MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Can Derrick Lewis Get Back On Track At UFC Vegas 65? Plus Bellator 288

Episode Date: November 16, 2022

UFC 281 has come and gone but that doesn't mean the MMA world can rest because it's a major MMA double-header this weekend with the UFC returning for UFC Vegas 65 in Las Vegas, and Bellator offering up Bellator 288 in Chicago. So with two marquee events going down, as always, the No Bets Barred boys are here to cover all the betting angles. First, co-hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew recap their great days at UFC 281, before hopping right into a breakdown for the big fights at UFC Vegas 65, including debating if Derrick Lewis can get his mojo back against Sergey Spivac, if Andre Fialho can make it 3-2 in 2022, and if Jack Della Maddalena will continue his impressive rise. Then the boys hop over to Bellator 288 where they make an irresponsible number of bets, including yet another All-In bet from Jed. Tune in for Episode 25 of No Bets Barred. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Support for this show comes from the Audible Original, the downloaded two, ghosts in the machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudulian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprise his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible Original Blockbuster. The Downloaded, it's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, What are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?

The Downloaded 2, Ghosts in the Machine. Available now, only from Audible. Support for this show comes from the Audible original, The Downloaded 2. Ghosts in the Machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudullian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprised his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible Original Blockbuster, The Downloaded.

It's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, what are you willing to lose to save the ones you love? The downloaded two, Ghosts in the Machine,

available now, only from Audible. On y'all, we are back. It is another edition of No Betts Barred this time. UFC Apex 65, Derek Lewis versus Sergei Spivak. Maybe a little Bellator Chicago, Bellator 288 going down two title fights on the card. But before we get into any of that, I mean, tremendous card for UFC 281.

I had a pretty good betting week. If I'm not mistaken, our very own Jed Mishu had a absolutely phenomenal betting week. Sure it did, buddy. Card of the year. And that's outside of me just killing the bookies last week. card of the year. So when you add in that, it just makes it all the sweeter, maybe just hell of a week. Does it get any better than just like a fantastic card with huge stakes, huge implications,

and you also just absolutely kill the bets. You just go to bed on a high that night. Yeah. Everything about it was great. And the only sad part was that I didn't stick to my guns. more about Alex Pereira. I bet him, obviously that ended up cashing, but I waffled all week. I wasn't sure.

I was like, I don't know. I kind of think Izzy's here. I'm betting the value. And then as soon as that happened, I was like, man, that is exactly how I thought it would happen. And I don't know why I didn't just trust myself a lot more. I could have had a stronger corner, Connor. And instead, you know, just a good betting week is all I get for.

Yeah. Yeah. So I don't know if you had an eye on the live odds, but Israel out of Sonia, minus 6,000. Oh, wow. Yeah, plus 1,500. I'm not going to lie to you, if I wasn't on the watchalong, I would have bet money on Peretta. Like, just throwing like 10 bucks. Yeah, it's done a couple bucks on plus 1,500 for sure. I mean, I said it on the live stream. I was like, I was like, plus 1,500 right now for a guy that can end this fight at any moment. Seems a tad egregious. like, yeah, I mean. It obviously was. Yeah, it was egregious. I saw someone put like $800 down on Plus 1500 Live, which is just... Good for you, sir.

I mean, cheers to that. That is just... That's a smart play. Imagine you place a bet, huge monster bet, monster odds. And then two and a half minutes later, the money's already back in your account. Plus a whole lot of friends with it, you know? Mm-hmm. I mean, plus 15.

That is quite the score. Yeah, that's quite the score. Jean-Wei Lee, that made it look easy. Never in doubt. Easy. Never in doubt. Had much less of a sweat on this all-in bet than on the previous one. Yeah, I mean, that's kind of what you want for an unload-the-clip type bet.

You want it to just, you know, looked like she won the first round pretty convincingly. Finish in the second. We'll go ahead and take our money and run. Yeah. straightforward. Props to Carlos Sparza. She honestly looked better than I thought she would look. Again, my only regret here, and I truly have no idea why I didn't do it aside from

the fact that the line on Wiley was only minus 3.30. I should have just been inside the distance because that was either plus money or minus 110 or whatever. And all of a bunch of my friends hit me up and were like, hey, like, what do you got? this weekend and I was telling them, and I told them, you know, I've gotten all in bet, and they were like, well, why can you, can you get it better?

I was like, you can do inside the distance. And one of my buddies was like, the over and under on this is four and a half. So is she just going to, like, how are you so confident and it seems like this is going to decision? And I was like, I don't really know why the overunder's four and a half.

And this, by frankly. My biggest regret is I got fight doesn't go to a decision at minus 125. and I only put to win a unit on that, I should have done to put like five. And as the week went on, I was like, this is not going to go to a decision because I think Zhang is going to win and I think if she wins,

it's going to be inside the distance. Yeah, it was my only, like I said, my only regrets is that I just didn't, maybe I didn't max value in some of these places, but you can't be upset with, nobody ever went broke making a profit. Nobody ever went broke making a profit. Insight's always 20-20.

We both had winning weeks. It was a fantastic card. I had a blast watching it. I had a blast cashing bets. I mean, can't really complain, man. Well, there'll be more opportunities down the line. Yeah, and there was, you know, there were some sad outcomes on the card, but that's fine. You expect that occasionally.

You get the Frankie Eckers. You get Dominic Reyes. But all in all, great, great event. A ton of first-john finishes. Oh, a ton of finishes, period. Yeah, just a ton of finishes. and a ton of money in my bank account now. So I'm ready to fire the clip at Bellator, Chicago, and UFC Apex 65, baby.

Yes, sir. Yes, sir. Let's get right into it. Big weekend ahead of us here as we get back to the Apex, the greatest arena in all of combat sports. We'll start with the main event. It's a heavyweight bout. Five-rounder. Five-rounder, if it goes that long, Derek Lewis, taking on Sergey,

Spivak. Right now, you can get Spieback for minus one. Derek Lewis coming back, plus 165, over under, set at one and a half minus 115 both ways. I have a feeling you probably have a wager here. I have two wagers here. What about you, my good man? I just have a parlay piece. It's a very predictable.

Fight doesn't go to a decision. I'll just get that out of the way. I mean... I could have bet on you having that bet. I mean, I've been thinking about it for weeks. The Lewis bum rushes this guy and just puts him out. or he gets taken down and gets ground and pounded, finished. I just can't see a world where this thing goes to the scorecards.

I am a thousand percent on board with that assessment of this. I have two bets. Let's start with the one you know. Everybody knows it. It's a heavyweight fight, baby. And the train just keeps right on rolling. They have generously given us two heavyweight fights. Generously, both of their over-hunders are one and a half.

Both of them are, listen, I'm not writing this one, but I can make a little tease here. I'm happy to join the experiment this week. I love it because I am for sure on the over one and a half here. Look, don't get me wrong. This is Derek Lewis fighting. It will not surprise me in any way, shape, or form if Sergey Spebek just gets his head, knocked off his shoulders within five minutes. Like, that is certainly a world of possibility.

but I do think that if Derek isn't the one to get the finish early, I don't think Spivak's finishing Derek Lewis inside of seven and a half minutes. So it's just the one side of it that I got to really worry about. But again, this is science, this is math, this is just betting the thing that is always working for me. Most electric bet in combat sports, I'm going to be on the edge of my seat every time Derek Lewis throws one of those big lunchboxes at Sergey.

It's going to be riveting stuff. So I'm on the over. I also have taken a shot on Derek Lewis by KOTKO. Gotta be honest. I'm a little surprised he's the underdog here. Because I was looking to just taking him straight. And then I was like, why would you take Derek Lewis straight in a five-round fight when you can just take the KOTK? I have to ask, how much better is the line?

So the KOTKO is plus 215. Okay. You know, you're getting him straight. plus 165. Oh, that's a huge difference. I'm not going to lie. It is. I thought it was going to be like plus 165, Derek Lewis, and then plus 175,

Derek Lewis, by K. Well, that's what I thought, too. And then when I looked at it, because, again, I kind of thought it would just be fine to play Derek Lewis a plus 165. And I was like, I'll look at it. And if it had only been one or two points higher, I'll just take it on the off chance of decision happens or whatever. Getting 50 extra points here.

