Lineup Fantasy Football Show - 6 Players To SELL Right Now | Dynasty Fantasy Football ft. Fantasy Stock Exchange

Episode Date: May 6, 2026

Today we're discussing Dynasty Fantasy Football Sells & Trade Targets with Corey from Fantasy Stock Exchange! We break down 6 dynasty players you need to buy before their value plummets in 2026. If you're playing dynasty fantasy football, these are the sell highs that could win you a championship. 0:00 - Corey From Fantasy Stock Exchange Joins The Show! 0:52 - Luther Burden 6:05 - George Pickens 13:32 - Garrett Wilson 19:49 - TreVeyon Henderson 27:41 - DK Metcalf 34:48 - Travis Etienne Dynasty & Redraft Fantasy Football all year round! Hosts Mitch and Mello bring you dynasty trade targets, dynasty rookie rankings, dynasty buy lows, dynasty sells, and Underdog Best Ball all summer long — new episodes every Monday and Thursday on the Lineup Fantasy Football Show. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Welcome into the lineup fantasy football show. I'm Mitch Anderson. I'm Justin Mello. And we are so lucky to have another very, very, very special guest today. We had Danny on last week, and now we've got Corey from Fantasy Stock Exchange here to give us some of his top sales in fantasy football. Corey, how's it going? Doing good, man. I'm excited to bring some actual names here. I've been on cell shows before, and they'll put up really dusty, dusty names on the board, but we got some actual takes that were firing off. For better or worse, I think there's been a lot of big names getting set on this show throughout the spring, and so I'm so excited to keep it going. Yeah, you can't clickbait people with mediocre names, you know what I mean? No, absolutely not. And that's the perfect segue, Corey. We're going to let you start. We always let our guests start. Give us your first sell of the episode.

Oh, this is going to irritate everybody. So I want to preface my Luther Burden cell, which is who I have here with, it's a price thing. It's not a player thing. And Luther Burden, as I'm sure a lot of people are aware of, had that, like, monster game in week 17 against the 49ers on Sunday night football. And his, you know, it was a jet engine. His price skyrocketed and it's never gone down since. But really, when you look in totality of his rookie season, you see a guy that really did have a hard time getting on the field as far as, like,

his full three wide receiver set, two wide receiver set route participation. DJ Moore is gone. which definitely helps them out, especially from a play calling standpoint. I think that DJ Moore's role is kind of what Luther Burden's role can be in Ben Johnson's offense. But for him to be going off the board like inside the top 18 or so wide receivers in terms of overall price tag based on really just like two or three blow up performances.

And, you know, beyond that performance, he had 35 yards in week 18 against the Lions. He had 42 yards against the Packers in the wildcard round and 24 yards against the Rams in the divisional round after that. He did kind of show us kind of, he is going to be a little bit more of a volatile guy. And part of this too is that I'm just like very much of the camp

that Colson Loveland's an absolute baller. And Romo Dunzee to me is the better receiver to own here because he's the one entering his third season before he suffered his lower body injury. He was basically pacing most of this receiver core by far. Like he was 25% target chair guy. He was on his way to like probably, a 17 ppr point per game season or so, and a guy that I think would be valued inside the top

10 to 12 dynasty receivers right now if it wasn't for that injury that he suffered. So for me, it's just, hey, you can get out on Luther Burden, who to me still has some volatility to him, where I sold him in one league for a mid-projected first and a mid-projected second next year, which to me is like right around the bar of what I would sell him for. Anything below that, I would probably hold on to him, because ultimately he is probably a guy that gained value from where you drafted him, 202, 203, 201, wherever you took him last year. I literally couldn't have picked a better player to start this with.

We talked about him a few weeks ago, and people were freaking out, and I'm starting to feel like everyone's understanding exactly what you said. No one's saying Luther Burden's bad. They're saying the price got out of control. And Mello brought this up. We even brought it up last week with Danny,

that with Colson Loveland, after the DJ Moore trade, Colson Loveland's value actually dropped, which made no sense on Keep Trade Cut, and we saw Luther Burden rising up, and it was one of those like snowball effect things. So like absolutely perfect pick to start this off with. Could you imagine if somebody told you after like week eight or nine last year that you could this upcoming offseason meeting now basically you could get Luther Burden for a first

and a second in a dice league when you're right. You probably paid an early second for him. No one would have believed that halfway through this season because the breakout hadn't come yet. And yes, I know part of that is the fact he was a rookie and rookies tend to experience breakouts the second half of the years. But you're right, Roma Dunesay was hurt. That played a huge role in things. Also, Colston Loveland experienced a bigger breakout the second half of the year. And if we're projecting that to continue, that is going to cut into the workload that Burden has. Not to mention, this was a pretty run-heavy team for a large portion of last year. And you're right. I remember early,

