Lex Fridman Podcast - #471 – Sundar Pichai: CEO of Google and Alphabet

Episode Date: June 5, 2025

Sundar Pichai is CEO of Google and Alphabet. Thank you for listening ❤ Check out our sponsors: https://lexfridman.com/sponsors/ep471-sc See below for timestamps, transcript, and to give feedback, su...bmit questions, contact Lex, etc. Transcript: https://lexfridman.com/sundar-pichai-transcript CONTACT LEX: Feedback - give feedback to Lex: https://lexfridman.com/survey AMA - submit questions, videos or call-in: https://lexfridman.com/ama Hiring - join our team: https://lexfridman.com/hiring Other - other ways to get in touch: https://lexfridman.com/contact EPISODE LINKS: Sundar's X: https://x.com/sundarpichai Sundar's Instagram: https://instagram.com/sundarpichai Sundar's Blog: https://blog.google/authors/sundar-pichai/ Google Gemini: https://gemini.google.com/ Google's YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Google SPONSORS: To support this podcast, check out our sponsors & get discounts: Tax Network USA: Full-service tax firm. Go to https://tnusa.com/lex BetterHelp: Online therapy and counseling. Go to https://betterhelp.com/lex LMNT: Zero-sugar electrolyte drink mix. Go to https://drinkLMNT.com/lex Shopify: Sell stuff online. Go to https://shopify.com/lex AG1: All-in-one daily nutrition drink. Go to https://drinkag1.com/lex OUTLINE: (00:00) - Introduction (00:07) - Sponsors, Comments, and Reflections (07:55) - Growing up in India (14:04) - Advice for young people (15:46) - Styles of leadership (20:07) - Impact of AI in human history (32:17) - Veo 3 and future of video (40:01) - Scaling laws (43:46) - AGI and ASI (50:11) - P(doom) (57:02) - Toughest leadership decisions (1:08:09) - AI mode vs Google Search (1:21:00) - Google Chrome (1:36:30) - Programming (1:43:14) - Android (1:48:27) - Questions for AGI (1:53:42) - Future of humanity (1:57:04) - Demo: Google Beam (2:04:46) - Demo: Google XR Glasses (2:07:31) - Biggest invention in human history PODCAST LINKS: - Podcast Website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast - Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr - Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8 - RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/ - Podcast Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4 - Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/lexclips

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Starting point is 00:00:00 The following is a conversation with Sundar Pichai, the CEO of Google and Alphabet. USA for taxes, BetterHelp for mental health, Element for electrolytes, Shopify for selling stuff online, and AG1 for your daily multivitamin drink. Choose wisely, my friends. And now onto the philatries. You can skip them if you like, but if you do, please still check out our sponsors. I enjoy their stuff. Maybe you will too. If you want to get in touch with me for whatever reason, go to LexRuma.com slash contact.
Starting point is 00:00:43 All right, let's go. This episode is brought to you by Tax Network USA, a full service tax firm, focused on solving tax problems for individuals and for small businesses. I remember when I was preparing for the Roman Empire episode, I came across a lot of places where there was a rigorous discussion about the intricate tax collection algorithms
Starting point is 00:01:10 used by the Roman Empire. The reason I use the word algorithms is basically there's a systematic process for determining how much you owe based on your location, based on your status, based on your job, based on all these kinds of factors It's sad, but those rules in the early days initially Give power to the individual because they protect the individual
Starting point is 00:01:35 But when they become too complicated then the bureaucracy the centralized power starts to abuse its power by using the rules and then the individual loses power because they can't figure out the complexity of the rules and that's essentially why you need the CPAs and the firms to figure out the complexity. Anyway these guys are good. Talk with one of their strategists for free today. Call 1-800-958-1000 or go to tnusa.com slash Lex. This episode is brought to you by BetterHelp, spelled H-E-L-P-HELP. I got to recently meet a lot of interesting people when I visited San Francisco. I was there in part to celebrate Yoshabock and the newly launched California Institute for Machine Consciousness.
Starting point is 00:02:25 I, by the way, encourage you to check it out. I think it's cimc.ai. And there I talked to a lot of brilliant people and one of them was a grad student studying the so-called dark triad. These are the three personality traits of narcissism, Machiavellianism, and psychopathy. A little bit for a brief moment
Starting point is 00:02:45 it made me wish I took that path of studying the human mind. And perhaps that is the indirect way. Through all the AI, through all the programming, through all the building of systems, and now with a podcast, maybe I somehow sneaked up to that dream in the end. Anyway, I say all that because these topics are studying the extremes of the human mind. But of course, the extremes are just the edges of an incredibly complicated system.
Starting point is 00:03:14 That's just so fascinating to study, to reflect on, to put a mirror to all those processes that you do through talk therapy. They're just fascinating. Anyway, you can check them out at betterhelp.com slash Lex and save on your first month. That's betterhelp.com slash Lex. This episode is also brought to you by Element, my daily zero sugar and delicious electrolyte mix.
Starting point is 00:03:36 I'm not gonna go down the rabbit hole, but there's a lot of interesting studies that measure the decreased performance of the human brain. So cognitive processing speed for example. By what amount does it decrease? Reaction time. By what amount does it decrease when you decrease the brain's sodium levels for example? Sodium and potassium really are important on a chemical level for the functioning of the human brain. Now obviously all throughout human history people
Starting point is 00:04:03 understood the value of water but but as a medical concept, the concept of dehydration only came about in the 19th century. If we just look at the history of medicine, it's kind of hilarious how little we knew before. And it makes me think we know very little now relative to what we will know in a hundred and a thousand years.
Starting point is 00:04:23 The human body, the biological system of the human body is incredibly complicated. So for us to have the certainty that we sometimes exude about the human body, about what we understand about disease, about health, it's kind of funny. Anyway, get a sample pack for free with any purchase. Try it at drinkelement.com. This episode is also brought to you by Shopify, a platform designed for anyone to sell anywhere
Starting point is 00:04:52 with a great looking online store. Once again, I do this often. Why don't just or at all talk about Shopify, but instead talk about the CEO of Shopify, Toby. He once again, like I mentioned with Yoshabach and the newly launched CIMC, California Institute of Machine Consciousness. He's a big supporter of that too. And a bunch of people have asked me
Starting point is 00:05:17 why I have not done a podcast with him yet. I don't know either. I'm sure it's gonna happen soon. And I haven't seen him in quite a while. A lot of people from a lot of walks of life deeply respect him for his intellect, for the way he does business, and just for the human being he is. So anyway, not sure why I mentioned it out here but back to what this is supposed to be. You can sell shirts online like I did. LXCreatment.com slash shop.
Starting point is 00:05:45 It's super easy to set up a store. I did in a few minutes. What else can I say? You should do it too. Sign up for a $1 per month trial period at Shopify.com slash Lex. That's all lowercase. Go to Shopify.com slash Lex to take your business
Starting point is 00:06:00 to the next level today. This episode is also brought to you by AG1, an all-in-one daily drink to support better health and peak performance. I was training Jiu Jitsu the other day in that wonderful Texas heat and I was reminded, first of all, how long my journey with Jiu Jitsu has been and how fulfilling it has been. How interesting the exploration of the puzzle of two humans trying to break each other's arms and legs plus the wrestling and the grappling component. Really interesting.
Starting point is 00:06:34 Leverage, power, speed, how all that could be neutralized. How to control a human body with leverage, with technique as opposed to raw generally misapplied strength I should say. Anyway because there are times where there's long stretches of weeks where I don't train you feel it in the cardio you do a bunch of rounds and you just the breaths are shallow you feel like the mind is hazy from exhaustion that you're a little bit more risk averse because you don't want to end up in a bad position. You have to battle out of that bad
Starting point is 00:07:10 position after many rounds of exhausting battles. And after that training session, when I got home, I enjoyed a nice cold AG1. They'll give you a one-month supply of fish oil when you sign up at drinkag1.com. This is the Lex Freeman Podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description or at lexfreeman.com. And now, dear friends, here's Sundar Bachai. Your life story is inspiring to a lot of people. It's inspiring to me. You grew up in India, whole family living in a humble two-room apartment, very little, almost no access to technology.
Starting point is 00:08:09 And from those humble beginnings, you rose to lead a $2 trillion technology company. So if you could travel back in time and told that, let's say, 12-year-old Sundar, that you're now leading one of the largest companies in human history. What do you think that young kid would say? I would have probably laughed it off. Probably too far-fetched to imagine or believe at that time. You would have to explain the internet first.
Starting point is 00:08:39 For sure. Computers to me at that time. I was 12 in 1984. So probably by then I had started reading about them. I hadn't seen one. What was that place like? Take me to your childhood. Now I grew up in Chennai. It's in South of India.
Starting point is 00:08:59 It's a beautiful bustling city. Lots of people, lots of energy. Simple life, definitely like fond memories of playing cricket outside the home. We just used to play on the streets. All the neighborhood kids would come out and we would play till it got dark and we couldn't play anymore barefoot.
Starting point is 00:09:20 Traffic would come, we would just stop the game. Everything would drive through and you would just continue playing, just to get the visual in your head. Pre-computers, there's a lot of free time. Now that I think about it, now you have to go and seek that quiet solitude or something. Newspapers, books, is how I gained
Starting point is 00:09:40 access to the world's information at the time you will. My grandfather was a big influence. He worked in the post office. He was so good with language. His English, his handwriting till today is the most beautiful handwriting I've ever seen. He would write so clearly. He was so articulate. And so he kind of got me introduced into books. so articulate and he kind of got me introduced into books. He loved politics, so we could talk about anything. That was there in my family throughout, so lots of books,
Starting point is 00:10:14 trashy books, good books, everything from Ayn Rand to Books on Philosophy, to stupid crime novels. Books was a big part of my life, but it's not surprising I ended up at Google because Google's mission kind of always resonated deeply with me. This access to knowledge, I was hungry for it,
Starting point is 00:10:35 but definitely have fond memories of my childhood. Access to knowledge was there, so that's the wealth we had. You know, every aspect of technology I had to wait for a while. I've obviously spoken before about how long it took for us to get a phone, about five years, but it's not the only thing. A telephone. There was a five-year waiting list and we got a rotary telephone, but it dramatically changed our lives. You know, people would come to our house to make calls to their loved ones. I would have to go all the way to the hospital
Starting point is 00:11:08 to get blood test records, and it would take two hours to go, and they would say, sorry, it's not ready, come back the next day. Two hours to come back. And that became a five minute thing. So as a kid, this light bulb went in my head, this power of technology to kind of change people's lives.
Starting point is 00:11:26 We had no running water. It was a massive drought. So they would get water in these trucks, maybe eight buckets per household. So me and my brother, sometimes my mom, we would wait in line, get that and bring it back home. Many years later, like we had running water and we had a water heater and you would get hot water to take a shower.
Starting point is 00:11:51 For me, everything was discrete like that. I've always had this first-stand feeling of how technology can dramatically change your life and the opportunity it brings. So that was kind of a subliminal takeaway for me throughout growing up. I kind of actually observed it and felt it. So we had to convince my dad for a long time to get a VCR. Do you know what a VCR is? Yeah. I'm trying to date you now. But, you know, because before that, you only had, like, kind of one TV channel, right? That's it.
Starting point is 00:12:37 And so, you know, you can watch movies or something like that, but this is by the time I was in 12th grade, we got a VCR, you know. It was like 12th grade, we got a VCR, you know, it was a, like a Panasonic, which we had to go to some like shop, which had kind of smuggled it in, I guess. And that's where we bought a VCR. But then being able to record like a World Cup football game and then, or like get bootleg videotapes and watch movies, like all that. So like, you know, I had these discrete memories growing up.
Starting point is 00:13:07 And so, you know, always left me with the feeling of like how getting access to technology drives that step change in your life. I don't think you'll ever be able to equal the first time you get hot water. To have that convenience of going and opening a tap and have hot water come out, yeah. It's interesting, we take for granted the progress we've made. If you look at
Starting point is 00:13:30 human history, just those plots that look at GDP across 2,000 years, and you see that exponential growth to where most of the progress happens since the Industrial Revolution. And we just take for granted, we forget how far we've gone. So our ability to understand how great we have it and also how quickly technology can improve is quite poor. Oh, I mean, it's extraordinary. I go back to India now, the power of mobile. It's mind blowing to see the progress through the arc of time.
Starting point is 00:14:03 It's mind blowing to see the progress through the arc of time. That's phenomenal. What advice would you give to young folks listening to this all over the world, who look up to you and find your story inspiring? Who want to be maybe the next Sundar Pichai? Who want to start, create companies, build something that has a lot of impact in the world? Look, you have a lot of luck along the way, but you obviously have to make smart choices. You're thinking about what you want to do.
Starting point is 00:14:27 Your brain is telling you something. But when you do things, I think it's important to kind of get that, listen to your heart and see whether you actually enjoy doing it, right? That feeling of, if you love what you do, it's so much easier and you're going to see the best version of yourself.
