MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Does Israel Adesanya Still Have The Style To Beat Joe Pyfer At UFC Seattle?

Episode Date: March 26, 2026

UFC Seattle takes place this Saturday in The Emerald City, headlined by a middleweight matchup between Israel Adesanya and Joe Pyfer, and No Bets Barred is here to break it all down. This week, host Jed Meshew is joined by Billy Ward of The Action Network to dive into all things UFC Seattle. Topics discussed include how confident Jed and Billy are about where Adesanya is at this stage of his career, whether Maycee Barber can get revenge against Alexa Grasso in the co-main event, Michael Chiesa's retirement fight against Niko Price, a few hot shot prospects and entertaining matchups on the prelims, Jed's favorite bet of 2026, the Climb, and more. Tune in for episode 152 of No Bets Barred. Follow Jed Meshew: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@JedKMeshew⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Follow Billy Ward: @PsychoWard586 ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe to MMA Fighting⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Check out our full video catalog⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Like MMA Fighting on Facebook⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Follow on Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Read More: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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That's O-D-O-O-O-O-COM. To the Vox Media Podcast Network. This is Jed Meshu and we are no best. It's barred. Got a, I guess a decent one. I'm not really sure what to make of this card. I thought it was bad. And then as I dove into the research this week,

it's better than I thought. There's some highlights, some weird matchups. You know, honestly, it feels like a very Seattle card in that way. It's a little bit weird. You know who's not weird? I mean, maybe he is, but I don't want to call my guest names to start the show out. But the man joining us to talk about UFC Seattle, you know him quite well at this point from the action network, Billy Ward. Bill, how's it going? Are you weird?

A little bit. I mean, we're all weird in our own way, right? The more you know someone, the we're more. The we're in their own way. The we're weirder they are. I agree with you on the card. I think it's pretty easily explainable if you scroll down to the bottom of the tapology with all the canceled and fizzled bouts. You go, oh, that's what happened. Because this is not what this card was supposed to be pretty much outside of the main event. This is just all like rebooking. So one we're going to talk about later that neither of the original fighters are there. And they about functionally on the card. I love, we've got, we've really had some, some journeys for some of these.

A couple of fights just not at all on the car. It's, it's a strange one. And, uh, you know what? The main event's strange too. But I guess before that, a brief, very brief recap, uh, for me from UFC, London. It was a quick show last week, but, you know, a marginally successful show last week. We went three and two overall on bets for a very, very, very small profit. We missed a couple of random takes out there.

We expertly avoided the Panther Parlay and cashed, frankly, on Danny Silves and underdog, which was why we avoided the Panther Parlay. So we were basically at even last week. we are not quite a unit up in 2026, but most importantly, Billy. Version 13 of the climb well on its way, two steps down as our boy from PFL, AJ McKee gets her done. And I've got a climb that I feel pretty good. I haven't put anything in this week.

So none of my bets are live. But I have a climb I feel very good about. And Billy, as a preamble, I have, I think the bet I'm the most. excited about in years on this card. I am I'm not saying that it is a good bet, but it is the bet I am the most excited to place in a long, long time. So we will get to that. How did you do it London, Billy?

Yeah, rough week for me. I was profitable for the year. Only bet I cashed was Mason Jones, everything else. I had a lot that were like, I was conceptually right, but bet the wrong specific thing. Try to get too cute. Never a good thing. I just can't string back-to-back good week. together this year, I don't know what it is. I can get one really good one and then the downfall.

The upside of that for you guys and the listeners, I'm due for the up week this week. So, where it works. Oh, that is. I mean, always be doing. I'm trading wins and losses. Yeah. I, that was me all last year, except for my losses were really bad and my wins were like marginal. So this year, we've done a little bit better. We had one really bad week, which brought us back to Earth. But, you know, we're positive. And that's, that's what's important. And again, my favorite bet of the year is on this card. I can't wait to talk about it, but we won't get there just yet because we are going to dive into UFC Seattle. And the main event, a middleweight contest.

Former two-time champion, Israel Adesania takes on Joe Pfeiffer, be Joe Pfeiffer, the contender series standout from Howard 2022, whatever year that was. Adasagna, on a bit of a down streak right now. one and four over his last five. Three consecutive losses for the 36-year-old, though he's 36 going on a million because he has almost 200 professional fights overall in his career. Last scene in February of last year, so over a year in Riyadh, when he got knocked out by Nasir Deneimov.

Pfe, on the other hand, six and one in the UFC. He's on a three-fight win streak since that loss to Jackermanson coming off a submission. mission win over Abis Magamatov in October Pfeiffer. Very small underdog plus 115. Adasanya, a slight favorite at minus 145. I do just want to point out from a trends perspective, Billy. This is the first time in his UFC run that Joe Piper has been an underdog. So don't really know of Vegas knows how to book him as an underdog.

He's obviously been quite profitable overall as a favorite. Not the case this weekend. How do you feel about the odds on this main event and this matchup in general? Yeah, I'm really struggling with this one because Israel-A-Sahnya is much more skilled, even at this point in this career. And by all rights should win, but just the way he's looked lately. And the biggest issue is I just don't know if he cares. You know, I bet Sean Strickland against him because the dude got a DUI like a week before he was supposed to fly to America to fight Strickland. And, yeah, it's probably not a great sign about how much his heart is in it.

I don't know if that's changed here. So I think the smartest thing here is to wait and try to get a live bet in on Adasanya, not because I think he's necessarily got better cardio, although he probably should. But just so we can gather some information and see if he looks sharp, see if the reflexes are there the way that used to be. And I do expect the longer this fight goes, the better it will be for Izzy. You know, Pfeer, he has one five-round fight in his career, and I believe he won the first two rounds and then lost three, four, five.

whereas Adasanya has pretty much exclusively fought five-round fights, you know, had late knockouts that have gone his way, and just has a style where you're not going to tire out that hard. He's not over-swinging on punches. He's not wrestling too much. You can do that kind of indefinitely, where if you want to be Joe Pfeiffer, kind of have to settle out for early finishes and stuff.