early off-season. I wanted to be a Luther Burden guy so badly. I wanted him to be one of my favorite buys of this offseason. And then the price just got so inflated that there is no option but to make him an aggressive sell at this point. Yeah. Yeah, like I said, he's more of a shop for me. Right. If you can get like close to two first rounders of value, whether it is actually two physical first rounders in 2027 or you sell him for like Jordan Addison and a mid projected first. So, you know, a guy that's worth a late first plus a guy that's worth or you know, the pick itself, a midfirst or whatever. That's where I'm at with Luther Bernd. To me, it's just mitigating a little bit risk that he could be very clearly, in my opinion, the third best option on this offense, a great

offense, one that I still expect him to put up, you know, 12, 13, 14 fantasy points per game. But like, when I look at this like underdog 80s going off the board like 40 overall and I just don't, I don't, I just think it's a little bit too much, man. And I get it part of it's like stacking equity and that kind of thing. But I don't know, Luther Burden's rookie season on a pure PBR points per game standpoint was 8.5, three points. Which is pretty much exactly what Rome. Rome did his rookie season, it's comparable to like what Rashad Bateman did as a rookie. I get there's better moments, but he did taper off during the playoffs. And I do think that there's no downside risk baked into his price right now. I completely agree. There's nothing more derogatory than a Rashad Bateman

comp right there. That was like a crazy stray. Yeah. I mean, again, rookie season wise, he was fine as a rookie, but like he didn't really take that step. And I think Burden's a better prospect and probably will be just fine. But if I had to put a, you know, target share standpoint, on it, I expect him to be third on the team. Yeah. 100% possible, which is scary for that price. I have a more proven guy for you that I'm still very, very scared about.

And I think people might be even more bad about this one. It's George Pickens of the Dallas Cowboys. A very big name who is so sensational. I've talked about him on the show before, too, probably in a somewhat derogatory way. But I'm doubling down here. And I think it's because he truly is a great sell. And it's sort of similar to the burden thing in that I don't think it's a talent issue at all.

I think George Pickens is unbelievable. And I am not saying he's overrated in real life NFL football by any means. It's just the price he's at right now, especially in Dynasty, you can get so, so much for him. And I don't think you'll ever be able to get this much again. First of all, we'll start off with the fact that he just signed that franchise tag, which means at this point, he could be dealt by the Cowboys if they wanted. He got a huge haul for him now instead of letting him walk in a year for nothing. And if he does get traded, I don't trust that wherever he goes will be a very desirable situation. This is a trade where the cowboys would have all the leverage to move him wherever they wanted to.

So I don't like the ambiguity there. And even if he doesn't get traded, which to be honest at this point, I don't think he will. I think he probably will be a cowboy in 2026. He's still going to leave in a year and who knows where he'll end up. But even for this year, I don't think the Dallas offense is going to be as desirable of a fantasy situation as it has been the last couple of years. The big reason just being the Cowboys defense has been so laughably putrid. I just don't anticipate that being the case anymore, at least to the extent it has been. We've seen the acquisitions they made, even at the trade deadline last year, they made a couple of moves, which did actually help the defense when you look statistically.

And they've continued down that trajectory. They drafted both Caleb Downs and Malachi Lawrence in the first round. They drafted J. Sean Barham in the third round, who a lot of people like is kind of a sleeper, tweener player, edge rusher, off ball linebacker can do it all. So I'm not saying this is going to be like the 85 bears, but I think the defense is going to be a lot more respectable to the point where they're not going to have to throw the ball 500 times a game to keep up. And of course, I'm being hyperbolic, but they did throw the ball 36.7 times per game last year. That was third in the NFL, very, very high volume passing offense. Comped, the fact that Citi missed some time last year, he also wasn't healthy the whole year. So he could and should be available for them now.

And he's going to take plenty of opportunities away from Pickens as well. Who last year, yes, the success was largely because of the talent. But it also was because he was in this fantasy gold mine situation that might not exist anymore. So to put a price on it, I actually just traded Pickens in a league that all three. of us are in, just inherited an orphaned team, which I'm very excited about. I traded them for Brock Prudy straight up, Super Flex League, of course. And I think that is a very fair price. The team I traded with desperately needed receiver, I desperately needed quarterback. But to be honest, situation aside, I think All Else sequel, I do prefer Brock Purdy in a Super Flex League. And I mean, obviously,

it doesn't have to be Brock Purdy. Pick your poison, whether you want draft picks, players. My point is, you can get a very big hall firm right now that I don't know that you'll be able to get in year. Mello, I love that you waited until after Danny was on the show to just start firing shots at Cowboys. I know, but I can't disagree with Danny. I think a very interesting wrinkle that you put in this time versus the last time you talked about George Pickens is just the fact that, like, we've been calling them the Bengals

light with this elite pocket passing quarterback and a really bad defense. And if all that fantasy, like gold doesn't come together the way you're expecting it to, like you put it perfectly also back when you said, do you think George Pickens got more talented over the offseason last year in 2025. No, he went to a team that he was in a better situation with him Pittsburgh. And so if you're not projecting long term that he's going to be in that good of a situation, like this is going to be the best price you'll ever get for him. Yeah, I would say I agree like in theory, but like the reason I didn't pick a lavee who would have maybe been one of myself and the reason I wouldn't have picked pickens either is because

I actually just think that it's so hard to bet against a guy that has such a clean redraft projection who's been very productive and is still in his prime. But ultimately, I do think because of the tag and all that kind of stuff, I think this will be true for me next year, where after he's coming off of the tag season, maybe he signs a big extension. Doesn't George Pickens just seem like the type of player to pull a Kenny Gallaudet also where he's not trying or Brandon IU for, you know, those types of players where he gets his bag and then he totally phones it in. Part of it is like an attitude thing for me with Pickens, but I don't want to bet against him this year. That would be my one thing. is that I do think that, you know, you got some rookies coming in.

