Lineup Fantasy Football Show - NFL Free Agent Rankings & Predictions for Fantasy Football in 2026

Episode Date: March 9, 2026

NFL Free Agency is here and we are ranking our Top 10 Free Agents for Fantasy Football in 2026 and giving our predictions on where they'll sign! 0:34 - Kenneth Walker III 5:24 - Mike Evans 10:06 - Tra...vis Etienne 14:41 - Jauan Jennings 18:20 - Kyler Murray 26:27 - Malik Willis 31:43 - Tyler Allgeier 37:15 - Dallas Goedert 43:05 - Deebo Samuel 45:55 - Alec Pierce Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Big Free Agency moves shook up the fantasy football landscape in 2025, including eventual Super Bowl champ Sam Darnold, Devante Adams heading to the Rams or even Stefan Diggs going to the AFC champion New England Patriots. This year we're taking a look at our top 10 free agents for the 26 NFL free agent class and predicting where we think they'll go and how much of an impact they'll have on fantasy football. Welcome into the lineup football show. I'm Mitch Anderson. I'm Justin Mellow. And we are not here to waste anybody's time. Let's jump right into number one in our S tier.
Starting point is 00:00:33 And that's Ken Walker. We just talked Super Bowl champs. Ken Walker in redraft right now, number 41 off the board at RB16. And in Dynasty, number 59 at RB15. Mello, I'll let you start on this one. There's no way he's back, right, in Seattle? Are we officially fully moved on from that?
Starting point is 00:00:53 When we first started noting this up, I already thought there was no chance. And the reports over the past few days are like, there's just zero chance. Yeah, and I kind of thought that at the end of last season, honestly in the middle of last season, but you're right. The reports have been very strongly on the side. There's no way he's back, which might be good for him for fantasy, like as good as he was in the playoffs and as good as the Seahawks were. Obviously, they won the Super Bowl. It was kind of frustrating. I know we both had him in fantasy this year in the same league. We were trading him, both frustrated.
Starting point is 00:01:25 So change of scenery might be good for him. He is our high. highest ranked free agent from a fantasy football perspective for a reason. He's a good player. I'm curious to see where he ends up. I think he could get better usage wherever he does end up. Really the two main things holding him back are he can't pass protect very well and he can't catch the ball very well, which is why he lost a lot of like meaningful pass work to Zach Charbonnet. But I still feel like if someone's going to open up the bag for debatably the best running back in this three agent class, they're going to use him more than Seattle did. Yeah, I would say, I can pretty confidently say I think this is the best running back in this free agent class.
Starting point is 00:02:05 I know you'd probably agree. And I'm completely on the same page as you. This was not a talent issue last year in terms of fantasy production. It was a situation issue. In fact, he was PFF's number one rusher by Russian grade of the entire year. Seattle believed in a running back by committee set up and Walker unfortunately lost a lot of volume and specifically high value touches near the goal line is Zach Sharbony like you said. So for me, I looked at all the landing spots and I really wanted to get contrary in here.
Starting point is 00:02:36 But there's one spot that just made sense to me and I think you had the same spot. I think we're going to see Ken Washington. Ken Walker go to Washington. Ken Washington. I got Parker Washington on the brain. We're going to see Ken Walker go to Washington. I had it in my notes.
Starting point is 00:02:50 We're going to see a little Lamar Jackson, Derek Henry Light here with Jaden Daniels and Ken Walker. I actually think it is a good fit for him because he's not a very good pass catcher. But when you have a mobile quarterback like Jaden Daniels, you don't really need a good pass catching running back. Yeah. A lot of the time the pocket passers, you know, when the pocket collapses, the pocket passers will dish it off to the running back.
Starting point is 00:03:16 The mobile guys will just take off and run. That's sort of what Jaden can do. So he's a good fit there. You're right. It is like the overwhelming favorite spot, I think, by a lot of people. but that's probably where I'd plant my flag as well. But I had to ask you, you are probably the biggest R.J. Harvey truther I know. Are we nervous about Denver?
Starting point is 00:03:36 How are we feeling? A little bit nervous. I don't think he ends up in Denver. I don't think they break the bank for Ken Walker. I don't think that makes sense to me. We're going to talk about another running back in a little while that is getting a little bit more steam and buzz. That scares me a bit more. But right now my panic meter on Ken Walker going to Denver's up.
Starting point is 00:03:55 a two. It's there, but it's not bothering me that much. Yeah, there is, there was some speculation they could have been in on Brees had he not gotten franchise tagged. And I also, seeing some, some tweets, I don't, I don't know how legitimate they were, but that they were interested in David Montgomery before they ultimately lost out on that trade battle to the Texans. So, yeah, I think it's, I think you're right to be a little bit nervous, but yeah, I think Washington just feels like where he's going to end up. I have a question for you, and I think the answers no. But would he sneak into your top 12 running backs in Washington?
Starting point is 00:04:36 He'd be right around there. It's a really good question. That's also if they didn't bring in another guy. Like, let's say it's him and Bill, which this is going to kill the Believers. No. He ends up here. The believers are on life support right now. And as soon as they sign him Ken Walker, it's going to feel
Starting point is 00:04:54 super over. Ken Walker's pulling the plug himself. Yeah, Ken Walker's walking in. He's pulling the plug. I don't think it would get him quite in my top 12. The main reason being what I talked about, he doesn't really catch passes. Yeah. It's just not something he can do very well. And from a fantasy perspective, especially if you're in half-pr or full-point ppr, that does matter. I agree. I think that's the issue. You don't have that floor. Let's move on to number two, a guy that actually does catch passes by the name of Mike Evans. In redraft right now, he is number 61 off the board, wide receiver 29, and in Dynasty, obviously, 109, wide receiver 52.
Starting point is 00:05:34 This, yeah, for Dynasty, like, regardless of where Mike Evans goes, you're obviously only trading for him if you're a legitimate contender this year or next year. Honestly, really just this year, I feel like. I think Mike Evans should go wherever he can just get another 1,000-yard season and ride off into the sunset. Yeah, I'm kind of like mad he won a Super Bowl. I'm not mad he won a Super Bowl. I'm happy for him.
