Locked On Titans - Daily Podcast On The Tennessee Titans - Tennessee Titans Season Outcomes: Best, Realistic & Worst and More Roster Moves!!
Episode Date: September 8, 2021What would the best possible outcome for the Tennessee Titans be this season? How about the most realistic or the worst? Tyler answers those questions today and goes through what would happen for each... outcome to take place. A Super Bowl, a Division Title or a top draft pick?? Also, the Titans made more roster moves on Tuesday as they get ready for week one. Tyler recaps all the action and gets you up-to-date.Follow Tyler on Twitter @TicTacTitansFollow the show on Facebook @LockedOnTitansPodSubscribe to the Locked On Titans YouTube channel:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP3332GMOh4y5PX3q9NFybwSupport Us By Supporting Our Sponsors!Built BarBuilt Bar is a protein bar that tastes like a candy bar. Go to builtbar.com and use promo code “LOCKED15,” and you’ll get 15% off your next order.BetOnline AGThere is only 1 place that has you covered and 1 place we trust. Betonline.ag! Sign up today for a free account at betonline.ag and use that promocode: LOCKEDON for your 50% welcome bonus.Rock AutoAmazing selection. Reliably low prices. All the parts your car will ever need. Visit RockAuto.com and tell them Locked On sent you.ManscapedFellas, don’t gamble on shaving your balls with the wrong tools! Choose MANSCAPED™, Your Balls Will Thank You™! Get 20% off + free shipping with the code LOCKEDON at manscaped.com.RunYourPoolCheck ‘em out TODAY and get $10 off at RunYourPool.com and use promo code LockedOn at checkout. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
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Welcome to the Locked on Titans podcast.
I am your host, Tyler Rowland.
Titans fans, this Wednesday edition of the Locked on Titans podcast
is presented by rockauto.com.
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Visit rockauto.com today and tell them Locked on sent you.
We have a lot to talk about on this Wednesday episode of the Locked On Titans podcast, but
we obviously have to start with the elephant in the room, and that is my voice.
So yesterday it was obvious my voice is not up to par right now for a multitude of reasons,
but I appreciate not only your guys' support and well wishes, but also the lighthearted
teasing that I got in the comment section.
Either way, obviously, I am still on the mend.
I'm feeling a little bit better, hoping it sounds a little bit better.
But either way, the show must go on.
And speaking of the show, I have a great show planned out for you guys.
I had a great idea for my guy Sean Salvatore on Twitter.
He wanted me to go over what I guess the doomsday scenario for the Titans would be this season
if everything went wrong.
And quite frankly, that's a little too negative to do an entire show about.
So I took that one idea and kind of jazzed it up a little bit here.
And what I want to do is I want to talk first about what the most optimal outcome for the
Titans is this year, what I outcome for the Titans is this year.
What I think their ceiling will be this year.
What is the best possible version of the Tennessee Titans in 2021?
And then what I want to do is talk about what the most realistic outcome is for the Titans.
What is most likely to happen based on what we know?
And then, of course, my shout-out to Sean. We will, at the end of the show, take a look at what that doomsday scenario
for the Titans would entail.
But right before I got on to do the show, about 10 minutes before I hit record,
the Titans dropped a bomb with a bunch of roster news.
We got a Julio Jones restructure for his contract.
We got a ton of practice squad changes.
So I'm going to go through all of those roster moves and roster pieces of news for you guys
first.
Then we will go into the conversation about the best possible outcome, the most realistic
outcome, and then the worst possible outcome for the Titans this year.
So a big time edition of the Locked On Titans podcast on a Wednesday.
Let's get it.
You are Locked On Titans, your daily Tennessee Titans podcast.
Part of the Locked On Podcast Network, your team every day.
Titans fans, before we dive into all of today's news, just want to remind you guys, I'm going to be putting out daily Monday through Friday, Tennessee Titans content, not only during
the regular season, but all year long.
So make sure that you subscribe to the Locked on Titans podcast on whatever platform you
do stream.
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know when all of my videos go live.
We are going to dive right into this roster news.
