MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Can Ciryl Gane Rebound At UFC Paris Or Will Sergey Spivak's Grappling Be Too Much?

Episode Date: August 30, 2023

The UFC's summer run continues as does its international tour as the world's top MMA promotion follows up UFC Singapore with a trip to the City of Light. UFC Paris is headlined by a heavyweight tilt between former interim champion Ciryl Gane and rising contender Sergey Spivak and the No Bets Barred boys are back to break it all down. Co-hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew kick things off with a brief recap of UFC Singapore before diving into this week's fights. Topics discussed include the a debate on how bad Gane's takedown defense truly is, how Rose Namajunas will look against Manon Fiorot in her flyweight debut, the promise of another French Favorites Parlay, and the looming death rattle of Heavyweight Overs. Tune in for episode 60 of No Bets Barred. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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the downloaded. It's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, what are you willing to lose to save the ones you love? The downloaded two, ghosts in the machine, available now, only from Audible.

What is going on, y'all? We are back another edition of No Bet's Barred this time. UFC Paris, we make our return to France after a year away, Sier O'Gon and Sergei Spivak. in the main event. Pretty excited for this one. Love that we're going back to Paris.

Jed, how are we feeling about it, man? This is, I've used this analogy personally this week. This is the most Bellator UFC event of all time. Now, explain that to the listeners. What do you mean by that? I mean, it's not bad, because I usually think Bellator cards are good. Sometimes they have a really rough run,

but I think this year, Bellator has really done a pretty good job top to bottom of largely putting together matchups that makes sense or somewhat entertaining. But they maybe have a headliner that matters on a Bellator card. You know, like this is a headliner that's pretty Bellator headliner, right? It's some guys who, you know, notable but not like the most important people in their division. I don't know for Cyril Gone coming off a title shot. Yeah. Did you watch that title shot? He does not deserve any love whatsoever. We're talking 18 months ago, this guy was the future of the heavyweight division. He was the new breed at 10 and 0. Based on that performance, he is not the future of anything other than a cardio kickboxing class coach moving forward. We'll get into that, though.

But then you look at the rest of the co-main event, very significant. You got two big important fights. I love the Benoit-Anonis-Fite. And then the rest of this is, I mean, debutante after debutante, like just a bunch of people from Paris and, like, just French fighters that they just like, yeah, let's pull in all the local talent. Hey, you guys got somebody? Oh, we got a couple of fighters fall off the card. Mix and match. We'll just, we'll rebook some people so the teammates don't have to fight one another. and we can make it all work out.

So this card is extremely thin as far as like notable names, even though I think some of the matchups might be okay. And overall, this just feels like if you, if you, if I didn't know that Cyril Gahn was a UFC fighter or that Rosemunner is a former UFC champion, you could convince me that this is Bellator Paris, right? Like you could just, if you just swapped all the branding over, I'll be like, yeah, it looks like a Bellator Paris card. I honestly, I don't think of that far off with it.

I mean, we'll get into it. There are quite a few debutantes, and they are mostly of locale origins. So we'll get into that in a minute. UFC Singapore, fun, entertaining card. Great way to start the Saturday morning. Another small winning week finished up about a unit. What's that, like eight in a row? That's seven of the last eight.

I mean, this, so we turned a new leaf when we hit July 1st. I have one seven of nine weeks in the second half. I'm viewing it as the second half of the year, the big turnaround. And yeah, up like, I want to say like 18 units in this second half. So we're feeling all right. Nice. I'm, I finished slightly up as well last week, but I'm down. Connor, I'm down.

Heavyweight overs have been. Wow. What's happened? I think it's five in a row. I believe it is five straight. heavyweight over losses. Even on the year, not money-wise, down money, but 13 and 13 overall on the year for heavyweight overs, down one and a half units, a little under one and a half units.

But, you know, we've got a heavyweight fight this week, and this is our last stand. This right here is going to be the last stand for it because they're on life support right now. We already lost Flyweight Unders. It was, you know, pour one out if you're at home listening. They were good to us. Don't cry because it's over, smile because it happened. But it's good. You can recognize it.

Yeah. And heavyweight overs may be following suit. Fortunately, I already have a new gimmick planned. I won't unveil it yet because we're going to wait until heavyweight overs does shuffle off this mortal coil. But I have a new gimmick I'm excited about once. once they do exit. And maybe they're going to turn the franchise around. You never know.

You never know. What better place to do it than the main event of USC Paris? That's a great, great point. We'll hope and we'll see. But last week, two heavyweight fights didn't even sniff the overs in them. I mean, we weren't even competitive. And that is a tough way to lose one of my pet bets. All right.

Well, that was USC Singapore fun card. We moved. Shout out to Korean Zombie. Hell of a career. Korean zombie. Max Holloway, too. Shout out to both of them. That was, it hurt losing the Max Holloway in the over two and a half same game parlay

because Korean zombie was like, time to go. I'm either winning or I'm losing. Let's find out in the next 45 seconds. But it was still a magical moment in UFC history. I mean, if zombie hadn't decided to do that, could have happened. But also, if Max hadn't been such a nice guy, you know, gone for the submission, the polite win probably would have finished him in the second. So, yeah, that was a tough one.

It was a tough one. But alas, still got a couple units or a couple. I still got a unit back in profit. So it is all right. If you're wondering about my microphone setup, we're traveling abroad right now, abroad within the United States, that is. So, yeah, do not have, you know,

the great microphones at Box Media have provided us. But we will forge forward, and we will. The internet's spectacular, though, I got to say. Shout out to the rents. Nobody knows this, but when we're recording these and you are not in the Vox Studios, your internet can be troubling and it's spectacular right now. So what's crazy is I have the nicest internet Verizon has the offer,

but it's like the corner of my room where my desk is, unfortunately, it is not strong there. But yeah, shout out to the parents. Yeah, I'm just up in a bedroom. And I mean, this is kicking. I mean, we're Crystal Career 1080P looking at each other right now. It's great stuff. It would look even better. On the YouTube channel, maybe one day.

