MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Recapping The Best (And Worst) Bets Of 2022, Plus 2023 Future Bets
Episode Date: January 4, 2023After taking a few weeks off for the holidays, the No Bets Barred boys are back and ready to kick things off for 2023! In this episode, Conner Burks and Jed Meshew begin by recapping their experiences... at the Peach Bowl, before diving into the 2022 MMA Gambling Awards, including the Best, Worst, and Sweatiest Bets, plus the first ever Gambling Fighter of the Year. Then the NBB boys turn their attention to this year, with Conner and Jed giving out their Futures for 2023, resulting in 25 total bets to keep track of for the rest of the year. Tune in for Episode 30 of No Bets Barred. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Support for this show comes from the Audible Original, the downloaded two, ghosts in the machine.
The Earth only has a few days left.
Rosco Cudullian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer,
but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever.
Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprise his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible Original Blockbuster.
The Downloaded, it's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide.
Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking,
What are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?
The Downloaded 2, Ghosts in the Machine.
Available now, only from Audible.
Support for this show comes from the Audible original, The Downloaded 2.
Ghosts in the Machine.
The Earth only has a few days left.
Rosco Cudullian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer,
but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever.
Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprised his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the audible original blockbuster,
the downloaded.
It's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide.
Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking,
what are you willing to lose to save the ones you love?
The downloaded two, Ghosts in the Machine.
Available now, only from Audible.
It's going on, y'all. We are back.
It is 2023, and we are here with the first edition of No Bet's Bard in the new year.
It's been a while since we had a UFC card, middle of December.
still a couple more weeks to go.
But before we break down that first UFC card of the year,
we have to give our futures out,
who we think is going to be the champion.
Come end of 2023.
I cannot wait to get into this.
These are some of the most fun bets.
Like, you know, you get your week-to-week thing,
but getting to cheer on a fighter and hopefully see them become champion
and cash a ticket, there's few things better.
Jed, how are we feeling, man?
I am so excited.
I have never done like big future best.
before because it just hasn't been a thing on my radar.
Not all the sports books offer it.
It just hasn't been a thing for me.
The fact that it's offered is a thing of beauty.
I've always been a futures guy.
Like I've just like even before I started heavily betting on MMA, football, basketball,
soccer, anything like that.
Oh, yeah.
Love getting a future down.
Love getting into a team.
Like, it's just the best.
I love future in team sports.
So I'm very excited about this.
I have a lot of big numbers on my board, so very excited.
But before we get into that, let's talk about one future champion that I can guarantee.
I'll just come out right and say it.
It's the current champion, the University of Georgia.
Bulldogs, baby, let's go!
If you are holding a Georgia national championship ticket,
which I want to say it was around plus 400 plus 500,
I mean, you just have to be feeling pretty good going into the national championship
where we will be 13.5 point favorites over the TCU Horn Frogs, minus 500.
So at first I couldn't believe it, but then I was like, had you came to me on New Year's Eve
before the games kicked off and said, all right, bro, you're going to get a Georgia TCU
National Championship. Go ahead and line it for me.
I probably would have lined it right around two touchdowns, like somewhere in that range.
I would have figured we would have been big favorites.
I think recency bias of how good TCU's offense looked
and then how much Georgia scraped by Ohio State,
I feel like that's playing a little bit into it.
I'm confident that we get it done in the national championship.
I am getting more confident,
but if you had told me before the semifinal matches,
I still would have thought it was closer
because I think people are just being wildly disrespectful to TCU, frankly.
Like they've had a hell of a season.
Dude, Max, Max, that man is electric.
I don't know if he's good, but he is electric for sure.
TCU is like the first real like Cinderella story that we've seen in college football in the college football playoff because, I mean, you've had teams like Washington make the playoff, Cincinnati make the playoff and they just get dusted in the first round.
And now you have TCU actually having a chance to win the national title.
So it's pretty crazy.
I did it was incredible.
I believe you were also at the semifinal Georgia.
Oh, I was in there.
Ohio State.
So the first half I went to the game as well.
I'm watching TCU, Michigan before he bounce.
And it's just to track me.
They are just throwing haymakers.
And then while we're in line to get into the stadium,
a bunch of people have it up on their phones.
And it's like, I just keep putting my phone down.
I'm like, okay, TCU is up by two touchdowns.
You kept thinking it was over.
Yeah, with 12 minutes to play.
And then I look back as like, actually, they're up by three points now.
And they've scored 21 in this three minutes.
But it was just an absolute track meet.
Yeah, I mean, it was unbelievable.
If you don't know what we're talking about, if you don't care about college football at all,
on New Year's Eve, the college football playoff commenced.
It was TCU versus Michigan.
TCU wins, they punch a ticket.
And then the nightcap, the main event of the evening,
was our Georgia Bulldogs where me and Jed attended college,
taking on the Ohio State Buckeyes and the Peach Bowl,
in Atlanta where Jed lives, where my family is from,
where I was visiting for the holidays.
Georgia comes out, looks a little flat,
gets back into it, takes the lead,
and then just the third quarter, it looks desperate, man.
We enter the fourth quarter trailing 38 to 24.
We completed one pass in the third.
quarter it looked like nothing was going to get done uh and then you know that's why they play the
game it's why you're never over it is never over until it is over folks i i was having an existential
crisis i was having a breakdown during that entire game just the most electric thing i've ever been
a part of being in the stands to that like i originally wasn't going to go my parents got me tickets
for for christmas thanks mom and dad uh
I was super excited.
The first bowl game I've been to in several years,
first Georgia game I've been to since COVID,
so I haven't gone back.
And I was like, yeah, this is going to be great.
In my head going into the games, like,
this is really the national title,
because whoever wins this is going to beat either Michigan or TCU,
I felt,
even though it had Michigan, you know,
already got the dub over Ohio State.
I just felt that we were the two most talented teams.
And then for 15,
seven minutes of that game,
it felt like we were,
we were boned,
that we were not bringing our A game.
The moment where Marvin Harrison,
Jr. got a targeting call on him on a third down,
where it looked like C.J.
Stroud was throwing the football out of the back of the end zone.
And then we come up and just plow through Marvin Harrison
because he did end up having a chance of the ball.
And in the stadium,
they call it targeting.
It's going to be first and goal from the one for Ohio.
State, it's going to give them a chance to go up.
That was when I gave up.
It's going to give them a chance to go up, 42, 24, make it a three possession game.
I looked in a turn to my friend.
I was like, it's over.
All right.
Like, we've been positive up to this point.
It is now over, though.
We are not going to win this football game.
They say nothing in the stadium.
I don't know.
Nothing.
I was going to say, I don't know if I just wasn't paying attention.
No referee, no replays, no anything.
We get no information.
And then they just trot the kicker out there for Ohio State.
Me and all my friends look at each other.
We're like, all right, like, we're not dead yet.
Like this thing is not over just yet.
A two possession game stays a two possession game.
And like,
just by the power of belief, baby, you can't give up.
Can't give up on the dogs.
That was when I gave up because you're right,
they didn't say anything.
And then suddenly we're just,
they're just rotting out the field goal team like,
oh my God,
what's going on?
It was nuts.
The ending,
I don't know where you were sitting.
I was at the 50 yard line.
I was up.
I wasn't sitting.
Oh, you weren't standing.
I had standing.
room only. So I had to get in there at like six o'clock. One of my boys who works for a corporate
sponsor of the Peach Bowl hooked me up, got me a $100 tickets. I was like, I'm, I got to go to this
for this price. Normal tickets were much more expensive. But yeah, I had to get in there very early.
By the time the third quarter was rolling around and we were getting beat pretty bad, I was standing
five, five and a half hours straight in the same spot. Legs were starting to feel it, starting to get
a little tired, but I didn't give up on my dogs. I didn't give in. I didn't go and sit down like a lot
of the fans were.
And yeah, so I was where the Ohio State kicker missed it.
That end zone.
I was sitting in that one.
So I'm at the 50 and I'm so high up that I can't really see the board or whatever.
Oh, the Halo board.
Yeah.
So sick.
Mercedes Ben Stadium.
Google it.
It's amazing.
So I'm getting no replays the whole time, which was honestly made the experience way more
fun because I'm just like actually living in it and not being able to look back up and see.
But from our vantage point, you could see everything on the field except the kicks.
You just, you could, there was no depth perception to tell if any of the field goals went in or not.
And so the first Georgia field goal that we missed, everybody around me celebrating, and that's when we all realize, oh, we can't do it.
So then it's just looking at the team reactions to see where the, like, who got it in.
And so for this final, the clock's ticking down.
It's about to be midnight.
we can't see shit.
This is the biggest kick in the history of Georgia football that's about to go on.
And I'm just like, I don't even know, I can't process my emotions.
And then he kicks it.
And I immediately knew he shanked it.
It was such a bad kick that I could tell.
And you couldn't see shit about where that was going.
And immediately I jump, I am losing my mind.
And everybody gets really excited because you could tell from the worst advantage.
impossibly bad kicks
second his foot
touched the ball
it was done
I do feel bad for the kid
Ruggles
I mean he's been like a
sick kicker all year
I think he'd only miss two field goals
going into that
and like you know that is going to live with him
for so long
it's not his fault
and let me tell you why
I went back and rewatch the game
the next day
because I wanted to see it
was like all right well I got nothing to do
on me or you want to see the TV broadcast
Yeah, the stuff that I missed because, again, I didn't have replay.
So a lot of it, I couldn't tell like in the stadium, it looked like Marvin Harrison Jr. is the best football player alive.
Unbelievable.
We're terrible.
That's both of those are probably true.
Not even us being terrible.
He is just that good.
He's just the best football player in the world.
It looked like we were getting zero pass rush.
Also pretty accurate.
That's actually true.
There was no pass rush.
And C.J. Stroud, if there was any pass rush, he just avoided it.
and circled out and just found the open man.
That was the part that was killing me,
because the man is not known as a runner,
and suddenly he has the legs of freaking Lamar Jackson out there.
It was brutal.
So I went back and rewatched it,
and as I'm rewatching it,
I don't remember who it was on the call.
Maybe it was Kirk Herb Street or whoever else was,
whoever the broadcaster.
Fowler and Herb Street.
Chris Fallon, Kirk,
Curb Street.
Yeah, I think it was Fowler that actually said it.
When Ruggles is taking an earlier field goal from,
you know, 40, not a chip shot in college, but a makeable one.
Fowler just goes like, well, you know, Ruggles has been automatic all year.
I was like, you never say that, Fowler.
You never do.
Announce a curse.
What you do say, I turned to one of my friends before he took the kick, and I was just like, man,
like, first of all, what you said about not being able to process your emotions,
I think that's one of the most beautiful things about being a sports fan and being so invested
is because you're not going to have time to process the emotions.
The game is going on.
Like, it is going to keep going, and there is nothing you can do about it.
Like, because I was in the same thing.
Like, I was like, I can't watch.
Like, I can't watch it.
It's just like, I have to watch.
I have to watch.
Like, it's just such tense moments.
But I turned to one of my friends right before he kicked it.
I was just like, his dude Ruggles was about to make a lot of people happy and a lot of people mad.
No matter what happens here.
No matter what happens.
One of the two things.
Yeah, man.
It was.
How about the Arian Smith?
The 76-yard touchdown pass.
One play.
drive. That's where I was like, okay, we are seriously. That's where they roped me back in.
That's where I was like, we are not dead yet. And like you started like really getting hype at that
point. Like the vantage point from the end zone when you just see Stetson just absolutely
launched this thing. And it's just like you see the ball. It feels like it's in the air for 30 seconds
and then it finally comes down and it's a touchdown. It's just unbelievable stuff. I mean,
one of the, I was at the national championship last year and that is probably the best football game.