Like, and there's just the man wins one way. The man is it wins one way. It's particularly in a five-round fight. You know, if it's a three-rounder, maybe he goes to the cards here. But I just, I can't quite see why he's an underdog. My guess is just because the tough run he's been on, lost three of his last four, uh, tough losses to Sergei Pavlovich, Tai Tuva, Sero, Ghan. Connor, can you tell me what Sergey Pavlovich, Tai Tui Vasa, and Cyril Gond all have in common, though?

They can knock you out on the feet. Can. Sure can. And that is not Sirius Speedback's game. Yes. This is the argument that I was going to make that I kind of makes me really like this bet, is that he doesn't really have that put you out on the feet. All his knockout wins in the UFC are by ground and pound. Yeah. And it's, I just don't. If you told me that Derek Lewis is just kind of done, like he's shot now, I'm kind of on board with that.

Like, I can believe that just because of his performances haven't even been. very good. But this is such a different style matchup. And while people think back to the Daniel Cormier lost, where Cormier just took a bunch of takedowns and kind of dominated Derek Lewis, he's really the only dude who's done that to Derek Lewis. You could maybe go back to Sean Jordan 10 years ago or whatever. But Derek Lewis hasn't, I mean, man, beat Curtis Blades because he's pretty good at defending

takedowns. It's not great at it. he's incredibly good at just standing back up when you take him down. It's just hard for me to imagine that Sergei Spivak is going to score takedowns, do so while having to put himself at risk of those big shots from Derek Lewis and hold position it and do something with it. If it happens, then that makes me feel like Derek Lewis is really just all the way shot, and I guess that's possible.

But I thought he would be the favorite in this fight. and because he is not, and I can get him at plus 215 for a CO prop, I'm taking a shot on that. I'm not going to lie, I have access to a book that has it at plus 230, and I am currently, as we speak, putting that bed in. You've talked me into it. I mean, plus 2.30, plus who doesn't like to cheer for Derek Lewis in a fight? Of course.

Who's going into this? Like, man, I can't wait for Sergei Spivak to become a contender in the heavyweight division. I'm really rooting this one hard, hard. like I want to see Derek Lewis knock someone out cold Absolutely and this is Look the last time Derek Lewis took a step back in competition It was Chris Dawkes

And he knocked Chris Dawkins out in a minute Or like whatever It knocked him right out Yeah so it's This is clearly a step back in competition From the tie two Vasa Sergei Pavlovich is Cyril Gons Junior Dos Santos

Daniel Kormeig Those are the guys Derek Lewis has lost to I don't think Sergei Spivak is that I will say you know, he did just lose to a Sergay, so maybe, you know, two Sergays in a row. Derek Lewis's kryptonite is named Sergei. It could be. Let's get Karatanov in here next and see how that goes.

But, yeah, I just took the shot on it. Like I said, I was going to take him straight at plus 165, but you can give 50 extra points for a K.O. prop, and that seems like a number that's worth doing the prop instead of the straight shot. Yeah, I just locked that in. So here's what we have to hope for. I threw a half unit down right. What we have to hope for is that Derek Lewis is just like, I am not afraid of this dude on the feet.

Like, he is not going to put me out. Like Pavlovich is, he looks like an adon. He looks like he should be in a Rocky movie, like fighting Rocky. That's how massive he is. Sergei Speevac doesn't really offer that. Like, I feel like the most likely path to victory for him is taking this to the ground, grounding him out,

ground and pounding him out or getting this submission. I'm hoping Derek Lewis just comes in here and throws caution to the wind. like you said, let's the lunchboxes go, man, and puts this dude out. I think it's totally possible. And it's, he is also just dangerous forever.

Like if Spivak can't get him out of there, and again, it's hard for me to imagine him getting Derek Lewis out of there early. Every fight starts on, every round starts in the feet. And he's so dangerous for however long the fight goes. At any point in time,

he carries that opportunity with him. So at some point, I think he's going to hit the, Mark, and I don't know if Sergey Spivak can handle that. Let's hope that he can. I mean, he has been knocked out before. It's not, you know, the craziest thing to imagine that that happens. All right.

So, for one fight in, I've already been talked into placing another wager. I didn't think that I'd have that many on this card. But, you know, here we are. Let's keep it wrong. I don't know. I actually don't have any money line plays this week as single bets. Yeah, no money line views as single bets. Let's get to the co-main event.

Light-heavyweight bout. Ion Kutalaba going up against Kennedy, Inzschecu. Right now you can get Kennedy at minus 175. Kutalaba coming back at plus 150 over under set at 1.5. Over minus 125 under minus 105. Oh, man. I looked at this fight.

I really thought about playing Kennedy at one point. Then I was like, can I really trust either of these dudes? Can, like, even if I play Kennedy, can I trust Kutalaba to not come out and be a world beater? Like sometimes he does or he just comes out and looks terrible. A lot of the times with these apex cards, once we get into them and I start losing bets, I'm like, why did I ever place that wager?

Like I cannot trust certain people, certain fighters with my money to place these bets. That's kind of the vibes that I got on this one. So, yeah, I just took a prop of a fight does not go to the distance. I threw that in my violence barlet What's that number? Minus 275.

Okay. Yeah, Kutalaba, I just think he's going to make things chaotic. That's what he tends to do. I mean, he doesn't go to the scorecards. That is how that man fights. Yeah, he doesn't go to the scorecards too often. Both of them made of their last 10 having gotten there.

Kudalaba, seven of those were in the first round. So I just imagine this thing gets crazy and we don't see the scorecard. So I'll be cheering for violence in it. Uh, that's a responsible and good bet. I haven't made a bet, but I know I'm going to make a bet. I have it circled down here as, as a target. And it's, I just like Kennedy, man. I don't know why he's just kind of, I'm with you, dude.

He's kind of one of those guys who I feel like he's got something there. Uh, the fact that he lost the Nikolai Negamarianu, you know, earlier this year, kind of hurts even a splity, point deduction, a lot of weird things going on. but I shouldn't trust him. And so that's why I haven't made a bet. But I know that come fight night, I'm going to talk myself into a Kennedy bet, maybe a Kennedy prop for K-O, T-K-O, because like you, I don't think this is going to the cards. Kennedy, enormous dude, hits quite hard.

And, you know, Kutalaba is a chaos agent. So it's- He is enormous, and he has an enormous size advantage in this one. Huge. I mean, 6-5-83-inch reach for this dude going up against Kutalab, who's 6-1-75. Like the measurables are there for Kennedy in this one. Yeah, and I feel like the Carl Robertson, he looked like he had taken a step forward. Like I said, I just like the dude. And sometimes you just want to take a bet on a guy you like, even if it pretty clearly to me is not a good value play.

I am probably going to end up talking myself into it. You know what? I'm going to talk myself into it right now. I'm going to take Kennedy's inch coup by KOTKO plus 110. Welcome to the show, Kennedy. Let's do it. You got talked into a bet. I'm going to talk myself into a bet.

And now I've got even more action down on the card of the year. Can we go ahead and say Apex card of the year? Apex card of the year. Apex card of the month? If the fights delivered to, I mean, you're going to be talking about. fucking UFC 8-8-65, UFC 281, which one is the card in the year. UFC London, which is better. It could be any of them.

Could be any of them. I'm not going to lie to you, man. I looked at this card, looked it over, top to bottom, checked out each fighter. And I was like, wow, I hate this card. At first glance, I was like, I hate this card. I mean, the biggest redeeming qualities for it for me are Derek Lewis is on it and Jack Delamette. is on it because I am.

You don't get to JDM, baby. I'm a JDM diehard, dude. I'm, I've really come to like this guy. Like, I mean, ever since the contender series, uh,

I mean, there's something about the guys down under, you know, these Aussies, I got a soft spot for him. Hey, uh, it's a great guy to have a soft spot for,

you know, that knows, that, that knows is the nose of a man who is going to fight for, for your money. Yes. Yeah.

