MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Can Tom Aspinall Make A Triumphant Return At UFC London?

Episode Date: July 19, 2023

Still in the thick of its summer run, the UFC returns both to television screens and the O2 Arena this Saturday for the latest UFC London event. Headlined by the return of heavyweight dynamo Tom Aspinall, UFC London features 15 total fights and so the No Bets Barred boys are back to break them all down. Co-hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew kick things off with a brief recap of last week before diving headfirst into the robust UFC London card. Topics discussed include Aspinall's return from his knee injury and year-long layoff, whether or not Molly McCann will even get the chance to fight this weekend, which British fighter are the boys not backing, and Pannie Kianzad's chances to upset Ketlen Vieira in the suddenly wide open women's bantamweight division. Tune in for episode 54 of No Bets Barred. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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UFC London. We make our way back across the pond for the second time this year. This time for a fight night, Tom Aspinall, headlining against Marcine Tibera, the return of Tommy Aspinall.

And I have to say, I don't want to speak for you, Jed, but I feel like no bets barred is pretty excited about this one. So yes and no. I was not that excited, you know,

looking ahead, 15 fights, a lot of fights. But then I dug into it kind of. Then I did, you know, I did the work, got into the tape. And a lot of good matchups this week, man. Like, again, it's another one of those situations where we're pretty low on big name value. You know, the top of the card is what it is. But a lot of competitive fights.

You'll get the London crowd going insane. A lot of British English fighters going on. So it should be a good time. And you know we love an early start time. Love it. Okay. The early start time is crucial and I don't want to take the wind out of your sales there. But I was more specifically speaking about the return of Tom Aspinall.

Oh, well, yeah. I mean, I'd be more excited if it wasn't against Marcin Taibura, who's ever been excited about a Marcyne Tibera fight of any kind. But. Well, when it's a Tom Aspenol fight on the other side, I'm now. It's probably going to at least be fun. I am now excited for it. But actually, you're right.

The more I dug into this, the more I'm actually pretty excited for the card. Competitive matchups, up and down. Very competitive matchups. And the crowd is so crucial in this. Like, you know, last week, not good matchups, not good name value. And we were at the apex. It was kind of like the trio of everything. There was really like no stakes.

That's another thing about this card is there are stakes. whether it just be a guy from the area getting to fight in front of his home crowd. Yeah, exactly. I mean, there just are never stakes, like you said, in the apex because you can't even feel it being a moment, even if it is like, well, every fight has some level of importance to the fighters themselves, obviously. But it's just like, what does it mean to the rest of us? And this one, you know, Davy Grant is going to be fighting in a fight that probably doesn't mean a ton for like, his career writ large and certainly for us as a viewer,

but it's going to mean a ton for him to be in front of, you know, the British fan. So it's up and down we've got those. Anytime in front of a live crowd, it's better. So again, 15 fights is still a lot of fights, and that's my only real negative for this card. But should be a good time, early start time. We're going to have fun. Noon kickoff here on the East Coast on Eastern Time.

So, you know, you just have it on. as you're doing whatever you're doing. I've actually got a wedding to go to on Saturday. So I might be hearing some nuptials while I'm watching Tom Aspen, I'll hopefully get a win. Oh, what is the wedding at like six? Five. Oh, I think Tommy will be later.

I think you can probably clear the nuptials by then. 15 fights is going to take like seven hours. That's true. That's true. But three o'clock main card kicks, six fights on the main card. Regardless, last week got a couple units back chipping away trying to get back to evens. You know, still trying to keep it pretty tight, keep it pretty light, doing the same thing with this card. How did we fare last week on the brilliant UFC Apex 77?

Not great, Bob. I did a very dumb thing at the end of it, which actually ended up saving me a little bit. I still finished down about two units. But I did the fun thing where, as you recall, I was like, I'm just going to believe in Holly home. And then I was like, you know, as I watched her walk out to the cage, I panicked because she did not look good making the walk. And I know a lot of people don't like that, you know, armchair psychologist or whatever, but I was like, I don't think this is going to go well. So I just sort of immediately fired a headshot on MBS by finish, which ended up saving me

a couple of units there, but it was just bad all around. I actually believe more in the looking completely distraught and not wanting to be there on the way in, than I do like looking bad on the scales. I believe in that armchair psychology more. I can buy that. But yeah, for whatever reason, I just looked at her and I was like, Holly Home looks old right now. And I don't think this is going to go well for her.

And then it did it. So I was right in that. But yeah, basically just turfed every bet. The only thing I hit was the parley. Shout out to parlays. That's where we make our bread and butter. That's where smart gamblers make their money. That's enough talk about that card.

Let's dive right in. UFC, London, 15 fights. As you mentioned, let's start at the top main event heavyweight bout the return of Tom Aspinall taking on Marcine Tibera. Right now you can have Tommy Aspinall for minus 450 Tybura coming back at plus 340. I mean, listen, like you know where I stand here. you know what's coming? It's not hard to guess. Tom Aspinall.

By decision. Yes. Yes. Yes. Plus 1,500. How'd you know? I saw someone somewhere that was like, I actually really like Marcyne Tibero by decision this weekend.

I'm like, that's insane. Why? Like, I want to know why. And if it hits, I need to know why you took that. Is Tom Aspinol's knee still not working?

Then okay. Well, even if the knee's not working, then we're not going to make it the full five rounds. Oh, I think. I think Marcin Tibera could find a way to take a man with one knee to a decision. I believe in his ability to do that. Here's the thing.

It's been a year since we've seen Tom Aspenall. And I forgot how much of a fan I am of this guy going on his socials, watching back the tape, the fight against Volkov in London back in March of last year. I am a big fan of this guy. He's a 93 baby. I am also a 93 baby. Oh, okay. Oh, man, he is much more ahead in life than I am, obviously, you know, rising UFC superstar. Sorry.

Three kids. Three kids for the guy. Does he have an award-winning million fan podcast? I don't think he does, so. I'm sorry. I must have missed the award that we won. Don't worry about it. I didn't want it to go to your head.

You already got the hour. Yeah, there we go. I can't let you know about all the successes you're having life. I appreciate that. I appreciate that. I just needed to work out. that's the biggest thing. I needed to work out. I need it to go good. If he comes out here, if he looks flat, if he struggles, if he loses, it's going to be heartbreaking for me.

It's going to be tough to swallow. I'm a fan of the men overseas across the pond. It was already heartbreaking to watch the Max Holloway Arnold Allen fight. I can't do Tom Aspinall losing to Marcine Tibera. I'm not going to sit here, give you a long rant about getting into the technicals of why Tommy Aspinall is going to win. I think he's just the better fighter. And if his knee is good, then I definitely think that he is going to win this fight. And I'm under the assumption he's not going to get back in the octagon unless his knee is good. I am trusting in Tommy Aspinall.

