Locked On Lakers - Daily Podcast On The Los Angeles Lakers - Are the Wolves (Somewhat) Vulnerable at Home? Can the Lakers Generate More Offense?
Episode Date: April 25, 2025The Lakers face a stiff test tonight in Minnesota, where the Wolves (and their fans) host Game 3. Minnesota has been a very solid home team. The Lakers have been... not great on the road. The home cr...owd will be extremely fired up, and while the Lakers often get quasi-home games in another team's arena, this won't be one of them. But the Wolves might be a little more vulnerable than a typical playoff home squad. Why? Because recent history as a home team has been unkind, including the work done on them by Luka Dončić in last season's playoffs. So while the home crowd will be bonkers, if the Lakers can weather the early flurry and rush of emotion without falling behind, they're in business. If they can build a lead, as they've done in both first quarters in this series? An understandably fatalistic fan base might just get a little skittish. Especially if Luka looks like he's cooking. BIg picture, the Lakers are going to need to find more offense. If Game 3 wraps with the Lakers still struggling to get to 100 points, it's fair to wonder if this is just how it's going to be. If Minnesota's D is, whether because of matchups, flaws in LA's construction or a little bit of both, too good for the Lakers to score in volume. Meaning they'll need Game 2-esque defense at least three more times to win the series. That's a tall order. So how can they get the shots to fall? HOSTS: Andy and Brian Kamenetzky SEGMENT 1: Are the Wolves more vulnerable with the average playoff home team? SEGMENT 2: Where are the mismatches? SEGMENT 3: Can the Lakers generate enough O? Your favorite podcast now has a newsletter! In One-stop for ultimate team and league coverage delivered right to your in box. Sign up for free now, at lockedondaily.com.Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!Amazon Fire TV Stick 4kDid you know your Fire TV is also an Xbox? Turn any TV into your gaming and entertainment hub with Fire TV Stick 4K devices — no console required. Head to Amazon.com/firetvlockedon to get started. Xbox Game Pass Ultimate subscription and compatible controller required. Monarch MoneyTake control of your finances with Monarch Money. Use code LOCKEDONNBA at monarchmoney.com for 50% off your first year.Door DashSign up for DashPass and when any player scores 50+ in a playoff game, DashPass members can grab a free 3PC Crispy Tenders Combo from Wingstop the next day, with a $20+ order and code WINGSTOP50. That’s DashPass: your door to more savings, more flavor, and more ways to win. Terms apply.Valid only at participating Wingstop locations. Fees (including service fee), taxes, and gratuity still apply. Orders must have a minimum subtotal of $20, excluding taxes and fees. Offer valid on 4/15/25-6/22 /25 or while supplies last. Valid for one (1) promotional redemption per customer. DoubleDash promotions apply only to your DoubleDash add-on order, not your primary order. DoubleDash orders are not valid for the purchase of alcohol. No cash value. Non-transferable. Discount applies to subtotal only; does not apply to fees, taxes, and gratuity. Not valid for pickup. Limit one per person. Not valid for the purchase of alcohol. Fees, taxes, and gratuity still apply. Must have an active DashPass account. Use promo code WINGSTOP50 to redeem. See full terms and conditions at drd.sh/qnAXuU GametimeDownload the Gametime app, create an account, and use code LOCKEDONNBA for $20 off your first purchase. Terms apply. Download Gametime today. What time is it? Gametime.FanDuelRight now, new customers can get TWO HUNDRED AND FIFTY DOLLARS in BONUS BETS when your first FIVE DOLLAR BET WINS! Download the app or head to FANDUEL.COM to get started. Bet with FanDuel—Official Partner of the NBA.FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable free bets that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Hey, everyone, welcome to Locked on Lakers for Friday.
Brian Komenetsky, Andy Komenetsky, game three on the road for the Lakers.
Is playing in Minnesota an opportunity?
We'll explain next.
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They are pumped, primed, ready to go for game three.
First road game of the 2025 playoffs for the Lakers.
It's in Minnesota.
