Maintenance Phase - RFK Jr.'s Buckwild Belief That HIV Doesn't Cause AIDS

Episode Date: September 21, 2026

The rise, fall and rise of the most nonsensical conspiracy theory we've ever heard.Thanks to Gregg Gonsalves for helping us fact-check this episode! Support us:Hear bonus episodes on PatreonWatc...h Aubrey's documentaryBuy Aubrey's bookListen to Mike's other podcastGet Maintenance Phase T-shirts, stickers and moreLinks!Denying AIDS: Conspiracy Theories and Pseudoscience in a Post-COVID WorldImpure Science: AIDS, Activism, and the Politics of KnowledgeThe Duesberg PhenomenonAIDS Denialism Beliefs among People Living with HIV/AIDSHIV Denial in the Internet EraHIV Denial in the COVID EraHow COVID conspiracy theories led to an alarming resurgence in AIDS denialismThe Man Who Thought AIDS Was All In The MindAIDS "Dissident" Seeks RedemptionTruth and Heresy About AIDSDefending the boundaries of scienceJustice After AIDS DenialismAIDS Denialism vs. ScienceThe UnbelieverEstimating the lost benefits of ARV use in South AfricaConspiracy beliefs about HIV/AIDSAre HIV/AIDS Conspiracy Beliefs a Barrier to HIV Prevention Among African Americans?HIV causes AIDS: Koch's postulates fulfilledAIDS And The Scientific Governance Of Medicine In Post-Apartheid South AfricaThe DenialistsHas Duesberg a right of reply?Thanks to Doctor Dreamchip for our lovely theme song!Support the show

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Hi everybody and welcome to maintenance phase. The podcast has been spending too much time with people who think vaccines cause autism and not enough time with people who think HIV doesn't cause AIDS. Oh, that's good. Thank you. I'm Michael Humps. I'm Aubrey Gordon. If you would like to support the show, you can do that at patreon.com.
Starting point is 00:00:31 slash maintenance phase or you can subscribe through Apple Podcasts. It's the same audio content. Michael. Aubrey, today we are talking about AIDS denialism. We are giving this episode some sort of clickbait title, but we're basically going to be talking about AIDS denialism, what it is, where it comes from, and where it is now. So do you know what it is? So I am coming in pretty fresh on this concept. I'm so excited. But I really do believe that the like core thing that people quibble with is the like HIV doesn't cause AIDS. Yes.
Starting point is 00:01:09 It tends to be the like thing that people really grab on to. But I couldn't tell you who like some high profile AIDS deniers are. I couldn't tell you who AIDS denial organizations are. The most high profile AIDS denier is Will Smith. What? We have a clip later. It's really weird. Oh, no.
Starting point is 00:01:30 I do know this about, there's a similar thing about Dave Grohl, no? Yeah, the foo fighters held a benefit concert. Man. But specifically, we are talking today about the belief that HIV does not cause AIDS. Boy, oh, boy, oh boy. Correlation does not equal causation. Aubrey. What do they think the effects of HIV are?
Starting point is 00:01:51 Nothing. The inventor of this theory describes it as one of the most harmless viruses known to man. Dude, shut your fucking mouth. Are you kidding me? It's like Buck Wild. the whole fucking thing is nuts. So to tell the story of AIDS denialism, we have to tell a little bit of the story of AIDS. This is mostly based on two books, one of which is called Denying AIDS by Seth Callickman and another called Impure Science by Stephen Epstein. Everyone agrees that in the early years of AIDS, there was a lot of like debate over what was causing it.
Starting point is 00:02:24 So the first reports appear in 1981 of men who have this like very strange cancer. And then you start getting more and more reports of, like, gay men dying of this weird thing, and it presents very differently. Is this when they named it grids? Yes, gay-related immune deficiency. Although even earlier than that, it was literally called like gay cancer in the press. Holy Jones. So there's lots of theories on what was causing it, basically because, like, it was just so mysterious and weird. One of the theories was that sperm in your butt reduces immune function.
Starting point is 00:02:57 We've all been there. Another explanation was Poppers. which are these like inhalants that men take for muscle relaxant. It like makes anal sex better. This was like one of the like fairly prominent early explanations because a lot of the people that got AIDS had been using poppers. Apparently poppers do have like a slightly immunosuppressing effect. And I guess they're like really bad for you. I was like reading the Cleveland Clinic website this morning. But because they're a vasodilator, they had been given to heart disease patients for years and none of them got AIDS. So that gets discarded pretty quickly. It is, I will say, very funny to think about poppers for your heart.
Starting point is 00:03:34 I actually didn't know that they had any, like, legitimate use. They were, like, just for gay men because they sell them as room deodorizers in other countries because you can't sell them for, like, what you're like selling them for. But then there was also a theory, basically that it was psychosomatic. So there is a gay psychiatrist named Casper Schmidt who writes an article proposing that, like, it's a response to the 1980s. So here is this. This is from an article called The Man Who Thought AIDS Was All In The Mind. Jesus Christ. The man who gaslit an entire community. I know.
Starting point is 00:04:15 Schmidt believed that AIDS was a psychosomatic disease, that it was caused by an outbreak of, quote-unquote, mass hysteria, and that AIDS patients were, in some sense, thinking themselves ill. According to Schmidt, the trigger for, for AIDS was the rise of right-wing ideology in America following Ronald Reagan's election as president in 1980. Newly aggressive conservative Christians in their reactionary attacks on gay rights created an unconscious psychodrama in which gay men were cast as shameful and tainted. I have a question. If that's the case, why didn't this have its onset during the lavender scare? No, I know. It's like, I like. I like.
Starting point is 00:04:59 where his head's at, he's like blaming Ronald Reagan. It's like, oh, good, let's stick with that. But we need to get more specific. Listen, you don't even need to give me more explanation. Just like, if you're like, it's, oh, the lunch place is closed. It's Ronald Reagan's fault. Like, I'm on board. This theory didn't really catch fire. But like, there were lots of theories going around of like what could be causing this. The most common one at the time was something known as immune collapse, which is basically that gay men are getting so, many STDs and they've taken so many STD treatments and they're all on drugs that like everything together collapses the immune system. It's sort of like it's like the Mr. Burns explanation.
Starting point is 00:05:40 It's just like, well, he has everything. This is something like, especially the mainstream press latched onto. It appears the actual scientist discarded this relatively quickly because there isn't a real theory here. You know that that thing that's like, do this, question mark, question mark, question mark, question mark profit. This one is like, people having sex, question mark, question mark, A's. Yeah. There's also the issue that like, I mean, it was the fucking 80s. Like, straight people were also doing a lot of drugs.
Starting point is 00:06:05 But not the bad ones, Michael. Just the good ones like cocaine. But I do want to say, like, we read so much bad faith garbage for this show about, like, the scientific debate was suppressed and like, oh, why can't you even debate it? This period is actually really interesting to me because there is a real scientific debate going on. And like, this is what scientific debate should look like. People are proposing theories. Some of the theories are more plausible than others.
Starting point is 00:06:31 But the people proposing these theories then investigate them and try to disprove them. Like I think looking at the data and going, hey, maybe it's poppers. It's totally legitimate, right? But then what you do is you go, oh, okay, well, does everyone who has AIDS use poppers? No. Does everyone who use poppers get AIDS? No. Okay, we can discard it.
Starting point is 00:06:51 That's like an actual scientific debate. It's not really about arguments. it's about finding data. And that's what people did during this period. Like, I don't begrudge anybody who proposed a slightly cockamamie theory as long as they investigated it and discard it, which is what people did. Yeah, I think the issue here always is like people who hang on to an untrue thing. Yeah, exactly.
Starting point is 00:07:08 Right. And people who prioritize their own bias and their own sort of like pet theory over the actual dignity and survival of this community. There is a fairly fecund debate about this at the time. But then, of course, what starts happening is, as we learn more about AIDS, we find much more in heterosexual populations. So by 1982, around 8% of people with AIDS were women, were heterosexual women. We start finding it in drug users.
Starting point is 00:07:36 We start finding it in hemophiliacs. There were big outbreaks in the Haitian community in America at the time. So basically, this period of debate basically ends in 1984 when they isolate the HIV virus. And they're like, okay, we now understand this is a virus. It sits in your system. it slowly chips away at your immune system. And then the immune collapse is the reason why people who die of AIDS die of like a very wide variety of things, right?
Starting point is 00:08:02 Which is also a dynamic that we like know and recognize from other illnesses, right? Like cancer is a good example of this, right? That like people get cancer and then may die of something like pneumonia. Right. Just because they're in such a weakened state. A lot of like the most staunch defenders of like Popper's theory or like immune collapse theory basically just like turn on a dime and they're like, oh, it's a virus. We're going to move on and look for effective treatments for this.
Starting point is 00:08:25 Most of the people didn't become cranks and just accepted the explanation and moved on, except for one man, Aubrey. Uh-oh. So for the next little section, we are going to have to meet a man named Peter Dewsberg. I was trying to think of who the funniest person is that it could be. Frank Sinatra. Peter Dewsberg was not on my list. I was imagining an intro that was just, my name is kid. Like the early work of Kid Rock is like pioneering AIDS denier.
