Locked On Broncos - Daily Podcast On The Denver Broncos - Bo Nix, Denver Broncos Need To Clip The Atlanta Falcons Wings On Sunday

Starting point is 00:00:00 The Denver Broncos in Atlanta Falcons are both trying to come back off of some really tough losses in week 10. Week 11, we see the Falcons come to the Mile High City. Justin Simmons return. We've got that and so much more on today's crossover Thursday edition. Locked on Broncos, Locked on Falcons. You are locked on NFL crossover. Part of the Locked on podcast network. Your team every day.

Starting point is 00:00:34 A couple of teams looking to bounce back here in Week. week 11 as the Denver Broncos coming off of one of the toughest losses to swallow in recent years, the blocked kick against the Kansas City Chiefs. And of course, the Atlanta Falcons trying to bounce back after losing to the New Orleans Saints in week 10. We're going to be bringing some good vibes here on today's crossover Thursday episode, Lockdown Broncos, Lockdown Falcons. Thanks so much to all of you listeners out there that make Lockdown Broncos or Lockdown Falcons, your first listen of the day. Every single day. My name is Sarah Bedinger, co-hosts at Lockdown Broncos here with Aaron Freeman, host of Locked-on Falcons.

Starting point is 00:01:10 And today's crossover Thursday episode is brought to you by prize picks. Download the prize picks app and use code Locked-on NFL to win $50 instantly when you play $5. Aaron, it's been a while since the Broncos and Falcons got together. It's been a long time since the Broncos actually beat the Falcons. I know that we don't necessarily need to be starting off by talking about that. I know this is your show as well here. but if memory serves me right, this was the, it was the Peyton Hillis game back in 2008 is the last time the Broncos actually beat the Atlanta Falcons.

Starting point is 00:01:44 I know they've had some tough matchups here in recent years, but excited to hear your thoughts on the game. I know your listeners are as well. Should be a fun land there in the Mile High City. Yeah, that Peyton Hillis game, I had forgotten all about that. And now you're bringing back some very dark memories for me. I'm sorry. Where he just absolutely destroyed the Atlanta Falcons on that Sunday. But yeah, it's been a while and, you know, it's tough coming off of some disappointing losses to some division rivals.

Starting point is 00:02:11 You know, again, Sarah, you can let me know if who's the biggest. I just assume everybody in the AFC. West hates the Raiders the most and whatnot. But I can imagine, given the Chief's recent success, that they may feel like the biggest rival to the Broncos. But I think everybody knows that the New Orleans Saints are the Falcons biggest rival. And it's just a bitter pill to swallow when you lose the way that the Falcons did. and especially the way that the Broncos did last week. Yeah, so it's not going to be, I mean, the Falcons are going to want to take out the aggression

Starting point is 00:02:37 on the former Saints head coach, obviously Sean Payton, who coached against the Falcons for many years there. I know we've heard Matt Ryan has called a couple of Sean Payton's games with the Broncos now that he's with CBS and things like that. So we've gotten to hear the perspective from that point of view. But I'm interested to know top storylines for this game because bird's eye view, Broncos country, well aware, the Kirk Cousin signing in the offseason,

Starting point is 00:03:01 and Michael Pennix, Jr., being drafted by the Falcons, we're seeing those offensive weapons really start to emerge, maybe none more so than Darnell Moody, who was quickly written off by Chicago Bears fans and looks like an absolute stud there. What are the biggest storylines for this game for the Atlanta Falcons? We know they're 6 and 4. They've got a lot to play for, obviously.