I've been a part of in the stands.
Yeah.
Like this one, the peach ball is.
I know what you're saying.
It's undoubtedly the best football game I've ever been to.
It's frankly one of the best football games I've just ever seen full stop.
I don't know.
The national championship because of what that means is probably the only game in history
that I would say I would have rather been at than this.
And like I was talking with my dad afterwards.
It's like I may never go to another game because how can I top this one?
Like we were dead in the water for so much of this.
Dude, first of all, so dead in the water.
And that's what I'm saying to my friends about this.
Like if they end up going back to back and I got to be at the national championship
and I got to be at the Peach Bowl and they go back to back and it's just like all the curses are ridden
and everything like that.
Like we are the champions.
We are the best team in college football.
We proved it two straight years.
It's just like it's almost like I'm like less of a fan.
Like, it's like, I'm just become a supporter.
Like, it's just like, all right, it's time to move on to the next stage of my life.
Like, it's just like they have done everything they possibly can for me.
This team owes me nothing anymore.
Like, they have paid all their debts.
Like, we are one win away from being at that point where I'm just like, yeah, back in my day, we used to not win national championships.
And now we just win them every year.
We just do it.
Yeah, man, it was, it was incredible.
Incredible.
I mean, if you want to see my reaction,
It's all my Twitter.
It's all my Instagram.
Like, it was so electric, especially in standing room only because everyone could run around.
Like you weren't locked into a scene.
Oh, that's great.
So it just became a total mob scene.
Like, random people are hugging.
Everyone's high-fiving.
Like, it was just, it was absolutely insane.
I mean, loved every minute of it.
Love that it got to be in the bends.
Love that it was the Peach Bowl.
I mean, it was just perfect.
It really was, man.
It was just best.
42, 41.
That's the best part is we won by one single point.
Like, that's what I love about it.
And like I mentioned earlier, if you don't watch college football, if you have no idea what we're talking about, you at least have to go find.
I retweeted it, the video of it's syncing up.
And essentially when that ball.
Unbelievable.
When that ball hits up, because, like, I was looking at my phone as I was pulling it out to record the kick.
I was like, damn, it's 1159.
Like, it is about to be midnight.
It is about to be New Year's.
like the kick hits the ground like as the fireworks are going off in time square like it is it's so
perfectly timed up it's like a movie it uh somebody sent me that like right after one of my
friends and i was just like yeah i mean it felt kind of like we all knew it and we immediately
while we're celebrating the stands like oh by the way happy new year but for it to sink
perfectly and they called a time out they iced the kicker it was almost like curb
He was like, nah, let's match this up to New Year's.
Let's do it. Let's make this happen.
I hate icing the kicker, by the way.
But when it works, baby, I got nothing to say.
Oh, it worked.
We also, can we talk about the greatest timeout in sports history?
Oh, my gosh.
Ohio State fakes a pun.
This is while they're still leading the game to give you some reference here.
It was so obvious, too.
I don't know if you could tell, but from where we're at,
it is like very clear that this is about to be a fake,
and I am losing my mind that we were not prepared.
I was in the bathroom.
That's where we're at during this stage of the game.
We are down that bad at that point.
I'm in the bathroom.
I'm like,
I'm going to just run to the bathroom.
I'll be back.
And then, like, I hear the fake kick and everything.
And then I'm like, I'm running back to where I'm standing.
And I'm just like, what's going on?
What's going on?
They're like, they caught a fake.
But like, we called a timeout.
I mean, it's like, saved the game.
Another moment where it saved the game.
I mean, you talk about the targeting, getting called back, saved the game.
It wasn't a targeting, by the way.
That was a good decision to call that back.
He did use the shoulder.
And Marvin Harrison after the game said it was a normal hit.
He wanted to go back in the game.
The trainer didn't want to allow it.
The Brock Bowers first down, that's maybe less good of a call.
The man levitated.
They had the side angle where he's past the pylon, saved the game.
The Smith, 76-yard touchdown, saved the game.
The timeout on the fake punt saved the game.
Like the amount of moments in that fourth quarter that saved the game,
it's it's unheard of it's unbelievable
unbelievable but yeah that fake point
I am sitting there screaming
because the the protection unit is like not
where it's supposed to be it's like very clearly
off center to a point where it can catch a direct snap
and I'm just like oh guys this is a fake what are you doing
and Kirby clearly sees it too it makes
oh I don't think he's had a great game coaching
but just got trust in them
Yeah, you just...
You just got to trust in Kirby Smart.
I mean, it's just the guy, the guy gets it done.
And I love, I love one of the first things he says post-game, you know, all right, your team's
ready to go play TCU?
He's just like, nope, we're not ready.
Did you watch the game tonight?
Ohio State probably, yeah, probably deserved to win the game.
We got a lot to work on.
We got to get ready for them.
Like, that's what I love about Kirby Smart, never satisfied until the job is done.
So Georgia wins the Peach Bowl against Ohio State, 42, 41 advances to the national championship
on Monday they will take on the TCU Horned Frogs.
Next time we're recording this,
we'll know whether or not Georgia are the national champions.
They are.
First time in college football playoff history.
I cannot wait for it.
Let me also, as we exit here, let me just, let me note something.
It's important to note.
2022, the year of the dog,
undefeated Georgia Bulldogs.
Undefeited.
Didn't take an L from January 1 to December 1 to
December 31st, baby.
That is a fact.
15 and 0 in the year of 22.
Unbelievable.
We'll see if we can do it again in 23.
I mean, let's just keep the good times rolling.
But you didn't come here for college football.
We'll put a timestamp in the description.
We'll do whatever that you can just fast forward right to this point.
Boarding for flight 246 to Toronto is delayed 50 minutes.
What?
Sounds like Ojo time.
Play Ojo? Great idea.
Feel the fun with all the latest slots in live casino games and with no wagering requirements.
What you win is yours to keep groovy.
Hey, I won!
Feel the fun.
Boarding will begin when passenger fisher is done celebrating.
19 plus Ontario only.
Please play responsibly.
Concerned by your gambling or that if someone close to you, call 18665331-2-600 or visit
comics ontario.ca.
Unwrap holiday magic at Holt Renfrew with gifts that say I know you.
From festive and cozy fashion to luxe beauty and fragrance sets, our special selection has something
for every style and price point.
Visit our Holtz holiday shop and store or online at Holtrenfrew.com.
Right now where we start getting into MMA.
So what we want to do, we want to recap the year.
We want to look back on 2022, you know, how we did.
And then we got a few awards that we want to give out.
Not your typical fighter of the year, you know, fight of the year, comeback, fight of the year, all that.
Gambling awards.
These are going to be gambling awards.
That's what we're going to do here.
But just a quick recap.
I said I wanted to end the year up over 50 units.
I ended it up 66 units, 10.82% return on investment.
I had 31 winning weeks, 17 losing weeks.
So if it was a 48 game season, I went 31 and 17.
I'm happy with that outcome.
Happy with the year overall, man.
I mean, all we ever talk about is profit is the goal.
And I was able to secure that.
So 2022, I view it as a good year.
I mean, how could you not view it?
is a good year when you're talking about it's literally impossible yeah to not view that as a good
year especially when you're gambling on m-ma the most volatile sport in the world yeah any year that
you are a winner of any units it's a it's a good year great year certainly if you're you know
hitting your target goals it's a fantastic year uh so for me i don't have a week-by-week breakdown
because i'm not nearly as delightful as connor really went above and beyond to let you know how many
weeks but up 55 units for the year so oh baby i mean that feels that feels quality i mean two people
two people profiting is uh is not a bad thing to do um i'm actually moving on from the spreadsheets
i normally keep a spreadsheet to a website a lot of people love bet m mma tips i'm gonna i'm gonna
try that out here in 2023 uh i learned about it about halfway through last year i thought it was
way more complicated than it was. That's why I was a little bit hesitant. And then over the break,
I was like, all right, let's see, like, everyone speaks volumes about this. Let's see what it's all
about. So yeah, I'm just going to start with that. You just plug and play. You have to get your
picks in before the card starts so you can't change anything. Not as if I would anyway.
But yeah, it seems like it's much easier to use than a spreadsheet. My spreadsheet has gotten like,
I'm like 800 cells deep into my spreadsheet now when it comes to these bets.
I have no idea what this thing is, so I'll take a look at it.
I'll see how I feel, you know?
It's clutch.
It's clutch.
Well, I'm interested to see what this looks like.
Maybe that's just a simpler way to do it.
Free shout-out to Better M.A. Tips.
Free shout-out to Better M.A. Tips.
I'm happy to be on board in 2023.
Hopefully there's no issues.
Sometimes I have, you know.
Hopefully there's no issues.
I'll probably still keep a side spreadsheet just to keep it extra transparent.
Always a good idea.
Both of us profit.
I mean, you're listening to two profitable MMA betters here on No Betts Bar.
This year.
You know.
That could change this year.
Thanks could change in 2020.
I could lose 75 units in 2023.
Let's hope not.
Well, I'm going to lose 75 units in 2020.
It's just if I win more than that, I can guarantee you that.
All right.
So let's get in to the awards.
We've got five awards.
Our best bet of the year.
our fighter of the year, but in terms of best fighter to bet on.
Then we have the sweatiest bet of the year.
Then we have the robbery of the year.
And then we have our worst bets of the year, which I cannot wait to break down.
So let's kick it off.
The best bet of the year, the best bet I made in all of 2022,
and it lasted almost the entire year, all the way up until October.
It was Islam Makashchev to be champion at end of 2022,
plus 240, went pretty heavy on it, almost put two full units on it.
I mean, it was a bet that I just, I put a decent amount on, and I was like, I wish I put more.
Like, I felt good about it.
I was like, he's going to get a shot in 2022.
It works out.
He gets the win.
It was just exactly how I scripted it up.
I couldn't have been happier with it.
It felt like I net the whole year, I was just like, yeah, I can bank on that being in my bank account
come December 31st because he's just going to be the champion at the end of this year.
It's a great feeling when you can just bank on it.
It's good.
I know that's coming back to me.
At plus 242, I loved it.
I saw some people get in early and it was like plus 600.
I was like, wow, that is just an incredible bet.
I do have some honorable mentions, but for you, your best bet of the year, sir.
So I only have one honorable mention.
But my best bet of the year, I went a different way because I went, it's the only bet of the year.
It is the defining bet of the year.
2022 and frankly of beyond it's flyweight unders baby oh there's there's no doubt and if this was like
the oscars flyweight unders would be winning the best picture that's how that's how we have to
to equate this i mean someone sent me the stats and i was i was busy over the break i didn't get
to dive into it too much but essentially flyweight's finished fights for like the most the highest
percentage in like seven or eight years like it like not only
do we joke about it and like we actually see them through and watch them cash,
it's like statistically proven that this was a great year for flyweight unders.
It was, I mean, we talked about it nearly every week.
Certainly every week there were flyweight bouts.
It, I, frankly, it is probably the single bet that really gave our podcast momentum to get
where we are today.
It unifies people.
It brings families together.
What more could you ask from a bet?
than what flyweight under is given this year,
undeniably my bet of the year.
I mean, there's nothing better,
especially like when you put your friends onto it,
you're hanging out with them.
Everyone's watching the fights.
And then some 5-3 guy who's 125 pounds,
135 soaking wet, getting in there
against that 5-4 guy, 66-inch reach.
And it's just like,
these guys are going to finish each other.
Don't worry about it.
It's just like, I love it.
I love it.
Zero every day of the goddamn week.