Starting point is 00:14:47 It's easier said than done. I think it's tough to find things you love doing. But I think kind of listening to your heart a bit more than your mind in terms of figuring out what you want to do, I think is one of the best things I would tell people. The second thing is, I mean, trying to work with people who you feel at various points in my life, I've worked with people who I felt were better than me. Like kind of like, you know, you almost are sitting in a room talking to someone and they're like, wow, like, you know, and you want that feeling a few times.
Starting point is 00:15:21 Trying to get yourself in a position where you're working with people who you feel are kind of like stretching your abilities is what helps you grow, I think. So putting yourself in uncomfortable situations. And I think often you'll surprise yourself. So I think being open-minded enough to kind of put yourself in those positions is maybe another thing I would say. I think being open-minded enough to kind of put yourself in those positions is maybe another
Starting point is 00:15:45 thing I would say. Well, lessons can we learn maybe from an outsider perspective, for me, looking at your story and gotten to know you a bit, you're humble, you're kind. Usually when I think of somebody who has had a journey like yours and climbs to the very top of leadership, they're in a cutthroat world, they're usually gonna be a bit of an asshole. So what wisdom are we supposed to draw from the fact that your general approach is of balance, of humility, of kindness, listening to everybody?
Starting point is 00:16:17 What's your secret? I do get angry, I do get frustrated. I have the same emotions all of us do, right, in the context of work and everything. But a few things, right, I think, you know, I... Over time, I figured out the best way to get the most out of people. You know, you kind of find mission-oriented people
Starting point is 00:16:41 who are on the Shad journey, who have this inner drive to excellence, to do the best. And, you know, you kind of motivate people and you can achieve a lot that way, right? And so it often tends to work out that way. But have there been times like, you know, I lose it? Yeah, but, you know, not maybe less often than others. And maybe over the years, less and less so,
Starting point is 00:17:07 because, you know, I find it's not needed to achieve what you need to do. So losing your shit has not been productive. Yeah, less often than not. I think people respond to that. Yeah. They may do stuff to react to that, like what you actually want them to do the right thing.
Starting point is 00:17:22 And so, you know, maybe there's a bit of like sports, you know, I'm a sports fan in football, coaches in soccer, that football, you know, people, people often talk about like man management, right? Great coaches too, right? I think there is an element of that in our lives. How do you get the best out of the people you work with? You know, at times you're working with people who are so committed to achieving. If they've done something wrong, they feel it more than you do.
Starting point is 00:17:54 You treat them differently than, occasionally there are people who you need to clearly let them know like that wasn't okay or whatever it is. But I've often found that not to be the case. And sometimes the right words at the right time spoken firmly can reverberate through time. Also sometimes the unspoken words. You know, people can sometimes see that like, you know, you're unhappy without you saying it. And so sometimes the silence can deliver that message even more. Sometimes less is more.
Starting point is 00:18:26 Who's the greatest soccer player of all time? Messi or Ronaldo or Pelle or Maradona? I'm going to make, you know, in this question. Is this going to be a political answer? I will tell the truthful answer. The truth. So it's Messi. It is.
Starting point is 00:18:41 You know, it's been interesting because my son is a big Cristiano Ronaldo fan. And so we've had to watch El Clasico together with that dynamic in there. I so admire CR7s. I mean, I've never seen an athlete more committed to that kind of excellence. And so he's one of the all time greats, but for me, Messi is it. Yeah, when I see Leon Messi, you just are in awe that humans are able to achieve
Starting point is 00:19:14 that level of greatness and genius and artistry. When we talk, we'll talk about AI, maybe robotics and this kind of stuff. That level of genius, I'm not sure you can possibly match by AI in a long time. It's just an example of greatness. And you have that kind of greatness in other disciplines, but in sport, you get to visually see it.
Starting point is 00:19:34 Unlike anything else. And just the timing, the movement, this is genius. I had the chance to see him a couple of weeks ago. He played in San Jose, so against the Quakes. So I went to see it, see the game. I was a fan on the, had good seats, knew where he would play in the second half, hopefully.
Starting point is 00:19:54 And even at his age, just watching him when he gets the ball, that movement, you know, you're right, that special quality. It's tough to describe, but you feel it when you see it. Yeah. He's still got it. You're right, that special quality, it's tough to describe, but you feel it when you see it, yeah. He's still got it. If we rank all the technological innovations throughout human history, let's go back, maybe the history of human civilizations 12,000 years ago, and you rank them by how much of
Starting point is 00:20:22 a productivity multiplier they've been. So we can go to electricity or the labor mechanization of the Industrial Revolution, or we can go back to the first agricultural revolution 12,000 years ago. In that long list of inventions, do you think AI, when history is written 1,000 years from now, do you think it has a chance to be the number one productivity multiplier? It's a great question. Look, many years ago, I think it might have been 2017 or 2018. I said at the time, AI is the most profound technology humanity will ever work on. It'll be more profound than fire or electricity. So I have to back myself. I still think that's the case. When you asked this question, I was thinking, well,
Starting point is 00:21:07 do we have a recency bias, right? Like in sports, it's very tempting to call the current person you're seeing the greatest player, right? And so is there a recency bias? And I do think from first principles, I would argue AI will be bigger than all of those. I didn't live through those moments. Two years ago, I had to go through a surgery,
Starting point is 00:21:31 and then I processed that there was a point in time people didn't have anesthesia when they went through these procedures. At that moment, I was like, that has got to be the greatest invention humanity has ever done, right? So look, we don't know what it is to have lived through those times.
Starting point is 00:21:48 But many of what you're talking about were kind of this general things which pretty much affected everything, electricity or internet, et cetera. But I don't think we've ever dealt with the technology, both which is progressing so fast, becoming so capable. It's not clear what the ceiling is. And the main unique, it's recursively self-improving, right?
Starting point is 00:22:16 It's capable of that. And so the fact it is going, it's the first technology will kind of dramatically accelerate creation itself, like creating things, building new things, can improve and achieve things on its own, right? I think like puts it in a different league, right? And so, a different league.
Starting point is 00:22:38 And so I think the impact it will end up having will far surpass everything we've seen before. Obviously with that comes a lot of important things to think and wrestle with, but I definitely think that'll end up being the case. Especially if it gets to the point of where we can achieve superhuman performance on the AI research itself. So it's a technology that may, that's an open question, but it may be able to achieve a level to where the technology itself can create itself better than it could yesterday. It's like the move 37 of alpha research or whatever it is, right?
Starting point is 00:23:15 And when, yeah, you're right, when it can do novel, self-directed research, obviously for a long time, we'll have, hopefully always humans in the loop and all that stuff. And these are complex questions to talk about, but yes, I think the underlying technology, you know, I've said this, like, if you watched
Starting point is 00:23:36 seeing AlphaGo start from scratch, be clueless and like become better through the course of a day. It really hits you when you see that happen. Even the VO3 models, if you sample the models when they were 30 percent done and 60 percent done and looked at what they were generating, and you see how it all comes together,
Starting point is 00:24:03 it's like I would say, kind of inspiring, a little bit unsettling, right, as a human, so all of that is true, I think. Well, the interesting thing of the Industrial Revolution, electricity, like you mentioned, you can go back to, again, the agriculture, the first agricultural revolution. There's what's called the Neolithic Package or the first agricultural revolution, there's what's called the Neolithic package
Starting point is 00:24:26 or the first agricultural revolution. It wasn't just that the nomads settled down and started planting food, but all this other kind of technology was born from that and it's included in this package. So it wasn't one piece of technology, it's there's these ripple effects, second and third order effects that happen.
Starting point is 00:24:45 Everything from something silly, like silly, profound, like pottery that can store liquids and food to something we kind of take for granted, but social hierarchies and political hierarchy. So like early government was formed because it turns out if humans stop moving and have some surplus food, they start coming up with they get bored and they start coming up with interesting systems and then trade emerges, which turns out to be a really profound thing.
Starting point is 00:25:18 And like I said, government, I mean, there's just a second and third order effects from that, including that package is incredible and probably extremely difficult. If you ask one of the people in the nomadic tribes to predict that, that would be impossible. It's difficult to predict. But all that said, what do you think are some of the early things we might see in the quote unquote AI package? I mean, most of it probably we don't know today,
Starting point is 00:25:46 but like, you know, the one thing which we can tangibly start seeing now is, you know, obviously with the coding progress, you got a sense of it. It's gonna be so easy to imagine, like thoughts in your head translating that into things that exist, that'll be part of the package, right?
Starting point is 00:26:04 Like it's gonna empower almost all of humanity to kind of express themselves. Maybe in the past, you could have expressed with words, but like, you could kind of build things into existence, right? You know, maybe not fully today. We are at the early stages of pipe coding. You know, I've been amazed at what people have put out online with VO3, but it takes a bit of work, right? You have to stitch together a set of prompts, but all this is going to get better. The thing I always think about,
Starting point is 00:26:35 this is the worst it'll ever be. Right, at any given moment in time. Yeah, it's interesting you went there as kind of a first thought. So the exponential increase of access to creativity. Software creation, are you creating a program, a piece of content to be shared with others, games down the line, all of that,
Starting point is 00:27:00 like just becomes infinitely more possible. Well, I think the big thing is that it makes it accessible. It unlocks the cognitive capabilities of the entire 8 billion. No, I agree. Look, think about 40 years ago, maybe in the US, there were five people who could do what you were doing. Like, go do an interview, you know, and, you know, but today think about with YouTube and other products, et cetera, like how many more people are doing it.
Starting point is 00:27:28 So I think this is what technology does, right? Like when the Internet created blogs, you heard from so many more people. So I think, but with AI, I think that number won't be in the few hundreds of thousands. It'll be tens of millions of people, maybe even a billion people, like putting out things into the world in a deeper way. And I think it'll change the landscape of creativity.
Starting point is 00:28:01 And it makes a lot of people nervous. Like, for example, whatever, Fox, MSNBC, CNN are really nervous about this part. Like you mean this dude in a suit could just do this and you and YouTube and, and, and thousands of others, tens of thousands, millions of other creators can do the same kind of thing that makes them nervous. And now you get a podcast from notebook LM. That's about five to 10 times better than any podcast I've ever done. I'm not joking at this time, but maybe not. And that changes.
Starting point is 00:28:27 You have to evolve because I on the podcasting front, I'm a fan of podcasts much more than I am a fan of being a host or whatever. If there's great podcasts, there are both AIs. I'll just stop doing this podcast. I'll listen to that podcast. But you have to evolve and you have to change. And that makes people really nervous, I think. But it's also a really exciting future.
Starting point is 00:28:48 The one thing I may say is, I do think, like, in a world in which there are two AI, I think people value and choose just like in chess. You and I would never watch Stockfish 10 or whatever and AlphaGo play against each other. Like, it would be boring for us to watch. But Magnus Carlsen and Gukesh, that game would be much more fascinating to watch.
Starting point is 00:29:12 So it's tough to say, like one way to say is, you'll have a lot more content, and so you will be listening to AI-generated content because sometimes it's efficient, et cetera. But the premium experiences you value might be a version of like the human essence wherever it comes through. Going back to what we talked earlier
Starting point is 00:29:31 about watching messy dribble the ball. I don't know, one day I'm sure a machine will dribble much better than messy. But I don't know whether it would evoke that same emotion in us. So I think that'll be fascinating to see. I think the element of podcasting or audio books that is about information gathering, that part might be removed or that might be more efficiently and in a compelling way done
Starting point is 00:29:57 by AI. But then it'll be just nice to hear humans struggle with the information, contend with the information, try to internalize it, combine it with the complexity of our own emotions and consciousness and all that kind of stuff. But if you actually wanna find out about a piece of history, you go to Gemini. If you wanna see Lex struggle with that history, then you look, or other humans, you look at that.
Starting point is 00:30:24 But the point is it's going to change the nature, continue to change the nature of how we discover information, how we consume the information, how we create the information. The same way that YouTube changed everything completely, changed news, and that's something our society is struggling with. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:30:41 YouTube, look, YouTube enabled, I mean, you know this better than anyone else, it's enabled so many creators. There is no doubt in me that like we will enable more filmmakers than there have ever been, right? You're going to empower a lot more people. So I think there is an expansionary aspect of this, which is underestimated, I think. I think it'll unleash human creativity in a way that hasn't been seen before. It's tough to internalize. The only way is if you brought someone from the 50s or 40s
Starting point is 00:31:13 and just put them in front of YouTube. You know, I think it would blow their mind away. Similarly, I think we would get blown away by what's possible in a 10 to 20-year timeframe. Do you think there's a future, how many years out is it that let's say, let's put a marker on it, 50% of content, good content, 50% of good content is generated by VO 456?
Starting point is 00:31:37 You know, I think it depends on what it is for. Like, you know, maybe if you look at movies today with CGI, there are great filmmakers. You still look at who the directors are and who use it. There are filmmakers who don't use it at all. You value that. There are people who use it incredibly. Think about somebody like a James Cameron, what he would do with these tools in his hands.
