MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Can Brendan Allen or Christian Leroy Duncan make a splash at UFC Vegas 122?

Episode Date: October 7, 2026

UFC 332 is in the books, and a card widely maligned for its quality delivered plenty of action. But can the UFC do it against with UFC Vegas 122? Amid rabid online debate over the perceived lack of quality in UFC cards lately, the UFC returns to its stomping grounds for a Fight Night card headlined by a middleweight matchup between Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan. Both men are riding strong winning streaks heading into the matchup, and both are trying their best to break into the crowded middleweight title picture, but can one man do enough to stand out and become a real contender? On the latest episode of No Bets Barred, host Jed Meshew flies solo to dive into the latest UFC Fight Night offering. Topics discussed include Allen’s chances of stopping the surging “CLD,” Matheus Camilo’s prospects as a prospect in the lightweight division, an astonishing FOUR fighters competing on the event who are riding losing streaks of four or more, the latest with The Climb, and more. Tune in for episode 167 of No Bets Barred. Follow Jed Meshew: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@JedKMeshew⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe to MMA Fighting⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Check out our full video catalog⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Like MMA Fighting on Facebook⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Follow on Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Read More: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

You're listening to the Vox Media Podcast Network. It's up, y'all. We are back for another edition of No Betts Bard. That is right. Some of you may have been thinking, self, is Jed going to do this this week? He has a tendency to skip out on the apex cards. But I am trying my hardest not to.

My focus, my goal moving forward is to get one for every card so long as I can carve out an hour. I mean, more than an hour. because you got to look at the fights, figure everything out. But we won't spin forever talking about USC Vegas 122, but I did want to get an episode out this week. And so here we go to talk about the return to the apex amid what I believe

and what I have argued is a pretty tough run for the UFC. Tough run for myself as well, if we're being honest. Another losing week last week. The underdog shots I took didn't pan out. The favorite shots I took didn't pan out. only successfully managed one bet last week. So that brings, again, the summer just killed us, right? Like we were actually about even the summer took it out of us.

We are at a minus 1,100 for the year. So down 11 units, got to pick that up, just trying to eat into the deficit here as best we can. And actually, this is one of those cards where I think I'm going to end up having a ton of action and I don't even like the fights mostly like last week we talked about and I was like at 332 I think there's an argument to be made about how bad how this is a bad card and yet I liked some of the fights I like the matchups etc it's just expectation versus delivery or what goals you're trying to hit in this one there are no high-end goals I think if you talk to Brendan allen and christian leeway Duncan they'd even be honest and be like yeah no one cares it's an apex card

in a very, very forgettable one. And yet, somehow as I was going down the lineup, I felt pretty good. I will say one thing about this card, there certainly are some squash matches, and as squash match has been all in the MMA media circle right now, that term, there are still a few big heavy favorites on this card,

but not an infinite number of them. A lot of closely lined fights, a couple of straight-up pickums, which is not something we are going to, to see all that often, I don't think, moving forward. But let us delay no further. Let us get into it. And as we get into it, I want to say right at the top, right out of the gate,

no climb this week. For those of you don't know what the climb is, let me just tell you, it is my life's project at this point. I am attempting to string together 30 consecutive bets of minus 500 or better odds. We were on a good run and then create. a few weeks back last week was the reset. We restarted. We had two legs down and we cashed it.

So we are two legs up the mountain. A successful start to the climb last week as we took, I mean, just quite frankly, we took advantage of all those squash matches. Peyton Talbot, Damien, Pina, and Jacoby Smith, all delivering to get us two legs up the mountain. And I was looking and there is honestly nothing I feel remotely, confident in to that extent. In fact, the fight I feel the most confident on would be significantly lower odds.

