Lineup Fantasy Football Show - 5 OVERVALUED Dynasty Players You Need to Trade Away Right Now | Dynasty Fantasy Football

Episode Date: June 10, 2026

We're identifying the best sell opportunities on dynasty fantasy football players for 2026. We break down 5 dynasty trade targets you need to trade away ASAP before their value spike in the 2026 NFL S...eason. These are also players we WILL NOT DRAFT in Fantasy Football Drafts this year. 0:00 - Dynasty Fantasy Football Sells 0:40 - Harold Fannin Jr. 4:13 - Jordan Addison 8:18 - D.J. Moore 12:50 - Bucky Irving 17:14 - Ricky Pearsall Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Fantasy football busts like Brian Thomas Jr. And Saquan Barkley cost fantasy managers their leagues last year. And we're going to break down five players and get into the numbers on why they have some of the same glaring red flags. Welcome into the lineup fantasy football show. I'm Mitch Anderson. I'm Justin Mello. And Mello, we're going to be talking dynasty price tags here. But for anyone who's more of a redraft player, this really does just equate to how we feel about the 2026 season as well.
Starting point is 00:00:24 And some guys that really aren't on our draft boards this year. Yeah. I think with all these guys, we feel very similarly long and short term that we are just not in. I got one here that I don't like it doing. I feel guilty almost calling this guy a cell, and that is Harold Fanon Jr. The reason I feel guilty is I think he's good. I think he's a legitimate, very good player. But recent weeks, I've really thought about it more.
Starting point is 00:00:49 And I think he is such a phenomenal sell high candidate. He had 107 targets last season, which is just insane for a rookie tight end. never mind a third round rookie tight end but nobody seems to want to admit that this situation has changed entirely and i think it has changed for the worse for his fantasy outlook first off and this one is not really getting talked about kevin stafansky built this offense largely around fanon in the passing game yeah he got so many manufacturer touches he was the first read on 21.57% of his targets that percentage ranked sixth in the entire NFL among all tight ends last season now you remove Kevin Stefansky, you wonder if Fanon will be used the same in this Todd Monkin offense that remains to be seen for now.
Starting point is 00:01:35 And then I think more importantly, there's more competition now because last year the Browns were running out Jerry, Judy and my buddy Craig at wide receiver. There was like nobody to throw the ball to. But now they've invested the 24th and 39th picks on wide receivers Casey Concepcion and Denzel Boston, who I ain't it's early, but the camp report. sports for Denzel Boston have been incredible. And they may not be instant major contributors because they are rookies, but they have top 40 draft capital. They could easily take a large chunk of Fanon's pie away from him in the long run and even the short run, to be completely honest.
Starting point is 00:02:14 So to recap, you lose the coach that spammed him, you gain significant target competition, you're stuck on the Browns who aren't very good. And I'm even skeptical he can have six touchdowns again. And I know six isn't a ton, but on a really bad offense like this, He's a touchdown regression candidate too. So he's a great real-life player, but he's the Titan 5 on keep trade cut right now. You probably got him really cheap in Ricky drafts last year, and now you can get a ton for him in trades this year in Dynasty. I would take a deal while you can in Dynasty.
Starting point is 00:02:43 And even in redraft, I am not drafting in that ADP. I'm so glad you brought up the touchdown thing. That was going to be one of the first points I brought up tied for eighth in the NFL for tight ends scoring touchdowns. And now you've got a guy like Denzel Boston who I think we've been a little bit critical of it. in the past, but the one thing we'll agree on is he's an absolute red zone monster that they're going to be giving this Cleveland Brown's offense. And then also, like, the target share he had already was questionable in terms of how much he could like repeat that this year.
Starting point is 00:03:10 Now you bring into basically first round draft capital receivers that are likely to take away a ton of that, especially Casey Concepcion is more of that guy that I think will command more of a target share. And then one more thing for Fanon is if you pull away those targets, he actually had an extremely low A-DOT last year. I think I want to say he was 36th amongst tight ends in A-dot, which that terrifies me for a guy that you were potentially taking away so much of that volume from. Yeah. And those are this Tafansky manufacturer touches that we talked about. And I wouldn't be surprised to see those go away substantially. So I am very scared for Fanon.