This dude, this dude is not going to go out. easy. Love the finishing power. We'll get to that, though. We'll get to that. We got bigger things. So Kennedy and Chek-U, Inzichu, KOT, K-O-plus-110, that's what you got. Yep. Just taking it right now. Sweet. Love it. I mean, we're just adding bets left and right.

Two fights in. Two bets added. Let's keep it moving. Heavyweight bowed. Another one. Love the heavyweights. Chase Sherman taking on Waldo, Cortez, Costa. WCA, getting right back in there after after boxing out Jared van dera's face just a couple weeks ago, over under is set at one and a half. That's a key number under plus 105 over minus 135. Is this the first time I'm riding the experiment with you?

I think it might be. I think this might be the first time you're on the train. Let's hope I don't jinx it. I'm happy to be here, man. Welcome aboard. It is, like I said, I think once you get a taste for it, you're not going to be able to stop because. It is just electric.

Every punch. As much as I hate this card, I was like, wow. Like, I'm actually going to get to join the highlight factory. That is heavyweight over. Every punch. You can just end at any moment. I'm going to be sweating my ass. It's so stressful.

And they're going to be boxing, too. These guys are more than likely going to stand and box the entire time. With a lot of pace. They're going to box and they're both going to be chucking. This is not going to be a staring contest. A lot of punches fly. somebody's going to get hurt in the first round, they're going to wobble. I mean, because hell, you saw the Jared Vendera fight.

All sorts of nonsense and shenanigans. It was great. I mean, it's like, I've firmly come around to, like, I hate, I hate betting overs. Even if they win, I hate them, dude. They're the most stressful proposition. Because, like, with fight doesn't go to a decision or unders. It's like, one, it's always a. live and two, you kind of get a feeling of like whether it's going to hit or not.

Whereas like, I was on the Choi over and that was just like hell. And then it looked like it was cool. And I was like, oh, we're good. And the Trisano just starched him dead. And I was like, oh, that's dead then. Yeah. I mean, they are just, they're such a stressful bet. See, I think there's so much more fun than unders to me.

Because like, I don't know. for whatever reason well one flyweight under is just no stress that just hits so it's yeah in fact uh and the rest of them it's like it's a very different kind of stress when i'm watching the under i get like much more angry when i'm like dude just stop like finish him just finish this guy every time someone gets into a good position i'm like come on like just get stop it stop trying to choke them and just punch them in the face like it digs in deep and makes me upset whereas the heavyweight It's, it is a much more defensive. No, no, stay live.

Stay live. It's, it's just way more fun. I love the Oprah. That actually is true. Like when, yeah, when you have like a fight doesn't go to a decision or something, it is like in, it's like an anger. Like, it's like a serious frustration. Like, like, Costa Rockold, I had that doesn't go to a decision.

That was like a like, what are you doing? Like, please finish him type day instead of like, oh, ah, ah. You're rooting against somebody instead of rooting for somebody. I'm rooting for whoever the hurt guy is to stay alive as opposed to rooting against whoever the hurt guy is to be finished. Yeah, I mean, you're technically rooting for both of them. It's kind of like we're at a golf tournament, you know, it's just golf clubs for everyone. Just going to support. So you're riding on the over here.

Over one and a half, for sure. I've also taken a bet on this. And I've bet Chase Sherman at plus 180. I don't know that this is a good bet. I can't, I can't, like, find a world where you can say a guy that's lost, what, like, seven of his last nine or something? Yeah, well, like, Chase Sherman, you know, he's out here. He's scrapping.

He, Chase Sherman was able to finish Jared Vander, uh, whereas a Walther Costa, whatever, WCA couldn't get it done. So both of their most recent fights, both of their most recent fights were Jared Vander on. one of them gets the dub, one of them, you know, one of them gets the finish very, very different. Look, I'm not saying it's the smartest bet, but anytime you have two heavyweight main card fights and you have a chance to bet the overs and to bet the underdogs in both of them, what am I going to do? Say no, got to take it.

I might even, just for the sake of being spicy, parlay, do the, you know, the draft Kings single game parlay for Derek Lewis and the over. and Chase Sherman and the over and then parlay those two bets up. One super parlay. I had just thought about this right now, so I have no idea what that even pays out. But I might have to do it just for the sake of it. But yeah, like I don't, we talked about WCA a few weeks back.

I just am not impressed by him. He's going to lose eventually. He's going to lose soon. And again, I'm not super impressed by Chase Sherman, but Chase Sherman, pretty tough, pretty durable. He throws at a very high rate. These two dudes are just going to be getting after each other. And if he loses, won't shock me.

But a plus 180, or plus 180, like, that's give me, that's a big plus number on him and a fight that I think is a coin toss. So I'm not taking the value shot. Also, this fight took place on the Cater Allen card. That was three weeks ago that that happened. Yeah. Dude's leg got chewed up in that fight too. Jared Vandera landed 39 of 41 leg kicks.

Like, he was struggling. Like, are we back? Like, are we good? Are we fully recovered from that? I have no idea, man. And it's, he could not be. He could be. Who can say, well, Chase Sherman, kick him in the legs.

He usually throws some kicks, but no one can ever glean what Chase Sherman's going to do in a cage. is, you know, I just like the fight. I like the big number, big plus 180. If I'm wrong, it's okay. But I'm not going to be wrong because we're going to have a perfect week this week. Calling it now. Wow, calling a shot, Babe Ruthington over here.

Listen, Jared Vandera just kicked the crap out of WCA's leg when Sherman and Vandera fought that legendary battle back on July 9th, 2022. too. Chase Sherman landed more leg kicks. I mean, that's just math. It's a good week to do it. I mean, we need the leg kicks. Thanksgiving's next week.

The Rockettes will be out at the Macy's Day parade. Oh, what a, what a genius call. I didn't even think of that. Now, how can I not feel confident in this bad? I mean, Chase Sherman needs to rockette it up here and just, just play the leg kicks, hit the over one and a half, and then just chop it off. So, Connor, while we were. talking, I went and investigated what a Chase Sherman to win in over one and a half parlayed

with Derek Lewis to win and over one and a half pays out. And I got to say, I'm going to, I'm going to throw a very, very, very, very small shot at this plus 1297. Wow. That's a big number. 1297, 1,297? 1,297. Because you're getting Sherman, the Sherman and over is plus 2,25, the Lewis and over is plus 330 plus 1290 basically plus 1,300 is what we're looking at here. Yeah, I mean, might as well. I'm going to throw a little $5 bet on it. Just see what happens. Just see if I get, if I can be the guy who gets to Alex Behead a plus 1,500 payoff.

Oh, that would be fantastic. I'm taking the super parlay. I'm breaking all the rules and I don't care. Super parlay. I mean, I've yet to take one. I don't know when I will. but it sounds like just an incredible thing to take part in. Chase Sherman, let's not forget, just back in April on that April 30th card,

I believe Alexander Romanov was a, what, a minus 2,800 against them. Some absurd number, yes. Yeah, and agree with this number. He made it look easy to. Sub them out with the key lock, two minutes in. Marshall's buyers travel far and wide, hustling for great deals on amazing gifts. so you don't have to. They've bagged this season's Italian leather handbags.

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Marshalls. We get the deals. You gift the good stuff. All right. So you've got the super parlay. I've got the over one and a half. You're also on Chase Sherman. and things are coming together here.

I mean, three fights in, we've added three bets. There's so many bets. We're on a tear here. Let's keep it rolling. Fortunately, I'm not adding many else. You say that now. My undercard bet action is pretty minimal. Yeah, we're not going to get too much in the prelims, folks.

So if you're dying to hear us break down the... Let's see. Miles John. That's actually a good fight. If you're dying to hear us break down, on Fernie Garcia Brady Highstand. I have no action there. If you're putting money on that, I mean, best of luck to you.

I hope it works for you guys. I mean, I prefer to invest in fighters that I trust with my money. I mean, a lot of people, I feel like, are on Ricky Terseos this week. I was pretty close to being on Ricky Terseos this week. All right, I'm not going to lie I was too, just because of who he's fighting in Kevin Natte-Dod. But that aim in Zahabi fight. It really, it really throws some cold water on what you want to be about.

