MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Can Cory Sandhagen Rebound With A Big Win At UFC Vegas 60?

Episode Date: September 14, 2022

The No Bets Barred boys are back to break down UFC Vegas 60 and the bantamweight main event bout between Cory Sandhagen and Song Yadong that takes place Saturday in Las Vegas. First co-hosts Conner Bu...rks and Jed Meshew break down the insanity that was UFC 279 before diving into their numerous bets this weekend. Despite the lack of name value at UFC Vegas 60, Conner and Jed still end up with a number of bets, laying wagers down on 12 of the 14 fights on the card including Jed's ongoing experiment with heavyweight overs. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:01:51 I mean, wow. That's really all I can say. Let's all just take a deep breath. after the week that was for UFC 279. What an insane week, Jed. We are right, dude? We surviving after that one? Oh, we...
Starting point is 00:02:05 Surviving is the right word, man. Just absolute craziness. I mean, as everyone knows at this point, it was ridiculous. Unfortunately, like half of No Betz Bard last week was just useless, which... Sick. Certainly the first time in the history of our program. And I mean, even had we been doing this show for 10 years, even the first time that's never happened before.
Starting point is 00:02:34 But, you know, I had a great fight week. How did you enjoy the festivities? I mean, I loved it. I was at my house when the news broke that Hamzaat might miss weight. And from there, it was just, I couldn't stop watching. It was like, it's like the breaking news, and you just leave it on all day. And you just wait to hear what the next development is.
Starting point is 00:02:54 I mean, it was fantastic theater. And then at the end of the day, like, you know, everyone's saying it. It feels like we ended up with a better card anyway. Yeah, that was the fight card we were always supposed to have. I totally agree with you. I was off Friday, so I didn't have to work and cover things. But it served as a wonderful distraction. I got a little food poisoning Friday, so I was having a tough, tough day.
Starting point is 00:03:22 But the wonderful people at M.M.A.fighting. com, great website, were keeping me entertained as I was hugging the porcelain thrown. I was going to say, I'm just imagining you just blowing it out and you're just, you can hear the TV in the background, 178 and a half, and she's like, oh my God, like, just had it on the phone with me. Because also, I mean, I knew that that was before the way it happened, we knew what was happening because, you know, great boots on the ground let us know that things. Things were afoot, Jose Young's, talking to the Slack channel.
Starting point is 00:03:58 Hey, something weird's going on here. People are, you know, seeing that something is going to happen. And once you know that something is sounds odd or looks odd, it's pretty easy to piece it together to be like, oh, well, my man's just not going to make weight. Like that's just like, Hamzat's just not making weight is what's going to happen here. So, and then the anarchy ensued. And it was awesome. It was captivating. It was thrilling, thrilling entertainment, especially for a man in desperate need of distraction.
Starting point is 00:04:31 Anarchy, dude. Shout out to the BOTG, the boots on the ground fullness. And I can't lie, though. Still, when Homsop was making his walk to the scale, I was nervous. My heart was beating. I was like, what if they're just like 171? And it's just like, oh, all right, see you guys tomorrow. Like, that's all it is.
Starting point is 00:04:47 It would have been the greatest fake out in the history of the sport. Yes. it absolutely would have been. So we got three new fights. Nate Diaz versus Tony Ferguson, Hamzaa Tremaya versus Kevin Holland, and Lee Jiang Lee versus Daniel Rodriguez, had to make some late adjustments.
Starting point is 00:05:04 As soon as the fights got announced, people were like, what are the new bets? What are the new bets? I'm like, hold on. I need like 10 minutes. Like, let me look at the lines. Let me see what we got here. Like, I got to figure out where I'm going.
Starting point is 00:05:16 But we figured it out. I figured out. I hit a nice under in the Hamzad. My boy, Lee. That one hurt. That one hurt, but I had... Were you on Lee? I was on Lee, but Rick had D-Rod in the MMA Hour Parlay, so...
Starting point is 00:05:29 Yeah, that's... I didn't know if you were on Lee because I knew the shifted... The shifted M.A. Hour Parlay. Yeah, it was kind of a win-win for me because the Parlay was still alive. So I was like, you know, the Parlay was on, but... Parlay was so alive. But I felt bad for my boy Leachian, Hamzat, the last leg. Yeah, I mean, he just...
Starting point is 00:05:49 Back to being Hamzot. Zero significant strikes, zero anything. thing done in two minutes. Like, he just mauler. Like, it's crazy. I, I galaxy brain myself. That's just what it was. I was like, you know.
Starting point is 00:06:05 We can all respect the galaxy brain moment. Come on. I've been the biggest Hamzat supporter. Not, you know, not a supporter of him personally, but I have been steadfast in my belief that he's the best well to him on the planet for a long time. And then everything was going so. poorly the whole fight week that I was like this is a sign it's a sign from the heavens that this is gonna what what better way to cap all of this off than for Nate Diaz who is supposed to be
Starting point is 00:06:36 led to slaughter to get a big victory and for Hamzot to just lose to a guy that would be incredible for the UFC in general but would be one of the worst possible losses for him to take given given the stylistic advantages. So I galaxy brain myself, bet on Kevin Holland. Bet on Kevin Holland by submission. Or not by submission. I bet on Kevin Holland in the fourth round specifically because it was like, Kevin just has to survive and Hamzot will get too tired.
Starting point is 00:07:11 And Kevin's really durable, like bigger guys than Hamzot haven't been able to finish him. And once he gets tired, then Kevin's just going to beat the shit out of him. And I was like, I, super galaxy brain, and immediately was like, oh, okay, I was dumb. Yeah, this is Hamz Oshmael. The simple answer was the right one. But here's the thing. You're talking to the author of Jared Vandera by sub against Chase Sherman.
Starting point is 00:07:38 So we all have our galaxy brain moments. It happens. I was on all the opposite things. I was on the under. I was on Hamza Tremayev. Like you said, biggest believer in this dude, I mean, what he does is absolutely incredible. Someone hit me up after the Leach D-Rodd. fight on Twitter and was like, great, Leach gets robbed and now we have to watch Hamzot hump
Starting point is 00:07:57 Kevin Holland for 25 minutes. I'm just like, when has Hamzot ever done that? What would ever make you think that that is about to happen? Because Kevin Holland, it was less when his Hamzot done that and more when his Kevin Holland bid had that done to him. That man's incredibly durable. And so like, I genuinely had convinced myself, like, one, I actually didn't even think Homs out would shoot takedowns because I thought he would be too mad at Kevin Holland. And Kevin Holland, you know, like, Kevin Holland, he's going to let you know about it in the cage. He's going to be talking a bit of a gig. They did have a moment where they exchanged something. They had a moment where they were on the ground, which is just incredible. I was like,
Starting point is 00:08:45 this is the same dude. This is literally the thought process I laid out. I was like, we saw Hamza fight with his ego when he was fighting Gilbert Burns because like he could have just kept scoring takedowns and winning easily, but instead he was like he let his ego take control as Gilbert Burns when Kevin Holland a man he actively
Starting point is 00:09:04 doesn't like is in there talking shit to him I think he's going to just try and knock Kevin Holland out and he's not going to go for the takedown like none of that was true he was just like actually I'm just going to obliterate this he fought a smart fight and
Starting point is 00:09:20 and prove to who he is. It's going to be interesting to see who he gets in the cage with next. Main event, me and you both. Yes, maybe. Let's go. I mean... I was quite confident in that bet. I was pretty...
Starting point is 00:09:32 I played it twice. I was pretty surprised Nate was the underdog when the lines were dropped. I was like, this seems... I... We talked about before, you know, in last week's episode, I've never been a big Tony Ferguson guy. Liked him fine, but I was just never... he was never my dude in the way he is that for so many people.