And as such, we're not going to do it. You know, we're just going to straight up play this card. And we will look to hopefully continue the climb at Edmonton. I haven't started to look at that one yet. So, without further ado, let us get into UFC Vegas 122. headline by a middleweight bout between Brendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan to top

15 certainly it might even be top 10 I'm not entirely I can't if I was better at my job I would have that pulled up off the top of my head also of course there are multiple rankings now so meta versus media whatever the answer is we're getting two guys who are near

the top of the 185 pound division fighting for I don't know what quite frankly an opportunity to move up the ladder basically but as has been customary that's what we're going to end today folks don't forget the last few months I got a lot of feedback we wanted to start

with where the card starts and builds up and I'm sorry we're doing that because this card starts in the women's flyweight division Ernestica Caracady takes on Melissa Gato as I mentioned though straight up pick them minus one tens on either side at least the book I'm using I won't say that because no free ads right

like you guys want to cut a deal happy to hear but no free advertisement ever. Ernestica Caracady coming in 1 and 2 in the promotion. She just lost to Regina Tarin in February. Gatto 500 in the UFC 3 and 3 coming off a majority decision

loss to Deani Barbosa back in April. If I were going to climb this week, I think the over 2 and a half in this fight is what I would have climbed with. It's probably the one I feel the best about as far as that kind of minus 500 range

of things. A couple of others, but I just don't feel very good about it. And I don't feel great about this fight. I mean, again, Carcady has had three UFC fights. It's not like the, she is a little bit more physical, but like Gato's certainly more experienced. I don't really know what to expect other than I think this fight will end up going long. Because Carcady, seven decisions in a row, UFC and all the predating work. Gato

I says three decisions in her six U of C fights I just expect this to go along And so I've pieced together Just a big old soup of leftover bits and pieces You throw them in a stew See what you know What turns out this is one of four pieces To the parley stew I have cooking this week

The over two and a half at minus 475 We stay in women's mixed martial arts We do bump up a weight class we go to the women's bandamweight division as Alice Pereira, Paeta, Pera takes on Darya Zelensnyakova on Pereira minus 150, Zelesnikova plus 120 as your underdog. Remember, this is not Aline Pereira, the sister of Alex Pereira. This is the other A.A. Ali Pereira, basically.

And this Pereira is one-on-one in the UFC. She knocked out Haley Cowan in April to get her first promotional win, Zelesnikova 2 and 2 in the UFC United Nations Lost to Melissa Croden in April for all the people telling me that the UFC product

has never been better let me point you to the start of UFC Vegas 122 as my counter and I got more coming on that argument by the way honestly I feel a little like this feels the same to me

as the opening fight whereas I think Pereira is a little bit more athletic probably is more upsides Zelaznikova a little bit more experienced, right? And so arguably this line is actually off and it should be closer to a pick-um. So perhaps there is some value on Zelaznikova there. Haven't been very impressed with Pereira. Granted, coming off a very nice knee, you know, knee knockout over Haley Cowen, but this is just toxic and this is going to be one of those. I'm just not going to bet it.

And I won't feel any shame about that. Another fight I'm not betting. and I won't feel any shame about the heavyweights. We move to Alan Frye Jr. taking on RJ Harris. Fry, the underdog plus 260, RJ Harris, a minus 350 betting favorite. I said there weren't squash matches. Minus 350 is probably not squash match. I think that's probably closer to that minus five,

minus six, minus seven category. But, you know, three and a half to one favorite is a considerable amount. Frye, 01 in the UFC, lost a year made Pat in December. Harris 1-0 knocked out Goosey Alvin Hines in July. Nope, not doing it. Long-time listeners will know I don't believe in betting in fights between heavyweights with seven fights. Like Fry has seven career fights. Harris has six.

Like you just, there is nothing to feel confident or good. Sure, I think RJ Harris like probably if I'm picking straight up, RJ Harris, I'm not tying money to this fight. There are just other things I can do with that money. I could go have a nice burrito at Mo's Southwestern Grill. No free ads, but Moes feel free to sponsor because I would love a free burrito every now and again. We move to the light heavyweight division. Felipe Franco takes on Brinson Hibero. And man, this card is starting out with bangers.

