MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Does Korean Zombie Have Any Chance Against Max Holloway At UFC Singapore?
Episode Date: August 23, 2023The UFC's summer run simply won't stop and following up the monumental UFC 292, the promotion heads to Singapore with a featherweight main event between Max Holloway and the Korean Zombie, so the No B...ets Barred boys are back to break it all down. This week, co-hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew kick things off with a brief discussion of UFC 292 and new bantamweight champion Sean O'Malley before diving into the events this weekend. Topics discussed include whether the Korean Zombie has any chance against Holloway, whether Anthony Smith is completely washed, Erin Blanchfield's title aspirations, and even a little boxing and PFL action thrown in. Tune in for episode 59 of No Bets Barred. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Support for this show comes from the Audible Original, the downloaded two.
Ghosts in the Machine.
The Earth only has a few days left.
Rosco Cudulian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer,
but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever.
Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprise his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible Original Blockbuster.
The Downloaded, it's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide.
Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking,
What are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?
The Downloaded 2, Ghosts in the Machine.
Available now, only from Audible.
Support for this show comes from the Audible original, The Downloaded 2.
Ghosts in the Machine.
The Earth only has a few days left.
Rosco Cudullian and the rest of the Phoenix colony
have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer,
but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever.
Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprised his role as Rosco Cudulian
in this follow-up to the audible original blockbuster,
the downloaded.
It's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide.
Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking,
what are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?
The downloaded two, Ghosts in the Machine, available now only from Audible.
What is going on, y'all?
We are back another edition of No Betts Barred this time.
UFC Singapore.
Promotion makes its return after doing a pay-per-view last June, I believe.
275. This time, Max Holloway taking on the Korean zombie in the main event.
Should be a good one, Jed. How are we feeling, brother?
You know, coming off the 292, an interesting card. Our new champion, you did an expert job of talking all about the event with the esteemed New York.
A great at your MMA hour.
We're calling that your MMA hour debut since you were, you know, hosting it or what, how do you treat that?
I think we'll say hosting debut.
First time on camera in the studio, despite me having been in that studio a million times.
I guess technically I'm in the studio when I'm doing the watch parties too.
But yeah, it was fun, man.
Recap the 292 card in depth.
Pretty crazy.
Pretty crazy that Sean O'Malley's the champ.
And even crazier, you cashed on him.
Big underdog.
It was hugely helpful.
It got me over the line for a very slight winning weekend.
So thank you.
Thank you, Sean O'Malley, and the vibes for that one, because I was basically dead wrong on every other fight prediction I had outside of the parley.
The parley is cash? The parley is cash? Actually, like, I'm kind of the same way. I, like, I fumbled on the singles last week, but.
Chris Wydenman? Not very good. It was a bad call on your boy's part. Yeah, I mean, mine too. Mine too.
Zhang inside the distance? I don't feel that bad about that one. I don't think that was a bad.
call, I think that was closer to a bad beat than it was a bad call.
Maybe. And I will say, I don't, I didn't think he won the fight, but as we talked about last
week at the end of the Villar Munoz fight, I was holding a Munoz by Splitty at plus 900,
and I was happy to be holding that ticket. I didn't think he was going to cash particularly,
but I was like, man, this is a good ticket to have at my hand right now.
Oh, for sure. Yeah, I mean, that was, that was a good fight. Good, good card over.
Overall, man, a lot of craziness coming out of it.
A lot of fights to be made after that one.
And yeah, we move on.
UFC Singapore.
Close out, August.
When do we have an off week?
I mean, like, we have been gone since June 3rd, every single week on here.
So it's a good run.
We are coming up on an off week.
Not quite yet.
We have the month of September is still there.
We have one after noce.
So October, no, the last week of September, a first week of October, one of those two is it.
But yeah, it's a, we do the full summer run and into the full September run, I think, and then we get our break.
The freight train keeps right on rolling.
And that's what we shall do.
We'll head over to UFC, Singapore.
We'll start with the main event, featherweight, bowed max Holloway, taking on Chan, Sung, Jung, better known as the Korean zombie.
right now you're going to have to pay a pretty penny if you want to get in on the max holloway train
minus 850 Korean zombie coming back plus 520 um feel like this is this is tough for
for Korean zombie especially after the last time we saw him out don't really know how he's
going to accomplish a win here like no one knocks out Max Holloway
rarely do you excuse me rarely do you outstrike
Max Holloway. I don't really see the Korean zombie
doing that. And only in a
couple fights have we ever seen the Korean zombie
go to wrestling. I guess the
Dan I gay won. He used
wrestling there. I
feel like Max Holloway
is going to outstrike him to a
victory. I very
much agree. We'll say
I immediately upon hearing
this side, it's like, zombies washed,
he's going to get absolutely clubbed.
What a nonsense
fight. I think
broadly speaking that that's true.
I don't think zombie realistically can win.
I do think he's got to, I think this fight can be fun, at least, aside from the fact that
Max Holland, Korean Zombie, two of the most exciting fighters who've ever laced up the gloves.