Starting point is 00:08:59 It's millie-vinilly. That's why they were invited to the state fair thing in D.C. So Peter Dusberg is a German guy who is born in Munster in 1936. He gets his doctorate in chemistry from the University of Frankfurt in 1963. In 1964, he moves to California to join UC Berkeley and work on cancer. So he is a cancer researcher. So at the time, there's a huge amount of interest in retroviruses as the cause of cancer. There were a ton of experiments in the 20th century showing that you can effectively inject an animal with a retrovirus and cause a tumor.
Starting point is 00:09:39 This is like a wild oversimplification because this is being done in like petri dishes and stuff. But the basic idea is that there's a direct link between the introduction of a retrovirus and something called an oncogene, which is. causes cells to divide out of control, and that's a tumor, that's cancer. My mom wouldn't let me get Janko, so I did have to get Oncos in the 90s. I think you're going to make an unc joke, like an unc gene, like an older, like a middle-aged, a middle-aged millennial gene. Uncos. So Peter Dusberg is the first person to isolate an actual oncogene. Later on, other researchers find out that there's actually something in your cells called a proto-oncogene,
Starting point is 00:10:19 and it's actually the mutation of existing genes that causes cancer. Those people who basically extended that work, they win the Nobel Prize. Peter Dewsberg, sometimes people will describe him as, like, a nominee for the Nobel Prize or whatever. He's not, but he is adjacent to people and in the field that won the Nobel Prize. So he's like considered very respectable at the time. He is inducted into the National Academy of Sciences, which is like a very prestigious thing. and he's considered very credible in the field. However, he does have one fatal flaw. Everyone who knows him personally says that he is contrarian to a fault.
Starting point is 00:10:58 So this is an introduction to Peter Dewsberg at some sort of conference by Robert Gallo, who is the guy who discovers HIV in 1984. He's like a retrovirus researcher. So him and Peter Dusberg are like friends in this field and they're like close friends and collaborators. they eventually become mortal enemies because they are on both sides of this bizarre HIV debate. But here is Robert Gallo in 1984 introducing his friend Peter Duesberg at a conference.
Starting point is 00:11:30 Peter Duesberg is a man of extraordinary energy, unusual honesty, enormous sense of humor, and a rare critical sense. This critical sense often makes us look twice than a third time at a conclusion and many of us believe to be foregone. However, his critiques are sometimes a major problem
Starting point is 00:11:51 for the casual observer. When is he truly debating? When is he only being the devil's advocate? When is he being the devil himself? Jesus Christ. Peter, it is hard for us to tell when you are using your machine gun or your slingshot or simply exercising your vocal cords.
Starting point is 00:12:10 In any event, you are an extraordinary scientist, a man who makes life more interesting and pleasurable to many of us. And it is my good fortune to know you as a friend. Holy Jones. This is like those wedding speeches where it's like, they fight all the time and like it's been like a rocky journey. They're like, ooh, they're not going to make it. You know, what I admire most about him is how impervious he is to criticism.
Starting point is 00:12:36 There's also this anecdote from Seth Calligman's book. It says at his 2008 conference, this is a conference like in favor of Duesburg. like a conference that Dusberg organized, by the way. Great. At his 2008 conference, Dewsberg was the first to ask questions of every speaker, sometimes even before they finished speaking. There was an impulsivity to his challenging the presenters.
Starting point is 00:12:56 There were even times when David Raznick took the microphone away from Dusberg to give others a chance to speak. It's like, say no more. He's the guy who's like the first just like jolting out of his chair to be like, well, have you thought about this? One of the things that I used to do in nonprofit world was plan our like staff retreats. and strategic planning sessions. When you have this guy in the group,
Starting point is 00:13:19 you are structuring the fuck out of every conversation. And you're building everything around like, God, what's Peter going to do? We'll have people right to individually brainstorm. Then they pair off and share just with their partners. Then the person who talks less does the report back. You institute the talking stick policy. I'm so you can't have the stick.
Starting point is 00:13:40 Absolutely. We're passing the talking popper. So that took me a second. Thank you. So basically, over the course of the 1980s, Peter Duesberg turns on his own work and starts to say retroviruses can't cause any kind of cancer. In Seth Callickman's book, he says, Duesberg was not reporting failed experiments. He didn't have new data. He had not discovered some phenomenon that his work could not explain.
Starting point is 00:14:09 He simply changed his mind despite the data. Yeah. His whole thing with retroviruses is like he says they can't cause cancer because in petri dishes, you can't infect human cells with retroviruses and like cause cancer in the little cells in the petri dish. But like this has happened. At the time this was not being done because it's like difficult. But now apparently it's relatively routine. And he still just says this.
Starting point is 00:14:32 Yeah, I was going to ask where you think this resistance comes from. Like this is quite a heel turn to do on your own work. It's really weird. It's really odd. but it sounds like part of what's happening here is just that straightforward contrarian kind of nature. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Is there other stuff that is leading him to think this way? Or is he just like, nope, change my mind?
Starting point is 00:14:54 There's theories of like he was pissed off that other people in the field were getting Nobel Prizes. And like Robert Gallo, there's a whole controversy with the discovery of HIV. But at the time, it was considered that Robert Gallo had discovered HIV and their close friends. And so, like, my friend is getting all these accolades. It seems like there might have been some of... of that going on. But there is something really weird about a guy who, like, comes up with these theories and then they're just completely, like just factually debunked, right?
Starting point is 00:15:19 Like, you can't isolate it. And then you can. And he just keeps saying, you can't isolate it. Yeah, that is really strange. His brain doesn't seem to be able to absorb new information. There's something weird about, like, he just plays the same tapes. Like, the things that he's saying in 1987 are, I swear to God, word for word, the things that he is saying in 2012.
Starting point is 00:15:36 Boy, I'll tell you what, brain doesn't seem to absorb new information. is about the most damning characteristic a scientist could have. I know, exactly. It would be like if you're like, this person's a poet, they're not very good with words. Not super verbal. So as a result of this entire kind of made-up theory that retroviruses can't cause cancer.
Starting point is 00:16:01 And like he seems to think that retroviruses are like being unfairly canceled. It's like a maligned woman of the 1990s, but it's like a maligned virus of the 1980s. He publishes an article in 1987 about cancer, like, oh, we know that cancer can't be caused by retroviruses. And in the end of that paper, it's only a couple pages. He's like, oh, and by the way, HIV doesn't cause AIDS. Great. Because HIV's a retrovirus.
Starting point is 00:16:26 Well, we're at it, actually, FYI, fucking mic drop. So we're going to talk a little bit about the theory that he puts forward in this 1987 article. He starts by noting that the fatality rate of AIDS has been going down. relatively steadily. He says, the case fatality rate has declined from a high of 88% in 1981 to 32% in 1986. This suggests either that the virulence of the disease is dropping or that other diseases were diagnosed as AIDS. But it does not mean that at all. Like the case fatality rate of COVID also went down really dramatically in 2020 because more people were being tested. In the early stages of an epidemic, typically you're only seeing the most severe cases.
Starting point is 00:17:10 Right? You're only seeing people who are hospitalized. You haven't established a baseline and you're not going to because you're trying to wrap your arms around like what testing works and what treatments work and like at what point do you need to hospitalize people and all of that kind of stuff. So like the nature of that early time, I would imagine, is just like being in flux, right? He also says that the testing is flawed because HIV tests only test for the antibodies to HIV. you can tell he really thinks he's cooking. He's like, if you have antibodies to HIV, then why do you have HIV?
Starting point is 00:17:45 Great. Great. But like a lot of viruses work like this. If you have antibodies, that means you've been exposed to the fucking thing. This is also how they do, like, measles and chicken pox and all kinds of other things. Like, the fact that you have antibodies doesn't mean that you're, like, cured of the disease. Like, that just isn't how it works. To his death, right?
Starting point is 00:18:04 Like, spoiler, he flogs his theory for the next 40 years until the day that he, He dies. He died in January of 2026. He does not modify this theory in any way over the course of that time. Like the core of his theory is basically that like a retro virus cannot sit dormant in your system without causing symptoms. What? He's like, no, no, no. The way that viruses work is they either make you sick, like super sick right when you get them or they're totally harmless and you just live with them the rest of your life. Those are the only two options. So here's him talking about why the retrovirus theory doesn't. Work. Other infected groups appear to be at no risk for AIDS. In Haiti and in certain countries in Africa, antibody positive individuals range from 4 to 20% of the population, whereas the incidence of AIDS is estimated at less than 0.01%. Among male homosexuals and hemophiliacs of Hungary, about 5% are AIDS virus
Starting point is 00:19:01 positive, yet no symptoms of AIDS were recorded. Clearly, the long lag between infection and and the large number of virus positive cases in which as yet no AIDS is observed lead to the conclusion that the virus is not sufficient to induce AIDS. So he's saying it's too long. There's no argument here, right? He's just saying like, well, some people have HIV and they don't have AIDS. But like, yes, that's the characteristic of the virus that it sits dormant in your system for like up to 10 years. Well, and also like, it's not like we don't know about incubation periods at this point. Right. You can contract something and have quite. some time before you start showing symptoms of it.
