Locked On Colts - Daily Podcast On The Indianapolis Colts - REBOUND: Indianapolis Colts Need to THROTTLE Las Vegas Raiders, Get Back in Win Column

Episode Date: October 3, 2025

The Indianapolis Colts host the Las Vegas Raiders this Sunday as they look to rebound from their first loss of the season last week.What's the best mode of attack for Daniel Jones, Jonathan Taylor, an...d the Colts offense vs. Maxx Crosby and the Raiders defense?How can the Colts' defense prevent Geno Smith, Ashton Jeanty, and the Raiders offense from rolling? Become a Locked On Colts insider! Ask your burning questions and get prompt answers from someone who's around the team every day! Get special access from the locker room, practice field, and press box! JOIN HERE! Find and follow Locked On Colts on your favorite podcast platforms:🎧 https://lockedonpodcasts.com/podcasts/locked-on-colts/📺YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCLdpxJspi1hMh5HL7ExpWOQLocked On NFL League-Wide: Every Team, Fantasy, Draft & More🎧 https://lockedonpodcasts.com/podcasts/locked-on-nfl/ Follow Jake's written work on roundtable.io/sports/nfl/colts/ and Zach's on si.com/nfl/colts/, and give them a follow on Twitter @JakeArthurNFL, @ZachHicks2, and @LockedOnColts! This episode is brought to you by Mazda. Like our players, we sweat every detail. Because when you make every move count, pulling off the unexpected is only the beginning. Stay tuned later for highlights in this week's "Moving the Game Forward.” Mazda. Move and Be Moved. Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!5-Hour ENERGYEnough with boring, flavorless caffeine; it’s time to give your caffeine a flavor upgrade with 5-hour ENERGY®️ shots. Get the favorites you love or be bold and try something new in-store and online at https://www.5hourENERGY.com or Amazon today.PelotonLet yourself run, lift, flex, and push forward. Explore the new Peloton Cross Training Tread+ today at https://www.onepeloton.com.RugietReady to level up your confidence in the bedroom? Head to https://www.rugiet.com and use promo code LOCKEDONNFL for 15% off your first order.Monarch MoneyTake control of your finances with Monarch Money. Use code LOCKEDONNFL at https://monarchmoney.com/lockedonnfl for 50% off your first year.SquareTo learn more, go support your favorite neighborhood spot and see what Square has been up to in your neck of the woods. And then if you have extra time, check out https://square.com/go/lockedonnfl.PrizePicksDownload the PrizePicks app today and use code LOCKEDONNFL to get $50 in lineups after you play your first $5 lineup.GametimeDownload the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONNFL for $20 off your first purchase. Terms apply. Download Gametime today. What time is it? Gametime.FanDuelRight now, new customers can bet just FIVE dollars, and if your bet wins—you’ll get THREE HUNDRED dollars in bonus bets to use across the app.FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN)

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Starting point is 00:00:00 The Indianapolis Colts get one starter back on the offensive line this week, but they will be without Alec Pierce yet again. Let's get to it. You are Locked on Colts, your daily Indianapolis Colts podcast. Part of the Locked On Podcast Network, your team every day. Thank you all for listening to The Locked On Colts. this your daily podcast covering your Indianapolis Colts, part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day.
Starting point is 00:00:34 I want to remind you guys that you can follow our show and hear new episodes, ad-free daily on Amazon music. And this episode is brought to you by Mazda. I like the players, Mazda sweats every detail because when you make every move count pulling off the unexpected is only the beginning. Stay tuned later for highlights this week in moving the game forward. Mazda moved and be moved. Hello, everyone.
Starting point is 00:00:55 My name is Zach Hickster, resident film, nerd of horseshoe huddle.com and my partner Crime, Jake Arthur is the credentialed boots on the ground for round table sports. We're going to bring you guys our typical Friday action here on the show talking all about the Colts injury report, diving into the offense a little bit against this Las Vegas Raiders team coming up. We're going to talk about the defense and then we're going to give our final outlook on the game plus projection and final score prediction as well. But Jake, we got some more injury news here, some good and obviously some bad.
