Marketplace - Despite stellar earnings, Samsung's stock slumps

Episode Date: July 7, 2026

Samsung just reported a whopping 1,800% profit increase for the second quarter of this year. But its stock price fell nearly 7% in response to the news. What gives? In short, high expectation...s got in the way of actual growth. Also in this episode: Baby boomers begin to transfer family businesses to the next generation, buy now, pay later giant Klarna applies for a U.S. banking license, and the telehealth boom is more than super-fast prescriptions from your couch.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories in today’s episode:Why analysts predict a robust second quarter earnings seasonSamsung posted 1800% profit growth. Its stock fell anyway.The baby boomer business transfer is comingThe era of drive-thru healthcare is hereFintechs harbor banking dreams

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Starting point is 00:00:41 organizations worldwide. GEP combines agentic AI with three decades of procurement and supply chain data and expertise. Learn more at gEP.com. On the program today, corporate fortunes the rest of the year. Small business fortunes for the next five or ten years. Some other stuff, too. From American public media. This is Marketplace. In Los Angeles, I'm Kyle.
Starting point is 00:01:19 It is Tuesday, today, 7 July. Good as always, Debbie Long, everybody. Fair is fair. One likes it to be in business and economic coverage. So just as we started yesterday with a decidedly consumer-oriented couple of minutes, so today we go corporate, because later this week's second quarter earnings season
Starting point is 00:01:36 is going to be upon us, starting with PepsiCo on Thursday. Best guesses are they'll be okay, not spectacular. Then Delta Airlines on Friday, which is expected to have beaten estimates in spite of the spike in jet fuel costs since President Trump started bombing Iran. Expensive seats being bought by premium travelers, if you're looking for a how'd they do that right there. The real rush then comes next week with a slew of big Wall Street banks. January through March, that is Q1. Companies in the S&P 500 reported earnings. up more than 28% year over year. That's according to facts it. So with firm reliance on the fact that while the stock market is not the economy, it is related. So what do you suppose is in store this time
Starting point is 00:02:19 around? Marketplace is Mitchell Hartman gets us going. It's not like the second quarter has been all smooth sailing for the U.S. economy or corporate America. Well, there's that old saying that the market likes to climb a wall of worry. Sam Stovall is chief investment strategist at CFRA research. Despite trade issues, despite higher oil prices, and now the prospect that the Fed could be raising interest rates, earnings continue to surprise investors. We're going to get another 20% plus earnings growth quarter. It's almost a certainty. Jeff Bookbinder tracks the markets at LPL Financial. It will be driven primarily by tech, particularly the semiconductors and memory names that have been
Starting point is 00:03:02 such strong performers. That's the Magnificent Seven, Alphabet. Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Tesla, which Bookbinder predicts will be up 50% this year. But we also don't want to lose sight of the fact that the earnings environment is improving for the rest of the market. Non-tech earnings growth could be in the high teens this quarter. Let's drill down on a few of those sectors. The big banks start reporting next week, and Sam Stovall says, banks are doing well with the prospect that maybe the Fed could be raising interest rates.
Starting point is 00:03:34 the financials are actually picking up. Because they can earn more on money they lend out to consumers and businesses. Energy companies had a boon with higher oil prices, and some consumer-facing brands also likely did well, says Boston College economist Brian Bethune. Retail, leisure and hospitality in terms of the spending on the World Cup. Beverage companies like Coca-Cola, Pepsi. This is first and foremost a big company rally,
Starting point is 00:04:03 but it's not only them, says Bill Mears at U.S. Bank. Growth expectations for the S&P are 24 and a half or so percent, but we're seeing mid-cap earnings growth expectations for the full year up 19 percent, small cap up 22 percent. Merz says all the basics are in the mix now, strong consumer spending, strong business spending, and companies investing heavily in automation and AI to drive higher productivity and more profits to the bottom line.
Starting point is 00:04:33 I'm Mitchell Hartman for Marketplace. Two more market-related tidbits before we move on. That last line Mitchell had there about companies investing heavily in AI. Amazon, one of said companies, investing heavily in AI, has apparently decided it needs even more capital to invest even more heavily. The company announced a new bond offering today $25 billion worth. Also, oil, both crude benchmarks up more than 5% a day after the Trump administration revoked the authorizations. it had given Iran to sell its oil. Seasfires, remember, aren't just about bombs and bullets, right?