And, you know, we have talked a lot about what this might look like.
Who has the advantage?
How big the home court advantage might be for the wolves.
some interesting things to unpack there in a moment.
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So on paper, Minnesota,
while not a dominant home team, is perfectly good there.
You know, they are, I think they won 25 games at home this year.
24 on the road, well above 500 in both spots.
Not surprising for a team that's been pretty good.
The Lakers, excellent home team below 500 on the road.
So at least on paper, Andy, it's advantage wolves, but maybe not.
I think you talked about the wolves being nine games above 500.
It's obviously nine games above 500, but it is also the second worst home record
for any Western Conference playoff team.
So they are not a team that I think counts on home court to be a strength.
Like in the same way that the Lakers, it was a clear advantage.
And obviously, you know, disproportionately going on the road is an area where the Lakers
are much more unproven.
They've had many more struggles.
So I'm not willing to say that the Lakers, what they can do on the road, you know, puts
them at more of an advantage over what Minnesota can do at home because I don't think,
I think that would be disingenuous. But I do think, again, it's worth noting that nine games
above 500 is not particularly strong for a Western Conference playoff team. But also, and I think
this is what really matters for the beginning of this series in Minnesota, the last couple
playoff runs for them have not been good at home at all. Like last, last.
year, even though they got to the Western Conference Finals, they were one in five over their last
six home playoff games. And in particular, they lost to Luca Donchich's Dallas Mavericks.
So I think there could be an opportunity for the Lakers if they can come out strong in this
game three, get out to a lead early like they have in games one and games two,
like get out ahead of the wolves.
There is something of a fatalistic sports fan vibe in Minnesota, which by the way,
I get it because if you're somebody that is familiar with the Timberwolves,
familiar with the Vikings, familiar with a lot of what has gone on in professional sports,
in Minnesota, things that can go wrong do often go wrong.
Right.
And I think it's particularly true of wolves fans.
Right.
And Vikings fans, definitely Vikings fans.
Vikings fans for sure.
For sure.
There was a period where as an NFL orphan,
I latched on to the Vikings for a while.
And let me tell you, that experience was not fun at all.
But like you combine what the fans have been through
with also this Timberwolves team of getting beaten up badly last season and traditionally
by Luca Donchich, there could be a feeling of inevitability not just from the crowd that the
Lakers could take out of this, but also from the wolves players themselves similar to what I think,
you know, LeBron, AD when he was on the team, Austin, Rui, Vando, that feeling of inevitability
with Yokic and Jamal Murray.
Not that I think the Lakers were giving up,
not that I think they weren't fighting.
They were because those games were really close.
But I'd be lying if I said it felt ever like the Lakers were truly confident
about being able to take out Denver.
I think there was an opportunity to do that against these Timberwolves with Luca in particular.
Yeah.
And I think what you're saying, the way you're framing it is, I mean, I was having a little fun with the idea of like, you know, advantage Lakers in Minnesota that you know, obviously no.
But the point you're making about the opportunity to take advantage of a skittish crowd, if you can get yourself into a position where it looks like it's going to be a struggle, you can, the Lakers may be able to mitigate some of,
that advantage quickly.
Because, like you say, the crowd in particular, if Luca has another one of these,
you know, 18 point first quarters or something like that, there will be an, oh, no,
here we go again, a lot of potential for that kind of rippling through the target center.
And I do think, like, you know, when you look at the Lakers, one of the disadvantages they have
in this series, I think is depth.
Minnesota's lineup just, you know, from one to who, however many people are going to play,
is there's some more depth there than the Lakers have.
Lakers have more top and talent.
But the good thing about that is the Lakers really aren't reliant on those guys to play big.
It's not like they need seven players and double figures to have a chance to win.
They need, it would be nice to get a decent game from Doreen Phine Smith, who's played,
in big games before. It'd be nice to get
a few big buckets from Gabe Vincent,
who certainly played in big road playoff games
before.
But they don't need 15
from each of those guys.
They're built around the big three.
And the very least, two of those
big three will have zero
problem playing in Minnesota.