Sure, the defense is going to be a little bit better. But I still ultimately think that the Cowboys offense will be really good. I wouldn't put it past us to look back five years from now and go, that was clearly the best season of George Pickens' career 2025. That wouldn't shock me at all. I just think that this year, like along with like Alave, who I almost picked, the redraft projections so crystal clear that I don't want to bet against them. Yeah, and I don't play me as all.

That's so interesting. Alave, I would not put them in the same camp right now, but now that you say it, I can see what you're talking about. Like, Jordan Tyson is not just going to come in and take away, like, Alave's entire target share. But he could, you're, he could long term. And also, Alave still has the concussion stuff. And Pickens has a bit of a knucklehead factor as well.

Like the, the pickens and Alave both could have very short primes as I guess the way that I would look at it. But I can't look at anything New Orleans has right now and be like, this is anything but a really good situation for him because of the past volume and the pace of play and the fact that Tyson's a rookie. and the additions that they made actually kind of complement a lavee. So in the long term, I'm a little worried for it.

But for him and Pickens both, like, the only point that I would really stick on for Pickens is like, is Lamb going to miss time again? Probably. Yeah. And if Lamb doesn't miss time, I don't think you're getting that truly dominant level. Like, when we were doing our like tier list rankings throughout the season, it's like, I have Pickens in my top five receivers this week or whatever. I don't think we're getting that.

I think he's going to be essentially where T. Higgins has been for the number, last number of years, where he's like the very clear top tier number two receivers. in the league. I think that's a great way to put it. And even as somebody who is bearish on Pickens from a fantasy perspective, I completely agree. Like, there is a real world where maybe he's not the same 2025 version, but close to it. And then we see the tail off after that. So maybe it's just a little of the Belichickian nature of wanting to move a guy a year early versus a year late. But yes, the talent's still there. The situation still could be good. But I think where we are definitely aligned is long term. I'm very scared. And you can get so much for him now. It's,

it's tempting to not take that. yeah no for sure i absolutely love also just comparing knucklehead risk to injury risk there because i think it's a very real thing that needs to be said yeah it's been my rishi rice cell high factor for a long time but unfortunately it doesn't look like kansas city seems to care about his knucklehead risk so i uh i keep taking i keep taking l after l on rishie rice being a cell you and me both brother and mellows just over here reaping all the benefits oh i've i've been on the pro rishie rice Well, let me clarify. I've been on the pro fantasy.

On field. Reggie Reg side reluctantly. But a knucklehead. No question about it. Yeah. All right. Let me jump into my first player. Before I do, guys, make sure hit that like button.

Hit the subscribe button to be notified every time we drop a brand new episode. Let's jump in, though. We've got one more receiver here. I'm going to talk about Garrett Wilson, who's currently being ranked on Keep Trade Cut as the wide receiver 13. And I actually kind of alluded to this, like, in an article last week. talking about guys with sketchy quarterback situations. And it's kind of inverse of the exact argument we just made with Pickens and Olavé,

where I'm probably more worried about him from a redraft perspective. But the whole argument I have is I refuse to buy into another Geno Smith offense. I think myself and so many people got burned last year by the Raiders. And it feels even more insane to say that because he's succeeding Justin Fields, who was passing for, I think, 160 yards per game last year. But if you look at Garrett Wilson, the pro case is somewhat quarterback proof for a lot of his career. He was the wide receiver 7 up through that time with Justin Fields before he got hurt. And if you want to be even more pro, Gino Smith did pass for 4,300 yards in Seattle in 2024.

But my issue now is that Garrett always had this level of a floor because of the fact that you can make the argument, well, he's the one guy in the offense. There's nobody else to throw to. And so for me, that was what could get me over the hump of saying Justin Fields is the quarterback. it's fine. Now they go out and they spend their second and third first round picks on past catchers in Kenyon Sadeek and Omar Cooper Jr. You've also got Mason Taylor who was drafted in the second round last year. And so to make that argument, there's no one else to throw it. It was out the window. And now I feel like I have the sobering reality of looking myself in the mirror and saying,

do I want Gino Smith's number one receiver? And I'm starting to feel like I don't. So I think there are reasons to be optimistic with him, but as I look down the list and I say, who do I want to build a team around? The wide receiver 13 price tag is just so insane for me for Garrett Wilson right now that I just as a value think he's a sell, which pains me because he's honestly one of my favorite guys to watch. Yeah, he's a challenging one to figure out because I was not in on Gino Smith last year. I've been notorious. I think Gino Smith is the most overrated quarterback in the NFL, and I have thought that for five years. So, I have never been on Gino Smith offenses.

