming from the realm of war.
And I think that probably in that moment, one of the things that would have been going
through his head would be, but I mean, if, if, if this was Putin sitting here being assaulted by a journalist, you know, you'd hope your
host stepped in and defended you.
I mean, if, let me try this one out.
I mean, if, say, if, if a journalist in the Oval Office, if Putin was sitting there or
a putative journalist said to Putin, you know, everyone knows you've had a lot of facial
work done. And word is you've used the same guy that Berlusconi
used to use. Can you comment on that? You'd say, well, that's a
kind of disrespectful question for journalists to ask and it's a
little bit off of what needs to be gone over.
And there's the same thing with Zelensky with the outfit.
I think it was just petty
and threw things off in a bad way.
Yeah, I know it was probably research
because I think Zelensky was explaining this
like three years ago at the beginning of the war,
why he wears what he wears
and he's been consistent wearing the same thing.
It's also, by the way, it's an example of the frivolity of a lot of the attempts to
understand what's going on.
My view is that since actually most people, in fact, everybody cannot be an expert on
everything, one of the things that we always do is to seize on minor and really quite unimportant things.
Every site does it.
Look at the way in which the American right for years talked about the Churchill bust
leaving the White House Oval Office in the Obama years.
I didn't want to hear another darn thing about the Churchill bust after eight years because
it was in lieu of trying to understand and actually critique Obama's foreign
policy. It was just an easy shorthand. I think it's the same. We're always tempted to that.
But the thing is, I think you mentioned Putin, I think Putin would have been able to respond
himself to that journalist effectively, and he would have done it in Russian. Oh, yeah the language thing. Yeah, so I wanted to sort of lay out several just unfortunate things that happen in these
Situations I think it happens in all peace negotiations and it's funny how history can turn in moments like this
I do think there's a dickhead reporter combined with the fact that the you know with all due respect
But Zalensky's English sometimes is not very good. Yes
And about from the house if he had agreed to not done it in English
He would have bought himself the extra seconds in some of his replies that he needed
Yeah, yeah and have the wit the guy is funny witty intelligent
You know, he could do that in the native language of whether it's Ukrainian
or Russian to be able to respond and get the interpreter. So all of that is really unfortunate
because I think on those little moments, it's a dance and there's an opportunity there.
You know, the Republicans, the right wing in the United States have a general kind of
skepticism of Zelensky and, but that doesn't mean it has to be that way.
It can turn, it can change, it can evolve.
It's very interesting why it has happened.
Why do you think it's happened?
I think the politics in the United States is so dumb that at the very
beginning it could just be reduced to, well, the left went Putin bad, Zelensky good,
rah rah, Ukrainian flags.
Therefore the right must go the opposite.
It's sometimes it's literally as dumb as that.
Let's each pick a side and call the other dumb.
I had a line I used recently, the necessity of people who live too long
online to try to wade their way out of
the memes. It is so like that, isn't it? Because yes, I mean, I can understand the people who find
it very irritating that so many people who would put BLM flags or pride flags or, you know, trans
flags in their bio, then put Ukrainian flags in their bio despite almost certainly not knowing
where Ukraine was. And if that happens, the inevitable instinct
of a lot of people who aren't really thinking
is to say, that's really annoying.
These people are really annoying.
I'll socket to them.
But that's where you've got to try to rise above that
and say, actually, funnily enough,
the fate of a country doesn't depend on my tolerance
for memes online today.
Yeah, so I think the memes can be broken through in meetings like the one that
happened between Zelensky and Trump.
There could have been real camaraderie.
I've seen the skill of that just recently having a research deeply and
interact with Narendra Modi.
Here's somebody who has the skill of, you know, for his country, for his situation,
being able to somehow be friends with Putin and friends with Zelensky and friends
with Trump and friends with Biden and friends with Obama.
It was very skillful.
And that while still being strong for his country
and like fundamentally a nationalist figure
who's like, you know, very not globalist,
not anything but pro India, India first, nation first.
In fact, nation first with a very specific idea
what that nation represents.
And that Zelensky could do all of those things, but have the skill of navigating the Trump
room, because every single leader has their own peculiar quirks that need to be navigated.
Yes, the obvious one, I mean, I don't want to make it sound like it was all Zelensky's
fault, but I mean, the obvious one was at the beginning of the meeting to say yet again, as he has done for three
years, thank you to America and the American people and American politicians from across
the aisle for your support for my country in its hour of need.
But we're deeply grateful.
And because he, for once, forgot to say that.
I think it's not that simple.
I think there's a-
It's not that simple.
It's one reason.
I think saying thank you, he didn't need to say thank you.
There is just-
Well, that was what Vance leapt in on.
He's just picking a thing to leap on.
There's a whole energy.
You have to acknowledge in your way of being
that you have been very Biden buddy buddy
with the left for the last four years.
There's ways to fix that.
Listen, these people are complicated narcissists, all of them, Biden, Trump.
You have to navigate the complexity of that.
And you basically have to say a kind word to Trump, which is like showing
there's many ways of doing that.
But one of them is saying,
feeding the ego by acknowledging
that he is one of the world's greatest negotiators, right?
I'm glad we're able to come to the table
and negotiate together,
because I believe you are the great negotiator, mediator,
that can actually bring a successful resolution to,
as opposed to have an energy of like, it
should be obvious to everybody that you're creating are the good guys and
Russia is the bad guys. There's this whole energy of entitlement that he brought.
He forgot that there's a new guy. You got to like convince the new guy that this
global mission that this nation is on, this war that is in many ways the West versus
the East, that there's ideals, there's whole histories here, that this is a war worth winning.
You have to convince them, right?
Yeah, no, sure. And they obviously failed on that occasion. But as I say, it must be bewildering
to have landed in a place where people were seriously talking about Ukraine starting the war
and Zelensky not Putin being the dictator. I did the front page of the New York Post the
day after the president's comments on that saying that, the big picture of Putin just saying, right, this is a dictator. And I think the people can be
live enough to be able to recognize that you can make criticisms of Zelensky or the Ukrainians,
but it doesn't mean you have to fall for Putin. And again, unfortunately,
a lot of people in our time don't have that capability.
Can we go right into it? What is your strongest criticism of Putin?
He's a dictator who's very bloody, as repressive as you can be of political opposition, internal
opposition. He's kleptomaniac of his country's resources, has enriched himself
as much as he could, as he has with the cronies around him. He's not just acted to destroy
internal opposition in Russia, but has gone to other countries, including my own country of birth, and killed people on their,
our soil using, as it happens, weapons of mass destruction. The use of polonium in the
center of London, not good. The use of incredibly dangerous nerve agents that could kill tens
of thousands of people in a charming cathedral city like Salisbury.
Not good.
If the sort of apologists of Putin would say, well, he's just a sort of tough man who's
looking after his house business.
Well, I don't think even if you think he has the right to do that, he should be doing it
in third countries deliberately using weapons that are meant to show that you could take
out tens of thousands of
British citizens.
Yeah.
I mean, that's just for starters.
What do you make for, uh, do you think he's actually popularly elected?
No.
Do you think the results of the elections are fraudulent?
Yes.
I mean, do you think it's possible that it's just that the opposition has been
eliminated and he's legitimately popularly elected?
It definitely helps a chap if he's killed all of his opponents.
Something about using the term chap in that context is just a marvelous,
but you know, I know.
I mean, a bit of a serious, you, you, uh, if, if, if people are worried about,
uh, this is another of the sort of slightly Alice in Wonderland things recently about
Zelensky is people are saying, why, why hasn't he's a dictator because he hasn't held elections
during a total war of self-defense.
And it's like, well, you know, if you're really, really passionate about free and fair
elections in that neck of the woods,
you'd at least notice that Russian elections are not free and fair in any meaningful sense.
But this doesn't mean that you have to say that therefore they should have western-style elections
and freedom, that Russia is ready to go and become a western liberal democracy. It doesn't
mean any of that at all. It's just at least note that this is what Putin is.
What do you think is the motivation for his invasion of Ukraine in 22?
It's what he's said for years,
which is basically the reconstitution of the Soviet Union.
Do you think there is empire-building components to that motivation?
I would trust most my friends in Eastern, Central Europe who certainly do think that.
There's a reason why the Baltic countries are the countries that are spending highest
in percentage of GDP on defense, and it's because they're very worried.
I don't think they're faking it. I don't think
they're faking it for me or for anyone else. I think the Lithuanians, Latvians, the Estonians
and others are genuinely worried for the first time in some decades.
Do you think there's a possibility that the war continues indefinitely. Even if there's a ceasefire and the peace reached,
the war will resume.
He will seek expansion even beyond Ukraine.
Yes.
And the most obvious thing is that if Trump manages
to negotiate a ceasefire, it'll be a temporary pause.
And whoever comes in as president after Trump, Putin will use the opportunity to advance
again. Yes. Again, one of the things that I have heard from parts of the American right and others
is that all he wants is Ukraine, that that's all he wants and that he has no history or rhetoric
or actions that suggest anything else.
And again, it's one of the reasons why it's useful traveling to places and seeing things
with your own eyes because I very much remember being in the country of Georgia after Putin
tried to invade in 2008.
So I just, again, people don't have to be the greatest supporters of the Ukrainian cause just to
recognize that it doesn't seem to be the case that Ukraine is the only thing in Putin's
vision.
Do you see value and maybe depth and power to the realist perspective of all this?
Somebody like John Mearsheimer's formulation of all this, that in these invasions
of Georgia, of Ukraine, it's using military power to expand the sphere of influence in
the region in a cold calculation of geopolitics.
It's interesting. One of the fascinating things about the last few years is there's been an act of sort of necromancy of certain figures who are totally, totally debunked in the area of Ukraine, Meersheim
and in the case of Israel, people like Finkelstein.
And it's been interesting because these are people that one hadn't heard of for some years
because they were not listened to, usually
for good reason. But by the way, first of all, I'm very skeptical of the term realist
in foreign policy because most people to some extent will say that they are a realist in
foreign policy. Very few people are surrealists in foreign policy. Very few people are unrealists.
I would like to meet them.
A surrealist foreign policy analyst.
We did mention Alice in Wonderland.
Yeah. Maybe we should introduce the term.
But if you want to look
gimlet out, eyed out across the world, you're a realist.
I think the steel man of their argument would be Russia has or believes it has a
sphere of influence and is regrettable, but there's very little we can do about that.
That would be about the best version of that argument that you can make.
Well, to expand on that steel man, isn't this how superpowers operate in the dark, realist
slash surrealist way?
Meaning the United States uses military power to have a sphere of influence over the whole
globe really.
China appears to be willing to use military power
to expand its sphere of influence.
And political power, yeah, more importantly
in the case of China.
Political power.
Non-kinetic warfare to take over areas,
Hong Kong being the obvious one.
Behind that, isn't there always a kinetic threat?
Oh yeah, of course, yeah.
I mean, you disappear some booksellers and, uh, students who are protesting.
Of course I just, but, but to go back to this, yeah, of course.
Okay.
The countries believe they have, or would like to have spheres of influence.
I do think at some point that the so-called realists on that have to try to decide
how much leeway that allows you to give to a
fairly rapacious regime. It's not the easiest calculation always to make.
You have to work out whether or not, for instance, it is true that if Putin had managed to go all the way to Kiev in the first weeks of the war
in 22, he would have gone straight on to other places. Maybe he would have done, maybe he
would have taken his time, maybe he wouldn't have done. This is a very fine calculation
that changes every week, let alone every year. You know, my friends in Georgia, I thought were, um, wildly off the
mark when they were believing that after 2008 they could get, for instance,
either NATO membership or EU membership.
And I thought, I thought that was completely unlikely.
And I still think it's unlikely and almost suddenly undesirable for Europe
and for NATO, because you've got to be very
careful as, and obviously this is one of the issues with Ukraine and has been since the
nineties is, you know, are you going to set up a trip wire to start world war three?
And that's not a small thing to consider.
So what do you think the, uh, the peace deal might look like.
And what does the path to peace look like in Ukraine in the coming weeks and months?
I just thought it would be regrettably the Ukrainian seeding some territory in the East
and then making sure they rearm during whatever peace period comes afterwards.
And probably all four territories of Dnieper-Khan's separation are some.
You couldn't lay any of that out because it has to be negotiated on. But I mean, I think that,
and I think the ease with which non-Ukrainians are currently speaking about the Ukrainian
ceding territory is concerning because these territories include hundreds of thousands
of Ukrainian citizens who do not want to live under Putin's rule and people who have families
in the rest of Ukraine and much more.
And I recently interviewed children who had managed to get out of the
Russian occupied areas. And it's brutal for the Ukrainian to be growing up in that territory.
So when people say, well, obviously, you know, Donetsk has to be given to Putin,
I think that that is not as easy a thing if you're in Ukraine as it is if you're sitting
in New York, say. And by the way, I think that on the issue of there is a school of
thought that is that obviously, President Trump to some extent was floating
in recent weeks, which is that if a deal is done, a business deal, in relation to minerals
or anything else, you get a kind of buffer zone of American businesses and investment
and therefore American business people in the region, which would effectively warn Putin not to invade. I don't
follow that idea because not least there were Americans in the regions that were invaded
in 22 and they left fast. We know from Hong Kong and other places, just because there
are international financial interests in the region does not mean that a dictatorship will not either militarily or covertly take over. I don't see American miners as being
an effective buffer zone against Putin.
By the way, what did you learn from talking to the children, Ukrainian children from those regions.
Well, I mean, it's, it's, it's heartbreaking because the only schooling is, uh, Russian schooling.
