MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Breaking Down A Stacked Weekend With Tyson Fury vs. Oleksandr Usyk, UFC Vegas 92, Bellator

Episode Date: May 15, 2024

One of the most stacked fight weeks of the summer is upon us. This weekend features a combat sports triple header as UFC Vegas 92 and the Bellator Champion Series return, all leading up to the main event of the season: Tyson Fury vs. Oleksandr Usyk for the undisputed heavyweight title of boxing. And with so much action in play, the No Bets Barred boys are back to break it all down. Co-hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew kick things off with a brief recap of UFC St. Louis before diving into this weekend's festivities. Is UFC Vegas 92 the worst fight card of the year? Is Edson Barboza washed? Will Jed's chosen prospect Tom Nolan disappoint him yet again? The Boys discuss all of that before switching over to the biggest fight in boxing and a healthy debate about whether Fury or Usyk will leave this weekend as the first undisputed heavyweight champion in nearly a quarter of a century. All this and a lot more are discussed on this week's episode. Tune in for episode 88 of No Bets Barred. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe to MMA Fighting Check out our full video catalog Like MMA Fighting on Facebook Follow on Twitter Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Support for this show comes from the Audible Original, the downloaded two, ghosts in the machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudulian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprise his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible Original Blockbuster. The Downloaded, it's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, What are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?

The Downloaded 2, Ghosts in the Machine. Available now, only from Audible. Support for this show comes from the Audible original, The Downloaded 2. Ghosts in the Machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudullian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever.

Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprised his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the audible original blockbuster, the downloaded. It's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, what are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?

The downloaded two, Ghosts in the Machine, available now, only from Audible. ...to the Vox Media Podcast Network. It's going on, y'all. We are back. Another edition of No Bet's Barred this time. UFC Vegas 92.

We are back in the apex, the friendly confines. But that's not all we have. This weekend, it's a big weekend combat sports. It's also Belator Champions Series. Patchy Mix returns, such as her Dumbay returns. And of course, the undisputed heavyweight championship of the world goes down in boxing.

First one since 1999. So, I mean, it's a, what's the word, a moosh-boosh? What's, it's a full buffet of combat sports this weekend. There's a lot of action going down. I mean, really, there's the one thing that's really happening.

And the rest of this is just side dishes, you know, these, it's not the turkey. But we know what the turkey is. But, you know, Turkey is Angela Hill, the Juana Pinheiro. The side dishes are Tyson Fury, Alexandria, Alexandria, Andrew, was sick. You know. I mean, you nailed it. The only ranked fighter, according to MMAFrient.com, global rankings that's competing this weekend is Angela Hills. So you did nail it in that regard.

Partner, I'm not going to lie, man. Looked over this card on Sunday. It ain't great, man. It's pretty weak. It's a pretty weak card by any definition. Any standard apex. The only way that this card is not weak is if you are a deeply involved gambler because there are a lot of tightly lined fights.

Not a lot of huge. I mean, there are mismatches this weekend in the USC card for sure. There's some very wide lines as well. But a lot of tightly lined fights in that regard. But yeah, look, there's one of the weaker offerings of the year. Honestly, might end up being the weakest on paper card of the year. But that's okay because this isn't what we're here for. We're here for the boxing.

This is just, you know, something to do. for the rest of the time on Saturday. So let's get into it, man. Let's get into it. The Bellator card is also a Friday afternoon card, which I love. Love that for Belly. The top two fights on it are very, very entertaining and very interesting. So let's get into the UFC card, though.

Let's just rip right. Well, before we do, how do we do last week? Oh, God, terrible. Terrible. I mean, we talked about it last week on the show. It's the Jekyll and Hyde of this year for me. I mean, one week I'm up 10 units the next week, and I'm down seven, then I'm down.

eight, then I'm back up nine, and it's just like, I'm just taking massive swings. Yeah, I lost like eight units again. Jeez. Yeah, I mean, Robles to Spain ruined me. If I'm just being totally honest. I mean, Robles killed us all. I mean, he's dead to me. I'm just going to come out and say it. I fainted like I might not be off the hype train. He is dead to me. That is, that is actually like the fifth time this year where the worst possible outcome for me in a fight has happened, where I have like one thing finishing a parlay

that being the under then I have you know money on the money line and it just it never works out if I'm just like yeah both hitting would be incredible one hitting would be nice neither hitting would just be a worst case scenario that is like and where the worst case scenario is like plus like over plus a thousand yeah it's it's like the j-zuzio Rosenstrike one Yeah, it just never works out for me. I can't double up on fights. I mean, that's great.

We're just having the same year we've been having all year than kind of because I'm up two units from last week. Just I'm still negative on the year, but we're not, we're staying in a band of four units either way. We're up four on the year total. We're down four. We're not getting anywhere outside of that band. Yeah. So you're swinging for the fences and occasionally strike. out, I'm swinging for singles and I'm getting on base the same level of time that I also,

you know, get thrown out. Can I be honest with you? I really, I really, I really hate how it resets every year. I really do hate it because overall, I am up massively. But then I have to come in and be like with my tail between my legs and be like, oh yeah, for 2024, I'm down X number of units. So like I really it puts a lot of pressure on you starting from zero This is now the third the fourth time

I've had to do it So yeah the year resets kind of suck I can't lie It's a next year will be better Like that's let's just already make the plan for next year We're not going to reset We're just going to power through Keep the good energy coming right out of the gate

I actually and it'll be good I actually think that we there's still plenty of time to to bounce back this year. Oh, there's a lifetime of time. We're not even halfway through the year. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, I think at the halfway point of last year, I was down like 34 units on the year and I ended up finishing up like 28. So a lot can happen. Marathon, not a sprint. Yeah, I mean, I'm not going to lie. It's just kind of been a, it's been a tough year predicting things. There's a lot of things that I feel supremely confident on that I am just so wrong on. And in the past, those supreme confidences have turned into winners.