I'm going to push through as hard as I can for as long as I can for you guys. So number one,
the big news of the day, the Titans restructured Julio Jones's contract. Initially coming onto the
team, Julio was set to make $15.3 million. What the Titans did is they took $14 million of that
and they converted it to signing bonus rather than being salary. So what that's
going to do is that is going to reduce how much Julio Jones hits the Tennessee Titans salary cap
this year. So you're going to get about $14 million of savings there, but you're going to
ask yourself, well, what happens to that money? Well, when you convert salary to signing bonus,
the signing bonus money gets spread throughout the rest of the contract.
So they divide by how many years are left. So for Julio Jones, he had three years left on his
contract originally, which would have been $2.8 million or $4.3 million per season. But what the
Titans did, a little bit of cap magic, you could call it. Vin Marino,
the Titan salary cap guy, got to tip your cap to Vin on this one. But what they did was they
basically added two ghost years or void years, as people like to call them in the media. They
added two void years onto the back end of Julio Jones's contract. There are years that don't
really count, but for salary cap purposes, they are there. So
now rather than splitting that $14 million throughout three years, they split it throughout
five years. So Julio Jones's bonus is going to cost the Titans $2.8 million for the next five
years. So there's a good chance after the original three years of the contract, the Julio Jones is
not on the Titans anymore, and they will still have some dead cap there from doing this. They're basically
moving that money into the future to give them more money right now. Either way, the Titans
basically have cleared up $14 million of salary cap to go along with what they already had.
And what this does is I don't want people to think the Titans have some big
roster move that's coming. They're not going to make a big trade for Stephon Gilmore or TJ Watt
from the Steelers who's having a contract dispute. What this does is this salary cap, the Titans had
about 3 million coming into today. So this extra salary cap space for the Titans. And yes, I said they cleared out $14 million of Julio Jones' salary in the signing bonus.
But you've got to tack on that $2.8 signing bonus that gets spread out over the five years.
So the Titans really saved themselves $11 million by doing this with Julio Jones.
They had about $3 million in salary cap already.
So that's what gets them to that 14 figure.
And the reason that Titans general manager,
John Robinson would want to do this now,
guys,
the roster may be set,
but the transactions aren't done.
The Titans are going to have to make additional signings after guys get hurt,
go on the COVID list,
injuries,
everything.
The Titans still need to make more moves throughout the year.
And you have to have yourself a little bit of a buffer to do that.
Not only that, I like to call it rollover minutes in the NFL,
but essentially any salary cap you don't use up to $30 million
can be rolled over to the next year.
So when John Robinson originally took over the Titans team,
the Titans roster had nobody worth paying.
It was desolate out there in terms of
talent. So John Robinson rolled over about $20 to $30 million the first two years he was the GM of
the Titans and can use those rollover minutes next year. So let's say the Titans use, you know,
six or seven million of that 14 million this season making moves later in the year. Well,
they can roll over that seven, six,8 million that's left in the next year,
and who knows, maybe that helps you get Jayon Brown,
Harold Landry locked up to long-term contracts.
Who knows what that could result in.
So that's why the Titans did that.
There were more roster moves on Wednesday as well.
So the Titans were sitting at 52 on the roster going into Tuesday,
waiting for the return of Ben Jones and Nate Davis from the COVID list.
Well, to make that extra spot open and get them down to 51,
they waived safety Bradley McDougal,
which if you were paying attention to yesterday's show,
I told you guys I thought McDougal was the number one candidate
to get cut for that extra roster spot,
along with Racey McMath, Matthias Farley, and Nick DeZubnar.
The Titans ultimately do want and Nick DeZubnar. The Titans ultimately do
want to keep DeZubnar as that fifth
inside linebacker and only have four
safeties. So, McDougal is
cut, but the Titans are bringing
Bradley McDougal back to
the practice squad. And speaking of
the practice squad, the Titans opened up
that spot on the practice squad by
cutting offensive lineman Derwin
Gray. Now, the Titans, along with Bradley McDougal, also added Corey Levin, the center, and defensive
back Chris Jones to the practice squad.