Starting point is 00:09:54 And I think everybody is just blinded to the fact that that man is entirely washed. Washed. They wanted to sell themselves on the fact that like, ooh, he had an okay round for, like he had a good round against Michael Chandler. Well, Michael Chandler sucks. So, you know, there's that. And also, he didn't. He scored a weird knockdown that wasn't because he really hurt Chandler.
Starting point is 00:10:18 it was more of the way Chandler's legs were positioned. I mean, he looked fine, but he just, he's super washed, and that's it. Like, he's 38, 39. And I think Nate's pretty washed as well, but there's a big difference between being pretty washed and all, like, fully cooked. And Nate did nearly knock out the new welterweight champion of the world, not that long ago. And yes, he lost almost every minute of the fight beforehand. But the fun thing about fighting is if you lose almost every minute of a fight and then win by last minute knockout, you become the new welterweight champion. Just ask Leon Edwards.
Starting point is 00:11:02 Like it's, it is what it is. And Tony, Tony's just washed and think everyone keeps forgetting that. And so I was stunned that that line was what it was. He says he's back. He says he's back. He's super not back. Yeah. So Nate Diaz is open at minus 155.
Starting point is 00:11:17 I didn't play it then, and he just kept moving more and more to being an underdog. Nice 155 is the right opener. Like, that is correct. Watching that fight, that's what he was, because the legs were getting chopped up. I will admit that. And then, like, the stopping the fighting and Goddard being like, you got a fight. Like, you got a fight. What are you guys doing?
Starting point is 00:11:35 I was like, what is Nate cooking up here? I don't know if I love this. But, yeah, 155 was a nice open. I felt like they had that right. It got all the way up. I didn't hit it when it was at plus 175, but I did hit. hit it at plus 165. Like it just, I thought for a second we might get Nate Diaz, like, plus 200.
Starting point is 00:11:52 I was like, please just keep climbing. Like, please keep climbing. You mentioned Michael Chandler. He's coming on the MMA hour today, you know, a little perks of the job here. Sent over a couple promo codes for his new workout, like nutrition thing, cram nutrition. So I got a couple muscle. They're like muscle uncrustables. They're uncrustables, like, packed with protein.
Starting point is 00:12:15 So I'm about to get yoked pretty much is essentially what I'm telling you. I'm about to be huge. See you at the top. So shout out. Shout out to that. Muscle on crustables. Hey, way to get, way to get yoked with whatever is in those. Because I'm sure they're great for you.
Starting point is 00:12:34 Yeah, I will not be seeing you at the top ever. Pretty pumped for them. Going to be huge. Can't wait for that. Last thing I want to get into, I wouldn't even call this a Galaxy Brain Moment. I would just call it being a smart better. Call your campaigners are down bad right now. We're in a world of hurt, and the Barnett bandwagon is on fire right now.
Starting point is 00:12:54 Riding high. Bravo on that, I have to say. Can't believe how much flack I got for this on Twitter. Did you really? People were shitting on me. Some guy hit me with a L-plus ratio. I was like, okay, let's stop with this. Wow.
Starting point is 00:13:13 Yeah. I mean, the Barnet bandwagers, I should have known better than to come at the throat of the BBs out there. Because, I mean, they ride hard for their boy. No one is more, like, Huggy Bear is the most beloved of men. So I understand it. His story, too, like, incredible stuff. The comeback also. You have to admit you had to have been a touch worried in the first round.
Starting point is 00:13:37 Oh, well, worrying is a relative term. I thought I had just lost the bet. I wasn't worried because it's a plus 350 or whatever bet. Like that's, you don't anticipate winning those. But yeah, I was just like, oh, I've just lost this one. He's clearly suffering from something serious as the left side of his face isn't working anymore. And then I was like, oh, the doctor should stop this.
Starting point is 00:14:03 When the doctor gave the examinations like, how are you letting him back out there? That's what I was thinking, but I guess doctor's no better than us. I suppose. This was coming off to Norman Dumont, like just she didn't finish her, but just an obliteration of Daniel Wolf. Ran over. Ran over. And all I heard all week was like how Dumont, similar to what you said about Collier, Dumont should not be a favorite, minus 410 favorite over anyone in the UFC.
Starting point is 00:14:27 That is insane. People said that. I know, but those people are dumb. A lot of people said that. We were going into the Collier fight, and I'm just like, oh, everyone was saying, jet included, minus 410, shouldn't be a favorite over anyone. Comes out, starts malling Chris Barnett. I'm just like, you know, Vegas. they know what they're doing, and then Chris Barnett comes back, and I'm like, I'm such a mushy jinks.
Starting point is 00:14:48 Like, I'm such a douche for doing that. The bigger issue, I have all of, the only main issue I had with you as being Callier campaigner is, that's our boy. It's the, I tried to tell you it's the year of the dog. It is. It is. And Chris Barnett, Athens, Georgia, baby. It's the year of the dog.
Starting point is 00:15:09 I thought he switched up. Topology led us astray. That was messed up. on the big T's part. Topology did lead us astray because I thought that that was not true. And then I was like, well, I guess topology. Never wrong. Yeah, they never wrong.
Starting point is 00:15:23 And then it was like he shouted out ATT Lima, which is in North Atlanta. So he clearly is still a Georgia boy at heart. I'm on Sherdog right now. I don't want to have to make the switch. No, Sherdog also has Tampa, Florida. So the UFC is the only one that got it right. All right. That was UFC 279.
Starting point is 00:15:44 Overall, another profitable week, even with all the changes. Going into it, I was like, man, I don't like these new bets as much as I liked the old bets. But other than the leech, like, they all ended up working out for me, which was straight. Oh, one last thing, Jelton Omeda. I mean, that's all I have to say. I was saying, that's it. That's the story. I ended up being so overexposed on this guy.
Starting point is 00:16:10 I had like 12 units of exposure, and I didn't really realize it. it till Saturday morning. Someone let me know. So safe? Yeah, how much exposure I had. So I was a little nervous when he was getting in there and then, I mean, he just does what he does and made it look easy done in the first round. I am a, to say I'm a fan of that guy is an understatement.
Starting point is 00:16:30 I'm ready for him to get a ranked opponent because I am all aboard. The Jelton-O-Made a train. I'm not there yet just because... We're going to get you there eventually. Well, I am in general. I want to be, I need, I need resolution on this tween or shit. Like, 220 is not a division. And even though I think he can beat a lot of guys at heavyweight, being 220 is, I think,
Starting point is 00:16:58 going to be like a legitimate serious setback for him against the top top guys. I agree. I think he should commit to let heavyweight. Well, exactly. As soon as he does that and I get to watch him fight with a weight cut and do it. it, I'm ready. I'm ready to load up the guns and ride hard with him. But as long as he is committed to, I'm going to be a heavyweight because these guys
Starting point is 00:17:23 are easy, I recognize the value in it. But at some point, 220 Jailton Almeda cannot take down, you know, Francis Singano. He is not going to be able to do that and his head is going to be knocked clean off his shoulders. I don't know. I'm not going to doubt Mahadino. until I see it with my own eyes, because he just picks up gigantic men on a regular basis
Starting point is 00:17:47 and just slams them down to the ground. Parker Porter learned that. But yeah, let's get him a ranked light-heavyweight match. Let's get him on Osamaat Mirzikanov. Let's get him a- I would love to see him fight rank, because I think at light-heavy-weight, if he can fight well with the cut,
Starting point is 00:18:03 and it's not like it's, I mean, it's not a small cut. Man walks around at 220-something, something. But I think, assuming that there are no major issues with him cutting and making him, that weight. Sky's the limit for this dude. Kimi Maladino or Jimmy Crout. I just did it.
