MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Can Sean O'Malley Pull Off The Upset Over Aljamain Sterling At UFC 292?

Episode Date: August 16, 2023

For the first time in nearly four years the UFC heads back to Boston and it's coming correct with UFC 292, one of the best events of the year on paper. Headlined by a bantamweight title fight between Aljamain Sterling and Sean O'Malley, and a strawweight title fight between Weili Zhang and Amanda Lemos, UFC 292 is bringing the heat, and so too are the No Bets Barred boys as the break it all down. This week, co-hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew are joined by the esteemed "Boston" Mike Heck as he's boots on the ground for UFC 292 and the trio does a deep dive into all the big matchups this weekend. Topics discussed include Sean O'Malley's chances at the upset, exactly how dominant will Weili Zhang and Ian Garry look, the world's most obvious gimmick parlay, and of course, the ChatGPT Bet of the Week. Tune in for episode 58 of No Bets Barred. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Follow Mike Heck: @MikeHeck_JR Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Support for this show comes from the Audible Original, the downloaded two, ghosts in the machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudulian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprise his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible Original Blockbuster. The Downloaded, it's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, What are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?

The Downloaded 2, Ghosts in the Machine. Available now, only from Audible. Support for this show comes from the Audible original, The Downloaded 2. Ghosts in the Machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudullian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprised his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible Original Blockbuster, The Downloaded.

It's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, what are you willing to lose to save the ones you love? The downloaded two, Ghosts in the Machine, available now only from Audible. What is going on, y'all? We are back. Another edition of No Betts Barred this time. UFC 292, the promotion returns to Boston.

Al Jermaine Sterling taking on Sean O. O'Malley, O'Malley's first main event. Sterling, get another title of events, but more importantly, we have to hit the highlight. We're back in Boston, and because we're back in Boston, I'm obviously joined by Jedmishu, but we have special guest, Mike Heck, joining us Boots on the Ground in Beantown. Mike, how we doing, man? We are doing great. Landed in Boston a little while ago.

It's not 100 degrees like it is in, South Carolina right now. It's like 72 and cloudy. So it's actually, it's actually like a little chilly here. But, you know, I'm glad to be here. G.C. Again, since I finally get to see you for the first time, apologies for the Amanda Serrano Heather Hardy fiasco. I was wrong. You were right. You are strong. I am weak. You are good looking. I am not great looking. I was wrong about all of those things. And hopefully I don't, I don't change your mind about anything here. But I am excited to do this here. I was going to do it in person on Saturday because I will be in New York for the watch party on Saturday. But yeah, let's do this.

And I'm going to actually make bets on this. And I'm going to come on the show. I'm not just here, just the Boston guy for science and for content. I'm actually going to play some wagers. I am batting a thousand in my betting career. I've only placed one bet. It cash for good money. Frankie Edgar defeating BJ Penn to become the lightweight champion of the world and maybe one of the biggest robberies in the history of the sport.

I was just say, that's a good one to walk out on. Yep, and I haven't placed it. He's got the ju-ju. That's going to change this week, gentlemen. I love that. You didn't even need to bring up. That is an incredible betting history, Mike. Yes, that is.

I mean, want to know that's absolutely fantastic. You didn't even need to bring up the Amanda Serrano underbet. That was just bridge, water under the bridge at this point. I had completely moved on. Now I'm a little weary. Now I'm a little weary of your advice going into, going into 292. You shouldn't even have brought it up. Yeah.

I love this energy. This is a great place for us to start, guys. Connor, I also love that we have now become enablers. We are problem people. We bring people on the show and they're like, I don't really bet, A.K. Lee, when you were gone, Connor was like, I don't really bet, but I guess I'll do it now.

We're just, we're spreading the love of the game. What's one week going to hurt? I love that for us. What's one week and a hurt? It's just a taste. Just a taste. If you can go 100% this week too, Mike, then we're really cooking with gas.

I feel pretty good about some of my picks. I love that quick. I'm glad you feel good because I got, I don't know how to feel this week, boys. It's going to be an interesting one. I'm glad that you say that. I'm glad that you say that, Jed, because there's a couple of these matchups.

I don't really know how to feel either. Quickly before we jumping in $292. Last week, UFC Apex 78, Bellator 298, had a very good week, finished up like seven and a half units. Jed, anything to report from last week?

I broke even. I had some very bad bets last week that cost me. The heavyweight overs did not have a lot of success last week. Along with the Martin Boudai by decision. Heavy weights really, Steve Maori, my bet on Steve Maori last week.

All the heavyweight bets last week were awful. Nailed every other bet. Cleo Roundtree by knockout was, Connor, that was ours. We were there together. Easiest bet of our lives. Was that the simplest bet we've ever made? Marcus McGee by K.O.

I was also on that. That was also ridiculously easy. I tailed you on that one. And that was, that was super nice to tell you on that one. And then the rest of it had a couple parleyes that were like, oh, Logan's Doreley, McKinney doesn't go the distance.

Anthony Joshua by K.O., like these were all just the lowest of hanging fruits. So we managed to bring up. break even despite heavyweights ruining my life last week. The Boudai by decision, yeah. I mean, I was on that with you as well. That's actually the only bet I lost last week. That was sweaty and then it was a loser.

It just wasn't good. Yeah. It was great. I didn't watch anything live, so I didn't have to sweat anything at all. I just woke up the next day and checked, and then I went back and watched the fights afterwards. So I at least had that going for me. But, you know, there was a fine weekend of fights.

Nothing like this one, though, boys. 2.92 is a three-star fight card right here. There's something special. Unfortunately, it could have been better. We could have had Batiste the Garbrand on this. We could have had Rob Fontsonguedong. We could have had Sahudo taking on Cheeto Vera. Ian Gary taking on Jeff Neal.

I mean, but alas, I'm with you. This is still an excellent card. Hot take, I think the Devon Blackshare stepping in on like just a six day turnaround basically is a better fight than Cody Garbrand because Cody Garbrandt is washed. So that makes a little bit better.

Yes, losing Jeff Neal. That's a tough one, but you know, Neil Bagni stepping in. We got, it's tight. We're like a tight 11 fights right now, I think. Once we had the extra tough fight coming in, something like that. I'm loving this car, boys.

Very excited to get into it. I think the additional tough fight will get us to 12 fights on this one, especially with the Batista one coming back. Maybe that gets us to 13? Either way, it's a nice. I'm looking at it now. Batista coming back and the tough should get us to 12. Okay, perfect.