My thing with Garrett is like, he's kind of like the like double condom wide receiver pick where I know he's not going to be bad, but is he going to put up like 18 fantasy points per game this year? Like probably not. He's basically like the new Terry McLaurin where like Terry McLaurin never had a good quarterback and you always could count on him for like wide receiver 27

in fantasy points per game finish. But like wide receiver 13 is pretty high, man. And there's guys going after him. like the rookie receivers, Tate and Lemon and those guys. If you're going like pure competitive, you could go for like a Collins or somebody like that that are going right after him. And I personally would rather swing on like the true like ceiling, ceiling guys like a Romo Dune's Day, even like a Marvin Harrison Jr., to be honest, or a Brian Thomas Jr.,

where like I know if they hit, like they will be much more valuable than Garrett Wilson, both for production and for value. So that's the thing that I, like I'm worried about with Garrett Wilson. I've been notoriously at Garrett Wilson's stand his entire career. But I do look at the offense and I go, okay, like, he's probably from a projection standpoint, going to project for like a thousand yards, six touchdowns, and he's going to be wide receiver 27 in points per game. And he's not going to fail. He's not going to bust. But I don't think he's really going to, he's how you finish seventh place in your fantasy league, most likely. Yeah. He'll just be fine.

He'll be honestly, sadly what he's been for a lot of his career, which is just fine, or even good, but maybe a little bit underwhelming. But yeah, leave it to the New York Jets to just ruin so many careers all in one night basically, Garrett Wilson, I mean, the guys, both the guys they drafted, Kenyon, Sadiq, Omar Cooper, throw base and Taylor in there,

sure. Like, those are guys that I, my level of interest dropped significantly after night one of the draft. Yeah. One point I want to make two that I forgot is the other thing with him,

and I said, like, you know, redraft doesn't scare me quite as much. If you're projecting out to the future, like your hope is either somehow Geno Smith is just really good or they're an absolute tank machine and they're drafting first overall. But even then, like, with a rookie quarterback, are you immediately excited about Garrett Wilson?

Probably not. So you keep kicking the can down the road. And next thing you know, you're valuing a wide receiver 13 who's going to be 28 years old when he's got a decent quarterback. I feel like he's like a stock with like a 1% rate of return. Dividend stock? Like, yeah, like he's just so, he's so sexless. And it sucks because if he was like the Buffalo Bill's number one receiver, he'd probably be way better for fantasy. And I do think, like I'm actually not that concerned about the target competition, at least in year one, because Cooper and Sadiq, to me, are pretty raw players. But I, I'm expecting Kade Klubnik to be starting games by week 11.

Like, I don't, I don't want to invest in this offense at all. I actually think that the only one that I actually feel kind of excited about is Brees Hall, just because, I think, because he has surrounding receivers in the O line is now kind of formidable at this point in time. He's the one guy that I can actually see kind of smashing his ADP. Whereas Garrett, I'm like, yeah, like I said, he's probably just going to, by next year, we're going to have the exact same conversation about Garrett Wilson. He's like, you finally has a quarterback again. It's like every year we talk about Garrett Wilson finally getting a quarterback.

And also the, oh, the Jets are going to get one in the 2027 class. Well, the Jets haven't had a quarterback since my father was in preschool. So it's not like I'm going to like sit here and go, yes, the Jets got it right. Like they've drafted like three quarterbacks since I graduated high school, it feels like. Like it's, they've never, they've never had a quarterback. Whoa, whoa, whoa. In their defense, Sam Darnold just won a Super Bowl. Sammy Super Bowls.

Again, leave it to the Jets to ruin that. And it sucks because the Jets do actually have like a formidable situation, but I wouldn't put it past half of these prospects to say they're never going to play for New York either. Yeah. Dumpster fire organization. Sorry Jets fans, but sadly the truth. And I'm like a pseudo Jets fan, by the way. They just keep drafting my favorite players.

So I kept like getting like I just, I love me some Garrett Wilson. I love me some Brees Hall. I loved Elijah Moore coming out. I just kept getting invested in the team because I had so many players that they were drafting. And I was like, I got to stop watching this team. Like it just burns my retinas every Sunday. All right, Corey.

You want to jump into your second guy? Yeah, my second guy is not going to be very popular. Trevion Henderson, again, just, it's really a price thing, but also kind of, I feel like everybody likes Trevion Henderson more than me. Like going back to his freshman season, like at Ohio State. I like watch some tape on him his freshman year because I wanted to see like he was the Devy 101. It was Bejohn and him.

Those are the Devy 101s and that kind of thing. I watched this guy and I'm like, I don't think he's all that elusive. I don't think he breaks contact fairly well. And it's been proven now in four years since then that no team wants to give this guy a full workload. He didn't have a full workload after that freshman season. Even in that season, I think he had like 200 carries. And then he got injured in his sophomore year.

