MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Can Umar Nurmagomedov Make A Statement Against Cory Sandhagen At UFC Abu Dhabi?

Episode Date: July 31, 2024

The UFC is back in Abu Dhabi. This Saturday, the UFC returns to the UAE with a banger of a Fight Night card, headlined by a bantamweight bout between Umar Nurmagomedov and Cory Sandhagen and the No Bets Barred boys are back with a full breakdown of the event. Co-hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew kick things off with a brief discussion of UFC 304 and both of their winning weeks before diving into UFC Abu Dhabi. Can Nurmagomedov live up to his familial name or will Sandhagen reestablish himself as the top contender at bantamweight? Can Chito Vera rebound with a win against former flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo? Is Shara Bullet actually good? All that plus some boxing talk and even a brief chat about Olympic wrestling on this week's episode. Tune in for episode 96 of No Bets Barred. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe to MMA Fighting Check out our full video catalog Like MMA Fighting on Facebook Follow on Twitter Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

When I got a great deal on a great gift at Winners, I started wondering, could I get fabulous gifts for everyone on my list? Like this designer fragrance for my daughter. At just $39.99, how could I resist? This luxurious will throw for my sister. This gold watch for my partner? A wooden puzzle for my niece? Leather gloves for my boss?

Ooh, European chocolate for the crossing guard? At these prices, could I find something for everyone at Winners? Stop wondering. Start gifting. Winners, find fabulous for less. You're listening to the Vox Media Podcast Network. When on, y'all, we are back. Another edition of No Betts Bar, this time UFC Abu Dhabi. Boy, Sanhagan, taking on Umar and Armagamette.

We were supposed to get this match up just one year ago. And now we finally get it. How we doing, Jed? This is a really damn good card this weekend, man. Especially for a fight night. Kind of, kind of slid under the radar for me, what with the 304 focus and stuff. but, you know, it's a have and have-nots card. I will say that.

The main card is all exceptional, frankly. And then the prelims, there are a couple of bright spots and then a lot of stuff that I have minimal interest in. But this main card is competitive with most of the pay-per-views this year even. So pretty good, pretty pumped about this weekend. Early start time, you know, it's going to be a good time. How did we do on UFC 304? We were a winner.

We weren't a big winner. I haven't had any big weeks this year. But knock on wood, let's keep that going because I haven't had any big losing weeks. Up a couple of units, you know, few underdogs. Cash, a little wolfpack wager coming through for us, baby. Obon, doing the thing. Gregory Rodriguez, just getting it done. Tommy Aspinall, round one or round two plus money was available.

And we took advantage of it, kid. You know, the bets I lost, not shocked, I lost them. So good weekend. How about yourself? I think, I think, Connor, you did pretty okay. Oh, mega week, mega week. Only missed the one bet. That was my Bobby Green bet.

Unfortunately, didn't cash. I'll never have a perfect week. I'll never have a perfect week. This is, I think this is the fourth or fifth time I have gone where I just have one loser. I'll just, I'll never get it, man. and it'll always elude me. The, you know, it's, it's hard. It's very, very difficult,

but it's going to make it that much sweeter when you do get there. When you cross the line and you can look back, nothing but green in the checkbook, oh, man, it's going to be beautiful. I have, I will say, I've had a couple small sweeps, like three or four bets.

I'm talking about where I really go hard. Like, this one I had nine bets, I believe. Like, that's what I mean. Like, you got to have five or more bets is, is what I would really call like a clean sweep. Maybe this week. Maybe this week, who knows? Could be this week.

I'm fairly tight this week. I have bets on basically all the main card stuff and none of the prelim. I couldn't find any prelim action that I was really pumped on. So I've got one prelim fighter in a parlay. And other than that, I'm very top-heavy this week. What's your card looking like? I'm actually really glad that you said that because I got a couple of prelim bets, but like they're just kind of fun gimmicky bets.

Yeah, the prelims aren't really doing it for me. The main card is where most of my action resides. Yeah, I mean, some of these prelim fights are decent or have some level of interest. Like the Grom Kutata Ladez, Jordan Vucinich fight, like that fight, that's a banger. I love that fight. I don't feel real confident about what's going to happen. So it's a mix of, you know, even the good fights are just too close to me to really feel a bed in. And the main card action was too tempting.

So a lot of money down in the main card stuff. And let's hope for it. Knock on wood. Let's bring your home. All right. Let's kick it off. Corey Sanagan takes on Umar and Maghamedov. I'm a big Corey Sanagan fan.

I'll just come out and say, I really love the guy. But I do have to present you just right off rip. There is a clear gimmick parlay to be had this week. Do tell. I was honestly hoping you were going to come with the same thing. If you look through the tapology page, Umarna Magamatov, Shara Magamatov,

Azamat Mirzikanov, Victoria Dutakova, which you just had the A to make it, the Feminem OVA. Yeah, so the Femnonov. But this is not an Off parlay. What is this parlay? This is the undefeated Russian parley, all Russian, all undefeated. 51 and O combined between them.