This year, they're turning into losers. Well, welcome to my world. You know at this point that anything that I am supremely confident in is a guaranteed loser. So I've just brought you down to my level is what's happened here, Connor. I mean, it's been a nice reminder in bankroll management and confidence is an illusion in this ever so volatile sport we like to bet on. it being boxing and MMA. And maybe we shouldn't have bet on the dude who had five professional fights

and four of them did not last longer than a combined 30. Maybe we shouldn't have bet. Also, listen, if we want to get totally honest, I say Robles to Spain is that to me. Waldo Cortez is even further down the dead hole to me. He should have been dead to you anyway. He's already been dead. Now he's confirmed.

He was dead on arrival. Now we have confirmed it. How do you not get a. finish. And then he posts the picture of him pointing to the ground. Then he's just like, I came to bang in that fight. And if you watch the tape, he points to the ground and immediately shoots for a takedown, which I'm not even ripping on him for that game plan. The game plan was clear and easy. Go for takedowns and you will beat this guy. And that is what he did. But how did you not finish him when you had him mounted almost the entire time when you were on the ground?

That was the toughest part of watching that fight too, because you're just like, and when he gets to mount first time, you're like, okay, at least we can still hit this under. And then it becomes very apparent that actually know this, this is for sure going to the cards. That's what I'm saying. My biggest bet in the day was the, was the violence parlay. Biggest bet in a while was that violence parlay. And so like, when he mounted him, I was like, all right, whatever, he'll finish him and like, I'll be fine. And when we went to the second round and he got that the takedown in the second round, I was just like, this is going to the score cards. There's nothing worse than having it under. And you realize,

the fight is going to the scorecards. And it's just like, you know it in your soul, you feel it in your plums, and you're just like, oh, fuck, this fight's going to the scorecards. You look at whoever you're with, and you're just like, yeah, this fights. I was with my girlfriend, and she was doing something else.

She was reading, you know, being a normal human being, not watching cage fights. And I turned around and I was like, I was like, this is bad. I was like, this is bad. I'm about to get a double loser on my two biggest bets. And she was like, you probably shouldn't have trusted the guy with five professional fights who has a combined fight time of like a minute 15.

And I was like, wait, what the fuck did you just say? And then she went back to reading as well. I mean, maybe we should get her on the pod. She seems to have a better understanding of betting than we do. She didn't say that. She was just like, I don't care. Nobody cares about your bets. You think people care.

They don't actually care. Like, just shut up and enjoy your night. Enjoy your life. Stop having your mood dictated by Robles to Spain. Oh, the day that my mood isn't dictated by Robles to Spain, that's when I'll find a new line of work, Kim. Not for me. I didn't bring up such a sore subject.

I'm sorry. Can we also just say, like, the second it went through on two, it was just like, all right, so the Robles to Spain, chaos is just completely out the window. He is not caoing this guy. Now we need Walter Cortez to finish. Yeah, I mean, this is, did Waldo Cortez get ranked in the heavy?

weight rankings? I didn't look today, but he should have. I would have, I would suspect. Let me see. Yeah. He did not. He did not. Did not.

So they left Rodrigo Nassiminto in there after getting demolished. Didn't move a spot, Rodrigo Nassimento, after getting. Love that Derek Lewis has now jumped tied to Ivasa in the UFC heavyweight rankings, though. If only these two fought and we knew how. a fight between them would go. If only. If only. All right, yeah, that was last week.

I mean... I was trying to kill time, because I know that we're not going to spend more than 10 minutes talking about this week's EOC court. So it's trying to add a little to the pod length, so it's not just a 20-minute pod. There it is. Yeah, I mean, we're digging up source subjects. I mean, if we want to go to an alternate universe, because there is one out there where Robles to Spain went and got a 15-second knockout, oh, man, it would have been such a great way for me.

have been up huge. Would have been up like seven or eight units. I think actually that, let me go check. No, because I still had Matush Rebecca in a parlay. But if Robles gets there, I had a perfect week. But no. Oh, my gosh. You want to kill some more time?

Let's talk about Rebecca. I mean, is CDF just on the stuff? Or it's like just a career resurgence? Or is Rebecca not as good as we thought he was, all of the above? I assume it's kind of all the above. Mostly I take away from that as CDF still got it, still got the juice. He looked great, man. And he looked amazing.

So, you know, can't be that upset by that one. I wasn't, yeah, I really, I really wasn't. At that point, I was numb to anything. Yeah, that's fair. You know, you had a point where you're just losing and you're just like, I'm going to lose every bet on this card. So Rebecca losing wasn't too much. Well, let's not lose every bet this week, bud, because I have way more than I thought I would, honestly.

I have one bet on you. I bet almost all the tight lines and I bet one other fight. And so I have a lot of action, but I don't have a long break down. I have a large wager in Bellator. I have a lot of year in Belator. Parle. Large wager in Belator. I'm excited to see what the large wager in Bellet is.

I don't think it's going to share it. I suspect I could guess. I could guess. But we'll get there. All right. Let's jump into the main event. It's and Barbosa taking on Lorone Murphy. And right now, Lorone Murphy, your favorite minus.

148, Edson Barbosa plus 124. How do you feel about this one? Short and simple, man. I'm taking Edson Barbosa in this fight. Underdog odds, getting after it. I know the reasons why not. I won't be astonished if Edson Barbosa loses. He's 40 or pushing 40 and a lot of miles on him,

like a lot of tread off the tires in general at this point. But, I mean, we saw it last year. Yes, the fight was Sadiq Yousiff, one of the. better ones of 2023. Yusuf certainly had his moments. Barbosa's still game.

He's still got the juice. Just like CDF, man can still do it. And most importantly, I'm not all that sold on Lorraine Murphy, and I'm really not sold on how he fights

being effective against Edson Barbosa. You really want to pressure Edson Barbosa and preferably pressure him and get him taken down. If you're going to stand and strike with Edson Barbosa, most people are going to have a bad time.

Think Lauren Murphy going to be one of those dudes. So Barbosa's underdog odds was an easy play for me. Yeah, I think that's going to be a really popular underdog play, especially out through his performance against Sadiq Yusuf. I am actually going with Lerone Murphy. I think he's going to take a different approach than Sadiq Yusuf. Sidic Yusuf, you said he had his moments throughout the fight.