Starting point is 00:03:23 It's been a tough sledding division these last handful of years with, I mean, I know it's not been that difficult to get in the playoffs, but at the same time, very difficult. now that we're in the second half of this season or the back the back nine what's the biggest storylines for the falcons right now well the the easy storyline this week on offense is do the falcons get their starting center drew dalman back he's been out since week three uh exited that chief's game on sunday night football and hasn't played since i don't think that his presence is going to really like change the outcome of this matchup he's a better uh player than his replacement ryan nuzel but

Starting point is 00:03:58 Nuzel's been solid. So I don't know if it's going to suddenly shift this matchup if Dahlman is playing, but certainly that will be a slight boost to the Fawfant's offensive line. But I think really for me, what I'm most intrigued about in this game offensively is sort of the matchup of who do the Broncos put Patrick Surtan on? Because I think whoever that guy is, whether it's Darnemone, whether it's Drake London, is probably not going to have a big game because of the ability of Patrick Sertan. And so whoever the other guy that is not covered by Patrick Sertan,

Starting point is 00:04:28 is probably going to have to carry the Falcons offense and be that type of guy that can get 10 to 15 targets and 8 to 12 catches, 100, 150 type yard type of performance to really carry this Falcons offense. And we've seen stat lines like that from both Mooney and Drake London most recently in that week five win against Tampa Bay Buccaneers. But the Falcons threw the ball 58 times of that game. So it's understandable why those guys put up huge numbers. But in a, I guess you could say normal game where Kirk Cousins is only throwing the ball 35, 40 times, can either one of those guys put up those types, that type of production? I think the answer is they can. We just haven't really seen it yet.

Starting point is 00:05:04 And I think they definitely need to do that this week against the Denver Broncos just because of just Patrick Sartan is so good. It just feels like he's going to take away one side of the field. And from my eyes, Sarah, maybe you can correct me on this. But it does seem like when teams do have success throwing the ball against the Denver Broncos, is often at the expense of Riley Moss more so than anything else because of how good Patrick Sartan is. And that's not a knock on Riley Moss.

Starting point is 00:05:26 is just you're playing against arguably the best corner in the NFL. And so teams are going to basically say, we're not throwing it to his side of field. We're going to throw it to your side of field. And it's kind of a sink or swim situation. And so I think the Falcons will need either Drake London or Darno Mooney to have a big game against Riley Moss again this week. Yeah, absolutely.

Starting point is 00:05:44 And to your point, I mean, Pat Sartan followed DeAndre Hopkins around the entire game against the Kansas City Chiefs. We saw the Broncos kind of abandoned that strategy a little bit against the Ravens when Pat Sertan wasn't necessarily following around Zay Flowers, although I think everybody kind of agrees after seeing the results that that was probably a bad mistake. So I think we will continue to see Vince Joseph match him up against whoever they deemed to be the biggest threat. My guess would be Drake London. And yes, Riley Moss, Jaquan McMillan, those have been the guys that teams have had a little bit more success against,

Starting point is 00:06:13 although Riley's done his best to kind of make it the lesser of two evils as much as he can this season. Defensively for the Atlanta Falcons, I think everybody's kind of been hearing the, you know, the Falcons, they're not getting sacks. you know, but we know that sacks aren't always the greatest metric for pass rush productivity. That was really the area that everybody was kind of focused in on, hey, this team needs to go after Dallas Turner or Jared verse, whoever it may be in the top of the draft. It's continued to kind of be an issue for them.

Starting point is 00:06:42 The Falcons are not great at getting off the field on third down. Is that one of the biggest storylines for you defensively for this team going into this game? Or what are you looking at the most? Not particularly, Sarah, just because the pass rush has not been there. so it's not going to be there. They've been getting decent amount of pressure, but this is not a pass rush that's really going to be disruptive. So we're at the point in the season here on Lockdown Falcons

Starting point is 00:07:04 where it's just like, it is what it is. They're not going to be able to pressure any quarterback. So they have to do all the other things besides pressuring the quarterback and sacking the quarterback to play good defense. And that has been a very mixed bag for the Falcons. They haven't been great stopping the run. They did a decent job last week against the New Orleans Saints, but certainly I think they'll have to step up a little bit more

Starting point is 00:07:23 against the Broncos. And I think for me, the big issue is going to be less about pressuring the quarterback. But when Bo Nix is running, I think that's really going to be a major thorn in the side. The Falcons have really struggled against mobile quarterbacks like Bo Nix these last couple of years, whether it's on scrambles, whether it's on design runs. Their most athletic linebacker is Troy Anderson. He's dealing with a knee injury. He's been dealing with that all year long. The one game that he did play against a mobile quarterback at Jalen Hertz early in the season didn't really slow down Jalen Hertz.

