MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Can Dricus du Plessis beat Sean Strickland again at UFC 312?

Episode Date: February 5, 2025

The UFC is back in Sydney. This Saturday, UFC 312 goes down in Sydney, Australia headlined by a pair of title fights. In the main event, Dricus du Plessis and Sean Strickland face off in a middleweight title rematch, while in the co-main event, Zhang Weili puts her strawweight title on the line against Tatiana Suarez. And No Bets Barred is here to break it all down. This week, host Jed Meshew is joined for the first time ever by Morning Kombat’s Long Island Luke to talk over the action at hand. Topics discussed include who leaves Sydney with UFC titles, whether Strickland or du Plessis need to make any adjustments for their rematch, if it’s finally time for Tatiana Suarez to win a title, how bad is the rest of this card, The Climb, and more. Tune in for episode 116 of No Bets Barred. Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe to MMA Fighting Check out our full video catalog Like MMA Fighting on Facebook Follow on Twitter Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

You're listening to the Vox Media Podcast Network. What is up, y'all? We are back with another edition of No Betts, BARD. And we are back for a pay-per-view fight week. UFC 312 goes down this Saturday. And as promised last week, you know, I like to bring guests on, particularly for the big events. And while we can quibble about whether this is a big event or not,

it is a pay-per-view. So we're going to at least pretend like it is. And as such, got you a new guest, making his no-bets bar debut, a man that you know and love from the esteemed morning combat. I'm talking about morning combats gambling aficionado himself and also from the main card minute. Long Island, Luke, Luke!

Thanks for being here. How you doing, buddy? Jed, glad to finally make my debut. A lot of people have been requesting this for a while. Good to be here. Looking forward to it, dude. Let's get into it. I'm so sorry that your debut has to come for this card because it's so bad. But I don't know if you realize

I'm half Australian and I'm a huge homer for the Aussies. I love this card. I won't. I'll die on a fucking grave with Luke Thomas that UFC Saudi is better than this card. But at the same time, I'm actually probably more intrigued than the average fan for this card. Well, that's terrific. And we were talking before the show.

You have apparently a bet on every fight on the card, which is terrific because I do not. There are, frankly, in my notes, I believe two of these that my notes say, I'm just not looking into this fight. I'm just not even going to pretend that I want to figure this one out. So you can pick up my slack there. The one thing I will say,

it probably is going to be better than Saudi for me from a gambling perspective, because I got hosed last week. I mean, tough round for me at USC Saudi Arabia. Would you, I'm assuming Izzy, because I also lost on that. MVP was my only hit of the week. Got to be honest.

Rosenstrike was a huge fucking letdown. Oh, so I succeeded on two bets. One, and for the listeners, this is the most important one. It is the climb bet. My climb bet last week was Sergei Pavlovich. I continued the climb, so that is the most important thing anyway. The only bet I hit was on Venetius Oliver at Loke Dog, coming in as an underdog. cash for me, but I missed

Izzy, I missed Charle Bullet, I missed Mike Davis, which was a bet I actually felt very good about. I missed Gasev Peterson over one and a half and even a little sprinkle on Peterson himself. My parley got blown up,

which I thought was safe, the safest thing possible, because Izzy got knocked out before the one and a half. It was just a very, very bad week. I ended up down four units, and so I am now down for the year, obviously they haven't been that many events this year, but hopefully I can't do worse this weekend,

and maybe we can even have a good weekend and get ourselves back on track for the year. I'm feeling good about it. There's actually a few dogs on this card that I'm into, so I think we're going to make some money this week. I have multiple dog bets. In fact, looking at my sheet, I've got three dog bets, and then let's just get into it.

Yeah, let's do it. We probably won't go for like three hours, obviously, today on this one, but we can talk for a fair bit about the main event and the co-main event because for as weak as the rest of this card is, the top two fights are A-plus stuff and your main event this Saturday in Sydney, Australia. Drickus DuPus C, taking on Sean Strickland for the second time, but this time the roles are reversed.

Dupless C defending the middle-eight title against Sean Strickland. And Dupless C is your betting favorite. He is around minus 200. The comeback on Izzy. plus 175 depending on your book. The first flight was very close. A lot of people thought Strickland won. Strickland has been saying since that, you know, he was robbed.

DDP does not agree, obviously. So, Luke, how you see this main event going down? Do you got any action kind of, what are the things we should be looking at for the DDP Strickland rematch? So I do think this fight goes very similar to the first fight where maybe we get like a debatable five-round decision again. I did have DDP in the first fight at plus 1.14. So no complaints on the scoring there, but I do agree that it was a really close fight.

I thought the odds would have been pretty similar here. Maybe just flip-flop. DDP slight favorite, minus 120-ish. Minus 200, little too expensive for me to throw down on that. I also think a rematch this close together does favor DDP. It's not like Sean has had like years to grow and get better or DDPs aged drastically since their first fight. It was literally a year ago. So in that sense, DDP should be able to get it done.

Don't like the price, though. Also, he was outstruck by 40 significant strikes in their first fight and probably only got the nod because he got Sean down six times. It's a tall order to be able to do that again. I'm playing it somewhat safe here. I took the over two and a half all total rounds minus 360 in a three-leg parlay. I'll get to the rest of the legs later. But DDP's hit it in four of his eight UFC fights.

Sean has hit it in 16 of his 22 UFC fights, So 66% of the time they hit the over two and a half. And they hit it in their first fight. I like a lot of what you're saying. And I agree with most of what you're saying, frankly. I was a bit surprised at the price here because I was on DDP for those who have listened to this program for how it's like our 120th episode or something. I am a big supporter of Drickus Duplessi as a fighter. I find him deeply funny.

And so I've bet him constantly. And it has been working out, A&O, in the U.S. thus far. I want, like, I wanted to come into this and do it again. I think this price is just stone wrong. I think it would not, frankly, be a bad idea to bet Sean Strickland just for value. Not the bets I have chosen to take on this one. I do favor DDP to win this fight. He won the first one. I don't think it was a robbery. I think you could have scored it either way, but there's the old adage. Once you have the belt, you become 20% better. I do think that it is more likely we see a better Drickus in this fight than we see a better Sean. I think Sean is the same fighter.