Yep. Yeah, I'm seeing that as well. Clean, even 12. Love it. Perfect. Let's dive right in. We start with the main event, Bantamweight Championship. of the world. Al Jermaine Funkmaster Sterling taking on Sugar Sean O'Malley right now. If you head to

the betting window, you can get Al Jemaine Sterling for the price of minus 258. Sean O'Malley coming back at plus two 10. We're just going to have to talk to this one, boys. Striker versus Grappler. A lot of points to me made in this one. I'm conflicted on who I think is going to win. Jed, I love to hear this. You felt some type of way? Yeah, so I'm not conflicted who I think is going to win. My brain tells me that this should be a fairly standard day at the office for one Al Jermaine Sterling.

But that's not where I'm going. I got vibes. I've been having vibes on this one for basically since it was announced, I started to feel the vibes. and I was trying to rationalize. And look, you guys come on here. And I was expecting, frankly, this to be a very pro-aljo podcast. And y'all come here with the stats because there are a lot of bad stats for Sean O'Malley here. But I'm not here to listen to the numbers, the science, the math.

I got the vibes. And this feels like Sean O'Malley's going to do the damn thing. And I don't know if that's good or bad for anybody. But it feels like that's what's going to happen. And if I wake up on Sunday morning, I'm like, what an idiot, very obviously, Al Jemaine Sterling, arguably the greatest band of weight of all time, stylistically superior in this matchup, very clearly was going to win and put a stamp on his career this way. I won't be shocked. But I've been feeling it for a couple of weeks now, and I'm just riding it. I'm riding Sean O'Malley, plus two tens the ticket number at the moment, and that's where I'm going.

Mike, how do you feel about the main event? I love your energy, Jed. I understand why you're doing this, but I have vibes myself and my vibes are that Al Jemaine Sterling is going to catch a freaking body in Boston. I just, look, to me, Al Jermaine Sterling is very good when the pressure is on him,

and I feel like there's a lot of pressure on him in almost every title fight that he has, one way or the other. But I think there's more pressure on him to win than any other fight he's ever had, and that includes the Piotr-Yon rematch. I don't think Sean O'Malley has a lot of pressure on him. Like, if he loses this fight,

who gives a shit? Like he's just going to win one more fight and be right back into the mix. Like a loss here... Yeah. A loss here... He might sell flight for the back. A loss here does not do much to Sean O'Malley

unless he just gets somehow caoed in eight seconds, which is not going to happen. I just feel like... Sean O'Malley's going to have to clip him with a big shot, and Aljo's pretty durable. Like, he has been knocked up by some surprises before, the Barra-Morai's one especially, but I just feel like Al Jermalian's going to get this fight to the ground.

I think he's, going to wear on Sean O'Malley. I think he's ready for everything Sean O'Malley's going to throw at him. I don't think Sean's going to bring anything different to the table that Aljo isn't completely prepared for. And I feel like this is a fight Al Jamein Sterling is prepared for even before the Henry Sehudo fight. I think he figured that he was just going to get Sean in May anyway. So he's already been preparing for this fight for probably since like October or November. So I think he's ready for everything Sean's going to bring. I'm not taking a straight bet here on Al Jamein Sterling. I am just going with the plus I'm putting one unit

Al Jermaine Sterling inside the distance plus 175 because if Sterling's going to win he's going to put O'Malley away and I don't think this one's going to go to the cards anyways so there is a parley piece that is mixed in as well it is a I'll give you my second leg of this particular parley

but the under four and a half is part of this two piece title fight violence parley that we're that we are cooking. I'm also going to put a small sprinkle on Al Jermaine Sterling round two and a small sprinkle on Al Jermaine Sterling round three. I love the action here. Connor, I'm really interested to hear you on this because I don't know that I disagree with Mike saying, but I'm very interested to hear your opinion on the prospects of this fight going long.

Yeah, so you mentioned that there's a lot of stats that stack up against Sean O'Malley. I'm not going to lie, going back and watching the Yon fight, there's a little bit of tape that goes against him as well. I mean, if you watch the success that Piotr Yon had getting Sean O'Malley to the mat, especially... Every takedown he wanted. Every takedown he wanted he got. Pretty much every takedown he wanted. And like the ones that got stuffed, like there was some fence grabbing going on with Sean O'Malley? There were a couple fence grabs in that fight too. Like Al Jermaine Sterling is bigger and

stronger than Piotr Yane is and I think he's a more accomplished wrestler. Now he does struggle to get takedowns at times. Obviously we've seen him go one for 17 in fights before two for 22 but that's obviously against Peirre Yan who has an incredible takedown defense. I'm not saying Sean O'Malley has bad

takedown defense but at the end of the day it doesn't really matter what the numbers are for Al Jemaine Sterling in terms of take down percentage. How many takedown does he need. I mean, he only needed two to get the, to defend his belt against Peotri on the second time. Like, there's a world where he only needs two here, if it's one to control his back the entire round and another to potentially get a submission. Like, I, oh, man, I feel like the, the level that that Algeman Sterling, like the gap that I think he's going to have if this fight

hits the mat and even getting it there is large. But man, like the vibe. are kind of like Sean O'Malley-esque. I don't know if that's because I'm seeing a lot of people on Sean O'Malley. I don't know if it's if it's the flashiness of them. It's if it's the confidence of them. It's the way that he wins my knockout. I feel you on the vibes as well. I'm not playing a side here. I am just on fight doesn't go to a decision, but on that as soon as draft kings put it out for us, because I do just feel like this is either Al Jermaine Sterling going in there, dumping them down, getting a submission or either pounding them out, or it's the fight. It's extended and we see O'Malley clip him as we get into the later rounds.

May I ask you gentlemen a question since you're experts? So I was thinking about this because I have, I mean, I have a lot of action on El Jermaine Sterling here. I got the plus 175, round two plus 800, round three plus 1100 is when I lock those in. Is this a spot for a hedge? Like if you were going to put a little sprinkle on Sean O'Malley by KOTKO, the last I looked to is plus 350

because you kind of feel like either Sterling's going to tap him or O'Malley's going to knock them out that's kind of the way I see this fight is this worth a hedge or am I overthinking this? I would say you're overthinking it at that point in time

if the number was bigger on the O'Malley by KO but here's my the thing that I feel the most uncomfortable with in this fight kind of goes against some of the stuff the Oliver said and it's not that you're break

to disagree with your break downs in general. I don't know that Al Jermaine Sterling has to finish O'Malley or that O'Malley has to finish Sterling. The vibes here, I just kind of feel like this might be less of a guaranteed quick finish either end of it. We might be looking at Sean O'Malley, being able to survive into the later rounds and then seeing where Al Jermaine Sterling looks in those later rounds.

So I honestly just don't have like the greatest technical breakdown on what's going to happen because I'm really not sure what it is. It's part of the problem with Sean O'Malley. There's so little tape on him realistically. We've got the Peotryon fight, which Al Jard Jain and Peorriot Rian are not very similar fighters at all. So I agree that Yon got takedowns at will against O'Malley, which doesn't build confidence. But the way Yon gets his entries into takedowns is so different than what Aljo is offering. Like, I don't know if Sterling's going to be able to have the same successor. I just feel, I can see a world where Sean O'Malley just uses a lot of footwork and just basically runs away from Al Jermaine Sterling for the first round.