Starting point is 00:05:11 Wall Street on this Tuesday, remember how yesterday AI was good? Yeah, well, that was yesterday. Details numbers, you know the drill. Samsung reported its second quarter profits today. Staggering would be a good word. An 1,800 percent profit increase year over year. That is not a typo. Sales more than doubled.
Starting point is 00:05:53 Expectations were beaten. And yet its shares traded in Seoul closed down at nearly 7%. Marketplace is Kelly Wells. Explains what's going on there. Samsung's a giant company, partly because they make everything from TVs to dishwashers to headphones, but its recent meteoric rise is mostly thanks to one arm of its business. The servers the power AI and the chips the power AI need substantial memory. and Samsung is the largest vendor of memory in the world.
Starting point is 00:06:28 Matt Bryson directs hardware and semiconductor research at Wedbush Securities. There's also a shortage of memory, thanks to the rapid growth of AI, which means Samsung can sell it at a high price. Bryson says that is a perfect recipe for a successful quarter, which means... Expectations are really, really high. Funny thing is, those really, really high expectations are partly to blame for the dip in its stock price today, says economics professor Paul Shea of Bates College.
Starting point is 00:06:57 And in financial markets, what matters is not the news itself. It's the expectation of the news. Companies want to beat expectations by a lot. Samsung only beat it by a little. Plus, since investors expected a good result this quarter, they bought the stock before the announcement today. We think there's this great news that's going to come out about a company tomorrow. We don't wait until tomorrow to buy the stock, we buy it right away. So today, there aren't a bunch of new people buying the stock and driving Samsung's price up, partly because of those expectations and partly because of good old fashion market uncertainty. It's a chipmaker, and that's great, but nobody knows how to value a chipmaker.
Starting point is 00:07:37 Business professor Eric Gordon at the University of Michigan says Samsung is operating in a really volatile industry. One day, you hear that AI is going to eat all the chips we could be. possibly make. The next day you hear, oh, boy, AI is going to be cutting back. It's too expensive. Maybe we don't need as many chips. Gordon says the news today was just based on a preliminary earnings report. Samsung stockholders now are going to look for the full report at the end of the month, which will have more insight about where the stock and the AI industry are headed next. I'm Kaylee Wells for Marketplace.
Starting point is 00:08:18 The idea that we're all getting older isn't or it shouldn't be news to any of us. The idea that the baby boomers are getting, actually already are older, is going to turn out to be a very big economic deal. That particular demographic cohort accounts for more than half of this country's total wealth, half of it. That includes earnings, returns on their investments, real estate holdings, and also businesses. And just like we're on the verge of a multi-trillion dollar generational wealth transfer, so too, as Marketplaces Kristen Schwab reports, are we on the verge of a whole lot of small and medium-sized businesses changing hands?
Starting point is 00:09:08 Or disappearing? John and Dave Zavril spend a lot of time together. For one, John is Dave's uncle. So there are birthdays, holidays, and racquetball. Every morning, John says, at 538. I used to pick him up and bring him to racquetball, and now he drives himself. Yeah, that's true. The early start time is not negotiable, because they both have to get to work at R.J. Zavril and Sons,
Starting point is 00:09:37 a construction company in East Grand Forks, Minnesota. John is the second-generation CEO. Dave, part of the third generation, is vice president. Does it seem strange from the outside that, you know, the people that I go to work with every day are the same people that I hang out with on the weekend? or spend holidays with? It's worth pointing out that 29 of the people who work here are related. Yeah, I'm sure it does seem strange. You know, I often get the comments from people as like, well, how do you make that work?
Starting point is 00:10:08 Five family members own equal shares of the company. John, the CEO, is teaching them everything he knows about running the business. Right now, they're being groomed. I mean, and we meet once a week, and we all kind of do a, a consensus of what direction we're going. Because the family is about to make a big business decision. They're going to vote on who will take over when John, who's 65, retires. Pretty tricky, no?