Starting point is 00:05:56 He deserved it. But I wish we could be like, let's get Mike a ring. And that could be the narrative. Yeah, you wake up in a cold sweat so angry about Mike Evans winning a Super Bowl. Yeah, just so pissed off that it happened. He does feel like the type of guy, though,
Starting point is 00:06:08 where it's like he's been with a team his whole career and he's like been so incredible. And you're like, damn, I want to see him win one. And then you think about it. You're like, yeah, he did actually. Like, damn, no. He actually like already won a Super Bowl. But I still think he'll want.
Starting point is 00:06:20 to go to a contender. It sounds like that's the narrative pretty broadly across the NFL, too, is for him he does want to go to the team that he can actually potentially win another Super Bowl with. Yeah. Four predictions here, it's actually very interesting. I had Buffalo down, and obviously the DJ Moore news just broke about an hour or two before we started recording this. I don't think that's my spot anymore. For me, I felt like they were going to have to make some big splash you move, they could try to get someone in the draft. But to me, it was like, you need a sure thing for Josh Allen. Let's stop messing around. Like, you're going to waste this guy's prime, not giving him any weapons. With the DJ Moore move, they just gave up a second
Starting point is 00:07:02 round pick to get DJ Moore. Now I'm feeling a little bit less. Like, they're going to go break the bank for Mike Evans. So I want to hear your prediction first. Yeah, I actually had Buffalo originally too. And I saw the DJ Moore trade. I was like, all right, it's not out of the question anymore, but it seems far, far less likely now. I actually kind of was thinking Washington maybe. There's reports there are interested in getting a number two receiver. Debo Samuel, who we'll talk about later, probably will be walking in free agency. But then I settled on a team that I think it's been getting a little bit of buzz for Mike Evans,
Starting point is 00:07:36 but I haven't really seen all that much of it. I'm going to predict the Baltimore Ravens. They desperately need an outside weapon and a guy like Mike Evans. who could totally change their offense. It's a team that could be a contender, good quarterback somewhere he'd want to go. Plus, the Ravens love, love giving contracts to late career, future Hall of Fame type receivers.
Starting point is 00:08:00 That just reminded me of like that. I don't know if you saw the tweet saying that Tyree Kill should go to the Titans and someone was like, you could put Jamar Chase in a Titans jersey and hid look washed. That's like kind of what it is with the Ravens. All right, let me give my prediction. And the reason I'm not as confident in this isn't because of like the logic behind it,
Starting point is 00:08:18 but more so because I never know if my own bias is coming into this. I could kind of see New England going after Mike Evans. I love that. We just got the news, speaking of news of a move, like kind of shaking things up with wide receivers, we just got the news that they are going to be cutting Stefan Diggs.
Starting point is 00:08:33 That's going to free up. I believe he was making like over 25 million in 2026 that'd be held on to him. Yeah. And New England has so much cap space. We just kind of saw in the Super Bowl, like I hate using the word exposed, because people are saying Drake May got exposed.
Starting point is 00:08:48 I don't believe in that. But I do think New England's offense as a whole got exposed a little bit. And so I don't think you can have a guy like Diggs walk and not bring someone in, especially a veteran presence, that I think Diggs brought a lot not only as a talent, but also as a presence in that locker room. And so I could absolutely see them going out and putting in a big offer on Mike Evans. I would absolutely love it. I would be thrilled.
Starting point is 00:09:14 I would be as a New England fan. excited if they went and got Mike Evans. Do I think he lost a step? Maybe. Like probably, yeah, honestly. But he's still Mike Evans. He's still great. Obviously, the injuries last year played a role in why his production wasn't there for
Starting point is 00:09:28 really the first time in his entire career. I think he still got some gas in the tank and newingly would be a phenomenal spot for him to land. It also is just the perfect opportunity for that. I want A.J. Brown. Sorry, champ. You don't got A.J. Brown money. Here's Mike Evans.
Starting point is 00:09:44 Like, that meme's going to be going. crazy. Oh yeah. The Patriots, if the Patriots don't trade for AJ Brown and they sign literally anyone, that meme will be all over Twitter. Oh my God. Nelson Aguilor part two. Let's move on to number three. Back to the running back position. We're definitely, I think this is where we drop a tier. Let's move down. Let's talk Travis ETN. Redraft pick number 50, RB19. Dynasty number 69. Nice. RV 20. The cold, sobering reality of Travis E.N. potentially going to Denver and ruining my darling R.J. Harvey.
Starting point is 00:10:24 That is not good. And I even went and looked at the redraft rankings and they are back to back, which is that signaling your brain as a fantasy player of being like, that just feels like they're going to end up being teammates in an ambiguous backfield and we'll have them back to back because we don't know who to draft. In all seriousness, though, let me talk about potential landing spots. Originally, this is my whole big board. I had Houston in the mix.
Starting point is 00:10:47 David Montgomery, screwed that completely, throw it away. Kansas City. This one I've been hearing a lot of chatter about, and it's possible. But to me, Kansas City is kind of becoming what, like, the Lakers and Celtics have been for a long time in the NBA, where every time there's, like, a big name, free agent, you see, like, 500 photos. Oh, like, Janice is coming to L.A. to play with LeBron and stuff like that. Like, that's what Kansas City's become. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:11:11 But in reality, like, I don't know if Kansas City wants to spend their limited cap space on a guy like Travis ETN when they could just go shore up their running back room in the draft. So I'm kind of out on that. Agreed. Denver, I'm more in on. But I think maybe I just personally don't want to see it because I don't want to see R.J. Harvey gets screwed. Let me hopefully make you feel a little bit better because Denver, I think, has been probably the hottest name for Travis. ETN and just running backs in general. one thing I haven't seen a lot of people talk about that I believe is they're kind of duplicative.
Starting point is 00:11:46 I think it does in a lot of ways make sense for the Broncos to bring in another running back to at least be like a compliment to RJ Harvey. But Harvey and ETN in my mind would play very similar roles. They're stylistically very similar. They're like very good past catching backs. They struggle in short yardage situations or at least, you know, in like a power roll. running scheme where like the Broncos like to use J.K. Dobbins last year a lot before he got hurt. And he was a very different stylistic type of player than R.J. Harvey. I think that's the
Starting point is 00:12:21 type of running back Denver should be targeting, especially when ETN, he's going to get paid. And to be completely honest, I think he'll get overpaid. I don't think he is very good. But he is one of the best running backs in this free agent class. It's not a super deep running back class outside of obviously love. And there's a lot of teams that could use running back. There are a lot of teams that want to address running back.