You know, don't hold your breath. One day. Email your senators. That's how we'll get that to happen. We have had a couple offers. You got to. We have had a couple offers from our fans. You know, maybe one day trying to work something out.

Let's move on, though. UFC Paris. The main event, it's a heavyweight bout. Cirogan taking on Sergei Spivak right now. You can have the Frenchman. minus 166 spivoc coming back plus 140 um yeah i mean it's striker versus grappler about as about as striker versus grappler as you're going to get i mean this is this is clear cut you mentioned it we saw cyrogan struggle in his fight against john jones in march we saw him struggle in in his other title

shot against francis and gano in january of last year um the ground game is his weakness I mean, I think that's become clear here. And that's Sergey Speedback's strength and Duke can be relentless when it comes to executing it. 15 takedowns in the last three fights for Speedback. And those three fights lasted a total of like 14 minutes. So dude gets to work on the ground. I mean, on the flip side, though, speed act, not great. Not great when it comes to the stand-up.

I went back and watched the Tom Aspenall fight. I mean, lasted like three minutes. failed two takedowns got knocked out landed zero strikes now you can say you could say that's Tommy Aspinall give them you know give them a little a little credit where credits do Walt Harris fight I know it was a few years ago pretty much the same thing uh landed like one strike got knocked out um so yeah I mean it essentially comes down to who who's going to be able to showcase their strength who do you think is going to be able to showcase their strength in this one so went back and forth on this one a little bit um because

I think, sir, you know, you pointed out the obvious deficiencies for Sergei Spivak. My thing is I do think he's very young guy, particularly the Walt Harris fight, because, you know, he's 28. And I think we've seen some notable progression from him. The problem is, the problem I have with it is that notable progression is not come against anybody of substance. I mean, Derek Lewis remains his best win. And until Derek Lewis just was the hero of all of our hearts and souls at UFC 2. 91. We were writing his obituary. We were putting Derek Lewis out to pasture. And I'm not sure that that was premature on Derek Lewis. Got a favorable matchup, got an early

CO, but I don't, not sure Derek Lewis has like a big run in him. So other than that, who's Spivak beat? I mean, Tiedouivasa many years ago before Tye Tuivasa was good. And I'm also never been as sold on Thai as others have. So it's very, very tough. for me to balance that equation out of. I think he's getting a lot better. He's younger. He's looking very good. But heavyweight's such a weird division

where until you're fighting good fighters, you're not fighting anybody of marriage all. Like, until you're in that top eight, you're fighting garbage. Cyril Ghan is sort of the inverse. He has fought a lot of good opposition once I'm lost some. I think that what we have hit, the weaknesses we have seen,

and this is basically pure. guesswork on my part. I think that his are more explainable to me of, all right, Francis Inganu took him down several times and that was certainly a weakness, but wasn't really anticipating Francis Inganu to do that. I'm sure he didn't spend a lot of time in camp worrying about wrestling D1 in Ganu. Then that just sort of happened during the fight and he's not a wrestler by trade, even though he shoots a fair amount of takedowns himself. And then John Jones, a look, I don't personally ascribe to the idea that John Jones is the greatest fighter of all time, but he's undeniably in the conversation.

Are we really going to dock the man too many points for Jonathan Bones Jones doing the thing to him? Like, it's hard for me to want to be like, yeah, a guy can't grapple at all. Well, a lot of dudes can't grapple against John Jones. So it's questions. I got questions all over the place. To me, just looking at the way they fight. I think gone should be able to avoid takedowns from Spivak for most of it. Very light on his feet.

It's moving a lot, cutting angles. And Spivak's a little more plotty. He is, like you said, relentless. So maybe he fails the first one and he can just start creating a chain. But until I see him do it against somebody good, I'm going to default to the idea that Cyril Gahn can largely stay upright and just sort of peck at him with his shots. I already talked about it earlier. I'm taking the over, the over two and a half plus 132.

I won't be shocked if this one goes under, though I do think this is pretty live for this over hit. And their collective 20 UFC bouts, they've gone over 10 times. So it's a 50-50 proposition. Gone has done it in seven of his 10 UFC fights. He's not that one hit or quitter. If he's going to beat Spivak, it's probably an accumulation of damage. I'm taking the over and I am flirting with the idea of Gone by K.O. Because soon as Spivak loses, he largely is getting knocked out in a five-round fight.

There's just more time for Gone to pile up that damage and get him out of there. I haven't cashed that or punched that bet in, but it's plus money like 125 right now. So flirting with the gone by K.O. Yeah, so I'm actually going to be opposing you. I'm on the under here. I really do feel like this fight isn't going to be close. Ooh. For who?

I don't know. I don't know who it's not going to be close for. I really think we're going to find out fairly quickly. Like I think Spivak is not going to waste his time and he's going to shoot a takedown fairly early. And, I mean, let's say he fails the first two takedowns. Now he's standing there striking with Cyril Gahn. And I'm with you. I am with you.

I think that's where it gets a little bit dicey is that Gahn doesn't have that one hit or quarter power. But I just think he is levels above speedback when it when it comes to the stand-up. And I think, I mean, we saw him hurt Tui Vossus several times before eventually putting him out. And I think he can do the same to Spivak. I think whoever is able to get their game going is going to get it going early and they're going to have success. The one thing that does worry me is like a late third round, gone TKO

and I miss it by like 90 seconds. That's what I'm hoping for right there. I could see that. I could see that. I did parlay up. The fight doesn't go to a decision. That prop I really do like. I think when you're talking about the full five rounds,

I think this is either Spivak getting this to the mad TKO ground and pound or a submission or it's zero gone. Like you said, just accumulating those strikes and eventually putting Spivok out. I really do like that. It's minus three. 50 right now. I think that's a really solid parley piece. And I mean, I don't love this card from a betting standpoint. So we're going to have some fun with it. We had success with it last year.

