MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Going All Out For UFC 276 With Bets On Every Single Fight

Episode Date: June 29, 2022

It's the biggest weekend of the MMA year with International Fight Week going down in Las Vegas, and as such, the No Bets Barred boys are bringing you their biggest episode ever. Both Conner and Jed have bets on EVERY SINGLE FIGHT taking place at UFC 276 — and they're joined by New York Ric to talk through their glorious excesses and get his best betting plays as well. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Support for this show comes from the Audible Original, the downloaded two, ghosts in the machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudullian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprise his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible Original Blockbuster. The Downloaded, it's a thought-provoking sci-by journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking, what are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?

The Downloaded 2. Ghosts in the Machine. Available now, only from Audible. Listening to the Vox Media Podcast Network. He's going on, y'all. We are back with what guarantees. I think I can guarantee that this is going to be the best episode. yet of no bets barred we are here to preview ufc 276 one of if not the biggest card of the year to date it's international fight week as always i am joined alongside jed meshew but we got the superstar

the powerhouse the man himself new york rick alongside us to help break down this card what is going on guys what's up it's a pleasure to be here thank you for having me um i want to do uh extend my my presence and and give you guys a ratings boost so here I am to provide that look that only wanted you rickie we wanted to say not only the ratings boost but like i mean we needed you on this card i mean we got 12 fights and i would say 11 of them are must watch fights yeah they're all great and that's why rick you should feel special because you you are our first true guess we had a k leon last week but that was really more just a continuation of me needing some co-host while Connor was running around the globe. So you're our first true guest who's going to

be here, Pillar to post the whole show. And I can't think of anybody better for this occasion. I am truly honored. Let's do it. Let's do it. A quick recap of last week, Jed didn't get the Neil Magny by decision. Surukin lost. Didn't even get close, by the way, on the Neal Magny by decision. I guess you'd rather lose bad than like it'd go to like a controversial split. Oh, immediately. We talked about it at the last. week, you know, I was, I knew immediately that I was dead and was like, all right, well, uh, I didn't want to bet this. And then we were talking about it. And then I just said, screw it. I'll pull the trigger. And then that's why you don't do things like that, uh, because it was a bad

bet. Yeah, we're also bums for not doing the, uh, the fight doesn't go to a decision in, uh, you know, fight of the year candidate, Parisian versus Bodeau. Uh, we should have rode that together. I'm really disappointed I'm not pressuring you more on that. Look, we mistakes are made last week, but that's okay, you know, the, the best thing that happened to me last week is that both legs of my parley failed. So at least it wasn't like, oh, I can't believe Gagard Musassi's the one who screwed up the bed. I was like, actually both of them screwed. So, you know, I feel better. I actually had a lot of that.

Cody Law screwed me out of two parlayes. I actually would have had a really good week. I had Cody Law. The man that closed at minus 900 just got it done on the Bellator prelims. He got 3026, though. That was sick. A lot of upsets last week. Yeah.

You got to witness, PFL, Migo, 0 for 4 on a violence parlay in that heavy wits. It was unbelievably funny. You messaged me while it was happening. I'm sitting in the back like, you know, doing work, recording stuff and working through things and just pull up slack and he's like, tough night. Yeah. I mean, tough, tough night, tough night, especially after Gagar got rocked. All right. Enough of the last week, though.

It was a tough week for both of us. Let's move on UFC 276. What better way to bounce back? Then on International Fight Week with our guy New York, Rick, alongside us. Let's get it started. You know, if you're listening to this, I'm just going to go ahead and say, strap in. Me and Jed, we both got a bite.

Buggle up. We made bad choices. We both have a bet on every single fight. So we're either going down heavy with our ships or we're going to be riding high. In all actuality, we're going to have like 19 bets. And we're going to end up like 0.2 units on the weekend. And it's going to be like we never even bet in the first place. But we're going to have fun along the way.

I'm going to be perfect. I'm not going to miss a bet. this week. I'm going to go right now I think I have 14 bets down. I'm going to try and find more while we're going. Yes. Because we were joking about it beforehand. When you told me that you had a bet on every fight on the car, I was like, so do I. Well, now I've got a one-up you. I'm going to find two bets for every fight on the card. So I might be coming in late on some over-unders here just to up my numbers even more. So buckle up kids, because this is going to be a ride. I got it. I mean, I love it. Let's do it. Let's get right into it. The

main event, the middleweight title fight of the world in the UFC. It is Israel Adasania. Going up against Jared Canaanier, Adasania currently sitting at minus 400, Canineer, coming back at plus 310. Fight goes the distance minus 110. Fight does not go the distance at minus 120. I'll kick it off. I think that Israel Adasania is going to win this fight. I used him as a parlay piece. I did by K.O. or by decision at minus 260. He's never got a submission in in his MMA career. And Canineer has never been submitted, so I'm willing to take that price shop from 400 down to minus 260,

you know, on the off chance that there is a submission. I just don't think that's going to happen. Canineer, I mean, is he in this fight because he is fully deserving and he's the second best mental weight in the world, and he's on the precipice of becoming the champion? Or is it because Israel Adasanias 4-0 against Robert Whitaker and Marvin Matori? I just think Adasania is going to outclass him here. I think the only way the Canaanier wins is with the power shot.

And what does Izzy do exceptionally well? Avoid the power. I really think Adasania is just going to avoid the power, work on them over the five rounds, and maybe even get a finish in this. Ricky, how about you before I get in on here? Tell us your thoughts. I want to get you involved since you're our guest. We should have said we should have let the guest.

That's actually incredibly rude to me. And Rick has been a truth of Adasanya since the early days. This is... Speak your truth, Rick. This is true. This is true. Appreciate the courtesy, but I'm going to have to just echo everything that G.C. said. I think Adasania is going to outclass him.

I think this is a bad style matchup for Canineer. Like, he's just going to... His path to victory is getting into a striking battle with the superior striker. Probably the best striker in this division. One of the best strikers in UFC. and all of MMA. So tough, tough road for him. I don't love punchers chances and I definitely don't love punchers chances against guys this technically sound as there's Israel-Aisanya and somebody who kind of like almost revels in 50-45ing people. He's not one of these people that like chases the finish

in stupid ways. He revels in the idea of like blanking people and it doesn't seem to hurt his stock. I do think there's a potential for a finish here though. I do think that it's just going to be too long a time of Jared Kennedy or standing in front of Israel. you might be able to finish him. Finish him. But my last couple of bets on Israel, Adasanya, have been by decision. I would probably lean that way again.

But I think there's an opportunity for a finish if you're feeling frisky. Well, thank God I'm feeling frisky. So I have a couple of bets down on this fight. Let's go. Before I did any of this, I want to pull back the curtain, to be honest with the listeners here, if what you're trying to do is maximize your bank account,

make the smartest best bets you possibly can time in and time out what you should do is just make an enormous bet on israel a disinia here and bet nothing else because he's going to win this fight uh he is only i think he's minus 390 now i got him in a parley at minus 365 either way like wherever he's at it's about an 80% win probability if he fought jared kennedy or a hundred times he's going to win 97 of them at least like it's it's It's just, that's not intended to be disrespectful to Jared Canoneer, but it's, what's Jared Canaaner's path to victory? Jared Canaaner is not as good at kickboxes as Israel as this and you.

That's just it. Like, he's, he's not going to take him down. He can maybe be competitive on the feet at times, but like, one guy is really, like, legitimately world class at this, and one guy is, like, a pretty solid MMA fighter at this. Like, those are just not the same thing. And so it's... I want to echo what you said about he's not going to take him down.

I did some research on it. Yeah, can in here in 13 UFC fights. He only has two takedowns in his entire... He doesn't do it. He is physically smaller. I mean, he's thicker than Izzy, but he's giving up a few inches in reach, several inches in height,

and he is just not as technically able or sound. So there's not... There's just not a path... There are paths for him to have moments of success. but not sustained success. That's just not in the cards here. So I think honestly, the best safest bet of the whole weekend is just bet Izzy straight, and that is that's it.

The only bet better than that this weekend is a Kayla Harrison bet in the PSL. But other than that, like, that's as safe money as you can get with Izzy. Would you guys see, like, there's a game plan here that I don't think Jared Canineer has employed before that I could see having some success. I want to toss it out there. What do you think about a strategy of just like a Randy, tour, wall install, like, push him up against the cage. Because I will say, I think if there was one area where Israel has a deficiency,

it's in strength, right? Clearly better technician everywhere. Good takedown defense. I think we can say that at this point. Against people who are good at takedowns we've seen. I could see a world where Jared Kananir is the stronger fighter and just pressing him. Now, I think he's going to have to expose himself in a lot of different ways to be able to do that. but I could see that kind of strategy employed.

I agree with you, though. I think that he will have moments of that. But what do you feel about that potential weakness for Israel? It's really hard to, I mean, Jared Canaaner isn't Randy Coutor, who, you know, almost made a men's national team in Greco. Like, he's, there's just very different abilities. And it's really hard to do wall install for 25 minutes, especially because, like, honestly, I don't know that.

Canoneer is going to be able to track him down because this is too this is a pay-per-view. This is not the apex cage. Like this is a big cage. Canineer is not like the most fleet of foot dude. Like I honestly, I am supposed to be writing a pass to victory for this, uh, fight for MMAFiting.com. Incredible website. You should go go click on it right now if you haven't.