I think we might be overrating a little bit how washed Korean Zombie is.
Alexander Volkinovsky is very, very good at fist fighting.
And I think that that's just sort of how that fight goes, because Korean Zombie didn't
have the tools to compete with one of the very best fighters who has ever lived.
I think Max Holloway, I do think he's taking at least a little bit of a step back,
maybe not a huge one, but he's been fighting for like 15 years at this point.
And I think that that will mean this fight is at least a little more competitive than
people are broadly sort of viewing it.
I still absolutely think Max's going to win for all the reasons you said.
I'm going to have Max.
So here's the thing.
I have no bets down at the moment in part because, well, not a ton of lines out there in some of the betting services that I'm using, particularly draft Kings, doesn't have almost anything up right now, which is a little frustrating in some respects.
So I have no action down at the moment.
I'm going to be building as we go to this card.
I'm like, here's the stuff that I'm interested or want to do.
One of those things is Max Holloway has a parley piece.
I think that he's a good leg on that even at this price.
I do think he's going to win cleanly.
I'm also really interested in the max points bet.
Whatever, I'm not sure what the points line's going to come out.
I would assume that it's going to be more than five and a half,
just because of how big this straight number is.
But there's a world where zombie can make it to the final scorecard.
And given what happened with Wiley last weekend,
I'm a little hesitant about inside the distance bet for Max here.
So I'm kind of looking at a max point bet.
depending on the price in the line there.
A max by unanimous decision is plus 180.
Max minus five and a half points is minus 450.
Really?
Yeah.
That is, I thought it, I thought we'd be closer to minus three.
That is a hefty number.
I mean, I'm not going to double parlay max.
So I guess we'll just be doing Max Holloway as a parley piece.
That's such a big number.
Wow, I'm surprised by that.
I wonder what they'd give me on,
they don't have it on any of the books,
but Max Holloway, round four, five, or decision.
Because I actually agree with you.
I think we're overrating a little bit
the washness of Korean zombie.
I know he's on his way out.
But Max Holloway didn't fare that much better
against Alexander Volcanozky in their last fight.
He got walloped.
And then if you just look at Max Holloway,
like one, two, three, four, five, six, seven,
eight straight decision victories.
Or eight straight fights that have gone to a decision.
All of them five rounders.
I was going to say, are all of these five rounders?
I think they all are.
They are literally all five rounders.
So, like, him going to a decision with zombie and outstriking him 225 to 160 would not surprise me at all.
Yeah, wouldn't shock me.
And I'll also say this for zombie.
This is, I believe, supposed to be his retirement fight, his final fight.
He's going to come in with everything he's got because this is the last time he has to do it.
And I think that that can get him there.
I sort of like where your heads at.
I am seeing Holloway in round five or by decision at plus 120.
So that is something that's a little more intriguing.
I wonder what they give me.
Because it's not like Max is an early finisher usually either.
Yeah.
Yeah, right.
I mean, he's had 14 straight fights go over one and a half.
That's a little tease there that I will also be paring.
Don't be worrying that over one and a half is just such a classic Connor Burke's men.
That's absolutely.
getting parlayed up
into a little prop parlay
I also did parlay up Max Holloway
got them at minus 700
so a little bit different from where the market's at now
not by a ton and the over one and a half is minus
425 that's still sitting at that
okay that's a
that's great parley piece
yeah I'm I'm looking forward to that one
I think I think I got a couple other ones that
that should be able to hit
as well
Um, so yeah, I feel like we're kind of in alignment on, on this main event.
What's a max over one and a half?
A little same game parlay action.
Ooh, okay.
Let's see what a max.
SGB?
Let's see what a max same game parlay gets us.
I imagine it's not going to be too huge.
I'm sure it's not a great, like, yeah, but.
But, I mean, we can always see.
Max Holloway and the over one and a half minus 250.
I might just do that instead of doing a double parley action.
I like that and that's not an awful price.
Max Holloway and the over two and a half minus 150.
That's also pretty good.
That's a tempting price right there.
That is starting to speak my language.
He has not had a fight go under two and a half since Charles Oliverer, 2015.
14 straight.
Mine is 150.
I think, you know what?
I think we're going to say I'm going to take that SGP.
I think I'm hopping in on that, too.
Look at us.
We're talking our way into bets.
That's how you know this is a good gambling show.
I'm going nice and exposed on Max Holloway and it going decently long, because I've already parlayed up the over one and a half, and I've already parlayed up Max Holloway.
So let's add it.
Let's add it right now.
Why not?
Increase exposure.
plus over two and a half minus 150 in we go i'll just do because i'm already pretty exposed i'll just do a nice
to win one unit and there it is boom i love i love what we're accomplishing right now got a couple
same game parlays this week like that we just talked our way into that bad boy uh that's for later
though that's actually in the boxing room we'll get into that let's go to the co-main event light heavy
way about anthony smith the lion heart taking on ryan superman spank
right now Ryan Span can be had for the price of my computer froze.