Drickis is adding some tools, getting more comfortable with sort of five-round fights the pace he wants to put. I would favor him just not this much. I haven't done this yet because I just have not had the option yet, but as soon as the point spread lines drop, that is what I'm going to be looking at for the Sean Strickland play is I agree that this fight is very, very likely to go long. I frankly doubt either man is getting a finish. If one does, I do think it would be trickus. But like I said, I just don't think that it's going to happen. I think this will be fairly similar to the first one. And so we're talking probably a 48, 47 decision along the way here. And if that's the case, whatever the point spread drop will be beneficial if you're on the

Sean Strickland side. I want to see what the price is. If I'm not getting, you know, if it's like minus 180 for Strickland on the points, probably not doing that. But if it's something a little closer in line, which I think it will be, then that is when I'm looking for a straight action. And most importantly, Lou, this fight is where we are climbing this week. Oh, shit. Oh, shit. The climb is well on its way. We have nine legs completed on the climb. The goal is to get to 30 of them. So we are this weekend, should we prove successful, one third of the way up the mountain. I honestly could not have believed that I would get this far in our second, I think this is actually the third iteration of this. Currently, the

climb bankroll, 745 smackaroos. Let's go. And all of those bananas, they are going on. They haven't yet, because I had not available in my book at this moment in time, all of those bananas are going on the over one and a half, which should come in around minus 650 to minus 700. We took a minus 300 with Sergei Spivak last week. So we're allowed a little bit of leeway to go over our sort of minus 500 target range. And I just, I would be shocked if somebody gets an early finish here. We saw how the first fight went. Neither dude was ever close to winning that fight suddenly.

Like that fight was in no way close to getting finished. Frankly, with Sean Strickland, he has gone over the one and a half and nine of his past 10 bouts. and DDP has done it in five of his eight UFC belts total. Strickland is just durable unless he's fighting Alex Pereira. DDP obviously has been incredibly durable, and Sean Strickland is not much of a finisher. So the over one and a half is the climb. It means I will be the most nervous for this fight for seven and a half minutes,

and then the rest of it won't matter. When you first said you were putting the climb on this, I'm like, really? You're going to go DDP on this fight? because I feel like it's a little too close. Yeah. And I had a few other names in mind for you as we went down the card for what the climb could possibly be. But I love that you said the Sean Strickland spread bet.

By the way, it did drop this morning on Draft Kings. I have it right here. It's plus five and a half at minus 135. Taking that. I'm a hundred percent. I'm a hundred percent. I'll definitely throw it in a parlay because I like to have plus money bets. But I haven't decided what I'll throw it with.

But I've been on that all week. He technically in their first fight, Sean 148, 48, 47, DDP, 148. 47 on the other two cards. So the spread was one. They're giving you five and a half here. Jump on that all day. I am like I know that on five round fights, they don't really do the three and a half thing.

Honestly, it feels like you could do just the three and a half. Dude, well, draft kings does give you. Yeah, all total. Here it is. Hold on, hold on. Oh, no, they do only have five and a half. All right.

They have nine and a half, 13. And a five and a half. I mean, as the, as the week goes on, it's possible. give you those alt spreads because sometimes they drop them. But I just did not expect. I thought it would be, I mean, I thought it would be minus five and a half, frankly, because that is normally where they default to for these five rounders. But I thought the price would be like minus 150, maybe a little higher even just to really

distance. Intervised. When I'm getting down to minus 135, smashing that. No question asked. I think if that's a losing bet, I still feel good about my efforts. Like, it's a hundred percent agreed. place to put it. So the main event this weekend, I will be watching extremely intently all the way through.

But the co-main event, there's nothing to sneeze at either, Luke. Women's strawweight title fight, the long-reigning champion at this point, Zhang Wiley, taking on the undefeated, the princess who was promised, Tatiana Suarez, finally getting her title shot after people thought this would happen five years ago. but long injury history, a lot of stuff got in the way. Tatiana Suarez probably doesn't even deserve this title fight. If we're being honest, she guillotined Jessica and Draj back in August of 2023. Vina Shenzhiroba getting a little bit passed over, a little bit screwed in this,

but it's fine because we want this fight to happen. And it is basically a pick-um. You can find plus money on Zhang at a couple of places, just barely. Tatiana is fairly minus. but most books seem to have this right around to pick them. And so Luke, I think this is the most competitive, most even considering the main event, which I think is incredibly competitive.

I think this fight is the one, maybe it's not competitive. I just have more questions I am more curious about. So tell me what do you think is about to happen here in this co-main event? All right. Well, Tatiana's inactivity is obviously going to be the number one storyline here. only two fights in the last six years. It doesn't take away from the fact, though,

that she's been dominant in every single fight she's been in in the UFC, taken down all seven of her UFC opponents, at least twice. Wei Lee, on the other hand, been taken down by three different opponents. So I feel like the wrestling here for Tatiana is just going to be great A, perfect.

She's got three former champions already under her belt. Where am I? Geez, I'm getting lost in my nose. Three former champions under her belt. Wayley is also approaching the, 35 years ages, oh my God, 35 years of age stat, the dreaded Luke Thomas stat. So she's got to be on the decline. Granted, Tatiana's only 34, so she's right behind her, but I'm a little worried way Lee is on the decline. I did say to myself, dude, I will take whoever the dog is in this fight,

because if you're going to give me way Lee at like plus 150, I'll hop all over that. You're going to give me Tatiana plus whatever. I'll hop all over that. So as of last Saturday, I got Tatiana Sora's money line at plus 134. Wow. Right now. She is minus 120 on Giraff Kings. The swing there, I am not going to lie. I most certainly will be hedging with a Wei Li Zhang money line bet at this point because they're both going to be plus money. But dude, the value, I'm feeling so much better about this.

I was still flip-flopped when I took it. I was like that line might rise. Given that she's minus 120 now, I'm feeling like, all right, Vegas is on my side. Money's coming in on her. Let's go, Tatiana. Yeah, I just feel really confident Tatiana Soros to win this fight, frankly. There's no disrespect to Jean Wiley, who is an incredible fighter. I didn't realize this until somebody asked me a question this week for the mailbag column I do for my fighting.

It's a great website. It was a great website. They were like, hey, how close is Jean Wally to getting into the top five all time? Like, where does she rank as an all-time great with a win? And I had to really think about it, but like, I hadn't considered it because to me, there's like a pretty clear top five women of all time. as far as MMA goes. And it's Amanda Nunes, Chris Cyborg, Valentina Shepchenko, Yanni, and J. Chick, Ronda Roussey. They had long reins.

They were critically important to the development growth. And frankly, they are, even Roussey, who I think people have turned on with how her career ended. Her run at the top was exceptional and people just are, they forget. And kind of looking at that list, you could make an argument for somebody like Megumi Fuji, uh, Fuji, uh, to sort of be a, ah, grandfathered in as, you know, the, a pioneer and should be one of the five greatest because of her, her career was also exceptional given what it was. But I think that fives list. And I realized just looking at Zhang, if she wins this weekend, it is very much open that

she takes Yohana's place. She, uh, a win this weekend will put her, uh, almost certainly she will surpass Yuana's uh, title reign in days. You want to ask just under 1,000. Wei Lee is already at, like, 800-something. And so by the time she would defend next, she would have the longest strawweight title defense in days. She would be one behind her in successful title defense's number.