So midway through the second round, end of the second round somewhere in there, if we can get the same price on Izzy, that's probably going to be my entrance point. If you had to bet this one before the fight, you're not watching it live. is he in rounds four or five or by decision is plus money over at fanduel i think that would be my favorite pre-fight bet but i would rather just wait to see what version of adasania we have

before i risk any hard-term dollars on it that's an interesting one um i have a bet on this and i'm on izzie and i feel i feel very good about my read on this fight um this seems very straightforward to me. Now that doesn't mean the outcome is straightforward, but I know the dynamics of this fight. Israel-A-Dissania is a skill for skill substantially better fighter than Joe Pfefer. I have no doubt about that. The questions for me, less really his motivation, because I think that he thinks he's motivated, it is purely a physical wellness at this stage of his career, right like he has been knocked out a bunch in his last several fights his chin is not what it was his reflexes have slowed a little bit i mean the punch imov got him with you could say he got eye poked immediately before that and that's true but like imov probably doesn't land to that punch on the izzie of three years ago he's a little slower his defense always did involve a little bit more uh quick reactions and so as that slows that makes him more hitable which in turn Makes you get knocked out more.

That being said, I don't think much of Joe Pfefer is a fighter, just quite honestly. I think that he has some athletic gifts and is not like a bad fighter, but I haven't seen a great amount of development in his game. So, I mean, a little bit in his last round out over Abis, like a little bit more measured approach. But on the feet, he really is just, I got a big right hand and I'm going to swing at a bunch and hopefully I knock you out with it. and if I can't, you know, against Kelvin, he hurt him so much that it was fine, but like, there's just not a depth to offense. So unless he catches Izzy because Izzy slowed down and gets got, I have a high level of confidence in Israel, Adisanya, to sort of do the Izzy thing and just kind of dictate range

and pull ahead like he did for many of his title fights and stay ahead. And so, like, I think you're getting decent value at minus 145 on Izzy. but like if Joe Piper just pops him once and Izzy dies, I'll be like, okay, yeah, that's always in play. But this does feel mostly like a puncher's chance. And again, an early puncher's chance to your point. Because I think as this fight goes longer, this, you know, some of the pop drops off of Piper shots.

And then, you know, like, he just doesn't have a deep bag of tricks to go to. He's got like three of them. And Izzy, I think, should be able to navigate those. unless he gets a little too cocky and gets got. So I'm on his daughter, Sonia. I won't be stunned if I lose. I mean,

he's lost three in a row. You know, you can't be shocked if he loses. But I don't, I do not anticipate being surprised on this fight one way or the other. Either Piper gets him or Izzy wins. If Piper just comes out and like,

pillar to post out boxes, Izzy, then I will be surprised. And I will reevaluate how I feel about Joe Piper. But for now, I'm not sold, just not sold on it, Billy. Yeah, I'm with you. I should add, as the last mention,

if you don't want to wait until the fourth round, you can SGP it and do Izzy and over, you know, any number of minutes or rounds you want to try to play with your risk tolerance there. So even if you did, like, think about one and a half or two rounds is where it gets to even money. So it doesn't have to be the four or five decision.

Any kind of Izzy and over, I think, accomplishes that same goal of getting slightly better odds and we don't think he's just going to start Piper in the first round anyway. It's very unlikely that that happens. I was looking at the over was a consider, the over one and a half was a consideration for the climb, except for like,

Izzy might just get popped in the first six minutes, you know? So I was like, I don't want to do that. And there's just a better one out there. So let's move on to the co-main event, Billy. A women's flyweight contest as former champion, Alexa Grasso looks to try and find her way back to a win against Macy Barber. Barber, your betting favorite

at minus 190 Grasso plus 150, a touch surprising given that this is a rematch of a 2021 fight that Grasso won by decision. Competitive fight, but still, usually when you have won the first fight

and, you know, then went to be a champion, you're not often the underdog in the rematch, but she has been on a bit of a bad run. Two fights kid for Grosso. on her last two, a unanimous decision lost to Natalia Silva at 315 back in May. Barber, seven-fight winning streak. The last time she lost was Grasso.

She's put together seven since then picked up a unanimous decision over Karini Silva at 323 in December. There are like five fighters on this card who fought at 323 in December, including later on there's a back-to-back pairing of guy who fought at 323 versus guy who fought at 323. Vancouver. So like Mick Maynard and Sean Shelby were just not trying. They were not being particularly creative individuals for this one. But that's where we have it. Billy, how do you see the co-meat event going? Were you surprised that Barbara is not just a favorite, but like almost a two to one favorite over a woman who beat her when they fought five years ago? Not really only because she opened closer to minus 140 and it's just been public action coming in on Barber. But that makes sense to me. So there's two things that stand out about that. The trend of

previous winner winning the rematch is about equally as strong as the trend of the younger fighter doing better in the rematch, and Barbara is five years younger. Everyone go read Fight-Nomics by Reed Coon, if you can still get a copy of it. That's where I've pulled both those stats from. And the other thing is that was the first fight back for Barber from her torn ACL that she suffered in that Roxy Motifery fight. And I'm kind of always betting against fighters in that first fight back from an injury and then waiting until they've got a full healthy camp and all that to get back on them. So when you factor that in and how close the fight was despite those things and, you know, Macy being extremely young at the time, I think this makes sense. She's just a bad matchup for Grosso.

Like, Grasso can be taken down and controlled. Macy's going to do that. And Grasso doesn't really have enough power where she can win a whole round with a couple exchanges on the feet. So if you're spending most of the round on your back and the moments you spend on your feet aren't that impactful, it's a tough path. I actually already bet Macy. I think I got her at minus 170 and the line has continued to move. At this point,

you know, now we're getting up to minus 180 and beyond. Another spot I think you could do an SGP with Macy over some number of minutes just to cut a little bit of juice. Highly doubt she just starches her and, you know, rolls over her right away so that feels like a pretty safe way

to get a better price. Or just let it ride on the favorite. Last little thing here, Macy won her last fight despite being blatantly cheated against at whatever that last pay-per-view was in December. 323? 23.

Yeah, you just said it. And that always helps for me. It's like, okay, you can win. You can fight through all that and still win pretty convincingly. So I think she's on the come-up. She seems to be able to make it to the cage now. She's through whatever health issues outside of the ACL, kept her out of there.

And I'm back on the Macy Hype train until she fights a top three or four opponent, I believe. I mean, is Grasso not a top three or four opponent? She shouldn't be. I mean, maybe she is. She's a former champion. She is number three in the UFC's rankings. The topologies has five. The women above her are the two women who have defeated her and Menon Fjord.

I was thinking those two, Fioro Blanchfield is kind of fair. I mean, you're never going to find me being upset about Aaron Blanchfield being highly ranked. Um, I have not put in a wager on Macy Barber. I'm just kind of debating if the, at this point, I'm okay with the price. Um, I will say from a betting trends perspective, Vegas has her pretty well dialed. She's eight and one is a favorite. So, uh, when she comes in with a minus in front of her, the one being obvious to the Roxanne Montefarry, which was an enormous upset at the time.