Starting point is 00:07:50 but ever since then he's been in and out of the lineup. And, you know, you've seen Derek Carr and Baker Mayfield and Gino Smith and all these guys scrambling for, you know, decent gains. And Bo Nix blows all those guys out of the water from an athletic standpoint. So he could really do a lot of damage in this game. And so that to me is going to be the thing. If the Falcons, even if they're not getting a ton of pressure, if when Bo Nix breaks outside the pocket, if they can contain him and not allow him to convert in the red zone and convert on third down. and all that stuff, I think that would be a huge thing for this falcons defense. So to me, the big story is do the Falcons have the horses on defense with a nicked up Troy

Starting point is 00:08:30 Anderson to be able to contain that? And I don't know if they do at this point in time. No pun intended, I'm sure, on the horses there comment. But look, I know Broncos country very eager to see Justin Simmons back in Denver. I've got a number of friends going to the game that, I mean, we all love Justin Simmons, of course. I mean, he's legendary at Broncos country. So it'll be interesting to see what kind of impact he can make on this game based on the fact that, you know, he was there last year, Sean Peyton's first year with the team.

Starting point is 00:08:57 But lots of new in Denver this year as Justin Simmons makes his return to the Mile High City. And speaking of the Broncos, we're going to break down a couple of the key storylines for this team offensively and defensively going up against the Atlanta Falcons, including can they keep the SMA train rolling in the running game. We've got that and more for you coming up next on today's crossover Thursday edition, Lockdown Broncos. Locked on Balkans. Today's show is brought to you by Hillsdale College Time. It's our most precious commodity. So you don't want to waste it scrolling through the same mind-numbing content for hours and hours.

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Starting point is 00:11:41 The Denver Broncos are looking to keep the estimate train rolling and defensively. Are they going to be able to put pressure on Kirk Chains? Kirk-O-Chains, the big money, Kirk. We're excited to find out. We're going to talk about it. Me and Aaron Freeman on today's crossover Thursday edition, Lockdown Broncos and Lockdown Falcons. But thanks so much to all of you out there that make us your first listen of the day.

Starting point is 00:12:02 Every single day, we really appreciate all of you. And if you haven't already done so, hit subscribe wherever you get your podcast as well as on YouTube. Aaron, let's talk about this. The Denver Broncos haven't been the best running team in the NFL this season, largely due to the fact that Javante Williams, he's kind of been, you know, I don't know, it's been tough sledding for Javante. The guy that we saw in his rookie year breaking all these tackles, getting on angry run segments every week, he's not that guy anymore.

Starting point is 00:12:30 And in fact, he was kind of effectively benched last week for a rookie Audric Estime, who looked really good against the Kansas City Chief. So we're all eager to find out, is Audric Estimate going to be able to keep things rolling this week against the Atlanta Falcons. When you look at this Falcons defense going up against the Broncos run game, that's kind of that they've had some really good games. They had over 200 yards against the New Orleans Saints rushing. That's an area, I think, that they're going to really try to pound the ball on the ground

Starting point is 00:12:58 and give estimate every opportunity to take over this game. Yeah, and I think that's a good strategy for the Broncos, because pretty much every team can run the football against the Atlanta Falcons. Last week was the first time all year long that they did not give up 100 yards rushing. I think they gave up like 90s. to the Saints. So they got awfully close. And like the Dallas Cowboys, one of the worst rushing teams in the NFL, I think ran for like over 130 yards against the Falcon.

Starting point is 00:13:22 So if you're looking to get your run game going, the Atlanta Falcons defense is usually the defense. That's usually a good indicator that you will be able to get it going. So if you're looking for estimated to have another big day and show why he should be the new RB1, I think this is a good matchup for him. The Falcons tried some different looks on defense last week. You know, they're traditionally a 3-4 team. They dabbled with a little four-three looks and whatnot. You know, it didn't really make that much of a difference in terms of improving their run defense.