Not only a great website, fantastic socials as well. Oh, tremendous socials. What a mention. So I'm supposed to. be writing a past a victory that we should do for every pay-per-view. And I genuinely don't have one for Jared Cannon. Yeah, it's slim pickings. Yeah, I mean, I like the devil's advocate idea that Rick put out there. I mean, obviously it's an MMA fight, you know, Valentina Shepchenko. Like, we, we felt ultra-confident in her. Obviously, Tyler Santos, much more sound in getting takedowns. And that's

why it looked so bleak for a minute against Shepchenko. But I mean, yeah, with MMA fights, it is always nice to play devil's advocate. Like, what if we do get into halfway through the second round? And Canineer has just been clenching up Izzy the whole time and just wailing on him. But yeah, I tend to agree with our original statements that I think Adasanya is going to be able to avoid that. And I think Adasanya is going to get the win pretty soundly here. Yeah, I mean, the only way I think Canineer can make hay at all is to really dirty this fight up. I mean, Calvin Gaslam had some success,

but Kelvin Gaslam also has like one of the best chins in MMA. Yep. And that honestly played a lot into that fight because he was getting absolutely drilled and just recklessly coming forward. And Izzy would sit down on counters that should have stopped him, but is Calvin Gasolm. So he ate through him. Like, I just saw Canada get dropped by Brunson.

Like, we just saw Kennedy here get dropped by Brunson. Yeah, I don't think Canada can do that sort of same thing. And so that's going to lead me into the second bet. I have, as I said, I have Izzy. I think Izzy's the smartest bet this weekend, but I have him as a parlay piece. We'll talk about the other leg there later. But I also, I went ahead and took a shot on Izzy by K.O. It's a plus 165 at Draft Kings right now.

I think that there's a little bit of value there because I do think Jared Cannonier is not going to, he is not Marvin Vittori as far as durability goes. and I don't think he's going to play Yoel Romero sit back and try and counter the counter and it's just going to be this awful thing. I think he is going to try and get up in as he's chilly, and that's going to expose him to a lot of counter shots. And I especially think that as if that's not what happens, as the fight goes on, Canineer is going to push the action just because he will feel compelled to make something

happen and that's just going to open up counter opportunity. So I'm taking easy by Keo. I think he is going to show out in style on Jared Cananier. Yeah, I mean, I already mentioned I got the CO piece of Adasanya by CO or by decision. Grab that at minus 260. And then I also have a second parlay piece here. I did take the over one and a half. I do lean with you that I think Izzy has the potential to get a finish.

But I don't think that it comes in the first seven and a half minutes. So I parlayed that up at minus 350. I'll get to the second piece as we move along. Nice. Rick, you got any. Do you have any action down here, Rick? I don't, but I'll start tailing some of these. You're the number one Izzy stand and you don't have any action on Izzy.

Come on. You know, these days, you know, you buy a new house. The money goes there, but to have some fun. This can pay your mortgage with Israel. It's bankroll management. Can pay your mortgage. Yeah, I mean, judging by the weeks you guys had last week, it sounds like this is, this is very safe and this is how I get my house paid off.

Sound investments. In saying that. Unbelievably safe. That's what I'm all about. I'm going to, as we go, start. some of these that that pop out to me i'm gonna i'm gonna i'm gonna tell isy isy by k o tkoh oh that's for sure that's what's up yeah i think i'm gonna cook up a little just a disgusting guaranteed loser air fryer parlay this weekend uh oh i might i might have to just do a big

wild one just for yeah it's a super bowl and that was honestly coming into this week i made a lot more bets i normally would have there several bets i've got this weekend that i just like i normally wouldn't bet it but when i started adding up bets I wanted and I was like I can just get bets on every action and it's like I love to do this with the Super Bowl I'm not like I followed the NFL pretty closely but I'm not a huge fan I rarely bet it but the Super Bowl give me all the props I want the coin toss prop I want the

the Gatorade prop I want every bit of action because it just makes it more fun and that's what this week is about so we're gonna talk you into a bunch Eric that is that is the moral of my story we're one down let's go yeah I do typically have like 19 bets and on the Super Bowl and I have somewhere, you know, I have like 13 this week. Maybe I'll add a couple more. We'll find out. All right, that is the main event. Let's keep it moving. Next up, the co-main event of the evening. It is the men's featherweight title fight. We are going five rounds in this one if it lasts that long. Alexander Volcanowski going up against

Max Holloway. The trilogy fight, Volcanowski currently sitting at minus 195, Holloway coming back at plus 165. Fight goes the distance, minus 200. Fight does not go. going at plus 150. Ring around the Rosie, Jed, I will let you kick this one off. This is probably, I mean, arguably the best fight on the card just in general, because we've seen the other two fights. This is the most interesting gambling fight on the card to me because I am a firm believer that Alexander Volcanovsky is straight up better than Max Holloway.

I thought he won both fights. I thought even the first one I thought was very clear the rematch if you wanted to give that for Holloway I have no issues with it but I do think Volcanovsky edged out more importantly though I thought by the end of that fight Max's success stemmed from coming

into the fight within a completely different game plan and it took Volkanovsky a round and a half to adjust but by the time he actually adjusted I thought that that was it was pretty clear that he just has the style and the skill set and the adaptability to beat Maxx's Holloway. So I say all of that because I am picking Alexander Volcanovsky to win this fight,

but I am betting Max Holloway because Max Holloway as it stands right at this very moment on Draft Kings is where is he at? He is plus 165, which is the number I got him at, so it hasn't moved. He is plus 165. It's a 38% win probability. We've watched these two men fight and have very, very close, very competitive fights. And for as good as I think Volkanowski is, you know, if they fight 10 times, it wouldn't shock me at all if Max won four of them, or if they just split them down the middle of five, five apiece. And so even though I think Volk is going to win this fight, I think this number is just

a little too juiced on Holloway at plus 165. And so I took a bet on that. I also, I have a bet on fight goes two decision at minus 200. And I'm frankly strongly concerned. considering a Volk-by decision at plus 120, and then I just have action on both sides, and I will win regardless. But for now, I just have the fight goes to decision prop because they fought 50 minutes. Neither man stopped the other. I don't think that's changed anytime soon.

And Holloway is just too big an underdog. Like, this price is too big for him in a fight that is very, very close. So that's where I'm at. What about you, fellas? All right, I'll go. if you tune into the MMA hour, a great show on the MMA fighting network.

Such a great show. Just one of the best shows. You've taken everything I said on that show yesterday that I think this is Alex's fight to lose, but the value is on Max Holloway. This number doesn't make sense to me from seeing that second fight.

If you came away from that fight thinking that those two weren't like pretty much evenly matched and now you're getting Max Holloway at dog money. That has to be where the value is. I'm looking now. I'm seeing Max Holloway wins by split majority at like plus 1100. Now that is tasty. Which could be something a little bit tasty because I think if this goes to decision,

which I do think it will, it's going to be a close one. So judging by how the last couple of main events have gone and going to the judge's cards, that one could be tasty. Holloway by decision is not much better than the line. I mean, there's a little extra. I think it's $2.75 or something to that effect now, which is a little extra money for you if you're betting max and think he's going to get it done by decision.

But I might just take a flyer in this one because I don't, you know, I'm with you. I agree that I think it's Volk's fight, but the values on max. So I might just take a small flyer on max by split or majority decision. Well, that's my bet on Max is not a huge bet. I just put a half unit down because I do think Volk's going to win. But I'm going to be honest, I didn't even look at the split lines. And I am probably going to throw like a tenth of a unit on max to win by splitty. Because that's plus 1,100.

That is a tasty lick. That's tempting for me. And I'm already on Volk. An interesting note just looking at it. Volk closed at like minus 205 last fight. And I wouldn't be surprised if he closed it like almost the exact same number here in this one. Just a random note I was looking at. But I'm with you guys.

That's my point, though, is he's going to close about the same. And going to the cards on that last fight, would you rather have had a Volk ticket or a Holloway ticket? We would rather have had the Holloway ticket. A Holloway ticket, no doubt because I had a Volk ticket. And it was, I thought I was about to rip it up. So did I. And so that's my whole thing. It's like, I'm just give me the extra dog.

Give me the dog juice, baby. Yeah, I mean, eventually I'm going to learn that it's just so much more comforting to have the dog and a razor close main event or co-main event that is likely going to go to the scorecards. I've eaten it with Holly home, Calvin Cater, and Armin Sarukian in the last three-man events that have gone to decisions. But I have Alexander Volcanovsky here. Yeah, I mean, I'm a little bit biased. I'm a pretty big Volk supporter. I just think that he is just continuing to improve and improve while max, while his skill set is unbelievable, I do feel like he's coming in, you know, sort of the same. I mean, if you look at his last two fights, 445 and 230 significant strikes,

obviously, that is not a skill set to take lightly. But he has also, and in six of his last seven fights, he's eaten over 100 significant strikes. The fact that he's only 30 years old is still a fact that just like shakes me to my core every day. I would have guessed he's like 35. But yeah, I don't know. Just Volk has just impressed me. Fight after fight, I think he's just continuing to get better. I just think he's going to win. I mean, he's already got two in the bank against them, I think he makes it a third here. Yeah, I think the two and oh is working against Max for sure, but I mean, I think there's an edge here. I really think there's an edge. I mean, listen, dude, if it goes to the scorecards,

chances are, I'm going to be hoping that I had a, that I had a Max Holloway ticket. Yeah. Maybe that's why I'm going to add a Max Holloway by split decision at plus 11. There you go. A ticket, just to really cover my ass. Yeah, the second fight, I went back and watched the last three rounds. I mean, that was such a close fight. Such a close fight. Unbelievably close.

I mean, the stats in the last three round were actually shocking to me re-looking at it. Max got outstruck 96 to 62 and got three takedowns landed on them in the last three rounds, which watching it,

it didn't feel. It didn't feel like that. So yeah, I'm running with Volkinovsky. You already mentioned it. I felt it dead. That was the fight. When I watched that in real time,

I was extremely confident, Volk won. It's like Volk or that he should have won. I was not confident. Really? Fight number two. When it was real time when it was going to the scorecards, you thought Volk like 100% won. Well, I thought he should have. I did not know that I had a lot of concerns at the judges, but like I just, the thing about Volk that's always impressed me is he is so, he, I think he has the highest fight IQ in the sport. Like his ability to adapt both mid-fight and mid-round and adjust to the things that Max was doing and kind of the, you know, Max came in with the different stance and leg kicks weren't nearly as available.