Parlayed him up. Now, one thing I do have to say, this is probably going to be the second biggest favorite spot he's had in the UFC. Coming off a year away, coming off a horrific knee injury, probably not plus EV, as they say, to parlay them up. But guess what? You don't come here for plus EV plays, baby. You come in here to support the boys. And that's what we're doing with Tom Aspenall this weekend. I mean, I don't feel like either of us really need to dive too much into the why here because you would be supporting this man regardless.

You're Tommy Aspenall guy, and that's what I love and support about you. Not a huge Tommy Aspinall guy. Don't hate him. Just, you know, I enjoy watching him fight, and that's sort of the extent of my fandom there. But he is going to beat Marcine Taiburo. Like, you're absolutely correct. He wouldn't step back into the cage if he wasn't at 100% or close to it. You know, no fighters ever 100%.

But that knee is going to be healed up. He's had a year off to get right. And this is just a great matchup for him. Tibera is a jack of all trades and a master of none, whereas Tommy Aspinall is at least a queen of all trades, maybe even a king of all trades. This should just be pretty formulaic. He's much more athletic, much quicker on the feet.

If he goes for and gets takedowns, it is probably pretty bad for Tibera. I am also parlaying Aspenol up. I'll be interested to see if we have a similar parlay, because my palais is an idiot parlay. it's like the most obvious parley you could make. But. Magman Meridov.

No, it's not that idiot of a parlay. Remember, love a gimmick. But more importantly, I'm also going to take a shot on a very specific exacto. No, no, no, no. God, that would be the worst one. I'm also going to take a shot on a very specific prop exacto here. Aspinall by Kio round three is plus 2100. Now, a lot of the juice on that is for the third round.

I think if you do it for round one, it's like plus 150 or something. And round two, it's like plus 450. So you're taking a big jump up in that. And I'm going to take a shot on that. Because the number's so big, I would guess, you know, if you just asked me to pick straight up, I'm going to assume Tommy gets it done earlier than that. But Tabur has never been submitted. So I feel pretty okay with the, with the, with the, K.O.

prop he's a BJ black belt like a good grappler in his own right. Aspinall, we know he has the knockout power, no, he can finish it in that regard. He mostly, he has like four or five first round wins in the UFC and then one second round, which was on Jarolovsky. I'm going to say that Tybura is a very, is a pretty durable guy in general. He's going to be able to make it. Maybe Aspinall plays a little, a little cageier to start testing out that knee and we can make it into an early third round finish. So plus 21, I'm going to take just a very, very baby shot on that. I like the number there. It's a big number. I mean, don't love the round that it happens. And we have to address the fact

that Tom Aspinon and his pro career has never seen a third round. He's due. Isn't that how gambling works? He's due. Yeah, I guess. Yeah, I mean, he's due. I guess Sergey Pavlovich is also do for a round three here at uh at some point coming up soon. So Gabe Pavich is going to beat John Jones by decision to win the UFC heavyweight title. Plus 10,000. You're right here first, folks. Plus 10,000. I'm, uh, I'm on the opposite. Uh, I played the, the under one and a half, uh, 15 pro fights for old Tommy boy, 13 under the one and a half, as we just said, never seen a third round. Man does not get paid by the hour. I imagine in front of the home crowd, if he's healthy, if he's there to do what he does best, he is going to be looking to end Tibera early,

and I think he's going to have success in that. I mean, yeah, that's certainly the most likely outcome, right? Don't, don't hate it, but I'm taking just the babiest of plays on my prop, and we're going to hope. Listen, if it gets to the third round, that's going to get real fun. It's going to get electric. That's going to get real fun. And then, If he submits him, I'll cry. Oh, that would be terrible. Round three submission. Oh, my God.

That would be absolutely heartbreaking. Heartbreaking. Let's go to the co-main event, the fight that's going to crescendo us in to the main event for Tom Aspinall. It is a women's flyway bow, Molly McCann taking on Juleja Stolia Ranko. Molly McCann, minus 215, Stoli Aranko plus 185. And, yeah, I mean, I just have to start by Ashtonka. What is this fight? What are we doing here? Like what? What do we got going on here? I mean, Stoli Orenko has never fought at flyweight. She was on the ultimate fighter as a feather weight.

If you want to just go on Twitter and just, I think you just type in Stolia Ranko, wait. It's just going to be endless tweets of different times where she struggled with weight. You'll get the video of when she fainted literally on the scales. She fainted on the scales. She fainted on scale fell backward. It wasn't very good. Cutting to 1.35. Now she's older, more further along in her career, and she's going to make her flyweight debut. Man, I just don't know how this is going to work out for.

If she does make it to the fight and like she's good and she's not completely drained and dead and having medical issues, I mean, she is going to be way bigger than Molly McCann and she's going to have a big grappling advantage where we've seen Molly McCann struggle. Like, I guess you could say she's a live dog. But I went back and watched some Stoli Aranco tape. She's not great. She's not very good, man.

She's not very good. So, yeah, I mean, at the end of the day, I'm just staying away from this. Do I want to play Molly McCann at minus 215 against a woman that does have a pass? the victory, whether she will assert it or not, I don't know. I'll just sit back and watch. Hopefully we can get a spinning back fist, get the fake belt in again, and get the crowd hype for Tom Aspinall. So I hate this matchup. I think this is just really, really bad booking.

I think there's a fair chance that this fight doesn't happen for all the reasons. I would go as far to say large chance. Like, it's very possible that we get, this card gets down to 14 fights because of the co-main event. The reason many people will be there because Molly McCann is a star in London. They friggin love her. Just open a restaurant, I believe. Oh, good for her. You know, may not even be able to compete because I don't know why this is happening at Flyway.

I checked like three times to make sure that this wasn't secretly going to be a Bannamweight fight and I wasn't blowing it. like I don't know what's going on here, but while you don't feel confident, I have some level of confidence that Molly McCann is going to get this done here. One, Dewey Sto Yarenko, you do point out accurately, right, that Molly McCann is susceptible to the grappling. Stolioranko is bad grappler, like not a bad grappler, which is bad taked out, like a wrestler, certainly. And this is a case of the stoppable force meets the movable object, Because McCann's defensive wrestling not very good. I think that weight cut is just, if Sto Urenko makes it, I think she's just going to be dead.

