Making Sense with Sam Harris - #216 — A Conversation with Graeme Wood
Episode Date: September 3, 2020Sam Harris speaks with Graeme Wood about the breakdown of social order in the U.S. They discuss the recent eruptions of violence, the loss of trust in the media, the cases of Jacob Blake and Kyle Ritt...enhouse, how to understand police videos, the risks of vigilantism, the politicization of race, the problem of deep fakes, Trump not actually wanting to be president, the prospect that Trump might attempt to pardon himself, and other topics. If the Making Sense podcast logo in your player is BLACK, you can SUBSCRIBE to gain access to all full-length episodes at samharris.org/subscribe.
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Welcome to the Making Sense Podcast.
This is Sam Harris.
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I am here with Graham Wood.
Graham, thanks for joining me.
My pleasure, Sam.
So where am I reaching you?
I get the sense you're not at home.
I'm usually not at home.
And right now I'm in Oslo, Norway.
Home for me is the United States.
And usually I'm traveling around.
It's harder than it usually is.
But I have family over here. I got jailbroken from the US and made it out.
Have you been traveling throughout COVID, or have you been locked down for a period?
This has been the most sedentary period of six months or so in my life. I've been
locked down with the exception of one reporting trip to Florida.
I've been locked down with the exception of one reporting trip to Florida.
And you've been on the podcast before.
You wrote a great book on the Islamic State, which we discussed, The Way of the Strangers.
So people are encouraged to listen to that if they want to get your expertise on all things related to jihad.
But generally, can you summarize your focus as a writer? I mean,
you write mainly for The Atlantic and cover really interesting stuff. What sort of things
are you focused on these days? These days, I've been not traveling around so much. So I've been
writing a lot of opinion columns. I've been writing a fair bit on COVID, usually with an
international focus. But my bread and butter is traveling around, finding things that are
interesting wherever they might be. And as you mentioned, for a few years, the main thing that
I've been writing about has been the Islamic State and the development of jihadism.
the development of jihadism. So domestically, I think I want to focus on all the ways in which the United States has begun to resemble a failing state. You obviously know what it's like to be
in a failed state or to focus on it, but it seems to me we're dealing with
trends in public opinion and disinformation and failures of sense-making, a breakdown of trust
in institutions, political polarization, failures of leadership at a level that I haven't even
contemplated in my lifetime, I don't think. I mean, perhaps I was just too young to understand
how bad it was at various points earlier in my life.
But this just seems like an unraveling that is fairly disconcerting.
You know, I'm happy to go wherever you want to go, but I thought we could talk through
what's been going on with social protests and police violence and the political ramifications
of what happened in Kenosha and Portland.
the political ramifications of what happened in Kenosha and Portland.
And actually, now I recall that the first time we met was around this topic of violence.
Actually, I got into Brazilian jiu-jitsu, and you wrote a piece in The Atlantic on that. And that's when you came out, and I sort of introduced you to my midlife crisis around all things jiu-jitsu and self-defensive.
So it's kind of full circle
for our conversation. But give me your general sense of what we're living through at the moment
in the US. Yeah. So like I mentioned, a lot of my reporting has been going overseas to places
that have had some level of social breakdown, some level of political breakdown.
And so, yeah, there are some aspects of that that you definitely see in the United States.
When I think of societies that have really broken down, though, I think of places like Somalia,
like Iraq, places where the government just has ceased to exist. And we don't have that. We have
where the government just has ceased to exist. And we don't have that. We have touches of that. And we have a kind of relative breakdown that I think we experience both as an absolute loss of
standards and performance of government, but also a relative loss when we look at other countries
that seem to be doing much better than we are. And that, you know, we thought we were in
their league or they were not quite in our league, but below us. And somewhere like, say, Vietnam
or Thailand has just been cleaning our clock when it comes to dealing with COVID. So what does
breakdown look like in another place, the kind of places
where I would have been sent a couple of years ago, 10 years ago to report? I think of places
like Zimbabwe, where the government has no longer any control over its currency, can't be trusted
to maintain law and order because it insists on destroying any kind of law and
order that might exist.
So we see bits of that right now.