Starting point is 00:12:44 That's why the Texans paid what they did for David Montgomery. So I could see ETN getting paid a lot of money and I don't know that Denver's going to want to do that when they already have a similar back stylistically. I agree with everything you said except for about the first 30 seconds
Starting point is 00:12:59 because I was trying to figure out what duplicative meant. But then I put it together with context clues. That was a real SAT word moment. Wow. I wanted to call you stupid. but you putting it all together there, you're all right. Yeah, no, I use my clues.
Starting point is 00:13:14 Let me say who I do think he's going to end up with. How about New Orleans? Alvin Kamara is going to be 31 years old by the time camp starts, and the team could potentially save $8.5 million by cutting him after June 1st. Then outside of him, take your pick on the other guys. Kendrae, Miller, Devin Neal, Odrick Estime. I think there's a big opening there. and like I could actually see
Starting point is 00:13:39 ETS play style kind of fitting in with the state. So I'm going to plant my flag. I don't feel like this is as talked about of a location. I think Travis ETIN ends up in New Orleans. I think that's a good take. I'm going to go with the team that's losing their running back and I'm actually
Starting point is 00:13:55 going to go with Seattle. The one thing I will say here is we talked about ETIN might get overpaid. I don't know if he'll be in Seattle's price range. They have a lot of big decisions to make this off season. So because of that, that might hold them back.
Starting point is 00:14:10 But they're losing Ken Walker. They could use someone to replace him. Zach Charbonnet probably will not be available or at least at full health at the start of next season. And they like a committee anyways, so I could see them bringing in someone like ETN, who at this stage of his career probably is best in some sort of committee as opposed to like a true every down back.
Starting point is 00:14:31 Yeah, I fully agree with that. Should we move on number four? Let's do it. At number four, this is a guy we talked about so much at the inception of this podcast. Juan Jennings from the San Francisco 49ers redraft pick 108 at wide receiver 45. Dynasty pick 108 at wide receiver 51. I'll let you start. We're a pro-Juan Jennings podcast.
Starting point is 00:14:55 We are a very pro-Juan Jennings podcast. I love Joanne Jennings. Early, early offseason, like even before the off season, like NFL playoff time. I just had in my head the Niers. make it work. Like, they were going to make sure they got their guy back. He just feels like he's so much more valuable to the Niners than other teams because of the rapport he has with Brock Purdy and how he fits his Cowell Shan Han offense. But as the days have gone by, it's become increasingly clear. It does not seem like he's going to be back in San Francisco. He's going
Starting point is 00:15:27 to get big money elsewhere. I still love Ju-on. I still think he'll be potentially a really nice piece in fantasy next year. But I am a little bit disappointed. He probably won't be staying in San Francisco. This was the dream from a fantasy perspective that he stays here. Yeah. I think if he had stayed in San Fran, his ADP would be a lot higher than regardless, than pretty much anywhere else he could go. But someone's going to pay him, right? Like, I think he will probably in terms of total contract value be one of the two or three highest paid receivers in this free agent class. I would agree with that too. Where do you have him going? I think he will go to a place you mentioned earlier
Starting point is 00:16:06 who loves to pay veteran receivers, big contracts, often overpay them. I'm going to go with the Tennessee Titans. I've had the same thing. Yeah, they've been talked about a lot in the Juan Jennings sweepstakes. He would easily be their wide receiver one in my eyes. And I think the Titans who have a ton of cap space
Starting point is 00:16:24 and a ton of different needs, including a receiver for their young quarterback, I think they could go out and pay Jennings huge money. Yeah, I think that that offense just has a lot of, like, good pieces, but they need the guy. And I think that this team realized watching it's like, Cam Ward had flashes last year and, like, you've got to truly give him a chance. I think we're learning that in the NFL is like, you can't not give these guys a legitimate chance. And so teams are making these moves and bringing in a veteran receiver and someone who can be an alpha so that they can say, like, here you go, here are the tools, prove it to us.
Starting point is 00:16:59 And so I think Tennessee will give him that shot, give him Juan Jennings. can I pitch the funniest possible reality though? Please do. Juan Jennings goes to Washington and another free agent that we're going to talk about later. Debo Samuel goes to San Francisco and they just swap. That is a very real possibility. The reason why I think it's so funny is because it could happen.
Starting point is 00:17:21 Oh, absolutely. Yeah. I think Washington, Tennessee is the favorite. I think we're both in on that. I think the other two teams that could be are Washington, like you mentioned, and then the Giants have also gotten some speculation. Did you, have you seen the reports? I don't buy this. I don't think it's going to happen, but about him going to Carolina.
Starting point is 00:17:39 That one, we've been, I've been vocally high on Bryce Young for next year. That would skyrocket that up. But we've also both been vocally excited about TMAC and that would shoot him down so far for me. And Coker. The Cokeheads would be in Shambles. Yeah. Bad day to be a Coke head. Bad day to be a Cokehead.
Starting point is 00:17:58 Usually it's a good day to be a Cokehead. But, yeah, I would not like to see Joel. John Jennings in Carolina. No. I say they just do what we said and send them to Tennessee. Yeah, we should just send every NFL GM this episode just so they know what to do. All right, let's move on to number five, Oakland A's pitcher. I don't know what position you played.
Starting point is 00:18:20 Kyler Murray. I see, you got the jersey back there. You got to know. I know. That's embarrassing. Redraft pick 146, QB23, Dynasty 135, QB-23. Dynasty 135 QB 22. Well, well, well, if it is not talking about
Starting point is 00:18:36 Kyler Murray again. He's gotten a insane amount of time on this podcast. Insane. So much Kyler Murray airtime, it's like actually ridiculous. I think we're both in agreement overall that if this price stays in check and he is a starter next year, like we're all aboard the Kyler hype train.