Like, I just think she is going to be in serious trouble. And Mali McCann is super tough, is going to be competing the whole time. I don't think Sto Urenko is good enough that if she gets a take down in the first round, that she can finish it. And then I think McCann is just going to pile it up on her as this fight goes on. So with the London crowd, with everything, I like her price. enough she is the second leg of the parlay I have with Tom Aspinall. Oh. You'll never get the third leg we'll talk about in just a moment. Oh, we have a third leg. We have a third leg. We have a three leg parlay, all

England parlay and it leads us into the next one. Well that's good. That's good because there's a very good chance that's that that's just going to end up a two-leg parlay. Very very good chance. But you know what if she comes in at like 129 you think Molly McCann just says yeah let's do it? Yeah. I think Malin McKin will fight this woman she came in at 140. And Stoliarenko, we're really talking size advantage now. I don't know. I'm staying away.

You are on Molly McCann Parlay piece. Co-main event. My hope is Molly McCain gets a finish. The crowd goes crazy, and we get to Tom Aspenov. I mean, that is obviously the dream for everybody is for that crowd to just be popping off like it does. And then it's chanting Tommy Aspen. Aspen on. Tommy has been no

La da da da da da da da da da da da da da da hope for it Let's keep you moving Main card men's feather way about Nathania Wood taking on Andre Feeley right now You can have wood

For the price of minus 195 Feeley coming back Plus 165 Is this the third leg of the parli? Sure is Nice Taking Nathania Wood

Yeah I mean I really like Nathania Wood I guess the only reason I'm staying away here is just he is thoroughly undersized. I do worry that Feeley's a little bit better of a grappler than his last couple opponents,

especially Jordane. Don't know if the leg kicks that he got off so well against Charles Rosa this time last year are going to work. But like I do still think he's going to win. I think he is the better fighter. A couple concerns,

but I still like Nathaniel Wood to win. Yeah, I, this could be competitive. This would be the leg I'm the most concerned about of this parlay, just because Phile is, you know, can kind of do a little bit of everything, can pull some sort of slick stuff and the grappling end on the feet. I think this fight may well just come down to the wrestling, but I believe Wood will be competitive there.

And I think he has such an edge and volume on the feet that he's, you know, he'll have to navigate the range. Feeley has a bit of range on him, but I think he's going to be able to do that effectively enough, and he will just sort of outwork Andre Feeley over the course of 15 minutes. I doubt we get a finish. Then it's going to be a really fun fight. I'm putting a lot of credence into the London crowd. And maybe that's silly and maybe that's dumb of me, but I'm giving every British fighter on this card

is getting just a little bit of extra in my estimation because of that crowd. I think they're going to be hyped to deliver something special. Nice, nice. I like that. I like that. I mean, it's fun to support the fighters of wherever we are. Always fun. Sometimes it works out when you're in Canada.

Sometimes it doesn't work out when you're in Brazil. But hey, I mean, it's fun to ride with the home team. Race the runners. Raise the sails. Raise the sales. Captain, the unidentified ship is approaching. Over. Roger.

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Middleweight out, Andre Muniz, taking on Paul. Craig, Paul Craig making his middleweight debut. Right now, you can have Andre Muniz for minus 215, Paul Craig plus 185. Several divisional debuts on this car. I like it. I like it. Yeah, Stoliarenko, 125, Paul Craig 185.

Brian Barbaran, also 185. Again, third fight in row. I don't have anything here. Monez just, he just looked kind of lost last time out there and you know I know the different style of competition but now we're laying heavy juice on them again I am an Andre Muniz fan uh don't know what Paul Craig's going to look like at middleweight this is just a battle of two fantastic grapplers so I feel like naturally that means we're just going to get a striking matchup um but yeah just nothing I want to I want to throw the cheddar down on

in this one uh I don't have any bets I am very ten. tempted to bet Paul Craig here. Very, very tempted to bet Paul Craig. If I was going to bet I would bet Paul Craig. Yeah. I may end up still placing a shot. If he gets over plus 200 or something, I might look at that, because Andre Meadie is a big favorite.

Like you said, it's hard to feel super confident in part. I mean, his first time we're going to see what Craig looks like at 185. I suspect he's going to be enormous because it's not like he was super undersized, a light heavyweight, mind you. but talking about Andre Monez, who I was very high on at one point, hasn't looked good lately. Not like a huge one-hitter-quitter guy on the feet, like a big power striker, and that has largely been the issue for Paul Craig. We did see Monez get out grappled last time out by Brendan Allen,

and Paul Craig can probably do something similar if the sort of fight unfolds that way. I think Paul Craig's pretty live dog, honestly. I'm just, I already had some exposure, and since I don't know what he looks like a middleweight, you know, tough to feel wildly confident, but certainly a dog or pass situation for me, and I may end up just saying, you know, let's go with Paul Craig. Yeah, I mean, it's a rare occurrence when Paul Craig isn't a live dog. I mean, obviously the Ozedimir fight, he wasn't really, and I guess the Johnny Walker either. But yeah, I am curious to see what he's going to look like as well. I wouldn't be surprised if he pulled something off here, especially in front of the London crowd. But we shall see.

We shall see. Interested to see the 185 debut for the Bear Jew. But let's keep it moving. Lightweight bouts still on the main card. Gai Herbert taking on Fares Ziam. Right now, you're going to have Ferez. 4.155. Jai Herbert coming back plus 135.

In front of the home crowd, getting the dog money. it feels like the Fores lines getting a little bit blown out but also Jai Herbert typically has a pretty big size and reach advantage and I feel like he uses that you know to his advantage he's not really going to have that here for his pretty big lightweight

so again fourth straight fight I have no bets down man this is not no bets barred this is just no bets episode for going to get into some don't worry uh i make fun but i also have no bets on this um just uh i i think we might see d1 herbert out there which i don't feel great about about backing d1 herbert out there but on the feet i mean i think this will be a fun striking match but

zayam's just i believe a much better defensive fighter which is sort of the crux here and why i think we'll see the wrestling because we have seen him be a little susceptible to getting taken down and over his career. Saw Herbert flex the rest a little bit last time out. I just am not really sure what this fight's going to look like. I would favor Ziam, but I don't feel good enough to place a bet either way. What I will say about this, since the UFC started returning to London, Jai Herbert, one, one and one.

So this will move us one direction on where we can believe in him. Right now, dead down the middle. Gotta break the seal. Gotta break the seal somehow. All right, let's get into a fight that I have a bet on. Final fight on the main card. Lorone Murphy takes on Josh Kulabal right now. You're going to have Lerone Murphy for minus 140,

Coolabow coming back plus 120. I mean, this is a fantastic fight. Both these dudes are dogs. Josh Kulabal, especially a dog. I am on Lerone Murphy here, though. Like you said, in front of the home crowd, a little bit of that extra juice. And I kind of feel like he is the more well-rounded guy in a battle of pretty well-rounded guys. Murphy, like, he's just super athletic.

