MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Can Ian Machado Garry Stop The Surging Carlos Prates at UFC Kansas City?

Episode Date: April 23, 2025

The UFC is back! This Saturday, the UFC returns after a week off for its third trip to Kansas City, with a dynamite welterweight matchup between Ian Machado Garry and Carlos Prates headlining the car...d. UFC Kansas City also features the retirement fight for Anthony Smith, and a stacked main card, so, of course, No Bets Barred is here to break it all down. This week, host Jed Meshew flies solo to break down all the action. Topics discussed include a brief recap of his successful UFC 314 venture, who he likes in the main event between Garry and Prates, whether or not Smith can end his career on a high note, which underdogs are worth a look at on Saturday, the latest step in The Climb, the majestic Mariusz Pudzianowski vs. Eddie Hall matchup over at KSW, and more. Tune in for episode 125 of No Bets Barred. Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe to MMA Fighting Check out our full video catalog Like MMA Fighting on Facebook Follow on Twitter Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 When I got a great deal on a great gift at Winners, I started wondering, could I get fabulous gifts for everyone on my list? Like this designer fragrance for my daughter. At just $39.99, how could I resist? This luxurious will throw for my sister. This gold watch for my partner? A wooden puzzle for my niece? Leather gloves for my boss?
Starting point is 00:00:19 Ooh, European chocolate for the crossing guard? At these prices, could I find something for everyone at Winners? Stop wondering. Start gifting. Winners, find fabulous for less. You're listening to the Vox Media Podcast Network. We are back for another edition of No Betts Bard. My name is Jed Mishu, if this is your first time joining us. Welcome, because we are here to talk about some fights, ladies and gentlemen,
Starting point is 00:00:57 specifically the fights taking place this Saturday in Kansas City, Missouri. That is right. We had an off week following the, frankly spectacular UFC 314. and we are moving right along after that off week. We've got a little bit of time to digest, and we move into a decent little run of events for the UFC right now, Kansas City, then Des Moines, then UFC 315, before a pair of Apex bouts.
Starting point is 00:01:26 So our next three weeks, pretty good stuff going, but first, before we get into this week, let's just briefly touch on 314, since we did not have an episode last week. Good week for us, up three units, didn't have a climb, so nothing there. If you're new, we'll explain the climb a little bit later because we do have one this week.
Starting point is 00:01:45 But up three units as we continue to dig out of the hole. I dug myself early. We are now down two single-digit losses for the year, down nine and a half units overall. Though, of course, the climb is spectacular at the moment, which is offsetting a lot of that if we needed. But neither here nor there. UFC 314, wonderful card.
Starting point is 00:02:06 But frankly, this weekend's card, Very, very solid. KC's getting a good one headlined by a welterweight clash between I and Machado Garry and Carlos Prattis. But if we can, if we can be honest, if we can peel back the curtain just a little bit, probably not even the most exciting event of the weekend. Because, of course, there is a KSW event also on Saturday. And the biggest thing in the whole of the sport is going on. I mean that physically and literally. Marius Puginowski, Eddie Hall, a Battle of World Strongest Men.
Starting point is 00:02:46 Couldn't be more excited for that one. I haven't been able to find odds on it yet, but you bet your ass. We will be betting on that as soon as I can find a book that will give me some lines on KSW. I will keep checking even while I am recording this show just to see if maybe they open it up for us. Because, I mean, of course they should. Ooh, ooh, whoo. And we do have some of those. Just found them.
