MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Breaking Down The Best Bets For UFC Vegas 104 And The Marvin Vettori Vs. Roman Dolidze Rematch

Episode Date: March 12, 2025

The UFC is back in the world's mightiest APEX! Following UFC 313 this past Saturday, the world's leading MMA promotion heads back to its stomping grounds for UFC Vegas 104, headlined by a middleweight fight between Marvin Vettori and Roman Dolidze. It's a rematch of a 2023 fight that Vettori won in a forgettable decision, but nevertheless No Bets Barred is here to break it all down. This week, host Jed Meshew flies solo to break down his favorite bets for UFC Vegas 104. Topics discussed include whether Dolidze can get his revenge on Vettori, which underdogs are best positioned to pull off upsets, which prospects are likely to show out on Saturday, how many Gimmick Parlays is too many Gimmick Parlay, Leg 12 of The Climb, and more. Tune in for episode 120 of No Bets Barred. Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe to MMA Fighting Check out our full video catalog Like MMA Fighting on Facebook Follow on Twitter Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

You're listening to the Vox Media Podcast Network. It's up, y'all. We are back for another edition of No Betts Bar. My name is Jed Mishu. I'm a writer for Mnayfind.com, and you probably already know that, but if this is your first time joining us, I sincerely apologize.

I think many of you know what I'm about to say, but this is not the week to join us because No Betts Barred, as great as I try to be. And I genuinely try to put in the work every week, guys. This week, was so difficult because UFC Vegas 104 coming at you for my money. I've said this on many shows the past week or so. Worst card I've ever seen put on paper. Now doesn't mean that I actually got

more bets than I should have, frankly. Not that many bets, but a good number of parlayes. We'll get into all of that. But like I say, I'm saying a lot. But I'll say it again, this is one of those apple picking cards. If you have other things to do, I encourage. I encourage encourage you to spend time with your family this Saturday, leave the fights to us invenfighting.com, and check in for all the important things. But that comes later, because now we're going to talk about it. But first, we've got to do a brief recap of UFC 313, the event that took place on Saturday. And for the first time in 2025, we heard and knew as Magmaein Ancolaev took a unanimous

decision win against Alex Pereira that has become fairly controversial, particularly as a UD. I think most people expected to be split as it was a very close fight, but all three judges were aligned, not in all the rounds they scored, but Magerman Ankelyev, your new champion, and frankly, I don't think this is a robbery whatsoever,

just a competitive fight, and credit to Magamac Goliath for doing what nobody has done to Alex Pereira thus far in the UFC light heavyweight division. And credit him especially because we were on our way to an OECD, over last week. If you guys have been keeping up with my year,

which you have if you've been tuning in, I sincerely appreciate it. I also sincerely hope you haven't been tailing me because I am having a disastrous year. I went into last week down just under nine units, lost another five and a half units last week, missed every bet but for two. The Magerman Ankleyev bet that I had obviously cashed up plus money,

so that was at least nine. And then I had an over parlay, lost one of the legs with Gutierrez, cast a native falling out. So the two-leg party of Limos Lucindo and Van Saruya did at least cash for me. Not as good of value, obviously, without that third leg. But two bets, the rest, misses all down the line. Half-Faziv, Jalen Turner, Yasmin Lucindo, a splash on King Green, Armum Petrosian, Carlos Liao by decision. Ray Saruya, none of it has. and the Santos Parley also failed because Jordan Santos lost in the first bout of the evening.

So very, very tough go for your boy. And that brings us to a truly devastating down 14 units on the year. Granted, the climb is doing well, but the climb didn't even get to go off last week. It's Curtis Blades withdrew from that fight, the planned fight with Risvon Kunev. Now that's looking like it's getting rebooked later. Will it still be the climb? Only time will tell. But 11 steps down since we just had to punt last week. Kind of honestly wish I had just done Maricio Ruffy.

Obviously, that would have been incredibly successful to do so. But that's our UFC 313 recap. Just dreadful day in the office. Really hoping we can start to get something going the week before we had finally put something together. I don't know. I just don't feel confident in a lot of these best. and then I have three kind of lengthy parlays. So we'll see.