And so instead of being able to use the leg kicks to time everything and set that as his offense builder, he then had to adjust to stepping and closing in the pocket a little bit more, working off his jab a little bit more. It was, I just thought it was a sensational performance and I felt that he should have won. And then when it was a split, I was like, oh, he might have lost because that's how it goes. But rewatching it is when I was like, oh, I think I was giving Max less credit than I should have. because the first watch I was giving Volk a ton of credit. And I think I was not paying as much attention to.

Max still did really good stuff in those later rounds. Volk had just turned up his volume so much. Right, right. That's what I'm saying. Like, I don't know. It didn't feel like the, I mean, you get outstruck like significantly every single round and you get three takedowns. I don't know.

You would think that it was just like, oh, Volk got the last three rounds. Rewatching it to me, though, like you said. I thought Max was still doing good stuff. Great stuff. I think. Hell of a fight. This is the pinnacle of the M.A. Yes.

Yes. I think you can come away thinking about those outcomes, but the thing that stands out to me about that fight is those were three close rounds, and there was two that were not close, and those were Max Holloway rounds. So. Is that so? Oh, yeah. I think that's for sure, true.

First two where Max was cruising. And so if I'm looking at that fight and I'm getting plus money on the guy who banked the two most significant rounds of that fight, I'll ride with that, even if Volk can turn it on again and get the last three. And as I said, I pick Volk. You give me Volk at even money. I'm taking Volk all day. But the value's got to be on max. Also, Connor, I think-

As a chalk donkey, I'm riding with Volk. You are such a chalk donkey. You love the chalk. I'm proud of it. I'm a little bit of a chalk donkey this week, so it's okay. But also, Connor, you've failed to take into account the single most important part about this fight. It's the rule.

Third time's the charm. I mean, this is it. This is the third time. That's the old gambling rule. You can't. Third time's a charm. He's due. Max is due.

Yeah, what are they saying? You know, football and basketball, it's hard to beat a team three times in a season. That's like the old cliche in the statistics are actually like the team that wins the first two times wins the third time like 70% of the time. Yeah, no. No, you've just failed to take into account any of the important thing. Every time's the charm.

All right, well, I like this. We're going on here on the dog bet. Yeah, I love it. I love it. We're head-to-head. If you think of anything to put up that, like, isn't eating gross food or, like, something like that, that we want to do this head-to-head. I don't want to do a head-to-head because I still think Volk's going to win.

This is not like a head-to-head where it was, like, the home viera or whatever. This is like, I think Volt's going to win. I'm just taking the value. See, I haven't gotten big brain enough yet in my gambling career to bet against someone that I think is going to win. Like, I understand what you guys are saying. I like, I'm not saying this. The math. Yes, I'm not saying this sarcastically, like mathematically, you, like, just like the last three main events that went to a decision, you're not necessarily convinced that person's going to win, but you think it's going to be raised with that. It's going to go to a decision.

You don't know about the judges. The reason is because you still have a soul, right? Like, I am devoid of emotion. I am devoid of a soul. And so this is just math for me. Yeah, I don't care who wins. I only care about where the value is. Yeah, I love it. I love it. All right. Ricky, I love you. I've always loved you.

Second part, I do have a parlay piece. I think I already mentioned it over one and a half, minus 550 parlayed it with Adasania, over one and a half. Talk about chalk donkey. That's like a minus 190 parlay. Real greasy, but I think both of those. You have a minus 190 parlay cheese, man. That's so greasy.

Well, or it could cash easily. One of the two. I mean, it can. It's just. One of the two is going to happen. that is we we're different kind of gamblers but we we do not gamble in the same capacity i know i enjoy profits you enjoy uh neil magni by decision look at at the time i'm just that wasn't even a good bet i also pushed you i also pushed you wildly aggressively too that it didn't help it didn't help

i was i was teetering on the edge of bad choices and then you're like bet you won't do it and I was like, okay, I will. No, I think I actually said I love that. I would never take that in a million years, but I do love that. So yeah, anyway, let's keep it rolling on the main card. Next up, we've got a middle weight out. It is Sean Strickland going up against Alex Paheda. Paheta right now, minus 120.

Strickland coming back at even money. The over under is set at one and a half over minus 170 under is coming in at plus 140. So for me, if you're betting this fight, you are kind of betting it off of assumptions. Like if you're betting on Strickland, in my opinion, you are making the assumption that he is probably going to go for takedowns and try to wrestle Pahara and not go into the striking game plan. If you're betting Pajara,

you're probably assuming that this is going to stay on the feet and the fight is going to come to him and it's going to be a striking battle against Sean Strickland. And that's what I'm doing. I'm betting on Alex Beheda to win this fight. Am I confident in it? I would not use that. word when tying an adjective to this bet. But I do just think, especially after watching the

Jackermanston fight, I know Uriah Hall, he got four takedowns. He used his wrestling game in that one, but, you know, just watching his striking. I just think Alex Beheada is definitively the better striker in this when it comes. Wow. Really going on a limb there. Yeah. I mean, definitively the better striker in this fight, will he be able to avoid the takedowns? I don't know. That's why I'm not that confident. Is Sean Strickland going to be smart and go for takedowns and just hold him down? Or, I don't know, I don't know, not that conflict. I think Alex Behead is going to knock him out.

That's what I think is going to happen in this fight. I mean, totally reasonable thought process. I knew I was going to bet this fight from the moment it was announced because, yeah, I don't want Alex, I will never bet Alex Behead at favorite money. Like, that's just not a thing I'm willing to do. This man has fought. I've done it twice. That it's worked out for you, but, man, in both of those fights,

you couldn't have felt like massively confident at various points in it. You talk about like the old cliche, like every fight starts standing. That fight against Michaelitis was the definition of that. He got held down the entire round. And then they came out in round two. and he knee-chaoed him. Yeah, just jumped him into the face. Look, I mean, boldly, you boldly stated that Alex Behea decorated kickboxers

better than Sean Strickland dude. And that's absolutely correct. But he has beaten nobody in MMA. And he has not even looked like that clean in doing it. Like, he has struggled in his efforts at points. Like Bruno Silva was not like an easy fight and that is a fight that was built to try and get him to a what is functionally number one contenders fight here. Like this is the UFC doing the best they can to carve a straight line path to a title fight for Paya because obviously the three match with Adasagna and MMA is huge. And I think all of all of the value points are with Strickland.

He's fought and beaten much better competition. it feels like this line is being directly influenced by Strickland being kind of a not a guy that people are really like because of he's a very controversial figure everybody wants to look ahead to the Bahia Izzy fight so I feel like that this I think Strickland should be the favorite in this fight you're straight up I just think he should be the favorite because he he might not be a genius based on things he has said repeatedly, but he's nobody's that stupid.

He is not dumb enough to think, oh, I'm going to go kickbox Alex Bahia, and he only needs two takedowns because this is a 15-minute fight. And the other thing about Sean Strickland is dude is tough as nails. Like, he is a really tough dude. Great cardio, great output.

I have questions about Bahaya's cardio as well, frankly. Like, if Bahaya can't get him out in the first five minutes, I think he is super, boned and I don't think you can get him out in the first five minutes and Strickland's going to tackle him and sit on him. Like this feels like it should, I would have put,

put Strickland at minus 150. Like that's kind of where I think he should be. So I'm getting him a plus 100. I'm taking him. If, hey, it knocks him out, I won't stun me because the dude has hands the size of freaking toasters. He's enormous fists and hits really hard

and is a good kickboxer, but give me the accomplished a well-documented history of success of Sean Strickland over the hopes and dreams of Alex Bahia. I got to say, I'm a little bit surprised, and why I say that is, I knew the way I thought this fight was going to play out as soon as it was announced as well. And I don't think that Sean Strickland needs takedowns to win this fight. I really don't. I think he can stay behind the jab and be the busier striker. There's no doubt that Alex is a better striker, better technical striker, and he has,

has that like Deonte Wilder touch of death. He added in kickboxing. He has it in MMA. There's no doubt. You cannot deny the power. But I really think he sits back too much and waits on counters and is just looking for that shot. And I think quite frankly, Sean Strickland could jab fest them for three rounds without even

being in much danger. I really don't think that he needs the takedowns. Now do I think he'd be smart to? Certainly. You don't want to stand and put yourself in that position and be vulnerable. But I could also just see him striking with. Alex and just being more aggressive, having more volume, and he's not, you talked about his smarts. I think inside the cage, he's pretty smart. He knows, he knows what he's doing and how to

win rounds. And I could just see him winning three rounds, whether it be on the feet or on the ground, honestly. See, I'm not willing to, I don't, I think that there's a world where he could do that. I think that that is, it's still just way too dangerous, but I think he can, everything else, like I agree with you and but I think it all just works to effectuate a better game plan like I think he can back up and jab repeatedly and you know what backing people up and jabbing them does really well sets up takedowns phenomenally well and like I think that that's just I view Sean Strickland as as the the big lots version of Marvin Vittori like I think they're the same fighter Marvin Vittori is better in all aspects of the game and I would comfortably think that

Marvin Borto would kick the absolute shit out of Alex Baha'a. So I feel okay about Strickland beating Alex Baha'a. I actually was going to ask, I didn't know if Big Lotz was like a better version or a worse version. I don't think I've ever been in a Big Lutz before. Oh, it's definitely a worst version. Okay. So it's like a dollar store.

I used to say homeless version, but then that just, that's, that feels like that's, that feels like that. That feels like we can't say stuff like that anymore. So I went with the Big Lats version. All right. Dollar store, Dollar General version. Yeah. Great value. like the Walmart brand version.

Yeah. Off brand. He is off brand. Off brand. There you go. Off brand Marvin Vitoria. Yeah, I like that. I mean, at the end of the day, dude, yeah, when I say confidence, it's not tied to this bet.