Starting point is 00:18:18 I just made the match. Done. We'll see in a couple months. Put him on the November card. Lord knows he didn't get hurt in that last fight. Put him on the November card. And I have to buy a t-shirt and curse him.
Starting point is 00:18:28 I don't want the Jimmy Crout. Give me jujitsu. Give me Paul Craig. Let's see what the mystical Craig Jitsu. Now we're talking. Now we're talking. Let's get the bear Jew in there against Maladino. When I got a great deal on a great gift,
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Starting point is 00:19:29 So join the more than 400,000 Canadian entrepreneurs who already count on us. And contact Desjardin today. We'd love to talk. Business. All right. spent way too long of 279, but things had to be talked about after how crazy that fight week was. And we move on to what some are saying is an even better card, even more hyped up. It's UFC Apex 60.
Starting point is 00:19:54 We're in Corey Sandhanging versus Song Yadong. Main event. We're at the band and weight division. Right now you can get Sandhagen for minus 190. Song Yadong at plus 160. Fight goes to distance minus 145. Fight does not go plus 115. I will tell you right now, I don't have a side.
Starting point is 00:20:11 in this fight. Great fight. Super hype for this fight. I think Corey Sanhagan's going to win, but also Song Yadong is very young and he just continues to make strides in his game. And he is a very powerful puncher at 135. So if he does win, I'm not going to be shocked. I don't have the confidence in Corey Sanhagen at minus 190 right now. What do you got on this thing? So I do have the confidence in Corey Sanhagen. Yes. I needed to hear that. I don't have a lot of props on this fight card and we were talking about it before we recorded. I'm hoping maybe you can, I know you're penchant for finding some juicy props that could be parlay legs because I have one, I have one parlay leg and I need, I mean, as we've established,
Starting point is 00:20:55 four leg parlays can't lose, so I'd love to add three more legs to it. Stirty, sturdy base, four leg table base. It's called a spider, let's add seven legs. Why not, dude? That's, you know, I'm thinking of it like a table, you know, four legs. Legs is strong. Can't be rock. Can't be eight legs, a little cumbersome.
Starting point is 00:21:14 So four legs. Combersome. Let's get a parlay table. We've had the soros out this morning. I'm feeling, feeling frocky. I just have a lot of confidence in Corey Sanhagan. I think Song Yonong is going to be great. I mean, he is very, very good now.
Starting point is 00:21:27 He's only 24. So there is always a possibility that he makes a dramatic leap overnight, basically. But I need, I'm not going to bet with that. with that assumption, I need to see it to see him make that leap. And I think stylistically it's a good fight for Sandhagen. He is a king of volume. He's a little bit taller, got a few inches of reach here. Notice how to really pop a jab out there and keep working behind it, working in combination
Starting point is 00:22:00 off it. I think of the two, Sanhagen has never been knocked out. and I, as song hits obviously very hard. I would say, though, that the more likely to get a finish in this fight would be San Dagan, and I think he's more likely to just outpoint song over the course of five rounds, which I do think is the most likely outcome. So I think he just has all the advantages here. This fight's going to be sick.
Starting point is 00:22:27 If Song has made a leap, then I'm going to feel probably pretty stupid. But I think San Hagan is one of the three or four best. fighters in the world at this weight class and song is just just a scotch just a hair below that so give me Corey Sanhagen I got him a minus 190 number I'm feeling okay about that yeah I can't blame me for that I also have to say from a strategic standpoint I have to I have to work this in now with this MMA hour parlay every week I can all but guarantee Corey Sanhagan will be in that parlay between Rick Frank oh for sure and Ariel there's a No doubt someone's going to pick him.
Starting point is 00:23:08 So I will be riding with San Hagan just over there. So hopefully the Parlay is still alive when it gets to that. And I do think that San Hagan likely will win. You mentioned Parlay piece. You mentioned this going long. I've got the over one and a half. Classic stuff. Draft Kings opened it up last night at minus 300.
Starting point is 00:23:25 I think it's moved a lot since then. Let's take a look because it's a lovely line. Yeah. I want to say I checked it this morning. It is minus 550. Yeah. It doesn't do it. do much for anyone, but that's what they open it up at.
Starting point is 00:23:39 I love looking at prop openers. I'm going to take the over two and a half on that for the second leg of the parlay. Yes, so that'll... Minus 300 for over two and a half. I'm still comfortable with that. Just to throw it out there, I mean, I kind of blindly played it, and then just looking deeper at the stats, it's a little sketchier than I thought. If you just look back on them, they have a combined nine fights in the UFC that have gone
Starting point is 00:24:00 under the one and a half. But to your point, I think this is going to go along. I think it's going to be a technical war. or, you know, like chess match style, figuring each other out. You know, Sandhagen moves a ton. We've seen him go 25 minutes in his last two fights against top, top, top tier talent. Yeah, song. Last two went under one and a half, but Moly Marius is fairly cheney.
Starting point is 00:24:22 And five of the six before that went to a decision. So I feel comfortable in this one going along. Yeah. Now that you say those numbers, I'm going to leave, I'm not going to punch this in. We're going to leave it. We'll see. Maybe I'll come back to that. as a leg of the table, but the parley table still needs three legs at the moment in time.
Starting point is 00:24:43 Next one up. I don't think I'm going to sell you on a parlay piece, but I do have one in it. It is the co-main event. A metal weight boutered is Cheedy in Jokano going up against Gregory Rodriguez. Right now you can get Cheety at minus 115, Rodriguez, Robocop, coming back at minus 105. Over one and a half, set at minus 140 under at plus 110, similar to the main event. Great fight. Super excited for it. I think it's going to be a fun fight, but I do not have a side in it. I think this is kind of a coin flip fight for me, but I took a prop in the fight does not go to a decision.
Starting point is 00:25:19 Oh, I think that's probably a pretty decent prop. What did you get that line at? Minus 220. I saw some books have it at minus 200. Yeah, that's not a parley. I did consider the under here. I do have a side, though. I am just on Robocop.
Starting point is 00:25:36 Give me Gregory Rodriguez. Let's go. I think he's, maybe this is just my heart. He's incredibly fun to watch, dude. Like he, my boy, A.K. Lee at M.M.A.finding.com, great writer, great website. He is a big Robocop guy thinks that this dude is really showing a lot of promise in the middleweight division. I agree. I think this guy is just really damn good.
Starting point is 00:26:02 he certainly doesn't have the greatest fight at Q. He doesn't always maximize what he needs to be doing, but he is a zombie on the feet, throws a ton of volume, a ton of heat. I wouldn't say that it isn't his best interest to fight in Jokwani by striking with him, but I think he can certainly be competitive and do well there. We've seen him fight other accomplished kickboxers and do well on the feet.
Starting point is 00:26:29 And if this goes to the floor, this is one-way traffic. I think Gregory Rodriguez can get it to the floor. I think he will. And I think he can also be competitive on the feet. So I got him at plus 100, and I like the underdog value there. Yeah, I mean, I think the one way that this fight doesn't go to a decision prop misses is if Robocop's just big blockhead just stays in there the whole time. Like the dude.
Starting point is 00:26:55 Big blockhead. Dude's stuff to put out. The dude is stuff to put out. Statistically speaking, dating back to 27. 16, eight of Cheaty's last 11 fights have knocked on to a decision. Rodriguez, dating back to 2016 as well, 10 of his last 13 of knock on the distance. Both finishers, they have both been finished. I just do think this fight will end inside the 15 minutes.
