MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Tom Aspinall Or The Underdog Curtis Blaydes — Who To Back At UFC London?

Episode Date: July 20, 2022

The No Bets Barred boys are back to break down the UFC's second trip to London in 2022, and the heavyweight main event between Curtis Blaydes and Tom Aspinall. Hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew are predicting a big night for the British fans and even jump in together on a +1000 long shot for one prelim bout. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Support for this show comes from the Audible Original, the downloaded two. Ghosts in the Machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudulian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer, but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprise his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the Audible original Blockbuster. The Downloaded, it's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much-anticipated sequel that leaves you asking,

What are you willing to lose to save the ones you love? The Downloaded 2, Ghosts in the Machine. Available now, only from Audible. Support for this show comes from the Audible original, The Downloaded 2. Ghosts in the Machine. The Earth only has a few days left. Rosco Cudullian and the rest of the Phoenix colony have to re-upload their minds into the quantum computer,

but a new threat has arisen that could destroy their stored consciousness forever. Listen to Oscar winner Brendan Fraser reprised his role as Rosco Cudulian in this follow-up to the audible original blockbuster, the downloaded. It's a thought-provoking sci-fi journey where identity, memory, and morality collide. Robert J. Sawyer does it again with this much anticipated sequel that leaves you asking,

what are you willing to lose to save the ones you love? The downloaded two, Ghosts in the Machine. Available now, only from Audible. What is going on, y'all? We are back. It is another episode of No Betts Barred. This time for UFC London. Blades versus Aspinall. I cannot wait for this one.

Early morning card for us. here in the States, especially on the East Coast. Back to back, baby. Love those. Does it get any better? Like, a lot of people were complaining about Long Island? I had to get out to the stadium, and I still loved the early start. I don't know who was complaining about Long Island.

Those people are crazy. It was, I, can you, Saturday night, do you know what I did? Saturday night? I socialized with people. Like, I actually went and hung out with my neighbors. I had dinner. We conversed. We spent the night into the deep hours talking about deep and wonderful things.

I saw human beings on a Saturday night. It's the first time, and I don't even know how long. I cannot stress to you how great it is, and to be getting that back to back. And with a really damn good card this week, I mean, life does not get any better than this. I'm starting to see what all those West Coast people are talking about. In the summer, too, that's the best part. And one of the great things about being at the card last week is that it's pitch-blank. black when you're in the arena and then you're leaving at like 4.30 and you're like oh we still have

the entire evening ahead of us like this is just incredible like one of my favorite things to do I was like done off my phone for like the rest of the night by like seven o'clock I just got to live my life which was fantastic I have never once gone to a fight and left when it was to light out you know because that's just not a thing I've ever done so that had to be a wild experience wild yeah I mean like every time I went to the concourse to get a drink could go to the bathroom. It was like, oh, yeah, it's like 2 o'clock right now. Like, and I'm already drinking beers and watching fights.

And it's the middle of the afternoon. Man, it was so great. And the fact that we get to do it again. Ooh, and then after that, you know, just a little thing called a pay-per-view next week. Yeah, just a little 270. N-B-D. N-B-D. Yeah, so Long Island.

I was rolling high. I was doing good going into the main event, up a couple units, Parley still alive. Ortega. Yeah. Yeah. Suck the wind right out of my sales, man. It was tough.

The whole stadium emptied out quick. Other than that, fantastic experience, can't wait to go to MSG, my first pay-per-view in November. But overall, I will be back. Loved it. Wish we could have ended on a high note. But it is what it is.

That's what happens in this sport. You know, it does. I text you right after, because I was just like, that is a really tough way. Especially because you had so much tied up in the main event. I was like,

that is a really, really tough way to go down. Great for me, though. Yeah, you're cashed, man. They don't ask how, they ask how many. And yeah, you're cashing that dog ticket babies. Exactly. Betting against Brian Ortega strictly because I do not like him, paid off finally, feeling great.

I love it. I mean, I love it. Like now that I've like, you know, for like probably like the first 20, 25 minutes afterward, I was, I was definitely salty, just kind of sitting there. You have to be. You have to be. buff to be, you know, we'll get over it. We'll move on. Still, like, I was doing well enough before the main event that, like, it didn't hurt me too bad, finished down like a unit,

a little over a unit. So, like, time to bounce back. Time to bounce back with U.S. A lot of room to bounce back. I'm two weeks in a row with a couple unit profit margin, so riding high right now. Apparently, apparently not doing any research and just firing from the hip with vibes. That's been paying off for me. So, In the spirit of that, I did the same thing this week. I just, I'm going to keep riding the vibe wave as long as it's cash and tickets. And then when it stops, we'll go back to tape study and professionalism. Well, what is it?

You're busy right now, though. You've got to let the people know, you're what? You're moving, you know, we can't dedicate all this time. We have lives outside of this. I have a lot going on in my personal life. I am moving. She's got a lot going on with work too, baby. You know, other podcasts coming out.

if you are a frequent listener to this podcast, you might notice it's going to drop a little sooner this week than normal because that's going to be the new hotness every week. I heard. I listened. You know, I, at avid listener and watcher of the MMA hour, great program on the greatest YouTube channel in the world. And I heard last week, Ariel called me out. He didn't call me out specifically, but he called me out, you know, and he's like, hey, what's up? How come the show's not out there? And I was like, that's my fault.

because I'm the one who's got to get it up. It technically makes sense. It does make sense, but you're the one putting in the work to do all the editing, so I'm not going to sit here and tell you how to do your job. I know, I respect you about it, but, you know, when the big man comes for your neck like that, you got to stand up and be like, all right, let's get it done. So moving forward, it's always going to be ready. And speaking of No Bet's Bard, so I had 10 people with me at Long Island,

and not all the seats were together, so we were playing that dangerous game of like two people sitting in seats that weren't ours got kicked out. One time I was the one that got kicked out. I go a few rows up. You? They kicked a celebrity? They don't kick celebrities out. Come on now.

Well, here's the funniest part. I go up a few rows and sit in an empty seat, and this is for the Schnell Sumadarji fight, fight of the night. And the dude behind me is just like, oh, yo, G.C. Like, no bets barred, dude. I listened to the podcast this week. I was like, let's go, man.

And I said, you know, I got the under two and a half in this one. So, yeah, I rode that out with him. As fun of a fight as that was. That was a great fight to ride out with a fan then. Oh, and I was a little bit terrified that it was going to be one of those bad beats where they're sitting doing the scorecards. Two dudes just bloodied to hell. And you're just like, how did this, how did this not get a finish? I was right there with you because I tailed you on that one.

And when Sumedereji is just elbowing him in the head and he's not. going down. I am losing my mind. I'm like, oh my goodness, he's going to make it out of this. He's somehow, how is he not getting? When he got the take down, I was like, I was like, no, this cannot be happening, dude. Like, uh, yeah, but we cashed it. That's all that matters. Got it. With ease. Easy cash. No stress. Stress free cash. When he got to finish, I went nuts, so it was worth it. Like, I went, I went nuts. I mean, as you should. Uh, all right. Long Island. Fun card. Fun card. I think this week might top it, though. I'm very much looking forward to this UFC learning card.

It's stacked up with bangers. I am looking forward to it. Let's start with the main event. It is a heavyweight bout. It is Tom Aspinall going up against Curtis Blades right now. Tom Aspinall, the slight favorite minus 135 against Curtis Blades, who's coming back at plus 115, over under set at 2.5, over minus 105, under coming in at minus 125. What do you think of this fight, man?

I have a lot of thoughts on this fight. Do you, but let's start here. Do you have a side in this one? I do have a side. I've had a side for like six or seven weeks. Whenever the odds came out, I jumped right on Tom Aspinall. I will come out and say it. You like betting against Ryan Ortega because you dislike him.