He hits hard. And yes, he gets taken down. And I understand that Kulabal about attempts to do that. But he is 0 for 11 on takedowns in his UFC career. Murphy does get taken down. I'm aware of that. But if you go back and watch the tape, like he does have a good get-up game. does have good wrestling in his own right. He's able to to turn positions and get control time and be

able to have success on the ground as well. And then when it's standing, it's going to be a war. I feel like. I feel like these dudes are going to trade it back and forth. Both these dudes can take big shots. We've seen before. We saw Murphy push last time out against Santos. But I just feel like there's more ways to win for Laronne Murphy. There might be a little bit of home cooking. I feel like both these dudes are tough. I feel like it goes to his decision. Plus, not only is he, in front of the home crowd on Saturday? Laron Murphy's celebrating a birthday on July 22nd

in front of the home crowd. Birthday boy, home cooking. You're telling me this guy's going to lose. You're going to bet against the birthday boy? You're going to let this man ring in a new year of his life and you're going to bet against him? That's what you're telling me right now? I'm not telling you that at all because I am also backing

Maronne Murphy in this fight. and Conner it's been time. Took a couple of weeks off. It just weren't the matchups that I felt deserved it. But this fight, this fight's damn good. It's a competitive fight as I was watching tape. I was like, I can't make a decision.

Damn. Let's let the robots do it for me. Chat GPT is back and ChatGPT is back in Laurel-Murphy. I did not factor in the birthday. Didn't even put the input that to the chat GPT. So they didn't even add that in. Turns 32. Feel even more confident.

I will just give you the big pitch at the end. In the end, the judge's decision reflected the incredibly close nature of the bout. The unanimous decision was awarded to Lorone Murphy, much to the delight of the hometown fans. His strategic approach, coupled with precise striking and effective leg kicks, gave him the edge he needed to secure the win. So that is where we're going. We're taking Lorone Murphy, and we ride together.

Let's go. Okay, so one of the thing I wanted to throw out here, right now not every book has it but I am seeing Lorone Murphy by splitter majority plus 600 I don't think I'll take that Not a big enough price But if it becomes widely available and I see like a plus a thousand It's a better price

I'm gonna have to take a stab at it because We mentioned think this fight's gonna be competitive Think it's gonna be close Think it goes to a decision Coolabout has a split and a draw In his UFC career Lorone Murphy has a split and a draw in his UFC career. Cool about prior to getting the UFC also has a split and a majority.

These guys, 10 UFC fights combined between them, four of them have either been splits or draws. They fight in close fights. Wouldn't be surprised that this one is there again on Saturday. Gotta get to the bigger number. Got to get like a plus a thousand. Don't know how these judges work. But something I'm keeping an eye on.

Yeah, if that's not plus a thousand, I'm not even considering it. Plus a thousand starts to get at least a little interesting, certainly. I'm taking plus a thousand. Like you say like that's where you peak your interest. Plus a thousand is an auto bet for me at this number. But I don't think we're going to get that because right now it's plus 600. Seems pretty unlikely you're getting it if it's plus six right now. But who knows?

Who knows? We'll see what other books have got to say about it. Let's move to the prelims, a men's Bantam Waybout. Another man repping the Union Jack as opposed to the old red and white flag of England. It's Davy Grant taking on undefeated prospect, Daniel Marcos, right now. Marcos, the favorite at minus 140. Davy Grant coming back at plus 120. This is a good fight.

This is a fun fight. I think they're going to put on a show. Davy Grant especially. Davey Grant is a crazy man. He is a crazy man. What do you do? Tell some story where he lost his pants at his own wedding or something. He's a madman.

Feel like this is kind of like a step down for him. Like he's fought the Asun Sons, the Yanez, the Cheetos, Jonathan Martinez. But then on the flip side, like, Marcos is a 14th. 13 and 0 prospect, like undefeated. He's a really solid fighter. I think I'm just going to sit back and enjoy this one. Yeah, I'm taking David Grant.

I'm not sold on Marcos yet. He is 14 and 0, and honestly, has some decent wins there, but I'm just not all the way sold. Whereas I feel like we know what we get with Davey Grant. I mean, Dangerous is a super accurate nickname. Dude, dude can compete and can finish you in all phases of the game. And like you said, I do think this is a step back for him. Yes, Marcos, it's always weird to call a 30-year-old dude a prospect, but I mean, I guess he has a prospect, you know, undefeated coming in with a gaudy record.

But I think that this is, Davy Grant is going to be the best guy he's ever faced by a pretty wide margin. I mean, Simon Olivera is not David Grant, frankly. I think that he can sort of win kind of in all phases of this game. And always there's just a threat to pull off a submission or knockout quickly. So at an underdog price with the hometown crowd, I felt okay taking him at plus 120. I really don't mind that at all. Plus, it's going to be fun to cheer for David Grant in front of the English crowd. I'm not betting against an English fighter this week.

I don't think I am. but we can find out as we move along this card. I don't think I am. Yeah, I am. Oh, I actually lied. I am. I forgot that we're going to talk about it in just a moment. So yeah, I lied.

That's on then. So don't mean to loyal listeners. My apologies. Danny Hot Chocolate Roberts taking on Johnny Parsons. And this fight is pretty much lined at Evans. minus 115 for Danny Roberts, minus 105 for Johnny Parsons. Yeah, what is that, are we fading Danny Roberts? Is that what you were alluding to?

I'm not. Oh, okay. I want to fade him strictly because Johnny Parsons has maybe a top five nickname in all of MMA. The sluggernaut is, I mean, it's just chef's kiss. I can't believe I've never heard anyone else with that. And so credit to him. But I actually do think this fight lines up in favor of Danny Roberts.

Yeah. I never, I can't ever feel confident in betting Danny Roberts is a problem because he has fallen short consistently. And his chin appears to have faded massively. I mean, yeah, you said it lines up well for Danny Roberts. I mean, he is going to be the way bigger guy. there, four inches height. Enormous physical advantage. Five inches of reach.

He is just the better fighter. Like if you just want to talk about who is the better mixed martial artist here, it is Danny Roberts. Let's go to the experience. 25 professional fights, 13 of which have taken place in the UFC. Johnny Parsons,

11 professional fights. He has less professional fights than Roberts has UFC fights. Oh yeah. Johnny Parsons is also coming off, almost a two-year layoff where he fought on the contender. series to a questionable decision win, then got a contract off of that. Like, everything in my bones is telling me to take Danny Roberts.

But the one thing that doesn't really match up here well for Danny Roberts is Johnny Parsons fights kind of wild, slug or not, he has his name for a reason. Good name for him. Eight of his 11 wins come by knockout. Like, he's not looking to submit you. he is looking to knock you out and how does Danny Roberts lose

a lot of the times it comes by way of knockout finished in six of a seven losses four of those coming by knockout dude like Danny Roberts this could be one of those fights where Danny Roberts is winning

until he isn't and the fight is just over can't can't fully trust Danny Roberts with him on here yeah that chant against the guy named the sluggernaut

just doesn't feel like good betting to me. But any of you out there who are backing hot chocolate, best of luck to you, it will be much cooler if he wins in London than if the slug or not gets it. It'll be way cooler. It also reps the Union Jack according to topology. I am on the under here for everything I just said because I think he's either going to get caught or he's just going to be that much.