Starting point is 00:19:41 Like at this point, we're aware of, like, HPV, for example. He says, like, lead to the conclusion that the virus is not sufficient to induce AIDS, but, like, or it leads to the conclusion that this virus does this thing, which has not been seen before. It's like somebody saying, like, we know animals can't fly. So, like, there's no birds. Like, birds don't exist. Yes. He is very insistent on this weird thing that AIDS isn't infectious enough.
Starting point is 00:20:04 I've been saying this. Gain a function, baby. Send it to Wuhan. Get them duplicating it, add the bats to it. Add the bats to it. Here's this. For instance, among 1,750 healthcare workers with exposure to AIDS, only one or two were found to be antibody positive.
Starting point is 00:20:24 Another study failed to find a single antibody positive person among 101 family contacts of 39 AIDS patients, all of whom had lived in the same household with an AIDS patient for at least three months. is he assuming that there's like a respiratory something like what he's like oh it doesn't make sense but you're like well it does if it's spread through like sexual juices and blood like i'm not sharing that with my family members who i live with so yeah they wouldn't get it this isn't like somebody in your house has covid so now everybody else in your house has COVID or the flu or take your pick right it's like somebody saying like i shook hands with someone with AIDS and i didn't get it
Starting point is 00:21:00 like right because it doesn't spread like that yeah which was the way that people thought and talked about it at that time. Even the science knew better, but the people did not. They'd be like, I don't want to be in a room with a person who has AIDS. I don't want to shake hands. I don't want to whatever. So we're not going to go through every single argument because there's tons of them. But this is a good summary of kind of the overall case.
Starting point is 00:21:19 This is from a New York View of Books article that interviews him and goes over kind of like his overall argument. So here is this. If AIDS was caused by an infectious agent, Duesberg claims, one would expect it would have five specific characteristics. One, it would spread randomly between the sexes. Two, the disease would rapidly appear, at least within months. Three, it would be possible to identify, quote, active and abundant HIV microbes in all cases.
Starting point is 00:21:49 Four, cells would die or be impaired beyond the ability of the body to replace them. And five, we would see the development of a consistent pattern of symptoms in those infected. So basically all of these are just like, well, no, we wouldn't. it would spread randomly between the sexes. Well, the sexes are not having equal amounts of anal sex. Heterosexual sex is like less efficient at spreading HIV than anal sex. We know that. And also the way that sexual contact happens is that it spreads within communities.
Starting point is 00:22:20 You were talking earlier about like spreading within specific like racial or ethnic communities, spreading within specific areas. So like the idea of like randomness there among the sexes is like not consistent with any sort of like patterns of human beings. behavior that you would reference in trying to figure out how this is being spread. And also, he's really stuck on this thing. We would see the development of a consistent pattern of symptoms in those infected. We wouldn't with something that destroys your immune system. It's very inconsistent the symptoms of AIDS because whatever opportunistic infection gets
Starting point is 00:22:53 to you first is oftentimes what you die of. Right. So when people have AIDS, they die of a huge range of things. They have all kinds of other illnesses that are happening in them, which looks insane if you don't know that their immune system doesn't have the power to fight off infection anymore. But if you do know that, you're like, well, yeah, it's going to be different for different people because they don't have immune systems. Also, like, what does?
Starting point is 00:23:12 Right. Like, the flu doesn't look the same. Yeah, that's true. Right. Like, there's just like, that's like a basic, you don't got to be a rocket scientist to figure that one out. Because even COVID, people have like wildly different symptoms. Yes.
Starting point is 00:23:23 I never lost my sense of smell, for example. I lost my sense of taste. Were you still eating beans just for the texture? You better fucking believe it. You are wild horses. couldn't keep me from the beans. Just to feel something. Just to feel something I'm still eating beans.
Starting point is 00:23:36 I have to do it. So, okay, that's his, like, 1987 article. He then sort of extends the theory throughout the years, because the problem with this, like, section of his, like, weird cancer article is he doesn't say
Starting point is 00:23:48 what does cause AIDS. Right? He's saying, okay, HIV is this, like, completely harmless thing, which is not contagious, it's only spread mother to trial. There's so much buck wild shit that I haven't even mentioned.
Starting point is 00:23:57 All of these gay men have had it since birth. Surprise. But then it's like, okay, well, why are people? people dying, like tens of thousands of people were dying in America this time, right? So what are people dying of? So among gay men, AIDS is actually caused by drug use, poppers, and AZT. And AZT is one of the earliest treatments for AIDS, but also it had like really miserable side effects, basically because the dosages were too high and they hadn't like totally figured
Starting point is 00:24:23 it out. So according to him, it's AZT that is causing the immune collapse, not HIV. But of course, that's silly because people were dying for years before anybody was getting AZT as a treatment. Well, this is the like sunscreen is actually causing the cancer, not exposure, where you're just like, no, come on, man. It's like, you know that 100% of people who do chemotherapy have cancer. So, you know, there were these big outbreaks of HIV among hemophiliacs, right? Because hemophiliacs have blood that doesn't clot. And so you get these transfusions of like a clotting agent. And those clotting agents oftentimes were created by merging the blood of like thousands of of people. Some of those people had HIV. And so a lot of hemophiliics got HIV. He says that's not real. It's
Starting point is 00:25:07 like they have hemophilia. So like they're all dying of hemophilia. It's very funny because like a bunch of people got AIDS from blood transfusions. And then the minute they started testing blood for HIV, they stopped getting HIV. He never really like reckons with us in any way. And then in Africa, there's no AIDS. It's poverty and malnutrition. This one also, I mean, obviously doesn't make fucking sense because like living conditions in Africa were getting better at the time when many, many more people were dying of AIDS. And also like, AIDS is not cured by getting more food. Like there's various food programs and stuff to like improve people's living conditions. And like, it doesn't cure their AIDS. So like whatever. There's no point in like going into the shakes. It's so
Starting point is 00:25:48 cockamamie, right? Right. Like I'm sure that not having enough food has significant impacts on people's ability to heal from literally anything. Yeah, exactly. But the idea that that is like the primary or cause of something like that. It's just like, oh, buddy, let's not. So we're not going to go super into debunking. One of the books that I've read had like chapter after chapter after chapter of debunking Peter Duesberg's claims. And like, it's so stupid that I really don't want to spend too much time like with the evidence from like isolation of the virus and like various different studies of it. Like we really don't need to get into it. It just like completely outlandishly false. You're doing a me with Tim Ferriss. But I think the main like debunking thing is that AIDS
Starting point is 00:26:28 like acts like an epidemic, right? It shows up in an area and then all of a sudden lots and lots and lots of people have it, right? Like if AIDS is caused by drug use, you have to explain why gay men were not getting AIDS in the 1970s during fucking disco. There's no explanation of this. The other huge problem for this theory is Western Europe. So I don't think it's very well known, but the AIDS epidemic in Western Europe was way smaller, like orders of magnitude smaller than it was in the United States. So in the United States, deaths peaked at 42,000 deaths per year. In the UK, deaths peaked at 2,000. Holy Jones. That's a huge difference. Yeah. And the UK has a smaller population than us, but they don't have 1.25th the population, right? The AIDS epidemic since the beginning
Starting point is 00:27:13 has killed 636,000 people in the United States. The entire epidemic over the same course of time killed 27,000 people in Germany. Is that down to like government response? Well, mostly but not entirely. So it appears that the virus arrived earlier in America and spread faster. So in 1982, the first year we really started tracking this stuff, America had 451 AIDS deaths and Britain had five. We also had a lot more intravenous drug use than Western Europe did. And apparently there was a lot more overlap between drug users and gay men. So when you have these kind of two high-risk groups that are intermingling a lot, that just gives the virus more of an opportunity to spread exponentially. But even that is like at least partially a policy outcome, right? It's not like an act of God
Starting point is 00:28:01 that we had way more heroin use in America than they did in Europe, right? So that sort of set the stage for it. But then there's also all of the policies related to AIDS specifically, right? So very early in the epidemic, Western Europe started doing needle exchanges. The UK was eventually handing out 25 million needles a year. They had needle vending machines in Germany. So like 24 hours a day, you can just get clean needles. In the United States, it was illegal for federal funding to go toward needle exchanges. And there were city programs.