Starting point is 00:32:01 But I think there'll be a lot more content created. Just like writers today use Google Docs and not think about the fact that they're using a tool like that. Like people will be using the future versions of these things. Like it won't be a big deal at all to them. I've gotten a chance to get to know Darren Aronofsky. Well, he's been really leaning in and trying to figure out. It's fun to watch a genius who came up before any of this was even remotely possible. He created Pie, one of my favorite movies, and from there just continued to create a really interesting variety of movies. And now he's trying to see how can the AI be used to create compelling films. You have people like that.
Starting point is 00:32:45 You have people, I've gotten to just know edgier folks that are AI first, like Dorr Brothers. Both Aronofsky and Dorr Brothers create at the edge of the overton window of society. They push, whether it's sexuality or violence, it's edgy, like artists are, but it's still classy. It doesn't cross that line, whatever that line is.
Starting point is 00:33:10 You know, Hunter S. Thompson has this line that the only way to find out where the edge, where the line is, is by crossing it. And I think for artists, that's true, that's kind of their purpose sometimes, comedians and artists just cross that line. I wonder if you can comment on the weird place that puts Google.
Starting point is 00:33:32 Because Google's line is probably different than some of these artists. What's your, how do you think about, specifically Vio and Flow about like how to allow artists to do crazy shit. But also like the responsibility of like, not for it to not to be too crazy. I mean, it's a great question. Look, part of you mentioned Darren, you know,
Starting point is 00:33:56 he's a clear visionary, right? Part of the reason we started working with him early on Vio is he's one of those people who's able to kind of see that future, get inspired by it and kind of showing the way for how creative people can express themselves with it. Look, I think when it comes to allowing artistic free expression, it has one of the most important values in a society, right? I think, you know, artists have always been the ones to push boundaries,
Starting point is 00:34:28 expand the frontiers of thought. Look, I think that's going to be an important value we have. I think we will provide tools and put it in the hands of artists for them to use and put out their work. Those APIs, I almost think of that as infrastructure. Just like when you provide electricity to people or something, you want them to use it and you're not thinking about the use cases on top of it. It's a paintbrush.
Starting point is 00:34:59 Yeah. I think that's how, obviously, there have to be some things and society needs to decide at a fundamental level what's okay, what's not. We'll be responsible with it. But I do think, when it comes to artistic free expression, I think that's one of those values we should work hard to defend. I wonder if you can comment on maybe earlier versions of
Starting point is 00:35:27 Gemini where a little bit careful on the kind of things you would be willing to answer. I just want to comment on I was really surprised and pleasantly surprised and enjoyed the fact that Gemini 2.5 Pro is a lot less careful in a good sense. Don't ask me why, but I've been doing a lot of research on Genghis Khan and the the Esthax. So there's a lot of violence there in that history. It's a very violent history. I've also been doing a lot of research on World War I and World War II. And earlier versions of Gemini were very basically this kind of sense, are you sure you want to learn about this? And now it's actually very factual, objective, talks about very difficult parts of human history and does so with nuance and depth.
Starting point is 00:36:13 It's been really nice. But there's a line there that I guess Google has to kind of walk. I wonder if it's, it's also an engineering challenge, how to, how to do that at scale across all the weird queries that people ask. Can you just speak to that challenge? How do you allow Gemini to say, again, forgive, pardon my French, crazy shit, but not too crazy? I think one of the good insights here has been as the models are getting more capable, the models are really good at this stuff.
Starting point is 00:36:46 I think in some ways, maybe a year ago, the models weren't fully there, so they would also do stupid things more often. So you're trying to handle those edge cases, but then you make a mistake in how you handle those edge cases and it compounds. But I think with 2.5, what we particularly found is once the models cross a certain level of intelligence
Starting point is 00:37:09 and sophistication, you know, they are able to reason through these nuanced issues pretty well. And I think users really want that, right? Like, you know, you want as much access to the raw model as possible, right? But I think it's a great area to think about, like, you know, over time, you know, we should allow more and more closer access to it.
Starting point is 00:37:31 Maybe, obviously, let people custom prompts if they wanted to and like, you know, and, you know, experiment with it, et cetera. I think that's an important direction. But look, the first principles we wanna think about it is, you know, from a scientific standpoint, like making sure the models, and I'm saying scientific in the sense of like how you would approach math or physics or something like that, from first principles, having the models reason about the world, be nuanced, etc., you know, from the ground
Starting point is 00:38:02 up is the right way to build these things, right? Not like some subset of humans kind of hard coding things on top of it. So I think it's the direction we've been taking, and I think you'll see us continue to push in that direction. Yeah, I actually asked, I gave these notes, I took extensive notes, and I gave them to Gemini and said, can you ask a novel question that's not in these notes? And it wrote, Gemini continues to really surprise me. Really surprised me.
Starting point is 00:38:33 It's been really beautiful. It's an incredible model. The question it generated was, you, meaning Sundar, told the world Gemini is churning out 480 trillion tokens a month. What's the most life-changing five-word sentence hiding in that haystack? That's a Gemini question. But it gave me a sense, I don't think you can answer that,
Starting point is 00:38:56 but it woke me up to like all of these tokens are providing little aha moments for people across the globe. So that's like learning that those tokens are, people are curious, they ask a question and they find something out and it truly could be life-changing. Oh, it is. I look, I know I had the same feeling about search many, many years ago.
Starting point is 00:39:19 You definitely, you know, this tokens per month has like grown 50 times in the last 12 months. Is that accurate by the way? Yeah, it is. It is accurate. I'm glad it got it right. But you know, that number was 9.7 trillion tokens per month 12 months ago, right?
Starting point is 00:39:38 It's gone up to 480, you know, it's a 50X increase. So there's no limit to human curiosity. And I think it's one of those moments. Maybe, I don't think it is there today, but maybe one day there's a five word phrase which says what the actual universe is or something like that and something very meaningful, but I don't think we are quite there yet.
Starting point is 00:40:02 Do you think the scaling laws are holding strong on, there's a lot of ways to describe the scaling laws for AI, but on the pre-training, on the post-training fronts, so the flip side of that, do you anticipate AI progress will hit a wall? Is there a wall? You know, it's a cherished micro kitchen conversation once in a while I have it, you know,
Starting point is 00:40:24 like when Demis is visiting or, you know, if Demis, Korai, Jeff, Noam, Sergei, a bunch of our people, like, you know, we sit and, you know, talk about this, right? And look, I, we see a lot of headroom ahead, right? I think we've been able to optimize and improve on all fronts, right? Pre-training, post-training, test time compute, tool use, right? Over time, making these more agentic.
Starting point is 00:40:55 So getting these models to be more general world models in that direction, like VO3, you know, the physics understanding is dramatically better than what VO1 or something like that was. So you kind of see on all those dimensions, I feel progress is very obvious to see. And I feel like there is significant headroom. More importantly, I'm fortunate to work with some of the best researchers on the planet. They think there is more headroom to be had here. So I think we have an exciting trajectory ahead. It's tougher to say, each year I sit and say, okay, we're going to throw 10x more compute
Starting point is 00:41:40 over the course of next year at it, and will we see progress? Sitting here today, I feel like the year ahead will have a lot of progress. And do you feel any limitations like that, or the bottlenecks, compute limited, data limited, idea limited, do you feel any of those limitations? Or is it full steam ahead on all fronts? I think it's compute limited in this sense, right? Like, you know, we can all, part of the reason you've seen us do flash, nano flash and pro models, but not an ultra model.
Starting point is 00:42:12 It's like for each generation, we feel like we've been able to get the pro model at like, I don't know, 80, 90% of ultra capability, but ultra would be a lot more, like, slow and a lot more expensive to serve. But what we've been able to do is to go to the next generation and make the next generation's Pro as good as the previous generation's Ultra, but be able to serve it in a way that it's fast and you can use it and so on. So I do think scaling laws are working, but it's tough to get at any given time, the models we all use the most,
Starting point is 00:42:53 this may be like a few months behind the maximum capability we can deliver, right? Because that won't be the fastest, easiest to use, et cetera. Also, that's in terms of intelligence. It becomes harder and harder to measure performance, in quotes, because you could argue Gemini Flash is much more impactful than Pro, just because of the latency.
Starting point is 00:43:18 It's super intelligent already. I mean, sometimes latency is maybe more important than intelligence, especially when the intelligence is just a little bit less. And flash not, it's still an incredibly smart model. And so you have to now start measuring impact. And then it feels like benchmarks are less and less capable of capturing the intelligence of models, the effectiveness of models, the usefulness, the real world usefulness of models. Another kitchen question.
Starting point is 00:43:46 So, lots of folks are talking about timelines for AGI or ASI, artificial super intelligence. So AGI, loosely defined, is basically human expert level at a lot of the main fields of pursuit for humans. And ASI is what AGI becomes presumably quickly by being able to self-improve. So becoming far superior in intelligence across all these disciplines in humans. When do you think we'll have AGI? Is 2030 a possibility?
Starting point is 00:44:18 There's one other term we should throw in there. I don't know who used it first. Maybe Karpati did, AJI. Have you heard AJI? The artificial jagged intelligence. Sometimes feels that way, right? Both there are progress and you see what they can do. And then like you can trivially find they make numeric letters or like, you know, counting R's in strawberry or something which seems to trip up most models or whatever it is, right? So maybe we should throw that term in there.
Starting point is 00:44:47 I feel like we are in the AGI phase where dramatic progress, some things don't work well, but overall you're seeing lots of progress. But if your question is, will it happen by 2030? Look, we constantly move the line of what it means to be AGI. There are moments today, you know, like sitting in a Waymo in a San Francisco street with all the crowds and the people and kind of work its way through. I see glimpses of it there. The car is sometimes kind of impatient trying to work its way using Astra, like in Gemini Live or asking questions about the world. What's this skinny building doing in my neighborhood?
Starting point is 00:45:29 It's a streetlight, not a building. You see glimpses. That's why I use the word AGI because then you see stuff which obviously, we are far from AGI too. So you have both experiences simultaneously happening to you. I'll answer your question, but I experiences simultaneously happening to you. I'll answer your question, but I'll also throw out this. I almost feel the term doesn't matter. What I knows by 2030, there'll be such dramatic progress. We'll be dealing with the consequences of that
Starting point is 00:45:57 progress, both the positives, both the positive externalities and the negative externalities that come with it in a big way by 2030. So that I strongly feel. Right? Whatever we may be arguing about the term, or maybe Jim and I can answer what that moment is in time in 2030, but I think the progress will be dramatic. Right? So that I believe in. Will the AI think it has reached AGI by 2030? I would say we will just fall short of that timeline, right? So I think it will take a bit longer. It's amazing in the early days of Google DeepMind in 2010, they talked about a 20-year time frame to achieve AGI,
Starting point is 00:46:35 so which is kind of fascinating to see. But for me, the whole thing, seeing what Google Brain did in 2012 and when we acquired Google Brain did in 2012, and when we acquired DeepMind in 2014, right close to where we're sitting in 2012, Jeff Dean showed the image of when the neural networks could recognize a picture of a cat and identify it. This is the early versions of Brain.
Starting point is 00:47:02 So we all talked about a couple of decades. I don't think we'll quite get there by 2030. So my sense is it's slightly after that, but I would stress it doesn't matter like what that definition is because you will have mind blowing progress on many dimensions. Maybe AI can create videos.
Starting point is 00:47:24 We have to figure out as a society, how do we, we need some system by which we all agree that this is AI generated and we have to disclose it in a certain way, because how do you distinguish reality otherwise? Yeah, there's so many interesting things you said. So first of all, just looking back at this recent, now feels like distant history with Google Brain.
Starting point is 00:47:43 I mean, that was before TensorFlow. Before TensorFlow was made public and open-sourced. So the tooling matters too, combined with GitHub ability to share code. Then you have the ideas of attention transformers and the diffusion now. And then there might be a new idea that seems simple in retrospect,
Starting point is 00:48:01 but it will change everything. And that could be the post-training, the inference time innovations. And I think Shad Sien tweeted that, Google is just one great UI from completely winning the AI race. Meaning like, UI is a huge part of it. Like how that intelligence,
Starting point is 00:48:20 I think Logan Cooper, I think likes to talk about this right now, it's an LLM, but when is it going to become a system? Where you're talking about shipping systems versus shipping the particular model. Yeah, that matters too, how the system manifests itself and how it presents itself to the world. That really, really matters. Oh, hugely so. There are simple UI innovations which have changed the world, right?