Starting point is 00:03:14 Very excited. All of them offshores, of course. We will talk about that at the very end of the show, because, of course, we will talk about that at the end of the show. But let's talk about the big deal. UFC, Kansas City, I'm Machado Gary, taking him Carlis Prattis. Top 10. I don't actually know what Prattis is ranked right now. A top shelf welterweight contest with title implications, because, frankly, if Prattis wins,
Starting point is 00:03:37 they might just throw them right on in there, depending on how the rest, I know well to wait 170, things are shaking out very wildly up there right now, but big opportunities this weekend. Gary, again, really stepping up here, coming in on semi-short notice, protest also as well,
Starting point is 00:03:54 kind of with how this shook out, but Gary's saying, hey man, anytime, anywhere, did it with Shavcott, doing it with Carlos protest, fight's going to be a banger. Let's get into the history of it and the odds,
Starting point is 00:04:05 which have Gary as a very, slight favorite minus 130 minus 120 depending on your book right now protest just barely it plus money plus 110 or so plus even money odds at various books Vegas sees is very close and it's easy to see why Gary 15 and 1 in his career started his UFC career 8 and 0 before losing that very competitive decision to shopcott at UFC 310 back in December protest he and the fighting nerds have stormed all over the O.C. 4 and O. In the promotion coming off Contender Series. And most recently, knocked out Neil Magni. That's four finishes, four bonuses. Man has become a household name overnight. You know, we love him personally. I'm a huge protest fan. I wasn't that
Starting point is 00:04:52 high on him coming off Contender Series, honestly, but he has done nothing but show personality, be interesting, exciting. And I would love for him to get this win. And he certainly has a very good opportunity to do so. I mean, Gary has never been finished, which is a real concern here. Certainly also a concern. This is five rounds. Protest, you know, I am
Starting point is 00:05:16 certain he is a professional who takes his work very seriously, but if you're ripping, you know, a bunch of darts a day, you're firing down Marlboro Reds, how great can your cardio be? I don't know if a 25-minute fight is going to suit him. Gary
Starting point is 00:05:31 obviously does have the grappling. He can fall back on. We have seen him employ that when necessary against fellow strikers or against maybe not superior, but let's say superior. Let's go with the word superior here. I don't know if Prattis is a superior striker. I know he's certainly a more dangerous striker,
Starting point is 00:05:48 but he himself can get a little bit too excited, a little bit too wild. And Gary is obviously not a slouch on the feet as well. We have seen Gary hurt, but we've never seen him finished. And he recovered very, very well. That one time we did kind of see him get clipped. I think this fight
Starting point is 00:06:03 is extremely competitively lined for a reason. Totally makes sense to me why it would be so tight. And a big part of me just wants to back Carlos protest because he's a fun story. He's very exciting. Here's the thing. I think Yamachato Gary is extremely good at fist fighting. I think people underrate him, underestimate him because they don't like him personally, both for valid and frankly not valid reasons.
Starting point is 00:06:29 I think I like his chances to get this to get this win on Saturday. He is the more diverse fighter, Carlos Prattis. I would say, as I said, the more dynamic striker. But I think Gary has the ability to mix in takedowns as necessary. I think that's going to be a huge weapon for him. I mean, frankly, we saw Gary sort of have to go do that against Michael Venom Page. But here's the thing, Michael Venom Page is a really tough striking out for anybody he fights. That's just how his whole career has been.
Starting point is 00:07:00 And I think we'll see Gary sort of mix the martial arts a little bit. bit can compete on the feet is not a slouch there at all and so given that also with some concerns i have about protest sort of i i think when i look at carlo's protest i don't see title contender i see unbelievable exciting fun fighter a guy that should be beloved but probably doesn't really hold the belt or do that sort of thing and again people don't like him i have always thought he and machado Gary had title had legitimate title aspirations to him. And so I am backing him Machado Gary here. Price has continued to drop.
Starting point is 00:07:39 You could maybe wait on this and get him close to plus money with all the Prattis fanfare. But I got him a minus 120. I think that that's a solid enough price. And I do like his chances to get it done, even if part of me will frankly be rooting for Carlos Prattis on Saturday. We move on something that will probably be way less fun and a lot more depressing. and that is the co-main event, a light heavyweight contest between former title challenger Anthony Smith and the new hotness in the division, Mingyang Zhang.
Starting point is 00:08:11 Smith, 2 and 5 over his past 7. It's currently on a two-fight losing streak coming off the TKO loss to Dominic Reyes. I'm sorry, the surging Dominic Reyes at UFC 310. Dom Reyes on a three-fight win streak right now, guys, best step up, pay attention. Zhang, he's two and O in the UFC, two bonuses, two first round finishes. He has come out and just lit the world on fire, really gotten people excited about a potential legitimate light heavyweight prospect coming off. But again, he's doing it against a very different level of opposition. He knocked out Ozzie Diaz in November.