You know,
Shout out to the real heroes.
Like, we're talking about Matt Schnell.
We're talking about raw dog Brandon Roy Val.
Like, these are like Alejandro, Pantosia.
Like, we're talking about these guys.
You know they're going to get it done for you when they're going in there.
Amir al-Bazi did well.
Venetia Salvador.
Daniel De Silva might be the king of the flyweight owners.
You know, like, that man hates going past the first round.
He's not into it.
He does not get paid by the hour, Connor.
I love flyways.
We got to come.
couple fly weights on this first guard of year.
We're going to talk about it.
I'm excited, but, you know, that's my bet of the year.
I have one honorable mention, and this is more than me personal one.
It was the biggest, the biggest odds that I cashed this year.
Miley McCann, third round TKO over Luana Catalina.
Has to be.
Plus 3,500.
When you cash a 35-Hundo doesn't happen all that often.
Certainly if you're not parlaying a bunch of things together,
just a feeling that it's hard to describe.
That's my runner-up.
That's a thing of beauty.
I mean, that's absolutely amazing.
One that I am, there's a couple that I'm a little bit proud of.
Janjohn-Nan by decision against McKenzie Dern plus 325.
I laugh at that because I was obviously on McKenzie Dern in that one.
If you guys remember, that goes down as one of my worst bets of the year.
Nathaniel Wood by decision plus 285 against Charles Jordane.
I mean, that one was never in doubt.
In boxing,
Dervante Davis, rounds 5 through 8 plus 250.
I mean, that was, I never hit those exact rounds.
That was a nice one to cash.
And then let's head over to WWE.
Ronda Rousey win the Royal Rumble.
Okay.
Plus 1,400.
I kicked off the year with that bad boy last year.
And when I saw her come out, I think it was 30th in the Royal Rumble.
I mean, that was just, it was poetry in motion for me.
I have nothing to share on WWB Betts,
but that sounds,
it's still weird to me.
I know you guys talked about it on the MAA hour.
It's still weird to me that you can do that.
They allow you.
I'm gonna do it again this year.
Well,
here's the thing is so like I took Ronda Rousey at plus 1,400,
and by the end of the week,
she was like minus 600.
It's like the story got out.
Like I watched a couple of YouTube videos,
and they like, I watched way too many.
Well, James Crowsy situation.
I watched way too many Royal Rumble predictions,
and then, like, the storyline got released for sure.
One other one that, like, it wasn't a big number.
I think we were both on it, though.
Jalen Turner against Brad Riddell, just, like, even odds.
And it was just, like, the easiest bet I've ever made of my life.
And it was just over in, like, 30 seconds.
Yeah, that I didn't even think about it in that context.
It was just, like, the simplest bets, but that was for sure.
I will also throw out another, I don't think, I know,
I definitely did give this one out on this show.
Corey Sandhagen by KOT, KO in round four.
Oh, yes.
With the creeper boy.
Dan Hooker round two, the universe bet.
That was a pretty good one too.
Love the universe bet.
Great bet.
So a couple of really good bets in 2022.
We're going to try and do the same thing this year.
But it's flyweight under.
It's the bet of all time.
I agree.
That's a great point by you.
Let's keep it moving.
Let's move to the fighter of the year.
best fighter to bet on. There's no question for me. This was knee jerk. I am so excited.
Oh, my gosh. I have an answer I'm confident in, but I only came to it after I did a little
bit of digging. And I have a second answer. I was secondary. And I kind of have a feeling that
the secondary might be your knee jerk answer. So if you know me, if you listen to anything I say,
if you intake ingest any of my content, you know I love this man. It's the lock of the year. I mean,
you just can't have any more confidence in this guy.
Jailton Almeida, that is the clear winner.
Jailton Almeida by finish.
Jailton Almeida under.
Jailton Almeida first round, smash him all.
Dude goes 3 in 0 in 2022.
All wins by first round finish.
And he had one, one singular significant strike landed on him throughout the course of 2022.
I mean, it was just, he just knew what was going to happen.
The story was already written before he even entered the cage.
Sure, I know his odds were blown out every time he fought,
but there were ways that you could find profit on it.
And my confidence in that guy was just through the roof every time going into it.
I mean, one card I had like 13 units of exposure on him.
And I was like, as he was making the walk, I was like, man,
I was like, man, what if this guy just lets me down and just like get starched here in the first round?
No, first round finish, easy work.
I mean, Jelton, I made.
Can't wait to watch him.
Two weeks.
You see Brazil.
That's the real people's main event.
Whoever Jelthin Almeida is fighting.
Look, he's undeniably the anchor leg of any parley.
He's the best anchor leg in 2020.
Jelton, Anchor Almeda.
That should be his name.
We could talk to him about it.
Fun, because that was neither of the two men I had.
I have the runaway winner for me is Roman Deleide.
Yes, yes.
Fought three times, three underdog caches.
Yep.
I never bet on him, but yes, plus 215, cow d'alcas, plus one.
him twice. I didn't bet the Kyle Dawkins one.
Oh, plus 175, Jack Hermanson. I mean,
guys, an absolute stud.
I mean, he also did that in the last six months of the year.
I mean, come on.
Three performance of the night bonuses, just do deliver time in and time out.
I didn't join the Kyle Dawkins, but after the darkest one, that's when I got on the
Deleides-A bandwagon, two underdog tickets cash for me.
And when you go three and oh and you're cashing underdog odds each of those times,
that that's my winner
but the guy I thought you were going to take
even when you were giving the intro
about how much you love this guy
it was Drew Dober
oh Drew Dover
I mean Drew Dover's a
I mean fantastic year for him
3 and 0
all of them pretty tightly odd
you know he was I think the favorite
and all of them maybe he wasn't the favorite
against Terence McKinney
though it feels like he should have been if he wasn't
the McKinney one is obviously a little bit
scary at moments, but, and frankly, so is Bobby Green.
Chin holds up. But you can't crack that chin, that impossible chin of his.
Yeah, I mean, Drew Dover is simply unbelievable. I thought you were going to think, I thought
you thought I was going to say Jack Delam Adelan, because that was my other guy. I mean,
three first round finishes.
J.D.M. Always great.
Any time we can get Jailton Alameda and Jack Delah Matalena on a card, know that I will parlay them
up. Know that I will shame.
Parlay them up. I don't care who they're fighting.
A couple other people that I want to make shoutouts to some honorable mentions.
I didn't get to capitalize on these, just like I didn't get to capitalize on Roman DeLite.
Let's head over to Invicta, shall we?
Gillian DeCorsi, 2 and 0 in 2022.
Caches is a plus 185 against Lindsay Van Zandt, plus 325 against Jessica Del Bonney.
Fantastic year for here.
Let's head to Poland.
Good old Tommy Romanowski and KSW, 4 and 0, all playable.
lines.
Minus 180, plus 180, plus 155, minus 140.
I mean, just great stuff from him.
LFA?
Yeah, you can make some profits in LFA.
Chris Breezy the Future Brown,
three and one in 2022,
but when he did win,
cashes as a plus 160, plus 165,
plus 300 while becoming
the LFA Walterway champ.
Last but not least, you actually are probably
familiar with this guy. I bet on a couple
times in 2022.
Sadi Boussa.
PFL, 4 and O, plus 120, plus 230, minus 105, minus 175.
All those wins by decision, had you just been like, dude, I know this guy goes a decision.
I'm just going to take all of him, all of his lines by decision in 2022.
Plus 275.
Plus 275 against Alex Shaken, plus 600 against Roy McDonald, plus 175 against Carlos Liao, plus 200,
DeLano Taylor.
I mean, unbelievable here for all of those people we just mentioned.
I love the diversity, you know, getting out down to the LFA and Invicta.
That's...
Oh, KSW, PFL, I mean, it ain't just UFC fighters cashing tickets these days.
It's never Bellator.
Belator fighters only ever lose money.
They've never won money for anybody alive.
But elsewhere, great value.
Yeah, if you're on Christian Eccles against Pat Downey, congratulations.
But I'd like to see that ticket.
All right.
Next up, the sweatiest bet of the year.
for me
this bet
was just so nasty
and so disgusting
and in perfect sweaty bet
form it didn't even end it to win
it ended in a draw
and that is Sean Woodson
against Luis Salada
I had him in multiple parleyes
he gets dropped
it looks like the fights finished
and it's a legal knee by Salada
they allow Sean Woodson to continue
he fights all the way back
they take the point from Salada
we go to the
the judge's scorecards, and sure enough, it's a draw. I mean, it was just one of the worst
experiences of my life, those 15 minutes. Oh, man, that's, when you started it, I thought,
when you said the draw, because I didn't anticipate us talking Sean Woodson today.
Oh, we're talking a little Sean Woodson. Yeah, when you said the draw, I was like, oh,
this is going to be Ancalaio of Blahovic, because you've got the future ticket down. Here
It goes.
The first three rounds were looking bad for our...
It's tough.
And that would have also been a good one.
But I love that now we're talking about Sean Watson on this podcast.
Damn right.
Probably the first time of all time.
Well, I talked about them pre-UFC 278 because I bet on them.
I guess.
For me, this was the easiest category by far.
Avid listeners may recall that I'm a big fan.
of the women's flyweight champion Valentina Shvchenko.
To an extent that I decided to go all in on Shvchenko.
I made two all-in bets this year.
The second one was Wiley Zhang of Carlos Barser.
That was not sweating.
That was much easier.
No sweat involved.
Dry is what that bet was.
Valentina Shubchenko versus Tilos Santos, however,
there was a distinct period of that fight
where I was questioning life choices.
You know, when you go,
get broke, you don't have money and you start to think, like, I shouldn't have spent that
$20 on Chipotle three weeks ago. I could have gone home and made a sandwich. I was in that
moment as I watched Tyler Santos all come as close as possible to beating this woman without
quite getting it. I know some people thought it was a robbery. I don't. Maybe I don't because of
all I had invested. Yeah. We're around and I think robbery is a tough call. When you saw Valentina
Jim Chanko moved to plus odds live.
That was when I got scared.
I mean, that had to have been the most sinking feeling, knowing how much you had.
And, like, she was what, like a minus 700 going into that fight?
It was a big number.
Big, big number.
And, yeah, I didn't, like, you know, the first round she had taken down, like, whatever.
I started getting that sinking feeling in the second round when it happens again.
I'm like, oh, this is replicable.
It's not one.
It's not, oh, Leon Edwards took Camaro Ooster.
down in the first round.
That's never going to happen again.
It was, oh, this can happen.
Oh, no.
And then that third round, little iffy until the head kick headbutt situation.
But we got there in the end, which makes it better.
But I have not sweat ever.
That is the most sweaty I've ever been in my history of gambling,
easily the sweatiest of the year.
Oh, I can only imagine.
Yeah, I didn't have that much exposure on Sean.
what's in he was just in a couple parleyes but yeah going all in there's nothing worse than
taking a massive favorite and you're like super confident in them and then you see that live
line go to plus money whether it's in mma whether it's in any other sport it's just like oh man
i messed i mistakes were made uh but we survived and that's all the matters like the georgia bulldogs
we survived we survived uh all right next up it is the robbery of the year this was you say this
sweaty spend of the year was your easiest category.
This was my easiest category.
Real ones know when we talk about this one.
It was G. Yon Kim versus Priscilla Catch-Aware.
I was holding a minus 165 ticket.
Outstrucker 170 to 102.
It's a round-by-round scorecard, Connor.
Oh, okay.
First round, outstrikes with 31-18 by 13 strikes.
Second round, 54-32 by 22 strikes.
Third round, 8552 by 33 strikes.