Starting point is 00:28:32 So it's not like there was no harm reduction stuff going on in the United States, but like the scale of those programs just never reached the same scale. And also, most Western European countries have universal health care, so they were able to get information and treatments to people much faster. Western Europe was also a lot better at targeting its funding to high-risk groups. So in Germany, they just gave a shitload of funding to gay activist NGOs, and we're like, hey, get people to use condoms. Like, you know your people better than we do. Just like try to get safe sex practices normalized in your community. Whereas in the U.S., there was no federal budget line for targeted outreach to,
Starting point is 00:29:10 gay and bisexual men. But even among heterosexuals, it was concentrated in drug users, sex workers, it was moving into rural areas, it was concentrating among people of color. It was becoming more concentrated, but the vast majority of the funding and outreach had this weird general population tone of like, it could happen to anyone. What did you say the annual deaths peaked at in the US? 42,000. What I want folks to hone in on is that's not just 42,000 deaths a year, which is a wide number of deaths per year period. That was 42,000 deaths a year in a community that was more isolated, more stigmatized, less likely to receive treatment. Yeah. We have really seen some hard and horrible shit with COVID. We have really seen some hard and horrible shit on a bunch of different fronts.
Starting point is 00:29:58 But like the level of death toll in a community that couldn't get the fucking time of day from U.S. public health systems. Yeah. Is staggering. So I'm mentioning all this mostly because I just think it's interesting and like not all that well known in the United States. But also, if HIV was not causing AIDS, none of this stuff would be true, right? Like, clean needles would not matter. And if AIDS treatments were causing AIDS, you would see higher rates of death in places that provided treatments to people. Are we going to listen to the clips of the fucking gay jokes and press conferences and shit like that? No, it honestly bums me out too much. I watched it for this and I was just like incandescent for the rest of the day. Yeah, we're going to talk about dead people, not traumatic stuff.
Starting point is 00:30:38 But this also gets to the next chapter of the story. So it's 1987. Peter Dewsberg has just published this article with a bunch of crank shit about cancer and some even more crank shit about AIDS. He's already been losing credibility in the field for years because of his weird cancer stuff, you know, turning on his own work and saying that none of it is true. So this paper is kind of the final nail in the coffin as far as his credibility among other researchers goes. people like really stopped taking him seriously at this point. So then the question becomes, how did this crank theory in a random academic journal
Starting point is 00:31:15 become something that's prominent enough that there's like a foo fighters benefit concert a decade later? So I said that I wanted to focus on the interesting aspects of this story. One of the most interesting aspects of it is that the popularization of this theory started in the gay media. Oh, crud. I know. It sort of makes sense when you think about it, but it's like, it's very sad, the first chapters of this.
Starting point is 00:31:41 So here is a excerpt from Stephen Epstein's book. The first apparent published mention of Dewsberg's article came in a cover story by John Laurison in the June 1st, 1987 issue of the New York native. So that's a gay publication. This is a gay author. As the issues cover advertised, the focus of the article was to encourage people with AIDS not to take the medication AZT. recently approved for AIDS patients, AZT was believed to inhibit replication of the virus in infected cells
Starting point is 00:32:13 by interfering with the process of reverse transcription. AZT, in other words, made sense as a treatment for AIDS only if AIDS was caused by HIV. This is precisely what Lawrence disputed, and much of the article was devoted to the proposition that HIV is not the cause of AIDS. With the discovery of the virus, quote, Dogma rapidly came to prevail, Lawrenceon complained. Against this dogmatism, it was, until now, impossible for dissenters to make their voices heard.
Starting point is 00:32:48 Quote, since 1984, there have been a few of us who stated in print that epidemiological evidence made it most unlikely that HIV could be the sole cause of AIDS. We were isolated. Some AIDS researchers did not believe in the AIDS virus ideology, but in the interest of self-preservation, they remained silent. Aubrey, the wanking motion I made when I read AIDS virus ideology. This is what conspiracy theories always fucking do. They don't point at the primary evidence.
Starting point is 00:33:18 They point at like, oh, the debate was suppressed. Oh, you can't even ask the questions. It's tedious meta shit. To call anything blank ideology is like such culture war bullshit. And like, I get that this is the 80s and the culture wars are sort of like in their infancy with respect to where they are now. But like, holy fuck, dude. I mean, it's sort of weird to think about it.
Starting point is 00:33:37 about, but, like, this theory was taken up by a lot of the gay press. There's a chapter of Act Up, you know, the really famous AIDS activism organization. Their San Francisco chapter was, like, all in on AIDS denialism. Oh, man. There's surveys of gay people, including gay people with HIV, that find that more than 40% of them agree with the statement HIV does not cause AIDS. So this, like, really went around the gay community in a way that I think has been memory hold, but also I think psychologically makes a lot of sense.
Starting point is 00:34:06 That's what I was just going to say. Especially in the 80s and 90s, if you have a terminal illness for which there is no treatment or the treatment costs like fucking $15,000, which it did in the early years, you're going to be like, well, maybe it's fine. Yeah. This is also a community that has been completely fucking neglected by the powers that be. Right. The idea that like maybe you can't accept at face value information from the very people who have been
Starting point is 00:34:31 ignoring you and leaving you for dead. Yeah. Yeah. very literally leaving you for dead makes a lot of sense to me. And I also think like on top of that, any person facing their own mortality is like the perfect target for like some real wishful thinking and sort of magical thinking about their own healing and illness and that kind of thing. And so these sorts of like more fringe like treatments and frameworks and all of that kind of stuff
Starting point is 00:34:58 start to appeal to you because maybe then it doesn't mean you're going to die. Maybe then it doesn't mean that. this treatment that is really painful and imprecise, right, isn't what you need. Maybe you need something else completely. I mean, I think this is a little bit of like the Gerson therapy stuff too. Yeah. When you have cancer, the idea that like actually you don't need chemo, what you do need is like three square meals of organic produce a day.
Starting point is 00:35:23 Yeah. One of those is way more appealing than the other one of those. So this bounces around the gay media in the late 1980s. It jumps over to the mainstream media. I swear to God, I'm not making this up with an Atlantic article. God damn it. That popularizes the theory. I know like 90% of my career at this point he's fucking complaining about the Atlantic.
Starting point is 00:35:45 I genuinely did not know this when I started researching this episode. Pened by a three-year-old Thomas Chatterton Williams. Oh, God, I know. But it's the same fucking thing. It's this weird fetish for contrarianism. Like, what if everything you know is wrong? So this article is called AIDS and Insects. and it rests on the theory that AIDS is actually caused by pubic lice.
Starting point is 00:36:08 And again, anything of like sexual behavior and stuff has been completely discarded because of fucking hemophiliacs. But so the entire article is as usual, just like, this person has this theory and like they were being suppressed. They wouldn't get this grant. It has a little vignette at the end about Peter Duesberg and talks about how like, yeah, he's not getting grants anymore. He's been ostracized from the scientific community because what he's saying is fucking wrong. Like, he's just obviously wrong about stuff. And so he's not getting like the prominence that he used to.
Starting point is 00:36:39 So it goes through all of this like ostracism. And then it has this claim. It says he's so certain of his claim. This is that HIV doesn't cause AIDS. He's so certain of his claim that he has offered to be inoculated with HIV. And you see this a lot. They're like, he's so sure about it. He's offered to get HIV.
Starting point is 00:36:56 Oh, eat my hat. He never did it. Yeah. It's like, bitch, you've been saying this for 20 years. Someone should just go on there with a fucking syringe. You know what I'm thinking about is, did you ever watch the Aero Morris documentary, Dr. Death, or Mr. Death, I think it is? No.
Starting point is 00:37:11 This was about a guy who operated, the electric chair would operate lethal injections, that sort of thing. And when that was banned in the state where he was working, he needed to move on and find something new. And what he found was that because of his experience with, like, lethal injection and killing people, that he was welcomed with open arms by Holocaust deniers. Oh. Who were like, oh, he can prove that there was no gas in the chambers at Auschwitz. And I just think that there is something, like, I think we're having a bunch of good, ongoing conversations about de-platforming.
Starting point is 00:37:46 And I do think de-platforming, generally speaking, is really effective. And I also think there is this version of stuff, which is like you then get embraced by a group of people who have motives that are not particularly about. about science or not particularly about helping people or not particularly about like improving the situation. Right. Exactly. They are people who are like signing on for some serious magical thinking.
