Locked On Penguins - Daily Podcast On The Pittsburgh Penguins - Keep playing just like that and the Penguins will get in...

Episode Date: March 25, 2023

The Pittsburgh Penguins deserved a much better fate on Thursday night. Hunter starts the show by discussing everything they did well and how their faults were on display for everyone to see. He looks at how they controlled the game at 5v5 but again lost the goaltending matchup (even though Casey DeSmith was perfectly fine). He even discusses how the process has been there for most of the games during the second half of the season but gives reasons why the results haven't. He then explains why the Penguins will likely get those results if they continue to play that way in these final 10 games. After that, Hunter goes into just how bad the finishing has been this season and why it comes down to poor roster decisions more than anything else. He analyzes how the Penguins were higher up in finishing when they had pure finishers in the bottom six and discusses how Ron Hextall has completely gone away from those players in his last two offseasons. Finally, Hunter discusses Tristan Jarry's latest injury and if he'll be back this season while previewing Saturday night's MASSIVE matchup against the Washington Capitals.Support Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!Built BarBuilt Bar is a protein bar that tastes like a candy bar. Go to builtbar.com and use promo code “LOCKEDON15,” and you’ll get 15% off your next order.Athletic GreensTo make it easy, Athletic Greens is going to give you a FREE 1-year supply of immune-supporting Vitamin D AND 5 FREE travel packs with your first purchase. All you have to do is visit athleticgreens.com/NHLNETWORKFanDuelMake Every Moment More. Don’t miss the chance to get your No Sweat First Bet up to ONE THOUSAND DOLLARS in Bonus Bets when you go to FanDuel.com/LOCKEDON.FANDUEL DISCLAIMER: 21+ in select states. First online real money wager only. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, MD, MI, NJ, PA, IL, VA, WV), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (WY, KS) or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), 1-877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Happy Friday. You all have made it to the weekend here. 10 more games left in the 2022-2020. Regular season for your Pittsburgh Penguins. We're going to recap this game against Dallas Stars. Why there's really nothing to be upset about other than just them being in the position that they're in right now. And then we'll do a little bit of a preview for the game against the Washington Capals. That's all coming up right after this drop. You're Locked on Penguins.

Your daily podcast on the Pittsburgh Penguins. Penguins, part of the Locked-on Podcast Network, your team every day. Hello, welcome back to another episode of the Lockdown Penguins podcast. I'm, of course, your host, Hunter Hodes. Then order to follow me on Twitter at Hunter Hodes. Follow this show's Twitter at Eleanorstore Penguins. And, of course, thank you all so much for making this your first list in the day. We are free and available on all platforms.

So, Stars 3, Penguins 2, and a very, very good game on Thursday night for those of stay up to watch it. You all are the real MVP. Honestly, you know, everyone that followed the game, you are real MVP. It's whether you stayed up to watch it on ESPN or you tuned in via the radio. Heck, even if you woke up this morning and did not get to see the whole game, you are also still be MVP, even though, you know, I'm judging you a little bit because, you know, I'm staying up on Thursday night, Friday next day. It's okay. It's okay.

But, you know, penguins don't get any points out of it. And if it weren't for this time of year, you know, if the first of the, position that they're in, I wouldn't really be that mad about it. And honestly, I'm still not even that mad about it. The Penguins played their tails off in that game. They did. They dommed into the stars at five on five. They lost this game because they got out goal lead.

No disrespect to Casey to Smith. It's fine, but going up against Jay Cottonger here, people. He's one of the five to six best goaltenders in the sport. And out goalied. And once again, Penguins lost his special team. battle. It's been happening all season long, and it reared its ugly head again on Thursday. And you want to look at the metrics? We will go, excuse me, into the metrics here. Penguins at 5 on 5 had 58% of the Sean of Thames. They had 58% of the scoring chances,

58% of the high danger chances, and 54% of the expected goals. Complete and utter domination. The process has been there for this team. It's been there. since February. It's been there since the beginning of March. It has been there all season. They have not finished their chances. They have gotten bad goaltending and their special teams have stunk. You know, that goes, you know, also with the roster decisions that this front office has made. It's one another main reason why they're here.

