Mayim Bialik's Breakdown - Astrophysicist on the Latest Discoveries of Potential for Alien Life and How We Might Not be Alone
Episode Date: April 11, 2025Are UAPs real? Is an extraterrestrial sighting even possible on Earth? What are the scientific explanations for alien sightings? Is a human-like civilization possible on another planet? Astronomer ...and astrophysicist Adam Frank (author of Little Book of Aliens) joins Mayim and Jonathan for an MBB Explores to discuss the scientific possibilities of aliens, UFOs, and why we all need to be more excited about what recent technological advances are enabling us to discover in space. Adam Frank discusses his feelings on the government reports on Unidentified Aerial Phenomenon (UAPs), his and fellow scientists' analysis of UFO videos, and why SETI (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence) took so long to be funded and taken seriously. Find out the staggering percentage of planets that likely hold potential for intelligent life and why we all feel such wonder looking at the stars. Plus, Adam Frank discusses his time consulting on Marvel's “Dr. Strange” and his feelings on the possibility of a metaverse in real life. You don’t want to miss this mind-blowing exploration of what space has to offer! Check out Adam Frank's website to learn more about his books & research: https://www.adamfrankscience.com/ BialikBreakdown.com YouTube.com/mayimbialik Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Can you explain a little bit the issue of the scope of the universe?
It's really hard for people to understand how freaking big spaces.
We figured out that there were 10 billion trillion habitable planets in the universe.
Now we've discovered that every star you see in the sky has a family of worlds orbiting.
There's definitely snow falling.
There's definitely oceans washing up on beaches.
There's snow-capped mountains.
There's deserts.
There's so many worlds.
Each one has its own story.
If you count up five of those,
one of them has a planet in the right place
in what we call the Goldilocks zone.
Think of how many stars he's telling us there are.
There are 400 billion stars in just our galaxy.
And there's almost an uncountable number of galaxies.
Every other experiment in the universe would have
to fail for us to be the only ones.
You have a giant, extraordinary claim, a claim that if true, would be the greatest
scientific discovery in the history of humanity.
Whether the government lies or not has nothing to do with whether or not that's true.
Can you explain why it's important for us to understand what we've done to our planet
in order to understand how other things could have done that to the.
We have the capacity now. We can actually see into the atmospheres of worlds that are 40 light years away,
and we can see the fingerprints in the light of what chemical compounds are in the atmosphere.
And we just need to stop the moment and go, holy shit, that is amazing.
A bunch of angry hairless monkeys, us, figured out how to see into the air of a distant world
and then use that to figure out whether there's alien life there.
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Adam frank welcome to the breakdown.
It's my pleasure. Thank you for inviting me.
We're really excited to talk to you. I'm extremely excited to talk to you.
I'm glad anybody's excited to talk to me. No, but like we're well I'm a huge fan of the little
book of aliens. I just um I really really I got so much out of every page and um
mostly I want to talk about equations and Jonathan would like me to start not with equations.
The place where we'd like to start and, you know, I'm just going to preface this by saying like,
I've read every single page of your book. Like, so I'm going to ask you things that might seem
a little bit like alien softballs, but it's because we want to start a conversation with you. And,
you know, we had Lou Elizondo on and people lost their effing minds. Like they lost their minds for
Lou Elizondo, you can imagine. But we're very interested in many aspects of your work.
But let's start with, let's start with this, Adam Frank. Are we alone in the universe?
Are we it? Well, I'm glad you asked. The answer is, as a astrobiologist, as a theoretical
physicist, as, you know, a human being, is I have no freaking idea, right? And we just
just don't know. And there's this intuition we have that the universe is so big, you know,
there's squisillions of stars that, of course, what happened here must have happened somewhere else.
But actually, you know, the problem is there's a whole bunch of processes that go into the
evolution of life, you know, abiogenesis making life from non-life, evolving more complex life,
multicellularity, the evolution of nervous systems, et cetera, et cetera. And we really have no
clue about the sort of when you combine those processes. What is the probability? How hard is it to get
that to happen? So in 2016, Woody Sullivan and I, who was like one of my mentors when I was coming up,
we wrote a paper where we looked at all this amazing new data we have about exoplanets,
about planets orbiting other stars. And we figured out that there were 10 billion trillion
habitable planets in the universe, right? And now 10 billion trillion, that's a lot of, you know,
habitable zone planets. That's a lot of places where nature.
could run the experiment on that that turn you know that that led to us and run it elsewhere.
And you know, we'd expect like, well, okay, did it happen anywhere else?
The problem is if the odds of all those processes working out to lead to an intelligent
civilization is less than 10 billion, one in 10 billion trillion, right?
If it's one in a hundred billion trillion, then you're SOL because you've run out of planets, right?
I mean, you know, if you buy a lottery ticket with the one of the one of the one,
a million odds, or sorry, if you buy a million lottery tickets, but the odds are one in 10 million,
then you probably are not going to win. So we just don't know those odds. So that is really the
problem. And that's why we have to do the work. My intuition, you know, which is worth, you know,
that and 50 cents won't get your cup of coffee anymore. My intuition is that, yes, there's so many
planets that you'd have to prove to me why, what's the bias? If it happened here once,
the bias that nature has, that with all those planets, it didn't happen somewhere else.
Now, let's assume that it has happened somewhere else.
That still doesn't mean that there's anybody close to us, you know, especially if you're
going to start talking about UFOs and UAPs.
And it certainly doesn't mean that even the galaxy itself, which has a hundred billion stars,
has anybody there now?
Because one question is, how long do civilizations last, right?
We have been around for about as a technological civilization, about a century, you know, two centuries.
It's nothing.
Right.
Right.
And even if you were around for a million years, which would be unbelievable compared to how long we're lasting and we're not doing very well right now.
I don't need to tell you.
That even if every civilization on average lasted a million years, the galaxy right now, when we're looking, would probably be pretty sterile.
There wouldn't be, you know, there'd be dead civilizations and maybe we could detect remnants of that.
but there probably wouldn't be a whole lot of people around.
So, you know, there's a lot of things that go into it.
Once you start trying to think about it really carefully and really scientifically,
which I find when we get to like UFOs and UAPs,
most people are not thinking about it, you know, really carefully and thoughtfully.
Well, one of the things that I love about your approach is you are able to hold both of these
conversations and many more conversations.
So I'm going to quote from your book, which I might do a lot today.
And what you said is the only way that.
that we are the only civilization in cosmic history
is if the odds of forming a civilization elsewhere,
like on another planet, are so small,
meaning every other experiment in the universe
would have to fail for us to be the only ones, correct?
Right, right, yeah.
And the place where, you know, I know you've gone before,
like a lot of people would be like,
well, that's because God chose us
and we're here and we're special.
And I was actually talking to my 16-year-old about you and about your book.
And I was explaining to him that there definitely are interesting things about our planet.
The fact that we are not completely water, we're not completely gas, we're not completely rock.
Like, there is something very special that we don't know.
We haven't necessarily detected other planets that look like ours in terms of a mix of like water and land and enough land that you can.
And my son was like, but why didn't it just stay?
water, why didn't we just evolve there? Like, was it because that there was enough land that we got
to evolve to be able to walk on, you know, our two feet? Can you talk a little bit about
why we don't have to turn to the God explanation and why there are other possibilities?
Yeah, well, again, so first of all, we have to differentiate between life and intelligent life,
right? Because, you know, one of the interesting things, if you look at Earth's history, is pretty
much the planet is you know cools down right so the earth falls is a big molten ball of lava it
eventually cools down the crust forms you know we water we is delivered via comets you get an ocean right
pretty much almost right after that's done life appears so based on that and you know there's a
lot of sort of physics and math we can do about that but it does seem like life was pretty easy to make
right and that argues you know you can argue that probably you know microbial life may not be hard to form
at all. That might be anytime you even give, you know, a planet half a chance, you're going to get
microbial life. Now, it then takes 3.5 billion years of evolution before you end up with us,
before you end up with the first intelligent technological civilization. So that is kind of a question,
like, why did it take so long? But, you know, in terms of the, so I just wanted to point that out
when we talk about that. Like, you know, Earth may not be special at all when it comes to just getting
life together. But when it comes to getting, you know, the processes of evolution, what are the things
that might make us unique, might make us special and might still have allowed, you don't need to
turn to like a miraculous occurrence to happen. Like one thing, we just published a paper on this.
So there's a number of processes that it looked like were important to get multicellular life,
to get complex life. One of these, and this just blows my mind every time I talk about it,
when the planet was born, there was no oxygen in the atmosphere, right? We have,
We did not have an oxygen atmosphere.
What was the atmosphere?
Like explain it to people because people will be like, what does that mean?
Right, right.
So when the Earth was born, it had an atmosphere that was almost entirely nitrogen gas,
which it still is.
It's still, you know, mostly nitrogen gas and carbon dioxide.
What happened?
And then life formed and for a billion years, two billion years, it was still carbon dioxide
and nitrogen.
There was almost no oxygen in the atmosphere.
So now, first of all, why is oxygen matter?
You could not have animals with big brains.
Your brain uses a lot of energy, right?
Oxygen is like this super powered chemical for driving fast metabolism.