The O won't go parley. I've been calling it Project 55 Parlay because if they all win, then they're 55 and O. That's a, I think I got to do it. That's a great gimmick. That's how you brand something. I mean, listen, I didn't major in marketing in school, but I, I, I have a marketer's touch. You certainly have the heart and soul of one, and that just, I mean, that's why you're the best

in the business. Project 55, it's so good that it makes me want to get involved, despite not liking one of the legs of the parlay. I actually don't really love Merzacanov or Dutakova, and my heart kind of wants Sandhagen to win as well. This is a tough parlay for you then. But if it hits, it hits plus 369 on the Project 55 parlor. Honestly, I would really like that to be a little better.

I don't think I can do it for reasons we'll talk about as we get through these fights. But I mean, that's exceptional brand work right there. I will be riding it. I, you know, I've kind of talked to myself into a corner here. Yeah, take the shot. I will be riding it. So all those fights, I've clocked in and clocked out. There will be no technical breakdown.

they will just be a member of the Project 55 Parlay. So I'll let you do the technical breakdowns for those. Perfect. So my technical breakdown of this main event then is, I believe this is going to be by far the toughest test of Umar and Megamatov's career. Really gone on a limb there, I know. I also believe that Corey Sandhagen is by far the most difficult fight for Umar in this Bannamweight division. And I believe Umar is about to show the fuck out.

I've been incredibly high on Umar since he joined the UFC. I think that it is purely a matter of time before this man holds the belt. And as much as I respect Corey Sandhagen, and I don't feel like confident, like all the way in my chest, he's going to kill him because he got to have that respect for Corey Sandhagen, who is an elite fighter, super smart, super calculated by how he approaches this. I feel like this is this is the time. Umar's time to ascend here. And he's going to do it in the same way that Habib and Islam started to do it. You saw Habib and Islam, they went to more decisions and stuff, you know, earlier in their career, started to build that. Umar hasn't done a ton of that, but still a bit of that.

But as they elevated up the ranks, their games elevated with them. And now Islamogachev is finishing people left, right and center. Habib on his great title run was just running over people. I think Umar is about to elevate to establish himself as very clearly an undeniable contender for the Bannonweight belt and the guy that we all believe will be the new champion. So I'm taking a shot here. Umar and hermmergumetov inside the distance plus 155. I think he can compete on the feet with the hands. I would say that if this is purely kickboxing bout, certainly I'd favor Sandhagan.

But Umar can compete very well on the feet. And he's, I think he's got a pretty decisive. wrestling and grappling advantage that you can take take care of. Corey's really tough, so if this bet doesn't hit, I won't be stunned, you know, but I, this is a me backing my boy to the fullest extent of the law. Okay. I'm with you. I am going to take the over one and a half in a other parlay.

I just feel that both these guys are super high level, and I don't really see someone getting finished early. I agree. You know, I think I couldn't pull, I just couldn't pull the trigger on Umar by decision. and I would never bet Umar straight at this number. Like, it just seems it's pricey for a guy who I respect as much as Sandhagan. But the buy decision, one, it's less fun. Like, I want to live in a world of we're having fun, Connor.

And two, 25 minutes to fight him. And we're going to have this long time to fight him. So I went the other way. We'll see if it works for me. All right, to the co-made event, Sharra Bullitt, Magametteov, taking on Michael Oleg Seych. right now. Shara, your favorite and mine.

Sit at minus 238. Olegs Echak coming back at plus 195. Shera makes it to the bullet makes it into the Project 55 parlay, but also I am taking the under two and a half here, minus 175. I think it's just going to be a strikers delight. I think Olegs Satech is going to come in here.

Chuck overhands, and if he catches bullet, I think he'll fall. And if not, I think you'll fall. I think he probably gets countered. I just don't see anyone going for a take down here. I think this is going to be a banger. I think it's going to be exciting. I think someone's going to put on a show.

Oleg Sechak 11 of his last 13 ended in round one or two. And then Sharon Magamatov his entire career is only 13 fights. And 11 of those 13 fights have not gone to a decision. So fight-ins by K.O. is also a solid bet. I didn't see that anywhere. But if you get that at like minus 140 or something, that's not bad. But yeah, under two and a half minus 175. you and I were looking at the exact same things for this one as well because I

certainly have the under two and a half for all the same reasons the 11 to 13 for Alexeach in the UFC is just like this dude he's a get or get God all-star we love that for him I also decided to double up on this fight never works you should never double up on a fist fight just has done nothing but bad things for me but I'm just I'm just not sold on share a bullet like he he he's had such a strange career. You know, there was like a whole bunch of tapology nonsense about like juicing his fights up that weren't really there.

