Lineup Fantasy Football Show - 5 BUSTS That Will DESTROY Your 2026 Fantasy Football Season

Episode Date: July 3, 2026

Mitch and Mello analyze the 5 biggest fantasy football busts to fade in your 2026 redraft and dynasty fantasy football draft. These overvalued players are potential ADP landmines for fantasy football rosters and your 2026 fantasy football rankings need to account for them. Timestamps: 0:00 - Fantasy Football Busts 2026 0:30 - Omarion Hampton 8:27 - Chase Brown 12:21 - Alec Pierce 17:29 - Sam LaPorta 22:51 - De'Von Achane Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Welcome into the live fantasy football show. I'm Mitch Anderson. I'm Justin Mello. And Mello, these guys are never fun to talk about. Let's break down five players with some red flags that leave them vulnerable to being a potential bust in fantasy football for 2026, including the one guy that we are not going near in any drafts at ADP. So stick around for that. But Mello, as always, we're not going to waste anybody's time. Give us your first bust of the 2026 NFL season. You know, Mitch, I was thinking to myself, it's been quite some time since we've talked. talked about Amarian Hampton on this show. And I figured, it's due time. I'm going to do it again. I haven't in months, I don't think. I was really out on him early off season. I started to warm up a bit. But you know what? I still am out. I still view him as a bust in 2026. And I will admit, relative to ADP is my point here. Yes. Relative to ADP, thank you. Because I feel like a hypocrite,

knowing that he's on this Chargers offense, which I've been so bullish on. I have been more in on this Chargers offense than maybe anyone. And now I'm saying I don't want their running back. I have. And I don't want their running back in this Mike McDaniel offense. But it's exactly what you said. I don't want him at cost. He is going as the ninth running back off the board ahead of guys like Sequan Barkley, Ken Walker, Jeremiah Love, Derek Henry, all of which I'm taking over Hampton, all of which I like much more than Hampton because despite the great opportunity that Hampton does have

I have problems and one of those problems is the opportunity itself because I don't know that it'll be exactly what people are expecting in terms of total usage. Yeah, I think this is the best point. I love this. I don't think he's going to be the bell cow. He did catch the ball quite a bit last year

out of honestly more than anything necessity. Justin Herbert was dumping it down before being pummeled in like half a second every single play. But pass catching running routes, that's not Hampton's biggest strength as a player. That's not his forte. So I think he could lose some of that work. You look at what this team did this offseason. Mike McDaniel was hardcore campaigning, literally hanging up wanted posters in the Chargers facility for Keaton Mitchell when he was a free agent. And they went out and they got him. McDon McDaniel has the keys to this offense. He clearly wanted an explosive past catching back to utilize.

And they got them. They got Keith Mitchell, who will clearly be involved in some capacity. And then, and this is the one that, like, nobody is talking about. People are so quick to forget Kamani Vidal was heavily used last year. He was actually pretty good. He had four top eight finishes last year in fantasy. And when things mattered the most in the playoffs, he played 93% of snaps in that playoff game against the Patriots,

compared to Hampton who only played 3% of snaps, despite being active for his fifth consecutive game when the starters played. I know he was banged up and the injuries were the main reason he didn't play a ton, but it wasn't like it was his first game back from injury. He had been active five consecutive weeks if you exclude the week 18 games that none of the starters dress. So with that said, I'm not saying Vidal will be ahead of Hampton on the depth chart. I'm not saying he's going to be more heavily used than Hampton.

I'm just saying I'm not sure that Videl is going to go away. entirely. In fact, I don't think he will. I think he'll have some sort of role on this offense, even if it's a small one. So that's my real conserved for Hampton is just the usage, the involvement, the other running backs cutting into his workload. But it's not my only concern, and this is where I'm going to get absolutely fried and people are going to get so pissed at me. I have more that I don't think it's going to end well for either of us. It's not well for us, but like, I'm just not convinced that Amari and Hampton's that good. I'm really not convinced. I know he was banged up last year. I know. I know.

know that played a role in the lack of production and the lack of the film looking great. But he didn't pass the eye test for me. Even when he was healthy, even if you want to take it back to the preseason, I was not overly impressed. You're going to bring up that run that he had where he got shoestring tackle and he got caught up to it. It was one that was so scared. I was like, what the hell was that? It was such an ick. I know that's like one play, but it wasn't just that play.

