MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Breaking Down The Best Bets For UFC Vegas 75, Bellator 297, And PFL 5

Episode Date: June 14, 2023

UFC 289 is in the books but the summer MMA slate is just getting started as this weekend, combat sports fans are treated to an MMA triple-header! That's right, the UFC, Bellator, and PFL are all delivering content for your viewing pleasure this weekend and that means the No Bets Barred boys are here to help you profit (or at least have some fun). Co-hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew kick off the show with a little banter about UFC 289 before jumping right into the discussion on UFC Vegas 75 and the marquee middleweight matchup between Marvin Vettori and Jared Cannonier. Then it's on to Bellator 297 and Patricio Pitbull's chances at becoming MMA's first ever three-division champion, before the boys wrap it up with a little PFL 5 discussion. Tune in for Episode 49 of No Bets Barred. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Support for this show comes from the Audible Original, the downloaded two, ghosts in the machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudulian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprise his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible Original Blockbuster. The Downloaded, it's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, What are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?

The Downloaded 2, Ghosts in the Machine. Available now, only from Audible. Support for this show comes from the Audible original, The Downloaded 2. Ghosts in the Machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cadulian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever.

Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprised his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the audible original blockbuster, the downloaded. It's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, what are you willing to lose to save the ones you love? The downloaded two, Ghosts in the Machine, available now only from Audible. What is going on, y'all? We are back another episode of No Betts Barred this time.

UFC Vegas 75. Not just that. A pretty sick Bellator card. You don't say that too often. Bellator 297. A couple of title fights on it. The chance for Patricia Pitbull to get three different belts. He would be the first one in any major MMA promotion.

And then PFL5, like low-key. Low-key, pretty stacked weekend combat sports. How are we feeling, Jed? I mean, there's a, I'm feeling great. Let's start there. And then let's say number two. I don't know if this is true. There's an argument, though, of a realistic argument

that the UFC has the third best MMM. May card going this week. It's undeniably not the best. Bellator, undeniably has the best one going this week. But you could convince me that the PFL is also offering something better this week. The PFL will be entertaining in the fact that it's heavyweight week. So you're probably going to see some great knockouts. Larissa Pacheco is fighting against the girl that is probably going to engage with her.

and we are probably going to see a finish in that fight. Ali Walsh is back, finally making his pro debut, has been fighting a few times as an amateur. Aspen Lad, again, coming in as a favorite, do with that information, what you will. So yeah, I mean, it's not a bad offering. I'm still going to rank them, Bellator 297, UFC Vegas 75, PFL5.

But there's some good fights to be had this weekend. Is this his pro debut? Um, because, oh, you are correct. Tapology is listing it still as an amy. Oh, this is an amy. Tapology has it listed as an amy. I don't know if it is or not. You know what?

Honestly, but I think, I think this is on me. Tapology previously said, oh and oh. Uh, and it said professional. Professional. I now see it. Amateur. Three and one. Three and two.

Which is also just sort of a really weird thing for, I mean, I mean, I know it's, it's Biageo Ali Walsh, but prime placement for an amateur fight amidst a sea of some decent-sized names on the PFL. So that's just kind of weird. You know what? I'll get, I'll be there again. It's happening in the A. I will be boots on the ground. I'll dig into it.

We'll make sure that we're correct in calling this Nambi about. Yeah, I mean, a lot of things going on right now. I'm actually looking at an advertisement right now for Olivia Obin Merciie fighting this Friday. That is not happening. That is not the case. That's next Friday. That's going to be next week. And as I say that, my computer must have been listening.

It's updated to DeLea Green. Man. Or Friday. I mean, your FBI agent is on point. Something is going on. So yes, we return to the apex for the 75th time. Doesn't feel real saying that. I mean, we...

It's a lot. I remember UFC Apex like 37. I mean, that's how long we've been at this game, betting on empty arena fights. Marvin Vittori, Jared Canaanier in the main event. And then obviously, Belvoir 297, Vadim Nemcov, taking on U.L. Romero. But I think the fight that everyone's a little bit more excited for is Sergio Pettis taking on Petricio Pitbull. Chance for Pitbull. 35, 45, 55.

I mean, it's going to be a big, big thing going on there. if that happens. So I'm excited to get into the Bellator card. I'm excited to talk. I got some plays on Bellator. Got a little bit of action on Bellator. That's what I like to hear, baby. Ready to get into it.

Before we dive in, 289, first and foremost, I just want to come out an issue. Not an apology, but a statement. You know, I think this is a joint statement. I think I can speak for both of us when I say, we failed as, gimmick gamblers in the fact that we didn't take a Canada parlay. We didn't even take a can. I didn't just have known the favorites. Like plus 6,000, I believe it paid out as.

I mean, you could have just thrown a shekel on it and it could have paid for dinner. It's really just the regret that I felt in my heart watching Mike Malat lock up that submission. I was so happy for Canada. I was filled with Canadian pride. And in the back of my mind, I was like, I can't believe I blew this so bad. I mean, when I think about the biggest regrets of my life, you know, it's right on up there. It is right on up there, you know.

You think about all the times you could have said, you know, you'll love you to your family members one more time. This one right there, right at that level of not taking the Canada parley. I am so ashamed of us, Connor, frankly. Yeah, and I mean, here's the worst part is that was lightning in a bottle. That was never happened again. That was magic in a moment. And now what we're going to be doing is chasing. And I mean, it wasn't like these were, they were all minus 400s.

People keep saying that they were set up fights. I mean, I think five of the six were plus money. Oh, yeah. Kyle Nelson and Jasmine were huge plus money. I think it was just MAB. and Mike Milot were the two favorites. Yeah. It was a risky bet to do, but that's what we're here for.

That's what we're here for. That's what we're here for. Stupid risk bets. Because if it pays off, I mean, we're introing. Oh, Canada is the intro music. I mean, we're waving the Maple Leaf. Save the King. Let's go.

I mean, I would officially be a member of Maple Leaf Mafia had. I done that, but I let everyone down. Regardless, winning week, nice little bounce back, about three and a half units. Feels good after the massacre I had two weeks ago. Hey, that's way to go, buddy. Way to not stay down. Way to get back to your.

Feels good. Pull yourself up by your bootstraps. You did better than me. I had a winning week, but just over a unit. My faith and belief in Benny Darryush and Nate Landware, they cost me a little bit. They cost me a little bit. Yeah.

Yeah. I mean, I was just on the under of that Charles Levera fight. and I can assure you. That was a great bet. I can assure you if I ever get offered in under two and a half of minus 160 on a Charles Oliver fight again, loans will be taken out. I might as well. The man does what he does, and it's fantastic.

I went pretty heavy. It was my second biggest bet of the night. I wish I could say proudly, I absolutely hammered it, but I did go pretty big on it. Either way, fun card. It wasn't the best card in history, but it was a fun card. I had a good time. It was fine. It did as well as it probably could have done, given how the interest level.

And I want to wrap. The interest level was low. Rapping 289 talk because it's relevant to this week. Connor, we're going to talk about Flyweight Dunders moving this week. We'll take it for just a second. But I'd like to say that officially, we can now officially say that ChatGPT is a winner. 10 bets up, seven winners plus three and a half units overall. That's a sample size I can work with because chat GPT delivered again last week.