And Sterling starts getting increasingly desperate shooting in from further out. And then we're getting into this really weird Al Jermaine Sterling kind of fight. So I would not hedge if I were you, Mike, just pick your horse and ride it. And for me, that's the reason I'm not on O'Malley by KO, even though the price is bigger than O'Malley straight up because O'Malley's straight up is 210. Like you said, I think the KO numbers plus 350. It just feels like there is a world where O'Malley, I think, is most likely still probably is to catch Sterling. But I would not be shocked if O'Malley has just been spending his whole time preparing for Sterling's entries and just lets the hands go and racks up points while Sterling. continues to dive at his ankles for 25 minutes.

Yeah, yeah, I mean, I mean, that could be the case. Not touching it. Not hedging, not doing it. Oh, I'm actually, I'm actually with Jed heavy here that like, I'm a big, just pick your horse and ride it. I almost never hedge unless it's like the finishing of a parlay and it's presented to you like the Alexa Grasso fight. Like when it's when it's like that, I'll do it. But like if we're talking pre-fight betting, I'm almost never hedging. another thing that like really has my brain in a pretzel about this fight the difference in resumes

like the difference in the level of competition that they've fought at the UFC level like obviously they both have Peoria Al Jemann having it twice but beyond that like it is it's pretty jarring the difference in in the level of comp that these guys have fought oh yeah will that mean anything? He's been one of the best guys in the world for a long time. Yeah, I mean, will that mean anything? Does O'Malley have a win besides Piotr-Yon? No.

Does O'Malley have a win against anybody that's currently in the UFC? No. Yeah, Howley and Piva got cut. Yep, Piava got cut. Tommy Lemaida gone. Eddie Wineland gone. Yeah, no, that's sort of been a narrative around him. I think that was a narrative coming into the Peyote of Yon fight, I even think.

Oh, for sure. No, that was a huge narrative. and then he pulled off the Yonwin and, you know, maybe he did, maybe didn't, depending on your view, he still performed very, very well. Again, I'm not defending anything, any of my betting here on tactics or science. It's all vibes. I do feel that O'Malley is probably still improving, but again, we'd have no idea. We've just seen so little of him.

And to some extent, that's an advantage for him. Like, we know who Al Jermaine Sterling is. He's a fully baked fighter. we've seen him for a long time and shit omali's seen him for a long time and knows what's coming at least in that regard it won't be at all shocked if if aljo does aljo things and then moves on from this weight class but for one night at least i'm going to ride with with sugar shan o'malley honestly that would be the craziest outcome like if if sean o'malley wins this it will just be crazy Like it's from from a pure entertainment standpoint I want to see it happen

I want to see it happen from a pure entertainment standpoint Yeah it's a big part of the vibes lately is what's the dumbest funniest thing that could happen in MMA Because this has been a very dumb year a lot of dumb funny things have happened And it just feels like Al Jermaine Sterling is finally getting the respect that he has deserved this whole time What if he loses to the dude that actually everyone universally believes he should defeat. It would just be hilarious.

Yes. Cannot wait for that one. I think it's going to be fireworks. I think it's going to be a lot of fun regardless of who wins. So let's move on to the co-main event. Strawweight championship bow. John Wei, taking on Amanda Lemos right now. On Draft King's sports book,

Zhang is sitting at minus 310. Lemos coming back plus 250. Another fight. Honestly, like I kind of feel like this one's going a touch under the radar. Like, I think this is going to be a bang or two. Aggressive women, like very violent finishing capabilities have also been finished in their UFC careers. I mean, if you just go back and watch that last one for both of them, honestly, the Asparza fight for Zhang and the Lemos fight, or I mean, the Marina Rodriguez fight for Lemos, they are just not afraid to on cork it. They just go after it.

I think this is going to be fantastic. I do think Zhang is going to get it done. What say you guys? Yeah, I don't think this is going to be a banger just because I think Wiley Zhang is going to beat the hell out of Amanda Limoush. My biggest exposure of the night comes with betting Wiley Zhang here. I'm on Zhang inside the distance at minus 125. I'm going to take a flyer on Zhang by sub at plus 550 is what the line looks like right now.

Yes. Yes. Yes. I love that. And I've got Zhang as part of a four-leg parlay just straight up. I mean, Amanda Limersh is fun, like you said, Connor, but a little over a year ago, Jessica and Drodge just ran her over. And Jessica and Drogh, a very good fighter. But we saw when Wiley Zhang fought her, Wiley Zhang is more physical and dominant in that respect than even Androge is. So I think, I think Zhang is peaking. Like, I think this is the best she's ever.

Ben and she is just going to run roughshot over a mandolimo. So I'm, I'm pretty bigly exposed on her. And it sounds like Connor, you are also on the on the sub prop bet. So I love that for us. I'm, I love everything you just said. I kind of wanted to tee that one up for you guys. I am also quite exposed on on John. Heber has a parley piece. Have the under three and a half. And, uh, I also took a flyer on, uh, Wiley by submission. Uh, I think there's going to be the capability to do that. I think she can get the takedowns. I think that it's going to hit the mat.

Whether she TKOs or submits her, I had to put a number. The price difference between TKO and sub is so, so big, though. Like, TKO is like plus 120 or something. Yeah, I mean, I'm really only playing this as the number. Yeah, basically half her jongs finishes are submissions. So, like, it's just a huge gap. And, Mike, you've been nodding along this whole time. do we have a quorum? Do we all agree?

Oh, yeah. I mean, my biggest single bet on this card is Zhang Waley inside the distance. Two units. I'm just, I'm very, I don't really know how to do this. So my biggest bet is John Waley inside the distance. I have Jean Waley as a parley piece that I will reveal at the very end, a three-leger that pays out plus 106. And this fight will also wrap up my violence parley with the unders in both the main and co-main event. The main event under four and a half, under three and a half in the co-main pays out plus 151. Feel pretty confident both of those will go under. So that's my little violence parlay to cap off the night.

I love this. I love this so much. Yeah. I think honestly, if you were just being smart, betting a lot of money on Chong inside the distance might be like the best. value on this entire card. Yeah, I mean, I think this is, I think this is going to be a violent affair. The only thing that really does give me pause is that Lemos does have finishing, finishing ability, like maybe the most of anyone that that Zhang has fought, but I still think

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Home Sense, endless presents, perfectly priced. Sounds like we are all in agreeance on what we think. think is going to happen in the co-made event. So let's keep it rolling to the featured bout. Short notice, Neil Magne stepping into taking, take on Ian Machado, Gary right now on Draft Kings. You can have Ian Gary for minus 455. Neil Magny coming back at plus 350. Magny short notice. Gary getting his wish here to fight Neil Magne. I think he gets it done. This line is getting blown out. seeing over minus 500 at a couple books now, which seems a little bit surprising to me, but I think Gary gets it done.

