MMA Fighting - No Bets Barred: Will Alexander Volkanovski Prove The Haters Wrong And Win The Title At UFC 284?

Episode Date: February 8, 2023

This weekend, the superfight of the year goes down when UFC lightweight champion Islam Makhachev puts his title on the line against featherweight champion Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 284. It's a battle of the top two pound-for-pound fighters in the sport and so of course the No Bets Barred boys are here to break the action down. Co-hosts Conner Burks and Jed Meshew dive right into the action, discussing their excitement level for this mega-event and their thoughts on who wins this historic matchup. Then it's on to the rest of the card, including their best bets for the co-main interim title fight between Yair Rodriguez and Josh Emmett, a Wolfpack Wager, and a couple of gimmick parlays, including Conor's Outback Steakhouse Aussie Parlay. Tune in for Episode 34 of No Bets Barred. Follow Conner Burks: @connerburks Follow Jed Meshew: @JedKMeshew Subscribe: http://goo.gl/dYpsgH Check out our full video catalog: http://goo.gl/u8VvLi Visit our playlists: http://goo.gl/eFhsvM Like MMAF on Facebook: http://goo.gl/uhdg7Z Follow on Twitter: http://goo.gl/nOATUI Read More: http://www.mmafighting.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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What is going on, y'all? We are back. It is another edition of No Bet's Bar this time for UFC 284. We're heading down under Perth, Australia, Champ First Champ. Number one, pound for pound, going up against number two pound for pound. Islam Makashv, taking on Alexander Volcanowski. I'm hyped. I can't wait.

How are we feeling, Jed? I don't know. It's a really good question on us. The main event is great. The co-main event is a really good fight. And there's some other things going on here, but I also, I am nervous. I never get nervous before fights. but I just super don't want Alexander Volcanovsky to win.

Really? Yeah, it will just annoy me infinitely. So I mostly just want... I need more detail on this. I need more explanation of why this would annoy you if Alexander Volcanovsky won. Because I have inadvertently become an Alexander Volkanovsky hater, and this was not intentional. I did not... I used to like him a lot.

This was not a plan. but he is insufferable now, man. And, like, that's half of it. I'll be honest. Real talk, it probably started when John Anick was just like, the same sort of thing happened with Max Holloway, where John Inick was like, Max Hollow is greatest featherweight of all time. Everybody agrees.

Like, that's both of those statements are very not true. And that, like, soured me on to Max. But nothing Max ever did soured me on it. It was just this other thing. Volk is, He used to be really cool, and now he is just the pits, and it kills me, man. Like, you've heard it all in the build-up to this. We heard it for the last year.

I love it when people are underestimating me. Like, nobody's underestimating you. No one has. Probably in your whole life. No, you have not led a life of being disregarded. You were a professional rugby player. It is not like you grew up and were like, I've always had the worst.

They're like, no. And even your fighting career, you've been a betting favorite for almost every one of your fights, and the few fights you haven't. It was like a plus 100 underdog. I were underestimated me against Max the third time. No, you didn't prove shit. You proved

nobody wrong in the third one. You were a minus 240 favorite. It is this psychopathic eye. The world is against me and I have a chip on my shoulder. You don't have to be that way. you could just be cool and it's not. And like, he used to be really cool when he had just won the belt and was like,

and I know that other people gave him shit for this, but I was never one of like, I don't really want to just fight Max over and over again. I want to clean out my division. That is absolutely true and worthy of respect. And he ain't cleaned out shit. And then he was just like, well, I keep beating Max. So now I'd like to fight for the lightweight belt. He's beaten three ranked featherweights.

Like, it is just, I want him. He is a great fighter. I love watching him compete. But if he could never speak again, it would friggin' rule. Wow. If he wins this fight. If he could never speak again, it would rule. Yes, because he was super fun when he was just doing Cook and Vogue and not being this, like,

absolute lunatic who thinks that the world is disrespecting him because they're picking a guy to beat him in a fight or whatever. And they weren't even doing that. It is, I cannot. There are, this is a later life soapbox that I have gotten on. Like, I think, this is quite the soapbox that you're getting on here. Look, I think Michael Jordan broke American fandom and in general, like, sports fandom across the world. Because everybody, like, lionizes Michael Jordan. And I'm not here to debate whether he's the greatest basketball player of all time or not.

I don't want to believe he is, but I'll stipulate, sure, he's the greatest, has nothing to do with this. I can't, there are a few people in the world I am more confident would absolutely suck to hang out with than Michael Jordan. Because every story you have ever heard about that man is that he is a huge asshole because he doesn't, he can't, he cannot relate interpersonally. Everything is a competition, be it for $5 and it's become, it became a meme from the last dance or whatever. It's just like, that isn't a good quality in a human and it's a super. super annoying one and Volk has really internalized that. You think that's how Alexander

Volcanowski is? Yes. For the last year every single interview he is given coming into this it is the I can't, I'm excited to prove people wrong. I love to be underestimated and ah well don't go changing the story on me

when I win none of yous can come back inside his shit. I got keep that same. Nobody cares cares man. We are not. If you win or lose. That is a testament to your greatness and ability. It is not a reflection on you personally. And moreover, why do you give a fuck? You are one of the best fighters in the world. You are the best fighter in the world. Can you not just be cool with that and like own it? Like, it just doesn't need. And he was so dope. When he was coming up and when he won the belt,

he frigging ruled. Cooking with Volk was awesome. His energy was great. And now, like literally I genuinely believe it is because some people on the internet were fanboys for Max and it broke his brain and now everyone is disrespecting him and he done I don't get the respect

I deserve like well that's that's life man not everyone's gonna love your respect you just be cool with it and like this is it if he comes in and beats this is a Machachev it will be an incredible accomplishment he will be the deserved lightweight champion

and the deserved number one pound for pound fighter in the world. And frankly, he will probably start having the conversation of, is he the greatest fighter of all time? And frankly, if he wins this fight, he may well be. Like, that is absolutely, certainly on a skill for skill basis possible. But it will be insufferable because he won't be cool about it. And it's just like, I just can't, I want him to get checked, get humbled here, and then just go back to being a dope-ass featherweight and beating the hell out of the other people. That would be great. what what is it that like what makes you so mad that every once in a while he just mentions getting disrespected like because it is not every once in a while it has been almost every interview for the

past year for how long how long does he spend on that i mean like dude he did get a little bit disrespected like the max fanboys are like bloodthirsty about this and he went out there and just shut out max do you know how many people say mean shit about me do you think i care do you think that I internalize that to do something? No, because not everyone is going to love you. I know I'm not him, but I can not enjoy the way he reacts to something like that. You keep talking about how like he was so cool coming up and now he's insufferable. Like it feels like because he's the champion now, that's why you're hating on him.

No, he was cool all the way up through until the third max fight. He was good because he didn't ever say shit like this. He's just like, yeah, like, I don't really care. I just want to beat the guys. And then the Max trilogy and this fight have been... Who is like, who is really giving this man a chance in this fight? I may pick him.

I have not figured out yet because it's really hard for me to think. But he's not, he's only, he's minus three, he's a plus 300 underdog. That's not a, that's a big underdog. That's a big underdog. Let's see, he's a three to one underdog. Like that's, or four or one, three, no, it's three to one. Three to one. That's big.

but that is not a, like, it is no, that is not a no chance. That is a, it's unlikely that you're going to win this fight, which totally makes sense. And this is not, I also want to be clear, this is not strictly a Volcanovsky problem. This is probably a little bit of me getting old man, because like, it does sound very old manish. It sounds like a very negative hateful-ass monologue. Well, probably, well, I, hateful is my bread and butter. That's where I make my money, baby. but like it is certainly not just him there are other fighters who have this but like you know it was

dope glover to share never once was like nobody believes in me you was just like this is cool i just like to fight i think i'm pretty good like and and people actively did among them actively disrespect that man and he was he was this level of an underdog for every damn fight he had and he just came out and did the work it was cool and a great hang and it's it is i i just want that to be less I don't, everything is not a slight on your personhood. And it's okay for people to be like, you know what? I don't think you're going to win this fight. And that shouldn't be viewed as disrespect.

I'm not saying he didn't face some of it because MMA fans are huge assholes. Like any group of fans will have big piles of them. But it really feels like leading into that trilogy fight with Max, he made like a very decisive turn of a corner, certainly at least in my estimation of it. Maybe it's just entirely me. Can't ever doubt. Can't ever cross that out entirely. But it's like, it was just being very vivid recollection of this, of like him just like constantly going back to being disrespected leading up to the back.

Every single interview he talks about, I'm excited to be the underdog and people count me out and disrespecting me. I genuinely believe that you, if you went back to all of his interviews, It is a recurring theme in the... Pre-max fight or pre-this fight? I think pre-max fight coming into that because the energy in that Max trilogy fight was, well, you lost the second one. No, I didn't or whatever.

And that's the thing. Like, I was more okay with it then because the disrespect, it felt actively more disrespectful as opposed to being like, well, I just don't think you're going to win the fight. And also, like, you know, that's a tense situation.

It's exhausting, et cetera. Like, face this guy three times. I'm willing to, you know, maybe this isn't who you are. It's just a circumstance. But this happens two fights in a row. And it's just like, okay, man, like, if this is just where we're at, are you going to have this energy when you fight the winner if you are Rodriguez, Josh, I'm it? Because that's going to drive me insane.