I like betting on Tom Aspinall because I like him. I'm a Tom Aspinall fan. I love Channing, you know, Tommy Espan. Aspenna. Love all that. I mean, he's a 93 baby. I'm a 93 baby. Like, he comes on the show all the time.

The bomb that can't be broken. Yeah. I mean, I'm a Tom Aspenall fan. So I bet Tom Aspel. I only threw a unit on him at Plus 102. I do also have, you know, a prop in this one as well. But what do you think of the side? So I have a side and we're on it together, baby.

I do not have them at underdog prices. And I'm going to be honest. For a lot of the rest of this card, as I said at the start, I didn't do a ton of research. But some of these, like, we're going to get to Jordan Levin a little bit. I took Jordan Levin a pretty early because, That was, we'll talk about it, but fade and Patty Pimblit, I'm going to make a career out of that one. But in this one... A lot of people seem to say that.

A lot of people are looking forward to fading this guy. Like, I think it's going to be a lucrative career for all of us, but now is not the time. In the main event, when this fight was announced, I immediately just said, oh, Curse Blades going to win that. Because I think Curse Blades is... Curse Blades isn't the best heavyweight in the world, probably, but he might actually be. Like, I know he's got two losses to Francine. Ghanu, but one of those came really early, and the other one kind of a little weird, and I think if they ran it back, I'm not sure I would pick Curtis Blades, but I think that's a 50-50 fight if he

and Gano get in there, and I think Blades would absolutely stunt on Steepa Michich, and most of the heavyweight division. Like, he lost Angano twice, and he got caught by Derek Lewis, who is Derek Lewis. He kind of does that to people occasionally. And so my initial idea was just entirely Curtis Blades. And I still think that. I still think everything I thought that Curtis Blades, this is what he does. He ruins dreams and fun by being real Curtis Bladesy.

But that's not the fun bet. It's not fun to bet on Curtis Blades to win in London because he's not, even if he wins, he's going to call for a title shot that he's not going to get. Because there's going to be an interim title fight between Steepa and John Jones. And then maybe Francis Inganu re-signs with the UFC. Curtis is just, he's not really in that title picture right now, as much as he wants to be. And so it's not fun to pick him. It's much more fun to pick Tommy Aspinall.

I love the chant. I love the song. Tommy Espinna. Tommy. It's just the best. And this is in London. And so crowd's going to be going crazy. And the crowd might stop going crazy 20 seconds in because Curtis just blast doubles.

Tommy right off his feet. Could have. But I don't care. I don't care. Because I, I, I am telling all of you this right now, listeners. This is, this is a pick purely off vibes, purely off emotion. My head is telling me entirely that Curtis Blades is both going to win this fight and that certainly the value is on Curtis Blades plus money, but I don't care about any of it.

I'm taking Tommy Aspinall. I've talked myself into it. I tried, I really tried to talk myself into this and be like, Tommy Aspenall has never given up a takedown. And on the feet, he's a much, like I think he maybe doesn't have the same raw power that Curtis Blades does, but he's a much more clever boxer. I think he's going to be a lot faster. Oh, he's definitely faster.

Never been taken down. So, you know, he can kind of do the light on his feet thing. And I don't, I couldn't, I couldn't buy any of it. I said it all because it's all there. But I can't, in my head, Curtis Blades should be able to jab, jab, double, and sit on Tom for 25. Oh, I don't care. I'm taking Tommy. Okay, so I disagree with that.

We're both on Tom Aspinall, but, like, I think the biggest reason for taking Curtis Blades in this one is one, one you're getting him as an underdog. Two, he has fought just the far, far superior competition than Tom Aspinall has. And he's put together a 16 and 3 record. And like you mentioned, the only time he loses, France has a gun in twice, getting caught by Derry. Lewis. But here's the thing. I think Tom Aspinall is the real deal. This is a huge jumping competition for him. Like, you were just listing off the stats. Like, he is 5 and O in the UFC and he is absolutely obliterated every single person they have put in front of them. Average fight time, two minutes and 57 seconds, striking differential of 4.68 landed per minute, 100% takedown accuracy, 100%

take down defense. Like, the stats are literally fake. It's like you created a fighter in UFC 4 and you put on easy mode and like that's how good you're doing like i think we're just like you like you're making like i just feel like some people are making assumptions that tom aspinall isn't the real deal with carters blades like there's a chance tom aspinall comes out here and just does the damn thing like and does it again there were a lot of people doubting him going into the volkov match and he made it look just wildly easy like i don't know if he's going to do that against carters blades but there's a chance he does like there's a chance that tom assinol just goes out there and just does the damn thing against Curtis Blades.

I think he has a decent chance of winning this. So there's a chance. I don't, I'm not saying he cannot win this fight. I think, I think all the stuff, all the points you made. I do, I think he is the truth, think he's a legitimate top-tier prospect in this division, which is very rare at heavyweight. Curtis Blades is just like the worst matchup

for basically every dude in this division. He's just, he is a guy built designed to kill people that do this stuff. if my, because all of the other stuff you said, sure, he's never been out of the second round. Like, if Curtis tackles him once, that's the round. Curtis just going to sit on him for five. And then Tom gets up, maybe he's a little tired. We've never seen him go 25. Curtis can do that for infinity and beyond.

He can do that as long as he wants. My other big kind of concern here outside of kind of those things is, the athleticism is athleticism I say all the time is a cheat code in MMA and it that's a true for every division but it's like especially true in a couple of them heavyweight being maybe the most glaringly obvious we saw it last week right like your boy we got let's talk about your boy jack shore jack shore is probably a more technically superior fighter to ricky simone he was doing a lot of really good stuff especially getting put up against the cage But the decider in that fight was purely that Ricky Simone could elbow, could have a clinch, elbow Jack Shore in the face, and then instantaneously teleport down to Jack Shore's hips to dump him. And Jack Shore couldn't do anything about it because the massive gap in athleticism. And that's at a much slower. And strength. I mean, it's just how that goes.

So, so fast, so strong, so reactive. and it just didn't matter that Shores may be slightly better technically. And that's at a lower weight class. At heavyweight, Andre Olavski has been getting by with a little bit of savvy and being a plus athlete for 20-some-odd years in this division. And I think what we have seen from Tom Aspinall is that he's a great athlete. And that has let him absolutely roll over everybody else in this division.

But he is about to meet his athletic equal, if not superior and that is I got to see it before I can believe Tom Aspinall can do that to Curtis Blades I'm going to have to see it

and so we're going to see we're going to get that answer we're going to get that answered I'm still believing that Curtis Blades should be the favorite I'm actually shocked that this is what you're saying everything

and you have Curtis Blades sitting up plus money and you're not taking it no because I don't want to this is again we're not going ahead I said it at the beginning The head has only been getting me into trouble the last two months. The heart, the heart wants what it wants, and the heart wants to shout the top of my lungs in my living room.

Tommy Aspinall. Tommy Aspinall. I believe in Tom Aspinall. I think he's going to do the damn thing. Well, I hope he does because I'm right there with you and my hard-earned dollars are right there behind him. But if I'm just picking just who I think's going to win, I'm picking Curtis Blades. and so this is by definition a bad bet for me, but it's one I'm still making.

One I'm still making and I don't regret it. I love it. I love it. We said it last week on the podcast. Great bettors. They don't mess with, you know, they take a motion out of it. They use logic.

They use sound reasoning. They use math. The good news is we're not great bettors. I want to let people know that. I will happily make a bad bet for the sake of content and a good time. And this answers both of those. A great time. Because at least, for at least the 20 minutes that it takes for them to get to the cage and start the fight, I'm going to be on 10.