And sadly, we don't have one this week. Wasn't anything I felt comfortable asking the internet for? I felt like I had the reads. So, but ladies and gentlemen, and no bets barred nation, trust. Chat GPT, it's a proven winner, a track record of success at this point. and I'm excited to see what we can take it. What do you need us for? You can just ask chat GPT.

What do you even need us for? Yes, briefly, Flyweight unders. I don't want to come out and officially say that FlyWet hunters are dead. There will be select fights that I get back on the train, that I jump down the nostalgia alley to relive the magic that was, but it is no longer an auto bet. I can say with full confidence it is no longer an auto bed. A few of these this weekend are dice.

material if we were still riding it. Well, it's fun that you say that because I'm disagreeing. I'm buying the dip, baby. I think we're back this week. You know, we're still plus money overall on the year, still up overall in the year for Floodunders. So we got three chances this week. I'm buying the dip.

If we're a loser, if we get into the negatives, then I'll reevaluate. But we're going to talk about them because I'm buying. I'm buying this week. Let's dive in. UFC Vegas 75, that's where we'll start as we discuss each card this weekend. If we don't talk about the fight, that means we have no action on it. We got too much to get into. Too many fights this weekend.

14 UFC fights, 15 belly fights, like 12 PFL fights? 14 UFC fights. And the card starts at 7 o'clock. I mean, it was the worst news I received. Should have been a 1 o'clock start over and out. I mean, come on. Playoffs are done. We should have just, I mean, it was.

knows I could have gotten. We start with the main event, middleweight bout, Marvin Vittory, taking on Jared Canineer. Right now you can get Marvin Vittori minus 110. Jared Canonier coming back minus 110. I mean, this is a coin flip fight. If you look back over the last five years, both of these guys have only lost to Robert Whitaker and Israel Adasania. I mean, they lose to the best of the best. I personally, I don't know what's going to happen here. Cannon here is getting old. Yes, he's 39, but he hasn't really shown signs of aging that bad. He relies on power punches, but we just saw him winning a decision over Sean Strickland.

I don't think the power is going to come into play here. I mean, Vittori literally has a blockhead, like never been finished. But Vittori, I went back and watched his last two fights. I mean, the Whitaker one, I mean, he just got dog walked. And then Roman DeLite, it wasn't his best performance either I don't know who's going to win this fight what do you say here oh um this this is a

a full on Marvin Vittory for me feel pretty good about his changes here that's all my gut said as soon as I saw it I was like Marvin Vittory then I was like I don't know no I'm full on Marvin Votory here I think we're getting a little bit better

of a price on him because of the Deleadze fight was so unspectacular, but to me, stylistically, this is just a phenomenal matchup for him. I mean, Jared Kennedy did just beat Sean Strickland. Martin Vittory is like boss level, Sean Strickland. He is Sean Strickland to the nth degree. He is more physical, but brings the same sort of attributes, has an impervious chin. And to me, this seems very obvious. Martin Vittory is just going to continue to march Jared Canonier down.

Canaanernery is getting a little slower, a little older, needs power punches. He's not entirely reliant on them, but the straw that stirs a drink form are the big hits, and that's just not going to do anything against Marm Vittori. Vittori's just going to be up in his chili the whole time, putting the pressure on, putting the pace, getting him to the cage. If he can score some takedowns, Jared Canineer,

not a Wundercan off his back. And I do think, as this fight goes on, Marm Votori is going to be able to get. there, get takedowns kind of just imposed as well. To me, this lines up super well for him as a, as a fight. My only real question is whether I should be taking Marvin Vittory straight or Marvin Vittory by decision. I mean, because seven, seven of his nine UFC wins by decision, Canineers only ever been stopped twice, never at middleweight. So there, he's real durable. I'm a little scared of 25 minutes of that pace and maybe Canineer eventually just sort of

breaking under the kind of relentless pressure that Vittori brings. And ultimately what decided for me is the price isn't big enough. Vittory by decision is only plus 140. It is not big enough. You're getting them at minus 110 straight. That's not enough juice there. So I am just on Marvin Vittory straight. But took a little book out of Connor Burke's parlay as I've been starting to do a lot.

The over one and a half is just a beautiful parley piece. This is textbook. CB stuff right here. Minus 425, Vitori, 12 of his last 13, have gone over the one and a half. Cannonier, five straight over the one and a half. Votori never been finished. You just mentioned the note about Canineer. He's only been finished twice, never at middleweight. And he's going against the guy in Vittori that really doesn't get that many finishes. One and a half parley piece is, I mean, it's the Italian dream. I knew you would be on it. And I was just like, how, how was anyone not on it honestly if you're making a barlet it's the building block i think if we're just trying

to max profit this week just just be a winner you know just hit one down the fairway not trying to go for the green yeah yeah yeah i think we would just unload the clip on over one and a half here it's the most confident thing i've ever had my life is over one and a half in this fight is Marvin Votori winning by knockout totally out of the question. It's not totally out of the question. Like I said, that's where

25 minutes is a long time. Canaan are getting a little older. To me, I don't know that he's going to win, you know, it won't be on the feet, I don't think. It would be a ground and pound TKO stoppage. But the question, I think that that's likely to happen

or much more possible if the Tory gets a taked down, plus a thousand's a big. big number. It's plus a thousand. I might I'm not going to lie to you. I might throw like a dollar on that because that's a big number. That's a big number.

It really is. But also he has no knockouts since 2015. No knockouts in the UFC. He only has two knockouts in his whole career, which is a 25 fight career. Yeah.

Like I said, it definitely doesn't happen on the feet. If it happens, it's a ground and pound TKO stoppage, something like that. And I guess the much more likely scenario there is that Canoneer gives up his back, gets choked out, as opposed to just getting pounded out from Mount. Still, plus a, that's how Vegas, that's how Vegas gets you is with plus a thousand. Yep. Yep.

Yeah. If, because it feels like the tides, like obviously, Marvimitore Open is a larger favorite, some people on Canineer. If I saw more of Vettori touch Touch plus 100, which I know that's not the biggest difference in price, I'd probably jump on with you because my gut, my instinct

was Vittori. I also kind of like Vittori. I'm down with the Italian dream. I mean, sure, why not? All right. That is the main event. Should be a pretty fun fight. I do like the way.

It's a very meaningful fight, if nothing else. Oh, for sure, for the future of the middleweight division, no doubt. I like the way that Marvin Vittory pushes pace. I mean, him versus Costa. That was probably the fight that made me, you know, I wouldn't say like a Marvin Ventory fan. Marvin Ventory supporter.