Women's flyweight, women's band and weight, heavyweight, light heavyweight. We are just hitting the peak of the MMA world. open up proceedings on Saturday. Franco, minus 375, betting favorite versus Brinson Hibetto at plus 275 thereabouts. Franco, that big a favorite, despite being one in the promotion. He is coming off at TK.O. Win over Levi Rodriguez back in July. But Franco is such a big favorite because Roberto is on a Thor fight, losing streak, and he is not the only one, ladies and gentlemen.

there are but I believe four fighters with four or more fight losing streaks on this event. So again, if you tell me that the UFC product is great, I'm just going to point to this number and be like, I'm not certain that's true. You know, people can have different opinions, but four fighters on four fight losing streaks on one card. Now granted, if you're feeling gimmicky, if you're feeling gimmicky and you're feeling bold,

You could take all four of those time into one big parley, see what you get. I assume that payout is monstrous. In fact, because I didn't even think to look this up, while we're doing this, I'm going to start tying those together and see what that payout ends up being. Because I got to tell you, I'm going to imagine it's enormous because they're all underdogs like Brinson Habato. And while I don't really want to go into this, I should have. I just think Franco's going to take about a bunch. Barrow's lost four in a row for a reason.

Uh, he does not have good takedown defense. And so Franco probably just scores a much takedowns and wins. Okay, okay. This is the second piece of the soup, you know, the stew. I just pulled a bunch of stuff together. There it is. I'm throwing it out there.

Uh, and we'll see, see what sticks. These four legs pays out of plus money. We'll get to the other legs in just a moment. As we move up to the welterweight division, now, now we're, moving to one of the better divisions, but we're moving to a Nico Price fight versus Leon Shabasian. This is Nico Price's retirement. I'll do respect to him. Decent career. It's not like a court McGee career. Shout out to court who just retired at UFC 332, but solid run, had some good highlights, made some money, good on him. He's laying down the gloves after this one. And he is

an underdog to Shabasian plus 125 for Price. Shabasian minus 160. Nico Price is the second fighter on this list who is on a four fight or more losing streak. So, I mean, look, you're getting two underdogs out of the gate. Granted, Price, this is competitively lined. And this is a competitive fight, right? Which is a, they were trying to find one that they could get him. And Leon Schabezian is it. Shabazian's only one UFC fight. He got stopped by leaving Joe Kelly in June. This is a terrible fight. But the thing is. about the end shabazzian he never goes to decision so you got to respect that the man is trying to he's coming in go out on his shield or take yours from you and uh that seems it very very likely to happen

here price 14 and seven and his ufc career hitting the under two and a half shabasian like i said never gone to his decision his career mostly first round uh finishes the under two and a half uh is priced at minus 500 this was the other consideration for a climb this week but i just did not want that to be tied up this fight and so hit put it in the pot goes in the stew baby that is three legs of our parley stew a building we move to the lightweight division for a fight that i'm actually interested in i won't pretend that this is a terrific fight mind you but it is at least i'm curious about it it's very closely lined minus 110 pick a mods on either side but three in a row that's right Francisco Prado versus Ishmael Bonfim and Francisco Prado is on a four-fight losing streak.

Bonfim, meanwhile, on a three-fight losing streak. You got to imagine this is a pink slip derby. Somebody's getting walking papers on this one. It is back at Lightweight, though, which that's what interests me. Prado has always seen, he's 24 years old still, super young. He's always seemed to have some talent, but a little undersized, certainly at Walterway, and not he's not not not have that much talent he just has some but i think back at lightweight he could maybe do some good things here ishmael bomb feme not nearly as good as his brother um like it's the

three fight losing streak he just got dors by axel so la styleistically probably is the favorite here but prado really has struggled mainly because when he fights dudes that are bigger than him even at lightweight his losses are mostly two like bigger lightweights because it's not a very big lightweight So Bonfim, who's also not very big, I could see this getting competitive. I'm interested in it, and mostly I'm interested in the over two and a half here, which is minus 130. Five of six fights for Prado and the UFC have gone to decision. Bonfine, the other side of that, only one of his six UFC fights have gone to decision.