I'm with you. I don't know when I'm ever going to be on Thursdays again. After watching that, that's a hobby fight. 11% significant strike accuracy. That was, I mean, that was,

that was something to say. I also really wanted to be on Vanessa Demopoulos, not because I, like, think she's very good, but because she clearly, like, the UFC, I think the UFC, she realizes that they might have something with her.

And so they should be giving her winnable fights. But she's, it's hard for me to ever bet on someone who has a 59 inch wingspan. Like that is just impossibly small. Yeah. I mean, it's like, that's just not, you can't, it's like, can't do it, can't do it, girl. I mean, that's, that's absolutely an insane number. All right, let's get back to it. Also, she's fighting someone that has a 69 entry.

Yeah. It's tough. It's a tough one to get past. So it couldn't pull the trigger. That is tough. All right. Next up, Walterway, bout. Back to the main card.

Muslim Salikoff going up against Andre Fialho. Right now, the over-under said at two and a half, over minus 130, under plus 100. I said I didn't have any money-line bets. I also took this one to not go to a decision at minus 155. Both these guys, 21 pro fights. 17 times they have not gone to a decision. last time out, both these dude got K-O'd.

We've also seen them K-O people in the UFC. I mean, Fialo, he's been fighting a lot in 2022, and it feels like he never has a fight that is not exciting. Even when he went to a decision with Misho Pairar, I mean, it was still a good fight. It brings the action for sure. Brings the action, and I'm just going to assume that someone's going to get put out here.

I like the number of when neither of the guys, When the guys have only been to a decision four times each in their career and I'm getting minus 155 on it not to go to a decision, I will take that number all there. I'm sorry, this is going to be unfortunate for us because we're a bit at odds here. Let's go. First, let me just say, I love this fight. I think this is the best fight in the entire card. This fight rules. It's going to be awesome.

It's going to be a banger. And I don't have any good reasons why. But remember last week when I was like, I don't have any. you break down, I just, the spirits have called to me and Dan Hooker is going to stop this man in the second round. Yeah, and I think if I remember correctly, Dan Hooker stopped that man in the second round. He in fact did. And also, he did so in a way that I felt exceptionally confident after round one.

I was like, oh, Dan Hooker's about to stop this man in the second round. I was like, yeah, that's just how this is going to go. He'd already start to get the butt scoots, everything. For whatever reason, the spirits have spoken. to me again and it's Andre Fiajo's going to win a decision. I don't know why I think that. I can't break it down. The math doesn't agree because everything you're saying is right is these two dudes,

they never go to decision. It's all finishes. Fialho, his 22, this fifth fight this year, dude might mess around trying to turn around for a six because apparently he's insane. He wants to fight every other week. There's no reason for this to go, but for whatever reason is just like, I don't know. kind of feels like Fialho is going to win a back and forth scrap that goes to the cards. So I can't argue with the spirits.

I can't do that. Who would I be to argue with the spirits? It's very tough to argue with the spirits. And so, again, not based on anything. Everything says that's probably not true, but I'm just taking Fialho here. I can't blame you, man. I mean, it's, I think it's a solid bet. I will take, what is the number on that, by the way?

The Fialo by decision is currently going at... Da-da-da-da-da-da-da-da-da-da-da-da-da-da-da-da. You're killing it. I asked you right as you took your headphones off to break the fourth wall here, what the Fialo by decision line is. Oh, plus 500. Yeah, my computer froze and I couldn't find it. So, yeah, I was filling with, you know, some music there.

I respect it. We'll cut this all out, and then you can actually... ask that again and I can uh I don't know people like it you know plus 500 I think it makes sense I think it was a great fill there you're on fialo by decision I'm on fight does not go the distance hopefully someone wins a selikov decision is a nightmare for no best bar that would be the worst of all outcomes so if you're on that you're an enemy of the state please stop listening now and let's keep it rolling on the main card welterway bout now we get to it baby it's our man jdm jack delam madaliana going up against danny

not chocolate Roberts. Right now you can get Jack Della Madelana as a big favorite, biggest favorite on the card. Minus 490. Danny Roberts coming back at plus 390 over under set at one and a half,

under minus 125 over minus 105. Yeah, man. Can I take a bet guess on what you've got here? Because I feel like... I got three bets here, so please. I'm going to say that you've got J.D.M. in a parlay. Bingo.

I also have Mniparle, so we're simpatico there. I'm going to go ahead and go out on a limb here and say that you are taking JDM by KOTKODQ. I actually haven't put that in. Isn't the number like minus 185? It is. It's 175. And I still just thought you would take it. Yeah, I mean, this is my guy, and that's probably going to be how he wins this fight.

it seems by far the most likely outcome for JDM here. Well, then what are your other two bets if that was not one of it? All right. So I once again took a points bet. I took one last week. I can't even remember who it was on at this point. No, I took it two weeks ago on Miranda Maverick. It kind of cuts that line down.

I took this one at minus 240. I mean, if it does go to the scorecards, I imagine Madalana, just boxed his face off the entire time and he wins a pretty dominant decision. Yeah, yeah. And then it covers the, it covers that. I also parlayed the under two and a half because I do think this ends in a knockout. I really wanted a tasty line on the Madelena round one, K.O. Oh, what is that looking at? Plus 185. Oh, that's not good enough. Yeah. You can't, You can't bet that.

I need more than that to get an exact result in an exact round. I needed like a plus, like, 275 plus 300 number. Yeah, that number is way, way too. Honestly, plus, you know, plus 450 for round two, KO. I mean, Trinaldo had him hurt on several occasions. And he kept going. battled through. I do think JDM's a better finisher than Trinolo.

I definitely agree with that. I mean, Trinado is 43 years old. I mean, if you watch that fight, if you go back and watch that Trinando fight and you go back and watch J.D.M.'s UFC career and you find a way to bet Danny Roberts.

We're just seeing different things. Yeah, more power to you because that is not how I'm viewing the world. I mean, I just imagine JDM's going to come in here and just put the pressure on and just outwe. box them like levels above i agree uh i've got jdm and parley um and i also took him inside the distance

at minus 200 yeah i have a very very large uh wager on a parlay i will get to the third leg jack della madalina is parlayed with the derrick lewis sergey spivac under four and a half one leg to go we'll get to that later on but yeah i'm thinking this is going to be one way traffic for our boy jadm And WikiRide. Seems likely. Maybe you start talking about a ranked fight soon for him. Pretty soon. He's knocking on the door.

All right. Maybe JDM, you know, comes out here, gets the job done. He gets the winner of the Fialho Salikov fight for, you know, top 20 position. Now we're talking. I like this, doing a little matchmaking. We give you everything on No Betts Barred.

All right. Let's keep it moving to the prelens. Let's go. Everybody's pumped. We have three, three preliction. Yeah, we're only talking about three. Easy. You know, like we said, if you're coming here to hear us break down, get really nasty in the details on, you know, Fernie Garcia, Brady Hasted.

That's just what I keep going back to. I mean, it's a tough fight to feel confident about it. A lot of people are wildly confident in Brady High standing this week. I mean, I'm seeing some people lay it down with our boy there. All right, but let's get to it. There's no better way to end the flyways. to end one of the best prelim cards we've seen in Apex history. Then with a flyweight bout, it is Selguss.

Zuma Gulov going up against Charles Johnson. Right now, you can get Charles Johnson as a slight favorite around minus 155. Zuma Gulov coming back at plus 135. The more important thing here, though, the over under set a two and a half. Love, love that. Love it when the undersized. two and a half so much more activity the under the unders plus 200 the over is minus 260 they're giving us two to one odds on this they have Vegas has never learned they you know Vegas's problem is the

other week when a couple of them didn't cash at 280 they're like oh well it's over now we can go back to just juicing these to the moon little do they know we never left baby because I can't speak for you but I for sure am on the under here. Oh, I mean, come on, dude. Come on. You think I'm going to let the baby, let the train keep rolling without me? I mean, listen. Can't do it.