Starting point is 00:27:19 For your sake, I'd love to see a Robocop knockout win or maybe even a submission. He's good on the ground, too. I'm BGG champion multiple times over. If he gets it to the floor, I think this fight is done. Sick throws, too. Yeah. What was it? He can't get it to the floor.
Starting point is 00:27:37 So I really like him as a bet here. I'm frankly surprised he is the underdog. My assumption is it's just because he's looked vulnerable because he does get hit a lot in the face. But when you have a big blockhead getting hit a lot in the face, it's all right. You know, it's okay. Still have a good time, dude.
Starting point is 00:27:58 Just moving to the fire. All right, let's keep it rolling on the main. card. It's a featherweight bout Andre Feeley going up against Bill Algeo. Right now you can get Philly at minus 120. Algio coming back at even money. Fight goes the distance, minus 215. Fight does not go.
Starting point is 00:28:14 Plus 165. I got a side here. First side of the main card for me. I also have a side. A little nervous. Are we on the same side? I'm going with the dog. I took Algae. Oh, we are not on the same side. Let's go.
Starting point is 00:28:31 Let's go. I don't feel good about my bet, though, so... I don't feel that great about mine either, but I, yeah, I pulled the trigger. I was at UFC Long Island, Bill Algeo, solid grappler, got out of those tough spots with Herbert Burns. Obviously survived to get the finish, even though, you know, Burns had the injury. You know, I'm not willing to do MMA math either. Never me. No one...
Starting point is 00:28:54 If anyone knows me, they know I'm not a guy that does MMA math, but, you know, Thiele put out Joe Anderson Brito in 40 seconds. Algeo beats, you know, breed up by decision. Just, you know, MMA math always works out, too, even though I'm not a guy that does MMA MMA math. Well, my, I also relied on MMA math here. Oh, let's go. Of a different kind.
Starting point is 00:29:20 It is, Bill Algeo just loves to give up takedowns. I mean, I don't know if there's a thing this man likes more than being taken down. eight of them to Ricardo Hamos. That's a lot of takedowns. Ricardo's are his kryptonite. He can't win against Ricardo. It's very true. It's very, very true.
Starting point is 00:29:45 But I'm, you know, gave up three to Brendan Lone. You know, that's, Brendan Lachnain's good, good fighter. But that's, man, gave up five to the other Ricardo. He just really enjoys being taken down over and over again. and Andre Feeley is a good wrestler, he's an active wrestler. I'm betting him because I do think, I think he probably loses the feet, like the battle on the feet, but I think he can dictate the grappling exchanges and win that way.
Starting point is 00:30:15 I don't feel great about putting money on Andre Fili if we're being honest, just because would you, would anyone ever, I don't know why, I don't love that I laid minus 130 odds on him, especially coming off that real tough loss to Jerry Anderson but though but I'm still I still believe Philly has a little juice left in the tank and I think the matchup favors him so I took the shot to give a little love to my guy Algio last five years he's eight and one against guys that aren't named Ricardo that's a pretty good track very good last I checked don't Rodney call hear me here but I don't think it's Ricardo Phile's is just throwing that out there
Starting point is 00:30:56 But you mentioned the take down. If it was, how dope would that be? I would cash out my algeo bet as fast as I could and bet Philly if his real name was actually Ricardo. His real name is Andre Riley Givens. Riley, suspiciously close. Both start with R.I. They both start with R.I.
Starting point is 00:31:18 Both start with R.I. There's, you know, maybe he's kryptonitis guys whose name start with R.I. It could be. R. O.I. Riley, coming into the house to get you a little return on your investment, get you a dub. No, but I mean, Algeo, like, I know that Feeley gets takedowns, but when he gets takedowns, he struggles to keep people down. Like, he's never the one that's just going to rack up stuff.
Starting point is 00:31:40 He also, there's not a huge submission threat from him. He has zero submission wins in the UFC. I think he's only submitted two across his entire UFC career, which spans since 2013. I think Algeo is going to be able to hang in there if he does try that. And I think he's going to be able to get back up. to the feet. And then when you just look at it on the feet, I think Aljo, I think he's got the volume advantage. I think he's going to circle the cage, be moving constantly. He's tough as nails.
Starting point is 00:32:04 He's never been K-Oed. It's not like Philly has this giant K-O threat either. I know he has won by K-O. And I just like a guy in Algeo that's going to fight for my money, which is why I took him at the dog odds. Right. Like I said, I don't feel wildly comfortable in my bet, but it is a bet that I made. So that's where we are. People love when we go head-to-head. So, I mean, it works out. We've got to have one on the main card.
Starting point is 00:32:28 So I wish you best of luck. That's what I'm going to say. I'm going to get out in front of you, and I wish you the best of luck. I wish you the best of luck, too. Now I feel like you're just doing this because I wished you the best of luck. No, no. I'm riding high from the Huggy Bear profits, so I can take this head-to-head loss. This one, I can wear this one on the chin because I got a lot of extra profits from believing in Chris Barnett,
Starting point is 00:32:51 who believes in me. Because that's the thing about Chris. He believes in all of us. Guy loves fans. That's what Chris Barnett does best. All right, let's keep it rolling. Next up on the main card, it's a middle-way bout. Alan Amadowski going up against Joe Pfeiffer.
Starting point is 00:33:06 Right now you can get Pfeiffer for minus 425, straight off the contender series. Amadowski at plus 340. Under 1.5, set at minus 175 over at plus 145. Yeah, dude. So plain and simple, I just don't think Amadowski. is UFC level. What? Three fights.
Starting point is 00:33:26 Three fights. Last time, finished by Joseph Holmes in 64 seconds before that. Knocked out in 17 seconds by John Phillips. Fight before that. 30-25th by Jocko, Christoph Jocko. It just has not been a great run for him. He's going up against the guy in Pfeiffer that. I think he's going to find success at this level.
Starting point is 00:33:44 I think the UFC is trying to get his name out there. Let him be known. He's coming straight off the contender series into a main card fight. He is the A side of this fight. There is no doubt about that. Plus, at the end of the day, dude, he's actually pretty good. If you watch his contender series fight, six of his nine wins are by K.O. I think that's very likely, very likely how this one ends. So yeah, I have Pfefer as a parley piece. I also have a fight does not go to a decision as a parley piece just because if Amadowski does pull this off, it is going to be by K. All eight of his wins are by K. I just don't see a world where it's Alan Medovsky getting his hand raised by a decision win. I mean, can't really argue with anything you said. I will just add one extra piece because I fell in this particular number hilarious. Amidowski has three fights in the UFC.
Starting point is 00:34:38 Do you know how many strikes he has landed? I know that he only landed six in the Jocco fight over 15 minutes. Fill me in on the other two. Nine total strikes. He's the reverse homo. Hamzaa Chimayev. Like, if he ever fought Hamzaa Chimayev, the greatest bet in the history of MMA betting would be Chimayev to absorb zero strikes in that.
Starting point is 00:35:04 What would that be, minus 380 or something? Probably, but it would still be the greatest bet in the history of the sport. So, yeah, I agree with everything you said. I didn't actually look. I have, currently I've got Piper lined up to be the first leg of the parlay table. I'd like to be building. But I didn't even look at this. Maybe instead what I will do is I will look at Piper
Starting point is 00:35:30 inside the distance. I think it's like minus 250, minus 225. Jeez, really? Come on. Give me a little lower. Juicing you up. Let's see. A little lower number.
Starting point is 00:35:42 Is there a Joe Piper more significant strikes bet? Minus 500. That's minus 500. But man, that feels like a safe one. Joe Piper, more significant strikes. is minus 500. Yeah. Yeah, that feels incredibly safe.