Uh, obviously teaching the Russian language, Putin's view of history and effectively indoctrination and people can quibble with that term, but it's putinesque
indoctrination schools and any children or families that do not want that effectively
have to hide and not go out. And there were, I spoke to children and parents who'd had
school friends, for instance, the Russians set up in 22 and 23 summer camps
for the children of some of the areas that have been occupied and the children went off
to the camps and then they didn't come back. They were just stolen. I mean, it's thought
that around 20,000 Ukrainian children have been stolen in this fashion. That's not a
small thing. It's not got very much attention, but yes, I mean, children who would hide whenever the
Russian troops came to the door.
One teenage boy who described to me how when his mother was out, a woman came around the
house knocked on the door and gave him his papers and said that he had to attend the next week to sign up for the
Russian army.
This is not good.
And that's obviously what life is like for thousands of people behind the Russian lines
in Ukraine.
I just have it in mind when people say things like, well, obviously, these regions
have to be handed over. It's very, very hard if you're Ukrainian to concede to that.
Yeah. And even if they are as part of the negotiation, they hand it over, I think it'll
probably be generations or never that that could be accepted by Ukrainian people.
Absolutely. And I would have thought never.
What do we know about this kidnapping of children?
The stories of the thousands of children that the Russian forces kidnap.
Some of them were in orphanages in Eastern Ukraine,
not all by any means, but some were.
It's a very complicated story, actually, because many children were
taken from their families. Many the Russians said, well, look at these Ukrainians, they
don't even look after their children, therefore, we will look after them. And I was I was recently
when I was there looking into this story, because it's a very interesting question as
to why it hasn't had more attention. You know of, for instance, the abduction of the Chibok schoolgirls some 12 years ago
now in northern Nigeria and the appalling abduction of 300 girls by Boko Haram completely
gained the world's attention.
I was very interested into why the Ukrainian children who'd been taken by the Russians
had not gained
similar attention. There's a slight similarity with the war in Israel, which I'm sure we'll
come on to. But I do think that one reason is that they were effectively hostages and
the Ukrainians knew, this is my estimation of the terrain on it, is that the Ukrainians knew that if they made
a great deal about this, or as it were, more than they did, that the children would effectively
be the most effective bargaining chip. And I do think there's considerable truth in that,
because if you look at, for instance, the way in which pressure has been put on the Israeli government by the Israeli population about
the kidnapped Israelis. You'll see that it's a pretty effective tactic for any Tartar-Tarren
regime or terrorist group to operate in a way that means that the population of the
country you're attacking pressure their
government to do something in terms of concession. It's a very effective tool. And I think that
story was partly played down, not just outside of Ukraine, but also within Ukraine, partly
for that reason.
As a truth seeker, as a journalist, how do you operate in that world where, at least to me, it's obvious that there's
just a flood of propaganda on both sides? Now, of course, when you go there and directly experience
it and talk to people, but those people are still also swimming in the propaganda. So unless you
witness stuff directly, sometimes it's hard to know know like I speak to people on the Russian side and
There's they're clearly first of all hilariously enough. They almost always say there's that there's no propaganda in Russia. Of course
Which makes me realize I mean
You you can be completely lied to
Maybe I am in the United States as well, and just be unaware.
Um, maybe earth is run by aliens.
Maybe the earth is flat.
So I don't know.
Maybe you've taken mushrooms.
I have before this and I finally see the truth and it's you that are deluded.
Douglas.
Okay.
But, uh, back to the, our rounder discussion, rounder shields that we are,
uh, how do you know what is true?
You can tell it when the bare facts become not true.
Like you can tell it when somebody is willing to claim that everything caused
the invasion of 2022, except for Vladimir Putin invading Ukraine.
Yeah, there's a hilarious thing that happens.
And I think you've actually speak about this,
that people are generally just much more willing
to criticize the democratically elected leader.
Always, always.
So the interesting thing that happens
is these wise sages that do the narratives of like
NATO started the war, right?
Which there is some interesting geopolitical depth and truth to that, like that NATO expansion
created a complicated geopolitical context, whatever.
But they forget to say like other parts of that story.
Well, yes, of course.
I mean, and I mean, of course, to some extent,
it's rather, you know, there's a very,
the most irritating type of question
asker at any event is the person who says,
I was disappointed that in your 30 minute talk,
you didn't address X.
And I tend to say, well,
looking forward to coming to your next talk
where in 30 minutes you'll cover everything
that could possibly be covered.
There's always stuff that's going to be left on the sides.
There's always going to be stuff that's left unaddressed.
There's always going to be other angles.
There's always going to be somebody else who, who, who, who has this
interesting perspective and you can't cover it.
Nevertheless, if you cover everything other than the central things,
then it's suspicious.
Many years ago, as a debate in London, there was a debate about the origins of World War
II, and Pat Buchanan, talking of necromancy, was one of the speakers.
And Andrew Roberts, the historian, was one of the people on the other side. At one point, they got
so completely stuck into issues of iron ore mining in Poland, something like this. The moderator,
I remember, it was just a melee. The moderator turns to Andrew Roberts and says, Andrew Roberts,
why did World War II begin? He says, World War II began because Hitler invaded Poland.
And it was a magnificent moment because everything had been a mosh.
They were just so lost in all the intricate and clever and interesting
things that you can talk about, about the origins of a war that you, you, you
forget to mention the thing that's most
important. And certainly my experience as a journalist and writer is that one of the
reasons why you need to go and see things with your own eyes is because people are certain
to tell you that what you've seen with your own eyes didn't happen or hasn't happened and it helps to steal you for that moment.
It's a gradual thing that happens where the obvious thing starts being taken for
granted and people stop saying it because it's like the boring thing to say at a
party and then all of a sudden over time, you just almost start questioning whether,
whether, you know, like the obvious thing is even true.
I don't know what that, how that happens in psychology.
Yeah, I think it does.
I think it does.
I've observed it in a lot of different places, which is the important thing is
the only thing you do forget.
Everything else is what you remember.
And some of us are for some reason wired in a way where we don't, we try
not to forget the important thing.
Remember the obvious thing.
Yeah.
Yes.
And as you say, no, I'm not wanting to be the boring guy at the party who
reiterates what is true because what a douche bag you'd be if you were that guy.
Nobody likes captain obvious at a party.
Okay.
Is it possible that Donald Trump is a mediator, a successful negotiator that brings a stable
peace to Ukraine?
It's possible.
We'll have to see.
I think it's just too early and complicated to tell.
That he wants to bring a peace seems to me to be obvious.
He stated it a lot of times. Whether he can, we're just going
to have to see. It's extremely hard to see some of the parameters of the peace deal.
And I would suggest that the most, one, not the most difficult, but one of the most difficult
is that there is no peace guarantee on paper that the Ukrainians can possibly believe.
It doesn't matter because we in the West, some of the countries in the West have said
it before that we'd secure their peace and we haven't.
And so what other than NATO membership, which is not possible in my view, what other than NATO
membership would reassure the Ukrainians that they are going to have their borders secured
and the peace of Ukraine secured?
I can't see.
I think there's not going to be ever a guarantee that you can trust.
I think the way you have a guarantee implicit guarantees by having
military and economic partnerships with as many partners as possible. So you have partnerships with the
The Middle East your partnerships with India
Perhaps even with China with the United States with many nations in Europe all of which are still suggests that if there's enough
financial interests in Ukraine,
they would prevent another Russian invasion.
There will be financial pressure.
Yeah, that would be, uh, you know, Russia needs to be friends with somebody, either
China or the West.
I think a world that's flourishing,
it would have Russia trading and being friends
with the West and the East.
Talk would be ideal.
It would be ideal if the regime in Moscow wanted it,
but that's that, not, I mean, again,
you get into the thing of people accused of
Russophobia, but I mean, I do believe that after the fall of the wall, Russia was ill-treated
by the West, not treated with some of the courtesy that it required. I do think that. And at the same time, that doesn't justify the actions
of Russia in the last 20 years.
Right. But let's descend from the surrealist to the realist. It's very possible for Russia
to be on the verge of military invasion of these nations and that being wrong, while also not doing
it because they're afraid to hurt the partnerships with the West and with China.
It's possible, but the alliance they seem to find bearable.
It's not a very, it's not a very good Alliance in most people's
analysis, but it's an Alliance.
It's bearable, but I don't think maybe disagree with this.
I don't think the Russian people or even Putin
Wants to be isolated from the West I think it wants to be friends with the West and with the East and with everybody. He just also wants Ukraine
right, and there's
How does the Rolling Stones song go?
Which one?
Not the satisfaction one.
Simply with the devil?
That's the one.
You got me on that one.
No, like there's interests, whether it's expanding the sphere of influence, that's one thing
on the table.
But that can be put aside if you want to maintain the partnerships with these nations.
And if Ukraine has strong economic partnerships with those nations,
then that prevents Russia from invading.
I think the premise is one that I've seen before.
There was a famous, what was his name?
Norman Angel.
He wrote this book, which was a fantastic bestseller in his day, where he believed that
Europe would be in a period of endless Kantian peace because the prospect of European powers
going to war was so economically unviable.
The book was reissued after World War I, and I never got the second edition, but I assume
it was significantly rewritten.
That's a very kind of cynical take that just because the book is wrong.
I'm not saying just the book is wrong, I'm saying that the idea that cooperation on an
economic and other levels is any significant preventative device to madness breaking out is not something I see.
Could deter some people, it could deter some very, very rational, economically driven actors,
but it fails to take into account all of the other things that motivate people to go to war
and to invade and to go mad. Okay.
Well, I would argue that in the 21st century, one of the reasons we have much fewer wars
is because of the much more, well, so there's a few tools here on the geopolitical stage.
One of them is that you were just much more interconnected economically, globally interconnected.
And that is always a present pressure on the world to keep peace.
There's a lot of money to be made from peace.
There's also a lot of money to be made from war.
There's a lot of interest attention.
And I'm just presenting one of the tools that a leader should be using.
The alternative is what?
Military force.
That is an interesting one. Sometimes a useful one. But unfortunately, it has its downsides also. And after three years of war,
and the hundreds of thousands dead, you have to start wondering what are the options on
the table? I agree. I'm obviously for economic cooperation, but my only caveat is not to think that that is
something which is of ultimate interest or even at the top of the list of interests of
despots, tyrants, extremists who want something else.
Yeah.
But, uh, can you read the mind of Vladimir Putin?
No.
A lot of the ideas I hear about peace is Putin bad, victory must be
achieved, NATO membership required. Putin bad victory must be achieved.
NATO membership required.
Yeah.
There's this kind of like, but what's the, what's the, you have to come to the
table to end the killing is one and, uh, to have different ideas of how to, uh,
have a non-zero chance of peace.
So that, you know, the options are, it seems to me the only option, not the only option,
but the likeliest option is a lot of strong economic partnerships.
There's of course other radical options.
There's Russia joining NATO or something like this, or there's flirting with World War III essentially
giving nukes to Ukraine or something like this.
There's like crazy stuff or a totally new military alliance with France and Britain
and Germany and European nations and Ukraine or some weird network of military power that
threatens Russia in some way, or maybe some big breakthrough partnership between
India, China and Ukraine, something like this, some really out there ideas.
And I think that's how the world.
That that's how the world finds a balance and realigns itself in
interesting ways and no it could be I hope you're I hope your idea is right I
think it's about the we're setting the most peaceful way for this to be
resolved my only caveat as I say is and also never forget to factor in, that people want different
things in this world.
And some people don't dream as you dream.
I think we'll talk about that in your new book, Death Cults.
That one is an easier one for me to understand to the story that you're describing.
I am more hesitant to assign psychopathy to leaders of major nations.
Sure.
Yeah.
I'm not by any means urging you to regard Vladimir Putin as a millenarian madman who cannot be in any way understood.
I think he could be negotiated and reasoned with.
From your lips to God's ears.
Can you steer me on the case four and then against Zelensky
as the right leader for Ukraine at this moment?
Is he the right person to take it to the point of peace?
We'll see.
If he can, then of course he is. He deserves enormous
respect for galvanizing his people, for being elected in the first place, for galvanizing
his nation at a time of incredible peril, for playing the international game of getting
support for his country well. And sometimes the person who does that, not
there are many people like that, can be the person who also brings about a peace deal
and sometimes not.
I think there's a degree to which he may have seen too much suffering of the people, the
land he loves to be able to sit down at a table with a world leader who did the destruction
and to be able to compromise on anything.
That's possible.
Again, it puts the onus on him though.
It sort of slightly presupposes that Putin doesn't have the same human instinct on that. It is
extremely hard. I've noticed this in a lot of conflicts. It's extremely hard the way in which
outsiders come in and others who haven't seen what you've seen or gone through what you've
gone through and say, you know, it's time to get around the negotiating table and just,
you know, you think you didn't see what I saw, you didn't
go through what I went through, who are you to tell me?
It goes back to that thing of the visitor from the land of war and the visitor from
the land of peace.
The visitor from the land of peace can easily talk about getting around negotiating tables, but the visitor from the land of war has seen
other things and it's very hard for somebody who hasn't seen it to tell the person who
has that they should act differently.
And the sad thing about humanity is both the person from the land of peace and the person from the land
of war are right.
Yes, that's a struggle. That's definitely a struggle. It's like asking somebody to forgive.
I've seen that at a lot of ends of conflicts. People say, you know, the important thing is that we forgive and move on.
And then the other person says, you know, your child didn't die of shrapnel wounds.
Yeah, this is, you know, I got a lot of heat for an interview I did with Zelensky.
By the way, people privately, the people that message me is all love and support.
Even the people that disagree, Ukraine soldiers. People online are ruthless.
They're misrepresenting me, they're lying about.
People online are ruthless and misrepresenting and lying?
Yeah.
Good God, Lex, you discovered a new phenomenon.
I'm a real radical intellectual.
Nothing misses your eye.
I see the truth and I'm unafraid to point it out
No, there's a degree
This this idea that you
Need to compromise with the person with the leader of a nation you're at war with and
In so doing to some, are forgiving their actions.