Starting point is 00:18:56 Yeah. No matter where he ends up signing his ADP, is going to go up. I mean, ADP, it's kind of silly to talk about an arch, but he's getting ranked too low right now. As soon as he signs quite literally, like, anywhere, he's going to go up in everyone's rankings. It's silly and it's not, because there's the best ball demons like us that are drafting in March, and then there's the dynasty people who need, you know, some some barometer of value. So it is important, but like you're saying, like, he's QB 23. In August, we can be drafting him as the QB15. Who knows?
Starting point is 00:19:28 Yeah, definitely. I'll give a quick. We've talked ad nauseum about Kyler on this podcast. I don't want to bore people, but for anybody who's new, we've talked so much about how his floor is actually very high if he's starting somewhere. He was being drafted as like a top four guy in Dynasty just a few years ago. We've talked about you said he hasn't been as comfortable on that ACL since the injury running around a lot. But rushing quarterbacks, that's as good of a floor as you can get. He's had time to recover. He's had time to play cod all last year. He was basically benched in what? Like week seven. He got so much XP last year. It was crazy. So much XP. So much XP. Reclamation projects in the NFL have run rampant. We've seen Sam Darnold be reborn and Baker Mayfield and Daniel Jones type stories.
Starting point is 00:20:12 So I think there's a really good opportunity here for Kyler Murray if he goes somewhere and gets a fresh start to be potentially a low-end quarterback one. Yeah. I think that's 100% possible. Even there are some teams he could go to that are just. for lack of a better word, dog shit. And it would kind of limit the ceiling. But like even if he goes to one of those teams like the Jets or the Dolphins or something like that, he's going to run enough, assuming he stays healthy, that he will be fantasy relevant.
Starting point is 00:20:44 I don't think I'm all the way out on if he went to Miami from a fantasy perspective. I am all the way out if he goes to New York. I just, I'm not doing it again. I just did the Justin Fields thing last year. I'm not doing it again. I'm going to pitch two places here, though. First of all, I just brought up Daniel Jones. We just saw him get transition tagged by the Colts,
Starting point is 00:21:03 which leads you to wonder if we end up seeing Daniel Jones leave for greener pastures and open up a spot in Indianapolis, which Kyler Murray in a Shane Stike in offense, fire me up. We literally just talked about how they just did it with Daniel Jones. That hadn't even crossed my mind, but you're right. Daniel Jones is transition tagged, which means if another team wants to pay him, he can't go and walk as long as the Colts decide not to match whatever contract office. he got. Is it crazy to say I think Kyler would be better for the Colts than Daniel Jones? Maybe it is because Daniel Jones was so good for them last year. I think I would like Kyler more.
Starting point is 00:21:41 To say he would be as crazy, to say he could be isn't. Fair. But if I'm a betting man, I think I'm taking Kyler, honestly. I wonder what the Kyler MVP odds would be if he went to Indianapolis. Now, not that crazy. Well, maybe. I might be that crazy. I might be that crazy. Who knows? value a dollar a bit more than that. Let me give my second place, though, and this will be my actual prediction. Rather than Indianapolis, there's a place that I think is actually more realistic. I think Kyler is going to go play for KOC and be throwing the ball to Justin Jefferson. Talk dirty to me, Mitch. Come on. Oh, my God.
Starting point is 00:22:19 I think they put the nine experiment on the back burner and they try something new. And I think KOC could get the best out of Kyler. We even talked about earlier this winter what would need to see to move J.J. back up our top receiver rankings, this would do it for me. Like you, I think you said it of just like, I literally just need to see a half decent NFL level quarterback, and JJ fires back up. Oh, 100%.
Starting point is 00:22:43 If Kyler Murray goes to the Vikings, JJ instantly goes to the first tier of receiver and redraft for me. We did our receiver rankings and tiers a couple weeks ago. Go check that out if you haven't. Right now, our top tier is, Jamar Chase, Pooka, Neku, and JSN. Justin Jefferson for me catapults all the way to that top tier.
Starting point is 00:23:05 Wow, into the S tier. He would be at the bottom of it only because we know how good Jamar is with Burrow and how good Puka is with Stafford and how good JSN is with Stafford. We wouldn't know how good Jefferson would be with Kyler because we've never seen it. But he's still, Jefferson is good enough
Starting point is 00:23:21 with a great play caller. And I know Kyler didn't work out in Arizona. He's worked as a kingmaker before. like McBride took off the second half last year with Berset more so, but he still was great with Kyler, particularly the year prior. And people forget that weird few year period where DeAndre Hopkins was in Arizona. He was insane with Kyler. So good for fantasy.
Starting point is 00:23:43 DeAndre Hopkins broke the mold of everyone saying that a receiver after age, whatever it was at the time, 28 when they get traded, they never have another like ascending season. It's usually downhill. DeAndre Hopkins broke that mold with Kyler Murray. And now we've seen it, you know, with like Devante Adams and guys like that. But for a long time, we weren't seeing that. I would be so excited if Kyler went to Minnesota. As somebody who has Justin Jefferson and that's high CLEAD, I would be giddy beyond
Starting point is 00:24:13 like beyond belief if Kyler Murray ends up in Minnesota. So you have him going to Minnesota too. I do. Somewhat because it's my heart telling me that than my brain. Yeah. Part of me worries that. the Vikings will fall for the sunk cost fallacy and think we can't give up on a guy too early. So many teams do that.
Starting point is 00:24:33 They give up on the guy too early. I mean, Sam Donald, we keep talking about it over and over again. Yeah. I could see the Vikings not making any significant moves at quarterback, but I hope they do. It's very funny because we have him at five and then we're about to talk about another quarterback at six. And you could have made the argument that these two guys should have been one and two based on their like broader impact on like fantasy football. just with the receivers and their respective teams. But I like that we siloed this into a conversation about this player specifically and
Starting point is 00:25:04 their impact. Yeah, 100%. And I'm like this next quarterback, one last point I'll make with Kyler. That is interesting. I think worth noting. Unlike this next quarterback we're going to talk about, Kyler is still getting paid huge money by his previous employer, meaning he has a lot of leverage.