You know, you will just not on a planet with just nitrogen and carbon dioxide.
You just don't have the chemical batteries, so to speak, to be able to allow the kind of things that you need for like, you know, first of all, multicellularity even.
But certainly anything with a neurological system that is thinking hard, right?
So no oxygen, probably no intelligent species, right?
No intelligent technological species.
So you don't get oxygen.
What happens, how does oxygen form?
Life does it.
Life evolves a new form of photosynthesis, a way of taking sunlight and turning it into energy.
You know, it already done that.
They've already invented one form of photosynthesis, like, you know, almost immediately.
But then it, around a billion or so years after life starts,
A new kind of photosynthesis is emerges, which uses water as a substrate.
Takes water, breaks it apart, takes the hydrogen to make a sugar and farts out the oxygen.
So the oxygen, now the important thing about this is it allowed life to explode, right?
Because suddenly there's, you know, there's so much water to use for photosynthesis.
That's when all those ferns came around.
So many ferns.
Yeah, but that's even, this is even before the ferns.
Life is still microbial at this place.
It's where it's where all the phytoplankton comes.
Right.
So like they're just having a party.
And that's where you get, first of all, all the life.
You know, you get lots of life, just lots of microbes.
And then you fill up, you start filling up the atmosphere with oxygen.
That is what you needed.
You know, you needed another couple of billion years of that to be able to eventually lead to, you know, cells getting together to make multicellular life.
Then to make things that were, you know, sort of body, you know, animals, metazones, what they call.
And then eventually leading to, you know, dinosaurs and more really complex organisms and us.
So that required, right?
First of all, that required life to figure that out, right?
And then also one thing that may have been really important about this was having continents, plate tectonics, right?
You needed the continents to be getting dragged around and reassembling.
We can talk about why that was.
But it seems like that's a really important part of the story too.
And it may be that that's really rare.
Like most planets in our solar system don't have plate tectonics.
We can talk about why.
But the important thing is they don't.
And so that may be one reason you don't have to invoke God.
It may just be that, you know, Earth had the right set of circumstances,
enough water to make, allow something like photosynthesis or this kind of photosynthesis to happen,
but not so much water that there was no land because land turned out to be important.
And then you need the land to be moving around.
So it may be that, you know, the planet had to be right.
to allow the sequence of events that led to intelligent life.
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Based on kind of the mathematical probability that you talk about in your book,
there's really no reason for us to think that we are the only ones.
Right.
There's no reason to think that.
No, no.
So we are not the only ones.
Well, that's a difference.
Here's the thing about Adam Frank.
He likes when I say it in the negative.
He doesn't like when I say it in the positive.
Well, it's just, you know, I'm a scientist, right?
I know.
The beauty of science is like I'm not going to say something I don't know.
For sure.
I can talk about the hypotheticals.
Okay, fine.
But, you know.
So, okay, fine.
Let's try it again.
The probability of us being the only ones is very, very low.
And the probability that it never can happen would negate our existence.
Like, we're here so it worked once.
Yeah, exactly.
Right.
And so then the people who are pessimists.
Now, also, can I ask when you say it, we do mean life or do you mean intelligent life?
Because to me, either one is freaky-diki-diki.
I don't think, we have this thing like, oh, we got to have intelligent life.
for us to be amazed.
Like to me, you form a microbe.
We find one microbe.
All bets are off.
For me, I'm interested in any environment that facilitates any life form.
Because I believe in the processes of evolution.
I'm very patient.
Right.
But I think when we talk about what a lot of people want to talk about regarding
other planets. Yeah, they want to know, am I being visited by someone? Is that real? Is the experience
that happened to me real? Am I being watched? Like, what are these things in the sky? So in that sense,
yeah, I think that people are very curious about what are the ways that we might be able to detect,
to detect intelligent life, life that is able to visit us, get into, right, probe us. Right, pro
Probe us, things like that. But I think it is enough as a starting point of a conversation to say,
it happened once and simply by the astronomical, mathematical, mathematical probability of what
we understand now about the universe, unless you are invoking God, there is no reason to believe
that we're it. Yeah, so let me give you my version of that. Okay? So like, given,
Given how vast the universe is and how many planets that we've discovered.
See, that's really the key thing.
When I was just a young pup in graduate school, we didn't know whether there were any
planets orbiting any stars.
It could have been that our solar system was a freak and that most stars don't have
planets.
And this is like a 2,000-year-old question.
The Greeks were beating each other up about this, the ancient Greeks.
And then in 1995, we discovered the first planet orbiting another star.
Our instruments got that good.
And then, you know, now we've discovered that every star you see in the sky when you've got and look has a family of worlds orbiting it.
So once that discovery was made, then we know that like, yeah, the universe is full of planets.
And so what I would say is, you know, in the universe entire, yes?
This was, I think, as of 2012.
I want you to walk us through this a little slower.
Because for you, this is just like what you do on an average Tuesday.
Every star.
So when we like, I'm going to give you the super basic.
I was not raised in a science house.
My parents were English teachers and first generation Americans.
Like my grandparents literally believes I think that it took seven days to get this whole shenanigans going.
So when I was a kid, I looked up in the sky and I knew that I was one of nine planets because I'm that generation, right?
And I'm on a planet and there's orbits and there's like a gravitational pull and we're all circling and we circle ourselves.
and we circle the sun. Great. And when I look up in the sky, I just see pretty. It's so pretty.
There's so many pretty sparkly things. And if you were to ask me what those were, even probably
well into my 20s, I'd be like, they're big balls of like gas or like you can't get close to them.
Like they're stars. There's a million stars, right? Like God will make you as numerous as the stars in
the sky, right? I'm into it. However, what you're telling me is that when when you're,
you look up, you see stars, and every star is its own thing, its own part of the solar system.
So let's like unpack that for a while, right? Because this is my thing. Everybody wants
to go UFOs and UAPs because they think that's the exciting thing. And you know, as we're going
to find out as this goes on, I'm, you know, very skeptical that UFOs and UIPs have anything to do
with life elsewhere.
People like, awwomp, wamp, womp, like, I'm so sad.
I'm like, wait a minute, man.
Let me tell you what we do know.
Right.
Freaking mind blowing.
You don't mean UFOs visiting you, you know,
to have like the most recent scientific results
blow your mind.
So, okay, so stars, you're right.
Stars are giant balls of gas,
but you know, the undergoing nuclear fusion,
producing, you know, huge amounts of light.
But what we didn't know, planets are the stuff
that orbits them.
They're either small and rocky or they're kind of bigger and gaseous like, you know, Jupiter.
But the bigger gaseous ones have moons around them that are also interesting places that could, you might have life.
So anyway, so up until like 1995, we had no idea whether there were any other planets orbiting other stars.
And it was possible that forming planetary system was really hard.
People back in the, you know, back in the day sort of had these theories that said like, no, it's almost impossible to make a planetary system.
We're just lucky.
So in 1995, we discover our first exoplanet.
Now we know, after doing all this research, that every star in the sky, as I said, holds.
So you should go out at night and look at this.
You should do this experiment.
You go out and look at a star.
And what you have to do is you have to imagine like, oh, yeah, there's, you know, you've seen pictures of Mars.
You've seen pictures of, you know, sort of, you know, Venus as they went by the cloud.
But Mars, let's focus on Mars because there's pictures from the ground on Mars, right?
every one of those stars has worlds orbiting it that are like that they're places you know they every one of
those stars has worlds orbiting and where now again i don't know about life but there's definitely snow falling
there's definitely oceans washing up on beaches there's mountains you know there's snow-capped mountains
there's deserts you know i mean so every one of those stars has worlds there's so many worlds
Each one has its own story, right?
So that is the beginning of just the mind-blowingness.
The universe is full of worlds.
And then if you count up five of those, you know, one, two, three, four five.
One of them has a planet in the right place, just, you know, in what we call the Goldilocks zone.
It's not too close to this star, so it's just burning up like Mercury.
And it's not too far from the star that it's just a frozen ice ball like Pluto.
It's in what we call the Goldilocks zone or the habit of,
zone. And that is a place where you could have liquid water on the surface and we think liquid
water is essential for life. So one out of five of those, man, it's got a planet just waiting.
That percentage for the non-scientist in the room, that percentage is enormous because that's 20
percent. But think of how many stars he's telling us there are. There are 400 billion stars in just our
galaxy. Our galaxy is like city. It's like, you know, that's the, you know, our galaxy is like New York
City, right? And you live in the Bronx or whatever, you know, that's our city. There's 400 billion
stars in just our, and there's almost an uncountable number of galaxies, right? But just in our city,
there's 400 billion stars. And 20% of those, one in five, has a planet in the right, they all
have planets. And one in five has a planet in the right place where liquid water could exist on
the surface. And therefore, could be a place, good place for life to form.
We did an episode recently and the topic of the vastness of the solar system was discussed.
And what the guest was explaining is that the probability of there being the multiverse, and I know we're making a leap here, where...
Go forth though, baby. Let's run.
Where there are multiple versions of our lives happening simultaneously is possible, given.
the vastness of the probability of inhabitable planets.
How do you respond to that,
understanding that you are hedging to say
that you want to talk about things that are provable,
but if we go theoretical for a moment,
how would you respond to that?