Because the actual feeling you have
is you want it to be fair.
And the definition of fair,
when you've seen that much suffering,
is for him and everybody around him,
and maybe even all of the people on the other side
to just die because you've seen towards suffering.
But the other side of that is, yes, there's children that have died, but
you go coming to the negotiation table, other children from dying.
Yes, of course.
And so like there is just, you had this kind of way of speaking about it,
embodying that perspective that it's naive to say to come to the negotiation
table and it is for a person from the land of war, but the very smart, intelligent,
and not naive person from the land of peace that is often right in some deep
sense about the long arc of history.
For them, it does, it is the right thing to come to the negotiation
table to end the more killing.
The one thing I would add to that though is, you know, don't forget that it also depends
on whether or not there's a clear shot of winning.
If there's a clear shot of winning and that's the most important, the most important thing
in wars is not final negotiations or anything, that. It's simply winning and losing. And
if you have a clear shot of winning and you can take it and you're near it, then having
somebody else come in and saying, why not stop just before victory is very hard. That's
one of the many, many complexities of the conflict we're talking about.
You know what's the other big complexity of that? Because the clear
shot of winning is like a man walking through the desert, seeing water.
It could be during war, it really is an illusion.
So here's what happens.
The really complicated aspect of negotiation is in order to negotiate
is in order to negotiate peace from a place of strength, you have to have victory in sight. Yes.
And so the temptation from that position is to not But this is the failure in 22 and two occasions to
achieve to negotiate a ceasefire and peace. One in the spring, because there was a Ukraine
was in a real big, I would say position of strength, having fended off the Russian forces around Kiev.
That's one.
And then as you mentioned, in the fall of 22, with Khursan and Kharkiv had a lot of
military success.
They were in a place of strength.
And from that place, they've decided to keep going because victory was in sight.
But that was also an opportunity to make peace.
That's perfectly possible, yes.
That's the hard thing.
It's very hard, it's all hard.
But I'm just, again, it's, victory can be won in wars
and is often won in wars.
And you're right, they can also grind on
because nobody has the capability to make a breakthrough.
It's a case, I mean, the wisdom about civil wars because nobody has the capability to make a breakthrough.
It's a case, I mean, the wisdom about civil wars tends to be that they sort of burn out
after about 10 years or so for similar reasons.
When you're in the war, can you actually know
that a victory can be won?
It's a very good question.
You mean troops on the battlefield or military leaders or political leaders? Military and political leaders.
It just feels like, like I said, man in the desert, seeing water.
I think there's a sense that victory is so close.
The times, there's times in a war when you feel like victory is close.
No, you're right. And then it just slips away.
Yes, it's an interesting insight.
It's like the way in which there's a force in nature, which is that if you amass an army,
amassing it will pull you in to using it. Yeah. Extremely hard to amass an army somewhere
and then say, let's go back.
Yes, you're right.
No, it's one of many, many interesting aspects to warfare.
I think the sad thing about successful wars,
at least in the modern day,
is it takes a great military leader, which I would argue
that Zelensky really unified Ukraine in this fight in the beginning of the war.
You have to be that and like you said, after you've amassed the army and have military
success to be able to step back and make peace. Those two just don't often go hand in hand
because again, as a wartime leader,
especially one who has seen the suffering firsthand,
walking away is tough, especially also combined with that,
just the realities of war where there is probably corruption,
that there is things, you know, once the war ends, there has to be investigations.
Because the war wasn't won, you might not turn out to be, when the history looks at
it, the good guy.
And a leader doesn't want to, a leader always wants to be the good guy.
So there's just all psychological complexities that are, and you look
at this whole picture, uh, in, in the basic sense, if you want Ukraine to
flourish, if you want humanity to flourish, you just ask the question,
okay, so what is the thing I would like to see?
There's so many historical analogy that you can give, but just surely not rewarding Putin's
actions in any way would be a good way to deter him and other dictators from trying
to grab land in the future.
So yeah, but this is nuanced because like you,
it's very probably good to be the boring person at the party that says,
dictatorship is bad, democracies are good.
Many of the ideals of the West are good.
Democracies are better.
Better? Yes. Yeah. That sounds like Animal Farm, Western. Democracy is a better. Better? Yes.
Yeah.
That sounds like Animal Farm,
but yes, two legs better.
But yes, democracy is better.
Invading countries is bad.
But World War III is bad too.
So after you say something is bad,
what's the next step?
Because military intervention in a lot of these conflicts.
It'll be about deterrence.
Yeah, but what's effective deterrence?
That we're going to have to keep going over for a long time to come.
My question is, how can we achieve peace in April?
In May?
Right?
Not like the adults at the table all seem to tell me,
well, it's a process, it's complicated, you know,
it just feels like this is a thing
that might go into the next winter.
And there's still maybe initial ceasefire
and then ceasefire is broken and there's more people dying.
And it's that mess.
It seems like civility and politeness
ignores the fact that people are dying every single day.
I mean, of course, like we were all,
almost everybody, not everybody,
but almost everyone would like
the killing to stop immediately.
Of course.
No, like I think that is the boring thing at the party.
Yes, but they don't say it often enough.
Not often.
There has to be a frustration.
More there has to be a frustration.
I don't understand why Putin, Zelensky and Trump can't just meet in a room
together without signing anything.
Leaders meeting and discussing and like the human connection.
There's so many layers of diplomats.
It's the problem I have with a managerial class. I don'tial class. They schedule meetings really well. They don't get shit done. And
I would love it if people got shit done. So the soldiers get shit done. They're fighting
the reality of the war. And then the leaders have the capacity to get shit done on the
scale of nations and geopolitics.
But like these diplomatic meetings and-
No, I share your frustration about it at the same time, I think.
I share your frustration because I've seen a lot of it in my own eyes.
There was a Tananaz with the other week and they were hit just after I left their base and you wouldn't believe what a thermobaric bomb can do to the human body.
And I share your frustration with that.
At the same time, one of the things that happens if you are rushing is that you do, and I've seen this elsewhere, you
will put pressure on the people you can pressurize and you will
not put enough pressure on the people you can't pressurize.
And that is one of the worrying things that could happen with
this simply you can put America can put extraordinary, uh, diplomatic financial
intelligence, military risk, pressure on Ukraine.
And it can put significant pressure on Putin, but it's much easier to pressure
Zelensky and that's one of the many things that makes it harder is that the temptation
to rush for peace, accepting that peace is the most desirable thing and accepting the
horrors of war, which, you know, we can linger on, but accepting all that.
If somebody says we've got to get peace today and the three of them around a table,
the most likely thing is that it'll be, that it'll be the person who you can pressure most easily, who will be the person that you
pressure and as a result have an outcome, which yes, might stop the killing as soon
as possible, but might also set up a situation which rewards the aggressor and effectively punishes the victim.
And that's an extremely ugly and common thing to have.
Yeah.
And that's the other boring thing to say.
The boring truth that, uh, the easy shortcut here is, uh, is to punish Ukraine.
And you just have to not do it.
Let's keep being the boring people at the party.
Yeah.
Well, nobody's going to invite us.
All right.
Let's go from one complicated conflict to perhaps an even more complicated one.
Israel and Palestine.
Can you take me through what happened on October 7th as you understand it and as you outline
at the beginning of the book?
Well, the book on democracies and death cults is a mixture of firsthand reporting and observation, interviews, and a wider reflection, not just
on the war that's been going on since the 7th of October, but the war has been going
on a lot longer.
And also, I suppose, on what for me is one of the overwhelming questions, which I'm sure
we'll get to, which is the reaction in the rest of the world. Obviously, on the 7th itself, it was a brigade-sized
attack on Israel from Gaza. Hamas broke through the security fence and attacked all the softest
targets they could. They swiftly overwhelmed things like the observation base in Nahal-ahs. They
ran through the communities in the south, very peaceful, peace-natured communities of
the kibbutzim, as they're called, the communities, and murdered and raped and burned and kidnapped.
and murdered and raped and burned and kidnapped. Of course, they, from their point of view,
had the great good fortune of also coming across
hundreds of young people dancing in the early hours of
the morning at a dance party and rampaged through that with RPGs,
and Kalashnikovs, and grenades,
and hammers, and more,
and got within 20 kilometers into Israel, places like
Offakim and Sterat, important towns and carried out their massacres there as well.
We now know that the plan was that Hezbollah did the same thing from the north. Hezbollah joined in the war within 24 hours by starting firing rockets again in very large
numbers into northern Israel from southern Lebanon.
But the plan was that they would do the same thing from the north and carry out similar
massacres there and effectively be able to meet in the middle and garrote Israel from
the center. The interesting reason why I think it'll be found out in the future,
but why they didn't coordinate better was Hamas didn't trust
any line of communication to Hezbollah to let them know
exactly when they were going to do it that wouldn't be intercepted.
The Iranian Revolutionary Government in Tehran,
which obviously funds Hamas and Hezbollah and trains and arms, knew of the plan.
It was a very successful attempt to annihilate the state, but they didn't get close to that,
but they got worryingly closer than people might have thought they were capable of.
I think from the Israeli side, it was obviously one of the most, if not the most catastrophic
intelligence and military failure since the foundation of the state.
And I think there are several reasons why.
One is a perception problem.
What a lot of military commanders and others described to me is the conception.
The conception that had prevailed in Israel
for some years in security and military establishment was that Hamas were content with being corrupt
and governing Gaza and lining their pockets and living in Qatar and becoming billionaires, but that like many other terrorist groups and cults
that they would end up becoming just corrupt and not losing their ideology, but the ideology
becomes secondary. That's the first thing was there was just a massive error of the conception in Israel. Then there
were the multiple manifold security and military failures of the day and leading up to the
day. There already have been quite a lot of people held to account for that and their doubtless will be in the future as well.
The single thing I heard, which I heard most and which was most distressing in a way,
was the number of people who described to me, who survived the massacres in the South, who said that
they'd said to their children, don't worry, the army will be here in minutes and they weren't, you know, in many places, it was many hours
till the army got there. And there are reasons for that. There are some reasons that will be
military failings, leadership failings. Other things I discovered were very human failings. I don't
over-stress the failure of the army because actually certain units and things got down
very fast. There was a unit of Davan who got down to the junction by within about an hour
and 90 minutes of the massacres starting and joined in the fight.
Then there were self-starters who I write about in the book, extraordinary people who
just broke orders and just realized the magnitude of what was happening and said, we're needed
in the South, go.
And fought very hard for hours, days, in some cases.
But the complexities on the ground were unbelievable. I mean, as
usually happens in warfare, but what they call the fog of war is a very real thing.
You know what it's, you can see it in hindsight, but you can't see when you're in it. And one of
the things that made it very complicated was, for instance, Hamas coming in,
taking uniforms off dead Israelis, wearing them, coming in with Israeli-style apparatus on them.
There's a Muslim doctor, I quote in the book I interviewed who describes how he was going
to his, he's an Israeli Muslim Arab and he was going to, he's a doctor, he was going
to his shift at the hospital at 6.30 in the morning.
The rockets start coming in because the rockets started first and then the full invasion.
And he described to me how, you know, he's one of the members of this group,
the United Hatsala, which is a first responders group.
And they sort of, you know, they get an alert that tells them that, you know,
a car has crashed nearby and they put on their, you know, first aid kit and so on and go.
And he got one of those alerts, one of the junctions, and realized there was a car,
that something had
happened and there were some dead bodies. He stops and he sees these men dressed as soldiers.
He's wearing his hafz-al-Aghir and they start firing at him. He just thinks, what the hell?
What the hell is going on? They turned out to be Hamas dressed as Israeli soldiers. They used him as a human
shield to try to protect from any air assault and in the end they shot him and left him and he
survived. He was a very, very brave man. So there was a lot of confusion like that. There's a girl whose father I interviewed,
she was at the Nova party and I met him at one of the reunions of the party
in the weeks after and the reunions of the survivors and the family and so on. And
he described how in the last moments of his daughter's life, she phoned him on her phone, like a
lot of people, and he reassured her that the army would get there and so on.
Her boyfriend was shot in the head and was lying on her lap and she was obviously panicked.
They'd managed to get into a car and escape the party, but they went to a community where
they thought they'd be safe in the south of Israel.
They were told to stay where they were by somebody who she said was a policeman and he wasn't a policeman,
he was Hamas dressed as a police and she died, she was shot and killed as well. So there
was a lot of confusion like that. Hopefully, the world will find out exactly what went wrong.
Israel will find out exactly what went wrong that led to this catastrophe.
But I mean, it was a complete catastrophe.
Do you have a sense of how such an intelligence failure could have happened?
So there's a bit of a temptation to go into conspiracy land because it's such
a giant intelligence failure. It seems that there is some manipulation on the inside for
political reasons or for.
You don't need to go into conspiracy land. I think there are people who say that there
were parts of the intelligence network and so on that were withholding the information. I don't know. Again, people find
out there's an awful lot of politics inside Israel and it's hard to know that at this stage.
I think that most people are still Israeli and not Israeli, including people who are anti-Israel,
and not Israeli, including people who are anti-Israel, who just believe that Israeli military
and particularly intelligence dominance is so strong
that there must have been some kind of conspiracy,
otherwise how could this have happened?
I don't think you need to go into that.
I think that, I mean, for instance,
some of the young women at the observation base are on the record.
They've said, I spoke to myself and they said that they had been warning in the weeks running
up to the seventh that they were seeing maneuvers and training by the border, which suggested
that Hamas was going to do something like this.
And they say that they were ignored.
That you speak to some of the more senior commanders
about that and they say the thing is that this stuff
was happening all the time.
So it's very hard to know at the moment.
Can you talk through your understanding of who
and what Hamas is, its history and the governing ideology of this
group.
Well, Hamas in a way quite easy to understand because they say what their ambitions are,
they say what their beliefs are, they've said it from their governing charter onwards.