Starting point is 00:48:45 And I absolutely think so. We will see a lot more progress in the next couple of years, I think. AI itself on a self-improving track for UI itself. Today we are constraining the models. The models can't quite express themselves in terms of the UI to people. But that is, if you think about it, we've kind of boxed them in that way. But given these models can code, they should be able to write the best interfaces
Starting point is 00:49:21 to express their ideas over time, right? That is an incredible idea. So the API is already open. So you create a really nice agentic system that continually improves the way you can be talking to an AI. But a lot of that is in the interface. And then of course, the incredible multimodal aspect of the interface that Google has been pushing. These models are native incredible multimodal aspect of the interface that Google's been pushing.
Starting point is 00:49:46 These models are natively multimodal. They can easily take content from any format, put it in any format. They can write a good user interface. They probably understand your preference is better over time. And so all of this is like the evolution ahead, right? And so that goes back to where we started the conversation.
Starting point is 00:50:07 I think there'll be dramatic evolutions in the years ahead. Maybe one more kitchen question. This even further ridiculous concept of P-Doom. So the philosophically minded folks in the AI community think about the probability that AGI and then ASI might destroy all of human civilization. I would say my P Doom is about 10%. Do you ever think about this kind of long-term threat of ASI and what would your P Doom be?
Starting point is 00:50:40 Look, I mean for sure. Look, I've both been very excited about AI, but I've always felt this is a technology, you know, we have to actively think about the risks and work very, very hard to harness it in a way that it all works out well. On the P-Doom question, look, it's a, you know, won't surprise you to say that's probably another micro kitchen conversation that pops up once in a while. Given how powerful the technology is,
Starting point is 00:51:10 maybe stepping back, when you're running a large organization, if you can align the incentives of the organization, you can achieve pretty much anything. If you can get people all marching towards a goal in a very focused way, in a mission-driven way, you can pretty much achieve anything. But it's very tough to organize all of humanity that way. But I think if freedom is actually high, at some point all of humanity is like aligned
Starting point is 00:51:38 in making sure that's not the case, right? And so we'll actually make more progress against it, I think. So the irony is, so there is a self-modulating aspect there. Like I think if humanity collectively puts their mind to solving a problem, whatever it is, I think we can get there. So because of that, I think I'm optimistic
Starting point is 00:52:01 on the P-Doom scenarios, but that doesn't mean, I think the underlying risk is actually pretty high. But I have a lot of faith in humanity kind of rising up to meet that moment. That's really, really well put. As the threat becomes more concrete and real, humans do really come together and get their shit together. The other thing I think people don't often talk about is probability of doom without AI.
Starting point is 00:52:32 So there's all these other ways that humans can destroy themselves and it's very possible, at least I believe so, that AI will help us become smarter, kinder to each other, more efficient. It'll help more parts of the world flourish where it would be less resource constrained, which is often the source of military conflict and tensions and so on. So we also have to load into that,
Starting point is 00:52:58 what's the P-Doom without AI? With AI, P-Doom with AI, P-Doom without AI. Because it's very possible that AI will be the thing that saves us, saves human civilizations from all the other threats. I agree with you. I think it's insightful. Look, I felt like to make progress on some of the toughest problems would be good to have AI, like pair, helping you.
Starting point is 00:53:21 Right? And like, you know, so that resonates with me for sure. Yeah. Quick pause. Bath and break? If notebook LM was the same compel- like what I saw today with Beam, if it was compelling in the same kind of way, blew my mind. It was incredible. I didn't think it's possible. My hope is like, can you imagine imagine the US president and the Chinese president being able to do something like Beam with the live meet translation working well?
Starting point is 00:53:52 So they're both sitting and talking, make progress a bit more? Yeah, just for people listening, we took a quick bathroom break. And now we're talking about the demo I did. We'll probably post it somewhere, somehow, maybe here. I got a chance to experience Beam and it was, it's hard to describe it in words how real it felt with just, what is it, six cameras. It's incredible. It's incredible. It's one of the toughest products. You can't quite describe it to people. It's one of the toughest products of, you can't quite describe it to people,
Starting point is 00:54:24 even when we show it in slides, et cetera, like you don't know what it is. You have to kind of experience it. On the world leaders front on politics, geopolitics, there's something really special, again, with studying World War II, and how much could have been saved if Chamberlain met Stalin in person.
Starting point is 00:54:44 And I sometimes also struggle explaining to people, articulating why I believe meeting in person for world leaders is powerful. It just seems naive to say that, but there is something there in person. And with Beam, I felt that same thing. And then I'm unable to explain. All I kept doing is what a child does. You look real. I don't know if that makes meetings more productive or so on,
Starting point is 00:55:13 but it certainly makes them more. The same reason you want to show up to work versus remote sometimes, that human connection. I don't know what that is. It's hard to put into words. There's something beautiful about great teams collaborating on a thing that's not captured by the productivity of that team or by whatever on paper. There's some of the most beautiful moments
Starting point is 00:55:42 you experience in life is at work. Pursuing a difficult thing together for many months, there's nothing like it. You're in the trenches and yeah, you do form bonds that way, for sure. And to be able to do that somewhat remotely in that same personal touch, I don't know, that's a deeply fulfilling thing.
Starting point is 00:56:00 I know a lot of people, I personally hate meetings because a significant percent of meetings when done poorly don't serve a clear purpose. But that's a meeting problem. That's not a communication problem. If you can improve the communication for the meetings that are useful, it's just incredible. So yeah, I was blown away by the great engineering behind it. And then we get to see what impact that has. That's really interesting, but just incredible engineering, really impressive.
Starting point is 00:56:28 Oh, it is. And obviously we'll work hard over the years to make it more and more accessible. But yeah, even on a personal front, outside of work meetings, you know, a grandmother who's far away from our grandchild and being able to, you know, have that kind of an interaction, right? All of that, I think, will end up being
Starting point is 00:56:47 very, nothing substitutes being in person. It's not always possible. You could be a soldier deployed trying to talk to your loved ones. So I think that's what inspires us. When you and I hung out last year and took a walk, I remember, I don't think we talked about this, but I remember outside of that, seeing dozens of articles written by analysts and experts and so on that Sundar Pichai should step down because the perception was that Google
Starting point is 00:57:23 was definitively losing the AI race, has lost its magic touch in the rapidly evolving technological landscape. And now a year later, it's crazy, you showed this plot of all the things that were shipped over the past year. It's incredible. And Gemini Pro is winning across many benchmarks and products as we sit here today. So take me through that experience
Starting point is 00:57:49 when there's all these articles saying, you're the wrong guy to leak Google through this. Google has lost. It's done. It's over to today where Google is winning again. What were some low points during that time? Look, I mean, lots to unpack. Obviously, like, I mean, the main bet I made as a CEO was to really make sure the company was approaching everything in an AI-first way, really setting ourselves up to develop AGI responsibly,
Starting point is 00:58:28 right, and make sure we're putting out products which embodies that, things that are very, very useful for people. So look, I knew even through moments like that last year, you know, I had a good sense of what we were building internally. So I had already made many important decisions, bringing together teams of the caliber of brain and deep mind and setting up Google DeepMind. There were things like we made the decision to invest in TPUs 10 years ago. So we knew
Starting point is 00:59:07 we were scaling up and building big models. Anytime you're in a situation like that, a few aspects. I'm good at tuning out noise, right? Separating signal from noise. Do you scuba dive? Like have you, no, it's amazing. Like I'm not good at it, but I've done it a few times. But sometimes you jump in the ocean, it's so choppy, but you go down one feet under, it's the calmest thing in the entire universe, right? So there's a version of that, right?
Starting point is 00:59:43 Like, running Google, you may as well be coaching Barcelona or Real Madrid. You have a bad season. So there are aspects to that. But, you know, like, look, I'm good at tuning out the noise. I do watch out for signals. You know, it's important to separate the signal from the noise. So there are good people
Starting point is 01:00:05 sometimes making good points outside. So you want to listen to it. You want to take that feedback in. But internally, you're making a set of consequential decisions. As leaders, you're making a lot of decisions. Many of them are inconsequential. It feels like, but over time you learn that. Most of the decisions you're making on a day-to-day basis, doesn't matter. You have to make them and you're making them just to keep things moving. But you have to make a few consequential decisions. We had set up the right teams, right leaders.
Starting point is 01:00:47 We had world-class researchers. We were training Gemini. Internally, there are factors which were, for example, outside people may not have appreciated. I mean, TPUs are amazing, but we had to ramp up TPUs too. That took time, right? And to scale actually having enough TPUs to get the compute needed.
Starting point is 01:01:10 But I could see internally the trajectory we were on and be, you know, I was so excited internally about the possibility. To me, this moment felt like one of the biggest opportunities ahead for us as a company. That the opportunity space ahead over the next decade, next 20 years is bigger than what has happened in the past. And I thought we were set up better than most companies in the world to go realize that
Starting point is 01:01:41 vision. I mean, you had to make some consequential bold decisions. Like you mentioned the merger of deep mind and brain. Maybe it's my perspective, just knowing humans. I'm sure there's a lot of egos involved. It's very difficult to merge teams and I'm sure there was some hard decisions to be made. Can you take me through your process
Starting point is 01:02:04 of how you think through that? Do you go to pull the trigger and make that decision? Maybe what were some painful points? How do you navigate those turbulent waters? Look, we were fortunate to have two world-class teams, but you're right. It's like somebody coming and telling you, take Stanford and MIT,
Starting point is 01:02:21 and then put them together and create a great department, and easier said than done. But we were fortunate, you know, phenomenal teams, both had their strengths, you know, they were run very differently, right? Like Brain was kind of a lot of diverse projects, bottoms up, and out of it came a lot of important research breakthroughs. DeepMind at the time had a strong vision of how you want to build AGI and so they were pursuing their direction. But I think through those moments, luckily tapping into, you know, Jeff had expressed
Starting point is 01:02:59 a desire to be more, to go back to more of a scientific individual contributor roots. He felt like management was taking up too much of his time. And Demis naturally, I think, was running DeepMind and was a natural choice there. But I think it was, you're right, it took us a while to bring the teams together, credit to Demis, Jeff, Korai, all the great people there. They worked super hard to combine the best of both worlds when you set up that team. A few sleepless nights here and there
Starting point is 01:03:35 as we put that thing together, we were patient in how we did it so that it works well for the long term, right? And some of that in that moment, I think yes, with things moving fast, I think you definitely felt the pressure. But I think we pulled off that transition well. I think they were obviously doing incredible work,
Starting point is 01:04:01 and there's a lot more incredible things ahead coming from them. We talked about you have a very calm, even-tempered, respectful demeanor. During that time, whether it's the merger or just dealing with the noise, were there times where frustration boiled over? Did you have to go a bit more intense on everybody than you usually would? Probably, you know, probably, right? I think, I think in the sense that, you know, there was a moment where we were all driving hard, but when you're in the trenches, working with passion, you're going to have days, right?
Starting point is 01:04:38 You disagree, you argue, but like all that, I mean, just part of the course of working intensely, right? And, you know, at the end of the day, all of us are doing what we are doing because the impact it can have, we are motivated by it. It's like, you know, for many of us, this has been a long term journey. And so it's been super exciting. The positive moments far outweigh the kind of stressful moments. Just early this year, I had a chance to celebrate
Starting point is 01:05:12 back-to-back over two days, like, you know, Nobel Prize for Jeff Fintan, and the next day, a Nobel Prize for Demis and John Jumper. You know, you worked with people like that. All that is super inspiring. Is there something like with you where you had to like put your foot down, maybe with less versus more or like, I'm the CEO and we're doing this? To my earlier point about consequential decisions you make, there are decisions you make people
Starting point is 01:05:43 can disagree pretty vehemently. But at some point, you make a clear decision and you just ask people to commit. You can disagree, but it's time to disagree and commit so that we can get moving. Whether it's putting the foot down or it's a natural part of what all of us have to do. And, you know, I think you can do that calmly and be very firm in the direction you're making the decision. And I think if you're clear, actually, people over time respect that, right? Like, you know, if you can make decisions with clarity,
Starting point is 01:06:21 I find it very effective in meetings where you're making such decisions to hear everyone out. I think it's important when you can to hear everyone out. Sometimes what you're hearing actually influences how you think about and you're wrestling with it and making a decision. Sometimes you have a clear conviction and you state, so, look, this is how I feel and this is my conviction and you kind of place the bet and you move on. Are there big decisions like that? I'm kind of intuitively assume the merger was the big one. I think that was a very important decision for the company to meet the moment.