But I think that this is going to be Bonfine being a little bit more cautious, and Prado is not like a huge finisher. And so I think this is going to go long at minus 130. I think I like taking a stab. There are two bets on this card that I have yet to punch in. That is one of them because I can't tell if I really believe that or if the card is just so weak, I'm talking myself into more bets to create action. But I think ultimately, even if that is the case, let's create that action.

Let's have some fun. Prado bonfim over two and a half. Let's see how it goes. We move up to the final fight of the prelain. Limbs, a light heavyweight contest between Julius Walker. Oh, and by the way, of course, if we are doing the fighters on four-fight losing streaks, then Francisco Prado gets added into that four-fight parlay as we're building that to see what the price ends up at.

But back to the point-of-hand, light-heavyweight division, Julius Walker, minus 275, Gerald Mearschart plus 210, four fighters, four fights in a row with a guy, a fighter on a four-and-war losing street because Gerald Nearshard is on a five fight losing streak heading into this fight absolutely do or die for GM3 Walker 1 and 3 coming off like a

9 second knockout loss or whatever it was to Abdul Raqman Yakyaev and is now almost a 3 to 1 betting favorite minus 275 Mirsharp plus 210 look Mirchart's on a 5 fight losing streak for a reason there's an 11 year age cap we talked about this last week

We've talked about it many times over the years. Anytime there's an age gap, like if the age gap is like seven years or more, it's like 65, 67% for the younger fighter. Once you start getting into a decade younger, the age gap is there. Like, it is not determinative,

but boy, it points in one direction. I don't even love Julius Walker, like, quite realistically as a fighter or as a prospect, but I think he's probably going to end up getting this done against a GM3 who just seems like the game is passed by. As long as Walker doesn't choose to wrestle, doesn't choose to engage in grappling, he should

just win this by being athletic. And so Walker, the last piece of that soup, of the chalk soup, whatever you want to call it, he's thrown in that minus 275 and the four of those get us to a plus 150 payout. So just to have a little action on some of these undercard fights, I did it. Also, if you go the other way and you put Mier-Shart in. In that parlay, right, you do a parlay with all fighters, all four fighters on four more losing streaks. You can get a astonishing plus 5,169 odds to put Prince and Abedonico Price, Francisco

Prado and Gerald Mearsart together. It will not pay out, but that is a thing that you as a person with free will are allowed to do. So now you know. And now we can move to the main card, which opens with a Ben and White contest between Malcolm Wellmaker and Otelowice, Wellmaker minus 240, Tanzalovi plus 190, as the underdog Wallmaker coming out on a two-fight losing streak of his own got submitted by Juan Diaz back in May. Tenzolovie, meanwhile, lost his UFC debut in June to Shane Collins. And really, this is a sad one because the rose is off the bloom for Malcolm Walmaker.

right he is uh he was super fun there was a moment we thought maybe um you know the machine great story fun guy violent knockouts but uh the issue for well maker is just that he's not a he he's not a complete m a fighter yet right like he's he's got to figure this out and quite frankly he is very old to be doing that right like i graded him coming off contender series in 2004 whatever i greeted him as an okay prospect had he been super young and i i made the point i was like if he weren't in him you know in his 30s he would be an elite prospect of a lot of time to develop to get better uh to build on the skill set set set he has but instead it's just the first setback is devastated and the second one is super bad knock on what he doesn't get injured which would really ruin his career but now he's

had a couple of setbacks and it's just shown that he is still very, very raw, has a lot of work to do to get better and I don't think time is on his side. He is getting a guy on Atari Tanzalovie who, you know, theoretically he's supposed to win this, right? He's a two to one over a two to one favorite. But I'll tell you, when you look at what happened to Wellmaker, his first two UFC opponents and you go back to his contender series, nobody shot on him. He had one takedown attempted on him in those two fights.