And you also have the advantage with Hamas that they, as it were, in trying to understand them is that they tend to do what they say and act on what they believe. The
primary aim of Hamas is to destroy the state of Israel and then see. They're not an unusual
group sadly. The bit of it that is hard for some people to understand, I think, is that they really do mean what they
say and that they really do mean what they say they want to do. And I give a number of examples
in the book of this, but I mean the most obvious is the case of Yachiyah Sinwar, the Hamas leader who is generally regarded as having orchestrated
and arranged the 7th of October. We know a fair amount about him because he was imprisoned
in Israel in the 2000s for murdering Palestinians in Gaza. He was released in the prisoner swap for the more than 1,000 Palestinian
prisoners inside Israel who was released in a swap for Gilad Shalit, the abducted Israeli soldier.
Yaya Sinwar in prison in Israel talked to, among others, a dentist who ended up saving
his life because Yaya Sinwar had a brain tumor. This dentist identified this and actually
sent him to the hospital. The Israelis famously removed the tumor and saved Sinwar's life.
This dentist used to speak to him in prison, not very regularly, and has
related, not least to the New York Times, his conversations with Sinwar.
And Sinwar said in one of those conversations, he said, you know, he said,
at the moment you, Israel, are strong.
Um, but one day you'll be weak and then I'll come."
And that's what he did.
Is it a hatred of Israel or is it a hatred of Jews? Is it on the level of nations or
the level of religion?
Both. It's both. I mean, it originates from a religious mindset, but it's of course political
as well. I mean, the Hamas Charter, of course, some people sort of think the Hamas Charter
is of no significance. And I often notice this sleight of hand that people do. Again,
it goes back to what we were saying earlier, forget everything
other than the most important basic things. But the Hamas charter, among other things,
quotes the hadith that the end times will not come until all of the rocks and the trees
shout out, oh, Muslim, there's a Jew behind me, come and kill him. And that is so Hamas is both obviously anti-Israeli obviously
and anti-Jewish obviously. It's, it's, and by the way, I mean, one of the many painful
stories I tell in the book is of the fact that so many of the people in the communities
that they attacked, it's not as if there'd be a right community attack and a wrong community
to attack, but that many of the communities they attacked were communities which deeply,
deeply dreamed of the idea of living in peace with their Palestinian neighbors.
There's a woman whose name has become relatively famous since certainly is famous inside Israel
Vivian Silva, who was a peace activist who spent every weekend driving Gazan children
from the border to if they had very rare medical needs that could not be seen tension to within
the side Gaza would drive them to Israeli hospitals.
And she spent every weekend doing that, Worked for all of the left-wing
peace-nick organizations in Israel. For a while after the seventh, her neighbors and
others thought that she had been taken captive into Gaza and that there was a hostage poster
for her and there were appeals by the various peace-nick organizations for
Hamas to hand her over, but it turned out she'd been burned alive in her home.
This wasn't discovered for quite a long time because there was so little DNA left of her
that it was very hard to identify the remains as being hers.
There were just a lot of people in the Gaza envelope, as it's,
it's called in Israel, in the area around Gaza, who, who would have been the people who,
you know, wanted to live peacefully with, uh, the Gazans someday.
And those, there's a certain among the many, it's not an irony, but just among the sort of pains of the day is that so overwhelmingly
these are the people that Hamas brought hell to.
The response, Dr. Obris-Seventh, by Israel.
Can you steelman the case that Israel went too far?
Well, the case that started from very early on that critics of Israel had was the claim
that – I think I first heard it on about the 8th of October before Israel had done
anything in response – was the claim that Israel must act proportionately in response.
I have a critique of this that I've often expressed, which is that
there is such a thing as proportionality in warfare. At the same time, Israel is always
accused of acting disproportionately. The proportionality that much of the rest of the
world seems to think Israel should express in warfare is to have an
equal level of suffering or killing on both sides. I don't think there's any
law of war that says that if you kill 1,200 people and you kidnap another 250, that
as it were, the other side sides allowed to do the same back.
But that's what a lot of people think. And then when they see the death toll escalating on the Gazan side, they say Israel has acted disproportionately and has overreacted.
That one is tricky because, you know, it's my belief that, I that, again, this is a basic thing, but it
has to be stated that nine million citizens of Israel, if you extrapolate that out to
what the 7th of October would have meant in American terms, you'd be talking about a day
on which, if the attack had happened in America, where 44,000 Americans were killed in one day and
10,000 American citizens taken hostage,
nobody can tell me that if such an atrocity occurred,
that America would not do whatever it needed to destroy
the groups that had done that
and to retrieve the hostages who've been taken.
So just on that point, I agree with you 100% America would hit hard back.
And I think a lot of Americans would feel justified in that.
But it's also possible that the military industrial complex and the politicians would
do something like the war in Iraq and Afghanistan, which means extend far beyond
Hitting back and actually do a thing that's destructive to everybody including America
Financially and the flourishing of America and the flourishing of humanity broadly and the region and the stability and the war on terrorism
If that's a real thing the war in Iraq and Afghanistan did not.
Maybe succeed in defeating terrorism or even making progress.
It probably made more terrorists than that.
So there's a justified feeling of hitting back and, uh, going out to
somebody like bin Laden in the case of nine 11. And then there's just the actual implementation.
Mm-hmm.
And it seems like the implementation can sometimes,
unintended or unintended, have consequences
that are bordering on war crimes,
if not downright war crimes.
Now, this is a general statement,
and now we'll look at Israel,
where things are small land, everything is very compact.
There's a lot of complexities that are well studied
that we've talked about extensively.
Well, the two stated aims of the Israelis after the seventh
were to get the hostages back and to destroy Hamas.
Many people said that you could do one, but not both. I actually think they've
gone a long way to doing both. By no means everything, there were still hostages as we're
speaking held in Gaza during the Young American. Um, and Hamas is not completely destroyed.
It's very, very significantly degraded, but it's not completely destroyed.
But those are the two aims.
Um, I believe that I've seen as much of the war as any outside observer.
I don't know, there might be some exceptions maybe, but, and so I think I can say with considerable certainty what the Israelis have and haven't done.
The, the operative, there were various operations at the beginning, various plans which didn't happen,
like storming straight in and getting, for instance,
as many hostages as possible out of the Shifa complex,
which is called a hospital,
but also at the very least the Hamas Command headquarters.
And there was a plan to maybe go and do that fast,
but it was avoided because of the number of
deaths on all sides that would be likely to happen.
The Israelis did actually hold back at the beginning.
There was a period of making sure that when they went into Gaza, they didn't do so in
any way blind. Ligaza is a very built up area and population wise is densely populated.
Something by the way, which the people who claim frivolously that Israel has been creating
genocide never take account of, which is the fact that the Ligazan population has boomed
since the Israeli withdrawal in 2005, it's almost doubled.
But yes, it's a densely populated area and it's an incredibly difficult place for the
train of war because of one thing in particular, which is that Hamas, goes back a bit to our
conversation earlier, but this is a much more extreme example.
I mean, Hamas really don't play by the rules.
In fact, they use the rules of war, the laws of war
completely to their own advantage. It has to be reiterated. You are not meant to disguise
your army as civilians. You're not meant to use places of care like hospitals as bases for your military operations. You're
not meant to use schools and places of worship as operating centers of war. And Hamas does
all of these things and has always done so. And it does so with the very obvious reason that for them,
the whole thing is a two for one offer. You get to operate everywhere. And if the Israelis
operate anywhere, you claim that this is a war crime because how could they attack this group of civilians, these people who
are dressed as civilians, these people merely fighting from a mosque and so on.
And that's why, that's why everybody who's been to Gaza who's seen the fighting
knows the same thing, which is this is just incredibly difficult, difficult
warfare of a kind that American troops have seen in the last 20
years in Fallujah and elsewhere.
Kurdish militia, the Peshmerga saw when they were fighting as our
frontline troops in the war against ISIS, similar house to
house, but by no means with the
same entrenched bases.
You know, again, it can't be stressed enough that Hamas has used the years since
he was ready withdrawal from 2005 to build this vast underground tunnel network.
And again, it's obvious, but it has to be remembered.
When is, and I quote one of the Hamas leaders in the book saying this in an interview, when they build their tunnels, they do so in order that their tunnels
are used by them, Hamas, to store their weaponry, to secure their fighters and
to hold hostages, they do not build their underground tunnel networks for the safety of guards and civilians
avoiding aerial bombardment.
Every difference in the world seems to me to exist between a country which does build bomb shelters for its citizens and a government which builds bomb
shelters for its bombs. Can you discuss the flow of money here? So how does Hamas,
the leadership, use the money? So you started to talk about the tunnels, but how much corruption
is there? Can you just lay it all out?
Uh, because I think that's an, that's an important part of the picture here.
It's totally corrupt.
Every Hamas leader who's, uh, now dead, died a billionaire.
With a B.
With a B.
With a B. With a B. To say that they used Gaza's resources or the resources that came into Gaza for their
own ends is to just vastly understate matters. Hamas used everything that came in to build the infrastructure of terror that allowed them
to do the seventh and everything since. They militarized the whole of the Gaza.
By the estimations of troops I've been with there, every second to third house had weaponry
Every second to third house had weaponry stashed there. Bombs, RPGs, Kalashnikovs, rockets,
tunnel entrances. The network that they just embedded all these years was total.
One of the many, many tragedies of this is that whatever you're reading of the rights and wrongs of the Israeli withdrawal in 2005, it was an opportunity for the Gaza to become
something else.
It could have become a thriving statelet.
It could have been a thriving Palestinian state.
It's just that Hamas, like the PLO before them, decided that they wanted to destroy
Israel more than they wanted to create a Palestinian state.
And that is to the great, great detriment of the Palestinians of Gaza, to put it at
its mildest.
So just to outline here, leadership of Hamas
are stealing the money that gets sent by Qatar,
by everybody.
So they're putting in their pocket and then-
By the American taxpayer,
by the European taxpayer as well, yes.
Yeah.
Well, yeah, but I mean,
it's not just about the stealing the money,
it's about using the money and the infrastructure
to annihilate your neighbor.
I mean, that's the real- Yeah, those two things.
But the corruption is a signal from an economic perspective, but it's also a signal of deep
moral corruption because they're screwing over the Palestinian people.
Yes, a cynicism, certainly.
Okay.
And then with the money they do spend on the Palestinian cause, they're not doing that to
build up Gaza. They're doing it to strengthen the militaristic capabilities
of the terrorist organization of Hamas.
You have, maybe you can correct me on this, have said that the people of Gaza have some
significant responsibility for the actions of Hamas.
Yes.
Because they've elected them.
They elected them.
The what ifs are endless, but very unwise of the George W. Bush administration to push
for elections in Gaza after row five.
But Hamas were elected and they then in 2007 killed the other Palestinian faction that was
their main challenger, Fatah, killed them, threw them off rooftops, dragged their bodies
behind motorbikes through
the Gaza and from that point they had total control.
And you know, this is difficult because you can get into the realm of being accused of
advocating or in any way justifying collective punishment if you talk about this, but it should be borne in mind that
Hamas had effectively 18 years to run the Gaza. That's the time that it takes from the birth of
a child to the end of their formal education. And in 18 years, they could
have presided over and produced a generation of young Gazans who were productive, productive
for their people, for their society, for their neighbors, for the rest of the world, and they didn't.
They spent 18 years indoctrinating the children of Gaza into a death cult and into a genocidal
hatred, which obviously was most dangerous to the Israelis, but it was obviously disastrous for the people of Gaza.
If you speak to soldiers who were there in 2014 when Hamas started a war again, one of
a set of rounds of war since 2005, if you speak to the soldiers who were there in 2014,
going house to house and who were also involved in the war since 2003, they all say the same thing,
which is the marked radicalization of the Ghazan population. The marked increase in just, I mean,
the most, I mean, it's so banal in a way to even the side of it, you know, like
the numbers of copies of Mein Kampf in Arabic in an average Gazan household, the
protocols of the learned elders of Zion.
There are so many what ifs and other paths that Hamas could have taken, but that was the one they took.
They decided to take the path of using their time and power to build up their infrastructure,
radicalize the population and encourage them to believe that they could destroy the state
of Israel.
And then on October 7th, they gave it their best shot.
And by the way, there is no organized collective punishment of the citizens of Gaza. Collective punishment would just be
dropping bombs with no purpose across civilian areas, carpet
bombing, this sort of thing. This is simply not what the IAF
and the IDF have done since the 7th. They have been fighting
a house to house war against this terrorist group.
They do do aerial strikes.
Gaza is very, very badly beaten up as the buildings.
I mean, the infrastructure that existed.
Um, it's, uh, there aren't many buildings standing, but this is not the result of just wild and imprecise bombing by
the Israelis. It's been extremely concerted. It's extremely difficult. But when people say,
well, this must be collective punishment, I think that the people who say that,
I think that the people who say that simultaneously, that's not true.
And also, you know, there is not a hostage who's come out who Donald Trump made this president Trump made his point recently.
There is not a hostage who's come out who I've spoken with, who found any Gazan Palestinian who expressed
even the slightest human kindness to them. If you look at the footage from the seventh
that Hamas recorded themselves of them taking young Jewish women into Gaza and so on. You will notice that the trucks and the
motorbikes and so on are not stopped by horrified Gaza civilians saying, why have you got this
Israeli girl whose tendons you've cut and why are you bringing her here? It's all celebration. It's all celebration. And it's the same with a couple of cases of
hostages who managed to escape from the civilian houses they were being held in,
who were immediately returned by the citizens they met.