I don't know, but that's kind of the point. I just want this to be over. And if it's over and he wins, my guess is he's probably just going to continue. to be insufferable in that way because he won't go back to featherweight. I really don't see how you think he's insufferable. Like my viewpoint on Volk is he's just like a pros-pro, hard-working-ass dude that has been unbeatable in the featherweight division to this point in his career. All of those are true.

Like that has nothing to do with the personality set. All of that is true. He is unbeatable, works his ass off, brilliant fighter, incredible tactician. Like, this is not to take away from the fighter. but I when he goes on Ariel's show on Monday or whatever

if he's won it will be you know he's not going to fight the winner Rodriguez Emmitt if he wins he's going to fight the next lightweight guy

and he's probably going to be a betting under maybe he won't actually if he beats Islam he probably will be a betting favorite but there will still be people like I don't know you're pretty small for this

because you are and it's just like I don't I'm just tired of him I'm tired of the whole double champ thing I hate champ champ fights I hate them

they are the worst thing to me in this sport almost exclusively why because they are so rarely necessary and it's just like I

I know I am the minority in this and I absolutely understand it totally get it I would have much rather seen this fight two years later when it wasn't

deserved and necessary Volcanovsky is beaten three top 15 ranked lightweights. He hasn't cleaned out that division. Makachev has beaten like two lightweights. One of them, the guy, this is his first title defense. Like both of them, I believe in divisions in that the true mark of a great champion is constant and repeated title defenses over a variety of challengers. It's why I hold guys like Josealdo and Anderson Silva and Demetrius Johnson and John Jones.

their careers, an incredibly high level of esteem. And neither of these dudes have done that yet. And I think it more or less, maybe this isn't the right word, it does sort of cheapen superfights, which is like, okay, well, we just want to clash these two champions together because we want to do it as opposed to, all right, well, Volk has beaten everybody at featherweight, and Mokachev's beating everybody at lightweight.

Now's the time, let's pull it. This feels premature, and it's just, I don't know. This is super grumpy way to start this. That was not my intention. It very much is. My point being, I am not tremendously excited for this card. I just want this card to be over so we can have clarity in both divisions, frankly. Because then it'll be like, all right, well, now we're doing this detour to this thing that I don't care about.

I know everybody else loves it and that's cool. Now we can get back on track and I can see Makachev or Volk to defend the lightweight. belt, we can know who the featherweight champion is, etc., etc., etc. You don't think the possibility of Volcanovsky upsetting Islam Makashev in front of his home crowd in Australia and becoming the lightweight and featherweight champion, double champ, is a cool proposition.

I don't. Objectively, it sure is. And like the people, if that happens, the kit fans in Perth, but it does not sing to me. Again, I totally understand I'm on and, Island here. I am not saying anybody needs to agree with my opinions on this one. But this is just like, I also, in my head, I really, I have long felt that this fight has a pretty clear outcome. And if I'm wrong, then that's probably the better case scenario for interest. But if I'm right, then this has

been an enormous waste of time. And that, that is, I think that certainly colors my feelings about this. Well, let's dive right into it. Let's just jump right into the main event. Let's jump right into the main event. Lightweight Championship of the world. Islam Makashev taking on Alexander Volcanowski, 23 and 1 against 25 and 1. Both of them have over 10 fight winning streaks. I mean, unbelievable records going up against each other. The Dagestani wrestler, you know, the scrappy Australian that's been, you know, slept on his entire career, Underdog Story. Everyone has doubted him every path that he's made. And right now, Now they're doing it again. They're doing it again. Islam Makashchev minus 365, Alexander Volkanowski, has never lost in the UFC Octagon coming in at plus 300. The floor is yours. The Maheshav master, we know what you did last time out. Makhishov, Charles Oliva. We're here to hear you do it again. How do you see this one playing out? There's one fact about this fight that gives me some level of pause. Everything else makes me think Islam Makhchiev should do as a mock chip thing

to Alexander Volcanovsky. I will throw the countervailing fact because it is the one thing that has legitimately makes me really question my read here. This will be the seventh champ champ fight in the UFC history. In the previous six of them,

the lighter fighter has won four of those. The two that were not the case, Jan Belhovic, beat Israel Dissania and George St. Pierre beat BJ Penn. I think those are fairly instructive in some ways, but the other four times, you know, Amanda Nunes, Chris Cyborg, trying to think the other one's off the top of my head, they all went to the lighter fighter. That is the thing that makes me think like, huh, I mean, it's a pretty small sample size, but that's not a stat that's great for me.

otherwise it is hard for me to see how Volkanovsky wins and I'll couch that by saying this the style matchup here seems at least to me pretty evident of you know Machschev does want to get this to the ground Volkanovsky will primarily want to keep this on the feet

both men are very competent in the other areas of the game so we will get mixing of the martial arts However, the key fact for me here is Volkinovsky has the last time, really he's only faced one guy who was actively tried to take him down a bunch. Chad Mendes, Chad Mendes succeeded. Now, we couldn't keep him down.

Chad Mendes was not really able to keep Volkanowski and I was really good at popping back up. I would venture to say that Islamakchev is a much better control artist on the ground than Chad Mendes. That Mendes fight was many years ago as well, so Volkanovsky certainly improved in that regard. We'll also say that Max Holloway had success scoring takedowns, but more importantly, kind of the way Volcanovsky has spoken about this fight coming into it,

those are things that make me think, I'm not sure that that's the right way to go. And what I mean by that is he's spoken pretty clearly about, like, putting on some weight and that he's strong as a brick house or whatever. Like, he's really, really super strong. I have no doubt about it. That man was played rugby. He looks strong.

He has never looked like a weak man at Featherway. I'm confident he is a very strong individual. I think the idea of trying to match strength for strength as a Machchev is a horrifically stupid and bad one. Because one is Zamakachev is also exceedingly strong and exceedingly strong with 10 pounds on him. And also that we're talking about a dude who, grappled for his entire life with Habibna Ringer Medov, who is widely like universally considered

one of the pound-for-pound strongest people to compete in the sport. You had guys like Luke Rockhold and Daniel Kormier, a two-time Olympian Daniel Kormeer being like, I don't, like, I don't understand Habib strength. I don't think matching strength is the course here. I think Wokinowski's big edges in the speed. But if he's adding on weight, I don't know if that's going to be there. a lot of this is a long-winded way to say the dynamics here, I think Volkanowski can have success on the feet because he's a better striker than Islam. I don't, he also is not a one-hitter quitter that has never been Volkanowski's game. He can hurt accumulatively, but I don't, that seems like that's a pretty tough proposition

to be like, I am going to stuff every takedown of Islamakchev and outpoint him on the feet. It seems way more likely that he will have some success on the feet. and then he'll get taken down, and then he's just going to get smushed. And that's how this fight goes out more times than not. How's your read on this? Unfortunately, I tend to agree with you. I mean, I'm just going over it in my head, and, like, the finishing ability of Volcanovsky is really not lethal, like you said.

It's he doesn't have that one hit or quitter. And, yeah, Islamakashv's one loss is him getting flattened. you know he got caught uh that one time i don't really see that happening against volkenovsky and the most likely path to victory for volkanovsky would be having to stuff the takedowns and outpoint him on the feet like can he do that for 25 minutes and we've seen him get taken down not just by chad mendes but by multiple fighters and we saw him in trouble on the ground just recently against brian ortega sure he's got 10 more pounds sure he's a strong dude but so is mackashev like Makashev is strong.

Makashv is a natural lightweight. Like, it's just really hard for me to see Volkanowski winning this fight. Like, it just, like, things have to happen. Like, I mean, look at, look at, like, Leon. Like, I felt very confident in Usman winning that fight. The way that Leon got out of it, a one-hitter-quitter, man, caught him, put his lights out, and that's how he ended it. If it went to the points, he loses that one easily.

Like, I just, ah, I just have a hard time with how good Islam Makashv is too. Like, this isn't like, this isn't your normal champion that hasn't fought the strongest of competition in the UFC. Like, this is Islam Makashv. This dude is an absolute base. I think Makashv gets it done. But here's what I did. Can't bet against Volk.

I am a Volk fan. I like Volk. Have liked Volk for a long while now. Think he's just a man. Can't bet against Volk. What I did can't bet on him either because I just have a hard time seeing him winning this fight. What I did do in support of him, how I'm finding a way to someone bet on Vogue, I took the over two and a half.

I think he survives. I think he lasts. Even if he does get taken down like the dude is a dog, the dude is strong, the dude is 25 and one and hasn't lost an X number of years. I think he can make it past the halfway mark in the third round. I love it. So I have that as a parlay pieces as well with you because I think my other bet here is I'm taking Machchev inside the distance at minus 110. I frankly don't feel very good about that bet because we haven't.

Volcanovsky hasn't really been finished. But Markachev, again, I think he's just going to get to his spots and it's going to wear down Volkanovsky over time. time and we get a sort of late finish after I can't tell whether it's going to be a sub or tkko but it's just after machachev gets to do mockachev things for a really long time but sort of eventually loses that that's that's my read that's high place but I also have the two and a half as a parley piece here's let me ask you two questions on this fight because I frankly this is by far the most interesting part on the card to me and the only one I really have a ton

of thoughts on I have the other I won't say is concerned, but the other thing that I do want to note, because I think it is potentially relevant, though probably not. Way-in's going to be different for this. We're going back old school. The way-ins are at 6 p.m. Eastern time Friday. So there's not the morning weigh-ins that we traditionally have because it's in Australia, etc.