Obviously, she has the two wins over her. I think that the conversation really becomes, okay, Zhang Wei Li with a win this weekend becomes a top five fighter. All of that's pretty impressive. I think the most impressive part would be beating Tatiana Suarez, who I think is just a god-awful match-up for her. Like, you pointed out, the wrestling is the key here,

and this is not some groundbreaking thing that nobody else knows about, but Zhang defends about 50% of the takedown shot at her. The rematch with Rose Namibunis was lost because Rose, Rose, as D-1, Rose-Nama-unis just started shooting doubles and finishing them. Tatiana Suarez, she has many flaws in her game,

is underdeveloped, certainly in the striking act, aspects of it. Her issues with, frankly, just health and being able to compete at the frequency you kind of need to is well documented. Girl can shoot a double. Like, the woman can wrestle. And so I won't be stunned if Zhang comes out here and just kills her because she is extremely powerful, extremely good.

But I think the overwhelmingly more likely outcome is that Tatiana, just tackles her a bunch. And Tatana is also like a very good submission grappler. So this is not, she has to get five takedowns and survive the striking. She can finish this fight once it gets on the floor as well. I just think that this is a great matchup for Suarez. And I think that Suarez has had some issues. Her performance has not been as impressive at times because she's had to step in on long layoffs.

But I think without the injury history, she would be a massive. favorite here. And so I am treating it as such Tatyano Saur's straight minus 110 is what I got her because I did not do this nearly early enough, apparently. Plus 130 would be a terrific price to have right now. Dude, are you worried about this going five rounds at all for Tatiana's sake? No. No? I mean, I think going five rounds obviously would help Zhang a little bit. but what I am worried about is that Zhang stuff's the first take down. Like that is the thing that would concern me. He's like, oh, all of this I had planned is now moved and we're done here.

If this goes five rounds, like Zhang gets, that helps her, I don't think she's going to finish Tatiana later in the fight because she will have to be working so hard early in the fight. So then it's, okay, can she win one of the first three rounds? I am just really confident that Tatiana is going to win like the first two rounds. And so I would frankly say that if you are a Zhang backer, I might wait and just hold that until the live odds change because I will be surprised if Tatiana doesn't win the first round. I think she is going to have a relatively straightforward time scoring takedowns early. If she starts to tie her out, then Zhang can maybe take over late.

But she's only got to get three takedowns to win this fight functionally. And maybe not even that, because like I said, Zhang has a history or not a history, a slight tendency to maybe give up her back too much if she's going to try and get to the fee. And Tatiana can make her pay. So if this, like if you told me this is going five rounds, I might say that this is an advantage to Zhang, but I am not that concerned about it. Would you, so the over under said at three and a half, I'm kind of feeling the over four and a half plus money. You don't think it's going to go the distance, though? I don't think it's going to go the distance. I might sprinkle on that.

I'm not going to lie. What's plus four and a half? What's the... They haven't dropped it yet, but three and a half is minus one-thirty, so I'm going to assume it's like plus one-t-tish. Yeah. I mean, you know, Suarez is mostly a finisher. Zhang, we know, is certainly a finisher.

You could convince me that happens. I just... I think we're getting a finish. I think we're getting a finish probably in the first three rounds. Maybe you should hop on under three and a half plus 100. Solid value. I actually might do that. I didn't even look at the overrun on this fight.

I just noticed they just dropped them today on draft kings. I mean, they actually might. I might end up jumping on the under three and a half. I think we're getting to finish in the first three rounds. Plus money, that is certainly tempting. Yeah. Ontario, the weight is over. The gold standard of online casinos has arrived.

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Please play responsibly. And frankly, that's the last two fights that I care to talk about. We have other fights to talk about, but the, the dream. drop off in quality from the main and co-main to even the feature bout. Maybe especially the feature bout, frankly. Especially the feature bout is right. Is something special because if you were looking at this card, you can't, there are not three other fights that, quote, unquote,

deserve to be on the main card as far as I'm concerned. What they have chosen to be the feature about this weekend, I am frankly astonished, but so it goes. Justin Taffa is taking on Talison Tashara. Talison Tashira is making his UFC debut in the feature bout of a pay-per-view event with two title fights. I do not understand why that is happening, but it is happening. Taffa, you know, at this point, he's been around the UFC for a bit, three and one, and with one no contest in the last five, coming off a unanimous decision loss to Carl Williams in March in a fight that if I say unanimous decision and heavyweights, you know it was terrible.

That is pretty much the story of what happens. Justin Taffa, when he has allowed to strike, is super fun because he will knock you out and he's got a great chin. Talism to share, I don't know if you know too much about him, Luke, but he is coming off the contender series. Every year now, a couple years ago, I started doing a contender series roundup. and Talison is a guy who I graded as a second round talent. So not a top top prospect, but a guy with enough tools, interest that with some development could be a plus fighter in the UFC, somebody who is useful.

I don't know. The second rounder basically because he is enormous. He is 6, 8. He is heavyweight. Heavy weight is awful. And he has some skills. So with all that in mind, Luke, how are you feeling about the feature about outside of it,

being awful as a feature about how are you just feeling about the matchup and where you're going with your bet this on this one dude so it it's very awful uh tafa's the vet here and he is 500 in the ufc but three of his four wins came to guys no longer on the roster not only that but three of his four losses came to guys no longer on the roster uh to sherra you mentioned we'll have a seven inch height advantage and a nine inch reach advantage it's going to be cartoonish because taffer is like not a big heavyweight. He's a physically large man, but he's not that tall, like he's wide. It is going to be a cartoon matchup.

I looked at all Taffa's former UFC fights, too. He's never had the reach advantage. And having a nine inch reach disadvantage here is just apropos. This might end poorly for Tafa, dude. We could see him put another contender series hype train away, but I really don't see it happening. Either way, though, I don't think this fight last long at all. I took fight does not go the distance at minus six. It's part of that DDP over two and a half parlay.

There's one more leg on it. I'll get to it in a little bit. But nine of Taffa's 12 pro fights have not gone the distance, and all seven of Tasharis have ended in the first round. So 84% combined of their pro fights, not gone the distance, should hit. Yeah, I can't disagree with that. This is a fight where you could make the argument that Justin Taffa,

you know, like you said, maybe he derails a hype train, sends a young prospect back to the drawing board. I just want to remind everybody, Justin Taffa is one of the very few men on this earth who lost to Jared Vanderaa inside the Octagon, and you should not take him seriously as a result of that. Dude, but Jared's been on a run post-UFC.

I don't know if you've looked on the regional. He's killing it. I mean, I lost so much money just being like, all Jared Vandera has to do is be able to grapple. Like, all he has to do is be able to take somebody down and use Waldo Cortez-a Costa. Just take him down. You're a BJD blackbell. And that dude can't grapple for shit.