Also, keep in mind you're responding to Deepak Chopra
when you are responding to this.
Deepak trokra, buddy, if I meet you in a back alley,
we're having a, we're going at it, we're throwing hands.
So the multiverse, let's talk about the multiverse first.
So now we're going to somewhere totally off.
And I don't know how much you want to go on this.
The multiverse is this theory about cosmology,
about universes, about the birth of the universe.
And I am not a fan.
I'm not a fan.
To me, there's a whole thing about what has happened
at the frontiers of theoretical physics,
but I think is really a problematic where people are just going off,
no connection to data anymore, just, you know, playing.
They're somewhere between doing like pure math and physics,
and they're not doing either one very well.
So I'm not a fan of the multiverse.
And you can see my right.
writing. I've gotten into arguments with people about this. It's a beautiful idea. It's funny because
I was the scientific advisor for Dr. Strange. Oh, yes. With Scott Derrickson. And that was the beginning
of the Marvel multiverse. Correct. And so, you know, we talked a lot when I did, you know,
met with them doing the script writing. And I was like, look, guys, I think this idea scientifically
is, you know, is crap. But it's great for writing, right? I mean, it's great for science fiction.
It is, it's, you know, and it goes back and, you know, it's part of our imaginations, right?
In the, I'm right now reading the Vimla Kirti Sutra, a Buddhist suture from, you know,
two thousand years ago.
And it's a multiverse.
It's a Buddhaverse, you know.
But scientifically, there's no zero, zero evidence that that's true.
And I just want to, I mean, you know, which it depends on how you feel about it.
Like, that's either a bummer or not.
But again, I just want to say this universe, one we live in, is already so freaking.
amazing. Who needs a multiverse? Like, you know, we got all these planets. You know,
what happened on all these planets? So maybe a good bridge for this is one of the questions
that people have when we talk about aliens, when we talk about UFOs, is a lot of what
science presents is, here are the reasons that we need to be carbon-based. Here are the reasons
that the materialist view of, you know, things travel at the speed of light, and that's how we
perceive them. You know, we, we can understand certain things about wormholes, but here's a
limitation to wormholes. Right. What if, and this is like a big what if, and I'm curious how
you respond to this, along this kind of line of thinking about multiverses and all these kind of like
sexy, you know, kind of sexy components of, you know, the border between science fiction and
physics and also conversations about, you know,
you know, astrobiology. What if our perception about the way things should be perceived is not
the whole story, meaning it makes sense to me. I loved how you explained, for example, why carbon-based
living makes for, you know, mobile joints and movement and things like that, you know, why we haven't
seen a wheel evolve, right, in our existence. We keep having to create it. But there could be worlds
where, you know, wheels independently evolve as part of an organic structure, right?
All these things make sense.
But my question is, what if approaching it this way is leaving out the possibility that there
are other modes of communication, there are other modes of transportation, there are other modes
of functioning that we don't have access to?
And so all of our, you know, kind of like measurement instruments are extremely important.
And I want to get into more of the details of how we.
actually do look for life on other planets. But what if this notion of like, oh, well, the wormhole's
going to collapse and so you can't travel through it? What if there's a species that can stop a
wormhole from collapsing and they're able to, like Dr. Strange, step into different times? They were
able to slice into reality through portals because, I mean, look, there's a probability for an electron
placement that we know is we're guessing where it can be at any given time. In theory, you know,
what mystics, what gurus have been saying and what a lot of theoretical physicists say is that
everything exists everywhere all at once, right? And we have our perception, but what if it's not
the entire story? How do we frame that? That is a great question. That is a really deep philosophical
question and I have a strong interest in philosophy.
So, you know, actually that book you have there is actually not my last book.
This year, last year, myself, physicist Marcelo Gleiser and philosopher Evan Thompson
published a book called The Blind Spot, Why Science Cannes Can Not Ignore Human Experience.
And I am very interested in that.
So I like, what's weird as you're going to find with me is that on the one hand, I'm like,
totally hard-nosed scientists, you know, I'm like, if I'm asking a scientific question, I expect us to, you know,
obey the rules of science.
People like, oh, that's so limited.
It's like science is a way of interrogating nature,
like asking it questions,
getting into a conversation with nature,
that we can hear and understand the answers.
But I'm not somebody who says,
science explains everything.
Like, you know, any, you know,
you're, when you go see Shakespeare
and you are profoundly moved,
like that's not just because,
oh, I can figure out the neuroscience of your brain
and, you know, I can explain,
you know, what that,
the title of that book was,
that last book was about experience, how important experience is, and beginning with what is given
in just experience. Experience, as we say in the book, is not reducible actually to science.
But that doesn't mean, right? Like when you ask about that, when you ask the question about a
wormhole, you're framing your question in terms of science, right? Science does seem to be our
absolutely best way of interrogating the physical world, the world where spaceships would appear,
The world where, you know, the world where there might, the equations of relativity, which Einstein derived, which we know are useful, are powerful for looking at, you know, the sun for black holes and can be extrapolated to talk about wormholes.
That's the right way of sort of talking about that.
When people want to say like, well, what about extra dimensions and aliens?
Because there is that hole with aliens, the idea of the dimensional hypothesis.
They're not from other planets.
They're from other dimensions, right?
Well, that's still getting framed in terms of the physical world and questions you would ask about dimensions.
Like dimensions is an idea from science.
And we have probed.
Lots of people have pushed the idea that there's more than three dimensions.
And it turns out there aren't.
There's no good reason to think there's anything more than three dimensions.
Even time, which we think about as being a fourth dimension, that's actually kind of metaphorical.
You know, it's a mathematical metaphor.
But that time is not like space.
You can't go back in time, right?
I can go left and right, up and down.
Can't go backwards in time.
So I am totally amenable to asking the deeper questions about the nature of experience
and how there are things that can be true, you know, that are not provable by science.
But for me, you know, now you're entering the realm of silence, right?
You know, so there's Wittgenstein, right?
And Wittgenstein in the tract, I can never pronounce the tracticus,
was this, you know, incredibly detailed description of what math can do and what it can't do.
There were seven propositions.
The last proposition was that which can't be spoken of must be passed over in silence.
And, you know, some people have interpreted that to me like, well, you just can't talk about that stuff.
What I would say is that, you know, there's a different place to examine that silence,
and that tends to be spiritual paths, right?
Poetry, music, where, like, descriptions fail.
Words are going to fail because our experience overflow.
them. But if you now try and say, well, now I want an accurate description of, you know,
what's in that silence. It's like now you're back in the world of physics and I'm going to use
physics again. Does that make sense what I'm saying? Yeah, totally. I think we're at a point in
time where people are trying to have science interpret some of that human experience because the philosophers
and mystics have talked about the multiverse and other dimensions and that could be altered
states of consciousness and wanting science to then interpret or explain it. And where I get stuck
a little bit is like at one point, the tools we had for science only showed us a very limited
view of what we can see now. So we know that our tools are constantly expanding and what
science is able to explain is constantly growing and giving us a better picture of what is
quote unquote real. So I think how do you reconcile well science can explain this now,
but is constantly evolving and changing.
And when we look back at what it was able to show us before,
it was only a small sliver as a way to sort of bridge that silence
or that philosophical, some of these more philosophical ideas.
And if I can just sort of add to that to flesh it out a little bit,
you know, what comes to mind is Dr. Neil Thess,
who, you know, was the first to identify fascia
as connective tissue that literally, you know,
runs through the entire corpus, right?
And what he was able to experience and then describe, you know,
from a neurophysiological, you know, perspective was something that energy workers,
mystics have long, for thousands of years have talked about, right?
That there is, that there is something, you know,
there is something that runs through you that the basis of acupressure,
the basis of meridians, the basis of, of, you know,
aspects of chiropractic, which I don't like to get too crazy with chiropractic, but,
but the notion of meridians, of connectivity, you know, of these kinds of things,
those things which we used to dismiss as that's hokey, Neil Thies was able to say,
no, this is like an actual thing. It's an actual organ system, right? It runs through the entire
organ system and things that touch you in one place can touch you in others, right?
And another example, you know, that we have, I mean, even Einstein himself said there are limitations to what this can do.
And we need to use imaginary numbers to be able to imagine an explanation for how we describe certain things, right?
So the greatest physicists that taught me everything that I know, right?
Neal's Bore, like the names that I so revered, I didn't know they had an entire,
mystical understanding of the impossibility, right, of the human experience. So I think that's what also
we're interested in. We love that you can speak to these things. Can you sort of help us understand
this in these realms? Yeah. Okay. So, so, I mean, so for example, you know, I have my acupuncturist,
I go to have an acupuncturist is also a urologist, is an MD urologist. And we have these
conversations all the time about like, sort of like, all right, you know,
know, that's not a nerve cluster you just hit.
There's no nerve cluster there.
What is that?
So I, you know, I certainly think science absolutely, you know, as science, if you're trying, again,
if you're trying to describe the physical world, you always have to be open to the fact that, like,
yeah, you know, what's what's what we've discovered today, you know, is going to be a certain,
only a certain view, right?
And, you know, so I'm not a physicalist, I'm not what's called a physicalist, right?