I get up for his fights a little bit more. That cost of one was pretty awesome. All right, we roll to the co-main event, lightweight bout Armand Saruki and taking on Joachim Silva. Right now, Armin Sarukin is minus 10, minus 1,050. Joaquim Silva plus 700 Yeah I mean this just kind of feels like a mismatch

This feels like he couldn't fight Hanato Moikano in the main event back in April And it was just like let's just get you in the octagon Get you a fight get you a dub And we'll worry about Moikano at a later date Yeah my one note on this fight is Why is it happening I mean this is this is a top A top 10 dude with

championship potential fighting a guy who is two and three in his last five fighting no one in the rankings yeah it is it is shocking that this fight is booked um and i get it you want to keep him busy but this is the like we couldn't find anybody better like nobody else is stepping up i mean hell let the this feels like armin like this feels like armin saruky and had a had a an opponent yesterday that just got canceled and we just found out like live during the show that it okay all right wakim sylva uh netto bjj is going to step up here on this one i actually do have a play on it i took the under one oh fantastic well first of all i got i got a chock soup that armin surruci is in that's that's my play is arm and saruqi is i got the stewiest garbage

parlay build i got a i got a two-week chalk dump coming up for you that is almost guaranteed to lose, but I'm liking what I'm looking at. I also have just a stew of garbage and it's Sarukian, cannonear over one and a half,

and we'll add the two legs as we go, but... Mine's actually a multi-week, multi-promotion parlay. Mine is also multi-promotions. I got all three promotions this week. Stu, baby. Incredible.

I am on the under one and a half. I took it near the opener. It was at plus 1.15 when I got it. I understand Surrugi in his last two fights. He went to a decision. I know he isn't like the most lethal finisher in the world. His last two fights, he was fighting absolute killers, though, in Mateus Gamrott and Demir's Magulov.

And Silva, last two losses have come under the one and a half against being knocked out by Nasrod and Ricky Glenn, who Nasrat has 10 UFC fights, Ricky Glenn has nine UFC fights, and their only wins by finish in the promotion of the UFC both came against Joachim Silva. I mean, these guys are not finishers

by any means of the word, and they both knocked out Joachim Silva under the one and a half, and Sarukin. I mean, not only is this just a mismatch, he does have finishing capabilities. I mean, if you go and look at his two fights before his last two, both finishes under the one and a half. I really think that this is live.

I think Armin Sarukin gets it done, and I think he gets it done fairly easily. I mean, yeah, this is, I don't need to break this fight down. Armand Seru Kine is going to win this fight. This guy's a future champion fighting a dude who maybe doesn't even need to be in the promotion. Yeah, I mean, I was pretty. high on Joel Alvarez, big dude at Lightweight going. Joe Alvarez is worth being

high on. Going into that Syrucian fight and Sarukin made him look like a fool. Like, size difference be damned, he absolutely dominated that fight. And then the Chris Askeago's one, I mean, he also murders people, man. He gave Islam Markachev the

toughest fight of his UFC career until Volcanowski probably and he barely lost the Matush Gamrott and very arguably did not lose I scored it for Gamrot, but many, many people scored it for Sarukian. I think it was that round four. I think it was that dicey round four that ended up deciding that one incredibly close fight.

Can't believe it's been a year since that one. But yeah, Armand Sarukian, if he... It's going to be the champion. Dude is going to win the belt. If he loses this fight, it's a fucking disaster for his career. If it's a close fight, like he wins like a 29-28 decision. it's not great. I think he comes out here and he just absolutely obliterates this guy.

I agree. There's always the banana peel. There's always the banana peel. But I would be shocked if he doesn't come out of here and make this look easy. Absolutely stunned. So enough said on this particular bout. Nuff said. Let's keep it rolling.

Middleweight bout. Our man, CLD, Christian Leroy Dunking getting back into the Octagon after winning his debut. An unfortunate injury in that one. He takes on Armin Petrosian right now. Now you can get CLD from minus 145, Petrosine coming back at plus 125. You have action on this fight. What we got? I do.

So I want to head off the questions because I know that the listeners right here, they know me. I'm a predictable man at this point, Connor. I'm not here to hit you with anything new. I love a gimmick parlay. Oh, yeah. We got back-to-back armands. I had a feeling. I had a feeling this is coming, though.

Because that's where you're wrong. Because you know what else we have happening on this fight? fight card. What's that? We got two Christians fighting on this fight card. We got double Christian action. And because an Armin and a Christian are fighting, I can't take both parles. I can't do it. It's a guaranteed loser if I take both parlays. And so I could take the Armand Parlay with minus one million Armand Sarukian, but it's not what I'm doing. In part, because I actually like CLD's chances in this fight. He's a little raw as a pro, but extensive amateur, extensive amateur experience.

And yeah, you know, his, his UFC debut, unfortunately, not here to tell you that that injury was amazing, but looked pretty good, you know, looked like the moment wasn't too big for him. He has a pretty decent size advantage coming here, certainly with the reach. And I've made a little money on Arm and Petrosion in my time. had a bet on him against Robocop that, you know, ended up paying off. But he is not this super dynamic fighter. I think CLD is a better athlete, much more dangerous, younger guy. And like I said, I liked what I saw, how he was approaching the fight before the injury

happened in his debut. So I'm back in Christian Leroy Duncan. He's one half of the Christian parley with Christian Canones. We'll talk about that in a little bit, though. Yeah, I mean, I agree with you. I think if I was picking the fight, I would take Christian Leroy Duncan. I was on him in that last fight against Dusko. Thought he had a lot of advantages there.

I mean, he's got a massive reach advantage in this one. I do think he has the athletic advantage, and I think he's going to have the power advantage. But if it stays standing, which is where Armin is going to, you know, thrive as opposed to getting taken down, which I wouldn't be shocked of Christian Leroy-Dunkin, did that. This thing, he totally can, too.

He also has that in him. Yeah, if it stays standing, it could be a tricky fight. It could be a tricky fight. Armand's kind of a tricky dude. And he's pretty tough. Like, he can avoid the power shots and he can stay standing. I think it's close fight, but I edge it for Christian Lieber at Duncan. I am a little bit disappointed.

I mean, you could have taken Armand Sarurkien inside the distance, and it would be the Armenian Armin-Armin Parlay, the AAA Parley. The AAA Parley, Armenian Arm and Arm in Parley. I mean, but I can't do it. Because also, this shouldn't factor in, but it absolutely does for me because I'm a nonsense person. Christian Leroy Duncan, one of the best names in the sport. Oh, yeah. It just rolls off the tongue.

It makes you want to say it. CLD, Christian Leroy, Duncan, let's go. So got to back my boy here. All right. Let's go. Let's keep it rolling on the main card. Pat Sabatini. taken on Lucas Almeda featherweight bow right now.

You can get Pat Sabatini minus 190. Lucas Almeida coming back at plus 160. I got nothing here. I cannot trust Pat after I drove 30 minutes each way to get a Philly cheese steak only to sit down and watch him get knocked out in a 69 seconds. C-Oed flat, flat-lined. So I'm not going to be laying almost minus 200 on him here. Lucas Almeida's not the easiest opponent either.

So I will pass on this one. I'm exactly the same. This feels like a doggar pass to me if you're going to take one. I can't trust Pat Sativitia. I can't really trust either guy. I took one bite of my cheese steak before Pat Sabatini was completely laid out on the canvas. I mean, he let you down and you can't trust people who let you down. That's just life advice for everybody out there.

Could be a bounce back spot. I do love cheese steak. So we'll see what's in store there. We keep it rolling. Lightweight bout, Nicholas Moda, taking on Manuel Torres. Right now, Manuel Torres can be at minus 190. Nicholas Motto coming back at plus 160. Banger.