There's a path to this, too. Oh, there's for sure a path to this. I mean, Zuma Gula probably isn't going to be our guy. He's probably not going to be the one that gets this done for us. Charles Johnson, dude. Six of his last seven wins have come by finish. I mean, that's a lot. Hey, and you're, I just want to stand up for Zuma Gulaf.

Yes, for his entire career decision machine and fight nights global, etc. But since coming to the UFC, a couple of, couple of decisions to start. This was in 2020, 21, before the flyweight under magic start happening. Two of his last three, first round finishes. Either he got finished or he finished. Two of his last three. He's out here. He's kicking up the activity level.

We need to be. Yeah, Charles Johnson's a tough cookie. That man likes to finish fights. He likes to finish fights, but he does not like getting finished. Never been finished. Obviously, that suffocating performance against Makayev was able to fend it off. Yeah, I mean, so here's the one thing that I worry about that kind of makes me a touch nervous. Both these guys have a little bit of anti-flyweight under in them.

I mean, John. went to a decision with Brandon Roy Val back in LFA. I mean, Rod Dog is the face of Flyweight unders. He really is the poster trial for Flywood Unders. President of FlyWood Unders. And then Zuma Gulov went to a decision with Amir Al-Bazi who also just hates decisions. So yeah, if this one doesn't, if we don't hit, I mean, it's just, you know, two guys. It's an inside job.

You know, these guys are at Flyweight Under. You know, it's a Derek Minner kind of situation where... I'm not going to name names, but yeah. Let's, you know, maybe let's go back. Let's get an independent investigation because Flyweight unders never don't hit. So maybe collusion if this goes to the cards is all I'm saying. That's all I'm saying. Actually, if it goes to the over, two and a half, yeah.

I mean, that's... Well, yeah. Just the over. It doesn't have to go to the cards, but, you know. That's all I'm saying. So, yeah, that's that. I mean, flyweight unders. What else you want to say?

There's nothing. There's nothing. I don't want reasoning. I don't want logic. I want flyweight unders and I want my money. Thank you. Let's keep it moving. It's another flyway bout.

A women's flyweight bout. This time is Jennifer Maya against Marina Morose. Right now, you can get Marina Morose as the favorite minus 190. Jennifer Maya coming back at plus 160. I've got no action on this fight. I lean Marina Morose to get it done, but I'm curious to hear what bet you. You've got down. I just don't really understand why Marina Moros is the favorite in this fight.

Pretty big favorite too, minus 190. She is a sizable favorite, and I'm not here to tell you that Jennifer Maya is a world beater or a great fighter, but she's been a top 10 flyweight for a very long time. She has solid wins in the division, if not great. Certainly they haven't aged as well given time. But her losses, competitive fights usually and against. the best women in the division. Here are her losses, Connor.

Manofiore, your girl. Yeah, my goat. Caitlin Chikagan, twice. The second best flyweight in the world until Manaw just beat her a few weeks back. Valentina Shevchenko. That's it. Those are the people she's lost to.

You know, those three women are the top three or four fly weights in the entire world. and other than that she hasn't lost anybody like it's just how it goes marauds is is a fine fighter she's size advantage a better striker here but i don't know she also lost angela hill and carlos bars up like i it's jennifer may is much larger than carless spars and angela hill and a competent fighter at this price point i just said eff it uh i didn't take her straight because you can get her by decision at plus 225 and uh maya has like one finish in her career or something done one finish in her last like 12 uh and that was the submission of joanna judge of calderwood

i don't think she's going to get a finish here on marina morose marina mrose never been finished but sorry i just took the plus the decision at plus 2225 because i don't know feels like this line should be closer. All right. I like that. And I feel like it's moving in the direction of Marina Moroesto. She might be closing around a minus 200. The Iron Lady back at it.

All right. One more fight to get to on UFC Apex 65. I'm going to let you take the wheel. It's another flyaway bout this time in the women's division. Natalia Silva going up against Teresa Bleda. Undefeated prospect in Bleda. I got nothing here. Tell me what you're working with.

I love that all of my bets are on fly weights and heavyweight fights this week. I love that. I mean, that's just so on brand. Let's go. I mean, you're getting the curtain jerker on. That's why. That is why. Let's be clear.

That is why I have a bet here. I like to have, we've talked about it before. You know, I don't know, you ever watched Entrage back in the day. Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. Go to Vegas.

We put five on red. We see if it's going to be a good week or not. I like to just see. I like to have the curtain jerker action down. then I can see. Win or lose? I know if something good is going to happen. Carlos Solberg last week, boom, baby.

Got us off rolling. Tremendous week. Big black jack fan. Big black jack fan. Ladies night just delivering for me that night. So I wanted to do it again. Normally, I would not bet this fight. And I can't tell you that I'm bringing the heat or brilliant breakdown of this fight.

But I'm taking the undefeated Theresa Bleda. six and o in her career uh pretty extensive amy career as well you go back and and check the tape on that you can see she's uh let me pull that up so i can see exactly how many amy wins she's working with but sizable number one two three four five six seven eight nine amateur wins nine and o is an amateur including a win over lucy putalova a real-time fighter and if you look at her record her professional record it's not against bums man every every person she's fought winning record. Naia Aramaia, 7-1 on the contender series.

Mabaly Lima, 9-1. Edna Olivera, 10 and 7, 7 and 3-2. Her pro debut was against the 3-0 fighter. She hasn't been beating Wilting Lillies. He's 20 years old. She is a pretty solid grappler top position player. Yes, I do think that, like, Natalia Silva is more impressive than you would think she's also very young, like 24,

looked very, very good in her most recent outing. Yeah, against Jasmine Jazz DeVicious. Yeah, against Jasmine Jazz DeVicious, looked very good, looks bry, but she's at a huge size disadvantage in this one. I was going to say, Jasmine Jazz DeVicious is like as big as it gets in the Women's Flyweight Division,

and now Natalia Silva is taking another step further in the direction even bigger. Just enormous. Five-nine, 71-inch reach in the flyway, women's flyweight division absolutely enormous and i think she's a better athlete than jasmine jazdivis uh it won't shock me if natalie so it can just is too fast has too good a hands here but and teresa is only 20 so hell it you can't feel confident backing a 20 year old but i wanted to have action down the main on the first card teresa is at plus 140 and it's pretty rare that you're going to get somebody

who is 15 and 0 in her MMA career and a plus money. And that just... And that a massive size advantage. Yeah, a huge size advantage. And having fought real competition. Yeah, exactly. So I'm not entirely sure why this line. It feels like this line should just be closer because who knows what the hell is going to happen.

Like I... It's a woman's MMA. Yeah, there's no way I could ever back Natalia Silva and feel confident in that bet here. So I wanted action. Dogger Pass, give me the dog. I'm really hoping that as we start UFC Apex, as we start the journey on UFC Apex 65, we definitely get a pre-produced package on why Teresa Bleda's nickname is Rhonda. My assumption is, and this is entirely a guess, but because it feels like there's only one answer for this possibly to be,

it is Ronda Rousey. Yeah, that's what I would guess. She kind of looks similar to her. A little bit. She's big physical, goes with the grapples in the top position. And you see this, used to see this a lot with, like, Brazilian fighters. Like, up-and-coming Brazilian fighters, their nicknames would just be, like, other professional fighters and stuff.

And I think the only reason that I think this could make any sense at all is that it's Ronda Rousey. But maybe they'll tell us. That would be great if they did. Man, she's fighting out of, out of Czech Republic, Yuri Prohashka from there. Checks on the rise, baby.

Yeah, I mean, I feel like Yuri's got a better nickname than that. I'm only a sure dog. Yeah, it's, it, it says Denise, but what is, like, what is, what is the acronym that he uses? Oh, uh, BJP. Yeah, it essentially means like throws bombs in check.

I feel like that's a tough. I think it's BJP. Let me look this up because now I want to make sure that I'm certain on that. Yeah, BJP. It is BJP? Yeah. Yeah. I mean, well, look, if you're judging everybody by how cool they are in comparison to Yuri Perhashka,

nobody is going to be doing very well in that game. That is a tough game to play. I'm looking at his, he's up this Twitter game. I mean, his profile picture is sick now with the belt. We'll get into him in just a few weeks. I cannot wait for that one. There's a lot at stake on that one for me. Still holding the Yuri Prohashka champion by the end of 2022 ticket.