His junior season, he bounced back towards the end of the season, comes back. for his senior year, they bring in Quintan Judkins to carry the majority of the early down stuff in between the tackles. And then last year, Remondry Stevenson was good, legitimately. Like, he wasn't, you know, a liability by any means. But, like, if you're Trevion Henderson and you were this guy that was supposed to be like the DeVy 101 one day, I think you probably should have beaten him out without an injury. And once he comes back from injury, he's not the starter anymore, too, even despite having a really nice stretch of time where Trevion Henderson managers were thinking, okay, here we go. I got a Dynasty top five, top 10 running back here.

And then I look at his price and I'm like, okay, he should probably be like Dynasty RB 15, right? It's like RB 10 on the market. I'm like, I just don't think this guy's ever going to get a full workload as long as Stevenson's there. And then we could do the thing like, oh, when Stevenson leaves and when like, they're going to just replace him. They're going to just bring in another guy to go along with Stevenson.

So you can like look at the peripherals and be like, okay, this was a second round running back, a good prospect. He's attached to Drake May and the New England Patriots. That's all great. But he kind of reminds me of DeAndre Swift in a way that like every. team's going to want to replace him at some point or like use him in a tandem or whatever. So do I ever envision? This is like my ultimate thing with Trevionn Henderson. He's RB 10 on the market in dynasty. For a guy to be RB10 on the market in dynasty, I need to envision a scenario in which he scores

20 or more fantasy points in a single season per game. And I don't see that ever happening. I think he will consistently be somewhere between RB 18 and RB9, let's say, in points per game for the duration of his prime. And maybe there's a little bit more volatility as well. And I think he will consistently. Like I said, he did have a lot of injury issues in college. And as much as I like the offense and I like the situation, it's not like they're peppering him like a hundred targets either. Like he was not limited as a receiver, but he had 2.5 targets per game his rookie season.

For a guy that was a great receiver in college, I would have expected him to have four or five targets per game. Yeah. Well, it's funny too because you're right, he was a great receiver in college. And he was also a great pass protector. And those are two things he did not do well, day one in the NFL, which obviously pass blocking does not get you fantasy points,

but it keeps you on the field for third downs where you could potentially run around and catch a pass. So that's definitely hurt him. And to sort of give a baseball analogy, Trayalam Henderson to me is like the biggest power hitter in the MLB where he is swinging for the fences every fucking time. And we saw it in the playoffs. They played good run defense and he got bottled up. As a Patriots fan, like it was super frustrating watching him like, refuse to take the three yards, the four yards.

I don't know if it was a vision problem or like an elusiveness problem like you said. Yeah. But if he can't get going, if he can't hit that second gate and, you know, break through the entire interior of the defense, he can't consistently get you yardage, which cannot consistently get you fantasy points. I think that might be why we see these coaching staffs not give him a full-time role, but really use them as a complementary piece. So I'm not completely out on Trayvion yet,

but I'll admit I'm terrified for his. long-term outlook. Not only as somebody who recently traded for him in a dynasty lead, but also as somebody who was a Patriots man, with some guy who named Corey, who really wanted to sell him so badly. Yeah, I traded him in two leagues this year. I traded Khalil Shakir, Treviont Henderson, in the 109 before the draft. So I got lucky that the draft ended up sucking so much ass. Kenneth Walker and T. Higgins is what I got in return on a competitive team. So I think, but like the market was like, oh, Trevion and Henderson, Kenneth Walker, that's kind of a wash. And I'm like, I don't think it is at all. I think.

Kenneth Walker is a much higher chance to be like an RB1 top five running back this year from a redraft standpoint. So again, we've got like three or four different coaching staffs now that have decided this guy's not an early down Belkow. And I just don't think it's really ever going to happen. I think DeAndre Swift's career trajectory is a very good career. He's been a top 24 running back in fantasy every season of his career. But he's never been or he's been one time, I think, a top 10 running back in fantasy. Yeah. I think he like you said, like when you're saying like at RB 10, you're hoping to get 20 plus fantasy points a game. And Travion, to me, is, like, an ultimate lottery ticket where we saw it, like,

efficiency-wise, like, it wasn't that bad. But if you watched him with your eyeballs and a lot of games, like, as two New England fans, we were watching a lot of Patriots football. And, like, you have those moments where you don't know what the fuck he's doing. Or if you watched all the playoff games, like, Travion's not even out on the field. And we're like, what was it, a conference championship weekend, three snaps. Yeah. And so that type of stuff raises so many red flags.

I do think the talent's there, which is what excites me. But I guess everyone does. That's why it's Harvey Town. I know. But the floor is lava, basically on Trevionn Henderson. Yeah. It's so difficult, man, because again, I look at like who's immediately behind him. If you're going to go with a younger running back,

why not take his former Ohio State teammate, Quinn Sean Judkins, who went on the field was clearly the Belcal, not even a question about it, and was on one of the worst teams in the league that could get better. the guy below him is Brees Hall, who once finishes a top five running back off a blown ACL with Zach Wilson as his quarterback, so I've already seen him perform at a super high level. And then you have your pure competitive guys

like Christian McCaffrey, Sequan Barclay, and then Chase Brown, who when Joe Burrow was healthy last year was literally one of the best running backs in fantasy. Dude, I think I need an entire episode where I just talk about Chase Brown and try to figure out where my own brain's at with him. I have them way, like, egregiously high in my... best ball rankings. Like, I have him like my 13th overall player. Damn.