I want to say it's like minus 130.
Minus 130, Anthony Smith plus 110.
Yeah, like in my head I'm like, man, I should bet Ryan Span.
I feel like he's at the better point in his career.
But then I'm also like, he did get finished in the first round last time out.
He did fight Anthony Smith less than two years ago.
I mean, essentially two years ago at this point.
Got finished in the first round then.
And I feel like I just stay away.
Like, I don't really want to put my money in Anthony Smith and trust him where he's at right now.
His last couple of appearances in the Octagon hasn't given me a ton of faith.
So I ultimately decided to stay away from the money line.
I think that is just an incredibly responsible way to approach this fight.
I am pretty much with you on it.
I'm really interested in Anthony Smith, not quite at this price, though.
The number hasn't been moving better for him.
When I saw him at the start of this week, he was straight up even money.
He's up to plus 110.
That number gets to like 150.
I will have to jump on it.
Outside of the fact that he's already beaten Ryan Span, you know this.
We talked about this the last time out for Ryan Span.
I was very in on the Ryan Span train coming off to Dominic Reyes.
when he was like,
I started actually training the fight.
And I was like,
that's it.
This guy is the new thing.
And then Nikita Krillov just sort of hustled him on the mat.
Well,
if you remember,
I think we might have both been on sub round one there
at like a wild number,
like plus 1100.
And God,
he had a guillotine locked up for like six seconds.
Like my heart was pounding out of my chest.
And then of course,
that's his move too.
Yeah,
yeah, yeah.
Yeah,
that fight has me concerned.
on the other side.
So I understand your concerns about Anthony Smith and I share them.
That's why I can't feel confident here.
And I think that's why the price is where it's at.
But I do think Anthony Smith still has a pretty clear advantage on the ground.
And I think Anthony Smith also is going to come into this fight, rightly understanding that this is it.
Like this is his career.
If he loses this one, might as well retire.
There's nothing left to do in the sport.
He had a great career.
So I feel like he is going to win this.
this fight, I think he should win this fight.
The question is whether he is washed or not.
Not certain.
If the number, at this number, I'm not ready,
even though I think this is at least a 50-50 fight,
so you get into touch a value on him,
that number gets a little higher plus 130.
I'm probably going to take a play on him.
It feels kind of a personal fight too.
Anthony Smith has talked a lot of shit about Ryan Span
since their last meeting.
I believe his words were,
Ryan Span is my bitch forever and he knows it.
Well, that's going to change hard if Anthony Smith don't back them words up.
I was also going to say, man, I feel like Ryan Span, whether you beat him in the first round or not,
isn't a guy that you really want to say that too.
But we'll find out on Saturday.
I did parlay up.
It's in the over one and a half.
Parlayed up the under two and a half.
I was about to say, I can't believe you don't have action on this fight.
You have to be betting an under fight.
fight doesn't go to the distance prop or whatever.
What does that line out?
Because I don't see it anywhere.
Minus 360.
Minus three for under two and a half?
Under two and a half, minus 360.
Yeah, I think that's a terrific bet.
As infuriating as the Johnny Walker, Anthony Smith fight was,
I got to go back to the well because Ryan Span is Johnny Walker taken to the nth degree.
I mean, Johnny Walker finishes fights.
Ryan Span finishes fights and gets finished in fights, 10 of his 12 U.S.
So it's under the two and a half, six straight fights ending in the very first round.
So, yeah, I think that one's going to be chaotic.
I, as a pick, I'm not going to bet it as a pick.
I'm going to say Ryan Span gets it done.
I think that's the case is obvious.
So I won't be shocked if that goes down.
I think I'm also just a little heart from Ryan Span being so high on him against Krilov.
And then that happened to burn.
Getting burnt, you know, makes you check yourself.
No, such a moment.
There was, Ryan Span almost, his nickname is Superman.
He almost became a hero for me.
Had he gotten that choke.
I had like, dude, I had like 0.4 units on it.
And it was like a plus a thousand price tag.
Like, it was going to be a nice, nice one.
But we talked about at the time.
You bet a sub prop so it can't win.
Yeah.
It can't win.
John.
John.
John.
That's why Zhang didn't get the finish because I bet the subprone.
Honestly, I didn't even think about that.
You're absolutely right.
That was alive a couple times, a couple times.
And there's nothing like having a big sub prop,
and they get in the position to get a submission,
and the heart just starts pounding.
Heart just starts pounding.
We need to test this out.
Like, the next time Jelton-Almeda fights,
you need to bet Al-Meda by sub,
just so we can see if it really is a curse that can't be broken.
Well, we'll get to do that in November
when he takes on Curtis Blades down in Brazil.
Let's keep it rolling here.
To get him for Al-Meda coming.
For sure.
Featherway bout.
You may have heard of the sex cult nexium and the famous actress who went to prison for her involvement, Alison Mack.