Starting point is 00:01:28 as well. The Colts have one questionable player this week, and that's going to be defensive end, Tyquan Lewis, who popped up late on the injury report with an oblique injury. And then the Colts also ruled out four players. Cornerback Kenny Moore the second with an Achilles injury, running back Tyler Goodson with a groin injury, and safety Daniel Scott with a knee injury. And then the surprise late rule out of the week, wide receiver Alec Pierce with that concussion. It looked like it was trending in a positive direction all week. He suffered a little bit of a setback. here on the final day, wasn't able to practice, and the Colts ruled him out of this game.
Starting point is 00:02:04 I will say it's not uncommon for a player to miss two games with a concussion, but there is that concern because this is his third concussion in the NFL that, you know, you always want to be wary of stuff like this. So Alec Pierce will at least miss this next game. Hopefully we can get him back for the next one after this against the Cardinals. But yeah, Jake, it's going back to, you know, a lot of the same of what we saw last week, outside of Matt Gonzalez returning the action to right guard, it's going to be a pretty big addition for this Colts team.
Starting point is 00:02:33 But what are your thoughts on the injury report here going into this game? Yeah, I think the Colts getting Gonzalez back is huge because the guy was playing really, really good football before he got hurt. Dalton Tucker, not his strongest start, but was kind of building on what we saw a little bit last year. So that guy is going to get better as time goes, but ideally you would like to see it being Gonzalez. So him being back is great.
Starting point is 00:02:57 Michael Pittman, Jr., that little hamstring scare from Thursday, he's going to be good to go. That's an even bigger side of relief. Alec Pierce, obviously, your primary deep threat, that one's tough. So you want to see what the Colts are going to do because, you know, Shane Stuyken has said A.D. Mitchell is going to have to kind of earn that rollback, which discipline or not, however you want to look at it, like they're kind of resetting expectations and making him just be peddled to the metal. you know last week he was the one that was in that alec pierce role and got a bunch of snaps out of it do they make any adjustments to that you know this week uh we'll see i think regardless we're
Starting point is 00:03:38 going to see a little more ashton dulin um so we'll see what the balance is like does a d mitchell play his normal role as if alec pierce is in there uh well we'll see just because i do think at the same time they want to maybe give him a little bit of an opportunity to redeem himself But if we're sticking to Shane Second's word, he does have to, you know, kind of rebuild that trust and all those things. So, yeah, that's a, that's an interesting one there. Kenny Moore being out, that obviously means Mike Hilton, I'm sure is going to get the call up on Saturday. He had, I think, a pretty good performance last Sunday, especially for a guy who hadn't played the first three weeks, was coming into a new team. He knows Louana Rumo's system, but, like, regardless, it's still a new team with new teammates and everything.
Starting point is 00:04:24 played pretty solid. And then Goodson and Daniel Scott, two special teams guys, kind of makes you wonder who the other call-up from the practice squad will be. But yeah, I think they can live through these injuries, of course, but a couple of guys out there you would absolutely prefer to have around. Yeah, I'm pretty sure it's going to be Bentley. We'll be the other call-up at running back just so you have a third guy available for this game. Obviously, there's some other ways that could go with it.
Starting point is 00:04:50 They could go wide receiver to add wide receiver depth, but I think it's going to be a running back. You just can't have only two running backs on the roster in an NFL game. But yeah, let's transition this into talking about the offense because you made a good point talking about A.D. Mitchell and where Shane Stuyken all week when pressed about it has said that they want to have Mitchell earn back that trust and work his way back into the lineup. But now you're kind of in the situation where you can't properly bench him. If that was the route, you know, you can't properly bench him this week because he's one of the four guys at wide receiver that you have for offense. you know, Anthony Gould's not really a factor in this. So, you know, they really have just those four guys that they really roll with.