This does not seem like a week I'm going to be successful. But knock on wood, heaven help us, we can only hope. So let's dive right in. As you can expect, this will be a fairly short week for us at No Betts Bar. No guest this week. I wouldn't subjugate any other human being to this. And 13 fights to talk about. Let's jump right into the main event.

The main event everybody has been clamoring for. Marvin Vittori taking on Roman DeLi in a middleweight contest. Votori, your favorite minus 170-ish to come back on DeLizzee plus 1-4-5. And this is, of course, a rematch of a fight that happened very recently

in March of 2023. So two years ago, I guess, at this point, so maybe not very recently, but in that fight, Votory won by unanimous decision. It was a competitive fight. Several people scored it for Deleeze. I did not actually had it 30-27. Votory. Even on rewatch, I still think Votori.

took that win, but 3027 does not describe how competitive it was. It's basically a matchup of Marm Vittori. Being Marm Vittori and Roman Delizzi, not having a lot of ideas but throwing really hard and hoping that that would sort of make up for it. Very tough for that to be a successful strategy, and it's the guy with the chin of Vittori. That being said, DeLie Zay is coming onto this and a bit of a heater.

Two-fight win streak. The curious win over Kevin Holland in October, where Holland busted a rib, Alternatively, you could say Delizze broke one of Holland's ribs and so gets the TKio stoppage. But two in a row, two's a streak, Yabozo. Make sure you know that. And Vittori is two and three in his last five. Coming off, unanimous decision lost to Jared Canonnier a while ago in June of 2023. In fact, Votori has only fought one time since the last time he fought Deleidezai,

and it was that cannoneer fight. He has not been incredibly active. and had a matchup booked against Brendan Allen last year, but had to withdraw due to injury, finally back from that ready to go. And this is a, I don't know, a little tough one, right? I think Vittori's going to win. I guess it's not that tough because I think Votori is going to win,

and frankly, I'm going to bet him minus 170. But, again, their first fight was competitive. You could convince me that the smart play is just, First fight was very competitive. Bet on the underdog here at a plus one, four, five number. Maybe things go a little different, particularly given the streak, Deleese is on the inactivity of Votori. But I do think just stylistically, this is a tough matchup for Deleese. He does not have that many ideas.

He's a power puncher. Votory has got a terrific chin on him. And while I think Votori is fading, you know, sort of falling off a little bit because he's been in the game for a long time, Deleese has no spring chicken either. and I think Vittori can sort of withstand the heavy firepower of De Leeds and just outwork him, same way as he did in the first matchup. So you could convince me this looks different, but I think by far the most likely outcome is that Vittori does the exact same thing. So I have a bet on Vittori, and I will be honest, I have two bets on this fight because this week we do have a climb,

ladies and gentlemen. There were a lot of contenders for the climb this week. I thought about, frankly, making up because I've missed the last couple of weeks with bad cards and then the Curtis Blades thing. Thought about getting that climb going again in a big way with a multiple leg parlay essentially of two or three different climb bets. But settled down, just going to do one. It is going to be the Marvin Vittori-Roman DeLizadezay over two and a half that comes into minus 460. Neither fighter has ever been finished in their career. Their first fight was never close to not going to the distance.

Votori has gone over two and a half and nine of his past ten fights in Deleide. Six of his past ten, but one was that injury with Kevin Holland, which I think that that fight was very likely to extend as well. I think that this just goes late. I don't even hate a bet on the over four and a half straight up, something like that, but the over two and a half feels like the climb. And for those of you who are new here, thanks for joining. What is the climb?