Banger fight, this is going to be a fun one. I am on the under one and a half, Manuel Torres. 14 of his 15 fights have ended in round one. 12 of those fights have ended in the first two and a half men's. We like to call them agents of chaos around here. That is exactly what Manuel Torres is. He comes in and he makes fights chaotic. On the other side, Nicholas Modus, 11 of his 17 have ended under the one and a half,

including both of his fights in the UFC. I like this fight to be crazy. I like it to be chaotic and I think we get a finish in the first round. I have zero thoughts on this one. Just too many fights this week. Didn't have the time to look into it. Didn't want to chat GPT. it didn't feel like it rose to the level of chat GPT.

But, you know, off my gut should be pretty fun. That's all I got for you. When I got a great deal on a great gift at Winners, I started wondering, could I get fabulous gifts for everyone on my list? Like this designer fragrance for my daughter. It's just $39.99. How could I resist? This luxurious will throw for my sister. This gold watch for my partner?

A wooden puzzle for my niece? Leather gloves for my boss? Ooh, European chocolate for the cross. For the crossing guard? At these prices, could I find something for everyone at winners? Stop wondering. Start gifting. Winners find fabulous for less. Then that's that.

We keep it rolling. Last fight on the main card, Welterweight out, Muslim Salikoff, taking on Nicholas Dalby. Nicholas Dalby, once again, the underdog, plus 160, Muslim Salikov coming back at minus 190. Thought about this one? Thought about Dalby as an underdog? And then I realized.

He's not fighting a Brazilian. He's not fighting a random country in Western Europe fighter. So I just can't bat him. I mean, he is the Brazilian beast. He's the annihilator of all things Brazilian, all things random. He's collecting that list. He's collecting the heads of every random country in Western Europe, Norway, France, Italy, Greece, all of those fighters. Muslim Salikov does not fall under that definition, so I can't put him.

I mean, I'm so glad that you remember. And that's absolutely true. How could I forget? How could I forget? Went into Brazil and had no issues getting his hand raised. No issues. I mean, if this fight was happening in Russia, I might think he has a little bit better of a shot here.

But it's not, and I don't think he does. I'm actually going to back Muslim Salakov. Not straight. I'm going to take him by decision. So nine of Dalby's 10 U.S. Fights have gone to the cards. He is exceedingly durable. And I think Solokov is just a better fighter, a little trickier, a little slicker on the feet, more dangerous there.

The way you really make Hay against Salikov is going to be with the takedowns, and Dolby isn't a good enough wrestler to really do that. I think on the feet, he can maybe make this a little uglier, a little dirtier, but I think, you know, Muslim Salikov, you know, this man is the king of Kung Fu. So how dirty can you make it? I don't think you can have that much success there. I think this is going to be maybe not the best or most interesting fight ever, but we're going to get 15 minutes of Solokov, just kind of being a little bit better on the feet, and Dolby not having any answer.

So Solokov by decision plus 180. All right. We roll on to the prelims men's bantamway bout. Hione Barcelos returns five months after being put out bad by Umarna Magamatov. he takes on Miles Johns right now. Barcelos can be had for minus 225. John's coming back plus 190. We've preached the gospel of Haonee Barcelos on this show before.

I mean, a complete mixed martial artist. He has lived the ways his entire life. Resumé is absolutely insane. But, Umarna Magamato fight, I mean, he got put out. bad. What are you thinking? I see the look on your face.

Are you taking Miles Johns? That big butt. I have Miles John circled as a possible bet, but I wanted to talk with you about it because... So I don't have Miles Johns. I took a shot on the under two and a half. I understand Henry Barcelos has been to a bunch of decisions before the knockout to Omar and Magamatov. But looking at his career as a whole four of his nine UFC fights have gone under the two and a half.

and then on the flip side, Johns, four of his six have knock on the distance. I think Barcelos could get a sub. I don't know if his chin's going to be all right. I mean, certainly he's been, he's shown toughness. He's shown resilience his entire career. Maybe he did just get caught and it's just going to be back to the old ways and it's just going to be a decision, you know, a striking affair the entire way. But I'm not sure.

And at plus 185, I was very willing to take a shot and see what happens. That's an interesting shot. I might think about that. So I don't have any bets here. My thoughts just are that, like, I think who I think Honey Barcellus is versus who he actually is, there's a pretty big delta there. When you talk about his resume, it's like, this guy's a world champion. I mean, it's because he came in so hot. I mean, won his first five or six in the UFC, some decent little names mixed in there.

Got a Nirmagamatov, you know, under wraps. But three of his last four lost. And look, I'm not here to say Team Evaliev, not a good fighter, Victor Henry, fine fighter. These aren't like elite level guys. And so I think this could be a spot to fade him, right? Like, I think this might be a bit of a high price for him. And so I wanted to see if you were on him, I was just going to jump on.

If you were on John, I was going to jump on. The price is high for a guy coming back five months after being scary knockout. Yeah, just cry. So definitely a dogger pass. If you had been dogging it up, I would have been like, all right, let's go, Wolfpack it up, baby. But scary knockout at 36 at Bantamweight. Now you're going to pay minus 220 on them. I don't know about that.

Lost three of his last four. I don't know about that. Yeah. So dogger pass. I think I'm going to continue to pass. But I always have a list of a couple where I'm like, let's see what Connor thinks. Let's see if, and so I'm glad to see we're at least in the same general idea here, but I got a lot of other action. I don't need to add bets.

I see some people unloading the clip on Barsallis this week. I don't know how to unload the clip at all. I don't know how comfortable I feel with that. I mean, he could come out and win, obviously. I mean, he's the better mixed martial artist here, but the circumstances surrounding it are definitely concerning. We keep it rolling. The first flyweight out of three that we have to get into. Jimmy Flick taking on Alessandro Costa.

Right now, Costa is a fairly sizable favorite, minus 240 Flick plus 200 coming back. I'm not on the under, but I am on the violence bed. Fight doesn't go to a decision. I have that in a parlay. I mean, Jimmy Flick has been knocked out five times now. And if he doesn't get knocked out, usually subs his opponent. 18 of his last 19 have not gone the distance

hasn't been in the car since 2016 Costa four of his last five haven't gone to a decision I like this as a parlay piece with the over one and a half in the main event I mean not much to add Jimmy Flick

is a great champion of Flyway Dunners yeah dude I mean the guy is it's him it's Roddog Roy Val love Roddog Royval I mean those are just the kings of the flyway

So yeah, I'm taking it. I'm taking the under. Like I said, this week, we got three of them. Feels like if we're going to kill Flyweight unders, I don't want Flyweight unders to officially die at the hands of Stephen Erseg and David Dvorak. That David Dvorak does not deserve to be the man who kills Flyweight unders as far as I'm concerned. If it's going to go down, it needs to go down in a week where we got three of them, you know, let the gods decide. fate here. We're probably going to get a W with this one. Flick Costa seems extremely unlikely to

not hit it, which is why the under's minus 230s. Yeah. Yeah, it's a hefty price to pay, but I don't think it goes to a decision, so it should be good times. Should be good times. We keep it rolling a men's bansom weight out, Kyeongho Kong, taking on Christian Kynonez. I have nothing on this fight, but I believe this is the second half of the Christian Parley. Second half of the Christian Parley pays out a plus 171. You take the two Christians and there you go. I mean, to me, this is pretty straightforward. I think I like Christian Canones anyways, younger or more aggressive, puts a little bit more of a pace on. Kung Kong, getting a little older, you know, late 30s starting to creep up on him. It's going to be a question

of if he can score takedowns, I think. And Canonez is not super tested at the high ranks, but he's a decent enough wrestler. I think he can largely keep it on the feet, just outpace Kong, who's somewhat hitable there. So give me the Christian, give me the Christian parley. And a lot of jokes, I feel, that could be made there. I'm not going to take that low-hanging fruit.