Redraft. I'm, I agree with Misho. One of my, like, the most conflicted feelings I had toward a player. I don't, I don't know if it's the draft capital I haven't gotten over from like a talent perspective, but in the situation he's in, it's so incredibly juicy. It's like, how do you not talk yourself into it? He had 90 targets last year. That's the type of volume that you just dream about. Yeah. But yeah, Henderson's a tough one for me, man. Like I said, I could see. I could see. see being very wrong about this. I could see by week eight, he takes a big step. He's a 70% opportunity share running back and he's RB6 in Dynasty and I look like an idiot. But I have met like RB 18, RB17 in Dynasty because I think ultimately he's kind of going to just be what he is,

which is a committee running back, a guy that does need a hammer in the backfield. But he's going to be good. Like I'm not like I think at 47th overall his redraft ADP is right now. I think he's pretty decent for that price tag. I just don't love the idea that I can get like two first round picks for the guy on the open market and re-roll him into something better or take one of those first round picks go trade for Sakewan Barclay, take the other first round pick and go re-roll it on a rookie or something. He's priced pretty close to his ceiling, I would say. Yeah, well, in his current state, in his current state, if he takes a big leap, yeah, if he takes a big leap volume-wise, which again, I love, like, one of the things that I learned as like a early fantasy analyst is like, just if you have

a huge sample of something, you should probably pay attention to it. And we have, like a now five-year sample of no coaching staff giving this guy a full workload. All right. My next player here, I got one for you that I'm very certain we've already seen at their ceiling. And that is D.K. Metcalfe, who this one hurts me because I've actually grown to really like DK as a player a lot. Like I would consider myself kind of a pro DK. Metcalf guy.

But unfortunately, when it comes to his dynasty value, I'm just so fully out. And I am no longer a D.K. Metcalf guy. and most of that comes down to the fact that this offseason has been absolutely brutal for him. Last year, going into the year, I was actually pretty bullish on DK just because he was potentially going to be a volume king and their offense with Aaron Rogers, who has bet a kingmaker. But now you look at the situation in Pittsburgh. You have Michael Pittman, who just got traded at the very start of free agency, immediately got extended. So he's going to be a part of this offense. And assuming Aaron Rogers is back, which we don't know for.

certain yet. I do think he will be, but assuming he is, I think Michael Pittman is probably stylistically a better fit than Metcalf in terms of what Aaron Rogers likes to do. Pitman, someone who can create separation, went on multiple routes, whereas D.K. Metcalf is electric. He's a superb athlete. I don't want to be derogatory towards him, but he's not necessarily the most refined route runner who can run every route in the route tree. And that's the type of guy that Aaron Rogers has really succeeded with. Obviously, Devante Adams being the best example of. of that. And between the two, Metcalf and Pitman, they're the exact same age, just two months apart. And Pittman actually had the higher fantasy finish last year, so I don't think there's

necessarily a talent or production gap between the two, at least one that's in Medcap's favor. Yet Medcap is being ranked eight spots higher positionally at the wide receiver position on fantasy pros and 13 spots higher on keep trade cut. But all of this I could maybe overlook if it weren't for what happened during the drafts. Night one, the Steelers were dead set on drafting Mackay Lemon. It was pretty much a done deal. They were going to draft Mackay Lemon in the first round until the Eagles traded up, alphaed them, cucked them, for lack of a better word. They made sure to go up. They got Mackay Lemon. And then the Steelers, the next day, decided, okay, we'll go ahead and draft Jeremy Bernard instead in the second round. Both Lemon and Bernard are guys who can win in the

middle of the field, short to intermediate games, slot profile type of guys. And what this tells me, the fact that they wanted Lemon with their first round pick and the fact that they got Bernard with the second round pick and they brought in Michael Pittman, it's that this new coaching staff, this new regime in Pittsburgh felt desperate to rework this passing game. And to me at least, and I think this isn't consensus, but to me it feels like D.K. is kind of slowly becoming the odd man out in Pittsburgh. Not that he is already the odd man out. It just feels like it's trending in that direction. And I'm not really excited about this Pittsburgh offense to begin with anyways. So now you factor in as an offense that I don't think we'll have a good passing game necessarily in the short term.

Long term, I'm certainly not feeling great because Aaron Rogers at most is going to be a one-year thing. And now he's a guy who I think could maybe be phased out to some extent where he's not seeing super high volume. But he's being ranked comfortably higher in any dynasty rankings you look at comfortably higher than both Pitman and Jeremy Bernard. I don't think this gap should be that big. I think there's a strong argument that Pittman should be higher than D.K., in fact. So I would find a manager who agrees with consensus more than I do and move D.K. while you can.