I'm going to be chanting Tommy Aspinall's name. And I'm going to be going to be going crazy. And if he gets it done, I'm going to go even crazier because he's probably going to get it done inside the distance. And I also have, fight does not go the distance in this one. I grabbed it at minus 182. I mean, it's a, this is a five-round heavyweight fight where the favorite in this fight has 14 professionals. and has never even seen the third round. And he has nine wins within the first 95 seconds of his fights. Like I know that Curtis Blades has the ability to wrestle, but he is no stranger to a finish.

Ten of his 15 UFC fights have ended inside the distance. And when he was on the MMA hour, a few weeks ago, after his win against Chris Dawkins, he was like, I want to let the hands go. I want to get finishes. This is what the UFC wants to see. This is what the fans want to see. I don't buy it. I don't buy it. I think he's lying. 67% oh I'm not saying he can't finish I'm just I don't buy it Curtis has been his entire career just saying I don't care if people think if you stop me and I think he's just saying it because he thinks that's what he's supposed to say but that that dude's a tackle grapple machine and that also works on Tom Aspinall if he because again what you were saying about Tom goes the other way man's never seen the third round 25 minutes get I don't think Tom Aspenol is just going to say. sit there and, and like, I think he's going to be trying to throw up some missions. I think he's going to be doing something which could either be successful for him or open himself up the ground and pound from Curtis Blades.

It's not, dude. Very much so. Blades can throw down some hammers, man. I like an inside the distance that makes a lot more sense to me as a thing that could happen. I don't have that bet, but Godspeed on it. A crazy stat that I think it was McCeepicks on Twitter tweeted out. I had seen this, but just to see it in writing.

A five-round heavyweight fight between Tom Aspinall and Curtis Blades is less of a favorite to go the distance than a lightweight fight between Patty Pimbled and Jordan Levitt. I thought that was pretty wild, a three-round fight. That is wild. No. All right. So Tom Aspinall for both of us, a fight does not go the distance for me. Should be a great fight. I'm going to be on 10 for it.

It's going to be fantastic. Hopefully it is finishing off a fantastic card. When I got a great deal on a great gift at Winners, I started wondering, could I get fabulous gifts for everyone on my list? Like this designer fragrance for my daughter. At just $39.99, how could I resist? This luxurious wool throw for my sister. This gold watch for my partner?

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So you're lying on the floor? Save up the 50% November 13th to 20th. Conditions apply, details online. Let's keep it going. Co-main event. Middleweight bout. Jackermanston, going up against Chris Curtis, who's coming in as a late replacement.

Four Darren Till. Curtis just fought four weeks ago against Adolfo Vieira. Action man. Yeah, right now, minus 110 on each side. Over under two and a half. minus 1 15 on each side. I mean, this is a, you know, flip a coin and see where you land. For me, I took Chris Curtis, you know, as soon as- Let's go. Let's go. As soon as this one came out, I mean, like, the dude, he was in Sean Strickland's

corner back in February when Sean Strickland fought Jackermanston. He knows what Jackermanston Brings to the table. Curtis, in my opinion, he's going to be better than him on the feet. Hermanson is probably going to try to wrestle. That is one of his assets that he can use. but Chris Curtis, man, a hundred percent take-down defense in the UFC. How'd that wrestling work for Adolfo Vieira? Over 26. His opponents are over 26.

Adolfo Vieira went over 20. Phil Hawes, Junior College National Champion in Wrestling, over three. And just a specimen of a human. That's just also well-built young man. Oh my God. He looks good. He looks good.

Looks good getting off the bus. Chris Curtis is tough to take down, dude. to you, like no one in the UFC can say that they've done it, Hermanson. He only has a 30% takedown accuracy. It's not like he's just picking up dudes and slamming him down. Chris Curtis is built. I just think it's a good matchup for him. I think he's going to find success on the feet.

But the reason I'm not backing up the Brinks truck on Curtis, it's because he just fought four weeks ago. And what was a tough fight against Adolfo Vieira? I know he got to win and he ducked 20, 20 takedowns. But, I mean, that was still a 15 minutes. putting it on the entire way. So that does concern me a little bit, just how recently that was,

but I'm still riding the action man. If you had an award for most game fighter in the UFC, Chris Curtis has to be in the top three. The dude is just game. I think that award is called the BMF belt. I think that that's spiritually, I believe that that's what that's supposed to be. And I have none of your reservations.

I am backing up the brings truck. Oh, I love it. I love it, actually. You're just making me feel bad. This is, look, this was, of all the bets I have, this is the bet I feel the best about. And the odds aren't as long as some of the other ones will get to, but, dude, he just fought this fight. Like, he, four, you say he just fought a tough fight four weeks ago.

I say he just fought this fight four weeks ago. You're right. Blanked Vieira. And so it's not like, ooh, he didn't have a training camp. No, he had the exact training camp for this. Like you mentioned, he was in the corner for Strickland. he knows what Jackermanson's going to do. Also, I'll just go ahead and say it.

I think Jacker Manson is about to fall off a cliff. I think that the splity to Strickland is going to be the last, quote-unquote, decent performance for him. Should not have a split decision. Yep, should have been. Shout out of the motto. But, you know, main event, before that to Edmund Chabasian, I think that's going to be his thing. He is approaching, I think he's 35, something in that. and his whole career has felt very weird to me

and that his wins, like the Kelvin Gasselm heel hook, I don't know how to treat the Kelvin Gastlam win because Kelvin's so up and down. But every time he fights a good fighter, he loses, and he's getting a little old, and he's just, he's not a one-trick pony, but he doesn't have a big toolbox to pull from.

And like I said, this is the same damn fight. If this is on the feet, Chris Curtis, a lot more voluble. You love the body work. The body work to Rodolfo Vieira was just nasty. And Jacker Manson just doesn't have any answers for it. He's a work... Jack Mons is probably a worse wrestler than Vier is.

And I don't see how he's going to get it down. I'm all in on Chris Curtis. Love this one of my most confident picks this week. Cannot believe it is a straight-up pick among the odds. Would have had Chris Curtis. I would bet, here's how confident him. I'd bet Chris Curtis up to like a minus 240 in this fight. And I'm getting him at a pickum.

I thought you were about to say like a minus 190 or so minus 175. No, at least minus 200. At least minus 200, I'd feel very confident in Chris Curtis. And I can get him at a pickem. Give me that all day, baby. So with Chris Curtis is the same thing as as Aspinol as soon as I heard the fight. You know Chris Curtis opened as like a, I want to say it was like a plus 140. Whoever

Who ever got that steal of the century I mean steal of the century Yeah he opened at a plus 140 I didn't get plus 140 I had plus 115 though I mean plus money steal the century still Was trying to grab plus 140

I would have been so proud of that one But still Chris Curtis Chris Curtis plus I mean look you're gonna You're gonna pay off some debts with that one Because my man action man is cash man He is cashing tickets I don't know if Conner

I don't know if you know this but since Chris Curtis come back to the UFC last year, how many times he not cashed a ticket? Zero. He is cashing tickets. Three and I he cashed a plus 250, a plus to 80 and a minus 120. Not to add a minus 110 to it. The fact that he went out first round, knocked out Phil Haas,

and then took a fight with Brendan Allen a month later, and he was a bigger underdog, was ludicrous. Brandon Allen's got that height Action man You know He's a former welterweight People just saw his PFL run A lot of nobody's a believer

I'm a believer in the action man Well the PFL run Like I feel like something that people forget About that PFL run Yeah he lost three times Two of the losses came in the same night Like he went out there And went to a decision with Mago Med

Mago Med Karamov Who is no one to bat an eye out and then Ray Cooper was supposed to have an opponent. He dropped out at the last second, and they ran Action Man back out there. Like, the dude is game. The dude is game. And I mean, we don't need to get too deep into this

because we're, honestly, we have a ton of fights to talk about. But I will also say, PFL is just a whole different world than the UFC. It's everything about it, the way that they prepare, all that's just a little bit different, those style matchups. And also, people just get better. Like, people just straight up, Chris Curtis is just, improved in the last couple of years.