Starting point is 01:07:02 I think we had to make sure we were doing that and doing that well. I think that was a consequential decision. There were many other things. We set up a AI infrastructure team, like to really go meet the moment, to scale up the compute we needed to, and really brought teams from disparate parts of the company
Starting point is 01:07:21 kind of created it to move forward. of the company kind of created it to move forward. You know, bringing people, like getting people to kind of work together physically, both in London with DeepMind and what we call Gradient Canopy, which is where the Mountain View, Google DeepMind teams are. But one of my favorite moments is I routinely walk multiple times per week to the Grading canopy building where our top researchers are working on the models. Sergey is often there amongst them, right? Just looking at getting an update on the models, seeing the loss curves, so all that. I think the cultural part of getting the teams together back
Starting point is 01:08:06 with that energy, I think ended up playing a big role too. What about the decision to recently add AI mode? So Google search is the, as they say, the front page of the internet. It's like a legendary minimalist thing with 10 blue links. Like that's when people think internet thing with 10 blue links. When people think internet, they think that page. And now you're starting to mess with that. So the AI mode, which is a separate tab,
Starting point is 01:08:33 and then integrating AI and the results. I'm sure there were some battles in meetings on that one. Look, in some ways, when mobile came, people wanted answers to more questions. So we're kind of constantly evolving it, but you're right, this moment, that evolution, because the underlying technology is becoming much more capable.
Starting point is 01:08:58 You can have AI give a lot of context, but one of our important design goal stores, when you come to Google search, you're going to get a lot of context, you know, but one of our important design goal stores when you come to Google search, you're going to get a lot of context, but you're going to go and find a lot of things out on the web. So that will be true in AI mode in AI overviews and so on. But I think to our earlier conversation, we are still giving you access to links. But think of the AI as a layer, which is giving you context, summary, maybe in AI mode,
Starting point is 01:09:28 you can have a dialogue with it back and forth on your journey. But through it all, you're kind of learning what's out there in the world. So those core principles don't change, but I think AI mode allows us to push the... We have our best models there, right? Models which are using search as a deep tool, really for every query you're asking, kind of fanning out, doing multiple searches, like kind of assembling that knowledge in a way so you can go and consume what you want to, right?
Starting point is 01:10:00 And that's how we think about it. I gotta just listen to a bunch of Elizabeth, Liz Reed, describe this. Two things stood out to me that you mentioned. One thing is what you were talking about is the query fan out, which I didn't even think about before, is the powerful aspect of integrating a bunch of stuff
Starting point is 01:10:20 on the web for you in one place. So yes, it provides that context so that you can decide which page to then go on to. The other really, really big thing speaks to the earlier, in terms of productivity multiplier that we're talking about that she mentioned was language. So one of the things you don't quite understand is through AI mode, you make make for non-English speakers,
Starting point is 01:10:46 you make sort of let's say English language websites accessible by in the reasoning process as you try to figure out what you're looking for. Of course, once you show up to a page, you can use a basic translate. But that process of figuring it out, if you empathize with a large part of the world that doesn't speak English, their web is much smaller
Starting point is 01:11:13 in that original language. And so it unlocks again, unlocks that huge cognitive capacity there. That we don't, you take for granted here with all the bloggers and the journalists writing about AI mode, you forget that this now unlocks because Gemini is really good at translation. No, it is. I mean, the multimodality, the translation, its ability to reason, we are dramatically
Starting point is 01:11:38 improving tool use. Like as a putting that power in the flow of search, I think, look, I'm super excited with AI overviews. We've seen the product has gotten much better. We measured using all kinds of user metrics. So obviously driven strong growth of the product. And we've been testing AI mode. It's now in the hands of millions of people. And the early metrics are very encouraging.
Starting point is 01:12:10 So look, I'm excited about this next chapter of search. For people who are not thinking through or aware of this. So there's the 10 blue links with AI overview on top that provides a nice summarization. You can expand it. And you have sources and links now embedded. I believe, at least Liz said so, I actually didn't notice it,
Starting point is 01:12:29 but there's ads in the AI overview also. I don't think there's ads in AI mode. When ads in AI mode, when do you think? I mean, it's okay. We should say that in the 90s. I remember the animated gifts Banner gifts that take you to some shady websites that have nothing to do with anything ad sense revolutionized Advertisement is one of the greatest inventions In recent history because it allows us for free
Starting point is 01:13:03 to have access to all these kinds of services. So ads fuel a lot of really powerful services. And at its best, it's showing you relevant ads, but also very importantly, in a way that's not super annoying, in a classy way. So when do you think it's possible to add ads into AI mode? And what does that look like from a classy, non-annoying perspective?
Starting point is 01:13:29 Two things. Early part of AI mode will obviously focus more on the organic experience to make sure we're getting it right. I think the fundamental value of ads are, it enables access to deploy the services to billions of people. The second is ads are, the reason we've always taken ads seriously is we view ads as commercial information, but it's still information.
Starting point is 01:13:54 And so we bring the same quality metrics to it. I think with AI mode to our earlier conversation about, I think AI itself will help us over time figure out the best way to do it. I think given we are giving context around everything, I think it'll give us more opportunities to also explain, okay, here's some commercial information. Like today as a podcaster, you do it at certain spots
Starting point is 01:14:20 and you probably figure out what's best in your podcast. I think so there are aspects of that, but I think the underlying need of people value commercial information, businesses are trying to connect to users, all that doesn't change in an AI moment. But look, we will rethink it. You've seen us in YouTube now do a mixture
Starting point is 01:14:43 of subscription and ads. Like obviously, we are now introducing subscription offerings across everything. And so as part of that, the optimization point will end up being at different places as well. Do you see it projected in the possible future where AI mode completely replaces the 10 blue links plus AI overview? Our current plan is AI mode is going to be there as a separate tab for people who really want to experience that, but it's not yet at the level
Starting point is 01:15:18 where our main search pages, but as features work, we'll keep migrating it to the main page. And so you can view it as a continuum. AI mode will offer you the bleeding edge experience, but things that work will keep overflowing to AI overviews and the main experience. And the idea that AI mode will still take you to the web, to the human created web. Yes, that's going to be a core design principle for us. So really if users decide, right, they drive this. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:15:50 It's just exciting, a little bit scary that it might change the internet. Because Google has been dominating with a very specific look and idea of what it means to have the internet. And as you move to AI mode, I mean, it's just a different experience. I think Liz was talking about,
Starting point is 01:16:12 I think you've mentioned that you ask more questions, you ask longer questions. Dramatically different types of questions. Yeah, like it actually fuels curiosity. Like I think for me, I've been asking just a much larger number of questions of this black box machine, let's say, whatever it is. And with AI overview, it's interesting,
Starting point is 01:16:36 because I still value the human, I still ultimately want to end up on the human created web. But like you said, the context really helps. It helps us deliver higher quality referrals, right? You know, where people are like, they have much higher likelihood of finding what they're looking for. They're exploring, they're curious, their intent is getting satisfied more. So that's what all our metrics show. It makes the humans that create the web nervous.
Starting point is 01:17:05 The journalists are getting nervous. They've already been nervous. Like we mentioned, CNN is nervous because of podcasts. It makes people nervous. Look, I think news and journalism will play an important role in the future. We're pretty committed to it, right? And so I think making sure that ecosystem, in fact,
Starting point is 01:17:28 I think we'll be able to differentiate ourselves as a company over time because of our commitment there. So it's something I think I definitely value a lot, and as we are designing, we'll continue prioritizing approaches. I'm sure for the people who want, they can have a fine-tuned AI model that's clickbait hit pieces
Starting point is 01:17:49 that will replace current journalism. That's a shot of journalism, forgive me. But I find that if you're looking for really strong criticism of things, that Gemini is very good at providing that. Oh, absolutely. It's better than anything. For now, I mean, people are concerned that there would be bias that's introduced that as the AI
Starting point is 01:18:09 systems become more and more powerful there's incentive from sponsors to roll in and try to control the output of the AI models but for now the objective criticism that's provided is way better than journalism. Of course the argument is the journalists are still valuable but then I don't know the crowd-sourced journalism that we get on the open internet is also very, very powerful. I feel like they're all super important things. I think it's good that you get a lot of crowd-sourced information coming in, but I feel like there is real value for high quality journalism, right? And I think these are all complimentary.
Starting point is 01:18:52 I think like I viewed as I find myself constantly seeking out also, like try to find objective reporting on things too. And sometimes you get more context from the crowdfunded sources you read online. But I think both end up playing a super important role. So there's a you spoken a little bit about about this, Dennis talked about this is sort of the the slice of the web that will increasingly become about providing information for agents. So we can think about is like two layers of the web. One is for humans, one is for agents. So we can think about as like two layers of the web. One is for humans, one is for agents. Do you see the AI agents? Do you see the one that's for AI agents growing
Starting point is 01:19:33 over time? Do you see there still being long term, five, 10 years value for the human created for the purpose of human consumption web? Or will it all be agents in the end in today? Like not everyone does but you know you go to you go to a big retail store. You love walking the aisle you love shopping or grocery store Picking out food etc. We're also online shopping and they're delivering right right? So both are complementary and that's true for restaurants, et cetera. So I do feel like over time, websites will also get better for humans. They will be better designed. AI might actually design them better for humans.
Starting point is 01:20:19 So I expect the web to get a lot richer and more interesting and better to use. At the same time, I think there'll be an agentic web, which is also making a lot of progress. And you have to solve the business value and the incentives to make that work well, right, like for people to participate in it. But I think both will coexist. And obviously the agents may not need the same, I mean, not may not,
Starting point is 01:20:51 they won't need the same design and UI paradigms which humans need to interact with. But I think both will be there. I have to ask you about Chrome. I have to say, for me personally, Google Chrome is probably, I don't know, I'd like to see where I would rank it. But in this temptation, and this is not a recency bias, although it might be a little bit, but I think it's up there, top three,
Starting point is 01:21:18 maybe the number one piece of software for me of all time. So it's incredible, it's really incredible. The browsers are a window to the web and Chrome really continued for many years, but even initially to push the innovation on that front when it was stale and it continues to challenge, it continues to make it more performant, so efficient, just innovate constantly and the Chr chromium aspect of it.
Starting point is 01:21:45 Anyway, you were one of the pioneers of Chrome pushing for it when it was an insane idea, probably one of the ideas that was criticized and doubted and so on. So can you tell me the story of what it took to push for Chrome? What was your vision? story of what it took to push for Chrome? What was your vision? Look, it was a such a dynamic time in around 2004-2005 with Ajax, the web suddenly becoming dynamic. In a matter of few months, Flickr, Gmail, Google Maps, all
Starting point is 01:22:24 kind of came into existence, right? Like the fact that you have an interactive dynamic web. The web was evolving from simple text pages, simple HTML, to rich dynamic applications. But at the same time, you could see the browser was never meant for that world, right? Like JavaScript execution was super slow. You know, the browser was far away from being an operating system for that rich modern web, which was coming into place.
Starting point is 01:22:58 So that's the opportunity we saw. Like, you know, it's an amazing early team. I still remember the day we got a shell on WebKit running and how fast it was. We had a clear vision for building a browser. We wanted to bring core OS principles into the browser. So we built a secure browser sandbox. Each tab was its own.
Starting point is 01:23:27 These things are common now, but at the time, it was pretty unique. We found an amazing team in Arhus, Denmark with a leader who built a V8, the JavaScript VM, which at the time was 25 times faster than any other JavaScript VM out there. And by the way, you're right, we open-sourced it all and put it in Chromium too. But we really thought the web could work much better, much faster, and you could be much safer
Starting point is 01:23:59 browsing the web. And the name Chrome came was because we literally felt people were like the Chrome of the browser was getting clunkier. We wanted to minimize it. And so that was the origins of the project. Definitely, obviously, a highly biased person here talking about Chrome. But, you know, it's the most fun I've had building a product from the ground up. And it was an extraordinary team. I had my co-founders on the project. They were terrific, so definitely fond memories. So for people who don't know, Sundar, it's probably fair to say you're the reason we have Chrome.
Starting point is 01:24:39 Yes, I know there's a lot of incredible engineers, but pushing for it inside a company that probably was opposing it because it's a crazy idea. Because as everybody probably knows, it's incredibly difficult to build a browser. Yeah, look, Eric, who was the CEO at the time, I think it was less that he was opposed to it. He kind of first time knew what a crazy thing it is to go build a browser. And so he definitely was like, this is, you know, there was a crazy aspect to actually wanting to go build a browser. But he was very supportive.
Starting point is 01:25:11 You know, everyone, the founders were. I think once we started, you know, building something and we could use it and see how much better, from then on, like, you know, you're really tinkering with the product and making it better. It came to life pretty fast. What wisdom do you draw from that, from pushing through on a crazy idea in the early days
Starting point is 01:25:32 that ends up being revolutionary? What, for future crazy ideas like it? I mean, this is something Larry and Sergey have articulated clearly. I really internalized this early on, which is their whole feeling around working on moonshots, like as a way, when you work on something very ambitious, first of all, it attracts the best people, right? So that's an advantage you get.