I mean, there are cities that are pretty much acknowledged to be no longer under control
of the forces, law enforcement, or any other kind of discernible powers that we would want
to have a monopoly
on the use of legitimate force. So there's touches of that. Now, what I've found in looking at other
countries is that the really dangerous combination is a place like Iraq, where at one point you have
total control by the government, way too much control, control over
the life and death of its citizens, say during the Saddam Hussein regime, that's replaced by
total anarchy. So in the United States, you see touches of that too. You see the government
arrogating to itself all sorts of kinds of power that we shouldn't really be comfortable with. And then at the same
time, you see the total breakdown of law and order in certain pockets of urban America. So
I am terrified to see that combination of both consolidation of power and then total chaos.
of both consolidation of power and then total chaos. It's a really ugly combination to see.
Yeah, I remember I did a podcast in the beginning of April with Stanley McChrystal and Chris Fussell, his partner. Forgive me, Chris, I can't recall whether you pronounced your last name Fussell or
Fussell or some other variant there. But anyway, I remember having this conversation with them
and talking about the prospect of a breakdown in social cohesion under COVID. And I remember,
I think I actually telegraphed this in the conversation, but if I didn't, I was certainly
thinking it, that I was worried that I was being a scaremonger for even just hypothesizing that
this was possibly on the menu or worth thinking through, just that things could fray enough
so that there would be violence in the streets, that our political partisanship could turn
violent.
It really did seem, as recently as the beginning of April, far-fetched to me,
and I just felt like it was worth talking about because it was possible. But if you had asked me
then, I certainly didn't feel it was likely. And so now I'm interested to consider how many of us
have now kind of reset our expectations, and this seems like the new
normal, and we're not actually entertaining how much worse things could get, and it would seem
like scaremongering to sincerely entertain that. But there is a kind of slide towards something
unrecognizable, at least in our lifetimes here. Obviously, there are comparisons with the 60s,
and there was a fair amount of social unrest then. I don't know if, I'm sure there are many
disanalogies there as well, but with Trump in the White House and the prospect of either him
being reelected or there being a real unwillingness
to accept the results of an election that goes against him, it seems like a very risky time
we're in. And the thing that is so disconcerting for me, just on an hourly basis, is to see how
things are distorted in what used to be the most reliable sources of news for us, right? I mean,
I feel like now I can count on the New York Times to get crucial things wrong with respect to
what's happening with protests and police violence, say, and wrong in a way that just
amplifies political partisanship and hysteria on the part of people who actually decide to go
in the streets, and certainly hysteria on social media. And so I feel like there's a kind of a
moral panic component to a lot of what's going on. And there are very few level-headed people
in the media whose inclination is to turn down the temperature on things.
The business model of media is to be as shrill and sensational as possible so that the partisans
amplify your message. So yeah, there's a way in which this is a runaway train, or at least feels
like one, that worries me and for which I really don't have any, it just seems deeply
unfamiliar to be living through. Yeah, I think there's a definite recalibration that's taking
place within media and a recalibration that as citizens, we've got to kind of work through in
our own minds. We notice things that we didn't notice before about stories getting covered or
not getting covered that should be. And I would still take
the New York Times over my Facebook feed, say, as a way to understand what's happening
in the United States. That said, it's been tough. At The Atlantic, which is where I write most of
the time, the magazine has endorsed a candidate.
In the last election, it endorsed Hillary Clinton.
Very odd thing for The Atlantic to do just because we don't endorse candidates most of the time.
But to have announced ourselves as having been on one side, now readers have to take that into account.
And it's just our being honest.
I mean, there were basically nobody at the magazine who was in favor of Donald Trump. And so it was important that we come right out and say that. And so when readers read us, they know that that's where our origin point is going to be in our opinions.
our origin point is going to be in our opinions. That said, I've been told by more than one editor that if Donald Trump does something right, then it's our duty to say so. So there is still a
standard of truth that we're working toward. It's just that we're in a different media environment.
I would also hasten to add that it's not just media. I mean, there are so many other
sources of truth that we would have taken for granted in the past that we no longer can. You
may have seen Harold Varmus co-wrote an op-ed in the New York Times just in the last couple of days.
It's the former head of the NIH, one of the most Nobel Prize winner, basically said,
don't trust the CDC. CDC has been politicized. So if you've got Harold Varmus telling you not to trust the CDC,
then you really have a breakdown in the sources of medical information
when you need to have that information coming through loud and clear
with the consensus of the best medical minds.
