Making Sense with Sam Harris - #358 — The War in Ukraine

Episode Date: March 11, 2024

Sam Harris speaks with Yaroslav Trofimov about the War in Ukraine. They discuss the widespread false assumptions that Russia would win a swift victory, Ukrainian attitudes toward Russia, the transform...ation of the Ukrainian military, Russian incompetence, Russian public opinion, the Azov Battalion and the “de-Nazification” of Ukraine, the role of the Orthodox Church, conspiracy thinking and Russian propaganda, Putin’s popularity on the Right, NATO membership, the Minsk 2 agreement, alleged failures of Western diplomacy, Zelensky’s leadership, the moral clarity of the war, Russian war crimes, the new cult of WW2 victory in Russia, the numbers of casualties and displaced people in Ukraine, delays in US aid to Ukraine, nuclear blackmail, long-range weaponry, the weakness of western sanctions, the sabotage of the Nordstream pipeline, how the war might end, the complicated prospects of a Trump presidency, and other topics. If the Making Sense podcast logo in your player is BLACK, you can SUBSCRIBE to gain access to all full-length episodes at samharris.org/subscribe.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the Making Sense Podcast. This is Sam Harris. Just a note to say that if you're hearing this, you're not currently on our subscriber feed, and will only be hearing the first part of this conversation. In order to access full episodes of the Making Sense Podcast, you'll need to subscribe at samharris.org. There you'll also find our scholarship program, where we offer free accounts to anyone who can't afford one. We don't run ads on the
Starting point is 00:00:29 podcast, and therefore it's made possible entirely through the support of our subscribers. So if you enjoy what we're doing here, please consider becoming one. Today I'm speaking with Yaroslav Trofimov. Yaroslav is the chief foreign affairs correspondent for the Wall Street Journal and was a finalist for the Pulitzer Prize in international reporting for two consecutive years, in 2022 and 2023. He has reported from most major conflicts of the past two decades, serving as the journal's bureau chief in Afghanistan and Pakistan, and as a correspondent in Iraq. He's the author of several books, including Faith at War, The Siege of Mecca, and most recently Our Enemies Will Vanish, The Russian Invasion and Ukraine's War of Independence.
Starting point is 00:01:23 And that is the topic of today's conversation. This really serves as a primer on the war in Ukraine. We discuss the widespread false assumptions that Russia would win a swift victory, Ukrainian attitudes toward Russia, the transformation of the Ukrainian military, Russian incompetence, Russian public opinion, the Azov Battalion and the so-called denazification of Ukraine, the role of the Orthodox Church in Russia, conspiracy thinking and Russian propaganda, Putin's popularity on the right, NATO membership of Ukraine as an alleged provocation,
Starting point is 00:01:59 the Minsk II agreement, alleged failures of Western diplomacy, Zelensky's leadership, the moral clarity of this war, Russian war crimes, the new cult of World War II victory in Russia, the numbers of casualties and displaced people in Ukraine, the delay of U.S. aid, nuclear blackmail, the significance of long-range weaponry, the weakness of Western sanctions against Russia, the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipeline, and finally, how this war might end. And now I bring you Yaroslav Trofimov. I am here with Yaroslav Trofimov. Yaroslav, was that close to the pronunciation of your name? That is perfect.
Starting point is 00:02:50 Nice. Well, you've written a truly gripping and harrowing book about the beginning of the war in Ukraine. And I'd love to discuss that and really take us all the way through the present and into the future insofar as we can foresee it. Before we jump in, what's your background as a journalist? What kinds of things have you covered beyond the war? Well, thank you so much. You know, I was born in Ukraine, but this is really the first time I've come back to write about it. I spent the entire career that I've had at the Wall Street Journal since 1999 covering other people's wars and other people's miseries. You know, I used to be our Kabul-based bureau chief for Afghanistan and Pakistan for five years.
Starting point is 00:03:38 I covered the invasion of Iraq in 2003, and then again the war against ISIS, Islamic State, in 2015-16, and plenty of other wars, Somalia, Libya, you name it. And the Russian invasion of Georgia in 2008. So kind of, you know, my job as chief foreign affairs correspondent in the journal, but a lot of the time it was the wars and mayhem correspondent. Yeah, yeah. Well, it is courageous work.