Starting point is 01:25:59 Number two, because it's so ambitious, you don't have others working on something crazy. So you pretty much have the path to yourselves. It's like Waymo and self-driving. Number three, it is even if you end up quite not accomplishing what you set out to do and you end up doing 60, 80 percent of it, you'll end up being a terrific success. So that's the advice I would give people. I think it's just aiming for big ideas,
Starting point is 01:26:25 has all these advantages and it's risky, but it also has all these advantages, which people I don't think fully internalize. I mean, you mentioned one of the craziest, biggest moonshots, which is Waymo. It's one of when I first saw over a decade ago, a Waymo vehicle, a Google self-driving car vehicle,
Starting point is 01:26:50 for me it was an aha moment for robotics. It made me fall in love with robotics even more than before, gave me a glimpse into the future, so it's incredible. Truly grateful for that project, for what it symbolizes. But it's also a crazy moonshot. It's for a long time, Waymo has been just, like you mentioned with scuba diving,
Starting point is 01:27:10 just not listening to anybody, just calmly improving the system, better and better and more testing, just expanding the operational domain more and more. First of all, congrats on 10 million paid robotaxi rides. What lessons do you take from Waymo about the perseverance, the persistence on that project? I look really proud of the progress we have had with Waymo. One of the things I think we were very committed to, the final 20% can look like, we always say, right, the first 80% is easy,
Starting point is 01:27:46 the final 20% takes 80% of the time. I think we definitely were working through that phase with Waymo, but I was aware of that. But we knew we were at that stage. We knew we were the technology gap between, while there were many people, many other self-driving companies, we knew the technology gap was there. In fact, right at the moment when others were doubting Waymo is when, I don't know, made the decision to invest more in Waymo, right? Because so, in some ways it's counterintuitive,
Starting point is 01:28:22 but I think, look, we've always been a deep technology company and Vamo is a version of building an AI robot that works well. And so we get attracted to problems like that, the caliber of the teams there, phenomenal teams. And so I know you follow the space super closely. I'm talking to someone who knows the space well, but it was very obvious it's going to get there. And, you know, there's still more work to do, but it's a good example where we always prioritized
Starting point is 01:28:56 being ambitious and safety at the same time, right? And equally committed to both and pushed hard and you know couldn't be more thrilled with how it's working, how much people love the experience. And this year is definitely we've scaled up a lot and will continue scaling up in 26. That said, the competition is heating up. You've been friendly with Elon even though Technic is heating up. You've been friendly with Elon, even though Technic is a competitor, but you've been friendly with a lot of tech CEOs
Starting point is 01:29:30 in that way, just showing respect towards them and so on. What do you think about the RoboTaxi efforts that Tesla is doing? Do you see it as competition? What do you think? Do you like the competition? We are one of the earliest and biggest backers of SpaceX as Google.
Starting point is 01:29:46 So thrilled with what SpaceX is doing and fortunate to be investors as a company there. And look, we don't compete with Tesla directly. We are not making cars, et cetera. We are building L4, L5 autonomy. We're building a Waymo driver, which is general purpose and can be used in many settings. They're obviously working on making Tesla self-driving too. I've just assumed it's a de facto
Starting point is 01:30:16 that Elon would succeed in whatever he does. So, you know, that is not something I question. So, but I think we are so far from, these spaces are such vast spaces, like I think think about transportation, the opportunity space, the Waymo driver is a general purpose technology we can apply in many situations.
Starting point is 01:30:40 So you have a vast green space. In all future scenarios, I see Tesla doing well and you know Waymo doing well. Like we mentioned with the Neolithic package I think it's very possible that in that quote-unquote AI package when the history is written, autonomous vehicles, self-driving cars is like the big thing that changes everything. Imagine over a period of a decade or two, just the complete transition from manual to autonomous in ways we might not predict, it might change the way we move about the world completely.
Starting point is 01:31:18 So that, you know, the possibility of that, and then the second and third order effects, as you're seeing now with Tesla, very possibly you would see some internally with Alphabet, maybe Waymo, maybe some of the Gemini robotics stuff, it might lead you into the other domains of robotics. Because we should remember that Waymo is a robot. Mm-hmm. It just happens to be on four wheels.
Starting point is 01:31:43 So you said that the next big thing, we can also throw that into AI. Remember that Waymo is a robot. It just happens to be on four wheels. So you said that the next big thing, we can also throw that into AI package, the big aha moment might be in the space of robotics. What do you think that would look like? DEMIS and the Google DeepMind team is very focused on Gemini robotics. So we are definitely building the underlying models well.
Starting point is 01:32:06 So we have a lot of investments there and I think we are also pretty cutting edge in our research there. So we are definitely driving that direction. We obviously are thinking about applications in robotics will kind of work seriously. We are partnering with a few companies today but it's an area I would say stay tuned.
Starting point is 01:32:25 We are yet to fully articulate our plans outside, but it's an area we are definitely committed to driving a lot of progress. But I think AI ends up driving that massive progress in robotics. The field has been held back for a while. I mean, the hardware has made extraordinary progress. for a while, I mean, hardware has made extraordinary progress. The software had been the challenge, but with AI now and the generalized models we are building, we are building these models, getting them to work in the real world in a safe way, in a generalized way,
Starting point is 01:33:00 is the frontier we're pushing pretty hard on. Well, it's really nice to see that the models and the different teams integrated to where all of them are pushing towards one world model that's being built. So from all these different angles, multimodal, you're ultimately trying to get gemini. The same thing that would make AI mode really effective in answering your questions, which requires a kind of world model, is the same kind of thing that would help a robot be useful in the physical world. So everything is aligned.
Starting point is 01:33:32 That is what makes this moment so unique because running a company, for the first time you can do one investment in a very deep horizontal way. On top of it, can like drive multiple businesses forward right and you know and that's that's effectively what we are doing in Google and Alphabet. It's all coming together like it was planned ahead of time but it's not of course it's all distributed I mean if Gmail and Sheets and all these other incredible services I can sing Gmail praises for years I mean just just revolutionized email.
Starting point is 01:34:05 But the moment you start to integrate AI Gemini into Gmail, I mean, that's the other thing. Speaking of productivity multiplier, people complain about email, but that changed everything. Email, like the invention of email changed everything. And it's been ripe. There's been a few folks trying to revolutionize email, some of them on top of Gmail,
Starting point is 01:34:24 but that's like ripe for innovation. Not just spam filtering, but you demoed a really nice demo of personalized responses. And at first I was like, at first I felt really bad about that, but then I realized that there's nothing wrong to feel bad about because the example you gave is when a friend asks you know you went to
Starting point is 01:34:49 whatever hiking location, do you have any advice? And they just search us through all your information to give them good advice and then you put the cherry on top. Maybe some love or whatever, camaraderie. But the informational aspect, the knowledge transfer does for you. I think there'll be important moments. Like it should be, like today, if you write a card in your own handwriting and send it to someone, that's a special thing.
Starting point is 01:35:14 Similarly, there'll be a time, I mean, to your friends, maybe a friend wrote and said, he's not doing well or something. You know, those are moments you wanna save your times for writing something, reaching out, but like saying, give me all the details of the trip you took, to me makes a lot of sense for an AI assistant to help you. So I think both are important, but I think I'm excited about that. Yeah, I think ultimately it gives more time for us humans to do the things we humans find meaningful.
Starting point is 01:35:47 And I think it scares a lot of people because we're gonna have to ask ourselves the hard question of like, what do we find meaningful? And I'm sure there's answers. I mean, it's the old question of the meaning of existence is you have to try to figure that out. That might be ultimately parenting or being creative in some domains of
Starting point is 01:36:05 art or writing. It's a good question to ask yourself, like, in my life, what is the thing that brings me most joy and fulfillment? And if I'm able to actually focus more time on that, that's really powerful. I think that's the holy grail. If you get this right, I think it allows more people to find that. I have to ask you on the programming front, AI is getting really good at programming. Gemini, both the Agentech and just the LLM
Starting point is 01:36:37 has been incredible. So a lot of programmers are really worried that their jobs, they will lose their jobs. How worried should they be? And how should they adjust so they can be thriving in this new world where more and more code is written by AI? I think a few things.
Starting point is 01:36:55 Looking at Google, we've given various stats around like 30% of code now uses AI-generated suggestions or whatever it is. But the most important metric, and we carefully measured it, is how much has our engineering velocity increased as a company due to AI? It's tough to measure, and we kind of rigorously try to measure it. And our estimates are at the number is now at 10%, right? Like now across the company,
Starting point is 01:37:31 we've accomplished a 10% engineering velocity increase using AI. But we plan to hire engineers, more engineers next year, right? So because the opportunity space of what we can do but we plan to hire more engineers next year. Because the opportunity space of what we can do is expanding too. And so I think hopefully, at least in the near to midterm,
Starting point is 01:37:59 for many engineers, it frees up more and more of the, even in engineering and coding, there are aspects which are so much fun, you're designing, you're architecting, you're solving a problem. There's a lot of grand work, which all goes hand in hand,
Starting point is 01:38:18 but it hopefully takes a lot of that away, makes it even more fun to code, frees you up more time to create, problem solve, brainstorm with your fellow colleagues and so on, right? So that's the opportunity there. And second, I think like, you know, it'll attract, it'll put the creative power in more people's hands, which means people create more. That means there'll be more engineers doing more things. So it's tough to fully predict, but I think in general in this moment,
Starting point is 01:38:51 it feels like people adopt these tools and be better programmers. Like there are more people playing chess now than ever before, right? So it feels positive that way to me, at least speaking from within a Google context, is how I would talk to them about it. I still, I just know anecdotally,
Starting point is 01:39:15 a lot of great programmers are generating a lot of code. So their productivity, they're not always using all the code just, you know, there's still a lot of editing, but like, even for me, I'm still programming as a side thing, I think I'm like 5X more productive. I don't, I think that's, even for a large code base that's touching a lot of users,
Starting point is 01:39:39 like Google's does, I'm imagining like, very soon that productivity should be going up even more. The big unlock will be as we make the agentic capabilities much more robust. Right. I think that's what unlocks that next big wave. I think the 10% is like a massive number. Like you know tomorrow like I showed up and said like yeah you can improve like a large organization's productivity by 10% when you have tens of thousands of engineers. That's a phenomenal number. And that's different than what other site
Starting point is 01:40:13 or statistic saying, this percentage of code is now written by AI. I'm talking more about overall actual productivity, engineering productivity, which is two different things, and which is the more important metric. But I think it'll get better. I think there's no engineer who tomorrow, if you magically became 2x more productive, you're
Starting point is 01:40:39 just going to create more things. You're going to create more value-added things. And so I think you'll find more satisfaction in your job. Right, so. And there's a lot of aspects. I mean, the actual Google code base might just improve because it'll become more standardized, more easier for people to move about the code base
Starting point is 01:40:55 because AI will help with that. And therefore, that will also allow the AI to understand the entire code base better, which makes the engineering aspect, and so I've been using Cursor a lot as a way to program with Gemini and other models, is like, one of its powerful things is it's aware of the entire code base, and that allows you
Starting point is 01:41:14 to ask questions of it, it allows the agents to move about that code base in a really powerful way. I mean, that's a huge unlock. Think about like, you know, migrations, refactoring old cold bases. Refactoring, yeah. Yeah, I mean, think about like, you know, once we can do all this in a much better, more robust way than where we are
Starting point is 01:41:33 today. I think in the end, everything will be written in JavaScript and run in Chrome. I think it's all going to that direction. I mean, just for fun. Google has legendary coding interviews, like rigorous interviews for the engineers. Can you comment on how that has changed in the era of AI? It's just such a weird, you know, the whiteboard interview, I assume is not allowed to have some prompts. Such a good question. Look, I do think we're making sure,
Starting point is 01:42:09 we'll introduce at least one round of in-person interviews for people just to make sure the fundamentals are there. I think that'll end up being important. But it's an equally important skill. Look, if you can use these tools to generate better code, like I think that's an asset. important skill. Look, if you can use these tools to generate better code, like, you know, I think that's an asset. And so, you know, I think, so overall, I think it's a massive positive. Vibe coding engineer. Do you recommend people, students interested in programming still get an
Starting point is 01:42:39 education in computer science, in college education? What do you think? I do. If you have a passion for computer science, I would. Computer science is obviously a lot more than programming alone. So I would. I still don't think I would change what you pursue. I think AI will horizontally allow impact every field. It's pretty tough to predict in what ways. So any education in which you're
Starting point is 01:43:10 learning good first principles thinking, I think is good education. You've revolutionized web browsing, you've revolutionized a lot of things over the years. Android changed the game. It's an incredible operating system. We could talk for hours about Android What is the future of Android look like is it is it possible it becomes? more and more AI centric especially now the throw into the mix Android XR with a Being able to do augmented reality mixed, and virtual reality in the physical world?
Starting point is 01:43:47 You know, the best innovations in computing have come when you're through a paradigm, I over change, right? Like, you know, when, with GUI, and then with a graphical user interface, and then with multi-touch in the context of mobile, voice later on. Similarly, I feel like, you feel like AR is that next paradigm. I think it was held back both the system integration challenges of making good AR is very, very
Starting point is 01:44:14 hard. The second thing is you need AI to actually kind of, otherwise the IOS is too complicated. For you to have a natural seamless IOTO, that paradigm, AI ends up being super important. So this is why Project Astra ends up being super critical for that Android XR world. But it is. I think when you use glasses, and always been amazed at how useful these things are going to be. So I look, I think it's a real opportunity for Android. I think XR is one way it'll kind of really come to life.
