Locked On Colts - Daily Podcast On The Indianapolis Colts - Indianapolis Colts Trade Candidates 1 Week Ahead of NFL Deadline
Episode Date: October 24, 2023The NFL Trade Deadline is a week away. Which Indianapolis Colts players could be candidates to be moved? With recent events such as Jonathan Taylor's re-emergence and Michael Pittman Jr.'s usage, how ...might the offense evolve over the rest of the season?Find and follow Locked On Colts on your favorite podcast platforms:🎧 https://link.chtbl.com/LOColts?sid=YouTube📺YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCLdpxJspi1hMh5HL7ExpWOQLocked On NFL League-Wide: Every Team, Fantasy, Draft & More🎧 https://linktr.ee/LockedOnNFLFollow Jake and Zach's written work on HorseshoeHuddle.com, and give them a follow on Twitter @JakeArthurNFL, @ZachHicks2, @LockedOnColts, and @ColtsOnFN!Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONNFL for $20 off your first purchase. Last minute tickets. Lowest Price. Guaranteed.Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!DoorDashGet 50% off up to $10 value when you spend $15 or more on your FIRST order, when you download the DoorDash app and enter code LOCKED23. Subject to change. Terms apply.Jase MedicalGet $20 off these lifesaving antibiotics with Jase Medical by using code LOCKEDON at checkout on jasemedical.com.PrizePicksGo to PrizePicks.com/lockedonnfl and use code lockedonnfl for a first deposit match up to $100!GametimeDownload the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONNFL for $20 off your first purchase. Last minute tickets. Lowest Price. Guaranteed.eBay MotorsFor parts that fit, head to eBay Motors and look for the green check. Stay in the game with eBay Guaranteed Fit at eBayMotos.com. Let’s ride. eBay Guaranteed Fit only available to US customers. Eligible items only. Exclusions apply.LinkedInLinkedIn Jobs helps you find the qualified candidates you want to talk to, faster. Post your job for free at LinkedIn.com/LOCKEDONNFL. Terms and conditions apply.FanDuelMake Every Moment More. Right now, NEW customers can bet FIVE DOLLARS and get TWO HUNDRED in BONUS BETS – GUARANTEED. Visit FanDuel.com/LOCKEDON to get started.FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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The NFL trade deadline is just a week away.
Will the Colts stay put or will they make a move?
Let's get to it.
You are locked on Colts, your daily Indianapolis Colts podcast, part of the Locked On Podcast
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What's up all?
I am Jake Arthur of HorseshoeHuddle.com.
And today we are talking the Colts and the NFL trade deadline that's coming up.
Spooky season, Halloween 4 PM. All
teams must be done making all their trades for the remainder of the season. By then,
last year we saw Naheem Hines get dealt at the buzzer. So let's go through offense,
offense and defense, see which players could be on the move. You know, which players make sense
for other teams to want. And, you know, it players make sense for other teams to want.
And, you know, it has to make sense for the Colts to kind of deal them away as well.
We'll also kind of look at some outliers that have maybe been rumored, but perhaps don't quite make a whole lot of sense.
And then we'll wrap things up talking about the offense and how things might change a
little bit over the remainder of the season.
We've kind of seen some developments. Jonathan Taylor's back
and looks really good. Michael Pittman Jr. had some things to say. Jelani Woods is still yet
to return. So let's look at some of those things and see how the offense might evolve. But first,
let's go ahead and talk about the offensive side of the ball with trade candidates. And I feel like
the most glaring one right now is we got to talk about Michael Pittman Jr. He has been rumored in trade rumors throughout the offseason, really. And now after the Colts
lost to the Browns on Sunday, showed a little bit of frustration, spoke with Nate Atkins of
the Indy Star and said, maybe I'm just not a big part of the offense. Basically pointing out he only had a handful of targets, I think just five targets in that one, only two
catches. On the season, he is far and away the Colts' leading receiver, you know, receptions,
targets, yards, all of it really. But when you look at it, like there's numbers to it. In the
first three games, he was targeted an average of 11.3 times, but in the four games since, just 7.8 targets.
And in those four games, there's only been one game where he's been targeted more than seven times.
That was that Jaguars game. I think he had like 13 targets.