Yeah, don't trust the CDC in the middle of a
pandemic when you have to decide whether to send your kids back to school. It really is
unbelievable we're in this situation. Well, let's talk a little bit about the violence we've seen,
because this is a place where I see everyone left of center seeming to get virtually every specific claim wrong. And, you know, I'm
someone who, as I think you know, is more concerned that we not re-elect Donald Trump than most
people. I mean, certainly I would put my anti-Trump bona fides up against anybody on the left or the center or among the never-Trump Republicans.
But it is crazy-making and deeply concerning that the left seems to—the bar is nowhere near where you put it at the Atlantic, not only would they not acknowledge that he gets anything right, but just everything is upside down in how they describe what's happening with police violence
and social protests. I mean, NPR just published a wonderful interview, which I think you noticed,
informing all of humanity that looting was essentially a moral imperative and a great form
of social protest protest because small business
owners are really no better than big business owners, and they all deserve to have their
stuff stolen. And this was presented on the NPR website without any... There wasn't a single
critical question, if I recall correctly. It was just like, this is practically NPR's position on
looting. Yeah, that was shocking to read.
I've actually subjected myself to the book.
I've read it cover to cover by now and have reviewed it for The Atlantic.
Oh, nice.
It is, if anything, it's more radical than the NPR interview would have you believe.
The NPR interview really took the title of the book as the jumping off point,
In Defense of Looting by Vicki Osterweil. The book is actually mostly about a defense of violence.
So looting is an afterthought. I think there are whole chapters where looting isn't mentioned
explicitly. What it's really trying to argue is that America is conceived in sin, racial sin, capitalist
sin, you name it, that the system that we've inherited in the present is bad, it's screwed
up, and that it must be destroyed.
So if it sounds like the kind of thing that would destroy our society to just have people
smash open shops, take everything in them and burn them down,
then that is very much the point. There's a desire on the part of the author to recreate society
in what I can only assume is some kind of, she doesn't say explicitly, but a Marxist anarchist
revolution that is born out of violence, wiping away the old order. And yes, the NPR interview that introduced
this book to, I think, most of the people who have heard about it was totally uncritical.
And I will say this for it. I think that NPR did the right thing by interviewing this writer,
because there are a lot of people who have, if not explicitly positive things to say about looting, think that looting is a reasonable response to the injustices of American history or the present in the American system.
And I think that those people need to articulate what they really think.
They can't just get away with saying, I don't want to criticize the looters.
get away with saying, I don't want to criticize the looters. No, I want them to say I'm on the side of Vicky Osterweil or say that they have a different view of looting. But being able to
be kind of mealy-mouthed about these things has not worked out very well. And it's allowed,
for example, Donald Trump to conflate the position of, say, Joe Biden with the position of, say, someone who
throws a brick through a window and steals an iPad, which is completely unfair.
Making sure that these differences are as sharp as possible, I think, is one of the
things that journalists should do.
So NPR, they started to do that.
Unfortunately, they weren't as critical of, as they could have been,
of the author when they had her in their clutches.
Yeah. So Biden, as of yesterday, I think we'll release this a few days hence, but
we're recording the day after he gave his speech in Pittsburgh. And the purpose of which was to
put some daylight between him and the caricature of him that Donald Trump tried to paint,
aligning him with the left and the pro-chaos, pro-looting, anti-capitalist far left,
which exists and is clearly worth disavowing.
I assume you saw that speech.
I was pleasantly surprised that he took the line that
he did, and I thought it was pretty effective. But he does still get enough wrong as part of
his talking points that given enough time, he doesn't do himself too many favors here. So like,
when he talks about police violence, virtually everything he says seems to me to be pandering to Black Lives Matter in a way that's just inaccurate.
I should explain why I think that.
But I think he also said that Kyle Rittenhouse was a white supremacist at one point, not in his speech, but I think on Twitter.
I think that his campaign released something about white supremacists in a way that was clearly referencing the Rittenhouse shooting. I don't think there's any evidence that Rittenhouse
is a white supremacist. Obviously, things can change by the day, but at the time we're having
this conversation, do you know of any evidence that suggests that? No, unless you think that
a white supremacist is someone who believes that there is such thing as private property and it
should be defended by the state. And there are such people who are so radical that they would say
that that alone will make you a white supremacist. But as far as I know, all the reporting about Kyle
Rittenhouse's social media suggests that he was a big cop enthusiast, a big gun enthusiast. And if
that makes you a white supremacist, then I guess he's a white supremacist, but I tend to be more restrictive in my definition. Yeah. Well,
I think our sanity depends on our being that way. So let's just wind this all the way back to the
Jacob Blake shooting, which was the proximate cause of all of this chaos. What happened there
to my eye, again, we're talking at one point in time, and who knows
what facts will come out in subsequent days or weeks.