And she was, you know, 20 years old or whatever the hell she was. And tore her ACL in the middle of the fight, we should say. Yeah. Um, um. That's probably the most salient detail of the note. You know, maybe. Many of these, it could be any reason. You never know.

Grasso just looked so bad lately, which is like, and you can make the argument that she's looked back because she fought Valentina Shepchenko, in my estimation, the greatest female fighter of all time, who she also fought twice before. And, like, it's just going to be really hard to look great against the goat three times, you know? and then Natalia Silva, who's the no doubt about it, number one contender in the weight class right now. So you can make the argument,

but I do think stylistically, Grosler doesn't have enough juice to back Barbara off her, and Barbara can just kind of pressure her and should win this fight. I'll probably still will bet her as long as she doesn't get over two to one, but I liked it. The opening odds I like a lot better

of like minus 150 that just feels more correct to me. But, Billy, this is the one we targeted. We looked at it and we said, you know what? We need to climb this week. The over two and a half on this week is only minus 525. Well, I don't love over two and a half for the climb because you just have a long time to sweat it out. I don't feel like I'm going to be sweating too heavy on this one. Eight of Barber's last 10, she has gone over the two and a half.

Nine of Grasso's last 10 have gone over the two and a half. half mark. Neither of these women are huge finishers. If a finish comes, I strongly anticipate it would be barber. But Grasso is quite durable. I think this is the overwhelming likelihood is that this goes to the final

scorecards. So the climb this week, Billy, unless you talk me out of it, is going to be the over two and a half from minus 525 for step three. The only reason I would talk you out of that is because I'm saying minus 475. But for listeners at home, it's hard to move the climb bank roll around

to different books. You kind of have to commit. Yeah, I am running it off one book and that's the price at the book I have. So that would be my only pushback. My personal pushback is every time I've tried to do a not money line that has tanked by various climbs, as have some money lines as well. Oh, man, money lines are the ones that tank my climbs. Almost every, because like last week, there were a couple where I was like, the one everybody told me was like, take the over three and a half in the main event.

And I was like, I'm terrified of it. Because what if Mopsar comes out and is like, I'm going to kickbox? And then he gets jawed and I lose. And of course, he did come out and say, I'm going to kick box. And it wasn't close to not hitting me over the three. It was the, like, I could have easily done that on top of the A.J. McKee on Friday. And just didn't, couldn't pull it off. And so there we are.

You know, I, the overs don't kill me. It's always the straight action. And I feel pretty good about this over. So I'm taking this over. No, Max Total Science is just, that's a, that's a hang up I have for myself that I'm on. Hey, we all have our own blockers, you know? That's how it works. The Jamal Hill, Khalil Roundtree, I took, just doesn't go to a decision, not even for it.

Just someone get a finish. That was just a brutal one, too. So. Speaking of a brutal one, we have a feature bout in Seattle. It is Michael Keese taking on Nico Price. And I want to be clear about this, Billy. going to take Keisa from my combat, but the number moved.

When I looked at it at the start of this week, he was in play. He is no longer in play. Mine is $6.50 against Nico Price. The comeback on price plus $4.75 in their welterweight fight. This is Keeser's retirement bout in

Seattle. You know, they're giving him the walkover match that they did with Robbie Loller. Keesa quietly on a three-fight win streak, like retiring because he wants to retire. He's I'm not saying he put together a real run right now, but on a good little stretch of his career, a unanimous decision went over Cort McGee.

It's been a lot of like age-appropriate matchmaking, just good fights for a dude who's in his 40s. Price, one in four of his past five. Kind of shocked he's still with the promotion. He's on a three-fight losing streak, and he got bulldozed by Nikolai Veritenekov back in February. Nothing super to note from a Trent's perspective. I will say Nico Price actually had more success.

as an underdog than I would have thought. He's five and eight, but, you know, that's not like some incredibly impressive streak. You've been an underdog a lot in his career is what that means. Like I said, I would have taken Keisa for the climb. He's too pricey. I am going to put together a couple of parlayes, and Keesa is, I'm just going to have a big, heavy,

soupy parlay of chalk, and Keesa is one third of that that I'm going to put in, but Billy, I want to hear, your takedown of this fight, and then I want to tell you, this fight is where I have my favorite bet of the year. Support for this show comes from Odu. Running a business is hard enough, so why make it harder

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So why not you? Try O-D-O-4-3 at O-D-O-O-D-com. That's O-D-O-O-O-O-com. Support for the show comes from one password. A password manager should be the first security purchase you make for your team. Why? Because compromised passwords are the number one way bad actors attack companies, and small businesses are their favorite target.

But unlike a lot of security challenges, passwords actually have a pretty simple solution. One password lets you manage all your business credentials so you can feel confident that your data stays secure as your company grows. Find out more at OnePassword.com slash podcast offer and start securing every login. Okay, if it's this one, I might actually be preempting you.

For the listeners at home, we have not discussed this ahead of time. We have not discussed anything. One of my favorite bets that I'm going to make, in recent memory, probably not of the year, is Michael Kiyasa specifically by Darschoke at shops that allow you to bet on method of victory. Just picture the scene. He's in his hometown, his home state. He's been fighting the Darschoke demon, his whole career, just can't get out from under it, goes out hitting one of his own on Nico Price, slays the dragon, rides off into the sunset. That is my bet. It is not financial advice. Don't at me on Twitter when he wins by rear naked or, God forbid, like an anaconda that they say, wasn't a dars or whatever that's that's a tough one too i i argue that those should just be listed as the same because i'm a brown belt i can't consistently tell you which one is which i in real time i

can't i have to like think about it exactly i don't know which side has the arm fuck yeah i got arms on both sides what do you mean that's always my argument um but regardless that is one of my favorite like five dollar not financial advice don't at me that's of the recent memory oh man you're so close. You're so close to getting it, Billy. Let me tell you. We mentioned Michael Kiesa. This is retirement fight. This is it. This is the end of a career, a good career. Not a Hall of Famer, you know, but like a solid career that he parlayed into, you know, being on the desk. He's a monsumper, right? Like he gets to be on Paramount Plus on the desk talking about, hey, remember when I played LeBron James? You know, like, he can be like, hey, you remember when I fought