Not going to make any puns about the Christian parley. Just taking the Christian parlay. We're good. Next up, Men's Flyway Bout second one of the evening Carlos Hernandez taking on Denise Bonder

the return after a pretty gruesome arm injury against Malcolm Gordon about 16 months ago right now Bonder minus 125 Hernandez coming back plus 105

Bondar opened as a dog I was a little bit surprised to see that I was pretty high on him before that Malcolm Gordon fight unfortunate to see it go like that and I just haven't been overly impressed with Carlos Hernandez.

I mean, two split decisions and then getting finished in the first round. I think Bondar is the better wrestler here, and that's what he's going to have to do to get the win. I mean, Hernandez has been taken down in every one of his fights, and if Bondar's getting the takedowns, I think he's going to win this one pretty handily. And on the feet, I mean, maybe it's closer there, but Hernandez really doesn't present much of any danger to Bondar at all. Zero professional wins by knockout. 1-K-O in 14 amateur fights.

And that was to a great man named Borisov Petko, who that one fight was his entire career, Italian legend Borisov Petko. One of the greats. Yeah, one of the greats. And then if you look at it, I mean, yeah, I think he's got four subs on his record, and it is all to fighters that are like one-in-one,

two-and-two, oh-and-o. I don't think the guys that he subbed finished their careers 0 and 3, 0 and 1, 2 and 2 and 2 and 7. So combined record of 4 and... It's a strong combined record. 4 and 14. Those are the only guys that he's finishing. I really don't think Bondar needs to worry about a finish. And if that's the case, I think he's just going to put a pace on this dude and

and go for the wrestling. I mean, obviously the concerns while I'm not going heavy on this, just a unit play, the arm injury. I mean, we haven't seen dude in 16 months.

If you look at his Instagram, doesn't really tell much of a story. Looks like he's ready for the comeback, but it's not like he's looking like AP after the ACL injury back in 2012 or anything like that. So obviously some question marks, but I think this is a good matchup for him.

Yeah, for sure. I mean, I don't have too much to add, frankly, and I'll just say that you could extrapolate the stuff that Connor just said and make a pretty logical jump to the under two and a half here of Bondar, no decision wins. One decision is entire career. The man is a finisher. I think he is going to get those takedowns.

I think he's going to kind of put it on Carlos Fernandez. And getting a good price under two and a half plus 140, sorry. So, yeah, I mean, I... The price for the under two and a half on a flyway fight, all I'm saying, it's all I'm saying. I think the two here, the two ways this goes is Bondar wins by finish, which is what I believe is going to happen. Or Carlos Thanas wins a decision. I mean, I just, I would be very surprised if Fernandez finishes Bondar, unless it's some sort of injury-related thing. But 16 months away is, makes me feel comfortable enough that he's ready to be back.

Yeah, fully, fully agree. So under 2 and a half, baby, flyweight unders. Let's keep rolling. Let's roll to a women's flyweight bout. Teresa Bleda, Gabriella Fernandez. Right now you can have Bleda for minus 255. Fernandez coming back at plus 215. Teach me something, Connor.

Teach me something here. I am actually taking a flyweight under on a women's bout. That is what I'm going to be doing. I played it at plus 200. A little shot here. Here's how I'm thinking. Bleda is going to be bigger. She is three inches of height, four inches of reach.

She is just a big, strong girl. And those inches matter much more at this size. It's not, you know, 6-4 versus 6-1. This is 5-9 versus 5-6. Bleda brings a pace and a pressure with that wrestling that few women do. She looks for finishes. And I think that's going to give Fernandez fits, man. I mean, we just saw her against Jasmine Jazz DeVicious,

get taken down four times, controlled for 11 minutes, was just getting pummeled. Yes, she did not get finished in that fight, but I think Bleda Hunts finishes much more actively than Jasmine Jazz DeVicious. And for Blada, five of her seven pro fights ended under the two and a half. Fernandez on the other side, four of her seven under the two and a half,

and she's live for a finish too, because as much as I like Blada's pressure, her pace, the way she uses the wrestling, the takedowns aren't there, her striking defense is terrible. She does get hit a lot. We just saw her finish last time out against Antelia, Silva. I like it here.

I'm taking a shot. I'm taking some plus money plays here, not getting too overexposed this weekend. And yeah, I think it finishes live in this one. I trust you. I have zero thoughts on this fight, so. Wouldn't love playing Bleda minus 255. I'm not going to lie, women's ban to.

You should definitely not take that number for seven fights. Yeah, no. Please don't bet that. Last two on the card, Ronnie Lawrence, Daniel, I go ahead. I don't have anything. I know you don't either. And then Modestis Bukakis, Zach Pauga.

I thought about a Bukakis play for a second. And I was like, minus 200. I really want to trust this guy. You do not, is the answer there. I like you had the brief thought of like... Brief thought. I was like, this comeback has been sick. And Zach Pauga infuriated me into the moon last time

with his clinch. Fest against Jordan Ray. I believe in that fight he had no takedowns and nine minutes of control time. I mean, that's good. It's a barn burner. That is a barn burner. That's a heavyweight over fight right there. That's a heavyweight over fight right there. And that concludes the UFC Vegas 75. I mean, our quickest run through of our time here. I am on Torres Mota under one and a half, Barcelona Miles under two and a half. Surruki and Silva. under one and a half, Bleda Fernandez under two and a half, and Denise Bondar. I got Sarukian as a chalky parlay piece.

I have got Flick Costa that doesn't go to the decision as a parlay piece, and Vittori cannoneer over one and a half as a parley piece as well. I've got a pretty tight UFC schedule. I've got Marvin Vittori straight. I've got Salikov by decision.

I got the three flyweight unders, obviously. And, uh, ooh, storm rolling in in the A. I thought that was the tummy. No, no, no. Storm, storm clouds are bruce. ruined so hopefully the internet hangs on uh and then i've got the vittori canner over one and a half and sarukin straight in a big chalky parley soup so tight on the ufc but i got some other plays coming me too i got i only have five plays on the ufc i'm very curious to hear what you have

to say about bellator two ninety seven we're back in chytown win trust arena not going to go through every fight here not going to go through every fight here we'll talk about ones that we have plays on. Main event, the deemed MCOV, Yoel Romero, Yoel Romero, trying to get gold around his waist at the ripe age of 46. Think he does it? I do not. And I wish that he would because long-time viewers of the MMA-A-fighting podcast network, YouTube channel, et cetera, I'm about as big of a Yowel-Romero stand.

as exists in the world. I have constantly supported this man throughout his career. One of my favorite fighters to watch, not because he's amazing, but because I find him hilarious to watch compete. I do not think he is going to be Bedeem Kov because he's 46 years old. And granted, in Yuel Romero years,

that's actually like being 32. You know, this man is arguably the greatest athlete who's ever stepped foot in mixed martial arts. just a specimen, an absolute freak of nature. The fact that he is still looks like this in his, you know, pushing 50 and can move like that pushing 50, unbelievable. The problem is, and it's been the problem for most of YOL's career and certainly as he's

gotten older. The age isn't showing itself in the physique, still a Herculean physique, but his activity, man, It has steadily declined over the years. Looked a little bit better against Melvin Manhoof, who's another ancient human being. So that's probably the answer there. But he simply just doesn't do a lot. He is content to sit and absolutely wait for the perfect counter opportunity and try and land the big shot. That could always happen.