Starting point is 00:05:32 And, you know, Ashton's not going to be 100% snap guy on both special teams and offense. That's a crazy load for him there. So it is interesting to see what the snap count will look like for Mitchell and even Doolin as well. And it's kind of an interesting matchup, too, because I think with this Raiders defense, you can run the ball on them for sure, but really where they're vulnerable is the passing game. game. And as much as I love Doolin, he's so much more limited compared to a player like Mitchell to where like if you do decide, hey, like Doolin's going to get more snaps than Mitchell, you have to be on your P's and Q's when it comes to scheming guys wide open because you're not going to have that extra juice that Mitchell gives you of getting open on his own. So it's going to be interesting to see how they approach this game because Doolin obviously gives the Colts a bigger boost in the run game if you play him over. Mitchell, but how much you lose in the passing game, just in terms of the ability to get open, could be pretty big in a matchup against the Raiders team that is very vulnerable against the past.
Starting point is 00:06:35 One of the worst past defenses in football right now. You want to throw the ball against them, and you want to have as many weapons as possible out there. So for as Inconsistent, as A.D. Mitchell is, you got to probably have some role for him this week just because, again, you've got to throw the ball this week to win. Yeah. And like you mentioned, Anthony Gould has kind of been used exclusively at slot, like in practice. And you probably can't really call someone up because like you mentioned, you got to call running back up. You got to call Mike Hilton up. So, you know, that kind of limits what you're able to do. But I'm with you. Like the, I watched the Raiders most recent game against the Bears this morning. And yeah, as long as you play keep away from Max Crosby, you're going to be fine. Like the Bears and Caleb, Williams threw into him a few times. I think Crosby had three pass breakups in that.
Starting point is 00:07:29 And it's like, dude, just don't throw at him. Like, you know where he is. Don't throw directly at him. And so the Colts have that film. I think they're going to be a little bit careful. Caleb Williams is obviously going to take some chances that Daniel Jones won't. Or, you know, he's going to be a little wiser not to do. So, yeah, I think the Bears also tried to kind of use like some delays and screens to
Starting point is 00:07:53 their advantage to like let crosbie get upfield and then that kind of clears up that whole area get some some yards after catch opportunities so yeah i think i think daniel jones this sets up for him to be absolutely lethal and surgical against this defense because they just don't have much going on at all like especially the linebacker you've got uh germane pratt you've got devon white those aren't those aren't guys that super excel in the past game like they can run and chase things in front of them in the run game and you know they can stretch things out a little bit against the run but as far as creating like yards after catch opportunities over the middle of the field or even getting jonathan taylor out on the outside by himself with one guy to miss
Starting point is 00:08:37 like the cold should have the advantage there but yeah when i i don't i don't want to downgrade a defense too much but when i watched them i was like if you literally just keep the ball away from Max Crosby and don't run in his direction, you'll be perfectly fine. And with as intuitive as we've seen the Colts be as play callers and executing most of the season, I think they will be just fine in this one. Yeah, I think a big part of this is just going to be getting back to what worked in those first couple of weeks, which was coming out in those heavier sets, those 12 personnel, 13 personnel.
Starting point is 00:09:13 They did a lot of 13 personnel against the dolphins actually in week one. It wasn't quite effective, but again, they showed that they still have that package in their system coming out those heavier personnel sets utilizing six seven eight man blocking assignments and then just trusting your wide receivers and tight ends on islands against this linebacker core against this this cornerback group that's not the strongest right now and a bit banged up i think that's going to be key for this colts team again get the get the passing game going early out of these heavier personnel sets and then in the second half you can start relying on that run game with jonathan taylor out of lighter personnel sets so i think it's just getting
Starting point is 00:09:50 back to what worked those first three weeks, making sure that they avoid those pre-snap penalties, and I think they'll be able to put points on the board. They should be able to move the ball at will in this game. The key, as always, will be converting in the red zone. But I think this can be like a similar showing to like the Dolphins or Titans games on offense just in terms of how effectively they move the ball in those two games and got to the red zone. Again, the key will just be converting there. But yeah, come out in those 12 personnel sets, throw the ball, play action, seven-man protections, give a lot of attention to Max Crosby, and then just trust that Tyler Warren, Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs will get open against a secondary linebacker room that's not
Starting point is 00:10:29 among the best in football right now. So I think there's a clear path for this offense to put points on the board. It's just if they can stay on track, avoid those pre-snap penalties, and move that ball forward constantly. I think they'll be in a good place. But coming up, the bigger question in this one, Gino Smith has struggled quite a bit for the Raiders this season. Can he continue his struggles against a Colts defense coming off a pretty tough showing against Matthew Stafford last week. This episode is brought to you by Square. Your favorite neighborhood spots run on Square.