Now I hate to pat myself on the back here, but those are roster moves that we talked
about that the Titans would most likely make earlier in the week and at the end of last
week when I did the visual aid with the roster.
So these are not, I'm not giving myself a bunch of credit.
I'm just saying these were expected moves for the Titans.
Also, speaking of the practice squad, the Titans are protecting only two players.
You're allowed to protect four, which means another team can't steal a player off your
practice squad and put them on their active roster.
The Titans are protecting Matt Barkley at quarterback.
Makes sense.
You can't risk losing a guy who knows your offense
and knows your system if something were to happen.
And they are also protecting tight end Michael Pruitt.
And like I said earlier in last week,
I think the Titans are eventually going to sign Michael Pruitt
to the active roster after week two
because he is a veteran who has played in the NFL more than
four years. He's a vested veteran and that means if you sign him week one to the 53, his salary is
guaranteed for the whole year. If you sign him in week two to the active roster, it's not guaranteed
for the whole year. So just salary cap loopholes left and right here, but that is all of the
transactions that you need to know that the Titans made on Tuesday.
We're going to talk about some Tennessee Titans season outcomes next.
What is the best possible outcome for the Tennessee Titans this year?
And Titans fans, spoiler alert, I see a Super Bowl trophy.
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Let's dive right back in to today's edition of the Locked On Titans podcast.
We just talked about all of the roster moves that the Titans made on Tuesday
as they get ready for their game against the Cardinals this weekend.
Now I want to talk about the most optimistic outcome for the Titans this season.
Before we get into that, quick reminder, check me out on social media,
on Twitter, at TicTacTitans. I do a ton of film content during the season. Before we get into that, quick reminder, check me out on social media, on Twitter, at Tic Tac Titans. I do a ton of film content during the season. If you want to get smarter
about what the Titans are actually doing out on the field, you have to follow me at Tic Tac Titans
on Twitter so you can check out the visual film breakdowns that I put up to go along with all of
the scheme talk that we're going to do on the show throughout the week.
Also follow the show page on Facebook at LockedOnTitansPod.
But talking about the most optimistic outcome for the Titans this season, like I kind of
hinted at in our first segment, let's be honest.
The Titans have a good enough team this year to win the Super Bowl.
If everything goes right, the talent is there.
So let's talk about what actually would need to go right.
What would it look like for the Titans to win a Super Bowl?
Well, number one, 14-3.
Super Bowl? Well, number one, 14-3. 14-3 with losses coming at Los Angeles Rams, at Seattle Seahawks. Those are just two really tough games on the West Coast against teams you don't play
very often. The Rams game is prime time. Also, the Titans could lose to the Kansas City Chiefs.
I would rather lose to the Chiefs in the regular season than lose to them in the playoffs.
So the Titans aren't going to go undefeated
even with the best possible season that we could have.
The Titans aren't going to go undefeated.
They're not that good to do that
even if they're good enough to win the Super Bowl.
So 14-3 with a Super Bowl championship.
I think that would result in the number one seed
for the Titans,
which would get them that first round bye.
It would get them home field throughout the AFC playoffs
until they get to the Super Bowl.
Also, en route to accomplishing all those things,
I do think what it would take is Derrick Henry rushing for 2,000 yards again.
I don't know that he'd break the rushing record.
I don't know that he would beat what he ran for last year. But I think Derrick Henry, if he runs for 2,000 yards again. I don't know that he'd break the rushing record. I don't know that he would beat what he ran for last year.
But I think Derrick Henry, if he runs for 2,000 yards again,
not only would that be the best possible outcome for the Titans,
but Derrick Henry would win MVP.
There's no way that you can rush for 2,000 yards two years in a row,
have your team be the number one seed in the AFC,
and not get MVP.
So, Derrick Henry, MVP.
I think that Julio Jones and A.J. Brown in this scenario
would get over 2,400 receiving yards.
I would say A.J. Brown with about 1,300,
Julio Jones with about 1,100.