He had his moment being in that first round and, you know, and then like the load. It was a big moment. It was a big moment. I mean, I thought the fight was going to be over. And then who knows what these odds would be had he ended up getting that finish, the bounce back from Edson Barbosa was just. badass i mean that is just legendary stuff and then to go all five rounds uh and get it done forty pretty sure i was on yusuf in that fight too which was a tough tough i think i was on i think i was

on fight doesn't go to a decision which was just an absolutely tough thing that was that was a painstaking one um but yeah i i i like the i like the well-roundedness of murphy i think he can use the takedowns i think he can use the clench to kind of slow this one down i like the patience of them which i think he's going to benefit him over the five rounds. I don't really worry about the cardio of either of these guys. I mean, definitely not Barbosa. We just saw him get it done. And I'm going to believe in the miracle here, man.

I think even though he's important to believe in miracles. He's a small favorite, but I think Barbosa is going to be the darling dog of the week. I think he's going to be getting a lot of action in on him. I think for sure he's going to be the darling dog of the week. That seems very much like people are going to be in on him. And I'm one of those people. Boarding for flight 246 to Toronto is delayed 50 minutes. Ugh, what?

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I mean, this is a pretty good fight. Like this is some decently high-level stuff. Carlston Harris, four and one and the UFC, one lost to Shafcott Rockmanoff. Can't really fault him for that one. Reasonable loss. To me, I kind of feel like it's dogg or pass. I am passing, but like I think Harris can get the grappling going here. We haven't really seen many people try it on Chaos Williams. He's got that massive power. But I'm going to say that Harris gets the grappling going and gets it done. Both these dudes are durable.

Chaos Williams especially. I'm going to say Carlson Harris decision via grappling and control time. Once again, we're at odds because I have bet on Chaos Williams. Yeah. But I have bet on Chaos Williams. Yeah. But I have bet on. Chaos Williams. Okay.

I just don't trust Carlsoners to get the grappling going. If he can get the takedowns, I think Carlson or Chaos Williams probably going to be in trouble. I think Harris can certainly control, if not do more than control on the ground. Just not really sure. Williams hasn't had a ton of takedown shot at him, but has been pretty effective at stopping them. And when in doubt, I'm always going to bet on the younger dude, Carlson Harris, right on that edge line. of being too old to compete, not too old to compete,

but too old to thrive, particularly against sort of a physical specimen like Ox Fighter. Small favorite, and so I've been on Chaos Williams. A decent nickname there in the Ox Fighter. Two nicknames, because Chaos is a nickname. Right, Kaelin is his OG name. All right, let's keep it rolling.

Ramiz Brahimaj taking on Timba, Garimbo. This is the fight. This is the fight we all wanted. This is it. I mean, this is it. This is it. This is why it's not the main event. This is why you become a UFC fan.

This price has just come crashing down. Ramiz Brahimaj opened at a plus 220, stayed there for a couple days, down to plus 170, stayed there for about five days, and now he has come crashing all the way down to plus 115, Garimbo minus 135 the other way. A lot of money, you know,

and Rames Brahimajumash coming back after a two-year layoff. Literally sub or bust, 10 wins, all 10 coming by submission. I see the path. I mean, we've seen Temogorumbos. It's a very obvious path. In the UFC by A.J. Fletcher, I'm going to rate Ramiz's BJJ. BJ.J.J.J. J.J. Fletcher's. That's bold.

Thank you. But all in all, just another fight I'm just going to stay away from. So you don't support the Rock's favorite fighter. You don't believe Themba Grimbo when he comes on the other. M&A hour and says he knows he's going to be welterweight champion by the end of 2025. You're calling him a liar. Listen, I believe him. I just, you know, this is, we're not yet at the welterweight championship fight.

Who knows if he has to take a couple lumps on his way to gold? Is this hashtag title run starts here? Oh, title run's been started. Girobr-Brahma. Sorry, sorry, you weren't here for the start of the title run. I'm going to be honest This is not probably my smartest bet But while I thought it was categorically insane when he talked to Ariel

And Thimba was like, no, I'm going to be a lot to wait champion in like 18 months The Rock is supporting me. I cannot fail And now he already was I thought he already was dude If you go on his tapology his topology picture is of him with the belt And now he's fighting Remy's Brimeon and this this is where all title runs start It's categorically insane, but you know, I like somebody who's got a little bit of crazy to him,

and I want to support them in their dreams and their journeys. And so I'm banking on the fact that Thimba won't dive head first into a guillotine. Probably will, and this will probably be stupid. But all the money coming in on Brahimaj also makes me a little concerned. I feel like I've got a better price at Thimba at the future Welterweight champion. If you can bet on a future welterweight champion at minus 130 odds, I think you should take it. So I'm taking it. Two things just to clear up.

The title run does not start here. It started with Takashi Sato. Then it took a stop by Pete Rodriguez, and now it moves to Rames-Brahima. People are going to speak the legend of Temagirima's title run of Takashi Sato, Pete Rodriguez, Rames-Bri-Himaj, Leon Edwards. Steps in short notice at UFC Manchester because something happens. Belal can't make his flight or whatever.

Then becomes in new champ. answer. The answer gets it done. What else? I also wanted to clear up something else. Damn it. And now I forgot I got two, I got too distracted with the Thumbagirima-Garimba title on. Oh, yes. The price crashing down on Rames Brahimaj should not scare you away at all. CLV, getting a good line, doesn't mean shit. The amount of times that I've gotten a good line and it just didn't matter at all, it might even be an indicator to bet Thimba. You're just like, oh, I'm getting a better price. Like CLV, like. That is.

I'm getting a price on a future champion, Connor. The future. When was the last time you got Leon Edwards, Camaro Oussman, at minus 130 odds? It just doesn't happen. It's a deal. Wasn't Leon Edwards like minus 130 against Colby Covington? Actually, he probably was.

And that was a great deal. Yeah, yeah. Yeah, if CLV mattered, I'd be up a thousand units. We'd never be talking about how I'm down. I'm a CLV champion, and it just doesn't mean a lick. So Timber Grimba, the run to gold continues on Saturday, and Rames Brahimaj is nothing more than a bump in the road. A footnote in history.