Starting point is 00:04:07 As anyone listening to this conversation or reading your book will quickly intuit, again, the book is Our Enemies Will Vanish, The Russian Invasion and Ukraine's War of Independence. And so let's start pretty much where you start with your book. We're two years in, just over two years into the war. and I do want to cover events beyond those covered in your book. But the beginning of the war was astonishing for a few reasons. One was just that Russia thought that it would take just 10 days or something to accomplish. I mean, they thought they would take Kiev in, I think, three days and maybe the rest of Ukraine in something like six weeks. What do you make of the level of delusion that seems to have kind of shrouded the launch of the war? I mean, what mistakes did Putin make and how do you account for the poverty of his understanding of what awaited him in Ukraine? Yeah, well, I think the delusion was not just in Moscow. There was also delusion in Washington and in European capitals
Starting point is 00:05:10 because everyone, except the Ukrainians, was expecting Ukraine to fall in a matter of days. And I think it goes, first of all, to the profound misunderstanding of Ukrainian society and how much it has changed, especially since the war really began in 2014 with the initial Russian invasion of Crimea and the proxy war that Russia fomented in the Donbass region in eastern Ukraine. And back then, you know, the Ukrainian army was pretty much non-existent and couldn't put up much of a fight. And it was
Starting point is 00:05:43 the volunteer units, ordinary civilians who picked up guns and tried to stop the Russian little green men, you know, the Russian troops who were not wearing uniform, but were in fact, you know, Russian service members in the battlefields of Donbass. And at the time, you know, Russia was not unpopular in many parts of Ukraine because before that invasion, before that, you know before the first attempt to annex large parts of Ukraine, Russia was seen by Ukrainians as a country with higher wages, job opportunities, maybe less corruption. Volodymyr Zelensky at the time was working in Moscow.
Starting point is 00:06:19 He actually hosted the New Year's morning show on January 1st, 2014, at the time when the Maidan revolution was already underway in Kiev. But after that, you know, every Ukrainian saw what this quote-unquote Russian world that Putin wanted to bring to Ukraine means. You know, the eight years of occupation of Donetsk and Luhansk by Russian forces was this experiment. And people saw that Russian rule meant a big collapse of law and order, gangsters taking over,
Starting point is 00:06:51 taking properties at gunpoint, jobs disappearing. And more than half the population of Russian-occupied Donetsk and Luhansk were at their feet. They escaped to the rest of Ukraine, to the West, to Russia. And so by the time Putin invaded again with this full-scale invasion in February 2022,
Starting point is 00:07:10 every Ukrainian knew what it means to live under Russian rule. The cities of Eastern Ukraine had hundreds of thousands of refugees from Russian rule. And I think this transformation of the Ukrainian society is something that one had noticed in Moscow and in the West, as did the transformation of the Ukrainian society is something that wasn't noticed in Moscow and in the West, as did the transformation of the Ukrainian military, which by 2022 became a combat-tested professional fighting force that underwent reforms and had hundreds of thousands of either full-time service members or reserv, with considerable combat experience fighting the Russians. So are you saying that in 2014, something like a majority of Ukrainians would have been sympathetic to being reabsorbed by Russia?
Starting point is 00:07:55 Not a majority, but of Ukrainians for sure. But a significant proportion of people in places like Kharkiv and Odessa, especially the older generation who sort of still lived in the Soviet, post-Soviet nostalgia. Yeah, and I'm quoting in the book one of the Ukrainian veterans who played a key role
Starting point is 00:08:14 in the defense of Ukraine both in 2014 and after 2022, who is saying that in 2014, the majority of people in Kharkiv had this sort of latent pro-Russian tendencies. But that completely flipped. And as we saw in 2022, there was virtually no support for the Russians.
Starting point is 00:08:33 And the population of eastern Ukraine, you know, joined the military, fought to protect their cities, and did all they could to stop the Russians. Well, so there was clearly a misunderstanding of Ukrainian sentiment and the likelihood that Ukrainian society would resist or acquiesce. But it seems also that Putin and perhaps his generals, and one doesn't know how far down the hierarchy this must have gone, but
Starting point is 00:09:00 it seems that the Russians misunderstood the competence of their own forces, right? I mean, you would expect, I mean, I think you would have expected that with or without Ukrainian resistance, just given the asymmetry in power, what we imagine the asymmetry in power to be, that Russia still should have just rolled into Kiev fairly quickly. Russia still should have just rolled into Kiev fairly quickly. To what do you attribute certainly the early signs of incompetence on the part of the Russian forces? Well, you know, there's a culture of fear in Russia, which also means a culture of lying. So people are afraid to report at the chain of command the problems that they have.