But she's never told her side of the story until now.
People assume that I'm like this pervert.
My name is Natalie Robamed.
And in my new podcast, I talked to Allison to try to understand how she went from TV actor to cult member.
How do you feel about having been involved in bringing sexual trauma at other people?
I don't even know how to answer that question.
Alison after nexium from CBC's Uncover is available now on Spotify.
Giga Chikaze returning.
Last time we saw him in the Octagon, January of 2022, he's going to take on Alex Casaris.
Right now, Giga, a decent-sized favorite, sitting at minus 250, Casares coming back, plus 210.
Man, I wanted to play Giga.
Like, I think he has a decent advantage on the feet.
Georgians supporting Georgians out here in these streets.
But shit, man, we haven't seen him in 20 months.
and like he got a
he got a beat down put on him by cater
I think he's going to win this fight
if he was like minus 160
I would be like yeah let's back giga
at minus 250 though
like that's smart of you
I'm gonna be dumb and I'm gonna
I'm gonna parlay him up
I think of points is that too crazy
I don't hate that at all
what's the points line
uh even money plus a hundred
That's not a bad bet
Might be better than this
Maybe I'll do that instead
Like I'm tentatively looking at parlaying him with Max
And one other person
But yeah
I just I've never been sold
And Alex Casas
I know that he's on a hell of a run right now
Yeah
I'm the same way
Like yeah full credit to him
I mean he's lost to Sadiq Usif in the last like five years
Or something insane
But
Gigi Katsi is just a much superior strong
and I don't think Casares really has the tools to get Giga down and he's just going to get kicked
a bunch and that's probably going to be bad for him.
So I feel, I know the long layoff.
I understand the reasons.
I feel like we're getting a bit of a buy low price at Giga.
Certainly towards my expectations of this fight.
So I think I'm going to use him as a parlay piece.
But maybe I'll just take the points back because I don't hate that at all.
Yeah.
We will see what happens.
Good to have Giga back.
Hopefully you can put it on it.
a good performance and get back in the wind column.
We keep it rolling.
Bantamway bow, Rina Nakamura, taking on Fernie Garcia.
Rina, huge favorite, minus 800.
Fernie coming back plus 550.
If you don't know, Rini Nakamura came from Road to UFC,
him along with Tatsuro Taira, two fantastic Japanese prospects in the UFC,
Nakamura world-class wrestler
but also has nasty knockout power
Got a knockout in less than 45 seconds
in his UFC debut
And I just
I feel like he's going to win this fight
I think if he wants to take it to the mat
He can take it to the mat
If he wants to stand and trade with Fernie Garcia
He can stand and trade with him
I think he's got multiple paths to victory
And I think he's going to get this one done
And he's likely going to get the finish
And I know Garcia is tough
But it feels like it's a bad matchup for him
and the odds indicate that.
Yeah, man, I'm on chalk all day this week.
I'm always a sucker for somebody who is this level of wrestler.
And then shown that ability in the cage too, right?
I mean, coming off road to the UFC where he looked unbelievable with that finish.
But, I mean, the rest of his sort of shoe tow career and stuff,
talking about a dude who was, you know, like a U-20 world champion or something insane.
Yeah.
23.
Yeah.
Think about all the love we give to NCAA national champions and how highly we praise those.
Realistically, that means that they are a national champion.
Being an NCAA champion is just you're the best wrestler in the United States under 23 or whatever.
This dude is the best in the world.
Like that's just nuts.
I'm very high on him.
I don't even hate.
It's probably a sucker bet to bet minus 800 on a.
dude with seven pro-MMA fights, but that's what we are.
We're a sucker.
I'm a sucker and a half here.
We're suckers.
I parlayed Rine you up with Halloween.
I have one more piece to that to get it close to even money.
Yeah, you said it.
World U23 champion in 2017 and then follows it up, goes to the World Cup in Iowa and wins a bronze medal.
So, I mean, dude is talented.
And then when you see him laying the leather on people like he does,
it's pretty damn impressive, I have to say.
Boom.
Dude, we are cruising.
Look at us go.
We are cruising, yes.
Parlayed up, Rina.
I also parlayed up the under two and a half.
I think he's going to get this one done.
I think he's going to get Fernie out of there.
That's the last leg of the parlay of the prop parlay.
That has Span Smith under two and a half in Holloway over one and a half.
I'm trying to look at another same game parlay.
It might be.
it might be a bit crazy
but I can't get it up
now I'm interested today I know
I'm trying to here we go
let's go
same game parley Rina
and the
under two and a half
and minus 250 I was I was expecting
a touch better than that
but we move on
people's main event
women's flyway bout
Aaron Blanchfield Tyler Santa
People's main event for sure.
This is a big matchup here, man.
The minimum, the people's co-main event.
I don't have no idea why this is buried in the main card.
Title Eliminator?
Undeniably, a title Eliminator.
Undeniably, it.
Closely lined right now, you can have Aaron Blanchfield,
minus 142, Tyler Santos coming back, plus 120.