So he was getting targeted quite a bit in the early portion of the season, but then it fell off quite a bit with the exception of two weeks ago ever since then and
yes he's the leading receiver he's being targeted the most I if I'm putting myself in his shoes I
think the frustrating part would probably be the consistency because the numbers are there overall
but it's like from half to half game to game you don't know if you're going to be targeted a couple times or what,
because we've seen a couple times now this season
where he's only been targeted like once or twice in whole halves.
You know what I mean?
There was one game that escapes me earlier in the season.
Had a really big output overall for the game,
but like it almost all came in the second half.
And, you know, he said, you know, when I'm targeted, when I get my hands on the ball, I do stuff with it. And that makes sense.
He's had, he's had a handful of big plays this year showing off his yak ability, showing off his
deep, deep catching ability as well. I'm all for getting, getting the guy more targets,
or at least in a more consistent basis.
Like, cause he's projected to have a huge season.
Like it's going to be a career year for him.
It looks like, but do it more consistently.
You know what I mean?
Like the game plan is going to change week in and week out.
You're going to run the ball more.
You're going to want to attack over the middle of the field with like your slot receivers
and tight ends more like it's going to change.
But if I'm him, I'm just probably looking for more consistency. So I get that.
Now looking at him as a trade candidate, I can see why other teams would want him.
He's a fringe wide receiver one, like high end wide receiver two for a lot of other teams. So a lot of a lot of people like to compare him to like T. Higgins. They kind of put them on a similar scope.
Yeah, T. Higgins is maybe a one on a lot of teams,
but you put him next to Jamar Chase, and he's like an awesome wide receiver too.
That could be what you're looking at with Pittman.
But regardless, he's going to be paid like a wide receiver one.
He's going to hit the open market this next offseason if he's not locked up sooner that's
a guy that's going to make well over 20 million dollars a year so for the colts they have to weigh
you know how much do we want to pay for that because that's the going rate for guys like this
and however they feel about running backs we obviously saw they finally paid jonathan taylor
but teams are a lot more willing to pay receivers nowadays.
So if they don't lock up Pittman, another team certainly will.
So that's something they have to weigh is if another team comes calling with a super enticing offer, of course.
But overall, he's a really valuable player.
To me, I think you just keep adding players around him.
Like he's he's definitely an asset. He's a really valuable player. To me, I think you just keep adding players around him.
He's definitely an asset, and he's right.
When he gets the ball, good things do tend to happen. So he is probably the most glaring name to keep an eye on
just because he's the most often rumored.
I personally don't think it's going to happen.
I think the Colts would like to prioritize bringing him back, but we'll see.
Until the trade deadline passes, we're going to
keep hearing that name. And then I think the next ones you look at on offense, this is a really deep
tight end group. So Jelani Woods, of course, is kind of the X factor because he's still on IR
with that hamstring injury. But you've got Kylan Granson, who's been productive. Mo Alley-Cox is
there doing his thing. He's not been used much as a receiver, but Will Mallory has stepped up.
Drew Ogletree has been really good.
Only seven catches for Ogletree, but six of them have been at least for a first down or touchdown.
So you've got a deeper than average tight end group at a position in the NFL where it seems like it's just everyone's scraping the barrel.
Like not many teams have even a couple tight ends that they really,
really like it seems.
So the Colts have at least three or four guys who could play on,
on a lot of offenses.
So that's a group I would keep an eye on, you know,
Kylan Granson and Mo Alleycox.
They're both free agents after 2024. Mo Alleycox has no dead cap after this
season as well on his contract. So those are some tradable players. I think they'd be much
more likely to hold on to Drew Ogletree. They obviously just drafted Will Mallory.
So Granson and Mo Alleycox, that's a couple guys I could see other teams maybe wanting.
I mean, Alleycox has put out good film on tape before, uh, some other team could be enticed by
what they've seen him do. Uh, he actually has been a kind of a big play receiver throughout his
career. A lot of his catches have gone for touchdowns or chunk plays. I mean, he's not
the most nimble guy in the world, but it can't be denied that the guy
can make some plays down the field. So I would definitely keep an eye on that because Woods,
I mean, I'm not going to say he has no value right now, but he has to get back on the field for
another team to want to go for him. Yeah, I don't know. Drew Ogletree, I think he has been the one who's probably shown
the most consistent high-ceiling ability since he's been back on the field this season.