Starting point is 00:09:43 And so everything gets embellished the higher up it goes. And I was speaking to General Budanov, the head of Ukrainian military intelligence, and he was telling me that the Americans came to us and had the intelligence which they had from the highest levels. So they knew what the Russian generals were telling Putin. But we knew, from our sources
Starting point is 00:10:00 lower down the food chain, the generals were lying to Putin about the readiness of Russian forces. We knew about the corruption. We knew about the, you know, the equipment that wasn't functioning. The units that were only on paper ready, but weren't actually ready. And in fact, it all came into play.
Starting point is 00:10:15 So the Russian army was not up to the task. But the other flip side of it also is because Putin lived in his own world in which he convinced himself that the Russians and Ukrainians are one people, as he wrote in his famous essay on history several months before the war. And the entire world plan only made sense
Starting point is 00:10:36 on the premise that the Ukrainian army would not really resist and that the Ukrainians would welcome the Russians as liberators from this Western-imposed clique, which was thinking in the Kremlin, it appears. And so if you look at the Russian forces that were streaming towards Kiev and Kharkiv, they were carrying parade uniforms. They were really expecting to be celebrating within days. So can you say more about Putin's view of Ukrainian and Russian history? How accurate or inaccurate were his claims that he's made and that essay you cite in various speeches? And to what degree does his view pervade Russia as a whole? enough about Russian sentiment with respect to history and the war to know how much people share
Starting point is 00:11:25 Putin's view? Or is it another instance where public opinion really can't be properly assessed given the level of fear in the society? Well, I think what we can say is that this view really is not exceptional. And we have to go back to the very foundational myth of Russia. So Russia traces its glory and its greatness to the Kiev Rus', which was a state established in Kiev by, you know, Princess Volodymyr, after whom Zelensky and Putin are named, and, you know, Yaroslav, after whom I'm named, and who ruled in the 10th, 11th centuries, well before Moscow even existed as a town. And so in the Russian historical narrative,
Starting point is 00:12:07 that is the narrative of the Russian Empire and then the Soviet Union, Moscow is a direct descendant who has the legacy of that Kievan Rus and the historical right to rule all the lands once ruled from Kiev. Obviously, Ukrainians see Kievan Rus, because it's in Kiev,
Starting point is 00:12:25 as their own heritage. And the Russian narrative has a problem because you cannot trace your roots to the capital of another country, a foreign country. And so the very existence of an independent, separate Ukraine completely undermines Russia's narrative,
Starting point is 00:12:41 the view of itself. And so there was always a hostility to the very idea of Ukrainian separate identity. Putin famously said in the recent interview that Ukrainian language was invented by the Austro-Hungarian general staff before World War I, which is complete nonsense because there were centuries of literature
Starting point is 00:13:00 in Ukrainian before that, even when it was banned by the Russian authorities, specifically. And so we have a tradition of Russian luminaries, even the liberal ones, kind of believing the same things. You know, Joseph Brodsky, you know, the famous Russian dissident poet who was exiled to America, you know, became the poet laureate of the United States.