Yeah, this is, this is pretty, pretty confident pick. I think he and Gary is going to absolutely destroy Neil Magni. I know Magny is a grimy, kind of a tougher dude, but we've seen Neil just get run over in these types of situations, and I feel like he's going to be lamb to the slaughter here. I think he and Gary is going to, get to knock him out pretty quickly, maybe round one, round two. So I do have Ian Gary as a parley piece as part of the Zhang Wei Li one. There will be one more piece added to that. And I'm still waiting on an Ian Gary KOT, K-K-O line because I'm definitely going to put something on that as well as like a straight pick.

But I think Ian Gary is going to go out and knock out Neil Magny. And I don't think this fight's could be competitive at all. So I actually understand why the line is so wide because I think this is just a terrible matchup for Neil Magny. It's horrible, especially on short notice. horrible matchup for him. So give me and Gary with KOT, K.O. Whatever that line is, I'm sure it's going to be like minus one something or maybe we get a plus out of it.

Can't find it anywhere, but whatever, wherever that is, I'm definitely going to put a sprinkle on that for sure. On some books currently minus 105. Yeah. I'll definitely, yeah. I'll jump on minus 105. I did not expect that to be the number there. Yep. Jumping on that.

Yeah, I'm with Mike. This is just a bad matchup for Magny, stylistically the fact that Magny's getting a lot older. I mean, I felt confident he'd beat Phil Rowe and then he really dogged it. I mean, that fight was a month ago, two months ago. It was pretty recently coming in short notice. And like Mike said, Magny's been in this position a lot. We sort of know exactly who he is.

He's a gatekeeper to the stars, gatekeeper to the top 10, top 12. And every time he's been put in there against, you know, one of these top echelon guys, these guys who look to be to be the party just gets finished um you know what michael cay says the only one who really hasn't michael case dominated that fight uh i think the only concern i would have is is he and gary looking past neil magni some of his comments this week have been slightly insane about carrying this incredible card um but i assume that when the case door closes is he's been calling for Neil Magny. I think he's going to take this very seriously,

and he's going to dust him up something proper. So, yeah, I have Ian Gary as a parley. He's the second leg of the four-leg parlay with Wiley-Li-Jean, and I will be jumping on this by-KO number if it remains at minus 105, because I would have thought that was 210 at least. 210, minus 210 Ian Gary by knockout. Well, he's a minus 450 favorite already,

and historically, with Neil Magny, gets beat, he gets beat, you know. So I would have thought that with that big a price, we wouldn't be getting that larger delta for the, for the TKO-KO finish given who given, I mean, particularly given what Machado Gary's look like lately, you know. Yeah. Coming off that insane knockout of Daniel Rodriguez, who's super durable. Like going into that fight, Connor, we were talking about it.

I was like, I think he and Gary is going to win. D.Rod is incredibly, incredibly durable. So I don't think he's going to blow the doors off him. Three minutes later, I was wrong as shit. So I think if minus 105 stays a number, that's a great price. All right. Well, I will also be parlaying up Ian Gary. I do think he gets the job done.

Don't know if I have the supreme confidence that you guys do, but I do feel quite sure that he will get his hand raised on Saturday night. We keep it rolling. On the main card, a bantamway bout, Marlon Vera, taking on Pedro Munoz right now. you can have marlin vera for minus one ninety eight Pedro Munoz plus 164 uh first and foremost in this one before i passed off to you guys this is the cb special of the week the over one and a half in this is just just tailor made here uh neither guy ever been finished neither guy ever even been dropped in

their ufc careers munoz seven straightovers chito six straightovers nine of his last ten uh as Well, minus 550 right now. Really like that as a parlay piece. When it comes down to the fight itself, um, not, not fully certain on, on what I'm thinking here.

Uh, like I love Cheeto. Like, he, he is the man. Um, Muno's getting up there, but,

but sheesh, dude, last time out, underdog spot, very similar to this against Chris Gutierreierrez goes, goes out there in 30, 27s him. Uh,

cheetos also three and seven. in his UFC career in decisions and three-rounder with Pedro Munoz, I feel like this one is likely to go to a decision. So I'm torn on who I think is going to win the fight, but the over one and a half, C.V. Special has this one written all over it.

Mike, I'm just going to throw this out here. This is my chat GPT bet of the week, so Mike, I'd love to get your breakdown on this fight before I tell you all what the robots say. So, again, I haven't seen a prop for this yet. So, but my, I'm just going by my initial vibe here. I think it's a pretty evenly matched fight.

And I think Pedro Munoz can score points in this fight, especially with the leg kicks. I don't really look to the Chris Gutierrez fight that much comparing it to this one because I was very confident Pedro Munoz were going to win that fight. I know Chris was coming off some wins and he was on a nice little run, but to me, experience matters. And Chris Gutierrez's best win was Frankie Edgar, who was retiring that night. and that was a fight nobody wanted to see and nobody really we just all felt icky about it even coming in

we felt worse about it coming out. So I felt very good about Pedro Munoz pulling off an upset and he did. I think these guys are evenly matched in a lot of ways, but I do think Marlon Vera is just a dog and this is going to be a dog fight if you throw Marlom Vera in with a dog,

another dog, I think Marlon's going to win. I think he's going to be the pit bull against a very tough other dog that's not a pit bull. I think he's just going to clamp down late. And I think Marlon Vera, even though he has a bad record via decision, I'm picking Marlon Verra by decision here. I think he outlasts Pedro Munoz.

He might drop round one. But Marlon just hits so hard, man. He couldn't get going against Corey Sandhanging. Corey's mixing in the wrestling a lot, moving around a lot. I don't think we have to worry too, too much about Munoz, even though he can be a little bit elusive on the feet. But I think if there are going to be takedowns, I think Marlon Vara can use his top control.

I think it's vastly underrated. And I think Vera's just kind of out dog them here. And this fight, if we're talking about guys who have a lot of pressure on them, this is everything from Marlon Vera. He has to win this fight. He has to set the table. If he wants a title fight ever in his UFC career, he has to beat Pedro Moondous on Saturday.