That is not going to. In Luca, I think in particular,
will relish the opportunity
as the commercial, his new shoe commercials have made very clear,
relishes the opportunity to make opposing fan bases sad.
The Lakers in game one, this happened to them.
I was in the building for game one because I was doing pre and post game radio for 710 ESPN,
the Lakers radio partner.
And from about maybe two or three minutes into the second quarter,
Onward other than like a brief flurry in the in the second half largely revolving around Jared Vanderbilt making some pretty good defensive plays.
The crowd was dead ass silent.
And this is a crowd, by the way, in L.A. that's used to winning.
Like they often think they're entitled to winning.
The Timberwolves crowd, they don't think they're entitled to Jack other than misery.
Like that's the one thing they feel like they can count on.
So if you can take the Lakers crowd out of it like the Timberwolves did last Saturday,
I think it is a live possibility, certainly for Friday,
but also perhaps for Sunday, depending on how things go in game three.
Well, yeah, I mean, I don't think this is necessarily hot takery or rocket science to say,
if you steal game three, you have a real opportunity to do damage.
in game four because then people are waiting for the other shoe to drop and it's it's really bad.
I mean, both games, you are going to have to match.
This is where the energy question, you know, from game one versus game two, we talked about
a little bit for Thursday show, like you are going to have to be able to match that initial
flurry of coming out in front of a, you know, like they, you might be able to take them out of
the game with a good performance, but the first three minutes, four minutes, five,
minutes, Minnesota fans are going to be going nuts in the arena.
So you got to weather that.
Absolutely.
And so you got, you know, if you can do that, that's where the physicality comes in.
Can you avoid being down eight, 10, 12 points after six minutes?
If you can, it settles into a game.
And then it becomes something that, you know, you get into your game playing.
You do it.
First five minutes of a road playoff game, weather the storm.
everything comes after that, it's your game plan.
And speaking of which, Andy, we can talk about some of those things next.
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It's always comforting to me, Andy, when we talk about something
and what we're talking about is kind of reinforced by people
that you and I both consider to be smart.
And so in that regard, you know,
we spent a lot of time talking about whether or not the Lakers
and really everybody is just too absorbed in this,
in the concept and the execution of the individual,
play of Rudy Gobert.
And lighting up the lighting up of Rudy Gobert or the defending of Rudy
Gobert or the attacking of Rudy Gober, whatever it is.
Rudy Gobert is taking up too much oxygen.
And the criticism that we had wasn't so much the Lakers shouldn't try to take advantage
of Gobert.
There's a lot of good stuff that can happen when he's at the top of the floor instead
of defending the rip.
That can be a good thing for the Lakers, but it can't stop the offense.
It can't be the thing where you suddenly say, okay, that's, that's it.
And our friend Darius Soriano at 4 and Blue and Gold, he got into this, I'm sorry, for Silver Screen and Roll,
at 4 and Blue and Gold is Twitter handle.
And his old site.
Right.
And his old site and, you know, the Laker Film Room podcast and all that.
That's where you can find Darius.
He really got into the, in some detail.
It's worth reading if you go over to Silver Screen and Roll about like,
what the Lakers pass up if you stop the progression at Rudy or if you only make it about Rudy
because there are other good mismatches the Lakers just don't take advantage of if they're too
Rudy-centric, even given all the advantages that can come with having Gobert up at the top of
the floor. And so I just, I think that is something that they really can need to continue to try to do is
not get hung up on that and hunt for a variety of mismatches they can get because they got
to figure out other ways to try to put up.
Can't score 94, 95, 96 points again and expect to win.
At some point, they got to get to 110.
Yeah, for what it's worth too, on Zach Lowe's new podcast that everybody should be listening
to relaunched at the Ringer.
He had on John Krasinski who covers the Timberwolves for The Athletic.