We might learn a lot about the cops there.
We might learn that they're all members of the local chapter of the KKK, and therefore
racism could have been a conscious motive on their part.
But when I see a shooting like that, within the frame of that video, the color of everyone's skin
is totally irrelevant. I've seen videos like that where white people are getting shot. I've seen
videos like that where black people are getting shot by black cops. And, you know, I've talked at
sufficient length about the statistics of all of these encounters with cops and applications of violence,
lethal and not,
and justified and not,
to say that the story is not,
is certainly not a clean Black Lives Matter story
of us having an epidemic
of racist police violence
against young black men.
That is just,
the statistics don't bear that out.
You know,
I would just say to our listeners, you have to listen to my two-hour walkthrough, this morass titled, Can We Step Back from the Brink? Or Can We Pull Back from the Brink? One of those.
But so when I look at a video like this, and I'd be interested to know if you see this
know if you see this differently. We clearly see a person who has been resisting arrest. I don't know to what degree he fought with the cops before the video starts. And we see him just essentially
moving away from the cops, you know, and their guns are already drawn at this point. But I think
it's from other video, I think it's pretty clear that there was a kind of a wrestling match
happening, and then he broke away.
And then you have fully three cops, if memory serves, pursuing him around his car,
and he's now opening his door to either get into his car to drive away,
or reaching into the driver's side of the car for something.
It's not clear from the video.
And then he gets shot seven times in the back,
and now he is, I believe, still in some terrible state and very likely paralyzed, though I
think it seems likely he'll survive at this point.
And this encounter gets summarized virtually everywhere in mainstream media as, this is
not a verbatim quote, but this is a paraphrase of virtually
every summary I've seen, yet another black man shot by white cops, or a black man shot in the
back seven times in front of his kids by white cops, right? And it is just, it's an article of
faith that the skin color of all involved is absolutely relevant here and worth emphasizing.
And it's also an article of faith that all of these details have some moral opprobrium attached to them.
Like, it is assumed that the cop could never be justified in shooting someone in the back in an encounter like this.
Whereas if you understand how violence evolves,
and you understand that we're living in a society in the U.S.
where every police officer has to assume that everyone they are dealing with
is either potentially armed, and if they're reaching for something in their car, they are very likely reaching for a gun. I mean, this is not the
default assumption, perhaps, in Western Europe, but in the U.S., it absolutely has to be. Our
failures of gun control are relevant here, but the idea that cops are performing some kind of
lynching by shooting someone in the back because he has
fought them off, ran around his car, and opened the door and reached in. That's just, it's just
completely untrue given a cop's eye view of the world. I think that the only thing I want to say
here, and I'll turn it over to you, that really does put the onus on the cops is clearly they lacked the training or capacity
to control him physically and take him down so that they wouldn't have to use lethal force,
right? I mean, like cops who actually could restrain somebody could have easily restrained
him. He was outnumbered. He was walking away from them in a way that allowed for any cop with a
modicum of training to take him down and hold him down. And the fact that they couldn't do that
suggests that there's a serious recruitment problem and training problem, you know, and we
know this is true, you know, nationwide. And so that's something to be worried about and rectified.
But, I mean, even there, people's intuitions about what
cops should be doing, should be allowed to do, all of this has run off the rails in mainstream
media. I mean, it's a point of seemingly absolute consensus that cops should never use, you know,
a rear neck restraint, otherwise known as a rear naked choke, because some number of people have
died under those conditions, or seem to have died under those conditions. I think in many cases that was not,
in fact, their cause of death. Whereas a rear naked choke is, in fact, if done appropriately,
a remarkably safe procedure. I mean, it's done in every jiu-jitsu school in the country every day of the year. And if it had any high
rate of lethality, you would just be seeing people die all over the country all the time in
jiu-jitsu training. And this is now, I think it's illegal in New York now and maybe illegal in other
states for cops to even attempt this. What you have done when you remove that tool, you have
made it far more likely that cops are going to have to resort to lethal force because they can't. It's really one of the only ways to incapacitate someone so that you can cuff them if you're going to rely on your grappling skills. And so it's just everything is upside down here. But again, I would love to know if you disagree with anything I said about what we can glean from that video.