Like, he didn't really have a lot of plays that stood out to me as a rookie. And there are metrics to support my eyes as well. It's not just my eyes. Despite being this big-bodied, supposedly physical running back, he ranked 32nd in yards after contact per carry among all running backs with at least 50 carries. Similarly, he ranked 30-second and fantasy points per rush among running backs with at least 50 carries. And I'll admit, I'm probably being a little harsh because I absolutely see the upside. Like, I'm a big enough man to see the other side to understand where other people are coming from.

And for what it's worth, I have them as my running back 13 in redraft. So, like, that's pretty high. Like, I still see the upside and I'm willing to take a shot on him as the running back 13. But with where he's going as running back 9, 4 running back spots higher that early in a draft, which is pretty substantial, I'm just fading him. I think he is going to disappoint a lot of people at cost. Well, that's the important thing about talking bus. It's like we're not guaranteeing that a guy you're drafting in the top 10 or top 20,

you know, out their position is going to do bad. It's that there's a risk here that I don't think enough people are addressing. and, you know, like you said, we could be idiots. We are idiots. And maybe we're wrong about this. But something very interesting to me, ranking 29th among running backs with 50 or more carries last year in yards per carry, do you know who ranked number one? I don't, but I can't wait to hear it. It's Keaton Mitchell.

Do you know who ranked number three in explosive run rate? Keaton Mitchell? It's Keaton Mitchell. You know who ranked number 25? I'm going to guess Amari in Hanton. Wow, mellow. various suit observation. So I don't say that to be like, boom, Keaton Mitchell's a better running back.

But for all of the people that are just like so insistent upon the fact that like Keaton Mitchell isn't going to be part of this offense, like you said, Mike McDaniel came in. There were some of your reports that the first thing he said was, I want Keaton Mitchell. And then you look at the underlying metrics and Keaton Mitchell was more impressive than Amari in Hampton last year. And I know, I know he was hurt and he was banged up. And I get that point. But I just think we're discounting all of these things because of. of like the promise of what Amari and Hampton could be. And that's why we have him as the running back six in dynasty,

the running back nine in redraft. And I agree with you. I think there's more of a risk here that he falls. And when you think about that dynasty price, you're saying that I love bringing up is like, I think he's a lot closer to the ceiling than his floor. Like, if he has a great season, is he moving up that much higher than running back six?

Probably not. Is he jumping like Ashton Genty? And I mean, maybe Jeremiah, I love. I guess we'll see how the orky season goes. But to me, this guy, there's just so much risk here that I think isn't being talked about. But if I'm going to go back and I'm going to talk about the upside that you mentioned, he had an extremely high target share last year.

And that's great. And like, you look at Mike McDaniel and what he did with Devon A-chan, like, okay, maybe there is a path there. I just have a hard time feeling very confident that he's going to pay off at his price. Yeah, same. And 100% the target share. Like, he showed he can catch passes last year, which is why there's upside. which is why even I am like, okay, there's a path. But what we've talked about, like, especially with Keaton Mitchell, I'm like, how much usage is there going to be?

I think also part of it, too, is we talk about, like, this obsession with year two receivers. It exists with running backs, too. Oftentimes it's warranted, but oftentimes it's not like, we've seen in recent years guys like Cam Acres and Miles Sanders and like even Antonio Gibson, and like even Antonio Gibson, who's a guy I loved early on in his career. Patriot's legend. Yeah, Patriot's legend, Antonio Gibson. Like they have solid rookie years, but nothing like crazy. And then we pumped them up to first and second run picks in year two when it's like, is that hype or is that real, you know?