Or he's just going to be that much better than Johnny Parsons and he is going to finish him. Roberts, 1925 fights have not gone to a decision. Parsons, eight of his 11 have not gone to, at the price that I play at minus 105, felt like it was worth a stab. Don't hate it. Don't hate it. Don't have the bet, but don't hate yours. Let's keep it on rolling. Lightway bout Mark D.KC. taking on Joel Alvarez right now. Alvarez sits at minus 195. D.K.C.C. coming back. plus 165. Are we betting against Mark Diochese?

This is the Brit that we are not supporting. One, primarily, it's not a reflection on Mark D. Casey or the British fandom. I just love Joel Alvarez. Big Joel Alvarez guy, honestly. You also hit a nice dog shot on Michael Johnson against the Akasi last amount, if I'm not mistaken. That's the second part of this. That one I felt pretty confident in just because, like, Johnson's very good defensive wrestler when he needs to be.

And D'Casey is not a good enough or a physical enough force la Habib to really dominate in that area. On the feet, I think he's screwed. Well, the good news is Joel Alvarez is a pretty bad defensive wrestler. Exactly. That's the problem. Zero percent takedown defense in the UFC. Is that good? Been taken down six times.

D.K. Casey, 19 takedowns in his last two wins. Yeah, it doesn't match up well, but... Talk me out of this. Tell me why that doesn't matter here. We're going to see a lot of takedown attempts, but one, I will say that Dekazi is not like the same quality of takedown artist as Armand Syruc. But listen, a takedown attempt in the UFC? has been a completed takedown against Joel Alvarez.

Zero percent takedown defense. I'm not here to tell you that it's good because it's not. But I think Joel Alvarez is just a more dangerous grappler off his back should he get taken down? You look at his career resume, he's 16 submission wins.

He's got arm bars. He's got chokes. He's got Gilles. He's got Gilles. He's got Gilles' four guillotine on the record. Mark D. Casey? Two of his last. five. His only two finishes, two finished losses have come by submission. Two of his last five losses, not just by submission, by guillotine. Guy does not like guillotine. And the thing is we know

that what's, we know that he is going to shoot. Joel Alvarez knows that he is going to shoot. The guillotine is going to be jumped. We are going to get a jumped gilly at least one time this fight. I think there's a good chance. Furthermore, it's, it's, it really does come back to our just like Joel Alvarez. I think he's never going to be a champion, he's never going to really fight for a title. But talking about a dude who's 17 and 2 or some. 19 and 3.

Yeah, astronomical thing. And his losses are to Demerius Magulov and Armand Syrucchia. Yes. And then a beast on K1 or M1 back in the day, like years ago. The guy was like 12 and 1. Like he really does. Yeah, like he really does lose to top tier talent. I am actually with you.

Like, I am with you. I am on Joel Alvarez. Yeah, there we go. Because I don't know if it's that smart to go to the ground with him. Like, he is an incredibly dangerous, grappler. And then on the feet,

he's not a minute winner. Like, he's not going to be, like, just, like, putting out shots, winning minutes. He doesn't win rounds. He wins fights. He is incredibly dangerous wherever the fight goes. He's also huge. If he makes...

150, 155, 156, which we have seen him do on numerous occasions. He is gigantic, five inches taller, four inches of reach, going to have a few pound weight advantage once we get into the cage on Saturday. But what I did, what I did is looking at same game parlay, Joel Alvarez, plus the under two and a half gets that to even money. Now, some people might be like, I don't want to deal with all that. That fuss. I don't want to have to sweat that out. We said he's 19 and 3. 19 professional wins on the record. 19 wins by finish.

19 wins coming under the two and a half. You said it. He does not win minutes. He wins fights. I think a large portion of his win condition comes on him finishing this fight. and he has yet to finish a fight over the two and a half. So get the minus $1.95, two even money, a little SGP action here. I like that better than what I ended up doing because I wasn't going to take him straight. But as you so astutely pointed out, 19 wins, 19 finishes for this man. He is not here to see the judges. And so I just took the inside the distance prop, minus 115.

but I think that you've actually made a better bet. I would recommend that bet over the inside. I think my bet, well, cash, mind you, but you're getting plus money. I'm not. I think it's... Yeah, but you get the extra two and a half minutes. You never know. You never know.

If the extra two and a half comes up, we will talk about it next week. It would be pretty funny. I will also say, like, you're kind of in misery. Even if you do cash that, it'll feel great. But, like, dude, if you're at like the two minutes left, in the third round mark. And you're pretty much in misery. He's just sitting on him and I'm like, oh, my God.

Like, you're in misery. Like, it's just like, kill me. Like, I'm dead. Like, I'm done. Like, there's no chance he does that. So, honestly, I'm okay with taking the two and a half just because if it gets over the two and a half. I think you've made the better bet here. You just kind of, you just kind of accept it.

I think we both have decent bets. I think it's much better than taking the minus $195 when it's, it's like the, who did we, who did we, who did we talk about a couple weeks ago? The fight got canceled where they exclusively won by knockout. And their inside the distance prop was like 80 points better than their money line. It's just like sometimes you have to realize how these guys win. And if you're taking enough of a portion off, then it's worth it. Talking about Mr. Walt Harris, I believe.

Yes, Walt Harris. Yeah, 14 wins all by knockout. But his inside the distance prop was like 80 points better than, than his money line. Like I remember one time I took Francis and Gano against Cyril Ghan. I took him like minus 135

and someone was like, why didn't you take the knockout prop? And I was like, because it was minus 130. Barely any difference. Five points better. And it ended up, he won by decision.

But yeah, when there's these big, huge differences with clear win conditions, I try to try to hop on that. So Joel Alvarez. The, not the pride of Spain, but the, the secondary. So that's another important part. We're going to, Spain's having a moment.

Spain could be having a moment. We're going to be getting a U.C. Spain. I say, Vamos. Let's go, let's go to Spain. I'll be there. Carlos Alcaraz winning Wimbledon. We have the next great way.

Oh, man, Alvarez. Man, that was no need to get into it. I mean, Spain's, Spain's popping off right now. Listen, I got a 49-day streak on Duolingo right now learning Spanish. I mean... 49 days. Look, that's seven weeks, baby. Seven weeks.

It's big time. Siette Samaunas. Well done. What can I say? I'm learning. I'm learning. Trying to be bilingual over here. Bledra bachel.