Like, it all comes down to assumptions. Like, is Sean Strickland going to go for takedowns? I have no idea. I think if he doesn't, he's going to lose this fight. You mentioned Pajara's cardio. I don't know if it's just because he was fighting Bruno Silva, who doesn't have a fantastic gas tank. But he dominated. dominated the third round. I mean, he like quadrupled his strikes and just made it a clear victory

for him in the third round. So we've seen him have success in the third round. I don't know if that's because of his opponent. I know Strickton has cardio for days, especially in a three-round fight. He, you know, he's not even going to break a sweat no matter how many jabs he throws. Yeah, I think it's a wildly intriguing fight and interesting fight to watch. I got to have a bet on every fight on this card. That's just a rule that I have to have. So yeah. I took Alex Beheada and we're going to see what happens. This is a real head-to-head then, and I respect that, but I got to say, Connor, this is even worse than in the co-main event and the rule of three that you just ran by. Nothing the UFC ever wants to do works out.

And this is so clearly them trying to set this up. Like this feels very much like the best laid plans of mice and men are about to get Sean Strickland, who's then going to have the mic and say. something abhorrent and suddenly be your number one contender at middle white it's going to be awful i was going to say like the the plan for the ufc like the perfect night is peheda wins by knockout izzie wins by knockout middleweight championship peheda z3 and uh yeah i mean you're right how often do they get exactly what they want oh i guess that was rhetorical no one uh yeah all right i was leaving eric an opportunity to jump in there, but, you know, I think we've said it all. Yeah, I'm on Beheada. Y'all are on Strickland. Super intriguing fight. Can't I wait to watch it. Let's keep it going. On the main card.

Men's Bantham way bout. It is Pedro Munoz going up against Sean O'Malley, Munoz. The underdog at plus 220, O'Malley, the favorite at minus 260. Over under is set at two and a half, over minus 120, under minus 110, pretty much even money on that one. Um, I'm going to go with Sean O'Malley in this one. Fight's going to play out exclusively on the feet, in my opinion. Munoz hasn't landed a take-down in his last eight fights. O'Malley, his last seven, I mean, I just don't see either of them really shooting for takes down. I know Munoz has that guillotine.

So if it's a fight on the feet, am I going to trust in one of the better prospects in terms of boxing with a five-inch high advantage, seven-inch reach advantage, plus 4.7-4 strikes landed per minute, and his last five wins are by KOTKO, or am I going to trust the guy with all those disadvantages, a negative strikes line-in-per-minute ratio, and he has no finishes since 2019, I will be riding with the Sugar Show. Time to go to 16-0, baby. Yeah, I'm on the same line of thought. For me, it basically comes down to, are you betting Sean O'Malley or are you betting

Sean O'Malley to finish? That's the two options here. I'm going to say I think Munoz can withstand it. I think we've seen, like, I could see this being like the Aldo fight, kind of just like him getting torn up, but hanging in there. And I think O'Malley wins a decision here, but he's not in much danger at any point. I love it. We're all in agreement.

I am not taking O'Malley straight because mine is 260. Honestly, that wouldn't be like an awful parlay piece, but part of me just still wants to respect Pedro Munoz. as a really tough competitor. And so my manner in which to do that is O'Malley by decision. It's plus 200. Pedro Munoz has never been finished. Dude is tougher than $2 steak.

And he is just, I think he's going to hit a lot. He has a big reach disadvantage here that he's going to have to navigate. But he's just a damn good fighter. Even if maybe, even if he's lost to all the best guy he's ever fought, those guys didn't finish him because nobody's ever. been able to and I don't think O'Malley's going to be able to either. So yeah, I'm on Pedro

Munoz by decision. I also pre took a just took a second bet on this fight for the over two and a half at minus 120 because I honestly if somebody gets finished, I think it's Munoz. I think he somehow gets

you know, gets a gillie gets a submission of some kind but I just don't, I think this is going the full five and that over number is pretty nice. So those are my two bets. Yeah. I mean, I feel like we're all in a grant. It's pretty easy fight. I'm going to tail. I'm going to tail O'Malley Pied decision. Jed, that's three. That's three we're lined up on. Let's go. I love it. I knew I knew you and I were just going to be the same. That's why I wanted you to come on so we can gang up on Connor.

I love it. His chalk attack, just so much chalk. So actually, let's get it going so I can talk about my first plus money play that is no longer plus money, which is just the worst type of person in the world that does this. But yeah, this is a really weird breakdown for this, but let's keep it rolling. Welterweight bout, Robbie Lawler, going up against Brian Barberana. Right now, Robbie Lawler, minus 120. Brian Barberana coming back at even money. Fight goes to distance minus 165. Fight does not go the distance plus 120. As soon as he's line dropped, I took Robbie Lawler at plus 130 because he was the underdog. I honestly was just like, I am going to take the underdog in this fight, just because I see this being one of those fights where they're just brawling and the crowd is going crazy.

And like, despite them each landing, 150 plus significant strikes, no one goes out. And then it's just a close contested decision. And, you know, we maybe see a split here. I would imagine, I wouldn't be surprised. I really wouldn't fault anyone for taking Brian. Barbarana honestly now that Brian Barbarana is plus 100 I kind of wish I had a Brian barbara in a plus 100 ticket why don't you I think you need to I think you need to get both sides of this yeah I kind of think I was sort of hoping that Brian Barbarana might keep trickling up I think

I think that's why I haven't pulled the trigger on it well I think he's gonna close it like plus 110 plus 115 here's here's my here's my like instead of just saying that I blindly took the dog because I think it's going to be a close decision. My really digging deep post-bet, I mean, yeah, he lost his last four before that Nick Diaz won. And I think he could have done, yeah, I think he was just doing Nick Diaz some favors by not knocking him out. He was taken down 17 times in those across those four losses. I don't think Barbara is going to take him to the ground. I think he's just going to be a nice striking war.

So there's my deep Robbie Lawler analysis on why I took him. Ricky, where are you at? Yeah, this is one where I basically look at, you know, fight doesn't go to decision or pass. And I don't love either side of this fight. Don't love the odds on anything because I have no faith in either of these guys as a capable, like, offensive fighter. It's really just going to be who messes up and gets themselves finished.

So don't love either side of this one. I don't know if we see a finish. I really don't. I don't know that, but not seeing either these, not saying Robbie Lawler as a capable offensive fighter is I have a way different read on this fight than y'all. I'm on Robbie Loller. I think Robillow is going to kick the shit out of Brian Barberian.

Oh, holy shit. All right. Well, you're just talking about taking Brian Barbarina plus 100. I don't think Barber like I don't know that he'll get a finish because Brian Barbarina, like I've, like I said about other people on this, you know,

he is tougher than a cough and nail. But Robbie Lawler is a much, much better fighter than Brian Barbarina, even now. Also, hearing a lot of really good things coming into this fight about the, the Diaz fight kind of reinvigorated Robbie. I think that that's really exciting. But, look, Brown Barbrainer just lost to Matt Brown. And I am not a man to cast aspersions at Matt Brown because Matt Frickin Brown is Matt freaking Brown.

But, like, Robbie Lawler is a much better fighter than Matt Brown. And this version of Robbie Lawler is still a much better fighter of that version of Matt Brown. Like he is he can win a brawl I don't think it's going to be that but like you were saying Connor if this gets into a Knockdown dragout like that Robbie Lawler makes hay in those fights like this dude is is built for that kind of war But I also just think he is a substantially more technical fighter like he I do agree with that he if he wants to if he wants to if he wants to not engage in brawl or a thing he has really been very good at in his late career run and I'm saying late career run basically from the start of his second UFC run, because he had already fought up full career worth of fights before then, as picking his spots and when to engage in that way.

I mean, you saw it in the rematch with Johnny Hendricks. He came into that fight and would take big portions of the fight off, but he would make statements at the beginning, opening and close of rounds. He knows that's where judges are looking. He knows that he can just put forth a bunch of offense there, and it counts almost as much or more than offense for the rest of the middle portion of the round. I think he is incredibly smart.

He has more tools. I think Brian Barbarina is a really tough guy, and he'll take a beating. But I love Robbie Lawler bet. I love that you got him at an underdog price. I got him at minus 125. I feel fantastic about that bet. Wow. Well, you sold me.

Let me jump in real quick just to say two things. I think on the cards, didn't Brian win that fight over Matt Brown technically? He did, yes, yeah, yeah, yeah. I just want to see that. Now I can understand why you thought Matt Brown won that fight because I think everybody thought Matt Brown won that fight, but I just want to see that. I don't exist in the world of what the judges say. I exist in the world of what actually happened. And Matt Brown beat Brian Barberon in a head of the scrap.

I wish my bankroll existed in that world as well. That would be pretty sick. I know. It would be dope, right? I agree with both of you on that. But I also want to say the reason I'm kind of like a lot less bullish on Robbie Brown, on Robbie Lawler than you is. Like, yeah, he looked good against Nick Diaz, and yeah, you're talking about his second career run in the UFC. But the fight that you're going back to is Johnny Hendricks, like, a lifetime ago.

The four that he lost before Nick Diaz. That was just to make a statement about a style of where he fought. In those four fights that he lost before Nick Diaz, he was frozen. He was a statue. He wasn't throwing anything. Yeah, he was. Because they tackled him to the ground a billion times. And when he was in standing.

So he threw a lot at Ben Ascran. Let's be clear. He took him. In Ascran. Yes, dude. Yeah. The, what was it? The Bulldog choke.

Yeah. I don't think Ascran landed a strike in that fight. He knocked Ben Ascran out and then broke him up and then got fake bulldog choked. That's actually a good call. And yes, he was wrestled. He lost to Neil Magny and Colby Covington. Like both dudes who kicked their shit out of Brian Barberraiser. I'm with you.

I'm not comparing level of competition. But when he got a. back to the feet and when he did have those opportunities to throw and try and make it not getting taken down, he was completely stationary. I can't, I can't put any stock into a win over Nick Diaz at this point. And I've just, I haven't seen it. I haven't seen it in too long. That's, yeah, that is my biggest concern. I'm just saying Barbara doesn't shoot takedown. So he doesn't have to. I mean, that isn't going to I'm not saying level of competition is even remotely similar. I'm just saying those moments when

he did have those opportunities and you were talking about him conserving and picking his shots, He didn't pick any shots. He just stood right in front of him and let himself get taken down. So I can't shake that. I can't erase that. Rick, I liked the initial idea of getting the buyback on Barbaran and just guaranteeing a slight little squeeze a little squeeze of profit. But I got to go with my teammate here. The man I'm with week in and week out and he says he feels great about it.