He is, I'd love to try to get John on sometime next week, depending on how long this series.
continues just because he covers his team as well as any NBA writer covers a team across the
league. But he and Zach had some of the same observations we had, that there were times where
particularly in the second half, Luca seemed, consumed maybe too strong of a word, but
preoccupied with the mono-e-mono with Rudy. And you could at least see why. You could at least see why
people would think that he was perhaps looking to embarrass Rudy in the process,
or this was something that he was relishing and enjoying.
And like we've talked about, he'd be in a long, long line of people who enjoy Rudy
Gobert on the bleep end of the stick.
That just seems to be something that unites fans and players from, you know, all fan bases.
It's the one thing they can all agree on.
But to your point and point others have made, too,
like looking for other places to find the mismatches beyond beyond the idea of making sure that
you're doing this in rhythm, that it's not coming at the expense of offensive flow.
Like Mike Conley, I don't think has been targeted nearly enough in this series as somebody
that they can really punish.
Like at this stage of his career and the size that other than Gabe Vincent, every single
Laker who would ever have the ball, has a.
pretty big size advantage over Conley and I think a quickness advantage over Conley,
strength advantage over him. They're not really going after him. I think there have been times
where they could leverage some size, even though he's a good defender against Nikiel Alexander
Walker, depending on the setup, depending on the speed advantage, maybe against Julius Randall.
It feels like there can be more meat on the bone than just looking, whether you're going
after Gobert because of the personal end of it, or if it's the idea, and we've talked about
this before, of playing Gobert off the floor. Like, I think you want to make sure that that doesn't
become sort of the forest for the trees, because I don't think Gobert is hurting them enough
or helping Minnesota enough that it's worth trying to play him off the floor that way. I don't
think they're I don't think it's about playing him off the floor I don't I think it's about
trying to leverage certain mismatches that come with getting him in space
pull him from the basket so you can get offensive right you know the opportunity to get into
the paint which forces movement and all these things there there are opportunities
that can be opened up certain guys are going to fare in that in that mismatch better than others
you know, AR, if you can pull,
and we saw it a couple times in game two,
you pull Rudy out front of him,
he just can't stay right with Reeves,
and it's just not going to work.
And, you know,
that stepback is open for Luca almost every time
on Goberger,
because he's got to respect so much,
he's got to respect the potential for the dribble drive.
And, you know, there are a lot of things
that can be created out of it.
So I don't necessarily see it as playing them off the floor.
one of the things that's just fascinating that I think is so important about finding about not feeling not getting tunnel vision about continuing for 48 minutes not just 24 to hustle into your spots offensively so you have as much of the shot clock to work with as possible so your late your late clock shots are good shots instead of panicked shots game three to me is is is is is is is is
the time we're going to kind of get a better,
if the Lakers are still held the 90-something points,
I think it's fair to say,
to start to say,
like, you know what,
this is where they're going to be most of the series.
And games are going to win.
It's because Minnesota is going to be in the high 80s or low 90s or mid-90s,
and Lakers are going to win by two or three or five or six.
If at some point,
they need to show that they can get enough shots to go down.
and all that kind of stuff to get to 110, 110, 115 because you're not,
I don't think you can win this series keeping an offense like Minnesota's under 100 points
to win.
I don't think that's a viable path.
Now, the Lakers had shot better than 20% from three point range in game two.
They'd have done it in game two.
They'd have gotten three or four more threes where you're still only shooting about 28%.
and you win the game, you know, 100, whatever, 105.
I'm just, that's the thing I think I'm looking at most in game three
in terms of deciding what is a trend and what is not.
Well, I mean, in terms of different adjustments that the Lakers could make,
that leads to the question of one obvious one or obvious potential adjustment for more scoring.
So we can talk about that coming up next.
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So I am waiting to see if the Lakers can knock down a few more shots.
and it's really LeBron James,
it's really Austin Reeves
that need to get going to try to pick up
some of this volume three-point shooting.
I think if they can do it,
the look of this series
is going to change pretty quick, but the Lakers
have to figure out a way to score more points.
It would be helpful if, you know,
Rui, for what it's worth, by the way,
JJ Redick said during
Thursday's practice that
Rui is going to be wearing a mask
in some part just being cautious.