A thousand percent. I don't know if we've ever spent that much time talking about first player on the show, but you're right. It had been way too long since we talked to Mario and Afton. We got passionate. We loved shit talking to Mario and Hanklin. I got like so fired up there. I had to remind the audience that I am a little bit of an idiot if you feel

comfortable and fading me. But let's talk about another running back, a guy that I actually truly hate bringing up his name right now because he felt like he was going to be a value and his price has skyrocketed this offseason and I've jumped all the way from a buy to a hold to a sell on Chase Brown. 26 years old, we've continually seen his price keep going up and up and up this off season factoring in an extension, which I know he's motivated to sign, but when money comes into the picture, nothing's a sure thing and we'll see how much they're actually willing to offer him with how much other money's tied up in this offense. That's neither here nor there though. I want to

talk about his 2026 outlook and why he could be a potential bust at his price. We've talked about how maybe, maybe we've been too low on Chase Brown. I think our issue with him is that despite it being an awesome situation, neither one of us particularly believes in the talent, and I do have some numbers to back that up. Among running backs with 50 or more carries in 2025, he ranked 30th in yards per carry, right behind Amari and Hampton, six spots behind his teammate Samajai P. Ryan, and in that same measure of 50 or more carries, he was 22nd in the NFL, and PFF's rushing grade, 37th in rushing success rate.

All of this while facing the sixth least average defenders in the box on any given run in 2025. According to sharp football analysis, the Bengals have the third most difficult schedule for running backs in the NFL in 26. The thing I'll give him, and it's almost the exact same argument with Hampton, he does tack on the receiving work, which is very helpful. He had 69 receptions nice for 437 yards and five touchdowns. But that's not enough for me to justify this price. I think there's a lot of guys I'd much rather have going in this area.

We've talked about taking a swing on a guy like Ken Walker who's going as the RB10 or drop down a little more to the RB12. And you've got a guy and Derek Henry that we're so high on. And so I just, I think he's almost become this guy that is like a sneaky safe guy. If that makes sense, like people think they've got the secret guy who's like safe and is going to give them a really solid floor. I don't know if that floor exists and I actually feel very confident that the ceiling doesn't exist. It's solely a bet on the fact that he plays

in the Spengel's offense. That's really all you're betting on because you're right. I think even most people, maybe not everyone, I think most people that like Chase Brown will even admit like he's probably not like the best real life NFL running back. Yeah, you put him on another team

and it's like where are we drafting him? Exactly. But it's just, you know, he's in this situation in Cincinnati and it's like down the stretch last year, he was great in fantasy. He was getting the goal line work and he was catching a lot of passes. People forget early on, though, people were cursing his name like it was a bust. And I know a lot of that was Joe Burrow being hurt and he was playing in like Jake Browning and Joe Flaggo offenses.

Even the first couple weeks, though, before Joe Burrow got hurt, Jay's Brown wasn't very good. Yeah. So are we really rolling the dice that we're going to get what we got for stretches late last year? Or are we going to get what we got in early 2025? at a running back eight price tag, I'm like, I don't know that I want to take that bet, especially if it's a guy who I don't think is that good. Now, with that said, similar to what we talked about with Hampton, there is a path because if this Bengals offense is what they were last year, if Brown is what he was last year, if he's catching passes, if he's getting goal line work,

he could have a top five finish for all we know. But there's really not many guys going around him that are even close to his talent level. And I mean that in a derogatory way, not a good way. I'm with you. Man, the one thing I hate about busts episode, I hate being negative about guys. But I think this is just one about a guy in a situation I was really excited for that I think where we've blown up in the rankings a little bit too much. But I'm actually interested when more of like the casuals come in in like August, how we see his price start shaking out. Because I could see it dropping down and him becoming a little bit safer by then. All right.