Starting point is 00:13:22 He famously wrote a poem on independence of Ukraine in 1991, saying, I want to spit into the Dnipro River, and I wish it would flow backwards. And then he used a pretty derogatory name for Ukrainians. So unfortunately, that is part of the Russian mindset that is fostered by Russian education, which has never been decolonized. Everybody knows about the greatness of Pushkin or Dostoevsky,
Starting point is 00:13:48 but we've never looked at them through the same lens through which we look at, for example, Kipling, because they're all, you know, pretty imperialist and pretty aggressively imperialist in their writings. And Ukraine is the centerpiece of that. Hmm. Where does Tolstoy come out in his writings? Well, Tolstoy, you know,
Starting point is 00:14:09 was more of a pacifist, obviously, and having seen war in the Caucasus and the horrors of war. But during his time, the Ukrainian language was officially non-existent and Ukraine was called Little Russia in Russian documents and literature. What do you make, or what are we to make, of the claims of denazification in Ukraine that
Starting point is 00:14:34 Putin has said is part of the purpose of the war? And, you know, as spurious as those almost certainly are, given that Zelensky is Jewish and, you know, that sounds like an SNL sketch more than anything else. What about the Azov battalion and the historical links between it and various Nazi groups? This is some version of a half-truth that is, you know, in the main ridiculous and cynical on the part of Putin, I have to think. But can you untangle this for us? Sure, yeah. I mean, let's first go back to what does it mean to be a Nazi in Russian official lexicon. It's pretty much anybody who opposes the government or Russia is a Nazi,
Starting point is 00:15:22 by definition. This is their definition of a Nazi. And this comes at the time when, you know, it's forbidden to mention in Russia that the Soviet Union was a co-belligerent with the Nazis in the first third of World War II, you know, invading Poland together in 1939 and kind of being on the same side until June 1941. Now, as for the Azov battalion, which then became a regiment, in 2014, when the Ukrainian army unraveled, all these volunteer formations were created to try to stop the front line. And there were a lot of far-right extremists and soccer hooligans and all kinds of other unsavory characters who have flocked to groups like Azov.
Starting point is 00:16:04 But since then, it has changed. Since then, it became a professional unit of the Ukrainian armed forces. The professional military officer, Denis Prokopenko, became its chief ahead of the 2022. And it certainly repudiated, you know, any far-right ideology. It declared when the war began that, you know, we have Jewish and Muslim members in our ranks and we firmly reject the ideology of communism and of Nazism, the two ideologies that have caused so many millions of deaths in Ukraine. And if we look at the, you know, the electoral history of Ukraine, you know, yes,
Starting point is 00:16:46 it has far-right parties, you know, one would even say neo-Nazi parties, maybe. But none of them have ever managed to get more than 1% of the vote, which is a lot less than in pretty much every other European country, I would think. What is the role of the Orthodox Church in Russia in supporting the war, if any? Well, you know, the Patriarch Kirill, you know, the head of the Russian Orthodox Church, has come out very strongly in favor of the war. I mean, he declares it to be a holy war. You know, Russian Orthodox priests are blessing the weapons of the Russian troops, which is kind of remarkable considering that, you know, these are the weapons that are killing thousands of fellow Orthodox civilians.
Starting point is 00:17:26 Is there any explicitly religious framing of the war on the part of Putin or most Russians? Is there some kind of, beyond the history in the sense that Ukraine isn't a nation and its existence as a separate nation is a perpetual insult to Russia. Is there a religious, spiritual, apocalyptic framing of it, or is the church just a supporter on the sidelines? I think the church is not just a supporter. The church is an instrument of state power in Russia and has always been a subordinate to state power. A lot of the clergy in Soviet times were also KGB officers,
Starting point is 00:18:05 and it's working very closely with the military right now. You know, Putin himself doesn't speak much about religiosity. And, you know, he was asked in a recent interview, you know, does he believe in God? And he didn't say so. But certainly the regime is playing this card of, you know, defender of traditional values. You know, there is a whole crusade against, you know, gay, lesbian and transgender rights. And it's part of its instrument of messages that it's sending out. And in the Russian official narrative, you know, Ukraine is taken over by satanists who want to force everyone to become homosexual and, you know,
Starting point is 00:18:46 and every child to change the gender and all that. So, you know, the propaganda can be quite ridiculous. The ridiculousness of it is, I mean, obviously there are analogs to this craziness in other countries. And even in America, you have something like QAnon, where it's just, countries, and even in America, you have something like QAnon, where it's hard to believe that anyone actually believes what they say they believe. I mean, in the case of QAnon, you've got this imagined cult of pedophile cannibals that includes some of the most famous people in Hollywood and democratic politics. So it's literally imagined, or at least it's alleged to be imagined by seemingly millions of people, that you have celebrities like Tom Hanks and Michelle Obama and et cetera drinking the blood
Starting point is 00:19:32 of children so as to stay youthful. I think they're taking some magical substance, adrenochrome, out of the bodies of children and perhaps additionally raping and cannibalizing them. bodies of children, and perhaps additionally raping and cannibalizing them. And this is, it's a strange performance of, I mean, it's a kind of pornography of suspicion that gets amplified on social media. But much of it does appear to be in earnest. How much of the conspiracy thinking that exists in Russia do you think is believed? And how much of it is just, we know that on some level we can't trust information. And so, because there's so much propaganda, there's so much lying, there's so many half-truths, we're basically declaring epistemological bankruptcy and we'll just entertain any string of sentences that anyone wants to
Starting point is 00:20:24 produce. I think you have a point here. I think the main strategic goal of Russian propaganda is the removal of truth as a concept. So they're throwing out a whole variety of competing storylines that are incompatible with each other and seeing sort of what sticks.