As a reminder, the climb is my journey to string together. other 30 winning bets. It's the only good thing I got going for me in the game right now. I am 11 stages down. We are trying to take our bankroll, our climb bankroll from $100, up to 20K with 30 consecutive bets around minus 500 somewhere in that neighborhood. 11 legs down. $1,000 is now the bankroll on the climb as we try and keep moving up this mountain, 19 steps to go. Good Lord, I hope this one cash is, because it's been a while. I need to, I need something to feel good about. And the rest of this card, frankly, is not going to give me too much to feel good about. But that's the climb. That's the main event. Let's move on to,

I'm not calling a co-made event. It's not a co-made event. The penultimate fight of the evening will be a welterweight contest between Chitty and Jokwani, taking on Elizu Zeliskydo Santos, ZDS, your betting favorite minus 200, the comeback on Injokwagwani plus 170. Chitty on a two-fight win. coming off unanimous decision win over Cherat Gordon back in October, where ZDS, he is 3-1-1 in his past five, really a good streak that he is on coming off a TKO win over Zach Krogens, Scrogan, sorry, back in November. I don't have, frankly, too much to say about this fight.

I am just not deeply interested in it, if that makes sense. I think Zalescu Santos is going to win. This is going to be a striking matchup, and while Chitty is a little bit of a bigger fellow, not even a little bit, he's a much bigger fellow, and no, certainly he has a history of striking, comes from the Muay Thai kickboxing sort of background. I think Zaleski is just a more dangerous guy on the feet,

has a bit more tools in the toolbox and should get to win. But it doesn't really matter what I think, because I got three paulets this week, this is one of the pieces, because there is a beautiful gimmick. Plenty of gimmick parlay is available this week. go hit our friend Main Card Minute. Check out his Twitter.

He always throws out a list of gimmick parleyes before the event. I told them about this one, so I expect to be on it, and I am on it for the funsies of it. It is the December 11th parlay, because two fighters on this card were born on December 11th. Share a birthday, and Alizu Zelaski dos Santos is one of them. So he is the first leg of the December 11th parley, and we will get to the second leg as we move on down the road.

Our next fight, so I think this is the battle, this is the bout order based on the UFC, different bout order showing different places. This is a fight I am very excited, though, a featherweight contest between Sungwu Choi and Kevin Vallejos. Vallejos, minus 600, a big betting favorite, particularly given he's making his UFC debut, where Sung Roo Choy plus 425, but those odds make sense because Valleos is coming off contender series where I think he has an elite prospect. More on that in just a second. And Sung Wu Troy is one in four in his past five coming off a TKO loss to Steve Garcia back in July.

Sungwu Troy just, I mean, he's had a tough go of things, but he hasn't been fighting the biggest killers. You know, Josh Kulobal, Michael Trezano, Alex Kuceros, those are all very, very competent fighters. And he does, shockingly have a win over Yusuf Zalal, given what Zal is doing, you know, these days. But Songwood Troy is on a bad run and I will not bear the league Kevin Vallejos is one of my favorite fighters off the most recent season of Contender Series. He is only 22 years old and has all the promise in the world. Actually fought Contender Series in 2023 as well, where he lost to Jean Silva, Lord out here doing big things. And Kevin Valleos gave him all he could handle so that should tell you a little something about Kevin Vallejos.

I actually comped him in the most recent season to Jean-Sov. I think that they have a lot of similarities in their game. And Kevin Valleos has a higher upside. He's just so young. If he can continue to elevate his game, I envision really, really big things with this guy, just a super smooth striker. And I expect him to roll the one concern. He is giving up a pretty hefty amount of size.

He is not the world's biggest. featherweight and Songwu Troy is not a small man, but I think he's got so much more craft, super slick boxing, really excited to see him. Genuinely considered him just being a leg of the climb as well, doubling up there. But instead, there's a lot of dudes who I am in on this week. And so we're doing a separate parlay with Kevin Vallejos. We're calling that one the 2024 contender series prospect parlay, because there are four 2024 contender series prospects that I rated pretty highly competing.

However, we'll get to why one of them is not in the parlay as we move on down the road. But Kevin Vlehos, the first leg in the CS season eight parley. We move down the road to probably should be the co-main event, if we're being honest, and a pretty solid fight here in the lightweight division. Alexander Hernandez taking on Kurt Holliba Hernandez. Your betting favorite at minus 2.10. They come back on Hollabawbaugh plus 180. Hernandez, two and three over his past five, coming off a split decision win over Austin Hubbard back in October.