Well, enough negativity about guys' talents. I'm going to talk about a guy I actually do think is talented, at least more so than some of the other guys we've talked about relative to their public perception. And that is Alec Pierce. As a Josh Downstrueger, which I know we both are, I kind of feel obligated to be anti-Aleck Pierce. You kind of have to pick one or the other. There's really, there's no middle ground. It's a zero-sum game. Alec Pierce, Josh Jones.

Yeah, you got to pick a side. No being a coward. You got to take a stance here. And I do think, like, admittedly, he's a good real-life receiver. Like I mentioned, he does really good real-life things. But I just don't want him in fantasy. I think it'd be a little bit rude and disingenuous for me to call him a one-trick pony. But he's a pony who does one trick really freaking well.

And then maybe has a couple of other tricks that he doesn't. He does like a, it's a pony that does like a 360 Ollie on a half-fifference. pipe. Yeah, that's Alec Pierce. I need someone to somehow animate that for me. And he can, you know, he could do a couple of other tricks, but not nearly as well, not nearly as effectively. Yeah. Because what he is is a field treacher. Like, let's be honest by themselves here. He keeps defense is honest. And now and then he catches a bomb. And it's really cool when he catches that 50-yard bomb. It's awesome. But last year, which was his best career year in just about every metric, including receptions, he had 47. That was a six. career high, 47 catches through four years in the league. His highest reception count was 47, and we're drafting as the wide receiver 32 in redraft, despite never having a 50 catch season through four years. I don't have the data in terms of how often guys go four straight years without 50 catches and then have a top 32 finish. I imagine it's extraordinarily rare.

I imagine that does not happen. And yes, I know he catches those bonds like we talked about, and he gets a ton of yards and some touchdowns, which make up for the lack of receptions. But do we really want to bet on those bombs coming consistently with Daniel Jones coming off at Torniquilles? For me, the answer is now. I don't want to bet on that. In fact, four of Alec Pierce's six touchdowns last year

and his two best weekly finishes last year came after Daniel Jones got hurt, meaning Pierce was better without Daniel Jones he was not at his best with a healthy Daniel Jones, and now he's going into next year with Daniel Jones coming off of Torn Achilles. All of that I don't like, but I could maybe overlook it when you look at the contract he got and Michael Pittman's out of town, and like, okay, I could talk myself into it until the nail on the coffin,

which is the ankle injury. That did it for me. He had surgery this offseason. He has not participated in OTAs or mini camp at all. The Colts have been very cryptic about his timetables. to return. Meanwhile, Josh Downs is like the second coming of Christ in OTAs. And Pierce isn't participating and he's hurt. And you look at this player who relies on elite speed and explosiveness and he's got ankle problems, which is not what you want to hear for a guy who relies on

elite speed and explosiveness. So for me, it's a very hard feed at his current ADP. Yeah, I've been taking him in like best ball when he drops like 10 spots. But I'm with you. I think we're already not super high on this Colts offense. This year, Josh Downs is the one guy we've identified that we're pretty high on. And obviously, I think we're both pretty much at price on Tyler Warren, who is going to soak up a lot of those targets that Michael Pittman left on the table. And then obviously, Jonathan Taylor is somewhat going to get his. And I just think there's a level of efficiency that Alec Pierce would need to maintain on this few targets

to make him actually worthwhile as a fantasy starter because like you don't want to be in a situation where you're starting a guy and like, sure, he might net out the season as like the wide receiver 30 and that feels like you like got out of it unscathed but like he puts up weeks where he scores like six points and that's what scares me about Alex Pierce. Yeah, I like it more investable like you said where you're targeting.