French favorite parlay is back, baby. And last time I checked, last time I checked zero gone. He's French and he's a favorite. So he's going to be going in that parlay as well. So that's interesting. I love this parlay. How many legs are in that parlay for you? So I can actually just break it down right now because at the time of me, placing the bet. There were four French favorites. Obviously, they've readjusted this card several times over. Fights have been called off.

So, like, right now, the Taylor Lappalus-Lock-Gran fight and the William Gomi, Yanni's Gimori fight were not a thing at the time. But both of those are favorites. Both of them are Frenchmen. but William Gomi taking on Gamoire, who's also a Frenchman, does that, does that even out? Or is it still a favorite Frenchman? I mean, he's, I'm, Gomi is going to be the favorite when lines are released. I don't see any lines anywhere before that.

If you have them, please let me know. So I am seeing, I believe, minus 275 for Gomey. Yeah, that sounds about right. I think Gomi, I think Gimori was like a plus 300 underdog to Lachran when he was originally fight there. So that doesn't totally shock me. I ask this question because I'm debating the gone by K.O. Or I'm debating maybe instead going for an MMA factory parlay, which kind of aligns with a lot of what you're saying is French favorites. We've got the Lappalus. We've got GoMe. We've got gone. All three of them, M.A. Factory dudes. All three of them should be betting favorites. I think

Laplis will be a betting favorite over La Cron. I believe Lappalus. right now minus 175. Yeah, and so I was just kind of flirting with that as my gimmick parley. I have two gimmick parley choices this week. What's the second one? What's the second one? The second one is going to be the Cage Warrior Champion Parlay. Okay.

So Morgan Sherier was the Cage Warrior featherweight champion, and Reese McKee was the Cage Warrior welterweight champion. So also considering that as a gimmick parley as we get into those fights down the lot. One more I kind of, I kind of, you know, bounced around in the old Noggin. Maybe a little, a little Swiss Army knife, a little Swiss alps, little Swiss chocolate, Swiss cheese. A little swisher sweets. A little swiss or sweet, a little Swiss roll, a little something there. A little chuk fondue, as they say over in great Switzerland.

maybe a little Anglusa Vulcan parlay, but I don't know if I'm going to commit to it yet. We'll get into the Vulcan fight in a little bit. A lot of gimmicks to be had. I mean, that's what we're here to do. They're here to have some fun. There are dics abound in this card. So, yeah, I think there's options.

So right now, the French favorite parlay for me that I've already played, so I'm writing it is Cyril, Manon, Fioro, Benoit, and Morgan Chahriere. That's plus 454. Through a half unit on that guy. Maybe I'll just do William Go Me and Taylor Lapilus parlayed as well. Get a decent price if that's what they quoted the numbers from me earlier. Yeah, but that's yet to be seen. All right, let's move on.

I'm going to be on the under the fight doesn't go to a decision. Seraghan Parleet. I mean, that'll be a fun main event for me. I might take that fight doesn't go to it. I have one open parlay piece that I was kind of looking for something to pair it with, but then I had the gimmicks so nothing jumped out. I was like, maybe I'll just leave it as an open piece that I'm targeting, and it's in this next fight.

So I might use that doesn't go to the decision, because I do very much like that, and the price is good. I like that. I think that's a solid parlorite piece, especially with them having to go five rounds. When I got a great deal on a great gift at winners, I started wondering, could I get fabulous gifts for everyone on my list? Like this designer fragrance for my daughter.

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has something for every style and price point. Visit our Holt's holiday shop and or online at Holtrenfrew.com. To move to the co-main event, Women's Flyweight bout, Manon Fioro, taking on Rose, Thug Rose Nomi Yunis, returning to the Octagon in Paris,

upper weight class at 125. And right now, on Draft King's sports book, Fioro can be had for minus 185, Namiunis, coming back plus 154. I'm a fan of both these girls, but you know where my allegiance is lie

when it comes to this one. Do you have the French favorite parlay? You tip your hand. I'm in the Manon Mafia. I mean, I think that's known. We are the crew. We are the Fero Squadron over here. So, yeah, I'm going to be riding with her.

I just like, Rosnam and Eunice, obviously, a killer, former UFC champion. Dare I say legend of the game? Is that an overstatement? I'm only in 16 fights, but she's had some pretty memorable moments in UFC history. She had very memorable moments. I think she qualifies, but like she's just clear in the bar, you know, like. Fan favorite? I think she qualifies largely because of the, because she's popular and she had, like, some pretty big moments, you know, two-time champion, right?

Two-time champion. It's very big, but she didn't have any, like, she didn't have like a super long rain, but she's really, really popular. Daniel Cormier screaming Doug Rose, those moments stand out probably make her. She probably clears the legend bar, but it's not by a lot. I just like, I don't know where she's going to have a major advantage when it comes to this fight. Like I think Fioro is going to, like, I mean, she's going to put out more volume than her. She's averaging like seven significant strikes a minute, like almost double what Rose puts out. I mean, I think she'll be the faster fighter.

I think if Rose tries to grapple, like... Did you say, you think Fero's going to be the faster fighter? That's what I'm, like, wondering. Like, I mean, she's wildly fast, Fier Rose, especially at 125. Yeah, I definitely don't think she's going to be the faster fighter. Okay. I mean, we're going to see, because, you know,

this is Nomius's first time up at 125. So there are a lot of question marks for me circling this, but I think speed is one thing that I will, pretty clearly give to Nami Yunus, not just in the speed, but I think Nami Yunus has better timing. Okay. And so that's going to really exacerbate what I assume will be a speed advantage competing in a lighter weight class. I do think Fioro is going to have the more volume. I think she's going to be doing more the work.

And then, I mean, how much do you put into the stock of Fioro out grappling myr, and Silla? It was now going for a title of 135. I don't put much stock into that, but I am the thing that concerns me the most as I'm a Rosebacker, so we are at odds on this one. I'm back in Rose on this, but the thing that makes me the most concerned, not her volume, though I do agree she probably is going to throw more than Rose does. To me, I've never been nearly as sold on Furrow as others.