Yeah. D.K. was like the ultimate guy for years that I just had a feeling at some point we were going to be drafting him or valuing him too high because of his name and because of like the aura he had when he was like 24 years old. But it is crazy now. He's like 28. And like, we always bring this up, Melo, and we talk about, like, guys who can age well in the NFL receiver. And we talk about Devante Adams being, like, this crisp route runner and, like, being so technically sound.

And, like, DK just has never really been that, at least not to me. And so, like, I have a hard time projecting him to have, like, a ton of production for years to come. Yeah, the projections kind of like, in my opinion, they kind of like the Pittsburgh offense taking a volume step. I wouldn't say like necessarily a super big efficiency step, but I do think Mike McCarthy going in there is probably going to result in them being like top 10 to 12 in the NFL and pass rate. So I like that from both of their perspectives,

but I didn't realize the gap was that big. I have Metcalf and Pittman like three spots apart at wide receiver because like you said, Pittman was literally better last year. And Metcalf, I have a soft spot for as well because he retweeted me like five years ago. That's sick. Yeah, it was pretty cool because I had like no followers at the time.

DK Metcalf is probably going to be exactly what he was last year, except but like get there at a different way. Like he was like a 12 fantasy point per game receiver, like wide receiver 30 in points per game or 29 in points per game or whatever. I just kind of expect him to be exactly that again this year. Yeah. Yeah. I am totally fine, by the way,

even though I think I probably prefer Pittman both on the short and long terms over Metcalfe. I'm fine if somebody wants to put Medcalf over him. I think three spots like you said is appropriate. I mean, 13 spots on Keep Trade Cut. that seems blasphemous to me. He had 99 targets in 15 games last year with Calvin Austin is the number two receiver there.

Like, it's kind of surprising to me. Like, because I actually did like kind of like him from like a, in best ball, he could be a value because, you know, you thought of like when Stefan Diggs came from the Vikings and then he went to a situation where he could have just been like completely a volume hog. I'm like, could Beckalf like be a lot better than I'm giving him credit for and actually command 140, 150 targets in this situation?

And then the Steelers just like couldn't, generate a first down with their passing game. So, like, they, they weren't really on the field. It wasn't a ton of like red zone opportunity. It wouldn't shock me if like he had 856 yards and six touchdowns last year. It wouldn't shock me if he has like exactly 856 yards, six touchdowns again. Only it's because he like averages way more per catch has a couple of big blowup performances as opposed to like he was kind of like a seven target per game receiver consistently getting PPR points kind of thing. So yeah. Yeah. He's he's a weird. He's a weird one for sure because like I don't really know what to do with them. And I also don't know what his trade market is. Like, I think in a

casual league, you should be able to get like a mid to late first for him in some cases. But like in like any kind of like serious league, I don't think you're getting anything close to that. Yeah, that's a great point because he's valued wherever he is on keep trade cut. But like I don't, it's not like I'm hearing people talking all the time right now about how excited they are for DK Metcalf. But like to your point, there's got to be some people who are valuing him this high. And hopefully you've got a manager in your league that you can dump him off to. got to find like the trade calculator bro in your league who's just like let me crunch the numbers in this total arbitrary trade calculator I found it online that guy will trade for him yeah yeah no he's

he's he's a weird one man he's he's hard to figure out I think again he's just like fantasy oatmeal to me where I'm like for real life I think he's a much better receiver than he is in fantasy but yeah like since his second season he's been like a completely replaceable wide receiver three for his whole career yeah totally all right let's jump into our last guy. This is another one that kind of similar to Chase Brown, where for a while I feel like I've had no idea what to do with him in my brain, and I think I've arrived

to sell, which is Travis A. Chan. I'm going to spare everyone the speech again about E.T.N. versus A. Chan, but my worry with him is he is 27 years old right now. Obviously, the biggest news for him over the past few months, moving on for the first time in his career from Jacksonville and New Orleans. Last year

was great. If you had A. Chan, he finished as the RB10 in points per game for PPR. But now have the concerns of the volume. And so not only, or sorry, not the volume, but the high value opportunities, because I do think he'll still get a decent amount of volume in New Orleans. But not only is he sharing the backfield with Alvin Kamara, who I don't think is completely just going to go away. He moves from the team that scored the sixth most points in the NFL last year to the fifth least, which is ironically one spot above the Jets to do some more Jets talk. But as someone who's

been really high on the Saints offense going into this offseason, I think this is the guy that I'm actually getting pessimistic about because I'm not as high on them as I am Jacksonville. Shout out Parker Washington. So my question is, how many years does Travis ETN have left producing at a high level? And how confident are we that the Saints are going to take that big step up here? Which this was the perfect segue earlier with Corey talking about, like, I don't think Jordan Tyson comes in year one and just sets the league on fire. And I'm excited about Tyler Shuck.