We keep it rolling, Adrian Yannies taking on Venetius, Salvador, and right now you can get Adrian at minus 360 Salvador, Coneback, and plus 285. I just have to say a note on this card. Adrian Yannes has lost his last two fights, minus 325. Abis Magamatov has lost his last two fights, minus 285. They're really trying to get these boys wins. Melissa Gatto has lost her last two fights, minus 340.

Who else? Emily Dakota, I don't know what her last run is, but she is a minus 340 right now as well, which is just a- She beat Ashley Yoda her last fight. Yeah, she's not out. However, you did put together a little, little short notice parley that I don't hate. Let's see what a, what is it, Gato, Abis, Yanez Parley? Paisal plus 123.

The last two losers. Yeah. The lost two in a row in the UFC is clearly trying to softball you. The losing streak parlay. They're all technically on losing streaks. They are on losing streak. Parley. So I actually I actually like that, but I

am on it in a different way because I am just square donkey McGee. I am on Adrianian Yannes. I just think this is, look, he's lost his last two, yes, but Denetia Salvador is not Rob Font and he's not Jonathan Martinez.

He is a flyweight who is now moving up to 135 and he's going to give Adrian Yanez the fight that he wants. He's going to give him a boxing match. And I mean, outside of a Venetia Salvador, K.O., I feel like Adrian Yanez is going to get this one done. Firm agree. I'm on Yanez inside the distance at minus 165.

I was originally looking at K.O. props for Yannes. But it's like minus 140. So it's basically the same. And just to cover all my bases, I went inside the distance instead of the K.O. prop but it's a clear bounce back fight. I think they still want to get Yanyes wins. This is a good style matchup.

And I can quit him. This is not somebody like a couple of other fighters who I can't quit. I can give up on Adrian Yanyes but this is not the time to do it should be a good day in the office for him. Looking forward to it because when he gets his boxing going, it is

a thing of beauty. And I think he does just that on Saturday. Keep it rolling. Angela Hill taking on Luana Pinheiro. Only ranked fighter. Only ranked fighter, according to M.A. Fighting's rankings. What about according to the UFC rankings?

Is anybody ranked? I'm fairly certain that Edson is still ranked in the O'S. Edson is 12th. Laronne Murphy does not have a ranking next to his name, eh? So he has previously been ranked. I'm fairly certain that he was the one who got bumped with the introduction of Diego Lopez. Because he has certainly been like 14, 15.

He's been back end of the rankings a couple of times. His issue has largely been, you know, fighting a lot. He's not all that active. Anywho, Angela Hill, almost 40 years old. Angela Hill's the type of fighter I'd like to play as an underdog. She's minus 160. I'm just going to pass. I'm just going to put my feet in the ground and pass.

You are being such a responsible young man this week. Uh, this is my second to last straight bet. I then have, I've won parley. Uh, I'm just taking Angela Hill. Um, I don't think Pinero's good enough wrestler to get her down. And I think Hill is going to clearly show the volume age, major consideration here, certainly for Hill, but she hasn't looked all that like she's slowing down all that much. And I think that she is just going to out volume Pinero on the feet and keep it on the feet mostly.

Uh, so I'm on Hill. Also, this is the first leg of a three-legged parley, the over two and a half. I've done a pacifist parlay. There are three women straw weight fights on this card. Statistically, those fights are exceedingly likely to go long. I have parlayed all of the overs on those fights. DuPay-allel and Hill-Penierre was the first of them. What does that pay?

Plus 110. Is that, that's the over two and a half on all four of them? on the three straw weight fights so Hill Pinero Rodriguez Connoisse and Demopolis Dakota. What if I just... I almost put in the Vidal Gato fight as well just to Yolo it, but...

What if I went even more chalk and I did over one and a half? I almost did that, but I, you know, let's stepping on your corner a little bit. So a straw weight over one and a half parley minus 650, minus 450, minus 750, minus 700. Does that even get us to like,

minus 150. I think that's like minus 165. Minus 650. I'm not great at math. Damn, you're pulling that in your head. I actually, I don't, is there even a calculation

to figure out parleyes? Because to me, it's just a made-up number. I mean, it is. The bed slip just calculates it for me. It doesn't even get us to minus 150. It gets us to minus 164.

I was on it, VIII. I'm not going to lie. That is pretty impressive. That is pretty impressive. by you pulling that out of your ass. I throw things in and I could maybe get it within 50 points. There's no way I'm getting it within one.

Yeah, I might take that. I feel good. I might take that a little chalky. Honestly, I wish I'd done that instead. That's a better bet than mine. They got four women's fights on this card. Yeah, I'm down with that. It's a better bet than my over two and a half.

Maybe I'll just double it up. No one's going to finish. I mean, as they say in the business, hashtag, What could go wrong? All right, let's move on to the prelims. Tom Nolan, your guy, my guy, not actually my guy, just your guy, versus Victor Martinez.

Right now, Tom Nolan, minus 500 Victor Martinez plus 380. So just to give you the breakdown, if you're not familiar with the big train, 6-3 at lightweight, coming off of a knockout loss in about 60 seconds as a minus,

as a minus 350,000. favorite, and now you get him at minus 500. Your thoughts? Well, he wasn't a big enough favorite last time. Okay. That's what happened. Knockout like minus 225 or something? So I'll lead by saying I'm on Tom Nolan by TKO KO minus 215.

Minus 215. This is a big fight for Tom Nolan because as of this exact moment, Connor, Yeah. My breakdown of the most recent season of the Contender series where I categorized all the contenders. I am undefeated for all of the top prospects. They are undefeated in the UFC right now.

Except this man. Except Tom Nolan, who happened to be the guy was the biggest, the highest on. And he got worked. Granted, he had a tougher fight than most of them in his debut, but he got the business put on him. This should be a better occasion for him,

but if he doesn't come through, I'm disavowing him. We're going to disown Tom Nolan. Big Train needs a big win on Saturday. I think he's going to deliver because he's still very young. He's extremely large. And that's all I need, honestly, for me, like, I'm in on him. I think he can get the win. I think he can get the finish.

Victor Martinez has been stopped a couple times. But I need to see something for him or else we're going to have to change our opinions on Tom. I kind of want to get there with you. Tom Nolan by knockout, that's what you're going with. Yeah, KOT, KODQ. God, minus 215. I got to support my guys, Connor. So, I mean, this should just be a thumping then.