Starting point is 00:25:24 As long as there are teams that want him, he has a ton of leverage because those teams can basically just give him like the veteran minimum because he's getting paid what is it like 30 million or something like that's ridiculous so if he wanted to go to minnesota over a team like miami or the jets the contract doesn't really matter he can just go there if the vikings want him can we start like doing contracts like this for like real world jobs like jim from hr gets laid off and he's like yeah that's fine i'm still $40 million a year and he just gets to like fuck off and go do something else. He goes fishing for a year.
Starting point is 00:26:01 That is the life. Actually, we have a friend who kind of did. They got laid off like three times, got paid double salaries for like a full year. Man, that's what I got to do. He's living the dream. He's living the Kyler Murray lifestyle. Playing a lot of cod. Plan a lot of cod.
Starting point is 00:26:17 Yeah. Let's move on in number six. We just said another quarterback. Probably the hottest name, I think, right now, in my opinion, just overall in the NFL for free agency. That's Malik Willis. Redraft price, pick 136, QB21 right ahead of Kyler, dynasty price, pick 190, QB29. Which that was outrageous to me, his dynasty price. But I went into this ready to say that I'm tired of all the Malik Willis type in the fantasy community. And then I just could not believe his price. The way people are talking and getting hot and bothered by him, I thought
Starting point is 00:26:53 he was going to be like a top 12 to 15 pick in drafts. That's QB21 is not a bad price tag for Malik Willis. I'm going to get into some numbers here. He passed for less than 1,000 yards in the past three seasons. So take this all with a grain of salt. The sample size is really, really small. But in that sample size of last year, he had the highest EPA per play of any quarterback in the NFL,
Starting point is 00:27:16 as well as the highest scramble rate, which we just talked about raising the floor for a quarterback when you see them rushing a lot. and he also completed a league high 85.7% of his passes again in a really small sample size. So I don't know how many shots I'm like really taking on him this off season because I have concerns about like, are we really going to be able to replicate this through an entire season? But I will say the price isn't as daunting as I thought it would be. Yeah, I think you sum that up perfectly.
Starting point is 00:27:45 Part of me thinks people are getting way too hot and bothered for a guy that's just like not a lot of football played. And we saw, I mean, granted, this was so long ago, but like it didn't work out in Tennessee. Guys can turn it around. I'm not saying he can't or hasn't based on, you know, his limited sample in Green Bay. But yes, it feels like people are like getting a little ahead of themselves. But then actually not because like, yeah, you can get them for the quarterback 21 price. I'm in. For a mobile quarterback as like my last pick and a draft, I'm in.
Starting point is 00:28:17 Dynasty quarterback 29. I'm in. That one to me was outrageous. I might have to look again. I'm like, did I just read that wrong? For a guy who runs the ball so much from strictly a fantasy football perspective, like you think of a guy like Brock Osweiler, who's like the perfect example of guy who barely played it all caught a huge contract
Starting point is 00:28:34 and just didn't work out. Malik Willis could be the same thing, but from a fantasy perspective, strictly, he runs the ball. It's not like Brock Osweiler was just a disaster period. Malik Willis could have like, even if it doesn't work out, he could be Justin Fields and like just accumulate so many rushing staffs it works anyways for fantasy. 100%.
Starting point is 00:28:55 I feel like sometimes we're saying, like the way people are talking, we're expecting the price to be way higher. I sometimes think the fantasy community is like, all bark, no bite. And we love talking up these guys, but when you got the gun to your head and you're up on the clock
Starting point is 00:29:09 and you're looking at like him and another quarterback, like we're not actually taking that guy, which I find so funny. Yeah. But if you, if you're looking in Dynasty at this price at QB29, or you know, you're drafting bestball right now. I don't think it's the worst choice.
Starting point is 00:29:25 I will say this. I don't know if I'd be drafting Malik Willis yet in bestball because he's more a guy that I'd want to grab us like a secondary or tertiary stack. But let me give my landing spot. I think he ends up in Miami. It feels right to me. I think the fits right. And the GM, John Eric Sullivan and new head coach, Jeff Hathley,
Starting point is 00:29:46 were on the Packers staff with Malik Willis. So there's a little bit of familiarity there. and there's an opening. I think they have the money to do it. I think they're going to go for him. I think that would make a lot of sense. Let me ask you this before I get into my prediction. We talked about how we're in on Malikulis at his current price.
Starting point is 00:30:05 How do we think it would affect his past catchers? Like, are we out on Waddle? Because I think I would be. To be out on Waddle, I would have had to have been in to begin with. That's my answer. Bear point. Honestly, though, actually, I'm just like, I don't even want to talk about Jail and Wollow right now.
Starting point is 00:30:22 I don't know how I feel about Devon A. Chan in this scenario. That would hurt him. That's the bigger concern. That would hurt. It would hurt. Yeah, A. Chan probably more than any one. But yes, to answer all of your questions, it would hurt the past catchers in my mind versus like some of these other free agent quarterbacks that could go there.
Starting point is 00:30:41 Right. And that's why I'm a little bit worried about Trey McBride because my prediction is he goes to the Arizona Cardinals. We just talked about Kyler leaving. There have been a lot of course that they've done a ton of work on Malik Willis, that they're very interested. Honestly, I might join your club of Brock Bowers over Trade McBride if Malik Willis ends up to quarterback in Arizona.
Starting point is 00:31:00 Join me. That would scare me. Yeah, I might. One of us. One of us. Might be. Might be. Yeah, I think so.
Starting point is 00:31:09 I mean, like, obviously I'm already on the Brock Bowers side, but, like, how much that moves McBride down in my brain, yeah, it would be like a pretty sure thing to me. Yeah, and it's not to say, like, it's, down. definitely won't work and you know, McBride will take a huge hit. Willis could be an awesome pass or two. Like,
Starting point is 00:31:27 it's totally in his range of outcomes that it just works all around for Malik Willis. But anytime you have an unproven mobile quarterback like that, does it make me feel good about the past catchers? 100%.