You know, people like Sean Carroll, they're very much, I'm a physicalist, all that you can,
you know, that exists is physical.
Oh, Sean.
But, you know, there's Hempel's dilemma.
This is the famous dilemma in philosophy that, you know, well, okay, if only, the only
things that are physical are what scientists identify, physicists identify.
What do you do in 50 years when they identify something else?
So there's a problem there.
But I'm also, you know, I think we have to be very, very careful here, right?
Because human beings love to fool themselves.
And we've been fooling ourselves for a zillion years.
And science, the methodologies of science, turn out to be the most potent for not fooling yourselves.
Because, you know, there's a lot of, we want the sense of connectivity.
We want their, you know, life is hard.
You know, as a Buddhist, you know, the first principle that the Buddha gave was life is suffering,
life is difficult.
So there's the way in which we're kind of grasping at answers and solutions that will make us feel better in some sense.
So, you know, I certainly agree that, you know, it may be that meridians and the things that
Chinese medicine empirically has known for, you know, a few thousand years, eventually, you know,
physiology will understand sort of why this works for so many people.
But at the same time, I just think you have to be super skeptical and super careful about trying
to manifest what is often, you know, in spiritual practice, something that occurs in the
interior of experience, right? You know, and make it a physical thing, right? Have a physical theory for it.
You know, what's interesting is James Maxwell Clerk, the guy who invented, you know, Maxwell's
theories of electromagnetism, brilliant physicist, was, you know, deeply religious. He was a Presbyterian.
And I learned this when I was writing my first book on science and spirituality. And somebody, you know,
wrote an article saying like, oh, you know, Maxwell's stuff proves that, you know, God exists.
And he said, that is a stupid way of going about your religion, right?
If you're, if you have a sense of the divine, if you have an, and by means, if you have a spiritual sense, if you have an experience, because I'm all about experience, if you're an experience of experience, if you're an experience of, don't turn to science to justify it, right?
Because science is constantly changing, right?
It's experience.
So when I wrote that book, I was really asking about this experience of, for lack of a better word, the sacred or sacredness, which has nothing to do with the.
supernatural. It's about the experience of them of their being more. I think you should be very
careful about trying to like impose that on you know sort of the descriptions about physical reality.
You know, once we kind of use science with a lowercase S to try and explain everything, it, it does.
It gets kind of messy. And this is a place where, you know, I often, you know, kind of get tripped up.
because people do believe all sorts of things.
And we do know that belief in and of itself is a powerful medium.
And we are also learning more about what placebo means, right?
Meaning we know more about intention now than we did before.
You know, there's some really unbelievable experiments about the intention of the experimenter
impacting patients in ways that if you don't have that intention, it doesn't, right? What does that
mean? We're particularly interested also in near-death experiences and the abilities that people come
back with, right, after these kinds of experiences. I wonder if we can return a little bit to,
you know, more what you actually get to study. So, you know, first, I'd love for you to speak to the
Giggle Factor, which I had never heard it called the Giggle Factor. Can you talk about what the
giggle factor is and how that sort of, you know, allows us to speak to what people do believe
is happening with aliens visiting our planet and how we can transform that into a way that
we actually can talk about life on other planets? Right. So the Giggle Factor refers to SETI,
the search for extraterrestrial intelligence, which began in formally, in 1960, when Frank
Drake, you took a radio telescope, pointed it at two stars, and listened for any kind of, you know, radio signals that were clearly non-natural.
And there's ways to define that.
So that was the beginning of SETI.
He didn't find anything.
He only looked at two stars.
And then he, but it got a lot of press.
The press found out about.
And so that was the origin of SETI.
And, you know, NASA was interested in it for a while.
But it was always marginal, right?
And so at some point, we should talk about the Fermi paradox and everything that goes into that.
But so what happened was is that SETI, a number of times people tried to get SETI off the ground as a real going scientific concern.
Really get it funding.
It's never really had funding.
But the problem was always that, you know, because of UFOs in particular and the wackiness of UFO culture, it got associated with UFO cultures, which it never had anything to do with.
It was about the scientific search for signals, radio signals, traveling across space from other planets.
And so there was this thing called the giggle factor, which kept killing the attempts of NASA to Ray or NSF, National Science Foundation, to put some money into it.
So like in the late 80s, NASA wanted to do a big project to build more radio telescopes to study study.
And some senator got up on the floor and said, we're not going to be searching for little green men and literally put legislation in that killed any possibility for funding.
five years later, same thing happens where the congressman from Nevada stands up and says,
if I want to see life in the universe, I just have to go down and look at the National Enquirer,
buy a copy of the National Inquirer because I can see UFOs right on the, again, you know,
associating this scientific search with all the rigor that happens with science.
And we should talk a little bit about standards of evidence and what sets apart,
what scientists do and the kind of UFO stuff, or at least what's been done with UFOs.
So anyway, this giggle factor was this kind, you know, giggle meaning like people would mention, oh, yeah, yes, SETI, you know.
And the pioneers of SETI, Jill Tartar, Frank Drake, Carl Sagan, they all have to put up with this.
They're trying to like develop this scientific discipline.
And everybody's kind of like raising their eyebrows, you know, or after they leave, they're all giggling.
And it's only recently, you know, my generation, or actually even younger than me.
And I can, I was at the meeting when the giggle factor in 19.
2018 finally began to get dissipated. But now the both the search for life, but particularly the
search for intelligent life, which we would now refer to as the search for techno signatures,
which is the complement of just searching for any kind of life, which is biosignatures.
That now, it's still, some people will still raise their eyebrows about techno signatures.
But overall, NASA has acknowledged that, you know, yeah, of course, if we're searching, I mean,
NASA's all in on. The entire.
astronomical community is all in on searching for life. So why would you exclude intelligent life
if you're doing it? Right. So the giggle factor now has finally beginning to dissipate.
But it was really the association with UFOs that really was, that made it kind of laughable.
I think a lot of people might be surprised to hear that NASA's always been all in on trying to
find life on other planets. What do you think, what do you think people who
dispel this are afraid of? Dispel what? I'm not sure what you know. The notion that we can search for
for life on other planets, that we should be, that there is a scientific rigor to it. What would we say to
those people? Well, I think it was part of history. I mean, because really the thing was,
there wasn't much you could do back in the day. It's only recently, it's only with the discovery of
exoplanets in 1995 and then the development of new telescopic capacities. You know, it's only technology
that now circa 2024, circa 2020, 2010, even, that you could do it.
So actually, like in 1987, when I went to graduate school, said he was marginal.
There wasn't much to do.
It required a huge number of assumptions.
And even though, like, one of my professors, Woody Sullivan did it, I didn't choose to do it
because I just thought like there's not much to do here.
I respected that he wanted to do it.
And I was happy to talk about the people who were doing it.
But it wasn't that you weren't ready to really have a search for life.
There wasn't much to do scientifically.
Now, you know, now there is.
And with science, when people have to understand about science is to ask a question,
you have to have the tools to answer it.
If not, it's just speculation.
It's armchair speculation, right?
It's only in the past 15, 20 years that we've really developed the technology that I can
say, look, here's how I'm going to answer your question, is there life on other planets?
And that's the real transformation.
How do you reconcile what's been happening in the public square in Congress, the congressional
hearings, all these people who have worked at the Pentagon or for U.S. defense claiming that
there are spacecrafts, there are biological samples, and that every country in the world has
some form of program and or evidence. Obviously, we haven't seen the evidence, but how do you
reconcile those very fantastical claims with the science that you have seen and understand?
Yeah. Okay. So I covered this in the book, right? So the first UFO sighting is nine,
the first really popular UFO sighting, it breaks into public conscious, 1947, right?
151 and it creates a craze like you know nobody's ever seen UFOs and all of a sudden after
this story comes out in 1947 there's like 900 sightings in a year and actually I was I was talking
to Jonathan about this because if I can just sort of flesh this out a little bit so what what happened
in in 1947 was an erroneous newspaper headline yeah where basically you know for for for sexy value
the thing that this pilot saw was described as a saucer.
And what it was was that he was flying around like you do.
I believe that he was actually looking.
It was Kenneth Arnold, right?
He was actually looking to see if he could find debris.
He was flying about and he saw very, very by all of his reports,
which again, it's one person reporting.
We're just listening to what he says he saw,
which is not a scientific exploration.
But what he did was he tracked their approximate speed
based on literally their movement between two mountains.
He did a calculation.
And he said there's no way that this is anything that I can describe
from my knowledge of how planes move or how helicopters move or how anything moves.
And once the interviewer started talking to him from the local paper,
he sort of started describing, well, it was kind of flat.
It was like this.
And they were like, it's a saucer.
He saw a flying saucer, which like people don't even use cups and saucers anymore.
But that's in theory what it looked like.
But it was an erroneous headline.
And then all of a sudden, everybody's seeing them everywhere.
We went from no one seeing them to everyone seeing them.
Wait, Jonathan has a problem already.
So where this explanation is going is it was placed in the public consciousness and then people
are starting to make these things up.
However, it feels slightly different now when.
there is video evidence and people who are supposedly have more credibility than others working
for U.S. defense and governments. Is it simply that same pattern? Well, let's let you know,
I mean, so this is something really to unpack for a little bit. So first of all, let me say,
you know, let me make my statement, my statement. I am all for open, transparent,
scientific investigation of UFOs and UAPs. It's the only way you're going to figure out anything.