Starting point is 00:03:46 Yeah. That's a great point. I think we talked about it early in the spring. We tried to bring it up as much as we can, but sometimes these coaching changes get overblown. Sometimes they're not, like, talked about enough. I think this one falls under the guys that just aren't as big of a name in the market the way we've been talking about, how will Clint Kubiak affects Las Vegas and how will it affect Seattle? I think the Cefansky thing is bigger than people think. Absolutely. All right, let me get into my first sell. I feel like this is a pull out the pitchforks one. I think people are going to be mad at me, but hear me out. Oh, let's talk about Jordan Addison. 24 years old.
Starting point is 00:04:22 How dare you? As the wide receiver 32. First of all, how dare I? I hate to do it because I do think he's extremely talented. And I was very excited for this, like, Kyler Murray led offense here in Minnesota. And I think a lot of people have been getting, I don't want to call it like ahead of their skis,
Starting point is 00:04:37 but we're all kind of feeling like this Minnesota Vikings offense is back. So let's live in that world. Let's live in the world that Kyler Murray comes in here. And he's what we saw years ago. And it's Justin Jefferson is the new DeAndre Hopkins from back when he went to Arizona. We're so high on Jefferson bouncing back. We both like T.J. Hawkinson, not to bounce back to, you know, a top five tight end,
Starting point is 00:04:58 but to actually be a real part of this offense. And then the two of us are massive Joanne Jennings guys, who I think that signing really went under the radar because it happened so late here in the spring. And so now I want to focus mainly on Juan Jennings, because I think people feel their way about Justin Jefferson and whether or not you agree with us, you feel a certain way about Hawkinson. I just don't think Jennings is getting appreciated enough for how much he could be doing in this offense.
Starting point is 00:05:22 One of my favorite stats from last year, even with all the missed time, he led the 49ers wide receivers in red zone targets with 19. And once he was healthy from week nine on, he was the wide receiver 13 in PPR scoring. And I don't want to turn this into like a by Juan Jennings thing, but he is the wide receiver 72 right now on keep trade cut. And I just think that's absolutely outrageous for a guy that's only going to be 29. But as a pro Vikings podcast that we've really become,
Starting point is 00:05:48 It feels weird to take a shot at one of the guys in this room. But I do think that he's just kind of getting propped up, like everyone's just going to get this massive bump, and everyone can't really come along for the ride. Because if you look at Kyler Murray, we talk about how good he was in Arizona for those few years, and it was like, why are super, I mean, sorry, quarterback four, quarterback four, quarterback four.
Starting point is 00:06:11 But so much of what that was built on was the rushing ability as a floor, obviously. But he also hyper-targeted his wide. receiver 1. His first year with Hopkins that we all love comparing this to, DeAndre Hopkins had 160 targets in a 16-week season, which if you extrapolated that to last year in the 17 game season, that would have ranked him second in the entire NFL behind only Jamar Chase. So now, let me go back to Addison. I don't want to plant my flag on this, but I will be. I think he's talented. He had two top 24 finishes his first two years of his career. but I think this price is just a little too fishy,
Starting point is 00:06:47 and I think that there's a lot of value to be had moving on from him with the managers that are getting really excited about this Minnesota offense. And so to wrap it all up in a bow, Jordan Addison will be an incredible football player for the Minnesota Vikings. I just don't think he's a high-ceiling production guy for fantasy football. Yeah, I haven't been super excited about him, and I haven't even really been able to articulate why, but I think you did very nicely there.
Starting point is 00:07:14 Like, we are both so excited for Kyler because of the weapons he has, and we're so excited for Justin Jefferson to have Kyler. But as excited as we are for this offense, there's a lot of mouths to feed. And it's not like we're talking about Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen here. We're talking about Kyler Murray. So not everyone can eat. I mean, we talk multiple top five quarterback finishes,
Starting point is 00:07:36 Kyler Murray's never past 4,000 yards. That's not his style. He's not spraying it around the yard the whole game. No, and you're right. He likes to hyper-target one receiver, at least he has in years past, and he's gotten the tight ends involved. We saw obviously with Tray McBride. And even Zach Hertz before that, got a ton of targets with Kyler Murray. That's why I think Hawkinson's an interesting, you know, kind of post-type sleeper kind of guy. Addison's still very good. I just don't know that enough volume will be there in this passing attack for him to really be a major contributor in 2026 and
Starting point is 00:08:06 beyond. Yeah, same here. All right. You want my next one here? I got another receiver that people aren't going to like, as me calling a cell. That is DJ Moore, now a Buffalo bill. A lot of people are excited. A lot of people are excited about DJ Moore. And I'm here to tell you, you might want to take your expectations down a notch or two later. Pump the brakes on DJ Moore.