They'd probably combine for about 20 touchdowns on the year
with A.J. Brown getting about 12, Julio getting about 8.
I think that's what it would look like.
Nate Davis on the offensive line, an all-pro jump.
So, yeah, we know Roger Saffold is a top-8 guard.
We know Taylor LeJuan is a top-8 left tackle.
We know that Ben Jones is a top-12 center.
Well, I think that Nate Davis jumping into a top-8, top-5 guard in the league
and having those four studs on the offensive line,
I think that that would make a lot of sense as well.
And while we're talking about offense,
all of the little things that I'm hoping to see from Todd Downing,
more RPO, read pass option, more screen game, more matchup hunting,
I think all of those things would play out to the Titans' favor.
I think that would be the best play out to the Titans' favor.
I think that would be the best possible outcome for this Titans' offense.
Continue the role that they were on and then add some other wrinkles as well.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Titans' defense would have to be top 12.
Even in the most optimistic version of the Titans' season that I could possibly put together,
I can't have the Titans' defense being more than top 12.
They simply just don't have the talent to be better than that.
But a top 12 defense with a top three offense,
that's the makings of a Super Bowl team.
And what I think would be more important is if the Titans pass rush
totally exploded and they were top 10 in sacks.
The Titans have a lot of youth in the secondary, especially at cornerback.
So I'm not going to count on the Titans to be a coverage-based team.
But with the addition of Danico Autry,
with the addition of Bud Dupree,
with Jeffrey Simmons taking a step up,
with Tyre Tart taking a step up.
Also, Larell Murchison looking like he's an improved player.
Derek Roberson, Rashad Weaver. I think the Titans have the talent,
if things break right,
to be top 10 in sacks.
And if this team was led by the pass rush,
I think it would help the coverage out so much that it would allow the Titans to be a top 12 defense in the league.
I think they would need a great season from Elijah Molden in the slot.
The Titans don't have any natural slot cornerbacks.
Elijah Molden in the slot.
The Titans don't have any natural slot cornerbacks.
So I think having Elijah Molden step up and be a starter in the slot in that nickel defense, I think that would be very crucial
for the Titans to reach these heights that I'm talking about also.
Shane Bowen just has to be good.
Everyone's worried about Shane.
Shane Bowen would just have to be a good defensive coordinator,
much better than Mike Vrabel.
Good game plans, coverage, match in the pass rush,
communication improved.
The Titans really need their two coordinators to be good.
There's no other way around it.
That would be the key to getting all of this to work together.
Also, have to mention here, Sam Ficken.
Sam Ficken would have to be great as the kicker.
The Titans can't lose any games to crazy kicker stuff
or crazy special teams, blunders like they did last year.
Special teams needs to be solid.
Also, I think Jayon Brown and Kevin Byard on defense
would have to get back to playing the best football
they've ever played, like 2018 versions of themselves.
So hopefully we're able to see that.
I think if all of that happens,
heck, probably if even 75% of that happens,
the Titans are well on their way to their first Super Bowl victory ever.
And boy, would that be great.
I'm going to tell you guys right now, if the Titans win a Super Bowl,
I'm pouring myself a tall glass of gin and tonic.
I'm sitting here and we are crying and screaming and celebrating
for an hour after that Super Bowl.
If it takes place, mark it down. I promise you that.
But let's move forward to maybe the less fun conversations in this segment scenario that I've laid out.
We're going to talk about what I think is actually the most realistic outcome for the Titans.
And we're also going to talk about what I think would be the worst possible outcome for the Titans. And we're also going to talk about what I think would be the
worst possible outcome for the Titans, a nightmare scenario. Before we dive into that, I do want to
let you guys know, this is kind of a season prediction in a way tomorrow on, well, not
tomorrow per se, but later on in this week, I am going to do a complete kind of season prediction
from a statistical standpoint. What I think all the different players are going to do a complete kind of season prediction from a statistical standpoint. What I think all
the different players are going to put up statistic wise, along with the offense, give you my final
season record prediction as well. So we're going to dive into all of that later in the week. Got
crossover Thursday with the guys from the Cardinals coming up on Thursday. You are not going to want
to miss that. Friday, I'm going to have a game preview.