Yeah, there's a few things that I see when I watch that video, in addition to just being
horrified at seeing violence of any type.
First of all, Sam, I think you're kind of like me in that you've probably spent a fair
bit of time watching encounters like this on YouTube or wherever.
watching encounters like this on YouTube or wherever, videos of police subduing, failing to subdue someone, police doling out violence and being the victims of it. And I think many people
who see that scene, they start off being rightfully horrified at having witnessed an act of violence.
And then they don't have some of the context that you might have if
you've gone down some of those YouTube rabbit holes and watched lots of violence like this and
seen how this kind of thing could turn out in other scenarios, how that does turn out in other
scenarios. Like, you know, the fact that he's lunging into his car, who knows what he's lunging
for? Apparently there's a knife there.
It's not a crime to have a knife in your car, as far as I know. However, if you're a cop and
someone grabs a knife and you're right behind him and that person wants to stab you, you could have
a gun, but I don't think the average person knows whether you should expect to get stabbed if
someone is four feet away from you, you have a
gun and they have a knife. And the answer is almost certainly you're going to get stabbed.
That's what you are dealing with. If you have someone who wants to stab you and you're that
close, it's not unless you get one really good shot right in the head, it's very likely that
the person's going to get to you and be on top of you with a knife,
even if you've put a round in him already. So yeah, I think there's not a great intuition on the part of the general public about the kind of threat that's being faced, about the type of
mindset that you might be in if you're aware of those threats too. And I think too, that that's,
that's a problem that not just with, with police training, not just with the poor intuitions of the
general public, but also with Kyle Rittenhouse, you know, if you are spending a lot of time
thinking about guns, thinking about law enforcement, you are going to be aware of these
things and maybe primed to overreact a bit too, if your politics suggested. The other thing in that video and what you're describing is the
failure to describe it properly. As a journalist, what I tend to do is I look for incidents that
turn out to be more complicated than they originally appear. And what you're
describing is the exact opposite of this. And people seem to like doing that, both sides,
liberals, conservatives, left, far right. You find a situation of moral complexity,
of deep ambiguity like this, and people are not as interested in what I do as in turning it into a black and white
morality play. It takes a lot of investigation to find out what's actually happening.
Just watching a few seconds of a video is not going to tell you why the cops are there in the
first place, what the interaction has been like up until the point where we see them shoot a guy seven times in the back. And I'm not sure we'll ever know that. I mean, half the people I talk to about that shooting
think that the guy died on the scene. They're not aware that he's still alive right now. So if
they're not aware of that detail and they're unaware of pretty much every aspect of the
context of that shooting, And it can be used
for one of these binary political purposes, either to suggest that he's a demon or to suggest that
the people who shot him are. Yeah. Well, I want to talk about the Kyle Rittenhouse
episode because that does strike me as more complex and interesting in the end, and has pretty wide implications. But
yeah, just to reiterate something you said there about the Jacob Blake shooting, and what it's
like to have seen a lot of these videos, I mean, what you have to know is that every permutation
of this kind of encounter has happened. So you can find video, again, with the race of everyone
swapped in and out, right? You can find video where the guy reaches into his car, pulls out a gun,
and shoots the cop in the face and kills him, right? And every cop knows about those kinds of
encounters, right? So it's just, you have to game this out more fully than your knee-jerk reaction may admit of, which is,
it is just awful that we're living in a society where cops shoot a guy in the back in front of
his kids, right, with an apparent intent of killing him, right, as a way to pacify him.
I mean, how did we get here? This is completely insane and
unacceptable. But once the wheels begin to come off in an encounter like this, there are very few
options open to people who don't have, you know, all the tools that might be possible there. I mean,
again, cops of sufficient strength and training could have easily taken this guy down and held him down,
he wouldn't have been injured in the end, right? So there's an absolute deficit of training and
recruitment there that is visible to the eye of anyone who knows what is going on. And then there's
the fact that I think a taser was used before the video picks up and failed, but, you know, people
think that tasers are magic. Well, you know,
why not always use them? Well, they're not magic, and they often fail. And they're more dangerous
than a neck restraint, which has now been ruled illegal, right? Because if you tase someone and
it works, and they fall to the concrete and hit their head, you know, that is virtually always
worse than actually being choked out, you know, in a jujitsu
class. So people have to become better students of this kind of violence before they have these
reactions that seem to justify burning down half a city or writing headlines which attest yet again
in the loudest possible way that we have a real problem of lethal racist violence
perpetuated by cops. Because again, you know, unless we find out more about the precursors
to that event, there's no reason to even talk about race at this point. That's what's so
sickening. My hypothesis is that virtually every mention of race is counterproductive now in our society.