A kid. Let's go. All right, let's keep it rolling. Support for this show comes from Volkswagen. As the U.S. gets ready to host soccer's biggest moment, on a worldwide stage, Volkswagen is helping people discover new turfs and new ways to play the beautiful game right here in the U.S. From Deaf and Power wheelchair soccer to beach and futsal, Volkswagen is actively supporting all the communities and teams within the U.S. soccer ecosystem. They're supporting talent from across the U.S. soccer extended national teams and are focused on helping to give these less widely known forms of soccer a platform moving forward.

From the pitch to the sand and everything in between, welcome to our turf. Support for this show comes from the Audible Original, the downloaded two, ghosts in the machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudulian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprise his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible original blockbuster. The Downloaded, it's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey

where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, What are you willing to lose to save the ones you love? The Downloaded 2. Ghosts in the Machine. Available now, only from Audible. On the prelims, heavyweight bout. Mick Parkin, undefeated, coming in to take on Jamal Pogues,

Mick Parkin, training with the main eventor Tommy Aspinall, with the main inventor last week on the KSW card, Phil de Freeze. But too many question marks here. Just like way too many question marks for me to bet on this. Poggs, like he's not great, but he's got pretty good cardio. He can mix in the takedowns. And then the Mick Parkins side.

six and oh, but like he has fought nobody, one in 10, two and 17, two and three, seven and seven, six and nine, and then when he finally got to the Condender series, he fought someone that was five and oh, but fought nobody running through all of them, finished all six of his wins in the first or second round. So I'm just going to stay away.

Like, I want to go Pogues because it's just like, man, Mick Park and has fought nobody. He's making his UFC debut. but like he could be legit. So, and I don't want to go against the Englishman. I'm staying away. Yeah, absolutely staying away.

Too many variables, too many factors. I don't know. I already have several bets down. I got one more left on the card and this one ain't it. All right. Then let's move on. Middleweight bout. Brian Barbaran making his 185 debut,

taking on Machmad Muradov right now. You're going to have Muradav for minus 315, Barberana coming back plus 245. Interesting to move to 185 for Barberana. Didn't feel like he was

like really straining himself to make 170. Also, Barberana, like, 34 years old, it feels like he is the oldest 34 year old to ever live. I mean, he's... Yeah, yeah, pretty up there in fight age. Every time I just wait to check the Tapology,

you to be like, oh yes, he's 41. Like, right. Brian Barrean is 41. 34. 34 for my guy. Jose Aldo is only like 35 or something. Oh, don't tell me that. He might be older.

He might be older, even Barbara. Joseo Alto is like 46 in my eyes. Exactly. And Y'all Romero's like is like 32. Yeah. I'm still so young. Oh my gosh. I forgot to ever mention this to you or on the show or anywhere.

I was down in Miami a few weeks ago, and I was waiting in line at a bar, and who walks in, pull the rope back, everything. It's Y'O.R.R.R. I was like, oh, shit. The legend in the flesh. Yeah, he was kind of moving with a crowd.

They all had first-round management tease on. So, like, I didn't say anything out, but I was definitely like, oh, shit, there's Y'O Romero. Damn. And then he was gone off into the night. enjoying the scenes of South Beach. I mean, now that's, partying with Y'O. Romero and South Beach, that sounds fun.

Now, that is something that would have been fun. Yeah, I mean, he got right into where we were going, and then me, schmuck ass, standing out, waiting in the line. She told them about your podcast, bro. She's been like, hey, you know what's up, man? You're a legend, dude, round three, O'O. Romero, man. Anyway, back to the middleweight bout, taking this place this weekend at UFC London.

I did parlay up, Muradav. it is the square, squareiest chalk, dummy, dumb parlay of the week. I think I've seen about 90 million people on this thing, and the line's like barely moving. So Muradav Aspinall, the popular parlay for the weekend. But just looking at this matchup, I just, he's going to, Murdov's going to be the bigger guy. He is the more powerful guy. In my opinion, he is the better striker. and like going back and watching some of Barberina's recent fights,

like other than the Lawler fight, which Loller did have some success in that first round, like we were looking pretty decent there. He has struggled pretty hard in like his last six fights. Obviously the last two times out Gunner Nelson and RDA, fairly easy submissions. But then like drop by Jason Witt, lost, Therian Week's incredibly competitive fight.

Matt Brown, very competitive fight as well. I just I just feel like Muradov whether this goes to a decision and whether they just strike until someone falls I feel like Murdov has the advantage on

on both of them yeah I mean those are the thing is Murdov can also just work takedowns if you want which has been proven to be extremely effective yeah against Brian Barberani

yeah he can essentially get taken down at will and I agree I believe Murdov is the better striker. At least certainly the more technical one. I mean, Barbraina got the dog in him,

can never discount that. But even if he starts to have some success on the feet, Barbrain has never been like a real one-hitter-quitter guy. And so if Murdov starts to get into shaky ground, he can just take Barbrain down. I think he's a, look, it's a very chalky parlay piece.

I think he's probably a good one. I didn't put him in one because I didn't have anyone to put him with since I was doing the All-England Parlay. But, yeah, thing's totally reasonable parley piece i don't hate the chalk you know the that is fine run it run it that's what i did i ran it up and let's keep it rolling women's bansom way about ketlin bierro taking on penny kianzad uh ketlin bierre is the favorite and i have uh nothing here do you sir

sure do let's go the final the final bed of the evening for for me here um i'm going Panic Yanza, by decision, prop. Dog, how much is that worth? It's plus 210, so. Nice, I like that. This fight is going to be one. I mean, just, the over under on this is two and a half minus 320 because we know what's going to happen. We're going to go to the cards on this one.

Panic Janzaa basically exclusively uses the judges. She is not interested in finishes of any sort. 13 of her 16 career wins have been by decision. On the other side of that, Kellen Vieira, much more of a finisher, like about half, about 50-50 finish first decision, her wins. Only been stopped the one time by Irene Aldana.

This is going to go long. And when it goes long in a fight that is going to be nip-tuck, very back and forth, we're talking right now about two women who went to very close decisions with Rocky Pennington, I know Vieira's last fight was Pennington. Did Kianzad have a fight before, after Pennington? I'm going to go check this now,

because I can't remember off the top of my head, if that's true or not. Yeah, she beat Lena Landsberg. Yes, the Battle of Sweden. That's right, the battle for Sweden. But, I mean, you look, Kevin Vieira, her last two fights have gone to splities. I think that we have a decent chance of this being the same.

I mean, this is just going to be, evenly contested. Kanzad's a very good defensive wrestler, so if Viera's trying for the takedowns, probably not going to happen, we're just going to be cardio kickboxing for 15 minutes, and when push comes to shove at the end of it, I don't want to have a ticket on Viera.