You know, so let's absolutely do it. Please don't take money from astrobiology.
because we barely have enough to, you know, we're running on fumes, right?
So, you know, but sure, you know, the budget is pretty big, you know, have one less F-15 or something, you know,
or, you know, don't put it into $12 trillion toilet seats and fund it.
And I'm, you know, and I'll follow it carefully.
And then let's talk about what that would actually look like and what the, again, this idea of
standards of evidence that need to be applied to it.
But you were specifically asking about this whole thing with the videos and the, the, the,
The military.
The military, the government, the videos, the, the metals that, the metals that no one can explain
and scientists.
There are no metals that no one can explain.
But they say that there are.
No, but right, but they never get them.
And they've been saying that.
So let me just make here.
Here's my little story, right?
1947 first UFO sighting.
Project sign, I think it's called.
I think it was originally called Project Saucer, which was a bad idea if you're trying to calm people down, 1951 or so.
The guy who's running it, I forgot in his name, Edward, something,
he runs that program, retires, writes a book in 1956,
where he clapped military guy claiming that there was a special report
called the assessment of the situation,
which said that these things were interplanetary, right?
Nobody ever can find the report after, you know, years of finding.
Sound familiar?
A military guy saying like, oh, I can't, I don't have any evidence,
but I've heard about the evidence, you know?
I haven't even seen the evidence, but I heard of other people who've had the evidence.
And it's like, you know, decade after decade of people saying, well, I didn't see it,
but I've heard about people saying it.
And at some point, this is all you have, right?
You can't make an extraordinary claim.
Like, oh, I have, I have medals that no one can ever, you know, that no one has properties
that I've ever seen.
I have, there are government warehouses full of spaceships and then be like, you know,
but I can't show them to you.
And they say, oh, did you see it?
Well, no, I didn't see it.
But I talked to a guy who saw it.
Like, I wish I had the ability to do science that way, right?
Like, hey, man, you know, there's a giant dragon living in my basement.
Oh, can we see it?
Oh, no, no, no, you can't see it.
Actually, I never saw it.
My friend saw it, you know?
So what has happened?
And what is it?
Sean Kirkpatrick, he, you know, who was one of the heads of the,
was the head of the Pentagon's UFO panel, a UAP panel recently.
he was shocked when he started talking to these military and intelligence officials.
And he asked them, well, what evidence do you have, right?
No evidence, just hearsay.
And he said, like, look, man, you're an intelligence officer.
You know, like, you can't work this way.
You can't make these claims unless you have evidence.
We wouldn't talk about dangers from Russia, you know, and act on them based on.
And what he said is, like, what you've had is you've had decades of this culture of certain groups
people in the intelligence and military community who are who have convinced themselves this is happening
and you're having a giant circular conversation where no one's ever seen the data. They've just
talked to people who talk to people who talked to people who saw it. Because for every military
guy that you're going to pull up who's going to say, we have biologics, I can find you a military
guy who says, that's insane, right? Okay. But but but also you you seem to have you seem to have a
trust of the government that I do not. Meaning meaning.
I'm willing to entertain that there is information.
I'm willing to entertain it.
I didn't say that it's true.
I'm willing to entertain that there may be information
because we already know that the government was lying about even their research
into legitimate concerns that had come to their attention, right?
We already know that they were not honest about that.
They're also not honest about a lot of things.
And I talked about that in the book, right?
For sure.
So for me, I mean,
I think once you insert, you know, a lack of trust,
then of course you're going to say this stuff's going to be well protected.
No one's going to get to see it.
I mean, do you, I'm just going to be really honest.
Do you think that there's just like a giant infiltration of people who work for the government who believe in aliens?
And it's just like that's just where their neuroses are coming out.
The government, like, first of all, I completely agree.
Do I think the government is going to tell anybody the truth about it?
No.
That is not what I'm saying.
What I'm saying is you have a giant, extraordinary claim, a claim that if true, would be the
greatest scientific discovery in the history of humanity, right?
So whether the government lies or not has nothing to do with whether or not that's true.
You got to separate those out, right?
And also, as many people have pointed out, right?
You know, there is no the government.
There's lots of government agencies that all hate each other and they're all in competition,
with each other. So the idea that a secret like this, right, you know, could be kept for 50 years
is really stretching the credibility of anybody who's ever actually worked in the government
and saw that how porous, you know, the government is. Show me any secret that's been actually
kept, completely kept for 50 years. And again, like you said, the idea that the government's been
infiltrated, you know, you have a bunch of people who work in the government, just like there's a
bunch of people who are working at the post office who believe in UFOs, right? And it's not because
they have any evidence. It's because, you know, they like the idea of UFOs. They're inclined to
believe in UFOs. Fine. That's fine. And then because of that, and they work in the government,
when somebody in the government said, hey, I knew about a guy who knew about a guy who saw something,
they're like, yeah, we got to get to the bottom of this. That does not mean that the government has
UFOs, you know. What do you make of the videos of spacecraft that have been revealed,
supposedly taken from fighter pilots of objects? The three, the three. There's three of them, right?
This is one of the things you have to understand. There's three of them, you know? There's only,
and that, so what does it? Go fast. I can't remember the other names. Like this is LiDAR and one other.
So those videos are really intriguing on a certain level, except let's also, you know, you won't
me as a scientist to digest that adds data and you want to make a claim about what you see in
those data, right? Well, even before you make a claim, how do you as a scientist view that material
and start to reconcile it, understanding that you can't make a claim yet because you don't have
the enough information? Okay, so as a scientist, what I do is I look at that data and I say,
what do you want me to do with this data? It's it's completely digested. I don't know what
instrument this came from.
Meaning it's already, so yeah, sorry, it's already been edited.
We don't have, we don't have the raw footage.
We also don't know anything.
Sorry, I don't mean to answer for you.
We don't know anything about, you know, where they've placed the cameras,
what the recording is from.
And you're also needing to believe, which is why there are scientific standards,
you're needing to believe this person, meaning he says this came from that footage on his
plane and you have to believe that.
Yeah.
And, and many things move in weird ways.
I don't know that that that we will necessarily know why but go ahead sorry but that's that's the rub right there like that's the leap for me is many things move in weird ways no no there's no those those videos do not show them moving in weird ways so there was like you know there was this somebody did somebody looked at the little numbers rolling off on the bottom of the screen a scientist and looked at the footage I think it's the one where it's like zooming zooming over the water like over the water is 30,000 miles an hour or something
And they looked at it and they did like the simplest thing you could do, parallax, right?
And they figured out like, well, based on this analysis, it's moving at 40 miles an hour.
And it's at 30,000 feet or whatever, you know, 10,000 feet like a balloon moving in the wind.
So this is what happens.
You get this this amplification where suddenly people like these videos show things moving in ways that nobody's ever seen before.
No, they don't.
They don't, I mean, in some cases, you don't really have even the information you need from that video to tell how it's moving.
So it's like the idea that there's proof.
So here's what I would say, based on the same standards of evidence that make your cell phone work, right?
If you want to have the standards of evidence that a scientist applies to any problem that they deal with, including all the things that you rely on, there is no evidence that is associated with anything with UFOs that comes even close.
to the standards by which you would say a scientist would say oh yes that thing is moving in a way
that you know that no physical object could move it's just not there but what you've had happened is this
again like i said there's three videos there's only those three videos but they get sliced and diced
and replayed a million times as if there were zillions of them you know there's other videos that
people have taken of other things but they're not there you know those ones let me let me
actually just also make a point here when we talk about UFOs and UAPs we have this feeling
because of the way social media works, that the sky is full of things we can't understand, right?
And in fact, even the last, you know, Air Force study of this, you know, where they interviewed a bunch of
people and they, you know, did the usual thing of, oh, can we explain this?
96% of all of the reported stuff that they looked at. They looked at like the 800 were explainable.
And that's exactly the number that when the Europeans did this, they found it, exactly the number,
or just about the number, that previous studies,
have shown. So most things that people take videos of or show, you know, are explainable. They're
easily explainable. Now, there is that 5% that is freaky-diki, which I think should definitely
be studied. But some of that 5% is just you don't even have enough to start, you know, doing an actual
scientific investigation. So I do really, I think it's really important to push back on this idea
that there's already data out there that a competent scientist could take and show that things
are moving in, you know, that you could prove that things are moving in weird ways. That is just,
it's just not true. One of the, one of the most kind of popular, you know, counters to this
conversation is it takes into account the fact that the government lies about things. It takes
into account that there's a lot of secret of things. And what I hear from a lot of skeptics,
or I don't even know if you call them skeptics, what I hear from a lot of people is like,
there are things that the government is probably researching that are not for public consumption.
And sometimes pilots will accidentally see them.
And we're not going to have the government go explaining them because it's likely regarding defense or something that they're developing that's trying to fight one of the many wars we may be engaging in by the time this episode airs.