Rafael dos angios or whatever like that's a good career but his career is missing something billy it's missing something pretty significant if you look at him you go i've pulled up michael keese here 26 fights lots good fights will be 27 lucky 27 19 wins seven losses uh 12 12 submission wins seven decisions and if you are good at math you're thinking I mean there's a zero in the chaos

he's never want to fight by knockout never in 26 matches he has never put his fist into somebody until they quit fighting and you're telling me you're telling me Michael Keesa he doesn't want to have that feeling in his life one time one time before he hangs up the gloves

nay nay I say I say say, Billy. He is going to come out here, and it's going to be a point. And this doesn't have to be, it's important, remember, we don't have to see the mitts from Michael Keesa. TKOs are ground and pound stoppages, baby, and I think he wants it. I think he wants the full-fledged career. And you know what, the price? Do you know the price for Keesa by Kio, Billy? Plus 1,300 for KIA by KO. I'm not betting a full unit I'm not putting a Hyundai box on this but I'm going to throw 25 on it

because I think he wants it and when this cashes this is my Mona Lisa right here this will be the best thing I've ever done on this show I thought it was going to be like plus 7 or 800 also I hate letting I know that's a big price

I hate letting the truth ruin some of your fun here does have two TKOs on the Ultimate Fighter I know their exhibitions He got in there against another man. That just proves that he can do it. And got two of them. So it wouldn't really be the first time. Justin Lawrence and James Vic, both TKO, probably like in back-to-back weeks by Kiyos.

That proves that he has the ability to do it. That's fair. I'm telling you, that O haunts him. He looks at that O on his topology and says, I can't, I can't go out like this. Kiesa, TKO, boom. I mean, it's the best. Plus, I mean, this isn't really part of it. But as I was coming to this bet and selling myself on it,

Nico Price has been knocked out six times. Of his 10 losses, he mostly just gets blown up. So like, if he hits a dars, sure, that won't be stunning. But plus $1,300 for the way Nico Price loses by far the most to lose. I'm in it all day. I couldn't be more. Like, I'm so excited to watch this fight now. I actually really like that

and I'm regretting my silly bet because I like your silly bet slightly It's a really fun silly bet It's like I got so excited When I was little typing I was like oh yeah Yeah I had a lot of fun of this one So I didn't even consider a possibility of that

Like I didn't realize that that was a thing Michael Kiesa was allowed to do You know He's not And so but he He's gonna be a bold man He's gonna break he's gonna be a rule Maverick

As you might know him Oh no though. You guys can't see this because this is a video. That's a finger gun moment right there. Oh, God, this is the best. The show's all downhill from here, folks. Because, I mean, there are actually a couple of other very good fights.

Those are kind of the two good fights and then the feature bout is the feature about. A couple of other good fights. But let's move on to a fight that I don't think is very good. But I don't think it'll take that long, at least. We go to the featherweight division as Julian Orozah takes on, Larry and Douglas, making his UFC debut coming off Contender Series. Big favorite, minus 325.

We've seen this kind of a lot with Contender Series people over the years, and certainly this year. Mostly they're giving them a soft hand. Erosa plus 250. Rosas 3 and 2 over his past 5 in the promotion. Also fought a Contender Series dude, lost Unam's decision to Melke Costa in May. Melke has gone on to be very successful.

So a UD loss there's actually not that bad in comparison. into what Melke has done to some people. And just to note, Roses, seven and five is an underdog. So he is a guy to at least be wary of when a big price is on his opponent.

But really, I'm going to lead us off very quickly here and just say, I think Larry and Douglas is going to win this. Arosa's been knocked out seven times. Douglas, you know, he's a very solid overall guy, right? I didn't grade him super highly coming off

contender series, but he's an LFA champ. he kind of he's a professional fighter and he does have if you saw his condition series knockout he's got some real nasty power uh in spots and against the guy who gets knocked out a lot i think this is a set up fight for larian to make a a big time debut i think he's going to get it but i have no action on this one all right so i agree with you conceptually mainly on the grading of douglas where he's one of the more finished products we saw last season there's a There's a lot of super young guys.

This is who we were going to get. I am not giving you that much credit for knocking out KMT. Because KMTeg is really not good. He got knocked out pretty badly in a couple contender series appearances and has just fought Kans like prior to getting there. What has happened mostly with these set-up fights this year is the guy who's supposed to win wins,

but like not in super impressive fashion. That's by and large what we've seen. Juicy J plus five and a half points which just means he needs to survive and convince one of the judges he wins one round, or two of the judges, he wins one round. That's plus 165. I think that's too wide.

I don't expect him to win. I think he'll find some moments, be able to maybe get a take down here, steal a round, slow things down, maybe if it extends, get the third round and get some momentum, something like that against a guy making his UFC debut and that kind of plus money I'm going to take, and I'm going to kind of conceptually be betting

against a lot of these hype trains in that fashion, where it's not that I think, they're going to lose it's i think they're going to not this is a debut but you know mario pinto last week it was a set-up fight that he won a boring decision i think that's how a lot of these are going to continue to go we just as a betting market get a little too excited on these guys as they're coming in and discount someone like julian orosa to your point been around a long time had some success as an underdog three-fight winning streak before the melki fight which he took due unanimous decision and fight of the night think he can hang in there and steal around

or part of a round even. I wish you the best of luck, especially since I have no action, so I have nothing to be upset if you succeed on this one. We move to the middleweight division for a matchup that I'm actually really interested in. I don't know if a lot of people will be, but I think it's a pretty good one. As Mansour Abdul Malik takes on Usri, Belgari, I can't. I can never say Usri's name.

I apologize for that, but I'm not going to change who I am, a person. Abdul Malik, I really liked him coming off Contender Series. Hyperathletic got good power, good ability to kind of make, he has good power on the feet and he can threaten with

submissions, as we've seen in his U.S. he run at this point. He's coming off a win over Antonio Tricoli, which doesn't mean anything because it's Antonio Tricoli. Belgari won an O in the UFC. Also off the same series and same season of Contender Series.

This is 323 versus Vancouver as Abdulmalik beat Chocolia at 323. Belgory beat Asimov, I UFC Vancouver. The other big story from Belgari, you know, a glory kickboxing fighter, I think, a challenge for the title a couple of times over there. I don't think you ever won it. Huge. Just a gigantic individual. And this is closely lined.

Pick them in some places. Maybe a slight favorite towards Manso-Ev-Du-Wu. Malik, but a matchup of two dudes who have shown potential, and I'm interested in. How do you see this one going, Billy? Yeah, this is one I'm very intrigued by. I'm not super confident or excited to bet it. Not a glory champion, but does have a win over Alex Baheda, who then he lost to a couple times in title funds.