Yeah. Like there I'm more okay with it even though I think his price is probably a little high. But yeah, like a home league like I don't want to end up. in Denny's or whatever degenerate punishment like your buddies made up like I don't want to have that headache from Alec Pierce I completely agree I actually have to, we pitched a

punishment idea today that everyone in the league on their birthday you have to send a video of you singing them happy birthday and eat an entire cake for the whole year after you lose and I think that's like the best fantasy punishment idea I have a big back confession I read that and was like that actually sounds great. Sounds like a great excuse to eat 11 cakes

Yeah I want to be like the kid in Matilda just eating disgusting amounts of cake. And people can't be like, you're disgusting. Oh, no, I had to do it. My bad, yeah. My bad, I accidentally took Brian Robinson and said a Bijan Robinson in the first round. Whoops.

Oh, so it's cool when someone has 24 pancakes, but I can't have 11 regular cakes. Yeah, what is that? Not this is America. Total bullshit. All right, let's jump into our fourth guy. Before we do, if you're listening to us on the player profiler feed,

make sure to go check out our main feed and our YouTube, the lineup fantasy football show. If you are watching on YouTube, Make sure hit that like button and subscribe. But let's talk some Sam Leporta. This is a guy that I think he's talented. I think this is kind of similar to Alec Pierce in the sense that I just don't know how much opportunity

he's truly going to get moving forward. He's 25 years old. He's the tight end six in redraft, the tight end seven in Dynasty. I think the redraft price is what bothers me more. But looking at the 2026 season, I'm not necessarily fired up about the dynasty price either because if it's a bad year,

year he's going to fall there too. We rank so heavily on what we saw the year prior. And so I think this pick to me is a commentary both on his role in the Detroit Lions offense, but also a commentary on like the landscape of tight ends in fantasy football. We throw the word tier around a lot. And like, to me, there's too many tiers inside of the real tier at the top. I feel like I'm like, what's his name from Knives Out? He's like, it's a donut hole inside of a donut. LeBlanc or something? No, no. LeBlanc, yeah, no. Blanc. Blanc, no, that's, just Blanc. Benoit Blanc. Benw Blanc. I feel like we're trying to learn French right now, and it's just not working for me.

I feel like Benoit Blanc right now. But anyway, the two mini tiers inside the real tier is Brock Bauer's and Shreemichbride of the mountaint, and then that kind of craft Loveland and Warren in that other one, which is like the guys I love grabbing because the upside is so real. But then I just think there's the sharp decline after them. And who's the guy right at the top of that sharp decline? Sam Leporta. And so before everyone grabs their pitchforks and comes after me for not putting Sam Leportar in the upside,

tier after he was a tight end one in his rookie season. I want to acknowledge that I understand what he did in that year, and I have my reasons for thinking that it won't repeat. And one of the first reasons is that I don't think it's sustainable, the touchdown rate that he had that rookie season, 10 touchdowns his rookie year, down to seven in his second season, and then three last year, but that obviously came because he was only in nine games. A huge change, though, in this offense has come with the growing roles of Jumeer Gibbs and Jameson Williams over the past two years.

Jameson doesn't really provide that same threat to the red zone work as Gibbs does, but after earning only 42 targets in Leportez's rookie season, we've seen Jamo get out of the doghouse a bit and he builds up to 91 targets and then 102. And then if you do want to talk about red zone threats, now we've got Isaac Tesla carving out a role in this offense, and we've talked about how efficient he's been as a target in the end zone for Jared Gauth. And so for me, I think there's a situational issue here. There being a lot of mouths to feed. I haven't even mentioned Amman Rae St. Brown, who will be the wide receiver 3. in fantasy football this year. But to me, it's, damn right. It's just a far more limited ceiling and path here in regards to meaningful volume

than there is for those top five guys. Or honestly, in terms of sealing, there is for some of those later picks. Like we just talked about Isaiah Likely last episode and like people are going to want to pull the pitchforks on me. I think there's a better chance Isaiah likely finishes as a top free tight end than Sam Laporta. And that's going to get clipped to the moon. But that's my personal feeling.

Reddit, YouTube, Instagram. where people are going to be forming an army against you for that one. Yeah. I don't know if I agree with it, but I don't think it's crazy. Like, I don't think that's a crazy take. But I like the way you framed everything there because I actually don't have a problem with where Sam Laporte is being ranked in terms of tight ends. I think that's correct.