So there's also this notion that once you have any sort of secrecy or protectiveness,
for people who are naturally inclined to believe that there are aliens and that there is something
that's being hidden, that's going to sort of exacerbate that. I do wonder, because, you know,
there's a lot about alien reports. And then I do actually want to get into some of the practicalities
of what we actually do study when we study this. But I wonder if, you know, especially given your
experience with the Marvel universe and with, you know, kind of a fluency.
in the culture of science fiction, which does play a big part in this.
Right.
I love science fiction, yeah.
You know, I'm fascinated by these stories ever since I was a kid when I would hear
abduction stories.
Like it was so, I mean, they're fantastical stories, right?
It's unbelievable.
And, you know, before the internet, you'd hear people reporting very similar imagery, right?
And very similar experiences and how could this be happening?
So, you know, what we know is that for all of, you know, kind of, you know, kind of
human history, there have been, you know, cultural consistencies about fears. And they often, you know,
parallel politics or they parallel environmental occurrences. You know, it's no coincidence that a lot
of the science fiction came, you know, after the Cold War. And again, you know, when fears of McCarthyism,
you know, things like that. But can you talk a little bit just also as just sort of like as a human,
You know, not necessarily as a scientist.
What is happening when people are reporting, you know, being visited by aliens, these abductions?
How do you frame that?
And then can you also help us with the Fermi paradox understand where some of this interest comes from?
Yeah, yeah.
Well, there's a couple things I want to say about this.
So first of all, just like my own personal experience with this, right?
I have, you know, when I was a kid, I got into astronomy when I was five years old because my dad's science fiction.
collection, you know, that I was looking at the covers of. But, you know, I read, I was so into
Von Donikins, you know, the chariots of the gods. You know, you guys know that book, right? That
was the first ancient aliens thing. When I was like in like fifth grade, I read that and I was like,
man, this is true, you know, the pyramids and the NASCAR planes and particularly Easter Island.
I was really like, how did they move those giant, you know, stones on Easter Island?
And then I remember like, you know, a year or two later, I'm watching PBS.
Yes, you know, looking for a science show.
And there was a thing called In Search of Ancient Astronauts.
And it was basically a bunch of people who actually studied these things, you know, the anthropologists who lived there.
And what I found out was that von Doniken's stories were all bullshit.
Like he just, and I was so angry.
Like the, you know, he just had never gone to Easter Island to find out like, oh, you know, the reason why they were able to move the, you know,
why these statues were moved on an island without trees was they cut.
all the trees down moving the statues you know it was human stupidity not ancient aliens i was so angry i
you know i'm from jersey right i've been fooled i've been taken as a mark and that really
affected the rest of my time we'll think about UFOs and ufis because so much of it has turned out to be
hoaxes and bullshit and people like trying to get over trying to sell their books or whatever and you know
As a scientist, I don't want to, you know, I want to know what's true, you know, and science is my
best route for when it comes to the physical world knowing what's true. And so I do, you know,
you'll see me push back hard sometimes on this, just because there's been, I feel there's been a lot
of, I think a lot of people are taking advantage of, we all have this interest in the unknown,
right? It's beautiful. The world is so beautiful. The world is so luminous. The world is
fundamentally mysterious, right? Life and death, what the hell is going on?
And so, you know, like you said, there's this cultural, we have these fears, we have this, this wonder, and we get played upon by people who, you know, want to sell their whatever or want to gain power, just want to be someone special. And, you know, science is our best, science is our best antidote to getting fooled, right? I don't want to be fooled in my spiritual practice and my, you know, my Zen contemplative practice. I don't want to be fooled in my science. And so that's why I sort of push back on this.
Knowing whether there's life elsewhere in the universe,
knowing whether or not we are the only place where life formed is the question I really want to have answer before I died.
It's the most important question to me that there is.
And I don't want to be fooled by, you know, people telling me like, you know, oh, yeah, yeah, UFOs.
Absolutely.
UFOs are from other places.
So that's, I don't know if that was helpful for that answer.
Yeah.
So, but let's move on to like what we can know because this is such an amazing moment.
Can you talk about the Fermi paradox a little bit?
Yeah, right, right.
So the Fermi, often what you get with Fermi paradox,
and this is from people who are pessimists about life in the universe.
So the Fermi paradox is the basic idea.
There's two versions of it.
One is, if the universe is teeming with life, intelligent life,
why aren't they here now?
Like, why aren't we being visited right?
Right now? Why haven't they landed on the White House lawn
and said like, hey, we're here, you know, we want to eat you.
And then the other version is we've been looking since 1960,
and we haven't seen anything, right? So let's deal with the second one because often that's the one
people think about like, well, we've been looking forever, haven't we? And that one turns out to also be
completely wrong because for the most mundane reason, right, we never looked, right? People have this
idea that every night scientists take radio telescopes and search the sky for signals of alien
intelligence. And it turns out that there was never any money to do that. The giggle factor
killed SETI to most important.
So my colleague Jason Wright, he and his students did a study where they counted up all the
SETI searches that have ever been done.
And the metaphor is if the sky is an ocean, how much water have we looked through of
the ocean?
Turns out it's a hot tub, right?
That's how much of the sky we've searched.
So like if you dragged up a hot tub's worth of water and you didn't find any fish,
are you then going to say like, well, I guess there's no fish in the ocean, right?
So there is no, there's no, there's no, there's no, there's no, there's no, there's no
fremy paradox when it comes to we've looked and we haven't found.
The Fermi paradox around like, we're, you know, how come they haven't landed on the
White House lawn?
Well, if you're into UAPs, that's the answer, right?
There you are here.
But there's so many other ways to answer that one.
Like, you know, people have the zoo hypothesis and the this, that, and the other thing.
There's so many ways around why aren't they here right now for, I've written a bunch of
papers on this.
Well, what if they landed?
What if they came by a billion years ago?
There'd be no evidence.
There, you know, the earth.
the earth resculpts the surface so dramatically after just a few million years.
You're not going to find any pyramids from a billion-year-old visitation.
So in general, that's what people, I want really people to understand is that there is no
Fermi paradox. We've never looked. We just don't know. And now finally, this is the message.
We finally can look. You know, after 2,500 years of yelling at each other over our opinions,
we finally have the science to look at, you know, if you're interested in aliens, like, so here's my
metaphor. If you're interested, if you want to find Nebraska, right, you want to find some people
from Nebraska, would you go look at a small village in the Himalayas? No, you go to Nebraska because
that's where the Nebraska live. That's the same thing with like UAPs in the earth. If you want to know
about aliens, why are you looking at this backwater planet, us, and expecting they're all here.
The place you look for aliens is where they're from, alien planets.
And now, finally, we're just on the edge.
In the next 10, 20, 30 years, I am sure that we are going to have data relevant to this question.
I can't tell you what the data is going to do.
I can't tell you what it's going to say.
But we are going to have actual factual data that is going to be specifically aimed at, you know,
is there any kind of life, you know, microbial or not?
and are there is any, are there any technological civilizations?
One of the things I'd like you to explain before we go into, like, how we actually look for life on other planets, can you explain a little bit the issue of the scope of the universe?
It blew my mind to start thinking about the fact that we have technology that can look at things that are so far away and like it makes me want to cry.
We will never go there.
Like, we'll never go there and they in, they will likely not come here or they haven't come here because it's too far away.
But that doesn't mean.
Like, can you talk a little bit about some of the limitations and start us understanding what technology we have that actually can look even if we can't touch it?
Right, right.
So that's, I mean, the thing I think it's really hard for people to understand, unless you really
worked at it is how freaking big space is. I mean, I'm just talking about the distance between us and
our nearest neighbor. The house next door is so far away by what I mean by that, the nearest star
is so far away that if you traveled at the speed of the fastest thing we've ever built,
which is the Voyager probe or the New Horizons probe, which was, you know, went to Pluto or
New Horizons went to Pluto. If we were traveling at that speed, the
fastest thing we ever built, it would take 400,000 years just to get to the house next door.
Now, remember, we're kind of thinking of the galaxies being like Manhattan.
So let's say you live like where I did in Jersey, right, in Belleville, right, right across the
river.
That means to get to Brooklyn, it would take tens, if not hundreds of millions of years.
So the distance between the stars is so freaking huge.
that that's why people, you know, as I say in the book, you can't just wave your hands at that
and say like, oh, of course the aliens have figured it out, right? Because we know that light speed,
like right now, our physics tells us, and we know physics pretty well. Sure, there could be more
physics, but, you know, we know physics. We have some pretty awesome understanding of physics.
Light speed is an actual, you can't go faster than the speed of light, right? So that means that even
at light speed, if you could travel, you can get yourself up to light speed, which we can't even
come close, it would take the nearest star is four light years away. It would take four years to get there.
You know, that's the nearest star. If you want to go down the block, you know, those are 40 light years
away. That means it would take 40 years to get there, you know, and that's still our neighborhood.
So it's really important for people to understand when dealing with thinking about space
and life is to understand just how vast those distances are between the stars. So, so we start there.
Yeah, so let's start there. And
We've talked a bit about exoplanets.
Can you talk a bit about, I think let's go into biosignatures and techno signatures.
Can you explain why it's important for us to understand what we've done to our planet in order to understand how other things could have done that to theirs?
All right. Well, let's go to biosignatures first. And it's not us. It's life, right?