And so he scored violent, fun, interesting knockouts. His last two fights, 13 takedown attempts have been made on him, and eight landed. He is not a natural defensive wrestler, and Atari Tanzalovi will shoot. Like he's going to come in, he can pressure and shoot, pressure and tackle, pressure and tackle. Can well-maker show improvement? Let's find out. If he can, he's going to win this walking away. but it's a really big price for a guy who's kind of proven to not be the best defensive wrestler

against a guy, you know, a Georgian fighter who I would not call Atari Tenslovia like some world-class wrestler either, but it seems to be pretty decent at it and it's very clear the dynamic here. This is honestly just a little bit more of a fade on Wellmaker. This is the second bet that I wasn't 100% sure if I believe it, but I'm willing to take it. I'm going to throw a half unit down on Tanzilovia at almost two to one hour. Because I think he's just, if he comes out and lands attack on the first 30 seconds, this fight, the odds are going to shift real quick, you know what I'm saying? So that's where I'm at. Sad to see the fall of Malcolm Wellmaker from we're super excited to can he beat Otari Tanzalovi.

But game moves quick. Featherweight division is up next. Andre Feely taking on Kai Kamaka the third. Feeley a minus 165 betting favorite Kamaka plus 130. Feeley, two and three over his last five. He is riding his own two-fight losing streak. A lot of losing streaks this week, man, coming into this. He got knocked out by Loebuck Dog in June.

That was his last one. Kikamire III. He was in the U.C. He won on a sojourn, Bellator, PFL. I forget what regional promotions he competed in. But he's back and he's been one-on-one since he's coming off in off a TKL loss to Luke Riley in July. And, you know, I know what this fight is and I know what this fight isn't. And what this fight is is super fun.

Kekamaka is going to have a lot of volume. Andre Fili is getting a little bit older but still scrappy as hell. More diverse game, right? He can wrestle his kicks are better. It'll be super fun. The two-fifil losing streak, yes, and he did just get knocked out. Loke Dog's super violent, and he's been to a lot of very competitive fights lately. I'm not entirely sure Fili's washed.

So I think we're just going to have ourselves a funnel of scrap. That being said, I have no idea who's going to win. This feels like a straight up coin flip to me, which is the odds. Maybe not straight coin flip. Honestly, the odds feel right. Slightly favor, Philly, but would not be at all surprised if it goes the other way. And I think instead of betting Kai Kamaka straight up or doing anything, to me, this just feels like it's going to be a very, very tight fight.

And I don't like the over-under look that I could get here. but Kaikamaka at plus three and a half points. So you're not familiar with point spreads, bets. In MMA, it's just the judge's scorecards are the points. So you get three judges scorecards. If you get three 29-28s, then that's a three-point spread, right? Like he'd won by three. You get a 30-27 and 2-29-28 since it's a five-point spread.

I'm betting this is 29-28 either way. and so getting Kai Kamakak at plus three and a half covers either into that and the price is only minus 1.35, so I felt pretty good about it. We moved to the feature bout of the evening, a women's straw weight contest says, Lupi Godinez takes on Ketland-Souza. Godinez two and three over her last five coming in after the first stoppage loss of her career, Tatiana Suarez, submitted her back in April. Susan, meanwhile, three and two over her last five on a win streak. Not that many fighters on win streaks this week. she is on a two-fight win streak, knocked out Ariane Carnalosi in June with a head kick easily the best performance of her career.