Starting point is 00:38:10 Well, that's what's so interesting is once the mainstream media starts covering it, they don't really cover on the merits, right? They don't really cover like, well, this guy's obviously a fucking crank. So they all focus on like the suppression of debate, et cetera. So there's a British TV documentary called AIDS, the unheard voices. there's a New York Times article called A solitary dissenter disputes cause of AIDS. The LA Times publishes an article called Hero or Heretic
Starting point is 00:38:37 that refers to a debate between the dissidents and the AIDS establishment. This is like all those fucking profiles of Richard Spencer. The New York Times article, which I also read, is like very negative. It's like, well, this guy's completely wrong, but the framing, the entire framing of the article is like, oh, there's a debate over this. And it sort of takes for granted that one side of the debate is wrong, but it's talking about the debate. And if you look at those surveys of people with HIV, gay men who believe in the HIV doesn't cause AIDS theory,
Starting point is 00:39:06 you are so much more likely to believe that if you think that there is a debate. The minute you think there's a debate, right, about climate change or anything else, it's like, oh, well, I can take one side in this debate because there's a debate happening. To borrow a phrase from your other co-host, like, if you're dumb, this goes super fucking hard. It goes super fucking hard. So here is an abysmal article. in the New York Review of Books, which I generally like. Dewsberg, for his part,
Starting point is 00:39:32 not only fails to understand the strengths and weaknesses of the epidemiological method, he also recklessly deploys ill-thought-out epidemiological arguments to support his own drug-aids point of view. Nevertheless, as a retroverologist, Dewsberg deserves to be heard, and the ideological assassination that he has undergone will remain an embarrassing testament
Starting point is 00:39:55 to the reactionary tendencies of modern. science. Irrespective of one's views about the validity of some of Deusberg's arguments, one is forced to ask, at a time when fresh ideas and new paths of investigation are so desperately being sought, how can the AIDS community afford not to fund Deusberg's research? Jesus Christmas. This is brain dead. It's fucking brain dead. This guy is so wrong. And also, the idea that drugs cause AIDS has been investigated. People looked into poppers. People looked into this immune collapse thing and discarded it because it doesn't make any fucking
Starting point is 00:40:34 sense. At the beginning, they're like, oh, yeah, he totally misunderstands epidemiology and like he's misrepresenting other people's data, but you should fund him anyway. No, if you're misrepresenting people's data and you're making arguments that are obviously false at this point and not implementing new information into your worldview, you shouldn't be funded. That's not how science works. Yeah. You stand on the shoulders of giants.
Starting point is 00:40:57 You're not supposed to just like fucking chip away at the fucking shin bones of giants. I mean, like, let's start this debate over with. You can't have scientific advancement under that view. Keep in mind, he has tenure at UC Berkeley. He works at UC Berkeley for the rest of his life. Tenure. A near perfect system. I know, no notes.
Starting point is 00:41:15 No notes. Not a single one. And then also, he keeps presenting papers to journals, but they can't get past peer review, partly because they're crank shit, partly because he doesn't do research anymore. All he does is essentially write op-eds. He just writes his opinion and his analysis of pre-existing data. He's not doing any actual work.
Starting point is 00:41:32 Well, and he's off on his own little island, right? He's been set adrift on his own little ice flow, and nobody is out there with him. Right. So, like, that alone should be, like, a sign that, you know, maybe he's Galileo. Exactly. He makes that argument all the fucking time.
Starting point is 00:41:51 so annoying. Probably not. He's like, they said Galileo was wrong. Yeah, but they also say that like Laura Lumer is wrong and she fucking is. Sometimes people are right about who's wrong. Yes. But I do actually want to talk a little bit about how the scientific establishment treats Peter Duesberg because I actually think scientists were good on the way that they treated him. So in the late 1980s, right after Duesberg, publishes his article about like cancer and like, oh, by the way, HIV isn't real. There's a huge period of debate. So, So because he was such an eminent scientist, because he was so prestigious in the field, people were like, okay, let's address this. So there's a debate in a journal where Peter Dewsberg writes an article called HIV does not cause AIDS.
Starting point is 00:42:32 And then respondents write one called HIV causes AIDS. There's like a robust debate within journals. There is also this excerpt. This is from a New Yorker article much later. In 1988, in an effort to put Dewsberg's theories to rest, the American Foundation for AIDS research sponsored a scientific forum in Washington, D.C. on the origins of the epidemic. One after another, researchers presented data linking the increase of HIV infections around the world to the growing number of AIDS cases. Duesberg rejected the data completely.
Starting point is 00:43:09 This was at a time when AIDS was still widely seen as a death sentence, and people had even committed suicide after learning they were infected. Anthony Fauci, the federal government's leading AIDS expert, sat silently for hours. Usually the most circumspect of scientists, he finally erupted. This is murder, he said, after listening to Dewsberg speak. It's really just that simple. Cooking. Boy.
Starting point is 00:43:34 The sort of the end of the debate period is when a guy named John Maddox, who is the editor-in-chief of nature, publishes an article called Has Dusberg a Right to Reply? Where he talks about how, whenever they publish fucking anything about HIV, Duesberg will write like a letter to the editor being like, that's based on the idea that it's a virus and it causes AIDS and that's not true. They usually publish them because he's a member of the National Academy of Sciences and stuff. He describes becoming increasingly frustrated with this. Like with every single fucking article we write,
Starting point is 00:44:07 you write essentially the same response. He also goes over how like during this period, Duesberg is very obviously operating in bad faith. So one of Duesberg's arguments at the time is that if this, is caused by a virus, why is it that gay men with AIDS get Kaposi's sarcoma, which is the skin condition, and hemophiliacs with AIDS, don't get it, right? This is like one of the original arguments against the idea that it's caused by a virus, which I think was kind of plausible at the time, right? Like, it's presenting very differently for different groups. But eventually they
Starting point is 00:44:40 learned that Kaposi's sarcoma is caused by a version of the herpes virus. When your immune system collapses, the skin conditions is mostly seen in like people in their 80s, all of a sudden shows up on like men in their 20s. But it's because it's sexually transmitted. And hemophiliacs are not having a ton of sex. And so hemophiliacs don't have Kaposi sarcoma. There's like a really obvious explanation for this. There was a question, like a legitimate question.
Starting point is 00:45:04 We investigated and we learned the answer to that question. But Dewsberg keeps just saying this. And this John Maddox guy is like, look, man, you have an answer. If you're acting in good faith, you should not be using this as an argument anymore. We know the explanation for it. And it's congruent with AIDS being caused by the HIV riders. And also like how many times you're going to write the same LTE? Exactly.
Starting point is 00:45:23 You are just kind of wasting everybody's time at this point. And so that's essentially what he says in like the rest of the article. So here is an excerpt from later. Nature's most recent refusal of an intended publication by Dewsberg was his response to an article on the drug hypothesis by M. Asher. The study used data on a group of more than 1,000 men recruited in 1984 in San Francisco to show no correlation between the incidents of AIDS and previous drugs. So this is kind of an open and shut thing that if AIDS is caused by drug use, you'd see much
Starting point is 00:45:55 higher incidence of AIDS among drug users, and that is not what the study finds. Dewsberg's unpublished reply on the basis of what is most charitably called a misreading of the text asserts that the authors must have fabricated some of their data. He goes on to claim that the author's argument supports his view, not theirs. He quarrels with an imagined failure to collect data on drug use after recruitment. and claims that a two-year study cannot test the hypothesis of drug toxicity requiring 10 years for its effects to become overt. The truth is that a person's right of reply may conflict with a journal's obligations to its readers to provide them with authentic information. Whatever Dewsberg's friends say, the right of reply must be modulated by its content.
Starting point is 00:46:42 It's so interesting to see this because this is 1993 in the letters to the editor section of a journal, and it's precisely the debate we're having now. Yeah. He has a right to reply, like, I guess, like he has freedom of speech, et cetera, but also people who read fucking nature, one of those prestigious publications in the country, have a right to read things that are true. Right.
Starting point is 00:47:04 You have to have a limit where you just say, this person is operating in bad faith. We're not going to do this debate anymore. I think that's totally reasonable, especially with this fucking guy who is just, like, lying through his teeth at this point. I think the question here is, like, what's our cultural and like what's this institution's tolerance for people being so loud and so wrong. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Right. And actually, what's the cost benefit analysis of letting everyone
Starting point is 00:47:29 speak on everything? Exactly. Because there is a cost. And I think it's tempting to go, everyone's entitled to their opinion. And that can really get you into some bad situations when you're talking about like scientific findings that involve people's like health and mortality. There's a good article about this called Defending the Boundaries of Science, AIDS denialism, peer review, and the medical hypothesis saga by Niccoli Natras. And she says, what Deusberg has lost is not freedom, but rather the opportunity to publish in a seemingly scientific journal without having to subject his arguments to peer review. This really isn't an issue of like freedom of speech. This is an issue of like, do you get to be seen as a credible scientist when you're not saying things that are credible? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:48:13 There's another really good article about this kind of the. construction of scientific debate called AIDS denialism versus science. Okay, so here's this excerpt. As Brian Foley, a scientist who works with the HIV database at Los Alamos National Laboratory, commented after a long blog exchange with South African AIDS denialist Anita Allen, there is no such thing as scientific debate, really. Science is about experiments, data, and theories to explain the data. If Anita says, quote, the virus, has never been isolated, and I say, quote, in fact, dozens of infectious molecular clones of HIV-1 have been generated, and that is as good as isolation gets for retroviruses. One of us has to be
Starting point is 00:48:59 lying. This, like, really crystallized something for me. Yeah, totally. There's like true shit and there's not true shit. There's no such thing as scientific debate. It's like perfect. Because, I mean, on some level there is scientific debate. Like, we talked about that period, 1981 to 1984, when there was scientific debate about like, okay, is it poppers? Is it immune collapse? That is all totally legitimate, but it was legitimate because it was followed up by investigation and people discarding hypotheses when they turned out not to be true. That is what scientific debate looks like. To the extent that there's a scientific debate, it is investigating hypotheses, not just making the same fucking arguments for decades despite no data behind them. Right. If you think about, you know, how this would
Starting point is 00:49:43 Like imagine like working at like a car factory and being like, I have a difference of opinion. I think the steering wheel goes in the trunk. Yeah, yeah, yeah. You'd be like, you don't get to have that opinion, dude. So basically nature just decides like we're not going to publish this fucking guy. There's also an extremely good faith effort to investigate Duesberg's claims by the journal Science. They assigned reporters for three months to look into like this theory that HIV does not cause AIDS. They engage with Duesberg a ton.