It's virtually only going to push society in one direction, which is greater polarization,
greater derangement, greater hysteria, less contact with actual facts. And it's also going
to increase the likelihood that we're going to get four more years of Donald Trump.
are going to increase the likelihood that we're going to get four more years of Donald Trump.
There's one aspect of what you say that I am not so sure about, and we should come back to race in a second. But the idea that we should familiarize ourselves with this kind of interaction used to
be very appealing to me. I started watching these videos, and I actually wrote a profile a couple
years ago of a guy named John Correa, a very nice guy who does kind of color commentary on videos exactly like this.
So it will be badge cam, it'll be CCTV, but it's always violence that either happens or
is averted.
And then he will minutely dissect what happened.
And he's a former preacher, right?
He went from minister to full-time security cam, self-defense, video analysis.
Yeah, and he's still a man of God in the sense that he will remind you of the
importance of having a good relationship with Jesus and remind you why Jesus would want
you to put in the right amount of time at the range and so forth.
Right, right.
So he's a great guy and he's extremely
responsible. He's very, I think, evidence-based when he's doing these analyses. And I've learned
a great deal. I think that people should watch him and heed his words of caution as well.
I'm also not really certain whether I want people to be thinking about
this all the time. For one thing, rarely do you see people studying encounters that go well.
They end up seeing huge numbers of encounters that go very badly, even if these are extremely rare in the life of a cop or a citizen.
And I found by watching them that you have to be extremely scrupulous in making sure that you have
kind of kept your head on your shoulders when it comes to understanding what the actual likelihood
that this is going to happen to you is. And if you don't do
that, your mind will be even more warped than when you went in. You might have a better sense of,
yes, this person with this weapon is a danger at this distance when I'm carrying this weapon,
when I'm ready for him, when I'm not. But the fact of the matter is most of us don't get attacked.
Very, very few of us are law enforcement.
So many of these things are just not relevant to our lives.
And when we get too used to them, then I think it can have a really warping effect on our psychology.
I know you, Sam, have spent a long time thinking about self-defense, personal security, and
so forth, as have I.
And I'm not sure I would take back any of that time
in my case, but I do worry that people are becoming over-familiar with these types of
interactions, and what they get out of it is not necessarily healthy for us collectively as a
society. Yeah, no, I would totally agree with that. And this is a nice segue into the
Kyle Rittenhouse phenomenon, because if you become a student of this kind of violence,
yes, you can get an outsized sense of how common it is. I mean, so really what I would just to
make clear what I was recommending, it's like, if you're not someone who really knows a lot about
violence, you know, if you haven't studied it,
if you haven't trained in anything, right, if you just don't know how hard it is to shoot what you're aiming at, you know, especially when that thing is moving,
if you're just not informed, don't have a strong opinion about these things, right? Don't go in
like that now is a good time to burn down the local sporting goods store over this or support others doing likewise when
you just don't know what's going on. It certainly also attracts, it is a kind of bug light, it
attracts a certain kind of mind and a certain kind of person to spend a lot of time doing this,
and it's going to select for people who have that fondness for firearms and self-defense training
and joining militias, and it's sort of the Kyle Rittenhouse kind of person.
And then we wind up in this other terrible place on the landscape, which is once you get any kind
of breakdown in social order, once cops get pushed far enough on the back foot
such that they're not doing the kind of policing we would expect them to do, once they have
essentially announced nationwide that they won't protect property, which they de facto have. Just by example, we saw this in the first wave of protests and riots, that even in the most
affluent parts of the most affluent cities, cops would not protect property. I mean, you know,
potentially there's an argument for that, but it's probably not a great one. And in response to the
protests, we had the worst of all possibilities. We had cops
essentially saying they would not protect property, and they wouldn't even be diligent in protecting
the people who tried to protect their own property from being violently attacked by mobs.