So the thing about life is that life basically hide, when you when, when, based on Earth's history, when life forms on a planet, it hijacks the planet. It takes over the planet's evolution, right? Life is not some green scruff that's like hiding, you know, in the corners of a planet. It takes over a biosphere, which is the sum total of all the life, existing, actually completely takes over the history of the planet. We talked about oxygen. There's a great example. The Earth's atmosphere has 21% of,
oxygen. That's all because of life. If life were to disappear tomorrow, all the microbes and forests
and everything, that oxygen would be gone in a pretty short time. We'd all react away with the rocks
and get locked up again. So if we could detect oxygen in another world, in the atmosphere of
another world, that would be a biosignature. Pretty good. We think, you know, there's other things
are going to happen. But we have the capacity now. We can actually see into the atmospheres of worlds that are
40 light years away, and we can see the fingerprints in the light of what chemical compounds are in the
atmosphere. So because life hijacks a planet, takes over the planet, reshapes the planet's evolution,
and does things like burps out oxygen into its atmosphere, we can use that oxygen or other compounds
that we can see in a distant alien planet's atmosphere to tell whether there is life there.
And we just need to stop the moment and go, holy shit, that is amazing. A bunch of hairless, angry
wireless monkeys, us, figured out how to see into the air of a distant world and then use that
to figure out whether there's alien life there. I mean, that is like, okay, we suck in a lot of
ways, but that's pretty good, one for us, you know? Beyond biosignatures, you talk about things like
CFPs, you talk about satellite, you talk about debris. I had never thought that much. I had never thought
that much about what our planet tells aliens, right? Because if something is looking at us,
they're not only able to see, oh, there's oxygen, there must be life here. But we have satellites
that are floating in the sky. We leave junk in space, right? We leave things on the moon.
We leave holes in the ozone layer because of the things that we have done to,
to damage our environment.
But those kinds of things, light pollution, right?
If something is looking at us with intelligence,
they would be able to say there's intelligence on that planet
that created that enough.
So what that means is we get to do the same to alien planets.
We get to say, are there chemicals?
Is there satellites?
Is there debris?
That's the kind of thing we can look for.
But again, we're talking about a lot of stars.
It takes a lot of scoping this out to try and find this.
Can you talk a bit also about like techno signatures?
So, you know, we talked about biosignatures, all the ways in which just, you know, a biosphere.
You could have, you could have known if you were looking at Earth 100,000 years ago or 500,000 years.
And before any human beings were here, you could have told, oh, that planet has life on it for sure.
There's life happening, you know.
But now we are leaving evidence of our technology, of a technological, a global technological civilization, what we call a technosphere, all the sum of technology operating on the planet.
We're leaving evidence of that.
And so I'm the principal investigator on NASA's first grant ever, this is part of this change that happened, the first grant ever to study the techno signatures of exoplanets.
So there's a whole list. Our job is to kind of go through the list and see what's good and what's not good and then to recommend eventually which ones people should use telescopes to look at.
So, okay, let's start with chloro-fluorocarbons, CFCs. These are the gases that we used for air conditioning that we escaped, you know, belched out into the atmosphere, which were killing the ozone.
You can see those across space. You would be, you know, if there was a planet that was 40 light years away, we showed this in a paper, 40 light years away, and it was,
It had the same level of chloroflorocarbons that we have right now, even with the JWST, the James Web Space Telescope, you might be able to detect that.
If it was five times, 10 times higher, we'd definitely be able to detect it.
And people say, well, that's pollution.
You know, how do you know they're using it for pollution?
They might be using it on purpose.
Like chlorofloricarbons are a great greenhouse gas.
If you want to make a planet warmer, let's say we wanted to move to Mars and make it warmer, we pump CFCs into the atmosphere.
So certain kinds of atmospheric compounds, which we know nature will never produce, those are techno signatures.
Seeing city lights, you can, you know, if a planet has enough urbanizationers using lights for artificial illumination,
you can see that across interstellar distances.
You might, if you're using solar panels, you know, for light for solar collection on a large enough scale,
the reflection of the light off the solar panels, we can use that as a techno signature.
And this is mind blowing, right?
I mean, we have finally the capacity to ease drop, not even eavesdrop.
That's the wrong word.
What we're doing is, right, I really want people to understand this.
The old version of SETI was we were waiting for a signal, right?
The only way the radio version of SETI worked was you needed somebody to be be beaming a signal to you to be announcing their presence.
Like, hey, we're here.
Look at all our great technology.
Look at our art, you know.
And that's one of the reasons I didn't pursue SETI.
I was like, that seems, you know, I mean, why, how do you know somebody's going to want to send a beacon?
The new version, this is what we call techno signatures, which, you know, classical setty is still part of.
But the new version is we're like detectives, right?
We don't care whether anybody's trying to communicate with us.
We're just like hanging out in our car with our crappy cold cup of coffee and our shitty donuts.
We're just watching.
We're just watching for the civilization to go about its business of civilizationing, right?
And we can tell they're doing it.
So like all the old stuff gets wiped away.
We don't need to care what, you know, what their motivations are.
You know, oh, they want to contact us.
They want to leave an edifice.
No, they're just going about their business.
And we're sitting there going click, click, click, click, you know, taking our pictures from
our car.
And so it's an entirely new game that our technology, our theoretical understanding of planets
and planets in life, biospheres, technospheres, allows us to do with this.
And so that's why soon we're going to have data that's going to help us answer the question,
whether anything is out there.
Can you explain why we may encounter an alien civilization that could be a million years old?
Yeah, well, actually, the odds are that's what we're going to encounter because you can work out the math.
So David Kipping.
You're so casual about this. You're so certain that aliens are not here probing people's butts.
But when I say something like, might we meet an alien civilization that's a million years old?
You're like, of course, Maya.
What are you stupid?
Yeah, it's a weird world I love it.
You're a weird dude.
That's what my kids say.
So, you know, first of all about the UAPs, I'm not certain that there's no UAPs here.
I'm just saying that there's no.
Yeah, you know.
You get this dichotomy that is confusing about you in that in one way you're like,
they're not here looking to like look at what.
farm ladies are doing, you know, in their kitchen. But a hundred percent, 99.99 with a repeating
sign over the nine, we're going to find alien civilizations that are millions of years old.
This brings up standards of evidence, right? And how science works. How does science know anything
that it knows? Because, you know, we live in a world where like there's so much science denialism,
you know, and so much. So how does, you know, and yet in the meantime, you know, people are like,
science is full of crap.
They don't know what they're talking about.
Give me some more antibiotics.
These are so yummy when I'm, you know, when I'm sick.
So it's a really weird world we live in.
I love science.
But so like my claim about that, about why it has to be older.
You know, I can work out.
There's the science of probability.
There's the science that I know about.
There's the numbers I know about how many stars there are.
There's the history of the earth.
And the reason, so this, that claim comes from doing the mathematics.
And I didn't do it.
I don't have the kung fu to sort of do that.
It was David Kipping.
Columbia, we work together. I mean, I'm a theoretical physicist, but I don't have his jobs.
And, you know, using what's called Bayesian analysis, which is a way of of estimating probabilities
based on when you have just a few bits of information, he was able to sort of prove.
And other people had done other versions of this, that if you see a civilization, if you get a,
if you get detection of another civilization, because of the overlap in time, the odds are it has to be one.
much older than you, right? It's just kind of simple in a certain way. What are the odds,
like if let's say humanity only lasts 50 more years, right? So we're only there 50 more years.
And we're out looking through the sky, right? And we see stars, you know, a lot. You know,
if I see a star that's 100 light years away, I'm looking at it 100 when it was 100 years ago.
If I'm looking at it a thousand light years away, I'm looking at it how it was a thousand years ago.
What are the odds, if every civilization is 50 years old, that I'm just getting the overlap and I'm seeing them, right?
In general, odds are I should be, if no civilization lasts more than 50 years, in general, when I look, I'm going to see when they're dead.
Either they haven't started or they're dead.
And so that's the kind of mathematics.
You can now build out a really formal argument to show you that in general, on average, when you, if you detect a civilization, it probably must have been there for a long time so that when you looked, they were still there.
So for them to look at us, though, they would have to.
to have some pretty sophisticated scanning technology because we've barely been around.
I mean, is that part of what the Fermi paradox allows me to understand?
Like, we kind of just, like, we didn't, like, we arrived at, like, midnight of the December 31st
on the calendar of the universe, right?
I mean, not even.
So it's like, we kind of just got here.
So is that also part of the notion that whatever alien civilization we're thinking
might be visiting us, they'd have to be tracking and catch us in this, like,
needles eye of our existence.
Yeah.
Yeah.
No, that's it.
And that's what in the paper I did with Gavin Schmidt, where we talked about the Silorian
hypothesis, one of the reasons we were asking the question, how would we know if there
was another civilization on Earth 100 million years ago, right?
Not that we believe there was one, but we were just saying, like, would you even be able
to tell?
And what Gavin, as an Earth scientist, was able to sort of show, was like, there's no way to know,
right?