Now I feel great about it. We're riding the luller train together, baby. I'm not hedging-assco. I don't want to take anything. I'll jump on with you just to do it. Right, and with Robbie, let's go. Let's go. Let's go.

Let's go. We need a name for a trifecta when all three of us are living the life. Yeah, we're living the life. The group chat's going to be going nice on Saturday evening when Robbie Laos. It was making it a huge. All right, that's the main card. Safe to say, that's a pretty sick main card. I am super excited for all five of those fights.

Let's keep it rolling, though, because we've got to talk. about every single fight on this card. Let's get into the prelims. It is a lightweight bout. Brad Riddell going up against Jalen Turner. Jalen Turner right now sitting at minus 1.35. Brad Riddell coming back at plus 115 over under set at two and a half under minus 140 over plus 110. Quick breakdown for me. I took Jalen Turner in this one at minus 115. Both these guys they're super super duper skilled. I mean Brad Riddell was ascending drastically before the perceived fight. unfortunately, got finished there. Just the way Turner's been fighting, though,

four finishes in his last four fights, two subs, two KOs, he's only 27, he's only getting better. Massive size disparity in this one. It's not even going to look like they're in the same weight class, eight inches of height, six inches of reach. Like, Jill and Turner just isn't like he doesn't have the body of a natural lightweight.

I mean, I think he just has all the capabilities in this one to keep it at range. If Brad makes it dirty, if Brad gets close, I mean, he, in my opinion, is probably the more technical. technical striker. I mean, he is absolutely phenomenal on the feet. He has the power to crack you to knock you out. He actually has landed a takedown in every single one of his UFC fights. So he could try that, but if he does, it could get risky for him. I mean, Turner's nice on the ground and he has that

submission ability. But I just like the idea of Jalen Turner, riding this at range. If it goes to the ground, I think he's capable. And either getting a knockout, getting a submission, or just winning by points. I think he has multiple avenues. So I'm going to keep riding with the tarantula as he's on his ascension. Yeah. Love it. Love it. Love it. Go ahead, Jed. I'm with you all the way. I am super high on Jalen Turner. I honestly don't understand how he makes lightweight.

And I don't know that he'll be able to continue making lightweight because as you mentioned, he's still relatively young. But as long as he can keep making this weight class, he is a legitimate top 15 kind of talent and I like I envision that for him here. Brad Redell, great fighter. And the big, the only major concern like for me is I have a tremendous amount of respect for the for the KB boys. City kickboxing does a phenomenal job of game planning and preparation. And Redell obviously on the same timeline as Izzy like they are going to have they're going to

have a great plan of attack for Jalen Turner. But I just don't think it matters. Turner has too many physical advantages. I think he can win this on the feet, certainly can win this on the floor if it goes there. I think sky's the limit for this dude. This is a guy who, if he can consistently make $155,

and he hasn't had an issue with it yet, which is wild. But if he can keep making this weight, he is a legitimate top 10 guy in this weight class. So, yeah, I got him at minus 135, but I am also on Turner. Yeah, I got the same. Same read as you guys, just Brad Riddell, fighters, fighter, amazing, like, fighter, somebody you want to watch.

But Jalen Turner just has too many physical tools. I consider myself a disciplined better, a smart better, an emotionless better. But I have to say... Not this weekend, you don't. I have to say, I have this feeling, I have this feeling of this, of this CKB, like, domination happening. of this Carlos Alberg kicked it over to Brad Radell who kicks it to Alex, who kicks it to Izzy. And I can't shake the feeling that they're going to have a big, they're going to have a big one. And, yeah, for some reason, I can't shake the image of Radell winning because I think he's going to be in the fight.

I don't think, I don't think, I don't think, I don't think, Jalen's going to be able to take him out, although he is a finisher. And yeah, there's something that's, there's something that makes me want to play. Riddell, but so far I'm squashing it down and just leaning with the brain. Follow your heart. No, that's such bad. This is such bad advice. This is how you got roped into Neo Magni against shop.

It's never bad to follow your heart, Ricky. Except when money's on the line. Yeah, yeah. If the gut is telling it to you, if the gut is telling you. Think about the regrets that you will have. None. If Brad Riddell goes out there and just stompes all over jail and turns. You will have, that's how I like to bet.

I like to bet so I don't have the regrets. And that's why I have action on every fight in this card, because I would regret it if I didn't. That's how I know that I can live with myself. I can sleep at night knowing that I took my shots this weekend. Take your shot, Ricky. No, my brain is still beating my heart, but it may change. Let's see how we are by the end of this.

All right. I like that. I like that. All right. So for now, me and Jed are riding on Jalen Turner. Let's keep it going. A welterweight bout. We are going with Ian Gary, the first future on the card.

The second, obviously, Macy Barber, always sick when people have the exact same nickname. Going up against Gabe Green. It's so clever, too. It's such a clever nickname. The future of men's MMA and the future of women's MMA, both on the same card. Ian Gary, minus 165, and this one, Gabe Green, plus 140, over under a under two and a half, minus 110. have to have a bet on every fight on this card. I do have one here. I'm going with Ian Gary. I'm going with the new pride of Ireland in this one. I think this is a great test for him. They are moving

them on slowly, despite him being undefeater and despite him talking, as if he's going to get the belt around his waist fairly soon. I feel, like this is just something in my head. I feel like he gets a lot of hate because of the way that he acts. But I think he is more of a sense. savvy fighter than people give him credit for. I think he has got a decent fight IQ and I think he's actually committed to moving along this course of the UFC slowly. He doesn't want to get rushed. Despite his like undefeated, I think it's not the end of the world if he catches a loss like in his own mind. And just going back and watching that, Daryan Weeks fight, weeks, maybe not the best fighter in the world, but just as the fight went on, it just felt like he was progressing. He was

downloading information. He was getting better. And by the third round, it felt like like he just had weeks where he wanted him. Two of the judges gave him 3027. Gabe Green, he's probably not going to get knocked out. He does have grappling abilities, which we haven't really seen. Gary get tested a ton with. But I just think Gary is just a little bit more technical. I think he's going to be able to move around the cage.

Like you mentioned earlier, this is pay-per-view. This is not Apex. I think the big cage shot is going to benefit Gary in this one. And I think it will probably go to decision. I think he gets it done 29-28. Yeah, same read. We seem to be on the same path on a lot of these. I think there's a little bit of value on Gary even. I wouldn't mind maybe I'll sprinkle on a straight play on Gary. Like I think I think the guys that he trains with and the way he trains puts him in a position to win every fight. Even if you don't think he's the super prospect that he kind of presents himself as, I think he'll be very prepared for this fight. This feels like the right next step for him as an opponent. but I think this is Gary's fight to win. So I might sprinkle a straight play on Gary.

Yeah, I don't have a great feel in this fight, but I promise that I would, this is a fight where I wouldn't have a bet if I was being smart. But I'm, I'm in it. I've stated, I've given my mission statement and my vibes are that I don't want to lay negative money on Ian Gary ever because I don't think he's, it's certainly not the prospect. some people are wanting him to be and I'm just not confident. I've also done that twice as well. The Alex Barra, I've also laid chalk on Ian Gary twice. Yeah,

that first one especially hectic. I just, I just don't want to do that. You know, my workout, but I, Gabriel Green's like not a bad fighter at all. And that's,

that's, that's something new and different for you and Gary. If we're being honest, fighting somebody who's not a bad fighter. fighter and like a semi accomplished not a bad fighter is is different like Gabe green's like career losses are to Daniel Rodriguez who is a great fighter and the aforementioned Jalen Turner like this dude can scrap I have concerns about the size disparity uh and Gary will be much much bigger but I don't know again this is this is not a technical assessment this is I got to have a bet down

give me Gabe Green because Ian Gary is going to lose at some point so I'll just keep I'll just keep firing bullets at that target and then one of them will hit and maybe I'll be down net eight units overall but eventually it's the same I'm doing the same thing

with Patty Pimbled and one of them's going to hit and I'll feel like a genius I already have a bet locked in on on Jordan for that oh yeah for sure Levitt's Because I'm actually,

it's going to be the worst possible win. It's going to be incredible. Oh, God. To watch him twerk, that's in the O2, right? It is. Sounds right. To watch him twerking the O2 would make, it would make my month.

It would make my month. That would be so fantastic. All right. So me and Rick on the future, Ian Gary, Jed, riding with Gabe Green here. Living in the past. Yeah, exactly. Living in the past, going with Gabe Green.

All right, let's keep it rolling. Welterweight about Donald Cowboy Soroni going up against Jim Miller. The fight for the most wins in UFC history to get to 24. Jim Miller is at minus 210. Donald Cowboy Soroni at plus 180 over under set at one and a half under plus 110 over is at minus 150. I'm taking the under two and a half, the little alt line at minus 165, two agent guys. Cowboy just seems to be shot. I mean, he's just, whether he gets finished or he finishes someone, Miller, if you look at his last 11

fights, eight of them have not even gone past the two minute mark of round two. So not even the one and a half, winner losing those, cowboy 20, 20 fights. If you look at his last 20, 14 of them have not even made it to the over two and a half. Eight of them ended in the first round. I just think someone gets finished here. Yeah, I really just think someone is going to get put out, whether it's, whether it's Miller or Soroni. I liked Miller at first. The fact that it's a welterweight, I don't think plays to his advantage.

So I really don't want to play him at minus 2.10 at this point. So, yeah, I'm just riding the under 2.5 here. I'll go. I'm fading cowboy. I've been fading cowboy for a long time. Like, I have confidence in Jim Miller, but this is completely a cowboy fade. I don't think he has it anymore.