Who's that? That is now his training partner over Texera, MMA, and Fitness, where they both train under Plinyo Cruz and Glover Texera. following that, Alex paid a game plan of how to anti-restle and get off the fence and things like that. Doing it pretty well. I was so excited to get Usyri at plus 240

against Bekoev last year. Not as excited at the price against Abdul Malik. Broadly speaking, I think Abdul Malik is being undervalued by the market because his win against Cody Brundage got brundaged away from him

as so often happens in Cody Brundage fights. And if that one was a more dominant win, we'd probably have Abdul Malik minus 200. We don't. But I think Usory's going to win. So I'm torn on that because I do think the market is underrating one guy, but I also don't think he's going to win. So probably just one I will be very intrigued to watch rather than bet on

unless someone convinces me with a strong take. I'm betting on Mansour. I don't feel great about it, but I liked him a lot more coming off Contender Series than I did for Usri. I usually just a little older He's huge which is so like he's like seven feet tall or something ludicrous If this obviously stays on the feet user he has just a general broad technical advantage But Mansour's explosive and hits real hard so like he can pull something out of his ass on there

And I do think he's well rounded enough to know okay I need to find ways to take towns And on the mat I think he has a clear advantage here. So I think this probably is just correctly lined, frankly. You know, somewhere close to pick them, odds move as people bet each side. But it's always one of my preferred prospects coming off that season of Contender series. So I'm backing again. I am very prepared to lose money on this. I will not be remotely surprised if U-S.3 pulls this off. But mainly I'm just very excited to see this fight and how it shapes out. Same.

Yeah. We moved to a fight that probably won't take very long. And the lightweight contest, Terrence McKinney takes on Kyle Nelson, McKinney minus 190, Nelson plus 150. McKinney, three and two of his past five, got submitted by Chris Duncan, not Christian Leroy Duncan, the other Chris Duncan, at 323 in December, as I mentioned. Because Kyle Nelson last fought in Vancouver, where he won an abs decision over Matt for Vola. He's four and one over his past five, actually. Countness on a good little run right now.

We know the story with Terrence McKinney fights. He is going to win or lose very early, most likely. Billy, is he going to win or lose this time? I don't know and I'm not attempting to find out. My game plan for literally every Terrence McKinney fight is you come into the fight with a McKinney round one ticket. You get like plus 115 this time around. And as soon as he has a big moment, be it take down or punch, you start rushing to get the like plus. $400 live bet in on his opponent, and then you win no matter who wins. It's just it doesn't matter who it is. The annoying thing is you can't wait until the end of the first round, because McKinney will gas himself out about two minutes into that first round if he doesn't

get the finish, and the tape delay makes it hard. But do your best just as soon as you see him land either a big punch or strike of any kind or a takedown. You just fire that plus three plus 400 for a quarter of what you bet on him initially, on the opponent, and you come out ahead either way. I believe Terrence McKinney probably wins this. He's much bigger person than Kyle Nelson, and that's sort of like the hell on wheels offense

should probably succeed in Kyle Nelson, but I, you know, I don't really want to bet Terrence McKinney at minus 190. What I did is something I considered climbing with, but ultimately not going to do it for, I think, obvious reasons. The under one and a half, is minus 300, which is a ludicrous number for an under one and a half. But in 25 career fights, Terrence McKinney has hit that number in 24 of them. Kyle Nelson, much less so, but we know the score here, right?

Like Terrence McKinney is going to win or lose in the first round. If this somehow makes it out of the first round, I will be looking to live bet Kyle Nelson in whatever price I can find. Yeah. But I think the overwhelming likelihood is the sense of round one. And so since I didn't want to climb with it, I paired it up with another over under later in the evening. As I just kind of piled a bunch of,

these aren't really bets I want to take straight together, and then I made two parlays out of them. So I'll be using that under one and a half in a two-leg parlay down the road. Let's move to the prelims, Billy. I think this is the last good fight we're going to talk about. Maybe not. I mean, your mileage may vary. There's another couple of fights that stand out for reasons.

But this one is objectively, like, by any consideration, I think a good one. And a very curious fight. We go back to the lightweight division, a lot of lightweight fights on Saturday. Ignacio Bahamondez, who briefly was trying to become a member of the Mushu family, taking on Tafic, Musayev. Bahamondi's big favorite, minus 325, Musayev plus 260. both men are three and two over the last five bahamondes that was all in the occ he's coming off unanacifuson lost hafiel fazeve at baku uh also at baku last time we saw tafeik who lost unemisd to make the beck oralvi again i say john shelby mcnaynard the whole crew they didn't try at all here they like this matchmaking

up and down the car just like have the same three fight oh you guys both fought last time, sure, fight now. That's what we've got here. Billy, my one is a pretty big favorite against defeat Musayev. Yeah, I will correct you. You said lost a unanimous decision to. Oh, I'm sorry, yeah, that's not true.

You got tab. Submitted in the first round. Yeah, that's not, I don't know where that was from, but that's wrong. No, it got worked on the ground pretty badly. It's Oral By, like, that'll happen. Yeah. I'm not downgrading you too much. Also, not, no, no.

Chris Curtis didn't, Oralby refused to fight. Chris Curtis. Did you not see the note? I mean, although based on that logic, better grappler, Chris Curtis, or Tofik Moussayev, it is now Chris Curtis, based on that logic. I would not bet that way if they had a UFC, BJJ

match. With all that said, Ignatio, really good grappler, but refuses to initiate it himself. Like, he just waits for you to maybe take him down, which I don't understand, like, be good at that. He's got the body type for it is you just keep people at range with strikes,

and then if they get within that range, now they have to wrestle you. Like, it's the Jalen Turner plan, which worked for Jalen Turner. He just took over Jalen Turner. He just took over Jalen Turner. Like that's,

he absorbed Jalen Turner's essence, which is why he was almost going to be in the family, but the Fiziev fight was disappointing. It was disappointing, but that's, you know, you're fighting a crafty veteran. Fizziab really threw him off

by initiating grappling against him, which no one would have expected, and that messed with his strength. striking, all of which is to say, I think Nacho's got the hardware. I think he's going to make the improvements necessary. I'm considering him to restart my climb, Jed. Is that crazy? No, it's not crazy.