Starting point is 00:20:41 But the ultimate overarching goal is to foster cynicism and make people believe that, you know, there's no right and wrong and there is no true or untrue. What do you make of the fact that Putin now appears to be some kind of hero of right-wing populists in the U.S. and elsewhere? I mean, he's the face of many things. I mean, he's the antithesis of the woke elitist who, not to say Satanist, who's trying to turn your kid gay or trans. But he's also, I guess, primarily he's the face of
Starting point is 00:21:15 anti-globalism on some level. How has this happened? I mean, you would think that Republicans in the US above more or less anyone would have recognized that Putin is antithetical to more or less everything America thought it represented in the world. Again, right of center even more than left of center. How did we get here where Putin is just celebrated without much of a qualm, it seems? I think it's really interesting to see this and also the dynamic of this in America and in Europe. Because we're sort of on the same page with parts of the Republican Party in the U.S. and much of the European far-right
Starting point is 00:21:53 before the Foskey invasion. Putin was celebrated as a sort of virile macho man who is, you know, standing up for tradition against the woke and is defending, you know, the old truth. And, you know, because of truth. And, you know, because of all these different messages to different audiences,
Starting point is 00:22:08 you could appeal both to, you know, some on the far left, but also some on the far right. And, you know, the propaganda was tailored. But I think what happened after 1922 in Europe
Starting point is 00:22:18 is that Ukraine became a very real thing. Now, Ukraine in America is a sort of imaginary abstract construct that doesn't factor into daily life. But in Europe, after several million Ukrainians arrived, most of women and children fleeing the war, and it became a factor of daily life. It became very difficult for the far-right parties to openly support Putin. for the far-right parties to openly support Putin.
Starting point is 00:22:45 And so if you look at the, you know, in Italy, for example, Prime Minister Giorgio Meloni, whose party used to be quite pro-Russian and whose deputy prime minister, Salvini, was very much pro-Russian, used to wear a Putin t-shirt, they are now one of the most active and clear supporters of Ukraine. And you see the same transformation in many other countries, even in France, you know, Marine Le Pen, and no longer openly supports Putin.
Starting point is 00:23:07 But in the U.S., you've seen the opposite. In the U.S., you know, we have seen that the Putin messaging is being repeated more and more, you know, including by members of the House and the Senate. And, you know, somehow Putin seems to have a hold on the mind of many parts of the American electorate. At a time when Russia has absolutely no economic leverage over America, a big difference from Europe, which has had to pay a very heavy price for severing its energy dependence and actually would have a lot to gain from appeasing Russia, but doesn't. How has the Wall Street Journal done editorially on this? Well, you know, I work for the news side, so I can only speak of the news side.
Starting point is 00:23:48 Yeah. And as a news site, we have invested a lot of effort to covering Ukraine, blow by blow. And I think, you know, as much or more than any other publication because our readers care very much about what's happening there. And everybody knows, you know, obviously everybody wants to know the detailed ground truth
Starting point is 00:24:08 of what is actually transpiring on the front lines and in the Ukrainian society because I think people realize just how much it matters despite all the noise and proclamations that it's not our war.
Starting point is 00:24:22 I mean, the fact is that after hundreds of billions of dollars spent by the U.S. and European allies and all the proclamations that we will stand with Ukraine as long as it takes, you know, you can say it's not our war, but a Russian victory in Ukraine will be seen as an American defeat by everybody else in the world. What do you make of the apparent confusion on that point in America? I'm thinking mostly right of center. I mean, maybe there's a left wing version of a similar confusion and spirit of isolationism. But as I look right of center, I often encounter the claim that the US and the EU are, to some considerable degree, culpable for Putin's invasion. It's often described as the result of Western provocations. We crossed one of his red lines, which we knew to be a red line. There were failures of Western diplomacy, for which America, above all, is culpable.