Yeah, the celebration, I do wonder what percent of the population they represent, but there's something
really dark. There's several ways to explain the celebration. It could be that there's a deep
indoctrination where you do legitimately hate Jews. And there also could be a place of just
deep desperation. And it's a kind of relief that you have to convince yourself that
you're on the side of fighting for freedom
in order to justify to yourself that this is the right way to fight out of
desperation out of extremely harsh conditions because the way we're kind of
speaking about this with the celebration, it's
very easy to project a kind of evil on the populace that I just am very hesitant
to project, especially on the general populace.
You don't have to project it onto them.
You can just listen to their own words.
Well, I'm sure you've heard the one of many audio recordings you hear from the morning, but
I'm sure you've heard the audio recording of the young man who ends up in one of the
communities in the south of Israel and calls back home. Have you heard that?
Yes, I've heard it.
I quoted it in the first chapter of the book. he calls back home and he says to his father
who picks up, it's on WhatsApp, I think he's on the phone, he's saying, turn onto WhatsApp
because I can show you.
He says, I've killed 10 Jews with my own hands, oh father, your son has killed 10 Jews.
And his father is saying, where are you?
Where are you?
I want to show you dad, I want to show show you I've killed Jews in my own hands.
Your son put mother on the phone.
Mother comes on the phone.
The brother comes on the phone.
Um, this is, um, one of many, many stories from the day that suggest something which I would say is not just indoctrination, but yes,
evil. First of all, those phone calls are somehow uniquely horrific. But I've also heard recordings
of phone calls made by Ukrainian soldiers to their parents and Russian soldiers
to their parents. And they have not as intense and not as horrific, but they have a similar
nature to them, which there is an aspect of war where you dehumanize the other side, right? Sure. In order to fight that war.
So we have to remember that that element is going to be there in a time of war, in a time
of desperation.
It would be a strange type of simple sort of, I don't know, pride in war to go into an 80 year old woman's house and kill her
on her floor and then film her dead body and her body in its final moments and send it
round to all of that woman's friends on her phone, on her Instagram account.
Um, it's, it's, you may have heard different things from me, but I mean, I
would be surprised if there were even the most vociferous of Russian soldiers
phoning back home to Moscow and saying, mom, you won't believe my luck.
I managed to rape and kill this 80 year old woman.
It's that's, that's quite unusual even in warfare.
Um, and, and that's one of the things about Hamas and the, what I described as the death cult types, which makes them different from other people. But that's the channeling of evil and hatred and anger in the human spirit.
But that doesn't make that person evil.
No, I disagree.
I think that there is such a force as evil in the world and I think it, uh, it can
descend and it can be used and it's very hard to find a non-theological way to talk
about this, but of everything I've seen, there are actions that people like Hamas committed
on the seventh that cannot be described as anything other than evil. The things that
happened at the Nova party were especially appalling.
I mean, it was all appalling, but it was especially appalling because first of all, it's the sort
of party which people like you and I, or at least you and I when we were younger, might
have been at.
And so everyone knows, you know, the world of a dance party and all night, you know, raving the desert to commune with
nature and the universe and to take some psychedelics and to, you know, expand your consciousness
and your love and all of that sort of thing. The fact that people doing that at 6.30 in the morning, then encountered people coming in to the party on trucks and military
vehicles and just massacring them and raping them.
And I mean, I give examples of the firsthand accounts of people who survived, but I mean, it's beyond belief of almost anything else I've covered in war.
And it's because it seems so, I mean, an army facing another army is one thing.
A terrorist group in civilian clothing facing an army is another thing.
A terrorist group facing a group of young people at a dance unarmed and doing what they
did is pretty hard to comprehend unless you use the lexicon of evil somewhere.
So that stated, can you empathize with the suffering of Palestinians in Gaza with the destruction that resulted as a response?
Yes. What has happened in response is terrible, terrible for the citizens of Gaza. I was there
on the first time a couple of days early into the ground invasion when the citizens of Gaza
were coming south. I was in the middle of the strip and the humanitarian corridor had been set up to try to stop the
hostages being taken south deeper into Gaza and to try to stop Hamas leadership from making it south.
It actually didn't really work because they'd already got a lot of the hostages south.
It was an attempt to keep Hamas there and fight them in the north so as not to be dragged all the way in, in the end, dragged all the way in anyway. But yes, I mean, watching
the citizens of Gaza moving through the humanitarian corridor and, you know, everyone was being
checked for bombs, suicide vests, checked for, you know, particularly young men of military age.
Um, and, uh, you know, I mean, you look at this tide of human misery and you think this is terrible, but this is a terrible thing that had been brought upon them by
the people had been mis-governing the place that they lived in.
And of course, on a human level, you feel terrible that these
people are going through this at the same time, human empathy for them
can coexist beside an unspeakable anger that they had come to this point
because of the fact that they'd elected a terror group to run their territory.
And one of the things obviously is that a lot of people like to say, and it's true of
course, that this didn't all start on October the 7th.
Absolutely true.
This particular round, this particularly intense round of war started on October the
7th without doubt. Hamas did not have to attack on October the 7th. It wasn't like they were
forced to liberate themselves or something, as some of the defenders of Hamas claim. But
the conflict of course goes back a lot earlier, but you will have to always keep
on contending with this fact that there is one central issue to the paradigm of that
conflict, what used to be called the Arab-Israeli conflict and now has become interestingly
rebranded the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
But there is one absolutely essential issue to this, which cannot be forgotten, which is do the Palestinians want a state or do they want to destroy the Jewish state?
And if they want to destroy the Jewish state, as they've tried many times, it's a disaster
for them.
It's a total disaster for them.
If they want to create their own state, they've already had several very good shots of it,
one of which is Gaza post 2005. But they've never shown in their leadership, the desire to live with a Jewish state.
And that's a catastrophe for the Palestinians.
Can you still map the case of the lived experience of Palestinians and pro-Palestinian voices that describe the Gaza situation as an occupation?
The West Bank too, and in the case of Gaza, open air prison.
To take them in order, there's nothing about Gaza that was an open air prison.
They had ability to trade, they had the ability to move in and out in increasing numbers.
Egypt wasn't so keen on allowing Palestinians from Gaza into Egypt, still isn't.
But at the time of the seventh, there was actually an interesting, one of the things
the international community was pushing for was for more Palestinians to be coming
into Israel every day through the Eretz Crossing and others to work in Israel,
because they can make a better living in Israel than they can in Gaza.
And this, the, as it were, normalization route was slowly being attempted, is being pushed
on Israel by the international community a little bit too fast for Israel's comfort,
but it happened.
That completely came to an end and that dream is done, gone since the 7th of October.
Can you clarify the dream, the normalization of the normalization dreams between Gaza and
Israel?
Gone.
There will be no normalization.
No, not after that.
One of the reasons is the number of people, again, who I've spoken with, who employed Palestinians, worked with
Palestinians, worked alongside Palestinians, encouraged more Palestinians to be coming
from Gaza in order to work in Israel.
And these were their brothers and sisters and so on and so forth.
One of the reasons why the massacres of the seventh was so successful in the
kibbutzim, the communities in the South, was because of the number of the
terrorists who came in with
detailed house to house maps of those communities.
I spoke with one man who, his community, they had a security officer, chief,
and Hamas came in, they knew to go and kill him and his family first.
And then which families.
It was just, I've seen the maps myself. They came in with incredibly accurate information about these communities. How did they have them? Because it was given to them by the brothers,
by the workers, by the people of Gaza who were coming in and out. So there is nobody that will
trust that ever again.
There's a lot of Palestinians that have lived
and flourished inside Israel.
What are they saying?
What are they feeling?
And what are the Israelis feeling about them?
Is there still camaraderie to some degree
or is it completely destroyed?
My observation at the beginning was that everyone was extremely wary.
Uh, I mean, you know, if, if you've worked beside somebody and then found out
they sold out your family, you will never trust again.
And that, particularly in a small country like Israel, the word of that
happening goes
out very fast.
The very beginning there was intense, intense fear about that, including of the 20% or so
of the population who are Arab Israelis.
I actually think one of the few sort of positive news stories of the period is that that population
within Israel has by and large held.
It's not, there hasn't been an intifada.
One of the reasons why there hasn't been more activity, terrorist activity in the West Bank
and Judea and Samaria is because the
Israelis have been very careful along with the Palestinian Authority, to some extent,
cooperating to keep that down. But there wasn't a full war on three fronts, for instance, which was
at risk of happening. So I think that the coexistence within Israel has pretty much held.
So, I think that the coexistence within Israel has pretty much held. There are some terrible examples, far too regular, but not as regular as it could happen
of Muslim Arab Israelis carrying out acts of terror in, as it were, sympathy with Hamas, I was in the middle of one such attack myself late last year, and in a town called
Hadera.
And those things have happened, but that particular catastrophe has not occurred.
Can we talk about Benjamin Netanyahu?
For a lot of people who spoke of evil, they refer to him as evil.
On the spectrum between good and evil, as a leader, where does Netanyahu fall?
Well, he's certainly not evil.
Interesting if people looking at this conflict were to be reluctant to use the word evil
of Hamas and eager to use it of the Israeli prime minister would be sort of telling, I would say.
Can we just actually linger on that point?
There is a point you've made multiple times, which is we're more eager to, to
criticize and maybe even, uh, over-exaggerate the criticism of
democratically elected leaders.
Yes.
of democratically elected leaders. Yes.
It's a dark, weird, other quality of discourse at parties, aforementioned parties.
Isn't it also, I mean, not to be flippant for a moment.
It's a little bit like, who do you show your worst sides to?
The people you love.
to the people you love. My intense irritability is something that tends to be felt most by people who are closest to me because if I express it to absolutely everybody I met at a party or a social
setting, it would be hard. I mean, there's a tendency to lean heavily on the people who are closest to you, the people who will put up with it. And something similar happens in international politics.
You pressure the people who will listen. I mean, it's one of the things you hear a lot
in the last year, you know, people sort of ignoramuses in the
governments in places like Britain will say, we need to put more pressure on the Israelis
to do X.
And you go, well, in part that's because they will listen.
If you go, we need to put more pressure on the Ayatollahs in Iran to persuade them that Hamas are really bad and they shouldn't be doing this. What the hell
do you think they're going to do? They're going to listen to you? You think you're going
to give a damn? You're talking totally different worlds. Not just a different language, it's
a different world. And by the way, that happens in Israel. I mentioned it earlier, but it
happens in Israel. When the hostage families forum came about, uh, I spent a lot of time there.
A lot of, we've got to know a lot of the families and, um, the remarkable, but
one of the things you did notice from them as well was that a lot of them.
Oh, they protest outside Netanyahu's house.
They use klaxon horns and make sure he doesn't can never sleep.
They, uh They will,
you know, put up great big posters by his house of him with bloodied hands and so on. And I have,
I think as much sympathy as you can for these families, the plight of knowing that your child is sitting in a tunnel in Gaza for a year, a day, an hour,
is intolerable. But there's a reason why the families protested Netanyahu,
and that's because Sinwar didn't care. That wouldn't work if you said,
care. That wouldn't work. If you said, you know, understand my plight. I'm a Jewish mother and my daughter is thing. You think
Sinwa, the heads of Hamas care? You think the leaders in Qatar
who host them care? The Qatari Amir's mother when Sinwa was
killed praised Sinwa. You couldn't talk that
language to these people, but you can talk that language to the elected prime minister of Israel
because that, first of all, he's somebody who might listen to your pressure, could be pressured.
And secondly, he's simply the only person you can pressure. There's no one else.
Hamas doesn't care.
Hezbollah doesn't care.
The Iranian Revolutionary government doesn't care.
Yeah.
So let's just sort of say once again, the obvious thing that while it is possible to
discuss Hamas soldiers as freedom fighters, I'm not one of the folks that can take that perspective.
It's a tough one to take.
I don't see how you can call them freedom fighters.
So this goes to the man from the land of peace and the man from the land of war.
There is a lived experience of what it means to grow up in Gaza.
And if you fully load that into your brain in a real way, not using the words of good
and evil, but in a very deep human sense, from that place, from that place of desperation,
from your home and your family is destroyed, doesn't matter why, doesn't matter if there's
evil all around you that caused it, doesn't matter.
The facts are the facts. And from that place, somebody who's fighting for you can feel like a freedom fighter.
I think it should be called out that yes, it can feel that way from the lived experience.
But Hamas is very clearly, since we're talking about Netanyahu, Hamas is evil.
Okay, now you can still, in that context,
discuss the degree to which Netanyahu
is the right leader for this moment,
and whether he goes too far,
whether he's too politically selfish
in the decisions he makes,
whether he's too much a warmonger,
whether he's utilizing the war for his own political gains
and is not caring about the death of civilians
in Gaza, for example,
but more caring about his own political, uh, maintaining power.
That's a perspective that I could steal, man.
And it's a perspective worth discussing.
And that's a perspective of many in Israel hold when they criticize
nothing, Yahoo, he's increasingly less and less popular.
That's wrong.
Printing polls last month, he was in Washington and showed him an all time
high, but you were saying I make my own poll and according to my to my poll, I'm the greatest, I'm the nicest and the coolest
person in the world.
A hundred percent of people agree.
So I didn't mean to laugh that much.
You laughed a little too much.
Too long.
It's more than a joke.
Yeah.
But you were saying, I mean, the-
Yeah.
Okay.
Let's steel man the criticism of Netanyahu. And then steal man the case for him that he's the right leader
actually, at this moment, the most devastating thing that anyone can come
up against Netanyahu is, is, uh, the seventh happened on his watch.
Um, after the Yom Kippur war in 1933, Golda Meir, who was a very distinguished prime minister of
Israel and a remarkable woman, but she effectively took the political hit for the Yom Kippur
invasion by Israel's Arab neighbors happening on her watch. And I thought that most critics,
fair-minded critics of Netanyahu inside Israel and without
would always hold that against him.