Fighting a middleweight seems to agree with them, especially for how often and frequently he wants to fight. Again, can't say it enough. I take this man at minus 200. I think he's a steal at minus 110. Let's go. All right, we are both riding with the action man.

Let's keep him moving, main card. Lightweight bout. We got Patty Pimbled going up against Jordan Leavitt right now. Pimblit's sitting at minus 255. Leavitt at plus 215. Over understead at one and a half over minus 139 under plus 105. You said you took Levitt early.

What do we got, man? Sure did. Look, this is, as I mentioned earlier, this is nothing to do with brains or thought. This is, as soon as this fight was announced, is like, oh, that's a fight Patty Pimbled can lose because Patty Pimbleau can lose a lot of fights. Like, there are a lot of fights that he can lose.

And Jordan Levitt, not like, the best fighter in the world, but dude's a scrappy grappler. That is going to do a lot to mitigate kind of Patty's biggest biggest advantages. And if this turns into like a bad kickboxing fight or whatever, because

that's really what it would be. You know, I think Levin can hold his own there. I am not saying that I am confident Jordan Levin is going to win this fight. I am just saying, Patty Bill is dude's just not very good. He's just not.

Jordan Levitt's not like great, but he, Jordan Levitt is wily. Man is, is tough to pin down. And it gives a lot of people problems. And mostly, because as I said, vibe picking, just going on narratives and stories, wouldn't it be, this would be the most, the worst possible way for Patty Pimble to lose. This would be Kimbo getting knocked out by Seth Petrazelli and his pink hair on CBS. Yes. Patty Pimbleau losing to a guy who is super weird and is going to like twerk all up in the cage after it in front of the London crowd and just make everybody hate him. This feels, this feels like the, you know, the best laid plans of mice and men get ripped asunder.

And this feels very much like a thing that's going to happen. So I took a shot on Jordan Levitt. I'm going to be honest, I'm probably going to take a shot on every Patty Pimlet opponent until this dude loses. and I think I'm going to be paid off for, I think I'm going to pay it off this weekend, but I really think if I'm not this weekend in the very near future. Yes, I have strongly considered playing Jordan Leavitt. I haven't yet since the line came out.

I have strongly considered it. Have not pulled the trigger. What I have pulled the trigger on is the over one and a half. And this one, it's kind of like you said. I'm not fully in on Patty Pimlet. I'm not fully in on the hype train. and I know he has four first round finishes in his last four fights, but as his competition continues to increase,

which I think it is with Jordan Levitt, he is going to stop getting the first round finishes. I think he's probably going to stop getting the wins as often as he is as well. You talked about it. Jordan Levitt, the ground game. I think he's slick enough to avoid the Patty Pimlet submission. And then on the feet, I don't really favor Patty as like this giant knockout puncher.

I think that this one's going to go a little bit longer than his previous ones have. I'm with you. For me, it's Dogger Pass. I would love to see Jordan Levert drop down to a split, start up the twerk in the O2. Everyone just booing so hard. It would be fantastic theater. Yeah, there's no way. If you don't think, you know, if you still think Patty's going to win, I would just say, do not bet on Patty. There's no, Patty is not a parlay piece.

Like, this is, this is textbook definition of Dogger Pass for me. Yeah, for me as well. I mean, I really have no interest in playing Patty in this one. I mean, honestly, the over one and a half is probably going to be a sweat just because Patty is like erratic. Like he, he haunts. He continues to get hurt like badly in the first round. Yeah, and then coming back and getting a finish. Like he just, he throws caution to the win, which is my biggest concern with this over one and a half. But I just think as the competition goes up, you know, he's not going to get it done as easy.

Levin's never been finished either. Also, I know his last four fights were first round finishes, but the four prior to that, three or four went to decision. So, like, it's not like he's just like he's getting finished every single time he goes out. So, yeah, over one and a half. Give me seven and a half minutes, and then we can get that Jordan Levitt's sub. I love it. I love it.

And now we get to go to my, this next fight is the one I have, I don't have any idea with that. I took a bet because I wanted to take a bet on this fight. You took a bet on this one. what we're talking about is a light heavy weight bout. It's Nikita Krilov going up against Alexander Gustafson. Krilov minus 190, Gustafsson plus 160, over under 2 and a half, under minus 135, over plus 105, what you were saying. I mean, you took a bet on this. I have nothing. I think the game has passed Gus by, but I don't know for certain, so I don't want to play

Krylov at almost minus 200. So yeah, that's the thing. I really like both these fighters. I think they're both really, really fun guys. That's why I wanted to get a bet down. No idea how to feel. I mean, Gus hasn't fought in two years. He hasn't won in five, something like that. He hasn't looked good in probably five. I don't even know the last time he looked good.

But his last win was over the recently dethroned light heavyweight champion Glover de Cherat. And if they ran that back, it wouldn't stun me. if Gus did the same thing to go over then. So it's really hard to have any feel on this. And Kralov's such a guy who's, he's such a kitchen sink fighter. You know, he's going to come out all gas, no breaks, that I don't have any real feel.

And so I did what I thought was make the stupidest bet that I could possibly make. Yes, the dumber the better. I took the over two and a half rounds in this. It is at plus 105. Yes. I base that mainly on I don't think Gus is very good anymore or he's certainly lost his fastball

He hasn't competed in a while He's going to take some time to get going But Krylov, not an enormous finisher I mean he he gets finishes But it's usually an atritive kind of outworking thing And I doubt he's going to be able to really Put that level of pace on Gus That's going to put him down or slow him

So I also think Gus can, if he chooses, just dive on, just tackle Kralov and sit on him and kind of suck away some time there. So I really, this bet, I do not recommend anyone tailed me. This bet was entirely, I wanted a bet on this fight. And the line at Krilov at minus 190 is too big. I just feel bad betting on Gustafsson as an underdog because, fun fact, he has won once as an underdog in his entire. career. Care to take a guess when that was? Here, you won't get it because you probably don't know that this fight happened because

it was his UFC debut in 2009, UFC 105 against Jared Hammond. That is the only time he has won as an underdog. Yeah. So 13 years ago was the one underdog win on his resume. You know, he had the good fight against Jones the first time. an underdog still lost that fight and so it's even at underdog prices i can't feel good about taking gus that big and under you know that small of an underdog off a two-year layoff so i was trying to figure it out and it just i just assumed that gus is tough enough to survive multiple rounds

against krylov who's not like a super dynamic offensive threat and we can just hit that over and it's a plus money. So I took a shot on the over two and a half at plus 105. I was going to say, yeah, we might as well just get a little plus money on a total. If it was minus money, I wouldn't have done it. Yeah. But it was plus money over two and a half. Sure, why not? And then I get, because I want to feel something in this fight. You know, I want that money down. I love it. All right. Over two and a half plus 105. Cry love, Gustafson. Next up, women's flyweight bout. We have got Molly McCann going up against Hannah Goldie. Molly McCann has been juice to the moon.

She is now minus 390. Hannah Goldie at plus 320. I use Molly McCann as a parlay piece on Sunday or Saturday, and she was like minus 265. I just think this is a favorable matchup for her here. I just think she's going to out volume Goldie. I think she's going to mix in some takedowns, and she's just going to get it done by unanimous decision.