Comes in. He's won both of his fights, but he's had real moments of not looking great in him. And Miguel Elyxiechuk is, I think he's a really good litmus test for someone like this. Just a real check. Checking to see if Sharwood is real as he has been kind of promulgated to be. And Olegsechuk is real tough, like a real durable. dude. When he gets finished, he's getting submitted. So,

Sharra, that's not really his game. I do think they're going to chuck them. And I just kind of like, you know, at this price, I like a little shot on an old exchange chip plus two tens one I ended up getting them at. So, you know, taking a run around and see if I can fade the hype train, which is why

this one and the Osama Merzakanoff we'll talk about, I don't feel amazing about the Project 55, but you almost convince me to feel better about it. Does his arm getting bent like a noodle like seven weeks ago affect your opinion at all? No, he's fine.

Who cares? You know, look, he doesn't need two arms. Shara has one eye and no one's judging him. He doesn't have the depth perception. What does he need that arm for anyway? It's fine. It's a good point. All right.

Let's go to the future about the evening. Marlon Chito Vera, take it on Davison Figurato. Right now, Davidson Figurato is your favorite at minus one. 48 Chito Vera coming back at plus 124. I am on Chito Vera. I took him at plus 145.

I just think this is going to be a really close fight. I don't think either these guys are going to get finished. Don't think Figuero is just going to like bully him on the mat or anything like that. And when it comes to the striking, I like the size of Chito Vera. So yeah, man, give me a close fight. Give me the dog in

Marlon Chito Vera. Connor, hold on one second. I got to stop this. Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh. Did you, did you hear the dog's barking? All right. Let's go. Let's go.

Let's go. Obviously, I'm on Cheeto Vera. I think for all the same reasons you said, I think this is a really competitive fight, man. Davidson figurators looked amazing since moving up to Bannamway, but I am not sure that he's going to be able to look that good against Cheeto. The question with Cheeto is always going to do anything. as the man can get into some staring contest.

Longer fights tend to favor his style more. It just gives him more opportunity to land big offense. But the two things I know. I know that Dave's and Figurato is not going to hurt Jito Vera because God nor man can get this guy out of the cage. So that's a big part of Figgy's striking style is just big explosive power punches hurting his opponents. And I'm pretty confident that Jito Vera can hurt Figgi on the

back end on the other side of that. And so then the question is, can Figgi do, you know, the Cody Garbrandt thing, or maybe he scores takedowns? Cheetos is a really good defensive wrestler, sneaky good grappler. I think that there's just a lot of things that slightly advantage him. I'm not, you know, saying this is a lock or betting my life on it, but I do like Cheeto Vera to have a very good shot. I would have had him installed as the favorite.

And so I'm getting him. I did not get him at quite the price you did. I only got him at plus one, three, five. but I still like the bet. Sick. Let's make it two in a row. Let's go next. Tony Ferguson.

Michael Keyes. Right now, Michael Keezza is a small favorite. Minus 750, Tony Ferguson plus 525. I'll keep it short. I'll keep it brief. Tony Ferguson, seven straight losses. No wins in over five years. 40 years old.

Cannot bet him. Just I cannot do it. Not a lot of good reason to bet him. Michael Keaza, though. I cannot bet him at minus 750. No way. Can you bet him? What if...

I agree. You should not put Michael Kaysen in a parlay at that price. It's outrageous, even though I think it's deeply safe because Tony Ferguson is just the most washed man who's ever been washed. Michael Kesa also has not won a fight in considerable amount of time. Being said, stylistically, I think this is a massively advantageous fight for Kesa. Ferguson is just not the farty he was, certainly not the defensive. Russell. I think Keyeson just score takedowns and, you know, do the Penile Daryush thing to Tony Ferguson, if not more. I have decided that, uh, the outcome here, the good value is case inside

the distance, because that's a plus money. Case inside the distance is plus one 10. Like I said, I think he's going to have the run of play here. I think he's going to get takedowns at will. Keisa, uh, you know, not like a, uh, an, an all-time finisher, but a good finisher. a big physical dude grounded pound from the top in submissions. Tony Ferguson's durability has just fallen off. He's just not the same guy he was anymore. And I think Keiza has at least a 50-50 shot to get this fight stop. So plus 110, I went for it.

All right. Kay's inside the distance. Plus 110. Let's roll on. McKenzie Dern taking on Lupida Godinez. McKenzie Dern opened as the underdog. She has now been bet to the favorite. Okay.

McKenzie Dern minus 130. Lupita Godinez plus 1.10. Don't got to say much here. It's actually music to my ears that McKenzie Dern. Of course. Of course she did. Got bet to the favorite. The simps are out, baby.