Starting point is 00:08:32 He's 29 years old, obviously more suited for contenders if we're talking Dynasty. And I would absolutely take the opportunity to trade him right now to a contender if you aren't one, or maybe even if you are one, maybe even if you are one and bet against DJ more here. Because to me, it seems very clear that he is not the same player he once was. He is not the true alpha receiver he once was. He was the wide receiver 29 in points per game in 2024, the wide receiver 46 in points per game last season. Not good at all. You're not getting the DJ more of his later time in Carolina or his early time in Chicago. And I think a lot of the appeal, maybe all of the appeal, is that he's now in Buffalo and he gets a chance to be the number one weapon in this Josh Allen offense.
Starting point is 00:09:22 But are we really sure that's how it's going to go and it's really going to be all that great? Because people are hoping to see something resembling Stefan Diggs when he was in Buffalo getting all these targets. But you're probably not going to see that. The first reason being what I already said, I just don't think DJ Moore is the same level of talent that he once was. but the second reason being Josh Allen has really developed a ton over the last few years and he does not force feed receivers. He spreads
Starting point is 00:09:48 the ball all around the field. Last year, Khalil Shakir led the bills in Target share at 19.83% that ranked 36th in the NFL. Wow. He led, Shakir led the team in that same metric two years ago as well at 21.46% ranked 40th in the NFL that year.
Starting point is 00:10:05 And I know you're thinking, oh, well, that's because it's Khalil Shakir. This is the one people don't talk about it. Even in 2023, when Diggs was the team. He did finish nine in the NFL and target chair, which is relatively high, but down from previous years. And it was heavily, heavily, heavily inflated by the first half of the season. Because Stefan Diggs from week 12 on in 2023 was the wide receiver 40 overall, despite not missing any time. Damn. It's a single game. And people forget about that. It was not all sunshine and rainbows for Stefan Diggs at the end there in Buffalo. And a big part of that was Josh Allen was
Starting point is 00:10:37 spreading the ball around. He was getting other receivers involved. and DJ Moore is not a talented enough receiver to demand high volume from Josh Allen. Even if he leads a team and target share, I don't think it will be by a significant margin. That slice of the pie is not going to be as big as you're hoping for. He's the wide receiver 34 on keep trade cut despite his age and despite the signs of decline. This trade to Buffalo has really inflated his price and I would cash in now when people are excited. It's something we all see when we watch the bills is how much Allen spreads the ball around. getting like the numbers to actually illustrate that that is insane 36th in the NFL and like when you
Starting point is 00:11:14 think about everyone wants a piece of buffalo everyone wants a piece of kansas city so a guy goes to this team and like you said the price just absolutely explodes and that's what's happened with dj more did you see the report that came out when he said that he's having such a hard time learning the offense i know it's like june and like whatever and i'm i'm probably just like confirmation biasing it, but like, it's not a good thing to be seeing. No, I'm glad you brought it up. I forgot to. I wanted to bring that up, too. It's not good when there's growing pains for a 29-year-old veteran. That's exactly my point. This isn't some young guy who's going to his second team after spending his whole career in one place. It's like,
Starting point is 00:11:52 this is now his third offense he's learning. And like, if you consider coordinators, like, that's even more. And it's like, I don't know, it feels very weird to me. And especially with the whole idea that he's just seemed a little bit disconnected from the game for the past few years. It just leaves me an ick on a guy that I already wasn't excited about at price. So when I saw this in the dock, I was extremely excited about this pick. Yeah, I'm just out. Yeah. Out, out, out.
Starting point is 00:12:17 Which brings me my next guy, but before we do, make sure to hit that like button and subscribe if you haven't yet to catch so much more fancy football content as we are entering into the best time of the year. More content where Mello and I just realized are wearing the exact same color shirt. but let's actually get in... Are we wearing the same shirt? I don't know. Mine's like a lighter gray. Yeah, I might be colorblind.