So all of that's okay. First, first thing's first. I want to shout out Molly McCann. before we did this show, I want to let you guys know that Molly McCann is responsible for the biggest ever cash for me. Not from a monetary standpoint, from an odd standpoint, because I put a couple of shekels, just a few bucks down on Molly McCann to win by third round TKO in the gambling column I write for MMAFighting.com. The greatest website in the world. Greatest website in the world. Greatest bet in history.

Oh, greatest bet in history. I pick a long shot of the week every week, and that week at UFC London, and my argument entirely was she has never gotten to finish. She spoke all week about wanting to finally get a finish in her UFC career, and I think she is going to finally do it, and I took the third round because those were the biggest odds. And that spinning back elbow, which is a KO of the year contender, is the number one in my heart for no other reason than a plus 35. $500 ticket cashed. 35 to 1. Let me tell you guys, if you haven't made a bet like that and hit it, which you probably haven't, because if you're making bets like that, you're a stupid idiot like me, and you're

just handing your money to your bookie or to Vegas to whoever. But when you hit it, there is no sweeter feeling in the world. So shouts to Molly McCann, because that is where I wanted to start because I'm about to pick against her. Wow. I'm not picking against her for any other reason. other than she, as you put it, she is juice to the moon.

And there is no reason in the world for Molly McCann to be nearly a minus 400 favorite, frankly over any person that is competing in the UFC. And so I don't, I'm like the inverse of the main event. I'm picking Molly McCann to win this fight for the same reasons you are. Yes. You know, I think she can't out volume. I think that she's got the wrestling edge.

I think that that a London crowd is really going to jack her up and she is going to be ready to go But she just shouldn't be this big a favorite over any personal life So I actually took that I took a baby just a baby baby baby little bet Not even a quarter unit bet Just on Hannah Goldie at plus 320 Just just purely out of out of respect for the fact That's probably going to go to a decision like you

Just crazier things have happened And so it is purely a, this number's way out of whack. Give me a little, just a little slice on the big underdog. Yeah, when I took this, like, I was just like, minus 265, I was like, that's a little steep. But like, she is probably going to win this fight. So I was like, minus 265, I would not have Beck Goldie, but minus 390? Dude, I came back. I went on best fight odds on like Monday morning.

I was like, what? Like, you can't, you can barely even get her for under 400 right now. Like by fight time, she's probably going to be like minus 450 or something. Tis that number is just going to keep moving as the London fans get excited about dropping feet on her. I think the London parlay this week people are going to do McCann, Pimbled, Tom Parleys, and they're all going to get juiced up even more than they are. I absolutely mean, this is one of my favorite things about cards like this is usually you can get pretty good value if you're picking against the hometown people, you know. Just because the public is just widely going to see, oh, and I'll be honest,

and we're going to talk about Mason Jones a little bit. A lot of my argument for picking Mason Jones, spoiler alert, is that he's fighting in London and the UFC very clearly wants him to win. And that line of thinking gets a lot of money coming down on those fighters. Not a terrible decision there. All right, let's finish up the main card. It is a light, heavy weight bout. Paul Craig going up against Vulcan

Osdemier. Volcan is the favorite at minus 170. Bergerjou coming back at plus 145. Under 2.5 is minus 225. Over is plus 185. Paul Craig, 5-11 in his last six fights. Do you have a side here? I do. Oh, I do not have a side.

I have a prop. I'm throwing out a hypothetical, just like, what if Bear Drew just keeps winning? What if he never stops? What if he doesn't know how to do that? to lose. What if he becomes the light, everyway champion of the UFC by getting outstruck 47 to six and then throwing up a triangle in the second round? I mean, it's not, it's absolutely not impossible that Yeri Perashka could just clobber, Bear Drew, he falls over, and as soon as

Yeri jumps down on him, it's just like, ah, triangle, we're done, new champ. Like that's a world that we could live in. Paul Craig is the Scottish light heavyweight Charles Oliver. He just bates people into the ground so he can just throw up a submission. Wow, that is, that is high praise for Paul. And he's going to be a champ soon enough. I mean, he's very similar, very bad start in his UFC career and now he's on fire. Now, like, I feel like people don't talk about him just snapping Jamal Hill's arm enough. Like, Jamal Hill is like the next big thing also went over Magamette on Kalaya. Like, I mean, we need to get the Bairju title contention talks going to. That win is the funniest thing to me because he lost four minutes and when did the stop?

Didn't the stoppage come like right at the buzzer too? No, he lost 14 minutes and 59 seconds. No, because it literally came at 459. That's right. So yeah, he lost the entire every second of that fight until the triangle went on and he put the man to sleep. That's Paul Craig for you, man. I mean, you get the Scottish paint. Just like you were saying, it's fun to.

bet on Tom Aspinall, I think it's fun to bet on Paul Craig. I agree. It's fun. It is a sweat too, because I mean it's going to get put on his ass at some point. And then you're just having to get outstruck. It's probably going to look like he's about to get TKO'd. And then you look down at your phone for half a second and then you look up and Paul Craig is is celebrating a win by submission. That's my side. I'm on Paul Craig. Took him at plus 150. He's five, four and one as an underdog in the UFC he's got four straight wins you know tap snap or nap that's what we say over in scotland in the craig household uh so yeah i'm also i don't i don't know your prop but uh i'm also on the fight doesn't go the distance oh uh i was originally going to be on that prop and instead i just took

the under two and a half yeah makes sense because it's like weirdly like i took the fight doesn't go the distance at minus 310 and then i saw two and a half is like minus 200 it's yeah so that's why I was just like, huge difference. That gap is big enough from like, okay, if the finish comes in the last half of round three, you got me. But, yeah, I'll just take that out. But I don't know if Paul Craig's going to win. I think I may be favor of Volcanozdemir, except for Volcanozumir seems to really know how to pull defeat from the jaws of victory.

And against the guy like Paul Craig, who's really good at the inverse of that, seems like that might be bad. I mean, on paper, Ozdemier is really good at preventing takedowns, very solid wrestler, much more powerful striker, should be able to just clobber, Bairdrew, but...

Things happen, bro. The magic of Paul Craig is always a thing. But, you know, for me, here's why I took the under for the same reasons. I'm sure that you took the fight doesn't go. Craig has gone to one decision in his UFC career, everything else is the finish.

I think he's a whole career one time. I wasn't looking at pre-UFC.S. see, but that wouldn't shock me at all. Ozedemir, he has gone to five decisions, but if you add this out, or four decisions, if you add this up in there, combined 23 fights, five total decisions.

And given Craig's propensity to submit somebody or get knocked the hell out and Vulcan Ozedemir's, propensity to get submitted because he has a few of those losses on the record, or to punch people really hard in the face,

I just think this one, we're not going to need the judges. in this one. So I took the under minus two. I got a minus 210. I think that numbers moved a little bit since. Yeah, I mean, you know, it's similar to that Chanel Sumadarji. Like, Sumadarji lost by sub. Chanel wins by sub.

Sumadarji wins by K.O. Chanel loses by K.O. It's something similar. Light heavy weights. Yeah, like, I mean, Paul Craig's been finished in all of his losses. Three of them, three of the four by knockout, and Volcanoz de Mer. three of his last four wins are by K-O and his whole career,

12 of his 17 wins or by knockout. Like, he can back a punch, so it should be a fun fight while it lasts, in my opinion. I agree. I'll be honest, if I was betting with my heart and my vibes, obviously I'm betting Paul Craig. It's much more fun to bet Paul Craig here,

but instead I'm just going to bet for a finish. It's fun. It's fun. I didn't go, like, crazy heavy. I did, like, 0.7 to win, like, 1.05 or whatever, but it's going to be fun. I'm looking forward to it. That's how we're kicking off the main card.