Starting point is 00:13:52 But we'll see what they do. They've dealt with some injuries. They're going to be down to Juan Graham at D-Tackle. I think he had suffered a torn pectoral. They were going to get to see their rookie detackle, Brandon Doyle's for the first time next week. Maybe they'll get more run from Eddie Goldman. Their nose tack who's been solid in the middle, but has only been really playing as a 3-4-based defensive tackle. and so maybe they'll get him some looks.

Starting point is 00:14:14 But usually the key to success running against the Atlanta Falcons is get them in nickel. So go three wide receiver sets, run in between the tackles. And the Falcons really have no answer for that and really haven't had an answer for that all season long. So we'll see if that changes this week. It would be a great week for the Falcons defense to kind of step up in that way. But so far it has not. So we'll see. That's going to be really interesting because Sean Payton, we all know, loves 12 personnel.

Starting point is 00:14:39 He throws out his two tight-end sets frequently. He brings a fullback out there frequently. And when he does bring wide receivers out there, sometimes it's, you know, little Jordan Humphrey, who's not exactly a burner out there in terms of speed. He's more of a big guy. They like his blocking ability.

Starting point is 00:14:55 So that's going to be fascinating to see. I'm also very interested for the Broncos defensively. Against the Kansas City Chiefs, couldn't force any turnovers. It was problematic because you needed at least one or two extra possessions there. against Patrick Mahomes to not get into the situation with the black field go at the end of that game. In terms of ball security this season for the Atlanta Falcons, that's something that I think that the Broncos are going to need to make sure that they're forcing the issue because the Falcons,

Starting point is 00:15:24 they're kind of middle of the road with 12 turnovers this season. Obviously, Kurt Cousins, he's, you know, he's shown a willingness to throw the ball where he wants to. And eight interceptions this year, not bad, pretty on par for the course of where we've seen him in the past. The Broncos' second has got to make plays on the ball. You talked about it in segment one with they're going to probably try to pick on Riley Moss a little bit in this game. Riley and Jaquan McMillan, when the ball's not going to pass certain, those guys are going to have to make plays on the football in order to force some turnovers against this Atlanta Falcons offense, which we've seen capable of putting up a lot of points. Yeah, I think the best thing that the Broncos may have going for them is the

Starting point is 00:16:04 pass rush. That last week you saw a couple of fumbles from Kirk Cousins. He's not the most mobile guy at this point in his career. In fact, he's the very opposite of mobile, whatever, you know, statue-esque, whatever you want to call it. And so you can kind of get to Kirk Cousins, and he has had a tendency this year to not always hold on to the football when guys can get at him. And you saw two fumbles last week. The Falcons were fortunate to recover those. But that has been an issue throughout the season. And we'll see if the Falcons offensive line can hold up against his Broncos pass rush that I think has impressed everybody so far this year to the point that they were able to trade Barron Browning in the middle of the season,

Starting point is 00:16:42 unfortunately not to the Atlanta Falcons who desperately could need someone of his caliber. But I think it is one of those things where if you can get to the quarterback, you can maybe create some turnovers there in addition to, you know, Kirk has been known to force a throw or two late in games from time to time. And so if the Falcons are pressing late in the game, trying to score like they were last week, and we've seen a couple of times now this season,

Starting point is 00:17:10 then you may get Kirk sort of pressing in that situation, and that will be the opportunities for guys on the back end to maybe get those turnovers as you're talking about. Well, this is one of the most underrated matchups, I think, on the Week 11 slate, which is understandably, I mean, it's loaded. You've got Chiefs bills. You've got a couple of other divisional matchups across the league,

Starting point is 00:17:29 and I think that this is one that, man, it's getting a little bit overlooked, but there's a lot at stake for both of these teams. So what do these teams have to do in order to come away with a victory in week 11? Well, we're going to break that down up next on today's crossover Thursday edition, Locked on Broncos and Locked on Falcons. Today's crossover Thursday is brought to you by prize picks. Prize picks, it's the best place to get real money sports action.