But if it doesn't, the deem Nemcov is just going to outpace him. Just going to be working while Yuel is not. Fight might be pretty boring. A lot of Yo-L fights can be pretty boring, but I like Vadim Kov to retain. And so I've got him in my big three-promotion stew. He's the third leg of the four-leg stew. I'm with you. I'm with you, man.

And be crazy to see Yo-O. Romero get gold around his waist at 46 years old. But I just don't know. I just don't know. I mean, Vadeemn Mkhov is a beast. He looked fantastic. Last time out. I mean, it really was a thing of beauty, his performance against Corey Anderson. One thing I just want to throw out there, just even considering it.

I mean, it's, it's, you know, Hall Romero has won eight of his last 10 wins by third round finish. Third round Romero is a real thing. He is an actual real mythological piece. Eight of his last 10. I want to say it's four straight. Third round finish wins. Y'O. Romero in round three plus 2,500. I'm not saying it's going to happen.

I'm just throwing it out there. I mean, I'm going to hedge with that. Plus 2,500 for third round Romero, you got to hedge with that. I don't think it's terrible. I don't think it's terrible. Third round, U.S. Romero, is a very real thing. So, yeah, we're kind of in agreeance. I think Vidim Nemcov gets this thing done.

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Bantamweight championship, Patricio Pitbull taking on Sergio Pettus. Right now, Tritio Pitbull, minus 180. Sergio Pettus coming back plus 155. Does Pitbull get the third belt? Do you have any action on this fight? Currently, no.

Oh, well, let me paint your word picture. Let me sell you something here. Yes, sell. Sell, baby. I think this is an unpopular opinion. I'm taking Sergio Pettus to win this fight. I'm actually, I actually don't think it's that unpopular, man. I checked earlier this week and Patricia Pipple was like a minus 250.

Oh, is that the money coming in on Pettis? I do not look at the movement. But, yeah, I mean, Pipple at minus 180 is, it's a big number. And I, yes, I do think Patricia Pipple is a better fight in Sergio Pettis. I'm not sure he's that much better of a fighter. And I have enormous questions about this man making this drop down. Yes, he probably should be able to make, you know, ban him weight relatively cleanly. But never seen it before.

And when people start doing this, all sorts of weird things happen. You got to adjust to a whole new weight class, a whole different way of fighting. One of Pitbull's biggest advantages is his whole career has been his speed. He is faster than feather weights. He is faster than the light weights he's fought. As is just not going to be the case of Sergio Pettis. He is not going to be the faster man in there. He's probably, I mean, he's going to be the bigger puncher.

But other thing about Sergio Pettis, I think Sergio Pettis has been close to criminally underrated his whole career. I don't think he's the best Bantam weight in Bellator, but I do think he's a very good banyam weight. Yes, Kioji Horauguchi was putting it on him until the back fist, But, you know, wins a win, baby. A win is a win. And other than that...

I was on Sergio Peders in that fight, and it was not looking good. Until it wasn't. It was not looking good. And it's the thing. I think he is going to be much more nimble of feet. He's going to be moving around, getting angles a little more often. And I just have a lot of questions about what Pippel is going to look like with this first weight cut down here and how that goes. I could be wrong.

Maybe he comes in, White Cook goes fine, and he is just the better and more physical fighter, and Pettus doesn't have the tools. But I certainly wouldn't feel good about laying this price on Pitbull, and I'm going to take the dog shot on the champ. All right, man. I don't blame you. There's a reason he would be the first guy ever to be a three division champion. It's damn hard. It is damn, damn hard.

You know he's come out and said that. now that Belator is opening up a 125. He's going to make that cut. Let's get 135 first, and then we can worry about the cut down to 125, man. Yeah, let's make, you know, I hope everything goes well. Hope we get a great fight.

But I just got questions. I got questions. We're 35 years old, man. Do we need to be cutting down to 125? It's usually you're going the opposite way. Usually you're 35, you're moving up. So I do think that this is a weight class he should be able to make, like I said, etc. But I'm not going to lay that price at him and I am going to fade him a little bit just in case, just in case.

So we saw T.J. Delishaw make the cut look terrible making the cut. Things happen. Joe Zaraldo, who is a historically better career featherweight than Patricio Pitbull, his first fight down to 135. It was tough. He had a tough fight. because it's a whole new experience. So that's where I'm at. All right. The only other play that I have right now is in a shock donkey parlay. Tamir Kisreve minus 650

as a parlay piece. Okay. I don't even know who that human being is. Well, you're going to know after this weekend. He takes on Richie Smallen on the pre-lems. 12 in Afghanistan. of Dagestani. Oh, well, and that seems like a good, good, good solid thing.

Yeah, I don't think I know this man off the top of my head. Tell me what else you got, man. Last play on Bellator. It's another big fight, baby. I'm taking another underdog shot. Phil Davis should not be an underdog to Cory Anderson. I do not think he should be an underdog to Cory Anderson. Corey Anderson, I'm a career hater of Corey Anderson.

I'm just come out and say it. weren't you one, Corey Anderson against Vadim Nemcov? I was because on the second time, the first time I was not, and then he beat the brakes off Fadim Nemcov, so I was like, guess I'm wrong, guess Corey didn't that bad, it wasn't that bad. He was clattering him in the first fight. I mean, yeah, but that fight was going real bad. 1919?

If I was going real bad for Nimcov, but they refought super Nimcov made the adjustment. Here's my thing. I've career-hated Corey Anderson. I talk trash about him at all points in time because he shouldn't be the best light heavyweight in the world. And that's what it is. And against Phil Davis, this just seems like a great style matchup for Phil Davis.

Corey Anderson is like, is a good MMA fighter. But he needs to score takedowns. We saw when he wasn't able to get his wrestling going against Nimcove, what happened. He's not taking down Phil Davis. NCAA champion, Phil Davis, one of the most decorated

amateur American wrestlers ever filled. He's not taking Phil Davis down. This is going to be a bad kickboxing bout. And in that, that's at least 50-50. It's at least 50-50. If not, favoring Phil Davis who can also take Cory Anderson down.

So, Phil Davis is a plus 155. I just, that it looks like value to me. I'm taking Phil Davis. All right. I don't hate that. I don't hate that play. Mr. Wonderful? Mr. Wonderful. He's just going to use the big long kicks and defend takedowns, and Corey Anderson's not going to have anything that he can do.

Does the age worry you at all? Not really. It's not like, I mean, Corey Anderson is not a young man either. I mean, yes, Phil is 38, but Corey Anderson's like 34, 35? All right. I don't hate that. I don't hate that Phil Davis play. You didn't fully sell me, but I'm working in that direction.