I love it. And I will be betting Lupita Goteinez. If you listen to the program, you know that I am a, I am a McKenzie Dern Fader have been doing so since the Marina Rodriguez fight back in 2021. and it has paid well. Four and two in those bets should have been five and one. She lost the Tisha Torres fight. And I have gotten plus money in every single one of those except for one.

So yes, Lupida Godinez plus 115. That's the bet. You know, you know who I am. You know who I am. Tell me that me and Chihina Shadi are the last two human beings out here on McKinsey, Dern Island. I honestly, when I started researching this card, I text Shaheen and I was like, man, I didn't realize what week it is.

He's like, what are you talking about? I was like, it's McKinsey during Fight Week. And he's like, oh, my God, here we go again. We've been trying to get off the island. It is like lost where we just simply cannot get off the island. She brings us back in. She hooks us with a moment amount of round of back control. And one day she'll put it all together and she'll pay off.

off this belief. But not this day. I'm choosing to break the cycle of violence, Connor Birx. Hurt people, hurt people, and I will no longer be hurt by McKinsey Dern. I have taken Loopy Goutines as a plus one 15, which makes this another wolf pack wager for us.

But mostly, this is just for me. This is for me to be able to move on. This is closure. This is taking your ex's photos and putting them in a trash can and lighting them on fire. I need this. I needed this. And this will be the time that it's wrong. I guarantee you, because I'm doing this,

this is the time she'll come out and she'll throw the jab and look like a renewed fighter and get a submission finish. And I'll be, I'll be all the way stuck on the island. But I'm trying my best to cast away and sail out into the ocean of happiness. Here's an argument I'll make for you just to make you feel a bit better. I really do think she'll lost that Tiji T.C. Torres fight. She was, other than round two, she was in round with one and three, she was thoroughly outstruck and went 0 for five on takedowns. I mean, it's just like, when I watched it live, I thought Tisha Tora's won. When I look at the stats, I really like, I know it's, it's not a cumulative stats thing, but even if you go round by round, it's like, how do McGee

there and get the scorecard? I'm not really sure about the one. On top of that, no submissions since April 10th, 2021. Like, I know that is the biggest fear. That is the biggest threat. No submissions since April of 2021. And she has had six fights since then. So we're running dry. I'm just saying, if she comes out here and has been working on a blast double and can

suddenly, like, take people down, it's curtains for the rest of the division. And this is the time it'll probably happen. The time that I try to give up on her, it's probably when she is going to row. me fully back in. But Loopi's a good defensive wrestler. And, you know, a better striker. McKinsey Dern will throw, but isn't very good. So if this makes you feel any better,

loopie, 84% take down defense, McKenzie Dern 15% take down accuracy. I'm honestly surprised her take down accuracy is that high. I also, she's a terrible wrestler. I feel like Loopie's all right with going to the ground with her. I think that would be a tremendous mistake. mistake. I'm going to disagree. I'm going to say that she she'll be all right on the ground with

McKenzie Dern. That's my hot time. Bobby Green thought he was going to be hard on the ground on the ground, but I don't think you should do that. I think you should keep striking with her, Lupy. Yan Jan Janan? Fine on the ground with her. Did she tell her? Fine on the ground with her. I mean, Yanjured had survived on the ground with her. Yen Jinnon almost got finished on the ground with her as well. Almost don't count nothing in fighting. You got to finish her. I mean, Isha Tura is fine on the ground with her, three sub-attempts.

These are, the surviving and being fine is just not the same thing. Won the fight? Jan Jan Jan, won the fight? Yeah. I'm just saying. Try to lose the fight.

I don't think Ruby should be comfortable. I don't think Ruby should be comfortable. I don't think Ruby should do this. I think Gui should be one and five in her last six. Everyone loves her so much. She should be one and five in her last six. I'm just, again,

you're selling as if I have bet her. I've bet loopie. I'm just going to say, I hope people keep it. Let's give McKenzie Dern to minus 200 so I can bet Lupe to Godinez again. When this fight opened up and I saw Lupea as the favorite,

I was like, damn. I hope people bet McKinsey Dern. And sure enough, they've bet McKinsey. I'm a bit surprised given what keeps happening that that occurred, but... I'm not surprised at all. You know? This is the time.

This is the time we're going to get burnt. Well, I have been born. burnt before. But I mean, even if I lost, I would still be four and three taking all underdog plays except for one. So I will be all right. Joel Alvarez, Elvis Brenner, finish off the main card, kick off the main card on Saturday. Yeah, the Spanish Andrew Schultz, that's what Joel Alvarez looks like to me. And right now, he is the favorite. Minus 185, Elvis Brenner, coming back at plus 154. Yeah, this should be an exciting fight, man. I mean, I mean, Joel Alvarez is always massive for the division.