Friday, I'm going to do something a little special.
Saturday, I got a little bit something special.
So as the season rolls on,
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We are going to cap off this Wednesday edition
of the Locked On Titans podcast.
Talking about the other possible outcomes for the Titans outside of the most optimistic.
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So number one, the most realistic scenario I think for the Titans is going 11-6,
being the AFC South champions, being the division crown wearers once again.
I think we could see Tannehill with a slight regression from the last two years,
but I don't think that that would hurt the Titans in any way.
If the Titans' offense regresses even just a little bit
and then the defense improves, that could make for a better football team
overall going into the playoffs.
So I think that is likely.
And with that, I think Derrick Henry gets about 1,500 yards.
I think if things go this way, the Titans don't want to give Derrick Henry too many carries. They
really don't want to do that. So I think limiting Derrick Henry's carries compared to the previous
two years, getting him right around 1,500 yards, it may not be as flashy as getting that 2K,
but I think it could be better for the team. And it's also very realistic.
There is a realistic chance here that veterans that the Titans have brought onto the team,
like Julio Jones, like Bud Dupree, could deal with some injuries.
I'm not saying that it's going to be serious, but they'll probably miss a few weeks being banged up.
It's just the way that it goes.
Also, I think it is realistic that the right tackle position just isn't great,
and it causes the Titans to have some troubles in key areas
like running the ball, like pass protection.
And right now with David Questenberry set as the starter,
logically speaking, I think it's not out of the realm of possibility
that that is the most likely outcome is that the Titans do struggle
at right tackle when it puts a little bit of a damper on the offense.
There's a very good possibility that the tight end talent just isn't good enough.
And the Titans switch from going from a heavy tight end offense
to a heavy wide receiver offense maybe isn't what's best for their play style.
I think that's very likely.
Anthony Ferkser is not a good enough blocker to be an every down tight end.
Jeff Swaim is not a good enough pass catcher to be an every down tight end.
They didn't really replace Jonu Smith with anybody with a similar skill set.
Not that you can completely mirror the skill set that Jonu Smith has.
It's pretty unique in the NFL.
But the versatility of having a guy who can block and catch pretty well,
the Titans just really don't have that right now.
So that could hurt the offense as well.
On the defensive side of the ball, we all hope that the Titans' pass rush is improved.
as well on the defensive side of the ball.
We all hope that the Titans' pass rush is improved,
but Bud Dupree was probably the fourth-best pass rusher on his team the last few years.
So it's very likely that he's nowhere near as good as he was in Pittsburgh
when he's the top dog.
Also, Titans just, for some reason, love dropping Harold Landry
back into coverage when he's a pure pass rusher.
So if they do that crap again, that could hurt the Titans pass rush.
If Jeffrey Simmons doesn't take a leap into being not only a great run defender, but also
a great pass rusher as well, then there's the likelihood that he could just be stagnant
and he could still be a damn good football player.
But that doesn't mean that he's going to help the Titans significantly get better in the
pass rush. So if that happens, the Titans help the Titans significantly get better in the pass rush.
So if that happens, the Titans could be in a tough spot in terms of improving the defense.
Like I mentioned earlier, a ton of youth in the secondary.
There is a chance that Caleb Farley is never good enough in his rookie year
because he missed last year's college football.
Elijah Molden still is a rookie.
He does have deficiencies.
He's not the most athletic guy ever.
He's not the biggest guy ever, although I have a lot of faith in him.
Maybe he's just not ready to go in his rookie year either.
And then Christian Fulton, we all want Christian Fulton to be good,
but he wasn't great last year in his limited time.
And maybe as a second-round pick, the Titans just didn't get a starter in that pick.
Those are all within the realm of possibility for the Titans.