So that is, you know, what's that like seven less hours from Makachev to rehydrate? We know that he cuts a lot of weight. It's a big weight cut. I don't know if that will play a factor. My guess ultimately is that it won't, but I just want to throw that out. I do think that that is another slight advantage in Volcanovsky's favor, along with the crowd, along with no Habib, etc., etc. He also weirdly has a one-inch reach advantage. Oh, yeah.

But no, Volk has like a pretty good wing span on him. He's just short. But here's the other thing. what do you think if Volcanovski comes out and tries to wrestle Makachev? Because I have always been interested in that as a strategic possibility, not specifically in this fight, but in Habib fights as well. Because for Habib's whole run, I never picked against him, and every time I broke it down to the simplest possible explanation of,

we know what both parties want to do in this fight. one of these is the thing that this guy has been doing. So we know that in every Habib fight, he wants to take him down, he wants to beat you up on the ground. So in every fight, the opponent doesn't want to get taken down. Well, that's you trying to do something that you might be good at, but isn't the entire focus of your game, whereas literally every moment of Habib's life since he was 12 has been working to do that thing. So I'm going to side with the guy who's trying to do the thing that he is very, very good at, as opposed to the guy who's trying to not do something or not allow it to happen.

I feel the same here, but that's why I've always wondered, like, if we look at Mokachev's career, yes, he has that lost Agenre Martin's the kind of weird, fluky-ish, though I know Fluky's a loaded word, lost. But the other fight where he arguably had the most difficulty was Amman Sarukin. I thought he won the Sarurkin fight pretty cleanly, but still, Sarukian had a lot of success because Sarucan can grapple his ass off and took the fight to him. Volkanovsky, really good offensive grappler. And I wonder if that's something he will come because you're taking Islam out of his preferred comfort zone.

He is no longer the hammer. He's no longer the guy who's getting to do the thing he wants to do. He is now reactive in a way that he is probably not as comfortable fighting. in. So do you have any thoughts on that? Because I've wanted to see this happen for years. I'm not going to lie. I think that's an incredibly interesting prospect. Will he do it? I don't know. I mean, you've got to be a sick man to go in there and be like, I'm going to grapple Islam Makashv, but I mean, maybe Volkanovsky is exactly that. Man. If he does it, I will retract. I won't retract every bad word I said, but I won't speak ill of Alexander Volcanovsky anymore. I mean, we've got the whole time in the backlog. We're going to have to

publish that somewhere, the monologue, if he does become double champ. I mean, I don't know. Like, all right. The other side of that is also that you're about to say what I was going to. You go ahead. You go ahead. No, no, no, go for you. I was going to say that Islam this whole time has been talking about how he's going to come in here and strike with Alexander Volcanowski when all he has to do is go in and take him down. What if they're both just going to, what if Islam is the one trying to stuff take downs and he's trying to give it on? on the feet, and Volkanovsky is the one trying to get it to the ground. Well, that would be awesome.

I don't tend to buy that from Islam. Of course. I think he'll do some striking because he's been willing, and it's easier to set up takedowns when you are not single-minded in doing that. I also think he can compete, though I believe in a straight kickboxing match he would lose to Volkanowski. The other side of my potential argument is Islam, again, spent most of his life training with Habib.

so I suspect he knows how to fight against the guy who's trying to wrestle him pretty well. So why not be winning Bath revoke? All right. So Armin Saruki landed one and Tiago Moiseszest also landed one. So a combined two takedowns landed on Islam Makashov in his lengthy UFC career. Now, my question for you is do Adriano Martins and Quarman, Corey Nelson getting a bar together and watch this fight. And just be like, yep, we're the two.

We're the two that did it. You know, I hope they do. I wonder what Corey Nelson is up to these days because Adrian Martinez was a good fighter. Corey Nelson, I can't say that I know much about the man. He fought Robert Whitaker, lost, but he did fight him. Yeah, and that sort of is my read, you know, and having never really watched him, he was just sort of a regional guy in that, and he was much bigger than Volcanovsky because this was a Walterweight contest.

So, yeah, I hope that they share, like, DMs on Instagram, whatever. I'm like, hey, man, you watching this? Corey Nelson. We're the chosen ones. Yes, I was going to say, I hope that Corey Nelson goes to a bar every time Volcanovsky fights and he just gets rip-roaring drunk. and he's just thought, I'm the one.

I'm the one. Corey, you're, you're six inches taller than him and had a 13 inch reach advantage and it was up six weight classes from winning normal fights. I still beat him. I took him out.

Also, also, Corey had like 15 fights. It was both sports. But he can only fight the guys who they put in front of you. Exactly. And he fought the guy

that put in front of him. So there you go. Yeah. Yeah, so at the end of the day, I don't really know what's going to happen. I'm with you. I have a fairly strong feeling that Volkovsky gets taken down, has some success on the feet, but at the end of the day, like, it's just not enough. And Islam is able to put his will onto Volcanovsky and he gets it done.

either, I'm going to say either a later rounds finish or gets it done by like a pretty clear like 49-46 decision. I think, again, I think he's going to get the finish in the end. The other thing, just to quickly throw it out, we can move on. I will be interested to see what, how much Wokonowski goes with the leg kicks. It is not, it's a big part of his game. It is not a big is maybe not the exact right word. It's a weapon he uses a lot and is a important piece of the overall striking puzzle that he offers. And I want to see how willing he is to put himself on one leg against a guy who is going to take him down.

I think that's pretty clear. I mean, Brian Ortega caught quite a few of his kicks. That's what led to the triangle. if I'm not mistaken. Yes, I believe that's correct. Maybe. I don't know. I know the gilly came after he kind of like,

it was a weird sort of transitional moment. That might be true on the triangle. I'd have to go back and rewatch that fight. But yeah, I'm just interested to see from a purely nuts and bolts is that it's a very interesting matchup, the dynamics at play here. But again, I felt pretty confidently from jump

that this should be Islam's fight. fight to win. If that happens, I will feel vindicated, and then I'll be happy that we get to have fights that I think are really, really compelling. Islam and Benile Darius is just, just hose me down. That fight speaks to me in a ton of levels. And if I'm wrong, then we got to witness history. Volk did something really cool. I'll just mute all of his interviews moving forward. and we can watch him not fight Binaldairus. There's almost a zero percent chance he's going to fight Binaldairus, because at that point you're the champ champ, you're a star.

You should never fight any Darius. Fight somebody. Wait till Connor fights Michael Chandler and pray that Connor beats Michael Chandler. Oh my gosh, champ champ. And then you can do the two champ champ champs, featherweight, lightweight champ champs against each other. I love it. And we'll just, the featherweight and lightweight belts will just never. be contested because

Connor will somehow be back in the mix. Yeah, or Islam just wins. Volk heads back down to featherweight and just dismantles whoever wins. Yaya Rodriguez. Yeah, Volk's going to beat the shit out of the winter of Rodriguez.

Should he fight them? When I got a great deal on a great gift at winners, I started wondering, could I get fabulous gifts for everyone on my list? Like this designer fragrance for my daughter. It's just $39.99. How could I resist? This luxurious wool throw for my sister.

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and hit play on your next adventure. This fall get double points on every qualified stay. Life's the trip. Make the most of it at Best Western. Visit bestwestern.com for complete terms and conditions. Yeah, so let's move on to that. It is the co-main event. It is the interim featherway championship of the world.

Yaira Rodriguez taking on Josh Emmett right now. You can get Yaira Rodriguez for minus 165. Josh Emmett coming back at plus 140 over under set at I guess four and a half now. It was OG two and a half, then three and a half, four and a half, minus 185 under plus 160. As much of a feeling as I have on the main event, I really don't know who is going to win this co-main. Like it kind of feels like every time I doubt Josh Schmidt, he ends up winning the fight. Yeah, he was also a dog.

He's got a pretty good chin, you know, decent gas tank. But like on the flip side of that, like I'm still not the biggest believer in Josh Eminent in terms of the title picture. And then like, yeah, he wins of late. Like the Brian would take an injury, like the literal last second. pulling a win from the Jaws of the Feet against zombie. Yeah, I don't know. I don't know what to make of this one. I understand that.

It's tricky. I'm taking, yeah, you're, and I haven't made any bets yet, so be aware of that. But the bet I'm circling here is either to parlay him up, which I'll explain later, or just to take him straight. I think he's at like minus 165 right now. I totally get where you're coming from, though.

This is mostly I don't believe in Josh Schmidt at all. And it's funny because Diahua Rodriguez is not a guy I believe a lot in. But the Max Holloway fight, you know, I know he lost, but he showed me something in that fight. He showed me, okay, he actually is turning into the guy that at one point it looked like he could be, you know, before Frankie ruined him. And then the chance on Jung, a fight he was getting pretty thoroughly whipped up in. before the we don't talk about it enough as the greatest

K-O in history in the sport but like I mean the way that the elbow it was the greatest KO in history and the angle that that came in at literally the last possible second like he was losing yes on the judge of scorecards

he lost the fight and like it wasn't like he just like caught him like crazy like he there's the most insane angle of all time like say he loses that fight like we're talking about him being what two and three with one no contest

and one win via injury in his last six. Yeah. Yeah, it's a very different story, but the margins are small. That's the sport. Conversely, I've just never been, I don't know why.