We're taking the guy that just lost as a minus 350 favorite in 60 seconds. We're going to take an exact finish prop at minus 215. To a guy who got knocked out by Jordan Levitt, you know. That is, I mean, that is one way to. categorize the great Victor Martinez. He is the guy. That got knocked out by six inches shorter and just like considerably smaller. Big Tom's just going to throw a knee up the middle, clean his clock, done with work. We're out of here in under two minutes. Okay. All right. So we're saying first round K.O. Tom Nolan. First round Kio. Are we putting your reputation on the line for

Big Tom Nolan. Your reputation as a contender series capper. No, no, no. We're putting Tom's reputation on the line because I will disavow him and completely burn him. I will burn all the bridges to Tom Nolan Island if he can't deliver on this one. Because everybody else, they're doing their job. Everybody else, Ibo Aslan stepped up, done the job. Jane Silva done the job.

Matsumoto, they've all done it. He's got to pull his own weight, got off to a rough start. but you can't throw the baby out after one, one bad performance. Tom Nolan by K.O. Round one plus 115. I mean, what a price. What a great price you're kidding. For an exacto. I might do it. You don't need to bet it.

This guy also lost the ghost pepper. Can we just throw that out there? He lost to Eric Gonzalez, the ghost pepper. Yes. Victor, Brick Martinez sure did. I might do it. I might do it just to put just to put your reputation and mine on the line.

Tom Nolan. You got a lot riding on you, baby. I actually don't have it available yet, so maybe I'll get a better price somewhere else. But yeah, a little plus money. You have the no-bets-barred reputation on the line bet big time. I need someone.

I need someone to be my hero this weekend. I need someone to be my hero. And I guess Tom Nolan's going to be that guy. Speaking of heroes, let's move on. Umar, Sy, taking on Tuko Tacos. This is a late notice replacement. Let's see, do we even have a line on this yet?

I don't believe we do. I didn't see what we were. Omar Sae was a minus 270 favorite to Antonio Tricoli before this. Imagine he's going to be an even larger favorite now. This is third opponent because there was also Rodolfo Bellado attached to this fight. Oh, shut out. Tucco Tacos just going to go out and say it. Oh, and 2.

Belator knocked out cold on the road to UFC. I believe he was a sizable favorite in that road to UFC matchup before getting just absolutely starch by Ming Yang Zong. Yeah, minus 675 favorite got knocked out in the very first round. Now he gets a crack at the UFC against Omar's side. Debuting talent. Yeah, this is a contender series fight. Yes.

exactly how you manage a career though go road to UFC brutally knocked down the first round all right we're going to spend 2023 rebuilding we're going to fight a three and two dude in shudo we're going to fight a one and seven guy in a regional promotion and then a 19

and 10 dude in fury and we are in the UFC baby uh Brian Jackson now just an update on that he is now 1 in 10 uh he has also lost in He's one-in-one in his bare-knuckle boxing career.

He actually, the only reason he won in bare-knuckle boxing was due to illegal strikes. And he beat, he actually does hold a win over the great undefeated at the time, Caleb Miller, who has since given up. He's M.MA. He's our future Jay Ellis right there. Yeah, Brian Stonehands Jackson. Can I just throw out that he went one in three. in his amateur career. So he went one in three

and then made his professional debut in, uh, and it looks like 2019. So, so we spent four years away from the game after going one and three in, in amateurs and was like,

all right, he's dialing it in. This is a good time to go to go pro. Went to jump in the skills. In his amateur career, then went 0 and 2 in boxing, then it was like, time to make my pro fighting debut.

He's just sharpening the skills, baby. Getting ready. Just sharpening the skills. And you want to know something crazy how this is all connected? Brian Stonehands Jackson was slated to make his professional debut against none other than Chaos Williams.

That would have been a bad time for him. I don't think you would have done all that long. That would have been a bad time because he has been knocked out in 12 seconds, 51 seconds, 35 seconds, 40 seconds, a minute 41. and in the very first round in his last. Oh, my God. This guy does not last long.

Wow. But hey, if you knock him out, that's how you get to the UFC. That's how Tucco did it? We need to get Robelis in there against Brian Stonehance Jackson. Yeah. DeBellis Stonehands Jackson is the fight to make. Or Robelis to Spain versus Stonehands Jackson. That's the fight to make.

All right, we spent way too long in this fight. Next up, Tamir's fight out. We already mentioned it two straight losses. Melissa Godot minus 300. If that doesn't make you want to stay away, I don't know what will. That is what I'm doing. I'm staying away. I have adopted the stayaway approaches well for this one. Though, I mean, the losing parlay is, is intriguing. The losing streak parlay sounds great, which takes us to our next fight. Abis Magamatta, I've taken on Warley Alves. The bus. Yeah, the bus, man. Abus looking to abuse his opponent,

Warley Alvesz. Right now he is a minus 285 favorite. And Alvesz coming back at plus 2.30. Yeah, I actually think I think Abis gets it done. I think it gets it done. I think this is a step back after Sean Strickland and Kyle. Warleys is two and five in his last seven, been finished in four of those.

Abis, I mean, his gas tank is his issue. but if he doesn't gas, that means he probably got to finish because he does get finishes. I don't think he's going to have to worry about the gas tank here. I think he gets, I think he gets Warrley out of there. I agree. There's just not too much to break down to this. Warley hasn't won a fight since Steepa was champion.

Shut out. Like, what are we even doing? Shout out to a legend. All right, we keep it rolling then to Pierre Rodriguez, taking Arrione, the unit, Carnalosi, just a beast in there. Pierre Rodriguez, your favorite, minus 198. Carnalosi coming back at plus 164.

Okay, so if Pierre Rodriguez wants to win this fight, then she needs to go for takedowns. To get takedowns, she's going to have to get through the stalwart, the absolute wall of takedown defense that Ariane, Carnalosi poses at eight percent. That's a good number. 8% takedown defense for Carnalosi.

Might be the worst I have ever seen in terms of percentages. So like the path is just right there for Piera, but I'm not betting this fight. She has stopped one takedown attempted on her. If you have shot a takedown on her, only one of them failed. And she got taken down eight times against Lupi, three times against Lon Yang.