Starting point is 00:31:38 Let's move on to number seven back to the running back position and let's talk about Tyler Algier. Redraft pick 11 at RB40, Dynasty 138 at RB 36. I'm going to let you start because I actually like, I read your notes and was like, wow, on this one. Yeah, he's obviously, he started for Atlanta, his rookie year feels like a million years ago now. Another one of those lay-round running backs that lost the job.
Starting point is 00:32:06 We talk about this guy so much. But he was good in a complementary role to Bejan Robinson. Actually, we did our Dynasty Buy episode last week, and he was a guy I decided to research more as a candidate or somebody I wanted to talked about. Yeah. But I was shocked to see a lot of the metrics, like your standard, just like yards per carry and your efficiency metrics and like his pro football focus grade. He was not very good last year from an efficiency standpoint. So that scares me for him obviously in real life, but then also for fantasy. Like, is he that good? Is it just that he got a lot of goal line work? And, you know, they were able to keep him fresh playing behind a guy like Bijon. And,
Starting point is 00:32:50 and an offense that was able to move the ball quite a bit. I don't know. I kind of have mixed feelings about it. I'm curious to see if he becomes a clear-cut starter somewhere and to see how that works and to see if he starts flying up draft boards. But I'm thinking he'll probably, I think what will probably happen is he'll go somewhere
Starting point is 00:33:07 well, he'll get more usage than he did in Atlanta, but not like workhorse treatment. Yeah. I saw in your notes, basically the reason I went, wow, is because you were talking about how his underlying metrics weren't as good as you thought they were going to be. And I was like, well, then now I have to dig in too. What are we looking at?
Starting point is 00:33:25 He was a guy I was actually pretty excited about here and thought I was going to rank a little bit higher. Last year, he averaged 3.6 yards per carry and ranked 49th in PFF's rushing grade for running backs. I almost think there's a misconception maybe that he's a bit more talented than he really is because the coaching staff is choosing to seed carries and like high value touches to him over Bijan,
Starting point is 00:33:47 who's debatably the most valuable running back in the NFL. Yeah. And similar to Ken Walker, like, and the Sharb situation. But in that situation, I've looked at the Russian grade again. Like I said, he's 49th. Ken Walker was the number one and Zach Sharbonne was the number three. So you really did have, like, a two-headed monster there.
Starting point is 00:34:06 And in this one, it's just like kind of a weird. Like, why was Tyler Alger getting that many carries besides basically just spelling Bijon Robinson? So depending on where he goes, obviously, I don't really think he's a buy or sell for me because clearly he's got a knack for ending up in the right situations and creating fantasy points. And I think there almost is a certain talent to that. But the metrics don't jump out at me and make me excited about it.
Starting point is 00:34:35 So he feels like an asset that has some upside with a non-existent floor. And that's almost exactly where he's priced at right now. I think this is one of those like, we as the community have it right. Yeah, I think he is probably pretty appropriately ranked right now. I think real life he'll probably end up on a team that wanted Ken Walker and missed out on him. I think he's like the Ken Walker contingency right now. I think two situations would be pretty funny here. Either he goes with Ken to some new team like Washington and becomes the new thorn in your side like Zach Charbonnet was.
Starting point is 00:35:08 Or, and this is my actual official pick, I think he goes to Seattle and we see two Thorne in the side guys just the whole time, just ruining each other's fantasy lives. that would be maybe the funniest outcome. I have a sadder one for you, at least from your perspective. I think he ends up in Denver. I mentioned E.N's getting a ton of buzz to Denver. I don't think he fits. I don't think he plays a role that's different than what they have. Algier could change this offense in what could be a positive way.
Starting point is 00:35:39 That's why this one doesn't scare me as much as E.TN. Because of the duplicativity. There you go. Wow, look at you. because like you said with ETN, what worried me is my whole entire argument about RJ Harvey is how elite the passing work is. And if you bring an ETN, there's a really good chance he could take away from that. Now, granted, Alger could take away some goal line touches and that would suck.
Starting point is 00:36:03 But like, I don't think he's taking away as many high value opportunities from RJ Harvey as a guy like ETN would. And so this isn't my dream scenario is no one goes to Denver. But if Tyler Algier ended there, like, it wouldn't move R.J. Harvey down that much for me. Can I just, just for shits and giggles, can I just give you a really fun hypothetical? I love it. Let's go. Somebody who's not on our list, but we'll become a free agent we recently learned. How would you feel if a guy like Sean Tucker, who sometimes is Barry Sanders?
Starting point is 00:36:34 How would you feel if he ended up in Denver? No, that wouldn't move the needle for me. Yeah, that's probably fair. The meme of it's great, though, because me crashing out week one when I have like 80% R.J. Harvey exposure in bestball and Sean Tucker gets the goal line carries. Like, yeah, that will be bad. And the reason I ask is because I do think Denver is going to do something. They're going to do something. They will bring in someone. Whether it's like a starter or more of like a backup complimentary piece, like a Sean Tucker, I don't know. What about like a Damien Pierce? Damien. He's out there right now, I think. He's out there right now. He's out there right now. He's out there. did they'll get him. All right, let's move on in number eight.
Starting point is 00:37:15 Let's talk about your guy. I'll obviously let you start on him. Let's talk Dallas Goddard, redraft pick number 125 at tight end 14. Dynasty pick 117 at tight end 15. I thought that was crazy how little of a difference there was in dynasty and redraft. But you jump into things. Yeah, that should actually be an eye opener. Anytime you see an old guy or an older guy with like no difference between redraft
Starting point is 00:37:41 in Dynasty. He's probably either overvalued in dynasty or undervalued and redraft, where in this case, I think he's very much undervalued and redraft. My dream scenario for my darling Goddard, who's one of my very early off-season favorites, was that he would stay in Philly, hopefully the Eagles trade, A.J. Brown, it seems like that chip has like firmly sailed. He will not be an eagle next season. So, yeah, that is sad, but I still think wherever he goes, he's one of the top tight ends that's going to be a free. and I think he'll definitely have a market. Whoever signs him is going to use him.