I suppose that one of the criticisms you hear a lot as well is this thing of Israel being
divided in the year before the seventh because of the judicial reforms. Um, I think there's a strong case with judicial reforms in Israel, but, um, it's
a sort of niche Israeli governance issue, which we don't have to get into.
The point is, is that Netanyahu and his government were pushing these
reforms through judicial reforms.
And, uh, it was very divisive and on the streets of Tel Aviv and other cities, every weekend,
there were protests and the police were tired because they'd spent week after week on overtime
policing these protests, which often turned raucous, not to say violent, sometimes violent.
And you could say, well, if you see that something is dividing your
country this much, mightn't you stop?
There is a claim by some people that one, one of the things that prompted the seventh
was that Hamas and its backers in Qatar and Iran saw the division in Israeli society,
saw the Israeli population in a significant chunk of it every week on the streets, shutting
down highways, shutting down services and so on, and thought, good, now's the time.
In other words, what I quoted Sinwar as saying earlier when he was in prison in Israel was,
this thing, one day you'll be weak and then I'll strike.
Maybe that is one of the things that Sinwar
thought. Israel was very weak, it had been divided and therefore the time to strike.
There's an argument against that, which is that the seventh was in preparation and being planned
before the judicial reform process in Israel began. So you can look at it several ways,
in Israel began. So you can look at it several ways, but you could use that. You could say, look, this is, you know, if your nation was divided, don't push through anymore on that.
There's lots of things like that. You could say that Netanyahu was one of the people responsible
for the conception. There were critics of his, including critics who were in the war cabinet, who thought that
he was too focused on Hamas and not focused enough on Hezbollah.
Other people think he was too focused on Hezbollah and not enough on Hamas.
So there's them and many other criticisms that people make of him.
I would say I've interviewed, I think, every political leader
in Israel from right to left, pretty much. And I have to say, I don't think there's any of them
that wouldn't have responded similarly to the 7th of October, to the way he has.
Can we, okay, so that's inside Israel, outside of Israel. You know, despite what he said,
Outside of Israel, you know, despite what he said, he is one of the most hated people in the world, just the raw quantity.
And the relative, he's loved by a lot of people, but there's a lot of people that, you know,
there's a lot of psychological effects that might explain that.
I mean, it's sort of strange to if there is a widespread global loathing of the prime
minister of a country of eight to nine million people.
Yeah, that might mean something more than
a hatred of the military actions and the policies of the one person.
Yeah.
I mean, there's an awful lot of people to hate in the world.
There's a lot of wars in the world.
It's always of interest to me.
Obviously, some of the things I go into on, on democracies and death
cults is this question of why is this so galvanizing for so many people?
And I think that is a very, very interesting question.
Like why, by the way, let me do a quick addendum to that.
You can notice something else at that when people talk about the Republican failures
in foreign policy in the last 30 years or so.
It's very interesting.
There's a certain type of person who will immediately mention Paul Wolfowitz.
And they will say, well, you know, Wolf was, you mean deputy under secretary of defense
under George W. Bush.
He guided everything.
Why would that be?
Other than the fact that his name, as Mark Stein once said, starts with a nasty animal
and ends Jewish.
I mean, I do.
And I do.
So I do think that the, there are very deep things at play.
It's a good line.
You know, the, the, the, there are very deep things at play.
Netanyahu, irrespective of anything he does for a lot of people is a kind of devil. And you have to say, well, why is that? Now, of course, some people will say, well, that's because he, his
terrible hawkishness and his actions and so on and so forth. The case for Netanyahu is
that he sees it as his historic purpose to defend the only homeland of the Jewish people,
and that's his life's mission. And on that basis, I think he's been, by any measure, a historic leader.
He has warned the world about the threat from the mullahs in Tehran. He warned about Iranian
revolutionary expansionism across the region, across Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen. And after
the seventh, he has held together a very, very difficult set of challenges to keep international pressure at a tolerable level,
to do all sorts of things, but most importantly, to oversee the two war aims that he set out at
the beginning. I thought, let me just express this, I thought like a lot of people when I heard
about the hostages, my immediate instinct was they're all dead.
They're all going to be dead.
We'll never see them again.
And that was the attitude of a lot of Israelis.
But although there are still hostages being held, and as I've always said, the war could end
tomorrow if they were handed back, or at least the beginning of the end of the war could
begin tomorrow if they were handed back.
Nevertheless, because of the actions of not just Net, did not expect this to happen.
And Hamas has not been completely destroyed, but it has been very, very significantly degraded.
And you end up in the definition of what a total destruction of Hamas would look like. But they are not anywhere near the capability
they were in November of 2023. Their leadership has almost all been killed. The second tier of leadership, almost all gone. This is a just response to what Hamas did.
The moment – Nezion Yahu's reputation in Israel was at a low early on because of what
had happened. There's no doubt, and as I say in the final chapter of the book,
I mean, General Slim had this phrase,
from defeat into victory.
Israel isn't a victory yet in this conflict,
but when in September last year,
there were a set of operational successes,
so extraordinary that, I mean,
it was just like every day's
news was, there was one day I remember when after the, after the Assad regime fell, when
the Israeli air force took out an entirety of the Syrian air force in a day because they
didn't want it falling into the hands of the new jihadist administration in Syria.
It was story number four on the BBC news website.
Um, the leadership of Hezbollah gone, gone.
The, the, the second and third tiers of Hezbollah gone or wounded
Iran's Rolls Royce destroyed.
These are very, very significant military achievements and are in my mind, a just
response to the attempts by Hezbollah, Hamas and other Iranian proxies to
destroy the Jewish state.
to the attempts by Hezbollah, Hamas, and other Iranian proxies to destroy the Jewish state. Would another Israeli leader have been able to hold firm as Netanyahu has?
I don't know, but I do know that any of them would have done something similar or would
have tried to do something similar because there's no country on earth, no democracy on earth,
which could possibly not respond to such an atrocity.
To the point, the underlying point you made of why do so many people want to call him evil?
And so the implication is, it's not just a hatred of Israel. There's an ocean of hatred for the Jews. Yes.
Why is there so much hatred for Jews in the world?
I would say there's one reason in particular.
It's a stupid and gullible person's easy answer.
Why is, why do certain things happen in the world?
What is, what is our explanation of chance or unfairness
or any number of things?
Easiest, easiest, stupidest person's explanation
is there's a small group of people doing it.
Let's not say stupidest, because there's something in the human mind that craves a nice clean
theory of everything right that explains all the problems.
It's not just stupid.
Let me re-write.
Lowest grade.
Right.
Lowest grade.
Because I have that desire too to simplify everything.
Be a bit anti-semitic?
What?
We've all been a bit anti-semitic what we've all been in
somatic here and there just get a few vodkas in me no to find I mean maybe it's
the mathematician in me they say to find a simple explanation for everything
right that actually it's that's nice forever yeah yeah no historians do this
absolutely like analyzing why the Roman Empire collapsed. It's so nice to have one, especially if it's a counterintuitive explanation.
It's one of the favorite go-tos, right?
It's an explanation for all the problems in the world.
It's the lowest resolution analysis imaginable.
Why is there traffic?
Why did my wife leave me?
Why did my wife cheating on me?
Why did I lose my job?
Why did I not get the job?
Because even on the personal level, Oh, especially on the personal level
Why did I not get everything?
Somebody must have held me back
Yeah, and it's just that hatred of Jews has been such a popular go-to throughout history
You just always return back to the hits I guess and I what is it special about the Jews as a group that people love to hate?
Is it just cause it's a small number of people?
I think several things.
Successful.
One is small and, um, um, without by any means saying this is a general rule, but,
um, uh, disproportionately highly accomplished in certain fields at certain times. Prominent is what I would use. Prominent
slightly beyond their numbers in certain places. It's not a full explanation. I mean, you know,
all sorts of historical reasons why Jews were involved in banking. But then there are lots of
historical reasons why the Scottish people, my own, were involved
in banking.
And to this day, you don't find many people who blame all international finance problems
on the Scots.
So there were just like easy grooves for people to fall into, it seems to me.
We should also mention, you know, banking for some reason.
Money is a thing that people go to, but Jews have been
disproportionately successful in the sciences and engineering, mathematics, and the arts
and so on.
A sensible person would try to work out why that is and see what is replicable. I don't
want to use the word stupid again now, a different type of person.
I'm triggered already.
A different type of person would look at that and say,
that must mean they took something from me.
That's the most zero sum game there is.
It's an endlessly fascinating subject because it seems to me that anti-Semitism is almost certainly a sort of ineradicable
temptation of the human spirit at its ugliest and cheapest.
But because it's back in our day, it bears some analysis again. And I would say two things about it. One is, as I and others have said many times in the past, one of the fascinating things about anti-Semitism is that it can
cover everything at once. So the Jews get hated for being rich and for being poor, both for being the Rothschilds and for being Eastern European
Jews escaping the pogroms. They can be hated for being religious and for being anti-religious
and producing Marxism, for instance, hated for religiosity and secularism. They can be hated for most recently not having a state and therefore being rootless cosmopolitan
and also hated for having a state.
That makes it something very unusual actually in the history of human bigotry and, you know, bias and ugliness.
But the real thing is one of our great heroes, Vasily Grossman says at the center of life and fate,
almost everything that is worth saying about anti-Semitism and is Grossman's genius,
that he could say in three to four pages what most people couldn't say
in an entire life, even after life of study.
But there's this passage in Life and Fate that I quote in my book, which just bowled
me over when I read it some years ago, when he says, you know, the interesting thing about
anti-Semitism, he says, you can meet it everywhere in the Academy of Sciences and in the games that children play in the yard.
But Grossman's great insight is he says everywhere it tells you not about the Jews, but about
the person making the claim.
And the most important gift he gives in his analysis is when he describes it as a mirror
to the person who is making the claims, culminating in this phrase I've been trying to make popular,
which is he says, tell me what you accuse the Jews of, I'll tell you what you're guilty
of.
It's a searingly brilliant insight. The Iranian Revolutionary Government accuses Israel of being a colonial power.
The Iranian Revolutionary Government has been colonizing the Middle East throughout our
lifetimes. The Turkish government accuses the Jewish state of being guilty of occupation.
Do you know Northern Cyprus?
The Turks have been occupying half of Cyprus since the 1970s.
Cyprus is an EU member state and Turkey is in NATO. So, you
can do this on and on. The people who accuse the Jewish state, like the people who accuse
Jews of something, almost without fail, is the thing they're guilty of. Look at the supporters of Hamas and Hamas.
One of the things they say is that Israel is guilty of indiscriminate killing.
Hamas?
Hello?
What were you doing on the 7th?
You see, there are these crazy guys online who claim, repeatedly claim that for some
reason, Israeli soldiers will rape Palestinians when they meet them, whether
in a prison or on the battlefield or in a hospital, it just erupts occasionally.
These, these people go around and say, Oh my God, the IDF are rapists.
Excuse me?
You're the ones who spent the years after 2016 saying believe all women.
Then from the 7th of October said, believe all women except for Jewish women who say
they've been raped or seen their friends raped.
And then you say, aha, the Jews are rapists.
You've been carrying water for rapists and then go and accuse the Jews of rape.
I mean, it just works.
Every way you do it, it works.
I do think the thing of psychological projection in the case of Israel is wild.
I mean, it is wild.
By the way, there's an interesting thing on this that I tried to get into in the book,
which is this thing of why did so much of the world respond the way it did?
I mean, we're sitting in New York.
There was not one protest against Hamas in New York after the 7th of October.
The believe all women crowd didn't come out against Hamas' rapes.
The Black Lives Matter movement did not turn their attention to the killing of Israeli children or anything.
Nobody did it. Nobody did it.
The one thing that did happen very prominently was that people came out to attack the people
who'd been attacked. And as I say in the opening of the book, I saw that myself down the road
from here in Times Square on October the 8th. October the frigging 8th. The protests are
in Times Square against Israel justifying the attacks that were still going on. And
this is something that deserves deep self-examination on
behalf of people in the West who've seen this movement overwhelm parts of our
society, I mean, degraded parts, but parts, bits of the universities and so on.
And I think there's an explanation for it, by the way, which again, goes back
to that issue of projection.
When you and I last talked on camera, we were talking about my last book, The War on the
West, and I remember saying to you there that one of the things I was talking about in that
book was the deeply, deeply, wildly biased, unfair and inaccurate estimation of the Western past whereby, you know, America's
original sin had to be identified and the original sin is slavery. So America has an
original sin. Does Ghana have an original sin? No one knows. No one really would think
it polite to point one out. And, you know, you go on and on with these, these things that I identified in the war
in the West, these, these, these sins of the West and they have in recent years been reduced
to the claim that countries like the one we're sitting in are guilty of what? colonialism, settler colonialism, white supremacy, slavery,
genocide, and a couple of others you can throw in probably.
One of the things I remember saying to you when we spoke about that was that one of the deep
problems of setting up that system of thought, pseudo thought, non thought, would be thought,
is that there's nothing you can do about it. Even if it was true, there's nothing you can
do about it. If it turned out that your ancestors in the 18th century once owned a slave, what
are you going to do? There's no mechanism to forgive or be forgiven
because you didn't do it and there's no one in life who could accept the apology. And
I remember setting it up there in the war on the west. I set up this very, very risky,
dangerous, unforgivable, unforgiving thing that had been set up about our societies.
But I would say that since October the 7th, there has been an answer for a certain type
of person, which is, I am from a society where I have been told I am guilty of settler colonialism, white supremacy, genocide,
ethnic cleansing and more. I've been told all of these things. I have been put in an
ungetoutable situation of moral burden that can never be relieved because I can't ask anyone's forgiveness and nobody can forgive me.
But ah, here's a country which I can accuse of all of these things in the here and now.
Load my energies, my guilt, my burdens onto, and what's more, I might be able to end it.
And by doing so would relieve myself.
