MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Can Anthony Hernandez rebound at UFC Sacramento, or does Robocop march on?

Episode Date: August 20, 2026

Anthony Hernandez looks to get back on the winning track this weekend, but Gregory Rodrigues stands in his way. On Saturday, “Fluffy” returns to the cage for the first time since losing to Sean Strickland, looking to start another eight-fight win streak that might put him back in title contention. But “Robocop” has other ideas as the former BJJ world champion is finally making his own run up the 185-pound ladder. Can Hernandez stop Robocop’s march to the title, or is he about to face the wrath of Rodrigues’ own prime directives? On the latest episode of No Bets Barred, host Jed Meshew breaks down Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, plus the rest of the fights at UFC Sacramento, quickly talks about PFL Tampa and the retirement of Cris Cyborg, gives the latest steps for The Climb, and more. Tune in for episode 162 of No Bets Barred. Follow Jed Meshew: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@JedKMeshew⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Follow Billy Ward: ⁠@Psychoward586⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe to MMA Fighting⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Check out our full video catalog⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Like MMA Fighting on Facebook⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Follow on Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Read More: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Two and five Canadians will hear the words, you have cancer. That's why every step and dollar raised matters. On September 19th, join thousands in Toronto for the Princess Margaret Cancer Foundation Walk. Challenge yourself, friends, and family to walk 21 kilometers in support of life-saving research. Together, we can carry the fire and help create a world free from the fear of cancer. Register today at pmcfwalk.ca. Network. What is up, y'all?

We are back for another edition of No Betts Bard. Coming at you on Thursday this week, since we switched the positions, B.T.L. went out on Tuesday because Mike Heck is on location for the latest R.A.F. event. I figured I'd drop this on Thursday so y'all can have something to listen to the wonderful, wonderful, lovely listeners of the M.A. Fighting slash Fox Media Podcast Network. We've got UFC Sacramento this weekend, boys and girls, and this card, it's poop soup. There's just no other way around it.

There was also a PFL. Honestly, there's a ton of action going on this week overall. There's a PFL, there's some boxing, there's brand risk, of course there's RAF. But you know what it is. We're here to talk about the UFC. But before we talk about the UFC, I mean, I guess we're still talking about the UFC, but before we talk about UFC Sacramento and all the fights there in this weekend, a brief recap of last weekend,

because things are moving in the wrong direction for me yet again. Lost a little over a unit and a half, all my stabs on the paper. I've done really, really bad gambling the paper views. I was tallying it up beforehand. I'm not doing great in general. I am down six units, a little under six units, let's call it six units, for the year. But a lot of that is coming just on paper views.

I don't know if I'm just taking too many shots, having too much fun, but it has been really, really bad for me. But four in one regard, because the climb moves on up the road. That is right. We knocked out step 11 with Esteban Riebevich. That was never really in doubt.

So we are 11 steps up the mountain. For those who do not know, I'll explain what the climb is when we get to it, because we've got a couple of pieces of action this week, potentially more. I will say potentially more. I have had a lot of success in the PFL as well. I am seeing some PFL lines, and I will talk very briefly about some of these PFL fights at the end of the program,

but my book does not currently have those available to me, so I won't be jumping on those just yet. Tune into the NBA Fighting Preview Show on Friday. I'll have my full card locked in for, the climb and where we go from there. But now, on to business. UFC Sacramento this weekend. It is not a very good card.

I don't know how else to say this. 13 fights on the evening. Headlined by a main event middleweight matchup between Anthony Fluffy Hernandez and Gregory Rodriguez Robocop. That fight is pretty fun. There are some other high spots on this fight card, but the prelims are quite poor. And as I've done a couple of times over the last little,

bit. I thought I'd try it out. I haven't done this going solo, but I thought maybe we'd go bottom to top here because most of these early fights I have almost nothing to say about. And I'm tired of ending on a down note. I'm tired of talking about the main event, blah, blah, blah. We spent 15 minutes on that. And then suddenly we're at the bottom. It's like, yep, West Schultz is fighting. Okay, who cares? So I'm going to try and breeze those out of the way early. I don't know if this will stick. Let me know if you like it. If you hate it, if you think it sucks, if you just want to get too the better fights out of the rip we, you know, okay, that's how we've been

doing it. Figured might as well make a change for this week. So, at the bottom of the card, we are going in the order of appearance on Saturday when you're sitting down in front of your couch to watch the festivities with your friends and family, I hope. You will start that procedure with a

strawweight contest between Chanel Dyer and Elise Reed. That's right, we are hot and heavy to start the event. I mean, it is just so much excitement right out of the gate. This fight might at least be kind of fun as Dyer seems to have a little bit of something, right? Like, we are grasping at straws in most of the women's weight classes right now.