Josh, has just never spoken to me. He's delivered some good performances. He's delivered some freaking snoozers as well. Like, it just, he is, a wrestleboxer. He's got really big power in his hands. He doesn't have a diverse way to get that

off. But if you can walk into the big power shots, he will put you to sleep. And if not, he can wrestle you a bunch. And that's sort of, it's a, it is a game that I will never love to be a fan of or watch. And so I will almost assuredly underestimated at all points in time. Yair's much flashier But I think this one to me comes down to Can Josh? Josh Emmett's going to probably wrestle some in this one And how successful will it be

He'll probably be some successful Year's not a great defensive wrestler But I think as the fight goes on Yeahir will get up And he is, I think he's just a more dynamic striker He has more tools, more interesting stuff going on the feet And he's got a hell of a chin So I don't think Emmett can one hit quit him

And Josh Emmett's, you know, about to be 38 So I will say like in an argument like he has a ton of knockdowns, but I think it's six of his nine UFC wins have come via decision. Like I do think that Yair will be able to survive the power. And one last thing about this fight that just never ceases to blow my mind is the fact that Josh Yemen is 5'6. I don't know why when I look at him, I think he's like 511. Oh, you do? Dude, I always thought he was like super tall and just like bigger for the featherweight division. And then like I have to go back and watch.

Like he was so much shorter than Calvin Cater. Like he's so much shorter than every. He's going to be five inches shorter than Yeah, you're Rodriguez. No, he and Volk are like the exact same dimensions. It blows my mind. I don't know why I just, I don't know why that I felt like he was like 510, 511 and he is just, yes, the exact same dimensions as Vol. Yeah. That's super weird.

I always think of him as just like, because he is like Volk only he's, don't get him wrong, Volk is not a small man, but Josh Emmett is, he's weirdly proportioned. And there's a lot of muscles on him. Like a lot of muscles on that man.

It's pretty amazing that the guy weighs 145 pounds. Yeah, it's pretty, very, very impressive that he's able to be. By some angles, he really does, like, especially not that they're both, bald like he looks like just like bulk yeah yeah i uh i don't know i just will never believe in him

for whatever reason i also largely don't believe in team alpha male fighters which is another probably blind spot in myself uh i don't feel that you probably should bet on yea rodriguez at these odds uh but i think i'm going to just because it's a i'm doing a lot of wish casting i'll be frank in this code i'm doing i'm doing a lot of bets on what would be, I would enjoy more. And I don't, I don't know if you agree. I firmly believe Arnold Allen should have been in the interim title fight, frankly, over Josh Emmett, since Josh Emmett should have lost to Calvin Cater.

That's another thing. Not only is the Aeer's wins. Like I really, I firmly believe that Calvin Cater should have won that fight. I need to go back to the receipts, but it was something like the fourth round. Someone gave it to Josh Emmett, despite him getting knocked down in the round, it was Yeah, I thought Calvin Cater won that for sure. Yeah. And so, like, it's part of, I think that's part of my general feeling towards this whole card.

We're getting Jaeer, who's coming off the weird win over Brian Ortego with the shoulder injury, even though I think that there's a, I think that it's a fairly reasonable argument to say he caused a shoulder injury. Sure. It's still like odd, certainly. And then Emmett coming off a loss, whereas Arnold Allen, you know, just quietly won 36 fights in a row or whatever the hell it is and doesn't get to be here. So it's, it would be better. If Josh Emmett wins this, he will be like the least compelling title challenger to me in a really long time, whereas at least if Yairr wins, I feel better about that.

So I'm, I'm wishing to win. Yeah, I think Volk, my dog walk, Josh, if they fight. I think you probably dog walks either of them, but I think that the Josh Emmett fight is almost entirely uninteresting, whereas Yaya, I could at least talk myself into some facets of it being engaging. Hypothetical odds out there that you can bet on. Volkanowski-Yair Vokinovsky-Yair, Vokovsky, minus 500. Yeah, and that feels fine.

Is there hypothetical odds on Vokanovsky-imitt? Nah. It should be like minus nine. He would rinse that dude, and it would just be the least compelling fight. Again, I think he beats the hell out of Yair. But I also thought Max should really tune Yair up and Yai-Ir up. and Yair showed out, so I could at least see him being

interesting or competitive in some regards. Yeah, I agree. I'm just wishcasting. That's all of my bets this week, guys. Don't tell me because I'm probably going to lose all my money. That's all of your bets. I have more. Oh, I was about to say.

All of my other ones are also, like, mostly just hopes and dreams bets. They're not smart bets. I took the over in this one. I think it goes long. I mean, like I just said, like Josh, yeah, you're over four and a half?

So what I did is like, I don't, I don't know why it's listed. I bet online I took the over two and a half. I mean, I paid a hefty price for it. It was minus two 25. It's minus 280 now.

So, I mean, I got a good line movement on it. But I mean, I think it probably goes to a decision. Like I just may, maybe someone gets a finish late, but seems unlikely,

but yes. I mean, I think this one, I think this one likely, likely goes long. So that's all I have on that one. Trying that, what I'm trying desperately to do here

on this paper view, unlike the last couple ones, is not get over exposed anywhere. Like, I'm not layering any bets. I'm just, I got a couple of parlays, but like I'm not overlapping shit. So it's not like my whole world is ruined when the main event goes to a decision, i.e. UFC 283. I also took the over two and a half. I parlayed it with the top one, the Volk Machachev, over two and a half. What did you get the over two and a half at in the main?

main event? It's minus 280, I think, right now. What? No way. Two and a half? No, no, no. Oh, hold on. It looks like minus 180. Let me pull it up. I mean, I'm seeing it at most books have it at like minus 150. Oh, minus 155. Yeah. Oh, that's because I lied. I took the over one and a half. That's where I'm, that's what I have, which is nice. I was going to say, I was wondering why you're probably. I haven't taken any of these bets, but these are the bets I have written down that I took the over two and a half in that one at minus 145. So I took that one as it just as a single. But yeah. I'm taking the over one and a half and then the over the two and a half. And then I have a third leg for what I thought was going to be, you know,

I was going to steal your shine. It's going to be like, let me just take some, some Connor Burke's, you know, weird over fight line parlayes and see how it goes. Don't sleep. I got a little over one and a half magic coming later in the podcast. Let's keep it rolling on. Of course you do. Walter Wadeout.

Randy Brown. Taking on. My guy. Your guy. Finally. something I'm excited about. Everybody's guy. It is Jack Della, Madelena. Minus 320 right now for JDM.

Randy Brown coming back at plus 265 over underset it. Two and a half under minus 140 over plus 120. I don't know what you want me to say here. He's my guy. I'm riding one of them to the wheels fall off. Like, yeah, sure, Randy Brown's taller. Sure, he has a reach advantage. Sure, he might be a better grappler.

I don't care. gets hit and when jdm hits them i think he might be going night night in this one fantastic counterboxer just fantastic boxer in general jdm that's all i got i have nothing more to add really um i'm going to take uh jdm by kio because brandy brown's losses have been largely by k o and uh i have i had a couple of resolutions coming into this year one of them was always going to bet on the better athlete when there's like a pretty clear gap in that athleticism. I think that that has thus far borne out very well. But one of the other ones is, you know,

JDM just keeps knocking people out. So I'm just going to keep betting on him to knock people out until he doesn't do it anymore because he's only not done at one time. So just keep going with it and ride that train to the wheel. Small officer. with JDM by knockout. I think it's minus 110 right now. Seems like a good bet to me.

Yeah, I mean, like just let it rip. I think he will. Like JDM by knockout, Jailton by submission, just stay riding these trains. These are my guys. These are my guys. I will be rocking a JDM shirt.

First time doing it. So we'll get further. TeShirt curse on alert. Of the merch curse, if he does get killed. I'm not going to lie, like low key secretly. Like I, I think it's a little bit closer than everybody's like.

I've seen a lot of people like Jack Delanolyde is the lock of the year. Like there's no way he loses. I'm like, I mean, if he doesn't catch Randy Brown and like Randy Brown just kind of like stays at range and he's able to like, you know, have some success in the grappling. Like this could be, it could get kind of slimy. Like this could get kind of nasty. Like let's not let's not sleep on the fact that like J.D.M. Yes, while he's looked just incredibly impressive. The level of competition hasn't been, like, insane.

Like, Ramadan Amive, that was very impressive. Danny Roberts is a very good win. It's not fantastic. Pete Rodriguez is fine, but the Amive one is doing the heavy lifting. Yeah, it's Amive. Either way, Jack Delam Adelaan is going to win. Like, let's just be real here, people. That's what's going to happen.

Moving on to my second favorite fight of the card. It's a heavyweight bout. Is your second favorite fight of the card? You legend, you. In order, it goes Jack Delam, Adelana, then it goes Parker Porter, then it goes main event. Parker Porter. Then it goes Comane. Then it goes Loma, look, boon me.

Justin Toffa, Parker, right now, Justin Toffa is your favorite. Five and three fighter, minus 125. Porter coming back at plus one, oh, five. Here's what I have for you. Parker Porter. the pork man the porker some saying the goat some saying potentially the next heavyweight champion of the world he just has to get there fighting out of fighting out of new britain connecticut my old stomping grounds i had a connecticut id that represented the great state the great city the great

township i'm sorry of new britain connecticut me and parker porter shared the same city for for a long We're reppping the 860 heavy out of Hartford, Connecticut. Me and him, we have a bond that few men share. Plus, I want to throw this out to you. Bond that cannot be broken and will not be broken. Three and two, inside the Octagon, inside the UFC. All three wins coming by way of decision. And here's what you're going to get with Parker Porter.