But again, that kind of goes hand in hand with the issues that I brought up with the goaltending, special team, especially the penalty kill. And I just like, screw so. And the depth scoring, geez, I'm going to screw that up. Just, again, I was really happy with what I saw. Penguins were getting to the dirty areas. They were foreshicking aggressively. They were playing well defensively in their own zone.

You know, the stars, they got theirs in the third period, mainly just because of West McCauley. That was a one-one game for the majority, you know, of that second period, after Sid Tide it. but the majority of the third period. And then Wes decided to, oh, yeah, I'm going to call penalties for no reason. That call on P.O. Joseph, I originally thought it was Hedgeny Malkin for some reason. I was just being really stupid.

That call on P.O. Joseph was one of the worst calls I think I've seen all season. He literally did not do a thing on that play. I don't know how Wes called that a hook, gave the Star's power play. Penguins were able to kill it off. And Chatterlittle decides to take another penalty. 30 seconds later, that one was more of a penalty. But still, in this. span of just a few minutes. Joe Bofelski gets that go-ahead goal. Jamie Ben gets his 31st goal this

season. It's 3-1, you know, games basically out of reach. I know the penguins almost tied it at the end, but with how this team has played, mostly everyone's thinking like, oh, the game's already over. That's just how quick things can turn in a third period of a very, you know, tight game. And it all started because of that garbage call from West Macaulay. I really don't understand. understand why he decided to call that, especially when they were letting, the entire fissiating staff was letting so many things go, you know, in the first and second periods, the star's got a power play, penguin's got a power play. Other than that, there were no other than what the penalty is called.

But yet, that's the tic-tackey call that Wes is going to call in, you know, in the third period with what? Seven minutes into it, eight minutes into it, whatever it was. Come on, man. I, you know, I try not to pick on officiating too much on this show. I don't like blaming officials for losses. I think that's just loser-level stuff. But, you know, in this one, it's just a rare thing where it's like, Wes,

you know, you, by doing this, you indirectly, well, she didn't say indirectly, but you kind of directly cause the outcome of this game. And I'd say the same thing if you weren't calling the penalties too. but that first one was not a penalty. You don't call that. The Chatter-R-R-R-R-Edle penalty doesn't get called, and who knows how this game goes.

So, you know, I like how the Penguins were able to battle back. P.O. Joseph gets his fifth goal the season. Really nice shot from the point. Penguins were able to come very close to tying it. Later on in regulation, Ricard Raquel had a glorious chance late in the final minute. Ottinger with a ridiculous.

ridiculous shape, save with his shoulder, and the penguins with perhaps one of the best set plays I've ever seen them come up with. You saw how it went down. Cindy Crosby backs the puck to the boards. It's one back to the point to Crystal Tang. Goes over to Gavin Malkin, goes down to the center. It goes down, excuse me, goes down to behind the net. But Jake's in that little bit of that bumper position, gets set up.

Beautiful play. And he just flubs it wide. High and wide. You couldn't have scripted up. a better play than that. Because as soon as I saw that pup go down and the stars are chasing Sid, I'm like, okay, Jake's wide open. Give it to him.

Give it to him. Nope. And they gave it to him. Jake just misfired on it. I think if he gets another crack at that, it's probably in the net considering how good he's been this season. But, you know, those are the fine lines in this kind of game. Ottinger was just very solid.

I mean, I don't know what else you want me to say. You know, this has been a thing I feel like against the penguins for, you know, in a lot of their games this season where the opposing goalie, and I put a tweet out there about this, even when the penguins have won games, it always feels like the opposing goalie, no matter who it is, just outplays whoever the penguins have in net. And yeah, I know you're Casey to Smith.

Going up against Jake Frickin' Ottinger, it's pretty hard to outplay him. but man, I would love for the penguins to be on the opposite side of something like that. Just once. And I'll say this to end the segment. They play the way they did. That game, and in the game against Colorado, they're going to win more games than they lose down the shut share.