And if he wins, and Sean O'Malley wins, he's getting a title shot next. So when we're talking about pressure on fighters, it's Al Jemaine Sterling 1 and it's Marlon Vera too he needs this one badly so I'm going Mara and Vera by decision and whatever it's going to be plus

whatever it ends up being I'm sure it's going to be plus something yeah won't be huge but there you go so coming into this fight I had a lean I was sort of feeling Pedro Muno's like I don't know this is really competitive fight Pedro Muno's the underdog but then I couldn't pull the triggers I had plus 160 maybe not enough

blah blah blah I thought a lot of the same things Mike said. So I turned it over to the machines, guys, and input all, all the relevant data points. And the machines, I feel like we're really dialing in on something here. The chat GPT bet is nine and four. I mean, it's doing great things. You've got other outlets, aka bloody elbow out here, just copying the idea and asking for fight breakdowns via chat GPT. Everyone's getting on board. And let me tell you, the robots say this time that my inclinations were correct and that Pedro Munoz is going to win a split

decision. And I got to say I'm not going to read through the whole thing, but as I kind of read, as I read through chat TPD's breakdown, it echoed a fight I think can happen. Of Malinvera, you know, has that dog and him, hits much harder, but Pedro Munoz is so

durable, never been dropped, as Connor said, never been finished. He can eat those shots. He is more elusive on the feet. He's going to chop Poe Cheeto's legs with those patented leg kicks of his. It's going to be a very nip-tuck fight in just about every aspect of it. And I love it. I'm taking my bet on Munoz at plus 165.

And when I get a Munoz by split decision line, whatever that is, honestly, I want to know what the line for this fight to end by split decision is, because I think that line is probably very much in play. because we're looking at maybe a little more volume from Munoz, maybe a bit more power shots from Vera. I doubt we get too much grappling going on.

Both guys are good enough wrestlers to keep it on the feet and aren't proactive wrestlers. So really nip-tuck affair. The robots say Munoz, I say Munoz. Let's go. I've actually got the answer to that question that you just presented right here. And I don't think you're going to like it.

Fight goes to a split decision. plus 190. What? That's insane. Pedro Munoz? Pedro Munoz wins by split

decision plus 450. I'll take a little flyer on that, but that's not even big enough to take like to feel great about it. Wow. That's, you're getting Munoz by decision plus 25. Yes, that's, that's an insane number.

It is more likely. for this fight, according to Vegas, for this fight to end in split decision, than it is for Munoz to just straight up win a decision. That is a nuts price. Plus 1.90 is a do not bet this bet price. That actually is crazy. That is crazy that according to these odds, they have, man. Actually, it's more...

Particularly because it's not like either of these are big splity merchants. Like their careers aren't like littered with split decisions. This is nuts. It's actually much more likely to go to a split decision than to not go to a decision at all. Plus 250 for the fight doesn't go to a decision. You have to have something cooking with the judges. It has to be very close to get the split decision. The only split decision in Vera's career was the absolute garbage one against Corey Santagin.

Like one of the worst scorecards of all times. Yeah. Yes. Like a historic is that insane that's the price here. That's an insane line. All right. So Jed takes our first underdog of the card with Pedro Munoz, according to the robots. Mike is going to be on Marlon Barra.

No, I already took Sean O'Malley. Oh yeah, true, true, true. Forget everything I just said. You know, we'll slash that one out there. I got more underdogs coming too, guys. I can't wait to hear him. Let's keep it rolling. Last fight on the main card, middleweight belt.

Weidman takes on Brad Tavares, the All-American returns. And right now you can get them for plus 220. Tavares coming back minus 270. We hinted at this last week. At the end of the episode last week, Jed, yeah, I'm riding with the All-American. I'm riding with Chris Wydenman. I mean, how's the leg going to look? How's the leg going to look?

I cannot say for certain. Obviously, I don't know the answer to that. just going to believe that he is prepared. He is ready to get back into the octagon or he wouldn't be doing it at the age of 39. And then beyond that, like, neither of these guys are in great form. They've both lost their last two fights. And weirdly enough, both of their last wins were against Omari Akmedov. Just kind of a weird stat there, a little beer trivia for 292 weekend, if you happen to come across it. And then, Wydenman, All six of his losses he has been knocked out in.

The good news for us, All American Betters, for us, Wydevin backers this weekend, Brad Tavaris has one, count them one win by knockout in the last 12 years. I just think there's a path of victory for Wyman to use the clench. To use the clench to get this to the mat if he's capable. I know Tavares has a solid take-down defense over a large sample size. in the UFC, but I think there's a path.

And at the price, that's the biggest thing. I played at plus 240, but it's still sitting around at plus 220, plus 230. Yeah, man, I'm taking the dog shot on the All-American in the return. Yeah, we mentioned this last week. I don't understand this price. And as you've noted on previous episodes, Connor, when I say that I don't understand something, that means you should bet against it because I'm always wrong in these situations. Cash it out now.

I don't get it. I do get the Wyman hadn't fought in, you know, two years. And yeah, we're, we are cooked. We're cooked. And I get it. Like, Wymanham fought in two years, but like, Brad Tavares hasn't looked good in a while either. Like, he very clearly appears to be on the downslope.

And so it's not like he's still at his peak. We're talking about two guys who are past their primes. But Wyman's prime was so much higher than Tavares is maybe this fight gets a little competitive because Wybman's too concerned. about the leg, but I just, I really doubt it. I think he's come down. I think he's going to be able to have some success with wrestling, even given Tavares' his really strong takedown defense.

And even if he can't, I think he's a more dangerous striker. Brad Tavar is not a guy who's going to hurt you with the mitts. He's just going to put volume on you. We know Wyman can knock you out. We know that he's a pretty good technical boxer as well. So I just really like Chris Wybman in this spot, even with the big layoff. And that's why I'm on him. Also, I'm going to let me.

Mike flash out a bet that I know he's on. We were talking about it in the pre-show because I'm going to tail him on this one. I think there's a very good prop that looks like it. Mike, please give us the brilliant prop, Brett, you found. I haven't found it, actually, but when it drops, Chris Wyden by decision looks like a very tasty bet. Because I do think he's going to come out a little bit tentative. There is a world where he just comes out and tackles Brad Tavar's. And I know Brad has pretty good take down defense.

But if Chris wants to take Brad Tavares down, he's just going to take him down. Like he took O'Mary Ahmed up down with ease, was able to keep him down. And I think he could do the same to Brad Tavaris anytime he wants. So I don't think the more I think about this fight, the less confident I am in like a Wyman decision win. Because this could be like one of those special moments, right, where Wyman comes out, gets like a first round finish. and it's just the crowd goes bananas. But I do think that this is going to be one of those fights where maybe Brad outpoints him in round one

and then Wyden tackles him in the second and then tackles him in the third. Because third round, Chris Wyman is no third round, Derek Lewis. Third round, Chris Wyman is the guy who gets a little too confident, gets a little too in love of the striking, and then gets obliterated by whoever he's fighting. And I don't think he's going to take that risk here. I think he's going to fight a very similar fight

to the Omari Ak-Madoff fight. I love Chris Wybeman. just in this spot, but I love Chris Wyman by decision. Whatever that line is, I will be putting some shekels on that line. I have a line on a book where it's available. What does y'all's guess on where you think it's going to be lined at?