Starting point is 00:38:17 He is a very athletic, very talented receiving tight end. So wherever he goes, he's going to get utilized. And hopefully he goes to a contender with a good quarterback. And then I'll be really excited. There's, I don't know why I said yeah to you, because I'm about to go on a whole spiel here. Oh, boy. It's similar to the Jawan situation,
Starting point is 00:38:37 where I think our hope is just that he would stay, but it's looking less and less likely that he does. I've seen New England, which doesn't, that one doesn't make any sense to me. I don't know why New England would shell out a bunch of money for Dallas Goddard. I've seen New York, maybe you've been vocal about not being the biggest Theo Johnson guy. So like him, hey, sorry, I should have said the Giants, not the Jets. And then this is the scenario where we've talked about,
Starting point is 00:39:04 is there any losing situation for Dallas Goddard? There's been a little bit of buzz about Seattle. and wanting to use him in two tight-end sets with AJ Barner, I think that is genuinely one of the only scenarios that, like, Dallas Goddard becomes less valuable than his spot right now in ADP. I'm going to be an absolute psychopath and say Dallas Goddard goes out and tests free agency and he ends up back in Philadelphia. No way, really?
Starting point is 00:39:32 Yeah, I felt wild. I don't know. I'm living on the edge here, but I think he goes back. I don't know. I don't think there's like a team that's going to give him enough money for it to make sense for him to actually end up leaving. I would probably be happy, especially if they trade AJ Brown, which right now it sounds like they're asking price is way too high for AJ Brown. So we'll see what happens. That's always how it starts.
Starting point is 00:39:54 And then they end up moving him for way less than they were going to or for a guy that they can argue into being like, well, he was worth a second round pick. Well, you know what? The Buffalo Bills did the Eagles a very big favor today with that DJ. trade because now teams now the Eagles can say look what DJ more fetched a j brown is obviously worth more that trade was not to go back to the DJ more trade again but that trade was so funny because at the beginning i was like hell yeah great move by the bills way to bring it a piece for Josh Allen and i was like a second round pick for DJ more what are we doing dude i saw i wish i remembered who tweeted it shout out whoever did i i don't have it in front
Starting point is 00:40:32 of me but they were like step one trade your maryland's number one receiver out of Maryland who's like a head case. Step two, have no good receivers for two years. Step three, trade for number one receiver out of Maryland who's a head case, which is like literally what the bills have done. And I probably just butcher that tweet, but
Starting point is 00:40:52 very funny tweet. No, I understood where you're going for. Speaking of which, what if Stefan Diggs goes back there. We don't have him on our list. He just missed our top 10, but... Yeah, just outside. Honestly, that's in play. I don't know what the relationship looks like between him and the
Starting point is 00:41:08 organization and Josh Allen. With that, A-O-U-Up text. Yeah. Please, babe, bring me back. Yeah. But back to Goddard, I think I would be happy if he did end up in Philly somehow again.
Starting point is 00:41:22 I'm going to say he stays in the division. I'm going with the Giants. You mentioned, like, I'm not really a Theo Johnson believer. They're an ascending team. They're trying to bring in weapons for this franchise quarterback in Jackson Dart that they have a ton of faith in. Wondale's potentially going to leave.
Starting point is 00:41:37 so outside of their, you know, top receiver and Malik neighbors, it's kind of questionable what past catchers they have. I think they go out and pay a guy like Goddard. Now, I'm a lot higher than you right now on Jackson Dart. How would that move the needle for you if he had Dallas Goddard? It definitely would, I think, move him up my rankings a little bit. I mean, I'm not even really, it's weird. I don't even feel like I'm low on Jackson Dart.
Starting point is 00:42:04 I think right now he's just getting ranked where he is because of what Drake May did last year and those comparisons. Like at this were a year ago, I think Jackson Dart would be going right where he should be, which is like ninth or 10th because the upside's there. But long story short, not to digress too much. Yeah, I mean, it would definitely give me more confidence
Starting point is 00:42:23 in Jackson Dart. Yeah, I think that's one of the greatest challenges in fantasy football is like recognizing when you're being a prisoner of the moment. Right. And I think it's possible I'm being a prisoner. of the moment and I think you're being overly cautious not to and it'll be interesting to see how that plays out as like the summer moves on. Yeah, I could see it going either way. Like I could see people
Starting point is 00:42:44 cooling and he starts moving down or I could see him even moving up a spot or two. And if he gets gotter, that's where I'll draw the line. If we start seeing Jackson Dart like moving up a little bit more, then I'm going to start getting like eh. But what if he gets Goddard? What if he gets to Alice Goddard? That's my guy. Let's move on. Number nine, we talked about him very briefly. earlier, Mr. Debo Samuel, redraft pick 138 at wider receiver 54, and dynasty pick 130 at wide receiver 58. I wanted to say that as much as I'm maybe not the biggest Debo guy, I think he's just been getting so disrespect to the past few years.
Starting point is 00:43:22 I think part of it is just like everyone doing the like Debo's fat thing, which like is occasionally funny, I'll admit. But like normally it's just like, no, he's not. And like he's still very good. granted there was no Terry McLaurin for the majority of the year, but there was also no Jaden Daniels last year and certainly no healthy Jaden Daniels for the majority of the year. And he still finishes the wide receiver 27 in PPR,
Starting point is 00:43:45 just to rewind like 30 seconds ago. It's the wide receiver 54. I'm just wondering, like, I know part of that's the ambiguity about where he's going to end up. I brought it up earlier as a joke, but I actually wouldn't be surprised if he ended up back in San Francisco. And I'm going to say, fuck it, that's my pick.
Starting point is 00:44:05 He was actually seen hanging out a few weeks ago with Trent Williams, John Lynch, and Kyle Shanahan. Really? How'd you know that? Yeah. They're going to have a vacancy with Joanne Jennings. He's like a thousand percent leaving. They're going to have a vacancy in that wide receiver room. He knows the Kyle Shanahan offense.
Starting point is 00:44:23 And if he goes there and his price doesn't immediately skyrocket in fantasy after seeing and knowing what he can do in that offense, It's like I might be going after Debo way more than I would have thought I was going to be. I agree. And I will say this. I think his value will be significantly higher in San Francisco than pretty much like literally anywhere else he could land. Because what his skill set is, Kyle Shanahan knows how to unlock it. Assuming Joanne Jennings does leave, there'll be a ton of vacated targets, especially if George Kettle isn't good to go for the start of the season.