Assuming things go their way, 10 games is a very small sample size, a lot of random things can happen. We all know. hockey has the most randomness of any sport out there. But process has been there. They got the result on Wednesday. They should have gotten a better fate on Thursday. Keep playing that way.

Finish your chances. Get better goaltending. When the special teams battle, bang, boom, you're going to playoffs. Just keep up that process. Keep it up. Make the improvements, even with the players who are out right now. I don't know if Jeff Petrie is going to go on. Saturday at Steve Levy and Ray Fraud were saying that it sounds like he's going to he's kind of

getting close but you know just do what you can see see what we see what happens we don't know what's happening with Tristan Jari I heard yesterday that has back flared up yet again been that groin slash back thing all season as long as she's been rotating and oh yeah Mike Sullivan was gaslighting as I told you all he was last week on the show I hope you know that but just keep up that process hopefully that leads to some more results and hopefully they're able to sneak into the playoffs and extend that streak. And who knows, maybe they'll go on like a Cinderella run or something like that. But, you know, if I am any of you all listening or watching this show, just know,

I would not be really upset about that performance. I would just be upset about, you know, how there's just no margin for error. And that's, England's have themselves to blame for that because you can't get swept three times by Montreal. You can't lose two out of three to Ottawa. You can't lose four games in a row to the Islanders. you win some of those games, you're not in this situation. You're definitely locked into a playoffs spot right now. So that's what I have to say for this first segment.

Coming up in the second segment, we're going to get into just how bad the finishing ability has been for the Penguins this season, why that continued to reared its ugly hit. If there's one ugly thing from that game against Dallas is the finishing, I'm going to give you all some numbers when it comes to that. But before we get into that,

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one more time, Indeed.com slash Lockdown Terms and Condition and Supply. Need to hire. You need, indeed. We're back in this episode of the Lockdown Penguins podcast. I'm your host, Hunter Hodes. Remember to follow me on Twitter at Hunter Hodes. Follow this shows, Twitter at L-Oeners for Penguins. And of course, thank you all so much for making this your first listen of the day. So let's get into a issue that I think and not as many people are talking about. I will say, I'm trying to remember who it was that was commenting on the YouTube page over the last couple of days about the finishing because I was able to dive in a little bit about it. I believe it was, I'm trying to find it here.

I believe it was John Smith who was talking about it. Yeah, he said, it's like I said, it is the finishing, and he's right. I did it a little more digging on it with the help of CK4PORP Response Code. You all are going to be very upset when I read you these numbers. Okay, per natural statutory, since February 1st, Penguins rank number one in expected goals at 3.52, number one in course seat or shot attempts per 60 minutes, first, goals for per 60, so actual goals for per game

versus expected goals for, 2.62, that's 21st in the league. Yen's want to know what their shooting percentage is in the last two months, basically. 6.88% 31st in the league. Basically, oh yeah, dead last. Yup. They are one of, if not, the worst finishing team in the freaking league. It is awful.

And it's just, yeah, I'm just making sure I got everything good here. Yeah, 31st out of 30 second. And this has been a problem, not just this season, but last season. They were also in the lower third of the league last season when it comes to finishing. They generate all these expected goals, but they don't have the players outside the top six to finish those chances. It's why the bottom six, one of the main reasons why the bottom six has been utter garbage this season. They have no one down there that can finish plays. And it's also why Michael Granlin was a really bad acquisition because, again, he doesn't finish at all.

He's a playmaker. And, oh, by the way, he has two points in the 10 to 11 games since they acquired him. Honestly, we can say this. He doesn't have a point in none of the games except the game against the Flyers. It's been bad. Some bad games. But again, you build your bottom six this way. This is the result you're going to get.

Everyone knew after last season, you know, the process is there. The process is there. They got the results. You know, some of these guys can produce. But still, a lot of other players on the team were not producing. Ron Hextall obviously didn't see that. And he decided to go out there and change up the defense and change with the bottom six. But he didn't change up the bottom six in a good way because he didn't bring in any pure finishers.