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Starting point is 00:11:41 really really good chicken options i think their french fries are out of this world i don't even care about fries, but that's one place where if I go there, I'm getting the fries because they're just dynamite. Square is a proud partner of more than 4 million neighborhood businesses around the world. You can go to square.com slash go slash locked on NFL to learn more. But before you do, go to support your favorite neighborhood spot, just like Goucho's fire. You'll be happy you did. Square. See you in the neighborhood. And this episode is also brought to you by Mazda's moving the game forward. For those who believe it's not just about playing the game. It's about redefining it. There are moments that do more than put points on the
Starting point is 00:12:21 board. They move crowds, move culture, and they keep moving the game forward. And this week's moment that move the game forward is, since the Colts lost on this one, we're not going to pick a special defining moment in this one. But when you look back throughout the year, I think the best one that we've really seen that exemplifies this Mazda moment is at Spencer Schrader getting that 40 plus yard field goal at the end of regulation. to beat the Denver Broncos 29 to 28. When I think about, you know, Mazda and what we want to look for in these moments with the Colts, I keep coming back to that one every single time.
Starting point is 00:12:59 Maybe the Colts will have another big one this week against the Raiders. But when you follow what moves you, the unexpected is the only beginning. And just like there's more to every highlight, there's more to Mazda vehicles. Mazda, move and be moved. Welcome back to Locked on Colts Every Dayers. We just discussed the Colts offense and what they might look like against the Raiders' defense. Let's go ahead and flip the script and see what the Colts defense might look like against the Raiders' offense featuring Gino Smith and Ashton Genty. Now, Gino Smith has, it's not been his best performance with the Raiders so far, but they have recently kind of figured out how to get Ashton Genty really rolling.
Starting point is 00:13:42 had a few touchdowns last week, a couple in the passing game. I believe had over 100 yards rushing as well. He was big time in that one. He's back to his Michael Myers stance, which is huge for him as well. But what do you think? You know, I think it's a whole lot different if you have Gino Smith performing like a veteran quarterback. But right now, he looks like a guy with a pretty poor offensive line and whose top receiver is Jacobi Myers. That's what it looks like to me.
Starting point is 00:14:10 Yeah, you know, the big thing with this game is that Gino Smith has never really been a quarterback, even in his research, in the last couple of years. He's never really been a quarterback that gets the ball out quickly. You know, it's not saying that he holds the ball forever, but he loves the vertical shot. He loves to utilize his arm. This is going back to when you and I were, I mean, I was in high school. Jake, you were probably, actually, no, this is probably before high school. I was in middle school.
Starting point is 00:14:34 Jake, you were probably in high school then. When Gino Smith is at West Virginia throwing those vertical shots constantly. He's always just been this kind of quarterback. Even with this resurgent recently, he loves the big play, and it leads to him holding the ball a little bit longer. And when you don't have your starting left tackle, and the Colts defensive line has not played great this year. But last week, they're coming off like a fantastic showing. Latsu had the best game of his career. They're going to put Latu on that side to feel a lot.