Elz Brenner is just like the dog, dog, dog. Joel Alvarez never won by a decision. 20 fights all win by finish. Brenner, I mean, 14 of a 16 wins come by finish. I feel like it has fireworks. I haven't bet it yet, but the minus 145 for the under is, it's tempting to me. I mean, both these dudes are finishers.

Now, Els Brunner doesn't get finished. So I don't know. But the under two and a half is what I've looked at. I bet on Joel Averas. I'm just a big Joel Averas fan. I think that he's always the guy I use as an explanation of why I think lightweight is the best weight class in the world. Because I think, I mean, this dude's like a top 25, top 30 style lightweight. And I think on any given night, he could give anybody in the world just hell on wheels. Like he is, his grappling is so fun. He's so enormous for the weight class. like got a lot of sneaky little tricks in the striking.

He's got some flaws, and those flaws ultimately make it hard for him to just, like, put together eight, nine fight win streaks and a weight class like lightweight, but in any given fight, I think he's very competitive. Ells Brenner is, like you said, just a dog, he's a scrapper, but I do think he's behind in the talent gap here. And it won't shock me, frankly,

if Elves just cashed another underdog ticket, been doing a lot of that. But I like Joel Averis, and I want to keep back in my boy, so I'm on him. Love it. Let's go to the prelims. Alonzo Minifield taking on Osamot, Mirzacanov right now. Merzacana, the sizable favor, minus 205.

Menafield coming back at plus 150. Yeah, Osmop, part of the Project 55 Parlay. That's why I will be riding him. I spent a lot of time trying to figure out if I could make a bet on this particular fight. Because I think Merzikanov is going to win. but for some reason I can't pull the trigger. I just, Alonso Mendefield is like the previous generation,

Osama Herzegov, like just a big stocky powerhouse of a dude who can, like, has pretty decent wins and has only lost a really good competition. And I just, I don't know, I think, I'm going to assume Merzicado wins. I couldn't get there on a bet, though. And this was kind of, like I said,

this was the dividing line where I was like, unless I have a real reason, I'm not going to force any action on this undercard stuff. I'm just going to enjoy this one because I do think we can have some fun with this fight. Sounds good to me, man. Let's roll on. The hometown boy getting after it, Mohamed Yahya versus Kyle Fernandez. And right now, unfortunately, for the, what is it, Abu Dhabians? Sure.

Unfortunately for the Abu Dhabians, Mohamed Yaya, is a massive underdog plus 300, Kyle Fernandez, minus 380. I think Kyle Fernandez is going to win this fight. I don't think I'm really going out on a limb here saying that, but at the same time, I don't really want to put them in any parlays at minus 380. Yeah, absolutely 0% chance I'd be playing.

I almost just took a stab at Yaya, just on principle of hometown boy, big moment, And just Fernandez shouldn't be this big of favorite, frankly. Right. But then it's some crooked judging if we make it to the scorecards. I get any sort of things happening here. But then I was like, I just don't really, that would be a bet that when I lose, I would feel real stupid about making.

So I just opted not to make the bet. Sounds good. Sounds good. And you know what? UAE, yeah, fighting out of, he is, he's fighting out of Dubai. So I guess he isn't an Abu Dhabi hometown kid. So that's my mistake. But he still is a UAE.

He's going to be reppping the UAE flag on on Saturday. Let's roll on to Shamil. Gadsieff versus Dantel Mays. You want a barn burner? Here it is. Gadsieff right now, your favorite minus 230. Mays coming back at plus 190. Just this has got stinker written all over it, man.

I mean, just two big guys just gassing out in the desert. I know what you're talking about. I played Shamil in his. UFC debut, he got the finish, did not play him against Rosenstrike, just watched as a fan. The man had nothing. The man had absolutely nothing. The stats are absolutely ridiculous on that one. Shemil Yatsi have landed 22 significant strikes to Rosenstrikes, 127.

Is that good? I mean, you can like, if you just look at his statistics, you just see him actively gas out. Like it goes, eight strikes round one, seven strikes round two, five strikes round three, two strikes round four. It was tough, there was tough scenes out there for the man, you know. This is a, this is a, I'm going to just chill. I'm just chill. I don't, I don't, I'm not betting Don't tell me as I'm not doing that. I'm sorry.

I strongly considered bringing back the old heavyweight overs for this, this fella, and I think it's not that hard to kind of piece together why I might be interested in that. Dantel Maze is like a king of heavyweight overs, frankly, but I don't know. Similarly, I was just like, I don't want to do this. I don't want my happiness on Saturday tied to anything involving Shumbyo Gazeva at Dantel Maze. So I, again, just opted not to be involved. There it is. There it is. Let's roll on. My boy, Garam Kutaladez taking on Jordan. Vichunik, who was making his UFC debut. Cage Warriors champion, I believe. Was no longer.