So I don't know.
Tight end is a really deep group that another team might look to poach.
As far as the offensive line goes or the receivers goes,
I don't really see much movement happening there.
Now they do have Blake Freeland who's been getting some extra snaps,
but they've needed it.
Like Braden Smith's been hurt.
Bernard Ryman was hurt earlier.
So they kind of need to have all three quality tackles.
Don't really see anything happening there.
So here in a moment, we'll look at the defensive side of the ball,
maybe some players that make sense for other teams to want there.
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All right, dudes, let's talk defense.
So when you're talking trades, you're talking the Colts, you're talking defense.
I feel like the first name everyone gravitates to is Shaquille Leonard.
And I think this one has more validity now than it did at the beginning of the year because
Leonard is back and playing his his usage is increasing uh he's starting to make a couple
more plays he hasn't had the big turnovers or anything yet but you can see him really active
out there like his film is showing a player who is not just fading and into the into the
mist like he kind of was earlier in the season so i mean the colts
have ej speed they have zyre franklin franklin has been one of the better linebackers in the
nfl this year ej speed gets better all the time the dude just makes plays kind of got robbed of
having arguably the biggest play of his career near the end of sunday's game against the browns
so that kind of makes leonard the odd man out and he's game against the Browns. So that kind of makes Leonard the odd man out.
And he's easily got the biggest price tag.
I mean, he's got 12 million.
So it's just 12 million in dead cap over the next two seasons.
But if you live out the rest of his contract, it's over $60 million.
And that's for a player who's not really necessarily
playing at that price anymore. So again, that's just going to be one, man, the Colts aren't really
ones to lock themselves into contracts where they just don't make sense at that level anymore.
I mean, we saw it with like, we've seen it with Quentin Nelson. He had kind of a dip in his play, but he got better. He got healthier and he's looking like
Quentin Nelson again. Leonard, we haven't seen that yet. And he's kind of being overshadowed by
his teammates in Franklin and Speed. So in terms of just the return on investment that they're
getting, that's when I would keep an eye on. Now, will another team want to take
that on? That's iffy because I mean, the Colts have the luxury of having three really good
linebackers because Leonard is still a really good linebacker. It's just the price that is
the question mark, you know? So if there are other teams out there that are hurting for linebacker
play, if we see an important linebacker around the league go down with a significant injury in the next week or so, then maybe it makes sense. I mean, Leonard still has the uncanny ability to
turn the ball over and make plays where other guys can't. That's not a skill you lose.
Now, we haven't seen it yet this year, but again, you don't lose that. You know how to punch the
ball out. There's so much that goes into it. Plus he's just always,
he like across the middle of the field,
he always seems to find himself in the right spot with a pass breakup or even a
pick that stuff's coming. We all know it's coming at some point.
The guy's just got to, you know,
continue getting his feet under him and getting more comfortable. But yeah,
with, with the trade deadline just a week
away, is it going to be the Colts that see that? Probably. I think it's not very likely that
Leonard gets moved by the trade deadline. The timing just doesn't make sense there. We're not
seeing him play like the maniac yet for another team to want to come in and absorb that contract
or give the Colts any amount of compensation that would make sense. So I don't think Leonard gets moved. But if he were to,
it would probably happen in the offseason. And then they've got a couple other interesting areas.
I'll go over these guys real quick. So Grover Stewart and Kenny Moore are both going to be
free agents after this season. Grover, of course, is dealing with the six-game suspension for performance-enhancing substances.
That's a tricky situation because obviously no team is going to want to take that on right now.
But he's one of the best nose tackles in the league.
Again, I wouldn't put much validity to that.
I mean, he's getting older and he's only got a year left, but
I feel like nose tackles play at a high level for a pretty long time. And there's no reason for the
Colts to want to move on from that. Kenny, he's been reinvigorated as well. Like that guy is just
again, playing out of his mind. I think he has seven tackles for loss this season as a slot
cornerback. That's great. He has a one and a half sacks. I
think he's like fourth on the team in tackles. He has really been kind of reinvigorated,
reignited. Like that guy is playing really good football. So again, he's a free agent after the
season, but they really need him, especially after we don't know how long Juju Brents will be out,
but we've seen how fragile that cornerback depth is for this team.