It's a great, great start. If he wins again, like, I mean. Just put him a title fight. We're trying, you know, Yeri's doing all this. I want to fight Glover again. Jan's like, well, I want to fight you or I want to go fight Israel,

Dissania, or yada, yada, yada. Screw it. Just everybody's wrong. Let's just throw Bairju in the title fight. Bear Drew versus Japer Haska. Bairjew won't go live. Fireworks. Title Eliminator.

I mean, that'll end the fun Bear Jew run. So just give them a title shot. Let's do it. Because Bear Jew Pyrashka is fun. There's no way that fight is an incredibly enjoyable.

Yes. And that's what we should be prioritizing. That would be a fantastic time. All right, let's move on to the prelims. When Holiday Prep means cleaning every corner, reach for Pine Soul Original Pine. Soul is the only one you need for multiple surfaces, cleaning floors, counters, stoves, toilets, and showers, while killing 99.9% of germs. With long-lasting freshness and an

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Over under is set at 2.5 under minus 135 over plus 105. I actually do not have a bet here. Thought about playing Mason Jones, but I just never got around to it. Hey, that's fair. And I'll keep this one short, mainly because we saw a ton of fights talk about the only downside to this entire London card. A lot of fights this weekend. A lot of action.

But I mentioned it earlier. I got Mason Jones. I got him as a parley piece. I got a minus 320 right now. Short version of this story is, I think he's got all the advantages. Ludovic Klein is not an awful fighter, but Jones,

hot, hot shit prospect, he is bigger, he is stronger. He has a much higher volume. He is the better wrestler. He is fighting. in London where that crowd is going

absolutely bananas for him because they just love that dude. This is a fight. It's a good guiding principle in my mind is look at who does the UFC want to win this fight? Because for whatever problems that the matchmakers have and Sean Shelby and team don't always make the best ones, they're usually doing it with purpose.

And in a situation like this, they clearly want Mason Jones to win this fight. and I think he's going to deliver for him. So I've got him in a parley piece. It's a three-leg parlay. I didn't mention this with our previous discussion, but my under two and a half for Craig O's-Demere, that's part of this parlay.

So that's leg one. Mason Jones is leg-three or leg two, and we'll talk about leg-three in just a second. Ooh, three-legged, let's go. It's a three-leger. So, you know, it's guaranteed to lose. three-leg parles, just everything the bookies want you to do is make three-leg parlays. But I'm a sucker for stupid bets right now in my life.

The more legs, the better. I'm praying for you that this cash is. I think it probably does just for the Welsh, man. Let's up the Welsh after Jack Shore last week. Let's not go back-to-back weeks, getting a loss on our big prospects. I don't think we're going to, because Ludwig Klein is not going to out-athlete Mason-Jones in the same manner. I love it. Let's ride with the Welsh.

Next up, it is a lightweight bout. Mark D. Akeese going up against D.A. Hadzebik, D. Akeese, minus 325. Damiar coming back at plus 270. I am using Mark Diochese as a parlay piece. Damn. You go in Demer. I'm not.

I don't have a bad. I'll tell you why in a moment, but. Yeah, so I just think D. Ekeesai, I think he's just going to use the wrestling. I mean, the last time out, he just looked great against Borshev, landed 11 takedown. racked up, you know, essentially had control time the entirety of the fight. It was like 12 and a half minutes, 3027 win. Last three wins.

He landed 18 takedowns. Damir, last three losses, he's been taken down 16 times. He's getting older. Dekeese, he's young. He's still in his late 20s. I think he's getting better with each fight. He's fighting in front of the home crowd, England. Very real chances goes to a decision.

And he gets it done. I can't argue with anything he said. I agree with almost everything you said The reason I don't have a bet on Dekheese is because I cannot bet against Hatsvik Because my man shares a birthday He and I share a birthday And I'm not going to bet against my birthday

That is the reason That sound reasoning I said Aspinol in 93 baby You can use this? I yes my we share birthday And you know I wanted I wanted to bet on him But his takedown defense is just too poor

Against Dikizi to To make me do it And so I will say this Dea Kese, only four and five when he's a favorite. Hadzvick, three and three is a dog. So maybe feeling a little froggy there. But mainly I just refused to bet against my birthday brethren.

So no bet on this one for me. I'm sad. I'm sad to know that he's going to lose because you're never wrong. As we've established, you've never been wrong. Jesus, especially not on a juiced up chalk barlet. I definitely have never missed there. Never been wrong. Greatest gambling in the world.

So, I mean, that's what the people are saying. Not me. The people are saying it. And so now that you've looked into the future, you've shown us what happened. I'm sad because my birthday brother is going to take it now. Hopefully. I'm not going to lie. Hopefully that is the case.

Hopefully you are the better half and winning on Saturday, and Demir is not. But we will wait to see to find out. We'll keep it rolling prelimbs. We got a featherweight bout it is the return of Nathaniel Wood going up against Charles Rose. Wood coming in at minus 520 right now. Rosa at plus 410. Fight goes the distance minus 180.

Fight does not go plus 150. I hopped on Nathaniel Wood is a parlay piece at minus 450. I just think he's the better fighter. He's the younger fighter. He's fighting in front of his country and what will likely be a decision. I parlayed him up with Diakise. I mean, Charles Rosa, like, he's got decent ground game. But, I mean, he's two.

split decisions away against Justin James who went one and four in the UFC now cut and Kevin Aguilera, four straight losses in the UFC now cut. From having lost his last six in a row, I'm just not overly impressed with Charles Rosa. And I think Nathaniel would get this done. In Charles Rosa's defense,

neither of those should have been split decisions. He won both those fights. But, you know, that's... That's your perspective. It is. I don't have a bet here mainly because I agree with everything you said. I just, Nathaniel Wood is at a big price and he hasn't fought in two years. That is my biggest concern, yes.

That was originally, it was originally going to be a four-leg parlay, my parlay this week. And Wood was in there. And then I thought, well, four legs, I mean, if three legs are stupid, four legs are the dumbest things imaginable. So which of these legs is the buster? And I was like, I mean, Nathaniel Wood should win this, but. he's obviously not going to because he hasn't fought in two years. And while Charles Rosa is losing a lot, he has a nasty habit of making fights close. I'll agree with that.

So make a get it, that's the fight I felt the least confident. I felt like that's the one that I'd be sweating the most as it goes to a decision because maybe Rosa just overachieve a little bit. So I just passed. But I think it should cash, but a lot of factors that made me stay away. Yeah, so we're both on like, we're both cheering for, I'm cheering for Mason Jones, you're cheering for Nathaniel Wood. I like where we're at. Absolutely.

Next up, let's keep it moving. A featherweight bout. Let's have some fun in this one. It is Makwan Amir, Connie, going up against Jonathan Pierce, JSP, is at minus 205. Mr. Fenland at plus 175. Do you have anything on this fight? I do not. So I'm going to let you get in the kitchen and cook on this,

I passed on this fight for one very, very simple reason. I am absolutely dog shit at picking both of these gentlemen's fights. I am one in three in my predictions on Pierce's last fights, and I believe, though I didn't write the number down here for some reason, I think I'm like one in five on Amir Khan. So I clearly don't have any idea who's going to win when either of these gentlemen fight, and I got no feel. So I took a seat, because I've got a lot of other action down.

didn't feel I need to force anything. I'll have you know I'm 2 and O on Pierce fights and 1 and 0 on Machuan fights. Well, I would hope so. You have a crystal ball that sees the future and you're never wrong. So I would hope you're, I would hope you always get everything right. Hopefully that's actually true for this fight because I'm taking some flyers. I'm having some fun. I'm taking Machuan Americani by sub.