Starting point is 00:35:59 Unless Amadowski lands like three right from the start and then get starched or something. Yeah. If I can't find four legs to the parlay, I will just bet Pfeiffer by K or submission at minus 250, but we're at the time just going to leave this as the first leg of the parley table. I love it. I love it. I like Piper here. I think he's going to get this one done.
Starting point is 00:36:21 I think he really is going to have some success at the UFC level. All right, let's go to the last fight on the main card. It's a heavyweight bow. Tanner Bozer going up against Rodrigo Nassamento. Right now you can get Bozer for minus 165. Nassimento coming back at plus 140. The over-under is now set at 1.5. It opened up at 2.5.
Starting point is 00:36:41 Over is minus 125. Under is minus 105. Yeah, I took the under 2.5. I think Vegas set this line because Bozer's gone to so many decisions in his career, but on the flip side, Nassimento has never even seen a third round in his 10-fight career. So yes, I hate that our experiment is coming to a close here this week. You know, we miss the call you're over. That one doesn't count, buddy.
Starting point is 00:37:14 Oh, why? Because that was a super heavyweight fight because Chris, Barnett missed weight. So I know that I had to answer this. I did get a little bit of that on Twitter of the heavyweight overs don't always hit anymore. And I was like, actually, there were no heavyweight fights in this card. We had a super heavyweight fight because Chris Barnett missed weight.
Starting point is 00:37:33 Wow. And then we had a 220-pound catchweight fight. Wow. So heavyweight overs are still a thing. And as a result, I have taken the over one and a half. The over one and a half at minus one-thirty. I would be entirely transparent. I would bet it because I would bet it.
Starting point is 00:37:52 I would feel terrible about betting over two and a half. Dude, I was shocked when they opened this at two and a half. And I got it at minus 108. And I was just like, what is this? Because I was like I've capped or like I've researched Nassimental before. And I know he's never been to a third round. And I was just like, oh, this, I have to play this. What is this?
Starting point is 00:38:16 Like this is a heavyweight fight where one side of it has never seen. the third round. Like, how are we laying this? Obviously, the line has moved, but like, I would feel terrible playing the over two and a half as well. We're going to get that nice middle. I got a nice feeling we're going to get this middle. Bozer's going to knock him out with like 60, no, like 53 seconds left in the second round. I, well, we'll talk about that in a second because I will also say, I don't even, I believe in heavyweight overs, so it's okay. But a man inclined to look at the numbers might say, not only has Nassimento never gone to the third round, he's actually only ever gone over one and a half one time in his career. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:39:07 So that's what a different man, a man, and he barely went over that one. one time. So a different man might point that out. But I believe in heavyweight overs. I'm taking the over. I'm also taking Rodrigo Nassimento on this one. Yes, let's go. I love that. A very simple, very simple reason why I'm taking it. And again, I'm taking this and I recognize that Nassimito, when he wins, happens to win quickly. So taking the over and him winning, it's a pretty narrow window. Something's going to hit. Something's going to hit. Maybe. Theoretically, I'm targeting a very narrow window here, though I will say if I lose, if, if Bozer wins, he probably does go over because the man, four decisions in his last five fights or whatever.
Starting point is 00:39:58 I'll say something about that in a second. Well, I will just wrap my Nassiminto by saying, I'm taking Nassiminto at the underdog odds plus 1.45. I get why Bozer is the favorite. I think Nassiminto, he's not defensively good on the old feet, gets hit a whole lot. But I do think that he has the ability to win the ground game here. And more importantly, following the success of Chris Barnett, Huggy Bear, and my exact argument last week that you were incredulous and didn't believe me in, I did not.
Starting point is 00:40:37 Chris Collier isn't good because he lost to Andre, Olovsky and thus I'm fading the man who lost to Andrei O'Ovsky. Tanner Bozer also lost to Andrei Alovsky. No love for the legend, bro. I wrote an article arguing that he's the greatest heavyweight of all time. So I do love Andrei Alovsky. I'm just saying I'm going to continue to fade heavyweights that have lost to him and see where that takes me in my gambling journey.
Starting point is 00:41:07 I like that. Yeah, one thing I'll say about the Bozer decisions is that it is that it is, coming against guys like Andre Arlowski, Alia Latifi, Cyril Ghan, heavyweets that aren't foreign to go into decisions, not against guys that have never seen a third round in their career. So, yeah. Rodrigo Nassimento, knockout, 53 seconds remaining in the second round.
Starting point is 00:41:31 Ding, ding, ding, ding, three bets cashed. Can I also just add this one out, just a little bit of extra sauce for anybody on the fence? Last week I told you, Fade the guy who lost Andre Olavski, go with Huggy Bear. This week I'm telling you, fade the guy who lost to Andrea Olavski,
Starting point is 00:41:50 go with a yogi bear. So, fading guys who lost to Andrea Olavski when they are fighting guys whose fight nicknames are bear. It's pretty irrefutable. I don't think that can lose. I'm pretty sure it's 1 in0 right now.
Starting point is 00:42:04 I don't think that has ever been a circumstance in betting before last week, and we're getting it back-to-back weeks. Back-to-back. It's tough to argue. How do you turn that down? I can't even lie when you were like extra sauce. I thought you were going to have a third bet on this fight, which would be fantastic.
Starting point is 00:42:20 God, no. All right, so that's the main card. Fun little main card, I suppose. Let's get into the prelims. We actually got a lot to talk about, so let's just rip through them. We'll start with a middleweight bout. It is Anthony Fluffy Hernandez going up against MAB, Mark Andre, Beryl. Right now, Hernandez is sitting at minus 180, MAB coming back at plus 155.
Starting point is 00:42:41 I played Hernandez earlier in the week at minus 155. We've seen MAB struggle against wrestlers, and I just think that needs to be the exact game plan for Hernandez. He's coming off at just a wrestling clinic against Josh Frimd, eight takedowns, 11 minutes of control time. You shoot early, shoot often, rack up control time, go for submissions, go for ground and pounds, and get it done. I mean, if it does stay on the feet, I think Hernandez can hang,
Starting point is 00:43:08 but I don't like that nearly as much as taking it to the ground. I like Hernandez to get it done in this matchup. To paraphrase the fantastic film Old School when Will Ferrell is debating and at the end of it, they look over to the raging cage in James Carvel. He's like, we have nothing to say. That was perfect.
Starting point is 00:43:32 That's how I feel. I have nothing to add. I'm also on Anthony Hernandez. You did a brilliant job of explaining it. think he's going to get the control, think he's going to get the win. Let's go. That's all that needs to be said. We're both on fluffing in that one.
Starting point is 00:43:46 Let's keep it rolling. Featherway about Damon Jackson going up against Pat Sabatini. Pat Sabatini minus 180. Damon Jackson coming back at plus 155. Fight goes the distance minus 210. Fight does not go plus 170. Kind of similar to the last breakdown. I have Pat Sabatini.
Starting point is 00:44:03 Russell, wrestle, wrestle. Four UFC fights for Pat Sabatini. He'll hook Jamers in the first round and then three decisions. in those three decisions, averaging four takedowns and 937 of control time. Clearly, that is the plan here. I think he's the better wrestler than Damon Jackson. I think he's going to get it done. That's just what I think.
Starting point is 00:44:22 And now I have a little statistic to throw out to you. A little something. Well, I love numbers. Henzo Gracie Philly? Pretty good team. Pretty good team over there run by Daniel Gracie. Jeremiah Wells, Andre Petroski, Sean Brady, and of course, Pat Sabatini. combined 15 and 0 in the UFC, 17, 4 and O, Brady 5 and O, Wells 3 and O, Petroski, 3 and O.