I'm torn here on who's going to win.
Honestly, Blanchfield's looks like, oh, I love this then.
You have a confident side.
So confident.
Wow. I mean, Blanchfield's looked like a freight train. That is undeniable of late.
Molly McCann and Jessica Androge, though, now we see that both of them are not on the best runs.
Santos, haven't seen her since the Schifchenko fight.
Looked good. Lost a very close split decision.
I mean, technically, if you want to talk about, she technically won a three-round fight against Schenko.
I don't see why she couldn't do it to Blanchfield here, but I just don't know.
I'm just going to sit back and enjoy this.
I love to hear your confidence.
I believe that Aaron Blanchfield is the best female fighter currently on the planet today.
The best fighter out of anyone.
Yeah, I mean, not based on accomplishments, you know, certainly.
Count for pound one.
My pound for pound number one.
John.
Over John.
Yeah, over John.
Not based on accomplishments, not saying that, certainly.
But as far as relative to their peers, I think that she is.
I just think she's the best fighter in the world.
And I would not put her above Amanda Nunes, but Amanda retired.
So here we are.
And I would not have put her above Valentina, but then Valentina lost.
And so that's sort of where we are.
I think that this woman is a champion in waiting, and Tyler Santos had a terrific performance
and is a very, very good fighter.
And I think that that is simply not going to matter because they are playing different sports.
I love this price.
I was not expecting this price on Blanchfield
because Blanchefield is such a darling of, you know,
the MMA media and that space.
And again, maybe I'm a sucker.
Wouldn't be shocked.
But I don't think you would be a little bit shocked.
You'd have to be a little bit shocked.
I would be surprised.
If you think she's the greatest,
I don't be shocked if I'm an idiot.
I'll be surprised if she loses,
but I won't be shocked if she loses.
I'm like, oh, I guess I'm just dumb.
Okay, obviously.
I'm an idiot.
I see what you're saying.
No, I see what you're saying.
But, yeah, I think I'm just all in, and I am of the opinion that we are basically
never going to get this price tag on Aaron Blanchfield again, and I sure would like to have
it now.
So, contemplated, honestly, coming into this week and just being like, hey, I've got one
bet.
It's all in on Blanchfield.
but the last time we did that great things didn't happen.
So we might double up on Blanchfield, you know, give a little double stack on this,
but I love her chances this weekend.
Alexa Grasso, currently the pound for pound number one.
According to who, not according to MMAFund.com.
This is the UFC rankings.
This is the UFC rankings.
That makes sense because I assume she moved to two after beating Valentina,
and then when Amanda retired, I guess that makes.
makes sense. It's a little bit disrespectful to Wiley, but sure. To me, it feels like it's Wiley
right now, dude. The way that she's smack down. That's who I have. That's who M.A.Fighting.com
has is the number one pound for pound rank female fighter in the world. All right. Jedd loves Blanchfield.
Blanchefield, is this a couldn't believe the line we're getting? I'm pretty surprised by the line.
What was it last week?
Was it Wydenman?
I was pretty surprised by Wyden, too.
As I said, I won't be shocked if I'm an idiot.
Listen, dude.
What if I've been dumb?
We are not saying that we are smart.
That is something that people need to understand.
If it's your first time listening, we are suckers.
We are the squares that everyone talks about, and we're proud of it.
We're okay with it.
It's fun.
I am who I am.
I have to say, it's one of the best bits going right now.
the, I can't believe this line and then the line loses.
It's a great bit.
Like I said, I'm really surprised at this line less because of my confidence and more because
it feels like everyone I talk to is in love with Aaron Blanchfield.
And I guess the gambling public is not of the same thought because I don't know.
Like, Tyler Santos hadn't fought in a hot minute either.
Like, it's been a lot.
We were just talking about that with Giga.
Santos hadn't fought in over a year.
like at santo blanchefield is on such a rise i just thought we'd be getting a higher number so
uh bet tylus santos because we know what's going to happen now yeah i mean what you're saying is
i mean it's a fact i mean she is uh she is on a hell of a run right now um so and you should all bet
thylos Santos because i we know the outcome now the same way of connor's going to bet on a sub prop
just get on the other end of it.
I am now surprised by a betting line.
You should be on the other side of it.
All right.
Let's keep it rolling on the main card.
Heavyweight bout junior taffa taking on Parker Porter.
Right now you can have junior toffa.
Forte price of minus 142.
And Parker Porter coming back at plus 120.
Kind of dirty to do Parker Porter like this and give him the other taffa brother.
But here we are.
It's rude.
Right, you know?
A little bit of rude.
A little bit rude.
Yeah, I think Junior Taffa is going to clip him.
Parker Porter does not lose by decision.
And, I mean, if it goes to a decision, he's winning.
That's for damn sure.
But typically he gets finished, been knocked out four times in his career.
I think it's going to happen again here.
Don't think Porter's going to be able to take down Taffa.