There's a fun fight later on in the card we'll talk about. But Dyer coming off Contender Series, she's an enormous favorite minus 700 at my book. Elise Reed is plus 450. You know, Reed's coming off a knockout. Austin and EC-Gaum's Dyer as PFL experience. She's just been around the block. I graded her fairly highly coming off Contender Series, and I compter to Angela Hill because there's a lot of fight similarities.

And I think she's mostly going to stuff takedowns and just wail on Elise Reed. Until she gets a finish, maybe Elise Reed can tough it out, but I'm less prone to believe that. Denier is a better striker, has more volume, bigger. every possible advantage is in the book here. She is too big for the climb. If you know what the climb is, that won't need to be explained. But minus 700, I honestly would be happy to include her if the price was down a little bit,

but it's not a fifths, four butts, candies, nuts, et cetera, et cetera. So if you want to throw her in as parley fodder, I think if you're putting together a real stew, I don't have a Bourdain this week. I don't have any big kind of leftover pile of soup, but Dyer would be a fine include if you were doing that. We move up to a middleweight contest between West Schultz and Jackson McVeigh. Schultz plus 150 McVeigh minus 185. I have nothing to say about this fight.

When fans suggest that the quality of the UFC has gone down, this is really what they mean, and that sounds disrespectful. I guess quite frankly it is. Shultz, McVeigh, if you guys are listening, I'm very sorry. I don't particularly think either of these men are, like, what I would hope would be considered UFC quality. You know, they both have very short stints in the promotion thus far. Schultz is one in one, McVeigh is one and two. Shout out to McVeigh, he did Darce Sajdrich Dumas, so hell yeah, rock on brother.

Schultz, he was a guy coming off contender series who I graded as a one star. Like, I just don't, there's no, both men seem fine people. people, but I'm just not certain that they should. I mean, I guess if they're going to be, this is kind of their job, but tough scenes, it is what it is. I do favor McVeigh to get this done. I mean, he's got the best wins of the two. Schultz is coming off of guillotine over Ben Johnston.

McVeigh's got some better wins, but I'm not going to be betting this one. Gage Young, Stan Dorsonville, in a lightweight contest. I also have very little to say about this. This is a short notice throw together. Gage was supposed to fight Cody Steele, I believe. Prospect who I like a little bit, though I think might just not end up putting things together. Young, two and one in the UFC coming off a split decision one over Tragor Moises, which, honestly, Moises S is a good win.

It's one of those where I'm like, I guess Moises S must be cooked if he's losing to Gage Young, but maybe that's my biases and Gage Young is putting it together in a very substantial way. mainly what I want to say about this fight is I have I didn't bet it but I almost bet on Gage Young on principle the odds have moved when I first looked at this fight he was a much tighter line than he currently is right now he's minus 160 against dorsonville plus 130 i've checked out a little bit of dorsonville's tape from the regional circuit this is his UFC debut he seems to actually have some tools right like he he he's a guy who should be fighting on contender series and should be kind of developing but whatever we're here. My issue with him is entirely his choice of name.

He goes by Stand the Drill Dorsonville. His name is Dorsenville. How are you not just the Anvil? Stand the Anvil Dorsanville. It is right there. It's right there. And instead he goes to the drill and it just makes me hate him. Like I hate him on principle.

I don't know the man. I've seen a couple of clips of him fighting, and I hate everything about him because how do you not do that? He and I could never see eye to eye. This type of person that I couldn't obviously jive with if he can't figure out how to be the anvil. And so I hope Gage Young wins. I hope this gauge is superior to this anvil when it comes to whatever they're doing in this particular garage. But I won't be betting this fight. It's a guy, just kind of like, Anvill's got like five fights, you know, is what it is.