Starting point is 00:10:37 Yeah, I think it's going to be based on strengths and family dynamics are involved, but I think it'll all work out. R.J. Zavril and Sons is one of six million small and medium-sized businesses expected to change hands over the next decade as baby boomers move into retirement. Nick Noel is a senior fellow at the McKinsey Institute for Economic Mobility. There's going to be an oversupply of businesses that are going to be available. And if they can't find folks that are willing to buy, those businesses that are otherwise viable will have to shut down. Noel expects one and a half million viable businesses will disappear. And in states like Montana, Vermont, and Maine, small and medium-sized
Starting point is 00:11:22 businesses make up half of total employment. It really does become a crisis for economic development, for community vitality, employment and economic mobility in those places. Unless more buyers emerge, Chris Schumacher is the co-founder of new majority capital, a nonprofit that helps connect aging business owners and new entrepreneurs. The clear majority of the businesses that we purchase are from retirees. Schumacher says it takes a lot of preparation to get businesses ready for sale. He ran into some of this himself a handful of years ago when he bought a company that makes garden trellises. You know, the owner didn't have a computer. He did all his work on lined paper. So there are operational issues. Also, older business owners are at a life stage where they are thinking not just about how much money they can make through a sale, but what they're leaving behind.
Starting point is 00:12:14 They've built a business for 20 to 30 years. They have a legacy. They have their names on the trucks that they see driving down the neighborhood that they're leaving. they're going to be living in. They want to see that continue. It's something the family at RJ Zavril and Sons, the construction company in Minnesota, is grappling with right now. Here's John, the CEO. These guys, they're going to make a decision to either keep it as a family business or to sell out. The firm has grown so much. It's become the second largest employer in town. And Dave, the current VP, says it's kind of turned the work of excavation and asphalt paving into a totally different job. The hard work and the technical skill made us really good at what we did, right? And now this business is becoming about running a business really well. They'll have to decide whether
Starting point is 00:13:03 running it well means keeping it in the family or selling it to someone else. I'm Kristen Schwab for Marketplace. Health care in this economy is challenging. It's expensive. It's oftentimes harder to get than it should be, and with apologies to my insurance industry friends, I mean, health insurance. Am I right? So a headline in Vox the other day caught my eye. When did getting prescriptions start feeling like online shopping, it said? A lot more people are looking to urgent care and online pharmacies for the care that they need or the prescriptions they want instead of seeing a primary care physician. Dylan Scott wrote this story in question.
Starting point is 00:14:04 Welcome to the program. Good to have you on. Thanks for having me. Could we, first of all, I guess, define some terms here. It's your term of art for the state of a slice of health care in this economy right now, drive through health care. What exactly do you mean? Yeah, so I thought of this in the context of like if the old-fashioned family doctor was like a family restaurant where it's like they knew you, they knew your order, you'd been going there for years, then this kind of healthcare service that has become really prominent in the past few years is what I think of is drive-through healthcare, where it's more of like a one-time only you're pulling up, you're looking at a menu, you probably already know what you want,
Starting point is 00:14:42 you're selecting the products, you're ordering your Big Mac or your GLP1 prescription, and you go through a very routinized interaction with a clinician, and that's that. And I think that's new. That's very different from the kind of traditional patient provider relationship that I think a lot of us grew up imagining as the ideal. And so that's why I wanted to come up with some kind of term for this kind of new service that's really come into being here in the past decade or so and drive through health care clinic is what I landed on. And honestly, it kind of works. I mean, I kind of clicked in right away
Starting point is 00:15:17 and figured out what you were talking about. It is driven, as you say in this piece, by the inefficiencies, shall we say, to be kind, in the American health care system, the insurance quagmire that it is. Also, though, and I think this is important because there's a behavioral economics part of this, healthcare consumers want agency.
Starting point is 00:15:35 They want to be able to get what they want. Right, exactly. I mean, I think a lot of people who have tried to schedule a doctor's appointment in the past few years, no, it can be really hard to do. Weight times are getting longer. There's fewer of the primary care physicians that you'd want to have in a long-term relationship available. And so, yeah, it's been a big push, and it's a combination of things from, like, pharmaceutical companies, pushing us products and being like, hey, go and ask your doctor about this.