Starting point is 00:50:15 They interview more than 50 experts. And they dedicate eight pages of an issue to the most thorough, comprehensive debunking. They do a whole back and forth of Duesberg. They're like, oh, yeah, you said this, but we looked into it. And you can't explain it. And then they send it back to him. And he just, like, changes the subject or ignores it. Right.
Starting point is 00:50:30 So it's very, very, very obvious by this point that, like, it's completely false. And then Duesberg is just like not a credible actor. Lots of journals have lots of different names. There's something really uniquely incredible about being like, this guy, fucking bodied by like science and nature. I know. And there's an overwhelming sense throughout the piece of like, do we really have to do this? Right.
Starting point is 00:50:54 Like now everyone has the Anthony Fauci belabored sigh. Exactly. So basically the sort of scientific establishment took this debate in good faith. They debated him directly. By 1994, they're like, we're done. And we're just going to ignore you from now on. He continues not to get grants. But people don't really like publish things.
Starting point is 00:51:12 they don't publish his fucking derange op-eds. And AIDS denialism really goes dormant for a while. There's a pretty long period starting in the late 1990s, where AIDS denialism doesn't really show up in mainstream media. And when it does, it's typically framed as like, look at this kooky weirdo who believes this crazy thing. It's not really framed as like a debate or we need to hear this out. It's not given a lot of credibility.
Starting point is 00:51:37 Part of the reason for that is this very high-profile debunking in science in 1994. But there are three other reasons this, like, really goes dormant. The first reason is that highly active antiretroviral therapy is introduced in 1995, and, like, the death rates plummet. So AIDS deaths peak at 42,000 in 1995. By 1997, they're down to 17,000. So from 42,000 to 17,000 in two years. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:52:06 It's, like, really obvious that this therapy, which is based on the idea that HIV causes AIDS, works incredibly well. So that is one thing. There's also an unbelievably bleak, very high-profile case of a woman named Christine Majore. A heterosexual lady, she gets infected with HIV in 1992. She starts doing AIDS activism, kind of traditional AIDS activism, like this is why we need anti-reacturvirals, et cetera. She meets Peter Dewsberg in 1994.
Starting point is 00:52:38 He convinces her to get off of her meds. What? I mean, he's, like, very directly, like, if you are taking AIDS meds, you should stop, because the AIDS meds are what causes AIDS. Oh, God. So he tells her to stop taking her meds. She then becomes, like, what we would now know of is, like, an influencer. So in 2002, she writes an article called My Bout of So-Called AIDS. Ooh.
Starting point is 00:53:01 And she gets relatively famous, like, she's in the media. LA Times covers her. There's, like, a lot of mainstream media coverage of her. her and her husband produce a documentary called The Other Side of AIDS. This is super bleak, Aubrey. In 2002, she has a daughter and mother-to-child transmission of HIV. It's like a very well-known thing. She does not give her daughter any medication and her daughter dies.
Starting point is 00:53:25 She says she makes up this whole fucking fake thing that it's an allergic reaction to amoxicillin because Peter Dewsberg and the whole kind of movement, they're also syphilis truthers. Oh, Jesus. Hell. So basically her daughter dies of AIDS and then Christina Maggiore also dies of AIDS at age 52. How old was her daughter at the time that she passed? Three. Jesus God.
Starting point is 00:53:48 It's awful. And this gets a ton of precedent. It's like, remember that kooky lady who said that like HIV doesn't cause AIDS? Yeah, her fucking daughter is dead and she's dead. Yeah. And this actually happens numerous times that prominent AIDS denialists die of AIDS. Yeah. I mean, this is sort of like all the like anti-vax guys in hospital with COVID.
Starting point is 00:54:06 Kids have measles now. Yeah. that kind of, yep, yep, yep, yep, yep, yep, totally. Of course, you're like, yeah, this is how this ends. That doesn't make it less tragic. Yeah. That's just fucking horrendous. And again, it is sort of this, like, dynamic that you and I have talked about many times
Starting point is 00:54:23 on this show, which is just like when people are facing down their own mortality, when they're dealing with an illness that is like not well understood or widely embraced, of course people fall into this like whole of wishful thinking. I know. Absolutely. She sort of made a name for herself doing this thing. Absolutely, she spread the message. And also absolutely, she suffered the loss of her daughter and her own life. Like, I don't know. I know. That's just horrible. It's just horrible however you slice it. So that's like the second thing that happens to really make this go dormant. The third thing is AIDS denialism takes over South Africa. So Tabo Mbeki gets into this AIDS denialism shit. He also meets with Peter Duesberg, puts Peter Duesberg on like some fucking recommendations committee, like quote unquote expert committee. He refuses to import anti-retrovirals. You know, they're approved by the FDA in 1995. It's not until 2006 that ARVs really start to roll out in South Africa at any kind of scale. That has been linked to the deaths of 350,000 people.
Starting point is 00:55:26 Jesus. We could do a whole fucking episode on it. It's like really, really bleak. According to him, he became a denier when he read a quote unquote debate in a South African newspaper between like a crank denialist and the president of the Southern African HIV AIDS Clinicians Society. So congratulations to whatever fucking newspaper that was. Like you publish a debate between an actual expert and like just a complete random asshole. And the president of the country read it. And it was like, there's a debate here. So that also gets a ton of headlines, a ton of like extremely negative attention.
Starting point is 00:56:01 Between all of these things, I think anyone looking at this from afar, which is like most news consumers, are just like, oh, it's really bad to be telling people not to take drugs at this point, right? I think it's really bad to discourage people from taking treatments at any point. Yes. To dissuade people who are not in your situation, who are in like different points in their lives, different points in their disease development. To tell people to step away from treatments that work is fucking the devil's work. I also, I genuinely think this is a fascinating conspiracy theory in that it is just,
Starting point is 00:56:36 just one guy, essentially, and that it is so directly and obviously harmful, right? It's rare for a conspiracy theory to just be like, oh yeah, this medical condition you have, this virus in your system, don't take drugs that work for it. Like, that's rare. Like, you could say that with the anti-vaxxers, but like getting measles and stuff, it's still quite rare because we basically have herd immunity in America, right? So like most people who don't vaccinate their kids, they won't lose their kids to measles, right? It's still, thank God, like a relatively rare event. If you stop taking Anti-Drivile is like, you're going to get AIDS. It's really, really, really bad.
Starting point is 00:57:10 If this fucking guy is not worthy of ostracism and denunciation and just not engaging in debate, then nobody is. Right. Then who? Yeah. Then who? This is such a fucking easy one. What I really seized on, though, is something starts happening in the early 2000s with the rhetoric of AIDS denialism that sets the stage for the resurgence of it. It's like a little cicada, like burrowing into the earth at this time.
Starting point is 00:57:36 So I read the recommendations document that was produced by this board that was advising Topma Beki in South Africa. These are some of the recommendations that are included in the kind of official South Africa. Like, this is what we think the country should do, document. Improving general nutrition and implementing nutritional education and supplements for the general population. Supplements. Investigating the use of immune boosting medication. such as interferons, growth factors, B complex vitamins, and herbs, such as ginseng, Chinese cucumber, curcumin, aloe vera, garlic, and echinacea, encouraging the detoxification
Starting point is 00:58:19 of the body through several inexpensive interventions, such as massage therapy, music therapy, yoga, spiritual care, homeopathy, Indian Ayurvedic medicine, light therapy, and many other methods. I am stunned that colloidal silver does not make an appearance. I know. On this list. It feels like it should be right there. Where are the adaptogens? I'm not seeing celery juice on here.
Starting point is 00:58:43 Nary a single Ashwaganda mentioned. And then the health minister of South Africa who's appointed by Mabekhi recommends raw garlic and skin of the lemon. Years ago I was on Twitter and there was some like discussion happening about like something that was happening in South Africa and someone from Nigeria chimed in and was like, hey, everybody from the U.S., from Canada, from Europe, you guys need to know that South Africa is like our Florida. So it's like, I don't know shit about shit, but I, it's occurring to me now.
Starting point is 00:59:22 I know. The Florida of Africa. And also, it's a thing that I have spent a lot of time thinking about being like, what do we think is the Florida of Europe? I think it might be the UK. But then this is also, I mean, it's kind of Florida, but it's also very L.A. All this stuff, but like, it's actually about toxins in your body. And it's actually about like vitamins.
Starting point is 00:59:38 And like, I mean, this is the shit we see all the fucking time now, right? Yeah. So this is an excerpt from the website of a guy named Matthias Rath, who we could do a whole fucking episode on Aubrey. He's selling mega doses of vitamins in South Africa. And he makes the pills the same size and color as antiretrovirals. Oh my God. And they're going literally door to door in townships. and telling people to stop taking antiridivirals
Starting point is 01:00:06 and take vitamins instead. Like, hell is not hot enough for this fucking man. But if you go to his website, this is what he says. And like, I could barely read it because my eyes were rolling so fucking far into the back of my head. Oh, no.