We still got a few days for me to get down a little action on on Philly big. I mean, the Sergio Pettis, I also kind of like where your head's at there, but I feel like I missed. I feel like I missed the line a little bit. I mean, I would feel so good if this line was bigger than it is, you know, plus two something, but I mean, he gets a plus 155. 65, sorry. Yeah, on Sunday he was plus one, plus 200. I mean, feel great about that bet, but. Yeah, that's much better than the plus 150 he is currently at the Phil Davis line, though.

I've got Pettis at 165. Oh, that's not terrible. Yeah. Is that on Draft Kings? It is not on Draft Kings. Maybe it is. I don't know. I'm actually not looking at draft kings.

Phil Davis, plus 155. Yeah, you might have talked me to something there. Any other action for you here on? Not on Bellator. That's the end of my Bellator run. Got a look. I got more action than I should have on the BFL. You're not looking to parley up.

Vladimir Gueva versus Gabriel Seig. I am not. Want to know verse 1 in 1. That is just prime bellatory. I am not. I almost bet Daniel James because I have a buddy named Daniel James and I think of him every time. I actually thought about Gokon Saricom and then I was like, I don't know, is there's something going on. There's something going on with Daniel James that like he just keeps winning.

It's the magic. The magic of DJ. Jordan Newman is definitely going to win, but he's like minus 2000. Cody Law absolutely, absolutely cannot be trusted. He is once again a minus 500. Last year, he burned me bad, killed like three parlays. They all hit except for him. He was a minus 800, got dog locked 3027.

There was a couple 3026s. Then he comes out last fight in December, minus 300. I was wary. Then I was like, can't trust him. Loses a split decision. Now he is back as a minus $4.50. It's like, give me a break, man. Cannot trust that.

Cannot trust the law. Archie Colgan? Big fan of him, but tough matchup against Emmanuel Sanchez. I actually like that they're giving him a test. And other than that, yeah, Jaliel Willis versus Ramadan should be a pretty good fight.

I mean, we do, Ramazan is a made-off. Throwing it out there. We know there, We know their numbers. Yeah, I mean, Julio Willis, he looked good against Kyle Crouchman, though. Cash is a pretty big guy. He's going to fight a Magamad, minus 200.

Yeah, I don't know. All right, let's keep it rolling. That is Bellator 297. Let's go over to PFL 5, heavyweights. We'll start with the main event. I have more action than I need to on this card. You'll be there, though, right? I will be.

Boots on the ground, baby. Boots on the ground. That's what No Bet's Bar does. We get the people in the building. Main event. Ante Delia taking on Maurice Green. Now, I just want to point this out. Ante DeLia needs to get a finish before the 120 mark of the second round to make the playoffs.

Is that true? Yes. He missed his first fight. Oh, he didn't fight once. That's right. He missed his first fight. Maurice Green, his first fight. He finished Marcel.

Salon Nunes in the second round, a minute and 20 into the second round. So Ante Dalia needs to do it faster than that. Now, here's the question. I watched Ante Dalia win the heavyweight championship in person last year at the Hulu Theater at Madison Square Garden. He is a beast, and he has a fan base like no other. The Croatians absolutely showed out when he won this thing. I mean, it was a sight to behold.

My question is, does that help him? Like he's going to be more driven to get a finish? Or does it hurt him, Maurice Green, knowing he has to survive six minutes and 21 seconds? Well, that's an interesting question. So I think it probably largely hurts him. just because of that. But here's what I will also say. He doesn't necessarily need that quick way of a finish

because the way the thing works. There is a world looking at the standings right now. I mean, Dennis Goldsov is going to be in. And Maurice Green has a really good shot at it because of his early finish. But you've got Hanan Fahir and Mateo Schaeffler fighting each other. So only one of those dudes is going to make it in. Whoever wins that fight

is going to make it into the playoff. off overwhelmingly likely. At the end of the day, they'll have six points. Yeah, they'll have six points, which is overwhelming likely. But, you know, Jorgon de Castro, if he gets a first round finish or whatever, we'll also get six points. Marcello Jorgon's fighting. Marcelo Nunes and Danila Marquez are fighting if either of those dudes gets a big finish.

So there's a world where all the champion, all Delia needs is any kind of a finish to qualify, but probably needs it in first round, probably needs it pretty early to feel safe. He will also know by the time he's going into the arena what he needs. And we can't say right now that he has to get that finish, but I think that is how this is going to play out with the way that the standings are and who is fighting who. Like you just said, like someone between Sheffel and Ferreira. Are going to have six points. Galtzav is going to have six points.

Goldsov already has six points. Mo Green has. has five points. You're going to Castro probably just going to have zero because Golda's probably going to win that fight. But if Yorgina Castro beats Goldsov with the first round finished, then that's really going to muck it up good and proper for him. So I think any finish win probably is going to be good enough to get Delia in. But he needs a first round to feel confident that he's in, I would say. So with that, first of all, I'm parlaying him up.

Ante Delaya. He looked incredibly impressive last season. Maybe it's the silk sheets type thing. You never know. You saw that happen to Brendan. Yep. You never know. Something I do want to throw out there, as bad as he needs to finish to make the playoffs.

Delaya, to win inside the distance, is only minus 150. That is an interesting number. A very interesting number as Walking Trouble has 17 of his 20. three wins by finish. Orange Green been finished a couple times. Not super, you know, prone to getting finished, though. Mostly decision losses. I mean, I really like Dahlia's chances to win this fight anyway.

So I don't hate that at all. Yeah, I don't know if I'm going to play it, but Delia to win by knockout plus 105. I mean, now that's pretty decent. I don't know. I have no bet on this, but I'm going to start thinking about that pretty heavily, the ITDs. Hasn't had a submission in nine years. It's been a long time. Been a bit of a stretch.

One, two, three, four, five. His last five wins by finish are all by knockout. Something to think about, something to chew on. Something to consider, certainly. Plus 105. I might end up throwing a little shekel on that. Larissa Pacheco versus Amber Librock. It's an execution.

This is an execution, right? Oh, yeah. This is Pacheco concludes my chalky stewie parlay, the three promotion parlay. You've got Sauru Kna Mekko and Vittori Kananee over one and a half. It pays you out at minus 138. That's right. A four-leg parlay that pays out at basically basically. minus 140.

That's good gambling right there. So here's what I'm thinking. Like, she, Librock being, went to Bellator, got one win over Jene Harding. Can't really speak to that much. Then faces Arlene Blenko gets knocked out. Amanda Bell gets knocked out. Jessica Borga gets armed, finished three times out, goes over to Gladiator Challenge, faces Cairns, Invicta, nobody,

faces Martina Ginova, gets a finish in the first round. Now she's facing the Risa Pacheco, who is, like, potentially the most potent finisher in women's MMA? I don't think that's... She's up there. Don't think that's a crazy thing to say.

Over one, under one and a half, minus 160? Look, I don't hate it at all. Don't hate that. Like I think I'm getting around to that Minus 160 Pacheco by knockout Minus 205 I mean I'm

I'm just taking Pacheco straight I don't need to be double exposed on this But I don't hear any of the things you're saying I kind of like that under one and a half I know she went to the distance with Julia Bud and Kayla Harrison Two incredibly tough opponents Kayla Harrison You know a tougher matchup

For that man Five straight wins by first round knockout. Amber Librock, too, like on the other side, she has one, two, three, four, five, six fights ending in the first round, six straight. I think I'm going to play that under one and a half. I like it.