And Jared Vandar just can't do any of things. So glad he's on his, like, five-fight win streak or whatever the hell it is on the regionals. That's where you belong, Jared Vandra. You shouldn't be beating people in the UFC. And Justin Taffa losing to him really makes me question. Just Justin Taffa in general. especially in this matchup. Now, the question I have for this fight is,

Taffa is kind of quick, and he is used to fighting at this, maybe not as big of a reach and height disadvantage, but he is used to having to get inside and sort of throw those haymakers. Talasin is not like the most athletic dude, and so he can get hit and maybe Tafa can equalize, but I think that this is primarily a set-up fight

for a heavyweight who is kind of, like, I won't say he is exciting, But he is heavyweight, like the bar to be a freaking prospect that heavyweight is on the freaking floor. And he's an undefeated 25 year old dude who is a natural heavyweight. Like I think that the UFC is trying to get him into good spots here. I think they're winning. So I have a straight bet on Talasin. And I have done a very silly thing because Luke, I love a gimmick.

Oh, me too. A huge fan of a gimmick parlay. It's one of my favorite ways to parlay is with a gimmick. Oh, I think I know what it is. There is a clear-cut gimmick for me as I was going through my research. A three-leg parlay. The gimmick is there are three fighters on this card who were on the most recent season of contender series and that I rated as round two prospects.

So figured F it, I'm going to tie them all together. One of them is a fairly sizable underdog, so probably going to lose this parlay. but half unit on the gimmick parlay as well. So I functionally have a unit and a half backing towels and Desherry here. We'll see how that ends up going for me. I thought the gimmick was going to be the brother in the UFC parlay of Taffa and Teporia. I mean, honestly, that would be, is also a very good gimmick. The issue we'll talk about when we get down to Tore.

Oh, I'm with you on that issue. But yeah, so this gimmick parlay, probably dumb, probably going to lose pretty, pretty excited about it nonetheless. We press on to whatever the fourth fight, the second fight of the main card, fourth fight of our discussion for us. And the Aussies getting involved here. Jimmy Crute taking on Hadovo Bellato. Crute, your underdog plus 140, Balato minus 155.

And Crute, been pretty tough scenes for Jimmy. He is 03 and 1 in his past four, coming off a submission loss to Alonza Minifield back in July of 2023. So year and a half since he's been in action and a much longer time than that since he's gotten his hand raised in the Octagon. Balato is coming off the contender series from 2023 and he did win his UFC debut in December of that year. Hasn't competed since then.

Do you have, I know you have something on this because you said that you have a bet on every fight. Tell me what the hell you have on this because I don't. feel confident in anything about this one. Okay, well, confidence is one thing. What I have is another thing. I just want to say there was a time when I thought Jimmy Crute was going to be the next big star out of Australia.

And it sounds funny to say now, dude, but when he beat Sam Alvey, I was like, damn this dude's legit. He was also 10 and 0 with seven finishes at that time, and it was only Sam Alvey's second loss in a row on a soon-to-be-nine-fight winless streak. So, you know, hindsight's 20-20. I know Jimmy has not one of fight since 2020, but all four of his pro losses came to top 15 light heavyweights, including one to a former title challenger. Okay.

Well, all right. Yes. Technically, that is both true. The person you're speaking about is Anthony Smith, who's been washed for like half a decade. Wait. He lost to Anthony Smith, but he lost to Anthony Smith in 2021, which was like three-fight wind streak Anthony Smith, not 2024 Anthony Smith, who's, you know, washed and whatever. But he lost a former title challenger, Anthony Smith, former champion in Jamal Hill.

Balato, on the other hand, only beaten Ehor Petaria, who just, got cut by the UFC, so he hasn't even beaten anyone in the UFC. And he has two losses to Vitor Petrino, who lost to 2024, Anthony Smith. So that's a bad loss. Ozzy crowd's going to be behind him, too. Got to take him as the dog here. Plus 145. Jimmy the brute, crout, baby, let's go.

Yeah, I may get a rule not to bet on people who haven't want to fight this decade. And so I'm just not going to back Jimmy Crew. I'm not at all believing in Hadoffo blato, by the way. Like, this is not a bet on him, but I just have zero confidence in, frankly, either dude at the prices they are being given. So firm pass to me, and we move on to the main card opener. This is actually a fight that I like. I don't think this fight is like main card pay-per-view worthy, but I do think that this fight is fun. If I had the power of the pen, this would be the feature about of the evening as far as I'm concerned.

I am talking about a welterweight contest between Jake Matthews and Francisco Prado. Matthews, a consider, not a considerable weight, a healthy betting favorite at minus 2.15. Come back on Prado around plus 190, depending on your book. Matthews, 3 and 2 in his past 5 coming off unanimous decision win over Phil Rowe at UFC 302. Prado, only 1 and 2 in the UFC, still super young. He's like 22 still, I think. I think he turns 23 this year. And coming off, he lost his Daniel Zell-Huber at UFC, Mexico.

Not to be confused with the Daniel Zell-Huber at UFC 306 fight of the year. Esteban U.Bovic. Second, for us, it wasn't fight of the year. It was the number two fight of the year against Esteban Riebevich. But also won fight of the night and was an incredible battle at UFC Mexico as well. Daniel Zell-Huber had a hell of a run in 2024, is the point. there. I will just be transparent.

There was a previous point in time when I thought Jake Matthews was going to be a top 10 welterweight. You know, coming off what at this point we now know is a smoke and mirrors win over Andre Fialho. He looked so good against Andre Fiala. He was like, this dude, he's still

young. He's getting better. He's got great boxing going to be the thing. And then Matthew Semmelzberger was like, actually he is mid as hell. As a result, I'm going to take the lead here and just note. I have a bet on Prado. Only a half unit. I'm putting a full one down, but nearly plus 200.

I really like Prado as a prospect. He has had a tough run in the UFC thus far. Like I said, he is one and two. But he joined the UFC and has immediately fought real dudes, despite being 22 years old and undefeated. He fought Jamie Malarkey in his debut. Otman Azitar. He got the win over, not finished him in the first round. And then a back and forth battle with Daniel Zell Huber, who is just a really good fighter.

You could convince me that Prado actually is just should be a lightweight that, because he is not a massive welterweight, certainly he's only 5'10. He got a little bit shorter on the reach. You convince me that he should just be a lightweight. And so once he makes the drop down, he'll have a more competitive run in him. But he is still only 22 years old. I just, I love his boxing. I love the way he comes to scrap.

and Matthews has been so inconsistent, just winning one, losing one, winning one, losing one. Maybe he should be the favorite. I don't think he should be this big a favorite. So I'm on Prado for this one, Lou. I mean, you mentioned the inconsistency with Jake Matthews. He's alternated wins and losses in his last seven. And you're right, he looked like a killer against Fialo and then lost to Semmelzberger.