She just got better as the rounds went on.
And this was not one of those fights, Rob Font, Marlon Vero-esque, where it looked like Gion Kim got hit by a car and Priscilla Ketchawarro went for a light jog.
Like they were both doing pretty heavy damage to each other.
As it went to the scorecards, I was like, pretty sure that's a 3027 Kim.
We'll go ahead and cash that ticket.
That was an easy one.
Gion Kim going into round three, minus 1,400.
Priscilla Ketheera plus 800.
And sure enough, unanimous decision, 2928, Priscilla Catchawara.
That was like, when they said that scorecard, that was, I was in disbelief.
I was in shock.
I'm not going to lie to you.
That was a great one.
This is why I'm excited we did this because I get to think back on a bunch of fights that
otherwise, I didn't have any action.
That fight doesn't mean anything to me.
Yeah, I love the recats.
I think back.
I'm like, oh, yeah, that's a thing that happened.
And yeah, tough beat right.
There.
Tough.
It was tough, man.
That was, like, oh.
And I hadn't looked at the stats or anything during the fight.
And I was like, I swear, Gion Kim won that fight.
And then I go to the stats and I'm like, what?
I'm like, what?
It was disgusting.
So do you have any honorable mentions?
One honorable mention, it's not really a robbery.
It's just a terrible beat.
Having a Yuri Prohashka light heavyweight champion ticket and a Magamagamette
Donka Live Light Heavyweight Champion.
That's the worst beat.
Neither of them losing in 2022, both of them fighting for a title, and I somehow didn't cash either ticket.
Yeah, that's one of the toughest beats of the year, for sure.
I have one honorable mention.
I'm going to throw it out to start.
It's Jared Gordon Patty Pimbleau.
One of the biggest robberies of the year we talked about beforehand.
I was on the Jared Gordon bet.
I was strictly to fade, Patty.
And, you know, what's great about petting is it's not just that you win the money.
Frankly, the money's ancillary.
It's the feeling of just superiority of I am smarter than everyone else.
I am great and deserve this money.
And buddy, I had that feeling of superiority.
It's like, ah, I have been saying fade Patty because he's not very good.
And now I have been paid off.
Only I wasn't.
and so
you know
it was one of the bigger robberies of the year in general
and as I'm sitting there holding
a Jared Gordon plus 210 ticket
for that to come out the way it did
it stung
I won't lie to you it hurts man
it hurts like those decisions man
like it just bad beats are just tough to swallow
sometimes like whether it's decision
whether it's an over under missing by one second
like it just it hurts
it does but it's not my robbery of the year again when a bit of a different track on this one
i don't know if you recall this it hasn't been in the news not a very big deal at all if we're
being honest like we could probably just never talk about it and be cool uh there was an apex
card in november in that apex card you and myself i believe were on a young man uh by submission
His name's Derek Minner
You might have forgotten
Because it's not a big deal
But Derek Minner
Right before the fight
The line just gets nuked on him
The line on Shailan
Nerda Bieke
I'm sure I butchered that
By first down
KO balloons up
Something rotten in Denmark
Because immediately
Minner goes out
The first thing that lands
He's hurt
Clearly came in
Not in tip top shape
that's my robbery because, you know, throwing a bet down when all the facts are not apparent, that feels like a robbery to me.
Betting without all of the information.
It's funny you say that because that can actually be a bridge to our next category, the worst bet of the year, where I had an honorable mention of Derek Minter by submission because that bet was a loser before I,
even placed it. I was making a donation to the sports book when I placed that bet. And it's
unfortunate, but it was probably one of the worst bets I made all year because of James Krause.
You just lit money on fire. Should it be the James Krauss worst bet of the year award?
You know, I don't hate that. I don't hate naming the title there. Yeah, I think we're going to have to name.
naming the title there. Yeah, I think we're going to have to name him after that.
Yeah. That's a, is that your actual worst bet of the year?
No, my worst bet of the year was
Saeed Nermagamatta
versus Cody Stamen.
Felt great about this one.
I took the over two and a half
and in classic
Connor fashion, I parlayed up the
over one and a half as well.
I was feeling good into a man,
Saeed, seven of his last 10 had gone to a
decision. Stamen, eight of his last
nine, they're just going to wrestle.
It's going to be great. It's going to go long.
It was over in 47
seconds. Said guillotines him. I mean,
It was just like, I was like, damn, damn.
I didn't even have time to get nervous about the over before it was, the fight itself was over.
It was, yeah, and I played that at minus money, too, both those.
Yeah, just one of those.
See, those are the bets that hurt.
Oh, yeah, one of the worst bets I made the entire year.
I don't see, man, here, here's what you need to do.
Because I think your worst bet of the year, I was thinking about this for both of us and this one.
your worst bet of the year, and it folds in the Derek Minner situation.
It's betting submission props.
I was going to say, Jared van dera by sub, which one?
It's funny you say Jared Van dera by sub because that is my worst bet of the year,
because I did it twice.
Me too.
Me too.
I believe in this man to get a submission victory.
We talked about it.
He was 0 for 4 or 0 for 5 in the year, and I couldn't help myself, but be like,
he's fighting somebody who's really bad and he's a black belt and like i got jay sherman can't
defend the grapples at all all he's got to do is use that bjj black belt nope nope you have watched
chase sherman get choked out in the first round on several occasions and jared van dera did not
want to go to the ground with him i if i'm not mistaken jared vanderah is going to the regional
scene i bet his first fight he gets a submission one
almost it's gonna be guaranteed you want my lock of the year
wherever jared vanderer we need to i'm going to follow the career of jared vanderer
wherever he has his first regional fight i pray it's in a big enough promotion that i can bet on
it because i'll take jared vanderer by sub again i'll keep doing this until he decides to use
that black belt of his one of these days it'll hit and it was yeah jared van deraer was my
runaway winner i bet on him against alexio lannic not that i thought he'd submit him but i was
like he's a BJJ black belt.
He will be smart enough not to grapple with Olinnick.
Instead, Jared Van dera is the guy who gives Olinic his 60th career win.
Chase Sherman,
Paula Cortezza Costa,
Jess,
I lost so much money,
so stupidly believing in this man.
I mean,
easily the worst bet of the year for me.
Jared van dera is just like,
man,
he fights at heavyweight.
He doesn't have a knockout in three years.
Like, it, oh man, he just presents like almost no danger at heavyweight.
No.
Well, certainly not if he's not going to use that BGAJ blackbell, baby.
So, all right.
That was it.
That was it.
I will throw a shout out to.
Yeah, please.
T.J. Dillishaw versus Al J.
Stirling.
I know I was on Dillishaw.
I feel like you were, if I remember correctly as well.
I was on Sterling.
You were on Sterling?
Oh, well, then, yeah.
Dillishaw, similar to the men or situation.
situation with a little bit less clear shenanigans going on, mostly just a dumb, dumb man doing a dumb, dumb thing.
That bet also, like you said, it was a donation.
I didn't know it was a donation at the time, but it was a donation.
Bet loss before you even placed it.
Yeah.
My adjo bet cashed as soon as I placed it.
I wish I had put more on it.
That was actually your best bet of the year.
I mean, that was just a mauling.
I mean, it just shouldn't even have gone to the second round.
Unbelievable.
Marshall's buyers travel far and wide,
hustling for great deals on amazing gifts.
So you don't have to.
They've bagged this season's Italian leather handbags.
Designer.
Handpicked the finest sweaters from the rest.
Ooh, cashmere.
Landed makeup pallets from the brands you love.
Rushes too.
And hustled all those wishless topping toys.
It's so plush.
Our buyers have got you covered.
Marshals, we get the deals.
You get the good stuff.
Hit pause on whatever you're listening to and hit play on your next adventure.
This fall get double points on every qualified stay.
Life's the trip.
Make the most of it at Best Western.
Visit bestwestern.com for complete terms and conditions.
That was the year that was.
What a 2022 it was.
What a 2022, man.
And that's the best part about this sport.
There's going to be so much crazy stuff that happens this year.
This time next year, we're going to be talking about a lot of crazy things that happen.
Betts, storylines, new champions, everything.
I mean, it's going to be fantastic, which leads us to our third and final portion of the show.
The Futures Betts section.
I've got quite a few down.
I've got one down in every division except for light heavyweight and women's bansom weight, though.
I could be talked into adding something.
Now, before we get into this, I don't know if anyone has, if you've embarked on this future's journey before,
I did it for my first time last year in 2022.
These are mostly for fun.
I had 12 last year.
I hit one.
Islam was the only one I hit.
I went one in 11.
But because of these payouts, it doesn't really matter.
I finished down less than a unit.
Like it was like down 0.55.
You hit two, you're going to win.
You hit two, you're probably going to win some money.
I mean, that's how these things work.
But at the end of the day, like, you got to just like, as we say in almost all betting,
you got to just do this thing for fun.
Like you got to have a fighter that you want to cheer on.
that like really believe.
More so than any other bet.
It just,
this is not about making money.
No,
this is about riding with a team
and if it pays out,
it's like that much sicker.
Like every day,
all my favorite bets in the history,
like everyone's always just like,
what's your favorite bet you've ever cashed?
I'm always like,
XYZ future,
whether it's Georgia winning
the national championship last year,
Kansas,
Tiger Woods Masters,
Bayern Munich Champions League.
Like,
it's almost always a future
because I'm usually doing it with friends
and it's usually really stupid and really fun.
So, yeah, I mean, have some fun.
Don't go too crazy with the stakes.
That's, I don't think I have,
I think I have like one future bet that's more than a unit.
Yeah, I really did not go too crazy with the stakes on these.
I'm just going to throw a unit on every one of them.
Oh, wow.
Let's have fun, man.
All right, let's have some fun.
Let's get into it.
Let's start at the top.
Let's start with men's heavyweight.
I have got three bets down in the men's.
heavyweight division.
One of them I did get a good line on.
I'll say that it doesn't really do a ton for people.
The other two are still available out there.
Can I guess one of them?
Please.
I feel very, very confident in saying Jailton Almeida at plus 6,500.
It isn't.
It isn't Jailton Almeida.
So here's the thing.
Here's the thing, man.
These futures are only for a year.
If it was just Jailton Alameda to eventually become champion,
I'm smashing that with every dollar in my bank.
You can't believe you didn't throw just like a tenor.
What's the timeline?
What's the timeline to get there?
Dude, it's heavyweight.
It could be seven years or tomorrow.
Who knows?
Oh, man.
There's just too many people smashed in front of them in a division that like,
how many times are we going to see a heavyweight championship fight this year?
Twice?
Two to three max.
Well, I don't know.
There could be interim.
Who knows?
Could be a bunch of interims.
But interims don't count.
We are.
We are coming off of the light heavyweight belt being just thrown in the garbage and just here.
No, it's your turn to fight for.
No, it's your turn.
Anything can happen.
Anything can happen.
Anything can happen.
I just don't love the timeline of Jailton eventually getting shot.
I'm excited to hear three futures down for this.
I only have one per division.
So.
So first one up is John Jones, plus 450.
Just had to get on a little action for that one.
I mean, it's just, it's too tempting.
not to. Will he come back? I don't know. I have no idea if he's going to do that. But you're
essentially getting like one of the greatest fighters of all time at plus 450 if he does fight.
And if he does fight and if he wins, there is a very strong chance. That's it for 2023 for
John Jones. Like is he going to be rushing back to the octagon? Is he going to be looking to be
super active? I don't know. This is more of a, if I see the fight get made, I'm going to be like,
Ooh, this is a nice ticket to have.
This is a nice ticket to have.
I was on it last year.