This is what you come to know Betts Barred for, to listen to a man talk himself into a bit. I mean, it's just like... The process. That's what I kind of, like I didn't, you know, dive incredibly deep on this, but it's just like, I just feel like Pacheco's just going to nuke her ass.

It seems exceedingly likely. And if she doesn't, if she gets the Brendan Locknain treatment, I mean, Leibroch's last four wins are by first round finish. I mean, like the Brendan Lock Mane treatment was getting nuked in 90 seconds, so. That's what I'm saying. Like, it's like,

the Super Bowl hangover could be real. I mean, Leibrock is get or get got, bro. Like, she's, If you look at her career, one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine of ten have not gone to a decision, and seven of those have ended in the first round and she's going against Larissa Pacheco.

Yeah. Yeah, sign me up. Sign me up. Love it. All right. Anything else, I mean, Aspen Ladd being a minus. I have one more bet. Tell me.

Tell me about it. Well, I want to say, I briefly considered Hanan Faheda versus Mateo Schaeffel because I just don't respect Mateo Sheple as a fist fighter. But I'm not going to lay minus 255 on Anan Fahedda. That's nonsense. There was a world where I was like, Hanan Ferreira might be the next thing. Yeah. He's not.

I exactly had the same thought once upon time, and it's not. Connor, I want to round us out with a gimmick. Round it. I love a gimmick. And there's so many gimmicks. Uh, this week, we're, we're adding a third parlay, kind of a third parlay. What could go wrong? Nothing.

And it, let me tell you, nothing can go wrong when you hear the two people in this, because it's a two-leggar. It's the double D parlay. Woo-hoo. It's Aspen Lad, lad, lad with two D's. No. And Julia Budd, bud, bud with two Ds. No.

Love where your head's at. Hate the play. Hate it. Hate it. Hate it. Why, you don't feel confident in Aspen Lad or Julia Bud? Have they ever let you down? Aspen Lad is a never, ever again better.

If you have bet Aspen Lad, first of all, I bet her against Julia Budd in November. It was the grimyest, most disgusting split decision win. But she probably didn't deserve. That she probably didn't deserve. And then my dumb ass goes back to the well as a minus 500. Who against the Lina? Who lays minus 500 on Aspen Lad? Me.

Me and stupid people. That's who lays minus 500 on Aspen Lad. No way. No way. No way. It was that Aspen Lad, Elena Kolesnik fight, she just didn't do anything for the first two rounds. And then she was like, oh, like, I guess I'm in a fight.

And then third round just did whatever she wanted to and didn't get a finish and lost. I mean, look, though, she needs a way. win to qualify for the playoffs. Bud also needs a win. They are fighting, both of them are fighting like children. Well, no, actually, I guess Bud's, Gingerova is actually fine, but Lad's taken on a 23-year-old who, I don't know, it's very dumb. I know I'm going to be holding this parlay ticket and Lad's going to be fighting

Sobeck and I'm going to be in the back and I'm going to be sweating it while doing an interview with him as I'm looking over his shoulder to the table. TV and been like, well, I do something, do something. That's the biggest thing. You're going to have a terrible time. It's going to be a terrible time. Win or lose? It's just like the best part about winning if you win is just going to be a great

sense of relief. Like, it's going to be like, if you win this bet, you're going to if you win this bet, you're going to look at someone and you're going to be like, never in doubt. Never end out. It's absolutely. Double D. Barlein.

Never in doubt. Look, I'm not saying it's a smart bet to put lay minus 180 on Aspen Lad, but it's a bet I've made, pays plus 166 for the double deep parley, and that gives me three parleyes, two gimmicks, and one gimmick parlay that I couldn't bet because it went against the other given parlay I was betting. All right, my chalk supers are Ante Delia, Denise Goldsov, Timor Kizrieve, that's one, pays out minus 160, three legs, minus minus. Minutes 160.

Sharp shit. Sharp Bette. Sharp betting this week from us. Sharp shit. Never said we were sharp. We have never claimed to be good of betting. Sharp is a fucking Q ball on this. Never have claimed.

I'm profitable from time to time. Overall, still very profitable. Other one, shockeruny. This one's actually pretty better. Vadim Nemcov, Armin Sarukin. Next week we take it to Jacksonville, Ilya, that pays out at minus 109. That's a much better.

That's actually just good game. That's actually just good gambling as opposed to our other bad gambling that we've done today. Yeah, that one I'm going pretty heavy on. I'm very much looking forward to that. Added the Pacheco Labrock. One thing, I actually, last thing before we get out of here, we didn't talk about Felipe Burns Zalgizuma Gulov. And all I have to say, speaking of bad betting, listen, the haircut's great.

This personality resurgence of Zalgus is great. I wish him the best. But if you were laying minus 175 on a guy that is one in five in his last six and he's going to be at a three inch height and four inch reach disadvantage, I don't know. You shouldn't do it. Yeah, you just probably shouldn't do that. I'm betting the under of that fight, obviously, at plus 145.

And that one might not hit. I don't have a ton of confidence in that flywood under doing the thing. But if the other two hit, we're profitable. We're good. Yeah, you're sticking to the brand. I mean, that's the key. That's the key with my thing. Like, the Barcellos and the Bleda unders I'm not like insanely competent on.

But if one of them hits, I'm profiting a unit. So it's all good. It's all right. So there we are. There we are. What a week. A lot going on this week. A lot going on.

A lot going on. It's going to be a great time. And yeah, that should about do it here from old New York to L.A. Beautiful day shaping up in here in New York. City. Good thing I'm going to be inside for the next eight, nine hours doing the MMA hour. Alas, I will be enjoying the weekend. That is UFC Vegas 75 for the hour. Great lineup today. I love that. Max Holloway and Studio. The best is blessed. Looking forward to that. And yeah, UFC Vegas 75, Bellator 27, PFL5. All in the book. Should be a great

weekend of fights and we will see you next week UFC Jacksonville baby plus PFL like eight or something Olivier Oban Merciie can we keep the Canadian magic rolling we will find out

we may have to bet him as pennants for Oh for sure for sure I I'm so if the lines were out I probably already would have We got Gillian Robertson fighting next week too A little Canada Parley redux.

Oh man, I don't know, going against Tabitha Ritchie baby shark. I mean, Jillian Robertson at Strawweight has looked sensational. She's looked sensational, but Tabitha Ritchie has also looked sensational. Some things are happening. She better tune in next week to find out what we do. That is that Jacksonville, as University of Georgia graduates, spent many nights in October, early November. In Jacksonville. Jacksonville is Jacksonville.

Jacksonville, I also was born and raised in Savannah. Jacksonville's 90 minutes away. I've spent an enormous amount of time in Jacksonville in my life. Jacksonville is Jacksonville. City of bridges, baby. By all I can say about it, if you go to Jacksonville, you will know exactly what we're saying. It is just... Go, Jacks.

Duval. Duval. stand up. We will see you next week. Love y'all. Duval. Podcast Network.