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Starting point is 00:19:03 Locked-on NFL to get $50 instantly after you play your first $5 lineup. Price Fix run your game. As we jump into the fourth quarter of crossover Thursday here, locked on Broncos and Locked on Falcons, once again, want to say we appreciate every single one of you, everyday listeners out there for making us your first listen of the day every single day. This is a huge week 11 matchup between the Broncos and the Falcons. Obviously, the Falcons trying to go ahead and win the NFC South this year.

Starting point is 00:19:33 They've got a real good shot of doing that, Aaron, which is exciting for your boys. You love to see that because the Falcons, they've been trying to put this thing together for a few years. You had to deal with Tom Brady for a handful in Tampa Bay. It's their time this year. So they're trying to win in Denver this weekend. The Broncos trying to make the playoffs for the first time since Super Bowl 50, which is crazy to think about that the Broncos have always been so much more consistently in the playoffs. In my upbringing, Aaron, I don't even know how to deal with this anymore.

Starting point is 00:20:00 We just, you know, we just sulk about these types of things. But these two teams, a lot is at stake. I know this is AFC, NFC, but give us the three keys to victory here for the Atlanta Falcons in week 11 as they come to the Mile High City. Yeah, you're right. You know, this is one of a handful of playoff contenders that the Falcons are facing. And so if the Falcons wind up winning the NFC South, this is going to be a measuring stick to sort of see how they stack up against some of the other NFC teams that will be that they may face. in January. So I think the first key for the Falcons is to start fast. Basically, I looked up the stat that when the Falcons score a touchdown in the first quarter, they are five in one this

Starting point is 00:20:40 year. And so you can do the math and basically tell you that they don't necessarily do nearly as well when they don't get at least seven points in the first quarter of this game. So doing that against this Broncos defense, I think, will be huge for them to get off to a promising start. And number two, I think in terms of keys to victory, I think you got to get Bejan Robbins. going in addition to what we talked about earlier, where you're going to need one of your wide receivers, whoever Patrick Sartan is not covering to kind of have to carry the passing game. I also think you're going to need that one-two punch from Bejohn Robinson.

Starting point is 00:21:14 And I think you can get him in some mismatches against the Broncos linebackers, particularly Cody Barton. If you can get him on some wheel routes, get one-on-one in the flat, Bijan can really make guys miss and really create and turn five-yard plays into 15 and 20 and 25-yard play. So I think if you can get him going not just obviously in the run game, but also in the passing game, I think that will be huge to supplement whatever else you do in the passing game. And then the third thing is you got to contain the quarterback run. Bo Nix's legs can really be back-breaking killers for this Falcons defense that loves to play a

Starting point is 00:21:48 bin, but don't break style of defense. But what you want to do when you play that style of defense on third downs and in the red zone, you want to get stops. In the quarterback run game, whether it's design runs, whether it's Bo Nix ground, can really hurt this team in those situations and prevent them from getting off the field, whether it's, you know, Bo Nix scrambling on a third and four, third and six or something like that, or, you know, in the red zone and whatnot being able to use his legs to extend plays and either score himself or by time for his receivers. So I do think if they can keep Bo Nix's legs contained, that will be a huge part of their ability

Starting point is 00:22:21 to win this game. Yeah, that was something that we really saw for the very first time this season last week against Kansas City. Bow was really bottled up. And that was, we haven't seen that yet. So I'm sure the Falcons will be looking at what Steve Spagnolo did in that game to try to kind of duplicate or replicate that here in week 11. I loved your second key as well because the Broncos have struggled a bit this year with

Starting point is 00:22:43 running backs, catching passes out of the backfield. Last week against the Chiefs obviously stands out. But, I mean, even look back games like they played against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs got some things going, getting the ball out to their backs in space as well. Also the Broncos linebackers, they've been shuffling guys this year. Cody Barton is the lone starter from opening day. Alex Singleton obviously out for the year. We've seen guys getting shuffled off the practice squad.