And the same problem is persisting this season. usually that regresses to the mean where you know you're kind of average at finishing but they've been 31st in the league in the last two months behind teams like chicago anaheim columbus i shouldn't even be possible with how much talent is on this team now in terms of overall this season penguins ranked in expected goals for 3.1 fourth in the league coursey or shot attempts they ranked fifth in the league goals four per 60 at 2.56, 19th in the league. Overall, their shooting percentage this season, 7.54%,

31st in the league per natural statric. And this is all at 5E5. Awful. You want to talk about one of the main reasons why this team has showed to get results this season. This is one of them. John, I thank you for bringing that. You brought that up a couple of times in the YouTube comments.

I was able to do some digging on it with the help of, you know, of CK4 for response code. Terrible. Just awful. A team that is trying to make the playoffs should not be ranked 31st in finishing in fine, you know, at even strength. That is just not acceptable

in the slightest. And again, you know, even Danny Shari noted who covers the team for DK Pittsburgh sports, you know, usually percentage luck like this should start to fall in the Penguins' favor or regress, as I just said. But, you know, this is also been a problem for them, dating back to the start of last season where their finishing

ability was really poor. The last time this team had good finishing was when Jared McCann was on this team. They were top, I believe they were top 10 in the league in terms of finishing. Gee, I wonder why. They had players on the team that could actually finish their chances, like Jared McCann, like Evan Rodriguez, like Freddie Goodrow. Don't got those guys anymore now. You got a bunch of dudes down in your bottom six who can't produce worth crap. And it also doesn't help that Brian Russ is having the season from, you know, the H.A. double hockey sticks right now. That poor guy, man. He, he cares a lot. And you can see it. And he's just, I was doing the show with, um, it's a new show I do every Friday now with

Brian Metzer and John Schoey hockey, happy hour at ESPN Pittsburgh. And he was telling me today that, you know, after the game in Ottawa, when, you know, he missed a chance. He was just, or he missed a chance to clear it. Remember at that late power play, he puts his head down like this. And remember last night, against the stars, he misses that half wide open net, basically.

At least half of the net is empty. And he just shoots it right into Audinger's pad, goes to the bench, slams it. Apparently he said after the game, he's like, I got a freaking score on that. And he just, he seemed to be, he's just having a disastrous season.

But it's like those kind of chances. multiple onman rushes. You saw the lack of finishing on display in that game against Dallas. That Ryan Rush chance, that Ricardo-Rakell chance, but that's also maybe just, you know, that one at least is just Jake Onger being really good. But multiple on-man rushes with Malkin, Ryan Peeling, like Kyle Greenland, I think, had a couple. No one's been able to finish.

And it's been like this all season long. They don't have enough pure finishers in this lineup to help out when that top stakes not producing. And that's one of the main reasons why they are, where they are in the standings. You know, the underlines, again, are mostly solid. But that finishing one just continues and continues to be brutal. Just not good enough. Other things from that game, you know, the goals that were scored,

I'm not going to really blame Casey to Smith for any of those. Taylor Fadune just, you know, he was kind of out of his depth on the Jamie Bend going. I don't really like how he went down there. not Jamie Ben because obviously he doesn't go down as I love saying that joke um you know that one's okay he's just he's an hl call-up people um you know Joe Pavelsky wants just a gorgeous tip I mean he's been doing that forever and then the Rupé Hens won really nice shot from him to split the defense you know a lot of goleys are going to give that one up so I'm not really getting a harp on dismiss at all honestly for this um you know Dallas got a couple good goals

Penguins were in that game until the end. But if they had at least a couple of finishers, this game could have been a lot different. And on that rush chance where he went forehand back in, that was when the game was won one still. That was early on in the third period. The Penguins scored there to make a 2-1. Who knows how the rest of that game goes.

I really do think that they deserve the better fate. They played very well at the end on that 6-on-4, as I said. With that set-up play, they were firing plenty of bucks at Ottinger, but he was the main difference in this one again. They play like that in most of their games here or in all their games here down the stretch in these final 10. I think they will make the playoffs. But we just have to see because these are obviously very, very small sample sizes. That will do it for the second segment, though.