I think he's going to win this fight. I don't, you know, Tevique Musayev is a, he's a good fighter, dude. He's a good top 30 lightweight, you know, like something in that range. He's probably never going to be higher than that. But, you know, he's won all over the world. He had a lot of success in rise. And so did he challenge for a belt in Bellator or was he just in a Grand Prix? I don't I don't think he fought for a belt.

I think he just fought for the rising belt. That's right. He fought for the Rise and belt. That's right. That's right. Against a guy who had a Bellator belt. So like effectively. Yeah.

See? Okay. I was like I felt like that's it. Yeah. Yeah. People. That was when Pitbull had the thing and he fought him in the GP. Yeah.

You know, like he is a dude who I think at one point maybe was ranked in our. the NBA fighting rankings in the top 15. But like he's just, it's not great. The physical differences between the two of them are going to be hilarious on Saturday. And I, you know, Nacho is a much better striker. I am a little concerned that if Tafiq wants to get going to, you know, I mean, shit. Halfel Fazeve took him down and now I no longer have confidence in him is the problem. Like, if Fiziv can outgraple you and that could be a problem,

maybe this will be a problem from anybody. But in general, I think Bahamanda should get this done. He is not included in my three big favorite parleyes. But I think he's a fine parley piece this week. All right. Well, I'll take that as permission for the... I'm probably going to have two climb legs to start. I will say it's a big difference getting taken down by a guy

who you never imagined would shoot a take down on you. Like, having had those moments where I thought this guy wants to stand and bang with me and next thing you know you're on your back you're like oh shit I wasn't prepared for that at all I would imagine that the Bahamundas camp here is a little bit more open to the idea he might have to defense and take down to his time around

but still young you know still 28 years old to feet certainly on the last side of his career I yeah Bahamundas is going to get this done I think that's totally fine Once upon a mundane morning Barb's day got busy without warning A realtor in need of an open house sign. No, 50 of them.

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Ready for anything, ready for AI. To learn more about how CoreWeave powers the world's best AI, go to core weave.com slash ready for anything. Let's move on to another lightweight fight. Chase Hooper taking on Lance Gibson, Jr. Hooper, again, a big betting favorite, minus 325. It's come back on Gibson plus 240.

Hooper, on a decent run, had four in a row, and then he just got knocked out by Alexander Hernandez at 319 last summer. Meanwhile, Gibson Jr. made his UFC debut last year, or earlier this year. I don't remember which of those is true. I think it's last year where he lost a King Green via split decision. This bill is a battle for Washington. Both dudes from Washington,

because I didn't realize that about Lance Gibson. Obviously, it's part of the appeal to Chase Hooper here. But I think Lance Gibson actually is just from Seattle. So, you know, how do we see the battle for Washington going down? I mean, Chase Hooper really should win this. Correct. But I could see how he doesn't, because if he can't get a takedown here, I never want to be on the Chase Hooper side of any kind of striking match

unless he's fighting like a 45-year-old man like they let him do for what felt like a really long time in there. He was just getting all the oldest dudes they could find. Not that Lance Gibson is a spring chicken, but he's 31, you know, so similar, near his prime. I'm going to pass on this myself. I will be rooting for Chase Hooper. I think the world was a more fun place. when Chase Hooper is doing big things in the UFC. But I'm just nervous enough about Gibson's wrestling ability.

I mean, dude, wasn't he just on RAF or was booked for RAF but didn't do it at one point? He can wrestle is the long and short of it. And if Chase can't get a take down, I'm going to be a little scared here. So pass for me, but full, full heart on Chase Hooper. You're making me reconsider some of the choices I've made because now I'm debating whether instead of Chase Hooper being in this parlay, I should put Ignacio Bahamondez in this parlay. Because Chase Hooper is the other leg of this, is the second leg of this parlay,

mainly because I think the UFC wants him to win. And so in general, bet on the guys the UFC is obviously setting up for success. I thought he was honestly, I thought he was doing quite well against Alexander Hernandez. And then he got knocked out at the very very, end of the, was it the first round right? Yeah, the first round. Basically when the like Clapper went, he just kind of had a

oh, I stopped paying attention. He did not protect himself at all times and got jawed in a round that I thought he was pretty comfortably going to go and win. And I have to think that he will have learned a lesson. I like his development. I'm with you.

I'm certainly rooting for Chase Hooper, but now I'm debating if I swap Chase Hooper and Ignacio Baha Mondes. in this parley. He's angry. He's not a bad striker. He just never, he just looks kind of uncomfortable being hit.

Like, and obviously no one looks great being hit. We don't want to be hit. But he just, a little bit more than other guys this level. He wears it poorly and it makes you a little bit scared anytime he's exchanging punches. He does really have the like,

Brock Lesnar. Oh shit. I've got, you're hitting anything. What the fuck is this? You're not supposed to do that. Um, you know,

I think we're going to do it. I think we're going to, we're going to make this. with Bahamondez instead of Hooper. But I hope Chase Hooper is successful. In all things, really. Not even just this fight. I hope he finds a choice.

Just in general, yes. But, you know, Bahamondez was almost sort of my boy. Let's give him more opportunities to get back in our good graces. Love that. We believe in second chances. We don't fucking believe in third chances, though. So that's not happening, Zell Huber. suck it.

Let's go to the heavyweight division. I'm mad. I'm thinking about Daniel Zell Hooper now. I've never heard of that person. Yeah, this is a terrible man. I'm glad you haven't. Marcine Tebrer takes on Tyrell Fortune and a real weird one. Timberra was supposed to fight Volta Walker,

but then Walker pulled out because he was still injured, which is weird. It wasn't like, oh, I hurt myself. It was like, no, I'm actually not recovered. I said yes, but never mind, which is. It's just like a real, real weird thing to do, but okay. So now Tyrell Fortune makes his UFC debut, long-time Bellator guy. Tyberos 3 and 2 of his past five. He had knocked out by Ante Delia in September.

You know, I guess this is the game now. Oh, you just lost to a PFL guy? Can you lose to a Bellator guy? Even though technically, I guess, Fortune fought like three regional fights since last competing at PFL, where he lost to somebody? but I don't remember who off the top of my head. This is just a heavyweight one. Billy,

how are we feeling about it? Because I'm of two minds on this. Yeah, I think Ty Buren looked pretty slow and old all of a sudden in his last fight. I will say the Walter Walker thing is hilarious because he just competed not that long ago. Barely a month against Zion Clark,

which was one of my favorite events of all time because they put Walter Walker in there against the guy who had no legs. It was a great, it was a great core concept. I would not call that competition. Well, he was out there doing stuff. He didn't look injured then. That's all I'm saying, Walter.