Oh, man, that is such a tough beat that they said on this fight. Dude, when I saw it, I was like, please, just go to Brazil. Go to Brazil. Go to Brazil. There's no reason not to do this fight in Brazil. I have confidence. We're going to trust that that year he gets it done for me. All right. So that's UFC Apex 65. I love the UF confidence. I would be sweating my ass off. You got to have confidence, even if it's fake. All right. So that's UFC Apex 65. Great card. Never met him.

Time to get into Bellator 288. Chicago. I mean, welcome to the Wendy City. We've got everything. We've got Bellator 288. I mean, I feel like that's the sale. Obviously, not going to break down every fight here. I kind of feel like the two title fights are worth getting into and then just sort of the best that we have. I only have anything on the two title fights. So I have nothing to add here beyond those two fights. All right, sweet.

I can give you like the hilarity that is some of these undercard matchups because naturally there's a bell to a car. You're on undercard matchups? Dude, you know I'm putting in a parlay that I am sold as a lock that is definitely. going to lose at some point. Let's kick it off, though, the main event. You're a true hero, buddy, and I respect you immensely. I'm just a degenerate gambler. That's really all there is to it, who loves betting on

chalky matchups in Belator that you really should have zero confidence in. Main event, though, light heavyweight championship, the rematch of Vadim Knav versus Corey Anderson. They just did this just a few months ago back in April. It obviously ended in the no contest, the accidental clash of heads. Corey Anderson comes into this one as a fairly sizable favorite after being a dog in the first matchup

Corey Anderson winning that fight to that point I'm wondering what action you have here I actually don't have anything on the main event Oh you don't have anything on the main event do you? No, wow well I have Corey Anderson in a pal-lay I kind of had an assumption

I honestly He's at a price that you don't need to put him in a parlay is you can just take him straight, but I just put him in the parley with JDM. I have one other leg to the parlay. But we just saw, I don't know why these odds are so close. I picked of a DMCard the first time around. That bet was not cashing. I was a huge fan of how that ended because my money was, I had already written it off.

It's like, well, that money's gone. That is just into the wind. Yeah, Corey Anderson beat the brakes off him. And I don't know how you can watch that fight and be like, he's only a minus 2.15 favorite. Like, that fight was not competitive. And I, unless one argument I'll make. It was 1919 on every judge's scorecards going into the third round. Sure.

And that third round was over. That third round was close to a finish. So I just don't know why this number is close. So I think it'd be fine to take him straight. I just paired him in the parlay with two other legs. I felt very, very confident in. So, yeah, that's where I'm out here. All right, sweet.

So Corey Anderson, it will be for the main event. Now let's get into what we're really here for. The co-main event of the evening. Oh, yeah. The Bellator MMA lightweight championship, Patriki Pitbull, taking on Usman Nirmaga Medov. I mean, for me, it's Usman. it's been Usman just been waiting weeks for the line to drop 15 and 0 I think we know what

happened to oh yeah this is uh as we're talking I'm adding two more bets to my because I'm an absolute DGN I love it I can't I can't not but yeah this is Usman we talked about beforehand there's no breakdown needed but Tricky's not very good he is the worst pit bull brother by a good morgan and he's just not very good at fight. I think he's fine, but he's not great. Usman Nirmigamatov, two strong names in the world of fighting. Let me just tell you, if you're an Usman or Nermargumatov, you're probably doing pretty well as a professional fist fighter.

And if you're both of them, you're undefeated and you're about to be the Belta lightweight champion of the world. Habib is about to coach the two lightweight champions of the world. Hell of a feather in that man's coaching career this early on. But yeah, the aura continues to grow. Yeah, one-way traffic. I don't know a single person who's going to be betting Patriki here, and I, it just is it. I haven't done it.

I told you that I think I was going to have another all-in-bet this weekend. I feel like Usman's a fine all-in-bet. There's a part of me that is concerned because it's Bellator, and you never know what kind of weirdness happens in Bellator. Pitbull has knockout power, too. Sure. I just, it would, it would really flabbergast me. I think I might go half. Okay. I might, I might shove a half stack on it. All right. You're not all the way in. You're halfway in. But yeah, I might, I might like, if not, maybe I'll just load up like a 10-unit bet on it or whatever, just something, something greasy and heavy and just throw it down and see what happens.

But I'm going to be making a sizable investment on Usman straight outside of the confines of this parley. The parlay again, it's JDM, it's Corey Anderson, it's Usman. It pays out at plus 105, plus money for what I feel very, very good about in that parlay. Yeah, so I have the same parlay, but swap Corey Anderson with Lewis Spivak under four and a half. That pays out at minus 137 for me. Also seems like a good parlay. Yeah, biggest bet of the weekend, undoubtedly. Really hoping that hits because I'm pretty exposed on that one.

Yeah, I mean, that's going to hit. And it's going to be great. And then, yeah, I'm just going to take a big, big shot on Umar, you know, 10, 15 units, something, something saucy. Something saucy. How do you think he gets it done? Be honest with me. Oh, my assumption is that he gets a submission. I think he's going to get, take down to at will, just work over top position, eventually find his way to the back and get in that joke.

So I'm thinking of some sort of combination of a fight doesn't. and go to a decision parlay for the Bellator card. I mean, why not have a violence parlay? I mean, Sullivan Colley going up against Jay Radique. I mean, seven fights for the guys all first round finishes.

Tyrol Fortune, Daniel James. I think that one's probably not going to go to a decision as well. I just added a bet on that particular fight. Let's hear it. Well, again, this is, I'm an idiot. and a D-Gen, and I was looking at it, and I was like, you know what? Friday fights like to have a little more action down on the Friday fight so I can

have something involved. Also, in case you're wondering, curtain jerker for Bellator, happens to be a heavyweight bout. I also noticed that there's another heavyweight bout with Tyrol Fortun, Daniel James, and I was like, what if, let's just take a look. The over one and a half on 14 games, plus one-fifference. plus 150 for over one and a half, over one and a half on Govea Mogher. Yeah. Plus 205.

I have never, I could not pick Vladimir Govea or Corey Mogenberg out of a crowd of two. No, no, no, no, bro. These, like, I actually did, like, some nasty research on this. Like, Vladimir Goeva is, like, a coach. Like, I, like, looked him up and people are like, oh, he's going to represent our gym so well out there. Like, he's O and O. Like, I don't know. know how they set the lines on these fights when they know next to nothing about these fighters.

Because you get D-Gens like me who are just going to take a shot in the totally in the dark. Zero prep. Remember when we made the rules and was do the work? I have not done the work here. I am just seeing heavyweight overs and I'm shooting at heavyweight overs. So, yeah, if I'm going to tell you my violence parlay, I think I'm going to go callie Radeek, does not go to a decision. All they have is first round finishes. Brennan Talavera fight does not go to a decision. So Lucas Skywalker Brennan is a BJJ black belt.

I believe it's five of his or six of his seven wins in Bellator are by submission. Nick Talavera, I watch some film on this guy. And on the regional scene in his amateur career, which, yeah, he has a somewhat decent record. He's five and one now in his pro career, but he was five and five at his amateur career. career. What do you call it? Not a trilogy, a duology. The two fights he had against Eric Mercado back in Raging the Cage, OKC.

First time he gets submitted, I don't know what happened. He, like, got put in a body triangle and just tapped. There was nothing on his neck, nothing on any limbs. Sometimes the body triangle gets it done. I mean, he just tapped, and then they ran it back just a short nine months later. Eric Mercado, same thing, submission. I just can't really see a world where Lucas Brennan just doesn't take this dude down and get a submission. Like Lucas Brennan is an actual prospect.

Talavera. I mean, he hasn't beaten anyone with a record over 500 yet. So, like, I just... So you're saying there's a reason Brennan's minus 730. I'm imagining Lucas Brennan is going to come out here and just choke him out in the first round. So that's in my violence parlay. and then Fortune James, I'm going to assume that this one is not going to go to the scorecards.