I think that she is a quality fighter, but she's kind of like, I've just sort of, sort of viewed her as a supercharged Caitlin Chukagian who's like a damn good fighter but she's not a great fighter she's not going to blow your doors off and rosamunus is a really mercurial fighter i mean she can have a carless spars a moment she can have a yawanna wiley moments like those the delta between those two eventualities is is gigantic but if she is dialed in if she's tuned up if she is she is there for the right reasons and ready to go. She won't the best female fighters on planet Earth, and I don't think Furo can credibly make that claim.

So for me, I have a huge number of questions about what Rose looks like at 125, particularly because some of her struggles at straw weight, sorry, came just against people who could be more physically imposing than her. You know, the Wiley rematch, she struggled sometimes to deal. with Wiley being incredibly physical. Jessica Androge beat her once and probably should have beaten her the second time by just being a hoss.

And Manofuro is, I think the thing that to me that elevates her above Chukagian is Manofioreau is a physical presence. She does not impose it on people as often, but she is a sturdy woman. And the Meyer Buena Silva, I'm less concerned about that fight

more so than what that indicates. and her willingness to grapple. Because if she can just grab Rose and kind of like big sister her, eat up big moments of the fight, I don't think Fero can stop Rose Nomi Unis, but if she can just throw more punches on the feet, even though I think Rose is going to land more effectively and then eat up some time with wrestling, this fight can go pretty bad. That being said, I'm still back in Nami Unis at Plus Money. I am a lot of that is just banking on her showing up ready to fight and believing in her ceiling over Furoes.

I understand the Furo backer. I will say, and I don't know, Connor, if you would bet Furo plain outside of the parlay. To me, if you're going to bet Furo, you should bet her by decision at plus 125. Like that, that feels like the move because I struggle to see her finishing Rosnamuoninus in 15 minutes. Yeah, I'm kind of the same way. So she's in the parlay and then decision plus 130 is what I have. I just feel like that's a... It's just a much better price than Furo at minus 180.

Yeah. Plus, like, I am with you. I have a hard time seeing her. I mean, think about like the times that Rose has been finished is Jessica Androch slamming her to the mat. She got dumped on her head. Yeah, like breaking her neck. And then as far as we're clear, that would have finished literally any woman on the planet who took that would have been finished from it. Have you seen the pick that's come out of rows?

She's looking pretty big. She's looking pretty big. Yeah. I mean, and that's why I am tentatively positive about her this move up. I think she has planned to do this the right way. She's put on the size appropriately. This is not a, I'm going to flirt with this. It feels like this is a.

I'm going to try and make a run at 125. And I think she's going to come in dialed in. And to me, that should make her a favorite over Manal. And then we go, it's also in France. You know, just saying. No, the friends thing. Home cooking? Yeah, but that's, that feels like that's more of a Rose like sign.

Rose does her best when people are counterfeit. her out when when she's the underdog like that's when rose has her her big performances have been those you know wayley's going to kill her youana's going to kill her and then she comes and you know the hostile crowd and dominates so that's that might be a point in rose's favor the the french crowd uh you do have to think that she's going to be looking to bounce back in a big way after the asparza performance he would hope so worst fight in modern history you would would Have to hope so. That is for sure. All right. So that's the co-main event. We are at odds as well as the main event. We are. I want to take the Connor special on this one. I think the over one and a half when that line drops is just going to be a tremendous parley piece.

And I honestly almost was just like just bet the over two and a half. I don't I don't think either of these women is getting a finish. I think this fight is almost guaranteed to go 15. So I love both of those options. It seems extremely likely that this fight is going to go to a decision. The JMG here? That's what we're getting? The JMG, it did win last week, but it was, it was tighter than we wanted it to be. What was it last week? Aaron Blanchfield. Oh, Blanchfield.

Yeah, oh, man. That was that was close. That was a lot closer than we wanted it to be, but a win's a win. Yeah. I'm with you. I think it goes to a decision. I do. Probably rocking.

Boom. Fero. Fero fam. That's what we like to call ourselves. The Fero fam. Got it. Lightway bout. Benoit, Saint-Dene, taking on Tiago, Moises.

Right now you can get St. Deney minus 155. Moises coming back. Plus 130. It kind of feels like the by high spot on Benoit, St. Deney. Oh. By high spot.

It feels like everyone was against him when he took on Bonfeme. Smart people were on his side. He was like a plus two plus two 50 or something like that. Like he was on, I was on Bonfeme in a parlay. And man, my man made me look silly. That is for sure. It gets him out of there in the very first round. And I guess it's, I don't know if it's, we're in the city of love or what.

But I'm buying into the hype. I'm riding with. You got burned and you learned a lesson. Hopefully, hopefully I don't get burned again here. I mean, dude with special forces in the French Army awarded medals of gratitude from the country, and now he gets the fight in front of his home crowd should be a special moment for the guy. But in all seriousness, I feel like the biggest path to victory for Moises is to use the grappling and to attempt, you know, go for sub attempts. But, I mean, St. Denis is solid in that area.

Nine of his wins are by sub. He's a brown belt in BJGA. Obviously, also has the black belt in judo. I mean, he's going to be bigger. He's going to be stronger. And I feel like if it stays standing, he's going to have the advantage there. And, like, when it comes to danger, like, he's never won by a decision. I feel like he has more ways to finish this fight.

So, yeah, Santhani, I've been on him for a few weeks. I love it because I am on Benoit Sandini as well. So our first... It feels like everyone is. It feels like everyone is a little bit. It feels like I've seen everyone on them. And then Tiago Muzis is 30. Yeah, I'll be honest.