Starting point is 01:44:55 But I think there's an opportunity to rethink the mobile OS too, right? I think we've been kind of living in this paradigm of like apps and shortcuts, all that won't go away. But again, if you're trying to get stuff done at an operating system level, it needs to be more agent-ic so that you can describe what you want to do or it proactively understands what you're trying to do, learns from how you're doing things over and over again, and kind of adapting to you. All that is kind of like the unlock we need to go and do.
Starting point is 01:45:28 With the basic, efficient, minimalist UI, I've gotten a chance to try the glasses and they're incredible. It's the little stuff. It's hard to put into words, but no latency. It just works. Even that little map demo where you look down and you look up and there's a very smooth transition between the two and useful, very small amount of useful information is shown to you, enough not to distract
Starting point is 01:45:55 from the world outside, but enough to provide a bit of context when you need it. And some of that, in order to bring that into reality, you have to solve a lot of the OS problems to make sure it works when you're integrating the AI into the whole thing. So everything you do launches an agent that answers some basic question.
Starting point is 01:46:16 It's a good moonshot, you know. I love that. Yeah, it's crazy. But I think we are, but it's much closer to reality than other moonshots. We expect to have glasses in the hands of developers later this year and in consumer science next year. So it's an exciting time. Yeah, well, extremely well executed. Beam, all this stuff, you know,
Starting point is 01:46:40 cause sometimes you don't know, like somebody commented on a top comment on one of the demos of Beam. They said, this will either be killed off in five weeks or revolutionize all meetings in five years. And there's very much, Google tries so many things and sometimes sadly kills off very promising projects, but because there's so many other things to focus on.
Starting point is 01:47:04 I use so many Google things to focus on. I use so many Google products. Google Voice I still use. I'm so glad that's not being killed off. That's still alive. Thank you, whoever is defending that, because it's awesome. It's great that you keep innovating. I just want to list off just as a big thank you.
Starting point is 01:47:20 Search obviously Google revolutionized. Chrome. All of these can be multi-hour conversations Gmail Have been singing Gmail praises forever Maps Incredible technological innovation and revolutionizing mapping Android like we talked about YouTube like we talked about AdSense Google Translate for the academic mind to Google Scholar Is incredible when with the book and also the scanning of the books so making all the world's knowledge With the academic mind, a Google Scholar is incredible.
Starting point is 01:47:45 And also the scanning of the books, so making all the world's knowledge accessible, even with that knowledge is a kind of niche thing, which Google Scholar is. And then obviously with DeepMind, with AlphaZero, AlphaFold, AlphaEvolve, I could talk forever about AlphaEvolve. That's mind-blowing. All of that released. And as part of that set of things you've released in this year when those brilliant articles were written about Google is done.
Starting point is 01:48:15 And like we talked about pioneering self-driving cars and quantum computing, which could be another thing that is low key, is scuba diving, its way to changing the world forever. So another potheads slash micro kitchen question, if you build AGI, what kind of question would you ask it? What would you want to talk about? Definitively, Google has created AGI that can basically answer any question. What topic are you going to? Where are you going?
Starting point is 01:48:51 It's a great question. Maybe it's proactive by then and should tell me a few things I should know. But I think if I were to ask it, I think it'll help us understand ourselves much better in a way that will surprise us, I think. And so maybe that's, you already see people do it with the products. And so, but you know, in an AGI context, I think that'll be pretty powerful. At a personal level or a general human nature? At a personal level, like you talking to AGI, I think there is some chance it'll kind of understand you in a very deep way. I think in a
Starting point is 01:49:37 profound way that's a possibility. I think there is also the obvious thing of maybe it helps us understand the universe better in a way that expands the frontiers of our understanding of the world. That is something super exciting. But look, I really don't know. I think, you know, I haven't had access to something that powerful yet, but I think those are all possibilities. I think on the personal level,
Starting point is 01:50:08 asking questions about yourself, could a sequence of questions like that about what makes me happy, I think we would be very surprised to learn through those kind of the sequence of questions and answers we might explore some profound truths in the way that sometimes art reveals to us, great books reveal to us,
Starting point is 01:50:30 great conversations with loved ones reveal, things that are obvious in retrospect, but are nice when they're said. But for me, number one question is about how many alien civilizations are there? 100%. Are they, how many- That's gonna be your first question.
Starting point is 01:50:44 Number one, how many living and dead alien civilizations? 100%? That's going to be your first question. Number one, how many living and dead alien civilizations? Maybe a bunch of follow-ups, like how close are they? Are they dangerous? If there's no alien civilizations, why? Or if there's no advanced alien civilizations, but bacteria like life everywhere, why? What is the barrier preventing it from getting to that? Is it because that there's, when you get sufficiently intelligent, you end up destroying ourselves because you need competition
Starting point is 01:51:15 in order to develop an advanced civilization. And when you have competition, it's going to lead to military conflict and conflict eventually kills everybody. I don't know, I'm gonna have that kind of discussion. You're gonna get an answer to the Fermi paradox, yeah. Exactly, and like have a real discussion about it. I'm not sure it's a, I'm realizing now with your answer
Starting point is 01:51:33 is a more productive answer because I'm not sure what I'm gonna do with that information but maybe speaks to the general human curiosity that Liz talked about, that we're all just really curious and making the world's information accessible allows our curiosity to be satiated some with AI even more. We can be more and more curious
Starting point is 01:51:54 and learn more about the world, about ourselves. And in so doing, I always wonder, I don't know if you can comment on, is it possible to measure, not the GDP productivity increase like we talked about, but maybe whatever that increases, the breadth and depth of human knowledge that Google has unlocked with Google search
Starting point is 01:52:19 and now with AI mode with Gemini, is a difficult thing to measure. Many years ago, it was a MIT study. They just estimated the impact of Google search and they basically said it's the equivalent to on a per person basis, it's few thousands of dollars per year per person, right? Like it's the value that got created per year, right?
Starting point is 01:52:44 And, but it's, yeah, it's tough to capture these things, right? You kind of take it for granted as these things come. And the frontier keeps moving, but, you know, how do you measure the value of something like alpha fold over time? Right? And so on. So it's- And also the increase in quality of life when you learn more I have to say like
Starting point is 01:53:06 with Some of the programming I do done by AI for some reason. I'm more excited to program Yeah, and so the same with knowledge with discovering things about the world It makes you more excited to be alive. It makes you more curious to and it keeps the more curious you are more excited to be alive, it makes you more curious. And it keeps, the more curious you are, the more exciting it is to live and experience the world. And it's very hard to, I don't know if that makes you more productive, probably not nearly as much
Starting point is 01:53:33 as it makes you happy to be alive. And that's a hard thing to measure. The quality of life increases, some of these things do. As AI continues to get better and better at everything that humans do, what do you think is the biggest thing that makes us humans special? Look, I think it's tough to articulate. In the essence of humanity, there's something about the consciousness we have, what makes
Starting point is 01:54:04 us uniquely human. Maybe the lines will blur over time and it's tough to articulate, but I hope, hopefully, we live in a world where if you make resources more plentiful and make the world lesser of a zero sum game over time, right? And which it's not, but you know, in a resource constrained environment,
Starting point is 01:54:30 people perceive it to be right. And so I hope the values of what makes us uniquely human, empathy, kindness, all that surfaces more as the aspirational hope I have. Yeah, it multiplies the compassion, but also the curiosity. Just the banter, the debates we'll have about the meaning of it all. And I also think in the scientific domains, all the incredible work that DeepMind is doing,
Starting point is 01:55:03 I think we'll still continue to play, to explore scientific questions, mathematical questions, physics questions, even as AI gets better and better at helping us solve some of the questions. Sometimes the question itself is a really difficult thing. Both the right new questions to ask and the answers to them and the self-discovery process which it will drive, I think. You know, our early work with both coscientists and Alpha Evolve, just super exciting to see. What gives you hope about the future of human civilization?
Starting point is 01:55:40 Look, I've always, I'm an optimist and, you know, I look at... Now, if you were to say you take the journey of human civilization, it's been... We've relentlessly made the world better in many ways. At any given moment in time, there are big issues to work through. It may look, but I always ask myself the question, would you have been born now or any other time in the past?
Starting point is 01:56:09 I most often, not most often, almost always would rather be born now. And so that's the extraordinary thing the human civilization has accomplished. And we've kind of constantly made the world a better place. And so something tells me as humanity, we always rise collectively to drive that frontier forward.
Starting point is 01:56:35 So I expect it to be no different in the future. I agree with you totally. I'm truly grateful to be alive in this moment. And I'm also really excited for the future. And the work you and the incredible teams here are doing I'm really grateful to be alive in this moment, and I'm also really excited for the future. The work you and the incredible teams here are doing is one of the big reasons I'm excited for the future. So thank you.
Starting point is 01:56:52 Thank you for all the cool products you've built, and please don't kill Google Voice. Thank you, Sundar. We won't, yeah. Thank you for talking today. This was incredible. Real pleasure. Appreciate it.
Starting point is 01:57:04 Thanks for listening to this conversation with Sundar Pichai. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description or at lexfreedman.com. Shortly before this conversation, I got a chance to get a couple of demos that frankly blew my mind. The engineering was really impressive. The first demo was Google Beam, and the second demo was the XR glasses. And some of it was caught on video, so I thought I would include here some of those video clips. Hey Lex, my name's Andrew.
Starting point is 01:57:40 I lead the Google Beam team, and we're gonna be excited to show you a demo. We're gonna show you, I think, a glimpse of something new. So that's the idea, a way to connect, a way to feel present from anywhere with anybody you care about. Here's Google Beam. This is a development platform that we've built.
Starting point is 01:57:55 So there's a prototype here of Google Beam. There's one right down the hallway. I'm gonna go down and turn that on in a second. We're gonna experience it together. We'll be back in the same room. Wonderful. Whoa, okay. Hey, Les, here we are.
Starting point is 01:58:09 All right. This is real already. Wow. This is real. Wow. Good to see you. This is Google Beam. We're trying to make it feel like you and I could be anywhere in the world, but when these magic windows open, we're back together.
Starting point is 01:58:21 I see you exactly the same way you see me. It's almost like we're sitting at the table sharing a table together. I could learn from you, talk to you, share a meal with you, get to know you. So you can feel the depth of this. Wow. So for people who probably can't even imagine what this looks like, there's a 3D version. It looks real. You look real. Yeah, it looks real to me. It looks real to you. It looks like you're coming out of the screen. We quickly believe, once we're in Beam, that we're just together.
Starting point is 01:58:51 You settle into it, you're naturally attuned to seeing the world like this, and you just get used to seeing people this way. But literally, from anywhere in the world with these magic screens. This is incredible. It's a neat technology. Wow. So I saw demos of this, but they don't come close to the experience of this
Starting point is 01:59:07 I think one of the top YouTube comments and one of the demos I saw was like why would I want to high definition? I'm trying to turn off the camera But this actually is this feels like the camera has been turned off and we're just in the same room together This is really compelling That's right. I know it's kind of late in the day, too So I brought you a snack just in case you're a little bit hungry but um. So what can you push it farther and it just becomes. Let's try to float it between rooms you know it kind of fades it from my room and then and then you see my hand the
Starting point is 01:59:35 depth of my hand. Of course yeah. Wow. Of course yeah it feels like you try this try give me a high five and there's almost a sensation of being in touch. Yeah. Almost feel. Yes. Because you're so attuned to you know That should be a high five it feeling like you could connect with some yeah that way so it's kind of a magical experience Oh, this is really nice. How much does it cost? Got a lot of companies testing it we just announced that we're gonna be bringing it to Offices soon as a set of products. We've got some companies helping us build these screens But eventually I think this will be in almost every screen. There's nothing, I'm not wearing anything.
Starting point is 02:00:06 Well, I'm wearing a suit and tie to clarify. I am wearing clothes, this is not CGI. But outside of that, cool. And the audio is really good and you can see me in the same three dimensional way. Yeah, the audio is spatialized. So if I'm talking from here, of course it sounds like I'm talking from here.
Starting point is 02:00:23 You know, if I move to the other side of the room. Wow. So these little subtle cues, these really matter to bring people together. All the non-verbals, all the emotion, the things that are lost today, here it is. We put it back into the system. You pulled this off. Holy shit, they pulled it off. And integrated into this I saw the translation also.
Starting point is 02:00:42 This is the- Yeah, we've got a bunch of things. Let me show you a couple kind of cool things. Let me show you a couple of cool things. Let's do a little bit of work together. Maybe we could critique one of your latest. So you and I work together. So of course, we're in the same room, but with the superpower,
Starting point is 02:00:57 I can bring other things in here with me. It's nice. It's like we could sit together, we could watch something, we could work. We've shared meals as a team together in this system, but once you do the presence aspect, you want to bring some other superpowers to it. So you could do review code together. Yeah, exactly. I've got some slides I'm working on.