I will say, I always look at these, but I only mention them when something seems relevant. Lupi only 9 and 4 is a betting favorite. She is the betting favorite minus 225, Sousa plus 180. But Sousa also won and three as a dog. So Vegas, neither of them is, that's not really telling me a lot because Vegas has been wrong about Loopy a good amount,

but Suza's not really lighten the world on fires and underdog either. But I think anyone look in this fight, or at least certainly my first inclination, was let's look at that over two and a half. I think Loopy is going to win. She can get takedowns, basically. She can have her trademark style of pressure, high air, high-ish volume, and takedowns.

Kettling Suza is not the best defensive wrestler. Doesn't offer too much off her back. Certainly nothing that I don't think Louie can handle. And so, yeah, do you want to go with a Lupi by decision? What sort of bet do you want to go with? I looked at the over two and a half, but actually when you start looking at that, Susa is a little bit of a get-or-get-got fighter, right? Like she doesn't go to that many decisions.

Lupi obviously goes to a ton of them, 12 and 12 decisions in 15 U.S. and so instead, I think Louie's going to win. And instead of taking her straight at this, you can get minus 125 for the Godinez by decision prop, and that's what I took. So now we head to the co-main event of the evening. I'm going to call this penultimate fight. This does not feel like a co-main event to me. Jay Herbert takes on Mateo's Camillo, Herbert, plus 155.

Camillo, minus 200. Herbert, 2-2 and 1 over his last five. Knocked out Mandelano in April, which honestly, I memory hold. I forgot until I looked this up that had happened. Camillo, meanwhile, two-fight winning streak in the UFC, knocked out Nazim Sotikov in June sort of a hey guess what I'm here moment for people Not that Sattikov's the best

But like all right now you got something to show us kid I mentioned the 11 year age gap 13 year age gap in this one Jai Herbert significantly older than Camillo And I think this is gonna go quite poorly for him I expect Camillo too Jai Herbert is like 4 or 5 inches taller he's got a huge reach advantage

but I think Camillo's just going to crowd him, close the distance, avoid getting stuck by anything at long range, and get a bunch of takedowns in this fight will be, you know, maybe Herbert can survive. I'm unclear, but I think this fight will be, we will know that Camillo's won in this fight very early. And so Camillo at minus 200 seemed like a fine play to me. I just took him straight up. And that takes us, ladies and gentlemen, to the main event of the evening, Brendan Allen, taking on Christian, Levoy, Duncan, middle, weight fight, what's it for? Just an opportunity to stay in the mix, I guess. Brennan on a three-fight win streak.

CLD on a five-fight win streak. For CLD, he is getting an opportunity to fight up the rankings. For Brennan Allen, another fight back in the rankings, defending position, kind of in a tough spot right now. Middleweight's got a lot going on, and he is just the last dog at the bowl in many respects. CLD trying to take that spot at the bowl from him. both men coming in off Amisian wins

Alan beat Edmund Chabasian in June in a fight was like tough that Alan has to take that fight honestly CLD beat Jared Kinaneer in July sort of a alright time to move him up I will say this

Allen 9 and 2 is a betting favorite Vegas tends to know what's up and they've got him a small betting favorite and this one minus 1 45 to 115 and of all the fights we talked about this is the fight I am the most confident in. This just feels to me like a straightforward Brendan Allen win. I understand that Christian Lerick Duncan is surging.

I know that he's actually on a very good run in the UFC right now. I think nine and two in the promotion rate, he lost not his first fight, but it's second or third fight. He lost to Armand Petrosion, and then he lost to Robocop. And we know where Robocop is going and what Robocop has been doing since then. But he has been on a good quality run, you know. Jared Kennedy, Roman Delizze, Marco Tullio, Eric Anders, Andreiov. Not all of those are world beaters, but most of that's competent opposition.

He keeps beating. You have to respect what he is capable of doing. That being said, I still can't. I was discussing this with AK this week. I was like, I don't, I'm just not sold. I don't know. He's fun. I love that there are two Chris Duncan's in the UFC.