I just don't know if we're going to see them jump off to like an ascension the way Jacksonville did in 2025 this year. And so if you look at who's going around him and how we're valuing players, there's guys like Giovante Williams, who's younger, who's part of that Dallas Cowboys offense that we're all so excited about, or if you need a quarterback that's in a new system that is like way more optimistic than here in New Orleans, you could look at Kyler Murray or even the running back taking over for him in Jacksonville, Bachel Tootin, who are all getting ranked lower than him right now.

He's, he, I'm going to disagree on this one. Okay. the one that I disagree on. The reason I'm going to disagree on this is because I know what you mean when you say like you don't really know what to do with him, but I see a guy again going back to the whole sample sizes thing. At no point in the last seven years has Travis ETN. I'm just, I'm sorry. I'm going to keep calling him what he is. It's so hard. In my mind, he at no point when healthy has he been anything other than a really good NFL in college running back in his last seven years playing football. So I just think he's a great

player or a good player at the very least who is like you said top 10 top 15 running back in fantasy last year he's projected for like the fourth most targets of any running back in the NFL but based on the saints dropping back at a top five rate according to mike clay from ESPN's projections and also the fact too that kellen more runs up tempo runs a lot of pace uh i think shuck is you know based on what i know about him from scouting him at louisville he's the type of quarterback who's going to utilize his running backs in the passing game we didn't really get to see that if you think about it because Shuck and Camara's time didn't really overlap. Early in the season, Camara was playing, and he got injured, and they were rolling at like Devin Neal and Kendra

Miller and those type of guys after that. So I tend to think that Camara is going to go into like a very minor role, like a 30% snapshot type of role. ETN was paid pretty significant money. And yeah, he's 27 years old, but he doesn't have a ton of mileage on his body right now because he did have a couple of years where he didn't get a ton of volume. He missed his rookie season and so on. So I actually, if I'm a contending team and I can send the 110 in this year's class in a casual league, probably not in a sharp league, but in a casual league, you could send the 110 to for a rebuilding team to get ETN off of their team. I actually do kind of project him to be like a top 15 running back in fantasy. And I think that goes for next year as well. So I, I don't know,

I kind of like the projection just because I think he can get there on the back of receptions and and whatnot and you know 220 carries and eight to ten touchdowns or whatever mella where are you out with them i'm i'm personally at least to this point in the off season and also then have been out but that's why i'm glad corey is in because all the time itch you make a take and i just want to like argue with you like first take style and i can't so i'm glad corey can push back in you a little bit introduce you to a show on our our youtube channel we pretty much all we do is argue i was like this is this This sure's a fucking glaze fest 90% of the time, so I appreciate Corey coming in and disagreeing with a take.

No, that's good. We're actually going to do an episode, I think, in probably a couple weeks where we just debate player. Rishie Rice is going to be the headliner, I think, since where Mitch and I are very on opposite ends at the spectrum. Yeah, for ETN, honestly, part of it might be, like, biased with me where I just can't get rid of the stench of 2024 when he was so disappointing. But like you said, he has been great when healthy in that year.

He was so banged up the entire year. So I see the path for him. I'm not also, I'm not very excited about the Saints offense like some people are. But, I mean, there's completely a path. I've been wrong before. And to be honest, I'm not so vehemently out on Travis E, TN, HN, whatever you want to call him, that I will admit there is a very real path for him to be like a fringe RB1 this season if everything falls right. I'm taking a stand against him changing the pronunciation of his name.

Yeah, I appreciate that. It's way too late in the game, bro. You're on your second contract dog. Like, you can't be, you can't be doing that. Like, you had a four-year college career, and you've been in the NFL for a full rookie contract and fifth-year option. You cannot be changing your name at this point.

Like, his senior year at Clemson, it would have been like the absolute earliest, or the absolute latest I would have accepted, just because he was like a literal All-American for four years and never mentioned it. I would like to enact a vote on a statute of limitations for changing your name in the NFL. Yeah, exactly.

Yeah. If you're on your second contract, like it's just immediately denied, like, you know, at the DMV or whatever they, just stamp it and just send it off. Yeah, but the only thing that gives me solace about ETN is when I go to a projections system, I'm like, he actually projects quite well because of the targets and the uptempo and all that kind of stuff.

I could see him very easily being like a dead zone running back this year, but I also get the sense that like dead zone running backs aren't typically in high, pass heavy offenses, uptempo, been a multi-time RB1 before. Like, it's not, it's not really the recipe of a dead zone running back. Well, whichever side you're on for Travis A-chan, E-TN, whatever you want, want to call him, let us know down below in the comments if you agree with me, Mello, or Corey. Thank you guys so much for tuning in. Of course,

be sure to check out Corey on Fantasy Stock Exchange. Subscribe over there and check out their tools on flockfantasy.com slash FSE. Thank you again for hopping on the show, Corey. Normally I ask Mello this, but did we miss anything? I forgot to say fuck the Saints as a Bucks fan. We talked about the Saints

a couple times and I never said fuck the Saints, so as Patriots fans, I'm glad we got to basically say fuck the Jets throughout this episode. So I appreciate you, us that opportunity, Corey. For sure. All right. We'll catch you guys next episode.