Was. Right now, Garam minus 205. He lost the rematch with Paul Hughes. Ah, yes, yes, yes. Vucanik plus 170. Again, not much of a breakdown here. My guy, Georgian, bald, beard, bro. Garam. I get too many comparisons for this guy Garam to not bet him. I'll be backing him. I mean,

I think that makes all the sense in the absolute world, which is why I'm also on him. However, instead of on him straight, I realized that I previously told somewhat of a lie.

I am on Joel Alvarez, but because of the time I would get him, the price was a little higher, I just parlayed him with Guram. Oh, let's go. So it's just a pretty straightforward

parlay of those two dudes. guys I like and or support for various reasons. And yeah, you know, just a little lightweight parlay action. Love it. Love it. Shout out to my brother. Catcher pori on me. If Karam wins on Saturday.

Let's keep rolling. Victoria Dutakova taking on Sam Page, Sam Hughes. She is the favorite sitting at minus 175, Dutukova. That is Sam Page coming back at plus 145. and this is the last leg plus 369 on the project 55 parlay shout out shout out don't love this leg you don't love this leg i think this leg's fine for you um i i strongly considered uh putting dutukov in the parley with alvarez and kataladez um i just decided i didn't need to was already getting enough value anyway i think she's gonna win i'm just deeply

impressed by Sam Hughes. And, you know, call me a sucker, but never having lost before, there's something to that, you know, you have a winning mentality. Never lost as an amateur. I don't think Dutucova is going to be a champion or anything like that. But also, she's still real young. She's like 26 or something, right? So I think she can kind of just get the run of play in this fight in general. I ultimately bailed because I'm a coward functionally, but I, uh, I just, you know,

do think she'll get the win. So I think this is not a terrible line for the Project 55. I do not think staying away from a Victoria Dutakova who has less than 10 professional fights and a Sam, Sam Page Hughes fight is cowardly. Well, you know, uh, some call it genius. I call it cowardice. That's annoying. What? You're a muffler. You don't hear it. Oh, I don't even notice it. I usually drown it out with the radio. How's this? Oh, yeah. Way better. Save on insurance. by switching to Bel Air Direct and use the money to fix your car. Bel Air Direct, insurance, simplified. Conditions apply.

Jai Herbert, taking on Rolando Badoia. Jai Herbert, it's sort of on a weird run right now, one two and one in his last four, the foul against Ludovic Klein. But he is your favorite, minus 155. Bidoya plus 130. He's 0 and 2 so far in the UFC. First and foremost, Black Country Banger is a, that's a great nickname.

That's a champion. level nickname. That is some good stuff right there. He's a decent kickboxer, but I don't have a bet on this fight, but here's what I'm going to say, here's my pick. I'm going to say Bedoya gets it done as a dog. Very young. He's only 27. Chai Herbert, 36. Back against the wall. I mean, you know, who knows where his career goes if he goes 0 in the UFC. So Rolando Bedoya is the pick for me. No bet, bet though i like that i like that choice i uh honestly the first thing i thought when i saw this is like why is this fight happening here why was this not in manchester um like is does ralano badoia have deep ties to to abdabi that i i don't know about ruda abdabas is a quick direct

they're just so close to each other geographically um so yeah i i don't really know what's happening here this sort of feels like they're just burying jai herbert like We're done with him. He had a run, et cetera, et cetera. And I like Bdoja's chances just sort of as the more ascending fighter, but I could not in any way place a bet on this. I have zero confidence in my choice. All right.

We roll on to S.D. Dumas taking on Dennis Tillulin. Right now, S.D. Dumas is your favorite. Cedric Dumas minus 218. Dennis Tilulun coming back at plus 180. Pick of the litter here. Jed, do you want to go with the almost 500 fighter in Dennis DeLulun, 11 and 9, who has been finished in all four of his UFC losses, 1 and 5 throughout his U.S. career? Or do you want to go with Cedric Dumas at minus 225 who has looked decent at best in his 2-2 UFC career? I mean, I in general would support Sajid Dumaas, but I would not support him with money.

just with thinking he's going to win. I briefly kind of flirted around with an underbet here, just because Talluland in general, you know, get some fights finished. But again, just didn't need that energy in my life, Connor. I'm good with that one. Gun to my head, I'll pick Dumas, but I don't have a gun to my head, and I don't have to make a bet. That's good.

That's good. So that's UFC Abu Dhabi. not like not crazy action i am uh i am on garam i'm on chito i'm on lupi i'm on magamed and olick saichek magamatov and olexeychek under two and a half i got the project 55 parley dutukova merzikanov bullet nirmagamatov plus 369 and then a little prop parley vera figgie over one and a half sandman umar over one and a half and then one last leg that i'll get to after uh after you run down near Oh, because I was about to ask you because there's, you know, something else, something else happening this weekend that's pretty decent.