And then if it stays standing, like the kickboxing pedigree of Taffa and the knockout power,
I think he's going to find Porter's choice.
Yeah, the only analysis I needed of this fight in general was, well, he already lost to one Tafa.
Why not make it too?
I'm with you on it.
Parker Porter is a person that a lot of MMA people are greatly amused by.
I am one of them.
My hope here is he can at least make this a long fight because got two heavyweight overs.
Parker Porter has historically been pretty good in the heavyweight over game.
Junior Taffa a little bit less so
that he's coming off that Moe Usman one earlier this year
which chalked up a W for us
so we're going to hope that he keeps that going
but I'm like you I think Junior Taffa's going to get the dub
I'm going to be taking the heavyweight over
and we'll go from there.
All right, sweet.
I am on Junior Taffa by knockout plus 105.
I think that's how he gets it done.
Let's move to the prelims and let's move quickly.
Waldo Cortez Acosta taken on Lucas
Brett.
ski right now waldo minus 250 bretsky plus 205 i got nothing here i'm assuming you're on the over
i mean you got to be on the over but uh and i will say god love him because he has been just a
godson for us wca has is the man for which heavyweight overs have have been the happiest for
three for three in the ufc uh love it hope that that continues lougas bruce
Redskey, pulling him up right now.
I mean, he's also been a pretty good heavyweight over guy, which is why I'm sure the
price won't be great.
I don't know what the price is, though.
Don't see any over under this anywhere.
So I'm sure the over two and a half is going to be minus one, minus 125.
Minus 125.
Smash it.
Smash it.
Over two and a half, smash it.
All right.
Let's keep it rolling.
Men's ban some weight out.
Toshiyomi, Kazama, Garrett, Armfield.
Right now you can have Kazan.
For the price tag of minus 166.
Nope, Kazama plus 140.
Armfield coming back, minus 166.
I feel like Kazama got pretty unlucky
getting the Rania Nakamura draw last time out.
I think this is a much more winnable fight.
Someone's going to get their first UFC win,
but I will not be betting on it.
Yeah, just talk about this all the time.
Like, guys are relatively low in their experience
and kind of what we've seen from them can't do it, particularly they're both young.
They're both, what, like 25, something like that.
So I have very limited idea of what to expect from either, and thus we'll not be placing any wagers.
Marshall's buyers travel far and wide, hustling for great deals on amazing gifts, so you don't have to.
They've bagged this season's Italian leather handbags.
Designer.
Handpicked the finest sweaters from the rest.
Ooh, cashmere.
Landed makeup pallets from the brands you love.
Brushes too.
And hustled all those wishless topping toys.
So plush.
Our buyers have got you covered.
Marshals, we get the deals.
You gift the good stuff.
Unwrap holiday magic at Holt Renfrew with gifts that say I know you.
From festive and cozy fashion to Lux Beauty and Fragrant sets,
our special selection has something for every style and price point.
Visit our Holtz holiday shop and store or online at Holtrenfrew.com.
We move on to a middleweight bout
Chidi in Jokwani taking on
Mikal Olexeyechek
Right now you can have
Cheedy very closely lined fight for
minus 105
Oleg Seychek
minus 115
I also have nothing on this one
I don't have anything but
I am really really
interested in
in Chitty here
just because I like his style
the concern here
here is since dropping to middleweight Oleg Seych looked pretty good.
Kyle Borallio obviously is the most recent fight, but
Kyle Borallio is pretty good at fighting, and I don't think Chitty's quite at that level.
Got a lot of physical advantages, though.
Maybe we're getting a better price because he is coming off back-to-back losses.
So no bet, but I might talk myself into Chitty coming down the stretch here,
just as a superior striker and a guy who's looking at.
little more refined, a little more able to work in space, as opposed to Oloxatrix, throw everything
at the kitchen and the kitchen sink at you and see what sticks.
All right.
Let's keep it rolling on to a welterweight bout.
We have Kanan song taking on Rolando Badoia.
Right now, Rolando can be had for minus 325 song plus 260.
I am parlaying up Rolando.
I think he's just going to be too tough too.
quick.
Song, he had a decent performance against seeing Gary, but I mean, I just, almost took the
hype train off the tracks.
Almost did.
But, I mean, he's liable to get knocked out.
He relies a lot on his power to get wins, especially at this level.
And I just don't think, I think Rolando Badoia has, has too solid of a chin to let that
happen.
Yeah.
I don't know what else to add to this, honestly.
Kanaun Song had his show.
shot had his shot for glory for history and all things and didn't quite get it and now this
is probably just the world he's in where he's kind of stuck fighting dudes guy i mean plus bedoya
like bedoya i like what we're seeing for bedoya kids still incredibly young which is
nice like he's 25 right um chaos williams but what we saw an ffc if your thing coming in was
good and i think he's going to get his first first ufc win here
All right, we keep moving to another welterweight bout.
Usako Kinusita taking on Billy golf, another very young guys.