But that's what we love about Jake Matthews, right? The inconsistency, Jed. I don't. I like consistency when I'm betting. Dude, in the last six years, he's only lost three times, two of them were to current top 15 welterweight, so he's not losing to Scrubs. You mentioned...

And he lost to Matthew Simblesberger, who just got cut! He just got cut! A few years ago, a few years ago. Prado, you mentioned coming up in weight, naturally 55 or Matthews could have the size advantage here. He's also gotten at least one takedown in 12 of his 20 UFC fights, and we've seen Prado struggle with the takedowns in his career against Jamie Mularky of all people,

took him down three times. You don't think Jake Matthews isn't going to have his way with him. I think Jake Matthews is probably going to coast a unanimous decision or sub-win here, possibly. Either way, taking him money line, got him at minus 175. That is the third leg of my parlay. It's parlayed with fight does not go the distance

in Tafa Balato and, oh, no, Taffa's fighting Tashara. Sorry. And over two and a half in the main event, gets us plus 134, all three together. I would like to note that, as you say, he's only lost the top 15 fighters and Matthew Semmelzberger is no longer on the roster. Two or three.

Who is wins? Darius Flowers? Andre Fialho who's not good. Diego Sanchez in the year of our Lord 20, Diego Sanchez. A legend. Just not like Phil Roe, these are not the wins of a man

who should be this big a favor over somebody who has some talent. We're talking an 11-year UFC vet, 20 UFC fights versus three. I mean, a 22-year-old, too, at that. I got to take the vet here. Yeah, except for, as you noted, he is one-one lost one.

He's alternated wins and losses for the last four years. You know what's due? He's due for a loss this time. I know, I know. You're going against history. I know. I can't believe you. I am going against the trend, and I was weary of that.

I was like, fuck, man. I got to not do that. Fortunately, you're about to get an opportunity to wax poetic because your prelim main event, the lead-in to the pay-per-view portion of Saturday's card is a featherweight contest between Jack Jenkins and Gabriel Santos and my notes for this, I did nothing. As I was putting this together, I was like, I'm not betting this fight. I don't want to go watch tape on this. I don't even want to look through the history to put this together.

I will default to anything that you say here. If Luke has anything, he can jump in here. If not, we can just keep on cruising because I have zero thoughts about Jack Jenkins, or Gabriel Santos. Far Jack, baby. First of all, he's predicting his second round finish. don't think it's going to happen. But if you want to go off his prediction, jump on that.

Both these guys can wrestle. Jack has had nine takedowns in five Zufa fights, Zufa being obviously contender series and regular. Santos with nine takedowns in three UFC fights. But Jack has been taken down in all four of his UFC fights. While Santos was only taken down once, and it was by Lerone Murphy, who's obviously a great wrestler himself.

Well, Lerone, if you listen to how Jack calls his name. So I do think Santos is going to have the wrestling advantage. If Jenkins can keep it on the feet, though, I do think he can outstrike Santos, but I think the more likely outcome is Santos wrestling him. I don't want to count out Jack completely, though, because I like him a lot. So I'm going to take the over two and a half here in a parlay. It's minus 185. Jack's hit it in four of his last six fights, and Santos has hit it in two of his last three fights. Yeah.

If I was going to do any research, I very briefly looked at this and was like, what's the over? And then I realized I would have had to have gone and actually watch fights again. I was like I'm not doing that. Yeah, absolutely. Just, just wiki capping, I would say the over here seems fine, but don't, don't quote me to that. Don't hold me to that. I was curious what Far Jack meant, P-F-A-R or P-H-A-R for his nickname. Apparently, it's an old Australian horse.

He's a big horse racing guy, Far Jack. I did know he's a big horse racing guy at Media Day yesterday or last night at the time of recording this. because because it's in Australia, things are a little wonky. He was very open about being like, yeah, all I want to do is make enough money to retire and open a horse breeding farm or whatever. So he's big into the horse racing. So that makes sense. So I didn't know that about far.

So you come to know Bettsbard to learn things. This podcast is four. Exactly. And let me teach you something about this next fight here because one of my guys is competing in a late lateweight contest, I'm Nolan taking on Slava Clause, Vyacheslav Boroshev. I mean, I think the listeners of the pub probably know where I'm going on this. So let's lead off with you, Nolan, 2 and 1 in the UFC coming off this unanimous decision win over Alex Ray is in August.

Slava is 500, 3, 3 and 1 in the UFC with a split decision win over Yamas Lontop back in August as well. How do you have this one? I think Slava's wrestling is going to be the big weakness here. He's got taken down at least once in all four of his last four losses, excuse me. And he did not give up a takedown in his last two wins. Only problem is Tom Nolan never attempted a takedown in his four Zufa fights. Nolan will have the size and reach advantage, but I do think Slava may have the better standup. It's a little too close to call.

I'm going to stay away from the money line. I'm going to take the over one and a half here. Anytime you're going to give me an over one and a half at plus my money. I got to take it unless it's Terrence McKinney. Shout out Terrence McKinney. Over one and a half, Nolan's hit it three times in nine pro fights, but did hit it in his last fight, and Slavis hit it in nine of his 13 pro fights, including six straight. Oh, shout out to Terrence McKinney. I had people hit me up last week. I'm like, I can't believe your climb bet is not the McKinney under. And I was like, I really strongly was thinking

about it. And then just decided I wanted it to be Sergey because it was fun. and should have done them both. There was literally no doubt in McKinney hitting the under because there's never a doubt. I could make the climb. If you gave me 30 McKinney fights and just taken the unders, the climb would be done instantly. So shout out to Terrence McKinney. More importantly, shout out to Big Tom Nolan. Tom Nolan was my favorite prospect coming off the 2023 contender series.

Because I have a problem. Now that we've seen him fight three times, I can recognize. that I was incorrect. He's not the best prospect on the 22 and 3 Contender Series. But my problem is I'm a measurables guy. I love a height weight speed.

Like that just does it for me. I'm like, yep. Give me a young dude who's really big for the weight class. They'll teach him how to fight. Somebody will teach a big fella how to fight. He is a big fella. Six-three at lightweight. Like that's Jalen Turner size numbers.

The issue, not like a massively great. athlete and probably actually long term would be better served at welterweight frankly but he's making his weight cut you noted the grappling is how slova clause loses if you can take him down the fight is one tom nolan doesn't do that but tom nolan can do that so i think that is in the back pocket form if he needs it but even if not just a considerable size advantage against Slava Claus. And Slava is not like this undeniable striker. He's a good one.