In Los Angeles, California, one pound for pound ranked Terrence Bud at Crawford making his 154 pound debut. Yeah, we can get into that. My bets are pretty simple. Umar inside the distance, Kaysen side the distance. Oleg Seych as an underdog. You and me both on the Vera and Godinez as Wolfpack Wager underdog pets. Oleg Seidic Magamatov under two and a half,

and then a parley of Alvarez and putata Ladez, which again, a plus money wager. A lot of plus money action this week for me. So if I go 50-50, I'll come out ahead, which is nice. Depending on, you know, how this next event that we may have to talk about goes as well. Yeah, I mean, first and foremost, I just have to say this is a, it's a fantastic boxing card. I mean, you got Jared Anderson taking on, Martin McColley,

way down the card. You got Andy Cruz, who from Cuba, you know, just getting going in his career, only four professional fights so far, is taking on just an absolute vet in Antonio Moran, 36 and 1 in his fight. But Andy Cruz, dude, gold medal at Tokyo, gold medal at the world amateur championships in 2017, 2019, 2021, Pan American Games, gold medal, 2015, 2019, Pan American Championships, 2017, Gold Medal, And then he was the four-time Cuban national champion. So just go back and just any time he has competed, he has won a gold medal four in his young professional career. But he's going to be fun to watch.

I mean, we got Andy Ruiz Jr. taking on Jarrell Miller on the card. You got Isaac Cruz, Jose Valenzuela in the co-man. And then obviously Terrence Bud Crawford taking on Israel Madrimov in his 154-pound debut. Any bets for you on this? one. So, I mean, I'm obviously back on my boy, Bud, and I really like Andy Cruz just because, you know, that sort of speaks to me. Here's a very talented Cuban boxer who has done nothing but when. I think if you just bet him forever, you'll probably come out ahead.

The problem is, what is he this week? I haven't, I haven't even looked. He's got to go to minus $4,000. He's got to be. He's got to be okay. D.K.'s got him at minus two right now. So it's a Okay. It's a sizable number, but you put him with Bud, his minus 700, and then I threw in a little Andy Ruiz action in there as well, just a little three-way boxing parlay. A few guys that I like the chances, get some things done.

Sure, I'm going to Miller's fun, but I think Andy Ruiz is a superior boxer of the two, and gets it down to minus 185, a serviceable number. I'm also, frankly, just straight up, I was waiting to get here, to see what you've got on old bud, because I suspect that you've got some prop action. And I'm, I'm interested. I'm interested in expanding my Bud Crawford betting portfolio if you've got more,

more money down on in places. So I actually haven't bet any props yet. I used him as a as a parlay piece in that, in that Verifigy over one and a half, Sandman, Umar over one and a half. And then Terence Crawford, that pays minus 160. Uh, so here's the tricky part is like, I think he, I mean, he obviously is, is more skilled than Madrabov. The question is, is the going up in wait going to affect him at all in being able to get a finish?

I still feel like he gets it done. I mean, just the last time we saw him out, he looked like a damn near perfect boxer giving Earl Spence his first loss. The business. Just giving him the business. I mean, 145, minus 145 for inside the distance for Terrence Crawford. You could convince me of that The over under, you know, set at 10.5 round So, you know, that does tend to favor a finish happening here.

I don't know. I don't know. I need you to sell me more confidently than you're selling it. I can't. I can't because I don't even have a bet down. I don't even have a bet down. I kind of like Isaac Cruz as a parlay piece. Jared Anderson came on the show, so I might just bet him.

He's minus 195, so that's playable. The real big baby as he goes by with Big Baby on the card. I wish that was the fight we were getting. Durel Miller versus Jared Anderson, Big Baby versus the real big baby. That would be fantastic. Our McColley's nothing to scoff at. I'm going to have to solidify my boxing backs throughout the week. I know I'm kind of useless here, but, you know,

Theran Scofford, massive favorite, feel very good about him getting the job. done whether it's by decision or by k-l i'm not i'm not sure yet um i think i'll just stick with my little boxing parlay as well though i i guess i hadn't considered this i could throw a little that's a bit bold could throw a little kyle dake action into this parley just really really get that number moving places for me um i have a have a couple of a couple of olympic bets down as well which I am pretty excited about the Olympic wrestling going on. So, you know, it's a great time to be betting on sports. There's just absolutely no shortage of wagers you can place on things you may not know anything about.

So I'm actually in a bit of a bind right here, okay? I did like this massive parlay on the weekend, yeah? Just did like eight legs across all these different sports and in the Olympics. Paid out like plus, I don't know, four or five. 500. Place that a sizable wager on it. Seven, seven legs down, seven legs green. I have been waiting since Saturday. The match was supposed to happen on Saturday. I'm still waiting for the two Czech women's and women's doubles, Sienikova and Kretshikova, the Kreschikova won Wimbledon. Sienikova is like one of the greatest women's doubles player of all time.

they won the goal at at Tokyo yeah I'm just I'm just sitting waiting for them to play it just says upcoming I like I don't know if they're going to play today like uh Kretchenkova already played in singles I don't know I don't know so I mean the Olympics are are giving me a bit of a headache because I'm just I'm just sitting on that open parlay just waiting for it to finish you know it'll happen you just you have to let it come to you the worst is that they're going to lose they're like minus 600 and they're going to lose I mean that would be really really really, really brutal if that's the case. But I don't think, just don't even put that energy out into the world.