I saw it out there at plus 400. Yeah, yeah, I'm seeing plus 415. Yeah, that's kind of a no-brainer for me. I love that price. It's a really good price. I will say on the wrestling front, The best wrestler, Wiedman's going to be the second best wrestler that Tavares has ever faced. The best wrestler being Yol O'O. Romero, who's Olympic silver medalist, so, you know, certainly a better wrestler than Chris Wyden.

But Yerle Romero took Brad Tvarez down seven times. So it's not like he cannot be taken down, particularly against a good wrestler. I think Wyman's going to be able to have success in that regard. So very, very much with the consensus appears here that. Chris Wyden has a good shot at having a good return. That would be amazing if you pulled off the upside. What a way to start off the main card. Let's move into the prelims middleweight bout.

Gregory Rodriguez taking on Denise to Lulin. Right now you can have Robo Cop for the short price of minus 355. Denise coming back at plus 280. I am on the under here, under two and a half. taking the alt line in a parlay. I really just think if Rodriguez takes us to the mat, it's going to be curtains. I think he can get a submission without a doubt here. Will he?

I don't know. And if he stands and bangs... Say, is he going to do it? It's always a question. I don't know. But if he stands and bangs, both are very liable for a knockout. And if you just go by the numbers, Toulin under two and a half, eight straight fights, 15 of his 18 in his career.

Rodriguez, 14 of 18 in his career, and eight of his last 10. Think it's going to be fireworks. Think someone gets finished. under two and a half very much like that as a parlay piece don't don't hate the bet um i tried to talk myself into a number of bets on this fight and ultimately decided not to because i just don't trust robocop like i think robocop should win this but that price for him as a parlay piece to win it is nothing i want to touch then i was almost like well maybe the line's too big and i should just get on on touloulin but can't feel confident either i already have plenty of money down

on underdogs and probably reckless over exposure on this event. So I passed on it, but I do think this is going to end in a finish for all the reasons you said, Connor. This doesn't seem likely that we're getting 15. But also, you never know. Gregor Rodriguez has gone to decisions before. So I just don't feel like I have a good enough vibe

to really put my money when my mouth is on this one. What's the under one and a half out of curiosity since I'm not seeing it? Under one and a half right now, you can have that for... Under one and a half is minus 175. Yeah, I'm passing. Passing altogether on this fight. I just hope they just have a good old-fashioned Smackdown.

I think this ain't going to the cards. I think we're just going to have fun watching it. That's it. Sign me up for a Smackdown. Let's keep it rolling to another middleweight bout. Gerald Mearshardt, taking on Andre Petroski. And right now, Andre, big favorite coming in at minus 250.

Mearsharth, coming back at plus 205. Again, not a parley piece. Just playing this one single under two and a half minus 185. Man, I mean, talk about a lot of mileage on these guys. 50 of their 61 combined professional fights under two and a half. Mierrezhard, obviously taken up the large majority of that. But if you just look at their fights, 54 of 61 have seen a finish. I think we're going to get a finish here.

I think Petroski can knock them out. I think both guys are live for subs. I think there's going to be a fun one. I think there's going to be some scrambles. Think it's going to be a good time. But I do think someone gets finished here. Yeah, I'm with you. Full side on the under two and a half.

I'm also going to take a small shot on the dog here. Yeah, let's go. Let's go. I'm going to take a shot on Gerald Mirashart at plus 220 or plus 2. 100 is what I got him at. He's worth a look. Now, could this end in 14 seconds with Petroski putting his shin to the ear of Gerald Mershardt.

Absolutely. That is not out of the wrong one possibility. But this is kind of, I like Andre Petroski a lot. I just don't think he's there yet. I don't think he's quite there yet. Now, if this fight happens now and Petrosky goes and wins a couple more and then they rematch, I'd probably pick Petroski in the rematch. But this is a classic Mierchart spot.

And I feel like the line is a little wide here. I feel like there's a ton of value on Mearschart. So I'm not going to go crazy. Just a little half unit shot here on Gerald Mearsherr. Plus 200 is where I got him at. Don't hate it. I'm passing on the fight. Mearshaart 6 and 8 is an underdog.

And so you just can never really feel confident unless he's fighting somebody who is so much so athletically ahead of him that it's going to be a train wreck. And Petrosky isn't that. I think I favor Petrosky to get the wins. He certainly looked really good since joining the UFC. but mirror shard it's like mike said this is exactly the kind of fight that meershart comes in underrated nobody looking at and then he's just like oh bt dubs gotcha like it's he he has that kind of game to him so uh i like to play mike i will not be joining you because i'm not betting anything on this fight

all right i like that uh i am on the under mike is on the under mike is on mirchart jett is staying away. Let's keep it rolling to a women's flyweight bout. Andrea Lee taking on Natalia Silva. Right now, Silva sitting at a minus 355 favorite, Andrew Lee coming back at plus 280. I'm staying away from this one. I think it'll be fun. Natalia Silva seems to be in fun fights of late. I think she probably gets it done, but just going to pass on the price tag here. I have Natty Eisen two parlays. One, one, wrap up the parlay with Zhang Wei Lee, Ian Gary, and Natty Ice that pays out at plus 106. So that is the tail end of that one.

And there is another parlay that Natty Ice will be a part of. I just think Natty Ice is completely on the rise right now. She's so good. This is perfect matchmaking. This is an ot no point for your boy. This is perfect matchmaking. You can't get any perfect matchmaking. It just is.

I mean, stylistically, she's getting over and the UFC has to put her in a big spot against somebody that people know. And this could be a, the only way that Natty Ice doesn't go over here is if Andrew Lee just tackles her immediately. Like, there is a world where that could happen, but I just think Natty Ice is going to put the boots to her real quick. I don't know if she gets her out of there because Andrew Lee is a pretty durable fighter, but I think Natty Ice goes out there and does Natty Ice things.

and she wins, and I think we're going to cash that parlay, and we're probably going to catch the other one, which Jed is probably, I ain't going to take the thunder from this one. That's for sure. Anyone who has ever listened to this podcast, even one time knew what I was doing this week before.

There's nothing I love more than a gimmick parlay. You're giving me two silvas on one fight card. I'm a parlay. I'm a parlay him up. That's just how it's going to be. I'm obviously taking Natty Ice, parlaying her to win up with Greenie Silva coming in the next fight up.

And that's it. I will say we were talking about pre-show. I do think the line may be a bit inflated on Natty Ice right now just because Andre Lee, you know, she's durable. She's been around the block, got a lot of experience. But it's not enough for me to be like backing away from this parlay. And I do think Silva's going to get the dub here. So very easy. This is my sec.