What's going on? I would have been very excited to see Walter Walker try to heal a fifth guy in a row. I don't really care about this fight. Yeah, I meant like more recently or more quickly. Don't really care about this fight. Probably betting fortune. I just think Tyborough looked real bad, man. That scared me enough that I think I'm going to be betting against him against

what seems to be a competent and reasonably athletic, 35-year-old heavyweight? I understand what the odds are, what they are. You know, Tebrough's a slight underdog. He's historically actually been quite good as a defensive wrestler, and that's all fortune really brings to the table is the wrestling. I am, I was considering, like, when I first looked at it, you know, whenever I look at cards, I just do a quick scan.

And it was like, oh, here's, what I'll do pop pop pop and then as I start like actually breaking down and diving into them my my initial scan I was like ooh Tyberra's an underdog interesting I might that might be live and I'm like I'm a little I'm a little uncomfortable with uh with the bed on with an underdog bed on tuber so I'm out on that you know what I'm not out on though billy heavyweight overs are back yes they are back baby not all of them not all of them not all the time. You got to be really, really specific about how your heavyweight over is going to be. But Mario Pinto, he and Philippe Franco, they brought him back last week.

Perichick Sutherland did not. They did not bring it back. I bet the over. I was wrong. But this one feels like fortune's going to tackle him and we're going to spend a lot of time being real heavyweighty. And the over numbers are kind of not what I would have thought. over one and a half is minus 130, which I almost want to do instead, but the over two and a half is plus 175. And that, I haven't decided which of these I want to do, Billy.

So that's really the choice. I'm going the over. Should I go one and a half at a minus number or two and a half at a plus 175? Or goes to decision at plus 225. No, no, no. I don't do goes to decisions. I just, I'll take the extra half round.

Just for peace of mind. There's no, the odds of a stoppage in the last two and a half minutes between two tired fat guys is just so much lower. I think the choice is between over one and a half or goes to a decision personally. But I see where you're going with this. I like it as a concept. I will always, I will buy the points. Give me the two and a half of the decision. Because you're just never getting any like real added value.

Give me the peace of mind for anything. All right. I get it. Then I would go one and a half. If I'm not jumping all the way into the pool, I would just take the one and a half. I mean, I was just stunned that one and a half is minus 130.

That feels really valuable to me. So minus 130. We'll lock it in and I'll get that bet down. I'll probably steal that one from you. I mean, Fort's just going to like try and tackle him. Tyboro's going to stop him. They're just going to get real heavy weighty real fast.

That's what's going to happen in this one. about as big a shift as we can go from heavy weights being heavy and not doing too much. Casey O'Neill's fighting. She's fighting Gabriel Fernandez, and they're probably going to throw 200 combined strikes over the course of this battle would be my guess, in this women's flyweight contest. Close to a pick-em. Fernandez is maybe a minus 115 versus 105, depending on your book.

Both women three and two over the last five. A little bit different as Fernandez is on. a three-fart winning streak. She's coming off a unanimous decision win over Julia Stolia Ranko back in August. Meanwhile, Casey O'Neill is coming off a unanimous decision win over Luana Santos, also in August, except her August was 2024. She has been out for a considerable amount of time, a very long layoff for Casey O'Neill. How are you feeling about this one, Billy? This is not, Casey O'Neill absolutely should win this fight.

She is a better fighter. too. But the big butt that's coming is, I don't know how many, I don't know how many knee ligaments she has left, because pretty sure this last layoff was another torn something CL. I'm not 100% confident on that. I am not betting Casey O'Neill in her immediate return from injury fight because the last time she did that, she rushed back and got beat by Jennifer Maya, who she absolutely also should have beaten and didn't.

Then she had another injury pulled out of a fight and lost an area. Rihanna Lipski. Another fight she absolutely should have won, but was clearly not 100%. So this is a stayaway fight for me. Again, K.C. O'Neill should win. Just does she have knees is the big question. Yeah, I feel pretty similarly. It seems on paper like O'Neill should win. The long layoff just has me too concerned. If she was like a plus money dog, I'd probably take a shot, right? But when we're talking basically a pick-em, not worth it. What I did decide was worth it is the over two and a half in this one. It's around minus 275. I think this is just very, very likely to go the full distance, a back-and-forth affair.

Neither women are monstrous finishers. Fernandez is like four and one in her use. It's like four decisions in her UFC career of five fights. And so I paired this up with the McKinney Nelson under one and a half. It pays out like a minus 120. So it's just, it seems like a straight-up. straightforward parlay to do so easy enough on this one i don't have a lot for the rest of this billy so we're going to lean actually i think i have one left looking at my board so maybe rely a

little more on you because uh the light heavies we know what this fight is navajo stirling's taking on bruno lopez minus 650 betting favorite for sterling lopez plus 475 sterling coming off contender series three and o in the ufc All unanimous decision wins. His most recent one was over Hidalfa Blato in September Lopez, one-in-one, got knocked out by Dustin Jacoby back in May. They're just continuing to give Navajo Sterling fights and be like, hey, do something. Do something. Please do something.

And he is yet to really be, you know, he's on like the off-brand Carlos Alberg run, right? now of just obviously pretty decent a lot of physical tools could you make a statement of any kind my guy any kind at all do you think this is the one billy not necessarily i mean he knocked out he knocked out evan he mixed in some takedowns just to show he could do it in his last couple of fights i think what he's doing is actually very smart for like his development as a fighter like why go out there and trade punches just because you can when you could develop your skills against these lower level competitions. That's really neither here nor there.

What I wanted to ask you, though, Jed, this is my other potential climb, and one of the reasons I wanted Baja Mundas was to balance out the total odds I'm getting on that because it's about minus 600 on Sterling. I think there's a pretty safe one. I don't really see how he loses it here. So for me, it will be Sterling and Baja Mundez

as a two-leg climb or two steps to restart my climb here unless I get any objections from you. No, none whatsoever. I really like Sterling. coming off Contender series. That's untrue.

I didn't really like him, but I liked him because he's, has physical tools in a good camp and he's in a weak weight class, and the combination of that can take you quite far.