Another Japanese prospect in Kinosita, though, he did not have a great debut against Adam Fujit.
A lot of young pups on this card, eh?
Yeah, a lot of young pups.
I'm not on a side.
Ineshita, 2000, the year 2000.
That's scary to hear.
That's scary to hear.
That is concerning.
We are old.
We are very old.
I'm on the under here.
I mean, Kineshita, killer be killed, as we've seen,
never been over the two and a half in his pro and amateur career,
spanning across 12 fights.
Then Billy Golf is a dog as well.
I mean, seven of his 10 have gone under the two and a half.
I think both these guys are not the most defensively sound.
I think they both have finishing capabilities.
I think similar to Kineshita's debut, I think someone is going to.
get put out.
I can't argue with that.
I have no action on this fight.
I'm testing this new idea where maybe you just don't bet on fighters who have less than
10 fights.
That's just no.
There's probably science behind that.
There's a reason pay-per-view cards have become my most bet cards and typically are my
most successful cards as well.
It's usually because we have the most information on those fights.
Yeah.
And it's good information.
It's not watching grainy foot.
of some smoker in, you know, Des Moines
and trying to see if this kid's good
or what the dude's fighting was good.
It's just like, I've watched this dude fight 10 times in the UFC.
I'm pretty sure I know what he's about,
and we can make an educated guess about what's going to happen here.
Just a couple more here, women's flyway bout.
Na Liang, taking on JJ Aldrich.
Woo!
Mine is 520, JJ Aldrich.
Sign me up.
I'm rushing to the window for that.
This is what good bets are made of.
This is what good bets are made of.
You want to know what good bets are made of?
A women's flyway bout with a minus 525 favorite.
Is it coming up back-to-back losses?
Has 12 of her 17 fights go over two and a half.
And it's a women's fly-a-bought-out.
And I'm going to play the under at chalk minus 155.
Wow.
Certainly on this.
Yes.
Betting on J.J. Haldrick fight,
to hit the under.
She has not done that in a while, I think.
So unfortunately, I'm not betting on JJ Aldrich,
on a JJ Aldrich fight to hit an under.
I'm betting on a Naliang fight to hit an under.
Just looking back on last week,
I cannot believe I missed out on a Karini silver.
On a Karini Silva under at plus 110.
I looked at it on Friday.
I was like, man, that's plus 110.
Like, I feel like I should play that.
Didn't play it?
And then looking back, I was like,
Why did I not play that?
She doesn't go to decisions.
I knew I'd regret it if I didn't take this one.
Yeah, you said a lot of first rounds.
Nile Young, 25 fights, 24, under the two and a half.
Just pulled up her resume.
It's like, let me see it.
Oh, wow, that is so many R-1s next to her name.
She is kill or be killed.
So I will be on the under.
I'm assuming your J.J. Aldrich straight, empty the bank account.
You know, I thought about including your...
in a parlay full of people I'm confident in like Max Holloway and Regina Akamara.
And then I was like, what if I only do some stupid bets instead of all the stupid bets this
week?
So I will not be betting her at this current price.
Last but not least, a men's featherweight bout, Sung Wu choice taking on Jarno Arons.
Right now, you can have S-W-C-minus 175.
Charno Aaron's coming back at plus 145, and I can tell you this much.
I will not be playing Sungwu Choi.
I can no longer trust him.
He has been a favorite of almost minus 200 or bigger his last three fights.
And guess what he is 0 and 3 in those?
And guess what again?
I think I was on him every single time.
That is.
Ouch, that hurts.
Ouch.
And here we are again.
He's minus 175.
No way.
Absolutely not.
Could be your biggest lock of the center.
I'm not doing it.
I don't trust them.
I respect you learning a lesson.
It took you three times.
He's taught it to me.
But I respect you learning a lesson.
He's taught it to me.
You got any action here?
No, for all the reasons I got in a broad thought.
I'd be like, yeah, it's probably going to be Troy.
And then it's like, actually, I cannot trust this man with a dollar.
So that's, yeah.
Kind of the undercard on this event.
I like this card a lot more than I think I maybe expected to.
There's some really high spots in it.
But then you do sort of get some of that.
All right, the UFC's going to Singapore.
They're going to fill it up a little regionally.
Some of these fights are just fights that mean nothing.
Certainly the prelims are not filled with stuff that I'm trying to get action down on, you know.
Yeah.
It's always cool when they go to a country like Singapore too.
But yeah.
The vibe should be great.
Oh, yeah.
The more random places they can go, the better.
Like, I'm going to keep banging that drum.
UFC Nova Scotia.
Let's get the promotion back there.
I mean, why be going to Montana soon, so.
Oh, baby, pay-per-view in Montana.
What a day that'll be.
Shout out.
Shout out to O'Malley, bro.
Two other things I have.
I think I'm Sadi-Bousai tomorrow in PFL minus 150.
Six straight wins, including one over Carlos Lierl.
He's definitely going to be Carlos Sala.