And in other words, to slight just to, I quote, I tweak Grossman with the people
in America and elsewhere who have fallen into this trap. I tweak him by saying, on this occasion, tell me what you accuse the Jews of,
and I'll tell you what you've been told you're guilty of.
Yeah, it's an interesting kind of projection.
Just to observe some of the sociological phenomena here on top of all this.
It does seem that hatred of Jews gets a lot of engagement online.
Is this, so I watch it like a curiosity, like I'm an alien observing earth.
Uh, is this dangerous to you or is it just a bunch of trolls and grifters?
You know, let's say cosplaying as a Nazis.
It's just fun to trigger the libs.
It could be all of those things.
I think it is and a lot more.
Um, I mean, taboos, you know, taboos can be fun to break, I suppose. And I suppose there are some people online who have grown up knowing that, you know,
since the Holocaust, anti-Semitism was taboo and they've run out of, it goes back to what
we were saying earlier, but you know, they sort of run out of, they've got bored of that.
Holocaust, small of course they'd say, you know, I've heard enough about that.
And maybe those people have gone off in a funny direction as a result, but I don't think that's the main, I think that's like a detail compared to the real thing.
The real thing is that antisemitism is back
and there is a certain type of person who's loving it.
Is it really back?
So I watch a lot.
Well, it never goes away.
It's just that it's since the seventh,
I think that it's had a great resurgence.
And this isn't to say,
and I'm just sort of a steel man,
that doesn't mean that any criticism of Israel
is antisemitic.
No, it doesn't.
But as I have often said, if you don't ever express any interest in the murder of Muslims
in Syria, not any interest in genocide in Sudan, killing of hundreds of thousands of
people in Yemen, but on the 8th of October, you're on the street with a placard attacking you as well.
I'm sorry, you're an anti-Semite, for sure.
You may not know you are,
but that's what's motivating you.
It gets a lot of engagement.
I watch it. It does.
It does. I watch it.
But it's one of several things you can always see,
get huge engagement.
I mean, if you say that there's like a massive pedophile
ring run by prominent politicians, it might be total horse shit, likely
to be total horse shit, but it'll also get a hell of a lot of engagement.
Yeah.
But that's still the sort of the pedophile ring, like Epstein Island, that kind of
stuff, which is very interesting.
Yeah.
And it's like, great.
All right, cool.
This, let's get behind that conspiracy.
But the Jews thing, the hatred of Jews is still,
that's the greatest hits still.
It is, and I mean, you see it with,
I mean, some of the people who've made
minor celebrities of themselves,
with a sort of made up version of history,
with a smattering of this and a little bit
of that.
And then the just asking questions and you know, I'm not saying but, and all there's
certain, you know, rhetorical slights of hand that have, have helped this along.
But as I said earlier, it's just the lowest grade explanation of a certain type of mind
looking for a pattern
and looking for meaning.
And I mean, I can give you just one quick example of why that in the case of Israel
is so extraordinary, is the number of otherwise semi-intelligent people who will tell you that the problem is simply that the Israelis need to give the Palestinians
another state and that if they do, it will solve the problems of the region and the wider
world. And irrespective of the fact that the Palestinians are being given to several states, the claim
that this particular land dispute would unlock every other injustice in the world should
be seen on its face to be preposterous. There is no reason why if the Palestinians got
another state, either in Gaza or in parts of Judea and Samaria, the West Bank, there is no reason why
we should expect the economy of Yemen to boom. It would not inevitably lead to the mullahs in Tehran giving equal rights to women or
anything else.
It would solve, the most likely thing is you simply have another failed Arab state run
by a sort of proxy of Tehran.
That's the best case scenario.
And by the way, even lifelong defenders of the Palestinian cause, like Salman Rushdie,
he said recently, he said, he said, I've always been a supporter of the
Palestinian people and their cause, but it is an unavoidable fact that if another
state was given to the Palestinians, it would simply be at best another front
for the Iranian regime in Iran.
The best.
So why the passion about, why the unbelievable wild passion about this?
Why the, and I say some of it can be, should be argued out and so on.
And some of it can be explained, but there's definitely a realm of it, a layer
of it, which is simply at that level of this excites something within me
This excites something within me. Yeah, there's some there's something there's something compelling to people about hating Jews
look at the look at the prominence of
Or you know semi prominent people who are willing to play around with the idea that 9-eleven was an inside job and somehow done by the Israelis
I mean all the Israelis.
I mean, or the Jews.
I mean, I mean, look at the, like this, this shit is going around.
I have to admit, you know, I'm, I, there's a part of my brain that's pulled towards conspiracies.
There's something compelling and fun about a simple explanation for things.
What's really going on behind the scenes.
Because the real world, when you don't look
at the disparities, first of all it's complicated,
second of all it's kind of boring,
it's a bunch of incompetent people.
Usually opening up Pandora's boxes they don't understand.
Yeah, it's pushing buffoons.
And I've been, I've walked around and hung around
with a lot of powerful and rich people.
And like, the thing I learned is they're just human beings.
There's not, I'm yet to be in a room where exceptionally brilliant
psychopaths are plotting.
You never got that invite?
No.
In fact, like a lot of people in the positions of power, they're just not good. I mean, I'm just continuously disappointed that they're not ultra. I love competence.
The places where I've seen competence inklings of it is in low level, like soldiers, like
low level. What do you call that people that do stuff with their hands? So builders of
different kinds, like engineering,
like craftsmen, like I've seen.
Yes, because you've got a very specific task
that could be highly complicated.
Yes.
But you get to apply yourself to and to solve.
Yeah, over years you've mastered it,
it's passed across generations and so on.
But like, states, craft, and like that kind of stuff.
Well, it's, because there's so many variables.
I mean, this is, this is one of the ways when you were trying to
lure me onto the prognostications on Ukraine.
And I was saying, I just, I've seen enough to know that I just don't know
because I know the amount of things that can change all the time.
I was some years ago, I was talking to a, a former public servant in the UK when,
um, uh, uh, Boris Johnson was Prime Minister and COVID
started and I mentioned to this friend, I said, well, you know, it's pretty bad luck for Boris
that, you know, he came in to do one thing, which was Brexit. And then there's a global pandemic
from Wuhan, you know, and he's got to like mug up on that
and then gets it really wrong.
But anyway, and I was really struck by the fact that this man, a man of great insight,
who happened to disagree politically, but said to me, but Douglas is always like this.
And he said, you know, look at Tony Blair came into power in 1997, wanting to reform
education in the UK, ends up trying to remake the Middle East.
And I do, I mean, as I say, one of the reasons why I am scornful of conspiracy theorists
and most conspiracy theories, not to say that there aren't some that do actually turn out
to be, you know, to have something in them.
And that happens.
A lot of things are called conspiracy theories that turn out to be true.
Lab league.
But in general, the suspicion and the scorn I have for people who fall into this is, as
I say, it's a very low grade,, low-resolution look at the world by people
who clearly have never seen the wildness of actions in the world and the way that they
reverberate, and the number of events.
I once spoke some years ago to a politician who literally said to me, I won't name the country, but said to me, can you help us out with just how to cope with the day to day struggle we're having
with the cycle? And I said, what are you talking about? And they said, our experience in government is that every day
something comes up which we have to firefight.
That's what we do that day.
Then the next day something else comes up,
which we have to firefight.
We're not getting our policies done.
I just thought, for me,
that rings an awful lot truer than that
country gets the odd phone call from a member of a Jewish family.
Telling them, I just, you know, it's like, come on.
So, you know, that's, I do before I forget when I ask you about Iran,
what role do they play in this conflict? Such a...
It's fascinating how it seems like Iran
is fingerprints everywhere in the Middle East.
And it's also fascinating that,
I have a lot of friends, my best friend is Iranian.
It's fascinating that the Islamic revolution in Iran took the country from
the leadership perspective backwards in such a drastic way and that they're
still in power.
That confuses me because I know that now it's possible.
I don't know the people of Iran.
Sorry to make the obvious statement, but I just have a lot of friends in Iran
and a lot of them, everybody I know there opposes the regime
and they're brilliant, educated, thoughtful, worldly people.
And it confuses me that there's this,
this is one of the, I would say,
one of the greatest nations on earth. It's certainly one of the, I would say, one of the greatest nations on earth.
It's certainly one of the great cultures of earth.
Cultures, the peoples of Iran.
Yeah, I agree.
And then you look at that,
and then you look at the leadership,
when they're behind most of the terror groups.
In the region, certainly, yeah.
Can you just speak to that,
and how is it still the same regime since 1979?
I know, as you know, I start on Democris and Death Cult
with the flight taking the Ayatollah Khomeini
from Paris to Tehran.
The flight that you say you wish never happened.
I think it's one of the two worst journeys
of the 20th century.
What's the other one?
Lenin's train getting to Petrograd?
Yeah.
So it's all about the transportation.
Yes, I know.
I'm really a transport guy.
No, I wait till my book of 10 best journeys.
Yeah.
Across the world.
No, just as the train to the Finland station brought the basilisk of Bolshevism into Russia,
so the flight coming from Paris, bringing the Ayatollah Khomeini to Tehran, brought
the basilisk of Khomeiniism, the most radical form of Shiite Islam, to Tehran and to Iran. And it's one of the great tragedies of the modern era, what happened there.
Like you actually, I have a lot of Persian friends and had the great good fortune
early in my life to have a very close late friend who had grown up in
pre-revolutionary Iran, was very fond of the Shah and so on.
Her father had been an Ayatollah before the overthrow of the Shah. Everyone had criticisms
of him, but when you saw what came after him, it was among other things, what I learned from her and other
friends from that region was that, I suppose two things, one is, of course, is that it's a sort of central conservative
insight, you know, things can always be worse. They can always
be worse. Never say this is rock bottom because, you know, like,
you might have a shah with hundreds or even thousands of political prisoners in cells,
but you could always have Ayatollah Khomeini butchering them all, including the people
who helped him get to power, like the communists and the trade unionists who simply were fighting
against the Shah and then were very useful for the Ayatollah until he didn't need them
anymore. But the other thing I learned from that particular friend and others was
that was this thing that, and again, it's very hard for the Western mindset, very hard for the
American mindset in particular, that there is such a thing as fanaticism, real fanaticism and real
ideological and real religious fanaticism. real fanaticism and real ideological and real
religious fanaticism and the thing that I described leads to the death cult mindset.
That fanaticism is something which is very easy for the West to forget because we haven't
seen it in a while.
We get very distant echoes of it in our own societies really. And we're highly attuned to hear them, which is good in some ways.
Um, but.
Hormaneism not only vastly set back the Persian people, the Iranian nation, but
has managed to keep it in subjugation since 1979.
people, the Iranian nation, but has managed to keep it in subjugation since 1979. And your question of why gets to one of the biggest questions really that has to be understood, which is,
it's what Solzhenitsyn says at one point in Gulag Archipelago, in that passage where he describes,
one point in Gulag Archipelago, in that passage where he describes, when we heard the footsteps on the staircase and the knock was on our neighbor's door, and we knew our neighbor
was being taken away, why did we not stop them? And in the case of the revolutionary government in Iran, you know, it's the same answer as
whether it's Hamas governing Gaza with the people, whoever the people in Gaza are who
would have liked to have seen them overthrown. You know, people don't realize that despite the rhetoric and everything else,
everything changes if the other guy might kill you.
And that, you know, when the green revolution in 2009 started in Iran,
why was it put down?
Why didn't it work? Why, like you, the sort of
Iranians who I really hope one day get their country back, why did all these
smart young students and others, why after they came out, why was it put down?
It was put down because the Basij militia will shoot you in the head and they'll take you to a
prison as they did with the Iranian students and they'll rape you with bottles and kill
you. And even a little bit of that goes an awfully long way to tell the rest of society
not to do it again. You know, we know it happens like that from films,
but too few people understand that regimes like that in Tehran
operate like that on a grand scale,
on the biggest of scales and with the ultimate of brutality.
And that's how they say empower.
And one other thing on that, by the way, which is, I was reminded of this the
other day, but you know, thinking about this sort of,
you know, what I've just described as a sort of a problem
in democracies is that we just, you know, we like to think
everyone thinks like us, and you know, we'd like everyone to sort
of be like us. And we, we believe fictions that we're taught
in films like, you know,
everyone basically wants the same things as us and you go, you haven't stepped outside
the walls of the city, if you think that. But the second thing is this thing of the
death cults of why we sort of singly fail to understand that this is possible.
And.
Hormaneism is both very specific and also very strongly linked to
totalitarian and radical and extremist death cult movements that are not that far in our past.
I mean, you know, there's a moment in, when Oriana Filacci interviewed
Ayatollah Khomeini in 1979, one of the very few Western journalists to do so,
she says to him, these people in the street, this movement, this revolution you've begun,
it's guided by hate. It's hate. It's all hate. And Hormeni says, no, no, it's love.
It's love. And it's actually a scene that appears in the satanic verses of Rushdie where
that exact same thing happens. But I was thinking about this recently because I was thinking,
but how can you explain to a Western mindset that that's something that's going on? There
are people directed by this hate that calls itself love, this, this. And I was reminded
of a book I haven't read since I was probably a teenager or something made a great impression on me then. Did you ever read the tragic sense of life? Miguel de Unamuno, a great Spanish existentialist
philosopher who died in the thirties. Unamuno had an encounter with students at the university in
the thirties when he realized, I mean, this is the early period of the Francoists,
de Rivera and all those people. Unamuno knows that this meeting and the chant goes up from the eager
students who have fallen into this sort of phalangist, Francoist ideology already.
They end up chanting in front of us.
He's trying to defend the principles by which he has lived his life.
They end up chanting in front of him as he's trying to defend the principles by which he has lived his life. They end up chanting in front of him, viva la muerte, long live death, long live death. And he tries to explain to them this is, this is a necrophilic chance. Yeah. But those young men in free Franco Spain, shouting long live death.