Starting point is 00:08:49 This is certainly namewise a monster step up in competition, even if Anthony Smith is probably a little bit over the hill. and I say that respectfully because this is Smith's retirement fight. I made no bones about it. He wants to retire in Kansas City. This is going to be his last one win, lose, or draw. There is a lot of reasons to think he will lose this fight. I'm inclined to believe he will lose this fight. But there's a piece of me that's very, very concerned because Zhang is minus 500.
Starting point is 00:09:22 That number is exactly what we're looking for for the climb. If you're your first time here, if you don't know what the climb is, the climb is my attempt to string together 30 consecutive bets. But they're all going to be around that minus 500 mark, maybe a little lower, maybe a little higher. Zhang, nine times out of ten, feels like a perfect opportunity for this, Anthony Smith. He's on his way out the door. His chin has not been particularly impressive lately. Zhang hits like a ton of breaks, comes out super aggressive.
Starting point is 00:09:50 But, but, but, but. Retirements make, they concern me, man, because we know. know that this is everything Anthony Smith has gotten here. You know, Bill Simmons has a quote of, you don't bet against God or puppies. I don't like to bet against fighters in their retirement fights, even though historically hasn't been a terrible way to go, frankly, the betting trends suggest that that is profitable. I don't like that this is his last time. He knows that he's going to give everything he's got to go in there.
Starting point is 00:10:21 Maybe that just means he gets clobbered quicker. But maybe the saints, the angel. are on his side and Smith gets to go out a hero. He gets to write a happy ending to his story. Maybe not, you know, the championship story he wanted, but it's still going on a good way. I am very concerned about betting on Zhang, both because like, then I also have to root, and I'm not even an Anthony Smith fan, but I didn't have to root against Anthony Smith getting like this moment to end his career on.
Starting point is 00:10:52 And that doesn't feel right. Frankly, it's just not there, especially when, Look, I like, I like Zhang. He's super fun. I'm not here trying yuck. Anybody's yumb or be like, hey, let's pump the brakes. But definitely a little wild, definitely a little unproven. I think the safer bet and the climb bet we are going with is the fight does not go to decision.
Starting point is 00:11:13 That's also at a minus 500. Zhang has gone to a decision just once in 24 fights, and that was eight years ago. The man comes in looking to get busy. Smith's durability is. frankly out the window at this point. So the most likely outcome is Zhang just blows his doors off. But there's a very real world where Smith just tackles him and maybe gets a little grapple games going on. And Zhang has not been the greatest at defending that.
Starting point is 00:11:40 And so I can root for something better by rooting for the does not go to decision instead of rooting against Anthony Smith getting retirement exit of glory. Same odds, I think equally as likely certainly. Because everybody thinking Zhang is going to win, they're all in the same. same boat. He's just going to kill him. So same, same. Excuse me, a little cough there. And that's where we're at. That is our climb. That is step 16, by the way, ladies and gentlemen. If you haven't been following along, we are 15 steps halfway up the mountain. The bank roll was over two grand. We pulled a little bit out to cover our costs from previous climb entities, still rolling a bankroll of 1700 and some change on this one. And we hope to continue our pay.
Starting point is 00:12:27 path up the mountain. Moving on to the feature bout of the evening, a featherweight contest between Giga Chikaze and David Onama. Chikaze, slight underdog, plus 150, Onama minus 180, Chikaze, 3 and 2 in his past five, coming off a unanimous decision lost to honored Allen at UFC 304, whereas Onama, in my notes, I apparently wrote Obama, so that's fun.
Starting point is 00:12:51 Onama, on a three-fight winning streak since his lost in eight landware forever in a day ago. The issue for Chikaze here is he has just been so inactive. You know, he fought 304. He's basically fought once a year for the past three years. He had a whole lot of hype, a lot of steam around him, and then has drifted off, retaining a ranking because, you know, he hasn't lost to the right guys yet. But really, getting older and not fighting that often, not a good combination.
Starting point is 00:13:21 Onama, been fighting, been active, not fighting the same level of competition, but picking up wins. this is his opportunity to break into the kind of upper echelon at featherweight. I do think this line is pretty close to correct, though, if not just spot on, right? Giga's got the great kicking game and he's a better defensive fighter, and Onama hasn't fought the level of opposition, but Onama is going to work a little harder, certainly more active, fresher fighter. Chikaze is probably on the way down.