I mean, eight of Fortune's last 10 have gone on to the one and a half. Daniel James, 10 of his last 12 have not gone to a decision. I know that's not the stats you want to hear, writing the over one and a half. I'm fine with it because, again, this is not based in any type of logic or sense. It's just, why not? I've never tested heavyweight over Zimbled. You might as well.

I tested flyweight unders in Belator on a women's fight one time, and it failed miserably. And then the final piece of my fight doesn't go to the distance parley. Should I add in Murmogamatoff Pitbull? Oh, I think that's fine. All right. I will say that Pitbull has proven to be very tough. Not a lot of dudes gotten him out of there. Should I just put Lewis Spivak again?

I don't know. It depends on how exposed you want to be on that one fight, even though I have. I think that's a safe fight to be exposed on in that regard. Let's not get too overexposed. Let's keep it all violence, Bellator. We'll put it in Armaghamedo of Pitbull. Yeah, do that. Do that.

That's fine. Yeah, that pays out at plus 103. Or should I do, I mean, I know everybody's waiting on it, the Jordan Newman fight. Oh, God, everybody was waiting. I was hoping you would get to this. I was taking a long time. All right. So let me break down my five-leggar that.

I am so confident in that it's guaranteed to lose that one of these guys are going to bust it for me. We start off. I mean, we start off with the aforementioned Jordan Newman. I mean, you have to start there. He's 4-0-10-0. So I actually locked him in at minus 7-50. Got a good number there. 4-0, two-time D-3 national champion wrestler.

D-3 wrestler of the year back in 2018. Dude's a beast. the man he is fighting, Jaden Talker, 2 and 2, a guy got caoed in the first round by 2 and 4, Rayvon Baxter, we all remember Baxter-Talker, legendary fight. Guy is also, he dabbles in boxing, Jaden Talker. He's 0-4 as a boxer as well. He's also done-dabble, you know, dabble.

He's also done grappling competitions. He's 0-2 there as well. The guy knows how to lose in combat sports. I imagine Jordan Newman is likely going to get the victory here. But as we always say, it's Bellator. I'm just not sure. Next, leg two. Archie Colgan, 5 and O, state champion wrestler in Colorado.

D1, fought at, wrestled at Wyoming was one win short of being a D1 All-American. He's fought real competition, too. LFA, Eagle FC, now Bellator. The man he's fighting. Jesse Heyman. I don't even know how he pronounced this. Jesse Hanam. Big rig.

That's how we know him. That's how we know him, baby. Big rig. Yeah. He's two in one. Those two wins come against O. and three, Casey Galette. And then just, I don't even know.

One and 43, Kenneth Allen. Is Kenneth Allen just a full-time can? Like, he's just like, yeah, I can get you a win on your M-A record. Look, uh, sometimes. That's just how life works, you know? One in 43, Kenneth. Like, you just got to throw in the towel at some point and maybe figure out that your, the MMA isn't for you.

You're probably not going to make that run at the UFC title. Two to one. Look at his topology picture. It's one of the funnier tapology pictures you'll ever see. You look at him like, oh, okay, I might see why this guy isn't winning too many fights. More importantly, how? heroic one his strength of competition is actually unbelievable like a lot of he's 42 years old and he has lost i mean dude we we have to talk to a lot of people who like

brock larsson sam morgan uh looking through this right now dude we we need to talk good resumes here can we talk corey simpson though i was going to say can we talk about the midwis Cage Championships back in 2006 when he got his lone victory against Corey Simpson. Who was six and two at the time? A little regression though. Corey Simpson ends up 21 and 20 in his all-time career. The good news is, the good news

is Corey Simpson's still fighting, baby. Back in September, he got a win at ascend to CFC-60 to bump him above that 500 mark. He gets the verbal tap in the first round against John Kennedy. 10 and 37 John Kennedy. So we're clear here. Kenneth Allen is also still fighting.

He lost in September. Oh, I mean, Kenneth Allen's never going to give it up, man. There's always that flicker of hope. If he can put a few together, he might be able to make that run. The reality is I want nothing more than this man to cobble together like five wins and get a contender series fight. And so you have to hear Joe Martinez or whatever announce him with the record of 6 and 43. You want to know the best part about this?

The last time Corey Simpson fought, he headlined he was the main event of ascendancy FC. Yeah. Guess it was also on the main card. Oh, Kenneth Allen. And Ben Holder, baby. Kenneth Allen versus Ben Halder, an absolute brawl that we saw Kenneth Allen verbally tap one minute into the first round. A lot of first round finishes on this ascend to CFC. I mean, the fact Corey Simpson was headlining, that speaks volumes. Corey Simpson, John Kennedy. I mean, we are deep in the weeds

down. The funniest thing is, we're laughing at all this. Corey Simpson would beat my ass, and I'm going to go ahead and assume Kenneth Allen probably would have a good time with me in there as well. It seems likely, but it's hard for me to say that just because he's 42. You're a young man. I think the worst part about this. I mean, this could just be, you know, topology, but it says the career disclosed earnings for Kenneth Alleners is your U.S.D. Oh, well, that's just tapology. That's just, I got to be getting paid for these.

I mean, Midwest Smokerstein, baby. Just get paid and drinks. That's all you need. Just go out, get into a scrap, you know, get your bar tab covered that night. So I think the worst part about the Kenneth Allen thing is, is F. What were you going to say? I guess the worst part is Jesse Adam is going to somehow win and be the flag that boils your big parlay.

That wouldn't be shocked. After a brutal O'N9, 2007, he follows it up with an O'N4, 2008 to get him to 1 in 28 all time. And it looked like he had been like, all right, I think it's time to throw on the towel. He doesn't fight for three years until he comes back at extreme challenge to take on Paul Bradley. Obviously, we all remember that one, Paul Bradley, 16 and two at the time. Loses that one as well.

And it's like, all right, he only puts in one fight in 2011. He's like, all right, this thing might be done. Nope. Rails off five fights in 2012 going 0 and 5. And then he's just back, man. And he's just, he's been going ever since. Actually, he had a pretty long layoff after 2018. I mean, he's...

Do you love and you'll never work a day in your life, Connor? I can't imagine he loves losing. this much. I mean, he just loves getting in scraps. He's loved getting after it. At one point in his amateur career, he was five and four. I mean, his Emmy career is distinguished in comparison. Should have never gone pro. All right, let's continue it, though. That was leg two.

We got deep down the rabbit hole in that one. Archie Colgan, that is leg two. Leg three. I thought we were going to be done in an hour on this show, and then we spent five minutes on Kenneth Allen. Hey, man, Kenneth Allen's a stud. Lucas Brennan, I already talked about him, dude, 7 and 0. I actually saw him in person back at Bellator 282 in June.

Dude is a beast, BJJ Black Belt, stud. Nick Talvera. So you've still got two legs on this? Is that true? Yes. Can I guess the other two? Yeah, sure, of course. Is one of them going to be Laird-Anderson?

No. Oh, you're not taking Laird-A-D-A-R-D-R-E? I'm not taking Laird, a little word on Laird. Okay. Price is too high for Laird. Prices too. I mean, Laird is, it seemed like when I choose these Bellator ones, like now what I've started doing, as in literally this card, I have tried to make it like steel trap.

Like, this guy just isn't going to lose. Like this is like, Belator is like, we need a body to lose to this guy. Not just we need a body in there to fight this guy. We need a body to lose to this guy so we can continue his progression. I mean, truth be told, Laird is probably going to win. And Rob Finnacle has just put the fear in you. He can't do Laird with old Bobby Finns coming at you. Here's the thing about Robbie Finnacle.

He's won and O in Bellator. Obviously, Finnecal Batista back in 2019 and Bellator 221. that just, it presents a little bit of diciness. So yeah, back to the third leg, Lucas Brennan, obviously. He's just, I think he's just going to roll there. And then the fourth leg, Amam Shafi Aleve, 8 and 0. This one might be, like, in a weird way, the most confident, even though he hasn't faced that grade of competition.