I think you're going to be fine. For the sake of it, since this is also combat sports related, and I would not say that these are exceptional bets on my part, but they are fun bets. An American, I want to support a couple of dudes getting it done the freestyle wrestling, which I have at least a little bit more of an understanding on. I took Aaron Brooks, who's our 86 kilogram contender. He's the guy who beat David Taylor. It's like a three-time Natty champion, Hodger, like just an unbelievable wrestler.

Still young, kind of this is one of his first big events on the global stage. He's Donnie's the favorite, but I want to support my boys. Go, you know, support the red wine blue. Kyle Snyder, he lost a, I have no idea how much you follow. collegiate and or free-sile international wrestling and all-connor. Almost not at all. Kyle Snyder was the next big thing for us for a long time. I assume you've even heard of his name as he won the gold medal last time around.

And not last time around before. Just an unbelievable collegiate wrestler. He lost to the current favorite Ahmed Tazedinov, like last fall or whatever. but the big issue is Abdul Rashid Sadjaliyev, who's Kyle Snyder's sort of foil, not competing as a Russian athlete, sort of barred from the game. So Tazudanov is a Russian dude,

but he's wrestling for Bahrain. Yeah, he ten-oed Kyle Snyder last time they met. But I'm hoping that Kyle Snyder kind of puts a little something better together for that. This time around, Kyle Dake is minus 700, so there's nothing even, like, exciting. frankly about using Kyle Dake.

I hope he does. I hope he converts on that because he, you know, really screwed the pooch his last Olympics and was like devastated about it. The other one I took a shot on

plus 110, Spencer Lee, he's our 57 kilogram guy. He's a multiple time U.S. champion, three-time NCAA champion. Just another one of those. those dudes coming for us and he's one of the favorites to win the 57 kilograms.

So yeah, that's three wrestlers down just to see if any of them can snipe it and I'll have some fun watching that. Great breakdown, man. That was a great breakdown. And yeah, it should be a good weekend. I've been tuning into the Olympics all throughout. It's the best, man. Yeah, it's been a good time.

It's been a good time. Just throwing NBC, throwing peacock, do whatever. Great card this weekend in the UFC. Great card in boxing. We should be thoroughly entertained. I mean, it should just take us right into the boxing because it is a daytime card. If you are in the States,

if you are on the East Coast, 12 o'clock kick. Sign me up for that every day of the week. I mean, and then, once it's all done, the road to the next big event begins. When Bud is done cashing all of our tickets, then it's road to UFC Apex 95? Is it 95?

95. Who? The apexiest apex card I've ever seen, Connor. It is horrible. I'm done meeting around the bush. It is terrible. Do we have an official date for Apex 100? That's a great question.

I think they're getting out on the road here soon. This is 95. What about UFC fight night? All right. So 96 will be on August 24. Correct. 97-98 October, unless there's something. Oh, yeah, 97-98 will be October.

Got a back-to-back apex weekends in October. I'd say 99. Looks like 100's going to be probably in December or November, maybe, maybe a December card depending on how it all breaks down. Yeah, because they usually give us two apex in November. Yeah, because there's usually the big immense. G show and then a couple of, yeah, so that'd probably get us to 99 and then finish the year out with a bang. Then a big one hundo to close the year out. They know what they're doing. They're professionals.

They know there's got to be a big event for UFC Apex 100. Everybody's been saying McGregor fighting in December. I don't think they're talking about UFC, what will that even be? UFC 312? Oh, no, 310, right? Because 308's October, so 309's the They're saying McGregor UFC 310 Nah man I'm thinking McGregor

UFC Apex 100 Oh my God What an event Nailed it Nailed it Although maybe they have to Pump the brakes on the Apex card shows Now that they're like remodeling it

You know they're doing the expansion So maybe October's last couple We'll have to undergo some Building permits and stuff Yeah maybe the expansion is Maybe they reveal the expansion For UFC Apex 100

Oh, see, because then, yeah, and then it's just we recycle. Now it's UFC second apex one. Now it's renovated apex one. And then the countdown begins again. We just keep climbing. I love it. All right, that's it. UFC Abu Dhabi, re-ad season boxing card out in L.A.

It's going to be a great weekend ahead. Enjoy the Olympics. Enjoy the summer. Enjoy the weather. Until next week. That's all I got for. for you. Love y'all.