Starting point is 00:13:50 I think this line is pretty good. And so instead of what we're looking at here for me is the over one and a half. Now, this line hasn't dropped, but I did put together a shout out to my former partner, Connor Birx, put together a little passivist parlay, a little over one and a half parlay. And I say put together, meaning I will be putting together, because none of the over one and a half, the alternate overs have dropped yet. But the Chicadee Onama over one and a half, that is what we're going to. I think the over two and a half is also possibly actually worth a bet here, but odds are
Starting point is 00:14:22 pretty close aligned to what I think is right there. but the over one and a half, eight out of ten of Giga's last ten fights in the UFC have hit that over one and a half and six of seven have hit it for Onama. I expect Giga to try and stay on the outside, throw some kicks. Onama going to take a little bit to get his game going, so I like the over one and a half as the first leg of that pacifist parlay. And we keep moving down the road. Michelle Paheta taking on a boost, Mago Medov, in a middleweight contest. The Molidor minus 155. You are betting favorite Megamatov plus 130.
Starting point is 00:15:00 The comeback. The Molador, three and one since moving up to 185, but that one was his most recent one. It was a loss. TKO lost to Fluffy Hernandez in October. He had moments, and then he got Fluffy. I think most people expected it. I thought that he might be able to get Fluffy out of there. Boy, he had a chance.
Starting point is 00:15:18 And then he didn't because Fluffy Hernandez won tough mother. And then he got Fluffyed. And that's what happened. Now that's what Abis is going to look to do. Abis 3 and 2 in the UFC currently on a wind streak, though, two in a row, coming off the arm triangle chokeover, Bruno Faheta at UFC 308. This is a very simple question. Can Abus Magamatov grapple?
Starting point is 00:15:42 If he can get the grappling going, we know Paheta can struggle. Both of these guys have had cardio issues in their career. Neither dude is a, you know, a Marabd-Valishvili clone. And so I think the longer this fight goes doesn't really advantage either one. I'd even say maybe Pahetta is slightly more advantage there. But he is just the more dynamic strike or the more dynamic athlete. And he's historically had pretty good takedown defense. It took fluffy a little bit to get it going.
Starting point is 00:16:10 Fluffy is also fluffy. Aboos is not fluffy in that regard. And most importantly, Paheda's my guy. Like he's just my dude. And I'm always, always, always going to back my dudes. I've been a Demolidor fan basically since he popped into the UFC. Money has come in on Abbas because DeMolador was minus 150, minus 155 earlier in the week. You can find him now minus 135 in spots, and that is the price I paid for minus 1.35 for Michelle Beheada.
Starting point is 00:16:42 We continue down this main card as we moved to a welterweight contest. Randy Brown taking on Nicholas Dolby Brown, a minus 240 betting favorite Nicholas Dolby, plus 1.95. Brown 3 and 2 in his past 5. Coming off a split decision loss to Brian Battle at UFC 310 in December. And Dalby, 4 and 1 in his past 5. Also a split
Starting point is 00:17:03 decision lost to Granat Fakradinov UFC Saudi. That weren't a little more contentious than Randy Browns was. Many people seem to think Dalby won. You found there were certainly some Renat backers as well, so not like a total robbery, but definitely contentious.
Starting point is 00:17:21 Dalby could easily be five and only his past five surging right now. Concern, though, Dalby is 40. That's old at any weight class, certainly at 170. We all know the stat by now about the over 35 curse at 170 and below. Brown is also a much bigger man, and most importantly, Randy Brown is not Brazilian. Nicholas Dalby, the Brazilian killer, not facing a Brazilian. You know, if Randy Brown was somebody else, maybe I'd feel a lot more confident in Dalby. instead I do still kind of think Dalby is a live dog here I don't I don't really want to bet on him I'm
Starting point is 00:18:00 you know considering maybe throwing a shot here because he can bring that relentlessness bring that pressure he's never been stopped it's not actually true he was stopped it was later of returned Randy Brown I think can be a guy who would wilt under that sort of pressure but a lot of advantages here for him and so instead what I looked at here what I'm going to be looking at, I should say. The over one and a half here as well. Dalby, all nine of his UFC bouts have gone over one and a half. Randy Brown, 13 of his 19 UFC bouts have gone over the one and a half.