I think the market has it right, like wherever you look. I don't think, oh, well, these three guys below him should be above him. I think he's appropriately ranked. It's a philosophical stance that where he's going. you should just punt tight end. Wait for those upside guys late. Like that's fair. Or whoever else you like.

Because like honestly, even some guys are going ahead of them. Like I do like Sam Laporta a lot. Like I probably would take him over Harold Phamon, which is maybe a little hot takey. I think most people would probably prefer Fanon. But I'll take Pitts. But even with that said,

yeah, you'll take Pitts. I would rather quit fantasy forever before taking Kyle Pitts. But regardless, like all these guys are talking about pits. like Fanon, Leporta, it's almost pointless to even talk about who I'd prefer because I'm not taking any of them. That range of tight ends, I'm fading altogether. And with that said, even if Leporta does finish where he's getting drafted, he might as well be a bust. Because if you're not getting the high level output from tight end, it doesn't matter.

It doesn't make a difference. It's almost like this entire argument could have just been instead of Sam Leport. We're naming tight end six through like 10. Yeah, they're all busts. Like once you get past that top five, I think you're better off streaming. I fully agree with that. The opportunity cost of taking Sam Leporta at ADP is not worth it if you get a tight end six finish. No, because a tight end six finish might as well be a tight end 16 finish.

Most years, like there's the difference is negligible. The difference between Trey McBride and the tight end two Kyle Pitts was the same as Kyle Pitts and the tight end 27. Sam Leporta. Yeah, exactly. And that's usually how it goes every single year. Mitch, you ready for the saddest one of this list, the one that hurts me? This one hurts my soul. And I, we're idiots.

I hope we're wrong. I hope I am wrong, too. And I am an idiot. I don't need to be wrong to know I'm an idiot. But I think we might be right here. I have a sneaky suspicion. We got one right here. Ah.

Devana Chan. He's so good. Put on the sad music. Yeah, sad music. People are going to be mad to. We're sad. Our audience is mad that we uttered his name in a bust episode. He's great.

I have nothing bad to say about A. Chan in terms of his talent. I've soured on him tremendously over this off-season. I was all the way in back in February when I was the sicko locked in my little fantasy dungeon preparing for next season. But I've just gone lower and lower this whole off-season as I think you have as well, Mitch. Yeah. But it has nothing to do with talent. I can't emphasize them enough.

It's strictly situation. So let's start off by talking about the loss of Mike McDaniel we talked about earlier. Although A. Chan obviously deserves a ton of credit for his own success because he is so talented. It is fair to point out that Mike McDaniel built the offense around him and at least was partially responsible for A. Chan success. I think McDaniel contributed significantly to it. We've seen McDaniel contribute to other running back success in fantasies on this very team. Rahim Moster was the running back two overall in half point PPR in 2023. Rahim freaking Moster

Which I can that feels like a fever dream that that even happened And then yeah it does It was just crazy And even going back to San Francisco days Elijah Mitchell as a rookie Unknown relatively unknown rookie ended up being the running back 20 And points per game in 2021 That same year Debo Samuel was a wider receiver 2

Which we It was his wide back season where he lined up at running back A ton they got creative with how they used him Similar to what we've seen with H& recently So it is fair to be concerned with Mike McDaniel leaving town And on top of that, you lose Tua, who I know isn't very good. Yeah. By no means a Tua apologist, I don't think Tua is very good.

But he was good for A. Chan. And that is undisputable because A.CAN ranked third in target share among all NFL running backs in 2024, second in that same metric last year in 2024, which was to his last full season as a starter. He ranked fifth in checkdown rate among all quarterbacks with at least 200 dropbacks. So it was the perfect environment for A.C.N. to thrive in the passing game. and now all of a sudden enter Malik Willis, who is a run first quarterback. When the pocket collapses, he's more likely to take off and run himself than check it down to a running back.