So that could be one of the answers to that first version of the Ferming.
paradox. Sure, we've been visited, but we were visited a billion years ago or a hundred million
years ago and all evidence of that is gone. Right. So you're right. We, you know, if you, if you were
like, oh my God, there's, you know, there's technological civilization on earth, you would have to be
like right next door and looking right now to know that if you were, you know, if you were a 500 light years
away, which is most stars are more than 500 light years away, you wouldn't need, you'd be looking at
Earth and you'd be seeing like, you know, Renaissance Italy, which you wouldn't be able to see,
right? You know, there was no way to tell, you know, so it's like, yeah, that is exactly the point
you're making is exactly right. I want to talk about arrival, but go ahead. Arrival.
I love arrival. Do you have faith in the future of current Earth's humanity?
The way I answer, I get asked that a lot. And my answer is like, sure, why not? Because what's the
alternative. You know, so I've been, you know, one of my first jobs out of between, I took a year off
between high school and, or sorry, between college and graduate work. And I did a lot of, you know,
weird jobs, including working as the bouncer at the Rocky Harrah picture show on 13th Street and 6th
Ab. But I ended up working at the Goddard Institute for Space Studies, which is this NASA
installation. This is 1986. And I was doing scientific programming. And they were doing climate change
studies. This is 1986. Nobody'd heard of climate change. Like I talked to my buddies and be like,
bro, we're changing the climate. They'd be like, no way, man. And so I've been tracking this my
entire life, right? And I've written a lot of, I've written a lot on climate change. And, you know,
often I don't know what your listeners are like, but some of the shows I'm on, I'll see,
you know, the comments, people be like, well, he had me until he started talking about climate
change. So climate change is happening. It's, you know, like, I'm sorry, there's no way around
it. It has nothing to do with any of us in our opinions. It's just earth science.
You know, we, because of the, it's a product of technological civilization, an outcome of having a technological civilization.
So, you know, climate change poses probably an existential risk to this kind of technological society.
Human beings are not going to go extinct because of it, but we may not have this kind of society where what we're doing right now is possible or that the food just magically shows up at, you know, my grocery store.
And then there's nuclear war.
There's AI, which is just coming, which could be.
is going to have all kinds of pressures.
Not that I think AI, you're going to get a super, you're going to get a super intelligence that's
going to kill us.
It's just that we're going to screw ourselves up using AI.
So am I hopeful?
Like I said, what's the alternative?
I do think this.
This is after, the reason I did that preamble is I've been talking to people about climate change
for 20 years, right?
It's been a long time.
And what I'm seeing is not good, right?
I'm really stunned that basically we've known this is happening.
just this one threat.
And we're like,
eh, whatever.
But I do think, you know,
because climate change is so,
it's coming,
it's already starting that.
We're already seizing the teaser trailer for climate change.
You can only be able to ignore it for so long.
So what I think is the next 20, 30, 50 years,
we're in for a hard time.
We're in for a challenging time.
But human beings are very clever.
They're very resilient.
And they're fundamentally compassionate,
as much as we can be.
But they're also really lazy and they don't want to use a canvas shopping bag.
That's true, too.
But I mean, when things get bad enough, which is where we're headed, I'm sorry.
We could have not gone there.
There's going to be a lot of suffering.
But I think, you know, we'll end up recognizing it.
And sometimes that's what evolution requires.
You know, you don't evolve unless there's a gun to your head, right?
You don't evolve new behaviors unless there's an evolutionary pressure.
We are resilient, but we're not overly good at collaborating on a global scale.
to move in a particular direction.
So that's a little bit of the caveat.
I asked the question really because if there are other civilizations out there in the universe,
they will have experienced similar problems in the development of their societies.
So part of the curiosity of finding and making contact is,
are there solutions out there that could help us?
That was the subject of the book,
before the book you have on your table, which was Light of the Stars, Alien Worlds, and the Fate of the Earth.
So, yeah, I've done a lot of work on the idea of, is the Anthropocene, what we call the Anthropocene,
which is climate change, which is all the feedback, right?
Our civilization has gotten so powerful that we're feeding back on the other Earth systems,
atmosphere, oceans, et cetera.
Maybe that's a generic thing.
Like, I kind of expect it is once you, you know, you start using.
so much energy to power your civilization, of course there's feedbacks. Like, what do you expect?
And some civilizations learn how to get through that, and some don't. And so, yeah, one reason to
think about looking for other civilizations is just, first of all, to know that somebody made it,
right? Because, you know, we don't actually, you know, we don't actually know whether a long-term,
sustainable technological civilization is something that the universe does, right? We know that there's
comets and we know there's black holes and we know that there are planets with rings but are and we
know there's biospheres right because we have a least example of one but how do we know that actually
you can have a technological civilization that exists for a million years right maybe everybody dies
after 200 years right they all burn out so one also reason to do this is just to see you know like
does anybody make it and what do they look like you know i mean look like physically what how they
And we'd be able to tell something about this from, you know, the kind of techno signatures we're talking about.
What is their technology based on? How are they organized on their planet? So I think, you know,
there's also that very important question of, are we going to endure and what will it take for us to
endure?
Adam Frank, it's been such a pleasure to talk to you. We really appreciate you going into all the
the mystical and possible places and also the astrobiological ones.
This book is a little book of aliens, but I mean, all of your books are really fantastic reading on such a variety of subjects, really surrounding what does make us unique here and how can we celebrate that uniqueness?
Where can people find out more about you?
I'm not using social media very much now.
Good for you.
Yeah, because my mental health, I'd like to keep my mental health.
So, right, probably.
I'm actually going to be starting a newsletter soon with Beehive, likely.
And so that's going to be a place.
And you, I'll announce that on my, so I still have my account on X.
I'm not using it just because of that guy, the Twitter guy, as Bill Burr says.
But I do have, I am on Blue Sky and I have a Facebook author page.
But I also have a, if you just Google Adam Frank Science, you'll find my web page.
And that's where I'll be announcing the newsletter.
So that's the main place to see what's going on.
And then you can see all the books that I've written there, my other articles, other things I've done.
Well, we really, really appreciate your time.
This was fantastic.
I could talk to you forever about other things, but we really appreciate it.
So thank you.
Thank you.
This was really, this was a super fun conversation.
I love doing this.
So thanks, guys.
I didn't even get to point out that I was wearing my cats in space t-shirt for this episode.
If you're just listening, it's cats being sucked up by a UFO.
I think we've worn it.
Yeah, I think we've worn it once before.
I wear it for all of our alien-themed episodes.
Oh, you were with Lou?
Yeah.
There's aliens.
There's totally aliens.
He doesn't like to say it like that, but there's aliens.
There's intelligent light.
There has to be intelligent life in the universe.
And he said it.
I didn't get to ask this.
And so I'll ask you.
Ask me and I'll pretend to be him.
Okay.
Adam.
Why do you think you like sci-fi so much?
I can't answer that for him.
It's in the book.
He talks about it in the book.
I think that there's a real.
beauty in what we can imagine. And sure, fantasy is fun, but science fiction's more fun because
it's fantasy rooted in the kind of vernacular of science. It doesn't mean that it is scientific,
and you can create anything you want. That's the kind of fantasy part. But the fact is we're
wired to wonder about the universe. And he said, for three,
thousands of years on this planet, people have looked up at the stars and tried to figure it out.
What's going on? What is it? I mean, that's what astronomy was. That's what astrology emerged from,
right? There are so many people on this earth that look up at the stars and have this wonder
and this sense that we couldn't possibly be alone in the universe. Is that just a creative figment
of our imagination? I think it's a deep knowing. That's where I'm going, is that the
There are so many times that we've seen in the history of human civilization where a deep
creative knowing has then transformed into scientific understanding and that the tools of
science catch up to this deep inner knowing that we have. And given how broad the knowing
is, it's hard for me to imagine that it's purely for no reason.
I mean, maybe just we've manifested. We've manifested the possibility that there's
life on other planets. But I think, yeah, I think there's a deep knowing. And while religion
ruled astronomy for much of human history, I think there also is this sort of knowing that while
there will always be people who believe we're special, God made us this way, that's the whole
purpose. I think God created the whole universe with everything in it. Do you think we can eventually
be a multi-planetary species? With the scientific limitations,
that I understand of, for example, how we can travel or even the fastest we are able to travel.
Right now.
Right now, right now, like, until we can punch it chewy and, like, have warp speed.
Yeah, I don't think that's possible.
But for me, even if we are able to look deep into space and see a biosignature or a techno
signature, that's going to happen. I believe that may happen in my children's lifetime. And they will be
very, very, very disappointed that mama was right. Well, they don't like traveling just on road trips now.
They're not going to want to get on the spaceship and take the time to go to another planet.
No, but just the knowledge, like, as he said, like for, although it's not going to be like the movie
arrival, which we didn't get to talk about, which Adam's a big fan of and I am as well.
It's not going to be like that. And it likely is not going to be like what a lot of people perceive
as visits and observations. You know, for for for those of you watching something just
came out of Jonathan's neck that looks like a black piece of plastic.
It was from my microphone.
It looked like Jonathan just spawned a piece of plastic as I was describing aliens.
Just pulled out of my neck.
I think we'll end there.
From our breakdown to the one we hope you never have.
We'll see you next time.
It's my and Bialics breakdown.
She's going to break it down for you.
She's got a neuroscience Ph.D. or two.
One, fiction.
And now she's going to break.