Starting point is 00:44:47 So, yeah, in short, I'm eating cheese steaks on Saturday, baby. We're riding with Philly. That is what I'm doing. Cheese steaks on Saturday for me. Oh, I love that for two specific reasons. The first being totally with you, if you're a frequent listener to the MMA Fighting Podcast Network, network, great website. God, great, great network. Great website.
Starting point is 00:45:14 There's also a great man there by the name of one Mike Heck. Great guy. Great guy. Never met him, actually. Really, he's a great guy. He's been a big Pat Sabatini supporter. Really thinks a lot of this dude. And I can't blame him.
Starting point is 00:45:30 Guy's a hell of a fighter. I didn't know that about the Hensow-Filly Squad. I mean, they were having success. I didn't know it was that. level of success, UFC's got to go to Philly at some point in the near future. I'd be sick. I've only been to Philly once, but I loved it when I went. Never been. But I mean, Paul Felder's been saying that's the only thing that's going to make me fight again. They come back to Philly. We make something happen. I don't know how
Starting point is 00:45:55 the UFC doesn't just just roll to Philly. But I love this bet for a second reason. Yes, tell me. And it's because right next door to where I live. I mean a five-minute walk at absolute most there is a place with an unbelievable Philly Cheese Steak. Yes. Tell me the name. It's Fred's meat and bread. Don't know if, because Fred's is relatively new to Atlanta.
Starting point is 00:46:24 I mean, it's been in the last like five years or so. I've never been. One of the best cheese sticks I had in Atlanta was Woody's. That's kind of like the, you know, everyone knows about whaties. Woody's is a classic. Fred's blows Woody's out of the weather. Wow. God, I love to hear that. Bon Appetitie magazine called it the best cheese steak in America.
Starting point is 00:46:43 Never read Bon Appetit, but it sounds like they know what they're talking about. They know a little thing or two about the food game, and it is an unbelievable cheese steak. And so because of this, now Saturday, I can go get a cheese steak for lunch before the fights, and just be all team Philly. I can't. Now I'm so stoked. When you were like, when you said that, I was like, you know. You're going to have cheese steaks?
Starting point is 00:47:10 Yes. I'm going to have a cheese steak, my man. I hope that, like, people didn't think I was joking when I said that. Like, I was like, oh, ha-ha, cheese steaks, Philly. I will be consuming. Yes, croissants. I will be consuming. I've done English breakfast twice.
Starting point is 00:47:26 I don't even like, I eat beans with breakfast twice. I hate it. Beans on toast, baby. Nice cup of tea? For the cost. The tea is great. Love tea. The, what is it, blood sausage, the black.
Starting point is 00:47:39 Oh, black pudding. Black pudding's great, too. I'm not a big black pudding guy. I do like the sausage. The beans, I've fully cemented my flag into the ground. I do not like beans with my breakfast, but I do it for the cause. What I do like is Philly cheese steaks. I love myself a fantastic cheese steak, and that's what I'm going to be getting on Saturday.
Starting point is 00:48:01 Don't know if it's lunch, don't know if it's dinner. If you time it outright for dinner, because this is a 4 o'clock fight card start, and Sabatini and Damon Jackson are on the prelims, you could be having a cheese steak at dinner time in the Eastern time zone while you're watching Pat Sabatini rack up 12 minutes of control time on Damon Jackson. Sounds like a good way to enjoy a cheese steak. Now I'm going to have to try and time that out, figure out how to make that happen. I love everything that's happening.
Starting point is 00:48:29 Yeah, I'm actually super hype for this cheese steak. I've got some Eagles friends here too or some Philly fans here. Philly friends here too. Might even go support the Eagles on Sunday if Sabatini gets it done for us. Oh, the Eagles? The old Eagles? Who were they playing this week? No clue.
Starting point is 00:48:47 Let me check. I had a pretty good first week of NFL betting. Great, great Sundays. Oh, I had a terrible week. It was a great Sunday slate. I mean, the witching hour is fantastic. The witching hour was electric this week. Dude.
Starting point is 00:49:05 They got the money. and I double header. My Bills started off and then Vikings Eagles later than the night. You're a Bills guy now. I forget the... Oh, yeah. Yeah. I got the Zubaz pants.
Starting point is 00:49:15 It's a really good year to join that bandwagon. I mean, that's why I joined the bandwagon. No one circles the wagons like the Buffalo Bills. Thanks, Boomer. Thanks, boom. All right, let's keep it rolling on the prelims. Next up, we got a welterway bout. Trevin Giles going up against Luis Sose.
Starting point is 00:49:33 Right now you can get Giles at minus 205. associate plus 175 under set of two and a half minus 140 over set of plus 105 uh going uh no fighter again i'm going with a prop i'm going with the fight doesn't go to a decision at minus 155 uh seven of jiles nine ufc fights have not gone to a decision and then so say eight fights in his career last fight it did hit the third round but it ended there before that seven fights to start off the career, all of them first round finishes, six of them in the first 80 seconds. Both of these dudes have finishing capabilities, and I think that is what is going to happen here. Can't hate the bet. I have no action here. I'm not going to put that as a parlay piece,
Starting point is 00:50:19 so I'm just stuck left wanting for more action. Well, we got a few fights to talk about, so hopefully we can find some for you. We still have more to talk about. We do have a women's bantam weight bout coming up, and that is Aspen Ladd going up against Sarah McMahon. Right now you can get Ladd at minus 135. McMahon coming back at plus 115. The over under is set at two and a half, over minus 225 under plus 185. I have nothing on this fight. The floor is yours, sir. Oh yeah, this is this is a me one. I was stunned that the odds were what they were on this. I have two plays here. Yes, two plays.
Starting point is 00:51:04 I, Aspen Ladd has a lot of flaws. Her camp is one that is, it's bad. I know she's lost three or four, but she's, she's not Sarah McMahon, and that's really what the bet is. Like, all do respect to Sarah McMahon, who, silver medalist in the Olympics, is incredible accomplishments. It's better than I'll ever do it anything in the world, so hat tip to that. she is 42 years old and just a career underachiever in MMA. Like just she has never, everybody wanted her to be, oh, Olympic silver medalist, she's going to be the woman.
Starting point is 00:51:47 And then she has never, never found it. You know, she lost to Marion Hano. She lost to Ketland Vieira. Now losing to Ketland Vieira looks a lot better now, but she has just had setback after setback. basically every time she has faced someone who can even a little bit match her athleticism, she has lost. And Aspen Ladd has a lot of flaws, but she's pretty athletic and substantially younger.
Starting point is 00:52:16 And I just think Sarah McMahon is well past her best days. So I took Lad at minus 135. I don't feel like unbelievably confident just because Ladd is her career is in somewhat of a free fall right now, but I think this is how you write the ship. You get a name, you get a win, you get back on top, back moving to the eventual title shot that she will get in this very, very thin division. And I also took a little flyer on the under, under two and a half plus 175. Her, almost all of McMahon's losses, she gets submitted. It's just a thing that she does. She got tapped by Peña, she got tap by Renault, she got tap by Villarra, she got tap by Nune,
Starting point is 00:53:00 She got obliterated by Rhonda Rousey. It was oddly not a submission, but when she loses, it's never on the cards. She doesn't make it to the cards to lose. Aspen Lad for her many flaws. She is a finisher. Seven of her nine career fights come by finish. The only person in the UFC to make it to the cards with her, Sajara Eubanks, everybody else she's putting out.
Starting point is 00:53:29 I just think that this is a nice, at plus 175, willing to take the shot that Aspen Ladd can get Sarah McMahon out of there. I like it. I mean, Espin Ladd has finishing capabilities. We have seen that before. And honestly, I don't blame me for having two bets on this fight. I mean, this is the fight that people have been waiting on. I mean, 2020.