Hollabaw, two and one since coming back to the USC. Obviously, had an original stretch. It comes back. Got a unanimous decision win over Canaan Khrushuski in July. Hollabar, season 34, tough winner. And actually beat Austin Hubbard. to win tough that year with a triangle choke back in 2023. So a little MMA math tells you that Hollibaugh actually is more likely to win,

given Hernandez won a splitie, whereas Holliba got the submission win. I don't know how to feel about this because my heart, my gut says Kurt Hollabaw is a good value. My head, frankly, says Kurt Hollabaw is a good value here. He, you know, he did leave the UFC after his first go-around, but he, just fought a string of freaking killers and looked pretty decent since coming back. Not amazing, pretty decent. Whereas Alex Hernandez, I just feel like I can't ever quite get a bead on him. You know, he has been up and down, to say the least, frankly. And frankly, my picks regarding him have been up and down. I have backed him a ton, hit or miss on the success rate. I have faded him a ton, hit or miss on the success rate as

I just, he's one of those fighters. I can't get a good feel about how he's going to compete. Hollaby is old, which is certainly a little concerning. But Hollabawley primarily loses via grappling, and that's not really what Alex's going to do. Kind of a bit of a mirror match in some ways here. Alex is younger than Hollabai. I feel like there's value in Hollabawbaugh. I have it circled as plus 180 a possibility.

I just don't know. I think we're going to say screw it and complete. commit to it because we're already down a million units this year. What's what's one more if we lose? And plus 180, maybe we can start chewing back into some of those losses we've got. So the bet will be Kurt Hollaba. One of two that I frankly was just like, I'll circle something. We'll talk it through.

See how I feel once I start recording the pod. And the next one is in this very next fight as we move along to a Bantamweight contest. Demone Blackshear taking on Cody Gibson. Blackshear, a sizable betting favorite, minus 460. The comeback on Gibson, about plus 360, depending on the thing. Blackshear 3 and 2 in his past 5 coming off a rear naked choke win over Cody Stamen back in November, whereas Gibson is 2 and 2 since coming back to the UFC. Lost his first two, but now on a nice two-fight winning streak,

a unanimous decision over Chad and Heliger, also back in November. This one is more just having a little bit of fun. I think Demoen Blackshear is going to win this. I just don't really feel like putting him into a parlay of any kind. She's got a lot of parlay legs flying and they're more gimmicky. But I think Demo and Blackshear probably should win it. Just a little bit more varied of a game. Though Cody Gibson certainly not a bad fighter body means.

What I'm kind of looking at, Gibson's lost four of his ten fights by submission, whereas Blackshear primarily wins by submission, 10 of 15, and of course has that twister on record, which shows sort of the exciting, innovative fun grappling game that Blackshare can bring to the table. That being said, Gibson hasn't been tapped in like eight years, so that's strictly a, this would be kind of a fun thing, and you can move Blackshare from minus 460 to plus 225,

if you take Blackshare by sub. I'm not really sure that the value is there, Frank. So I think on this one I will pass, but maybe something just to have a little fun with if you're trying to be invested in this fight. Don't have to put a ton in, but plus 2.25. I think there's maybe, maybe some value there, but I'm not married to it. I got too many other actions this week. We'll pass on that one, especially since we did decide we're going to lock in that Hallibaw-Underdug bet. And that takes us right on down the line.

We are moving. We are keeping things breezy as we get to a bantam-wate contest between Su-Young-Yung-U and A.J. Cunningham. You won Rode U.S.E.C. season three and then won his UFC debut for Bar-Jang Jialisi. Sorry if I screwed that up, Bar-Jang. Me, no offense, I think I did okay, hopefully. Whereas A.J. lost his UFC debut to Ludovic Klein back in March. Frankly, no shame in that. Ludovic Klein sort of. just a really, really good fighter, right?

And especially given sort of where, just kind of a weird thing, right? Because this is a bantam-wave fight. Ludovic Klein, that fight wasn't lightweight. So like big drop here from our guy, AJ Cunningham, dropping down two full weight classes from his UFC debut. also was a contender series guy in 2023, but he lost to Steve win in a featherweight contest. So a bit all over the board.