Starting point is 00:18:31 Dalby, again, only been stopped the once. I think this fight goes along. Whenever we get an over one and a half line that drops here, that will be leg two of the pacifist parlay. And we move to the final fight of the main card. I got to tell you, man, this is a damn good main card because opening the main card on Saturday. Icram Alaskarov taking on Andre Munez in another middleweight
Starting point is 00:18:53 contest. Alaskarov, biggest betting favorite on the card, minus 650 to come back on Munez plus 470. Alaskarv 2 and 1 in the promotion coming off that knockout loss to Robert Whitaker at UFC Saudi, whereas Andre Munez is not even the most recent Saudi, by the way, the previous
Starting point is 00:19:11 one last year. Munez, 6 and 2 in the UFC. One point, we were super high on him, had some losses. Here we go. Split decision. over Juniang Park in December, though, to get himself in a good spot, even if that was maybe a little bit questionable. Again, we're looking at a striker versus grappler. Icrum a much better striker, probably a better wrestler, too, frankly.
Starting point is 00:19:33 Monez is certainly the more dangerous grappler that has been the bread and butter for him. And I got to tell you, man, these odds are just a little high, like plus 470 for Andre Munez is a big, big price. You're not even getting that price at some places. These odds are pretty disparate. Some spots, they've got Alice Carav down to minus 500. You know, our friends at Fandu have Alaskarv up to 720. You can still get Moonez at plus 450.
Starting point is 00:20:02 And so I actually jumped on him a little bit early in the week at plus 470. Very small, just a quarter of a unit here. I do think Alis Garv probably sprawls and brawes is way to win. But Moonez is, this is just a huge price for a guy who, I know his only losses are to Hamza and Robert Whitaker. He lost badly in those fights. And we do know a path to victory here. Alas Garev, good wrestler, I wouldn't say an elite or amazing wrestler.
Starting point is 00:20:30 And so Munez can maybe have a little bit of success. I favor Alis Garev to win, but throw a quarter unit at plus 470, and that'll pay out big time anyway. And that is the main card, six fights for the main card. And then for our prelim fight, prelim, we've got eight more fights. It's 14 on the weekend. Bit heavy, but not here to complain about anything, certainly. And so let's move on to our prelim main event, a flyweight contest between Matt Schnell and Jimmy Flick, only flyweight contest on the card.
Starting point is 00:21:04 Chanel, you're betting favorite minus 280 to come back on Flick plus 225. Schnell fighting for his job. Three-fight skid coming off the Ninja Show Clause to Cody Durden in September, whereas Flick. also probably fighting for his job. He's one and three in his past four, lost unanimous decision to Nate Mennesse in June. So probably a pink slip derby here. And I don't really know what to make of it.
Starting point is 00:21:31 I do think Matt Chanel is just a better, more well-rounded fighter. Jimmy Flick's had that weird career where he kind of retired, sort of didn't. I don't know. All the Flick's losses, or not all of them, but almost all of his losses have been my knockout. Schnell been tapped.
Starting point is 00:21:45 Like, you can see either dude getting things to go. And so under that logic, let's have a little bit of fun. Let's bring back flyweight unders just for a one-time thing. Because I think that this is going to get the under, right? Flick has been hit the under and four of his five fights in the UFC. Snell 10 of 14 in the UFC have hit the under two and a half. Again, six of Flicks eight losses have been by knockout. I do think Chanel's going to win
Starting point is 00:22:16 I suspect it'll probably come in that fashion But we don't have a two and a half The line is set currently at the under one and a half And screw it, let's wait till the two and a half comes out It's probably going to be like minus 240, 250 something like that And that's okay, we'll jump on and take that So the under two and a half little flyweight under action for us on Saturday Moving on a lightweight contest that we will not speak a ton about
Starting point is 00:22:39 Evan Elder taking on Gage Young elder Mine is 250 betting favorite Gage Young plus 210. Elder 2 and 2 in the promotion on a two-fight win street with an arm triangle choke win over Darius Flowers in July, whereas Young is making his debut, stepping in as a replacement for Ahmad Hassan Zada. Young was on Continued Series last season. Certainly has a little bit of talent.