Starting point is 00:15:01 I think that can be the big turning point in this game is how well Latu can play from that back side, that blind side of the quarterback that likes to hold the ball a little bit and beat a play. like Stone Forsyth, who has been a very up and down player to give him the credit in his career. So yeah, I think that's going to be the biggest matchup of the game is Laotou-Latu Latu versus a backup offensive tackle, how often he can get around them, how much the chips affect him and stuff like that. And then when it comes to just overall coverage, you know, the other big storyline is the cornerback two spot, you know, the cornerback two spot with Xavier Hauer's retirement, it's going to be mostly Mackay Blackman is going to be out there,
Starting point is 00:15:43 but Jonathan Edwards will certainly rotate in and be a little bit in the dime packages. So how well do these two young players perform? Blackman technically gave up the fourth most yards in coverage last week among all NFL corners, but 88 of those came on a play where he tripped. So we'll see if it can be a little bit better this upcoming week. But, yeah, I think the defense matches up fairly well. a little concerned about Gentie for sure because he's just an animal. Luckily, the Raiders O-line is probably the worst run-blocking O-line.
Starting point is 00:16:15 The Colts have faced all year. If you actually look across the teams they've played, I mean, the Dolphins' pass-blocking is pretty bad, but their run-blocking is pretty solid. They've always been that way under McDaniels there. And then you go to the other teams. They put Broncos really good pass-blocking and run-blocking O-line. Titans have a good run-blocking O-line with some veterans up front. And then last week, of course, the Ramso line, they can't pass block, but they can run block a little bit.
Starting point is 00:16:40 This team, the Raiders, have been just putrid and run blocking all season long. So maybe that can get the Colts back on track with their run defense and just hit, you just want to hit Gentie as much as possible. He's going to fall forward for five, six, seven yards a lot. He is a really, really good running back that doesn't go down on first contact. But as long as you can rally tackle, get as many bodies on him as possible, you can get him down. And then I think it's a good week for the past cover just to bounce back. I thought they did a lot of things really, really well last week. It's just Matthew Stafford is playing at an MVP level.
Starting point is 00:17:14 I mean, we all watched the game last night against the 49ers. The Rams came in there with their D-plus game, and Stafford almost willed them to victory. Should have willed them to victory if they just called anything else but a run up the middle on that fourth and one. So, yeah, all this to say, I think this is a good week for the Colts. I like Law 2 versus the backup offensive tackle matches. up. I like the Colts D line versus this offensive line in terms of run blocking and just,
Starting point is 00:17:39 you know, getting on Gentina hurry. And then Gino Smith's not Matthew Stafford. So I think the past coverage overall will be in a much better place than where it was this last week, where they did so many things well. It's just Stafford was on one all game long. I think they're going to have a lot more success this week against Gino Smith. Maybe they don't take the ball away as much as Gino. Like eventually Gino's picks have to come down. It's not going to be like James Winston. throwing for like 50 picks in a season but you know it's i i think um you can at least get them off the field on third downs which is much more that we can say about some of the games this year for the colts so i think they have a good bounce back week on defense this week yeah starting with
Starting point is 00:18:18 with smith he threw some he had three pretty bad interceptions against the bears last week two of them were it's it's like he didn't even realize kevin byard was on the field for the bears Byer did a great job of kind of improvising those a little bit and baiting Smith into them, but at the same time, looking from like the quarterback's view, the behind the back view, it's like he didn't even notice. And then, oh, yeah, the Colts have a free safety and can buy him who can do a little bit of that himself. So I look for Smith to give you at least one or two opportunities to make a turnover there. Gentie, I think it's kind of advantageous for the Colts because, again, like you mentioned,
Starting point is 00:18:58 the run blocking is not great, which gives you more time to swarm to the ball. Now, if you're giving Genti any space to run and one guy to beat, he's going to capitalize on that. He's very, very good. But if he swarmed to the ball, muddy the waters for him, you know, fit the run there and the gaps. I think you're going to be fine. And then Brock Bowers has just, unfortunately, you know, he's banged up with a knee. I think he's supposed to play. I think he's going to wind up being questionable, but he's supposed to play. But he's not looked like the Brock Bowers have flashed. year. And so, you know, I still don't want to see like Zyre Franklin lined up one on one with
Starting point is 00:19:34 them or anything like that. But you're getting a little bit of a break not having the best tied in in the NFL in this one. Like they'd only targeted him, I think once going into the fourth quarter last week. They're just, it seems like they're being a little bit careful with him just with what, what that knee is putting him through. So yeah, there's just not a lot that worries me there outside of obviously Gentie. Jacoby Myers, the more I look at it. It's not a great pairing with Gino Smith, I think. With Myers being the number one receiver, it just doesn't, it's not great. Like, Trey Tucker, this would have been a good matchup for Trey Tucker to go against
Starting point is 00:20:11 Xavier and Howard, but now that's not a thing because he's a bit of a burner. They like to use him in different ways, like jet sweeps and end-arounds and stuff like that. But, you know, if it's going to be Blackman, you know, Blackman's got some speed out there, I think they'll be fine. Charverius Ward, I imagine he can, if they're even going to have him, like, like Shadow Myers, we'll see. But I think the Colts are going to be perfectly fine in this one. I look for the pass rush to really get this thing going.