Frankly, just do not really know what to make of AJ Cunningham. I would normally pass on this. However, mentioned it earlier. There's a gimmick at play. Su Yong Yu is one of the two fighters born on December 11th. So very simply, Su Yongyu minus 625, team that up with his fellow December 11th brethren. What is the sign for December 11th?

Bad host, I'm looking that. Sagittarius, his fellow Sagittarius. So the Sagittarius parlay is basically what we're going to call this. Run those two together. It gets you around minus 135 odds. Our first gimmick parlay in the books. Haven't hit gimmick parlay is basically at all this year, so why not throw three of them out and see what happens?

That's the first one as we continue, because that is also the final, at least now, this could change because, again, I'm seeing multiple things in different places. That was the final main card fight. The prelims is where we're moving on to next, where Waldo Cortez Acosta, in the heavyweight division, takes on Ryan Span making, I want to say his heavyweight debut, though it's possible it's not his actual debut,

but moving up from light heavyweight to the heavyweight division, Cortez-Aosta, 5 and 1 in the UFC, three-fight winning streak, and the cowardly and obviously smart and effective game plan of tackling rebellus to Spain back in May and sending Rebellis to Spain to karate combat and potentially GFL, as he decided not to engage in the striking battle we all sort of wanted to see. Span, 3 in 3 is past 6, been in the UFC forever and a day, lost three in a row in that streak, but did rebound with a submission winner over Ovin St. Peru back in October, now making him move up to heavyweight. Nice little mid-tier there, as OSP also fought up at heavyweight.

So nice little transition period for span. And, I mean, this guy is massive. He will not be an undersized heavyweight coming up, right? Like, he can make 205, but he is not a small fellow. It's not like Walo Cortez-A-Costa is going to Hulk over him. That being said, this still feels like advantage to Cortez-A-Costa. Span, he's not old, but he does feel a little washed. Span is one of those guys who has a lot of potential,

and I have consistently missed in backing and believing in his potential and saying he's going to finally put it all together, and he just can't quite do that. I mean, lost to Anthony Smith in the year 2023. That's a tough scene. Waldo Cortez-Costa, you know, not the greatest fighter, but thinking just outwork Ryan's, Span, as long as he doesn't get knocked out, should win this fight.

And Cortez-Aosta never been knocked out in M.M.A. A couple of K of losses in his boxing career, but Span just explodes into one punch, not a lot of combination work. I think Cortez-A-Costa is going to win, and so I have a bet on him. Honestly, probably wrong to bet Waldo Cretze-A-Costa straight up. I already made that bet, and the line has moved more towards Waldo Cretzicasta, because I got a minus one. Looking at it now, that line has already moved, minus 170, minus 180 in places. I think Cortez-A-Costa, by decision, is probably actually a better bet, plus 200. I doubt he finishes span.

The concern there is span is he doesn't go to the cards almost ever. I mean, this is a guy he's going to knock you out or find a way to lose in spectacularly silly fashion. Six decisions in his whole career. But while Cortez-A-Cost is not a finish, I'm not a finish. I think that that is a better bet. So I'm just on Acosta straight. I'll be pretty disappointed if he wins by decision because I will have left some money on the table there.

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I'm pretty interested in it because of one side of this. As Stephanie Luciano takes on Sam Hughes, Luciano a minus 2.20. betting favorite. The comeback on Hughes plus 190. Luciano won her UFC debut with a unanimous decision over Tolita Alid Carr back in August. The contender series prospect from 2023. And Hughes has honestly been in the UFC a lot longer than I would have thought. I think this is her 10th fight in the promotion.

Three and two over her past five alternating wins and loss is a split decision win over Victoria Dutakova back in August is where she's coming in. And this is really simple for me. Luciano was a big pause and a puppy prospect for me in the season seven of Contender series, super young, ton of potential, mean as hell. And especially it feels cogent to me now because mean is such an important aspect to fighting. We're coming off, Jalen Turner retiring from the sport, and had all the talent, all the ability in the world, all the promise in the world. It sort of never is going to have fulfilled his promise.