Starting point is 00:53:50 2020, this thing was supposed to happen. On the Porier Hooker fight card, canceled. 2022. We were supposed to get it at UFC San Diego to San Diego fans. San Diego's were hungry. They were foaming at the mouth for this one. And finally, we are going to get it at the apex on September 17th. The much-anticipated Aspen Ladd-Sara McMahon Showdown,
Starting point is 00:54:13 and I love that you got two bets on it. So I commend you for that. You know, I saw that you had nothing on this, and I was like, let me give the people what they've been craving multiple bets on this women's ban and weight fight. The fans will thank you. I do it for you guys. I do it for you guys.
Starting point is 00:54:29 And that's a great segue to our next one where I have multiple bets. It's a women's flyweight bout. Maria Agapova going up against Jillian Robertson. Right now you can get Robertson minus 145. Agapova at plus 125 over under set at two and a half under minus 150 over plus 120. So yeah, I'm just first glance over at Tapology. I'm pretty shocked I have a bet on this fight. I'm very shocked.
Starting point is 00:54:56 I have two bets on this fight. which makes it even better. Love it. First off, I'll just tell you my side. I'm on Gillian Robertson. Yes, she has lost three of her last four, but to girls like JJ Aldrich, Miranda Maverick, Tyler Santos, not really something to be that ashamed of.
Starting point is 00:55:12 What Gillian Robertson does is wrestle and grapple and go for submissions. She's actually been credited for a submission attempt in seven of her 12 fights, and she has finished the fight with five of those. Agapova does not do great with this. with this style, five UFC fights for her, two and three in those fights. When she gets a takedown recorded on her, she's 0 and 3. When she doesn't, she's doing up, just doing some math there. And how did Maria Agapova Ferry last time out?
Starting point is 00:55:42 She got forced against the cage. She got taken down. She got dominated on the ground, and she eventually got submitted by Morose in her last fight. So I just think one of the only times you're really ever going to say that Julie Robertson has a favorable match. in terms of having a very clear path to victory, go out there, get takedowns, go for submissions, and get Agapova out of there. Now, Agapova, wild, can come out there, swang, bang, do some crazy stuff, and get a finish. So I'm not overly confident in the Jillian Robertson side, but that does take me to my next bed.
Starting point is 00:56:21 You know, it comes from a deep place in me. It's upsetting to see, but the UFC has, They've deprived us. They've clearly been avoiding having flyweight fights on their cards. I mean, real bastards in that regard. August 20th, the early prelims of UFC 278 was the last time we got to taste that sweet gold, that sweet nectar of a flyweight under. And I mean, I don't know about you. I'm not going to speak for you, but I don't discriminate.
Starting point is 00:56:54 Man, woman, you're a flyweight to me. And that's all I know. And this happens to be a flyweight fight, and I can wait no longer. So for that, I will be taking the under two and a half in this fight. I mean, Agapova, six straight fights, under two and a half, four wins, two losses. Some are going to come at me. Everyone's going to be coming at my neck. Robertson, four of the last five, gone to a decision.
Starting point is 00:57:22 Yeah, well, the seven before that in the UFC, they didn't go to a decision. So in my eyes, that's eight of the last 12. I think Agapova style, it's killer be killed. I think Julian Robertson can be the one doing the killing or be the one getting killed as well. And I think we're going to hit that under two and a half. Give me that vice until the next men's flyweight under we can hit. I am also on Robertson. I agree with everything you said.
Starting point is 00:57:48 You know, I think that this is probably dumb because I think maybe discrimination is part. and parcel of what we've done with fly weights. I think there were some women's flyweight unders that we weren't, uh, weren't actively pursuing here. But I agree. I, I miss it,
Starting point is 00:58:08 miss it so much. All I want to do is to know, I miss going into a fight card and being like, all right, well, that's a, that's a winning bet. Let's just,
Starting point is 00:58:17 I got at least one one. I got at least one winner because the one 25ers are going. Yeah. We've got one in the banks that were good. And I got to say, here's the other part of this too. We have a long time to wait, my friend, because no event next weekend,
Starting point is 00:58:35 obviously the event after that darn yon, no fly weights on that either, buddy. So we're talking until October 15th. Oh, my God. Knock on wood that nothing would happen. October 15th does have two flyweight bouts on it. One of them, Brandon Royval, Oscar Ascarov. Oh, my God.
Starting point is 00:58:56 Just a banger and a half, Brandon Royval does not know how to hit overs. I was going to say we're going to need Roy Vow to step up there because Ascar Ashkar-Asgraf loves hitting overs. Yeah, but Roy Valle is going to step up. The man doesn't know how to not do it. Oh, and then we got C.J. Vergaura. Tatsu-Tierre. C.J. Vergara. That is sit by the computer and wait for the opening lines to rip both of those. Wow.
Starting point is 00:59:24 We're talking till October. 15th. That's two months of waiting for flyweight unders It might be worth the wait. It might be worth the wait and I might even get crazy and play the under on the main event because that's a flyweight fight. There's also a flyweight guy?
Starting point is 00:59:38 Alexa Grasso, Viviana Rujo. I might play the under on that as well. I might get crazy. I will. I mean, there's also the possibility that October 1st. I know that that's a women's strawweight main event, but McKinsey, Dern, could turn into a flyweight fight at any
Starting point is 00:59:54 point in time on a fight week. You know, that is a thing that has been known to happen. But I'm with you. I miss it. I want the rush. I want the feeling. So here's what I'm going to do. I'm going to join you on the under.
Starting point is 01:00:06 I was going to be offended if you didn't. I'm not even going to lie. I was going to be a little bit offended if you didn't. I'm not just going to join you on the under. I'm going to put that in the parlay. I still need three legs. Flyweight unders never lose. Why wouldn't I have a lock in the parlay?
Starting point is 01:00:22 So I'm going to polly that up with Piper. At just two legs, it pays out like plus 100 right now. Hopefully, because I have no more bets on this card as it stands. I know you've still got a little action. You can sell me on something else to close it down. But if not, I'll just take a two leg. It's not the sturdiest. Bipel parlay is not what I was looking for.
Starting point is 01:00:44 I'd love to at least make this a tripod, good sturdy base. But for now, that's where I'll be. I'm going to put a bow on this on a really good note because the week after that October 15th card we get another flyweight under we get another flyweight fight on 280 look at me getting ahead of myself
Starting point is 01:01:04 already saying the other we got Muhammad Mikhail going up against Mountie. We sure do that. I mean it's a good time to be in the flywood under business. October is a good month. I may just go ahead
Starting point is 01:01:17 and parlay all three of those unders just do... If they give us the props in time, I'll do it. Well, you just just put leave an open parlayout with the fly and then just fill it as it goes. Oh, man. This is, it's worth the weight.
Starting point is 01:01:31 You know what? I shouldn't have doubt of the UFC in their matchmaking capabilities. It's worth the weight. I mean, this is. October's going to be nice. October's going to be nice. You know, get that extra coin for the Christmas presents, the holiday season coming up. It's a good time to be the flower.
Starting point is 01:01:47 Buy the big turkey. We can buy the big turkey for Thanksgiving. Thanksgiving's going to be good this year, folks. I can go ahead and tell you that one right now. if you're in the flyweight under industry. All right, let's finish this up. It is a men's lightweight balance. It's Nicholas Moda going up against Cameron Van Camp.
Starting point is 01:02:04 Moda right now at minus 205. Van Camp at plus 175. Over under set of 2.5. Under minus 145, over plus 115. I got one more prop to finish this off. I got this one. Fight does not go to a decision. I really think this one's going to be kind of a car crash.