Starting point is 00:25:23 Did the prospect of NATO membership for Ukraine force Putin's hand here? I mean, how do you view this allegation that it's basically the war is our fault and Putin is acting as we would under similar circumstances. And it's just we just failed to understand our adversary and what really know, what really mattered to him. And, you know, it's largely on us that we're in this situation. Yeah, it's really strange to watch that exercise and trying to exculpate the guilty party by finding flaws in yourself. And, you know, if we go back to the Tucker Carlson interview with Putin, he asked him repeatedly, you know, was it NATO's fault? Putin's response for half an hour
Starting point is 00:26:05 was, well, actually, you know, Ukraine is Russia. Let me tell you the story of how since Vladimir the Great and Yaroslav the Wise, it was always Russia. You know, NATO membership was not something that was happening. In 2008, there was a declaration at the summit in Romania that Ukraine and Georgia will become members of NATO. And that was the end of it. There was no membership plan, no negotiations, nothing practical happening. It's not like Ukraine was about to join NATO
Starting point is 00:26:34 or was even negotiating to join NATO. It was just empty words. So there was really not much for Putin to fear from that, if he was really fearing that. And he wasn't. Because again, it's, if you look at his mindset, you know, he has said famously that the greatest tragedy of the 20th century was the collapse
Starting point is 00:26:54 of the Soviet Union. The greatest tragedy. Worse than the Holocaust. And he was working very hard to reverse that tragedy and to collect Russian lands once again. That was it. That's just pure imperialist land grab.
Starting point is 00:27:10 What happened at the Minsk II agreement? Yeah, so in 2014, when Russia fomented the armed uprising in Donbass, it was started by an officer in the Russian intelligence service, FSB, Igor Girkin, who has been sentenced by a court in the Netherlands since then for his key role in downing a Malaysian airlines jet. Hundreds of people died. Russia more and more overtly was sending troops to Donbass. And there was one agreement, the Minsk one. It failed because Russia decided to take more land and send tank units. And then as Ukrainian troops were being surrounded, talks began in
Starting point is 00:27:54 Minsk again, sponsored by Germany and France, and between Russia and Ukraine. And with the gun to its head, Ukraine agreed to cease fire, which stopped violence for now. And so as part of the agreement, you know, there were several conditions. And it started with, you know, Russia withdraws all its forces, restores Ukrainian control over the border crossings. Then there will be elections in these areas. And then eventually, Ukraine will change its constitution to accommodate autonomy and a certain role for the elected authorities of Donbass in the future running of Ukraine. What Russia said after this was done was that, well, actually, we're not going to withdraw our forces. We're not going to allow you to reclaim the border.
Starting point is 00:28:37 We will just demand that you change your constitution to give us veto power over your foreign policy through our proxies in Donbass. And that was the stalemate for the following eight years. And obviously, Ukraine was not going to give veto power over its foreign policy to people that rushed and stalled the gunpoint in Donbass and controlled 100%. I think I've heard the failure of Minsk II described as yet another failure of Western diplomacy or worse, that the U.S. and the U. nobody was interested in helping Ukraine. President Obama at the time famously said in an interview with The Atlantic that no matter, there's nothing the U.S. can do to prevent Russia from dominating Ukraine. He washed his hands of Ukraine.
Starting point is 00:29:37 No lethal aid was forthcoming. And everybody was really eager to do business with Moscow. The U.S. was focused on the nuclear deal with Iran. The Germans wanted to do the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, you know, have lots of cheap Russian gas. And so Ukraine, you know, was basically left to its own devices. Having lost, you know, 14,000 people died in that war at the time. It's not a small number.