You're also not getting that price anymore.
It's 275 at draft kings right now.
Okay, so I will say, since we don't have any sponsorship obligations,
I also use BetOnline and Bovada, sports, super book, sports book or whatever in New Jersey
also offers them.
Yes, I took this one on Bet Online.
That's where I took plus 450.
Is it still that number there?
Yeah, I'm better online.
It's still sitting at plus 450.
Nice.
Got to do your line shopping for futures, eh?
If I'm anything, I am a line shopper.
Shout out to best fight odds and fight odds.
I have to do it manually for this one, but yes.
John Jones is, that is my first one.
Well, just hit us with both the others, because I only have one, and I kind of feel like I'll be surprised if you take it.
The second one, I don't, I think you can still get this line.
Sergei Pavlovich plus 800, heavyweight division.
What's he sitting out on draft kings right now?
He's at 650 on DK.
All right, so not too far off.
I mean, he's ranked third in the division.
He's only behind Cyril Ghan and a dude in Steepeniochich, who hasn't fought in a while.
He's just bludgeoning everyone.
I mean, like, he is a terrifying man.
His range is unbelievable.
I feel like he can beat anyone in the heavyweight division.
Will he get the shot?
I don't know.
That's the tough part about a lot of these bets.
Will he get the shot?
That's all you want in a future bet is for them to get a shot of the heavyweight title.
Yeah, I don't know.
Sergei Pavlovich, though.
This one, I considered him.
I ultimately went another way, but.
So you just went one for each division.
I just want one for each division.
I didn't want to get too much down because I've got one in every division,
so I didn't really want to have 40 units down in fewer.
Yeah, so these are these are all half unit bets, nothing too crazy.
And this was a line that I bet online posted that this was the one that I mentioned beforehand
that you just aren't going to be able to get.
I did mention it on the MMA hour when it was out there.
I said that I liked it.
It's Cyril gone at plus 850.
I don't know why they posted at this.
Wow, that is a dumb number.
That would have been my choice at that price.
Oh, yeah.
I like, I like rush to take that he's the number one ranked heavy way in the world.
I mean, I would still consider playing him at like a plus 300 or whatever.
he's at right now.
Plus three is what he currently sits at on DK.
I mean, he's the number one ranked heavyweight in the world.
His only loss on his career is to the current champion.
Like, I feel confident if he gets a shot.
He can beat anybody in the world.
Like, he is one of the most athletically sound, like, gifted heavyweights.
But it's just the heavyweight division.
It's just tough, man.
I just don't know what's going to happen there.
It is tough.
Cyril Gone at plus 850 would be my favorite future.
probably evolved.
It actually is my,
it is my favorite future that I have down.
I'm not going to lie.
Plus 300,
I still don't hate if you're playing it.
But I tried to,
I tried to scope it out,
Connor,
tried to.
I want to hear it.
I like these long shots
that you're taking.
Here's what's going to happen.
I'm on a long shot.
Also, shout out to,
I don't know about the other ones,
but you can bet on anybody,
basically,
in the heavyweight,
yes,
draft kings.
And I respect that they will let you throw money
at plus 50,000 on
Parker Porter
to be the
It's just like
There's ones that I read
That I was just like
Donation
Donation
Like this is just like
You are giving money away
Maybe somebody will give them money
For free
There is a zero
Like zero chance
That almost all of those happen
Yeah
None of these people
But shouts to the line
You can dream
And that's good
Here's what's gonna happen
I don't know
I've been paying attention
But
UFC President Dana White
in the news this week.
Oh, has he? I didn't see.
Yeah.
We're not going to talk about that.
It's not what we're here about to focus on.
But I think that that creates an opportunity where we've got some bad news we'd like to move past.
You know what the best way to move past bad news?
Big exciting, fun news.
I am positing, suggesting, postulating that this week or next week we are going to get the
announcement. Francis Inganu versus John Jones.
Ngano is re-signed with the UFC.
They're finally going to make that fight happen.
Maybe it's international fight week feels a little like the timeline that they might want
the most, but it could be a little sooner.
We're going to have that.
Those two are going to fight.
I'm going to pick Francis Ngano, but not here nor there.
Cyril Gahn.
Maybe he fights Sergei Pavlovich.
He might.
Could happen.
But I'm going to say that he's going to fight the best heavyweight in the world.
the unsung, uncrowned champion of this division, Curtis, Razor Blades.
They will fight.
Blades will defeat Ghan with his wrestling attacks, at which point he becomes undeniable.
He's won too many.
He's too high ranked, and you just run it back with him and Francis and Ghanu, or him
and John Jones at the end of the year, plus 1,400 right now.
he is maybe not the most likely to get the title shot this year
but at that big price I was trying to pick for all of my futures
I tried to pick guys that were one win away from a title shot
two wins is you gotta do
yes that's what you gotta do
you can't be guaranteed that there are three title fights coming up in the wait class
Curtis Blades is one win away
now he gets that win he may have to wait for a while
because who knows what stepe is doing pavlovich is on the rise
etc etc but he
is undeniably. If he gets one win away, he should be fighting for the belt in his next one whenever
that comes. And so plus 1,400, he's the biggest number of guys who I think have a realistic
chance of getting to a title fight. And he also is the guy I think has the best chance to win
against any of the guys above him. So Curtis plays plus 1,400. That's my heavyweight play.
Bam, I love it. Moving on to light heavyweight. I got nothing.
here.
Oh,
you're going to sell me
on something?
Let me sell you
on something here,
Connor.
Dream with me.
I'm dreaming.
Look,
you're a man with
Magma and Galive
ticket for 2022.
Rob didn't get cashed.
It's a shame.
Not Rob,
but close to Rob.
Feels bad.
We can't bet on him this year.
No,
even though I think he's the best
slight heavy way in the world,
we can't bet on him
because he's not getting a title fight
in his next fight.
They're going to make him win one.
And they might make him win two
because Dana White
seemed very, very unhappy with that man.
We know.
We know for,
of fact for certainty that Glover Tashara
is going to fight Jamal Hill
this month, just a couple of weeks.
Jamal Hill is plus 300 for champion.
Shocking, because he's not very good.
So I would not bet on Jamal Hill plus 300
to be champion by the end of the year.
Glover Tashara, however, plus 8.
800.
800, former champion,
went Hammer and Tongues
with the uncrown champion,
Yer Pahashka,
was seconds away from defeating Yuri Pajaka to retain his title.
Look, there's the concern that maybe Glover wins at UFC Brazil
and then just retires.
She just says, I'm going out on top with the belt.
I do think he's going to win that fight.
I think he's going to fight one more time.
It will either be against Uri Pajshka in a rematch
with Pahashka coming back off injury if he can get back in time,
or he is going to fight Jan Blyovic slash.
My guess is that we're going to get Blaovich Anthony Smith next
because Anthony Smith didn't get to fight Jamal Hill.
They are not going to do Uncle I have any favors.
My assumption is that Blahovic is going to fight Anthony Smith sometime early this year or early summer.
That will determine the next fighter to face Tashara versus Hill winner.
Glover obviously already beaten both of those men plus 800.
I'm taking the shot on Glover to Shara, light heavyweight champion.
I don't mind that.
I don't mind that because I think he's going to beat Jamal Hill.
And if he gets a rematch.
I absolutely think he's beating Jamal Hill.
With Jan Blahovic, I think he might win that one as well.
And that'll be it for the year.
I just cannot envision one or not.
He's not fighting three.
There's no way.
I think he's fighting two at most.
Plus 800, like, Yeri plus 330.
I can't take that because I just don't know.
I don't know if he's coming back.
Jamal Hill, I just can't trust a plus 300 like in a fight that is going to
to close at minus 110, minus 110.
Jan and Magamad, like, I just don't know their trajectory back to the title shot.
Are they going to get there in the years?
You're going to come back?
It's a division of uncertainty.
I wish we knew more about Alexander Rackich, because plus 2,500 is tasty on him, but it's a
good line.
I'm concerned in his timeline as well.
I just don't know how I get there.
I avoided for the same reason I avoided Tommy Aspinall.
I'm not trying to be around people who may be out for most, if not all of the year.
so yeah because you just don't want to like I took valentina bantam weight last year and it's just like it's a cool theory and like when rumors swirl it's it's fun but if a fight never gets made then it's just like damn you never even have the option yeah this was pointless I like that man I think if I was going to make a wager on light heavy weight it would be Glover to Glover to Chera maybe I can get talked into that maybe I throw it maybe throw a quarter unit on it to win about it put it on see how it feels you know walk around in it maybe it's for you maybe it's not but
Are we just going balls to the wall on Glover for UFC Brazil?
I am definitely betting.
I mean, I've already bet.
I've already bet him.
I don't have any bets down, but yes.
What I'm saying is do I put a future in on Glover and then I'm just, I'm team, team to share for, for 283?
I think because here's the thing.
I'm a big proponent of fading old people.
You hear me say all the time.
This guy's old.
Don't bet on the old guy.
I know.
You fucking hate old people.
I hate old people when it comes to fist fights.
But Glover appears to not be old.
I don't like, if you had told me going into the Prohashka fight, he would take a bunch of shots from Yuri Prahashka, but still just be in it.
I've been like, that's insane.
Like, you've seen what Yeri does to people.
You saw how Dominic Cruz died when Yer he touched him.
Like, Glover is 400 years old.
And yet.
Dominic Reyes.
Yeah, there you go.
Reyes.
I'd love to see.
Yeah, I'd love to see Yerie Cruz.
Cruz. That'd be a great fight. I would love to see that too.
But yeah, you know, like Glover appears the rules of aging don't appear to matter to him.
His struggles have not been that his chin is shot because he's old.
So it's like, why plan on that now? I'm going to believe in the man.
You can stop selling because right next to my face is the bet slip for drafting sports book.
Locked it in, plus 800. I'm going to find a way to get a women's bantam weight down too.
got something and everything.
I don't have a great selfie on that one.
Quarter unit to win two units on Glover-Teshire.
We are Team Tashara for Rio de Janeiro.
Let's keep it rolling on to the middleweight division.
So I have one bet.
Line is gone.
I hate that that happened.
These lines dropped like two and a half weeks ago.
I know it does nothing for any of you.
I feel bad giving them out.
People are like, this does nothing for me.
I know that, but it's just the bet that I have.
So I want to discuss with you a different, a different route I'm taking.
The bet that I do have down is one that I don't even know if it's going to hit,
Hamzaa Tchamai of plus 1,100.
I felt that was a fair price.
The line is, I don't know how he's plus 250 when he has never fought at middleweight in the UFC.
He has.
Oh, he has.
I'm sorry.
His second one of that early stretch was a middleweight.
There I go.
The Gerald Mearschart was at middleweight.
Gerald Mearschart was a middleweight.
You're right.
Right. How many times this guy fought a minute weight, two, three?
It's one or two, and then that depends on how you feel about the 108 or 90 or whatever pound catchweight.
Yes. I'm a Hamzaa Chamaimae fan. I am a big fan of his.
So I, like, immediately when these lines dropped, I played him middleweight and welterweight.
I took plus 400 welterweight. I think it's now plus 450, if I'm not mistaken.
just because I don't, I have a hard time seeing a world where Hamza Atramaya doesn't fight for a title in
2023.
I don't believe that that's cool.
I would be absolutely stunned if he didn't fight for a belt in 23.
But I can't.
Certainly at this plus 250 price, there's no chance in hell I'm taking that.
That's a very dumb number.
1100 gets a little tastier.
I don't think it's going to happen at a middle weight though, because.