Um, we continue through the row of other fights that are happening on this card. Marcio Barbosa takes on Ryan Coos, Barbosa coming off a knockout win over Dennis Bazuchat his UCD debut in April. This is Coos's UFC debut coming from karate combat and sort of just making the rounds all over the place. Barbosa biggest betting favorite on the card minus a thousand. Coos plus 600. Don't know why this fight is happening. Barbosa, I don't even think it's like a great prospect.

A great name is a three star. He is big. He is, uh, he has. he has big power. He is small. Kind of a little smaller for this weight class, I think. But explosive, hits super hard, throws everything he has into his punches.

That makes him dangerous. And against a guy like Kuz, who I, you know, has been around the block, but it just doesn't seem, again, it's harsh. I'm sorry to say this. It does not seem to be of UFC quality, or at least what UFC quality should mean.

So I expect Barbos to get a knockout, but look for, your CO props if that's a fight you want to bet on, I will be passing. Two and five Canadians will hear the words you have cancer. That's why every step and dollar raised matters. On September 19th, join thousands in Toronto for the Princess Margaret Cancer Foundation Walk. Challenge yourself, friends, and family to walk 21 kilometers in support of life-saving research. Together, we can carry the fire and help create a world free from the fear of cancer. Register today at pmcf walk.ca.ca. Now we finally get to a good fight here. In a lightweight

contest, Chris Padilla takes on Nasrat, Hawkbras. And this is a fight I like quite a bit. Tocopadilla is a very slight underdog. Depending on your book, this is a pickum. My book currently has Padilla at even money with Hawkbras at minus 120. Tacco 4-1 or 4-0-1 over his last five coming off the majority draw with Markell Maderos, who we'll talk about later, that most people seem to think he won, really overachieved in his UFC stint. I have been wildly impressed, like he's been an underdog a lot and continued to perform quite admirably. Hackpressed, one of those dudes who's just like top 25 lightweight can give anybody in this

weight class like a good account of themselves. Might not win all his fights, but he is quality competition, but it doesn't ever seem like he's going to put it together in a way that he makes a sustained run at the rankings. I think he did sneak in for a bit, but that just feels where he's at as a top 25 gets the right matchups, gets into the rankings, but won't stay there very long. Padilla, I've always assumed was a guy who's never going to get to the rankings, but he continues to prove me wrong. He, again, overachieving a lot.

This should be a really fun scrap. I think Nasraat Haq Prasda is a little bit more technical on the feet, but Padilla is a little better defensively, honestly. I think he just gets hit less. And he seems to have that little magic touch about him, where he finds ways to win. He has the intangible of winning to his game in a way that I think makes him a very live dog, but you're not going to get a price point.

Honestly, this just feels like a correctly lined fight. part of me wants to take a bet on Padilla since he is even money and because he is just so consistently overperformed expectations that I think I'm going to but what I've decided I'm going to start doing with what I feel like are functional value bets or bets where I have a slight inkling but maybe I'm not a huge I think I'm just going to throw 25 bucks on it instead of my standard hundred bet hundred dollar bet unit just a $25 bill on it then I get to feel excited if Padilla wins at plus money. And if he doesn't, it's a quarter of a unit.

We can survive that loss. Speaking of a quarter of a unit, bet, because the guy on paper looks like there might be some value, but I'm not entirely sure I believe it. We go to the heavyweight division next. Is this your final prelim fight, or is this the next one, the final prelim fight? This is bad radio, but it's what I'm giving you.

No, the next one is the final prelim fight. heavyweight contest between Kennedy Inzacchukwu and Shamil Gatsyev Gatsyev formerly ranked heavyweight I do not believe he is currently Inzuchu who I affectionately have dubbed Kenny Nunchucks is plus

115 Gatsy of the slight betting favorite at minus 145 Nunchucks to one and one since returning to heavyweight a majority draw his last outing against Buccia after he got deducted a point for an eye poke I think it was in the second round could be the third. I don't remember the fight that well.

And Gatsyiv on a two-fight losing streak got knocked out by Brando Parachic back in May. This is a heavyweight fight. Kind of feels heavyweighty. Honestly, it just feels like a stone pick-em to me. I have always believed that Kenny Nunchark should be a better fighter than he's ended up being. He has all the physical traits you could ever ask for. He is enormous. He has a gigantic wingspan.

and he can hit extremely hard. And he can even wrestle a little bit. But he doesn't take damage that well. He's not the most durable. And definitely does not seem to have it all between the ears. Which is a huge problem in this game. Gadsiev, when he came off Contender Series, I had zero expectations for him.