But I think Tom can win this on the feet if he has to. And I also just think he can just sort of big man, big brother Slava down to the mat and take advantage there as well. Getting him at plus money, got to do it. I also have a longstanding history of betting on people who were tier one prospects from my contingency's breakdowns. Overall, the numbers there are pretty, pretty damn good. I think the total at this point is like 24 and 5. So I'm going to keep doing it. Tom Nolan, plus 110, put the bed in as soon as I saw it was plus money.

And I don't think this line will move too much from where it is. But that is where I am at. I think it's come down a little bit too. I think Tom was actually considerably more of an underdog. But sitting at plus 114 right now, good price on that. I might tell you on that. I'm not going to lie. Just like Big Tom Nolan.

And his loan loss in the UFC to me is like the most explicable loss because Nicholas Moda's just good dude, good fighter, veteran, Tom. Tom just kind of got run over. So big train, let's keep going. When I got a great deal on a great gift at winners, I started wondering, could I get fabulous gifts for everyone on my list? Like this designer fragrance for my daughter. It's just $39.99. How could I resist? This luxurious will throw for my sister.

This gold watch for my partner? A wooden puzzle for my niece? Leather gloves for my boss? Ooh, European chocolate for the crossing guard? At these prices, could I find something for everyone at winners? Stop wondering. Start gifting. Winners find fabulous for less. Let us keep going as we move on down the line to, frankly, a fight that arguably should be on the main card

just because one half of it is somebody the UFC is very much invested in, or maybe not very much, but certainly was trying to give a push before the great unhappiness occurred in her previous fight. Talking about Wang Song taking on Bruno Brazil, Wang minus 450, a big, big favorite over Bruno Brazil. She is one in the UFC. She is most notably kind of getting this push because she has a win over Valentina Shibchenko in their previous kickboxing days.

but previous fight, one of the biggest betting upsets in UFC history. I think it was a top 10 all-time upset by the numbers as Wang lost to Gabriella Fernandez in November in a fight she was dominating and then just got dropped and tapped out. It happened suddenly in a fight that she was well ahead in. Bruno, Brazil, 500 in the UFC coming off a unanimous decision win over Molly McCann back in July. Do you think minus 450 is a good price, Luke? No, I don't think it's a good price. But Brazil's striking defense really isn't great.

Even in her UFC wins, her opponents almost outstruck her. And someone like Tong, Kong, I don't know how to say her name. It's going to make her pay for those openings. Bruno's also been K-Oed three times and you're fighting a power puncher in Tong. Uh, yeah, Tong did get caught in her last fight to Gabriella Fernandez, but I'm still on the hype train here. I'm going to take Tong by finish plus 145. Uh, but I will say because I did hit the Fernandez spread bet in her last fight, I will also be throwing in a Bruno Brazil spread bet. Got to do it. Interesting. A Bruno Brazil spread bet. So, uh, I have burnt, just lit money on fire. Um, I want everyone to understand that I have lit money on fire. I cannot, for example. the life of me hit prop bets,

uh, like method prop back, can't do it. I just almost never am finding success with them. But looking at this, I would never lay this price, particularly coming off one of the biggest upset in history. Like, I, I'm just shook

to putting song in a in a parlay. But to your point, Bruno Brazil, three of her four losses have been not, have come by knockout. I, we absolutely know that Wang can finish people. She has legitimate power for at flyweight

and you can get Wang by KOTKO plus 225. So didn't even go inside the distance. I don't think it's very likely that if Wang gets a finish it is going to be a TKO KO. So I, that's just where I went. I am certain I have

lost money because I cannot hit a a KO or sub prop to save my life. This is going to end up being a Tong decision, but yeah, I'm with you on the finish here. It's going to be terrible because everything points to her just getting a knockout. Like, okay, she's a very good defensive wrestler.

Brunner Brazil is super hitable. Not very good. She's a good defensive wrestler. Brazil's super hitable. Wang Song should just kill her. And it's probably going to be tepid and terrible. And I'll feel like an idiot. But had to do it.

The second biggest underdog bet I have on the card, and not underdog, but plus money. bet I have on the card. And that takes us to, spoiler alert, the biggest plus money bet I have on the card, as Alexandre Tupuria takes on Colby Thickness. You might be saying to yourself Tuporia,

that's a name I know. Yep, this is the brother of featherweight Kingpin Ilya. The lesser Tuporia, as I will call him, is a minus 360 betting favorite over Colby Thickness, who is stepping in on relatively short notice.

I believe Cody Haddon was the original opponent for Deporia had to withdraw thickness, who is, you know, one of the top prospects at the weight class out in Australia stepping in. Pretty big underdog at plus 3.30. Both men making their UFC debuts. I think that you and I are pretty aligned on this based on some, you know, some prior conversations. But Luke, tell me how you're feeling about DePuria. I'm sorry, correction, five and one to play. Toporia coming in as a almost minus 400 betting favorite in his UFC debut.

I just want to say, I know that Tuporias represent Georgia and Spain, but did you realize they represent Ireland too? Yeah, they're Irish twins. Alexandra and Ilya, less than a year apart in age. Didn't realize that. I don't think I knew that they were, I knew that they weren't like super far. I didn't realize they were less than a year. Yeah, one week less than a year.

They're going to have Ilya and Volk in their corners, which is obviously an interesting storyline here, especially if they're going to have the rematch. Colby's taking the fight on short notice, like you mentioned. But, you know, if you take Tuporia's name out of the equation, the inactivity of Alexandre alone is worrisome, especially as a minus 425 favorite. This will be his first fight in almost two years and only his fourth fight in the last 10 years. This will be Kobe's fifth fight in the calendar year.

So, I mean, or in 12 months, I should say. He's also the hometown guy, loose quotations on hometown. He lives about 90 minutes away, but I believe he is the close. as fighter to Sydney Australia. 90 minutes is that's fine. That's close. Yeah. Majority of his wins has come by finish and Tupori has been finished before.

I like the value here a lot. I'm riding with Colby slickness, thickness plus 325 money line. I am as well. Plus 330 is the price I got it at. For basically all the reasons you said. I do have some concerns about just how much Colby

has fought. I think when you start fighting five times in 12 months, that that is right on the edge of like what's probably good for you as far as just putting your body through a lot of work, not having the appropriate amount of time to recover. Price is just insane here. The only reason Alexandria Toporia is this big a favorite is because his name is DePuria. You are getting the worst price point if you're betting it.

It's not to say he can't win the fight. He has some skills. He is not remotely the fight. that his brother is. And you can know that almost definitionally because they have been on. It's like, yeah, I put my career aside to help Ilya get to the title. Like, yeah, we, this is like, you know, when you, the family was like, one of us has to be the stay-at-home parent. Who's got the better job?