Starting point is 01:00:18 Just the first few words being never before in the history of mankind was a greater crime committed. It's so boring. Holy fuck. I know. Never before in the history of mankind was a greater crime committed
Starting point is 01:00:32 than the genocide. organized by the pharmaceutical drug cartel in the interest of the multi-billion dollar investment business with disease. Hundreds of millions of people have died unnecessarily from AIDS, cancer, heart disease, and other preventable diseases. And the only reason that these epidemics are still haunting mankind is that they are the multi-billion dollar marketplace for the pharmaceutical drug cartel.
Starting point is 01:00:57 So here's where we get the RFK juniors of the world. Yes. And like Scientologists. Yeah. Like there's like a bunch of, of like wild ass cranks that join us at this juncture. I don't want to say to his credit because he's a complete asshole, but Peter Duesberg doesn't really make arguments like this.
Starting point is 01:01:13 He eventually does write a book laying out the theory in greater detail. And most of his book, which I read most of it is 800 fucking pages long, is about like the virus. It's all fake, but it's like you can't isolate it in a petriish. It's this kind of stuff. It's not really meta stuff. But I think people are realizing like you just need to make these meta arguments about like, isn't Big Pharma bad?
Starting point is 01:01:33 Don't you think big pharma is bad? And then you get people to agree to that. And then you're like, and also HIV doesn't cause AIDS. Like that is the tactic that they start using. I will say this is also like a known tactic with white nationalist organizations that they'll start with like, don't you think immigration is a problem? Right. Right.
Starting point is 01:01:49 And then like very quickly they walk you right back into a swastika. Right. You can make observations about perceived problems that are like pretty widely held perceptions of those problems as a way of pulling people into like extremely ghoulish, harmful rhetoric. Don't you hate it when people change lanes without putting their blinker on? That's why the Holocaust is fake. So this is also the period where we start getting like the celebrity AIDS denialists. So this is when like the foo fighters get into it.
Starting point is 01:02:25 They're apparently friends with Christina Maggiore and her husband. Like that's how Dave Grohl and the foo fighters get into this. They hold their benefit concert. And then we are going to watch the clip of Will Smith talking about his ideas on this issue. Boy, that is going to bum me out real hard. Not that I'm like a big Will Smith guy or whatever. It's to Will Smith. I know.
Starting point is 01:02:50 I thought I could trust you. He subscribes to like a different version of this conspiracy theory, but we're going to watch it because it's funny. Great. Let's do it. So here it is. The other voice. you will hear is Barbara Walters. Oh, wow. There's a blast from the past.
Starting point is 01:03:07 Zoomers, we don't have time. We're not going to explain who this person is. She was on TV. I read that you felt that the government was deliberately spraying cold germs and subways, was deliberately trying to make people ill with the AIDS virus. This is pretty serious stuff. Do you really feel that? Well, that's a good question. Well, I'm with Barbara Walters now. That's a serious one. Okay. So I got to, now, because people are going to chase me after this.
Starting point is 01:03:36 People are going to chase me. I believe that it is quite highly possible that the AIDS virus is a result of genetic warfare testing. By American agents? Absolutely. Will. Am I a conspiracy theorist? I'm a conspiracy. are I.
Starting point is 01:04:05 Yeah. That's art is what that is. Oh, Will. I mean, like, I think the tricky thing about all the government conspiracy stuff is, like, we do have MK Ultra. We do have co-intel pro. Fucking Tuskegee, right? Yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 01:04:26 This is, like, not unheard of shit, but then you're like, oh, no, buddy. You didn't even need any. All of those have evidence. I tried to look into this one. This one is, like, really fringe. And there's not, it's not like they've taken evidence of something and twisted it. It's like there just literally is no evidence for it. It's like, it's just a thing that somebody said.
Starting point is 01:04:44 Part of the challenge here is you don't need to go looking for the conspiracy on AIDS. It happened in fucking public. Yeah, that's true. Yeah. So you don't need to go off and, like, play jazz and come up with your own version of it. So basically, the AIDS analysis movement, such as it is, starts making these, like, anti-Big Pharma, like, anti-scientific establishment, sorts of arguments, but they don't really catch fire.
Starting point is 01:05:07 They don't really catch on. The issue goes dark, but then they get one new argument. And so I'm going to send you a text, and you have to guess for me where it is from. This is from 2021.
Starting point is 01:05:23 I have to guess where this is from. You're going to fucking know. Okay. It should be so easy for you all, right? Is it from where in the world is Carmen San Diego? Yes. Yes. Damn it. All right. This was spoken by
Starting point is 01:05:33 Rockefeller. Yeah. In a rational universe or in a functioning democracy, combatants would duke out the incendiary HIV-AIDS dispute in an open public debate in the scientific literature between the foremost establishment scientists and the best credential dissenting ones. But in Tony Fauci's authoritarian technocracy,
Starting point is 01:05:54 the ruling medical cabal refuses to allow this sort of dialogue. Like Inquisition priests, HIV's high-es-havis' high. clergy stubbornly resist the possibility that they might be wrong. From the onset, the HIV-AIDS religion has seen its survival in moral absolutism, outright discrimination, and merciless suppression of doubt. Okay. You know who this is. I don't. It's not Rogan. He can't write. Yeah. For some reason, this feels Jordan Peterson-y to me, but I know that's not right. Who is it? This is R. F.K. Jr.
Starting point is 01:06:34 Oh, this motherfucker. Of course. The answer was right in front of us all along. Because he has this book that comes out in 2021 called The Real Anthony Fauci. The innovation here, and I think what hits really fucking hard if you're stupid, is that all of this AIDS shit, you can tie to Anthony Fauci. And that's what results in the resurgence of this absurd conspiracy theory. So for most of the 1980s, Anthony Fauci was the head of the NIAID. And before that, he was an AIDS of researcher.
Starting point is 01:07:07 So if you read any history of the AIDS epidemic in America, Anthony Fauci is all over it. So essentially anything you want to tie to Anthony Fauci, you can. There were some, I haven't even looked into it, but there's like, there's early trials of AZT where people say that there's discrepancy, the toxicity of AZT when it was being given in large doses. You can then very easily say, like, Fauci was trying to poison you.
Starting point is 01:07:31 It's very funny for conservatives to be like, Actually, in the 80s, you guys were too shitty to gay people. No, I know. What? It feels very like, you know, conservatives only care about sexual assault when it's perceived to be happening in bathrooms by trans people. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Where you're like, oh, a thing that doesn't exist?
Starting point is 01:07:50 Cool. Fauci's the reason why a bunch of gay people died in the 80s. What do you think about that? Oh, we think that's good. Right. We think more gay people should have died in the 80s, yes. They should have died sooner. Yes.
Starting point is 01:08:00 Yeah. R.K. Jr. has four chapters. more than 100 pages of his fucking book dedicated to this theory. He also, it appears, spoke to Dusberg. Like, Dusberg appears throughout the section. He has a whole thing about, like, his, like, ejection from the scientific establishment, blah, blah, blah,
Starting point is 01:08:16 tedious shit that we've already talked about. It seems like he uses exactly the same arguments. He says at one point, how can a virus be so destructive when it first enters the body, then turns around and plays dead for 10, 20, 30 years? Yet this is the orthodoxy. It's like, right, that's just what the evidence shows.
Starting point is 01:08:32 man, it's just, it lies dormant in your body. Like, I don't know what to tell you, man. It's not orthodoxy. Again, that's HPV, which is linked to cancer. What the fuck? It's the chickenpox virus causing shingles later in your life. Like, there's just, this is a very well-documented thing. Yes.
Starting point is 01:08:49 Most of it is him talking about how, like, Fauci suppressed debate. Yeah. I guess there was some thing where Fauci was going to go on Good Morning America with Dewsberg, and they were going to, like, debate. And then Dewsberg's appearance was canceled. and he says that like Fauci canceled the appearance, whatever. Maybe Fauci did it. Maybe Fauci didn't.
Starting point is 01:09:07 But also Fauci, again, debated Peter Dewsberg directly numerous times during the late 80s and early 1990s. There was a period where there was a lot of debate about this. It's a little bit like the LTE stuff, right? Where you're like, how many letters to the editor are we going to publish from this fucking guy? How many times is Anthony Fauci going to have to debate this dude on shit that they settled 20 years earlier or whatever?
Starting point is 01:09:30 Are we have to read this paragraph because he's kind of funny here. Instead of civilly debating these dissidents and writers and common sense questions posed by Dewsberg and other critics, Dr. Fauci's strategy has been to exercise his frightening capacity to silence dissent and mangle reputations. Mangle reputations. They were mangled. History may credit him as the progenitor, even the inventor of cancel culture. No one was ever canceled before Anthony Fauci canceled Peter Dewsberg. It's really incredible to me that you would go, the inventor of cancel culture wasn't like witch trials.