I would, I'm not super. confident in Miller just because yeah I mean he's he's up there in age and he seems like he's ready to ride off into the sunset it seems like it could be anyone and that's never a good position to be in as a fighter so this is probably a stay away from me you're talking Jim Miller yeah

now Jim Miller's planning to fight a USC 300 that's right I forgot about that USC 300 um but I think fading Cowboys is plus EV over the last few years it's just it's just a complete cowboy fade I'm staying away from this one but maybe maybe like an Izzy Miller Parley.

Let me see how I feel about that later. Izzy Miller Parley? Yeah. I'm fading Cowboy Big here and have been for a while. Yeah. I don't feel good about this, but I'm betting Donald Ceroni. Wow. Let's go.

Justify this, please. My justification is that laying this kind of a price tag on 800-year-old Jim Miller doesn't feel good and Donald Serroney is plus 180 yes their careers have been pretty different lately but like

here's who don't like let's also put it in a mild amount of perspective because I am willing to say that Donald Charoni might be fully shot like that is entirely plausible yeah oh yeah it's definitely plausible his losses were Tony Ferguson before Tony got washed

Justin Gehce who well I would actually I agree with you Eric that Tony may have been washed but he wasn't all the way washed yeah Justin Gaichi who was super not washed Connor McGregor was just in a horrific style matchup for him anthony pettis uh Nico price who it was a weird fight that that was ever made also that fight ended up being a draw weirdly enough and then Alex Morono like Alex Morono is the worst of those losses by a good stretch, but that's honestly not like even a terrible loss. Whereas, yes, Jim Miller's had more success lately over people who don't have Wikipedia pages.

Like, he's fighting guys who are coming off the contender series. I think it's incredibly smart booking because that's what you do. Jim Miller wants to fight UFC 300, you let him and you get him the occasional win over a guy no one knows about, and that's fine. But like, the way he's winning, I'm not even confident will be successful against, Cowboy Soroni.

Like, I think this fight is probably pretty even. Like, frankly, like, they're, they both can stand up. They both can grapple. Jim Miller is probably more inclined to shoot takedowns. Don Seroni is not, like, a great defender of takedowns, but he's going to have a pretty decided size advantage here. Like, it's just, I don't know. This fight feels a lot closer to 50-50 than the odds are.

And even if it isn't, I just, I don't want to lay that price tag on Jim Miller. So give me Donald Seroni. I won't be shocked if I win. I won't be shocked if I lose. But I'm not paying minus any minus 200 something on Jim Miller. That seems really, really tough for a guy who's pushing 40. Yeah. The price is what scares me away.

I think Jim Miller's probably going to win. But yeah, the price definitely heavily scares me away in a fight that, yeah, like you said, Jim Miller's last couple wins haven't been, you know, they've been impressive wins, but not over the most impressive competition. If Donald Seroni fought Nicholas Moda, I think Donald Serrani beats Nicholas Moda, too. Like, that's, and that's just kind of where my head is. I don't feel good about this one. This is another bet that if I weren't trying to make bets every fight, I probably just would pass. But like, give me, dog or pass, and I'll take the dog. I'm not passing on any bets this week, so give me the dog. You're damn right, we're not. You are damn right, we're not. All right.

I'm riding the under Jed's riding cowboy and Rick is going with Jim Miller I love it we're full spectrum on that fight we've got all the bases covered whatever you whatever you dear listener want to bet we have told you how and why

we've reinforced your own personal feelings until we get a draw then no one has the most UFC wins I lose my bet and you guys both get a push that would actually be the best possible outcome honestly that would be a ridiculous outcome that would be insanity all right let's keep it moving Next up, middleweight bout.

It is Uriah Hall going up against Andre Munez. Munez at minus 280, Hall plus 235. Over under set at one and a half. The under is minus 150. The over is plus 110. I took this one as soon as the line dropped as well. I am an Andre Munez diehard fan. I love watching this guy fight.

Fell in love with him after the Soz's arm break. I mean, if this fight hits the mat, just sit back and enjoy. I mean, the dude is a third degree VJ Black Belt knows how to use it. 15 of his 22 wins are by submission. I just mentioned, you know, the Sosa. He is not afraid of literally snapping your arm in half. He will do that, and he constantly wins by arm bar. He's 6 and 0 in the UFC.

I think he gets a 7 and 0 here. Uriah Hall. I mean, we saw him get taken down four times by Sean Strickland. He used the grappling in that one. I think Munez is going to be able to find the same way to success, but then once it gets to the ground, I think he's going to be able to submit your eye haul and continue his win streak. So what are you taking? I missed it. Sorry, what are you taking? I missed it. Sorry. Audre Munez minus 2.25. Just just Munez straight.

Yeah. Well, that's fantastic. I love that bet and I'm I'm in that seems like a fantastic bet for me. Love Andre Munez. Well, I have a bet on Muniz inside the distance at minus 160, which I wasn't as confident about. But I think I'm also just going to put him as a parley piece because the bet I have in this fight is Munis inside the distance for all the reasons you said. And it probably comes by submission, but that line is like, is minus money. So I don't love betting props at minus money, frankly. Yeah, don't do that.

I did that with him more last week. And it looked like he was going to get the neck a couple times. He did not. And Mainus went full defense And that's tough We talked about it We talked about it We talked about the show before

Yeah Yeah But yeah I think he's going to win this Pretty Pretty comfortably And probably get a stoppage So that's why I took

Inside the distance But I think I'm going to move him As a parley piece as well Because I feel very confident He gets the dub Same page But don't love the price On this

I think you're paying a premium for this fight when I think it's it's going to look similar to the others, but yeah, it just feels out of my price range. Okay. I can agree with that. I thought you were going to say 50-50 for a second, and I would have had to have disagreed.

But yeah, all right, everyone on Andre Munez, I think it gets done inside the distance. Pretty juiced up. I mean, the over one, under one and a half is minus 150. Don't really love that. There's no telling. So juicy. So, just.

I think, like, his last, I think his last two came in the second round. Like, I mean, you would have been, you would have been sweating those out. Or maybe, maybe Anders was in the first round. But regardless. Yeah, Roy Hall is just like a super weird fighter. Yes. He's just super weird. Yeah.

Regardless, we're riding your knees there. Let's keep it rolling. Women's flyweight. It is Jessica Evil Eye going up against Macy, the future Barber, the future number two. She is going at minus 240. Jessica I coming back at plus 200. Fight goes the distance minus 250. Fight does not.

Plus 190. I'm using Macy Barbara as a parlay piece, but this was actually Rick's second pick in the international fight we draft, so I feel like we should let him kick this one off. Yeah. As we got further down the card, I just realized that getting Macy Barber at minus 240, we can scratch any talk of Jim Miller. It's going to be Barbara and Adasanya for that parlay. Let's go.

Yeah, one of those is a much better minus 240. Yeah, yeah, sorry. I forgot that this fight was on the card. But, yeah, this is a huge fade on Jessica. I don't think Macy Barber is like, you know, the next Valentina Shevchenko or anything, but I think she's capable. Don't think she's the future. I don't think that either of the two fighters nicknamed the future are necessarily the future. I'm going to go out.

False advertising. Just say that. But I do think she's extremely tough. I do think she has like a drive-staking. to win. She wants to win fight. She's not somebody who's content to just lay back in a losing effort and sit there. So no matter how I, like no matter what position she's in after round one, two, she's coming to probably win this fight. And I just don't see any areas where Jessica I is going to be able to beat her or stop her. So yeah, I like, I like Macy Barber a lot in this fight. And I will

definitely be parlaying her with Izzy later. Yeah. I mean, I echo that. I parlayed the Easy by K-O or decision at minus 260 with Barber at, I think when I took it, it was like minus 215. It pays out at plus 108. So yeah, I'm with you. I like Barbara to do that. If she wins this one and if Ian Gary wins, maybe we do catchweight bout 150, the futures against each other, Ian Gary, Macy Barber.

I'm not down for that. I feel like even I might have to bet. and Gary in that fight just because I don't think there's value on Macy Barber. I've never been a big Macy Barber believer. But that being said, she's going to win this fight because I'm extremely not a Jessica I

believer. And yeah, in a perfect world, I wouldn't lay minus 240 or whatever on Macy Barber, but also she has historically been pretty good as a favorite. She's five and one as a favorite. So the book seemed to have her read pretty well.

And yeah, I feel like I have the most obvious parlay in the world, which is Adasanya Barber parlayed together. And now that you talk me into Muniz, I'm probably just going to do Adasanya Barber and Muniz as... Let's go. That'll be another parley. I cannot lie. I love that we're all on the same page for that one.

Yeah, I'm definitely going to do that Adasana Barber. I like her as a favorite. Like, I like her in that spot where she can just go downhill on somebody who's not on her level and stomp them out. Like, if she was at dog money, I'd be scared. Yeah, that's the thing, too, because she can literally just win mill at Jessica. Yeah. Like, Jessica is not good. So it's not like made.

There's a few fighters on this car. Yeah, there's a few fighters on this card who I'm heavy fade on. Yeah, we'll get to that. I imagine it's not the next fight. But we are all on the barber train. We all par later up. That's where we stand. The future is real in women's MMA.

Next up. A middle-way bout. It is Brad Tavaris going up against DRECUS duplices. DDP coming in at minus 125. Brad Tavarra is a plus 105 over under his set at two and a half under minus 105 over minus 125. Jed, I'll let you kick this one off. I mentioned it last week. am I am taking DDP, Jikis duplice, to get the win.

I honestly feel a lot less good about that bet if I'm, after I went and watched the tape because it is, it's a much sweatier bet than I thought because when this fight came out, I was like, man, I love Juryk his two plus C. I think this guy, this kid is a exceptional prospect. I mean, I guess prospect not, but I think he is very, very good. He has a bright future. Going to be the best South African fighter of all time probably because not a lot of competition there. But Brad Tavares is so Brad Tavares.

That's sad. I mean, it really nails it, right? Middleweight is a division. I have to agree with you. I can't disagree. Can't disagree. Middleweight is a division full. of great value Marvin Vittories.