We all saw footage of store owners being beaten by mobs. But what they would do is they would kick the shit
out of peaceful protesters, right? That's what the cops were up for. So it was like, if you wanted to
create a machine to amplify cynicism and a commitment to a kind of vigilante, you know,
take matters into your own hands ethic, you could not have done better than these last few months
with the spectacle of American policing. And what you have there too is exactly that
kind of twin evil force going on where it's the forces of total chaos. That is the cops saying,
we are not going to enforce laws concerning property, go out, light fires, whatever.
But at the same time, claiming for themselves immense power. So chaos and order both being
weaponized to just make life hell. If you combine those two, you get what I was describing earlier as these characteristics of hellish failed states
that I've reported on overseas. It's in micro, it's not beyond recovery, but it's a taste of
what life is like in places where everything falls apart. And what I worry about most, too, is that these effects are not exactly accidental.
The police, they step back from enforcement of property crimes.
And sometimes in other places where I've reported, it's been pretty clear that they'll say,
yes, we stand between you and violence and chaos.
If we're not here, then that's what's going to happen.
But kind of silently uttered after that promise, that threat is, we're going to make sure that
that's what happens if we're not there. That is, if we're not there to protect you,
then things will go badly because we insist that they'll go badly so that you give us the proper respect and sign over your security to us along with everything else.
So what is your actual allegation or concern there that the cops have put the rioters on a sufficiently long leash for reasons of sort of justifying their own office? Like,
look, are you sure you want to defund us? Well, let's take a look at what's going to happen
tonight when we just sit on our hands. Do you think that's happening?
Well, what I think is happening is that incentives exist. So the incentive is to say,
first of all, there are some perfectly reasonable incentives. You don't enforce laws
concerning property because you're spending your resources making sure that people don't get killed.
You try to make sure violence isn't happening. So that's a good reason to do this. But there is an
incentive too, to say, look, we're not going to enforce this because we want to show you
what happens when you don't have us. And the to show you what happens when you don't have us.
And the incentive is for what happens when you don't have us to be very, very bad,
to be as bad as possible so that your appreciation for us, the police, is sufficient. So I'm not alleging that there's some conspiracy where the cops are handing people guns or Molotov cocktails. What I'm saying is that at all levels, there are
some really, really negative, vicious incentives that are at work. And it wouldn't be shocking if
there was a downward spiral that's driven by them. Yeah. And all of this is coupled to what
is now known as the Ferguson effect, where cops, because they don't want to wind up on YouTube,
what is now known as the Ferguson effect, where cops, because they don't want to wind up on YouTube on what seems to be the wrong end of yet another lethal encounter, which in their world may
in fact have been a justified shooting, they're just going to stop policing proactively. And crime
rates are probably soaring as a result of that. So the Rittenhouse thing is interesting because you have someone who draws the obvious lesson, especially right of center here politically,
that we have the Second Amendment for a reason. It only makes sense to get really into guns and
personal protection because you really can't delegate the protection of yourself and your
family to the cops at a minimum. They're just
usually not there when you need them, and they're going to show up too late to do anything other
than hopefully solve the crime that you were the victim of. So if you care about self-defense,
well, then it really has to put the self back in self-defense. And therefore, you need guns,
and you need to train with them, and you need to take selfies of yourself walking around in the woods with your AR-15 and become one of those guys. And then you hear about this breakdown in
social order a few miles away from where you live and you decide you're going to be this, you know,
high testosterone Good Samaritan and get out there and put yourself between the forces of chaos and the social order
that still needs to be maintained, and you're going to protect people's businesses, as I think
Kyle Rittenhouse was intending to do, at least that's been reported. And there's footage of him
cleaning up graffiti earlier in the day, I think. And then he's interviewed by somebody at various points.
In those interviews, he seems like a perfectly nice kid.
I mean, there's no indication that he's intending to shoot somebody.
There's every indication.
I mean, during some portions of it, I think he's offering medical assistance, maybe medical
assistance that he has no business offering.
And I don't think
many people take him up on it, but there's no, as far as I can tell, no recorded evidence in
the videos or interviews with him that he's there looking for a fight. That said, he went from
Illinois to Wisconsin and picked up an AR-15 and went into a really, really, really
dangerous place where anything could have happened.
So maybe that is, you know, all by itself looking for a fight.
Yeah.
And I wonder whether he had the right level of, I mean, he obviously did not have the
right level of situational awareness, awareness of what he was getting into.