I want to have a plus 210 ticket for the split decision that's coming. That's, dude, that's a solid bet. It's very similar to what I did with Joel Alvarez. I mean, what you did as well playing the inside the distance. I mean, she has not finished anyone in almost a decade, August of 2014. She only has three wins by finish on her record, 13 by decision. I mean, Ketland Vieira as well. She, she is a tough fighter. She's been finished once in her career.

And she almost exclusively goes to the cards. Five in a row, the cards for Vieira. Over one and a half might be a solid, solid parlay piece. That's a rock solid parley piece. I feel like I didn't look into that enough. You're kind of talking me in like, I mean, Panicianland right now she's sitting at what? Plus one 30? Plus one 30.

And you can bump her up to plus 210 on the decision line. You're getting 80 points right there. That's why I took it because 80 points was enough where I was like, yeah, that's enough given that she literally hasn't stopped anybody in a decade. Min is 575 for the over one and a half? Don't mind if I do. Gonna have to build something there.

Gonna have to figure something out. That's a... I might build with it. I might build a Muradov and that over one and a half and then find a third leg to make something work there. That's a solid. Maybe Tommy Aspen on Tibera under three and a half. A little minus 700.

We're building the chalky stew over here, a little something to gnawn. Yeah, I didn't think I was going to be this excited after talking about Panic Cana Villan. But like, that's a nice find by you. That's a nice find. I think I can definitely be down for that. A gross, greasy, splity, maybe a majority. Maybe we get something nasty going there.

Yeah. Do you have previous points about splities? If there's a splitty line out there being offered for plus a thousand on this fight, snapping it. Snapping it up. Let's take a peek. Let's take a peek. Now, Paney by decision, by Splitty, right?

Yeah. Snapping it up. Let's take a little peeksy-pooh and see what we got. I mean, it's not available at all books right now, but it's worth taking a peek at a pancy-y-pun. Uh, penny by split plus 500. Give me a break, dude. That's nonsense.

That's Vegas saying don't bet this. Yeah, it's like, when did splits become plus 500 material? Like, they don't happen often and like you are entrusting your money to the judges. Yeah. Crazy work. Well, I won't be taking that, but I was, I was interested. Now I'm not. Yeah.

Yeah, there's no shot. We doubled that. Like, there's no shot we were even getting the Rhone at, at plus 1,000. We're definitely not getting any. Definitely not getting. And I kind of make sense. The fact that, like, decision is, is plus 210 and splits only plus 500 is just, this is crazy, I mean. Pretty crazy.

Split period? Split period, plus 250. Give me a break, dude. That is, that's not like, that's clearly just an insane number. I would, I would bet the other end for that if I can. Fight does not end by split decision at minus 350. I would absolutely bet the shit out of that. Minus 325.

Doesn't end by split decision? Yeah. I would bet the hell out of that. That's just value. Yes, the air has gone to two splities, but still. That would just be very depressing to lose. That would be a true of D.J. to lose.

Kellyn Vieer in her career actually has four fights ending by split decision. 60. And the last two, two in a row. 25% of her fights have ended by split or majority decision. That's, that's nasty. So again, I reiterate, this is going to go to the cards. It's going to be close. And I would much rather be holding a plus-210 penny ticket than a minus 150.

Panis all unanimous. 16 decisions in her career, all unanimous, win or lose. Well, maybe this will be her first one. one. We're not getting a good enough price for any of the splities. I'm getting talked into something nasty over here with Kianzad. I love it. Let's keep it rolling though. Next up, lightweight about Chris Duncan. Not Christian Leroy, Chris Duncan, who we saw a few months ago, taking on Yannal Ash Moose, who we saw last time in London, actually get a huge upset, went over Sam Patterson. Right now, Chris Duncan, slight favorite, excuse me, slight favorite coming.

in at minus 145, you know, plus 125. Man, I thought about going back to the well in the under. I took it last time Chris Duncan fought. I mean, it feels like he gets knocked down in every single one of his outings, but just too many bad memories from the Morales fight. I mean, it was just a stall on the wall. It was some laying. It was some praying.

It was not much striking. And now that the fact that he's training at ATT feel like he's going to go back to the well in the wrestling, feel like the coaches are going to. going to create a game plan for him because, you know, it's coming off a highlight real knockout over Sam Patterson. And Chris Duncan, while I think he's only been knocked out once, he, like, the dude gets knocked down almost every time he goes out there. Like, he just, like, get sit down. Um, so like, if they stand in a strike, I think, you know, it's super live for a K.O. But I'm just going to sit back and watch this one. Hopefully we get chaotic Chris Duncan

instead of D1 Duncan but yeah we'll see I'm just gonna sit back and watch The only two notes I have on this is one I really wanted to back Chris Duncan Just because 286 He was a pivotal piece in my Chris Duncan parley

One half of the Chris Duncan parley That was successful The other thing also related to 286 You know Ashmoos's highlight KO Happened about five minutes before Chris Duncan and started playing and prey it all over Omar Morales. So I do love matchups like that where they are both on identical timelines right now. So that's always fun.

Can't bet it for many of the same reasons. I wanted to back him, but he's a little scary coming off that Morales fight. So anyway. A little scary just because it'll be dicey if he wins, I feel like. I feel like he's not just going to like absolutely dominate. I mean, maybe he does. Maybe in the grappling he's able to just like rack up rounds and win 3027. But like, man, if it stays striking, I just, it's, it's going to be dicey moments.

It's going to be dicey moments. All right, let's keep it rolling. Strawway belt, Bruna, Brazil taking on the debuting Irish fighter, Shana Bannon. Interesting one. Undefeated. Yes. 5-0, minus 150 Brazil, minus 155 Brazil, banon plus 135, 135. Uh, just, just too many question marks. I just, I, nothing I feel confident enough to, to place my money down on.

I feel like Brazil is going to win, uh, not like overly impressed with Bannon, but also just going back and watching Brazil's last fight. Doesn't really make me want to throw down some, uh, some coin on her. So, uh, yeah, I think it'd be cool of Bannon won, uh, you know, another Irish fighter, especially a woman, a female, Irish fighter. It'd be cool to say, but yeah, just going to enjoy this one. Yep, I got nothing to add just to not betting on anybody in this fight because why would you? You just probably shouldn't unless you know one of them. Yeah, we're like, yeah. There are 14 other fights in the UFC on Saturday.

You don't need to bet this one. Yeah, yeah, yeah. And like if you win, I'm sure it's going to be like never in doubt. I knew everything. And if you lose, it's going to be like, oh, they were on. contested prostics. You're going to feel real dumb if you lose. Oh, yeah.