You're going to get someone that's going to come in there and just motor it up, dude. We're going to throw punches. We're going to throw kicks. We're going to go for takedowns. I don't know how successful we're going to be with everything, but we're going to do it. We're going to try our best to win the fight, and that's something that you can appreciate about Parker Porter.

Top 10. Top 10 in the heavyweight division, all-time strikes landed per 15 minute. Top five. He had a top-five performance in the heavyweight division. Significant strikes landed in a fight with his master class that he put on against Chase Sherman. He does what he does.

And if it goes 15 minutes, he's going to attempt like 200-some strikes and probably 10. take downs like we can't complain about that and my last thing i'm going to throw out to you last two things first of all uh just in thof i got 3027 by jared vandera our prince our our submission king that's really the only fact i needed i just i just want to throw that out to you and then lastly this is just factual numbers i just want to throw out to you according to best fight odds this is just them not me if you bet a hundred dollars on parker porter by decision every single time he fought in the ufc all

five times, you would be up $1,215.15. $1,215. $1,215 you lose against Jailton and Dawkins, and then plus $7.25 by decision against Josh Prezum, plus $450 against Sherman, plus $2.40 against Bodeau. So what I'm throwing out to you, took it this morning, and it was the happiest I've ever been. I literally had a smile that you couldn't wipe off my face as I placed this bet. reporter by decision. I got it for plus 375 on Bet365. If you have that book available in your state, do that, I'm seeing plus 350 on draft kings.

It's a nice, tasty number for a man. That's usually how he went in the UFC. It's the only way he's ever won in the UFC. And he's a plus 105 underdog right now. That's my TED talk on Parker Porter. Thank you very much for attending. I love your TED talk. We haven't ever really discussed this, but is it,

Is it just a wolf pack wager when we're on the exact same prop? You are. You are on Parker Porter by decision. Let's go. Let's go. For almost, well, one, we can just start right here. The over-under on this fight is two and a half. And if you've been listening to our show, this is a heavyweight fight.

And let's be honest, this is a, this is a, heavyweight fight both of these boys cutting some pounds to make a 265 limit uh this is a heavyweight and you know i am going to be taking continuing the experiment i think we're two and one this year on heavyweight overs um now granted last weekend didn't even come close to speed back there because missed by a lot but i'm still up monetarily because that's all that matters that's all that matters uh so going to keep riding this train, taking the over two and a half. And yeah, the thing that sold me, because I was honestly just sort of looking at Parker Porter as an underdog guy, specifically because Justin Tafel lost to Jared Vantara.

And so. 3027. 3027. Pretty tough. He lost to a lot of people who aren't very good, and his wins are against a lot of people who are very good. Juan Adams and Harry Huntsucker. Can we just, can we talk about it?

It's tough. It's tough. And I like Juan Adams. He's a very nice man, but tough, tough scenes. I mean, this isn't Harry Huntsucker, Justin, like this just isn't Harry Huntsucker. This is Parker Porter. And this man, he's going to come in and he is going to try to win this fight. I mean, this guy has some great experience.

Lest we forget the matchup in 2008, some say the fight of the year, Porter Jones at WCF3. I mean, he's That's John Jones, so we're clear. Yeah, he's been in the ring with John Jones, Gabriel Gonzaga. I, I, my favorite part about that fight is that it was the one time he thought, oh, I can go to light heavyweight. It was his light heavyweight debut. I love it.

This is weight gets thumped by John Jones is like, F that baby, never doing that again. Yeah, his one. And then it is one instance in light heavyweight. He fights quite possibly the greatest fighter of all time during his ascension. I think the- I think the funniest part about all that is on the poster for World Championship fighting. Parker Porter and John Jones did not even make the poster.

Yeah. Well, why would they? You know, they didn't know they had a star like Parker Porter on their hands at the time. There was only 2-0 in the game at that point. sneaky, sneaky weird card. I want to say, did they say Kenny Flores? I mean, there's nothing better than getting. So it looks like they put,

they put, oh, no, no, no, no, special autograph session with Kenny Floreen and Marcus Davis. They got me there. That was probably. With Dan Loz on, baby. Yeah, oh, yeah, yeah, Jamie Campbell, all-time fight. Dan Loz on the main event over John Jones,

Park Reporter. Unbelievable. Actually, it looks like it looks like Dan Lozahn's opponent pulled out and he had to fight Brendan Hoxie, 3 and 7 Brendan Hoxie.

And that was actually the co-main event. And the main event was Kevin. I need you to say the best part about 3 and 7 Brendan Hoxie. I assume you're on Tapology and you can see this man's photo

where he is wearing a Burger King crown? I mean, can we talk about, like, it looks like he's wearing his jockstrap. Can we, can we talk about this? For real, Brendan, the Rubber Reaper hoxy. It looks like he's wearing his jockstrap on the outside of his shorts. He's wearing a Burger King crown, and he's wearing boxing gloves. And there is definitely a person behind him.

It looks like they're in a safety vest with, like, boxes of Valentine's chocolates taped to their arms and an old person mask. Yeah, I don't know what's going on here. But it's electric. Yeah, you need to, if you're listening to this, you need to look up Brendan Hoxie because this picture is wild. Yeah, the Rubber Reaper on Topology, 5 and 8. He ended his career.

It doesn't look like he had any big names under his belt other than that, other than that Dan Lazon fight. All right. Dan, Des he was on, does it? Didn't expect to get this deep in the Parker Porter. Parker by decision.

Frankly, I did. Parker Porter by decision. I'm also on the over, over two and a half. And, you know, continue the heavyweight over to train.

But yeah, the point I was making, I wanted to take Parker Porter anyway. And then for some reason, he's plus 105. But by decision, when all he does is win decisions is plus $350. And the gap there seems very valuable.

I mean, very large. If we make it out of that first round, if we make it out of that first round, things get real. Things get real. The dream stays alive. That's all we need Parker to do. Just make it out of that first round and we can really start talking, man. You're riding with the heavyweight over with me. Even though you're not on the heavyweight over, you are also going to live the same exact enthusiasm.

Parker has a chance to become a hero on Saturday night. That's all all said. already my hero. He can be an American legend going down in an Australian point fighting, Justin Taffa, to a 29, 28 split decision victory because that's all I'll ask for. It is 55 minutes into this podcast and we are just rounding the bend of the Parker Porter fight. Oh, which works. I don't have shit for almost anything after the main card. I have two bets after the main card. Good, because I'm going to just start throwing stuff out there and we can just get on with this. next fight last fight on the main card it's a light heavyweight bow jimmy crud is taking on alonzo

menafield right now jimmy crute can be had for the great price of minus 205 alonzo menofield coming back at plus 175 i don't actually mean it's a great price i was just stalling to buy time um yeah so like in terms of a side jimmy crute uh i mean he's he's coming off of like serious knee surgery and reconstruction hasn't fought in, you know, 15 months. He said like his last four fights, his ACL was completely blown out. Now he's bigger than a minus 200 favorite. Not really that interested in playing that. Also, I just want to say one thing, just looking back, last time Jimmy Kroop fought in

December of 2021, he fought Jamal Hill and he was a favorite. He was a minus 175 favorite against the now light heavyweight champion. champion of the world. And I played him. I played him at that price. And he got knocked out in 48 seconds. The end I played him is tough. Oh, yeah.

Yeah, yeah. That cuts deep. I'm not playing a side. I'm playing the under. I parlayed the under two and a half minus 260 with the Loma Luke Boone me, Elise Reed, over one and a half. Win or lose. Seven of Crutes.

Eight UFC fights ended in the first round. win or lose, seven of Minifield's 11 UFC fights ended in the first round. I think we're going to get fireworks. Don't know who wins, but I think it's going to be fireworks. Yeah, so I'm playing aside and I'm taking Alonzo Minifield for a couple of reasons. The first is, again, mentioned it previously. Take the better athlete. Alonzo Minifield is a better athlete any day of the week,

particularly when Jimmy Crout's coming off a very long way. off and the knee surgery, etc., etc. So, uh, and also Lanzarmenfields looked really good lately, you know, last couple of last couple of times out, uh,

just run in rough shot over people. Uh, maybe he's turned a corner. Either way, Jimmy Crute is hitable. I think he gets it. Uh, and so instead of taking menofield at plus,

yeah, instead of taking menofield at plus whatever, uh, you can get Minifield by K.O. uh, at plus 300. And I don't know. know why you would bet Alonzo Minifield at, uh, what is he at plus 155?

When you could just bet Alonzo Minifield by K.O. at double that price because 10 of his 13 career wins are by knockout. So I'm taking that. Going to guy that gets hit. Going a guy that gets hit. And, uh, I don't know if you also know this been knocked out. Last time he got knocked out in under a minute. So yeah, I will say the reason I have any pause about this at all,

I am maybe historically bad at picking Jimmy Krupe fights. I definitely am. My six predictions on topology in Jimmy Krufights, I'm two and four. I am just, he's zgging when I'm zagging. So I'm not great at picking him, but I'm picking against him and we'll see how it goes. Can't wait. Can't wait for that one. Let's keep it rolling.

Let's move right along. Let's move to the prelims. it's a light heavyweight bout Tyson Pedro taking on Modestis, Buccas. Yeah, like I'm not really that confident in this in this play. I did forget to throw out my gimmick for the week, what I will be doing. Very long shot parlay.