Starting point is 00:30:02 And so, you know, everybody had a pause. Russia had a pause to, you know, prepare a full-scale war. And Ukraine had the pause to also prepare for a full-scale war that happened. But I think everybody was cognizant that Minsk was just a reprieve and there will be a next round, which is why the Ukrainians are very reluctant to send on to another deal with Russia that would leave Russia in control of Ukrainian land,
Starting point is 00:30:27 because that would just mean giving Russia time to prepare for another round in which they could be more successful in this time round. So take me back to the beginning of the war and the, I guess I want to ask you about the emergence of Zelensky as really a hero here. And I'm wondering, what can you say about him? Is it appropriate to view him just as a hero? Is he a more complicated figure? How do you view Zelensky and his leadership from the beginning of the war?
Starting point is 00:30:59 Yeah. Obviously, every person is complicated, and every person has many shades of black or white or gray. Zelensky was very popular when he was elected in 2019. He got three-quarters of the vote, the highest vote in the history of Ukrainian elections. And he was not very popular by the time the elysian happened. What he did do is stay. And I was in Afghanistan in the summer, in August 2021, and I remember very well how one morning President Ashraf Ghani
Starting point is 00:31:28 walked the ramparts of Kabul and said, you know, we will fight and defend the city. And by lunchtime the next day, on August 15th, he was in a helicopter to Abu Dhabi and the Taliban were in my hotel. Zariensky had the same option. Boris Johnson, among other leaders, called him and said, on the morning of the invasion, you know, come to London, set up a government in exile like the Poles did in 1939.
Starting point is 00:31:51 But he didn't. And I think that sort of the heroic decision to stay and come out in the open and record this video address with his closest aide saying, we are here, we are staying, everybody's staying, we will fight, was a very important moment. And I'm writing the book about how the next morning I was driving through Kiev and seeing hundreds of young men and women coming out of their high-rises and going to a stadium to pick up weapons
Starting point is 00:32:17 and head off to the front line on the city's outskirts to stop this advancing thousands of Russian troops. But, you know, he's human. He, like everybody else, has made mistakes. And there are plenty of Ukrainians who are not happy with all of his decisions. But the fact is that he's legitimately elected. He's the president. And he represents the continuation and legitimacy of the Ukrainian state.
Starting point is 00:32:40 And so I think there is sort of unspoken consensus among many Ukrainians to defer criticism of his actions, especially before the war, to a time after the war ends. And will he be re-elected in the next elections? Who knows? The Ukrainians, he's the sixth president of Ukraine since independence in 1991, only one of the six won re-election. So Ukrainians don't really like to re-elect their incumbents. So your book covers the war from its outset. I mean, you were there when it began, and I forget when your coverage ends. Is it through the first year of the war? Yeah, so the book really begins the day before the full-scale invasion, you know, when I went to see Zaryansky's predecessor,
Starting point is 00:33:27 President Poroshenko, who leaned towards me and whispered into my ear, you know, it's going to be tomorrow at 4 a.m., you have time to go to the airport and get out of the country. And lots of people did. Obviously, I didn't because I had come there for the war. And it ends, they blow by blow, travel through the front lines
Starting point is 00:33:45 and detailed descriptions of all the pivotal turns of the war. And on the one-year anniversary of the war in
Starting point is 00:33:53 February 2023, you know, where Zelensky is having this three-hour press conference and the words that he said that
Starting point is 00:34:00 really stuck in my mind. We've learned a very painful lesson here. It may be unfair, but nobody likes losers, so we have to be winners. And then there is a little, well, not a little, but there is an after war that takes us all
Starting point is 00:34:12 the way to the Israeli war in Gaza in October of 2003. So how would you compare the war to other wars you've covered, both in the kinds of atrocities, the rightness or wrongness of tactics, the implications for neighboring countries. I mean, as you say, in America, Ukraine is not often thought about, and I would say it's not often thought about even in the midst of what is the first proper land war in Europe since World War II, it is really an afterthought. And to say that most Americans can't find Ukraine on a map is bound to be an understatement. How do you view its significance?
Starting point is 00:34:55 And just, you were there, and you've reported directly on other wars. What should we understand about what the Russians have done, what the Ukrainians have had to do? Just give us some detail as to how you view this war. Yeah. Well, actually, I kind of want to go back to what you were asking about Zelensky and his achievements. And I think his biggest achievement was that because he was a showman, he is a showman, he is from the world of entertainment, he was able to speak directly to the publics in the West, in America, and in Europe, over the heads of politicians, and make the moral case for Ukraine.
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