I had a lot of thoughts about this fight before I watched some tape. And even after watching the tape, I was pretty conflicted for a lot of the reason you said. I mean, Moises does largely make his hay with the grappling, but, dude, he can strike a little bit, too. And Benoit Sandini is sort of the inverse. He actually does most, like, his best work, he's most confident as a grappler, but where we've seen him. have a lot of success in the EOC has certainly been on the feet. The kicks in his last fight against Bonfim were just brutal. It's going to be a bigger dude, except, et cetera.

I couldn't quite settle where I wanted to be, so I turned to chat GPT. We brought it back this week, Connor, and chat GPT was like, it's BSD all day, baby. It's just going to give you the end of it, because that's the most important part. Midway through the third round, Sandini unleashed a head kick that caught Moyes' flush on the jaw. Moises stumbles backwards, rocked by the powerful strike. Smelling blood, Santini unleashes a barrage of punches with

Moises visibly hurt. Sandini executes a flawless trip, gets the fight to the ground, takes the back, sinks in a rear-naked choke, and that's the ball game. So, uh, chat chip-y-t says BSD is getting a third round R&C here.

So, uh, do we think a submission is live? I'm seeing plus 600. I don't know that it's live, but like you said, what is it, nine of his 11 career wins have been by submission? Judah's never won by decision and nine of his 11 wins are by submission. Like, I mean, Moisesse's obviously a black belt and BJJ in his own right, but Islam tapped him. And I'm not saying BSD is Islam, but a club and sub.

A club and sub is very possible, I think. So I think this fight is going to be terrific. A little spranky on plus 600? I mean, I'm down to lose a sub-bat. Uh, what's, what's, if you're, if you're going to take it, then I can't do it because then we know it's going to lose. Yes, of course. You're not allowed to take it. I'm looking to burn a little quarter unit plus 2,200.

Uh, I'm probably going to throw a dollar on BSD by third round sub. Uh, he's got one third round sub in his career. Sounds like he's due. That's what that, that's what that means to me. Happen back in 2019. Uh, yes. I might just take the sub outright plus 600. A little quarter uni on her.

I hope this is the one that hits. I probably won't. I'm not going to. All right. So we are in, we are in, we're aligned. In lockstep on that one. Let's keep you rolling.

I'm curious as to if we're going to be aligned here, light, heavy weight bout, Volcanoz de Mear taking on Bogdan, Gusov. Right now, you can have no. No time minus 185, Gooskov plus 154. Thoughts on this fight?

It was tough just because it's really hard for me to know much about Goosecov. I went back and I tried to crunch the tape, but there's not a ton of it. And what there is is not, it's just him blowing the doors off people who are garbage. So, you know, good. If you're fighting bad people, you should blow the doors off them. He looks really small. And we'll see how that looks like on thing, but I couldn't find like a, none of the dudes he was fighting looked like they were enormous.

And he looked like a middleweight, not a lay heavyweight, which I think is going to be pretty relevant against Volcanoes Tamir, who is not a small man whatsoever. More to the point, I'm not sure he's good. Maybe he is. I'm not listening, bro. I went back and watched like a ridiculous amount of tape, obviously, the stuff that's available on this dude. Like, yeah, in theory, he's blowing the doors off these dudes getting like first-knit finishes. Yeah, but it's like not impressive.

Like, it's not like he's like styling on these guys and like getting walk-off KOs and like making it look easy. He just kind of plots there and then like hits him with an uppercut and then the dudes just shell up and like it's over from there. Like I really was not that impressed with. I wasn't impressed at all. And then did you? Did you watch the Vasilevsky fight? In my opinion, the time he, like the only time he fought a dude with like a real record and like backing. And I mean, Vaselowski was having, he was he was five inches shorter than him.

I don't know the reach disadvantage, but he was smaller than him. And I mean, he was just jabbing his face off, snapping his head back and then eventually got the first round knockout. Vaselsky looked like a dude who could fight as opposed to a guy who fights, if that makes sense. And so now we're getting his. debut against short notice a short notice against the top 10 guy like i mean if you i went back and was just looking at who volkan has fought like his last nine fights i think like when the fight took place like they were almost all in the top 10 except for maybe yri who went on to be the champion uh Craig was probably like 15 i doubt he was 10 at the time yeah uh i mean of the last nine opponents

five of them have either been champion or fought four championships. And the other are Alir Latifi who he knocked out, Alexander Rackich, who he beat by split decision, Paul Craig, who he beat by a decision, and Nikita Krilov. Also, Alexander Rackich, one of the five best light heavyweeds in the world. Yes.

So. Yes. Like, I mean, we're talking about, like, top tier competition. And he is Yeri. Like, he lost cleanly to Yeri, but he's having some success. Dude, in the first round, he was having some success. Like, if you go back and look at the stats,

which obviously don't matter, especially when you get knocked out in the second round. I mean, he outstruck him like 50 to 30. Like he was finding Yuri a little bit. I don't know if I'm getting suckered into this. I don't know. I'm on Osamir by K.O. I took a sprinkle on K.O.

Round 1 plus 305. And I parlayed up the fight doesn't go to a decision. I mean, if you look at Goosekhov's record, like 15 of the 16 fights having gone to a decision. And the one that did go do a decision was a two-rounder. at like a catchweight of 220, just kind of a weird fight. Everything else is just like almost exclusively in the first round. 11 of the 16 have ended in the first round. So maybe I'm getting suckered into this, but I just feel like Vulcan.

Vulcan seems to fight smart as well. Like he came in with a smart game plan against Paul Craig. He was like, I'm not going to the ground. You can try and bait me as much you want. I'm not going to the ground. I'm just going to win the fight. he's talked about the patience after he beat paul craig actually he called the fight in paris now he's getting his wish i don't know i i i just feel like vulcan is is going to smash this dude

dude uh you're if you're getting suckered in then you're in it with me because i'm also on vulcan by k o for all the stuff we said uh i'll add in the yerie fight gives me even more confidence in part because vulcan ate some shots from yri who is a substantially bigger hitter uh than goosegov and granted we don't know a ton about Guskov, but what I watch is very not impressive. Like, he's beating everybody and that's important, but you can tell when you're watching some dude beat the hell out of somebody who sucks if they are, if they're that guy. Like you, the way they carry it, it is, if you just from watching fights for any amount of time, you can see it, and Guskov in that dude.