It's the same reason we don't see running backs who play with guys like Lamar Jackson or Jaden Daniels or Justin Fields catch the ball very much. Those quarterbacks are just quicker to run the ball themselves than check it down to the running back. And now on top of all of that, the dolphins just stink. They're just a horrible team. And I don't want a running back on a horrible team. Fandul has their win, uh, total win line at four and a half right now, which is like disgustingly low in a 17 game season. Dolphins are going to have a ton of negative game scripts. They're going to be struggling to stay on the field.

They're not going to have good field position. So in essence, there's just a bad team where they're running back that will almost certainly see his passing volume decrease substantially. And A Chan was so dependent on that passing volume to be an elite fantasy asset. He's still talented enough. He'll be relevant. He'll still be startable. He's too damn good to, like, ride your bench all season.

But he's going as the seventh running back off the boarding PPR. At that cost, I just can't do it. I just, I feel like he'll be a bust at that cost. Yeah, I, it's tough because he was incredibly efficient last year. And that's, I think, why I'm having such a hard time with this bust pick. But like you said, like I'm seeing also, I've occasionally seen running back six in a lot of rankings too. He's flipping between six, seven.

We're not going to make the joke. But also the RV. in Dynasty. What you brought to the table with Mike McDaniel is, honestly, I mean, it's obviously a plus for Marion Hampton, but that scares me with the efficiency numbers for Devon A-Champ, but then more importantly is Tua's departure and bringing in Malik Willis.

And like, you said it, fifth in checkdown rate for Tua. Meanwhile, Malik Willis, like, he boasted the number one scramble rate in the NFL last season, not to mention the fourth highest ADOT of any quarterback who played 50 or more snaps. both of those not boating well for A-chan. So, I mean, a lot of this also for Dynasty depends on, like, how long you actually think

Malik Willis will be the starter here. You know, if they end up moving on from Malik Willis, like, you know, hold A-chan and just hope that you get brighter pastures ahead of you. But even so, if this is a really down year, his price is going to fall, even in a more long-term format. And so we talked a lot about some of these running backs outside of the top five with high upside. Again, Kenneth Walker, Derek Henry, Jeremiah, Love. And it's not to say that H-JN doesn't have that upside, but you said it. The passing work is where he did so much of his damage in the PPR game

to the tune of 139.8 ppr points that got him to the running back five. And so we have such serious concerns with this passing work. Obviously, like, you don't erase 140 points, but like, what if his passing work gets cut in half? That's what it took to get to the RB5 last year. we're drafting him at the RB6 or 7, you take away half of that passing work, even 30%. You're absolutely not paying off that price. And I think there's just so much systemic risk here that a guy that I think is efficient and awesome and electric and will be fun to have on your roster just isn't going to pay off what you need for one of those guys you're taking in the late first round early second.

Yeah, and it's so disappointing because I want him. He's just fun. He's so fun. He is so fun. If you don't care about any of this, if you're like, fuck numbers. Like, I just want to have fun. Fucking take to one agent because I'm not going to blame you for doing it. Yeah, but if you're like me and you lose because on Monday night football,

actually dolphins aren't playing in prime time. What am I talking about? If you're watching the Uzbekistan game that Roger Goodell approved at 4.30 in the morning, A chance losing you your week. Yeah. And if you're like me and you're going to cry yourself to sleep at night, then I would fade him. Yeah. I think that's very good advice.

It depends on how you feel about fancy football. If you're a cycle like me, then don't take them. Those are our five players with some of our highest chances to bust in the 2026 fantasy football season. If you disagree with any of these, let us know what are we missing on some of these guys? And also, if somebody didn't make this list that needs to be on it, let us know down below and give us your whole take on it. We'd love to chop it up with you in the comments. Mello, before we get out of here, we miss anything? I think we got it all.

All right, we'll catch you guys next episode.