Coming up to end the show, it's Penn Scouts time. Final game of the regular season against the Capitals. Capitals have caught up a little bit in the standings. This is a big one. Or both teams are going to preview this one and how the Penguins can come out on the right side after losing in a shootout on his time with the capitalists. They've taken three out of four against that this season. But before we get to that, the NCAA tournament is heating up,

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So Penguins Capitals, round three, the final meeting between these two teams the season. Capitals now all of a sudden, four points behind the Penguins. They have, Penguins do have a game in hand on them. Penguins can win this one in regulation. There'll be six points up with the game in hand. Capitals will only have eight left to play. Penguins will have nine. It'll be almost impossible for the Penguins to lose that lead over the Capitals unless they just lose all the remaining games.

And the Capitals go in a big run here. But the Capitals also have a very tough schedule. But Penguins lose this one in regulation. now you're only two points up on them and the Panthers play tomorrow. So this is a big game for this hockey team. Capitals just blew out Chicago at home, 6 to 1. That game after they blew, actually, a 3-0 leave and lost in overtime to the Blue Jackets. The Capitals are a bit more healthier right now.

They did just welcome back John Carlson. So welcome back. He had a fractured school. Godspeed for him, man. I really hope he's okay. forward-lined you know what you're going to expect. Alex Ovechkin with Dylan Schrohm and Tom Wilson. Ovechkin, Russian machine never breaks.

It's very rare when he's hurt. He still scored over 40 for yet another season. He has the record for the most 40-goal seasons, I believe, in initial history, and the most 30-goal seasons in initial history. I know Sid has his 11th now. Ties Mary Lemieux, but Ovi is well up top with that, and he's also at the top in terms of 40-goal seasons. he is a treat.

You know, it's always, it's always a special occasion when OV comes to town and plays number 87. What started out as a pretty fierce rivalry has turned into kind of a romance now between them, you know, and honestly, I know a lot of the both of fan bases don't like each other still, but I do think the rivalry has gone down a little bit. It's definitely not where it once was in, you know, 2016 and 2017 or 2018. Oh, man. I remember those days like it was yesterday. don't worry.

But, you know, it's still always fun when these two go at it. You know, they're two pretty good friends now, great competitors. You know, these two teams have played instant classics over the years. You know, there's going to be some whack stuff in this one. And, you know, it means a lot just because the penguins, you know, they're squarely in the playoff push right now. The Capitals, they are a little bit back in the playoff push, though I don't think really anyone expects them to get in right now, but they have clawed their way a little bit back into

it. But, again, they have a really tough schedule. the rest of the way. But you always have to be on high alert for Ovechkin. He scored in the last matchup. Please stop leaving him wide open on that side of the ice. Ryan Paling, decided to cut to that. Remember, he decided to cut to the middle a little bit last time and leave Ovechkin wide open for the one-timer. Can't let that happen again. No, you want to make sure you are covering him on the power play Dylan Strom. He's been very good. He is someone I really wanted the Penguins to sign this offseason. But obviously, that didn't happen. Tom Wilson,

he will be in the lineup for this one. You all know what he can do. One of the best power winger power wingers in the league. Sunny Malano, Nicholas Bactrum, T.J. O'Shee on the second line. Nice to see Nicholas Baxter back and playing at least decently after that back injury. T.J. Oshie has been a penguin killer. Over the years, Sunny Malano has been good ever since he was signed. Anthony Manfred, Genni, Craig Smith on the third line.

Smith came over and the Dmitzio Orlon Tray, with Garnat, halfway going the other way. and then I like to say protest Nick Dowding Connor Sherry also a penguin killer defensive lead for them John Carlson Martin Febrer Harvey Rasmus Sandin with Nick Jensen Sandine came over in the trade

with Ferguson he's been really good for Washington He is definitely someone you want to circle The Leifes I couldn't believe they gave him away To be honest I don't know what they were doing there I would have They were up to me and I was Kyle Dubus I would have just kept Sandine and not traded for justice And I think he's a better defenseman than him

But hey I'm not the GM of the Maple Leafs and then Trevor Rainey's like to say, Lexiab, and then I do think it'll be Darcy Kemper in this game. He just came back. He was a little bit banged up. Charlie Lindgren had been starting some games, but I do think we will see Kemper in this one. Penguins, they've done well against Kemper this season.