Starting point is 01:10:05 No, exactly. Crusades or like. Would you like Jesus was the original canceled person? Like fuck it. I don't know. It's just so dumb the whole thing. Oh, God. I don't know what scientists are supposed to do, right?
Starting point is 01:10:19 Because there was a period of debate. There was lots and lots of good faith debate over this theory for years, right? They debated it. There's also numerous debunkings of this theory, right? Science assigned numerous journalists to spend, months looking at this, assessing the evidence, going back to Duesburg, having an open, good faith debate, conversation about it, and it turned out not to be true. And yet, these conspiracist assholes are still saying, oh, they refused to debate it. Oh, why would they look into the
Starting point is 01:10:44 claims? All we're asking for is to debate it. It's a fucking lie. If the grocery store had nothing to hide, they would let me in at 3 a.m. What are they hiding? Oh, I know. God, it's so boring. Speaking of boring, we are going to watch one final clip. This is from, uh, I don't know if familiar with it, the Joe Rogan experience. It's from the Joe Rogan experience. Everyone's favorite. Joe Rogan actually had Peter Dusberg on as a guest in 2012. It didn't get that much attention weirdly. But anyway, I watched the whole fucking thing. My brain is rotted from watching that. This was me yesterday, Michael, I watched the entire fucking call her daddy interview with Nara Smith. Oh, did you seriously? And I was like, oh no. My brain is liquefying out of my fucking ear. So like,
Starting point is 01:11:29 my condolences. cognitive decline that we're experiencing as people in our 40s is going so much faster due to what we do. Just speed moving that shit. I lose like five IQ points every time I have researched an episode of the show. So this is Joe Rogan's interview with someone named Gavin DeBecker, who's like a security guy. And most of the episode isn't about like wellness stuff, but they get into a tangent about HIV. So here's this. And they're making the case that that HIV is the absolute cause of AIDS, even though. though literally the guy who got the Nobel Prize for concluding that feels that you can have AIDS without
Starting point is 01:12:06 HIV and you can have HIV without AIDS. I've raised 10 kids. I have two teenage kids. One of my older boys, 31 years old now, tested positive for HIV. Right away come the drugs and he and I met about it. We watched this documentary called House of Numbers. And he decided no medication. He's really healthy. He's in the sun a lot. He's having a calm and wonderful life. He lives in Fiji, so he's out in the tropics a lot. And when he took the medication for three weeks, he felt really shitty. It wasn't AZT. It's the newer cocktail.
Starting point is 01:12:39 But he felt really shitty. When he stopped, he feels great. And we'll see how things go. But the idea that they were trying to push was if you test positive for HIV, they say it point blank, you will die from this disease and there's nothing that can stop it except these drugs. They say it point blank. And that turns out not to be true. Well, there's a lot of things you said that turn out to not to be true.
Starting point is 01:12:59 They thought that your children would get it, people in the household would get it, that it was spread, it could be spread aerosol. No, I thought it was aerosol. The Dewsberg thing is fascinating. No, it's not. Because this all took place in the time with no internet, no pushback, no conspiracy theorists online to connect the dots. And his assertion was, first of all, there was the inconvenient fact that the vast majority of the people that got air quotes, AIDS, all were hardcore drug users. There were these partiers in the gay community. And anybody that knows anything about drug use knows that if you're a hardcore drug user and you're staying up all night and you're partying, guess what?
Starting point is 01:13:40 You're going to crush your immune system. And, you know, they were taking antibiotics, which were at the parties in big bulls. Antibiotics. Yeah. Because they had all, this was a tremendous amount of sex. It was almost a statement of freedom in the gay rights movement. And the people had all kinds of infections. So they were scooping up antibiotics and taking antibiotics.
Starting point is 01:13:59 And of course, AIDS is real. They destroyed their immune system, no question about it. And Poppers. And Dewsburg. Poppers is the big one, right? Yeah. Well, Poppers certainly causes the specific respiratory issue that was associated with AIDS. And they kept changing, you know, the NIH and CDC kept changing the definition along the way.
Starting point is 01:14:19 And there's a great line in the real Anthony Fauci, a book I know you read, where Bobby says, if you get diagnosed with AIDS in Africa, the fastest way to get you. cured is go to New York. Totally different diagnostic method. I just feel so sad and so bored. We're back to the fucking immune collapse explanation. We're back to Poppers. These things were proposed in 1981 and discarded almost immediately because there's no evidence
Starting point is 01:14:46 behind them. It's so absurd. One of the things that I think about a fair bit on this show is how bad public health is at PR. No, I know. If people were hearing much more and, media showed more interest in trumpeting the success of these treatments, people would be able to hear stuff like this and be like, oh, that's not true. It's working really well. The treatments that
Starting point is 01:15:09 we have are working sort of staggeringly well. And the story of his son is like really bleak. I don't know all the details. It's so fucking bleak, dude. But it's like, ooh, the orthodoxies that you have it. And everybody said, you have to take the medicine. Well, yeah, man, it's that because the medicine works unbelievably well. This is like, I'm young and I'm healthy. I don't need a COVID vaccine. That's not coming for me. Exactly. We were like, oh, Jesus Christmas. Also, the thing of, like, there were bowls of antibiotics at gay sex parties.
Starting point is 01:15:36 Like, no, you have to take antibiotics for, like, seven days in a row. They're not, no one's giving away drugs, first of all. There are bowls of seven-day punch packs. Booster packs. Come on. Christ. The whole argument is completely fucking backwards. But Rogan has done numerous episodes where him and his guests, total just dumbass on dumbass
Starting point is 01:15:55 violence talking about how, like, AIDS is caused by poppers, basically. There's also this human centipede bullshit where, like, they read RFK Jr.'s book. And they're like, oh, did you read in Bobby's book? And then RfK Jr. listens to fucking Joe Rogan. He refers to Joe Rogan constantly. So that just reinforces for RFK Jr. that this is real. And then RFK Jr. talks about it more. And then it shows up on Rogan again.
Starting point is 01:16:15 This is the thing that RFK Jr. has in common with Trump is that they are both so fucking hooked on, like, self-reinforcing news media, right? Yeah, I know. Is, like, all they can engage with. Yeah. It's really stunning. Luckily, I mean, I looked around for this kind of where the AIDS denialist movement is now. It hasn't caught on as much as you'd think, right, given these very prominent voices promoting it constantly.
Starting point is 01:16:39 It is all over the place on Twitter, obviously. Elon Musk retweeted like this unbelievably ugly boomer meme that you know, it was like really lazy memes. There's like text on a background. But the text says, remember that one time in the 80s and 90s when people died from the AIDS treatment, AZT, and not the actual AIDS virus. Remember that one doctor who promoted that treatment and then has a picture of Fauci. Sure. They're really fixated on AZT. Joe Rogan goes on for minutes about like these early AZT trials where like they didn't even find a benefit like that's not true. It's very odd because like AZT is still used but in fairly limited amounts. Like it's not the only treatment anymore and you're not given it in large doses. So it's just kind of
Starting point is 01:17:22 irrelevant to moan about AZT. It's also just fucking rich coming from the end of the political spectrum that is leading the charge against queer and trans people to be like, oh, fucking cool, you care now? No, I know. And the way that you show your care is by saying, hey, step away from those life-saving drugs. I know. Like, fuck off, you gremlins.
Starting point is 01:17:42 You were the fourth build on news radio. Get a fucking life. So these claims also appear, I learned in the research for this, Aubrey, in Plannedemic three. Oh, great. They have this claim that you do see bouncing around that like 330,000 people died from AZT. I don't know where that claim comes from. It's suspiciously similar to the number of people who died in South Africa from not importing anti-retrovirals.
Starting point is 01:18:13 So I don't know if like that's where they've gotten it that like Tabo Mabeki gave people AZT and they all died. But like that's literally upside down. It could be a number pulled out of thin air. I do not know. But this goes around like how many people Fauci killed with the AZT? Right. It also, it's like an Aaron Rogers thing. So far, it has not crossed over.
Starting point is 01:18:32 Like, I haven't seen it in like, you know, Megan Kelly or these kind of links to the mainstream, right? I looked for it on national review.com, nothing. So it hasn't kind of gone mainstream yet, but I feel like all of these things are just fucking give it time. Yeah, totally. That'll be in like the fucking surgeon general's report of like nutrition standards in like three years time. Who knows? Why? Last chapter of this.
Starting point is 01:18:56 In January, 26, Peter Duesberg died. He did not change any of his beliefs in his 2012 interview with Joe Rogan. He's still repeating the dumb bullshit about Kaposi's sarcoma. Yeah, great. So a wasted life, a piece of shit, rest in piss, and your legacy is a bunch of people dying of AIDS when they didn't have to. Michael. You're trying to think of a joke to end with, but you're too sad. I'm really sad, but I do think I,
Starting point is 01:19:25 I came up with the clickbaited title for our episode. Oh, do it. America's next top AIDS denialist. Yes, the kid rock story.

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