I'm probably with you like why why is he why is he such a because he called out dude and
because if he fought Alex Pereira he would because the true answer is Israel Additioned and
Alex Pereira he would be favored over and those are the two guys most likely to have the belt
and maybe he could sneak his way in but that's I don't think that's going to happen
rumors are circulating hearing some rumblings out there Israel edition of may not be
be next up for Alex Pereira.
Now,
I'm very,
very,
very suspect,
could entirely be a lie,
could be,
you know,
misdirection,
but if he is,
I would still pick
Alex Pereira
to win that rematch.
I picked him
to win this fight
the first time.
I'd pick him to win
the rematch,
think he's just got
Izzy's number.
They're saying
that Robert Whitaker,
you know,
might be the guy
who gets in
instead of Izzy
depending on timelines.
Again,
This is not a report.
This is just rumors I'm hearing on the internet streets.
If that happens, I've come around.
At first, I thought I would take Pereira to beat Whitaker, thought about it some more.
I would take Bobby Knuckles to beat Alex Pereira in that fight.
If that happens next, Bob's your uncle.
Bobby Knuckles is a champion.
Maybe he just doesn't fight again in the whole year.
Maybe he just sits the whole rest of the year out.
He's your champion.
If that fight isn't next, if it is Pereira-A de Sanya, I think Pereira is going to beat that.
And at that point, Robert Whitaker is going to get the next title fight.
He's going to get the first crack at Pereira, the defined champion.
And I'm taking him to win.
Bobby Knuckles is plus 700.
I think he's got a really good shot at being champion by the end of the year,
despite not being better than Israel Dissania.
I think that he's got a very good chance of this.
So give me Bobby Knuckles plus 700.
I don't mind that.
I don't, oh, man.
What if Alex Pereira is just the champion at the end of 2023?
That wouldn't shock me either, but you're going to notice a recurring theme here.
I don't have a lot of bets that aren't huge numbers.
Yeah, I mean, that's the way to do.
I don't really want like a plus 120 or whatever.
That doesn't feel.
I did take one of those.
I have one low number bet.
Me too.
Plus 165 is the lowest I have.
but Pereira's plus 215
and that feels like an awful bet
because he has such defined weaknesses
that I just don't know how you could feel confident
in Pereira.
I'm kind of the same way.
You don't know what Hansat's going to do.
Honestly, I bet on line right now
is he's plus 200 but like you said,
you think Pereira wins that rematch.
Whitaker plus 700 is the best
you're going to get across the board.
I mean, that might be the best, like, value.
I mean, he's an unbelievable fighter.
It's just...
I think it's the best.
That's it.
Exactly.
I think it is the best value in my head.
That's where I'm at.
Because he and Adasania are the best two fighters.
Izzy's price is 150.
Whitaker's is 700.
Give me the seven of the 150, you know?
Say Izzy beats Alex Pereira.
Do you think they do Adasania Whitaker three?
No.
I think if Izzy beats Pereira,
that's when you look at like, okay, maybe Chimaeuf does get his chance here at middleweight.
Maybe they go to Drickus Duplice, who's surging.
You know, I know he's got a fight booked, but maybe...
Now we're really talking.
Yeah, maybe he comes up.
If Izzy beats Pereira, if they do do the rematch and Izzy beats Pereira,
that's when you can look at some of these bigger underdogs here,
some of the big priced people, the Drix de Pluses, the Andre Munis, you know,
like those guys who maybe they finally get their show.
shot.
But if he, maybe that doesn't happen.
Maybe as he just says, I'm going up to lay a heavyweight.
There's a lot of, a lot of uncertainty.
So give me the best fighter at the best price.
That's my thought.
All right.
Let's move on to men's welterweight.
I already mentioned my Hamz out of Chimae of plus 400.
Take it right now you can get him for plus 450 on draft king sports book.
And he's ranked third in the division.
I think he's probably the best welterweight.
Uh, 2023, title shot time.
Time to get Hamz out of belt.
Do you only have the one for welterweight?
No, I have two more.
Two sprinkles on bigger numbers.
I have a very important question for you, Connor.
Please.
Do Wolfpack wagers count for future bets?
Because I myself am on Hamza Atchamaiva plus 450,
for all the reasons you said,
because he's the best Walter Wade in the world,
and this is finally the year he's going to do it.
Like Islam Makachev before him,
it's time for Dagestaniwai.
to rise up here we go chichina whatever same same chichina yeah yeah i mean that's what i'm
ryan with uh did you pose a question to me i'm sorry i did it was do wolf pack wagers count for
i'm sorry i just i just got a very important uh thing pop up on my phone i completely zoned out i'm
just i'm not even going to beat around the bush someone just sent me something that i needed to read
immediately uh we're leaving this in though because we're transparent people and that's what we're
I'm a transparent podcast.
It's okay.
What are your other two sprinkles that you have here?
Wolfpack Wager, though.
I'm going to bet.
You're riding with the wolf.
No, I wish.
I wish.
There's just not the timeline there.
There's just no shot.
He's just not going to get the title shot.
My other one actually just took a hit with the cancellation.
I took Shavkat Rockmanab at plus $1,200.
I was hoping he was going to run through Jeff Neal.
Then we're getting him a top five guys.
That's probably the best value of all.
I was really hoping, like,
We could really skyrocket this kid in 2023,
but losing that Jeff Neal fight hurts
because we were going to, first card of the year,
like you're talking Chavkots fighting three times in 2023,
maybe around November, December.
It's for a title.
Interesting, interested to see what he does now.
I don't love it as much now that that Jeff Neal fight is off.
I was kind of creating a plane in my head.
And then the last one, it's still available on BetOnline right now,
Balaamah, plus 1,600.
just kind of feels a little bit disrespectful.
It's a big price.
Nine fight on beaten streak.
He's fourth in the division.
He stays active.
He's fought six times in the last two years.
I mean,
I-
Training with Habib now, you know.
Yeah, I mean, I really think there's a real chance
to get the title shot in,
in 2023,
depending on what happens within the division.
I will say that that is a big number.
I don't think.
Jeff Neal is plus like $1,400 on.
Yeah,
That's just that that's why it's a big number, but I don't think Bilal Mohammed's getting a title fight.
I think Bilal Muhammad is going to have to win seven more fights to turn.
Wow.
All right.
So what did you, what was your bed for welterweight?
Shama is plus 450.
Thank you.
Thank you.
Okay.
I'm fully back locked in now.
Thank you.
Love it.
All right.
Let's roll on to the men's lightweight division.
I have two.
very tiny sprinkles because I have a feeling on who's going to be the champion at the end of
2023.
And I believe it's going to be Islam Makashiv.
So do I.
Can I play minus 225 on a year-long bed?
That's the problem with that bet is I believe he's going to be the champion, but minus 200,
can't do that.
Can't do minus 200 on a bet that I have to sit on for an entire year.
What I did do, the smallest.
Like I'm talking smaller than a little fiver
because I do think Islam is going to be the champion.
Armin Sarukian, I snagged him at plus 5,000.
Did the same thing with Fiziv.
Maybe we get a rematch, Armin.
You grab Fiziv.
Fiziv is my pick plus 4,000, baby.
Let's go.
Let's get Fiziv B'Neil early in the year.
Winner gets Islam after Perth.
Boom.
Boom.
You just like,
lined it up right there. You're welcome, Sean Shelby. You're welcome, Dana White. We did your jobs for
you. I didn't bet Armand because, well, for several reasons, but it's, I have some concerns
about Armin. His last two performances have cooled me on him a little bit. Not a ton.
Still think this guy's going to be a future champion, but he's got to develop a killer instinct
that he doesn't have in him right now and a more varied striking game. But I don't think
we're going to get
Faziv
Darayush. I think we're going to get Fassiv
Sarukian. I think that's going to be next.
Oh, nice. Nice. I'm down for that.
I think Fiziv
is just the guy who
people aren't talking about enough is maybe
the best of this crop of rising contenders.
And stylistically, he matches up the most
interesting with me for Makachev.
Such a good defender of
takedowns. I know Islam brings
a whole different world in that regard than
you know, RDA, but Fizziv is so strong at it and a dangerous striker.
Plus 4,000.
He's knocking on the door, man.
It's lightweight, so it takes forever.
But you get Fiziv versus Saurukin.
Then you get in the summer, you know, sometime you get Fizzi versus Olivera or Gage or Poyer,
one of those guys.
Then we're talking end of the year, Fiziv for the belt.
Plus 4,000.
It's a big number.
Give me that all day long.
He's going to win?
Probably not.
It's probably going to be Islam Makashv.
Oh, yeah.
Retaining the belt.
This was by far the most value bet of any of them,
just because I do think, gun to my head,
Markachev champion.
No questions asked.
But you're asking me to bet to make a year-long investment in minus 200.
That's insane.
Yeah, I can't do it.
Even if I do feel good about it cashing.
Next up, the Men's Featherweight Division.
Now, did you say you couldn't get a men's featherweight division?
Jeff Kings does not have featherweight options up right now.
I'm not really sure why.
I wonder if that's a state thing because I'm looking at it right now.
Oh, are you?
Well, that's weird because I do not have it in front of me.
Let me refresh, but it jumps straight from lightweight to bantam.
Alexander Volcanowski minus 165.
Josh Emmett plus 400.
I don't have it.
That's super weird.
Wow.
Gia Rodriguez plus 450.
Arnold Allen plus 800.
Elia Taboria plus 1,400.
Well, I have the bet I want to make.
So tell me what the odds are because I'm riding with my boy, Arnold Allen.
Been a big, almost 800, plus eight.
Plus 800, yes.
Love the price too.
Been a big almighty fan.
I thought he got robbed of getting the interim title fight.
Absolutely should have gotten the interim title fight over Josh Emmett.
But, you know, things happen.
We're going to get that interim title fight.
Volcanovsky's obviously going on.
If Volcanovsky wins, he's going to drop the featherweight belt,
Lightweight's got too much going on
If he doesn't, he's coming back
He's going to fight the winner that
Arnold Allen's going to have to fight somebody at featherweight
Maybe you just do the Max Holloway fight
Either way
I've been a big Arnold Allen guy for years
Unsung hero of this division
One of the very best guys in the world I think
Regardless a weight class
So give me Arnold Allen
At plus 800 love that
Bet online you can get them for plus 1200 right now
I kind of like that.
I kind of like that.
Right now I'm writing with something on Drafking Sportsbook.
It's Iliot's a Poria plus 1,400.
This is kind of similar to the Islam bet.
Like I sort of feel like Volk is going to lose the Islam and then defend the featherweight title.
What's Volk's price, though?
Minus 165.
Yeah, I'm not laying that.
It's almost an identical situation.
Yeah, it really is almost an identical situation.
I think Volk is probably going to be the champion at the end of,
2023, he'll lose to Islam. Volk stays active, but I could probably see just one. I mean,
man, man, yeah. I mean, that's the tough part. I mean, what if what if Volk loses to Islam?
He gets the winner of Yai or Josh Emmett, and then he's done for the year. I mean, there's a,
I'm, I'm hoping for high activity. I know he wanted, it felt like he wanted to fight more in
2022. He only got the two in, but a lot of that was him campaigning for the lightweight thing. I'm
hoping this happens.
He gets this out of his system.
He realizes that, oh, there's a weight class for a reason I've lost.
And then he comes back and he wants to rip through him again.
And he's like, all right, let me beat up Pierre Rodriguez.
He beats up Pierre Rodriguez, at which point, all right, I need the new guy.
It's on an Allen up next.
Honestly, my bigger concern would be that Yehier Rodriguez somehow beats Volk because then they're
just going to run that fight back.
Like there's no chance if Volk loses his featherweight that he doesn't get in the media.