He didn't say for how long he thought
Rui would have to wear the mask.
It sounded like they don't even necessarily know,
but hopefully Rui can adjust to it.
I think his exact words were a while.
Right.
TBD.
But it would hopefully Rui can play through the mask
with more comfort than he seemed to have.
He played a really good game defensively.
But offensively, it felt to me like he was passing up shots if I had to guess because vision was an issue.
And we've seen in the past where Ruiz had to wear a mask, it's not comfortable, and it affects his play.
Hopefully that's not the case because they need more volume and obviously makes from Rui.
I think they need more volume and makes from DFS.
It would be helpful if they could get Jackson Hayes going because Jacks can be anywhere
from six to 12 points pretty easily just on lobs or getting fouled on a lob attempt.
And just those six points could goose the Lakers into the mythical 100 point threshold,
which would be nice to see.
Doesn't sound like much we're asking for, Andy, but it has been for the last couple of games,
at least.
The other possibility would be to give Dalton Connect some minutes.
And it would be he is not.
played any significant minutes in in this series and frankly for the last several games as
JJ's been whittling down to what felt like his playoff rotation you and I predicted that
Dalton would be out of the rotation once the playoffs began so this isn't surprising for either
one of us but he is somebody that you can put out there that is a pretty reliable outside
shooter. He is somebody that Minnesota is going to guard. Even though he's a rookie, he is not
somebody that I think they're going to be like, let's see him make a few shots before we put a body on.
He is a good enough shooter that I think he at least requires attention. It will obviously,
though, be a big test for Dalton to give him his first taste of actual playoff minutes on the road.
He has gotten better over the course of the year playing on the road than he had in like the first two or three months of the season.
We talked about this a lot.
His home road splits from behind the arc were really stark.
He managed to get himself up to about 35% from behind the arc on the road, which doesn't sound incredible.
But when you think about where it started, my guess is over the last couple months, he was shooting high 30s.
from behind the arc.
Otherwise, I don't think it would be possible to reach that.
So, I mean, we've talked about this before.
If JJ was going to make any real changes of the rotation,
it's pretty much play Dalton, don't play Dalton.
I think that could come.
I do.
I think Friday is going to be another short rotation game.
They've had the benefit of the extra day.
It is not a must win in the same way game two was,
but it's also your best opportunity to play LeBron 42 minutes and Luca 41 minutes and AR 40 minutes and really lean into it.
But I do think Sunday because it's an evening game on Friday night and they turn around and play in the afternoon on Sunday.
So you go from long layoff before game one, long layoff before game two, long layoff before game three to basically playing like,
an hour later after game,
but it'll seem like an hour later,
game four coming after game three.
So I do think if he doesn't play in game three,
you'll see them in game four,
because I think you'll see a few more players for both teams.
I think they hope they don't need to,
because one thing that will help the Lakers, too,
if they can start hitting some shots,
is it makes it harder for Minnesota to play them straight up,
even with better action, even with ball.
Because Minnesota is very good at fighting through switches.
They have a lot of different options.
They can fight through them.
They can switch without having to throw doubles of people.
They can do a lot of stuff.
But if the Lakers make their open shots, it's going to change the way that Minnesota has to defend them.
So I think they're hoping not to have to go to Dalton.
But it could be a sign that the offense isn't working.
I do think, though, either way, I think we'll see them on Sunday.
I mean, the truth is, just real quick.
Sure.
Outside of anything schematic that you alter or just the obvious, certain guys make more shots,
Dalton really is the only realistic way to juice the offense.
Because, I mean, I agree with him.
I mean, Jake Milton, I don't think is going to be an option to play,
but I don't think he is any more reliable of a scoring option.
No, anything to Dalton.
The thing about Dalton is you don't need him to have the ball.
Whereas if you put Shake Milton out to try to score, like you got a okay, shake,
here's the ball to create.
And you don't do that when you have Luca LeBron and AR.
Right, exactly.