Carlisian missed weight.
It feels like last week they,
they gave me Larissa Pacheco minus 150 by knockout.
She got it done in 15 seconds.
I can't believe they gave you a minus 150.
I can't believe I didn't put more.
I did to win one unit.
That's an outrageous price I've ever heard.
It closed at like minus 220.
I was like nice.
Still an outrageous price.
And then the fight happened and I was like,
I could have retired.
I could have retired off that.
So yeah, I'll be on Saudi Boussailles minus 150,
a little Wednesday night of action here in NYC.
And then in boxing,
the other same game,
parlay I have
Olexander Usoc taking on
Daniel Du Bois.
I am on Usoc in the over
4.5 minus 2.25.
I just don't think
Ousick is losing this fight. He's just too
skilled. He's really not that undersized
here. Only way he's losing
it is if he gets caught,
which I think he is
more than defensively sound enough to not do
that. And then 12 straight
and 15 of his last 16
have gone over the 6 and
a half. I just need him to get to the
four and a half.
Dubois, he does not go long.
That is the worry here.
He does not go long at all.
But in the one time that he lost when he was outclass, when he's outskilled, went to the
10th round.
So he's tough.
He's durable.
And Ossick just, he doesn't have that like blast your chin off power.
He's much more TKOU.
So I think this makes it in past the four and a half.
Usik gets the win.
I'm bringing Ousick down from like minus 1,200 to minus two fifth, uh, 225.
So I like that.
I'm going to put Uccic in my chalk parlay with Nakamura.
and Holloway and probably Chikaze.
I thought, dude, I thought about...
I thought about Nakamura, Holloway,
and Usoc and playing the biggest chalk gunky,
like minus 275, three-leggar,
but I decided against it.
I honestly don't even hate that.
I think that that's just a very good bet.
I feel confident all three are going to win.
And that's that.
That's that! People, UFC, Singapore, in the books!
I mean, fantastic.
I'll win Paris next week.
I mean, this is, this was nice and tight.
We got a hard out, but we kept it nice and tight.
We got a hard out, and so we had to keep it nice and tight.
Let me pull your coat just on PFL for one more minute.
I do think the Sada Bousai, I actually really like that bet.
I think he's pretty clearly going to beat Carlos Liao, particularly with Liao missing weight.
I mean, Sada Bousai been going to a lot of decisions,
and when you miss weight in the tournament bout in the PFL, you lose a point.
So Sada Bousai is all getting a bump as it stands here.
A point in the match.
So you get a point.
So there is a world, like, let's say he wins.
It's a point deducted from Laowal.
So he doesn't get an extra point.
No, no.
But technically he does get an extra point.
So like he's...
He gets a functional point.
A point is deducted from Laos should it go to a decision.
So even if he loses round one, it's 9-9.
It's a 9-9.
Wow, that's huge.
It's a very, very big thing.
There's already been a point deduction in the line like has not moved.
I'd say that that's the thing is I don't think that that line has moved.
So I like that side-by-line.
decision given where he's at um would be sort of interested in those part that whoa i like that
i like that great insight there jet great insight sometimes i have a good one but you know he's he's got
his last two fights i think are finishes but big stretch of decisions yeah big stretch of decisions
before this including uh the decision over carlos leal last year so i think aside about side by decision
might be okay, particularly with what we talked about.
I'm curious about Shane Burgos, Clay Collard, because...
Oh, man.
I just don't know that Shane Burgos should be the favorite.
Am I crazy here?
Remember when you're capping this, when you're setting a line in your head,
it is taking place in New York.
And we all know about Big Apple Burgos.
Oh, my goodness, you're right.
We all know about Big Apple Burgos.
I didn't even think about it.
You're right.
Walking it back, I'm going to bet on Shane Burgos said.
What are we putting on Shane Burgos?
Big Apple Burgos.
This is what we had to talk this through.
I didn't even think about it.
You're 100% right.
I'll be adding a Big Apple Burgos bet at minus 130.
That couldn't most confident better the weekend now.
Yeah.
Now that you brought that up.
Yep.
Yep.
Oh, fantastic.
I got to get that in because that's tomorrow night, right?
What is he had?
Is he six and oh?
Is he?
I think he was 5 and 0 heading into the most recent one.
but I did like an obnoxious tweet about it. Let's see. Big Apple Burgos.
There I am. Yep. No, he was 6 and 0 heading into the last one. He is now 7 and 0 in the state of New York, and that is where.
I don't know what other stats you want from us beyond that. Minus 1.30? That's just, that's a steal at that price.
Incredible. Incredible. All right. Anything else? That's it. I've got to run. You've got to run. We've all got to run. We've all got to run.
Enjoy UFC Singapore, the Ucic fight, PFL on Wednesday night.
Make sure to tune in.
Jed rocking the PFL shirt, shout out.
We'll see you next week.
O'Revoir.
We're heading to Paris.
See you that.
Couple of your people on Paris.
Go be fun.
Love you.