Um, he has underachieved in my expectations for him by a pretty major amount, right? Like, it is not like he is fighting monsters. It's Tucotokos and even Ersland and Heraldo Balato and he can't get any of them out of there.

concerning Bruno Lopez is not a dude to be concerned by right like he's Sterling is going to dictate the range quite comfortably in this matchup I assume he maybe mixes in something

if he wants to mostly he's going to pick away just be a little bit better and get a city kickboxing win so I didn't put him in the parley because I he's just I'm mad at him for not being interesting

being interesting though Jed That's what you're supposed to do. Better to win than it is to lose. Okay. Okay, Michael Venom, page. You keep telling that to people. Be interesting, dude.

Be, if you're not, here's the thing. Navajo Sterling's like, he's not that young anymore. Like now he's like 27, 28. That's light heavyweight young, though. I mean, light heavy weight that is young. But if you're not blowing the doors off Tucco Tocos, like, you're not a prospect. You got to make me care.

And so until he makes me care, I refuse to care. as the off-brand Carlos Oldberg. I care about you, Navajo, Sterling. Don't listen to the haters. Block them out, get it done here. Safely, don't take unnecessary chances. A win is a win. You know that Navajo Sterling is going to fight for your money in the most safety-first way.

Works smarter, not harder, Navajo. Totally fine, Klein. This is a sneaky great fight that would have been way better a couple of years. ago, but it's still pretty decent. As Ricky Simone takes on Adrian Yannaz in a bantam weight contest, Simone, your slight betting favorite, minus 145, Yannes plus 115, both men two and three over their past five fights, a unanimous decision lost to Houdi Barcellos for Simone in November, a split decision lost to Daniel Marcos in December of 2024 for Yannes, so he's been out for a pretty

good little stretch as well. Billy, since this is our penultimate fight to talk about, I'm just going to tell you, I've got a bet on Adrian Yanios here, or I'm going to have a bet on Adrian Yanias here. Not very good takedown defense. He's much crisper better strike than Ricky Simone. There was a Ricky Simone. Both of these men had like moments where I was like, they might really be something. And instead they just were good that, you know, good quality fighters who reached ceilings maybe weren't as good. maybe didn't quite live up to some of the potential they had.

But I just think stylistically, Yanje, his hands are better and he's good enough at keeping things upright. Though Daniel Marcos took him down several times, that becomes a concern. I think he, especially knowing that Ricky Simone is going to try and take him down, I think he'll be prepared for it. I think he will get this one done with the mitts.

Billy, what say you? Very little. I don't have strong feelings on that. I like that. Should also point out, this is obviously a road show, so they're in the bigger cage that makes, not getting stuck against the fence

a little bit easier. And Yanaz relies way more in his boxing. He's not much of a kicker, which also helps you not get taken down. So all good things at the price we're getting. I'm with you. I will probably tell that at some point. Want to watch a little tape this week to be confident, but yeah, I think that's right.

And the last fight we will speak about this week, a women's strawweight contest, Alexia Tainara, takes on Bruno Brazil. And she is tied for the biggest betting favor on the card, minus 7. and 50 for Tainar, Brazil, plus 525. Tainar Tuna are in the UFC.

Your name is a win over Lomo Luc Bunmi in September. Brazil. Two and three in the UFC, you know, system loss to Ketland Soza in February. Billy, uh, wrapping this up, Tynar is the last of the three-leg, big favorite parlay of Kea'u'u'a Baja Mondays now and Tynara. That'll pay out around minus 140. Uh, I'm doing this both on Tynara's not bad and, Brazil is not good.

And MMA math, Billy strongly, strongly favors Tainara. Tainara beat Luke Boone Me, Bruno Brazil lost. Also, they both fought Molly McCann. Tainara ran Molly McCann out of the cage and retired her. Bruno Brazil did not do that nearly as well as Tynara did. So give me Alexia, Tynara. Sure, this is a fight that's going to happen. I love this fight because it used to be Nicole Calliari versus Carol Foro.

It's true. And it somehow is morphed into this. We took a journey. We did. Caliari pulled out. So then we had Carol Foro versus Stephanie Luciano. Luciano pulled out, enter Alexa Tayanara. And then Luciano had to pull out.

And here we got Bruce and Brazil versus Alexa, Tainara. Neither of these women especially prepared for this fight because they've both been thrown in at various point against various opponents. I think there's a case here for Brune and Brazil and the point. when that becomes available if it's like big plus money. Just because Tynar is not a great finisher other than I've already decided to retire and also don't know how to grapple Motley McCann. That's, you know, not super impressed by that. Could Brazil steal around with a reversal or something on the ground?

Maybe. I don't know. So if you get plus 200 or better on the plus three and a half on Brazil, I'll have a little sprinkle. But other than that, I just wish this was Carol Foro making her actual UFC debut because Porro is fun. I mean, she is. She's her name is Alexia Tynara

She is just she's You know it's her second Alexia Tynara has stepped in as Carol Foro's proxy And Brazil is the proxy for Nicole Colliari and I would I would pick for her to be

Calliari so I'm picking Tayao That's just how it goes So it works out perfectly And that ladies Gentlemen is UFC Seattle We end I often think that the structure of this show is fundamentally wrong

because you do want to do the big fights at the top because that's when people listen the most but it means every week we end on a fucking bummer because it's like here's whatever trash is opening this card so Billy thank you for joining us next week we head back to the meta apex for I mean I know we say this a lot

I genuinely think this might be the way worst card in recent memory. Planned card, right? Like, you know, sometimes cards are really bad because the main event falls through shortly. The on-paper plan for this card is bad for UFC Vegas 115. Asanato Morcano takes on Chris Duncan in the main event, Werner-enjirova Tabitha Ricci, and a whole lot of other stuff happening. But Billy, that's next week.

Yet any last words of wisdom or not wisdom, whatever you got for the people. Let us know now as we wrap up our Seattle discussion. Yeah, I like your plan about inverting the bout order we discuss here because that was kind of a low note. I almost said my big advice for this one is just turn the card on at 5.30 instead of five for my Eastern Time people. Do the math on your own. But yeah, that's about it. Check out my work. I will have a full preview for Macy Barber and Alexa Grasso later in the week.

have lots of good stuff, more props and picks. Follow me in the Action Network app as those become available. Well, again, thank you, Billy. And most importantly, thank to all you for listening, but more important than even that. Michael Kiyosu by K.O. Plus 1,300 boys. Let's freaking go. See y'all next week. Love y'all. Support for this show comes from Tasty Trade. There's two types of traders out there, the ones who settle for the status quo and the ones who push the envelope. Tasty Trade is the platform of choice for the latter. With Tasty Trade, you can trade stocks, options, futures, and more all in one platform.

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