Starting point is 00:12:39 I thought there's a little green on your shirt, so I might need to get checked out. No, you might have to. All right, let me get into my second guy, though. The guy that I'm out, out on. And that's Bucky Irving, who will be 24 years old when we kick off this season, being valued as the RB18.
Starting point is 00:12:57 That was my exact quote, the very last time I talked about him a few weeks ago on the top 24 running backs was that I was out like five times in a row. But I do want the chance to talk about it for more than like a minute here and explain why I feel so strongly. When we were recording that episode, I went on an entire diatribe about how much his shoulder concerned me. And that was before Todd Bowles came out and said, we'll see him in either summer or fall,
Starting point is 00:13:20 which for those of you watching at home is the time when football is already being played, which should be a massive concern to everyone. but looking back at it, the thing why I was concerned was back in 2025, the shoulder injury had popped up in the middle of the year. He was recovering from the leg injury and people thought he was going to come back. And then reports came out that the medical staff learned about the shoulder injury that Bucky was kind of keeping to himself because he thought he could just get through it and he couldn't.
Starting point is 00:13:47 And it hampered him for the rest of the year. And so once he got back in week 13 of last year, I understand the argument that people thought he wasn't as efficient because he was hurt. He ended up being PFF's 72nd ranked rusher in the NFL, and he was 101st in yards per carry at 3.4. Now, of course, we get the concern that maybe this shoulder injury isn't even gone. And then you add on top of that our trepidation that we always talk about with day three running backs, which is the fact that we so often see them ascend incredibly in their rookie year. And I think everybody gets excited because that was your sleeper or your guy that you were following at OTAs,
Starting point is 00:14:25 that no one knew about, and so we prop these guys up so high, and then they have a history of flaming out, because the draft capital was never there. We were just propping them up as a fantasy football community. Now, if you look at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back room, this is where my concern grows even more. You've re-signed Sean Tucker, which, as you know, when no one else is there, he turns into Barry Sanders. But more importantly, they signed Kenneth Gainwell, who is the running back eight in fantasy football from week 11 on last year. He clearly has some juice. He's going to be a huge part of the receiving game. All this piles up.
Starting point is 00:14:59 And just to me, I don't want to take a chance on Bucky Irving coming back and just being incredible again like he was his rookie year. I think there is a far higher chance that this floor is lava and you're just going to see his value crumble over the next two years. Yeah, it's very much scary hours for Bucky Irving. This has been a horrible, horrible offseason for him. Kenny G. Stock up, though. I mean, if you're a Kenna Dainwell guy.
Starting point is 00:15:22 You're a jazz fan, man. Kenny G. Stock is back up. Up. Way up. Yeah, I'm usually of the mind, or at least a lot of the times of the mind when a guy's value is plummeting due to whatever injuries or, you know, some sort of reports in the off season I like to buy the dip. I'm too scared for Bucky. I don't, I hate it in the short term. And then even in the long term, I am very, very scared. So I would not blame anyone for trying to get out right now while you can. he was obviously a much stronger cell when we talked about him. I want to say it was our panic meter episode. I think we talked about Bucky Irving and I was talking about the shoulder injury then. And now all this news is coming out. And so if you're of the camp that you want to hold because you already have him and you just don't want to sell low, I get it.
Starting point is 00:16:11 But like, to me, absolutely do not go out and buy Bucky Irving and catch a falling knife right now. And as redraft advice, I'm actually more concerned about. this year than I even am moving forward because the argument for dynasty with Bucky is like okay he's 24 turning 25 like you've got some years left that he could rally later on almost kind of like a javanti williams situation where there's an injury that kind of keeps him hampered for a little while and then you know fresh location fresh start and he turns it around but 2026 I'm just so out yeah he'd have to fall multiple rounds past ADP for me to touch him as of now we'll see what happens in august but as of now I'm too scared to touch him
Starting point is 00:16:50 Same here. All right, Mello, should we get into our biggest sell in Dynasty Fantasy football right now? Let's do it. I love this guy that you proposed, so I'm excited to hear you talk about him. This sucks because I have him on an orphan team that I adopted, and I just haven't been able to move him for even a remotely good price. So if anyone wants to offer like a 2032 fourth rounder and a bag of chips, I'm in. And that's Ricky Piersall, 25 years old, currently the wide receiver 46 on Keep Tristan.