I thought he was just another guy. I was like, yeah, that's just a nameless, shapeless heavyweight who will do some stuff. And for a hot minute, I thought I might have been crazy. because he was ranked for a good chunk of time there, because he came in off contingencies and immediately knocked out Martin Boudai and heavyweight is so dire

that I think that got him a ranking instantly. Then he got battered by Giusea Rosenstruck and lost. Then he beat Dante Maze and Thomas Peterson. Again, I believe he was ranked. And then Waldo Cortez-Colston, Brando Perich sparked him out. And I feel like I at least feel better that I'm proving correct.

that my read on him is just a heavyweight is fine. I think Kennedy-Insichukkah, again, has huge issues, and if he gets jawed, he gets jawed. Katsiev can wrestle a little bit, but he just doesn't do anything that seems spectacular. And Inziku is just a better athlete, bigger dude. And as an underdog, again, I'll take a stab at that, but I'm only going to throw 25 bucks quarter of a unit on it.

So if Kennedy Dunchucks ruins me like he has done before, It won't ruin me. It's fine if I lose a quarter of a unit. A few wins, get to, you know, chip away at the dead I've built up and have a little bit of fun while I do it. We had to the final prelim fight as we are moving up down the road. Jamal Emers takes on Larry Ann Douglas in a featherweight contest. Emmer's plus 275 underdog, Douglas, minus 375.

Emmer's on two-fight win streak, picked up a unanimous decision win over Hyder Emile. his last time out, Douglas, TK. O'Ne Rosa, and his UFC debut in March. Emmer's was a tough guy for me to grade coming off Contender Series. I comped him to Aaron Pico because he's pretty well defined, and he's sort of got that Pico style of boxing, where it's very tight, and then he explodes into punches. But he's 30. He might even be 31 now.

He's old, and so he can't get a high grade. I give him two stars coming off the show. So, Jamal Emmer's hung around. He's done his thing, but never a guy that I, he's just sort of, he is a guy who's, how many fights has Jamal Emmer's had in the UFC? That's a good question I should ask myself right now. Two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight. This will be his 10th UFC fight. And honestly, that just feels like a win to me for Jamal Emers.

Again, I'm being very disrespectful to the fighters and I apologize. and certainly if you don't like this this probably isn't the podcast for you I do this a lot but like I think if Jamal Emmer's when he got his USC contract if I was him and someone was like hey you're going to have 10 fights

in the promotion I'd be like I take it that is that's more than I would have thought you know he he's experienced he can do a little bit of everything he's got some power I think Douglas is a little bit more

explosive. Just got a little bit. I'm just getting older, too. I think he's 37. I'm going to favor Larry Ann Douglas. Probably not at this. This price is huge, though. Again, if you're throwing together a soup, a Bourdain, as I like to call them, just

of whatever's left over, throw Douglas in it and that'll be fine. But I don't want to be betting on this fight in particular. Another fight I won't be betting on the opener of the main card. I cannot believe this is the main. card opener. A heavyweight contest between Anthony Wint and Terrence Chapman. Straight up, I mean, Wentz an enormous favor. He's actually the biggest betting favorite on the card.

I apologize. I incorrectly said earlier that the biggest betting favorite of Maricio Barbosa, that is not true. It is Anthony Wint, who kind of a fun story in that he won his contender series contract a week ago and now he's fighting in this event. But I don't know. I just looked at this like I'm not going to do any research. research. Wint does seem to be like a kind of decent prospect. He's old, but it's heavy

weights. It kind of doesn't matter. He's athletic. I don't know anything about Chapman, but you shouldn't be laying minus a grand on a dude who just fought seven days ago and is making his UCDU. Like, that's just, that's not sound betting strategy in my humble opinion. And now we get to the fights I actually do want to talk about. And anyone who knows me, who knows my work, if you're listening to this, you probably do. You know that this is one of the fights I'm the most excited about this weekend. It is crispy Carly Judice taking on Jessa Chavez in a women's flyweight contest. Judice, a minus 525 favorite, Chavez plus 350.