And Brad Tavares is the original Marvin Vittori. Like just Marvin Vittori is Brad DeVarres 2.0. Like that's how this goes. And Brad DeVarres is honestly not as old as I thought he was. Like he's still only like 34. He's he's been around for a lifetime doing the same thing where he's going to come forward. be really tough, really durable, put some boxing on you, put some wrestling on you, and never

finish a human being because that is not a thing that he does. He is allergic to finishing human beings. So I, whereas Drickus 2 plus C is like a very solid kickboxer and who has lit the world on fire in his first UFC fights. So, I mean, this dude has a long history in KSW. He lost Roberto Solich, who is a welterweight, but also one of the 10, best well to it's in the world. So I am banking on talent.

I am banking on future. I think that he is good enough to avoid the grapple and tackle strategies that Tavares can employ. And on the feet, I think he is just more technical. And also, I think he can tackle and grapple Tavares if he wants to have seen and do some of that. So I just think he's better all around fighter. I, like I said, Tavares excels it ugly and fights up. So I feel a little less good about this than I once did. But still good enough to feel okay about a bet here.

And I didn't look at it at the time. But what's the over under here? The over under is set at two and a half. I am, as we speak, I'm about to bet over two and a half at minus 125 as well. So that's where I'm going to be on this way. Let's go. Let's go. So we'll actually go against each other.

I, not only do I have DDP with you, the point that you made about he can actually do some ground game as well. Like I think he has a little bit of an underrated ground game that we haven't really seen in the UFC. We saw it a little bit in that Trevin Giles fight. He got two takedowns. Like it was an incredible display on the ground, but I think he showed that, you know, he is capable there. I mean, surprisingly, as much as people think he's just a knockout artist, he's got more submission wins than he does have knockouts. I mean, I mean, it's impressive.

But I took fight doesn't go to a decision. just based off my simple principle of of any time that I see something like this. DDP has 18, I know that Brad Tvaris is just like he's, he's the decision machine, but three of his last four losses, he got KOD in or TK Oden. DDP, 18 fights, winner lose, 18 finishes. He has never seen the scorecards and you're giving me fight, doesn't go to a decision at minus 105. Just out of principle, I have to take it. I know he's not the huge favorite.

Like last week was Shovcott. I don't know why they gave me Chavcott. That fight doesn't go to a decision at minus 155. Guy has never seen the scorecards as well. It cash. It's just out of principle, minus 105. Guy's never seen the scorecards. Hopefully, he doesn't see his first one this weekend.

So I took it doesn't go to a decision. Do you think that Tavares can finish him? So I'm wondering why not just take him inside the distance. I already had DDP in the props for it. Okay. I'm being totally honest with you. Yeah. I mean, I have a same read on you guys.

This is a stay away for me because I could see Brad Tavares, Brad Tavaresing, like you said, and just somehow pulling this out. He's never heard of Brad Tavaugh. He really is. Like, nobody is better than Brad Tavares. He's an extremely Brad Tavares-Z fighter. Yeah. Nobody is better than Brad Tavares. And I can see it happening.

I think it's... Also, that's not true. Marvin Vittori is better at Brad Tava. I think at some point we need to get Jed to rank the Marvin Vittorries of the... Marvin Votory is the number. Well, they're all in the middleweight. All of them are middleweight. Everyone's the middleweight.

That's what this division does is make Brad Tavares slash Marvin Vitori. What's the definition of this if we're trying to actually describe it? It's like a blockheaded like wrestle boxer who doesn't really like finish. It's a. Yes, I would say in a, I mean, all of that's true. But it's mostly a guy who is like he knows all the things he should do, but he's not a good enough athlete. or skilled enough fighter to do more, which is kind of the textbook definition of middleweight.

It's like the nexus between, because like light heavyweight is mostly bad athletes and then the good athletes are the top 10. Middleweight is like everybody's okay athlete. Like they play, they were varsity sports athletes in high school or whatever, but they're not elite athletes, but they're much more technically sound and they know how to do stuff and they have good principles behind what they do,

but they can't just be like, they're not YOL who can just be like, oops, I killed you. That's not a thing for like a lot of middle weights, and that's why you end in the Marvin Vittori zone. Yeah. Yeah, I don't have a great read on it. Like, I just, this is a stay away for me,

but if I'm leaning, it's definitely with Dreykus. Hopefully he pulls it off. I guess, I guess to backtrack on my point, Brad Tavaris, the chance of him finishing him is very, very low, but in DDP, both his losses, he was finished. So maybe there's something there. I don't know. We'll see. I had to have a bet on every single fight. I had to have a few that had two bets on it. My other concern is that Tavares is just like, I think he's just going to be

a lot bigger. Like, not from like a length and size, but, you know, DDP fought at middleweight, Brad Tavares could, or fought it Walterweight, Brad Tavarez. He's the middleweightiest of middleweight men. Like he's never making 170, so he's a thick boy. I mean, yeah, he'll be big. Being a thick boy helps you Marvin Vittori people is all I'm saying. This is a great fight for the second fight of the night. It's a really good one. It matters a lot.

I mean, yeah, Dracus, we'll see if you can keep the train. I mean, yeah, because there aren't that many, like, prospects in the middleweight division. like Driekis is for sure one of the guys are like, oh, here's somebody new who could do something interesting. Like Alex Behea is sort of that, but that's also mostly us just wishing him to be that. Which maybe what my bet is, just purely wishful thinking. I've actually been waiting for Driechus to fight for like eight months now. Some guy from South Africa DM'd me on Instagram was like telling me how I needed to watch out for them. and he was supposed to fight maybe on UFC 268 or something like that,

269, maybe the Dustin Porre fight, and that got canceled. I think he's had four straight fights being canceled. He was supposed to fight Andre Munez at 269. Oh, my God, that's... And that fight would have ruled ass. It would have ruled out. It would have hurt my heart because having not even watched this... Yeah, let's hear him.

Andre Munez, then Chris Curtis... I was going to say I know Chris Curtis. Banger. Banger. Unbelievable banger. And then Anthony Hernandez, Kelvin Gastilum, and Brad Tavares probably ended up with the least interesting of those fights, if we're being honest. And it's still a very interesting, very fun, very good fight. Now that Anthony Hernandez, he was supposed to fight Anthony Hernandez and then like Kelvin Gastilm lost his opponent or Gasselm got added to the card.

And then he got moved to become his opponent. And then Gasselm dropped out. And so he just got taken off the card as a whole. I mean, he has been screwed over quite a few times on these fights. Yeah, it was very weird. And now he's getting a matchup he needs to get comfortable with, as we've discussed. Because he's got a lot of these in the Middle Way Division to work through. He's got to go through at least six Marvin Vittories until he gets to Marvin Vittori.

To the real Marvin Vittori. Yes, right. I mean, obviously, I felt like that was implied there. One day we'll get the Marvin Vittory power rankings from Jedmishu. That's going to be in the whole time. Maybe next week. Maybe I'll spend that time next week. I really like this take. I really like that.

Well, I was going to say you're going to have to wait through these fights to see where old Brad Tavares ranks on the Marvin Vittory rankings list. Yeah. He'll shoot up. I was going to say. If he meets DDP, he'll shoot up. Sean Strickland as well. I mean, yeah, if Sean Strickland loses maybe, because I honestly don't know where I put Strickland and Tavarez in the, historically. Obviously, Tavares is much more Marvin Vittori than Strickland, but, you know, he's getting older, Sean Strickland's coming up.

Who knows? We need a Marvin Vittori belt eventually. I think that's just called the UFC middleweight title. Wait a minute. Yeah, wait. Adisania has that. Yeah, but that's just because he already beat the Marvin Vittori for it. He won the belt off Marvin Vittori.

Exactly. He won the true title. All right, enough about Marvin Vittori and his subsequent Marvin Vittori's below him. We got one more fight to break down. Women's Bantam way battle is Jessica Rose Clark going up against Julegia, Storleranco. Jessica Rose Clark, minus 140, Storleranco, plus 120. Fight goes the distance minus 210. Fight does not plus 170.

So Rick here is convinced that the darling of the MMA out, our JRC, who's going to be walking out to Sean Michael's sexy boy this weekend, he is convinced she is going to lose. Yeah. I don't like this. Offend yourself. A minus money. I know Stoliorenko is not great.

Good at all. She's not good at all. She's O and 4 in the U.S. She has been outstruck in every fight. I know she's bad. She has one path to victory, which is like an arm bar, and that's literally it. I have a rebuttal to that. She's the armbar queen.

But if you look back, JRC, what happened in her last fight? She got on board by Stephanie Friggen-Hager. I know. Exactly. That was mental preparation. She sacrificed that fight. She had to go through the pain and agony of getting armed barred. Now she'll never let it happen again.

If so, Flipso, she cannot lose to Stoliorenko. Here's where I'm really at from a betting perspective. I cannot lay minus money on Jessica Rose-Clark. No matter what that number is, I cannot. She makes too many bad decisions, and she's kind of just super mid. Super mid. I was not expecting super mid for you.

I just can't. I don't love Stoliarenko either. I mean, the only thing that even looks remotely appetizing here is maybe like fight goes to decision, but I could also see one of them walking into something. I don't know what to do here. here. Yeah, somebody else make a bet because I don't know what to do here. I've already made one.

I have a bet and I see what you're saying, Ricky. I understand. But I'd like to counter it with two very important things to note. The first, I don't feel great about giving JRC minus money, but you know what I'd feel even worse about putting money of any kind at any odds on Solioranko. Yes. Yes. And all of the, here's the only analysis I'm going to give you. I'm giving you nothing, nothing, dear listeners, but this. Julia Storia Renko has beaten one human being who owns a Wikipedia page.

And that was by split decision in a fight. She may or may not actually should have won for the Invictive Belt. She is, oh, and three as an underdog, has beaten nobody good because she herself is not very, good. And so do I feel great about laying minus money at JRC? No. Would I? Should this probably be a pass just because like I have

a hundred other bets down? Yeah. Well, what, I'm going to have bets on 11 fights and not the main, like not the opener. Get, get out of here. Come on. I'm taking JRC. Can I? Can I just say one thing? It's fine with it. Can I just say one thing?