This is, okay, Ilya's better. He's the guy we're going to put the eggs in the basket on. And I'll just work on getting him up there. happy for him to get this opportunity. Maybe he can stick around. We will find out. He's going to certainly get the chance to now. But I think Kobe thickness, my only concern with him is that his quality of opposition has not been great on the Australian regional scene.

It's been about as good as you can hope for given the circumstances. And he has done what you are supposed to do against that opposition, right? Like he is getting wins. They are mostly dominant. this is a dude who does belong in the UFC and so both guys making their debut odds are just obscene so give me the underdog I am on thickness as well

and frankly if I hit this one plus 330 that buys you a lot of other failed bets yeah exactly let's make it happen kids uh worth noting Cody Haddon was the favorite in the initial matchup Cody Hadden was like a money should be the favorite yeah but I'm just saying so they're not like overhyping Tuporia to all ends but yeah this is very discercercerning

respectful line. Moving on to a different Cody. The next bout up, another lightweight contest. And this is a really fun one. This is like the fight that should, that we should have on this on the prelims as, here's a really fun fight that nobody knows or cares about.

And it is Rongzu taking on Cody Steel, steel making his UFC debut, coming off the most recent season of Contenders series. Or he was a much hyped prospect. Rangzu, one in three in the year. UFC and coming off a loss to Chris Padilla, notably returned to the U.S. after a stint on road to UFC. How do you feel about this one, Luke?

Because I have a clear side for me. I do too. Cody steals the guy, by the way, on Contender Series that his opponent withdrew like an hour before the fight because, quote, unquote, he didn't want to fight him. Cody literally had his handwraps, ready to go, everything. He's a grappler turned MMA fighter. His grappling record isn't the most impressive 22, 17, and 2. but he's also going against the best grapplers in the world,

the Thai Ritolo's, the Mason Fowlers of the world. He still has to be considered one of the best grapplers in MMA. It does, however, feel like he's fallen in love with his hands since transitioning to MMA with four of his seven pro wins coming by knockout. However, he's fighting an opponent in Rongzhou, who's a hammer himself with 15 knockouts, and he's been submitted four times in his career. Easy move, Cody Steele by submission, plus 400 all day.

Oh, I didn't even look at the sub-props. Oh, man. I am probably going to have to follow you on that. I didn't even think to look at the props there. Yeah, I am on Cody Steele. Cody Steele was also a round two graded prospect from me. And in my write-up, I was like, actually, he probably should be a round-one talent. My main concern with him is that he is older and it is lightweight.

He is about to be 30. I believe he turns 30 later this year. And at lightweight, to just be making your debut in the U.S.C. at 30 at 155 is not a road to long-term success. It takes so long to climb up the lightweight ladder that by the time he could get into the top 15, he'll be nearing the end of his athletic prime. So that's the only knock on him, but an elite level. of Grappler, a dude that the UFC was super high on in Contender series. They gave him the full car wash

after the dude pulled off or pulled out was like, that's how good this Cody Steel is. People were just, they were afraid to fight him. And look, he's talented. He's athletic, got good hands despite being primarily a grappler. This is a guy

who can immediately have success. It's just a question of climbing the lightweight ladder. And I don't think I'll have the time to really do that. I do think he'll come in and have a great day against wrong as you. I have Cody Steel straight up. I'm going to absolutely follow you on the Cody Steel by sub prop. And particularly at plus 400, that's a terrific price.

Right, dude. I'm like, what? And then, as I mentioned earlier, round two prospect, he's in my round two parlay, him, Talison de Chera, and we got one more person coming up to round that out. And so these are the two favorites. The last person is an underdog. and we will talk about that underdog right now because our next fight up is Kevin Juset taking on Jonathan McAlef in a welterweight contest. Juset, minus 250 betting favorite McAlef plus 215.

I have buried, I have not buried the lead. You guys know where I'm going. Jonathan McAlef coming off the most recent season of Contender series where he was also graded as a round two prospect. Just an overall solid fighter. I don't think he will challenge for a belt or anything, but he's just a great. 25 years old and just a rock solid dude in basically every category. Jusset, far more established fighter. I agree that he probably should be the betting favorite.

I would not be betting this fight, frankly, were it not for the gimmick, but sometimes you've got to live your gimmicks. And so this is leg three of the gimmick parlay. Those three legs together play out at plus 700. Actually, a little over plus 700. So hopefully that I, if he, if he, wins, I'll feel amazing about this parley. If he does not win,

then at least the parley died immediately, and I don't have to think about it, and I can just go on my straight bets on the other two. But what about you, Luke? What's your action here? McAiliffe and his contender series fight had a clear game plan to go to the ground, and while getting a triangle off your back

is impressive. Anytime you're getting a submission off your back, it's worrisome when you're facing a striker with 100% takedown defense in Juset. It's not great. I think Juset is going to be fired up after that loss to battle and I think McAuliffe is going to lose in a fist fight to some French dude. Not only that, I think Jusei can finish him. I'm going to take Jusay by finish plus 145.

Yeah, I honestly think that that is probably what's going to happen here. But if you can't live your gimmicks, then you're not a man in my book. And so I will die on this hill because why not? And if it works out, I'm going to be lit. I'm going to be the hypest person ever watching this stupid fight. So just a couple of bouts left for us to talk about. And our next one up is a, oh my God, I fucked up here. Oh my God, I fucked up.

I don't have to add a parley leg. I'm dumb as shit. Forgot. Quillen Sahl killed. I have just butchered that name. And I can't fix that. Taking on Ancel Jubilee. Quillin, minus 550 betting favorite.

The comeback on Jubilee plus 425. Quolin is also a round two graded prospect for the most recent season of Contender series. My only concern with him, not the most athletic dude, but well-rounded, good skill set. The athleticism is a problem. I very big on being athletic and having long-term success. I actually kind of like Jubilee. He's sort of a fun fighter. Probably shouldn't be this big of an underdog, frankly.

frankly, but now that I've recognized this, I have to add a fourth leg to this parlay. And honestly, had I thought about this beforehand at all, I don't know how I didn't, because it's all in my notes. I'm just a moron. I probably would have just gone, I would pull Mikalif out of the parlay and put Quillet in there. But I was going to say, I might tail it now, and I might do that, leave Mikhailif off and put. Honestly, I may just take the loss to cash out the table. ticket and reset the bet and be like, okay, I'll, I'll burn the 5% on the thing. True.