I think that's super fun. But his takedown defense is a weakness. and Brennan Allen can absolutely exploit that. And it honestly might just be prohibitive, right? Like Jared Cannonier took him down five times. Jared Canaaner. What's Brinand Allen going to do? Brinand Allen is sort of the textbook Jack of All Trades kind of guy, right?

Like he doesn't have any skill, like one skill that jumps out and says that's what you hang your hat on. That's the build around for this fighter. But he can do a lot of stuff. And that means he can take advantage of obvious glaring weaknesses. That's exactly what I think is going to happen here. He can just take CLD down. This will look like the RDR fight because also CLD's gas tank is a bit suspect, right? Like he has gone 15, but it seems like he slows down after that opening stanza.

Certainly after the second round, it just seems like he has to be more measured. He doesn't fall off a cliff like some fighters, but he does, it seems like, hey, man, all right, I've put what I've got out. I've got to recalibrate. And Brendan Al, when we saw him do this, RDR, when RDRR, RDR, when RDR does it, just stone gas. He can continue to put some level of a pace out there. I think he can get takedowns. If CLD is going to win,

it has to be early. Alan's pretty durable, right? Like he's pretty durable, but certainly over a five-round fight. If Allen can just survive the first round, not let CLD bully him too much get combination work going, right?

Like that's what CLD wants to do. CLD wants to be a hammer and is very good at being a hammer. If Allen can simply not collapse, he's got to work through this fire, I think he will be okay. And so I really like Brennan Allen to get a win here. I took him straight up. If he, you know, I debated even climbing with him at minus 1.45, which then like skews the whole system. So I just decided not to do it. But I really like Brennan to get his hand raised and be on a four-fight win streak in the middleweight division, all against pretty decent opposition.

And somehow nowhere near a title fight. It's strange times in the UFC these days. But that is it, ladies and gentlemen, 30 minutes talking about this card, probably more than I needed to. But we have some fun. And next week, we will have some fun as well as the UFC returns to the Great White North Edmonton, Alberta, Canada for UFC Edmonton at Rogers Place headlined by Joaquin Buckley taking on Mike Malott.

Until then, a couple of housekeeping notes. Tune in for all the NBA fighting programming. weekend that means a preview show on Friday that means between the links on Thursday uh that means the post show and the pre-fight Q&A on Saturday and of course on to the next one we'll drop I believe on Sunday for this event so make sure you tune into all that also if you haven't done so already download the SB Nation app it's a great app uh on it like I you know we're supposed to pitch it or whatever is actually just a product I really like to use I'm on the app a bunch it makes it super easy to chat with you guys and we do

it a lot, especially during fights. Our game chats are fun. We had fun at Contender Series this week. We had fun at 332. I think even with as bad as Vegas 122 might be, we'll still have fun with that. So until then, and until next week in UFC Edmonton, thanks.

Love y'all. All right, Mike Heck here from MMA fighting, and my good friend Jed Michoud is here with me as well because Jed, the day has finally arrived. It's App Day, the all-new Estes. SB Nation app. It's live now. It's live, Jed.

It's alive. Yeah, man, I'm really excited. And it's awesome, man. Combat sports, like all sports, but combat sports fans especially, you guys are going to have your voices heard like never before with within SB Nation. MMA boxing, not me, but you pro wrestling, Mike. It's, it is a community-based app.

It's all about community with the USB Nation app. It's so easy to use. And it can keep, obviously, combat sports fans connected to their. favorite teams in all of sports too across the board so I can keep up with the red sox the i'maiths the patriots and the bruin's all on my phone and it's so simple to use yeah like you you mentioned those teams but uh there's so much more because i don't care about boston sports mike but i get to follow the NFL all the other sport f1 the various sports that i care about outside of combat sports and then there's the live experience because that's to me that's

one of the coolest things you can chat with us during fight cards uh every saturday And you can chat with other people in the communities as big events are happening. So it's a really good time. So ladies and gentlemen, come fight with us over on the all new SB Nation app. Download it today. Download it right now. What are you waiting for? Download it.