So the fact that Vulcan survived big shots from Yeri for a while makes me think that even if Guskov hits him. He's not going to fold him up. And the rest of the time, you know who's beaten Vulcan, guys who are much better athletes than him and guys who could, or guys who could take him down. Like Nikita Krilov probably is a better athlete than Vulcan, but he just took him down like a billion times or whatever. Same thing, Daniel Kormier is both a better athlete and took him down. Yuri Perashka, a better athlete. I'm really pretty confident that Guskov is not a, not a superior athlete De Vulcan. We'll have his chances here.

Nikita Kree-Lov also sneaky number six in the light heavyweight division. Yeah, dude, he's really good fighter. He's no bummed, dude. Nikita-Krily, he has a lot of him. He has lost to Daniel Kormier, Anthony Smith, when Anthony Smith was Anthony Smith back in 2018, Dominic Reyes, when he was Dominic Reyes in 2019, Yeri Prohashka, Magamette Uncleayev and Nikita Krilov. Like, in my opinion, Gusov is none of those men.

Yeah, no, I mean, he's not at all. And so, surprised by the line. I decided to just go to also just go the K.O. prop because I think it is likely given who Ozedimir is. That's the concern I have. It's like, maybe Goosecov's tough and Vulcan doesn't press the issue and he wins a clear decision. But I'm just banking on the fact that he's going to put this dude out with violence. And you're getting a plus number as opposed to minus 180 or whatever. So I'm with you.

is there is the world where we're getting suckered and Volcon gets cracked and knocked out. I really doubt it, man. If we're getting suckered, I think Volcon just wins a decision and we should have just taken the safe line. I agree. I agree with you. I think that might be the way we get suckered here. But I mean, what does he have?

Does Volcon have one submission win? One. Who? Who was that pre-UFC? Because I don't call this. Very, very pre-UFC. Oh, Camara in his third fight. Yeah, yeah.

Yeah. Shout out. Yeah, a Camara against the guy that was one in five. That's pretty good. Shout out. All right, so we're a line there. I'll probably have my biggest exposure on Volkan. So I will start.

That's where you want to be having the most money down on Volcan Hostomier, fighting a short notice replacement debutante. That's smart gambling right there. We'll get into some more smart gambling later as we'll move along. But yeah, so I'll have to start the morning with with some fondue and some Swiss chocolate. I'll have Swiss cheese on my ham and Swiss croissant as well. We'll plan it and we'll do it up big. Hit pause on whatever you're listening to and hit play on your next adventure. This fall get double points on every qualified stay. Life's the trip. Make the most of it at Best Western.

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William Gomi taking on Yannis, Gamori. Right now, only available on one book, but William Gomi, I believe, is a, he is a minus 275 favorite. Gimori coming back at plus 235. kind of a weird matchup. I feel like Gomi is more than likely going to win it. I mean, he's two and on the UFC getting a debutante. I also just think he's good. Yeah, he's a solid fighter.

I mean, he's bigger here as well. I guess the only thing that does concern me about Gomi is like sometimes he can lack volume. Like he doesn't throw enough. Like he's he's he's he's had two decisions and he he's he's landed 27 and 32 strikes respectively in both but he does have an 81% striking defense so I guess it doesn't matter so yeah I think gomi gets it done I'll likely do the the French favorites part d'a gomi and lapelos so I think gomi is going to win this fight I've got two worlds here I'm either staying away from this

and the Lappalus Lockerun fight both under the principle of short notice switch up opponents just a really weird circumstance that probably if I'm being smart I don't want I just don't want to be involved in with money because feels like that's the chaos hammer

and that's not smart gambling or I parlay them together with Sierra gone for the MMA factory parlay In my head, the MA factory probably should hit. I'm just not 100% sure how the change from Komori to who was Comey originally going to be fighting? Gomuio was supposed to be. Almeda. That's right.

Who is a better fighter as far as I'm concerned. Not like a great fighter, mind you, but I do think he's a better fighter than dude. So I think the smart play is just to avoid it I may end up taking the MMA factory parlay Because why not? Right now the French favorite parlet Is plus 114. So I might just throw a unit on that

Just to really show my French pride. I mean, get the flag out, you know, the beret. Just do it up big. CB style. That sounds like what we're going to do. Let's keep it rolling. Prelims, women's bantamweight out, Nora Cornel, taking on Jocelyn Edwards right now.

Coin flip. Coin flip, this almost made the French favorites, but Jocelyn Edwards, still the slight favorite minus 112 to Nora Cornel's minus 108. Again, weird matchup. I mean, Cornell is about to turn 34, and she only has seven professional fights on her record. I mean, has fought essentially nobody. Like, I went back and watched her last fight, which ended in a leg injury, which was just like her landing a leg kick. And then her opponent was like, yeah, I'm done. I'm out. So I don't really know what to make of her. And we're getting her

against Jocelyn Edwards, who is not a world beater, but I mean, she's four and two in the UFC. see, like, should have the size to compete with Cornel. I haven't pulled the trigger yet, but, like, I kind of feel like, I mean, Jocelyn Edwards is so much more experience. Like, she's training at King's MMA. She's still only 27, so, like, she should be improving. I don't know. Like, again, this just feels like a weird match-up.

I went back and I watched the tape on Cornell. I'm not here to tell you that. Cornhole's good. Well, first, let me say, this card is extremely weird in that several of the fighters have fought each other. Not in like... Yes, yeah. Carvalcanty. Cornhole's, yeah, MMA debut was against Jacqueline Cavalcanti. That was two years ago, and now both women are in the UFC. That doesn't speak all that well to prospect of development personally.