I mean, if you're walking around open carrying
with any weapon, even if it's a tiny pistol, if someone taps you on the shoulder in that scenario
in Kenosha, when buildings are burning around you and people are screaming in crowds around you,
you have to consider that within the next few seconds, someone is going to try to kill you with the weapon that
you have brought that could be the weapon that puts a bullet in your brain. So I didn't see
any awareness in his face. I don't imagine that any awareness could possibly be had if you're,
say, a recent high school graduate who shows up with your AR-15
in the middle of a riot in a previously unexampled, horrible situation in this country.
This is a situation that he clearly had never been in, that he'd be terrible at assessing
the danger to him. You know, when younger reporters go into war war zones and I talk to them, sometimes they'll ask,
what do you suggest? What should I know? And the first thing that I say is that danger just
doesn't always feel like danger. You're going into a situation that is unlike anything you've
experienced before. If you've seen movies, then they edit out all the boring parts that
happen in the movies. So you're going to have a very poor sense of what the actual rhythms of
a day in Baghdad will be. And you'll be surprised at how quickly things go bad,
how quickly the danger arrives, how quickly it passes. And these things are extremely difficult to train.
They're the kind of thing that you learn by accidentally surviving long enough.
And he had one day, one day in Kenosha, and they turned bad really, really fast.
I'm still very curious about what happened in the actual run-up to the first shooting.
The guy who he shot, Joseph Rosenbaum, doesn't seem to have been the most stable individual.
And there's suggestions that he was furious, that he may have attacked Rittenhouse. And then there's
all these moral questions and legal questions that I don't think
either of us is really competent to adjudicate about whether Rittenhouse, under the laws of the
state of Wisconsin, would have been justified in shooting him if Rosenbaum, say, grabbed for his
gun, as is, I think, alleged in the criminal complaint against Rittenhouse, that he shot
Rosenbaum after that
happened, that is after Rosenbaum went for his gun. But it just has to be said again and again,
that if you open carry in a situation like that, where there is mayhem all around you and crazy
people who have literally flocked there from other states because they're looking for
craziness, then you've committed an error that is really sealing your fate. I can't see how to see
it any other way. If Rittenhouse had been from Kenosha and had just woken up and rolled out of
bed and seen mayhem in his front yard and thought he had to defend himself.
That would be one thing, but he made such a terrible decision that almost everything that happened,
that flowed from that, is going to have to be seen in that light.
Well, it's a decision that so many people are making.
Everyone who shows up to one of these protests, or shows up anywhere,
whether it's in counter-protest to the protest
they don't like or it's their own protest, as we saw against lockdown earlier in the
pandemic, anyone who shows up armed, carrying an AR-15 or any firearm, some of these people
have thought it through and are just happy to run the risk, but the reality
is that the presence of a gun completely changes the dynamic of any interpersonal violence.
When you know you have a gun with concealed carry, that's its own burden ethically and
tactically, right? I mean, just you can have a gun on you and no one can
see it, and still, there are many doors closed to you. You cannot afford to get into a wrestling
match with someone, or a shoving match, or a boxing match, you know, in the kind of ordinary
range of interpersonal violence, when you have a gun on your belt, which at any moment,
you know, you might decide to draw, or you might fall out, you know, you might decide to draw or you might fall out, you know, in a
scuffle or it might be seen by the other person. I mean, just everything is potentially lethal.
And, you know, you have to think through what you're going to do if you start losing a fight
and you're armed. It's a different situation. Now, obviously, anyone who's a true firearms person
will have recourse to several aphorisms at this point, better to be judged by 12 than carried by
six. In certain cases, obviously, I would agree with that. But the real heuristic here is,
if you're going to be someone who assumes the responsibility,
you know, the real responsibility of real self-defense, right? If you're going to have
firearms, train with firearms, think of the scenarios under which you would use firearms,
right? You're going to be the sheriff of your own life in the end. And you understand that calling 911 is not actually a self-defense plan,
you have to avoid violence at virtually every cost, right?
Avoidance has to be your master strategy
because it's only if you've practiced that impeccably
do you know that you will be justified
if you find yourself having to resort to lethal
force? And if you've decided to just go out to a random car dealership with your AR-15
because you don't think the cops are going to defend those precious cars,
you're someone who's not avoiding violence at all, right? You're putting yourself in a very
tenuous circumstance, you know circumstance in front of a mob,
and it's totally irresponsible in the end.
So that part can't be defended.
And yet, everything subsequent to that might have been a good thing.
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