And then Alan doesn't even get a shot at it.
But I think he's going to get his day in the sun this year.
I love it, dude.
I mean, that would be, I have to get in at this plus 1,200 number now that we're talking about it.
It's a big number.
If Arnold Allen gets a title shot, I do not want to be standing there with my hands in my pockets, not supporting my guy.
Because I am also an almighty guy.
Like, I mean, he's just, I just like the guy.
He's fun to cheer for.
He's man of the people, get some Tescos.
Dude, meal deals, baby.
It's all about the meal deals.
It's all about the meal deals.
All right, let's keep it rolling.
Just a few more divisions to go.
The men's bantam weight division.
Curious to hear what you have.
Oh, this one,
I think this is the one I'm the happiest with.
Marlon Vera plus nine on grid.
Plus 900 for Cheeto Vera.
Look, Aljo is apparently going to fight Henry Sehudo.
I hate it.
It's the dumbest fight of all time.
whatever, here we are, we're doing it.
When that happens, you anticipate that Sean O'Malley's going to get the next crack.
Seems likely.
Marlon Vera is about to stick his foot in Corey Sandhagen's face violently as he has wanted to do,
at which point Vera right on the cusp of the title shot.
Two scenarios I see here, either.
Vera just has to wait for a while, but he finally gets his chance,
or Sterling beats Sohudo vacates the belt, says, I'm moving on.
up. I'm chasing Featherway glory. It's too hard to make the weight cut. The UFC books Sean O'Malley
versus Marlon Vera for the vacant title. Because that's the biggest fight they can make in the division.
I mean, I love that. It's the biggest, it's frankly maybe the biggest fight they can make that doesn't
involve Connor McGregor from a interest and view standpoint. O'Malley Vera for the title in the summer.
That's, I'm calling my shot here with that. And yeah, give me very.
Barra already beat him once, think he does it again.
Love me some Cheeto.
Plus 900. Let's go, baby.
Wow. I mean, I love that because if you're going to support a guy, you want to support
Cheeto.
Your whole plan just shook me to my core.
Oh, no.
Because currently on bet online, the current champion, Algeman Sterling is going at plus
250.
Now, here's my path that I wrote up.
He fights Suhudo.
He wins.
He stays at Bantam weight.
And he fights the number one contenders, Sugar Sean O'Malley, who I think is a
positive stylistic matchup for Al Jermaine Sterling.
Some have said.
Some have suggested.
I think he wins that and then he's done for 2023.
I would not feel good about Aljo.
You think he goes to featherweight.
Now that you say, the second you said that, I was like, man, what if he leaves for?
It feels very unlikely to me that he is a, is the Bannonweight champion by the end of the year.
because I've pitched this to him from last year, I was saying this.
He, in my mind, he should have fought O'Malley next.
She should have said, I'm going to fight John O'Malley.
And then he fights O'Malley, he beats O'Malley, and he does what Habib did.
It's the smartest move for him to say, I'm leaving.
I'm done with this weight class, too hard, et cetera.
Here's my buddy, Marad Válezhvili, top five guy.
He's the next champion.
Give him the vacant title shot.
and you do that.
That would be an admirable move, I have to say.
That would be an incredibly admirable move.
It's not just that.
It's just good business.
That's what I'm saying, but if you're tasting gold, it's tough to give up.
But he has talked about not being able to make like this weight is tough for him.
He wants to pursue it.
I don't think him.
If he stays at Bannway, he will lose sooner rather than later.
The division is simply too good.
But he can go out in his terms and a really big.
big way. And I thought he should, that should have been his plan with him out. He's going to
fight Tehudo. He may or may not beat Sehudo. If he doesn't beat it, Sterling, then he's not the
champion by the end of the year. If he does, I actually agree. I think there is a very high likelihood
that he fights Sean O'Malley next. He certainly should. It's great matchup for him. I just,
it would surprise me, not shock me, but I would be surprised if Sterling was the champ,
not because he lost it, but because he didn't choose to vacate.
it because it seems like that's what's coming for him.
Marab is not going to wait forever.
At some point, you've got to give your boy a chance.
Is there a world Marab goes to flyweight?
He seems far too large to do that to me, but I don't, I also thought that Jose Aldo
was too big to go to Bannamweight.
And so who knows, but I would not feel confident, Sterling.
There are a couple books out there that have Marab de Valishvili listed under their flyweight
their flyway bets.
I'm trying to navigate that right now.
Can't find it.
But yes, there are a couple books that have had Marab there, and it's just like, that feels like a waste.
That feels like a waste of money.
Yeah, I would not feel confident in that.
I'm out of that bet.
Well, I can't cash out this bet, so I have to write it.
I'm writing with the current champion Al Jermaine Sterling.
My plan, I'm cool with.
I'm cool with my plan.
I think there's a very high likelihood
he only fights twice this year.
So I'm with you on that.
It's largely a question of whether he,
if he gets by Suhudo,
he is going to fight Sugar Shon next.
And he should win that fight.
So it's just a question of if he gets by Sehudo
and then if he decides to hold the belt.
And maybe he holds the belt until next year
and says, I'm going to vacate this,
but I'm going to hold this title
for whatever because he's using it as leverage to get a featherweight title shot.
Who knows?
We'll see.
We'll see how it goes.
Man, Volga, Algeman, that would be a...
Fun fight.
It would be pretty sweet.
All right, let's move on to men's fly weight.
I have a couple bets down.
One similar to the Glover, not as big of a number, but right now on bet online, you can get
Brandon Moreno at plus 350.
I mean, he's in a pick-em fight for the belt in two weeks, just like...
Man, that's a way better price.
It's sitting there right now.
Well, I don't want to be double exposed because I'm on Brandon Moreno plus 165.
Oh, wow.
We are locksteped here.
This was a really simple one for me.
I think he's the best flyweight in the world.
I just kind of do.
I think I probably agree with you.
I watched him fight.
I caught care of France.
I thought going into that fight he was.
The liver kick was disgusting to my guy.
Absolutely savage.
I know he's got a couple losses to pants.
I know Figurato almost beat him that one time with the draw and did beat him in the rematch.
That fight was razor close.
If you had scored it for Moreno, I don't think you're wrong.
I think Figgy is getting older.
Moreno is hitting his peak, improving time in and timeout.
I think he's just the best dude in the division unless we're talking Demetrius Johnson.
So plus 165, he's going to get a chance to fight for it.
And then if he beats Figaro, maybe they run back a fifth.
which honestly I wouldn't even hate it'd be fun
but I'd still pick him to win that
and if not he's probably getting
Alejandro Pantoja and feel good about Moreno beating Pantosia
even with the losses to him
well that's where it goes that's where it goes for me
my second bet down is Alejandro Pantosia plus 400
because even if Brandon Moreno doesn't get it done
against Figueroa I feel as if Pantosia
is next in line for the title shot
I mean the dudes the dude's resume is pretty
serious. Like if you if you do count the ultimate fighter, he's got two wins over number one
Brandon Moreno, a win over number three, Kai Kara France, a win over number four, Brandon
Roy Val, a win over number six Alex Perez, a win over number eight Matt Schnell and a win
over number nine, Manel Cobb. I mean, it's one three straight. Last time out against Alex
Perez, he made it look easy, feel like he is likely going to get the shot. And if it's a
What's the price you got on that? Plus 400, I think that's what's sitting on draft kings right now.
A draft king, too.
So, a perfect world.
Brandon Moreno wins.
Fights a second time this year.
Brandon Moreno.
You've got Morano and Patioia tickets.
Give me the trilogy.
You're on easy street.
That would be pretty sweet.
Moving on to the women's bantam weight division.
I want to throw one out here.
Oh, please, yes.
I don't have the bet.
This was the other one strongly considered,
and I may still take the shot because I might not be able to.
Tell me.
the price is simply too big it's plus 3,500 for Muhammad Makayev
I have stepped back on Makai of some
I'm still very high 3 and 0 in 2022
he lacks a killer instinct which is a big problem
if we're being real like you really really need to have that
but we are still talking about a dude who's ranked in the top 15
who is going to get pushed to the moon
the injury probably makes it in top
entirely not, not plausible.
But, and that's why I ultimately didn't put it at, but plus 3,500 is still a big one for a guy who in a division that's fairly thin could just be a couple wins away.
I just wanted to throw it out. I'm not on it.
You're not wrong.
You're not wrong. It's the worry of the timeline. Is the timeline there? We're going to be able to get there?
The timeline's the big problem.
2024. I've already got my eyes. Give me Jilton Alameda. Give me a Jackdella, Atlanta.
I'm going to 1,000 percent beyond.
Give me a Mohamed Mohayev.
Yeah.
2024 is going to be a great year for the futures.
It's at least going to be fun.
I can guarantee you that.
Electric year. I'm going to stay away from Mahiav, but you are right.
He's going to get pushed.
And he seems to be active as well.
Yeah.
He's very active.
It's just going to be a matter of the timeline.
I mean, it's not just there are plenty of other factors.
But it's why I didn't take it.
But 3,500 is a big number is all I'm saying.
All right, UFC women's bantam weight division.
Give me your future ticket.
I forgot you don't have one.
I don't have anything to sell you here.
I'm just going to be real with you because you're not, you don't want what I have.
I don't think I do.
It's Valentina Shepchenko.
It's Valentino's Chico plus 700.
I was on this last year.
You don't want it for the exact reasons this year wasn't fun.
Very well may not happen.
Very well may not happen.
But I'm not going to bet Amanda Nunez at minus 250.
No way.
going to be the champion.
This feels like the year.
You do Shevchenko Santos, too, maybe, or maybe Shevchenko Manofioreau, she's going to hold
that belt.
That's fine.
And then you just sort of have to run it back.
I think this is the year she gets a chance.
Does she beat Amanda Nunes?
I don't know.
Maybe not.
Probably not.
I kind of feel like there was a time when I would have said, yes, I'm feeling a little
more like that's not likely to happen.
And there's also maybe the outside chance Nunes hangs it up.
Nunes defends against Ketland Vieira or something.
And she walks away, says, I've done all I need to do in the sport.
At that point, I'm feeling a lot better about the ticket.
That happens.
Double champ Chevy at that point.
At that point feels like the Chevy truck, the bullet train, riding all day.
So plus 700, I just think this year she is finally going to get the champ champ shot.
And at that big a number, when they, when she fights him, if she fights Amanda Nunes,
year it's she's not going to be a plus 700 underdog so give me this little extra here
you're you're basically betting plus 700 i did this last year plus 700 for a fight to get announced
yeah it's the same thing i'm doing with john jones it's like plus 450 for me to have plus
450 on one of the best fighters to ever live just like valentina shepchenko one of the best
women's fighters to ever live and there's just fucking nobody else nobody nobody who am i gonna take
Pani Kianz at it plus 5,000 or something.
Like, come on.
Misha Tate plus 25,000.
Great, great bet.
Great bet.
Nothing to do in this weight class.
Also, I don't have the numbers in front of me.
They fight so few bantam weight fights that like, they're like 10 a year at this rate.
Yeah, yeah.
I mean, it just like, it just doesn't happen.
And I'm pretty sure how many title fights have there been in the last two years?
Like three?
Just like none.
I was looking this up.
I legitimately think that.
that the top 50 bannam weights, according to Tapology's rankings,
fought a combined, like, 60 times in 2022.
And that's not accounting for the fact that most of those were against each other.
So they were actually only a freaking handful of bannam weight fights.
You can't feel any confidence in this division at all.
So, yeah, Chivchenko, let's see.
Maybe she gets a shot.
If so, I'll feel at least good about my action.