Obviously got the big win in Washington where he gave up a couple of howlers in the second game. He actually did give up a howl. I believe that was when Russ scored it tied up. And that was the game where he just gave up a really weird goal late in the third period. definitely was not a good one. But, you know, this is going to be a fun one. You know, gotta slow down Washington's power play.

I know it's not as good as it used to be, but they have plenty of Triggerman. Carlson's running the show now. He didn't play in the last matchup. Ovetkin, obviously, in that other side. Baxteram running down low and then who's netts off on the half. Actually, it's backstrom on the half ball, because nuts all a little bit down low.

O'Shee in that bumper spot, it's a very good setup. Peggman's going to have to be on high alert for it. You know, you got to slow down, you know, even just their depth. Conor Sherry's played well against them in the past. Fgeny Kuznetsov usually has pretty good numbers against the Penguins. You all know what to expect.

It's Penguins' Capitals. You know, this is a must win. You cannot lose, you know, you can't lose a scam, especially in regulation, because then you'll only be two points up on the Capitals. Capitals also sold at the deadline. Can't be letting a team that's, you know, you can't be letting a team pass you

when they literally sold off some assets at the deadline and you bought. Penguins didn't even do what the Capitals did. And yeah, people can easily make arguments the penguins should have done that, especially with where they are in the standings right now. But I also understand why they did because you have an obligation to the core that you want to win. I think Washington took a little bit of a different stance because they want to add a little bit more during the summer to try to get Ovechkin back to the playoffs. But, you know, these guys aren't going to roll over and die.

They know what the situation is. They're four points out. No. You know, that's why people are like, oh, why they're going to bring John Carlson back? They're going to bring it back because they're in a playoff race. just despite the moves they made, you don't think they want to get in? You don't think OV knows at the end of his career is coming?

He's older than both Sid and Gino. He's 30. He's 37, right? Yeah. So, the caps aren't just going to roll over in dire. The penguins are going to have to earn it. You know, if they can get some traffic in front of Kemper, maybe get another squeaker goal past him.

That will go a long way. If it's Casey DeSmithinet, which I do think it's going to be him, you know, he's got to play the way he played against them. Last time I thought, DeSmith played pretty well. In that game in Washington, I believe he was one of the main reasons why they got a point in that one.

I'm only nervous with DeSmith because the more he starts, the worst he plays. I just don't like the timing right now with only 10 games left. Jari's back, flared up again. Hopefully this is more of a short-term thing because I don't really notice anything wrong with him

after that game in Denver when I went back and rewatched it. I'm not really sure what's going on there. But, you know, Penguins are I have to try to win that goal-tting matchup. special teams will have to be better keep that process going the capitals they do bleed a decent amount of shots against you know they're also not that they're not that good of an offensive team peter loggie let teams are honestly never that good offensively but they do still have a lot of

game-breaking talent fetching tom wilson teach you to osse even because that's off you all know the drill so it's going to be a lot of fun yeah i want to see i want to see the penguin's foretack aggressively want to see them make better decisions with the puck i want to see some less aggressive pinches especially with the wangers the capitals have that they can burn you at any time. Knoot, really curious to see how this one goes. This starts the stretch of four of their next five at home. Have to take advantage of that.

Final game against the Capitals this season, got to put them away here. Women's Game Regulation, you're six points up on them with the game in hand. Capitals have eight games, a lot of Penguins will have nine. You've got to put teams away when you can and make it and give yourself the best chance you can

get into the playoffs. So, that'll do it for this one. Really appreciate all. be listening slash watching i'll be back with another episode for you all on monday where we will recap that game against the capitals and get you all set for the second of three meetings against the detroit red wings yes two of the final 10 games of the penguins are against the red rings after they blew that for nothing we get against them which was pretty pathetic um a couple months ago but yeah thank you all so much for listening have a wonderful weekend let's see what this team is made of on

saturday i'll talk with you all on monday