Starting point is 00:16:02 And you've obviously had the telehealth revolution, which has made it a lot easier to have this kind of instantaneous access with a health care provider. There's obviously an appeal to somebody being able to just go to a website and order the prescription that they want, especially if they're quite confident about it. But medicine is, you know, as much of an art as anything else. And like those longitudinal relationships between doctors and patients are how you like pick up on subtle signs that like, oh, maybe there's a problem of developing and we want to try to get ahead of it with some early interventions. That's where you're sort of potentially missing a longer term, more serious issue. because you're having this more superficial interaction with the health care provider, that's where
Starting point is 00:16:42 the concern comes in. For all the talk of how this is good, but also maybe not good, we do have to point out the glaring example of where it's a desperately needed service, and you point this out, obviously, in your piece, the idea of abortion care and telehealth, especially since Dobbs. Yes, exactly. I think that was an example for me personally that really made clear that, like, there is a place for this kind of service. And like, you know, I'm somebody who grew up in rural America.
Starting point is 00:17:08 I've been following closely, like, the development of minute clinics, you know, putting healthcare clinics in Dollar Generals, things like that. And I do ultimately have this kind of, on the one hand, on the other hand, take on them because it is like the access is necessary. And especially with something like abortion care in a post-aub's world where you might just live in a state where that kind of service is not available to you at a physical clinic anywhere, you know, within driving distance, being able to go online. have a discrete private interaction with a health care provider and get, you know, what is a
Starting point is 00:17:39 life-saving type of service is really important. As the guy in this conversation who has thought more deeply about this than the other guy in this conversation, this trend only continues, yeah? I think so. I mean, I think you've seen with the GLP-1 drugs that, like, yeah, the sort of clinical scope of these practices is only expanding. It started out with, like, medical marijuana card clinics back, you know, 10 years ago where it was like you just went to see a doctor and said you had X, Y, Z so you could get a medical
Starting point is 00:18:09 marijuana card. Like we've become accustomed to this type of service, this more transactional type of health care, and the question will just be like, when is it makes sense for me to use this? And when am I kind of taking a risk if I go for this kind of one-time-only health care with something like weight loss treatment where I might really benefit from a long-term relationship with the provider? Dylan Scott is at Voxy covers health care there. Dylan, thanks a lot. Fastening peace.
Starting point is 00:18:35 Thank you so much. Coming up. Some of the busiest shopping days that we have all year. Talk about Christmas in July, right? First, though, let's do the numbers. Dow Industrial's down 130 points. Today, a quarter percent, finished at 52,925. NASDAQ down 302.
Starting point is 00:19:14 1.2% 25,818. The S&P 500 slid 33 points, 4 tenths percent 75 and 3. SpaceX joined the NASDAQ 100 today less than a month after its market debut, while some of the big banks are bullish on the, give or take $2 trillion rocket company and AI company and satellite company. Investors felt otherwise, SpaceX down 6.8% on the day. It was 98 years ago today in 1928 that the bar for the greatest thing ever, was set when the Chilicothe baking company in Chilacothy, Missouri, sold for the first time pre-slice bread.
Starting point is 00:19:50 At the time, it was called, and this is a quote, the greatest forward step in the baking industry since bread was wrapped. Flower foods, they sell like wonder bread, nature zone, and all the rest. Lost a tiny slice down one-tenth of one percent. You're listening to Marketplace. This is Marketplace. I'm Kai Risdahl. We did an interview a month or so ago about federal banking charters and how the Trump administration is looking to issue more of them and how more companies are eager to get them.
Starting point is 00:20:18 Crypto companies, car companies, also buy now, pay later companies, which gets us to the latest entrant, Klarna, the Swedish financial technology company, FinTech, if you're in the know. It is known mostly for its buy-now and pay-later offerings, but it has applied for a bank license in Utah and wants to become Clarna Bank USA. Your order is one, a bank, that is, in Europe, and getting the U.S. seal of approval
Starting point is 00:20:41 would let it grow beyond its current offerings. As Marketplace's Samantha Fields report, courts, Klarna is kind of part of a fintech trend. PayPal also wants to be a bank now. So does a firm, which, like Klarna, is best known for Buy Now Pay Later. And Mercury, another fintech company, just recently got conditional approval to establish a bank. Michelle Alt at the Claros group says fintechs are making this move now for two main reasons. Number one, duh, the Trump administration.