It is the Outback Steakhouse, Aussie Parlay, four legs. Fantastic. I will break those down. First leg is Jack Della, or I guess the last leg, technically is Jack Della Madalena inside the distance, minus 120. That brings us to our second leg. this one, it's Tyson Pedro inside the distance minus 120. I mean, Modestis seems to be the darling dog

for everyone. Dude opened up at minus 1,000 and has been bet all the way down to a minus 240. I feel like the minus 240 makes a little bit more sense. Like I don't have like a ton of trust in Tyson Pedro, but it shouldn't be minus a thousand. No doubt, no doubt, especially with the way Modestis has been looking lately. But I needed some legs. I needed to get some boost to the outbat steakhouse. Ossey Parley, the ASAP, or I mean the OSAP that everybody knows it as. So I took him inside the distance because nine of his wins, all nine of his wins are by first round finish. Pretty much what he does.

If he's going to win here, I think he will likely get the finish. And I think that's what he's going to do. I'm not buying into the darling dog, Modestis Pukakis. And I'm going to Outback. I'll see you there. From agree, I have Pedro inside the distance. one, better athlete, just betting the better athlete. Two, I don't know if your research you came across this,

but it's pretty easy to tell what's going to happen in this one because this is a fight that will be happening in the UFC, and so Modestis Bukakis will lose. Now, if this were a fight happening in Cage Warriors, he would absolutely win this, 100% success rate in Cage Warriors. He may be the greatest Cage Warrior fighter of all time. This was happening there.

Tyson Pedro would stand no chance but because it's in the UFC Bukakis is what 1 and 3 in the UFC left it now he's back I suspect he'll keep that losing streak on going give me Tyson Pedro

inside the distance Another thing that's like weird is that three of his five losses are by getting finished in the first round so like the math kind of just adds up you know You know it uh it is what it is His one win is over Andreas Micheladus.

The only reason you might know who that person is is because he was the guy that the UFC fed to Alex Paheta when he came in and they were like, we need to get Alex Paheta into a title shot. Let's give him this dude to kill. Great first round. Great first round by Michaelitis. You know, broken clock's right twice a day.

But again, we're in the UFC. This isn't Cage Warriors. Modestis is going to get knocked out because that seems to be what, happens to him when he's in the UFC. With Instacard, you get groceries that over-deliver, so you can over-share your preferences. Want russet potatoes with no brown spots? You got it.

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on select plans, conditions and exclusions apply. All right, well, let's keep it moving. to a featherway bout, Josh Kulabalak taking on Melsik Bagdasarian. I was so glad that you put this on the sheet, because I don't, I don't have anything, but I have a thought, and I want to, I want you to tell me why I should do something. Okay, so this should be interesting. Right now, Kulabal Moussuk coming back at plus 100. I just mentioned the aforementioned OSAP, the Outback Steakhouse, Aussie Parley.

this is leg three and this is probably my least confident leg i mean i mean this thing is big this thing is big it's it's it's it's it's it's a plus 3200 parlay but what i did here is uh i did josh cool about by decision i mean typically when he wins it is by decision he's had a tough stretch since entering the ufc you know comes in jalen turner on short notice uh draw with charles jordan uh and yeah i can't really give you a hard sell on this because when you think about it, Melsic Bagdasarian, in my opinion, is going to have the advantage on the feet. And Josh Kulbao has 0% takedown accuracy. He is 0 for 80 is yet to complete a takedown. So yeah, if it stays standing, like, I think it stays

close, but like I might favor Melsk. Like, I'm just kind of rambling here. I don't really have like a huge sell, but I needed something to jack up the, the OSAP so yeah, talk to cool about. Smart fighter, smart fighter. You've done your job insofar as I won't be placing a bet on this because

I want to be extremely clear. This fight was the funniest one on the card to me. Because if you, then my job, this is the thing I do every day of the week. It is my profession. I take pride in it, work hard. If you had asked me if either of these men were on the UFC roster,

I maybe could have pulled Josh Kulabow. Because the name sounds familiar. I looked at, when I was doing research, I looked at Melsik Bagdasarian and I was like, oh, who the hell is this that the UFC has signed? Like some random ass dude? Oh, oh, no, he's actually fought. And this is actually a freaking third fight in the UFC.

And I, I am dead certain. I know for a fact. I watched UFC 268. Covered it. I know for a fact. I watched your eye haul fight. shot strictly on a fight night card less. I know that I covered those things.

If you put a gun to my head and were like, is this man in the O.C? I would have died because I would have gotten it wrong. And so I want to also be clear. Didn't do any research beyond that. But what I will say is I wanted to bet against Kulabal for one specific reason.

In 12 fights, five of those have gone to a split or majority win, draw, or loss. if you're not fighting the best guys in the world and you are making it so judges are like I don't know dude this is freaking hard you probably aren't very good is entirely my thought I was like I don't know if he can't convincingly win an ex fight series I'd be probably isn't

very good and can't win UFC so I was just going to fade him totally in the dark but now that you're on him I won't be doing it because that's not what friends do friends support each other Yeah, man, I don't have a ton of confidence in this one. I mean, this is the dream to go to Outback Steakhouse, and hopefully that's what I'll be doing on Monday night, but I'm going to need some help from Josh Coolabout. You want to know how I know Josh Coolabout? He burnt me on U.S.C. 275.

I was on, who was it? Somu Choi? Yeah, Sunu Choi was burned there. Split decision win, though he handily won that one. I'm pretty sure he got two knockdowns in that. Oh, it's cool. Coolabal's third round, Jordan. isn't he?

Oh, God. This is the legend where third round Jordan was born was cool about. No, no,

no, because he went to a split decision with Jordan. Yeah, but didn't Jordan win the 10-8 third round

or whatever? No, I think Jordan has the one, yeah, no, Marcelo Rojo is, is the reason for third round Jordan.

Yeah, but came after this Coolabout fight where I, if I'm remembering correctly, he like put it on, that's why we got the draw is he turned it out.

it was. Third round. Yes. And so it was back to back third round. Jordan was a minus 475 in that fight, by the way. Yeah. Well, third round, Jordan, you had to know. You knew who was coming.

I mean, you just, you just had to know. Yeah, I'm going to not touch this fight. You shouldn't. You shouldn't. And I put 0.1 units on the Alpeg Steakhouse Aussie Parlay. So no sweat off my back if you can't get it done. Let's keep it rolling to a men's flyweight bout. I said it.

perfectly for the world to hear. It is a men's flyweight bout. 4-1, baby. 4-1. Listen, dude, as far as I'm concerned, they're 4-0 because that was a road to UFC fight, not an official UFC bout. So UFC flyweight unders in my world? So it only missed by like 30 seconds, too.

The finish did come. It just came just like 30-some-odd seconds sort of ever after. I mean, Tyra, another first-round finish. I think on all the winners, they've all been first-round finishes. They've been easy money. It has no sweat whatsoever in any of them. Yeah, I can't wait for this one. Clutton Rodriguez taking on Shannon Ross right now.

Rodriguez minus 325. This number is plummeting Shannon Ross plus 270. I don't know how much it's going to fall further, but he opened it minus 205. I think Clutson's going to win. That's when I hit it at the opener. I know that doesn't do anything for the listeners, but I think he's going to win. I think he's good parlay piece. Shannon Ross, yes.

A lot of people will look at his. record and be like, oh, he lost in the Dana White Contender Series. Like, why is he getting a contract? He did have appendicitis and a ruptured appendix in that fight. He's also Australian. Yes, that helps. If you've ever had an appendicitis scare, it is not enjoyable at all. If you've ever had appendicitis, it is terrible.

So, like, I can't really blame him for that. But, but, but beyond that fight, I haven't really been that impressed. with Shannon Ross. Like he gets hit, like he leaves opening for his opponent. He's been knocked out. And you know what? I think that's what happened here. I think Clutton-Rong-Riegas knocks them out.

Cash is the money line for me. Cash is the flyweight unders for no-bets bar nation. And we moved to 5-0 on the year. Love that also on the under. And I mentioned that I was, you, if you're listening to this show, you didn't even need to listen to me this week. you knew what I was doing, taking the heavyweight over, taking the flyweight under, and there's a gimmick, there's a gimmick parlay.

I know that they don't spell their Rodriguez is the same, but there are two Rodriguez's. Let's go. Let's go. Instead of betting your year straight to do it because it's not even a good bet, I'm just pulling him up with the other Rodriguez. Rodriguez parley, that pays out plus 127, and that's where I'm going to be. Easy money, easy game. Now, when you name it, the Rodriguez Parlay is that with an S or with a Z?

I think the best way around it is to do Z, but it's the Rodriguez's. So it's ZS. So it covers them both. I love that. Z. That's a perfect way to do it. You get both of them in there under knockout. Or just the hot rod parlay, you know, just the hot rod parlay, you know, just the hot rod.

There you go. The hot rod parlay. I love that. Yeah. I mean, I don't want to put this. on them. Like, it's just, it's not really right of me, but Clemson Rodriguez, one of the first times in the infancy, I'm talking way back before no-bets barred existed before the idea of flyweight unders had even been birthed. I was, in fact, still taking flyweight unders.

And Cletson-Rodriguez, C.J. Vergara was a frustrating one to lose. That one went all the way to a decision. Terrible watch. I almost swore off Flyweight unders that very day. I'm glad I didn't because it's been the greatest discovery of all time. But Cletson Rodriguez could become the enemy of the state

if we're not able to get the underhand. Not this week. It's too hot. Remember at the beginning of the year when we were like, what if they don't, what if the magic's gone? What if it's not the year? I don't remember that.