I'm taking them by sub. Oh, by sub. I love that. Plus 430. Ooh, at a tasty price. And sub round one plus 1,000. I mean, I just think he's going to have an opportunity. I think I'm going to, I mean, the last two weeks I've taken a sub prop, Jared Van dera, never even close.

Brian Ortega, never even close. Like, I just want, and I have cash sub props before, and like, I love it. Like, when you cash an exacto, like a sub prop or a KO prop, it just feels so good. Getting his actors are the best. I mean, you're just like, I literally had a crystal ball, and it's called my brain. but all I really ask for is an opportunity, like to get close where you get up off your couch. You're like, oh, like, this might be it?

Yeah, like you get to really cheer for it. Van dera, no, Brian Ortega, no. The win, Ortega got him down. I was like, whoa, and then it immediately ended. But I think he's going to have the opportunities. JSP, he's probably going to try to take this down. He loves using the wrestling. Machuan is incredibly aggressive in the first round.

That's, I mean, who do you fight? Two fights ago. Laron Murphy. man. He dominated Murphy in the first round and then obviously it got ended in the second with a knee. But I think he's going to get those exchanges that he's looking for in the first round. JSP can be wild. I mean, like he can just get in bad positions too. I went back and watched that Joe Lozahn fight. I don't think I've ever seen someone in a worse position to get ground and pounded. Lozon had his arm like completely behind his head and was just, face was just wide open.

Like there was nothing JSP could do. I don't even know how he got in a situation that bad. Yeah, I just think he can be a little wild. I think a guy like Maquan, who's got 12 of his 17 wins by submission, and 11 of those are in the first round. It was just too good for me to pass up. I think he's going to get a chance. Mr. Fenland, let's make the crowd go crazy. And yeah, let's see if he can get it done.

Look, I love it. Look, Maquan, also a fast starter like Joe Loz on. And you know, the secret best part about this bet is you're going to know in five minutes because Mark Warren, man, does not have a gas tank. So if he doesn't get it done instantaneously, this one's over. There's no third round hero. There's no match now coming back from getting knocked up and down the cage to then hit the triangle. You got five minutes for her happiness and hope. And then you can just wash your hands of it onto the next bet.

Oh, for sure. And that's what I'm doing. I'm only putting like 0.5 combined on them. Also, Machuanamirconi, Mr. Fenland, best topology picture by far. It's him sitting on a couch looking very inebriated, covered in women and martinis and poker chips and playing cards. It's wild. I don't know how that ended up being his tapology picture, but it is ridiculous. Because he's Mr. Finland. That's true. Why don't even know why I said anything?

The best part about it, my favorite part about it is the shirt. It's buttoned down to like his navel. He's gone full Miami Vice on this button down. How do you get that tan in Finland too? You know, man just stays. Being Mr. Finland requires a lot of work ethic that you and I don't know about because you don't need to work. You've got a crystal ball that sees the future where you need to work hard for.

Let's log up an anaconda, Mr. Finland. Let's do it. Round one Anaconda. let's go let's keep it moving i may jump on it just for fun i might jump on the just around one sub prop at plus a thousand i always like just having like just the exacto i've started like in having these like ridiculous flyers just for fun because oh no they're the most fun when they're making their walk i'm going to be jazzed i'm going to be hyped up for this for this americani fight now because mr fernland holds all my hopes and dreams in the palm of his hands i mean and and when he can't like

Like I said earlier, when I hit that exacto on Molly McCann, great feeling. So let's do it again. I love exacto bets. Let's do it. Let's have some fun with it. Let's keep it rolling. Next up, we have a flyweight bout.

Muhammad Mikhail, super prospect going up against Charles Johnson. Right now you can get Makaiv for minus 460. Charles Johnson coming back at plus 370. So I actually do not have anything on this. Mackayev is a stud. He is a beast. He made it look too easy last time out against Durdin. But Charles Johnson, he's not terrible either.

I'm going to guess, though, your third leg of your parley is Muhammad Mekhive. You have nailed it, sir. I don't blame you. Look, I'm not going to break this down too heavily. I am just going to say, I think very simply, Muhammad is the best prospect in M.A. in the entire sport, an entire way,

any way class, he's the best prospect. He's the best prospect in the entire sport. He has an extensive amateur career, never lost professionally. This dude has all the skills. He is an elite elite athlete. He has the look.

He's got the mic work. This is a guy you can strap, as my good friend, Mike Heck, tremendous journalist for the greatest website in the entire world of MMAFight. Great website. loves to say you can strap the rocket to this dude and shoot him straight to the moon.

And I think that's where he's going. And that may, that sort of career trajectory might get him a loss at some point in the future. As if they're just like, all right, this kid's got it. Let's rush him into a title. That might get him a loss. But it ain't against Charles Johnson. Who's a good damn fighter? Good damn fighter.

But he, there are levels to this game. Mohameda Mikhail. Muhammad Makaa Khaev is so good. I think it is a foregone conclusion he will hold the flyweight belt. I think he has a damn good chance to be a two, a multi-division champion in the sport. Like that is how highly I think of what this kid can do at this age. Then who is Charles Johnson, bro? This is this is nothing.

You know, you know a Charles Johnson. We all went to high school with the Charles Johnson. Charles Johnson is a chain of mid-level hotels and motels. It ain't a dude who stops one of the greatest prospects we've ever seen in sport. That's all I'm saying. CJ is getting put away and probably quickly. He's a game dude, so maybe he can hang around for a little bit, and it is flyweight. But Mikhailov is the last leg of my three-leg polle for a quick recap.

That is Craig Ozedemir under two and a half rounds. And is Mason Jones, and it's Mohamed Makhive. Those three together, that'll get you about plus 130. five-ish right now. So decent little plus money payout. And this is the leg I feel the best on. If this leg fails me, I'll be pretty surprised. Because, again, I cannot think more highly of a person than I do of Mahamma Makaaev at this point right now.

Yeah, I will too. I mean, honestly, if Charles Johnson wins, I will be a little bit surprised. But I think this is a tougher test than Cody Durdon. I liked Muhammad. Well, it has to be because Cody Durdon was one. even a speed bump. Cody Durdin was a fly getting smashed on the windshield as the

Mackayev train just kept right on rolling down the tracks. Yeah, I had Maccahive in a lot of parles last time out, but it was closer to like minus 300 than this minus 400. You're never going to get Mackayev at a number anymore. Like you're just not.

This is going to be his routine. And I think, look, you go back and you look at all the future grades. And again, I think that's what McIve is. They cashed. You're just not. You're just not. a lot of tickets. And if you're just thinking as, you know, think of how much money you could have made. If you just bet on John Jones every single time, regardless of the price or Valentina Shvchenko or any of those people, I think McIev is in that league. And I'm going to ride him until the wheels fall off.

Talking me into doing an extra barlet on him on Mikeyav. But we'll see. We'll see. I might get around to it. We've got plenty of time. All right. Let's keep it moving. We have got a light, weight bout. It is Jai Herbert going up against Kyle Nelson, Herbert at minus 265. Nelson coming back at plus 225 over under under minus 1.10. Yeah, I'm on Jai as a parlay piece and fight does not go the distance parlayed up with the Kregos. The mirror doesn't go the distance. I just think Jai's had a tough go in the UFC. I mean, these three losses are to solid, solid fighters, and Atomoyano, He had Tuporia, Francisco Trinando. He had Tuporia in real trouble.