And I think a lot of it is just mentality. He does not have that F-U energy that I'm trying to hurt a dude energy. And Stephanie Luciano absolutely has that energy with her. She is a better athlete than Sam Hughes. She's basically playing a different sport than Sam Hughes. I think she's going to win. I think she's going to win impressively, be it 30-27s across the board, maybe finds a way to a finish.

I'll be impressed by Sam Hughes if she gets it done. But Luciano is part of the third parlay. So I've already done the Sagittarius December 11th Parlay. I have Kevin Vallejos in the Contender Series 2024 Parlay, and I've got a big pause and a puppy parley because I've got three of those prospects from the season seven of Contender Series. Luciano is the first one up, and so she is the leader of the third Parlay that I've got on the list.

And speaking of Parley Fodder, we move right on down the road to maybe this is a main card fight. It's been bounced around a little bit, but it is a light heavyweight contest. D.R. Nurazai, taking on Brinson Hibero. D.R. is making his UFC debut off Contender Series 2024. Rivera's one in, sorry, Heberto, one and two in the UFC, a contender series 23 guy, lost his first two and then took a split decision over Kyle and Machado in November. That was totally up in the air. Could have gone either way. And had he lost it, may not even be in the UFC at this point. DR conversely was, I guess not conversely.

Hibara was a guy I didn't think too much of. Could certainly be fun, but just does not have the defensive acumen at this point to really feel that he was a good prospect. DR on his season, I rated as a round two prospect. So just below that top, top tier. Very powerful. A little bit of craft to his game.

Shades of Osamot Mersikonov, like a guy who, young enough, undefeated, doesn't seem like he has a top top ceiling, but I anticipate we'll hang around for a while and can bring enough to the table to make people really have to think twice about competing with him. And that should line up really well against him or a guy who does not have great defense.

I think there's a guy is just going to tag him and this fight's going to be over quickly. Could have taken an option for that, a prop bet of some kind, but instead what we're doing, big paws on a puppy. Nope, sorry. This is the Contender Series 20, 24 parley,

DR is with Kevin Vallejos, and one more person in that parlayas as we keep moving down the road to the last leg of that parley, Carlos Vera, taking on Josias Musace. I'm sorry, Musasa in a prelim bantamweight contest. Vera plus 600 to come back on Musasa as the betting favorite. Biggest on the card, minus 900. Tough road for Vera here. Finally gets into the UFC debut. against Ranya Nakamura, who he loses to in February of last year.

So it's been about a year off. Musasa making his debut off the most recent contender series, where I rated him as a round one prospect. He is super raw, a lot of natural ability, aggressive, powerful, high amplitude takedown, swings big punches, I comp into a bantamoy Derek Lewis, because that's sort of how I feel like he gets down right now. but more willing to score takedowns if he needs it.

He's going to shoot takedowns. They're going to be throws. He's going to chuck bombs. He doesn't have a lot of ideas yet because he is still just learning how to fight, but he has got a lot of raw tools. And Carlos Verre is a dude who is just in the wrong place, the wrong time. He rounds out the Contender Series 24 prospects of guys I really liked. The three of those together, Vallejos, Nerzegai, and Musasa,

that pays around minus 148, minus 150, depending on your book. And that's two parlays down, one parlor left to go, and only one other bet down on top of that. But part of those parlays, this next fight, Daniel Barras taking on Andre Lima in a men's flyweight contest, Lima, minus 350 betting favorite Barras plus 285 the comeback. Barras is one and one in the UFC coming off a unanimous decision victory over Victor Altamorano back in September.

Lima also competed most recently in September. He's 3 in the UFC coming off the unanimous decision win over Felipe Dos Santos back in December. And of course, you may well remember Lima for being, to my knowledge, the first person in UFC history to win a fight via DQ biting. Igor Severino and his UFC debut infamously bit Lima and lost the bout and all of the things that came from that. Lima, make the short suite, was a big pause prospect, really like his potential as a future flyweight contender. Probably doesn't get to a belt, but just a lot of ability. Perez has power, and that is the concern here. He drops dudes, but I think Lima is more athletic, faster, a little bit more well-rounded, and should just be able to edge this out. So,

along with Stephanie Luciano, Andre Lima, the second leg of the Big Pause Parli. We got one more of those legs coming up. As we move on down, two fights left to talk about the next one up. A women's bantamweight contest, one of the rarestites in all of MMA women's bantamweight fight. Josian Nunez taking on Priscilla Casuala. Nunez minus 175. Coming back on Casuala, plus 150. Nunez three and two in the UFC.