They have their counterparts today.
They are the people who taunt Americans, Westerners, Israelis, and others with
lines like we love death more than you love life.
Yeah. That's the line you return to that's a really difficult line to load in because if you base your whole
existence on that notion then well you're a danger to the world. That's a good foundation for committing evil. I have to ask because
you mentioned that interview, you had a good interview with Benjamin Netanyahu after October
7th. And I've been very fortunate to get the opportunity to interview a few world leaders.
It looks like I'll interview Vladimir Putin and others.
Wanna have a general question about
how do you interview people like this?
Maybe to put your historian hat on of like,
how do you approach the interview of world leaders
such that you can gain a deeper understanding
in the hope that that adds to the compassion in the world.
So I have a deep sense that understanding people
you might hate helps in the long arc of history
add compassion to the world.
But even just to add understanding is difficult
in those kinds of contexts.
And, you know, maybe it's more useful to think about from a
historian perspective of how you need to interview somebody like Hitler or
Stalin or Churchill FDR during World War II.
It's not, you know, I think about this a lot, especially if it's, uh, you know,
two, three, four, five hour conversation.
Well, there's a lot of, uh, weight on you when you do those conversations.
Isn't it?
From where?
So like where, who's watching?
Is it historians 20 years from then?
Who knows?
I mean, the whole data might be wiped. I suspect
there's a weight on you because every major world leader you
interview, and you've done some amazing ones. But I mean, you
presumably, you have a set of people saying you've got to ask
him about this. You can't not address this.
And that's a very challenging one because of course, although in an interview with a politician, it should not be supine.
Nor can it be endlessly interrogative because you're not the prosecutor and they don't have to be the guilty
party answering to you. And I've noticed the number of people who interview people, world leaders and
others who go in with a set of sort of those things. And at some point the other party can just,
I don't need this and people criticizing you
We don't realize that you just can't do that. Yeah, I suppose what journalists behave the way they do
Although I have increasingly less and less respect for the journalists
The average journalists have more and more respect for the gray journalists as my respect for the average journalist decreases
Because a lot of the journalists seem to be signaling to their own in, in
group, but there is a lot of pressure on, uh, people in that situation to ask
the, what I would say is the dumb question.
Why is it the dumb question?
Uh, the adversarial question that the, the world leader, the person is ready for.
They've answered that question.
And what you're trying to do is I guess, one, to signal the
vast the question and to push them.
Yes.
Uh, two, you're trying to like, just create drama because really what people
that ask you
to ask that question, they want you to embarrass that person.
They hate them and they want you to like make them piss their pants or something
or just start crying and run out.
Yeah.
Walk out in a way that it's embarrassing for them.
They could be like, look at that pathetic person.
Uh, and that reveals to me,
nothing except maybe the weakness of the interviewee that they can't stand up to a tough
question. Yes. But mostly like I'm, I'm sorry, I have to do a lot of thinking because you get
attacked a lot. If you ask questions from a place of curiosity that actually
have a chance to reveal who the person is.
There's a very interesting line that Robin Day, who was quite a distinguished interviewer
back, who was very distinguished interviewer back in the day, said about Jeremy Paxman,
who was a very interrogative interviewer in the UK.
Robin Day, who was quite good at being rude to politicians, but carefully,
said the problem with the new approach as he saw it from the nineties of political interviewing
was, he said, if you think the person you're speaking to is a liar, you should get them
to reveal that they're a liar.
Don't just call them a liar.
I think that is, again, it's something that a lot of people sitting on the other side of the screen don't realize is that it
may satisfy them that you call a person a liar to their face, but
it doesn't do anything.
And it actually reveals nothing.
If somebody is a liar and they reveal themselves to be a liar,
then that's, that's something else.
But yes, I mean, I can, I obviously you have a lot of different voices telling you
what to do. It's also difficult because one of the things that I don't think anyone really
understands is that in the end it's just you. I'm sure you have this about Putin. People say, I know exactly how you can.
They could give endless advice.
The end is you sitting down talking to him.
It's like everybody knows how
to behave on the presidential debate stage,
but only a few people have done it.
In person is actually pretty difficult.
It's very difficult because you've got all this
weird behind the scenes stuff as well.
You've got all of the games that people play.
I mean, yeah, I interviewed Zelensky.
I'm pretty fearless in general,
and he was a very human and fascinating human.
But there is soldiers with guns standing all around.
And you didn't have anyone?
No one was packing on your side?
I had one friend, a security person,
who was also too crazy, you never know.
He could turn up.
You were infiltrated.
Yeah, exactly.
No, I mean, that doesn't have any effect.
And by the way, I should mention that,
because it's hilarious to me, but process-wise,
with Narendra Modi and with anyone, it's hilarious to me but Process wise
No with the random odian with anyone. They don't
They said it was scripted and all this kind of stuff. I would never do anything scripted
They don't get to have a say in anything. I asked have complete freedom
Sometimes you'll have people on the team very politely nudge like hey, can you?
And I'll very politely say thank you, you know like smile, but that doesn't mean I have to fucking do it I could do whatever the hell I want you the calm this actually by the way with world leaders
It doesn't happen. It happens more with CEOs
Because they have like usually PR and comms people. They'll just be like very politely, hey, you know that thing about
when they that sexual assault harassment charges they've had.
There's no reason to really linger on that.
We didn't have to do that.
Yeah. One of my favorite things anyone has ever said,
is only ever happening,
I know a couple of cases of this happening private.
Some friends, some, uh, a friend of mine once years ago was debating against the,
this is before the war, the civil war in Syria was debating something to do with
the middle East and one of the people on the other side was the then
Syrian ambassador in London.
The then Syrian ambassador in London says something about the Israeli
treatment of the Palestinians.
And my friend stands up and starts talking about Assad seniors massacre of
the Palestinians in Hamer, where they killed like 10,000 Palestinians in a day.
Um, and my friend starts talking about the Hamer massacre by, uh, Assad senior
and the big fat Syrian ambassador like stands up to respond and he says,
that is, that is none of your business.
And my friend was like, Oh, I thought we were going to get it in denial.
Uh, let me just ask you one more thing about Netanyahu.
Um, cause I also have the opportunity to do a three hour interview with him at
this stage and I've been, if I'm just being honest,
very hesitant to do it.
And I just don't know how a conversation there could
help add compassion to the world.
And that particular topic, no matter how well you do it,
you do take on a very large number of people
that will just make it their daily activity
to hate you and to write about it and to post about it
and to accuse you of things.
In some sense, I don't wanna lose the part of me
that's vulnerable to the world
People have very little understanding of things if they're willing to say that because you're sitting down and talking with somebody you are
ego platforming them
Advancing their cause being used being a shill or whatever like that
you might be actually just finding some things out, which I think is something you do expertly.
And another thing your critics wouldn't realize is that life is long and, you
know, hopefully God willing, we were both around for a long time and therefore
you don't blow everything up at the request of some twat online.
But I do think that a superpower of a kind is to identify the people whose
opinion you care for and worry about their opinion and no one else's really.
And, and key and just, you just keep your own guiding light.
That's what's always done it for me is that I, I've always said, I just don't
really, I wouldn't care if I was the only person with my opinion and
billions of people disagreed. I mean, I might be curious if I was the only person with my opinion and billions of people disagreed.
I mean, I might be curious if the whole planet disagreed with me, but it
doesn't fundamentally, that's not why.
I'll send you Churchill's great speech on the death of Chamberlain.
I mean it.
He says a bit, he says one of the most wise and brilliant things.
I was thinking about it slightly earlier when you were talking about Zelensky, because one of Churchill's greatnesses was his magnanimity.
When his great political opponent, Chamberlain, died in 1940 and Churchill had just taken over as prime minister. He could have used the opportunity,
and we might even say that some politicians in our day won't be able to resist the opportunity.
He could have used the opportunity to say, you see, I was right, and Chamberlain didn't know
what the hell he was doing and he's led us into this mess and you should have all listened to me.
Because that would have been a good time. It would have been a good listened to me because that would have been a good time.
It would have been a good time to say that that would have been one for the win, as they
say. But Churchill doesn't do that in his great eulogy for Chamberlain. He talks about
how hard it is for mankind to operate in the wild and how you can do it successfully. He
very movingly says, he doesn't even mention
the name of Hitler. He says, what would never change is flaws. He says, desiring of human
peace, to be seeking peace. And he says, and he, the curse that he had was he was led astray
by a very wicked man. But then he has this great passage where he, Churchill says, beautiful resonant passage about how he says, it's not
given to men happily for them for otherwise life would prove intolerable to foresee or
to predict to any great extent the unfolding course of events.
He says in for one phase men seem to have been right and in another they're proved wrong and then there's a different scale of values emerges.
And he says, what is the worth of all this?
He says the only guide to a man is his conscience.
The only shield to his memory is the rectitude and the sincerity of his actions.
And in fact, he says it doesn't matter what happens.
If you have this, he finishes it, he says, however the fates may play, that if you have this shield to guard you, he says, you march always in the ranks of honor.
All that can guide a man is that.
If you lose sight of it, and some people do, and maybe everyone does at some point, then
it's a challenge.
And then you get buffeted by the to's and fro's of the waves of popular opinion.
And that's dangerous. But if you keep sight and hold on to what you believe, a million, billion foes don't
matter.
Yeah, that is the path.
We were talking offline about the great biography of Churchill.
Churchill himself made mistakes, admitted the mistakes, and was proud of the mistakes. I mean. Learned from them.
Learned from them.
That's all the best you could do.
The worst you could probably do is being afraid of making mistakes.
That's what TR famous said about them in the Man in the Arena speech.
TR. Yeah. The old TR.
Those two have made quite a few mistakes.
But in the end,
some of the greatest humans ever created.
Norm MacDonald, Churchill.
Did we do Norm? I think we did before coming on air.
Before coming on air, yeah.
Well, he's always and everywhere in the in the air around us
One of the one of the great comedians
All right, what gives you hope about this whole thing we have going on
human civilization
You've been covering some of the darker aspects the madness of crowds the madness of crowds, the madness of geopolitics, the madness
of wars. Sometimes when the sun shines through the clouds and there's a smile on Douglas
Murray's face, what's the source of the smile? The warmth.
Endless numbers of things. Endless numbers of things. I mean, I get enormous encouragement from smart young people actually.
That's just the best thing ever.
I was in Kiev the other week and I was asked to speak to students at the university and
irrespective of the rather tricky situation that they are in,
it's just great to, as you know,
to speak to a room full of students about things
and then hang around afterwards and just answer all the questions you can
and hear from them about their lives and what they want to do
and remembering what you were like at their age and
how goofy you were and how much you were going to get wrong and how much you had to learn and how
much you were going to enjoy it and seeing the opportunities they have in front of them if things
go right. And just smart young people give me enormous encouragement all
the time.
That's the best thing.
I mean, it's just...
Yeah, you can see endless possibility in their eyes.
And they're not like burdened by, let's say, the cynicism that builds up.
Even the cynicism, though, I mean, you can resist that.
I mean, I've got quite a deep
well spring of it. But I mean you can't only fall into that because there's so much else
it doesn't cover. It'd be like spending your life being ironic, you know.
So that said, you have seen a lot of war, especially recently and directly, Ukraine,
Israel.
Has that changed you?
Has that dimmed some of that warmth and light?
That's a very difficult question to answer.
I don't know.
Differ day to day.
So sometimes there's a heaviness there
because of the things you've seen.
Sure, yeah, at times, at times.
You regret going as much as you have to the front lines?
No, no.
You wonder is why a war is for writer kind of the ultimate subject is because
you see life weirdly and it's ultimate face, very strange, strange thing. But, you know, it just, it is the truth.
Death, when it's in front of you, is something which gives a terrible clarity to everything.
clarity to everything. And you see how people will love and even sometimes laugh more. There's an essay by Montaigne that's always on my mind, why we weep and laugh at the same time. Uh, everything's just more and, um, and people, the real thing is that people,
you see the very, very best of people and the very worst and they're beside each other.
There's some, uh, so I've gotten a bunch of chances to interact with soldiers
on the frontline in Ukraine.
And there is some level of like all the bullshit nice cities or whatever it is of, of, uh,
civilian life is all stripped away.
It just seems more honest somehow.
Yes, absolutely.
Absolutely.
Well, I mean, I couldn't agree more.
And then there's the wild clarity about things, not because of
enemies or anything like that, but because of the, I joked, I think I
mentioned, I joked about this to some Ukrainian soldiers in 22 because they
wanted a cigarette and we stepped outside, I accompanied them outside
because they weren't allowed to smoke indoors
in this hotel, which there were rockets falling.
Yeah.
Yeah. And I said to him, isn't it strange that fear of secondhand smoke
has superseded this? but I don't know.
It's seeing the humor in that.
When you're on the front line, when you're fighting in a war,
the humor of that is somehow just perfectly delicious.
You could just laugh all day about that.
And the absurdity of life is just right there.
And it's so honest and it's so beautiful.
And that's why a lot of soldiers are
Traumatized they're destroyed by war, but they also miss it. That's right. That's right. Absolutely. Oh my god. Yes
Yes, yes. Yes. There's an intimacy to the whole thing. Absolutely
Everyone says you know, I never felt more alive, you know
Yeah, and I wouldn't I wouldn't do anything different
Well, I hope just like Churchill, you keep fighting the good fight and, uh, not listening to anybody and I'll try to, uh, learn to do the same.
Douglas, I'm a huge fan.
Thank you for doing this.
Been a great pleasure.
Right back at you.
Thank you.
Thanks for listening to this conversation with Douglas Murray. To support this podcast, please check out
our sponsors in the description. And now let me leave you with some words from Bertrand Russell.
The problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so
certain of themselves and wiser people so full of doubts. Thank you for listening and hope to
see you next time.