Now, granted, Tuporia is really a featherweight, but he had Tuporia in a world of trouble. A world of trouble. Got a knockdown with a head kick. It was looking fantastic. There is no way if you had Tuporia parlayed up, which I did. I did. You were not nervous.

I was incredibly nervous. Super nervy. And then he just killed him. And I was like, oh, thank goodness. Shadow Rome. Sent him to the Lines of Whispers and Ghosts, which is my, that's probably my biggest concern in this one, him coming back four months after that, after a knockout like that. But looking at his Instagram, it seems like he's ready to roll.

And I just think in this fight, he is just the better fighter. I think he has superior striking. I think he can mix it up better. He's Ranger. He's going to have a six-entry-reach advantage. He's got that knockout power against someone that gets knocked out in Kyle Nelson. The inverse as well. If he loses this fight, I think it's because he's getting put out. I think Kyle Nelson's going to come in here and throw bombs. and I think that is probably going to leave him susceptible to getting knocked out or knocking Jai Herbert out. That's why I like the fight doesn't go the distance.

Both the dudes are one and three in the UFC, finish in all three losses, first round finishes, in their wins. But I just, in the losses, I've been more impressed with Jai Herbert. I think he is the better fighter against better competition, holding his own more, where I feel like Kyle Nelson has been getting worked a little bit. He's in front of his home crowd. So, yeah. I think Jai is going to get this one done here.

I got no issues in your bets. I got no action here. The only thing I will say to add is just so you can feel even better. Nelson, O and three is a dog. Man hasn't ever cashed a dog ticket. So why would he start now? You know, why would he start now? In London against John Herbert.

Come on. That's not a thing that happens. You don't start cashing dog tickets right as the time we bet against you. You know, that would never happen. Trends never break, dude. Yeah, if something happened once, if a good thing has happened, it's going to happen forever. Exactly. If a bad thing happens, it's going to happen.

Yeah, forever and ever. That's just how it goes. Everyone knows this. Yeah, so, Jai Herbert, I think he's going to knock him out. If he loses. Lock of the century? Lock of the century, Joe Herbert? Absolutely not.

Because if he loses, he's going to get knocked out like he did against Elyia to Bore. It's not like his chin is made of complete granite. But I think he, I think he's got the advantage here against Kyle Nelson. I mean, you talk about the step down from I'llie. Toporia, one of the hottest prospects in all of MMA to Kyle Nelson. It is definitely a difference in competition. Yeah, for sure. I mean, no question.

So I'm cool with you bets. I don't have any of myself, but I support you. Thank you. I appreciate your support. I need it on a weekend like this. Let's keep it rolling the last fight that we are going to talk about on this one. It's a Welterweight bout. It's Claudio Silva going up against Nicholas Dolby.

for me, how you are with the Jai Herbert fight. That is how I am with this one. Right now you can get Nicholas Dalby at minus 250, Silva at plus 2.10. Over under is set at 2.5. Over minus 140, under coming back at plus 110. In 2022, this, the year of our Lord, 2022, there is no way I'm putting any money on Claudio Silva.

Thank God, because neither am I. I also want to be clear, I'm not putting money in Nicholas Dalby either. I took a little bit. bit of a page out of your book, just hit the over here. Over two and a half minus 140. Look, Dalby is not a finisher. He's also never been stopped. So Silva, a little bit more of a finisher.

He's only been stopped once and against the guy like Dalby who's super durable, don't see it that's going to happen. Over two and a half is hitting five of Silva's seven U.S. Bouts and seven of Dalby's eight. I think just by far the most likely outcome is this one, Probably goes to the cards, but certainly clears that two and a half number, minus 140. It was good enough for me to play. Kind of like that.

Yeah, I just wanted to have a little action on the opener. Super didn't want to bet on either dude. Certainly not at these prices. It was just like, this is almost certainly going to a decision, right? Like it at least feels that way to me. So it took the over two and a half, feel okay about it. Maybe what I'm going to do? You made me feel good about the two and a half.

I think what I'm going to do is take your picks. I'm going to take the Jedmachu. Love it. mashup here, the Michoud mashup. I think I'm going to do the over one and a half. I know it'll be a little bit more juiced, parlay it up with Muhammad Mikhail. Honestly,

I would feel great about that because I'm, I'm not looking at it right now. I would assume over one and a half is hidden every single one of Dalby and Silva's fights. Wow. I don't know that for a fact, but I don't know if I can get it right. I can pull it up because we have the magic.

I can edit this out later. So we have the magic. I like the live reaction. It would not have hit for one of Dalby's, a, or was later a no contest against Jesse Orson, which is the one fight that the over two and a half didn't hit for him. And for Claudio Silva, one of two of his would not have cashed.

So actually it would be exactly the same as doing the over two and a half. So I can do over one and a half. and Muhammad Mikhail to pay out at minus 157. You look, you know, I've heard of worse things. I think I'm going to do it. I think I'm going to do it. I think I'm going to lock it in right now. I love it.

I hope that cashes because if that caches, that means my bets are probably cashing as well. All right, we're locked in. I just took it live on the show, the miss you mash-up. You know who to blame if I don't cash on that. I'm okay with you blame me on that one. if you were trying to mash up some of these other picks that are just like objectively bad choices

I've made, I'd be a little more concerned about what you're doing, but I feel good about both of these. So go for it. Let's do it. Let's ride the wave, baby. Love it. All right. So to break it down, I've just added Dauby Silva over one and a half parlayed with Mohamed McAyev, pays out of minus 157. I am also on Tom Aspenol money line plus 102, fight doesn't go the distance, minus 182. I'm on Chris Curtis plus 115. I'm on over one and a half in Pemblit Levitt. I am parlaying Molly McCann with Jai Herbert. That one pays out at minus 112.

I've got Paul Craig at plus 150. I have the fight does not go the distance at minus 310. Parlayed up with Herbert. Nelson doesn't go the distance. That one pays out at minus 124. I have Mark D. Ekeese parlayed up with Nathaniel Wood. That one pays out at minus 160. I've got Machuan Amir Kani by sub at plus 430

and Amir Connie by sub round 1. at plus 1,000. Well, there's a lot of bets, and we've got a lot more because I've got a ton of action myself. Let's go. I love it. I've got Tommy Aspenov.

Tommy has been on. I got him at minus 135. I've got Chris Curtis, the action man at minus 110. I've got Jordan Levitt plus 215. I have Krylov Gustafson over two and a half at plus 105. I've got just a little baby sprinkle

on Hannah Goldie. plus 320 to get that big underdog pull. I've got the Silva doll be over two and a half at minus 140. I also, just because love my guy, love my guy, GC, hopped on Americani by sub-browned one at plus 1,000. I haven't made the bet yet because that is not up at my bookie at the moment, but we're going to make that happen as soon as I can. And then I've got the three-leg parley,

Mohama Makai, Mason Jones, Craig Ozedemir under two and a half that pays out at plus 132. And that's it. Those are my bets. We are going to have a phenomenal week. I guarantee every single one of you. Don't follow us all, but we are bringing home the bacon this weekend, baby.

Let's go. Let's go, man. UFC London, it is going to be a fantastic card. I cannot wait for it. Hopefully we're cashing on the bets. hopefully Mr. Finland makes us really happy with a first round sub. But that is all we've got. We will be back next week.

UFC 277. You already know what it is. Kai Kara France going for the interim belt. Amanda Nunez trying to get her belt back, but the real main event. The No Betts Bar main event is Kai KeraFrance versus Brandon Moreno. It's time to get the interim strap for my guy from down under. But that's for next week.

UFC London this week, next week, UFC 277. We will see you. Love you guys.