I'm going to feel jealous of you that I didn't take the bet if a fight gets announced because I'm a big Valentina Shofchanco.
You're going to get your tires too.
If Nunez retires, you're going to kick yourself.
Well, you say Valentina Shifchenko, bantam weight.
I say Valentina Shepchenko, flyweight, bet online, plus money.
What?
Yeah, plus 125 on bed online right now.
What?
defeated all time at flyweight 9 and
oh, yeah.
I mean, I'm entrust in
Jeff Chanko. I think a lot of people
everyone... I can't even believe that.
Do you have a bet on Aaron Blanchfield?
Sure do.
I knew it. I knew it, dude.
Everybody is running to the window
to bet on Aaron Blanchfield Flyway Champion
in 2012. Let me tell you. Let me tell
you the scenario, because look,
Schenko's minus 190 at DK.
I'm not taking it. For all the reasons,
I just don't want to have
a year-long investment in a minus 200.
That seems nonsensical.
Yeah, no, no, no.
I mean, that totally makes sense.
Like, bet online, let's see if it's moved.
I don't think last time I hadn't checked, it hadn't moved.
Plus 115, so it's moved 10 points.
Like, that's nothing.
I mean, it's still plus money.
I mean, Aaron Blanchfield at plus 300 or Valentina Schenko at plus 115.
I have a Blanchold plus 900.
That's a great bet.
That's a much better number.
I wouldn't take her a plus 300, but plus nine.
I was between her and my husband.
one other woman, I will give you the, I'll give you the case for her.
This will segue into the next one.
Here's the scenario, right?
I think the way, honestly, my concern for Shibchenko losing this bet is not that she loses.
I think if they do a Tila Santos rematch, she kills Tila Santos in the rematch.
I know Manoferro is your girl.
I think Valentina Shvchenko would take her to school.
She would load up the bus, take her to school.
Valentina Shepchanko, like Mano Firo is like Valentina Shvchenko light.
Yeah, exactly.
Diet Valentina Shvchenko, like she like, they fight similar styles, but it's just like
Valentina Shvchenko is just like better and stronger.
Yeah, she's better at all things, much more athletic.
I love Aaron Blanchfield.
If she fought Shevchonko this year, Shevchanko is still going to beat her.
My thought is that if Shavchanko is going to be your Bannonweight champion, maybe she just
abandons it.
Maybe she says, you know, I'm done here.
don't need to be champ champ.
We've seen how that works.
I don't need it.
I'll just get this new belt and ditches it.
At which point, that's where the Blanchefield ticket comes in.
I do think that she is the future of this division.
No questions asked for me.
So I figure I'll take the shot on her in K.
Shavchenko retires, does whatever, moves up, et cetera.
The other woman I strongly considered, and may still maybe take a shot on, is the second
best, you know, flyweight in the world.
And possibly the best straw weight in the world, Jessica Androge.
She's plus $2,800 for the flyweight.
Yes.
So I actually, so here's the thing.
I thought about Jessica and Drosch at both flyweight and straw weight.
You can get big prices on her across the books at different places.
The only thing is, is that she got finished by both the current champions.
Yes.
One-sided affairs.
Exactly.
So I'm with you on that.
thought for her is at flyweight it's she is just the best flyweight that's not named valentina
chivchenko i firmly believe that so if shevchenko vacates etc plus 2,800 big number um feel okay
about it i don't think she beat chivchenko but there's nobody that feel good at placing a bet on
i do have her as my straw weight bet uh for very similar reasons because i i wouldn't pick her
to beat Wiley Zhang in a rematch.
But I don't know what...
But Wiley Zhang's minus 165.
Wiley Zhang lost twice to Rose Nam Yunus and both like even though the second fight was competitive,
Rose won that cleanly to me.
Rose is not going to get a title fight next, but Rose is always hanging around.
I can't feel confident in Zhang.
I can't feel confident in Rose either because I have watched Rose fight Jessica and
Drogh twice.
And sure, she technically won that second one.
I don't feel that she did.
Even as it stands,
I thought that she shouldn't have gotten that decision.
And if there were rounds four and five,
I think she was clearly going to lose that fight.
If they rematch,
if they trilogy fight this year,
give me Jessica and Drudge.
So get her,
Drudge,
not as good a price plus 1,100 at Flyweight.
I think there's a world where Rose beat Zhang a third time,
and then Jessica fights Rose a third time,
and this time when Drudge has the belt.
and around and around straw weight goes
because there is no dominance in this division.
So moving to straw weight, I have one bet.
This is another one where the line has moved
and it doesn't really do anything.
And it is Rosammy Eunice.
A bet on line?
What did you get her?
Plus 1,400.
Holy shit.
I wish I had put more on it,
but I also am a little bit worried that she's going to do it.
She's still plus 600 right now on bed online.
That's still a big number that
That is the bet I would take
If I'm only taking one and she can get her at plus 600
That plus 1,400, I'm starting to think about putting like
An unreasonable amount of money on her
Yeah, I only got a 10 down on it
I only got a 10 spot on it
I should have put more I was just kind of firing away on a lot of these
But yeah, I just kept looking at it and I was like
Is this right?
Like is this?
Sounds right man
Is this supposed to be there?
And then they dropped on other books
And I was like, no, this is definitely not right.
I mean, on Bovada, she's plus 200 on Traffking Sportsbook.
She's plus 225.
She's still plus 600 on BetOnline.
Yeah, I mean, just a small poke.
Is she going to get a title shot in 2023?
Like, it feels like she's, like you said, hanging around.
Is she going to be active enough?
I don't know.
One thing I wanted to throw out to you, though, both flyweight and strawweight.
There's rumors swirling.
A return is happening.
maybe even as soon as next month,
sort of a mythical fighter now in today's day and age,
one Tatiana Suarez.
Now, is she going to come back?
Is she going to be the same fighter?
Is she going to get a title shot?
Probably not going to get the title shot,
which is why I'm much, much less excited about this.
She is listed on Bet Online on Strawweight and Flyweight,
but she's only plus a thousand.
No.
Yeah, can't take it.
I was hoping, like, if I could get like a plus 5,000,
I don't know, Tatiana Suarez come back.
You take a long shot.
Like, I got Yawanna last year at plus 5,000 just for the hell of it.
Obviously, it didn't work out.
Zhang Wei Lee spending back for Mr.
You weren't that far off from it working out.
Because if she had beat Zhang Wei Li, she is going.
She would have killed Carla Spars.
Oh, yeah.
So, yeah.
Just had to throw it out there.
Tatiana Suarez coming back, plus a thousand both divisions.
I wouldn't know which one to choose.
Here's another one.
Let me throw one out for you for,
throw it for flyweight and i don't see a line maybe they've got it on one of your other ones you can
you can let me know let's see what about old rose at flyweight is a flyweight champ
i don't think i don't think any of them have it but i don't think does not have a number yeah i don't
hate that i there is a a real world where that could happen yeah i would pick shepchenko to beat
rose in a fight but it would not shock me if rose was able to actually win in fighting its valentina
That'd be a fun fight.
It'd be a fun fight.
That fight is more likely than people are thinking.
I think that maybe Rose says, okay, this flyweight's too chaotic.
There's too much nonsense.
I want to test myself.
Let's go up.
And there aren't, I mean, I know Manofiore Rose there, Tyler Santos, but if Rose decides
she wants to move up, I think the UFC is going to take the money fight over giving Manolfo
a title shot, you know?
Yeah.
I mean, if they offered it, you could start talking me into it.
I wouldn't mind a Zhang Wei Leaf Flyweight little sprinkle.
Also, some right down.
That would be a crazy thing.
There's some interesting stuff happening in these divisions.
I'm just saying, and you can never count out, you know.
All right.
Misha Tate, available in multiple divisions.
If you're feeling frisky, I'm just throwing it out there.
That's what I'm trying to do.
I'm trying to get some down on Misha Tate getting gold in 2023.
All right.
To recap my bets, men's heavyweight, John Jones, plus 450,
Sergey Pavlovich plus 800,
Cyrilgan plus 850.
I added men's light heavyweight.
I added Glover's Shara plus 800, thanks to you.
Men's middleweight, Hamzaa Tremayev, plus 1100.
Yes, that number is no longer available.
Men's welterweight,
Hamzaat Sharmov plus 400.
Get 450 now.
Shavkat Rajmanov plus 1,200.
Belal Muhammad, plus 1,600.
Men's lightweight, Surukian 5,000, Fizziv, 5,000.
Men's featherweight added.
Allen, 1,200, thanks to you.
Elyot Toporia, 1400.
Men's bantam weight, Al Jemeyn-Sterling plus
250, you know how am I scared of that one.
Men's flyweight, Brandon Moreno plus 350,
Pantosia plus 400.
Women's flyweight, Valentina and Shepchenko
plus 125, women's strawweight,
Rosemunuch, plus 1,400.
Those are all my bets.
My bets.
Heavyweight Curtis Blaze plus 1,400.
Light heavyweight Glover Tashara,
plus 800.
Littleweight, Bobby Knuckles.
Whitaker plus 700.
Welterweight, I'm with you.
Wolfpack wage, baby.
Hamza Chimae, plus 450.
Lightweight, Hafeil Fazeve,
plus 4,000.
Again, we're sharing bets.
Featherweight, again, we are sharing bets on or down.
I'm going to find wherever you've got this plus 1,200.
Bet online.
Sitting on bed online.
I'm looking at it right here, man.
I'm going to join you in momentarily.
Line shopping, baby.
A bet online account, apparently.
Oh, my gosh.
the fact that you're just joining now is, I mean, this is the place.
This is where the openers happened.
This is a premier MMA betting website.
Love that.
Marlon Vera plus 900 at Bannamweight, flyweight, Brandon Marino plus 165.
Women's Bannumweight, Valentina Shevchenko, plus 700.
Women's Flyweight, Aaron Blancho, plus 900.
May also take a shot at Jessica and George, but probably not.
Probably just want to keep it to one apiece, and I'm already at my action down.
women's straw weight
Jessica Andrage plus 1100
those are the bets
that's the future
Connor the future
and in 12 months 12 months from this day
we're going to be back on here
and we're going to be talking oh my goodness
you guys went 8 for 12
or whatever the number is
I can't believe how smart
you were you could see the future
I have 17 futures down
I am actually shocked that I have that many down
If I go
2 and 15
Now if I go 3 and 14
I'll be happy
3 and 14 is a win for me
If I go 3 and 3 and 8
I for sure win money
And frankly with some of these
prices like if Fiziv wins
I just win if I go 1 and 10
But Fiziv is the cash
Gold
So it's fine
It's beautiful
That is it
Those are the futures
That's the recap
That's everything
We're back next week
UFC Apex 67.
No Jeff Neal, no Shavkat that hurts.
But we've got Nassadine Imov taking on.
It is absolutely brutal to have lost that fight.
Yes.
You know, we do get, I'll say, we do get to start.
Alan Nassiminto, Carlos Hernandez, the bed of 2022 kicks us off this year.
Flywates, baby.
They are back next week.
Umar Naramagamatov on that card.
down versus Haoni
Barcellos.
Fun little matchup.
The UFC is back, people.
I mean, that's all it comes down to.
The UFC is back.
2023 is here.
We're ready to hit the ground running.
It should be a fantastic year.
It's like 12 weeks in a row of action.
Oh, don't tell me that.
No, I think we go two weeks, one week off,
and then it's just straight through.
We do have the last week of January off,
and then it's just all gas, no breaks, baby.
Can't wait.
Cannot wait.
Talk to you next week.
Have a great week, everybody.
Love you guys.