Yeah. Leong Na was the one who failed. She tried four times and then only succeeded three of those times. Yeah, I suspect Rodriguez is going to be able to do that because, you know, seems like a stiff gust of wind can score the takedown. But I am not interested in betting either side of this. I am interested in the over two and a half, both women average like 12 minutes. a fight time or something insane. Yes, I am, I think I'm interested in the over one and a half.

So there's that. All right, let's move on to Al-Tang-Haley taking on Cletson Rodriguez. Right now, Cletson, your favorite at minus 155, highly Al-A-Lat-Tang coming back at plus 130. For me, it just comes down to whether or not Al-Tang-Haley is going to go for the grappling and if he's successful. Because if he's going for the wrestling and it's a lot, working than he is going to win this fight.

But if it stays standing, I feel like we're just in for a super low volume performance from him. I mean, like the dude lands 2.88 significant strikes a minute while he gets 5.03 landed on him. And I just think

Clutton will just... It's a pretty big difference. Yeah, I think Clutton's just going to out volume if it stays standing. I just don't know what's going to happen, which is why I'm passing. I was very, very tempted to a Clutzen bet. He year because I do think it's more likely than not that he keeps his standing. But because I ended up already having more exposure, frankly, than I planned on this card.

And I didn't, I don't feel like massively confident because, like you said, it just needs two takedowns, basically. Like that two takedowns is all it will take. And that is something possible. So if I was getting clits in at better odds, maybe, but minus 150 wasn't enough. I passed. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, there is a world.

If you're betting Al-Latang as an underdog and you're depending on the wrestling, that, it's halfway through round two and he's landed like seven significant strikes uh i mean that's just a that's just a world that you might have to deal with uh and it'll be like four 15 p.m on saturday and it's important to understand betting emotionally just know the spots you don't want to be in and where i don't want to be saturday is holding a ticket on either of these dudes in a fight that's nip tuck and be like all right now this third round's going to matter i don't want that for me I do. There's nothing I want less for me than what you just said. Last fight on the UFC card, Emily Ducote taking on Vanessa Demopoulos right now, DuCode, big favorite. Minus 340, Demopoulos coming back at plus 270. No faith in low monster. No faith. Not a lot. It's not a lot out there from the people. I'm not betting Emily Dakota at minus. minus 340.

I'm just... I think she's going to win, but I agree. I'm not going to lay this price on her. Sure, she might win in a fight that is very likely to go to a decision. They have... It seems extremely likely.

Yeah, they have a combined 10 fights between them. Nine of them have gone to a decision. So, I mean, this is one of you could just end up sweating. Yeah, no bet. I think Dakota is going to win. should just kind of outwork DeMopoulos, but don't want to sweat it. And I do think, I mean, Ducote has never done anything other than go to decisions in the U.C. Demopla is not exactly a finishing machine.

So like I said, three legs, over two and a half, all women's strawweight fights. Bet it. I think actually your bet of over one and a half is better, but I'm already in and I'm not going to double expose myself to these fights. Yeah, I'm in on the over one and a half. so hopefully it hits. Hit pause on whatever you're listening to and hit play on your next adventure. This fall get double points on every qualified stay.

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Service fees exclusions and terms apply. To Bellator going down in Paris this weekend. Excited to see what you've got. I have nothing in Bellator. Yeah, I mean, a little bit of a top heavy card, but we do have Aspen Lad on the prelims. So shout out to that. A couple good French representation on the card.

You know, Eves Landu, you got Mansar, Barnau, and then obviously Cedric Dumebe, taking on Jaliel Willis. Those are the two that I'm most excited about. Yeah, but the main event, Patchy Mix, Magamemagamatov, the rematch. Yeah, I just believe that patchy mix is one of the best bandam weights in the world, and I have no doubt that he is the best bantam weight in this Bellator PFL mashup. And, I mean, lastly, he does have a win in the last 18 months over Magamette. Magamatov, I think it's a repeat of last time. And he gets his andres.

I agree. I kind of wanted to parley him with someone, but there's nobody I really liked for parley fodder this week, frankly, outside of him. Let me let me throw this out here I'm not going to do the Dume Bay thing Which I think is I suspect that that's like the most Bet bet In Bellator this week is a is a

Mixed Dume Bay Parlay I am not doing the Dume Bay thing It's just too big for me It's too big He's minus 500 now There could be splinters all over that cage too We don't know I mean

There's too many unknowns This is what I should have been saying last week With Robillus to Spain There's too many unknowns just minus 500, I don't know. I just don't know about this. Let me throw this out too. Boxing.

This is a gimmick parlay. Love a gimmick parlay. I'm in. Say no more. Gimic parlay, I'm in. Jai Apataya in a rematch this weekend in which he already won, came out victorious, parlayed with patchy mix,

who was also in a rematch, came out victorious, the been there, done that parlay. You know that the key to my heart is to give it a fun name. That's the only way you can get a parlay is such a good parlay. I'm in. I'm in. Let me see like... Say less. Let me see like at a different book, what we could get that at.

yeah just starting to blow up a little bit it looks like minus 600 is the best we can get minus 270 on patchy mix let's go ahead throw those in the old slipperoonies see what we

what we come out with I mean that's in the 170s what was your guest it's in the 170s I think very close minus 1667 okay very close again. But yeah, been there, done that.

You've sold me. That right there, that's salesmanship, because you knew exactly the thing I wanted to do. I wanted to bet patchy makes. I always want to bet a gimmick. Couldn't do Dumease. Price is too large. But you found the line. And I'm on it as soon as I can find a book that will get me the best odds. I'll be joining the bin there done that parley. gives you a, you know, something to cheer for in the co-main event of the Furiousic card. Plus, like, Jay Apatay is 28 years old, his opponent. Marisi is brightest. About to turn 40.

Already beat him once. I know power's the last thing to go. I mean, you don't get better when you turn 40. Listen, power's the last thing to go, but I, uh, I like this. We haven't seen him for almost two years. His last fight was the fight against Jai. It means it's still fresh in his head.

He's ready to get his revenge. Yeah. So that's that. That's that. It is. And that brings us to boxing. That brings us to boxing. I don't know if there's anything else you like on the card.