So I wouldn't move on from Kenny.
Now a group that makes sense.
We were talking about tight ends earlier with offense.
Let's talk about the safeties.
So they've got three playable safeties, Rodney Thomas,
Nick Cross and Julian Blackman.
Blackman's been the best this year.
He's starting to make a lot more plays. He's got picks in two of the last three games. He's kind of like Leonard in that
he knows how to make these uncanny special plays on the ball. We don't see it as much from him,
but he also tends to kind of get robbed of those as well. The play will be whistled dead or
it'll be overturned, have you but um blackman
is starting to play really really good football lately nick cross is a guy everyone wants to get
on the field but it's like they can't find the snaps for him like he you want to get him on the
field 20 25 snaps or so a game but like the flow the game just doesn't dictate it and it's like
who do you take off uh rodney thomas finally his first pick of the flow of the game just doesn't dictate it, and it's like, who do you take off?
Rodney Thomas, finally, his first pick of the year against the Browns. So you got three guys who really are jockeying for two positions, because as much as the Colts want to, I just
really don't think they can get all three guys on the field as much as they want.
And Cross is the youngest one, and he's probably the one with the highest upside but he's
the one they just can't find the playing time for so i don't know i know recently i saw julian
blackman was listed as a potential uh trade asset now he might have the most value but he's the one
playing the best football right now so i don't i don't know if you want to move on from that
you'd have to be really confident that Nick Cross can come in and provide that eventually
within, you know, the next year. Cause you don't want to have some huge drop off for the next year
after you get rid of Blackman. But again, you have these two guys. If the intention is that
you're going to let Blackman walk in the off season though, why don't you go ahead and get
something for him now? It it's again it's just tricky
because you ship the guy off and you have you're you're getting rid of your best safety and what
do you say for the rest of the season that one's kind of tricky now Rodney Thomas that one's that
one's just really iffy because I mean he was your leading interceptor last year with four as a rookie,
but only just now got his first one.
And he hasn't made a lot of plays yet to this point in the season. So how do you weigh that value?
Because, I mean, he showed all that flash as a rookie, so you know it's there.
And, I mean, he just made a really acrobatic interception against the Browns.
So I don't know.
It's a group that holds trade value.
I mean, let me know what you guys think in the comments here.
If the Colts are going to trade out of any position,
I think tight end and safety probably makes the most sense.
Coming up here, we are going to wrap it up by talking about
how the offense might evolve a little bit based on kind of recent events. But first let's hear another word from our sponsors. Buying tickets to your
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All right, guys.
So the Colts have been kind of going through it on offense
when it comes to the defenses they've played.
They've played a bunch of really good run defenses especially.
But we've kind of seen them break through a lot of those like the the titans were
arguably the best run defense in the league at the time colts blew them away there zach moss had a
great game last week against the browns the browns were and probably still are the best defense
overall in the league again colts rolled through 150 yards zach moss was really good jonathan
taylor was really good so they Taylor was really good. So they're
starting to get out of kind of this gauntlet of awesome defenses. They do still have some top 10
matchups to go against. New Orleans this week, they have the fourth rated defense. New England
is ninth. Atlanta's third and Las Vegas is 10th. But overall, they don't have these killer matchups,
like these really daunting ones.
But the thing of it is we've seen them overcome those. And the biggest problem has been the
turnovers. That's just, that's just been the biggest, most frustrating part. And you've heard
us harp on it the last couple of weeks is if you're going to have some offensive success and
you're moving the ball and you're scoring points, like turning the ball over is just such it,
like it just gets magnified.
Like turning the ball over in general is bad, but when it's literally costing you the games
and putting you in positions like last week against Cleveland, where the referees are
able to decide the outcome on the final drive, it shouldn't get to that point.
So looking at things, I think there's some factors that can make the Colts
offense a little more secure. First and foremost, Jonathan Taylor is back and he looks like Jonathan
Taylor. They're ratcheting up his involvement. Been back for three weeks now. He went from a 15%
snap share to 42% the next week and then to 50 with Zach Moss last week. So I think we're going to see that start to continue a little bit,
maybe like 65, 35.
But eventually, I mean, Jonathan Taylor,
I don't think he's going to like dominate the backfield occupancy,
but I think it's going to be where he's definitely in control,
but it won't be, I don't think it'll be a 50, 50 split anymore.