I don't remember that. It was that long ago. I was that naive. I was that dumb. Absolute nonsense. So there it is. There's the prediction. Porklites and Rodriguez. Next up, it is a lightweight about Jamie Malarkey taking on Francisco Prado.

Right now, you can have Jamie Malarkey for the enticing price of minus 255. Francisco Prado coming back at plus 215. The over under under minus 145 over plus 125. Is this outback? Are we outbacking it for this? No. I... Oh, you're not. Okay. No, no, no. I just have the under on this one, just because this one's going to be a banger. Like, if you've watched a Malarkey fight, like, he just comes in and chucks him.

In his last four fights, he or his opponent, someone has gotten knocked down. Three of them ended in knockouts and, like, just go back if you want to know about the dog and Jamie Malarkey and watch him just come back and melt Devante Smith. Had Jamie Malarkey, had Jamie Malarkey inside the distance in that one, did me proud. The dude is a dog. That is for damn sure. Fantastic. by him. And then Francisco Brotto on the other side.

Jeez, Louise, watch like a little bit of tape on him. Like he comes in, finishes on his mind, never seen the scorecards, 11-0-0. It looks good, man. Looks good. It wins in the first round. It's our dangerous ground game. Getting off the bus. Looks good. Getting off the bus, too. I'll give it to

him. Little Argentinian going on there for him. Looks good. Got the glow of the World Cup win. I mean, things are looking up. Now, here's what I'll say. I do have to throw this out there. If you look at his record. Oh, no, they're terrible.

He beat a bunch of bombs. It's tough, man. Like, it's tough. I know he's getting finishes. Like, we joked about it earlier. You can only beat the competition in front of you and he's smoking them. But, dude, the guys he's fighting is not great. A lot of O&Os, a lot of sub-500 fighters, like 4 and 13, 4 and 8s, like some 21 and 15s.

He is not fighting. great competition and he's going he's taking a huge step up here i'm not on a side because he could be dangerous he could be that dude we just saw it last time with 283 who was that that took uh robocop's soul uh absolutely flatlined him and it was a similar situation undefeated one-hender quitter hadn't fought great competition i can't remember his name i don't know why robocop got absolutely slept could happen to malarkey here not on a side don't want to pay that price but i do think it is going to be a hobn't not banger and someone gets finished.

So you're talking about Bruno Faheta. Just to throw that out. Thank you. Last stat, I have to say, combined between these two dudes, 27 of their 31 fights, gone under the two and a half. You're giving me minus 145. In front of the Australian crowd, I'll take that. Thank you.

So I'm going to be making a bet, and I'm going to be making a bet on Prado. And this, it's partly because he's, look, he looks good. looks like he might have some juice and i don't believe jayman malarkey i don't know i don't have a ton of faith in jim milarchy to be a favorite at this price uh but also i would lie it would be a lie if i didn't say that i realized going down this card um picking against wokenovsky i am picking jdm but i'm picking against uh tafa i'm picking against crut um picking against cool bow

picking against shan ross oh i love this you're just anti-ashtra i am enemy of the state for Australia pretty much. And so I was like, you know, this is a big number. It's a 20-year-old undefeated kid. Sure. Why not continue to do it? So my continued anti-Australian sentiments coming forth, if you are an Aussie listener to No Betts Bar Nation, Connor loves you.

I apparently hate everything that your country stands for. I mean, I love everything about the Australians, love their culture. I love your love island. You have the best love island. Seems like a beautiful place. I would love to go there one day. Behind me, I've already got my Tim Tams. I've got my Vegemite.

I've got my Bundaberg, ginger beer. I got a koala hat. I got an inflatable kangaroo. I got Australian flags. I'm ready to go. I got an Australian cork hat. They use it, you know, swing it around, and it gets the bugs out of the face. I mean, I'm ready to go for Saturday.

I'm not going to lie. I'm ready to go. Casey O'Neill told me to do a through aerial. told me to do a, it's called a Tim Tam slam. You bite each side of the Tim Tam and I guess they're hollow and then you chug like a coffee through it and then you house the Tim Tamps are good. Tim Tam's are definitely good. You've had them.

I've never had them. I got every flavor to try. I got the white chocolate. I got the caramel, the dark, the milk. I am ready to roll. Tim Tam's are excellent. So you're offending me by taking Francisco Prado is what I'm saying. I understand it.

And that's fair. but it's where I'm at and I'm going to I'm just going to keep taking shots from the hip and see what lands. Let's go. Let's move on to the next one. It's a featherweight out. Jack Jenkins taking on Don Shanis. Right now you can have Jack Jenkins for minus 335. Minus 345 now, Don Shanis coming back at plus 285. I parlayed up Jack Jenkins with Takugov. is one of my two parleyes. I already laid out the prop one earlier. I'll go back to that as we get to the next fight.

You talk about a level of competition. Wait, you parlayed Jenkins with Takugov. You're not parlaying. Jenkins isn't the outback parlay? He's the final leg of the Albeck Steakhouse Parlay. Outback Steakhouse, Aussie Parlay. Sorry not giving it the proper name there. Jack Jenkins, by decision, plus 225.

That's why the number is just so juicy. Yeah, I mean, we talked about level of competition. Don Channis is like the poster boy for, I mean, less than a year ago, man, just 10 months ago, he was fighting the legendary Jay Ellis, the legend of the 16 and 106 Jay Ellis. This was just April of last year. We love Jay Ellis on this podcast. I mean, he's a legend. If you've ever been a man that had to dive deep into tapology and you don't know Jay Ellis,

you're doing it wrong because Jay Ellis is actually. a legend. I mean... Also, I don't think you've listened to this podcast because we definitely spent 20 minutes talking J. Ellis all the time. Yeah, we don't need to do J. Ellis again. I can't wait for the damn they were good. Jay Ellis edition. That's going to be a... That's going to be an all-timer. We're going to have a lot of talk about Gerald Mearschart. His pair of fights against J.L. I'd love to interview Gerald Mearschart about losing J. Ellis. That would be... You got the win back later. You got to give the man to get redemption. But the whole world's waiting on J. Ellis, Gerald Mershart 3. I know. It's a lot.

out there. I don't know if we're ever going to see it. Yeah, I mean, he made the jump. I know was on super short notice, but he made the jump to Sadiq. Yusuf, which is not an easy entry into the UFC. And I mean, it was clear. He got finished in 30 seconds. It was a nothing of a fight. I think he's going to make a better representation for himself here. I think it's going to go longer. He might have some success getting the takedowns this time around and being able to use that. But I just think as the fight goes on, Jack Jenkins, I think he's just going to be able to find success. I think he's going to get it done. I think if it stays standing, which I won't be surprised if it does.

I mean, Jack Jenkins is decent on the ground stuff, a couple of dig downs on the contender series. I think he gets it done. I think he survives the onslaught in the beginning, and he gets it done by decision. That's the last leg of the Alback Steakhouse, Aussie Parlay, and it is also the second leg of the Jenkins to Kugof Barlin. Fantastic. I have nothing to add no action. So we can continue on. word sweet because you want to talk about short and sweet it's a women's straw weight battle loma look

boon me's taking on elise reed right now you can get a look boon me as a favorite for minus two 65 elise reed coming back at plus 225 i have nothing to say on the actual matchup itself elise read not good think loma look boon me is probably going to win here not laying minus 265 on her though what i did do seberg's special over one and a half minus five 25 parlight up with uh with uh with uh crew Menafield under two and a half. I mean, if you just look at their fights, nine of their combined 10 UFC fights, gone over the one and a half,

eight of them have gone to a decision. So there it is. This is my last bet on the card. I'm on the over two and a half. It is parlayed up with Machujiuilvok over one and a half and the Iyre, um, uh,

emit over two and a half and it pays out one 25. So it's the non-violence parlay. The pacifist parlay, as you said last week. Passifist parlay. You coin that one. I have to give you some credit for that one there. Do you have anything to say about Shane Young taking on Blake Bowder? Go America, because apparently I hate Australia. But no, I have no action on this particular fight. All of my bets are done. So you can bring us home with... Yeah, I thought about playing Shane Young, but I just... I'm trying to keep it tighter. And I kept it very tight this week. And I kept it very tight last week. And I had a winning week. so just trying to stay

stay tight we didn't talk about last week I would like to say that thank you whoever decided to not make Ryan Bader a much bigger favorite because I was entirely vindicated in being like this number seems

insane let me shove a lot of money and that's the only thing that kept me from having a really bad week is I had so much money on Ryan Bader that it kind of evened out in the end. Yeah. I mean, that's, that was that in the under and then I mean, so I did decent UFC. And it's the first round. Oh, yeah. I did UFC. I like, I barely broke even like a little bit up. But then I clean, swept boxing and Bellator. So I ended up like four and a half units on, on the week. So we're starting to make our way back in the green. Hopefully we

we continue that this week. I got a lot of good mind movement so far. Got a lot of. a lot of bets that I feel confident in. So feeling good. Get to the last fight. Featherweight bout. Tobirot Takugov taking on. Elves Brenner. Elves.

Elvis. Should have looked up how to pronounce it. I am going to assume it's Elvis, but I don't actually know that. Also, Tapology says featherweight. UFC and Sherdog say lightweight. So I think it's probably going to be a lightweight matchup, but it doesn't really make me. I believe. it should be lightweight.

Yeah. It doesn't really make me then. Zubaira is a lightweight, but I think Brenner has competed in both. Yeah, it doesn't really make me too nervous. Didn't last time out Zubiro fight it featherweight, or am I tripping? In my head, he's a lightweight, but I guess maybe he could have fought it featherweight. In my head, I just think of him as the bad lightweight from that group of people. Is that who you thinking of?