Starting point is 00:21:11 Regulators are open to new bank formation in a way we have in. seen ever. And just as important, she says, is reason number two. Which is in the U.S., a bank charter, a banking license, provides the keys to the financial kingdom. And who wouldn't want those? Those keys open up all sorts of options that fintech companies wouldn't otherwise have. Thomas Piskorsky at Columbia Business School says that includes the ability to hold deposits. The huge advantage of being a bank is that you have access to insure deposit funding. that often allows the bank to finance themselves at a rate well below interest rate. Which is an appealing prospect.
Starting point is 00:21:53 Banks are subject to much more government regulation and oversight than fintech companies, regulation that got much tighter after the financial crisis of the late 2000s. As a result of that, the lending activity, especially in consumer finance, has been migrated to non-bank institutions like Klarna or non-bank mortgage lenders in a mortgage space. But at this point, more than 15. years post-Great recession, James Wester, at Javelin Strategy and Research, says the benefits some of these companies could get from having a banking license outweigh that extra regulatory burden. A lot of it has to do with the fact that fintechs have grown up.
Starting point is 00:22:30 Many fintech companies have been around for a while now, and they're looking for new ways to scale and grow. There are limitations in the model that they had been built on, and the only way they're going to grow up is to become more like a bank. And that means, getting a license. I'm Samantha Fields for Marketplace. We started today with the corporate view of this economy, both the macro from Mitchell and the micro from Cayley. There is more business-centric data coming to us this week. We'll get a look at wholesale inventories for May tomorrow. That comes courtesy of the Commerce Department. Also consumer credit for May from the Federal Reserve. Again, those are macro. So we're going to do
Starting point is 00:23:27 that thing we do and go micro. Andy Lang Hartman is one of our retail regulars. She runs the stationary and gift store Wild Letty in Lelandau County, Michigan. Right now, business for Wild Letty is really, really great. It's always the week before and the week after the 4th of July is when we get some of the busiest shopping days that we have all year. This year, we are seeing a wild amount of growth again, which is fantastic. And I feel like this year there's a steep learning. curve of trying to figure out what our inventory reorder points are now that we're selling
Starting point is 00:24:14 at this really fast rate that we have never dealt with before. Most things we can get within one to two weeks restocked on the floor. So that is definitely my biggest challenge right now is trying to stay on top of that. Our costs are pretty spot on for what they have been in the past. The biggest thing is we are getting such a huge heat wave, and it's been a very warm summer that our utilities are going to be pretty high for this summer season. So that's the only thing I'm really thinking about as far as a significant change to our costs for the year. The busy summer season, I'm really just hoping that things keep running the way that they're running.
Starting point is 00:25:11 I'm feeling pretty good, especially at. after the last two years of just growth and gaining more customers, seeing a return customer rate go up every year. It's been pretty exciting. Annie Lang Harman, she runs Wild Letty up in Lelandau County, Michigan. This final note on the way out today, I will give you all two economic data points. You decide which one you like.
Starting point is 00:25:53 The Commerce Department announced the May trade gap today, the difference from what we sell overseas and what we buy from there. We are importing more foreign pharmaceuticals and cars and equipment for data centers, and we are exporting less on that list is gold, natural gas, domestically made pharmaceuticals. So the trade gap got bigger, the president's tariffs, notwithstanding. Also, and item two, in one of its regular consumer surveys, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York says we, that is consumers, are thinking inflation is going to be higher over the next year than the last time we asked.
Starting point is 00:26:26 3.7 percent is what we are thinking, year. over a year. Jordan Manj, Zaniel Maharaj, Janet Wynn, Olga Ockman, and Virginia K. Smith are the digital team. I'm Kai Rizdahl. We will see you tomorrow, everybody. This is 8 p.m. Start your day with Marketplace Morning Report and me, Kimberly Adams. In 10 minutes or less, I'll explain the day's economic news, why it matters, and what it means for the way you live and work. Tune in each weekday morning for independent award-winning journalism that brings clarity to the economy.
Starting point is 00:27:17 Listen to Marketplace Morning Report on your favorite podcast app.

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