I mean, he got started at Abdulmanab, Maghamatov school. From his Instagram, it looks like he's also putting in work at AKA. he's just constantly posting pictures with Khabi, Omar, Usma, all these dudes. He's in the camp. He's 8-0, and he just has that Dagestani wrestling style. I mean, it's just pressure. His last fighting Eagle FC was just a dominant win.

Now, this could be the man that ruins the night. This could be the one that ruins the day. Sean Connor Fallon, SCF, as most people know him. He's probably the most game opponent. He has won eight of his life. last nine, although they are in Coliseum of Combat. I'm just thinking it's going to be one-way traffic. Just dominant decision win.

Coliseum of combat is the breeding ground of champions, Connor. Yeah, so Amama Shafia leave, that's like four. And then we've already touched around leg five, Usman, Ramagamadoff. So Jordan Newman, Archie Colgan, Lucas Brennan, Amam Shafia leave, Usman Ramagamadadav, pays it plus 127. Oh, you do, you did get to a plus number. Got to a plus number. I'm wildly confident, and I can guarantee you it will lose.

Man, well, good for you. I thought Laird was, I thought you were just going to take all the favorite two or minus 600 bigger. Pretty much did. You left Laird out. It's Jordan Newman minus 750, Archie Colgan minus 550, Lucas Brennan minus 500, Amabheafia Ali, minus 750, Usman de Magamadov minus 400. It's going to lose. I put a unit and a half on it and I regret the hell out of it.

It's going to lose, even though it makes sense that all of them win. And I bet it closes as like all of them being even bigger favorites because these bills are like swam like crazy. Those are all already bigger favorites, but that you're out of off. What can I say? What can I say? I'm a sharp. What can I say? Got good prices.

And then the violence parlay is going to be collie radic does not go. Brendan Talavera does not go. Fortune James does not go. your Magamato of Pitball does not go. And then one last play, actually. I know you're dying to get out of here. One last play that I have, Roman Ferraldo against Levant Chokely.

Yeah, I'm going to take Roman Ferroldo by knockout. There's so much action on Bellator. I'm ashamed. I'm ashamed. I'm not going to lie to you. I'm absolutely ashamed. You have almost as many fights that matter from Bellator as you do at the UFC. Yeah, pretty much.

But I will say, actually, I have more fights that matter to me on Bellator than I do in the UFC. It technically, the all Bellator bets, I technically only have three bets down. Yeah, but you know, hey, look, there's one we talk about all the time. You're maybe not feeling a car. It's a little lackluster. One way to up your level of interest is to put an irresponsible number of wagers down on us. Yes. That is, I mentioned it.

I was like, man, I'm not excited for these cards this weekend, but I found the way to get excited. I absolutely blasted, threw down a bomb on that Usman, JDS, Spivak, under Parlay. And then I just put in a bunch of irresponsible bets on Bellator. I mean, Roman Ferraldo actually is like a highlight reel. He's 8-0, 8 wins by knockout, swag just out the wazoo on this man. Yeah.

Conner, we might have problems. because like... What, you're on Levant Chokely? No, I've just ended up with 14 bets this weekend. How? How do I have 14 bets on this weekend of fights? I have nine. I have five singles and four parlayes.

I have two parlayes and 12 bets. And I don't know what's going on. I'd be lying if I didn't consider a little Bellator UFC next week's PFL champions cross parlay. I just got to do the whole PFL part. PFL parlay is going to be fantastic. I already have two parlay. I actually, like, to tease next week's show, I mean, it's going to be a great Thanksgiving show.

Yeah, I've already got three singles and two parleyes down on PFL next week. I'll be in attendance. I won't be paying the 4999 for the pay-per-view. So that's it, man. That's UFC, Vegas 65, and Bellator. Chicago. Roman fraudulent by K.O. Johnson Zuma Gula of under two and a half

Jack Delamadalina minus three and a half points Sherman Cortez-a-Cost over one-a-half Fialho Salikov fight does not go the distance Jack Delamattelaniu is Wanda Mogamagamato of Lewis Spivak Parlay minus 137 Those are the bets that I'm saying Derek Lewis by KOTKO Louis Spivak over one and a half

Kennedy and Jekuu by KOTKO Chase Sherman straight up plus 1 Sherman Cortez-A-Costa over one-and-a-half minus 135. I then Super Paul-Aid Derek Lewis and the over plus Sherman and the over for plus 1297 because I'm a D-Gen. D-Gen.

Jack Delamadalina inside the distance minus 200. Andre Fialho by decision plus 500. Johnson Zuma Gulov under two and a half plus 195. Jennifer Mai by decision plus 225. Getting a little curtain jerker to raise a blade up plus 140. I've got the parlor with my man Connor, J.D.M., Corey Anderson, Usman, Narragal Medov, plays plus 105. And then because, again, total D-Gim, took the heavyweight overs at one and a half for Fortune James plus 150. And for Govea Morganberg, plus 205. Let's just have a great, stupid weekend of fights.

Oh, oh, this is a dumb weekend. This is just like, I'm just putting units out to the pasture. Like, it's just, this. If it's a winning. many. I won so many a 281. I got to get rid of them. If I end up plus units on the weekend, like there's nothing you, you can't tell me at that point. Like it's just, this weekend's to have fun. It's a carryover. I actually am really excited about the PFL championships, way more excited than I should be because I'm going. And like, I actually feel pretty good on my bets. This week isn't that week. Before we run, any World Cup action you're throwing down, any few cheese you got? I have no World Cup action.

Just, I don't know, I feel weird about it. It's like a very morally questionable one this time around. And I'm going to watch the U.S. games because, you know. You have to, come on. For Queen and Country. But I don't know. I just don't, it all feels weird. And I don't feel, I'm not like a super confident soccer bet or anyway.

Oh, I have no confidence in my soccer bets. But I am taking Argentina, Leo Messi, one last. ride, France, you know, bonjour, been there, done that. If I was going to bet, I would just bet on Argentina just, just, Leo, one last ride.

Just for Leo. See if you can get one done before it's all said and done. So yeah, should be a great weekend of combat sports next week. We will have a show. I know a lot of you are like Thanksgiving in the States. You shouldn't have a show.

Well, we're going to have a show. We got to give thanks for the PFL championship, For the PFL championships. We're going to try and win. I'm going to have an all-in-bedded PFL championships. Just teasing that right now. Is it Kayla Harrison? Sure is.

Okay. All right. I was going to say, if it's not Kayla Harrison, then don't say it now. We're not going to tease that over to next week. But yeah, Kayla Harrison. If he's only minus 600 over a woman, she's already defeated soundly. Pacheco, getting older, getting more competent, has really found that knockout power. I like Pacheco.

I think Pachio. is an underrated fighter. This fight is going one way and one way only. Black Friday for a reason. It's, you know, the first loss of Kayla Harrison's career. You never know. I don't know. You know, where is this event happening?

The Hulu Theater. Oh, it is in the Hulu Theater. Okay. Yeah, I'm going to bet on Kayla Harrison with all of my monies. I'll be there. Actually, it's going to be a great day, if I'm being honest. Last thing before we go. USA, England.

You just mentioned the USA. USA England during the afternoon, straight into PFL championships. I can't wait. Great day. All right, let's get the hell out of here. Please, can we get the hell out of here? That's USC Apex 65. That's Bellator 288.

Deep dishes. Maybe some Chicago dogs for dinner on Friday night. Ooh, now there's an idea. Deep dish or Chicago dogs? Which one we doing? I'm not a huge Chicago dog fan, but I'm not a deep dish pizza guy at all. but Chicago Dogs feels like... Chicago Dogs.

All right. So we're whipping up some Chicago dogs for Friday then. Let's go. I'm down. Dabairs. We'll see you next week. We've got to have Chicago dogs for those Chicago dogs that are going to be

cash and tickets, even though we haven't bet a single underdog. I'm not betting a single underdog, but I imagine some underdogs will win. Someone is going to kill me in that parlay. I mean, like, if you tell that parlay, no, it's a losing affair. But yeah, for the nine millionth time, let's get out of here. PFL championships next week. Talk to you then. Love you guys.

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