Starting point is 00:23:00 Very young, very raw. Frankly, I wouldn't hate an underdog bet on him because he has a little bit of talent, could improve rapidly. But this is just a fight you should stay away from an unproven guy versus a guy who very middling in the UFC and Evan L do this far. I think that this is just an opportunity to pass and wait for better spots. That's certainly not treating it as.
Starting point is 00:23:26 Instead, why don't we focus a little bit on an incredibly good fight on the undercard? Chris Gutierrez taking on John Castaneda, Battle of top 25-ish featherweights going on here. Gutierrez's slight betting favorite, minus 130, the comeback from Castaneda plus 110. Gutierrez 3 and 2 over his past 5. Unanimous decision win, though, in his last time out against Kwong Lee back in August, was Castaneda's 4 and 2 and lost a unanimous decision to Daniel Marcos his most recent timeout back in June. This fight is awesome. It's a really, really good featherweight contest between high-level guys.
Starting point is 00:24:02 This is, to me, a matchup of the varied game of Castaneda. to his pace, his pressure against Gutierrez. Probably a little bit slicker, little craftier, great leg kick game. Who's going to come out on top? I honestly do not know. I even was like, hey, man, maybe ChatGPT can tell me some more things about this. And Chat GPT was also like, it's a great fight.
Starting point is 00:24:22 It's really, really close, really competitive. It is, I think that it is that. And so I think these odds are right, like a slight edge to Gutierrez, but I can absolutely see Castaneda getting his hand raised on Saturday. So instead, this is leg, going to be. be leg three of the passivist parlay is the over one and a half gutierrez has hit that 12 of 13 times and you've seen castellated six of seven times it's going to be a big price certainly because he doesn't go to decision or goes to decision is a big price so it'll be a big price but we can feel
Starting point is 00:24:52 confident of taking that big price a okay leg three of the parley don't know what any of those prices are what it pays out but we're comfortable with whatever we end up with those three legs of the pacifist parley moving on to a banam weight contest on Blackshear taking on Al-Tang-Hili. I always butcher that name. Blackshare, minus 400-bedding favorite. Al-Tang-Halee plus 3.30. Blackshear on a two-fight winning street coming off the Kimura win over Cody Gibson back in March.
Starting point is 00:25:19 And when I say March, I mean a month ago, March. And Al-Tang-Hili 3-1-1 over his past five. You've named position win over Clitzen-Hodriguez back in May. As you may know, back in March, that's a quick, quick turnaround. Five-week turnaround for Blackshear. he is the more dynamic grappler. I do like his chances to sort of get that game going and have success against Al-Tahan-Lee. But at these odds, I sure don't.
Starting point is 00:25:46 These are very, very, very, very pricey odds. Al-Tang Ali is a solid wrestler. He's not easily controlled. I think this is a, honestly, a doggar pass. And so for me, it's just a pass. I don't feel great about Al-Latang. And I think the odds are way too skewed as far as Blackshare goes. So, form pass for me.
Starting point is 00:26:05 so we move on to another bantam weight contest. This one, Malcolm Wellmaker, making his USC debut against Cameron Simon. Wellmaker, a contender series guy for the most recent season. And Simon, formerly a hot shot prospect now on a two-fight losing streak after getting knocked out by another contender series prospect, Peyton Talbot in March of last year. So not March a month ago, March 13 months ago. Despite the experience gap here, I guess Simon is certainly not not. Mass with more experienced fight-wise, but UFC, high-level opposition. Simon is much younger.
Starting point is 00:26:41 Well-maker is already 30, and that's why coming off Contender Series, I did like him, solid guy, good athlete, power, confidence, like a guy who I think can have a career, he is old. He's older way class where he can't be old to really be a prospect. He's 30 years old, so how much of a prospect is he? I don't know. What I do know is I did really like what he showed. And Cameron Simon on his current downstreet, I'm just,
Starting point is 00:27:05 I'm no longer sold or convinced. This is a bit of a shot in the dark. This is a bit of a projection, obviously. What with Moemaker making is the UFC debut. But I liked him enough. I graded him as a round two prospect. I'm going to back the guy I think has real potential against the guy who seems to be struggling at this moment of time. Give me Malcolm Wellmaker.