Starting point is 00:20:38 I don't think they have an answer for Buckner. They shouldn't have an answer for Latu. Tycho and Lewis is questionable. So even if he plays with the oblique, you might see more JT2 and Maloow in this one. Samson Ebikom, you're probably going to see a bit more of him as well. So we'll see what those guys are able to do. But I really put kind of the onus on lie out to Laowah
Starting point is 00:20:58 to make this a game in which it looks like he should dominate in that he actually does. So we'll see how that goes. But there's not a ton outside of Genti that really bothers me about the Raiders offense. Yeah, it's a big week for Lottu to prove that last week wasn't a fluke. You know, he's coming off the best career game that he's had since UCLA. Let's make sure we build on that, especially against the backup offensive linemen here and put together a really great week. And then for Bowers real quick, I think he's going to get a lot of the
Starting point is 00:21:28 cross and Edwards treatment on third downs. When Thomas comes on in their dying personnel and their three safety sets, it's going to be a lot of cross. And then when Edwards comes in for their four cornerback sets, it'll be Edwards probably trailing him. So a little banged up Brock Bowers. I think those guys can do decent against him. He's still Brock Bowers at the end of the day.
Starting point is 00:21:46 But he's not the Brock Bowers of last season because that knee injury is really dragging him down this year. Yeah, he's playing through it, but it's giving them someone that could probably move the chains, but he's not like that incredible yards after catch. try that we're used to seeing from him. All right, guys, in a moment, you could probably tell by our tone that we have a certain idea how this game is going to go, but we will give our official predictions here in just a moment. I'm Cody Roark from Lockdown Brockos, and this
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Starting point is 00:23:26 We've talked about the defense. but how is this game going to go? Zach, so we have a streak that's been broken for you. So I don't know how you feel like you are allowed to pick anymore because, again, streakbuster, the Rams, they ruined the whole thing. We thought we were going to go perfect 17 and 0 with you dogging on them,
Starting point is 00:23:44 but we don't get to have that anymore. So what do you think? Give us the real uncut thoughts on, you know, what is going to transpire in Colts Raiders? It feels a lot closer to the dolphins and tightens. than it does the Broncos and Rams. Yeah, I will say if I pick them this week and they lose, then I'm never picking them ever again the rest of my life.
Starting point is 00:24:04 I will always pick against them just to be the negative dance at each week. Because, you know, when you pick against your team, you can never have a bad week. You know, if they lose, you can just glow and say you got it right. And if they win, you're happy you got it wrong. And then they won. Nothing good comes from picking them. But I say all this to say, I think the Colts do win this game.
Starting point is 00:24:25 I think I'm going to have something. let's go 29 to 20 in this one, 29 to 20 for the Colts in this game, kind of a wonky score, but I think the Colts kicked quite a few field goals because I think they're going to move the ball quite well on offense. It's just going to be about converting in the red zone, which has been up and down for them all year.