If you lose money on this fight, you're going to feel like the biggest jackass on earth. Let's keep it rolling, the last one, men's flyway fight. Who even cares about this decision? Spain's third greatest son. What did you say? Spain's third favorite son. Daniel Barr is making his debut. Spain's, what is it?

What would be the word? It's not the prodigial. What's the third tier ranking? You know, it's kind of... The bronze medalist? I don't know the word you're looking for. At this point, we're kind of getting to the ugly steps, son. We're getting to the ugly step shot here of Daniel.

Daniel Barrett. It's a bit of a reach as far as quality fighters and prospects. He's going for Spain, man. He's coming to rep Spain. Alcaraz will be in the building. Sergio Ramos will be in the building, Eliath Porio. We all stand behind Daniel Barris.

You think Sergio Ramos showed up. up for Daniel Barras. I'm here for Daniel Barras making his debut. That would be the funniest shit in the world. Yeah, if all of them are there. Carlos Alcaraz just rolls in.

Fresh off Wimbledon, he's like, I had to keep my stay in London for an extra week because my boy Danny Barras. Daniel Barras and Joel Alvarez are fighting. I had to be here, guys. Shout out. Shout out.

Yeah, I mean, Jafel Fila, last time we saw him out, almost got that knee bar on Mahayev, but overall, I mean, he clearly lost that fight. Man, remember what 125 used to mean something? I mean,

you could convince me no for a shot here because look, Fia didn't hit the under against Makayev, but a lot of early steps, a lot of early finishes on his career. Unfortunately,

Barr has a decent number of decisions, but he's on a run right now, four straight first round finishes for Barras. You could sell me under two and a half minus 120. We could dare to dream, Connor. No, no, I did dream last week, and I mean, it never even came close. Wasn't even competitive. Yeah, it's just, it's just, they're so dead. They're so beyond dead.

It was such a special moment in history, such a special moment of time. I'm glad we got to be a part of it. but alas, rest and pace to flyweight hunters. Don't, don't be sad

because it's over. Should be happy that it happened, you know? I agree. I agree. And if this hits, if it goes under,

please don't come out. Don't tell me that it's... I absolutely forgot that I have to have a heavyweight over bet in the main events. You should have to have one in Michael Park and Jamal Pogues

as well. Oh, I have to have two. Shit. Well, add those two. I'll be taking both. I wasn't even thinking of heavy weight over this week for whatever reason.

So over one and a half for the Aspinall-Tibura. Actually, don't hate that, especially at plus money. I'm pretty comfortable with that line. And the part, what's the Pog's parking over two and a half plus 105? Don't feel great about it, but we're doing it. Add those two to my repertoire and I'm done. Yeah, I was going to say I would feel better about the Poggs one, but it's kind of similar fights in the English dude finishes early every time

and his opponent has been known to go to decisions. Yeah, we're clearly on a side in that particular fight. And we'll hope it happens. Just got to see what happens, I guess. How are heavy weightovers doing? Do we have a record? We do. They are 12 and 8 on the year plus 2.5 units.

That's a bet that you can get behind, folks. They're doing fine. They are, you know, they're not going to pay off your mortgage, but they are consistently doing enough to stay ahead of the curve. That is a bet you can get behind. So looks like I'm going to add Panicianza by decision to the mix, and I'm going to... Love that. I'm going to cook up something nasty with that over one and a half. but overall, same game parlay, Joel Alvarez, in the under two and a half, even money.

Roberts Parsons under two and a half minus 105. Lorone Murphy Money Line minus 130. Aspinall-Tibera under one and a half minus 125. And then I parlayed up Machmed and Aspinall. And then I also did a mockmed, Aspinall-Tibera under three and a half, Gabriel Bonfeme for next week. Parlay. Gonna add the Panic, Kianzad. Also, the Lorone Murphy thing,

the split decision, the panty one is almost like certainly going to the cards. Ron Murphy, like there could be a finish there, so I like that even less. And then, last but not least, in a way. Nayaa, in a way.

Fighting Tuesday morning, straight line on them. I took him at minus 250 about a month ago. Excited for that one. I'll be up bright and early for it. But yeah, that happens on Tuesday, so. I love that energy. I love mix it up. Also, Tuesday is such a random day, but it should be fun.

That's what they do over there in Japan. Big boxing week next week, big boxing week. It's been fun. My bets, I'm taking a flyer on Aspenol by Kio round three at, you know, plus 2,100, and I'm taking the over one and a half plus 140 in that fight. And I've got Aspenol parol parlayed up with Mila McKin and Nathaniel Wood for plus 170. those three legs on you with Lauren Murphy taking a shot on Davy Grant uh Joel Alvarez inside the distance at minus 115 Panicanzad by decision plus 210 and uh oh yeah the parker

parkin pokes over two and a half at plus 105 and that's where and I may also cook up another part you know heavy favorites do with the over one and a half in the Vera can't Gansad and the and the Murdov and maybe add another leg in there to get juicy but that's what we're doing Love it. Love it, love it. That is UFC London. Connor, Connor, say the words to me. Next week, UFC 291. We head to Salt Lake City, Dustin Porrier versus Justin Gagee, and I know the words you want to hear. The BMF belt is on the line. I've said it once. I've said it a million time. Hundreds have held gold. But only one.

man has ever held silver, and we get that second man come next Saturday. Cannot wait for that one. Going to be electric. Blajavich Pahanna? Gonna be electric. Sick. Lost the cost of fight. All at elevation?

Going to be electric. Eric Lewis at elevation. How can you not be excited for that? Can't wait. Edwards might take a hit on the Derek Lewis, Marco St. Jericho to leave a fight. That one is going to be a, that one's going to be fantastic. I can't wait for that. He might be suffering.

Or they both gas out so hard we just get a slob knocker like Costa Rockhold last year. That has to be the hope. Also, Costa just going back to it, back to the well theoretically. That fight is also potentially up in the air. We'll see. I don't think it's potentially. I think that thing is off. Is that confirmed off?

Well, I mean, I'm not going to lie. From the moment it got announced, Costa was like, I'm not fighting that fight. I don't know why you guys keep doing this to me. I never signed this contract. I'm not fighting this guy. I obviously respect the hell out of that move. Me too. What?

Me too. And then a week and a half beforehand, they're like, oh, the fight's off. And Paolo's just like, it was never on. I don't know why you guys said it was. I'm not doing that fight. Rumors are. You're not going to Shang-hide me into this. I'm not doing it.

Rumors are, Himbers Hamers, Hamzaat and Abu Dhabi. I mean, I'd be down. That'd be pretty fun. I'm definitely not down. That's for sure. I'm definitely not, not down. That is for damn sure. Either way, next week, 291, BMF, Salt Lake City.

See you, that. Love you. To the Vox Media Podcast Network.