Starting point is 00:27:25 Got him at minus 115 odds. And it is the penultimate bet that I have on this card because there are only three fights left. And a couple of them, we're not going to spend too much time on, ladies. and gentlemen, including, frankly, this next one as we get to a women's strawweight contest, Jacqueline Amoram, taking on Pollyanna Vianna. Amiram, the second biggest betting favorite on the card, minus 550. Vianna plus 410 on the comeback. And CISCY, Amaran's on three-fight win streak.
Starting point is 00:27:53 She armed Vanessa Demopoulos in September. Viana, two-fight losing streak. T.K. Gillian Robertson in January of last year. So well over a year out of the cage for Vienna. and she is also on a two-fight losing streak even considering that these odds are long for a reason guys vienna is not great she struggles with the grappling she's coming off a long layoff i don't think m is a spectacular talent but she is solid enough i think she can get her grappling game going and viana is going to be in a world of hurt strongly considered this for the climb as well didn't want to double dip uh i just don't don't ever want to double dip unless
Starting point is 00:28:32 I'm feeling really, really good about it. It's a pay-per-view, something like that, and I like the one we're on. So I think if you want to throw Amram and parlays, if you want to parlay up Amarim and Zhang, I don't see a single thing wrong with that. I didn't do it, just passing on her for now. As we move on to a featherweight contest between Timmy Kuwamba and Roberto Romero. Don't know what this fight is about.
Starting point is 00:28:58 I mean, I guess it's just you got to offer these guys fights because Kuomba's oh and two in the promotion. unanimous decision loss to Lucas Alameda in June, Romero, oh and one in the UFC, unanimous decision loss, to the aforementioned David O'Nama back in November.
Starting point is 00:29:12 This is a fight. I won't pretend to have deep thoughts on it. I won't pretend that I dove into the tape. I did not. Anything else I would say about it would be me purely speculating. It's basically pick a mods. I don't have a clue.
Starting point is 00:29:24 Your guess is as good as mine. I just passed on this. So we can move to the first fight of the evening in the last bed of the evening. in a women's bantamweight contest between Chelsea Chandler and Jocelyn Edwards. Chandler, a sizable underdog plus 240, sorry, the comeback on Edwards minus 300. Chandler 2 and 2 in the promotion, but those loss have come to real opposition. Yana Santos, and I don't remember who the other person is, I should be a better host than this.
Starting point is 00:29:56 Oh, Norma Dumont, that's right. She lost Yano Santos, Norma Dumas, she beat Josie. Nunez, who is also really struggling right now, so that went in that good. But we'll see. Where's Jocelyn Edwards, five and four in the promotions? She stuck around coming off a face crank submission win over Tamaris Vidal, as we all anticipated, right? The face crank submission from old Jocelyn Edwards, but good enough to get you done. I actually like an underdog bet on Chelsea Chandler.
Starting point is 00:30:28 I'm not going to full unit because the price is big enough, just a half unit here. Edwards not a great defensive wrestler. Chandler, not a great fighter, but hard-nosed enough, good grappler. Chandler can get taken down. Her loss have come to high-end talent. Jocelyn Edwards is good, but not the same tier there. I think Chandler has a real shot to get the takedowns, maybe find a submission, certainly just win a grappling heavy game.
Starting point is 00:30:54 And so a little half-unit play on Chelsea Chandler. And ladies and gentlemen, that's it, except it's not it. It's not it for one specific reason Because as I mentioned to the top of the show There's a KSW It is happening on Saturday A fight that I have variously said In spots online
Starting point is 00:31:12 I've said in our shows Inamayfighton.com, great website I've written about it on NAMAfighting.com Great website The most anticipated fight of the year for me It was the most anticipated fight last year When it rumored when it started to look like it could happen World's strongest men
Starting point is 00:31:30 going at it in a throwback freak show fight. In fact, stay tuned to me if I'ma.com. We've got something special playing this week in celebration of this. Marius Puginowski, seven-time world-strongest man taking on Eddie Hall one-time world-strongest man, Arnold Classic. I don't actually know what they call that. I guess just Arnold Classic champion. You're not the World Strongest Man, but you just win the Arnold Classic.