Barnstormed it. At featherweight, she won three in a row despite being teeny tiny. And now since dropping to Bannonweight, she has lost two coming off a split decision, lost to Jacqueline Kevolkante back in August. Casuarra, 4 and 6 in the O.C. Hung around for quite a long time, currently on a two-fight skid after losing to Yasmin Yasadavis in January of 2024, so over a year of a layout for.

And Casuera, of course, also infamous. I guess not also is not the right works, but infamous for the sort of really stretching the rules, eye-gouging that sort of behavior. But she's in the O.C. for a reason. She dies well. She will put on an exciting defeat when she is in there, if necessary. She usually loses by sub, though, whereas Josianneunias, she's a hitter.

She ain't, I don't you try to take anybody down. And even at Bain and White, Nunes is still very small. But Castro just has terrible defense, and Josian Nunes does hit hard, much more volume. She's never, a cashore has never been K-O, so, like, you could maybe try and find a little more value thinking Nunes has to just work harder for this. but I do think Newton is going to finally get a win at Bantamweight, so I have a straight bet on our minus 1.75. And that takes us to our first bout of the evening and the last bet of the evening. Very simply, a women's flyweight contest. Unise Duben taking on Carly Judice, a minus 400 betting favorite.

Dubin plus 330 to come back. Dubin's making her U.S. debut from the most recent contender series, where I had her graded as a round two prospect, same as D.R. She had one of the most sensational knockouts you will ever see. She absolutely obliterated Shannon Clark with an overhand right. I mean, dropped her cold. Unreal K.O. But she is still super raw. The knockout was so good I had to basically say.

She was at least around two. But before that fight, before she beat Shannon Clark, Dubin six no in her career, all six of her opponents were. She fought nothing but debutantes before getting to Contender Series. One great performance still don't know what to make of her as a prospect other than she can throw a hard right hand and she got great timing. Carly Judice, however, also very raw. She is a 2023 contender series, and as you may have guessed, she was a big pause and a puppy contender. Super raw still.

Has only been fighting for a couple of years. But she won, fought people who at least fought fights, even if their resume. weren't great and just showed showed me something something that I feel pretty good about her ability to already compete in all phases of the game despite being so young so raw super very athletic I think she can come in she lost her youth to debut to gabriella fernandez though split decision back in june I thought she won that fight but you know I'm not she's not going to come in here and run roughshod over and so I will say these odds are too long right like Carly Judis just should not be as big a favorite, logically, as she is here.

But it doesn't really matter. Three big pause contenders. Got a pair them all together. The three of them, Stephanie Luciano, Andre Lima, Carly Judice, pays out a plus 132 overall. And so, that's the end of UC Vegas 104, guys. Tried to get in under 30 minutes. Not going to quite succeed there. But I knew we weren't going super long.

Next week, maybe we'll have a little bit more time to talk because next week's card, decent, won't call it amazing, but certainly in context, it's pretty good. And next week, we're going somewhere. We're going to the O2, we're going to London. Leon Edwards makes his return to the Octagon, first time since losing his belt as he takes on rising contender Sean Brady.

Jan Blahovic, call his Ulbert, potentially fighting for a title shot of light heavyweight, depending on that shakes out. Gunnar Nelson, Kevin Holland. That'll be weird, the return of Molly McCann as well. things happening of ranked heavyweight contest certainly a better card than this week

not even a terrible card a lot of reasonable things occurring next week for London we will find ourselves a guest for London and hopefully we'll have some fun this week in Vegas 104 will treat us all well hopefully I'll clean sweep it and start to put a dint in this big hole up dog

but most importantly hopefully you guys have a good weekend be it with your family or with us atiraviting.com watching this And we'll see you next week for the Road to UFC London. Thanks for tuning in as always. Love y'all.