Starting point is 02:01:18 Maybe you could help me with this. Keep your eyes on me for a second. I'll slide back into the center. I didn't really move, but the kind of puts us in the right spot and knows where we need Oh, so you just turn to your laptop the system moves you and it does the overlay automatically It kind of warps the room to put in the spot that they need to be in Everything has a place in the room. Everything has a sense of presence or spatial Consistency and that kind of makes it feel like we're together with us and other things
Starting point is 02:01:44 I should also say you're not just three-dimensional it feels like you're leaning like out of the screen you're like coming out of the screen you're not just in that world three-dimensional yeah exactly holy crap move back to center okay okay okay let me find how this works you probably already have the premise of it, but there's two things. Two really hard things that we put together. One is an AI video model. So there's a set of cameras. You asked kind of about those earlier. There's six color cameras, just like webcams that we have today, taking video streams and feeding them into our AI
Starting point is 02:02:20 model and turning that into a 3D video of you and I. It's effectively a light field. So it's kind of an interactive 3D video that you can see from any perspective. That's transmitted over to the second thing, and that's a light field display. And it's happening bidirectionally. I see you and you see me both in our light field displays. These are effectively flat televisions or flat displays,
Starting point is 02:02:40 but they have the sense of dimensionality, depth, size is correct. You can see shadows and lighting are correct, and everything's correct from your vantage point. So if you move around ever so slightly and I hold still, you see a different perspective. You see kind of things that were included become reveal. You see shadows that, you know, move in the way they should move. All of that's computed and generated using our AI video model for you.
Starting point is 02:03:04 It's based on your eye position. Where does the right scene need to be placed in this light field display for you just to feel present? It's real-time, no latency. I'm not seeing like you weren't freezing up at all. No, no, I hope not. I think it's you and I together, real-time, that's what you need for real communication. At a quality level,
Starting point is 02:03:22 This is awesome. It's realistic. Is it possible to do three people? Is that going to move that way also? Yeah, let me kind of show you. So if she enters the room with us, you can see her, you can see me. And if we had more people, you eventually lose a sense of presence. You kind of shrink people down, you lose a sense of scale.
Starting point is 02:03:40 So think of it as the window fits a certain number of people. If you want to fit a big group of people, you want the boardroom or the big room, you need like a much wider window. If you want to see just grandma and the kids, you can do smaller windows. So everybody has a seat at the table or everybody has a sense of where they belong
Starting point is 02:03:57 and there's kind of the sense of presence that's obeyed. If you have too many people, you kind of go back to like 2D metaphors that we're used to. People in tiles placed anywhere. For the image I'm seeing, did you have to get scanned? I mean, I see you without being scanned. So it's just so much easier if you don't have to wear anything, you don't have to pre-scan.
Starting point is 02:04:12 You just do it the way it's supposed to happen without anybody having to learn anything or put anything on. I thought you had to solve the scanning problem, but here you don't. It's just cameras. It's just vision. It's video, yeah. We're not trying to kind of make an
Starting point is 02:04:26 approximation of you because everything you do every day matters, you know. I cut myself shaving, I put on a pin. All the little kind of, you know, aspects of you, those just happen. We don't have the time to scan or kind of capture those or dress avatars. We kind of appear as we appear. And so all that's transmitted truthfully at Toppity. Hi Chris. Hi Still, how you doing? Good to meet you. Nice to meet you.
Starting point is 02:04:50 So as Max mentioned, we've got the eyeglasses here. We start with the foundation of great glasses, something stylish, lightweight, wearable. I'm gonna say how can we build great technology and experiences on top of that. One of the core tenets of the Android XR platform, this idea of a multimodal conversational device, see what you see, what you hear.
Starting point is 02:05:07 So you've got a camera, you've got speakers, multiple microphones for speaker isolation. I'll give you a chance to try these yourself. Yeah, sorry, I woke it up there. Whoa. Yeah. So the first thing you see, it's a super simple, straightforward home screen.
Starting point is 02:05:22 So you probably see the time, the weather, calendar appointments there. This is designed to be sort of your one-stop shop for quick glanceable information throughout the day. We want to do something that's easy to get what you need and then go back to what you're doing. So you can imagine, you know, turning on the display, getting that quick glance, and then continuing on your way.
Starting point is 02:05:40 You can be fully conversational at this point. You can ask questions, for example, about the paintings. You can interrupt, you can ask follow-up questions. And as I mentioned before, if you want to at any time pause, you just tap there on the right. Gemini, how much does this painting cost? The painting is called The Bridge of L'Ifalib 1875 by Armand Guilmet. It appears to be a print, and it would be impossible to know its cost without finding the seller. Okay, so this is fake. I understand.
Starting point is 02:06:04 Why do humans pay so much money for paintings? it would be impossible to know its cost without finding the seller. Okay, so this is fake. I understand. Why do humans pay so much money for paintings? People pay a lot for paintings because of their artistic merit. The artist's fangs, the thesis of rarity, and for the appreciation they learn. So a few more things I want to show you just for the sake of time. Could you go ahead and long press on the side again to just loop your M&I there? There you go. Did you catch Google I.O IO last week by any chance?
Starting point is 02:06:26 So you might have seen on stage the Google Maps experience very briefly. Wanted to give you a chance to get a sense of what that feels like today. You can imagine you're walking down the street. If you look up like you're walking straight ahead, you get quick turn by turn directions. So you have a sense of what the next turn is like.
Starting point is 02:06:42 Nice. Keeping your phone in your pocket. Oh, that's so intuitive. Sometimes you need that quick sense of which way is the right way. Sometimes. So let's say you're coming out of a subway, getting out of a cab, you can just glance down at your feet. We have it set up to translate from Russian to English.
Starting point is 02:06:56 I think I get to wear the glasses and you speak to me if you don't mind. I can speak Russian. Hi, Drew, how are you? I'm doing well. how are you doing? Tempted to swear, tempted to say inappropriate things. Can you hear my voice right away or do you have to wait? I see it transcribed in real time, and so obviously, you know, based on the different languages and sequence of subjects and verbs There's a slight delay sometimes but it's really just like subtitles for the real world. Thank you for this
Starting point is 02:07:31 All right back to me Hopefully watching videos of me having my mind blown like the apes in 2001 space Honestly playing with the monolith was somewhat interesting Like I said, I was very impressed. And now I thought if it's okay, I could make a few additional comments about the episode and just in general. In this conversation with Sundar Pichai,
Starting point is 02:07:53 I discussed the concept of the Neolithic package, which is the set of innovations that came along with the first agricultural revolution about 12,000 years ago, which included the formation of social hierarchies, the early primitive forms of government, labor specialization, domestication of plants and animals, early forms of trade, large-scale cooperations of humans like that required to build, yes, the pyramids and temples like Quebec-Litapé. I think this may be the right way to actually talk about
Starting point is 02:08:27 the inventions that changed human history, not just as a single invention, but as a kind of network of innovations and transformations that came along with it. And the productivity multiplier framework that I mentioned in the episode, I think is a nice way to try to concretize the impact of each of these inventions under consideration. And we have to remember that each node in the network of the sort of fast follow on
Starting point is 02:08:56 inventions is in itself a productivity multiplier. Some are additive, some are multiplicative. So in some sense, the size of the network in the package is the thing that matters when you're trying to rank the impact of inventions on human history. The easy picks for the period of biggest transformation, at least in sort of modern day discourse, is the Industrial Revolution or even in the 20th century, the computer or the internet. I think it's because it's easiest to intuit for modern day humans the impact, the
Starting point is 02:09:39 exponential impact of those technologies. But recently, I suppose this changes week to week, but I have been doing a lot of reading on ancient human history. So recently my pick for the number one invention would have to be the first agricultural revolution, the Neolithic package that led to the formation of human civilizations.
Starting point is 02:10:01 That's what enabled the scaling of the collective intelligence machine of humanity. And for us to become the early bootloader for the next 10,000 years of technological progress, which Yes includes AI and the tech that builds on top of AI And of course, it could be argued that the word invention doesn't properly apply to the agricultural revolution I think actually you've all O'Haraari argues that it wasn't the humans who were the inventors, but a handful of plant species,
Starting point is 02:10:35 namely wheat, rice, and potatoes. This is strictly a fair perspective, but I'm having fun, like I said, with this discussion. Here, I just think of the entire Earth as a system that continuously transforms, and I'm using the term invention in that context, asking the question of when was the biggest leap on the log scale plot of human progress.
Starting point is 02:11:00 Will AI, AGI, ASI eventually take the number one spot on this ranking? I think it has a very good chance to do so, due again to the size of the network of inventions that will come along with it. I think we discussed in this podcast the kind of things that would be included in the so-called AI package, but I think there's a lot more possibilities, including discussed in previous podcasts and many previous podcasts,
Starting point is 02:11:30 including with Dari Elmadey talking on the biological innovation side, the science progress side. In this podcast, I think we talk about something that I'm particularly excited about in the near term, which is unlocking the cognitive capacity of the entire landscape of brains that is the human species,
Starting point is 02:11:50 making it more accessible through education and through machine translation, making information, knowledge, and the rapid learning and innovation process accessible to more humans, to the entire eight billion, if you will. So I do think language or machine translation applied to all the different methods that we use on the internet to discover knowledge
Starting point is 02:12:17 is a big unlock. But there are a lot of other stuff in the so-called AI package, like discussed with Dario, curing all major human diseases. He really focuses on that in the Machines of Love and Grace essay. I think there will be huge leaps in productivity for human programmers and semi-autonomous human programmers.
Starting point is 02:12:37 So humans in the loop, but most of the programming is done by AI agents. And then moving that towards a superhuman AI researcher that's doing the research that develops and programs the AI system in itself. I think there'll be huge transformative effects from autonomous vehicles. These are the things that we maybe don't immediately understand or we understand from an economics perspective but there will be a point when AI systems are able to interpret, understand, interact with the human world
Starting point is 02:13:13 to a sufficient degree to where many of the manually controlled human in the loop systems we rely on become fully autonomous. And I think mobility is such a big part of human civilization that there will be effects on that, that they're not just economic, but are social, cultural, and so on. And there's a lot more things I could talk about for a long time. So obviously the integration utilization of AI in the creation of art, film, music. I think the digitalization and automating basic functions
Starting point is 02:13:49 of government and then integrating AI into that process, thereby decreasing corruption and costs and increasing transparency and efficiency. I think we as humans, individual humans, will continue to transition further and further into cyborgs. So there's already a AI in the loop of the human condition and that will become increasingly so as the AI becomes more powerful. The thing I'm obviously really excited about is major breakthroughs in science and not just on the medical front, but on physics, fundamental physics, which would then lead to energy breakthroughs, increasing the chance that we actually become a Kardashev type I
Starting point is 02:14:37 civilization and then enabling us in so doing to do interstellar exploration of space and colonization of space. I think they're also in the near term, much like with the industrial revolution that led to rapid specialization of skills of expertise, there might be a great sort of despecialization. So as the AI system become superhuman experts of particular fields, there might be greater and greater value
Starting point is 02:15:08 to being the integrator of AIs, for humans to be sort of generalists. And so the great value of the human mind will come from the generalists, not the specialists. That's a real possibility that that changes the way we are about the world. We want to mind will come from the generalists, not the specialists. That's a real possibility that that changes the way we are about the world. We want to know a little bit of a lot of things and move about the world in that way. That could have, when passing a certain threshold, a complete shift in who we are as a collective intelligence, as a human species. Also, as an aside, when thinking about the invention
Starting point is 02:15:46 that was the greatest in human history, again, for a bit of fun, we have to remember that all of them build on top of each other. And so we need to look at the delta, the step change on the, I would say, impossibly to perfectly measure plot of exponential human progress. Really, we can go back to the entire history of life on Earth and
Starting point is 02:16:06 our previous podcast guest, Nick Lane, does a great job of this in his book, Life Ascending, listing these 10 major inventions throughout the evolution of life on Earth like DNA, photosynthesis, complex cells, sex, movement, sight, all those kinds of things. I forget the full list that's on there, but I think that's so far from the human experience that my intuition about, let's say, productivity multipliers of those particular invention completely breaks down and a different framework
Starting point is 02:16:41 is needed to understand the impact of these inventions of evolution. The origin of life on Earth, or even the Big Bang itself, of course, is the OG invention that set the stage for all the rest of it. And there are probably many more turtles under that which are yet to be discovered. So anyway, we live in interesting times, fellow humans. I do believe the set of positive trajectories for humanity outnumber the set of negative trajectories, but not by much.
Starting point is 02:17:16 So let's not mess this up. And now, let me leave you with some words from French philosopher, Jean de la Bruyère. Out of difficulties grow miracles. Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.

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