Judice on a three-fight win streak coming off a UD win over Julian in February. Chavez split decision win over Yannisi Dubin in her U.C. debut in June. Long-time listeners know that Carly Judis is a family member. I love her like a child. Like a sibling. She is my She's my hopes and my dreams for the women's division. Just one of the most fun female fighters alive today already.

She's still super, super young too. So like, and that's kind of the thing. She's 27. She actually got a little older than I thought. I guess she's been in the UFC a couple years at this point. But one of the very few women's fighters who is like, guaranteed action. Like you, you will tune in to watch

because you know she's going to be violent. You said that about Dakota Dichita. And the Dichita Fault, and now she's, she's on timeout from that as well. Judice, she is just rugged. Like, she is just going to throw down 100 strikes a minute,

just a lot of, like, really clever stuff in the way she fights as well. honestly sometimes it's like too clever she's doing too much like tricky movement to set things up but she is she's still unrefined and i kind of think she's never going to be refined but it's awesome chavez uh i actually graded pretty well coming off contender series they gave her four stars so very very high up compton of jocelyn edwards she is she's got a solid striking acumen but uh the differentiator in this one is one i just outright Judice is going to outwork her.

Carly Judice works at an insane pace for anyone. And so Chavez would need to like jaw her to get her off because otherwise Judith's going to throw two punches every one she throws basically. And the second is I don't, I have not seen Chavez have the dog in her and Judice will get wild on you. And so huge favorite. Most people would rightly look at this and be like, I'm, I'm, I am scared off, but the Michoud foster family supports its own,

and Carly Judeece was always, always going to be one of my climb picks for this week. So we will have at least two. We might have more depending on PFL lines, how they shake out. But Carly Judice is one of them at minus 525. And now is a good time to explain the climb. Two in five Canadians will hear the words, you have cancer. That's why every step and dollar raised matters. On September 19th, join thousands in Toronto for the Princess Margaret Cancer Foundation Walk.

Challenge yourself, friends, and family to walk 21 kilometers in support of life-saving research. Together, we can carry the fire and help create a world free from the fear of cancer. Register today at pmcfwalk.ca. Hey, y'all, it's Kelly Clarkson with Wayfair. Ever order furniture online and wonder what if? Like, what if it doesn't hold up? That sofa was four days old. You should have ordered from Wayfair.

With Wayfair, there's no what it. Just style you love and quality you can trust. Visit Wayfair.ca. Wayfair, every style, every home. In case you don't know, if this is your first time here, the climb is my endeavor, my mission, my onus, my dream to string together 30 consecutive bets rolled over into each other on and on again. Starting at $50. Originally the idea was you started $100 because if you take 30 minus 500 bets, if you bet $100 and you bet it on a minus 500 favorite and you roll those winnings in and do it again, if you do it 30 times, you get to over 20 grand. And I thought this would be a fun experiment.

I had been doing it with 100. I lost so many of these bets that it became fiscally responsible to continue. So we knocked it down to 50 and we're trying to get over that 10K. threshold, which is what 30 bets would get to us. We are 11 steps up the mountain right now. Also, as a matter of fact, I mentioned it last week's episode, but just to throw this out there, we did do a reset at 10. So we got up to 10 and we had $450 in the bank from all these rolled over.

The line, the demarcation line for 10 is $300. It's about, it's $303 if you did exclusively minus $5. bets. Since we were so far over it, I banked $150,000, basically for future climb, should this one fail, and reset us back down to $300, whatever, $305 or $6 at the time, and then rolled it into the bet. Our current bankroll is exactly on the 11 mark, $363. So the bankroll for this step will be $363 exactly on 11 steps. And we will see how. far we get up there. This one, like I said, it's minus 525.

We give ourselves a little bit of wiggle room on the minus 500 target, but the other one we have guaranteed is well underneath, so we'll come in below rate anyway. Moving on up the card, because we are not going down. We are moving up back to the lightweight division. Markell Maderos takes on Mason Jones. They're really pretty fun little lightweight scrap. I don't know how to bet it, quite frankly,

but Jones, a sizable favorite, minus 275, Madero's plus 220. Madero's 3.0 and 1 since returning, 3.0 and 1 coming off the majority draw with Chris Padilla that we mentioned. Jones, 3 and 0 since coming back to the OC left, came back, 3&0, unanimous decision win over Axel Sola in March. should be a fun fight. I think Maderos has a very good take down defense. I'd say he's a little more threatening on the feet, but Jones is super experienced, super crafty, a little more well-rounded in the tools he can bring to bear.