So I mean, and shake, I only bring up shake because he's the only other guy that you could even sort of talk yourself into putting out there specifically to juice the offense.
There is nobody else.
Yeah.
So we'll see.
I mean, I just, this is to me the one thing, like game one, Minnesota shot way too well,
game two, Minnesota.
Well, the Lakers started guarding them in game two.
That helped me.
They did, but they also just shot, you know, they still shot below what you'd expect, you know,
from an NBA team.
And so the reality is somewhere in the middle.
The Lakers haven't had that breakout.
But I, I, the concern, I think, for the Lakers going into the series was Minnesota's
very good defensive team.
they're one of the few teams that actually has enough guys to kind of match up well with all three of L.A.'s
stars.
At the very least, they have options from, you know, and multiple options in terms of switches and things like that.
So, I mean, you would expect a good defensive performance from the Timberwolves,
and if the Lakers still can't break through, like I said, I think this is just the series that we are finding ourselves in,
the Lakers are going to have to just kind of get comfortable with the idea of having to play that,
you know, 1%, 2%, 3% caliber defense where you're just that good in order to get out of this series.
And maybe in the next one it won't be quite, you know, as stark.
But for right now, that's where they are.
Well, then if they're going to do that real quick, then if it's ultimately going to be leaning into the defense,
then I think starting game three, start playing game.
Vanderbilt more minutes. Because if you're going to have to, if you're going to have to play at that
type of balls to the walls, pace and intensity and constantly moving all over the place, you got to
give Vanda more than eight minutes. I mean, that's his calling card. That's the reason he's on this team.
Yeah, for sure. And we'll say, you know, if, I mean, they didn't need it in game two. So we'll
see. But certainly if it looks like you're having a little bit more trouble on that side of the ball,
you know, something in between game one and game two, you might see more of Vanderbilt.
Before we go, side note, you know, unrelated to the playoffs,
Kobe's a jersey that Kobe played seven games in in his rookie year, so an old school number eight,
sold at auction on Thursday for $7 million.
That is a million.
dollar's basically for each of the games that that jersey was played in.
That is a tremendous amount of money that spent on a piece of sports paraphernalia.
But I will say, and I'm not a sports collectible guy, if I had that kind of money to buy
something like this, that is really cool.
It's a cool thing to have a rookie game-worn.
Kobe jersey, like old school number eight.
Yeah, what is that?
It's almost 30 years ago at this point.
That would be a pretty cool.
I mean, definitely a conversation starter.
People walking in the room that thing's framed on the wall.
Someone's going to ask a question.
Hey, tell me about that Kobe jersey.
You're not going to wear it around?
It's assuming that this was not purchased by somebody who's planning on eventually flipping it again,
that is the definition of being a diehard Laker fan.
It is also, no matter what the circumstances,
the definition of having FU money.
I mean, that is a lot of money to spend on a collectible.
Fun fact, because this game was worn during Kobe's NBA debut.
In six minutes, 22 seconds off the bench in Kobe's rookie season,
O for one from the field, one rebound,
one block. Obviously, even with the context of knowing he's 17, everybody believes in his
talent, but he's still raw, just goes to show you, don't jump to conclusions.
Twitter would have hammered it. As it turned out, there was a lot more to come from there.
It turned out to be, okay. Fourth highest jersey auction sale in history behind you.
This one doesn't have so much like a name or an event,
but it is his debut jersey,
which is really the thing.
But the top one is Babe Ruth for the called shot jersey.
Michael Jordan's last dance jersey went for $10 million.
Babe Ruth was 24.
And Diego Maradonna's Hand of God,
Argentina jersey from the 86 World Cup.
Those are the only three jerseys to sell for more than this rookie year Kobe jersey.
So interesting thing just goes to show.
people are willing to pay a premium for a piece of that history.
So we'll see what happens in game three.
We, of course, will be back with a pretty full and robust show,
even though we're going into a Saturday Lockdown Lakers on YouTube.
It's where we can go hang out with 35,000 subscribers,
most of whom will be in the live chat after the game.
We'll see everyone later on Friday.