But just the way he's
moving, like he's shown that he's still got burst and that elusiveness, he's able to break tackles.
He's running through arm tackles, but I also really like how they've been using him, you know,
split them out wide, run them on a slant. We've seen him used on those, um, direct snaps plenty
before when Frank reich was here
um so they're keeping that up but i would like to see them add kind of more diversity to that like
can he pass out of that like not like i mean we're talking like wildcat stuff just like simple stuff
like we've seen christian mcafree ladania and tomlinson do just like 10 15 yard throws like
if you're going to have them
take direct, direct snaps, maybe add those wrinkles into it. And that's probably in the
playbook. It's probably just stuff we haven't seen yet. Um, but I just really liked that they
are taking advantage of his explosive capabilities with the new coaching staff. I feel like every
coach who has asked about Taylor, they talk about how explosive he is, his home run ability. So I expect this to kind of get back to more to where 2021 was.
I don't think they'll have to totally hide the passing game like they did
with Carson Wentz. But I think this can be a much more run centric offense based around Taylor and
Moss. And then, you know, just have Minshew take what the defense gives him and fingers crossed that he's not
turning the ball over so much.
And then I think the offense can be a lot more effective that way.
And then I think another big thing, let's hope for the starting five offensive linemen
to be healthy all at the same time again.
Maybe they can string a few weeks together where they're all as one.
Now, they haven't really had any performances this year
where it's been a complete disaster.
They've had to face some guys like Miles Garrett
where they obviously are going to take their lumps.
They're going to get TJ Watt later this season.
But just at least having all five guys healthy and playing together
would be a big bonus.
They've obviously been missing Braden Smith lately.
Before that, it was Bernard Ryman, Will Fries, and Ryan Kelly this time.
So getting all five guys together, they haven't really had that since week two, I don't think.
So that'll be huge.
Again, the offensive line has already been playing really well, but I think we'll see
them take another step once all those guys are together again.
And then I'm very curious as to how things will stack up in the passing game.
I think Pittman is going to continue to be the guy,
but I think Downs' target share is going to start going up more as well.
He's not just been a little shifty slot receiver.
The guy's making plays downfield as well.
Everyone raves about his football IQ, and he knows where to be at the right time. just been a little shifty slot receiver like the guy's making plays downfield as well um everyone
raves about his football iq and he knows you know where to be at the right time that breakdown that
offsides um where he had the long touchdown on sunday with gardner minchu that was a really
heads-up play by minchu but it was also a really heads-up play by downs uh to keep going and know
they had a free play with the offsides going so that guy's he's just going to keep going and know they had a free play with the offsides going. So that guy, he's just going to keep getting more and more involved.
Eventually, we'll see if Jelani Woods is out there,
if they can activate the window for him, the 21-day practice window.
He's going to be a big wrinkle.
Imagine the things they've done with Will Mallory and Drew Ogletree,
getting those guys the ball downfield.
I think we'll see that with Woods.
I'm really intrigued.
I think everyone else is to see what Woods could look like
in a Shane Steichen offense.
I think that's going to be really nice because with a quarterback
like Gardner Minshew, who takes advantage of tight end matchups,
I think Woods could become one of his favorite targets,
and we could right away see him be a pretty big part of the offense.
And then last thing is kind of alec pierce emerging uh we finally saw a couple downfield shots for him uh he had three catches for first downs on sunday um one big thing we've
kind of been waiting to see is are those you know down the sideline shots but like he could do other
things get him going over the middle those slants he did that a couple times on Sunday um but just big like I think him and
Minshew were starting to get on the same page another example that Myles Garrett had another
offsides on Sunday and so Minshew knew he had a free play and he lofted it downfield to Pierce so
that's another guy who we could see start to get a little more involved. It just doesn't have to all be the deep shots. Like the guy can make
chunk plays in other, in other ways. And he's a, he's a big bodied guy who can pick the ball out
of the air. You know, he's going to have a wider catch radius than a lot of guys he's going against.
So we will see how all of that develops, but I think that is it for me today, guys.
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We would love your guys' ratings and reviews as well.
That definitely helps the show more than you guys know.
And with that, we will see you guys tomorrow morning.