And you have Nashville
hot Ficken, Sam Ficken as the kicker. And there was a reason that Ficken was available when he
was available to the Titans. So although he's kicked very well in the preseason, I mean,
maybe he misses a few kicks just because he's not one of the best kickers in the NFL. The Titans are
no stranger to kicking struggles. So that's definitely a realistic possibility. But like
I said, the most realistic outcome for
me, 11-6 AFC
South champs. I know a lot of that didn't sound great,
but I still think the Titans could be a
really good team with all that happening.
Quickly going to go through the nightmare scenario.
Sean, you made me do this.
Everyone blames Sean. I'm just kidding.
Don't be toxic. Good segment idea
and I appreciate it, Sean.
But either way, I think the worst possible outcome for the Titans here is like 5-12.
I think, well, 5-13.
Let's go 6-12.
6-12.
I'm crazy.
I'm losing my mind, my voice.
It's all crazy.
5-12, I think, is a possible outcome for the Titans here.
And what would that look like?
Well, it pains me to go through it, so I'm going to do it quick.
I mean, what if Tannehill turns back into Miami Tannehill?
I mean, I don't think that's going to happen at all,
but, I mean, it could be the case.
Also, I just got to mention this.
If Derrick Henry gets hurt,
if all those carries weigh on him and he gets hurt,
the Titans are screwed.
Let's be honest.
If there's one player that the Titans could not afford to lose
and remain competitive for any amount of time,
it's Derrick Henry.
Some people may say Ryan Tannehill,
and that could be the case.
That's a good argument.
I'm not going to say that you're wrong. But Derrick Henry is the engine to the offense. Even if him and Tannehill
complement each other, more people are scared of Derrick Henry than they are of Ryan Tannehill.
And the fear of Derrick Henry is what has unlocked Ryan Tannehill. So if Derrick Henry
got hurt because of all the wear and tear the last few years with the carries, that would be a doomsday scenario for the Titans.
Also, some people are down on Julio Jones.
Some people are worried about his injury history
and how he's going to continue in his mid-30s.
If they're right, then that could be rough.
A.J. Brown was hurt all last year.
He experienced some mild discomfort during training camp. If that pops up,
obviously the Titans are in a bad spot. Injury is the number one thing that could derail the season,
but the Titans aren't alone in that. If you pick the top three players on any NFL team and said,
hey, what if this guy gets hurt? Well, they're probably not going to have as good of a year.
So I don't think I'm breaking any news by saying that. Now, some more realistic things that could happen. I mean, I mentioned it earlier, but what if the tight end
talent just screws the Titans? I mean, if Anthony Ferkser were to get hurt, who's catching the ball
at tight end? Who's there to even be worried about? Tommy Hudson? Jeff Swaim? Nah, that would
be terrible. Also, what if right tackle was a disaster?
What if Questenberry, disaster.
Kendall Lamb, Tyson Brillo.
These are backup offensive linemen in the NFL,
not bona fide starters.
And Dylan Radins just isn't ready to go at all.
That could be terrible
for the Titans. Also, like I
hinted on last time, what if Bud Dupree
just ain't that guy?
Sorry, pal. You're not that guy.
You're not that guy.
Either way, I mean, I think it's in the
realm of possibility there that Bud Dupree
just looked good because he was the fourth
best pass rusher for the Steelers.
And that would be bad news for the Titans who paid
him $34 million guaranteed
over the next two years. Also,
everybody else
other than Danico Autry
is just a holdover from last year's team
that was historically bad at getting sacked.
So that would be a nightmare.
What if both coordinators take the Titans in the wrong way?
Kevin Byard doesn't get back to his all-pro form at all.
The youth in the secondary just doesn't have it.
And what if Sam Ficken just sucks?
I mean, he sucked previously, and that's how he didn't have a job.
Although he's been good, it's definitely in the realm of possibility
that the Titans are sitting there in the middle of the year
wishing they could get Steven Gostkowski back.
So I don't think that that's the most realistic scenario,
but if everything went wrong for the Titans,
that's kind of what it would look like.
But that's going to do it for me today, folks.
I appreciate all of you guys hanging with me while I get through this voice issue.
That's going to do it for me today.
As always, I am your host, Tyler Rowland, and this was Locked on Titans. Thanks for watching!