It's actually a pretty decent card. You got Joe Cordina on there. A couple good heavyweight matchups leading up to the main event. People seem to be very high on this man, Moses Itauma. But unfortunately, boxing's going to box, and he's a minus 5,000. But it just gets us to the main event of the evening. Tyson Fury. Of the weekend.

Of the summer. Of the month, at the very least. I mean, Olexander Usick taking on Tyson Fury, I don't care if you don't like boxing, but like if you're just a fan of combat sports, you have to be excited about this. This is the first undisputed heavyweight title that we have gotten this. century, the last one being 1999, Lennox Lewis,

you know, a fellow Brit, the last to become undisputed. And guess what, man? We're getting a coin flip fight. Either one you want to bet on you. You're getting a minus 110 each way. No one truly knows what's going to happen.

And you're getting two undefeated world champion level boxers in the storyline on both sides. Tyson Fury, after the clitch go win, he goes into this terrible place. with drugs and alcohol, balloons up to 400 pounds, comes back, gets his revenge, you know, beats Deonté Wilder three times over, you know, has this insane story and now has a chance of

becoming undisputed. Alexander Usick, Olympic gold medalist, undisputed at cruiserweight. Now he's trying to become undisputed at heavyweight. I think Vanderholyfield, the only one to do that would obviously be the first to do it in the four belt era. I mean, you could just go on and on forever at why this fight is. is just wildly intriguing. You've got the giant dude in Tyson Fury.

You've got the genius, the chess player in Alexander Usik. I mean, it's just, it's cinema, it's scenes. It's going to be incredible. Saudi's going to do it up with all the production, yada, yada. I mean, I'm 10 out of 10. I could not possibly be more excited for this fight. It's in that plethora of fights that it's just like Gai Chi Holloway. Like it's just like you I just can't get more excited for it.

I've been eating up all the content on YouTube. I've been watching life stories, breakdowns, everything. I can't wait for it. I don't know what else to say. I cannot wait for Saturday. I'm with you. I'm off this weekend because I have, I'm on PTO this week after Thursday because I have a event to get to or whatever.

But this is one of those rare times like very rarely. if I'm off, do I engage in combat sports? I try to keep that separate. You just want it. And then I'll come back to, you know, Monday or whatever I'm back on. And I'll go watch the fight pass and go, or go to ESPN Plus and check out. All right, here the highlight. Let's see the fights I need to see.

This is one of the very few times where I'm not working where I am at a social event on Saturday. And we've already made the plans. We've already made the plans to buy the pay-per-view and watch it because this is something. that it exceeds this is not my job this is my fandom this is my passion for combat sports got to watch it we'll be watching with a couple of friends in a beach house on saturday it's going to be electric can't wait for this fight uh and i think it's going to be a good one connor i think we're going to get ourselves a little something to something to view what do you think's going to happen that's the big question i i am betting tyson fury at this point um i i know that you're your your

lesson to this aspect of things than I am, but when you see the photos of him training versus how he looked heading into the Francis and Gano fight, it's night and day. This man has clearly taken Alexander Usik as seriously as you possibly can, has put in the work. A man is shredded compared to what he came in against Francis. And I thought that this, I think that Usik is a better, quote unquote, boxer than Fury. But I think Fury stylistically has a lot of advantages that actually weren't well suited against Ngano by he he uses being a huge human being very well and against Usik a guy who far as cruise away is certainly a little smaller I think his ability to kind of play the big man game grab like force a lot of clenches

lean on Usik wear on him do those sort of tactics that he uses a lot it's going to get him a lot more leeway than it did against Francis, who was also just real big and strong and took him seriously and was in shape. So I am favoring Fury. I think Ucic's going to come out pretty strong. He's going to be the quicker fighter. I think that he is a better technical boxer. I think he will have some good early rounds while Fury will start to figure his timing out a little better than start to lean on and wear on him and use his advantages as the fight drags on. So I think it's going to be it's not going to be a back and forth fight but i do think there will be one clear dynamic shift and uh ultimately fury fury is going to get more rounds than not so i'm taking fury by decision i don't

hate that oh you you you went you went exact route i just went fury straight up oh okay okay your prediction is he's winning his by decision yeah man i uh i uh i've been back and forth on this fight all week i uh i at first i was on tyson fury so much so i had him in the bet slip and i almost placed it ended up not placing it. I mean, the reasons to cheer for Tyson Fury, in my opinion, are for the AJ matchup. I think a Tyson Fury, Anthony Joshua in England for the undisputed heavyweight title is just about as big as it possibly gets. Eddie Hearn has already alluded to it before this.

He's just like, it's right here. Tyson Fury, bring this thing home, get all the belts. We'll make the AJ matchup. You guys will make so much money. You'll never have to work another day in your life. and it will take over the sporting world. It will be as big as it gets. It will be so intriguing, especially the way Anthony Joshua has looked of late.

Plus Tyson Fury, he's great for the bald and beard brand. I mean, he represents us strongly. On the flip side, if you don't know much about Alexander Usik, just like go and watch, like, A, his life story, winning the Olympic gold medal, his father dying, you know, just weeks after he won it. And then his amateur career of like 350 amy fights, he won. like 335 of him, his rise in cruiser weight and then jumping into heavyweight. Like it is truly an incredible story. If he can become undisputed at cruiser and at heavy weight,

it would just be unbelievable. Plus, I like his personality, man. He just looks like a, just like, not looks like. He just seems like a genuine salt to the earth dude. He has a beautiful family, four kids, keeps that all private, keeps it all separate. It seems like a wildly respectful champion. Just seems like a very good guy. So I wouldn't mind him when. He's plus just the storylines of the accomplishments that it would be. It would just be incredible. To the fight itself, I just don't know. I understand why you can make a case for either guy. I think if Tyson Fury stays on the front foot and he just pressures Usik and just doesn't let him set up these chess moves. Like Usik comes from the lineage of Lomachenko, worked with his father,