Starting point is 00:24:45 But, yeah, I think this Colts team should definitely be able to bounce back this week. On offense, even with Alec Pierce out, they just have too many weapons against this Raiders defense that is lacking. in the linebacker room and in the secondary, the Colts should be able to throw the ball fairly well as long as they avoid Max Crosby and avoid forcing deep shots that aren't there.
Starting point is 00:25:05 Then I think that this Colts team should be able to move the ball up and down the field. And then on defense, you know, again, I saw so many good things in coverage from this defense. I think a lot of guys are growing in this system. I think they're close. And really, I thought it was a real, like a great coverage game from the Colts.
Starting point is 00:25:21 It's just, again, Matthew Stafford. I don't want to make excuses, but Stafford was playing quarterback at a level. haven't seen it a while in that game. So I think that they can really show it this week on how well they played by going against a quarterback that's not Stafford and taking the ball away from Gino Smith, suffocating a couple of the routes that the Raiders want to run, and just taking away those options on third down. So, yeah, I think it's going to be a pretty productive game for the Colts.
Starting point is 00:25:48 The key will just be not having a big special teams gaff because when it comes to upsets in the NFL, the biggest factor is like a special teams touchdown or special teams penalties that give extra life to an offense or defense. So avoiding those big issues, which I think the Colts have been better on special teams in recent weeks to say that. And then just winning the turnover game. I think we'll be big for them too. But yeah, I think this Colts team should win handily as long as they bring their B game,
Starting point is 00:26:16 you know, C plus game. I think they should be able to win this pretty comfortably as long as they just get back to what they were doing in those first three weeks. Yeah, you're right. There's been a million block kicks in the NFL lately. So, yeah, that's, that's always something to keep an eye on. And then again, the whole leverage thing with the Colts in Week 2. So the weird wonky stuff that comes up, especially on special teams can be such an X factor. I am going, I'm, I'm going hard on this one. They go 3413. It's going to be a sizable victory. Dang. So most of the year, they played really. really good football and I think they just match up really well defensively in this one like if Jacoby Myers is your top receiver and you've got Trevor his word can should clearly be able to take care of that I think Mackay Blackman matches up against Trey Tucker a lot more
Starting point is 00:27:12 than Xavier Howard would have and the run blocking or lack thereof I think is going to lead to the Colts being able to swarm to the ball with Ashton Genty and then And, you know, if Lou Aniruma was able to throw some things at Gino Smith that messes up his timing and he has some errant passes over the middle, like we clearly have seen him have, then you're going to create some more turnovers and things like that as well. And I think Ashton Genti put one on the turf last week as well. So they turned the ball over a million times against the bears. So, yeah, I feel really, really good about this one. It's, of course, with the thought that they're going to be playing at a high level and not shooting themselves in the foot and all those. those things, but they have done a pretty good job of that throughout the year.