But you go back and watch Cornholm, it's, to me, her game is very obvious in that she, She does not have a great depth of skills. She's pretty good in the clinch. She's just a physical force. She is just trying to be a physical presence of put that on you. And frankly, I think you can make a little bit of hay with that on Jocelyn Edwards. This is mostly, this is the dumbest bet I made because I'm betting on a debutante. But I took Cornoli at plus 100 because I am super not sold on Jocelyn Edwards.

If she squeaks out a bad decision win like she did against Lucy Pudilova, I won't be shocked. I'll just be like, hey, Jed, that was a very dumb bet of you, yours. But you're getting the French woman fighting in her hometown. I think she's just going to get in Justin Edwards face a bunch. She's going to rough house on the inside. And Edwards isn't going to get to have like a clean range striking session. And they're going to be a bunch of knees from Colonel. and she's just going to out physical this woman who I don't think is very good.

So very dumb bet, but it's one I already made, so here I am. Yeah. I will say, though, a lot of Cornoles opponents, like she's been much bigger than when she's not going to be here against Jocelyn Edwards. Oh, yeah. I mean, her game is entirely being large. But Jocelyn Edwards sucks. She's starting some like five-three fighters.

Johnson Edwards is just not good. Jocelyn Edwards isn't good, but she is, like, also much more experienced. Like, there's no telling if Cornoli's good. Oh, Cornoli might suck, too, but I'm, I didn't, again, didn't say I was here to give you smart analysis. I just think Jocelyn Edwards sucks, and so I'm betting against her. All right. I might put a bet down on Jocelyn Edwards.

I'm not sure yet. That just feels like, it just feels like a hindsight bet. You're just kind of like, oh, yeah. was that a coin flip? I don't know. I feel like the hindsight bet winner loses, why did I bet money on this fucking fight? I agree. I agree.

That's awesome. Jocelyn Edwards, who's blown weight twice in a row. Splities, bad fights against somebody who's fought no one good in her most recent win was a very odd, like, quit. Oh, my leg died. Done. Yeah. Smart people would not bet this fight.

Yeah. There's a good chance I'm probably going to end up staying away as well. We roll on to a welterweight bout, Anjula versus Reese McKee. McKee returning to the promotion after a stint with Cage Warriors where he became champion. Right now you can have Anjosa minus 180. McKee coming back plus 150. I don't have any action on this fight. Anglosa is tough as nails.

So, I mean, I think McKee is going to have to win a decision. to get this one done, something that he has not done since. Has he ever won a decision? No, he has never won a decision. I feel like Angeloosa gets it done, but I don't know if I love the price tag on him, especially like feels like Reese McKee's back.

Like his UFC stand is nothing to scoff at. Hamza Tremayev and Alex Marono, like that ain't bad. I'll probably end up just staying away though. I'm on Reese McKee considering doing the Reese McKee and Cherie parley as the Cage Warrior parley but

Can't get the Irish parley Can't get the You know a little Couple Guinnesses I guess I didn't even think about that I guess I could I think Cruz McKee's pretty good I also think Ongeleu's good

I think this fight is Is flying under the radar a lot But ultimately, I think this is a coin flip fight, and that's why I'm betting McKee, because I think that there's value in him at, you know, the price plus 155 price tag. That's just good value for a fight that I think could go either way. Lusa is the more explosive fighter. Counter is pretty well. I think he's going to have a speed advantage. But McKee, since going back to Cage Warriors, has looked really, really good.

he works in combination he's going to have a pretty clear size advantage he's several inches taller has a reach edge here i think i don't love how lucid defends he is really heavily reliant on going like full shell defense and mckee is just going to pepper shots in and around the guard and keep piling up damage there uh if lusa works the body i think this fight can be very competitive um lusa going for takedowns another interesting wrinkle he's done it before and he can win the fight that way. But ultimately, I think that this is just a 50-50 fight. McKee had, like you pointed out, pretty tough go of things in the UFC.

You know, losing the Hamzat and Morono. The Marano fight was fine, like solid fight. That's one of those guys who maybe deserved not to get cut, but he went back, still very young, still improving. And I think he's got at least a 50% chance to get the W. And at plus 155, that's worth a shot. All right. I don't hate it at all. It'd be nice to see him get a dub.

I mean, tough for a stint in the UFC. We keep it rolling to a men's featherweight bow. Morgan, Chachalier, taking on Manolo Zuccini right now. Morgan can be had for minus 340. Zuccini going back plus 270. Morgan is French. Morgan is a favorite. It's also good.

Morgan's also good. Former cage warrior feather. champ um i mean he's just a fun dude if you ever watch cage warriors watched him fight it's a fun guy i mean lost up a very competitive fight with paul hughes who uh i'm super high on paul hughes is uh like one of the better prospects in the world at this moment in times i think he's like 26 or something like that he's pretty young um dude just looked really good morgan shahetti gave him Cheherier gave him hell um and i don't have a ton of things to say about zucchini um he's a fighter i'm i'm calling him zucchini because i'm never going to get there with it so it's just

easier for me um you know beat a bunch of people who aren't very good in vintador and otherwise hasn't really done much so i think there's a reason uh morgan's is big a favorite i think he's very likely to win. Probably I won't bet him unless I am putting him in the Cage Warrior Parlay. And I just haven't decided which gimmick parlay is better. So when I do, then I'll know if I'm betting him or not. All right. We roll on men's bantam weight bout, Farid Basharat, taking on Kledsen Rodriguez.

Right now you can have Basharad for minus 325. gets going back plus 260. Pretty impressed with Bachelot, like that D'Amah Blackshare win is aging well now. I just feel like this is probably going to be a fairly closely contested decision. And at minus 335, don't have a ton of interest in it. Yeah, I just don't want to lay the price on this one. But I think Boshart probably wins. Correct me if I'm wrong, where I think this is Rodriguez's first fight at

Banim weight after missing weight a few times down at flyweight. So the adjustment maybe it looks better, maybe it looks worse. You could go for the moving up a weight class parlay with Cletson Rodriguez and Rosemey Eunice parley a couple of dogs. Now you're talking. I'm looking at how many gimmick parlays. You can make a lot of gimmick parlays out here. This is unbelievable.