is sort of that cerebral type fighter is thinking about two, three moves down the line of what he's going to do is as a very mental guy, whereas Tyson Fury, while he's elusive and fights like a cruiser weight, despite him being an ogre in there. Like, I feel like Usik is a bit more cerebral. I just, I just don't know, dude. I just don't know. Anytime I sell myself on either way, I come back to the other. And for that reason, I can't believe I'm doing this. I don't think I'm going to have a bet on the fight, and I'm just going to sit back and enjoy it. Wow. I love that for your fandom. I can't believe that's the case. It might be better that I had such a dog shit week last

week so I can just not bet on this because I'm cool with either guy winning. I like I could you can really sell me on either guy winning in terms of like wow this is amazing for boxing this is amazing for the sport and I just support both guys but when it comes to the fight itself it would essentially just be me

taking a dart just taking a dart like I just feel like you're selling yourself either way like you're just trying to play by because I mean like how much do we take into account the Tyson Fury against Ngano? If that Tyson Fury goes out, he is going to get dog

walled. He killed. By all these iteristic. I don't think that's who's going to come out, but I just like, I just don't know. I just don't know. Look, if you're going to throw a dart, because I agree, I like what you're saying. You just be throwing a dark. What about this dart for you, Connor? Let me

let me throw you one that I have also just thrown just a splash on. This is a high level boxing match, Connor. Sure is. It's a high level competitive boxing match and boxing loves nothing more than shenanigans and Tom

foolery. Oh, I think I know he might be going with this. Draw action, a little plus 14 a hondo for a draw. That could happen normally just each dude gets six rounds, but in this fight, there's a you know, seems very

very possible that, you know, it's a competitive fight. They're mixing rounds, rounds get close. Just some nonsense happens. We get a draw so then we can get to run this back. We know they are, they do have an immediate rematch or

automatic rematch cost set, but get a draw here, see how things go, because you know, it's a thing that happens. Is there a like, is there a like fight to end by? Oh man, it's all, it's so like

draft Kings has a have exact fight outcome, but it's like everything is exact. Like if I could get a split decision, majority decision, or draw, like those are the three outcomes. I mean, that would be like plus 100, but I would bet that. What is the fight to go to a decision? Minus 240. I can't do that in a heavyweight front.

You just like, you just don't know what's going to happen. That's tough. Yeah, I don't know. Yeah, I mean, what do you think that would be? Like, that would be plus 350, plus 750, and plus 1,400. C50, I'm not nearly as good at that, because I'm not actually doing math when I do it. I'm just trying to go off of, like. Another one I did think about was someone gets knocked down as plus 100.

Like, I know it's high level and everything, but, like, I could see someone getting dropped at some point. And that's a fun one to root for. It's way more fun than rooting. no knockdowns because that one is like ass cheek clencher the entire time yeah yeah correct um that's at least a fun one but yeah i just do uh a tenth of a unit on draw just just a little splash just because high level high level boxing draws feel like they're more likely than the odds ever suggest oh yeah oh for sure uh yeah i mean gosh there's so many different ways Yeah, I'm saying, like a split decision is plus 450.

Yeah, that should tell you something about what people think is happening. Split or majority decision? Like, could I get, could I get something like that? I mean, this is, yeah, I might end up just staying away. Maybe if I could get a, like, maybe if I could even get like a split majority either way, that might do it. But it's going to be interesting. man. It's going to be interesting. I could not be more excited for this fight. That is for sure.

Can I tell you something you can be, maybe not more excited, but equally excited about Connor. Okay. Next week. Nothing. Nothing. No, you have seen next week. No, no, no bets barred for us next week, Connor. Get a week off, you get to bask in the glow of Fear Ucic and all the. aftermath of that. We don't have to saddle up for another terrible apex card. We get to take some time off because once Saturday night is over, it's a road to use C-302. Yes. That'll be the next U.S. U.S. C.C. card. Next U.S. C.C. card. Islamachiev, Dustin Porier, the diamond's last chance, L. Diamante? Can he do it? We'll have two weeks to get ready. Will he do it? I'm definitely betting Dustin Porre by Guillotine. That is for sure happening.

I think MGM has those odds. I'm talking myself into the Porier upset. Realistically, what do you think the chances of that happening? I mean, in a hundred fights, I think he can win one of them, maybe two of them. But it only takes the one. You just got a high roll the one time, and I'm talking myself into it being this time. Is that foolish? Absolutely. Have I made the bet? Have not. But I am slowly inching my way towards L. Diamante, which is hard for me as one of the biggest is the Marketschever's supporters and have

been for years at this point. But the story's too good. It's too good for him not to finish it like this. I'm with you. I'm with you. The story's incredible, but is he going to do it? if he does it if he does it by jumping a gilly I mean it would be the greatest moment in the history of the sport of course that I we deserve that

that I just I just don't there's just no way that that's going to happen we deserve that Connor yeah yeah yeah um sheesh man we got time

we have time I mean I'm scrolling through everything right now that's why I'm like a bit distracted uh a 150 plus punch is minus 120. Guy puts up a lot of volume. But, uh,

yeah, that's that. Next week is off. Uh, maybe Dustin does it. We'll talk about it. I'll get, you get some more time to sell yourself on it.

How does he do it? How does he do it? It just, I actually think if he was going to do it, he can knock him out. Um, I, I think that that is in play.

I would not, if I'm, you know, all, all kidding aside, uh, Islamakov is a superior striker to Habib, but that also can get him into trouble in that he is a very, very good defensive striker, absolutely. But he has more confidence in his striking than Habib ever did.

He even had confidence in his chin, because his chin was very good. But Habib was always about the action of, I'm going to get this fight where it needs to be. I think Islam is more comfortable, not necessarily forcing grappling exchanges. if he feels that he's doing well on the feet. And while I don't, I think that's a good thing, like overall, it is the sort of thing that maybe Poria can touch him. It only takes one. Only takes one.

He hits real hard. And we've seen Machchev get hit before and crumble. So I think he does have the power to knock out as a Machchev. And that gives him a chance. All right. That is for two weeks from now. Until then, just chew on that. that analysis that we gave you for

just think it over let it wash over you versus Plymouth Rumba. It's going to be a fun week, man. We're going to have ourselves a good little weekend, so enjoy it. All right, brother.

Yeah, see you in two weeks. Peace. See you in two weeks. Love y'all.