Starting point is 00:32:00 don't know if you ever won the honor classic but uh decorated strong man one of the strongest british man in the history of of the island in a fantastic nonsense fight just two big dudes going in there to settle up puginowski is uh i mean he's ancient at this point but here's the thing about marius puginowski marius puginowski is 48 he was a joke because he was one of if not the most accomplished strong man of all time. And then he got into MMA a billion years after the fact, like a billion years after the fact. His first fight was in 2009 well after he's done.
Starting point is 00:32:43 And, you know, has fought a lot. Like he didn't, usually you see somebody like this be like, okay, I'll fight a couple of times, cash grab, get out. No, sir. 27 professional fights from Arias Puginowski. I mean, the face of KSW, obviously. But this is a guy who took MMA seriously, trained and had some success, right? Like, fought real people with real names.
Starting point is 00:33:08 Also fought Bob Sap, you know, and James Thompson and Butterbean, like fake people and Tim Sylvia. But this is a guy who took this seriously was not a total joke. Understands mixed martial arts. Eddie Hall, for his part, also has taken training fairly seriously. And, of course, Eddie Hall, much, much. younger man only 37 years old still could easily be doing strong man if that was a thing that he wanted to continue doing but no eddie hall has done this fought in a weird two-on-one sort of circus fight that was one of my favorite things to watch last year if you haven't seen it google there's a
Starting point is 00:33:45 clip on ammify dot com he literally he's fighting two dudes he power bombs one dude that dude gets up and he i had never seen somebody floored as hard with the right hand as that man and suddenly it then becomes a one-on-one fight, and that's really bad for the man who is literally half-ed-e-haw-size, has done some boxing, you know, boxed the strong man, Hapthor Bjornison, ended up losing unanimous decision because Hapthor is eight feet taller than him, and that is a hard disadvantage to overcome when Hopthor is also young, athletic, and took this seriously. I, this is just, this is my everything.
Starting point is 00:34:25 We're talking about these guys are going to be roughly the same size, certainly not the same age, but your odds, depending on the offshore I'm looking at right now, Puginowski is minus 500 to minus 360 and Eddie Hall plus 300 plus 255 somewhere around then. I got to be honest with you, man. That seems like very long odds for Amari's Puginowski. That seems like, yes, obviously much more accomplished, knows MMA much more. Do we really think this is going to be a deeply competitive MMA fight? Is there going to be a whole lot of grapples going on in this? Or are these two dudes going to come in, hold each other, throw hammers, and get tired?
Starting point is 00:35:07 Because Pooge usually gets a fight done. And so I kind of like a little underdog play Eddie Hall. If I can find him at a book that I have access to and can get Eddie Hall at plus 300, we're going to absolutely throw a unit on it. And that's no disrespect to Poods, who I got a ton of respect for. but he's a real old man. He's on a two-fight losing streak. Granted, again, to real opposition.
Starting point is 00:35:30 And Eddie Hall is not real opposition. But mostly, I just want to have fun. I want to have some money on the fight I am the most excited about in the entirety of this sport. I hope you now know about it. I hope you're equally as excited. I hope you tune in on Saturday to M-Afighting.com for this coverage. And for, I think that it's on pay-per-view. And you can watch KSW 105 on pay-per-view.
Starting point is 00:35:52 And other than that, ladies and gentlemen, that's it. That's it for the week. That is UFC Kansas City. And the next time we talk, it will be next Wednesday. As we talk about UFC Des Moines, old UFC Iowa coming, Corey Sandhagen, Davis and Figurato, Reiner de Ritter, taking on Bow and Nickel. Honestly, another very good card.
Starting point is 00:36:12 We have a guest lined up for that one, a Midwest man answering the call. Our old Finn Billy Ward will join us to update us on his climb. Hopefully our climb is continuing rocking. And should have a good time. But until then, enjoy the fights this Saturday. Enjoy KSW. We don't get fights like Eddie Hall versus Marius Pugnowski every day.
Starting point is 00:36:32 Settling. Let's have a good time. Thanks for listening. Love y'all.

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