I wouldn't bet Boschrod at the price. because Clitzer Rodriguez has been a damn good fighter. Don't know if he'll be a damn good fighter at Bannam White, but Bosharat looks like he's a real deal, so I do think he's going to get his hand raised. I also do feel like Javid is the better of the Boshraud. I'm pretty certain Javid is the better of the Bashrod's, but I think Farid has still looked to be a very, very competent fighter.

I mean, like you said, the Blackshare fight, that Blackshare win is age. beautifully. Really wish this was Javid because then we could do the snow leopard and the Jaguar parlay. Oh my God. How many parlays can we make? That would have been incredible.

Well, unfortunately, we missed out of it. That would have been the rare cat parlay. That would have been great. Love a cat parlay. Any more cat? I mean, polar bears for Spivoc, that could be, you know, like now you're doing the wild animal parlay. Maybe even endangered species.

We've got some good nicknames on this card. Oh, my God. Oh, you know what we could be doing here. Let me make sure that this is. We've got Anglusa, the Last Ninja and Morgan Chariere, the Last Pirate. We could do the Last Parlay. Wow. Wow.

The Last Ninja and the Last Pirate. How do you even come up? Give me a last cowboy on this and we are cooking. I mean, why the last? But, I mean, I don't know. Pirate. A lot of good nicknames on this card. Does someone do God of War?

No time. Boncamin. You could do the No Time Infinite Parlay of Okinaresdemier and Xeroferr. Now, the problem is that XeraFeran is bad. But let's get into it. I love that parlay. Let's just jump right into a women's bansomweight out Zara Farm versus Jacqueline Cavalcanti. Right now you can get the debutante for the short price of minus three.

75. Faron plus 295. I mean, I think Capul Canty's probably going to dominate her. I mean, Faron had success against Nunez because she was six inches taller and a seven inch reach advantage. I mean, Nunez just couldn't get in on her and she still lost that fight. She's not going to have that here. She's 13 years older. But I cannot trust a debutante at almost minus 400 who has six professional fights. Can't do it. Firm agree. You know, briefly considered the Cavalcante Cornol parlay, just because, you know, fought each other.

But why would you spend this price on a person making her debut who started MMA like two years ago? In the women's bantamweight division, too? Like, this just sounds like a Zara Farence split decision win and you just... Just don't bet this fight. You don't have to.

You don't have to remember that. We have 2.93 next week. Plenty of spots on that one. Don't have to bet this fight. Last but not least, Maddenhamway about the card rearranging. I'm almost certain this is, this is like for sure. I haven't seen like a super reputable outlet. It's not, it is not for sure, but it seems pretty likely.

Yeah. Taylor Lapel is taking on colon, Locran. Right now, Taylor Lapis minus 176, Locran plus 151. Man, kind of tough for Locke Rann here. There's like a minus 3.20 or something before undefeated Cage Warriors champ. Now, this is a little bit of a tougher matchup. Lappalus seasoned, obviously, had a stent previously with the UFC.

I think he went three and one in that. Tough ask. I kind of feel like Lappos gets this done. This is just kind of, this fight was made like three hours ago, so that's just kind of me shooting in the breeze. But probably I'm just going to parlay up Lapolis and go, and do the French favorite part. So this is the problem, right? Because the Cage Warriors Parley needs Lachron.

And he's a fairly big underdog. And so that's why I can't do the Cage Warriors and the MM Factory Parlay. The MMA Factory Parlay I have concerns about because teams going 3 and O, always a difficult proposition doesn't happen all that often on fight cards. Personally, don't think the MMA Factory is like the best gym either. So that gives me some concern. And then you factor in that we've got Lopoulos and go me getting late opponents, which is that's tough.

I feel better about my chances on two legs of the Cage Warrior Parlay. But Lockerun coming in, Lappalus is very difficult. I think I'm ultimately probably just going to go with my McKee bet straight and then bet the factory parley. But I could see, you can convince me that Lockerun wins this fight. Young kid, Cage Warriors champ. has looked very good in Cage Warriors. I think he's finished everybody.

Maybe he's got a decision tucked in there. But like you said, a huge gulf between Janus Gimori to Taylor Lopoulos, who not the best fighter in the world, but has been a very consistent presence the last few years and knows what the hell he's doing. So big, big opportunity, but I would have felt better about this when he was still fighting Gimori. Yeah. I mean, 18 and 3, Philopoulos. Pretty impressive.

I mean, having fought on Arias FC and the UFC as well. So, yeah, we'll see what happens. And that's UFC Paris. Boom. Done. Don't think I don't think I like it as much as last year's Paris card. I don't remember what last year's Paris card was. They all blur together.

Gone to Ivasa, Whitaker, versus Marvin Vittori It was a good one Nathania Wood Charles Dordane Oh Imov, Buckley Kappalov Yeah that's on paper

That's a much better card Much better card on paper Abis The great Abus Maga Mattov Abis making his Making his debut I think was that fight So boom

Fortunately Next week we have The worst pay-per-view Of the year Yeah but I'm still excited for it. There's a couple spots that I like. A couple spots I like.

I am not. But it's fine. There are fighters I'm interested in watching. And, you know, there's going to be a tasty, you know, New Zealand, Australia, you know, parlay. Give me, give me Oceana Parlay, can cook one of those up next week and do the whole thing. Yeah, but I'm not going to lie that. If you're parlaying the favorites, Carlos Holberg is a massive favorite against Don Chung.

I'm not quite sure about that. Oh, yeah. Like a minus 300. Oh, that's an interesting. Can we talk about Nazarat Hakparas taking on Landon Kinones, who got finished in like 45 seconds on Tuff? We can. talk about that next week because this week

we're done Connor. We are done. UFC Paris. UFC 293 next week. We will see you then. I might be talking myself and Sean Strickland tune in to find out. Love you. Podcast Network.