I'm with you. Believe me. I'm with you with you with all my heart. but you know to go back to when we were talking about Robbie Lawler like the level of opposition has been different like don't get me wrong I'm not making the argument that against lower level of opposition she's going to be a world beater and Celia Ranko's all of a sudden going to have a different record but like she's just fighting better fighters she really is Leah Letson

Julia Vila yeah Julia Vila is like good Julia Vila is a good fighter So she's losing to the three good fighters she ever faced. And then Agnes Niedwigs, but that was also like her third fight or whatever. And then she's beating people in Lithuania. And that sounds, maybe that's mean, but like straight up, she is just beating women in Lithuania. I'm 100% with you.

But those losses were going to be losses. Those losses were going to be losses. I think this is closer to her level of competition. But yes, I mean, I have, man, I really. really want to pull the trigger on this underdog bet. God, I want you to so bad. I want you to so bad. Let's just do it.

Let's just do it. I want you to, so next week we can come and you and be like, guys, I should have listened to you because I cannot believe I put my cold, hard-earned dollars. I have a mortgage. I have children and I put money on Julia Stoyeranko. What a bad choice. This is going to be me just smiling the whole time as she gets 30-27, but I'm just going do it.

I'm doing it. I mean, just to go over the facts of her UFC career, despite whoever she has fought, she is 0 and 4. She has been outstruck in every single fight. And for someone that likes to throw up submission attempts, she is one for nine, a 12% take down accuracy in said fights. I looked back at the judge's scorecards as well. She has fought in nine rounds of fights that have gone to decision and has only one.

one two of those. So what you're seeing is the line on this should be like minus 300 for Jessica Rose Clark. The only reason it is not is because it's Jessica Rose Clark and nobody wants to do it after she just got tapped by Stephanie Eck. And that's also the reason I'm going to I'm going to just sprinkle on the dog. I'm doing it. I mean, it's actually a hilarious bet because if it cash is like I mean you're going to have to take a huge victory lap.

We're going to go with it. You should absolutely take a victory lap. biggest lock of the card. I don't know why you squares put money on JRC. I mean, yeah, this is a hilarious fight, but I

have to say, Jed, you said no one wants to do this. I willingly ran to the window to throw money on JRC. The sweetheart of the MMA hour, as you dubbed her. I love her as a person. She's a fantastic individual.

Great story. but she has fallen in spots. I backed her against Egger and that one hurt a lot and I would normally be a little more gun shy but again it's Julius Siliarenko who you didn't even say Connor

my favorite stat is she fought Yonakut's guy and landed six strikes. Yeah. Against the defensive wizard. Not Saturday, baby. Not this Saturday. Not this Saturday. Honestly, of all the bets we've made,

I hope that's the one that cashes. I hope you want to dance on our graves. We're aligned on all the other ones, so you should also hope that those cash. Yeah. If Stoyler Anko fought 100 times in the UFC, she might lose 99, but not on Saturday,

on Saturday. She might lose 14 minutes of this fight and then just tap JRC in the last... That arm bar. That arm bar is coming. I mean, if... If JRC is going to lose, it needs to be by Arm Bar or by like a freak submission. Like I can't have it be by decision.

I will, I will like, that will actually hurt me watching Jessica Rose Clark lose by decision. I would be like, I don't think you'll have to deal with that. I love it. So that's it, boys. We've done it. That's it. We made it through the entire card. Somehow I think the episode is shorter than it was last week.

We did have to get a lot, a lot to catch up on. So yeah, Rick, what did you? end up locked in on after spending in 90 minutes with his talking bets. We had Izzy by KOTKO. We had Max by split decision. We had O'Malley. What did we have? O'Malley by KOTKO as well.

I rode with you guys on Robbie Lawler Street. I'm staying away from Jim Miller for now, but I might get feisty on that. and then Macy Barber parlayed with Israel Adasagna and the legend herself, Julia Stolio Renco. Straight play, baby. Absolutely majestic scorecard from you, Ricky. From me, got a lot of them, so buckle up. Israel dissoned by K.O. Max Holloway, Straight.

Sean Strickland, Straight. Sean O'Malley by Decision. O'Malley Munoz over two and a half rounds. Jalen Turner, Robbie Lawler, Drichis Duplessi, André Muniz inside the distance. Jessica Rose Clark, I've Donald Seroni and Gabriel Green. Those were not in order. That's in the order of bets that I made. So sorry about the discombobulation there.

I also took a flyer on the Holloway by split decision at plus 1100. And then I took DDP Tavares over two and a half at minus 125. I also, sorry, had Volcanovinsky max goes the distance at minus 200. And then I have two parlayes. Israel Adisina and Macy Barber pays out at minus 120. And then Israel, Dissina, Macy Barber, and Andre Munez, that pays out at plus 141. All right, for me, I got two parles. Adasanya by K or decision parlayed with Macy Barber.

That pays out at plus 108. The Chalk Parlay of the Century. main event, co-main event, both over one and a half that pays out at minus 190. And then as far as singles go, got Alexander Volcanowski, I have Alex Beheada, I have Sean O'Malley, I have Robbie Lawler, I have Jalen Turner, I have Ian Gary, I have under two and a half in Soroni Miller. I have Andre Munez. DuPice. And fight does not go the distance in that one and then finish it off with Jessica Rose Clark. A lot of action on Saturday. From start to finish, we got action.

So many bets, before we close it down, because we have so much action, let's just sum it up here. Ricky, if you have one bet, one bet, you can put one bet to bet your life on. What's the one bet? What is your lock of the week, lock of the Super Bowl, lock of international fight week? Do we want to make money, or do we want to, like, are we looking to make the most money, or are we looking to guarantee money? That's what I need to. You're looking to guarantee money.

You're looking to feel the best. You put whatever you got on Macy Barber. Let's go. Let's go. I love the confidence. I love the confidence. You put whatever you got on Macy Barber. If you're looking to make a little more,

but not as assured, I like the Izzy Macy parley for sure. I love Andre Munez. I love this. I love this so much because I, mine would absolutely, unquestionably would be Israel Adisina. So all three of us are feeling more confident about different fighters in the fight card. And you did the Munis Barber Adasanya Parlay, Jed?

And I did an Izzy Barber Parley. I already, I have the Izzy K.O. decision, Barber Parley. I think I might add a Izzy Barber Moon. Nees Parley to ride the ride the trifecta of our most confident picks. Of our confidence meters. And just be with the squad.

You said it pays out of plus 140. Also, also. Plus 140 if you get it right now on DK. I'm about to go snag that. I'm also snagging Max Holloway plus 1,100 by split decision. That is just way, way too juicy. We're all riding the

ride of dragon right there. If I gave nothing else, I gave that to the people. You have to think if this thing goes to a decision, Max Holloway wins. It's going to be close. It's going to be close. I do a long shot of the week in my gambling column for MMAFighting.com. Tremendous website.

And it is probably even better socials, great website, better socials. Probably the long shot of the week this week is going to be. There we go. Look at this guy, Rick, bro. He just brings the gyms to the building. I mean, there was almost a little too much agreement. I got to say, like we're really aligned on this fight card. I also, I'm ready to.

lose 19 units on Saturday. We had a lot more disagreement than I thought we were going to have because Connor and I usually are pretty, pretty closely aligned in a lot of, a lot of our thoughts. Maybe not in our bets, but certainly a lot of kind of how we, how we're viewing fights. I will also say to that point, like, I feel like all the ones that we kind of disagreed on, had it not been International Fight Week UFC 276, I probably wouldn't be betting on those fights. Oh, 100%. All of the ones that I'm like, yeah, I wouldn't be.

There's no chance I'd have money down on Gabriel Green. Yeah. Dogger pass, baby, and I'm not passing this week. I messed up reading my rundown, so I just want to correct that real quick. I said O'Malley, K.O. Or TKO, I meant O'Malley decision. I was doing it off the top of my head. I like that.

But, yeah, I meant O'Malley decision. But otherwise, all correct. All right, 90 minutes for the people, for the biggest card of the year. 276. I said it at the beginning of the episode and I 90% believe it was going to be true. We're now at the end of the episode. It's 100% true. This is the greatest episode of No Betts Bar and No Betts Barth history. I'm proud to say that. Thank you so much, Rick. It's all because of you. It was a pleasure. Max Holloway by split decision. Let's go. Oh my God. That is going to be so tasty. Right now I'm just deciding how much to put it on. I think I might just throw a quarter unit on it just in case

to something. Just for a full unit. Just live in a little bit. You're going to have so many units from all the other bets that you've successfully cast. Not doing a full unit. Yeah, if I'm up quite a bit going into it, maybe I'll up it to a full unit. But yeah, I'll probably just keep it pretty low. I'm going to cook up a nasty air friar parlay.

That's guaranteed to lose as well. But you just got to have it just in case. All right. Enough about the bets. Like I said, 90 minutes for the people. UFC 276. What a card. If you made it this far, thank you for listening.

We continue to party next week with UFC Apex 58 Fazeeb, Dosaynos. See you then. Love you guys. The Vox Media Podcast Network. You've seen Kelona change over the years, and it's growing faster than ever. The city is working to make sure enough homes are being built for people of all incomes and stages of life. But growth isn't just about more buildings. It's about building community.

Every new project helps us fund the things that matter most, safe and dependable infrastructure, transportation options to keep us moving, and beautiful parks where we can relax, play, and connect. Colonna is growing with purpose. Hi, I'm Sophia Loprecaro, host of the Before the Chorus podcast. We dive into the life experiences behind the music we love. Artists of all genres are welcome,

and I've been joined by some pretty amazing folks, like glass animals. I guess that was the idea as to try, Try something personal and see what happened. And Japanese breakfast. I thought that the most surprising thing I could offer was an album about joy. You can listen wherever you get your podcasts. Oh, and remember, so much happens before the chorus.