Starting point is 00:23:07 We've seen, you know, Justin Sirnod kind of in and out of the lineup. So going to be very fascinating to see how the Falcons try to exploit that, especially as you mentioned with Kirk Cousins, not being the fleetest of foot. That outlet at the running back position can be very valuable to you in a game like this if you're the Atlanta Falcons. For the Denver Broncos, top three keys to victory, we talked about it before. Number one, you got to find a way to force a turnover or two in this game,

Starting point is 00:23:31 definitely winning the turnover battle. Not telling you anything you don't know in that regard. Winning the turnover battle in the NFL is always huge. But I think especially with a rookie quarterback, if Bow Nix is playing mistake-free football, man, the Broncos have been tough to beat this year. But when the Broncos offense is, you know, it rains at pores sort of thing. When they're turning the ball over, they're giving extra possessions to the other team.

Starting point is 00:23:53 It's just tough for this team to kind of hang in games. Number two, key to victory, feed Audric Estime. We liked what we saw from the rookie running back last week against Kansas City. And you figure if he can do that against a defense like Kansas City, maybe he can build on that against Atlanta, especially playing at home. And number three, just made Kirk Cousins life memorable back there. I mean, Aaron touched on it earlier. A couple of fumbles from Kirk this year, eight interceptions.

Starting point is 00:24:18 The Broncos defense hasn't necessarily been super opportunistic when it comes to creating turnovers, but they do get to the quarterback more than most teams, more than really any team in the league. And Vance Joseph forces the issue. He's going to blitz a lot. And he's got guys who can get home off the edge, like Nick Benito and obviously Jonathan Cooper, who got the contract extension.

Starting point is 00:24:37 So those are the keys to victory for the Denver Broncos. And I think in this game, we're going to see just a, I'm excited for it, Aaron, because I feel like it's a turning point kind of situation for Denver, for sure. Atlanta, you know, it's not going to hurt them too bad if they lose this game. But you obviously want to start creating that distance. when you have the opportunity over teams like Tampa Bay. Yes, I think you nailed its hair.

Starting point is 00:25:02 It's not the end of the world that the Falcons do lose this game. It's going to be a tough matchup. I think like so many Falcon games this year, it's going to come down to the wire who makes the plays in the final five minutes to win this game. And hopefully the Falcons will do that. And obviously, I know the Lothon Broncos listeners are not hoping for that. But it is one of those things where I do think this game is important for the sort of overall look at this Falcon team. Because, again, you're facing a very good Broncos defense and offense.

Starting point is 00:25:26 that isn't necessarily a juggernaut, but certainly has unique things that we've discussed that can really challenge this Falcon team in the run game and whatnot. Cortland Sutton as well, and the growth and rapport that him and Bo Nix seem to be growing as the season wears on. So I think there are going to be some challenges for this Falcon team, and I think these challenges,

Starting point is 00:25:44 their ability to respond to these challenges, will kind of tell you a lot about whether this team is, hey, are they a real deal playoff team in the sense of they can go against one of the better teams in the NFL this year and beat them in, in their own home stadium, or are the Falcons just a playoff team because they happen to play in a bad division? And I think this game can really tell us a lot about this Falfant team. It's going to be big time. And you know that you're going to be able to find all the coverage that

Starting point is 00:26:08 you need for the Atlanta Falcons for the Denver Broncos. Aaron will have you covered over there, Locked on Falcons. Cody and I will have he covered listeners over at Lockdown Broncos. And hey, after making us your first listen today, go check out Lockdown NFL with two new shows every single day. The Madman, Tyler Rowland. I got to talk to him the other day. He is the madman. I'll tell you that right now. He's awesome. Alway, he does.

Starting point is 00:26:28 He'll be your double shot of espresso in the morning. And then Tony Wiggins just always smooth with it. So go check those guys out. We're at Lockdown NFL for your second list of the day. But Broncos Country, Falcons fans. We'll see you on the next one. Have a good day.

Locked On Broncos - Daily Podcast On The Denver Broncos - Bo Nix, Denver Broncos Need To Clip The Atlanta Falcons Wings On Sunday

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