And then do it. And then if it hits, you're good to go with the, because then I can feel better about this. But the short version is Jubilee's kind of a fun fighter. I do like Quillan's overall game as I just think he's going to get his hand raised here. But what about you, Luke? Well, Quillen, he's the former Eternal MMA lightweight champ joining J.D.M. Steve Versaig to name of. a few. He's a wrestler. He spammed 22 takedown attempts in his contender series fight. He was able to

secure nine of them. And while you might say that's not a great takedown accuracy at 41%. Persistence is key. Think of my dude Marab shooting 49 times on Peotryon just to get 11 takedowns, all right? Frustrate them with constant shots. Jubilee has also been taken down four times in three Zufa fights. And one of those fights, his opponent did not attempt to take down. So it seems like Sal Kild should be able to get him down pretty easily. Jubilee also coming off a 15-month layoff and Sal killed's fault consistently twice a year since his amateur debut in 2018 wouldn't be surprised if he can get Jubilee out of there with some ground and pound or a sub but I'm more likely seeing it being a clear 3027 for Sal killed I will take him in a parley I haven't come up with it yet

but don't really tell you the round two parley removing Mikilef pays out a plus 198 I just just plug I'm into that I'm into that honestly I'm into that too I have some regrets about the Mikkelif inclusion. Now that I say this, I think I'm going to cash that out and then just rebook the separate parlay and take the small loss. And then Mikuliffe is going to win. And then I'm going to feel like the one big is coward. Well, at that point, leave it in. Do both.

I think do both at that point. I don't want to have that much action on Talas and to share. Yeah. All right. That's a good part. That's good. I don't want to have like four units tied up in Talisian. I also want to give, I want to give a shout out to the over two and a half in this fight because it is plus money.

plus 1,25, and both guys hit it in their last fight, and they hit it in two of their last three. So it's possible. I had not looked at that at all, so take that in mind. Wonderful listeners, as we move to the final fight that we will discuss the first fight of the evening. And honestly, like a pretty fun little prelim fight as far as these go. Hyeongsung Park taking on Njajak, Tumindimberol. I'm better at the last name than the first name. but Tumendimboral plus 185 underdog Park a minus 215.

Both dudes coming off road to the UFC. Park 2 and O in the UFC beat Shannon Ross with just nasty body shots back in December of 2023. Tum and Dimbabal lost his UFC debut via split decision to Carlos Hernandez in November of 2023. So both men been on the shelf for a little while here, Luke. Do you think that plays a factor? And are you, I'll just bear a lead. I don't have really any action here, though I kind of want to bet on Park. I think that he is going to get this done.

Do you agree? I kind of flip-flopped on the money line a little bit. I think Park is going to want to take this to the ground. You mentioned Tremendembaro lost his UFC debut by split decision. He was taken down four times in that fight. Park has had at least one takedown in three of his four Zufa fights. The other thing is to Mendenboro will have a five-inch reach advantage. and he does call himself art of knockout despite only having two of his eight wins by knockout.

But, I mean, he calls himself that for a reason, right? Maybe you don't want to stand with him. Even more ironically, though, majority of his wins have come by sub. So maybe there's a chance Park doesn't want to wrestle with him, but I think he's going to do enough to mix it up, probably get a unanimous decision here. Either way, don't love the odds or the line on Park minus 230, a little too expensive. The over one and a half, though, is only minus 190. Both guys have hit it in four, their nine pro fights.

It doesn't have the best success rate at 44% but Park did hit it in both of his UFC fights and Timmendam Beryl did hit it in his lone UFC fight. Oh, and neither guy has been finished before. So over one and a half sounds solid. Don't hate that. Honestly, I had not thought about that. Don't, don't hate that at all. Art of Knockout is my view is that that is, oh, who, God, damn it, give me a second. And I'll think of.

the name of the dude who used to wear the snatch hat and one punch. Brad Pickett. Brad one punch, it took me a minute to get there, but we found it. Brad Pickett, who almost exclusively submitted people and had like two knockouts in his career, going as one punch was the best joke in MMA and it was an intentional joke. I think Art of Knockout is the same thing. I think Tim and Dimboro has that,

Brad Pickett lineage to him. I don't think he's going to get the knockout. I honestly, I have yet to make a bet because I was like, I just have already kind of a lot of action on this card. I don't need more. But I've just been impressed by Park's defense. Only 9 and 0, but very good striking defense, great grappling defense, can do both offensively as well.

And I love me a dude who works the body. If you're hitting rib roasters, you've got the key to my heart. I think I'm going to ultimately pull the trigger and just bet him. Price isn't too big. Minus 215 is fine. So I think I'll just go ahead and put that in the book. Let's just act like it because then I have action on, I thought I wasn't going to have that much action.

And as I look over this, I have a bet on every fight that is not Jack Jenkins, Gabriel Santos, or Jimmy Kruh, Hadov, Belato at this point. So of the 13 bouts, I've got bets down. on 11 of them. Terrific. I'm down for the year. I am certain that this is the way to climb out of it.

Just volume shoot and see how it goes. That's it, ladies. I wanted to say one more thing I will be throwing in. I mentioned at the top of the show I'm half Australian. I got to throw in the Australia parlay. It's an eight-leggar plus 53,8,852. Let's see what happens. I mean, if you just want to light some money on fire, throw a buck on the...

Yeah, totally okay. But I love that. That's a great gimmick to do whenever we're going abroad. Yeah. You could maybe be a little more responsible with it, take a couple of the underdogs out of it and just try and be a little more sensible about it. If you really try and have some fun. But if you're going to be a bear, be a grizzly, go all out, eight legs.

Maybe it happens. Maybe there's a clean sweep and the Aussie fans just get absolutely turnt on what I'm, but like eight in the morning or whatever. Bitter, baby. VB Shooey's all day. Love a Shooey. I love a Shooey. As a former rugby player,

firm supporter of Shooeyes. And that's it, ladies and gentlemen. That is UFC 312 in the books, which means we are almost on the road to the event everybody has been waiting for. You see Vegas 102 is next week. Get ready.

Robocop taken on Jared Cannon here. Actually, as far as Apex cards go, not a bad one. Frankly, as many names outside of the two main events this weekend as we're getting at 312. So the road to that, I want to thank Long Island Luke for making his No Betts Bar debut. And Luke, before we get out of here,

tell the people where they can find you, promote whatever you need to promote, and then we'll skiddle. All right. Thanks for having me, Judd. You can follow me at Main Card Minute on YouTube, Instagram, Twitter, all that. BS. You can catch me on morning combat. Mondays and Fridays, 11 a.m.

in the east. And yeah, do watch-alongs for all the cards, bet breakdowns, all that stuff. So tune in. Good time. Again, I thank you for showing up. This was a hoot. We'll have you back for something that's less shitty than 312. I don't know what the schedule is. So outside of the next weekend's event, I haven't even looked at what we've got. Do we just have a collection of, oh, Seattle's

coming up in it. Eh, not a terrible run of cards happening. There's always money to be made. There's always money to be made. That is the way to approach these things. Thank you all for tuning in. Good luck on your best this weekend.

Love y'all. See you next week.