Just good quality matchmaking here. It does feel like Jones is perhaps too big a betting favorite for this, but I wasn't quite feeling a stab on the underdog here, especially because I think the goes-to decision line is pretty good. good. It's minus 150 for me. Mason Jones in five of his six UFC fights has gone to the decision. The one he did not was a no contest after an iPO that again felt like it was going to the cards. Maderos gone to the cards in all four of his UFC fights. So I just feels like that's a good price minus 150 for that. And so we're taking a shot there. Moving up, we are now at the big three,

ladies and gentlemen, for the big two and a half. Feature fight of the evening, a light heavyweight contest. Reiner de Ritter, Henneye de Hitter, RDR takes on Roman Deleideze. RDR minus 375, Deleides, a plus 300. Both men coming in on two fight losing streaks. Both men coming off unanimous decision losses. RDR lost to Kyle Bajalio, whereas Deleidezay lost to Christian Leroy Duncan at London in March. Both men were middleweights moving up.

Of course, RDR had a semi-extensive history at Light Heavyweight and won, but he's moved up now for real. He's talked about it. I think that that will be, frankly, quite good for him. DeLy-D has fought at Light Heavyweight before, but seems to be making this shift now after a couple of tough losses at middleweight. Again, if you know me, you know where I'm going. RDR is one of my family members. He's one of the boys. He's in the foster family.

And so we're supporting him. We're supporting him with the climate minus 375. What I will say is even outside of me loving him on a very personal, deep, emotional level and having an attachment to Hineade de Hid. I think he should win this fight pretty comfortably. I mean, in a lot of ways, Deleuze is like a worse version of Kyle Baha'aulio. And already I lost pretty comfortably to Baha'iou, but like he still had his moments, right? He still got Baha'ioui down. He still dead that.

against a guy like Deleide, who is more grappling than a striker and not super athletic, older than RDR, it seems like it's tough. Of course, Deleadzee coming off a loss to CLD, it's not a man who has succeeded in fighting the three initials. You put three initial guys in front of him. He can't get the job done. And also, when you look at who he's getting the job done against, it starts to really raise a question about where he's at. because, you know, he's won several fights in the UFC, he was ranked for a long time at middleweight, but his last seven fights, he's three and four.

The four losses are all to good opposition. It's Marvin Vittorius and Nassarneum of Ovid, it's CLD, it's Anthony Hernandez. The wins, you know, he beat Anthony Smith, okay, especially at that stage of Smith's career. He beat Kevin Holland, who's just not a middleweight, never has been. And he beat Marvin Vittori, who appears to be in career free-free. ball to some extent right now in their rematch. Not a bad fighter, but I do think RDR is more dangerous in the clinch. Probably a little bit worse than the striking, but certainly much more dangerous on the ground,

in my opinion. Bigger, more physical, and he's not going to get out-athleted because he's not like a supreme athlete. So RDR, you and Carly, Judeease are climbing. put your faith in family and it'll never let you down as we try and get up 13 on the climb almost to the halfway mark if we do the co-main event we're back to the heavies as sergey spivak takes on vitor petrino petrino minus 165 favorite spivak plus 130 um sure man whatever petrino's three and o's moving up to heavyweight so it's worth noting but his wins have not come over good

opposition spivax's basically a perennially ranked dude and he's coming off a ud win and verontade Adelaidella and Houston. The question is, can Spivak get takedowns? If he can't, he's going to win. If he can't, Petrino's probably going to bomb on him. It kind of feels like Spiebac's going to win, honestly. And so I wouldn't mind a dog shot on him, but I decided

instead of taking a dog shot because I just, I have plenty of dog shots already lined up on the card, and they all feel the same of like, it seems like I should do this, I'm not sure I want to do this. I took an alternate view of this instead, and looking at the under two and a half, half. It's minus 130. And again, I think Petrino's either going to stuff the takedowns and

Spivek out, Speevax's going to get him down and tap him. And so I'm rooting for violence. I'm going against my longtime gimmick of heavyweight overs to take the heavyweight under in this one. And that takes us, ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, to the main event of the evening. A really fascinating matchup in the middleweight division. As Anthony Fluffy Hernandez takes on Gregory Robocop Rodriguez, Fluffy, minus 180. Robocop plus 145. Fluffy, four and one over his last five was on an eight-fight windstreet, but his last one was the T-K-O loss to Sean Strickland and Houston.