I got two parlayes this week. This is the second one. It's the silver parlay. Pays out at plus 110. Easy money. Let's go. That's my other pilot as well. I knew it.

Wow, everyone's on the Silva Parlay here. All right. Let's dive right in. It is another women's flyway bout. Marina Moro is taking on Karini Silva. And right now, this Silva sits at minus 155. Morose coming back at plus 130. The much anticipated rematch.

This is Marina Moro's Karini Silva 2. They fought in 2014. Marina Moro's armbarder in the first. round. So both of y'all riding with Silva. Got to. I'm staying away from this fight as a whole. I'm in for the gimmick parley because I think it's worth it, but I can't just like make a straight bet on this fight if I was. It's going to be. It's, it's on Marina Morose. Because I think Marina Moros is just criminally underrated. She's not going to fight for a title or anything like that, but she is really good. Like, she's really good. And she comes through in dog spots quite often.

and this is a good step up for koreenia silver i like what koreenie's done she is just a freaking animal in there and marina is just quietly really good she's just really solid and she's tough as hell she could take a beating and she doesn't go away but my pick is korene sylva but i'm i just can't i can't do a single on it i'm just not that confident but for the sake of gimmick parlay is I got to do it but other than that I'm going to stay away and enjoy it as a fan. No need to take a single when you already got her parlayed up easy game. Yeah, this is obviously a much more dangerous leg than the Natty Ice leg but Maria Moro is pretty good fighter, pretty scrappy. My issue betting against her here is just that she's never been finished and we've seen

Kreeny Silva really, really prey on the finishes on the mat lately, but I think it's going to be fine. She could probably probably doesn't need the finish to get the dub here. And again, why do I even need to break this down? It's the Silva parley. We know what we're doing here, boys. I feel you. I feel you. I'm actually taking Marina Morose. I'm taking her as a single. Took her plus 165. Yeah, I mean, Corini Silva is is kind of, I don't want to say suburbust because she does have knockouts on her record. But like of late, it's felt like she's suburbust. I mean, She has zero wins by decision. Obviously, the fight that they had in 2014 means nothing at this point.

It's a decade later. They've obviously both improved very much since then. But you guys said it. Marina Moroze's durability, I think, is going to play a factor here. I think if she can avoid the early onslaught from Karini Silva, I think as the fight wears on, she's going to be able to take over. I think she's live for her finish as well. I don't think a submission by Marina Moroze is completely out of the question here.

I mean, could be another arm bar. But I don't think a finish from Marina Moroza is out of the question. I am on our post 165. Considered the fight doesn't go to decision minus 120, but I don't want to double up. Though, like, it feels like the smart thing when Karini Silva's like 19 over 20 fights haven't gone to a decision. But I'm just right with the dog here.

And it should be a good one. It should be a fun scrap. Anytime Silva gets in there, it's usually pretty exciting. I don't wish you well because it goes counter to my palais. No, it's a good good. It's a good bad because I don't wish you well. I understand the process. And that's okay.

I understand your process. I just don't like it. All right. Let's get into these last two. It is the tough finale. We'll start with the lightweight fight. Kurt Holliba taking on Austin Hubbard. Austin Hubbard is like a minus.

Do do do do, do, do, too, minus 175. Holliba coming back, plus 145. Don't know if you guys have been watching Tough. I'm actually ripen my tough jersey, tough finale, going on today, season finale. I wanted to play Holliba as a dog. I mean, he looked so good against Jason Knight, but I don't know.

I went back further. Dude had a pretty horrendous UFC career. Like, he was losing the Lee Hammond until I handled Mary submission in the first round of tough. I just don't want to trust him with my money. Chearing for him. Hope he does well. but I'm just going to stay away from both the tough ones unless they give me like a crazy price on Brad Cotona

Yeah, I'm just going to stay away I'm happy to hear that because you know, I've watched one episode of tough this season. I had to step in while you were Off running around in Dallas. I stepped up Took one for the team and so I reached out to the esteemed day Kaylee your tough hang compatriot and I was like hey, who should be betting on for these tough fights? because you know watched kirk hollible fight but i haven't watched him fight recently and i didn't watch it and fight it all in the tough house and he was like kurt hollaba has been really fun uh and you look at you're like oh he has been fun whereas austin hubbard has apparently been quite boring in his fights but then then a k gave me the best piece of advice apparently Connor and you can you can

push back on this of this i'm only repeating what i've heard i hear that you were oh and four in predicting the semi-final fights on tough that you didn't get a single one of them correct and so if you would come out here and said man i'm all on i'm on i'm backing kurt hollabah i'd have been like all my money like like the money i bet on chris wideman because i think it can't lose obviously a waste so i'm glad to hear that you aren't doing that because i'm going to bet kurt hollabah because why not let's have fun betting should be fun he has been the most fun person on tough apparently I hope he gets it done. I'm glad we're here for fun, Jed, but I'm here to ruin your fun.

And yeah, I'm here to ruin your fun with my bet. And I feel like the man I'm betting on is going to ruin everybody's fun because his name is Austin Hubbard. Austin Hubbard is a decision machine. The one finish he has had over the last few years was the crazy Max Roshkopf fight where he couldn't get off the stool. Obviously credit to Austin Hubbard for weathering the storm and then just putting the boots to young Max, but I think Austin Hubbard just needs to weather the storm.

He's going to have to weather a quick storm from Kurt. And Kurt has not done well inside that octagon unless it's a reality show, unless it's a contender series of the ultimate fighter. So I think he's going to go into Boston. I think he's going to feel those, I think he's going to feel those butterflies in his stomach again. And I think honestly, Austin Hubbard needs this one more. This dude has put everything on the line.

for this opportunity, whereas Kurt Holbo, it'd be great for him to get back in the UFC, but he's found success as a coach in the grappling world. He's doing a good job with his gyms and stuff like that, while Austin Hubbard is literally all in here. He needs this one more than probably anybody on this entire cast. So with that said, Austin Hubbard, by decision, I don't know what the line is, but I'm sure it's going to be plus something. And if Austin's going to win, he ain't going to finish Kurt Hollabo.

He's going to win a 29, 28 decision. and it's going to be a fight that we're never going to watch again. But even the Boston people might actually cheer for it because they haven't had fights in four years. Hubbard by decision is plus 140. Done. That's a much better price. Yeah, I will be going to be that.

If you're running about him, that's a way better move. If Hubbard wins, this will be his first win over someone with Wikipedia page. Because I'm refusing to count Kyle Prepelech as having a Wikipedia page because, one, you have no idea of Kyle. Prepleck is. And two, it's so very obvious that he wrote his own Wikipedia page, which I credit to you. But everybody else is it, if somebody else isn't writing your wiki page does it count? This will be the biggest win of his career for multiple reasons.