Starting point is 00:27:57 Last week, I'm going to assume it was just a really good opponent forcing them into uncharacteristic mistakes because, again, it's uncharacteristic because they haven't been committing all those costly errors throughout the year. So, yeah, I think they're going to stomp them in this one, 34 to 13, again, back at home. You had mentioned earlier in the week as well, being at home, you don't have to deal with all of all of the window dressing and issues with communication before your hard counts and things like that should be perfectly fine so yeah going to be a sizable victory in this one they move to what's that going to be four and one now so but let's go they definitely need
Starting point is 00:28:40 it because the texans are in my book they're already two and three going against the raven's practice squad this week so they're going to need to be able to get to four and one to keep that pace in the division jaguars are playing the chiefs but they're still playing some good football they might win that game so the colts definitely want to move to four and one this we continue that went those winning ways and and build that lead in the afc south jake before we get out of here though i'm going to put you on the spot you already had your bold prediction by saying that they're going to blow out victory but you have any like player predictions or things that you want to throw out there because i have a couple that i want to throw in um let's see so it's i don't
Starting point is 00:29:16 think it's bold to say jonathan taylor's going to have a big game because like he owns the raiders he always has like 150 yards and two touchdowns against them so that i won't do that um i was pretty close last week i said either a d mitchell or tyler warren would have 90 yards uh you did have that technically mitchell had over 90 no it happened but it's like can you really take a can take a win on the win a win a win i was right but was i uh no so tyler will have Tyler is either going to have a hundred yards or two touchdowns one of the two rushing two rushing touchdowns i'm not saying rushing two touchdowns as you're on and then can bindam's getting his third pick of the year okay uh kevin baird's not even playing good football for the pairs this year really and he got two picks
Starting point is 00:30:00 uh i think can bynum comes up with one this week all right i'm going to go with my second straight ashton dulin prediction week last week i said that dula was going to have a big catch and he had his first catch of the season it was only like 10 yards but he did have he had two touches in that game and i still want to stick with that prediction i think with how they've used dula on offense this year, and especially because you could have an increased role this week, with how they've used him as a blocker and a lot of these, like, motions into the backfield, there's still something, I know they have a place somewhere in there where they can draw up an open shot to Doolin out of the backfield or leaking him out as he fakes a block and gets out into the flat and get him like a 20 or 30 yard gain up the sideline. I'm still holding out hope that they have that in their back pocket. And then I want to throw out one more here. Anthony Gould, return touchdown, baby. We're going to have that return touchdown last year. I love that. I was just about to add that on at the end of years. And I will give a reason why. He's been close.
Starting point is 00:30:55 There was two returns against the Rams. One where he had like a 40-something yard return. And then the very first return of the game, he slipped. And if he didn't slip, when I was watching that on TV, I was like he was going on that one. So I think the kick return touchdown is coming at some point for Gould. He's just been too close this year. The Colts special teams, as I mentioned earlier, has been getting better and better each week. We had, what, a couple really great puns from Rigo this.
Starting point is 00:31:20 season with Doolin having that awesome gunner rep last week as well, where he stuffed the returner for a zero-yard game. We had the block kick, obviously, against the Titans, and their, like, average return depth allowed and also returning where they're getting it has been increasing and decreasing, like respectively recently. So I think they're getting a lot better on special teams. So I think it really breaks through this week with a big Anthony Gould return. I like that one a lot. So you saw a lot of really good things against the Rams because that kicker is tops in the league at pinning, pinning returners back. It's because there's no hang time on those kicks.
Starting point is 00:31:57 Like he has that knuckle ball where it's just immediately at the returner. And if your blockers aren't winning their blocks, then it's just dead on arrival. But the Colts are pretty good at blocking up those returns. The Raiders do a lot of interesting things. They hardly ever kick off the ball the same way each time. And I notice they do a lot of that like anti-hang time. stuff too and we saw the colts have success with that last week so as long as the special
Starting point is 00:32:24 teams guys on the on the return team are nailing their blocks gould is an explosive guy we just haven't seen him bust the long one yet i i like your prediction a lot that this this is has the recipe for it yeah i know for a fact he's going to get one this year because there's just been too many opportunities but i think this is a good week for it i think at home coming off a loss, a type of game where, like, to get to your prediction, Jake, the blowouts happen when the special teams touchdowns are factored in. So if the Colts are going to hit your blowout prediction, they're going to need that special team's touchdown.
Starting point is 00:32:57 So I think that could be a big game changer in this one. That's all we have for you guys today. Make sure you're tuning in after the game on Sunday as we break it all down the Colts squad show for that post game reaction. And thank you guys for making Lockdown Colt your first listen today and every day. The NFL season is finally here. So for your next listen, get a double dose of the lockdown. NFL podcast. Tyler the Madman
Starting point is 00:33:17 rolling gives you a shot of espresso to start your football day while Tony Wiggins takes you into the barbershop for the smoothest breakdowns to end the day. Find Lockdown NFL on YouTube where we list to your podcast. If you guys want to become a Lockdown Colts insider and chat with us directly and get that insider scoop, follow the link in our show notes. And if you don't already, make sure you're
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