Starting point is 00:45:00 It probably won't be. It's my pick as well. I think it just makes too much sense. Oh, really? Oh, yeah. I have them in San Francisco. Oh, let's go. I think between him and Joanne Jennings, one of them will be a Tennessee Titan.
Starting point is 00:45:14 Yeah, yeah, I heard that. I think it'll be Juan because he'll get more money and the Titans would prefer him. So I think Debo ends back up in San Francisco. And I agree. Like, I think he gets kind of like hated on. maybe it's like the age and like just the jokes like you said like oh, Debo's fat. He was good last year.
Starting point is 00:45:34 Just like full stop. Yeah. He was good last year. So I know he's not the same player he once was, but he still could give your fantasy team some some spot starts and some legitimate production. All right. Let's jump into number 10. I think this is where we're about to get shredded by everyone.
Starting point is 00:45:50 Oh yeah. About having this guy at number 10. People are going to be mad at us. Alec Pierce. Redraft pick 83. wide receiver 36, Dynasty pick, 97, wide receiver 46.
Starting point is 00:46:05 I kind of have no idea what to do with him. I never would have said he wasn't talented, but the hype is like so out of control. He finished last season as the wide receiver 41 and had six games in single digits, including a goose egg in week 17, which for everyone watching at home is the most important week in fantasy football.
Starting point is 00:46:27 And I think he is talented, I think he's extremely talented but we also look a lot on this show at situation and I very much see a world that he ends up either a jet or a raider and I don't think that's being talked about as much as like everyone New England's talking about Alec Pierce coming here
Starting point is 00:46:43 I don't see that as being as realistic I already talked about I think it's going to be somebody like Mike Evans it might be a vibes play a little bit here but I really think he's the perfect raider and I think they're going to try to go out and I was talking about earlier with like Cam Ward it's like, okay, we got to go out and get him a weapon and give him a chance. I kind of think Vegas is going to do an all-out blitz on setting up Mendoza to succeed out the gate.
Starting point is 00:47:10 He's got Ashton Genti. He's got Brock Bowers. Let's give him that alpha elite wide receiver one. And like, dude, if you can't succeed with this, then we'll know right away. And if he goes there, I'm probably fully out at this price tag. Yeah, I agree. I don't fully understand the hype. Not that Alec Pierce is bad.
Starting point is 00:47:33 He is good. He just kind of seems like a one-trick pony to me. He's like an elite field stretcher, speedster. It's a super valuable skill, and I understand why teams would want to pay up for that. But it feels like, remember a few years ago when Christian Kirk signed with the Jags from the Cardinals?
Starting point is 00:47:50 And it was like, everyone was like, why the hell did he just get like top five wide receiver money? That's what Alec Pierce is going to get. That's a great comparison. I have been feeling like, I'm like, what does this remind me of? And that's, like, directly it. It's like, and everyone was like, what the hell?
Starting point is 00:48:03 And he ended up being pretty good for the Jags, but still, it just like didn't make sense for a guy. I mean, Alec Pierce has like 83, 86, something like that. Fewer than 90 receptions over the last two years. Guys who don't get a lot of volume usually don't go out and get like. A lot of people are calling him Terrence Ferguson light. Well, don't disrespect my boy Terrence Ferguson like that. I said light. Fair.
Starting point is 00:48:23 He is, in fact, lighter than Terrence Ferguson. Yeah, that's sure. Um, he'll go out, he'll get, he'll be the highest paid receiver if you look at like the full value of the contract. He'll get more money than any other receiver in free agency this year. Yeah. But I think we have them this though because we're nervous from a fantasy perspective that it won't really translate. And I just, I just can't get on, get on board with like, even like New England, which by the way, as a Patriots fan, I am so out on paying Alex Pierce huge money. Yeah, yeah. He seems like he'd play a different role, but. total talent-wise, I think, similar to a lot of guys they have. But that'd be, like, best scenario. You're paired with Drake May, who's an elite deep ball thrower. That's what Alec Pierce does. And even that, it doesn't really move me for fantasy.
Starting point is 00:49:10 And then you start talking about, like, all these shitty teams you could go to, which, by the way, Raiders, I hadn't even thought about, but, or at least I hadn't thought about a lot. They don't have anyone. Trey Tucker is their top receiver right now. Yeah, Trey Tucker. Oh, my God. I haven't heard that name in years.
Starting point is 00:49:27 Trey Tucker, they drafted two guys last year that neither really contributed much as rookies. They need to go get past-gerton's a madden demon. Yeah, put some respect on his name. Dante Thornton and Jack Betch, who a lot of people really liked going into last year. Oh my God, everyone was losing their minds last year. Jack Betch, Jack Betch did nothing. So, and they need to get, I mean, they obviously have brought Barrett and Ash and Gentie, which is great, but they need to get some wide receivers for Mendoza.
Starting point is 00:49:51 So, you know, they can continue to develop him and not just throw him out to the wool. So I guess that would make sense as a landing spot as well. I do think it'll be the Patriots just because the drum is beating so loudly right now. And I don't think they're going to be able to trade for AJ Brown, what the Eagles are asking for. But regardless, yeah, I would rather have every other receiver we talked about today in fantasy than Alec Pierce, barring, you know, weird landing spots that are unforeseen. I'll caveat this.
Starting point is 00:50:22 Like, obviously best ball is a different story. if you want to take him in bestball because you have a stack that's one thing. But we're mainly talking dynasty and redraft here. So torch us in the comments. I know everyone's going to want to. And I kind of don't blame you. I do kind of think we're making like an aggressive stance right here. Yeah, this is the moment we're going to get here for.
Starting point is 00:50:42 But hey, you know what? We'll see. We'll see at the end of the season. We'll see. Alec Pierce, Mike Evans, Debo, Samu, Juan Jennings. We'll see who scores the most points this year. All right. Well, that is it for our top 10 free agents for 2026.
Starting point is 00:50:55 fantasy football. Melo, we miss anything? Did we got it all? All right, let us know down below your thoughts on all our picks, and we will be back next week. Or actually Thursday, sorry, with some fantasy football free agency reactions. Catch you guys next time.

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