Starting point is 00:17:20 cut. Let's get into why that's just ridiculous and why he's overpriced right now. If you want to look at the short-term upside, Mike Evans coming in the building is not good. Even Christian Kirk coming in the building also isn't good, even though I'm not even remotely concerned about him. Long-term, not feeling great that they just went out and drafted Jejohn Stribling, who was pretty much the exact same draft capital as Ricky Pearsall just two years later. It doesn't give me a whole lot of confidence in how they feel. But when I went to go research Ricky Pearsall and look into like the good, the bad, the underlying metrics, I didn't find anything, which is concerning. It wasn't good or bad. It was all
Starting point is 00:17:57 just whatever. And so when I'm looking at guys that I want to take a shot on at like ascending and taking the next step, I want to be able to see at least a few things that give me some promise. He just gave me nothing. And so I keep hearing the argument, well, when he's healthy. That's an issue in itself. Obviously the rookie year, one of the issues is that he got shot. That's kind of an unavoidable injury situation. But he's only played 20 games in two years, and he's averaging over three catches and 46 yards, only found the end zone three times. And we're valuing around some guys that we've talked about that we absolutely love,
Starting point is 00:18:30 all buys we've mentioned, like Isaiah Likely, David Montgomery, Michael Pittman, dare I say Parker Washington, Mello. And so before I let you go, I understand the hopium. He's 25 years old. He was drafted by Kyle Shanahan and John Lynch, picked with first round draft capital. The shribling thing is in my head a lot right now. And I don't think they would have made that move. I don't think that they would have made the move to go bring in a bunch of receiving help. And I don't love the idea that there's all of these rumors catching steam that Debo Samuel could be
Starting point is 00:19:00 making a reunion in San Francisco right now. Because if that happens, your wide receiver 46 price for Ricky Pearsall is going through the floor. Yeah, it's not good. All those names you mentioned, all the moves the Niners are making, especially at Debo ends up there. you know, like, this is not good. It's Jover. It's Jover at that point. And I'm glad you mentioned to basically the same draft capital, because Tribbling was a second rounder and people thought he could be a potential day three pick. They act like he was so much later of a pick. It was like two or three picks apart. Totally. Something like that. He was the first pick of the second round, right? And Pierce saw was 31. Yeah, so two picks apart. Yeah. It's absolutely nothing. And Christian
Starting point is 00:19:40 Kirk even, you mentioned, it would not surprise me at all to see Christian Kirk finish third on this team and targets behind like Mike Evans and McCaffrey. We'll see if Kittal is healthy. But it's just a lot of new faces in that room. We haven't seen it from Pierceall yet, which is a really, really bad sign. He has not had more than 36 receptions in a season yet. But he's being, to give the sense of where he's being ranked in redraft, I'm seeing him on fantasy pros as the wide receiver 44. So people are valuing him. How's that higher than it's. It doesn't make any sense to me. So people are clearly optimistic in the short term if he's going that high-end redraft,
Starting point is 00:20:20 but to give sense or to explain how unlikely it is that he hits, over the last nine years, there have only been four wide receivers who have failed to record more than 36 receptions in at least one of their two first seasons and gone on to finish as a top 44 wide receiver in their third year, which is where Pearsall is being ranked right now. The four guys to do it are Gabe Davis, who barely did it, Donovan People's Jones, which blew my mind that he did it, but he barely did James and Williams,
Starting point is 00:20:54 and then dear friend of this program, Parker Washington, who he loved to talk about, did it last year. But only four guys in nine years, James and William had the best finish of those four at the wide receiver 22. It seems like really long odds, and people are still holding onto that hopium, but I'm just fully ready to give up on Ricky.
Starting point is 00:21:12 Yeah, I am too. The redrafting that you just said, that absolutely just blew my mind. In no way should he be getting drafted that high because you're not even getting the potential that this breaks out later on. Like with Mike Evans not there would be kind of the hope. Yeah. That is it. Those are five of our best cells for Dynasty Fantasy Football. If we miss anyone, let us know down below. If you disagree with them, let us know down below as well. Mello, we miss anything? That's it.
Starting point is 00:21:38 All right. We'll catch you guys next episode.

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