Starting point is 01:02:22 This is just two game fighters coming in here, Van Gogh. camp. A couple moments against Andre Fiala looked like he had him hurt on short notice, but eventually he got knocked out first round. He's not afraid to get in there standing brawl like we saw in that Fiala fight. Moda on his end, six of his last wins, six of his last nine wins are coming by knockout. Last three losses, he's been knocked out in kind of a killer be killed type fighter Van Camp. Fifteen of his 18 fights have not gone the distance, 15 of his last 18, that is. Including 10 of those ended in the first round, just like he. his last three fights.
Starting point is 01:02:55 So I think it's going to be a fun fight for as long as it lasts, and I will take this one to not go to a decision. What are the odds on that? I took it at minus 170. I want to say that it's still hanging around because the under two and a half is minus 145. Yeah, that doesn't feel like a parlay leg to me. I don't think it is.
Starting point is 01:03:16 I don't think it is. You know, here's what I'll do. I'm going to join you on a previous bet you list. on the main event over my over one and a half it's minus 550 but I'll add that because I two legs just it's not a sturdy enough parley two legs you could tip over and fall very easily three legs triangle it's a tripod dude they film movies on tripods yeah pyramid's one the strongest you know strongest shapes out there yeah I didn't even think about pyramids like they've been standing in the test of time says this sounds like a good idea stand forever so I'm just going to
Starting point is 01:03:53 keep stacking up on top of that. Great, great success. I'll add that. It pays out a plus 137 with those three legs. I'm okay with that. It's not quite the table, but the pyramid, the parley pyramid, I love a parley pyramid. That is brilliant. So that is that.
Starting point is 01:04:11 UFC Apex 60 Song versus Sandhagen. Should be a fun one. Four o'clock start. That's some of the best news I could have received this entire week to take us into the off week. My bets. I'm on Jillian Robertson Agapova under two and a half. I'm on Motivane Camp, fight does not go to a decision. I'm on So Say Jiles' fight doesn't go to a decision. I'm on Pat Sabatini, cheese steaks for dinner on Saturday night. I'm on Bill Algeo, I'm on Anthony Hernandez, and I am on Bozer Nassimento under two and a half. The parlays I have.
Starting point is 01:04:44 We forgot to talk about this one. I think I might have skipped right over it. I definitely did. but a parley piece that I have is Daniel Zellhuber. Oh, sell me on it. The Young Mexican King. He didn't talk about this at all. The Golden Boy. Where is this on my note sheet here? Did I just completely erase this?
Starting point is 01:05:04 Because I remember, there it is. I found it. Yes, I just completely skipped right over this. Yeah, I'm on Daniel Zellhuber against Trey Ogden. Right now, he's at minus 275. Lock them in earlier this week with that Joe Piper piece at minus 3. 90 or whatever it was. He's young. He lacks having a ton of experience,
Starting point is 01:05:24 but I'm going to trust in the undefeated golden boy in this one. I thought he looked good on Dana White Contender Series. And the man that he was fighting, Lucas Almeida already has a dominant win in the UFC. He lost, but he ended up in the UFC, fought Mike Trezano dominant win. That's better than what you can say for Trey Ogden. He did not look great in that fight against Jordan Levitt. Zell Hoover, he's going to be bigger. He's going to be longer.
Starting point is 01:05:46 Five-inch reach advantage in this one. is undoubtedly going to have the striking advantage. I mean, Jordan Leavitt landed 69 strikes on Ogden. First of all, nice. Second of all, Leavitt had before that fight had not landed more than 21 strikes on anybody. Five UFC fights, never gone over 21. It goes 69 against Ogden. So, yeah, I can't speak to either guys' ground game that much,
Starting point is 01:06:10 but I wasn't thoroughly impressed in the Ogden 11th fight. So I think Zell Heiber's got this. I think he's going to be able to stand on the feet and just pick them. apart over the 15 minutes. I wish you the best of luck. I cannot follow. This won't be the fourth leg to the table. Parlay pyramid.
Starting point is 01:06:27 You got a pyramid, dude. We're doing okay. You don't need a table. You don't need a table. So, yeah, they got a little hectic there. Zellhaver. I'm sorry for the disrespect. If he loses, it's because he was disrespect. I don't know that far. If he loses it's because of this, for sure. Yeah, so I got Zell Haber parlayed
Starting point is 01:06:44 with Joe Pfeiffer. And then I did a little Zell Haber Pfeiffer real sharp shit here parlayed canelo alberes with that as well a little a little uh oh shit that is a way better fourth leg i didn't even think because i i took parlor i took uh canello straight like whenever the line dropped immediately oh let's go nice nice uh don't see canello there's no world he doesn't win this fight like he's just obviously going to win don't see him losing too straight especially not to a 43, 40? I'm an enormous
Starting point is 01:07:18 Triple G fan. I love Triple G. Triple G definitely won the first fight and was robbed. He's old, and Canello is not old, and Canello's clearly going to win. And he's coming off a loss. Maybe I'll make that the fourth leg. I like that.
Starting point is 01:07:34 Build yourself a table. So the last two parlias I have, Piper Amandowski, does not go to a decision. Sandhagan song, over one and a half, and then I did that same parlay where I added in. Cheetahe Rodriguez does not go to decision as well. So those are my picks. Obviously put them on Twitter later this week.
Starting point is 01:07:53 I love those picks. Instead of taking the over one and a half in Sandhagen's song because the odds are actually the same, Canelo is minus 550. I'm just going to add Canello has the third leg there instead for the plus 137. Pay that out. My bets.
Starting point is 01:08:07 I just got a lot of straight action. Only a couple of props here. The rest of it's all gas, baby. I got Corey Sanhagen at minus 190. I have Gregory Rodriguez at plus one hondo. I got Andre Feely at minus 120. I got Rodrigo Nassiminto at plus 145. Get the over, because heavyweight overs, love to cash.
Starting point is 01:08:25 Love them. Over one and a half, minus 130. Anthony Hernandez minus 175. Pat Sabatini minus 180. Aspen Ladd, minus 135. Ladd McMahon under two and a half plus 175. Gillian Robertson minus 145. And then the Parley Pyramid, Joseph Pfeiffer.
Starting point is 01:08:44 Agapova Robertson under, and then Sanhagen song. Oh, no, sorry, I'm removing the San Hagan song because I'm replacing that with Canelo Alvarez. So that's going to be plus one, three, seven. Boom. There it is. UFC Apex 60. There it is.
Starting point is 01:09:01 Canelo Alvarez versus Triple G. Should be a good weekend. Should be a great weekend. Let's ride into it. Let's get a winning week going into the off week. We do have an off week next week, but we should be back with a little something for you all that's, you know, TBD. It's going to be a nice surprise.
Starting point is 01:09:18 Drop it for you. I mean, you're the one who's going to be surprising me. And it's going to be fun. We're going to have a great time. Maybe we'll spend the whole time talking Georgia football, you know. After we thrash the game Cox this week and take over the number one ranking in the CFB rankings, you know. I think we are one. You should have it.
Starting point is 01:09:43 In the AP ball, I think we are one. Yeah. I mean, we certainly should be after Bama tried its hardest to lose to Tejas, but. That was, yeah, that was, yeah, we received 53 of the, of the 63 votes. So yeah, number one, it's good to be king right now. 12 and 0. 12 and 0 is the expectation. That will do it for us. We'll talk to you next week. UFC Apex 60.
Starting point is 01:10:10 Enjoy the show. Should be great. Let's cash some tickets. and yeah, we'll talk to you then. Let's do it. Love you guys. To the Vox Media Podcast Network.

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