He will finally get over the wiki hump and he would become a tough winner and, you know, get the six-figure UFC contract. But you're saying Kyle Prepeleck? That's all the facts I have about this. You're saying he wrote his own Wikipedia page? I feel like he wrote his own Wikipedia. page. This is pretty detailed. This is not a bad one. I base this entirely in the fact that there is so much information on a man

whose entire career basically has taken place on the regional circuit, PFC and like Canadian regional circuits and stuff. This just happens from people who write their own. Yeah, the moment he returned to Prospect Fighting Championship. That was a big moment. We don't have a line for the tough phantom white finale. He is currently the number 146 best lightweight fighter. Yes. Yikes. I do have to say, I do have to defend myself a little bit.

Mike was in on those predictions as well. So was Casey Leiden. We drew up the whole thing. We made all our predictions. We did go on four. Yes. We were wrong on it. That's actually why I'm not betting either the tough fights.

Well, I mean, to be fair, we were having fun. And we also found out that these fights are happening in Boston. So we felt like they were going to kind of rig this in certain ways to get the matchups that I guess the Boston fans deserved, including Rico DeShullo. That's why they weren't going to throw him in there with like Timor or Brad in the semifinals. They're going to give him sort of the easiest path. And then I kind of thought, I don't know, I'm okay being wrong. We picked the matchups perfectly.

Like we knew exactly where they were going to go outside of Roosevelt. Robert Soss and Hub, but we knew that, but we knew exact, we knew what the Banimoy fights are going to be. We knew the reasoning behind them. It just didn't really turn out that way. And I think Timor Valle F kind of got the big fat hose job, if we're being honest as well. I did, I did think he won that. That was the episode of did. I did think Valiah won that. That was a good fight. That was the most exciting Brad Cotonafite ever. It was a very fun fight. I do think Valiah probably should have got the dub, but oh, well, which brings us, Connor, to our next flight.

Bantamway finale. Cody Gibson taking on Brad Cotona. No line on it yet. Still too early. But yeah, I feel like Brad Cotona gets this done. There is some bad blood here. They did say in the season finale, like they hate each other. Cody Gibson was like, there's 16 guys living in this house and 15 of them hate you. And Brad Cotona was like, no, I think some people like me. And Cody Gibson was like, newsflash, no one likes you. I was like, wow, this is very middle school-esque. So yeah, there's a little bit of heat. Also, fun fact about Cody Gibson made his debut in 2014 against a debuting Al Jermaine Sterling.

Talk about paths going two separate ways. Those are very different. I got nothing on this fight, though. Oh, God. God, no. I mean, I don't even know a line on this fight. I technically didn't, don't know at the time of recording, Cody Gibson is going to be the guy fighting him

because the episode hasn't dropped for a few hours. So I have no thoughts on this matchup. I certainly didn't do any deep dive into it off the top of my head. I would say Brad Cotonos going to win, but I've already exposed myself plenty on this fight card. Yeah. Yeah, me too. I'm the same way.

And that's that. An hour, beautiful, clean, Mike Heck in the building, Boston, 617 stand up, lobster rolls, clam chowder, go park your car, get the keys. It should be a great time. It's not a bad Boston. I need to add, because I forgot to mention at the time, I'm on the Vera Munoz over one and a half as the third leg of my four-leg parlay with Wiley Zhang and Ima Chattargarry. And Saladin, Parnas, who's fighting KSW this weekend, is the fourth leg of that. That four legs pays out 147. Nice.

So that's, I am on. I just forgot to mention the Varamunio is over one and a half. I actually love that you said that because my parley is Varamunios over one and a half. Rodriguez to Lulian under two and a half. And then we're heading to Poland. We're heading to KSW. Saladin Parnas is the final leg of that parley. A big fan of that one.

That one pays out minus one. I'll just go through all my bets right now. I also did Ian Gary and Wiley Zhang parlayed, and then my singles, main event does not go to a decision. Zhang, almost under three and a half, little flyer on Zhang by submission,

Chris Wydeman Money Line, Mirchart Petroski under two and a half, and Marina Morose Money Line. I'm on a whole mess of stuff. Sean O'Malley, Zhang by sub, Zhang inside the distance, the aforementioned parlayers,

Wyden, Wyman by decision. Ian Gary by knockout. Munoz, Munoz by Splitty, and Kurt Hollabaugh. Sort of where I'm, I'm double exposed on every fight. So this is probably going to go awful for me come Saturday. I got Al Jemann Sterling inside the distance at plus 175.

I got a sprinkle on Sterling round two plus 800, round three plus 1100. Zhang Wei is inside the distance minus 120. Marlon Vera by decision. and whatever that line ends up being. Ian Gary by KOTKO, whatever that ends up being, I will be hitting that. Gerald Mearschart, plus 200, plus under one and a half. Chris Widman by decision at plus 400, whenever that actually officially drops. Austin Hubbard, by decision, whatever that is.

And then parlayes, Zhang Wei, Ian Gary, Natty Ice. That hits at plus 106. We got the Silva Parlay with Jedda plus 110. And then I have the violence parlay for the main and co-main event under three and a half, Zhang versus Lemosch and the under four and a half Sterling-O'Malley. That pays out at plus 151. There you go. Before we wrap, I have a critical piece of information that's just been brought to my attention. Oh, God.

And we can end on this. The champ, arguably the greatest pound for pound fighter in the world, though I would not say so. Alexander Volcanovsky. He agrees with me. Per Oscar Willis, who I think is quoting a video from Vol. Volks YouTube. You know, sometimes you just watch someone's story. It's like it's meant to be, I'm a believer in that sometimes, man.

It appears that Alexander Volcanovsky is picking Sean O'Malley. Alexander Volcanovsky, arguably the greatest mind currently or maybe ever to compete in mixed martial arts has thrown away all logic and reason to just go with the vibes of Sean O'Malley. Exactly the same as me. UFC champions are just like us, baby. It's because he doesn't want to fight Sean. He doesn't want to fight Al Jahn. So he's putting that other juju out into the universe

and hoping that someday he could fight Sean O'Malley and just kill him for a whole lot of money. And that works. Look how it worked for easy. He put it out there and not DDP worked. Those boys can manifest. Those boys can manifest the reality they want, just like me.

Me and the champ were on the same page. Everybody get on the O'Malley bandwagon before fills up. Love it. Absolutely love it. Perfect way to end. the show. The vibes are high. UFC 2992. Me and Mike will see you at the watch party on Saturday night. Me and Jed, we will see you next week. UFC Singapore. You like early starts? We're getting an 8 a.m. Main Cart start on the East Coast. It doesn't get much better than that. Mike, thanks for joining us.

Jed, see you next week. Love you.