Maybe I'm, maybe I'm missed. I think you're getting this mixed up. Yeah, I mean, is it. Takugov's always fought at Featherweight. Who are you thinking of? Because I know who you're thinking of. I don't know, but we're already deep into the show. So you just tell us what we think on Zoo here.

Yeah. I know you're taking Zoo he's in the parlor. Yeah, I'm really not too worried about a moving up to lightweight because his opponent is not that big. And he used to be a featherweight himself. Brenner, I mean, again, kind of feels like weird for this card being such a big-time pay-per-view in Australia. kind of top heavy. A lot of these guys making their UFC debuts, a lot of them really have not had that great of competition.

Brenner is four and three in his last seven against nobody's. Again, it's essentially Kahn. Kugov five, two and one fighting in the UFC. I mean, I think he's the way better striker in this situation going off of minimal tape study on Brenner. I mean, I probably logged 15 minutes, nothing too crazy there. He's used to trying to take it to the mat. I mean, he gets almost three takedowns of fight.

probably not the best move here because if Brenner has anything, he has the ability to submit people. But at the end of the day, dude, I just think this is a huge step-up in competition for Brenner. I really don't think he's fully prepared for what's to come. And I think he's probably just either going to get out pointed or Takugov is just going to finish him. I mean, he does have three knockdowns in the UFC.

So that's what I'm doing. Takugov. Jack Jenkins, there's the par lot. And that's it. that's that's the show ladies that is uc284 australia almost an hour and a half later top heavy card i'm not going to lie super top heavy before we get out of here though connor tell me we got it we have to at least throw it out there it's a big weekend it's a super bowl do you have any super bowl action down before we exit so far feeling any thoughts that you're going with here i know this isn't you know where we

where our bread is buttered but we got to throw it out here once a year you know yeah like a low key i can't lie wish you hadn't just sprung this on me so i do a yearly meeting of the minds me and my boys get together on the the thursday before the super bowl i mean super bowl i typically end up with like 20 to 25 bets i have i get so many bets down on this most of the times i i don't win i don't end up winning money but lord knows i have such a blast i mean i think i talked about it on this podcast one of the greatest bets of all time was me and all my boys catching. It was Kyle Eusecheck, fullback for the San Francisco 49ers, over a half reception and over

eight and a half receiving yards, cash both those at the same time with one play when he scored. We went so just absurdly crazy and no one knew why. And it was just, it was, it's a special moment that will always live in my head. I love betting on the Super Bowl. Love betting on the Super Bowl. I love the coin toss bet. Oh, you do it. You do the coin toss.

I've never done it. So Draft King has it up at even money. So it's not, you know, minus 110, minus 110 where you're just paying the juice. It's just a straight pay 100 out. Love it. At that point, that is literally a mathematically fine bet. You are getting, nobody's gaining an edge there. So there's no reason not to just flip the coin.

I just a Lanham guy? Uh, usually I just, I, I usually go for the over almost just offhandedly and see how it works just because I, I feel like in that, in that moment, people are gonna, they're gonna stretch, you know, because that that's, this is their time to shine. There was one year where a hypothetical time got thrown out there and it was pretty close to the exact millisecond. And yeah, I bet pretty heavy on the over that year. And it did work out. I mean, there's Super Bowl betting is just a great. You just put in the dumbest bets with you and all your boys. You eat a bunch of great food and you just get into some dumb shit, especially because I'm a Falcons fan.

And only one time in history of my life. actually two. I was very young against the Broncos in 98. My team's never in it. So I just kind of get to shoot the shit and have some fun. We get together. We watch it. I was just bringing like a big pile of cash.

And then we make prop bets during the game against each other. Not on the things that you could do, but just like, all right, next commercial break, the first commercial will have a dog who wants this action. Yes. I love that. And then we end up just trading five dollars around all night. Oh, that's amazing. doing all the other stuff that you do in those i love the super bowl i love gambling on the super

bowl and i think i'm going to take the the eagles i think i'm going to be betting pretty pretty heavy on the eagles uh because this money line is very close and i in my head it seems like the igals should win yeah i'm not going to lie dude like uh i don't know what i'm going to do sometimes i don't even take a side sometimes i just do i just do dumb dumb stuff like i love like i love like the combined jersey number of all touchdown scores. Like, I love like dumb bets like that. The dumber the bet, the better for me. Those bets are the most fun.

I will never be a long-term profitable gambler outside of MMA. And I've just sort of accepted that. And yeah, I just like to have fun when I'm not betting on MMA. Will there be a flea flicker? No, is mine as 280. And frankly, I think that's a phenomenal bet. An all-time bet that me and my boys had to chase for four years is over under players to attempt a pass

and it's always set at two and a half. So essentially just like a flea flicker or a wide receiver reverse. So we took it one year. We took it one year. It was that same year with the Niners and Chiefs and Debo Samuel got the reverse and he cranked the arm back

and me and all my boys. Now granted, this was when I was working at ESPN and I had to work it. So we're all at work acting like just complete degenerates and he cranks his arm back and we're all like, Devo, be a hero. And then he tucked up.

it and runs and like it hurt my soul so bad so we took it the year after and a year after and then last year it finally cashed uh on the bangles and the rams i can't remember who was our hero but i mean it was just such an all time moment i wasn't with all those same friends but we still have a group chat and uh i mean it was just a magical moment the group chat just blew up so hard that's electric i love the novelty props octopus will it be an octopus plus 1400 Let's go. Last year, last year I have to say,

we got four players that attempted a pass. Cooper Cup, Joe Mixin, on top of Stafford and Burrow. Dude, there's just so many fun things in the Super Bowl.

And that's why this weekend's going to be great. We get a little UFC 284, rest up, Super Bowl. I'll lose all my money, all the money that I've built up

over the past three years. You want to know my post for the weekend? I'm rerouting. I'm calling an audible. Shout out to Peyton Manning. Calling an audible. Oh, on my long run, doing it Saturday,

and then just enjoying everything for the rest of the week. I'm going to get up, going to do the long run on Saturday. Then I'll do UFC 284, and I know I'm going to be up late as hell, and I'm going to watch party and everything. Not going to want to do the run on Sunday, especially because of the Super Bowl.

I'll sleep my ass in on Sunday, wake up, ready to roll for the Super Bowl. I might actually do that. What's your long run like these days? What are you supposed to hit this weekend? Oh, 10. Last week I did nine. Knees starting to hurt a little bit.

I just don't think I'm built for the long run game. I think I'm more of a 5K guy. I think half is the right. So I know the listeners are very aware that you're running a half. I'm running a marathon in April. Psycho. I did 13 this past weekend. And it hit, it hit pretty hard.

I'm supposed to do it again. That moment when you're at like Mile, eight, nine, like around that area. And you can just like low key feel your body, like just being like, let's stop, dude. Like, let's not run anymore. See, my, mile, that's like where I feel the best is when I hit like eight and nine. That's when I catch that second wind. It's when I get over double digits that it's just like, oh, this is now miserable.

Everyone knows the feeling. Like it is just like, it's just your body is just like, all right, dude, we've done enough, man. like let's call this been out here for closing in on two hours man this doesn't need to be going anymore yeah yeah well uh can't wait should be a fantastic weekend uh UFC 284 super bowl state side if you're into that kind of thing uh champ versus champ can't wait back next week back next week with what what summer saying is a card of the year most electric event of the year nah real shit gotta be the worst card I've ever seen.

Just gonna just gonna throw it out there. I just, I just have to say. I don't know, man, that feels like it's until the weekend after, the weekend after next week is, I would, I think, worse. You think so? We'll talk about it. I really like next week's main event. I know the rest of that card is poop and a half.

Next week's main event is very, very good fight. Here's all I have to say. That following weekend, we at least have KSW, the hottest promotion in the world right now according to me. KSW, if we're talking a weekend, then no. But I'm just talking about event to a UFC event versus UFC event. All right, UFC event versus UFC event. Taylor Santos versus Aaron Blanchfield.

I will give you that. That is better than Nikita Krilylau versus Ruff's fan. It's better than anything that's happening on Kri-Ospan. Because And here's not competing that weekend either. He's out of the Almeida fight. Tatiaz Juarez is coming back at least on the one. Juarez, which is like the one thing that's pretty cool. Plus, and there's a flyway bout.

People sleep. People sleep on this. As much as I love Jilton Almeida, as much as I love JDM, he hasn't fought in a while. I also have a strong man crush on my man, Andre Monez. And he will be going. I love Andre Monez. Absolutely love Andre Monez. He is, you and everyone wants to match up.

Give Andre Monez, give Alex Pereira, Andre Monez, and I'd be curious to see what happens. If he can touch the power. hour, it would be bad news. I believe pretty calm. I feel good that Andre Moodie's would win that fight. I love Andre Moodie's. But these are for a different time. We're too deep into this game.

Let's get the hell out of here. I'm looking at it is. Other than Andre Moodie's... They're all bad. Both of these fight cards, collectively you could make one okay fight die card. Jack, Paga, Jordan, right? But then we're at 285 after that.

And then it's the return of John Jones. etc, et cetera, et cetera. But that's all for later. March is going to be fired. March is going to be fire for an hour and a half into this. UFC Apex 69. We at least have that going for us. UFCA Apex 69 next week.

Santos for Blanchfield. See you then. Peace. Love you guys. You're listening to the Vox Media Podcast Network.