No shame in that, Strickland the champ. But he had a ton of momentum, and now he's got to try and get some of it back. He has been training with Strickland, so maybe that'll help him. Robocop, 3-fight Winstreet, knocked out, got his revenge over Bruno Faheta his last time out. It was a really fascinating style matchup. I think it seems pretty clear to me how this fight should play out one way or the other. Fluffy wants to take you down a bunch, wants to get you tired, wants to drown you. He has so much success doing that.

He simply could not do it against Strickland. Strickland very good at takedown defense, obviously. Work the body a bunch and Fluffy sort of got folded up. Can Robocop do something similar? That's the question because we've seen Robocop's gas tank be a huge problem before. This is a five-round fight. If this fight gets past the second round, Fluffy is going to drown him.

There's no doubt in my mind. Can Robocop make sure it doesn't? I'm sure he's watched the Strickland fight. I'm sure his team is aware of that. And I will say, he has pretty good takedown defense. He is a huge Hulk of a man, obviously a world champion grappling, BJJ expert.

So maybe even if he gets taken down or if they get into some sort of clinch exchange, he scores a takedown. Things get bad for Fluffy. but he's got to get it done inside of 10 minutes because if he does, and I think this fight just gets away from him very, very quickly. And I do think historically Fluffy's been very durable, less so to the body.

And so that will be interesting, but that is not a huge part of Rodriguez's game historically, bit of a headhunter as he kind of gets into reckless brawls. And so I think Fluffy should be durable enough. Again, working with Sean Strickland shore up some of his defensive liabilities in these regards. and he ends up getting a late stoppage over Gregory Rodriguez is my pick. And so I just wanted to have a bet on this main card. I actually think the odds are pretty close to right,

and so you're not getting a ton of value. But maybe Fluffy should be close to like a little over 2 to 1 here. Anyway, I took him at minus 180. So that is my betting slate. I do want to briefly talk about PFL though, because PFL tampon Saturday night, allegedly the retirement fight for Christiano, Justino, cyborg taking on

Kettlin Vieira. Cyborg minus 350, pretty big favorite. Strongly considering putting her in the climb. That line is not available in my books yet. I want to talk to some people but Kettlen Viera is Ketland Viera. And Cyborg, even in retirement,

even deep advanced into her age, having not far real competition in some time, I still do think she is going to get this done and go out on a high note. And so if not, that would be really funny and it would be a devastating way to lose the climb, which is the one reason to consider

not doing it, but we will see a couple of other fights on that card in general of that. Like, Magamund Magamatov, Daniel Marcos, pretty closely lined fight. A Javi Boshrod competing. Pretty big favorite, minus 350 over Mavsari, sorry, Ibrahimov.

Okay, Anton Schultz fighting. Gino Van Steenis over Robert Walt Lee. There's some things going on that card. I would not call it high-profile or super good. But, But the main event has my attention to add a possible third leg to the climb. I have to speak with my climb consultant, Alexander K. Lee. But we'll talk through it and tune in to the preview show on Friday, let you know.

And ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, that is it. That is UFC Sacramento in the books. Come Saturday, we'll officially be in the books, and we will be on the road to Shanghai for a fight night event as Umar, Norma Margar Mata takes on Songy Dong. and straight up this card is way better than the car we're looking at. Still plenty of quibbles. You can have some issues with it, but many, many more good fights on that card,

many better fighters on that card as well. So looking forward to it. Thank you for listening, ladies and gentlemen. Let me know if you like the format. If you like going bottom to top instead of top to bottom, I thought it might at least be something fun worth trying. And we will go from there. So good luck to all of you this weekend.

Again, thanks for listening. climb on. Love y'all. Two and five Canadians will hear the words, you have cancer. That's why every step and dollar raised matters. On September 19th, join thousands in Toronto for the Princess Margaret Cancer Foundation Walk. Challenge yourself, friends, and family to walk 21 kilometers in support of life-saving research. Together, we can carry the fire and help create a world free from the fear of cancer. Register today at pmcf walk.ca.

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